SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. (SITE)
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Earnings Call: Q3 2020

Oct 28, 2020

Operator

Welcome to SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc third quarter 2020 earnings call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. A question-and-answer session will follow the formal presentation. If anyone should require operator assistance during the conference, please press star zero on your telephone keypad. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to your host, Mr. John Guthrie, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. Please go ahead, sir.

John Guthrie
EVP and CFO, SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc

Thank you, good morning, everyone. We issued our third quarter 2020 earnings press release this morning and posted a slide presentation to the investor relations portion of our website at investors.siteone.com. I am joined today by Doug Black, our Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, and Scott Salmon, Executive Vice President, Strategy and Development. Before we begin, I would like to remind everyone that today's press release, slide presentation, and the statements made during the call include forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from our expectations and projections. Such risks and uncertainties include the factors set forth in the earnings release and in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

Additionally, during today's call, we will discuss non-GAAP measures which we believe can be useful in evaluating our performance. A reconciliation of these measures can be found in our earnings release and in the slide presentation. I would now like to turn the call over to Doug Black.

Doug Black
Chairman and CEO, SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc

Thank you, John. Good morning, and thank you for joining us today. We're very pleased with our results for the quarter and year- to- date. I'm so proud of our tremendous team at SiteOne as they have continued to deliver outstanding results for all our stakeholders in the face of extraordinary challenges related to COVID-19. Our strong culture of teamwork, service, and commitment to excellence is shining during this time of crisis, and we are gaining strength versus our competition as we build our capabilities and execute our strategy. Additionally, we are benefiting from the consumer's renewed focus on the home due to COVID-19 restrictions, coupled with homeowners' continued desire to enjoy their outdoor living spaces, which has been a trend over the last decade.

SiteOne is well-positioned to take advantage of these trends in the medium term while building our company of excellence for all stakeholders and delivering outstanding performance and growth for the long term. I will start by revisiting our industry position and our strategy for long-term performance and growth, followed by a brief update on recent developments, highlights from the third quarter, and actions we have taken since our last call. John Guthrie will then walk you through our third quarter financial results in more detail and provide additional information on our balance sheet and liquidity position. Scott Salmon will discuss our acquisition strategy, and then I will come back and review some of the trends that we are seeing in our end markets and address our outlook before taking your questions.

As we continue to navigate through the operating challenges associated with COVID-19, we feel very fortunate to be here at SiteOne. As you can see from slides four and five in our investor presentation, we are a financially strong industry leader and primary consolidator in a very fragmented and attractive market. The landscaping products distribution market has a very nice balance between maintenance, new construction, and repair and upgrade, with an attractive construction sector mix of approximately two-thirds residential and the remainder divided between commercial and recreational facilities. As you turn to slide six, our strategy is to combine the financial strength, talent, resources, and technology capabilities of a large company with the fast, flexible, and entrepreneurial capabilities of our local businesses to deliver superior value to our customers and our suppliers while providing better growth opportunities for our associates.

We are building the capability to provide a full line of landscaping products in all our markets, which makes us very unique in our industry and gives us more ways to help our customers win. We complement our strategy with six commercial and operational initiatives, which we believe will allow us to steadily improve our performance for all stakeholders. Finally, given the fragmented nature of our industry with over 1,000 other distributors, we are building SiteOne by adding the best local and regional companies to our team through acquisition, filling in our product lines, expanding our reach, and adding terrific talent along the way. Overall, our strategy is designed to deliver strong organic growth, expanded EBITDA margin, and growth through acquisition.

While we have made great progress over the past five years, I would remind you that we are only in the third or fourth inning of building our company and developing our full capabilities to achieve excellence for our stakeholders. For example, slide seven shows that we have a full product line offering in only 21% of our markets. That is why you see us continuing to invest in the good times and the challenging times, both in building our internal capabilities and in adding terrific companies to SiteOne to expand and strengthen our full product line position. I would also like to emphasize that although we are seeing strong end market demand, COVID-19 is still spreading in our communities, and so we must continue to keep the safety and welfare of our associates, customers, and suppliers as our top priority.

