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Earnings Call: Q3 2015

Oct 28, 2015

Speaker 1

Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to PayPal's Q3 2015 Earnings Conference Call. As a reminder, today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to introduce your host for today's conference call, Mr. Tom Hudson, Vice President of Investor Relations. You may begin, sir.

Speaker 2

Good afternoon. Thank you for joining us, and welcome to PayPal's earnings release conference call for the Q3 of 2015. Joining me today on the call are Dan Schulman, our President and Chief Executive Officer and John Rainey, our Chief Financial Officer. We're providing a slide presentation to accompany the commentary during the call. In discussing year over year comparisons, we've chosen to present non GAAP pro form a measures, which reflect items that are factually supportive or directly attributable to the separation of of the company from eBay Inc.

On July 17th this year and expect to have continuing impact on the company's results of operations, as we believe these measures provide investors a consistent basis for reviewing the company's performance across different periods. All historical measures for periods prior to Q13 or Q3 2015, including year over year comparisons are presented on a non GAAP pro form a basis unless otherwise stated. FX neutral growth rates are calculated by translating the current period local currency results by the prior period exchange rate. This conference call is also being broadcast on the Internet and both the presentation and the call are available through our Investor Relations section of the PayPal website at investor. Paypal corp.com.

You can visit our Investor Relations website for the latest company news and updates. In addition, an archive of the webcast will be accessible for 90 days through the same link. Before we begin, I'd like to remind you that during the course

Speaker 3

of the

Speaker 2

conference call, we will discuss non GAAP measures in talking about our company's performance, including the non GAAP pro form a measures mentioned above. You can find a reconciliation of both measures to the most direct comparable GAAP measures in the slide presentation accompanying the call. In addition, management will make forward looking statements that are based on current expectations, forecasts and assumptions and involve risks and uncertainties. These statements include, but are not limited to, the future performance of PayPal as a stand alone business, including expected financial results for the full year of 20 15. Our forward looking statements do not contemplate any impact in 2015 from the pending acquisition of the Zoom business.

Our actual results may differ materially from those discussed in the call for a variety of reasons. You can find more information about our risks, uncertainties and other factors that could affect our operating results in our registration statement on Form 10 as amended in subsequent quarterly reports on Form 10 Q available at investors. Paypalcorp.com. You should not rely on any forward looking statements. All information in this presentation is as of today's date, October 28, 2015, and we do not intend and undertake no duty to update information.

With that, let me turn the call over to Dan.

Speaker 3

Great. Thanks, Tom. Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining us on our first earnings call as an independent company. I'm pleased to say we had strong results the quarter. But before I get into some of the details, I'd like to introduce you to John Rainey, our new Chief Financial Officer.

I'm thrilled to have John join our leadership team. He is not just a seasoned public company CFO, but he is a world class individual whose judgment and integrity are a pleasure to see action. I'm sure all of you will enjoy working with him. John will be providing a detailed overview of our financial performance later in this call. Now let me highlight some of our key results and initiatives in the Q3.

PayPal had a great start as an independent company, gaining market share, expanding our customer base and deepening our engagement with our customers. In Q3, payment volume increased 27% on an FX neutral basis with PayPal processing $70,000,000,000 in total payment volume. This continues our track record of mid to high 20% growth in every quarter this year. Merchant Services, TPV continued its strong pace, growing 34%, approximately 1.5 to 2 times the growth of e commerce, further extending our global lead in online and mobile payments. We're operating in a time when change is sweeping through the financial services industry, driven by the rise of mobile technology and the acceleration of money becoming increasingly digital.

These two massive trends play directly to our strengths and give PayPal the unique opportunity to expand our reach and relevance to both consumers and merchants. We are making significant strides in our vision to use our platform to become a full service solution provider to merchants as they seek to form more intimate relationships with their customers. And we strongly believe that our platform and our upcoming development efforts will enable PayPal to be an everyday part of the financial life of our consumers. Why do I consider our position so differentiated from our competition? It's not simply because we continue to build and extend our strong leadership position.

Of course, our increasing scale helps, but it is our focus that separates us from others. We are the only company that is entirely focused on end to end digital payments across the globe. Our brand continues to innovations, leading risk models and outstanding customer service. Each quarter, we extend the strength of our key attributes and this comes through clearly in our results. As I've mentioned, there are 4 metrics that capture the health and strength of our business.

They are the increasing scale of our customer base. The engagement of that base is measured by transactions per account, our top line revenue growth and free cash flow. And the 3rd quarter was our best quarter of 2015 in each of these important areas. We finished the quarter with 173,000,000 active accounts, adding over 4,000,000 Of the 173,000,000 approximately 13,000,000 are merchants who accept PayPal across the world. Think about that.

