RBC Bearings Incorporated (RBC)
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Earnings Call: Q4 2018

May 30, 2018

Operator

Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Q4 2018 RBC Bearings earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Later, we will conduct a question-and-answer session, and instructions will be given at that time. If anyone should require operator assistance during the conference, please press star then zero on your telephone keypad. As a reminder, today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the call over to Chris Donovan with the Alpha IR Group. You may begin.

Chris Donovan
AVP, Alpha IR Group

Good morning, and thank you for joining us for RBC Bearings fiscal 2018 fourth quarter earnings conference call. With me on the call today are Dr. Michael J. Hartnett, Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer, and Daniel A. Bergeron, Vice President, Chief Financial Officer, and Chief Operating Officer. Before beginning today's call, let me remind you that some of the statements made today will be forward-looking and are made under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Actual results may differ materially from those projected or implied due to a variety of factors. We refer you to RBC Bearings' recent filings with the SEC for a more detailed discussion of the risks that could impact the company's future operating results and financial condition. These factors are also described in greater detail in the press release and on the company's website.

In addition, reconciliation between GAAP and non-GAAP financial information is included as part of the release and is available on the company's website. Now I'll turn the call over to Dr. Hartnett.

Michael J. Hartnett
Chairman, President, and CEO, RBC Bearings

Thank you and good morning. Net sales for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2018 were $179.9 million versus $160.2 million for the same period last year, a 12.3% increase. Excluding the surge in Canada sales from last year, organic growth for the quarter was 13.5% and 10% for the full fiscal year 2018. For the fourth fiscal quarter of 2018, sales of industrial products represented 40% of our net sales, with aerospace products at 60%. Gross margin for the fourth quarter fiscal 2018 was $69.7 million or 38.8% of net sales. This compares to $63.2 million or 39.5% for the same period last year, a 10.3% increase. On a full-year basis, gross margin as a percentage of net sales in fiscal 2018 was 38.2% compared to an adjusted 37.9% for the same period last year. Adjusted operating income was $38.3 million versus $34.4 million last year, an 11.5% increase.

On a full-year basis, fiscal 2018 ended at $136.1 million adjusted or 20.2% of net sales compared to $121.4 million or 19.7% of net sales operating income. Clearly, this was a nice quarter for the company and an excellent year all around. Industrial products showed a 26.4% year-over-year growth rate, and we continue to see strong overall demand for these products. Industrial OEM was up 29.9%, and distribution and aftermarket was up 19% on a year-over-year basis. Mining, oil and gas, semiconductor machinery, machine tool, and general industrial equipment continued to demonstrate exceptional strength during the period. On the aerospace and defense side, the fourth quarter net sales were up 6.7%, a normalized revenues generated by Canada last year. This was mainly driven by OEM. Aero and defense OEM was up 9.1% on an organic basis.

We see our aerospace volumes building through subsequent quarters as we add additional capacity, floor space, equipment, and staff. This is in order to support expansion in volumes driven by new contracts as well as the additional airframe and engine builds scheduled for the coming years. There's no question that our aerospace margins were impacted this quarter by startup expenses related to new programs being introduced at several facilities in both the airframe and engine product segment. The impact here was approximately 0.5%+, probably larger, and will likely continue for the next few quarters as these programs are assimilated, tooled, and brought to maturity. Another 0.5 + was mix-related as aftermarket spares volume was lower than normal.

This aftermarket demand can ebb and flow quarter to quarter, but it's expected to strengthen as a result of the new defense bill with increased spending budgeted for repairs and readiness. Regarding our first quarter, we are expecting sales over the period to be between $171 million and $174 million compared to $160.8 million last year, net of Canada, an increase of 6.8%-8.7%. I'll now turn the call over to Dan, who'll give you more detail on our financial performance.

Daniel A. Bergeron
VP, CFO, and COO, RBC Bearings

Okay. Thanks, Mike. SG&A for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2018 was $29.6 million compared to $26.2 million for the same period last year. The increase was mainly due to higher personnel costs of $2.2 million, $0.3 million of additional incentive stock compensation, and $0.9 million of other items. As a percentage of net sales, SG&A was 16.4% for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2018 compared to 16.4% for the same period last year. Other operating expense for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2018 was expense of $2.2 million compared to expense of $2.6 million for the same period last year. For the fourth quarter of fiscal 2018, other operating expenses were comprised mainly of $2.3 million in amortization of intangible assets offset by $0.1 million of other items.

