RBC Bearings Incorporated (RBC)
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Earnings Call: Q3 2016

Feb 3, 2016

Operator

Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the RBC Bearings Q3 2016 earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Later, there will be a question-and-answer session, and instructions will follow at that time. If during the conference you do need operator assistance, please press star then zero on your telephone keypad. As a reminder to our audience, this conference is being recorded. Now, I would like to turn the call over to Mike Cummings with the Alpha IR Group. You have the floor, sir.

Mike Cummings
Partner, President, and General Manager, Alpha IR Group

Good morning, and thank you for joining us for RBC Bearings' fiscal 2016 third quarter earnings conference call. With me on the call today are Dr. Michael J. Hartnett, Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer, and Daniel Bergeron, Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. Before beginning today's call, let me remind you that some of the statements made today will be forward-looking and are made under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Actual results may differ materially from those projected or implied due to a variety of factors. We refer you to RBC Bearings' recent filings with the SEC for a more detailed discussion of the risks that could impact the company's future operating results and financial condition. These factors are also described in greater detail in the press release and on the company's website.

In addition, reconciliation between GAAP and non-GAAP financial information is included as part of the release and is available on the company's website. Now, I'll turn the call over to Dr. Hartnett.

Michael J. Hartnett
Chairman, President, and CEO, RBC Bearings

Thank you, Mike, and good morning, everyone, and welcome. Net sales for our third quarter fiscal 2016 were $144.2 million versus $106.3 million for the same period last year, a 35.6% increase. Our aerospace markets increased 67% on a year-over-year basis, and our industrial markets were down 0.7%. For the third quarter fiscal 2016, sales of industrial products represented 34% of our net sales, and aerospace products were at 66%. Adjusted gross margin for the third quarter fiscal 2016 was $54.1 million, or 37.5%, compared to $41.7 million, or 39.2% for the same period last year. On a year-to-date basis, adjusted gross margin percentage of sales for the third quarter fiscal 2016 was 38%, compared to 38.9% for the same period last year.

The reduction is principally the result of adding the Sargent businesses to the consolidation and a little bit of mix shift in the RBC core business. We are methodically implementing RBC's manufacturing philosophy and methods into the new facilities and expect to see improving margin performance over the next three years. To be specific, the improvement will come from four sources. Number one, insourcing Sargent purchases to RBC plants. Number two, improvement of planning and manufacturing methods at the Sargent plants. Number three, mix management through pricing and tailoring. And number four, continued improvements of RBC core gross margins resulting from maturing process projects on process design and methods. Our markets for industrial products, so an expansion of 6.1%, demand was mixed. Strong for marine products, steady and slightly up for general industrial products. Those are non-oil and gas and mining products.

As expected, weak in the oil/gas mining sectors. The oil and mining markets now represent less than 4% of our consolidated revenues. The strategy in this regard is to maintain a state of technical readiness to support increased requirements once these markets inevitably normalize and our allies, the Saudis, run out of money. In this regard, we continue to work on expanding our offering and creating new patentable designs in these areas. Relative to our aerospace business, sales were up 67% on a year-over-year basis for the quarter. Aerospace OEM was 73.6%, and aerospace distribution and aftermarket increased 38.8%. We are more than pleased with the continued strength of these markets in our expanding product positions, both in airframe and in engines. During the quarter, we saw strength from aerospace distribution marketplace, and at the end of the quarter, strengthening from the aerospace OEMs.

I'll explain our theory on this in a minute. I'm sure everyone has heard the Boeing news on aircraft deliveries, calendar year 2015 versus calendar year 2016. In calendar year 2015, Boeing delivered 762 aircraft, about the number they built in 2015. In calendar year 2016, they planned to deliver 740-745 planes. Today, their Skyline chart shows a build rate of 773 planes in calendar year 2016, followed by 808 planes in calendar year 2017, a 4.5% increase. Although the year-to-year build rate is a little better in calendar 2016 versus calendar 2015, deliveries are less than production because of certification requirements needed to release the 737 MAX ships, notwithstanding today's Wall Street Journal article on the subject. Another step up in production and delivery is planned for calendar year 2018. As this relates to RBC, our products lead aircraft builds by approximately six months.