Think about that scale in terms of both consumers and merchants. It's a powerful, very difficult asset to replicate. To put it in context, if our active customers were all citizens of a single nation, PayPal would now be the 8th largest country in the world. Consumers across the globe and merchants, large and small, are signing up for PayPal in record numbers. But our goal is not simply to grow our customer base.

We are 1,200,000,000 transactions for our customers, up 25% from last year. And perhaps most importantly, we increased transactions per account, which rose from 24 a year ago to 27, growing 12% as our new products and services begin to resonate with our large customer base. These strong customer numbers naturally led to strong revenue growth. We grew our top line at 19% on an FX neutral basis and 15% on a spot basis in the 3rd quarter, with revenues of approximately 2 point $3,000,000,000 This obviously strengthens our conviction that we will deliver on our full year FX neutral revenue guidance of 15% to 18%. And finally, free cash flow expanded nicely, in line with our expectations.

We had a significant increase in our cash flow and we are on track to deliver our guidance of $1,600,000,000 to 1,800,000,000 dollars for 20.15. While we're obviously pleased with our financial results, what's even more important is the strength of the underlying drivers of these results. As I mentioned earlier, our brand just continues to strengthen. In October, for the first time ever, PayPal was ranked on Interbrand's Top Global 100 list, placing number 97. This honor is more than just a ranking.

Being one of Interbrand's top 100 is the recognition that our brand is truly global and has successfully transcended geographic and cultural differences. And a recent Forrester study of U. S. Consumers found that people trust PayPal to provide their mobile digital wallet more than banks, credit card networks or technology companies. The trust associated with our brand comes from assets that are difficult to replicate.

These range from our sophisticated risk algorithms driven by the billions of transactions on our platform and our 8,000 customer service associates, where our net promoter score continues to rise year over year. Our value proposition is a force that attracts consumers to choose PayPal. It drives measurable sales conversion lift for merchants who offer PayPal as a way to pay. Simply put, merchants and consumers trust PayPal. But interestingly, people are even more compelled to choose and use us once they've experienced the convenience of our newest innovations like OneTouch.

I'd like to highlight some of the progress we made in the quarter, innovating and enhancing our products for our customers. Let me start with OneTouch. I believe that OneTouch is a significant leap forward in the commerce checkout experience in a key way in which we are creating more engagement with our customers, both merchants and consumers. It is a faster, simpler and more convenient way for consumers to check out at merchant sites, whether in mobile apps, on the mobile web or online across all form factors, OS platforms and payment types. In Q3, we began to roll out OneTouch to 16 markets and 100 percent of eligible U.

S. Consumers and merchants. Today, more than 60% of the IR 500 and over 1,000,000 merchants around the world from the largest like Home Depot to the smallest have OneTouch enabled for their customers. And we are rapidly gaining consumer adoption. Today, some 7,000,000 consumers have opted in to use OneTouch globally and every day that number rapidly increases.

We continue to see not just meaningful improvement in conversion rates when one touch is used, but also interestingly a significant improvement in customer engagement. The innovation behind One Touch came to us with the acquisition of Braintree and the replatforming of our PayPal software stack enabled its rapid global implementation. We marked an important milestone with the 2 year anniversary of our Braintree acquisition. It's now very clear that Braintree's early bet on mobile is paying off. Most of the best next gen mobile commerce companies use Braintree for payments.

2 years ago, Braintree has 56,000,000 cards on file. This quarter Braintree had 185,000,000 cards on file and has quite quadrupled the volumes it processes. Our increased customer growth and engagement is the direct result of our focus on providing a full solution to our merchant partners. The PayPal sales force across 46 markets in North America, Europe, Asia and Australia is actively selling the full suite of services on our platform, focused on capturing 100% share of checkout. And we are seeing tremendous adoption, greatly expanding our base of merchants, which includes new companies like jet.com, 1 Kings Lane and Hungry House as well as industry leaders like Uber and Airbnb.

And Venmo continues to set the standard as the mobile payment app for millennials. A year ago, Venmo processed $700,000,000 in volume in Q3. This quarter, Venmo processed $2,100,000,000 of volume, growing well over 200% year over year. This makes Venmo one of the fastest growing apps in the world and likely one of the top 10 apps in the U. S.

By dollar volume. And the typical Venmo customer engages with the Venmo app multiple times per week. I'm also pleased to share that we will shortly begin trials allowing Venmo customers to pay with Venmo at selected PayPal merchants. This provides even more value to Venmo customers and at the same time allows us to start the monetization of our Venmo asset. I'd like to close my remarks by highlighting 3 areas credit, our in store and omni efforts and end with a quick update on our announced acquisitions.

