Ryder System, Inc. (R)
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JPMorgan Industrials Conference 2026

Mar 17, 2026

Brian Ossenbeck
Senior Equity Research Analyst, JPMorgan

Okay, welcome back from lunch break. We're gonna go ahead and get started in the afternoon here with Ryder. We have the CFO, Cristy Gallo-Aquino, and we're gonna go through some slides she's gonna have first, and then we're gonna get into some of the Q&A. We'll have opportunity to ask questions in the room, so please feel free to raise your hand and get involved. I have a little iPad here in front of me to take questions as well. Cristy , thanks very much for being here.

Cristy Gallo-Aquino
EVP and CFO, Ryder System

All right. Thank you.

Brian Ossenbeck
Senior Equity Research Analyst, JPMorgan

Appreciate it. Glad you can make it with the weather. Let's go ahead and maybe you can set the stage for a little bit for us for here before we get into the Q&A.

Cristy Gallo-Aquino
EVP and CFO, Ryder System

Absolutely. Well, good afternoon, everybody. I thought I'd start first by just, for those of you that may not be as familiar with Ryder, giving you a little background of our company and who we are. Ryder is a leading provider of outsourced transportation and logistics solutions here in North America. 90% of our business is actually in the U.S. We've been around for over 90 years. We've just under $13 billion of revenues last year. We operate in three different segments. The first one being Fleet Management Solutions or FMS, and that is our rental and leasing division. Here we provide full service lease to our customers. Our contracts are typically five to seven- year terms. We do everything from, you know, acquiring the vehicle, maintaining it throughout its life.

We have over 800 shops in North America where we maintain these vehicles. We have a fleet of about 240,000 vehicles. When you see Ryder trucks out there, that's typically our rental fleet. Those are the only ones that have our name on them. The rest of our fleet just has a little logo by the driver's side that says Ryder, but it's our customer's name on the trucks. There's 240,000 of them out there. The fleet management business is about 40% of our company. Over the years, you know, we've shifted the mix to be more asset light, so we've grown the Supply Chain and Dedicated segments quite a bit.

You know, on the leasing side, we procure the vehicle, we have purchasing power just based on the number of fleets that we acquire. We are able to leverage our maintenance shops for all the maintenance needs throughout that vehicle's life. On the back end, we have 60 used truck centers where we're able to sell these vehicles on the retail market as opposed to having to wholesale or auction them. That's typically the value prop of our leasing business. From the leasing business, our customers can actually transition to a dedicated, which is everything that we do for our lease customers, but you just add a driver to the mix.

About 50% of the sales from a dedicated, from our Dedicated business are coming from our lease customers, converting them to dedicated. That dedicated is about 20% of our revenue. The last segment of our business is the Supply Chain side, and that's the remaining 40%. On there we do everything, what we call our port to door logistics. We do everything from drayage to transportation management. We have distribution management, so we manage over 100 million sq ft of space, of warehouse space in North America. We do e-commerce and last mile delivery. That's basically our contracts there are typically about three to five -year contracts on the Supply Chain side. 90% of our business is contracted.

The remaining 10% is sitting in that rental and transactional business, which really helps, you know, predict our business over a period of time. You could see our customer base is fairly diverse. Food and beverage being our number one industry, but that's 23% of the business, and then followed by retail, industrial, and then transportation, logistics, and so on. That's Ryder in a nutshell. As far as our journey and where we have been, we have been in a transformation phase over the last six years and have really done everything that we can to transform the business model and focus on being less dependent on a cycle. What you can see here, we've done a couple of things in order to do that.

I mentioned how our Leasing business is 40% of our business today, but it used to be, if you look here, 2018, it used to be about 56% of the business. A couple of things that we've done as part of our balanced growth strategy that we embarked on back in 2019, we did three things. The first thing is we said, we really need to de-risk this business. Our performance was very dependent on what was happening in the used truck market. When you looked at our pricing of our residuals in our lease contracts, you know, we were pricing to an average over a cycle. Well, what happens when you price to an average is that 50% of the time you're gonna be on the upside and 50% of the time you're not.

We didn't really like that profile. We decided that we were gonna start pricing our leases to be at the bottom quartile of a 20-year history. In our 20-year history, we had only been at that bottom quartile twice at the time. Really, that meant that most of the time you're gonna be generating gains. That was the first part of our balanced growth strategy was to de-risk the business. We also got out of some underperforming markets in, you know, international and some product lines that weren't profitable. The second phase of the strategy was to enhance the returns of the business.