Other operating expense for the same period last year consisted mainly of $2.4 million in amortization of intangible assets and $0.2 million of other items. Operating income was $37.9 million for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2018 compared to operating income of $34.4 million for the same period in fiscal 2017. On an adjusted basis, operating income would have been $38.3 million for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2018. Adjusted operating income as a percentage of net sales would have been 21.3% for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2018 compared to 21.5% for the same period last year. For the full year of fiscal 2018, adjusted operating income was 20.2% of net sales compared to 19.7% for the same period last year. For the fourth quarter of fiscal 2018, the company reported net income of $26.7 million compared to net income of $21.6 million for the same period last year.

On an adjusted basis, net income would have been $26.4 million for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2018 compared to net income of $21.6 million for the same period last year. Diluted earnings per share was $1.09 per share for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2018 compared to $0.90 per share for the same period last year. On an adjusted basis, diluted EPS for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2018 was $1.08 per share compared to adjusted diluted EPS of $0.90 per share for the same period last year, a 20% growth rate. Turning to cash flow, the company generated $37.8 million in cash from operating activities and spent $7.4 million in capital expenditures in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2018 compared to $26.7 million for the same period last year.

For the full year fiscal 2018, the company generated $130.3 million in cash from operating activities and spent $30 million on capital expenditures. In the fourth quarter of fiscal 2018, the company paid down $25.1 million of debt, and for the full year fiscal 2018, the company paid down $98.2 million of debt, and ended the year with $54.2 million of cash on hand compared to $38.9 million of cash on hand for the same period last year. I'll now turn the call over to the operator to begin the Q&A session.

Operator

Thank you, sir. Ladies and gentlemen, if you have a question at this time, please press star then the number one key on your telephone keypad. If your question has been answered or you wish to remove yourself from the queue, please press the pound key. To prevent any background noise, we ask that you please place your line on mute once your question has been stated. Our first question comes from the line of Kristine Liwag from Bank of America. Your line is now open.

Kristine Liwag
Equity Research Analyst, Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Hey, good morning, guys.

Operator

Kristine?

Michael J. Hartnett
Chairman, President, and CEO, RBC Bearings

Good morning, Kristine.

Kristine Liwag
Equity Research Analyst, Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Mike, you mentioned a few headwinds in the quarter in commercial aerospace, but I thought that with your significantly higher content on the MAX and NEO, the revenues would have been higher in the quarter than they were. With the announced production rates from Boeing and Airbus, are you at the volume that you expected to be, or is there something going on in the supply chain, either with inventory in the pipeline, that's preventing you from being at the volume that you had expected to be?

Michael J. Hartnett
Chairman, President, and CEO, RBC Bearings

Well, the MAX is really in its early production phases, ase press the pound key. To prevent any background noise, we ask that you please place your line on mute once your question has been stated. Our first question comes from the line of Kristine Liwag from Bank of America. Your line is now open.

So during this quarter, one of our plants was asked to develop and design and deliver over 50 new products for the 777X, and there's just a big acceleration at Boeing on that ship. And so, of course, we had to put everybody on it and turn the plant upside down and move heaven and earth. And needless to say, this does not have a positive impact on production efficiency when your plant is focused on making 50-plus samples. So I think we delivered 45 of the 50-plus during the quarter, and we have a few left this quarter to finish, and we'll be through that phase. But we had one plant that was really distracted as a result of that, and I think we chose the right priority to get on that ship and take care of that customer, and so we did.

That was one example of some of the startup expenses that we had, and we have similar examples in two other plants where we're starting up other programs, which I can talk about.

Kristine Liwag
Equity Research Analyst, Bank of America Merrill Lynch

I see. And so as these samples tail off and as initial lots transition to mature production, how should we think about gross margins into fiscal year 2019? Does this mean that fiscal year 2019 should see gross margin expansion of greater than one percentage point?

Michael J. Hartnett
Chairman, President, and CEO, RBC Bearings

Well, if we were through the production startup on some of these projects, that would certainly be the case, but we're not going to be through the production startup. I mean, we have another we're expanding two other plants to accommodate some of the business that we've been contracted on structural components. And so I think the startup will be those plants are both in the United States and in Mexico, so I think the startup of those programs is going to also have some impact on us through the quarter through the fiscal year. I'm thinking probably it's going to be the bite is probably going to be at least 0.5 during the fiscal year as we ramp up these volumes. But the volumes are significant. We're going to basically triple revenues between now and 2022.

We expect these revenues to be in the low eight figures, and so we're applying manpower and capital and talent to put in these production systems. So I think the bite will be about 0.5% going forward next year.

Kristine Liwag
Equity Research Analyst, Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Is that 0.5% incremental to the fiscal year 2018 numbers, or is that already included in the fiscal year 2018 numbers?