These topics frequently come up in conversations I have with investors, so I thought some additional color might be helpful. Credit is an important way we deepen our relationship with our customers, both merchants and consumers. And we're committed to creating transparent and compelling credit products that help our customers have better control over their merchant customers the capital they need to grow and succeed has now exceeded $1,000,000,000 in credit extended to more than 60,000 small and medium businesses in the U. S, U. K.

And Australia. PayPal Working Capital uniquely leverages PayPal technology and data to assess creditworthiness, underwrite and service loans in ways that traditional lenders can't. We bet eligibility on a merchant's PayPal history and processing volume, not their business or personal credit score. PayPal working capital loan amount, which range from $1,000 to $85,000 fill a void in the traditional banking environment. And perhaps most importantly, PayPal Working Capital also powers our traditional business.

90% of the merchants who use PayPal Working Capital reapply for a loan and their net promoter scores and TPV go up significantly, which naturally results in meaningful churn reduction churn reduction numbers. It's a true win win proposition. Let me now spend a couple of minutes on our multi channel efforts and some of our early a truly differentiated value proposition in using mobile across the web, in app and in store. The movement of in app mobile payments to the in store environment unleashes a tremendous new opportunity for us, opening our addressable market by almost 10 times. Mobile provides a natural evolution for PayPal to move from the online and in app world to the in store environment.

As our retail partners search for ways to use mobile across all channels in order to form ever more personal connections to their customers. They are looking for a full service platform to power their application across all payment types and loyalty. They desire a cloud based solution that is point of sale technology, device and operating system agnostic. Our merchants want to provide a consistent experience and value proposition to all of their customers regardless of channel, device, OS or payment type. And the combination of our Paydient, Braintree and PayPal platforms provides the capabilities they are looking for.

Unlike our previous in store efforts, our merchant partners are driving the adoption of our open platform. PayPal is working to be a true payments partner to merchants who are increasingly seeking to bridge the divide between online and in store through mobile. By being truly technology and payments agnostic, we can focus on improving the entire commerce experience by linking a merchant's loyalty, offers, rewards and private label credit cards into our platform and provide capabilities like split tender at point of sale and other innovative propositions in order to help merchants create deeper and more powerful engagement with their customers. In September, Macy's announced an integration with PayPal for omni channel checkout capability online, in store and on mobile. The integration enables Macy's customers to pay in store with PayPal payment codes and online and on mobile via the PayPal button in one touch.

These innovative payment options are now available at all Macy's, Bloomingdale's, Macy's Backstage and Bloomingdale's outlet stores in the U. S. Subway, with its 30,000 plus locations, is using Paydient and PayPal for its order ahead application. And with Shell Oil in the UK, we jointly announced a mobile payment service that allows drivers to fill up and go without having to go into the store and pay. FillUp and Go is the 1st mobile payment service at the pump offered by a fuels retailer in the UK.

And finally, our Paydient platform is the technology powering Target, CVS, Walmart, Wendy's, Sears and Kmart as they trial the MCX currency application in Ohio. As you can see, merchants are beginning to use our platform and capabilities to put forth true value proposition enhancements for their consumers. These omni channel efforts are already well beyond anything we've done previously and we are just getting started. Finally, I'd like to touch on acquisitions. First, we expect to close our Zoom acquisition later this quarter.

I'm more excited than ever to welcome Zoom to the PayPal family. And in August, we announced the acquisition of Chicago based Modus, a company that brought us world class talent and technology that will allow us to accelerate our lead in contextual commerce, allowing customers to pay for products and services in whatever context they discover them, not just on a merchant website. Modis has deployed a leading set of APIs that allow contextual buy buttons to hook directly into a merchant's e commerce order management systems, which is essential in providing a full services solution to our merchants. But as important as acquisitions are for us, our internal innovation efforts will always be our primary driver of value. Our technology replatforming efforts have allowed us to dramatically accelerate our organic software development roadmap.

We now have a powerful combination of internal innovation efforts and acquisition firepower working in tandem. That's a strong combination to drive and further differentiate our leadership position. I'd like to conclude by saying thanks to the entire PayPal team. It's because of your focus, your passion for our mission and day in and day out efforts that we continue to make strides towards our ultimate goal of being a customer champion. With that, let me now turn the call over to John.

John?

Speaker 4

Thank you, Dan. It's a pleasure to be here for PayPal's first earnings call as a newly independent publicly traded company. I'd also like to thank PayPal's 173,000,000 customers and 16,000 employees worldwide for making this a great quarter. We have a tremendous opportunity ahead of us and I'm excited to be able to join Dan and the rest of the PayPal team to transform the movement and management of money. Q3 was a strong quarter and we continue to execute on our plan.