What we did there was we started by saying, "Okay, on these leases that we have, we're not getting enough return for the amount of work that we're doing," right? We're taking on residual risk, we're taking on the risk of the maintenance throughout its life, and so we felt that we needed a higher return on that business. In that phase, we said we were getting about a 50-80 basis point spread above our cost of capital. We said we need to move that to be a 100-150 basis point spread. We knew we would lose some market share at the time. We were growing at 10,000 units a year. We said, "We're okay.

We can grow at maybe 2000-4,000 units a year, but we wanna make sure that what we're growing is good contracts with the customers we wanna be in business with. That was the first one. That wa s our pricing initiative on the lease side. That has already generated over $125 million of margin improvement in our business during that time period. The second thing we did to improve the returns of the business was our cost savings initiatives around maintenance. This was all about productivity of our technicians and the workforce in the shops. I talked about the 800 shops that we had. We spend over $1 billion on maintenance a year.

We challenged our maintenance organization with doing things more efficiently, and they stepped up to the plate and were able to deliver $100 million during that first phase of savings in our maintenance infrastructure. Now they're on the second phase of that journey with another $50 million of initiatives that they're targeting to get. That was the enhancing the returns of the business. Then the last thing that we did was to shift the mix of the business, right? I talked about how we moved from being more asset-intensive to asset-light. We did that, one, by saying just, "We're not gonna grow the asset business as much as we were because we wanna get the growth in the areas that we want." We also did that by investing in significant acquisitions in the supply chain and dedicated space.

We invested over $1 billion in acquisitions that enhanced our capabilities or added new capabilities. During that time, we added a last mile business. We added e-commerce. We acquired a co-packaging, co-manufacturing. We also had some tuck-in acquisitions in the dedicated space with our Cardinal a cquisition, and were able to generate significant amount of savings from synergies on that acquisition. All that said and done, you can see here our revenue grew from $8.4 billion, with 56% of it concentrated in FMS, and now we're a $12.7 billion company with 62% of it sitting in the supply chain dedicated space. Not only that, but everything I talked about also led to our comparable EPS doubling during that same timeframe.

Let me remind you, 2018 is what we would have considered a cycle peak, and we're comparing that to 2025, which, knock on wood, maybe the trough or at least near the trough, right? Two times earnings growth, and our return on equity is up 400 basis points. Back then, we were generating 13% return on equity, and now we're at 17%. It's been quite the journey. We're really excited about the results that we've generated with these initiatives, and we still have more to go, which is my next slide here on, you know, what's, what else is coming.

Back in 2024, when we were already, you know, well through this balanced growth strategy, we said, "What are the initiatives that we have in place?" We felt that at the time we had $150 million of initiatives still coming from the lease pricing that I mentioned, because our lease contracts are five to seven years, so it takes us a full seven years to reprice the whole portfolio. We still had a little bit left of the pricing initiative. We embarked on another phase of the maintenance cost savings, so this is that second $50 million that I mentioned. We had the synergies from the acquisition of Cardinal.

In dedicated, we also have a flex operating model that we're creating, which is gonna create a lot of back office savings, as well as just providing our operations the tools that they need to be able to optimize the driver dwell time and routes. Then finally, on the Supply Chain side, we've got the optimization of our omnichannel retail network, which was primarily in our e-commerce and Ryder Last Mile space, where we're consolidating facilities and just making sure our facilities are utilized as much as possible. All in all, at the time, we thought it was $150 million. At the end of last year, we decided, no, we still got more to squeeze out of this. There's $170 million.

We've just achieved $100 million of that through the end of last year. In 2026, we expect to achieve $70 million of initiatives, of those initiatives. That $70 million is sitting in the guidance that we've provided for this year, which is EPS of $13.45-$14.45. That's an 8%-12% growth in earnings next year, and it's primarily driven by these strategic initiatives because our forecast for 2026 does not assume any significant improvement in the market. Which leads me to the upturn conditions, and this is when the market does come back. We feel that there's about $250 million of earnings that Ryder can still achieve when that happens.

