Morning, everyone. I'm Puneet Souda, Life Science Tools and Diagnostic Analyst here. It's my pleasure to be hosting Prahlad Singh, CEO of Revvity joining with me on the stage here. Prahlad, welcome to our conference. Great to have you with us here in Miami.
Morning, Puneet. I have a bit of a niggle, so my voice might sound a bit weird. But I'm getting over a cold, so hopefully it's not too bad.
OK. We'll manage through it. Great. Maybe first one, if I could, there's been a lot of conversation on portfolio transformation. Now that transformed portfolio is sort of operating under NIH worries, maybe to set the stage, Revvity looks a lot different today versus a few years ago. 80% of the mix in recurring revenues, you have diverse positions in reagents, antibodies, software, immuno DX, a lot of those things that you talked about then yesterday, 6%-8% long-term growth guide, and 3%-5% organic that you're guiding for 2025. Obviously, a lot of noise appeared. Does this noise either near-term, medium-term, or longer-term change any of the views that you had, that you laid out of them yesterday in the last quarter call? Maybe let's start there.
Yeah. In any company's life cycle, portfolio transformation is an evolutionary process. I wouldn't say that the transformation is complete, but it's going to continue to be ongoing. Connecting it to what you said at the beginning of your question and to the end of your question, the reason the portfolio transformation was done the way it was done and what has been done was exactly for times like these. You want to build a resilient portfolio, which is sort of defensive to market vagaries and economic vagaries. I think the balance between life sciences and diagnostics gives us that. If you add our fast-growing software business to that, that adds another accelerator to it.
We are really happy with the way the evolution has been from, as you pointed out, seven years ago when we started this transformation to where we are at 80% of our business revenue coming from consumables, software, and services, and 20% coming from the instrument side. Even there, those are non-commoditized specialized instruments, which ends up being a vehicle for our consumables and assets that we are building on the consumable side. We are at a point where the portfolio, I think, is well-suited to address both our customer needs from life sciences and a diagnostic perspective.
Got it. A question that's emerging right now is change in the customer behavior from the US academic side, just given the NIH IDC cuts, the pressure. The NIH noise is not necessarily declining. Every week, there is some noise in terms of either it's graduate students, or if it's the CSR, or if it's the $400 million cuts to a single university. Lawsuits will continue. Just given the uncertainty and the anxiety backdrop, are you seeing any change in the behavior from the customer ordering patterns?
It's a topical issue right now. I think we just need to level set. 1% of our revenue exposure is from direct NIH, and 5% from total academia and government in the US. Just to sort of level set the exposure that we have to that. It does not mean that we are totally immune to this noise. At the same time, our exposure is pretty limited to this space. I think that again leads back to the point where we have got a portfolio that is well-suited for ups and downs in the marketplace.
Got it. No, that's super helpful. Maybe switching gears to China. Again, correct me if I'm wrong, but I don't think Canada and Mexico tariffs are major concerns for you. In terms of China, you have a position there, obviously, in diagnostics, but at the same time, also in tools. Maybe just elaborate on the tool side. How much is China for China? How much is being manufactured out of the US so it can be shipped in China and not be impacted by either the tariffs or retaliatory tariffs? Maybe just give us a view of the overall China picture.
Yeah. Just to give you a sense, roughly, I think 16% of our revenue exposure is from China. 10% of that is on the diagnostic side. I think we've talked about our diagnostics business in China ad nauseam over the past several months. On the life sciences side, I think of the 6%, I think 3%-4% are on the instrument side, and probably 2%-3% is on the consumable side. Quite a bit of our instruments we are now transferring to in China for China on the tool side. On the reagent side, the BioLegend component is there that we ship, and on the legacy side too. That sort of gives you a setting of what our exposure is on diagnostics, on the tools, life sciences side, on tools and instruments, tools and reagents. I think we are pretty well balanced.
Even on the tool instrument side, there's not a lot of competition that we have. We sell high-content screening, in vivo imaging, instrumentation, which are pretty specialized equipment.
Yeah. Yeah. Point well taken on that. Maybe this is not a fair question, but just anticipating the next move from the White House is always challenging. Just given the noise we have seen on tariffs in different geographies, just wondering if there were tariffs action taken against Europe. I just want to understand how you're positioned there, any contingencies that you're building or anticipating.