As Dan mentioned, we grew revenue 19% on an FX neutral basis and achieved earnings of $0.31 per share, an increase of 31%. We continue to grow our share of the market. Our share gain is an indication that our strategy is working as we expand our product solution from a payment button to an end to end payment solution for merchants of all sizes. As our results for the quarter show, we are delivering on the commitments that we outlined earlier this year. We are expanding our reach and becoming more relevant, enabling us to deepen our engagement with our customers by increasing the number of merchants where PayPal is available to shop and pay.

In the quarter, we went live with a number of large retailers like Macy's, REI and Symantec. As a result, the number of payment transactions per active account increased to 27, up 12% from a year ago. Importantly, our payment volume through the mobile channel increased 42% year over year to $16,500,000,000 With mobile growing faster and continuing to gain share, it highlights the shift in consumer behavior and the opportunity we have to leverage this trend as mobile technology bridges the divide to the significantly larger in store opportunity. I want to highlight our performance on a few operating metrics for the quarter. First, we expanded our active account base by more than 4,000,000 in the quarter to 173,000,000 customers.

The number of payment transactions increased 25% driven by the growth of the media, travel and retail verticals. Total payment volume was $70,000,000,000 in the quarter, up 27% on an FX neutral basis. U. S. Payment volume grew 28%, a 2 point acceleration, while international growth was 25 again on an FX neutral basis.

Our U. S. Business benefited from strong results in both GrainTree and Venmo in addition to the transaction growth from our branded PayPal digital wallet product. PayPal merchant service transactions in North America, which exclude Braintree and Venmo accelerated 1 point to 25%. As we conduct business in 2 0 3 markets across the world, the stronger dollar had an impact on our results, not only from a translation perspective, but also on consumer demand.

We experienced weakness in China exports, specifically from our merchants off of eBay, which were impacted by lower demand from both Australia and Europe. For the quarter, PayPal generated $2,300,000,000 in revenue, up 19% FX neutral. Transaction revenue was up 18%, while other value added services grew 26%. Transaction revenue benefited from rising engagement as reflected by the increase in the number of payment transactions per active customer account. This increase reflects the growing relevancy of Braintree's unbranded product and the evolution from a payment button or tender type to payment partner, where we capture all the merchants processing volumes.

Other value added services benefited from the growing penetration of PayPal Credit as well as an amended agreement with Synchrony Financial during the quarter for which we will now record revenue each quarter versus historically recognized revenue annually in the Q2 of each year. The amended agreement extends our relationship with Synchrony and importantly no longer requires PayPal to purchase the credit portfolio in October of next year, freeing up more than $1,000,000,000 of cash for uses that are more accretive to shareholders. Total expenses grew 12%, significantly less than revenue. On a per transaction basis, total expenses declined 11 percent. Our volume based variable costs, which are transaction expense and transaction and loan losses, were up 17%.

Despite the additional costs associated with standing up an independent company, we gained economies of scale on our other expenses, which were up only 7%. The investment in our technology platform has both increased security and availability, but also reduced the platform cost per transaction. We are also experiencing good cost control in the other areas of our business as we begin to operate as an independent standalone company. Our transaction margin for the quarter declined 80 basis points. This is a result of 2 things, both of which are a deliberate strategy on our part.

First, as we expand our presence with large merchants, our corresponding take rate is lower as they benefit from volume based pricing. And second, as Braintree becomes a greater percentage of our volume, the higher credit card mix results in increased transaction expense. While our transaction margin declined, our operating margin expanded 200 basis points in the quarter. This demonstrates our ability to maintain and even grow our margins with the operating leverage we have in the business

Speaker 3

as well as the discipline that this

Speaker 4

management team has around controlling costs. Free cash flow for the quarter was 5 20% year over year with CapEx coming in at 6% of revenue. I'd like to take a moment to discuss of PayPal. We have a tremendous opportunity to increase shareholder value with the deployment of that cash flow, be it through organic investment, acquisitions or returning cash to shareholders. I will discuss our plans for each of those on our next earnings call as we lay out our strategy for 20 16.

From a balance sheet perspective, we ended the quarter with cash and cash equivalents of $6,700,000,000 including approximately $2,400,000,000 in the U. S.

Speaker 3

In July, we announced our agreement

Speaker 4

to acquire Zoom, a digital money transfer provider and have made good strides towards closing this transaction. Zoom shareholders approved the acquisition and pending regulatory approvals, we expect this to close in the Q4. This transaction will have a negligible impact to our full year 2015 results. And now to guidance. For 2015, we

Speaker 3

mid term guidance we provided

Speaker 4

at the time of our separation. As well as the midterm guidance we provided at the time of our separation. We are firmly on track to deliver on our full year 2015 pro form a guidance of FX neutral revenue growth of 15% to 18% and EPS of $1.23 to $1.27 The U. S. Dollar was a headwind to our spot revenue growth in the 3rd quarter, representing a 4 point difference between our reported revenue growth of 15% and our 19% revenue growth on a currency neutral basis, and we expect a similar impact in the Q4.