We expect to see this step up in demand for RBC product deliveries in our second quarter beginning July. But of course, the actual production of the product takes place in our plants months sooner. Hence, the demand increases we saw late third quarter as many of these products have a 24-30-week lead time. This is because of special materials and extensive certified processing requirements with selected vendors. As we see it, demand increase late in the most recent quarterly period was a harbinger of Boeing calendar year 2017 production requirements, which is a completely normal occurrence. We expect to see continued strengthening from this sector as both the major plane builders increase production rates, and Airbus brings the A350 production rate from 15 ships in calendar year 2015 to 60 ships in calendar year 2017, with a goal of 13 ships per month after 2018.

We have considerable content per ship on this aircraft. Airbus rates go from 738 ships in 2016 to 820 ships in 2017, a 12% increase driven primarily by the A320neo. So let's talk a little bit about our last fiscal quarter, the January, February, and March period that we're in now. As always, this quarter is a big, big one for us. We are working hard with our new companies on planning, execution, forecasting, and consistency. They still have a ways to go to the levels we expect within RBC. But with that said, we are expecting to see sales in the fourth quarter in the neighborhood of $159 million-$162 million, compared to $113.4 million last year. I'll now turn the call over to Dan, who provided more detail on the financial performance.

Daniel A. Bergeron
VP and CFO, RBC Bearings

Thanks, Mike. SG&A for the third quarter of fiscal 2016 was $23.9 million, compared to $19.3 million for the same period last year. As percentage of net sales, SG&A was 16.5% for the third quarter of fiscal 2016, compared to 18.1% for the same period last year. Excluding the impact of Sargent acquisition of $4.3 million, SG&A year-over-year increased $0.3 million, which was, mainly due to, $400,000 in stock compensation expense, $200,000 in personnel expense, and a cost reduction of $300,000. Other operating expenses for the third quarter of fiscal 2016 was expense of $2.6 million, compared to expense of $1.8 million for the same period last year. For the third quarter fiscal 2016, other operating expenses were comprised of $2.5 million in amortization of intangibles and $0.1 million in miscellaneous expenses.

Operating income was $27.1 million for the third quarter fiscal 2016, compared to operating income of $20.6 million for the same period last year. On an adjusted basis, operating income would have been $27.6 million for the third quarter fiscal 2016, compared to $22.2 million for the same period last year. Adjusted operating income, as a percentage of net sales, would have been 19.2% for the third quarter of fiscal 2016, compared to 20.9% for the same period last year. For the third quarter fiscal 2016, the company reported net income of $17 million, compared to net income of $14.1 million for the same period last year. On an adjusted basis, net income would have been $17.3 million for the third quarter of fiscal 2016, compared to net income of $14.4 million for the same period last year, a growth rate of 19.7%.

Diluted earnings per share was $0.73 per share for the third quarter fiscal 2016, compared to $0.60 per share for the same period last year. On an adjusted basis, diluted earnings per share for the third quarter fiscal 2016 was $0.73 per share, compared to diluted EPS of $0.62 per share for the same period last year, and that's a 17.7% growth rate. Turning to cash flow, the company generated $21.5 million in cash from operating activities in the third quarter fiscal 2016, compared to $17.7 million for the same period last year. Capital expenditures were $4.8 million in the third quarter fiscal 2016, compared to $4.4 million for the same period last year. In the third quarter fiscal 2016, the company paid down $17.5 million of debt and repurchased $2.8 million of company stock.

For the nine-month period, the company paid down $42.9 million of debt and repurchased $10.5 million of company stock. The company ended the third quarter fiscal 2016 with $44.4 million of cash on the balance sheet. I'd now like to turn the call back to the operator to begin the Q&A session.

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, at this time, if you would like to ask a question over the phone lines, please press star, then one on your telephone keypad. As a friendly reminder to our audience, we would like to ask that our analysts please ask one preliminary and one follow-up. Again, to our audience, that is star, then one to ask a question. Our first question comes to the line of Steve Barger with KeyBanc Capital Markets. Your line is now open. Please go ahead.

Ken Newman
VP and Equity Research Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets

Hey, good morning. It's Ken Newman on for Steve. Quick question for you. You know, we heard from another bearings company this morning that basically every industrial end market is expected to be flattened down in calendar 2016. Would you agree with that? And do you expect the next two quarters to be much weaker than the following two?

Michael J. Hartnett
Chairman, President, and CEO, RBC Bearings

We only see the weakness in, you know, oil, gas, and mining. The other sectors are flattened up a little bit.

Ken Newman
VP and Equity Research Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets

Got it. You know, it was kind of interesting to hear you talk about the demand for aerospace. Could you give a little bit of color about how you're holding on to aero despite what was choppy aftermarket activity in the last quarter but saw some significant increase this quarter? And where did you see any content wins out of that aerospace segment this quarter?

Michael J. Hartnett
Chairman, President, and CEO, RBC Bearings

Yeah. Well, I mean, yeah, the content wins on the OEM side. It's, you know, these are products that we've been working on for years, because it just takes that long. That's the cycle to design a new ship. So for the A320neo and the 737 MAX and the A350 and the 787, you know, we have lots of new content on those ships. And, you know, we were sort of in the right place at the right time with our engineers for the past number of years. So we're very, as those ships, as those numbers, production numbers come up on those ships, it's gonna be very good for us.

Ken Newman
VP and Equity Research Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets

Got it. And then I guess just a follow-on, could you, could you maybe address just Aftermarket activity that you saw in this quarter versus the last quarter?

Michael J. Hartnett
Chairman, President, and CEO, RBC Bearings

Yeah. Sequential quarters. I'll let Dan. He's got all the numbers in front of him on that sheet, so I'll let him handle that question.

Daniel A. Bergeron
VP and CFO, RBC Bearings

Yeah, sequential for total aerospace aftermarket, we're up 3.1% quarter-over-quarter.

Ken Newman
VP and Equity Research Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets

Any color as to, you know, what, what's driving? I know the market's been choppy in that part of the business. Is that driven by anything in particular, or is that just a continuation of trends?

Michael J. Hartnett
Chairman, President, and CEO, RBC Bearings

You know, I think there's been a lot of management changes in that sector. So I think the new management in several of those companies has now settled in, has some time in grade, and has decided exactly what they wanna do to run the company and are backplacing their orders again, you know, which we saw a little void there as those management changes were taking place.

Ken Newman
VP and Equity Research Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets

Great. I'll jump back in queue.

Operator

Thank you. As a reminder to our audience, if you would like to ask a question over the phone lines, please press star and then one on your telephone keypad. Again, to our audience, that is star and then one to ask a question. We have a follow-up question from the line of Steve Barger with KeyBanc Capital Markets. Your line is now open. Please go ahead.

Ken Newman
VP and Equity Research Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets

Hey, gentlemen. Sorry. Just a couple more follow-ups here. You know, we're expecting some details out of the defense budget. It's likely to be announced next week. Could you talk a little bit about programs that, you know, both legacy RBC has been on as well as Sargent that plays that may or may not play a big role for, you know, out-year revenue as we start to think about those programs coming to fruition?

Michael J. Hartnett
Chairman, President, and CEO, RBC Bearings

Yeah, you know, I don't have any prepared notes in front of me, so I'm sort of speaking from memory here. But certainly, we have our eye on the Ohio replacement submarine, an important system for us. We have our eye on the Joint Strike Fighter, another important system for us. We'd like to see the Apache helicopters, you know, the repair and rebuilding rate of Apache helicopters step up, and I think that's probably inevitable. And the same thing with some of the Boeing helicopters, and the same thing with the Black Hawks. So, those sort of are some of our key air programs and our marine programs. And certainly, on the ground defense side, you know, we're looking at what's happening there with future planning for the MRAPs and the Bradleys and the Strykers.

Ken Newman
VP and Equity Research Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets

Got it. And I guess kinda going back to the helicopter side, I think last quarter you said you mentioned some lumpiness in the timing of some deliveries. Has that kinda carried over to this quarter, or is that still kind of in limbo in terms of just waiting in the timing of deliveries for that type of program?

Michael J. Hartnett
Chairman, President, and CEO, RBC Bearings

Yeah, I don't exactly recall what we said in the last conference on helicopters. I would say that the military helicopter market as well as the commercial helicopter market is sort of at a low ebb right now. I mean, it's still a strong performer in our portfolio, but it's down slightly from what it is with a normalized period. So, you know, I think right now we're suffering through the Bill Clinton years. You know, this is sort of a déjà vu of the Bill Clinton administration. So there's a lot of money that has to be spent on readiness for these systems, and I think it's inevitable that money's gonna be spent.

Ken Newman
VP and Equity Research Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets

Very helpful. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes to the line of Larry Pfeffer with Avondale Partners. Your line is now open. Please go ahead.

Larry Pfeffer
VP and Senior Research Analyst, Avondale Partners

Good morning, guys.

Michael J. Hartnett
Chairman, President, and CEO, RBC Bearings

Good morning, Larry.

Larry Pfeffer
VP and Senior Research Analyst, Avondale Partners

So just trying to walk through both segments looking out here across calendar 2016. I appreciated the help there going through the build rates with Boeing. Yeah, looking at growth rates for the aerospace segment across the year, would you kind of expect it to be kinda low single digit in the first half, it ramping up into mid to high single in the back half?

Michael J. Hartnett
Chairman, President, and CEO, RBC Bearings

I think that's a fair characterization. Yeah. It might be a little bit stronger in the first half, but let's go with the low single digit.

Larry Pfeffer
VP and Senior Research Analyst, Avondale Partners

And then on the industrial side, now that you have oil and mining down to 4%, you know, are you thinking, you know, kinda low single digit to flattish, kinda bumping up a little bit sequentially across the year?

Michael J. Hartnett
Chairman, President, and CEO, RBC Bearings

Yeah. I think it's flattish. We're not.

Larry Pfeffer
VP and Senior Research Analyst, Avondale Partners

Okay.

Michael J. Hartnett
Chairman, President, and CEO, RBC Bearings

We're not expecting any resurgence there, certainly on the mining side. And, you know, oil, you know, we expect oil will come back like a stampeding stallion, when it comes. It's gonna come hard. I think the industry's expecting that.

Larry Pfeffer
VP and Senior Research Analyst, Avondale Partners

Gotcha. And then, you know, as we see transition from the legacy 737 to the MAX, any impact on your guys' mix, you know, on the gross margin side as that switches over?

Michael J. Hartnett
Chairman, President, and CEO, RBC Bearings

No. It's we just pick up a considerable amount of volume on that side, because of you know the new design of the MAX and the fact that it's gonna be using a LEAP engine, and we have a lot of applications in the LEAP engine. So, that's really good for us.

Larry Pfeffer
VP and Senior Research Analyst, Avondale Partners

Gotcha. Appreciate you taking my questions. Best of luck, guys.

Michael J. Hartnett
Chairman, President, and CEO, RBC Bearings

Yep. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. This concludes our question and answer session for today. I would now like to turn the call back to Dr. Hartnett for closing remarks.

Michael J. Hartnett
Chairman, President, and CEO, RBC Bearings

Okay. Well, in closing, I'd like to thank everyone for their interest and support and in participating in today's discussions. And we look forward to speaking to you again late spring. Good day.

Operator

Well, ladies and gentlemen, this does conclude today's program, and you may all disconnect. Everybody have a wonderful day.

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