Our execution of the CDC guidelines, wearing of face coverings, and daily associate screenings are now well grooved. We also continue to take care of our associates by allowing them to stay home if they are sick without using their Paid Time Off or PTO. In August, we took this a step further and provided a one-time special bonus for all frontline associates as a way of thanking them for the extra burden that they have carried while providing exceptional service and support to our customers during the spring and summer. This was a $1.8 million investment in them. Finally, we continue to have our field support associates work from home and limit non-essential air travel in order to keep our exposure to COVID-19 as low as possible.

I would like to thank every one of our SiteOne associates for their tremendous commitment to our customers and our company this year, and for producing terrific results. Slide eight summarizes the highlights from the third quarter. The market recovery that we reported during the second quarter continued into the third quarter and through October so far. The increase in the number of families who are working and/or attending school from home due to COVID-19 has spurred additional investments in outdoor living. Concurrently, the new residential construction market has fully recovered with low interest rates and a renewed focus on home ownership. These factors, along with our internal growth initiatives, helped us to achieve our first double-digit organic daily sales growth quarter since going public, on top of the 7% organic daily sales growth that we had in the third quarter of 2019.

Additionally, the growth in the third quarter was very broad-based, both geographically and across product categories. At this point, the market is now being constrained by the lack of labor availability for our customers and by select supplier product shortages, though our product supply situation has improved significantly in October. We also continued to drive good improvements in gross margin during the third quarter, with contributions from our supply chain, category management, and pricing initiatives. We were able to continue lowering freight costs through our new transportation management system, and we benefited from excellent private label product growth. Additionally, our recent acquisition of hardscape and nursery companies, which operate at a higher gross margin than the base business, also contributed to our gross margin improvement.

On the SG&A side, we once again achieved excellent operating leverage as we tightly managed our business, avoided discretionary travel and expenses, and benefited from COVID-19-related trends such as lower healthcare costs. We achieved this leverage even as we continued to invest in Mobile PRO, siteone.com, and TMS, all of which are increasing our capability to serve customers better, grow organically, and achieve better operating leverage in the future. I would like to highlight that we have achieved an increase in our Net Promoter Score this year from 71 in December of 2019 to 74 currently. Our NPS was in the low 60s three years ago. This increase reflects our continuous improvement in providing consistent and excellent service to our customers of all sizes and segments.

The combination of strong organic daily sales growth, good gross margin improvement, and solid SG&A leverage allowed us to deliver 25% adjusted EBITDA growth and expand our adjusted EBITDA margin by 90 basis points. Year-to-date, we have also expanded EBITDA margin by 90 basis points and are making great progress toward our midterm milestone of 10%. I am very pleased that we were able to restart our M&A program during the third quarter, picking up with deals that we had put on hold back in April. Over the last three months, we were able to add four market-leading companies focused on hardscapes and bulk landscape supply. Like SiteOne, these companies are benefiting from the powerful short and long-term trends in outdoor living.

As we mentioned during our last call, our acquisition pipeline is very active, and we expect to continue closing deals in 2020 while carrying a healthy backlog of potential deals into 2021. Very importantly, the companies that we added last year and earlier this year are performing well and contributing to our strong results. We were also pleased to execute our equity offering during the third quarter in order to strategically reduce our net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio from the two to three times range down to the one to two times range. The uncertainty brought on by COVID-19, along with the continued robust pipeline of acquisitions, spurred us to make this move in order to ensure that we could continue to invest in acquisitions without leverage constraints during an economic downturn.

This equity offering, along with our outstanding year-to-date operating cash flow, has reduced our net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio to 0.8 times at the end of the third quarter from 2.9 times at the end of the prior year period. We are now set up with maximum flexibility to execute our strategy in good times and tougher times. Lastly, we were very pleased to recently publish our first SiteOne Responsibility Report on siteone.com, which outlines all of the terrific work that our teams do to ensure that SiteOne is a great place to work for all associates and a good neighbor in our communities. Environmental, social, and governance best practices are already a part of our DNA, and we are happy to introduce our programs, practices, and metrics to communicate and benchmark our actions and results going forward.