In closing, we have created a leading sustainable financial model, which allows us to keep innovating and growing at scale. We are a global company with a trusted and recognized brand. We operate in 203 markets across the world with 173,000,000 customers. We are growing our top line at a 15% to 18% annual clip. We had a 20% operating margin in the quarter and generated almost $0.25 of free cash flow for every dollar of revenue earned.

And along with our revenue growth, our good cost control and operating leverage enabled us to grow EPS by over 30% in the quarter. And lastly, we have a management team that is laser focused on creating shareholder value. With that, let me turn it back to the operator for questions.

Speaker 1

Our first question comes from Dan Furlan with RBC Capital Markets.

Speaker 5

Thanks guys. Good evening. And the question I have is, I guess there's 2 of them real quick. One is, you talked about this monetization strategy around Venmo and it's clearly, it's obviously driving a lot for account growth and it's obviously driving part of the take rate degradation. So it's key.

I'm just trying to understand really the process that you're going to go through in order to do that. And is the pricing model going to be similar to what we've come to expect in terms of your take rate?

Speaker 3

So let me take that. Thanks for the question. So we'll start trials with Pay with Venmo, as selected PayPal merchants this quarter. And basically what this does is it opens up the PayPal or the excuse me, the Venmo base to our PayPal merchants a PayPal customer is purchasing at a PayPal customer is purchasing at a PayPal merchant. So those will be very familiar economics to you.

We're trying this in the 4th quarter, assuming from a technological perspective, this works. Obviously, we have millions upon millions upon millions of Venmo users. Merchants are eager for them to start to buy at their locations. We would start to roll that out next year. And by the end of next year really expect to fully monetize the Venmo asset.

So you'll start to see that come into next year and hopefully be fully rolled out so that any Venmo user can pay pretty much almost any PayPal merchant location. That's the goal and objectives that we have with similar take rates. No change in the take rate.

Speaker 5

Excellent. One other real quick one. Can you just put a finer point on this growth driven by is just something else, if you could just flush it out? Thanks.

Speaker 4

Sure, Dan. This is John. So in the quarter, we amended our agreement with Synchrony, which provides the PayPal branded credit card. That agreement was set to expire in 2016. As I called out in my prepared remarks, that required us to have a significant outlay of cash to purchase that credit portfolio.

The amendment now extends the agreement through 2023 and we no longer have that obligation to purchase the credit portfolio, although we do have the option at that point in time. But importantly, as it relates to our economics, there are 2 things I would point out. One is that there are better economics. And in the quarter, we recognized about $37,000,000 related to this transaction. Probably 25% of that number is more one time in nature than the rest is what we would expect on a quarterly basis going forward.

That's a little bit different than what we've done in the past where we recognize or we settled all of the revenue in the Q2 of each year. So we'll see a more consistent earnings stream from this transaction going forward.

Speaker 6

Okay. Thank you.

Speaker 1

Our next question comes from Sanjay Sakhrani with KBW.

Speaker 7

Thank you. Dan, I was just wondering if you could comment on the Chase Pay MCX deal. I was wondering if you think it impacts PayPal in any way. And specific to your MCX relationship with Paydient, is there any change to that?

Speaker 3

Thanks. Hey, Sanjay. Thanks for the question. First of

Speaker 4

all, we have a very

Speaker 3

close relationship with the folks at MCX, whether that be with Brian Mooney and his team or with the merchants that are part of the MCX consortium. And obviously, Paydient is the technology provider that powers the currency application. Chase Pay will be integrated in through our Paydient platform. And my view on all of this is that you've got an exploding marketplace right now for digital payments. I mean, the number of opportunities is immense.

And honestly, putting those in order of priority, selecting which people to work with, making sure that fits within our full development pipeline is a big task that we have because of the amount of interest in working with our platforms and working with us. I think you're going to see obviously numerous different people coming into the payment space or announcements all the time. Chase pay is another way to pay as many other payment forms are and mostly they integrate through our platforms. And so I would say we have a very close relationship with MCX. We continue to have a close relationship with MCX.

We're exploring additional opportunities with MCX and the more successful that they are, that's helpful for us because we have a close relationship with them and their merchant partners.

Speaker 7

And just maybe one related follow-up. I guess a key component of the value loyalty numbers can be attached to the tender or something.

Speaker 2

Could you just talk about I mean, I think you guys have that

Speaker 7

capability and how important it is to your merchants for that to occur? Thanks.