Yeah. Look, if there is a tariff issue with Europe, it's not going to be isolated to Revvity, number one. Number two, I think you have to think of it from a perspective of the products that we make in Europe. That's our autoimmune testing and newborn screening. I mean, if there is an issue there, then all newborn screening is today paid by states and the federal government. It's not a Medicaid or Medicare reimbursable. It's the law. It would require an act of law, literally, to have to stop selling those products here. There are other implications from a health perspective and screening perspective of the large population that will be impacted if that comes to play.
Got it. Got it. OK. One positive news, at least on the stimulus side in China, was 30% more upside to the CNY 1 trillion bond stimulus that they had. Maybe just tell us, how does that help your China business? Maybe what is holding up certain provinces in processing some of these applications? How much of a tailwind could it be?
Yeah. I mean, again, just like we did not have a lot of downside from our portfolio, the way our specialized portfolio is built, we do not have a lot of upside. It is not that the stimulus is going to take the pendulum all the way to the right. We might have some modest upside to it. Again, what it comes down to, the product portfolio that we have, it is around specialized life sciences equipment. There will be a modest tailwind from it, but it is not going to really significantly move the needle.
Got it. OK. I know you talked quite a bit about, since we're on the topic of China, China value-based pricing. Expectation is, I think you have outlined that it's about 3%-5% in 2025, with immunodiagnostics up mid-single digit net of mid-single digit pricing headwind. What are you currently seeing in terms of the overall core demand recovery there? In terms of value-based pricing, maybe just help us calibrate if there's anything, any new updates there. The usual question that we're getting is, could there be further downside risk to it? Has it been fairly quantified? Do you feel confident about how it's bookended today?
Yeah. I mean, as you pointed out, Puneet, this is a question that I've answered only a few times. The fact is that value-based pricing, the Sunshine Act, all of these have been at play. Local competition in China has been there for several years. I think when we guided at the beginning of the year, we were pretty prudent. We accounted for these aspects into our guidance. We feel very good about it. There is nothing that has—I am not giving any intra-quarter guidance. The whole idea of us being prudent at the beginning of the quarter when we guided for the year was to ensure that we take as much of these economic or market vagaries into our assumption when we guide. Look, will there be someday that these aspects will have a bigger role? Maybe.
What we are very confident today is the portfolio that we have set up is specialized enough that it has a unique niche and a position in the market today where we have enough innovation that there is a customer need and a demand for those products. That is our focus. Strategically, that's how we are continuing to build and transform our product portfolio.
As you talked about your thought on guidance as you established at 3%-5%, just maybe help us understand, given the times we're in right now, uncertainty on all those, but there's potential for upside. What are some of the levers as you think about potential for upside? I've been positively surprised in the last quarter in terms of, I mean, last few quarters in terms of, despite the market challenges, you had performed well. Just maybe give us a sense of where could there be more room for potential upside to those expectations.
Yeah. Again, I'm not giving any intra-quarter guidance. Talking about the last two quarters, Puneet, as I've said earlier, for us, we get a pretty early insight into what is happening into the marketplace, given our exposure to reagents on the pharma biotech side. I think the sequential growth that you saw in the third quarter and then in the fourth quarter on our reagents business is an early indicator. That is what we pointed out during our Q4 earnings call. However, our intent was to give out a guidance for the year that was prudent enough and ensured that we assumed, given new administration coming in, given new policies that might take place, that we are confident enough to provide a guidance that we feel very good about. That is where we are.
OK. Switching gears to the pharma side, obviously, a lot of cuts and restructuring and changes on the impact to the R&D side. We obviously felt that across the sector. What are you seeing from those customers this year as they--I'm sure many of them have set their budgets by January. Just wondering if you're getting a view in terms of if the reductions that we saw last year in R&D, are those the types of reduction that they are still continuing, or is that all behind at this point?
I think, as we said during our Q4 earnings call, we found that there was a level of stability now in terms of site closure or rationalization around headcount. Again, on the preclinical discovery and research side, we were seeing more signs of stability than instability with our pharma biotech customers.
Let's talk about reagents, core antibodies products that, over the—I would say, at least if I look at the last two quarters, you have outperformed some of your peers in the antibodies business. I won't name the peers. Given what BioLegend's portfolio is, maybe can you talk a bit about where that differentiation is, how that outperformance is working in a time like this? Is it a function of competitors facing some headwinds whereas you are not, or how you're positioned in flow cytometry? Maybe what are some of the other areas that investors need to understand in order to understand why BioLegend is performing better versus peers?