To summarize, I'm very proud of how our team has performed in this extraordinary environment. To keep everyone safe, serve and support our customers, deliver outstanding financial results, and take care of each other all along the way. We still have a long way to go in building the full set of capabilities at SiteOne and achieving consistent excellence for our stakeholders. However, we are having a great year and have made significant progress in building our company in 2020, even as we have battled the short-term operating challenges associated with COVID-19. We remain excited about both the short and long-term opportunities to drive excellent performance and growth with our strong team and winning strategy. Now John will walk you through the quarter in more detail. John?

John Guthrie
EVP and CFO, SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc

Thanks, Doug. I'll begin with some highlights from our third quarter results on slide nine. We reported a net sales increase of 15% to $752 million in the third quarter. During the third quarter. Compared to 7% we experienced in the third quarter of last year. We saw solid demand across product lines as consumers continued to invest in their home and outdoor living spaces. Geographically, we saw strong sales across the country with seven out of 10 regions achieving double-digit growth. Organic daily sales for landscaping products, which includes irrigation, nursery, hardscape, outdoor lighting, and landscape accessories, grew 11% during the quarter. Hardscapes again experienced very strong growth as consumers continued to upgrade their backyards and patios.

Organic daily sales for agronomic products, which includes fertilizer, control products, ice melt, and equipment, also increased 11%, reflecting strong demand for lawn maintenance products and we believe also some solid market share gains. As Doug mentioned, the positive trend for organic daily sales has continued into October, though sales have moderated somewhat the last two weeks. In addition, we face a strong organic daily sales comp of 8% in the fourth quarter, including double-digit growth in November of last year. We also have an additional four days this year in the month of December, and because of the seasonally low sales projected for that week, we expect it to negatively impact organic daily sales growth for the quarter by 3 percentage points-4 percentage points.

To provide further context, our 8% organic daily sales growth in the fourth quarter of 2019 would have been reduced to approximately 4% if we had the additional four days in December with the same impact as this year. Prices increased 2% in the quarter and 1% year- to- date compared to the prior year period. For the full year 2020, we expect price inflation between 1% and 2%. Acquisition sales, which reflect the sales attributable to acquisitions completed in both 2019 and 2020, contributed approximately $32 million or 5% to the overall third quarter growth rate. We are pleased with the performance of our acquisitions, which are collectively ahead of plan year- to- date. Scott will provide more details regarding our acquisition strategy later in the call. Gross profit increased 16% to $250 million in the third quarter, and gross margin expanded 30 basis points to 33.3%.

Similar to Q2, the increase in gross margin for the quarter was driven by lower freight costs and the contributions from acquisitions, which carry higher gross margin. Selling, general, and administrative expense, or SG&A, increased 11% to $183 million in the third quarter. SG&A, as a percentage of net sales, decreased 90 basis points to 24.4%. The reduction in SG&A as a percentage of net sales reflects operating leverage, resulting from our excellent organic sales growth combined with solid cost management. For the third quarter, we reported an income tax expense of approximately $14 million compared to approximately $10 million in the prior year period. The effective tax rate for the quarter was 22.3% compared to 21.9% for the prior year period. We recorded net income for the third quarter of $48 million, compared to $35 million during the prior year period.

The improvement was primarily driven by strong sales growth, SG&A leverage, and gross margin improvement. Our weighted average diluted share count was 44.6 million for the third quarter compared to 42.8 million for the same period last year. The increase was due primarily to our equity offering completed in August. Adjusted EBITDA for the third quarter improved by 25% to $88 million compared to $71 million for the same period in the prior year. Adjusted EBITDA margin increased 90 basis points to 11.7%, reflecting our operating leverage and gross margin improvement. Now I'd like to provide a brief update on our balance sheet and cash flow statement as shown on slide 10. Net working capital at the end of the quarter was $710 million compared to $516 million at the end of the third quarter of 2019.

The increase is primarily attributable to our decision to increase our cash on hand to enhance our financial flexibility in response to the market uncertainty resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic. As the markets have stabilized, we have started the process of reducing our cash on hand and paying down our outstanding debt, including a $138 million reduction in the outstanding principal under our term loan facility on September 30th. Excluding the available cash on hand, net working capital decreased 10% to $435 million compared to the prior year period. Receivable collections have held up well in this challenging environment, and we have maintained flat inventory levels with the prior year period. Last quarter, we mentioned how interruptions in our supply chain resulting from COVID-19 were causing some product shortages.