Speaker 3

Yes. Great question. I think it's crucial, because what I think merchants really want to do, in fact what I know merchants want to do is not a form factor change. They are not looking to just substitute a card swipe for a mobile tab. What they're looking for is a true value proposition change.

And part of these 2 value proposition changes are 1, knowing the customer when they come in because you now know who they are when they come into the store, but rewarding them as well. And so a lot of the merchants are creating applications that give rewards instantaneously and then those rewards hook up into our platform through a set of APIs. So we're not creating the rewards program, the merchant is. We're powering it through our platform so that when a consumer checks out, they can immediately see, okay, I got rewarded for those purchases. They then have the option to do split tender at the point of sale.

So they could pay for a part of that purchase with their rewards points, a part of that with a certain tender type. You can automatically, all sorts of great there are all sorts of great things you can do when you have a robust platform that goes across payment types, across OS types and across form factors and also works in multiple POS environments. And that's really kind of why we've pulled together this set of assets from Paydient to Braintree to PayPal and are integrating those platforms together, so that we can provide a robust platform solution that enables merchants to write their application, tie in their offers, loyalty, rewards into our platform and then we can also bring with that 173,000,000 customers we have through our PayPal button into that platform to light up that merchants are excited about working with us.

Speaker 6

Great. Thank you.

Speaker 3

Yes. You're welcome.

Speaker 1

Our next question comes from Craig Maher with Autonomous.

Speaker 8

Hi, thanks for taking my questions. Two questions for you. First, would you discuss the directionality of the payment yield if you stripped out Venmo and Braintree? And then secondly, in walking the floor at Money 2020, we caught up with a few very large merchants and discussed PayPal acceptance at the point of sale. And almost universally, they discussed a reluctance to do business with a middleman due to PayPal's current construct, looking at what Walmart is able to do directly with Chase, asking Sanjay's question in a different way, does this set a precedent that could severely impact PayPal's prospects at point of sale of large merchants?

Speaker 4

Yes. So let me take the first question. I think what you asked is stripping out the effect of Venmo and Braintree on our take rate. That's not something that we break out for the public. We really want our customers to think of that as one product as we continue to integrate that into the overall PayPal payments platform.

So we don't disclose that separately.

Speaker 3

Yes. And second, Craig, to your point, we are working with one large merchant after another throughout not just the country here, but across the world in talking to them about how they want to use mobile across online, in app and in store. And that neutral third party is actually a strength that we bring to that. There are all sorts of ways of thinking about how we use technology to help merchants, but that consistency of being able to use sort of some of the unique assets we have like our funding mix, to be able to help merchants at point of sale to look across payment types. So not just at one payment type and have a different experience with it, a different operating system and have a different experience with that, but create a consistency across payments, across loyalty, across different technologies.

And that is hitting a real core with merchants. Of course, not every merchant is going to want to do business with us throughout the world. We don't think this is going to be a winner take all model, but the assets that we are bringing are really resonating and we're having more strategic conversations on a daily basis with the largest merchants than we've ever had before. Okay.

Speaker 8

And if I could just follow-up real quick. I just wanted to understand the sustainability of margin gains in the quarter, because it looks like investment reinvestment business seem to slow a bit in the quarter. So just to understand how we should think about the run rates for OpEx? Thanks.

Speaker 4

Sure. So, let me address the margin piece first and come back to the run rate for OpEx. As I said in my prepared remarks, we did see some compression in our take rate. But that's actually validation that we're executing on our strategy. As we provide become more relevant to our customers and enable them to use PayPal with large merchants and expand Graintree.

Fortunately for us, we expanded our operating margin 200 basis points in the quarter and that's a good indication of the operating leverage that we have in the business. Our other costs that are not volume related in the quarter represented about 42% of our revenue. That's down 3 points from the previous year or was 45% of our revenue. And so this is something that we will continue do going forward as we focus on free cash flow generation and increasing our margins. With respect to the overall level of operating costs in the business, I think the Q3 is fairly representative of what we should look like going forward.

We did have some noise in our year over year comparisons as we stood up an independent organization. And if you go through the individual line items for our expenses, you see some year over year increases and decreases, which are not necessarily representative of the run rate as we had to add an infrastructure for PayPal separate from eBay.

Speaker 3

I'll just add a couple

Speaker 2

of things.

Speaker 3

There are numerous areas of the business where our replatforming is making us more and more efficient, whether that be in our ability to handle customer service on a more efficient way because when we deploy, we have less bugs, less calls coming in. It's a much more efficient system now. And as we continue to do that, we continue to see the ability to have increased operating leverage. So I think John's remarks I continue to see operating leverage for us.