Yeah. I mean, our whole reagents portfolio, I want to make sure that we do not provide specific guidance around one part of our business. Our whole reagents portfolio continues to do very well. Again, the reason and the rationale is the same. We work very early with research scientists at the bench level in ensuring what epitopes they are looking at, what antibodies they need, what target areas they need to focus on, and then also what screening assays they need as part of their structure activity relationships that they are going to be doing over a period of time. I think that has been beneficial because once you get on one of these screening assays, you are on a program for several quarters. I think it is as much innovation, but also, I mean, it is the same.
You can check the boxes around innovation, customer relationships, working with bench-level chemists. This is something that our reagents business has been doing over a period of time. You start bearing and seeing the fruits of that labor. Essentially, that's what it is.
Can you talk a little bit about when we were initially working on Revvity and doing our research, one of the facts we realized is in terms of cost, BioLegend was able to manage their cost better versus peers. Maybe that's happening with other parts of the reagent portfolio too. Could you talk a little bit about that? How are you able to deliver lower COGS and deliver margins as a result?
Yeah. I mean, you visited the BioLegend campus, and you saw how they operate. Those that had an opportunity to see it, it's pretty evident that they have a very from early discovery all the way to getting product out the door. They have a process which is very well aligned, quite automated, and very lean. I think that aspect has been one of the synergistic opportunities that we have seen from the acquisition. Being able to leverage that across our reagents portfolio has been very beneficial to us. We've talked about e-commerce capability. BioLegend came in, nearly 40%-50% of their business was on e-commerce. For us, legacy business, it wasn't. Bringing in a new e-commerce platform, leveraging our full portfolio across it is, again, another iron in the fire.
The idea really is what growth accelerators you keep putting in, not just for tomorrow, but for the next several quarters and years. That is what the reagents business and across the portfolio at Revvity, the team has been able to exercise that muscle. I think the benefit of that is what we are going to see as we continue down the road.
Got it. Got it. Touching on another aspect of proteins, I mean, the GMP proteins, obviously, early days for you there. It takes time to get specced into some of these cell and gene therapies and CARTs and other modalities that are emerging on the marketplace. Obviously, no market is completely greenfield. Maybe just talk to us about where you see the opportunity, how much contribution you think you can see this year, and where do you see the upside in that market longer term?
Yeah. I think just what I said to the previous question, this is just another proof point in that. When we laid out our LRP for Revvity, and part of that is the reagents business growing at what it is, right, one of the growth accelerators for that is the GMP capabilities that we have introduced. As you pointed out, there is not a flip of a switch that sort of makes this change from going x% to y%. The intent really of adding and enhancing that capability in our portfolio was to ensure we have enough growth accelerators, and GMP being one of them.
Got it. Maybe if I could switch to the instrumentation side, the high-content screening, the imaging platforms you have. I think what you're seeing on the instrumentation, given the current state of the market, I'd love to know, are you seeing more continued stabilization on the consumable side and the instrumentation side? There is a view, obviously, given the challenges of the backdrop of the market. You have an AI situation. You also have China. There is a view that obviously instrumentations are going to be, it's going to be a little bit challenged. When we look at the overall portfolio, you have a strong position in pharma. Maybe can you help us tease that out a little bit as to why instrumentation for you should continue to perform this year, just given the portfolio and positioning of high-content screening, imaging, and the capabilities that you have?
Yeah. I mean, there are two aspects to it. One, obviously, is the innovation that we are continuing to bring. Take in vivo imaging as an example. We fully turned the portfolio over, I think, in the fall of 2023. And we started seeing the benefit of that with the new launches that we have planned coming out. The idea really is, again, as you pointed out, for us, it's not selling how many number of units that you can get out, whether it's from a QA or a QC perspective. How can you bring a specialized portfolio into the marketplace that there is a need from a customer perspective? As we bring AI and ML and all those aspects into our instrument portfolio, it makes it much more productive and efficient for the researcher in terms of doing their experimentation.
In today's cost environment, that is an added benefit that we are able to hopefully provide to our customers. The basic hypothesis and our intent is how do we put a portfolio on the life sciences side that helps researchers be as productive and efficient that they can be and increase the speed at which they are innovating. I think that's our strategic intent, especially around the instrument side of the business.
Got it. Just switching gears given the time, let me ask you about reproductive health. What will it take to penetrate the 100 million on screen birth globally that you have talked about? You have a strong position in that market. Maybe are there access or infrastructure limitations in developing regions that sort of gate that? Maybe help us understand why penetration has been it appears somewhat slower. I think it needs to, I think you've laid out 250 basis points growth from increased adoption of existing assays and 100 basis points from the geographic expansion there. Just trying to understand, give us maybe, in terms of timeline, how are you thinking about it? Also, any other drivers that you think could help potentially accelerate that?
Yeah. I mean, one has to really understand the depth of newborn screening and the reproductive health side of our business. In our view, actually, the geographic and menu expansion has been very good, especially in a market environment where birth rates are declining across the globe. To put it in perspective, it takes decades, not years or quarters, for a country to take adoption across the board. It took us 13 years in China to go from zero kids being screened, and this I am talking about in the 1970s, 1980s, and 1990s, to now most of the population being screened. When I joined the company, just to give you an example, in India, there were 200,000 babies being screened. Today, there are nearly close to 2 million babies being screened.
Indonesia is another example where there was no screening to where now quite a few of newborns are being screened. It is not something that happens overnight. You really have to work arm in arm with the government officials and federal, state, local municipalities to implement newborn screening. For us, this is not a quarterly journey. This is a journey that will continue. We are very proud of what we do, not just from a business and a financial perspective, but also this is a vision and a mission opportunity for us as a company. I think if you just look at the performance of our newborn screening and reproductive health business, it has done better than what we have expected ourselves and definitely much better than what we have guided. I think it will continue to do so for both reasons.
One, which you mentioned, the geographic expansion. The second, more importantly, is the menu expansion. Because the rare diseases that we are now starting to screen and test for, these are ones for which pharma is developing therapies. These therapies tend to be pretty expensive. You want to ensure that there is appropriate screening done at the right time for us to be able to identify who would be the right kids to be put on therapy early on in the journey.
Yeah. The targeting is very important. Totally appreciate it. In terms of your immune business, if I could ask on the diagnostic end, your immunocyte, IBD, menu, you are working towards FDA approvals. There are two incumbents, at least, in the US market side. Can you talk a little bit about how you're taking the FDA approvals, the strategy, and menu expansion, again, getting the menu through FDA and then potentially taking share in that market?
Yeah. I might get my number wrong, so I'm going to look at Steve. I think urine immune is growing at, what, 25% CAGR. Let me talk about our autoimmune immunodiagnostics business. Again, I try to look at the whole portfolio. It's been growing at a 25% CAGR. It's now 15% of our autoimmune business. It should be closer to 40% given the size of the US market. It is at a very rapid growth. It is one of the fastest growing geographies for our autoimmune business. It is a matter of how we continue to get the FDA approvals for the assays that we submit. It's a portfolio that has a lot of IP around it. For us, competition, of course, is relevant and important.
Our focus is what we can do in terms of innovation and how do we stay ahead of the game, whether it's around going from just basic autoimmune screening to organ-specific, whether it's neuro or nephro. How do we come out with autoimmune testing for those specific organs? That is where urine immune's innovation plays a very important role in our immunodiagnostics business.
Just following up on that in terms of overall diagnostic margins, you've talked about how diagnostic has the most margin opportunity. You're talking about, obviously, it's very strong growth CAGR there. You made a move of using initially distributors versus dedicated sales channel previously in China for some of the immunodiagnostic business. What would you say is left in terms of chasing more profitability on those sides of businesses?
Yeah. I mean, you can go just down the P&L. On the diagnostic side, there are still opportunities around gross margin opportunities, footprint rationalization, the cost structure we are using, leveraging our e-commerce capabilities. I mean, going from a sole sourcing vendor to different from a sourcing opportunity perspective, those are long tails. Because when you're changing, say, for example, a raw material you're using in a diagnostics kit, it's very different than doing on the life sciences side of it because this is under a regulatory purview. The opportunities are up and down the P&L. We feel, and I think I've said it, our margin story is the most underappreciated part of our business. I would say that if in the next few years you will see us in our mid-30s, and diagnostics will be one of the key drivers for that margin opportunity.
Yeah. No, I appreciate that as I did more work. I mean, diagnostics margins and that part could be understood and appreciated more. Maybe let me, just given the time, ask you a little bit about software. In the current times, are you continuing to see those licenses and contracts and some of the server as you're moving from PREM to SaaS, some of the software contracts that you have, are you continuing to see stability in those? Some of them are in academic settings. However, you're servicing pharma a lot more here. Maybe just talk to us about how software is faring in this current environment.
Yeah. Again, I'm not going to give intra-quarter guidance. We feel very good about the prudent guidance that we provided at the beginning of the year, Puneet. I think software business is a key component and a key growth driver for our business.
Just all right. We're actually at the time. Thank you again, Prahlad. Thanks for all those insightful comments.
Thank you, Puneet.
OK.