Michael J. Hartnett
Chairman, President, and CEO, RBC Bearings

Yeah, that's included in the fiscal 2018 numbers. So I think you can use fiscal 2018 as a baseline. All right. Where we normally try to expand our margin a percentage point a year, I think now we're probably going to say, "Okay, we're going to expand it a percentage point a year, but back it off to a half a percentage point because we have startups on these various programs.

Kristine Liwag
Equity Research Analyst, Bank of America Merrill Lynch

I see. That makes sense. And then if I could squeeze in one more question, can you discuss the effects of higher steel prices in your business? Is that relevant or not relevant? Is that a pass-through cost, or can you increase pricing to adjust?

Michael J. Hartnett
Chairman, President, and CEO, RBC Bearings

Yeah, it's kind of mix and match. I mean, in some cases, we have contracts where we've negotiated a collar, and so if the material moves ±5% from some baseline, we can debit or credit accordingly. In some cases where we don't have that collar, the material component of the cost is very low, so it's just not administratively worthwhile to worry about the collar. And in some cases, we've made extensive material buys and brought in material early, before these tariffs, and so we have sort of a cache of material that'll at least last us through next year.

Kristine Liwag
Equity Research Analyst, Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Great. Thank you very much.

Michael J. Hartnett
Chairman, President, and CEO, RBC Bearings

Yep.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Pete Skibitski from Drexel Hamilton. Your line is now open.

Pete Skibitski
Equity Research Analyst, Drexel Hamilton

Good morning, guys. Nice to hear.

Operator

Thank you, Pete.

Pete Skibitski
Equity Research Analyst, Drexel Hamilton

Hey, Dan, would you be able to give us the full year EBIT by segment for fiscal 2018?

Daniel A. Bergeron
VP, CFO, and COO, RBC Bearings

Yeah, Pete, I just don't have it in front of me, but we'll be filing the 10-K in about three hours, so you'll have it.

Pete Skibitski
Equity Research Analyst, Drexel Hamilton

Okay, great, great. You guys win an award for speedy 10-K filing there. Hey, Mike, when you were talking about the tripling of revenue to 2022 to the low eight figures, was that specifically sort of moving from 777 to 777X? I wasn't quite sure what you were referencing.

Michael J. Hartnett
Chairman, President, and CEO, RBC Bearings

No, that has more to do with structural components for all the ships.

Pete Skibitski
Equity Research Analyst, Drexel Hamilton

Specifically for structural components as opposed to bearings?

Michael J. Hartnett
Chairman, President, and CEO, RBC Bearings

Well, structural components with bearings. We like to make sure that they have bearings with them. So all these structural components have bearings.

Pete Skibitski
Equity Research Analyst, Drexel Hamilton

Okay, okay, gotcha. And then just was wondering if we could do some housekeeping. Maybe your expectations in fiscal 2019 for CapEx and D&A, and wasn't sure if you gave tax rate or not either.

Daniel A. Bergeron
VP, CFO, and COO, RBC Bearings

Yeah, on CapEx, we'll still be in that 3%-4% range, and we'll probably be spending a little more money in fiscal 2019 than we did in 2018 because we're building out a few more plants to handle the capacity that's coming toward us. On the depreciation, we'll be running around $7.7 million a quarter. That's depreciation and amortization.

Pete Skibitski
Equity Research Analyst, Drexel Hamilton

Okay, great, great. And the tax, excuse me, the tax rate?

Daniel A. Bergeron
VP, CFO, and COO, RBC Bearings

22%.

Pete Skibitski
Equity Research Analyst, Drexel Hamilton

22%, okay, great, great. Okay. And then, Mike, just to close it out, on A&D overall, you've grown kind of low single digits the last couple of years, but it sounds like you're implying that the best of the narrowbody ramp for sure is ahead of you, and we've got this fiscal 2018 defense bill signed as well. So does it make sense to think that on the A&D side, you'll be accelerating in terms of growth the next couple of years?

Michael J. Hartnett
Chairman, President, and CEO, RBC Bearings

Yeah, I would expect so. I mean, we have some really, really good programs that are lined up in our inbound, which is one of the reasons right now we're going through expansions in four plants. We probably should be working on 6, but how much can you work on at once, right?

Pete Skibitski
Equity Research Analyst, Drexel Hamilton

Yeah, understood.

Michael J. Hartnett
Chairman, President, and CEO, RBC Bearings

Right. So yeah, I think there's these new engines are very important to us, and of course, the build numbers on the LEAP and the geared turbofan are basically low. I mean, they really haven't hit their mature numbers. They start to hit those mature numbers in this year, and 2019 and 2020, they become very perky. So those are important engines to us, and we have good content in those places. And also, we've been advised that a major European engine builder has selected us to be a supplier of some major components beginning in 2020. So I think we'll probably be expanding our plant in Poland a little bit once we take care of the U.S. and Mexico to accommodate some contracts over there. So our content on these engines and on these airframes is going up.

Pete Skibitski
Equity Research Analyst, Drexel Hamilton

That's great, that's great. And I've been struggling to think about the industrial side as well because you had explosive growth here in fiscal 2018, but the PMIs that you talk about a lot are still fairly high. With the more difficult comp, does the growth slow down, or are things just still so good out there that we can maybe still do double-digit type of growth in industrial? How are you thinking about that?

Michael J. Hartnett
Chairman, President, and CEO, RBC Bearings

Industrial is because of the way industrial works, there's so many different sectors that we're servicing. You have to be a Bernanke-level economist to figure out what the future's going to hold. We try to make sure that we have the capacity that our customers require, and right now, we're definitely taxing our capacity. If it slowed down to the low double digits, it might be a good thing.

Pete Skibitski
Equity Research Analyst, Drexel Hamilton

Got it. Got it, very good. Appreciate the call, guys. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. And ladies and gentlemen, as a reminder, if you have a question at this time, please press the star and then the number one key on your telephone keypad. If your question has been answered or you wish to remove yourself from the queue, please press the pound key. And again, to prevent any background noise, we ask that you please place your line on mute once your question has been stated. Our next question comes from the line of George Godfrey from C.L. King. Your line is now open.

George Godgfrey
Equity Research Analyst, CL King

Thank you. Good morning, Michael and Dan. Nice quarter and finish to the year.

Daniel A. Bergeron
VP, CFO, and COO, RBC Bearings

Thank you.

George Godgfrey
Equity Research Analyst, CL King

I just wanted to drill down on that industrial. The aerospace is very clear with the build rates of Airbus and Boeing, and you highlighted that. On that industrial segment, if we can go into the mining, oil and gas, or machinery or segments that are, do you see trends that are specifically benefiting now that perhaps won't continue in the future? Are there projects, larger-scale projects? I just would like to get a little more granularity on the 26%. I would not think that that is sustainable as such a strong growth number, so I'm just wondering if there are moving pieces that you can see that are visible today before the Bernanke Ph.D. Thanks.

Daniel A. Bergeron
VP, CFO, and COO, RBC Bearings

Well, I'll let Dan answer that one. So George, in that segment, we have, as Mike talked about, oil and gas, construction, mining, general industrial, and on general industrial, it just goes all over the industrial complex in the U.S. and in Europe, and then we have our collet business in Europe. So all of them are behaving very nicely. I think, as Mike said, six months into the year, the comps are going to get more difficult, right, because we had a really good year this year on the industrial side. But other items that are in our industrial segment would be submarine, and so we're going to see some nice growth on the Virginia and the Columbia subs coming in two to three years from now. So that's a nice growth story that we'll continue to see.

And the military vehicles, where we're just starting to see some good activity from the Department of Defense on new builds and repair work on military vehicles. So I think on the industrial side, right now, oil and gas has been really strong, and we think that's going to continue. And I think for us on mining, we're always talking about large hauling trucks for Caterpillar, Komatsu, Liebherr, folks like that, and I think that's continuing to go in the right direction.

George Godgfrey
Equity Research Analyst, CL King

Great. Thank you for taking my question.

Pete Skibitski
Equity Research Analyst, Drexel Hamilton

Yeah, we have one other sector that we can talk about, and that is there's just an awful lot going on in China, building out the rail complex for high-speed trains and for city trams. And so our products for those systems are very well accepted, and to the extent that we've had to build out an office in Shanghai with engineering and customer service people this year in order to support that network of demand. And also, mapping across that is our machine tool business, and now our largest consumers of machine tool products is China, and the growth there seems to be and the acceptance of our products seems to be extremely good. And so the mechanism that's driving the economy over there, if anybody has a good idea of where the Chinese economy's going, we're going with it.

George Godgfrey
Equity Research Analyst, CL King

Understood. Thank you for the commentary on the color.

Operator

I'm showing no further questions at this time. I would now like to turn the call back to Dr. Hartnett for closing remarks.

Pete Skibitski
Equity Research Analyst, Drexel Hamilton

Okay, well, thanks, everyone, for participating in the call today, and we look forward to speaking again in the midsummer. Good day.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for participating in today's conference. This does conclude the program, and you may all disconnect. Everyone, have a great day.

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