Speaker 8

Thank you.

Speaker 1

Our next question comes from Bryan Keane with Deutsche Bank.

Speaker 9

Hi, guys. John, the transaction revenue was 15% year over year last quarter. It dropped 200 basis points to 13% this quarter. I think FX is playing a role. Maybe you just talk about what it is on a constant currency basis and any moving pieces

Speaker 3

in there?

Speaker 4

Sure. So transaction revenue on a constant currency basis was 18% up for the quarter versus 13% on a spot basis.

Speaker 9

And what was it in the June quarter?

Speaker 4

Brian, I don't have that number right in front of me, but we can have Tom

Speaker 1

and team get back to you on that.

Speaker 9

Okay. But there was nothing materially different in the business that caused the drop? Because I think most people in the street were modeling more a 15% growth rate in the 13%. I'm just trying to figure out if it was just FX popped up a little bit that could be the difference.

Speaker 4

Well, we did see continued pressure from FX. And as you might remember, we initially guided to about a 3 point difference for the full year and we saw a 4 point difference in the quarter. And I'll remind you that as we go into the 4th quarter, we're beginning to lap the period last year where we saw the dollar strengthen. And why that's relevant is, we tend to hedge currency out about 6 quarters and, we're lapping a period where we were taking advantage of previously of the better exchange rates. And so the hedges that we have in place in the Q4 won't be as good as what you've seen in the second and third.

And just for more transparency there, in the 3rd quarter, the year over year difference in hedges was about $55,000,000 for us. And perhaps more to your point, that declined from about an $80,000,000 impact in the Q2. So that could be some of what you see in the transaction revenue.

Speaker 9

Okay. No, that's helpful. And then Dan, just on pricing, if you

Speaker 10

look at it like for like,

Speaker 9

I understand the mix and large merchants as they take over the take rate drops. But just pricing in general for like to like merchants, are you seeing a lot of pressure there?

Speaker 3

We really aren't. It's obviously competitive environment. But when we look at the attributes of take rate decline, it is overwhelmingly explained by the mix shift of products and the mix shift towards large merchants. And that's been relatively consistent over time for us as well. So no real change on that.

And as John said, we've repeated this time and time again, We are consciously making a strategy choice to be a 100% share of checkout, to be a full service solution provider to merchants. Is making a real difference in our ability to be a strategic partner with them. When we do that, the PayPal button is always implemented in a way that typically improves our share of checkout because it's our most advanced integration on that. With every one of those implementations, we add additional revenues and additional profit dollars. So although our take rate may come down, that's absolutely the right thing for us to do.

And as we move towards more and more ubiquity for PayPal consumers to shop and move into more and more larger merchants, as John also mentioned, the more volume, the lower the take rate on that. But that's just a part of how the payments industry works. So it is all about strategy and strategic choices driving that. The environment has remained relatively constant.

Speaker 9

Okay. Just one last quick question on the guidance. On revenue guidance, in particular, constant currency, you stay the same, you reiterated at 15% to 18%, but you're kind of tracking 19% year to date. Is there anything to think about in the Q4 why necessarily the rate would drop into that range? Or are you just making sure you're conservative and sticking with the Thanks so much.

Speaker 4

You bet. So when we gave our guidance, it wasn't quarterly guidance, it was guidance for the year. And we are still comfortable with that range. I will say that both from a revenue and EPS perspective, our bias is probably towards the upside of that. Yes.

Speaker 9

Super. Thanks.

Speaker 1

Our next question comes from Tien Tsin Huang with JPMorgan.

Speaker 6

Great. Thanks for taking my question. Just on the margin side, how are you balancing showing margin expansion like you talked about versus investing in growth? And I just wanted to clarify, it looks like year to date you're up 60 bps or so in non GAAP margin, if my math is right, and your full year target is up 0 to 100. So with 1 quarter to go, is it safe to say you'll be in the upper half of that range?

Speaker 3

So as John said, we're maintaining our guidance, but our bias obviously because of our results is towards the upper end of that. And as John also mentioned, we gave guidance for the year, not for any of the quarters. But our results are certainly coming in at the higher end of this guidance on all of those metrics and most of the street is there and that's how we're performing. In terms of margin versus investing in the business, we gave medium term guidance that said that we felt that our margin could flat to expanding over the medium term. We still feel very comfortable with that.

There's a tremendous amount of operating leverage in our business. We think we have plenty of room to invest in the growth opportunities in front of us and still maintain our margin or slightly grow our margin going forward. That hasn't changed. As I mentioned, there are tremendous amount of opportunities in front of us. You may have seen in the press release, we just signed a major deal with American Mobile in Latin America, the largest wireless provider there that will make a significant difference in results down there.

It's going to be a pretty extensive partnership. Those opportunities are around us all over and we have the both product development capabilities to go and implement those and the investment capacity to make sure that those partnerships are successful. So as John mentioned, we are laser focused on the cost, but we're laser focused on the cost the right way. We are not cutting costs for short term gains one way or another. We are cutting costs because we are operating more efficiently.

And that really is the major takeaway for this. So we're very comfortable, as John mentioned, with the medium term guidance that we've given.

Speaker 4

Yes. I would add one more thing to what Dan said. I think a good example to that really response to your question about margin expansion versus growth is our Zoom acquisition. So we've disclosed that Zoom would be slightly dilutive to our results in 2016. But we obviously every decision we make is through the lens of creation of shareholder value.

And we're not going to manage the business for next month's revenue or next month's earnings. We're going to manage it in terms of how do we create long term shareholder value. And Zoom is a great example of that as we get to expand into the money remittance business and leverage what is already done there today with PayPal's 173,000,000 customer base.

Speaker 6

Understood. That's helpful. So just one follow-up, just on the still trying to learn the press release and whatnot. Did you give large merchant TPV mix? And then also Dan,

Speaker 2

I think you said

Speaker 6

the pipeline for new merchant pipeline is strong. I'm curious if the sales cycle

Speaker 3

for adding new merchants changed

Speaker 6

at all given so much new activity on the payments side? Thanks for taking my questions.

Speaker 4

Yes. So we did not give the large merchant mix in the press release. That will be in the Q, which is coming out tomorrow. The number is 46% for the quarter.

Speaker 3

Yes, this question on network merchants. Yes. So as John mentioned, we added 3 large merchants, REI, Symantec and Macy's. But we have just an immense pipeline of booked business waiting to come on to our platform. It takes a little bit of time to bring that on, depends on how major merchant is and if we're doing 100% of the processing, which most is moving towards.

But no, it's just that you'll see a constant drumbeat of that occurring given our backlog right now.

Speaker 2

Operator, we have time for just one more question, please. Thank you.

Speaker 1

Okay. Our next question comes from Heath Terry with Goldman Sachs.

Speaker 10

Great. Just one sort of technical question, I want to make sure that we're thinking about the right way to start with. You mentioned the 400 basis points of FX headwind in the quarter and then the FX hedge timing. As we look at the guidance 300 to 400 basis points in Q4, how does it work where we're seeing that impact declining or roughly declining quarter over quarter with the roll off on the hedge timing. I just want make sure that we're thinking about that the right way.

And then Dan, when you say immense pipeline of booked business, how much of that is in the pipeline because, hey, it's Q4 and nobody wants to mess with their payments going into the holiday season versus sort of more linear addition of customers and it's just the challenge of sort of any new implementation?

Speaker 4

Sure. So I'll take the first piece there. As we go into the Q4, the year over year decrease in or the way the dollar has what am I trying to say here? The exchange rate environment is better in the Q4 than it is in the Q3 on a year over year basis. However, the offset on the hedge position is not as good for us in the Q4 as it is in the Q3.

At today's exchange rates, our hedge gain in the 4th quarter would be in the $20,000,000 to $25,000,000

Speaker 3

range. Okay.

Speaker 10

Okay. And then on the immense pipeline of book business, which by the way should have been the headline on your press release.

Speaker 3

Yes. So it's much more linear, especially, obviously we've got the 4th quarter moratorium coming up, but that's not the reason for the pipeline. It is a pipeline that has just grown each quarter, a lot of it coming into the Braintree platform, a lot of it all of it with PayPal buttons on it. So my as we've come through this quarter, with 19% revenue growth on our top line, a real nice improvement on our EPS. And as I look forward, I've got a tremendous amount of enthusiasm for where this business can go.

We just came off of our off-site for our 2016 planning. But not only do we come out of that with enthusiasm for what 2016 could look like, but I thought the most important takeaway was we came out of that thinking about really just how that sets us up for great 2017. And that's really the way that we're thinking about the business. What are all the capabilities that we're building? Our internal development efforts are accelerating in a very nice fashion right now.

We'll start to have some of our acquisitions come on board and then we'll be able to leverage some of that. Customers are really responding to the new PayPal. And you pull all of that together and we're obviously reiterating our medium term guidance on this, but we feel good about the strength of our business and the momentum of it.

Speaker 2

Thank you. Okay. Thanks, guys.

Speaker 3

Thank you.

Speaker 1

Ladies and gentlemen, this

Speaker 3

everybody for joining us and we look forward to talking with you later on today, tomorrow and throughout the quarter. Thank you.

Speaker 1

Ladies and gentlemen, this does conclude today's presentation. You may now disconnect and have a wonderful day.

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