That's primarily coming from the improved freight market, where rental and our used vehicle sales results will benefit mostly. You're gonna get some of that also from the dedicated side and the tightening driver market, as well as the recovery of volumes in some of our omni-channel business. We feel that upside is there. None of that $250 million is sitting in that guidance that we have provided for 2026. We're excited about that. If any of that does start to materialize this year, then that'll be upside to what we've provided. Finally, on all that, you've got growth opportunities. Just general growth in the market. We haven't even quantified that here.

Just being able to grow our Supply Chain, dedicated, and Lease business at a healthy growth rate. Right now, Supply Chain is expected to grow 3% in 2026, but our target is really that should be growing at low double digits. FMS and dedicated should be growing at, well, FMS at mid-single digits and dedicated growing at high single digits. Right now, the only growth we have is Supply Chain at a 3% growth for next year. A lot of opportunity for growth when the market does come back. Then the last thing I wanted to hit on here was just our capital capacity, and what does this mean?

With the transformation of our business, we've really created a portfolio that is resilient, generates significant amount of cash, and has shown to be resilient in this downturn. What that means is that we're generating over a three-year period. This chart is a three-year view. We expect to generate about $10.5 billion of cash flow from operations. Right now we're operating at the low end of our leverage target. Our target is 2.5x - 3x. In 2025, we ended the year at 2.5x . This year, we're expecting to end at about 2.3x, so slightly below our target, which means we have a lot more capacity if we needed it.

That brings us to $14 billion of capital to be able to deploy into our business. Our first avenue for that deployment is going to be to replace the existing fleet. That's about $9 billion of CapEx just if on a replacement cycle. $9 billion of CapEx, half a billion of dividends. That will always be part of the use of our capital. That leaves $5 billion of flexible deployment. What do we do with the $5 billion? Well, it's gonna be two areas. One is M&A. We're gonna continue to look for strategic acquisitions that enhance our capabilities or add capabilities. Like I mentioned, tuck-in acquisitions are always a favorite. If there aren't any M&A candidates, then we're gonna be returning capital to shareholders. That's really what we've been doing over the last few years.

The M&A market, we haven't really seen anything worth buying for us. We're looking for well-run companies that really complement our business. We're not looking for fixer-uppers. For lack of that, we've been returning capital to shareholders. Last year alone, we returned over half a billion dollars. You can see here since 2021, we've returned $2.4 billion through share buybacks and dividends. We've returned average capital of 9%. Pretty significant numbers, but that's where we've been, and we're excited about what's to come. All right. I think that's it.

Brian Ossenbeck
Senior Equity Research Analyst, JPMorgan

All right, great.

Cristy Gallo-Aquino
EVP and CFO, Ryder System

Yeah.

Brian Ossenbeck
Senior Equity Research Analyst, JPMorgan

Thanks, Cristy, for providing that overview.

Cristy Gallo-Aquino
EVP and CFO, Ryder System

Yep.

Brian Ossenbeck
Senior Equity Research Analyst, JPMorgan

Been covering the company for a while, and it's still hard to believe all these changes, you know, have been enacted. Excuse me. While we used to talk about used trucks all the time, now it's a little bit different conversation.

Cristy Gallo-Aquino
EVP and CFO, Ryder System

Yes

Brian Ossenbeck
Senior Equity Research Analyst, JPMorgan

Which I think we can both appreciate.

Cristy Gallo-Aquino
EVP and CFO, Ryder System

That was the point, yes.

Brian Ossenbeck
Senior Equity Research Analyst, JPMorgan

In terms of, I mean, focus on the short term for a second, like, obviously the energy price volatility uncertainty is in the headlines, and are you seeing it in any of your businesses? How does, like, the fuel pass-through typically work in some of these contracts or in the rental? Maybe just some thoughts there to start us off.

Cristy Gallo-Aquino
EVP and CFO, Ryder System

Yep. All right, fuel for us is primarily a pass-through to our customers. On the Dedicated business and Supply Chain to the extent it has it's a fuel surcharge, right? It just gets passed through at cost plus. On the FMS side of the house, it is also, we have fueling, we have about 600 fueling locations throughout the U.S., so we are a big buyer of fuel. Our customers can fuel with us at contracted rates, but they're typically market rates. Really the fuel doesn't really impact us. We do see volatility when there are high spikes, you know, up or down, we'll see some volatility, but for the most part, it's just a pass-through for us.

Brian Ossenbeck
Senior Equity Research Analyst, JPMorgan

Okay. Anything in the portfolio of business that's, I mean, obviously higher fuel price is probably not good for consumer demand and everything else, but

Cristy Gallo-Aquino
EVP and CFO, Ryder System

Right. Right

Brian Ossenbeck
Senior Equity Research Analyst, JPMorgan

Beyond that or anything specific that you have in, from customer base or book of business that could be impacted, good or bad from this?

Cristy Gallo-Aquino
EVP and CFO, Ryder System

Yeah. Nothing specific, but it is more of just what is the impact on the overall demand, right? It's tough. Last year, I think around this time, we had a lot of positive indicators heading into the year, and then we had Liberation Day, and that kind of put the brakes on things. It almost feels like we're in the same spot this year where, you know, PMI has been up. There's been some positive indicators, but now we've got the war and the fuel prices. Cautiously looking at all that and just what the impact is gonna be overall on demand.

Brian Ossenbeck
Senior Equity Research Analyst, JPMorgan

You mentioned not much of a recovery in the guidance.

Cristy Gallo-Aquino
EVP and CFO, Ryder System

That's right.

Brian Ossenbeck
Senior Equity Research Analyst, JPMorgan

Maybe it's not a bad thing considering what happened here, but you did mention last year kind of in a similar position. We do have two PMI positive prints, truckload rates starting to move up.

Cristy Gallo-Aquino
EVP and CFO, Ryder System

Mm-hmm

Brian Ossenbeck
Senior Equity Research Analyst, JPMorgan

when do those things really start to show up in, I guess, rental utilization would be the first?

Cristy Gallo-Aquino
EVP and CFO, Ryder System

Yeah

Brian Ossenbeck
Senior Equity Research Analyst, JPMorgan

place you would see it?

Cristy Gallo-Aquino
EVP and CFO, Ryder System

Mm-hmm.

Brian Ossenbeck
Senior Equity Research Analyst, JPMorgan

Is that still to be expected, or do you think there's other factors that might keep that a little bit slower?

Cristy Gallo-Aquino
EVP and CFO, Ryder System

Right. Typically, we look at spot rates. Spot rates is an indicator for us and what we've seen in our history. Again, it's hard to say whether history will always be a good predictor for this. The best I could say is, in the past, it's been about a six-month lag between when spot rates start to increase and we see a meaningful recovery in rental demand. That's the biggest, you know, the biggest area. I think some of the other indicators that you mentioned, for example, PMI, those are positives for us, because industrial production is one of the big drivers. The other one is housing starts. That one is not, you know, is not up. I think that's one of the key ones for the trucking industry in general that's gonna drive demand.

Right now what we have is mixed, a mixed bag, right? You've got the spot rates increasing. That should be a positive. Housing hasn't shown. On the industrial production or PMI, you know, two straight months of over 50% is great. I think we peeled back the onion a little bit there, and it's almost like everything else is what is actually driving the PMI to be up, and it's not necessarily the housing or the construction. It's more of the data center infrastructure type. That's, you know, the tough part of using these indicators from the past to predict what's going on. Nonetheless, positive, right? We're cautiously looking at all of them. For our guidance this year, we have not factored in any meaningful recovery in rental or used vehicles.

Last year, we did have a second half recovery, right? 'Cause we all thought second half would be the year, and that didn't happen.

Brian Ossenbeck
Senior Equity Research Analyst, JPMorgan

Okay.

Cristy Gallo-Aquino
EVP and CFO, Ryder System

I think we learned our lesson after a few years of saying there's gonna be a second half recovery. We're not ready to say that again.

Brian Ossenbeck
Senior Equity Research Analyst, JPMorgan

Well, there could potentially still be one.

Cristy Gallo-Aquino
EVP and CFO, Ryder System

There could, yes.

Brian Ossenbeck
Senior Equity Research Analyst, JPMorgan

Like, in terms of figuring out the sensitivity for those two things you just mentioned, the rental and the-

Cristy Gallo-Aquino
EVP and CFO, Ryder System

Mm-hmm

Brian Ossenbeck
Senior Equity Research Analyst, JPMorgan

used vehicles. Is there any way, I mean, I think it was in the $250 million.

Cristy Gallo-Aquino
EVP and CFO, Ryder System

Right.

Brian Ossenbeck
Senior Equity Research Analyst, JPMorgan

Is there any way to put some context around, you know, point of utilization or percentage point of used vehicle prices in terms of calibrating what the sensitivity could be?

Cristy Gallo-Aquino
EVP and CFO, Ryder System

I mean, it's hard to give the sensitivity per se because it all depends on when it happens and how steep it is. What I can say is in the $250 million, if you break that down between rental and used vehicles, last year we generated about $20 million of gains from used vehicles. In a normal environment, you would expect to be around $75 million. I think it's safe to say $50 million of the $250 million is related to a used vehicle recovery, and the remaining $200 million is gonna be driven by rental. On the rental side, there's two avenues to that. First, you have our existing fleet, and last year we were operating at 70% utilization, right?

Our target utilization is typically in the mid-70s% to upper 70s%, so we still have room to grow with our existing fleet. We've even pushed utilization up into 80s% or very low 80s%, during robust markets. We've got room to use our existing fleet, and as you start to see that utilization spiking up, we're gonna be looking at it to make decisions on whether we start investing in the rental fleet. Right now, our rental fleet is down about 10,000 units from maybe a normal fleet size. We have a ways to go on growing that back and intend to do so as soon as we start to see a stable recovery, you know, multiple months of sustained, not stable, but sustained recovery.

Brian Ossenbeck
Senior Equity Research Analyst, JPMorgan

Mm-hmm.

Cristy Gallo-Aquino
EVP and CFO, Ryder System

Yeah.

Brian Ossenbeck
Senior Equity Research Analyst, JPMorgan

Well, one of the factors we're all watching now is the Class 8 truck orders.

Cristy Gallo-Aquino
EVP and CFO, Ryder System

Mm-hmm.

Brian Ossenbeck
Senior Equity Research Analyst, JPMorgan

What's the thought process behind what's driving that right now? Is it EPA 2027? Is it just higher spot rates? Maybe you can walk through how a pre-buyer, at least a more favorable-

Cristy Gallo-Aquino
EVP and CFO, Ryder System

Mm

Brian Ossenbeck
Senior Equity Research Analyst, JPMorgan

truck order environment would really impact Ryder.

Cristy Gallo-Aquino
EVP and CFO, Ryder System

Yep. All right. I think what's driving that is the cost of new vehicles is significantly higher. Forget even the technology change, right? Between aluminum and steel tariffs, as well as just tariffs, Section 232, Section 301, whatever number we want to assign to it. Tariffs in general are pushing up the price of new vehicles as well as then the impending, you know, technology changes. There's gonna be a pretty significant shift, change in the price of new vehicles, and I think that is probably driving some of the larger companies, private fleets, to make a decision at least to place the order. Maybe not for deliveries until later in the year.

Brian Ossenbeck
Senior Equity Research Analyst, JPMorgan

Mm-hmm.

Cristy Gallo-Aquino
EVP and CFO, Ryder System

It's probably driving some of that increased order activity that we're seeing. For Ryder itself, you know, we have not seen our customers making those decisions just yet. Our customers are more middle to smaller size companies, right? I think there's still a lot of hesitation on that, on that side, to make the decisions. We are pointing it all out to them to show them how much of a price increase could be coming, and I think it's sparking a lot more conversations, and people are thinking more about it now than they were before. We haven't really seen the shift to make a decision and pre-order. Our guidance does not assume any pre-order activity.

For us, that's just pushing up a sale that would've happened in 2027 into 2026, so it's just timing of when it occurs. Obviously, the sooner it occurs, we prefer it. Right now we haven't seen that commitment from the customer to make that decision.

Brian Ossenbeck
Senior Equity Research Analyst, JPMorgan

Got it.

Cristy Gallo-Aquino
EVP and CFO, Ryder System

Yeah.

Brian Ossenbeck
Senior Equity Research Analyst, JPMorgan

Another big factor in the truck market is all the regulatory focus.

Cristy Gallo-Aquino
EVP and CFO, Ryder System

Yeah

Brian Ossenbeck
Senior Equity Research Analyst, JPMorgan

and enforcement on over-the-road primarily. You know, if we do get a capacity exit in any-

Cristy Gallo-Aquino
EVP and CFO, Ryder System

Mm-hmm

Brian Ossenbeck
Senior Equity Research Analyst, JPMorgan

material amount, and there certainly seems to be more coming out.

Cristy Gallo-Aquino
EVP and CFO, Ryder System

Mm-hmm.

Brian Ossenbeck
Senior Equity Research Analyst, JPMorgan

The question we always get is, well, what happens to used vehicle prices, and how does that affect Ryder? I think there's a couple ways, different ways to look at that.

Cristy Gallo-Aquino
EVP and CFO, Ryder System

Mm-hmm.

Brian Ossenbeck
Senior Equity Research Analyst, JPMorgan

If things are getting pushed out, rates are probably going up, so that has a different impact than more used vehicles just sitting on the sidelines.

Cristy Gallo-Aquino
EVP and CFO, Ryder System

Right.

Brian Ossenbeck
Senior Equity Research Analyst, JPMorgan

There's a couple different factors there, but we'd like to hear how that scenario-

Cristy Gallo-Aquino
EVP and CFO, Ryder System

Yeah

Brian Ossenbeck
Senior Equity Research Analyst, JPMorgan

you know, would play out for you guys financially.

Cristy Gallo-Aquino
EVP and CFO, Ryder System

Yeah. No, a lot of dynamics going on there, but we do think that there's more positives that are impacting our used truck market right now than anything else. First, I'd say just the price of the new vehicle going up as significantly as it is. We've seen in history that as that new vehicle pricing goes up, it's gonna drive used vehicle pricing to increase as well. As those prices start to get realized in the market, I think we're gonna see a benefit on the used truck side. The other thing that we've seen also for the past two years is that the OEMs have been producing at, you know, less than replacement level of production. The fact that is definitely capacity coming out of the market.

We think we're finally getting to a point of equilibrium on that, and that's gonna bode well for our business. I think there's a lot of positive indicators on the used truck market side, leading to potential upside and pricing recovery. We have seen, you know, the fourth quarter, we still saw slight declines on retail pricing, but, you know, we're expecting this year to just be more of a stable environment, and that's kind of what we started the year with is a stable market environment. As far as the drivers and what's happening there, a lot of activity. I mean, at the end, we're talking about maybe 5% of the driver market coming out. Capacity tightening for the drivers is a positive for our Dedicated business.

We view that as a positive for dedicated growth. We think it's gonna push companies to go for a dedicated option because when there's lack of drivers, we have drivers. We know how to retain them, how to hire them, retain them, and we train them. You know, we think that positions us really well for the Dedicated business. As far as what happens to that driver's truck, I know a lot of discussions about what does that then mean for the used truck market. Our thoughts on that are that these drivers that are coming out of the market are primarily your long-haul, over-the-road drivers, and that's impacting more of your Class 8, particularly the sleeper tractors.

With the transformation that we've had in our business, we have actually shifted more of the business to be trucks than tractors. If you were to look at the composition of our inventory at the used truck center, maybe 40% of it is sitting in that tractor class, and even a much smaller percent of that is sleeper. Even if there was an impact on sleeper pricing, we don't think it would be a significant impact to us. At the same time, you have these dynamics around, you know, the other factors that could be driving used vehicle prices up. It's hard to say how the two are gonna work together. I think, you know, it's just hard. It's hard to predict.

Brian Ossenbeck
Senior Equity Research Analyst, JPMorgan

Mm-hmm

Cristy Gallo-Aquino
EVP and CFO, Ryder System

What it's gonna be. Net-net, we feel that for used vehicle prices, the factors are more positive.

Brian Ossenbeck
Senior Equity Research Analyst, JPMorgan

Okay. Yeah, there are certainly a lot of moving pieces there. Any questions in the audience? Excuse me, feel free to raise your hand. We'll get a mic out to you. Did have a couple of segment-related questions.

Cristy Gallo-Aquino
EVP and CFO, Ryder System

Yep

Brian Ossenbeck
Senior Equity Research Analyst, JPMorgan

In the meantime. DTS, it looks like revenue growth's a little bit lower.

Cristy Gallo-Aquino
EVP and CFO, Ryder System

Mm-hmm

Brian Ossenbeck
Senior Equity Research Analyst, JPMorgan

than the long-term target, this year at least. Maybe you can talk a little bit about is that fleet mix? Is it pricing? You know, is it growth strategy? Then, you know, we do hear a lot more mention about competition or at least others.

Cristy Gallo-Aquino
EVP and CFO, Ryder System

Mm-hmm

Brian Ossenbeck
Senior Equity Research Analyst, JPMorgan

Trying to grow into dedicated. Not all dedicated's the same, so

Cristy Gallo-Aquino
EVP and CFO, Ryder System

Yeah

Brian Ossenbeck
Senior Equity Research Analyst, JPMorgan

Would like to hear your thoughts on DTS in particular.

Cristy Gallo-Aquino
EVP and CFO, Ryder System

Right. Our Dedicated business is primarily specialized dedicated, right? Our customers require specialty handling, whether it's, like, the way we deliver or put the freight on the truck. We do concentrate on specialized dedicated. What we're seeing from a revenue growth perspective, the headwinds that we have are more about the lost business over the last few years. Our business, if you go back to pre-COVID, like 2021, you know, just before COVID, was probably about 70% specialized and I'm sorry, 80% specialized and 20% non-specialized. Well, COVID came, extreme tightness in the market. We started to get a lot more conversion of spot market to dedicated back then, and that's what drove some of the increases in our Dedicated business over those years.

What we've seen now that there was a shift back in the last two years, we started to lose those customers back to the spot market, right? That's where the dynamic has been in our business. We really, you know, focus on the specialized dedicated, and that's where we intend to continue to move forward. The headwinds that we have on the revenue growth rate are really just from that small portion of our Dedicated business that is switching between, you know, spot and market versus dedicated.

Brian Ossenbeck
Senior Equity Research Analyst, JPMorgan

Is that mostly gonna run its course the rest of this year?

Cristy Gallo-Aquino
EVP and CFO, Ryder System

Absolutely, yeah. We're expecting to be at the low end of our growth for dedicated this year, and that's gonna be through the end of this year, especially based on our pipeline and what we're seeing. Mm-hmm.

Brian Ossenbeck
Senior Equity Research Analyst, JPMorgan

On SCS, also looks like it's a little bit slower in terms of the growth.

Cristy Gallo-Aquino
EVP and CFO, Ryder System

Mm

Brian Ossenbeck
Senior Equity Research Analyst, JPMorgan

This year. I know there's the network re-optimization going on there as well, but also a lot of wins, like record number of wins-

Cristy Gallo-Aquino
EVP and CFO, Ryder System

Yes

Brian Ossenbeck
Senior Equity Research Analyst, JPMorgan

...last year. Also seems more like a transition period. Maybe you can walk through some of the puts and takes there.

Cristy Gallo-Aquino
EVP and CFO, Ryder System

Yeah. On the Supply Chain side, we've actually been very excited with our sales. Last year, we had a record number of sales, as you mentioned. Particularly in that omni-channel retail area is where we experienced some of those sales, and those startups are happening now and through the second quarter. What you're gonna see is an increasing rate of growth throughout this year, and we intend to exit the fourth quarter at our target growth rates. We're excited about what we're seeing there. 80% of our wins are all coming from existing customers, so this is where we've proven, you know, our operational excellence. We've had successful startups with our customers.

The word spreads, our reputation spreads, and, you know, they start with us by starting up one operation and are happy with what they get, and now they're expanding to additional operations that they're transitioning to us. It's been a great story.

Brian Ossenbeck
Senior Equity Research Analyst, JPMorgan

In terms of some of the other areas that I think have driven SCS or automotive, you know, in the past has been Mexico.

Cristy Gallo-Aquino
EVP and CFO, Ryder System

Mm-hmm

Brian Ossenbeck
Senior Equity Research Analyst, JPMorgan

In particular. Company's been there for quite a while.

Cristy Gallo-Aquino
EVP and CFO, Ryder System

Mm-hmm.

Brian Ossenbeck
Senior Equity Research Analyst, JPMorgan

Maybe you can elaborate on what the role is, how that's grown, and sort of what you're seeing right now, because there's also no shortage of headlines and volatility, you know, cross-border as well.

Cristy Gallo-Aquino
EVP and CFO, Ryder System

Yes. Right. As I mentioned, our operations are in North America, but we have a fairly large cross-border operation. We do over 300,000 moves a year from cross-border, whether it's Mexico or Canada. A lot of activity happening there. We primarily have concentrated, you know, historically, our supply chain business was automotive logistics. That was our core. Over the years, we've expanded to CPG and omni-channel retail, so we've expanded our industry base. Automotive still remains at the core of who we are. We have a lot of customers in Mexico that, with all the regulations and everything going on, have engaged in lots of conversations with us because they see us as a provider both in Mexico and in the U.S.

To be able to make decisions about their operations. I think a lot of those conversations, but no decisions being made. I think everyone's still waiting to understand exactly what the impact is gonna be here, and moving a manufacturing plant or operate, you know, to the U.S. is a big, costly move, and I think companies are still hesitant to make that switch. But a lot of conversations going on, and I think we're uniquely positioned because of our experience in Mexico as well as in the U.S. to help some of our customers that are trying to balance and understand which is the best decision for them. We're engaged in a lot of those consulting engagements with them.

Brian Ossenbeck
Senior Equity Research Analyst, JPMorgan

Can you talk a little bit more about technology and how you're applying it across different areas of Ryder? I mean, you got a lot of different initiatives. You bought Baton and brought them in-house.

Cristy Gallo-Aquino
EVP and CFO, Ryder System

Yep.

Brian Ossenbeck
Senior Equity Research Analyst, JPMorgan

Like, there's always been quite a few things to talk about with technology and Ryder. What's kind of being implemented right now?

Cristy Gallo-Aquino
EVP and CFO, Ryder System

Yep.

Brian Ossenbeck
Senior Equity Research Analyst, JPMorgan

Like, what are you excited about in the next couple years?

Cristy Gallo-Aquino
EVP and CFO, Ryder System

Yeah, no, we have a lot of technology projects going on, and I'd start first by talking about our customer-facing technology. We have two key products there. The first one is RyderShare, which is used primarily in our supply chain business, and it provides our customers with visibility and the tools that they need to see where their freight is at any point in time. Right now, we're working on embedding AI into that technology. It's the next phase of RyderShare, embedding AI so that now our customers will be able to see AI ETAs of their freight. They'd be able to optimize their freight a little bit better and make different decisions that they didn't have access to before. Baton is one of the, you know, is a company. I always say it's a company.

It was technology experts that we hired and work out of California, and it's the engine out there that is feeding all these enhancements to our existing technology. Right now, their focus is to enable it with AI. The second part of our customer-facing technology is on the FMS, the leasing side, where we have RyderGyde. It's a fleet management tool that we have that provides them the ability to schedule appointments and see the status of their fleet at any point in time. Right now, we are embedding AI into that tool to be able to allow them to optimize the mix of the fleet that they have. You know, so are you using the right asset for the right application? That's the next phase of that technology.

Other technology that we're deploying, you know, we have a RyderVentures fund that we invest in different companies, or we get to see a lot of different companies, and that always keeps us at the forefront of what's next and what's happening. As you can imagine, there is a lot going on, whether it's AI, automation in the warehouse, robotics. You know, there's a lot of activity, and we're uniquely positioned to be able to use these companies that we've made investments in to test their technology in our warehouses or with our customers. That allows us to decide if we're gonna continue with that technology and also helps us see the next wave, the wave of the future, and how we can make better decisions for our customers when we are engineering their Supply Chain Solution. Really excited about that.

We invested in one company called HappyRobot.

Brian Ossenbeck
Senior Equity Research Analyst, JPMorgan

Mm-hmm.

Cristy Gallo-Aquino
EVP and CFO, Ryder System

It's helping us right now with our brokerage business, and you call, and you're actually speaking to, you know, the robot. It's going through there and making decisions on loads and matching customers, negotiating rates and what have you. It's pretty impressive. You can't even tell you're speaking to the robot. I'm sure all of you have had some experience with that, but it's pretty impressive. The last phase of technology is just maximizing the tools we already use, but making sure we understand what AI enablement they have and how that can help. We're seeing opportunities there for our call centers to be able to, you know, just run our call centers more efficiently.

Also looking at diagnostic tools for our technicians, you know, to be able to assess what's going on with the trucks. A lot of opportunities. I think we're still in the early phases. You know, I don't wanna oversell it. It's early, and there's a lot to be explored there, but we're definitely at the forefront. With Baton in-house, it's, you know, an amazing capability we have to be able to leverage them and maximize the existing technology we've got.

Brian Ossenbeck
Senior Equity Research Analyst, JPMorgan

Okay. Well, we covered a lot of ground, but we are out of time.

Cristy Gallo-Aquino
EVP and CFO, Ryder System

Okay.

Brian Ossenbeck
Senior Equity Research Analyst, JPMorgan

That's a good place to end, though. Thanks very much, Cristy, for the update.

Cristy Gallo-Aquino
EVP and CFO, Ryder System

Thank you.

Brian Ossenbeck
Senior Equity Research Analyst, JPMorgan

Appreciate you being here.

Cristy Gallo-Aquino
EVP and CFO, Ryder System

All right. Thanks, everyone.

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