Over the course of the quarter, we saw fewer product shortages, though we still expect some to last through the end of the year. Cash provided by operations was $62 million for the quarter compared to $76 million in the prior year period due to increases in working capital to support our strong sales growth. For the first nine months, cash flow from operations was still a very strong $181 million compared to $64 million for the same period of 2019. The increase is primarily due to higher net income and improved working capital management. We made cash investments of $31 million during the third quarter compared to $16 million for the same quarter last year. The increase in cash investments reflects increased acquisition activity compared to the prior year.

On August 3rd, we raised $261.7 million of net proceeds in an equity offering of 2.15 million shares of our common stock. We intend to use the proceeds from the offering to reduce leverage, increase liquidity, and fund future acquisitions. By reducing our leverage, we believe we have increased our operational flexibility, which will enable us to be more opportunistic and execute our acquisition growth strategy in all macroeconomic environments. Net debt at the end of the quarter was $195 million compared to $566 million at the end of the third quarter of 2019. As a reminder, we have no debt maturities until 2024. Leverage decreased to 0.8 times the trailing 12 months adjusted EBITDA compared to 2.9 times at the end of the third quarter of 2019. The lower leverage reflects our increased profitability and the debt reduction due to our equity raise and strong operating cash flow.

We have reduced our year-end target net debt to adjusted EBITDA leverage range to one to two times from our previous range of two to three times. The reduction reflects our strategic decision to lower leverage and increase our financial strength and operational flexibility. We expect to be at or slightly below that range at year-end, depending upon acquisition activity in the fourth quarter. As a result of these changes, Moody's upgraded our corporate family credit debt rating to Ba3 from B1. At the end of the third quarter, we had liquidity of $641 million, which consisted of approximately $275 million cash on hand and $366 million in available capacity under our ABL facility. As I mentioned earlier, on September 30th, we used $138 million of the cash on hand to reduce the principal under our term loan facility to $300 million.

In summary, our priority from a balance sheet perspective is to maximize our financial strength and flexibility during this uncertain time without sacrificing long-term growth or market opportunities. I will now turn the call over to Scott for an update on our acquisition strategy.

Scott Salmon
EVP of Strategy and Development, SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc

Thanks, John. In August, we resumed our acquisition strategy after a four-month pause as we saw more stability in our end markets and gained confidence in our ability to serve our customers while keeping everyone safe. The work conducted by our strategy and development teams during the pause paid dividends as we were able to seamlessly pick up where we left off and add four excellent companies with trailing 12-month net sales of approximately $111 million. As shown on slide 11, year- to- date, we have acquired eight companies with trailing 12-month net sales of approximately $154 million, and since 2014, we have acquired more than 50 companies and surpassed $1 billion in acquired net sales. Turning to slides 12 through 15, you will find information on our four most recent acquisitions.

On August 17th, we acquired Alliance Stone, expanding our leading hardscapes and landscape supplies position in the greater Atlanta metropolitan area. On August 18th, we acquired Modern Builders with two locations in the greater San Diego market, significantly enhancing our leading hardscapes and landscaping products position in Southern California. In the fourth quarter, on October 1st, we acquired BURNCO Landscape Centres with 12 locations across three Western Canadian provinces, establishing a leading hardscapes and landscaping products platform, which complements our growing irrigation and agronomics business there. Finally, on October 5th, we acquired Hedberg Supply with two locations in the greater Minneapolis metro area, which establishes yet another leading hardscapes and landscaping products platform.

Our pipeline continues to be deep and ever-expanding. More importantly, the quality of our target companies is very high, as evidenced by the tremendous new partners who have joined our family since we restarted our M&A activities. Summarizing on slide 16, we remain confident in our strategy, our teams, our acquisition pipeline, and our approach. I want to thank the entire SiteOne team, from the many entrepreneurs who have joined us over the years and continue promoting and executing our strategy, to the dozens of field and field support leaders who build unbreakable relationships in our communities every day. Together, you make us the acquirer of choice and a truly great place to work.

We look forward to continuing to attract new dynamic leaders and their companies, who will make the SiteOne team stronger, expand our product capability, help us to better serve our customers, and support further performance and growth. I will now turn the call back to Doug.

Doug Black
Chairman and CEO, SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc

Thanks, Scott. I'll wrap up on slide 17. First and foremost, we will continue to ensure the safety of our associates, customers, suppliers, and communities as we operate in a coronavirus environment. As our country works to overcome this pandemic, our ability and the ability of our customers and suppliers to operate safely remains a critical priority. In terms of demand outlook, as previously mentioned, we have seen the trend in the third quarter continue into October, though sales have moderated somewhat throughout the month. October typically represents approximately 50% of our fourth quarter sales. That said, the months of November and December are more impacted by weather. As John mentioned, November organic daily sales last year was particularly strong. Taken altogether, we would expect organic daily sales growth in the fourth quarter to be in the mid to high single digits, excluding the extra week.

In terms of end markets, assuming significant stay-at-home restrictions are not reinstated in the fourth quarter, we would expect maintenance, which comprises 42% of our business, to remain steady with low, single-digit growth. Residential new construction, which comprises 26% of our business, looks to remain strong as builders work to create new home inventory to meet higher demand. Repair and upgrade, which is 17% of our business, is very strong with significant backlogs to carry our customers through the end of the year and on into 2021. Finally, we expect the commercial end market to be steady in the near term, with some weakness going into 2021 as businesses and commercial builders pare back projects to adjust to the impacts in the restaurant, entertainment, retail, and hospitality sectors.

Taking all these factors together, we would expect the market to support solid organic growth as we finish up the year and move into 2021. Against this backdrop, we will continue to operate safely and efficiently with tight management of our discretionary expenses, yet higher payouts of bonus and commissions as our teams finish up a very good year. We will also continue to drive our commercial and operational initiatives in supply chain, category management, pricing, sales force performance, marketing, and operational excellence. We expect these initiatives to allow us to gain market share in support of our organic growth and improve our gross margin while setting us up for strong performance in 2021. We will also continue to make investments in key capabilities for the future to include siteone.com and TMS.

Considering all these factors, we expect to achieve good progress in our adjusted EBITDA margin this year and have raised our guidance. In terms of acquisitions, as Scott mentioned, we expect to add additional companies to SiteOne before year-end, finishing what has turned out to be a very solid acquisition year despite the four-month pause. We have a strong pipeline and numerous active deals, which make us optimistic that 2021 could be another very good year in welcoming new companies to SiteOne. Keep in mind that acquisitions added in the third and fourth quarters will not contribute meaningfully to our adjusted EBITDA growth this year, but we believe will set us up for strong growth in 2021 and beyond. With a strong third quarter performance and increased visibility that we have on our end markets, we are pleased to be raising our adjusted EBITDA guidance range for 2020.

We now expect adjusted EBITDA for 2020 to be in the range of $230 million-$236 million, exceeding the high end of our prior range of $205 million-$225 million. Keep in mind that this range includes the extra loss-making week in December, as John mentioned, as compared to 2019, which reduces our adjusted EBITDA by approximately $2 million-$3 million and reduces our full-year organic daily sales growth by approximately 1 percentage point. Additionally, while our range includes economic uncertainty, it does not include any broad reinstatement of stay-at-home restrictions that would limit landscaping services. In closing, I would like to sincerely thank all our SiteOne associates who continue to amaze me with their passion, commitment, teamwork, and selfless service.

We have a tremendous team, and it is an honor to be joined with them as we overcome adversity and deliver value for all of our stakeholders. I would also like to thank our suppliers for supporting us so strongly and our customers for allowing us to be their partner. Operator, please open the line for questions.

Operator

Thank you. At this time, we'll be conducting a question- and- answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad. A confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue. You may press star two if you would like to remove your question from the queue. For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up your handset before pressing the star key. One moment please, while we poll for questions. Your first question comes from the line of David Manthey with Baird. Please proceed with your question.

David Manthey
Senior Research Analyst, Baird

Thank you. Good morning, everyone. First question is related to operating expenses. During the initial stage of the pandemic and through the summer, many companies pulled back on items that they could pull back on, 401(k) match and executive comp, and a number of other things. Not just the T&E and the normal stuff that would be lower in this environment, but sort of actively pulling expense levers. Now, as we get into the fourth quarter in 2021, they're starting to feather those back into the expense line in the second or third quarter that will need to be added back in the fourth quarter and into 2021.

John Guthrie
EVP and CFO, SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc

Thanks, David. I don't think there are any one-time items. There is, in Q4, some projects, some investments we've made, specifically with regard to some of our digital strategy, that were like in Q2 and Q3, and those will be hitting in Q4. But there weren't any major items like specifically with regards to operating expenses. I guess the only other item I would say is, and I think this is something that's common across industry, people haven't been taking. Th ere, and that's kind of a one-time item that'll be hitting this year also, especially in Q4. But those are the two primary items I would highlight.

Doug Black
Chairman and CEO, SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc

Yeah, David, I would just add, those are some additional costs that we carry as we have associates that go on quarantine. We're taking care of our associates without them having to take PTO so that they have no incentive to not stay home when they're sick. We also made the special bonus which was a one-time kind of thank you to our associates. We haven't pulled back any items. We've obviously been very prudent about travel and insurance costs are naturally down, just given the trends. But other than that.

David Manthey
Senior Research Analyst, Baird

Thank you. Second, the big question for all distributors that are playing in outdoor sports today is, will we see a hangover in 2021 as we come up against these difficult 2020 comparisons, and you've got shifting market sands? You talked about the trends that you're seeing currently into October. What are customer discussions telling you about the durability of the current strong level of demand you're seeing as we move into 2021, into the prime selling season in the second and third quarters?

Doug Black
Chairman and CEO, SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc

Yeah. So the demand is robust, that's continued. Our customers are busy. They have backlogs, especially in the repair, remodel market, outdoor living market. There's a big backlog there. As you know, COVID-19, unfortunately, is still with us and probably will be with us into next year. We anticipate that there will be some good carryover demand. We're labor constrained in that part of the market. At least going in the first half year, there's some good backlogs in repair and remodel. New home construction, as you know, is robust. Together, those drive about two-thirds of our business. We feel good about it. Our customers are having good years this year. They feel good about next year, at least going into the first half. Commercial is the one area where there's a weakness, we've seen some of that weakness this year.

Our activity has flattened out. We would expect that to be down somewhat next year. Given our strong bias toward residential and the strength of those markets, we actually feel pretty solid going into the first half. Remember, we had the big COVID drop, obviously, in April. That will be a favorable comp. Seems like the momentum in the residential markets, both new construction and repair and remodel, are pretty durable. I would just add to that the outdoor living trend has been with us for a while, and so while that may taper down, it certainly is an underlying engine. We've got some self-help ways to drive organic growth. With our digital strategy, we expect to gain higher share of wallet. We're really focusing now on the small customer and gaining share there, which we're seeing some success.

Then we've got a Hispanic customer strategy as well that we're launching with our new Chief Marketing Officer coming on board that we're excited about to gain some share in those markets. We're certainly thinking about how do we sustain our growth beyond any kind of COVID wave, if you will, or bump in activity. We feel good about those initiatives.

David Manthey
Senior Research Analyst, Baird

Mm-hmm. That all sounds great, Doug. Thank you.

Doug Black
Chairman and CEO, SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc

Thanks, David.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Ryan Merkel with William Blair. Please proceed with your question.

Ryan Merkel
Partner and Co-Group Head of Industrials, William Blair

Thanks. Good morning, and congrats on a nice quarter.

Doug Black
Chairman and CEO, SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc

Thanks, Ryan.

Ryan Merkel
Partner and Co-Group Head of Industrials, William Blair

First off, and you sort of answered this, today's question, but on the 4Q guide, if I add back the 3% or 4% from the extra week, organic sales would be up, call it 5%, 6%. You mentioned the last two weeks slowed somewhat, and I know November and December are hard to predict, but should we be reading that the demand environment is moderating off a rapid pace, or is this more about the fourth quarter being off-season and hard to predict?

Doug Black
Chairman and CEO, SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc

Yeah, I think it's more of the latter. Weather is a big impactor when you get into November, December, and again, a large part of the country, from the Mason-Dixon on up, starts to close down. The numbers get smaller, and they get more volatile. We had very good weather. We had a very good kind of double-digit November last year as a comp. Just reading into it, we're being cautiously optimistic about the underlying demand seems to still be strong, but you just have the winter shutdowns that start to take effect and weather can throw those numbers favorable or negative pretty quickly. We take all that into consideration when we set our guidance.

Ryan Merkel
Partner and Co-Group Head of Industrials, William Blair

Okay. That's what I thought. Then I just wanted to ask about digital tools. I know some of them, it's early days, but can you just expand upon e-commerce, Mobile PRO, barcoding, how that impacted this year, and do you see acceleration in 2021?

Doug Black
Chairman and CEO, SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc

Right. Well, let me talk with Mobile PRO barcoding because that's the one that's the most advanced. We pushed that across the company really this year and accelerated the usage of that. Obviously, with COVID-19, that became a very good tool, allowing us to literally check people out while they stay in their truck and be able to check folks out in the yard, et cetera. So that's across the majority of our branches. It's being used, it's helping us to get customers in and out faster, and it's helping our associates to be more efficient. We feel like part of our SG&A leverage is being aided by Mobile PRO, so we're quite excited about that. That's going to continue to benefit us. We rolled that out this year.

Next year, we'll be well grooved in it, and we think it's going to give us additional benefit. If you take siteone.com, siteone.com is a solid tool. We're upgrading it in many ways. We're adding kind of buy online, guest checkout, making it more easy for customers that might not have an account yet to test out SiteOne, if you will. We're really focusing on the small to mid-size customer and upgrading siteone.com to make sure it's a great tool for those customers to use. We expect to gain traction there as we go through next year and gain wallet share, quite frankly. It's a prime target for us. That we see as a good way to help us fortify our organic growth, sustain our organic growth if we can continue. We have the lowest share of all of our segments in that small customer segment.

We're about 12%, 13% market share overall, and we're only about 5%, 6% with the small customers. We know it's an area that we can gain share and kind of level up, and we see siteone.com as a way of doing that. Additionally, we have our Transportation Management System that we put in on the inbound freight, and you see our freight cost and our margin being benefited from that. Now we're working on the outbound piece where we can notify customers when their load is on the way, when their delivery is going to be scheduled. We can give them updates. Just a terrific customer service tool that doesn't exist in our industry. We're finishing up two pilots as we speak. The results are good. We're going to move that across the country.

That's just another tool for those kind of small to mid-size customers that are counting on deliveries and have to call and track them down today, that we'll be fully automated there, keeping them updated and making sure they're there on time. We're excited about all those put together, that we're going to be a much more advanced digital company in 2021, and that will help us gain share and lower our cost of servicing at the same time.

Ryan Merkel
Partner and Co-Group Head of Industrials, William Blair

Right. Thanks, Doug. That's enough.

Doug Black
Chairman and CEO, SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc

Thanks, Ryan.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Keith Hughes with Truist. Please proceed with your question.

Judy Merrick
Equity Research Associate, Truist

Thanks. This is Judy Merrick for Keith Hughes. Just to follow up on your comments on the commercial markets, where you said they're paring back. Is there anything you can add? Just is that more on projects getting delayed, or has there been a change in the bidding, or does it kind of vary by what the end market sector is? Thanks.

Doug Black
Chairman and CEO, SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc

It's hard to tell exactly what's going on, but there were project delays as COVID hit, and we continue to see those as end commercial users are trying to figure out the future, if you will. The metric that we really watch is just overall bidding activity. We have a project services group that provides bids for our contractor customers. While we were starting the year with growth, we've seen that flatten out. Now, it did dip down as COVID hit initially in April and May, and then it came back to flat, and it's been, let's call it, flattish. That's the main. In addition to talking to our customers, I think it's a combination of delayed projects and some cancellations. Mostly project delays and lack of new projects coming on.

Judy Merrick
Equity Research Associate, Truist

Got you. Okay, thanks. When you talk about the new residential construction being very strong, is there anything you're seeing, are you anticipating any lags or any shifts from it being so strong? Maybe like labor constraints or anything else?

Doug Black
Chairman and CEO, SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc

Well, there's always labor constraints. We lag starts probably, six months or so, given that we're the last in. While there was a little bit of a dip in 2020 when the builders halted work and paused to assess the environment, they've come back strongly. We took a little bit of a pause in some areas of the country where we had less activity, but we've kind of ramped back up full speed, if you will. When I say ramped back up, there's a limit at which you can ramp back up because of the labor constraints. I'd say we're back at full capacity in terms of servicing that residential market.

Our view is that that would sustain through 2021, at least the first half, but we would think probably for most of the year next year, because there's been a real swing in attitude toward homeownership and the importance of homeownership. Everybody's trying to figure out how that trend's going to manifest itself, but it's logical to think that that trend would not just shut down once there's a vaccine, that there'll be an overhang of attitude toward, "hey, we want to be in a home prepared for the next pandemic." We think residential is going to be strong in 2021.

Judy Merrick
Equity Research Associate, Truist

Okay, great. Thank you.

Operator

As a reminder, if you'd like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad. As a reminder, if you'd like to ask a. Comes from the line of Ryan Frank with RBC Capital Markets. Please proceed with your question.

Ryan Frank
Equity Research Senior Associate, RBC Capital Markets

Hi, guys. Good morning. Thanks for taking my question. Last quarter, you guys had been expecting to have organic sales to kind of be in line or slightly below 1H. Obviously, you did significantly better than that this quarter. Just trying to figure out what the main differences were there. Was it just stronger new res or was there something else?

John Guthrie
EVP and CFO, SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc

I think what we saw this quarter was just a much stronger repair, remodel, and homeowner than we expected. We were coming out. Sales were strong. The demand out in the marketplace, especially in repair and remodel, was probably greater than we had anticipated on the second quarter call.

Ryan Frank
Equity Research Senior Associate, RBC Capital Markets

Got it. Thank you. Then the next one I had is, I appreciate that you just kind of worked to lower your leverage with the offering. Now with you guys being below one times, are there any larger acquisitions that are attractive or maybe should we see the pace materially pick up next year?

Scott Salmon
EVP of Strategy and Development, SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc

I think we exited our pause feeling very good about our pipeline. It's as balanced across line of business and size as it has been since I've been here. Pause is probably the wrong word, actually. We were hard at work improving our sourcing, maintaining and building relationships, and just improving our processes. We were able to exit when the economy improved, I think in a much better position from a pipeline. In terms of any particular large deal, that wasn't a motivator for us in terms of our equity offering, but we're certainly well-positioned to take advantage of anything that does arise.

Ryan Frank
Equity Research Senior Associate, RBC Capital Markets

Okay. Quickly, just follow up on that, is the one to two range kind of likely the new range going forward as opposed to kind of two to three times?

John Guthrie
EVP and CFO, SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc

Yeah, you should consider that's where we're going to operate. From our perspective, what we're really doing is that allows us in both up markets and down markets to continue to execute that strategy, that acquisition strategy, and especially even in down markets, to really be opportunistic and not have to necessarily put our strategy on hold if there is a market downturn, which obviously there will be some time in the future.

Doug Black
Chairman and CEO, SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc

Ryan, just to be specific. In the good times, we expect to operate in one to two, and then in a recessionary period, we expect to continue to do acquisitions because they're going to be available, and we don't want to miss out on them. We would anticipate our ratio would migrate up in the two to three range. It wouldn't get up in the risky ranges above that. That was the strategic decision we made to lower that so that we don't want to miss out on acquisitions just because there's a downturn. We're quite comfortable now where we are to be able to navigate through a downturn and continue to do deals when and if they come available.

Ryan Frank
Equity Research Senior Associate, RBC Capital Markets

Got it. That makes sense. That's all for me. Congrats on the quarter, and thanks for taking the questions.

Doug Black
Chairman and CEO, SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc

Thanks, Ryan. Sure.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, we have reached the end of the question- and- answer session, and I would like to turn the call back to Mr. Doug Black for closing remarks.

Doug Black
Chairman and CEO, SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc

Okay. Well, thank you all for joining us today. We very much appreciate your interest in SiteOne. Our thoughts and prayers go out to all of those impacted by COVID-19. I'd like to once again thank all of our terrific associates, our suppliers, and our customers for helping us to be a great company. We look forward to sharing our year-end results with you as we go into 2021. Thank you very much.

Operator

This concludes today's conference. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation.