SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. (SITE)
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Earnings Call: Q2 2018

Aug 1, 2018

Operator

Greetings, welcome to the SiteOne Landscape Supply second quarter 2018 earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. A question and answer session will follow the formal presentation. If anyone should require operator assistance during the conference, please press star zero on your telephone keypad. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to your host, Mr. Pascal Convers, Executive Vice President of Strategy and Development and Investor Relations for SiteOne Landscape Supply. Please go ahead, sir.

Pascal Convers
EVP of Strategy and Development and Investor Relations, SiteOne Landscape Supply

Thank you, good morning, everyone. We issued our second quarter earnings press release this morning and posted a slide presentation to the investor relations portion of our website at investors.siteone.com. We will be referencing the slides during this call. I'm joined today by Doug Black, our Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, and John Guthrie, our Chief Financial Officer. Before we begin, I would like to remind everyone that today's press release, the slide presentation, and statements made during this call include forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from our expectations and projections. Such risks and uncertainties include the factors set forth in the earnings release and in our filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

Additionally, during today's call, the company will discuss non-GAAP measures, which we believe can be useful in evaluating our performance. A reconciliation of these measures can be found in our earnings release and the slide presentation on our website. I would now like to turn the call over to our Chairman and CEO, Doug Black.

Doug Black
Chairman and CEO, SiteOne Landscape Supply

Thanks, Pascal. Good morning, thank you for taking time to join us today. I am pleased with the progress we made in the second quarter as we accelerated our organic growth following the prolonged winter and were able to quickly adjust to a step-up in cost inflation. We also continued to add terrific companies to SiteOne during the quarter and in July. Lastly, we made good progress on our investments in the future by completing the pilot of our new e-commerce platform during the quarter and beginning our company-wide rollout. Overall, we are well positioned to take advantage of the current market tailwinds and deliver performance and growth in 2018 and beyond. I will start today's call with a review of our unique market position, our strategy to deliver long-term performance and growth, and our progress over the past four months.

John Guthrie will then walk you through our second quarter financial results in more detail, and Pascal Convers will address our acquisition strategy. Finally, I will discuss our outlook for 2018 before taking your questions. I will start on slide four of the earnings presentation. SiteOne is the largest and only national wholesale distributor of landscaping products, with a footprint of 547 branches and three major distribution centers in the U.S. and Canada, comprising approximately 10% share of this $18 billion highly fragmented market. We are four times larger than our nearest competitor and larger than two through 10 combined. Our size and scale, our agile culture, and our full product line capability give us competitive advantage and provide a nice balance across the maintenance, new construction, and repair and upgrade end markets.

Turning to slide five, our large and local strategy combines the scale, resources, and capabilities of a large world-class company with the passion, deep knowledge, and entrepreneurialism of our local teams in order to deliver superior value to our customers and suppliers. We further drive this strategy by acquiring leading local and regional companies to fill in our product portfolio, add terrific talent to our teams, and expand our branch network across the U.S. and Canada. We believe the combination of these efforts will allow us to gain market share, both organically and inorganically, in order to accelerate our growth and profitability. Our strategy is enhanced through the execution of our five commercial and operational initiatives listed here, which help us to improve our value to customers and suppliers, expand our margins, and accelerate organic growth.

Overall, our market position, capabilities, and strategy allow us to create value for our shareholders in three complementary ways: through organic growth, margin expansion, and acquisition growth. Since we are still in the early innings of implementing our strategy, we believe that we can leverage all three of these areas to create significant value for many years to come. Slide six illustrates SiteOne's history and our strategy in action. Following the spin-out from Deere & Company at the end of 2013, we developed a vision and a strategy to be a company of excellence for our associates, customers, suppliers, shareholders, and communities. Since then, we have been hard at work building our company, transforming our culture, and executing our strategy.

As you can see from our financial results, our strategy is working, with strong organic and inorganic sales growth over the past three years and solid operating leverage with a 17% top-line compound annual growth rate translating into a 29% compounded annual growth rate for Adjusted EBITDA. We remain on track toward our stated Adjusted EBITDA margin goal of 10% plus. Turning to slide seven. We are still at the very beginning, and we have only just begun to implement our strategy. This includes filling in our product line capability in every major U.S. and Canadian market. The graph shows that we only have a full line capability today in approximately 45 of our targeted 225 major markets, primarily due to the lack of nursery and/or hardscape branches.

We plan to add the majority of these branches through acquisition in order to also bring in local talent and both the customer and supplier relationships required to win in these markets. We will continue to penetrate new markets and improve our market position in irrigation and agronomics through acquisition. I will now shift to our second quarter performance on slide eight. We achieved 13% overall sales growth, with good contribution from acquisitions complementing growth in organic sales. As we mentioned on our first quarter earnings call, the spring season did not kick in until mid-April, which is very late compared to a normal start in March. Accordingly, April organic daily sales growth was quite muted.

The strength that we saw in late April did carry through to May and June, where we achieved 8%-9% organic daily sales growth, yielding 5% organic growth for the full quarter. Importantly, we are seeing good organic daily sales growth in July against tougher comparable growth rates in 2017. Price inflation, which was very low last year, is more of a tailwind this year and was 3% in the second quarter. We expect this trend to continue in the second half and now believe we will see approximately 3% price inflation for the full year. With the construction markets healthy and growing and continued contribution from acquisitions, we expect good sales growth in the remainder of Q3 and for the rest of the year.

On the gross margin side, we saw a step-up in cost inflation in the second quarter, which we have not seen for several years, driven by increased material, freight, and labor costs. Our teams worked hard with our suppliers and customers to pass these costs through in a responsible manner. As you can imagine, this takes time, we achieved only a modest amount of gross margin expansion during the quarter, which like organic daily sales, improved as the quarter progressed. We are now well-positioned to achieve gross margin improvement in the second half with the benefit of our category management and supply chain initiatives. Our Adjusted EBITDA grew 12% in the quarter, which reflects good contribution from acquisitions and growth in the base business. Adjusted EBITDA was slightly dampened by the late spring, cost pass-through, and planned investment in our strategic initiatives during the quarter.

With our current trends in organic sales and gross margin, and with SG&A spending on plan, we remain confident that we will see good EBITDA margin expansion for the full year. On the initiatives front, we continue to make progress integrating our three distribution centers to successfully support our branches. We are very pleased with the performance of our DCs and the new dimension that they have added to SiteOne in terms of product availability and logistical performance. Our supply chain teams and field associates have done a fantastic job ramping these up, and we look forward to reaping the rewards for many years to come. Last quarter, we discussed the pilot launch of our new e-commerce platform, the new siteone.com, which allows our customers to order product and schedule pickup or delivery all from their phone, tablet, or computer.

As you are aware, our e-commerce portal has been in the development for nearly two years now, and we are very excited that it has gone live in select markets. We made progress in the quarter rolling out to new markets, and the site is now live in six of our 11 regions. We now expect to complete our rollout of the site by the end of September. We are seeing a solid response to the new siteone.com and believe that this new capability will position SiteOne as the clear leader in service efficiency for our customers and suppliers. Overall, we are still in the early innings of building our company and believe that our investments will deliver tremendous competitive advantage in our fragmented market and support accelerated performance and growth for years to come. Our acquisition strategy continues to be successful and complements our organic growth.

We have completed 11 acquisitions year to date, four of those this quarter and four more recently in July. Combined, these acquisitions comprise approximately $195 million of trailing 12-month revenue. Pascal will go into more detail regarding these acquisitions later on the call. Overall, our acquisition activity continues to ramp up nicely, and you can expect to see more deals closed during the remainder of the year. In summary, I am very pleased with our team's ability to navigate through the various challenges in the second quarter and post a record result while keeping us on track to deliver strong results for the full year. Now, John Guthrie will walk you through the quarter in more detail. John?

John Guthrie
CFO, SiteOne Landscape Supply

Thanks, Doug. I'll begin on slide nine with the income statement for our second quarter results. We reported a net sales increase of 13% to $688 million in the second quarter. During the quarter, we had 64 selling days, which was unchanged compared to the prior year. As Doug mentioned earlier, organic daily sales recovered nicely and grew 5% in the second quarter and 4% for the first half. Spring eventually came, and sales growth accelerated starting in mid-April and continued through May and June, where we posted organic daily sales growth of 8%-9%. We are seeing solid organic daily sales growth in July. Geographically, we saw broad growth across the country with strength in the Sun Belt markets.

Organic daily sales for landscaping products, which includes irrigation, nursery, hardscapes, outdoor lighting, and landscape accessories, grew 5% for the quarter and 5% for the first half, as the fundamental demand in the repair and upgrade and new construction end markets remained strong. We believe the broader recovery from the late season was constrained by labor shortages and a limited number of construction days, and as a result, the recovery will likely extend into Q3. Organic daily sales for agronomic products, which includes fertilizer, control products, ice melt, and equipment, grew 6% for the quarter and 4% for the first half. Organic daily sales for agronomic products in the quarter benefited from a later spring selling season and price increases in response to cost inflation.

In addition, organic daily sales for agronomic products for the first half of the year also benefited from the strong sales of ice melt due to the extended winter. Pricing increased 3% for the quarter and 2% for the first half of the year. This was a measurable increase over the 1% increase in 2016 and no increase in 2017. The price inflation is being driven by increases in our costs for material, freight, and labor. We expect this trend to continue and price inflation for the full year to be approximately 3%. We are not factoring tariffs in our price inflation forecast. We do not believe the initial $50 billion of Chinese tariffs directly impacted many of our products. The more recent $200 billion list could have a larger impact, as some products like lighting and control products have components sourced from China.

Having said that, we have a broad product line. Potentially affected products make up less than 20% of our sales, and if the tariffs were enacted, we would expect to pass through the associated cost. Additionally, given the timing of the tariffs and the seasonality of our business, we would not expect to see much change until 2019. Acquisitions contributed approximately $48 million to net sales in the second quarter or 8% to our growth rate. For the year, acquisitions contributed approximately $76 million or 8% to our overall growth rate. Gross profit increased 14% to $230 million in the second quarter, while gross margin expanded 10 basis points to 33.4%. Category management was the largest driver of the margin increase as we continued to benefit from partnering with leading manufacturers and suppliers in our industry. The price increases previously mentioned largely offset the cost increases in the margin calculation.

Product mix did not have a significant impact on gross margin in either the quarter or the first six months of the year. Selling, general, and administrative expenses, or SG&A, increased by 15% to $145 million in the second quarter, and SG&A as a percentage of sales increased 30 basis points to 21.1%. The increase in SG&A as a percentage of sales was attributable to our growth from acquisitions and our planned investments in critical strategic initiatives like e-commerce and supply chain. We recorded income tax expense of $14.7 million in the second quarter of 2018 compared to $26.3 million in the prior year period. The effective tax rate was 18.9% for the second quarter compared to 37.3% for the prior year period.

The decrease in the effective tax rate was due to the reduction of the U.S. corporate income tax rate from 35% to 21% as a result of the 2017 Tax Act, and an increase in excess tax benefits pursuant to ASU 2016-09. We continue to expect our 2018 effective tax rate will be between 26% and 27%, excluding the excess tax benefits associated with ASU 2016-09 and other discrete items. Net income increased 43% to $63.1 million for the second quarter compared to $44.2 million for the prior year period. The increase in net income for the quarter is attributable to higher organic sales, contributions from acquisitions, and a lower tax rate. Our weighted average diluted share count was 42.6 million shares for the second quarter of 2018 as compared to 42.5 million for the fourth quarter of 2017.

The increase reflects both the increase in our stock price and our equity grants. Adjusted EBITDA increased 12% to $103 million for the second quarter compared to $92.3 million for the same period in the prior year. I'd like to provide a brief update on our balance sheet and cash flow statement as shown on slide 10. Net working capital increased approximately 26% from prior year period to $517 million as of July 1st, 2018. The growth in net working capital primarily reflects the increase in inventory and receivables attributable to acquisitions Strong organic growth and the rollout of the new distribution centers. Cash flow from operations was approximately $12 million in the second quarter, compared to $23 million in the prior year period.

The reduction in cash flow relative to prior year is primarily attributable to growth in accounts receivable caused by acquisitions, accelerating organic growth, and supplier programs. For the first half of the year, cash used in operations improved $3 million to $28 million due to our higher earnings. Free cash flow for the first six months was essentially flat to the prior year period. We made cash investments of $23 million for the quarter, compared to $6 million for the prior year period, primarily reflecting our increased acquisition activity during the quarter. Net debt at the end of the quarter was $571 million and leverage was 3.5 times our trailing 12 months Adjusted EBITDA, which is up from 3.2 times last year. The increase in leverage primarily reflects increased borrowing to fund our acquisition strategy.

Our leverage target for the end of the year is 2-3 times net debt to Adjusted EBITDA. In summary, our capital structure continues to provide us with the flexibility to execute our growth strategy, including the funding of our acquisitions. I will now turn the call over to Pascal for an update on SiteOne's acquisition strategy.

Pascal Convers
EVP of Strategy and Development and Investor Relations, SiteOne Landscape Supply

Thank you, John. As Doug mentioned earlier, acquisitions play a key role within our overall growth strategy as we continue to fill the significant white space. As shown on slide 11, we have now acquired 33 companies since the beginning of 2014. They added 193 branches to SiteOne and contribute $745 million in sales on a TTM basis. We're having a strong year and having good progress accelerating our pace of acquisitions from four in 2015 to six in 2016 to eight in 2017, and now 11 more through the first seven months of 2018, representing $195 million in LTM sales. As we turn to slides 12 through 15, you will be able to find information on the eight acquisitions we completed in the last four months.

In April, we acquired Terrazzo & Stone Supply, a leader in the distribution of natural stone and hardscape materials with locations in Bellevue and Marysville, Washington. Terrazzo adds natural stone and hardscapes to our existing irrigation, agronomics, and landscape lighting product offerings in the Seattle market. In May, we acquired Landscaper's Choice, a leader in the distribution of nursery and related products to landscape professionals with locations in the Naples and Bonita Springs, Florida, markets. Through Landscaper's Choice, SiteOne adds nursery products, which we did not have in those markets, to our existing irrigation, agronomics, hardscapes, and landscape lighting product lines, and allows SiteOne to offer full product lines to our customers in Southwest Florida.

On June 1st, we completed the acquisition of Auto-Rain, which is a leading supplier of irrigation and related products to landscape professionals in the Spokane Valley market, with five locations in the states of Washington and Idaho. Auto-Rain is a natural fit with SiteOne as it helps expand our geographic footprint into a new market where we did not have a presence before. On June 26th, we acquired All American Stone in College Station, which is a leading supplier of hardscapes and landscape supplies in the East Texas market. All American is a great strategic fit, adding hardscapes, landscape supplies, and natural stone products to our existing irrigation, agronomics, nursery, and landscape lighting product lines in East Texas. On July 2nd, we completed the acquisition of Landscape Express, which is a leading distributor of hardscapes and landscape supplies with four locations in the Boston metro area.

The Landscape Express acquisition complements our existing operation with a full range of irrigation, agronomics, and nursery products and allows SiteOne to offer a full product line to our Boston customers. On July 25th, we acquired Kirkwood Material Supply, which is a leading supplier of hardscapes, nursery, and related landscape supply with eight locations in the greater St. Louis market. Through Kirkwood, SiteOne adds products which we did not have to our existing irrigation, agronomics, and landscape lighting product lines, and allows SiteOne to offer a full product line to our customers in St. Louis. On July 27th, we completed the acquisition of Stone Center of Virginia, which is a leading distributor of hardscapes, landscape supplies, and outdoor lighting in the Washington, D.C. Metro.

Stone Center's Manassas, Virginia, location is a perfect complement to our current irrigation, agronomics, and nursery product businesses and allows us to provide a full product line to our customers in Northern Virginia and Southern Maryland. On July 30th, we made the strategic acquisition of Central Pro, which is a leading supplier of irrigation and related products with 10 locations and one distribution center in Central and Eastern Florida. Central Pro brings a talented team to SiteOne with an excellent reputation and a strong history of customer focus and growth. The combination of our two companies makes us the clear irrigation leader in the state of Florida and provides good purchasing synergies as well as cross-selling opportunities.

As we turn to slide 16, we continue to see a significant opportunity to grow profitably through acquisitions, which allow us to move into new markets, expand our presence in existing ones, broaden our product offering, and also, very importantly, add outstanding talent to our team. Our pipeline remains robust. With 11 acquisitions year to date, our M&A strategy is gaining momentum. We continue to build a reputation as the buyer of choice in the industry. We would also like to thank all the leaders of SiteOne who are great ambassadors, working hand in hand with our development team to help SiteOne attract the best companies to join us in the future. While the timing of acquisitions cannot be fully predicted, we have strong momentum and expect to close additional acquisitions in the next few months, which should contribute nicely to our growth in 2019 and beyond.

With that, I'd like to turn the call back over to Doug to discuss our outlook.

Doug Black
Chairman and CEO, SiteOne Landscape Supply

Thanks, Pascal. I'll wrap up on slide 17. Overall, as we look toward the second half of the year, we are confident that we can deliver another year of excellent performance and growth for the full year 2018. The underlying market trends remain positive across residential and commercial new construction, repair and upgrade, and maintenance. We continue to execute our commercial and operational initiatives, which we believe will allow us to gain market share, achieve good organic growth, and further expand our Adjusted EBITDA margin. Lastly, our acquisitions are contributing strongly. As Pascal mentioned, our pipeline of potential companies remains very active. Accordingly, we continue to expect 2018 Adjusted EBITDA to be in the range of $180 million-$192 million for the full year. In closing, I would like to acknowledge all of the SiteOne associates who continue to create significant value for our customers and suppliers.

We have a tremendous team. It is an honor to be joined with them as we build a company of excellence for all of our stakeholders. Operator, please open the line for questions.

Operator

Thank you. At this time, we'll be conducting a question and answer session. If you'd like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad. A confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue. You may press star two if you'd like to remove your question from the queue. For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up your handset before pressing the star keys. To allow for as many questions as possible this morning, we request that you ask one question and one follow-up each. Our first question comes from the line of Ryan Merkel with William Blair. Please proceed with your question.

Ryan Merkel
Analyst, William Blair

Hey, thanks. Good morning, everyone.

Doug Black
Chairman and CEO, SiteOne Landscape Supply

Good morning, Ryan.

Pascal Convers
EVP of Strategy and Development and Investor Relations, SiteOne Landscape Supply

Good morning.

Ryan Merkel
Analyst, William Blair

First of all, I'm curious on product price cost in the quarter. It sounds like you weren't able to pass along the full cost increase. Did I hear that right? If so, can you quantify what the impact was in the quarter?

Doug Black
Chairman and CEO, SiteOne Landscape Supply

Not exactly, Ryan. We did pass through. It just took the quarter to get that accomplished. The inflation started to hit us at the beginning of the quarter. Again, 3% is steeper than we've seen in several years, right? As that came through, obviously we went to work with our customers and our suppliers to responsibly pass that through. There's a couple of month lag there to get that done, which obviously creates a headwind and is dilutive to gross margin. As we went through the quarter, we were able to pass those costs through, and that's where we are today, and what we're seeing in July is the full pass-through is in effect. That allows our initiatives in category management and supply chain to be accretive to gross margin. We feel like we're in good shape for the rest of the year.

Call it a couple of month lag, where we had to work through the pass-through, we certainly have gotten to the end of that. Of course, the 3% creates a nice tailwind for organic growth. We'll take the benefit of that, and we feel good about the rest of the year and how it will play out and average out for the full year for gross margin.

Ryan Merkel
Analyst, William Blair

Doug, if I heard you right, there was a little bit of a lag. It did weigh on the margins a little bit, you're all caught up. As it relates to gross margin expansion in the second half, price cost, freight, and category management are all going to be positive drivers.

Doug Black
Chairman and CEO, SiteOne Landscape Supply

That's correct.

Ryan Merkel
Analyst, William Blair

Got it. Okay. I wanted to ask about organic growth in the quarter at 5%. You had 3% inflation, so that implies about 2% volume growth. I'm just wondering, is that 2% volume growth, is that below your expectations? Because I was thinking more like 4%-5%. If so, is the big issue just the slow start given the weather?

Doug Black
Chairman and CEO, SiteOne Landscape Supply

Right. No, great question. Yes, the 3% obviously would add to organic growth, and that's exactly what we saw in May and June. April was kind of a half a month. We were underwater in mid-April. The season hadn't started, and again, this is a big season, and when it goes, it's quite powerful. We started to see the lift in the second half of April, in May and June, we saw that come through. By the way, as I talked about, the pricing inflation worked its way through in the quarter as well. The quarter is an average of a very slow start, a long, prolonged winter, a really strong kind of second half, May and June, or second two-thirds, let's call it. We do expect that 3% to add to organic growth as a tailwind.

We're seeing that as we speak.

Ryan Merkel
Analyst, William Blair

Got it. Okay, thanks. I'll pass it on.

Doug Black
Chairman and CEO, SiteOne Landscape Supply

Thanks, Ryan.

Ryan Merkel
Analyst, William Blair

Thanks.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of David Manthey with Robert W. Baird. Please proceed with your question.

David Manthey
Analyst, Robert W. Baird

Hi, guys. Good morning.

Doug Black
Chairman and CEO, SiteOne Landscape Supply

Good morning, David.

Pascal Convers
EVP of Strategy and Development and Investor Relations, SiteOne Landscape Supply

Morning.

David Manthey
Analyst, Robert W. Baird

First off, in a normal year, when you look at the distribution of second quarter revenues by month, what are the % of revenues that typically would come through in April and May versus June? Is there a weighting to one end or the other, one month or the other?

John Guthrie
CFO, SiteOne Landscape Supply

You would generally see April is the biggest selling month. I don't have a specific, but let's say April would typically be 15% of our sales for the year, and May and June would be roughly 9%-10%.

David Manthey
Analyst, Robert W. Baird

Okay. Then as we look at the third quarter trend, does it go the opposite of that? Does it start out higher and decline into September, or is it more evenly dispersed there?

John Guthrie
CFO, SiteOne Landscape Supply

July starts off, August is the slowest month, and it starts ramping back up in September and October. September would be roughly equal to July. October would be greater than July. That's really when the season ends. You really get a kind of fall run-up in September and October. July and August is the slowest month before the end of the year.

David Manthey
Analyst, Robert W. Baird

Okay, that's helpful. Thanks.

Doug Black
Chairman and CEO, SiteOne Landscape Supply

David, one point to make is, you can see our agronomic growth in the second quarter was good. The construction market growth was the one that really got constrained. That happens because when you get that slow start and the season cranks up, there is a labor cap and a number of days cap in how much catch-up. We called that out when we released our first quarter results, that it would really take Q2 and Q3 to kind of catch up on the construction side. That's what we're seeing as well. We would expect the third quarter to benefit on the construction side from the lag we saw in Q1 and Q2.

David Manthey
Analyst, Robert W. Baird

Okay. As it relates to the growth going forward, if you're getting 3% price and let's say something in the mid-single digit organic growth, I wouldn't think that high single digit organic growth in the back half of the year would be too much of a stretch. Let's just assume you're able to get to that level of organic growth. Is your expectation for contribution margin still in the mid-teens kind of range? I think your guidance implies that. I just wanted to clarify, though.

Doug Black
Chairman and CEO, SiteOne Landscape Supply

That would be right. That we would be in the mid-teens for incremental margins.

David Manthey
Analyst, Robert W. Baird

Okay, perfect. Thank you.

John Guthrie
CFO, SiteOne Landscape Supply

Thank you, David.

David Manthey
Analyst, Robert W. Baird

Good.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Keith Hughes with SunTrust Robinson Humphrey. Please proceed with your question.

Keith Hughes
Analyst, SunTrust Robinson Humphrey

Thank you. In the second half, per the last question, to hit the guidance, we should see some good margin improvements. What would be the rough mix of that between gross margin and SG&A in your plan?

Doug Black
Chairman and CEO, SiteOne Landscape Supply

The majority of our improvement plan for this year is gross margin. When we talk about the EBITDA margin improvement, we still feel that's the case. Again, that reflects that we are still investing in the business, et cetera. We do have line of sight to get a little bit of SG&A leverage. One of the things about the first half is when you look at our investments, they are really first half weighted. Versus last year, last year our investments tended to be second half weighted. This year they are more evenly spread. What we see is about a 20 basis kind of delta versus last year just on investments in the first half. We will not see that in the second half, so that becomes a tailwind. When you take it all together in the year, we are still on plan with our SG&A.

We see organic growth being solid. Gross margins, as we explained, will reflect the pass-through that we have accomplished in our strategic initiatives. We end the year getting EBITDA improvement. The majority of that would be gross margin, little bit on the SG&A. As we move into 2019 and 2020, we would expect SG&A leverage to increase meaningfully, and it would be more of an even contribution between SG&A leverage and gross margin. In 2018, the majority of it is going to be gross margin.

Keith Hughes
Analyst, SunTrust Robinson Humphrey

Okay. As you had discussed, seeing more inflation this year than in several years. Can you kind of tick off the top couple categories where prices are going up the most?

John Guthrie
CFO, SiteOne Landscape Supply

The two product categories where we're seeing it most is in agronomics. The other category we're seeing it is in nursery. Nursery driven by short demand for product, has been in shortage for the last several years. On agronomics, it's a combination of demand. There's a bigger freight component of those products that is driving up the price.

Keith Hughes
Analyst, SunTrust Robinson Humphrey

Okay. Thank you very much.

John Guthrie
CFO, SiteOne Landscape Supply

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Michael Eisen with RBC Capital Markets. Please proceed with your question.

Michael Eisen
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Good morning, gentlemen. Thank you for taking the questions.

John Guthrie
CFO, SiteOne Landscape Supply

Good morning.

Doug Black
Chairman and CEO, SiteOne Landscape Supply

Good morning, Michael.

Michael Eisen
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Just wanted to start in thinking of the new acquisitions that you guys have announced and given more color on today. When thinking of the margin profile of these businesses, is there anything to think about structurally or just in the near term that would limit contribution from these branches?

Pascal Convers
EVP of Strategy and Development and Investor Relations, SiteOne Landscape Supply

No. The Adjusted EBITDA margin of those deals that we've done recently is pretty much in line

With where we are on average. As you can see, it's a combination of irrigation, hardscapes, and nursery. All in all, it's in line. As you know, the hardscapes and nursery companies tend to have a little higher gross margin and also a little bit higher SG&A. Overall, at the Adjusted EBITDA level, they're all contributing at the average of the company.

Michael Eisen
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Okay. When thinking about the pace of deals accelerating, how should we think about the incremental dollars that are going to come into from an SG&A standpoint in the near term, and then from a what you guys are paying standpoint, have you seen any change in the multiples that are being asked at this point, just given the size and scale of your success?

Pascal Convers
EVP of Strategy and Development and Investor Relations, SiteOne Landscape Supply

No, the multiples are the same. We're consistent. Over the last four years, we haven't seen any change. If you look at the pace of deals, I mean, for us, it's not really a surprise. It's the normal acceleration that we expected. We did four deals three years ago, then six, then eight last year. Year to date, we're at 11. I mean, we expect to do 10 to 12 acquisitions this year, so we're slightly ahead of schedule, no doubt. The pipeline is very strong, but that's the result of all the hard work of our guys. The S&D team has done a terrific job, and then working hand-in-hand with our guys in the field, we've got 70 scouts. Everybody's looking for more opportunities, and the pipeline is bigger.

For us, as you know, our midterm goal is to get to, let's call it, 25 acquisitions a year. Two a month. We're ramping up to that level over time. Yeah, we have line of sight for more deals in the next five months, no doubt. Sellers sell when they're ready to sell. We still expect to do a few more acquisitions. It'd be hard to break down, going back to your earlier question, Mike, about the SG&A impact in the last five months, coming from the base versus acquisitions. I think Doug summarized it very well. The comp for the second half is better for us than the first half when it comes to SG&A, and we still expect to leverage SG&A slightly this year.

Michael Eisen
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Understood. Thank you guys.

Doug Black
Chairman and CEO, SiteOne Landscape Supply

Yeah, one point, just to follow up with Pascal on that. The timing does factor into that. Acquisitions that we do, say, in the second half of the year, we just did a bunch in July here. You can imagine they'd missed the big part of the season. Just in terms of the phasing, SG&A tends to be fairly fixed throughout the year, and sales tends to be a little more front-end weighted than back-end weighted. The specific SG&A to sales, the later in the season we acquire, the more kind of dilutive it would be as kind of SG&A to sales. I mean, they're all very profitable, and we don't try to time. We do the acquisitions when they're ready to be done because we're taking the full year benefit in the following year. Pay attention to the timing.

The ones in the back half on an EBITDA basis wouldn't be delivering as much as the ones that we would've done earlier in the year.

Michael Eisen
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

That's really helpful. Thank you, guys.

Pascal Convers
EVP of Strategy and Development and Investor Relations, SiteOne Landscape Supply

Thank you, Mike.

Doug Black
Chairman and CEO, SiteOne Landscape Supply

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Nishu Sood with Deutsche Bank. Please proceed with your question.

Nishu Sood
Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Thank you. On the cost inflation acceleration, how much of it was in the products that you're selling, and how much of it was on your cost structure side, i.e., the labor and transport that you called out?

Doug Black
Chairman and CEO, SiteOne Landscape Supply

When we're talking about the cost inflation, the majority of it was on the product side. By product, I would say both materials and freight included on that side. SG&A, as we're talking about cost inflation in that reference point, is really reflected more in the SG&A line, but it is contributing as we evaluate that.

Nishu Sood
Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Got it. You're saying that it was the inbound freight you were trying to call out?

Doug Black
Chairman and CEO, SiteOne Landscape Supply

Yes, inbound freight.

Nishu Sood
Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Right.

Doug Black
Chairman and CEO, SiteOne Landscape Supply

You bring up a point even on SG&A. We do have a component of our SG&A is our delivery fleet. We are seeing some cost inflation there also.

Nishu Sood
Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Got it.

Doug Black
Chairman and CEO, SiteOne Landscape Supply

But-

Nishu Sood
Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Sorry, go ahead.

Doug Black
Chairman and CEO, SiteOne Landscape Supply

I was just going to reiterate that the majority is in the product cost.

Nishu Sood
Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Got it. Thinking about the acquisition pace and the accelerated pace of deals so far this year, what, as you kind of take a step back, has driven that? What are the conditions? Has it been just that obviously the targets you're acquiring, I'm sure their financials have improved, so obviously it's a better point for them to sell. Is it just the efforts to develop the pipeline? Is it just obviously deals come when they come? Is it just there's some element of clustering? Is there anything that on a broad basis, if you take a step back, though, that you would identify as kind of driving the conditions to accelerate the pace of acquisitions?

Pascal Convers
EVP of Strategy and Development and Investor Relations, SiteOne Landscape Supply

Yeah, no, it's what you said in the middle, which is all the efforts that the team has put. Again, we're trying to get to 25 a year. 11 year to date is very good, ahead of schedule, but we're not where we want to be midterm. The team has been complete since, I think it was the fall of 2015. We've got five people full-time on the M&A side, plus 15 to 20 people on the integration side working hand-in-hand with the guys in the field. Normal acceleration, all the results of the effort, we don't think that there is any relationship, if you will, with the cycle at the end of the day. Easier to sell probably for someone when you're in an expansion as opposed to a downturn.

However, a lot of those companies behave fairly well also in the downturn, depending on the product lines that they have. A lot of regions are not boom to bust. Nothing really unusual or unexpected. A lot of great work from many people in the company to get there.

Doug Black
Chairman and CEO, SiteOne Landscape Supply

Just to play on that.

Nishu Sood
Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Okay. Thank you

Doug Black
Chairman and CEO, SiteOne Landscape Supply

Keep in mind that we have 250 to 300 targets of acquisitions. As Pascal said, it's taken time to get to know them to get to know us. It's taken time for our reputation to spread as a good home for companies. These are big decisions. These are all entrepreneurs and majority of negotiated sales. Pascal and the team have been hard at work, and we've built our integration capability to responsibly ramp up. I think you're just seeing that ramp up. We're not going to replicate July and do four a month, right? They do actually come in clusters within the year. But if you look at the ramp up from six to eight to let's call it this year, 10 to 12 still, the next year 15, et cetera.

As we become a bigger company, we get a bigger capacity to add great companies. The terrific thing is that we're acquiring the best companies in the market. These are high-performing companies. They fill an essential gap in our geographic network to fill in our product line. We're not just buying companies, we're filling in and building our company as we do it. It's a natural ramp up, and we would aim to continue to ramp up going forward, as Pascal said.

Nishu Sood
Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Okay, thanks. Appreciate the color.

Pascal Convers
EVP of Strategy and Development and Investor Relations, SiteOne Landscape Supply

Thank you, Nishu.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Steven Winoker with UBS. Please proceed with your question.

Steven Winoker
Analyst, UBS

Thanks. Good morning.

Pascal Convers
EVP of Strategy and Development and Investor Relations, SiteOne Landscape Supply

Good morning.

Steven Winoker
Analyst, UBS

I'd just like to start on the M&A front a little bit more. As these layer in through 2018, the 11 acquisitions, what's your go forward 2019 EPS accretion for the group? I understand they layer, but just incremental next year, what should we think about bottom line for all of these?

Doug Black
Chairman and CEO, SiteOne Landscape Supply

I don't think we're ready to give guidance for next year yet with regards to the acquisitions.

Steven Winoker
Analyst, UBS

I guess the question is, what is the full year run way? You've done these, what's the ROIC on the group that you're averaging in your plan?

Doug Black
Chairman and CEO, SiteOne Landscape Supply

Well, I think as we've laid out with regards to what the revenues are, and as Pascal indicated earlier, what the EBITDA would be, and the multiples have been similar to what we've done in the past.

Steven Winoker
Analyst, UBS

You're not. Let me go to cash flow. On operating cash flow and free cash flow, I guess the $6 million in the quarter. You indicated the working capital build, the higher CapEx. Can you talk about when we should expect that to quote, "normalize" with the new size of the organization, what the drivers are and what you're doing to sort of create better efficiencies around operating cash flows as well?

Doug Black
Chairman and CEO, SiteOne Landscape Supply

Two things. One is, remember that we are a seasonal business, really the first half of the year is a cash flow, a build of cash flow. Then we really become cash flow positive in the second half of the year. With regards to improving cash flow, I think one of the things that you're really going to see, and that's really an enabler, is our new distribution strategy. That actually has been a headwind in the past as we've rolled it out and kind of built up inventories. Really, it's allowed us to be much more surgical in how we buy and how we be more efficient with regards to our operating cash flow and that inventory build. This has been kind of an evolution.

We've always thought that our goal was to get upwards of five times on inventory turns, really kind of the first enabling step was the distribution and kind of restatement of where we're going with regards to inventories. Just to play on that. You've seen an inventory build, we talked about that in the first quarter. That's continued in the second quarter, with the DCs, you're doubling up a bit. We have clear line of sight to work that down in the second half. We will see improved turns in the second half. We'll see inventory get down to quote, unquote, "kind of normal levels." In 2019 and beyond, we'll be able to drive inventory in relation to sales lower and achieve the turn improvement. We have a plan.

We also have incentives in the field, with an inventory charge. The field and we are all aligned in achieving the inventory efficiency, you'll see that in the second half of the year.

Steven Winoker
Analyst, UBS

Okay. All right. That's helpful. Thank you.

Doug Black
Chairman and CEO, SiteOne Landscape Supply

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, as a reminder, if you'd like to join the question queue, please press star one at this time. Our next question comes from line of Matthew Bouley with Barclays. Please proceed with your question.

Matthew Bouley
Analyst, Barclays

Hi, thank you for taking my questions. Following up on the earlier question around deal acceleration, do you suspect that any of the, I guess, increasing challenges in the market, whether it's freight or labor or the cost inflation, are playing into the availability of targets at this point? Just how do you think about the availability of targets changing at different points in the cycle more broadly? Thank you.

Pascal Convers
EVP of Strategy and Development and Investor Relations, SiteOne Landscape Supply

Good question. As Doug said, we've got a pipeline of 250 companies. That pipeline keeps expanding. We find new names and new targets. Every time you acquire a company, they have their own list, actually, of targets that they would have liked to acquire, so that keeps getting bigger. We don't anticipate inflation, freight, or those kind of matters to play a role in the acquisition. Again, we've done it for many years in our past life, and we're sustainable at 20 to 25 deals a year through the downturn as well. I would not expect those, I guess, short-term kind of noise to play a role in our long-term recurrent acquisition strategy. We said we would do 10 to 12 this year. We're ahead of schedule. Next year, we were thinking that probably getting to 15 would be a good target.

After that, you go to 20, 25. The acceleration will be there. The targets are there. We've got very serious discussions at all time with 35 to 40 companies. At any time, you've got between 10 and 15 NDAs. At any time, you've got between two to five handshakes, LOIs. That continues to be the case, and will continue. We'll get busier. We're already pretty busy, and it's a nice thing to see. Very happy with the future here.

Matthew Bouley
Analyst, Barclays

Okay, that's helpful. Thank you. Then just on the guidance, you added the $95 million in annualized revenues since the last quarter, but left the full-year guide unchanged. Is that presumably just the cost inflation lag you mentioned as the main offset? Also some of maybe the second half deal timing means there really isn't much contribution from the deals? Just how should we think about some of the puts and takes within that guide? Thank you.

Doug Black
Chairman and CEO, SiteOne Landscape Supply

Right. No, that's a good question. When we put our guidance out, of course, we had Atlantic, which was one of the big ones in the first half. Yes, we've added quite a few, but they've been late in the second quarter, then they've been obviously four more in July, which comprise $75 million in sales, which is quite a bit. As we mentioned, when you're buying acquisitions in the back half, they just don't contribute as much. Overall, they're contributing strongly. When we look at the numbers, we're still within the range of 180 to 192. We feel comfortable with that, and we feel good about the acquisitions. It's largely around the timing of when these acquisitions come on and what they deliver, especially the ones in the back half.

Matthew Bouley
Analyst, Barclays

Okay. That's clear. Thank you very much.

Pascal Convers
EVP of Strategy and Development and Investor Relations, SiteOne Landscape Supply

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Mr. Black, there are no further questions at this time. I'll turn the floor back to you for any final comments.

Doug Black
Chairman and CEO, SiteOne Landscape Supply

Okay, terrific. Well, thank you all again for joining us today. We very much appreciate your interest in SiteOne and are excited about our long-term opportunities for profitability and growth. I want to thank again our associates that have done a tremendous job and are a great part of our company, and we look forward to catching you up at the end of the third quarter on our progress during the remainder of the year. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. This concludes today's teleconference. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation.