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Earnings Call: Q3 2021

Nov 10, 2021

Operator

Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the third quarter 2021 Smart Sand, Incorporated earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. To ask a question during this session, you will need to press star one on your telephone. If you require any further assistance, please press star zero. Now I would like to hand the conference over to your first speaker today, Josh Jayne, Director of Finance. Thank you. Please go ahead.

Josh Jayne
Director of Finance, Smart Sand

Good morning, and thank you for joining us for Smart Sand's third quarter 2021 earnings call. On the call today, we have Chuck Young, Founder and Chief Executive Officer, Lee Beckelman, Chief Financial Officer, and John Young, Chief Operating Officer. Before we begin, I would like to remind all participants that our comments made today will include forward-looking statements, which are subject to certain risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results or events to materially differ from those anticipated. For a complete discussion of such risks and uncertainties, please refer to the company's press release and our documents on file with the SEC. Smart Sand disclaims any intention or obligation to update or revise any financial projections or forward-looking statements, whether because of new information, future events, or otherwise.

This conference call contains time-sensitive information and is accurate only as of the live broadcast today, November 10th, 2021 . Additionally, we may refer to the non-GAAP financial measures of contribution margin, EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA, and free cash flow during this call. We believe that these measures, when used in combination with our GAAP results, provide us and our investors with useful information to better understand our business. Please refer to our most recent press release or our public filings for our reconciliations of contribution margin to gross profit, EBITDA and adjusted EBITDA to net income, and free cash flow to cash flow provided by operating activities. I would now like to turn the call over to our CEO, Chuck Young.

Chuck Young
Founder and CEO, Smart Sand

Thanks, Josh, and good morning. We enjoyed another good quarter volume out of both Utica and Oakdale. Third quarter volumes of 790,000 tons are up 156% from third quarter 2020 levels and up 3% from last quarter. At our current run rate, we expect 2021 sales volumes will be a new record for tons sold by Smart Sand. Given the current outlook for commodity prices and spending by our customers, we believe 2022 volumes will exceed this year's levels. Under investment over the last couple of years, both in the U.S. and abroad, has negatively impacted the supply for oil and natural gas. With demand surging back to pre-pandemic levels, commodity prices now see 2019 levels, and we could be in the early stages of a multi-year upcycle of energy capital spending.

We continue to expect E&Ps to spend within their cash flows, but as a result of higher commodity prices, we expect spending to increase in 2022. As we end 2021 and move into 2022, we are continuing to look for opportunities to lower our cost structure and increase our asset utilization. As to pricing, we expect it to improve going forward because Northern White sand supply constraints and growing demand. We believe the industry needs further consolidation, and we continue to pursue opportunities to expand our business. We will not risk our balance sheet, and we will only acquire assets that broaden our access to key operating bases through new logistics sources to expand the markets and customer base that we serve.

During the third quarter, we announced a new 3-year agreement to supply sand to EQT, which demonstrates our continued commitment to provide long-term, sustainable sand supply and logistics services to our customers. We have been working on building out the terminal, and we remain on track to have it operational by the end of this year. The new terminal is exciting for us not only because it will expand our presence in the Appalachian Basin, but it will also provide ESG benefits to our customers in the region by reducing trucking mileage and associated carbon emissions related to sand delivery. Our terminal in Van Hook, North Dakota, which we acquired in the spring of 2018, has been a great success for Smart Sand and has helped us to substantially increase our sales volume into this key Northern White sand market.

Similarly, we believe our investment in the new Waynesburg, Pennsylvania terminal will be a key driver to help drive incremental sales for Smart Sand into the Appalachian Basin. We continue to believe that shipping sand on bulk basis by rail to terminals that are well-positioned to serve long-term drilling activity within an operating basin is the right long-term supply solution for sourcing frac sand in a cost-efficient and environmentally responsible manner. While we are optimistic about the outlook for frac sand, we are also committed to diversifying our business away from the cyclical nature of oil and gas. In the third quarter, we announced the hiring of Rick Shearer to lead our industrial products effort. Rick has held multiple executive leadership positions, most recently with Emerge Energy Services as CEO from 2012 to 2020.

Before that, he was the President and COO of U.S. Silica and founder of the Industrial Minerals Association - North America. Rick's experience and knowledge will be incredibly valuable as we diversify our business. He is currently in the process of building a team, and we expect contributions from this business to begin in 2022. Our balance sheet remains in great shape. Today, we have $35 million in cash and approximately $50 million in liquidity. Even though we have a strong balance sheet, we will remain disciplined with respect to capital spending and focus on maximizing cash flow. We remain committed to the last mile market with our SmartSystems, including our SmartPath transloader, which we believe is unlike anything in the industry. During the third quarter, we had another successful deployment of SmartPath, and we look forward to announcing more deployments in the coming months.

Using our SmartSystems, we estimate that the number of trucks needed to deliver sand to the well site will be reduced by more than 30% versus our competitors' offerings. By taking trucks off the road, accidents are reduced, carbon emissions are reduced, and noise is reduced. SmartSystems are also uniquely designed to reduce dust. By reducing accidents, carbon emission, noise, and dust, we are keeping people safer and striving to meet the ESG goals of Smart Sand and our customers while providing a reliable, efficient last mile solution for the industry. We're excited about our future for a number of reasons. Our balance sheet remains in great shape, and we have a significant net cash position. High commodity prices and strong demand should lead to a multi-year upcycle in E&P spending.

We are well-positioned to take advantage of any increased market activity with our available capacity, ample liquidity, and strong balance sheet. Having operated SmartPath successfully for three quarters, we look forward to expanding our last-mile shipping market share. We will be diversifying our business beginning in 2022 with other avenues to reduce the volatility of our cash flow. As always, we'll continue to keep an eye on the future, and we'll always keep our employees' and shareholders' interests in mind in everything we do. With that, I'll turn the call over to our CFO, Lee Beckelman.

Lee Beckelman
CFO, Smart Sand

Thanks, Chuck. We are encouraged by the pickup in activity we have seen thus far in 2021. As Chuck indicated, third quarter 2021 volumes were slightly higher than second quarter levels. We continued to expand our customer base during the third quarter and believe a more diverse customer base will strengthen our business going forward. We are also taking steps to diversify our business into industrial products, which is expected to reduce the volatility of our business going forward. We remain committed to low leverage levels, a prudent capital structure, generating positive free cash flow for the year, and maintaining adequate liquidity levels. Now, we'll go through some of the highlights for the third quarter compared to our second quarter 2021 results. Starting with sales volume.

We sold 790,000 tons in the third quarter of 2021, a slight increase over the second quarter 2021 sales volumes of 767,000. We have sold approximately 2.3 million tons for the first nine months of 2021 and are currently on a track to achieve the highest sales volumes in company history. Total revenues for the third quarter 2021 were $34.5 million, compared to $29.6 million in the second quarter 2021. Sand revenues were $2.5 million higher sequentially, which helped offset a slight decline in logistics revenue. We recorded $2.7 million of shortfalls in the third quarter compared to no shortfalls in the second quarter. Our cost of sales for the quarter were $36.5 million compared to $32 million last quarter.

Production costs were slightly higher sequentially, due primarily to higher utility costs driven by increased natural gas prices. We also had increased logistics costs due to a higher mix of in-basin sales in the third quarter. Total operating expenses were $6.7 million compared to $26.3 million last quarter. The decrease from the second quarter is primarily driven by the $19.6 million recorded as a non-cash bad debt expense in the prior period, which is the difference between the $54.6 million accounts receivable balance that was subject to the company's litigation with U.S. Well Services and the $35 million cash received in settlement of that litigation. For the third quarter of 2021, the company had a net loss of $7.3 million or a negative $0.17 per basic and diluted share.

This compares to a net loss of $23.7 million or -$0.65 per basic and diluted share for the second quarter of 2021. The lower net loss sequentially is primarily due to the previously mentioned $19.6 million recorded as a non-cash bad debt expense in the prior period. For the third quarter of 2021, contribution margin was $4.1 million, and we had negative adjusted EBITDA of $1 million, compared to second quarter contribution margin of $3.5 million and negative adjusted EBITDA of $21.5 million. For the third quarter of 2021, we had -$900,000 in free cash flow as we generated $1.1 million in operating cash flows while spending $1.9 million on capital investments.

Year to date, we had $30.6 million in free cash flow, generating $37.5 million in operating cash flows while spending $7 million on capital investments. The majority of our capital investments year to date have been on new SmartSystems units. During the quarter, we didn't use our revolver and still had no outstanding borrowings other than $1.2 million in letters of credit. Our current unused availability under the revolver is $15 million. We paid down $1.7 million against our notes payables and equipment financings in the quarter and have paid down approximately $5.1 million year-to-date. We expect to pay down approximately $1.7 million in the fourth quarter as well. We ended the third quarter with approximately $37 million in cash, and our current cash balance is approximately $35 million.

Between cash and our availability on our facilities, we currently have approximately $50 million in available liquidity. We do not expect to have any borrowings on our ABL for the remainder of the year other than letters of credit. In terms of guidance for the fourth quarter, we expect sales volumes to be basically flat with third quarter levels, assuming no major weather issues. While commodity prices have strengthened throughout the year and October volumes were strong, we anticipate holidays and weather will have an impact on activity levels as they do every year in the fourth quarter. However, indications from customers combined with the strong commodity price backdrop give us confidence that activity will be strong to start 2022.

Should activity pick up in 2022, we expect Northern White sand supply and demand fundamentals to improve, which should lead to opportunities for pricing and margin improvement over the course of next year. However, typically, the first quarter of the year is our lowest contribution margin quarter due to higher inventory adjustment expense as we normally draw wet sand from inventory to meet sales demand through the winter months. While we anticipate improving margins in 2022, we don't expect to see that improvement to start to materialize until the second quarter of next year, again, assuming demand picks up as currently anticipated. We are currently building our Waynesburg terminal and expect it to be completed and operational late in the fourth quarter.

With the terminal capital, we now expect capital expenditures for the year to be in the $14 million-$16 million range and expect to be free cash flow positive for the full year. This concludes our prepared comments, and we will now open the call for questions.

Operator

Thank you, sir. We will now begin the question and answer session. As a reminder, if you would like to ask a question, please do so by pressing star one on your phone. Again, that's star one on your telephone keypad. Please stand by. We'll compile the Q&A roster. Your first question is from the line of Stephen Gengaro with Stifel. Your line is open.

Stephen Gengaro
Managing Director, Stifel

Thanks. Good morning.

Lee Beckelman
CFO, Smart Sand

Morning, Stephen.

Stephen Gengaro
Managing Director, Stifel

You talked a bit about the higher production costs and the logistics costs in the quarter, which impacted, I think, contribution margin on a per ton basis. Can you shed more light on sort of the impacts from both and how we should think about those issues as we go through the fourth quarter? Just trying to get a handle on how we should be thinking about profitability.

Lee Beckelman
CFO, Smart Sand

Yeah. I mean, I think, like, everyone, we are seeing some increased cost pressure, particularly on our utilities. Utilities with our natural gas pricing, you know, not surprised prices have doubled over the last year, and so that's having an impact on us. We see that kinda staying at current levels, but flattening out, so I don't necessarily see. Logistics is really kinda timing and getting rail in and out, and so it's somewhat of a management cost. I see it being, you know, maybe a slightly higher cost going into the fourth quarter, but relatively flat to where we are today.

Stephen Gengaro
Managing Director, Stifel

When you talk about the higher logistics costs, just so I understand a little bit better, if you sell it at the mine gate, it's pretty straightforward. When you incur those logistics costs, are they not ultimately borne by the customer? I'm just trying to figure out how the higher logistics cost impacts your profitability.

Lee Beckelman
CFO, Smart Sand

Well, as we've kinda highlighted in the past, Stephen, we've moved to more in-basin sales. Nearly all of our volumes that go through Van Hook, for example, are in-basin. A lot of our volumes in the Marcellus today are in-basin sales. With Waynesburg in that terminal, we'll be moving to more in-basin sales. When you sell sand on an in-basin basis, you basically price the sand into the truck at the terminal in that basin. We have a higher price for the sand, but we are now directly responsible for the freight, for the rail car, you know, for the transloading of that sand into the truck at the terminal. Those costs now get built up in our freight cost, and you see that higher freight cost.

It's also, we recognize the benefit of that incremental value by adding those services through selling that sand at a higher price, and that flows through into our sand revenue. That's how you basically, you know, that's how the in-basin pricing works versus FOB mine, where we put the sand into the rail car at the mine, and typically the customer is responsible for the freight, for the rail car, potentially, and also for any transloading that's done in the basin.

Stephen Gengaro
Managing Director, Stifel

Understand. That's very helpful. The expectation is hopefully as demand rises and supply is tight, you ultimately receive better pricing for product which offsets that in 2022.

Lee Beckelman
CFO, Smart Sand

That's correct. We hope through having, you know, control of, you know, in effect, having Waynesburg like Van Hook and having more terminals under our control, we can reduce that transloading cost by managing that ourselves versus going through a third party. Secondly, by having more outlets and more railroads, we can, you know, try to efficiently get more efficient cost of rail into those terminals. Third, you know, by having that access point closer to the customers, we can be, you know, opportunistic and grow our base in those markets and have a chance for pricing improvement, as well as get incremental sales volume and get a higher activity level through our plant, which allows us to, you know, hopefully get a higher utilization and bring down our cost of production.

Stephen Gengaro
Managing Director, Stifel

Got it. Understand. One final one for me. When you think about the evolution of the frac sand market over the last couple years, your volumes have been very strong. I mean, there seems to be share gain underlying that, I think, based on your success versus some of the peers. Are you seeing that? Like, do you feel like you've had share gain? What's sort of that competitive landscape look like to you currently?

Chuck Young
Founder and CEO, Smart Sand

Hey Stephen. I'm gonna let John answer this question for the most part, but we definitely see a lot of our competitors have kind of fallen down a little bit with a lot of their plants. You know, some of those plants have been taken apart to support other plants, and there hasn't been a lot of investment in this space. We do think Northern White sand supply could be tight going into next year. With that, I'll turn it over to John.

John Young
COO, Smart Sand

Yeah. I would echo those comments from Chuck. You know, what we're seeing is folks coming to us that you know have previously been customers of ours but maybe have been, you know, we've been kind of a second choice with them. You know, the one thing that you learn when you've been in the sand business for a while is if you aren't keeping up on your maintenance and capital spending to make sure that you're reliable when you wanna demand production from your plant, sometimes you have a little bit of an issue with that. We're definitely seeing a little bit of that.

We're certainly seeing a little bit of a uptick in what we would consider to be activity in our core basins in the Marcellus, out in the Midwest, and down into kind of Oklahoma also. It's a combination of things. One of the things that, you know, I'd just like to add on to the, 'cause I think, Stephen, you were asking about whether we can pass on some of those logistics expenses on to our customers. Typically, we can, but there's usually a lag involved in that. For example, if our natural gas price goes up, usually we'll see the benefit. Not the benefit, but we'll be able to extract that additional revenue from the customer in the following quarter. It's kind of a back-looking thing. We do have a few mechanisms.

The same goes for kind of rail fuel surcharges and things like that. There are, you know, mechanisms built into our pricing, they just tend to lag behind a little bit of where our pricing is today.

Chuck Young
Founder and CEO, Smart Sand

One other add to that. On the rail side, there's no one moving sand more efficiently to North Dakota than we do into our terminal there because of the way it's built on both ends. Likewise, in the Marcellus, we feel we're gonna be very, you know, when Waynesburg terminal comes up, we'll be in the same situation.

Stephen Gengaro
Managing Director, Stifel

Good. Now, that's good color. That's a good. I should have asked the question a little more eloquently about the recovery of cost, so that's very helpful. Thank you.

Operator

Your next question is from the line of John Daniel with Daniel Energy Partners. Your line is open.

John Daniel
Founder and President, Daniel Energy Partners

Hey, thank you. Good morning. Chuck, in a perfect world-

John Young
COO, Smart Sand

Good morning, John.

John Daniel
Founder and President, Daniel Energy Partners

Hey, in a perfect world, what % of your volumes would be industrial versus frac sand? How long would it take to get there?

Chuck Young
Founder and CEO, Smart Sand

We do like some of the pricing points in the industrial sand space. We haven't really put a target on that. The one thing we do know is that we don't know industrial sands like Rick Shearer does.

John Daniel
Founder and President, Daniel Energy Partners

Right.

Chuck Young
Founder and CEO, Smart Sand

He's the guy who founded the Industrial Minerals Association, used to be, you know, COO of U.S. Silica. We feel like we're in really good hands there.

John Daniel
Founder and President, Daniel Energy Partners

Okay.

Chuck Young
Founder and CEO, Smart Sand

He's got a lot of energy, and he's building a team, and we're super excited because we feel we're gonna have lots of offerings in that area. You know, we definitely like the margins in that business a little bit better than the oil and gas currently. We're excited to get that going.

John Daniel
Founder and President, Daniel Energy Partners

Okay. Got it. Logistics. We hear a lot about supply chain issues. I'm just curious, are there any issues with the rails in terms of moving stuff these days? I'm not as close to the rail side, just your thoughts on that market right now.

John Young
COO, Smart Sand

Yeah. John, as you know, kind of we've designed our entire logistics model for the most part around unit train service and, you know, kinda-

John Daniel
Founder and President, Daniel Energy Partners

Right

John Young
COO, Smart Sand

... giving the railroads good notice as to when these trains are gonna leave. We don't do a heck of a lot of manifest rail service, so we're not kind of reliant on, you know, day-to-day problems that the railroad are having. We have a forecast and a schedule with them. So far we haven't seen a huge impact on our business. You know, if we do, you know, it's a train leaving 10 hours late versus, you know, leaving, you know, 10 hours early. So far, the railroads have responded really well. They're good partners of ours. You know, we have the ability to escalate with our relationships internal to them. We don't ask them for things that are unreasonable. You know, we haven't.

John Daniel
Founder and President, Daniel Energy Partners

Okay.

John Young
COO, Smart Sand

You know, that comes from just being well thought out on how our logistics operate. So far, no. You know, we see what's going on out there, but you know, in general, if there's power available and it's a relatively easy move, the railroads tend to favor that, and that's kind of our unit train model.

Chuck Young
Founder and CEO, Smart Sand

I'd add to that, John, is that with our investment over time, you know, we believe in the giant rail yard in the basin and giant rail yard on the originating side. That helps you buffer any hiccups that might be there.

John Daniel
Founder and President, Daniel Energy Partners

Okay. That's all I had, guys. Thank you.

Chuck Young
Founder and CEO, Smart Sand

Thank you.

John Young
COO, Smart Sand

Thanks, John.

Operator

Your next question is from the line of Samantha Hoh with Evercore ISI. Your line is open.

Samantha Hoh
Managing Director, Equity Research, Evercore ISI

Hey, guys. A quick question about this new Appalachian terminal. Is this one that's dedicated to you or it's exclusive to your use?

John Young
COO, Smart Sand

Yeah. It is. It's a facility that we're building and have exclusive rights to.

Samantha Hoh
Managing Director, Equity Research, Evercore ISI

Okay, great. Is there, you know, could you be potentially using it or giving access to other non-oil and gas customers where you would earn some sort of revenue on this facility?

John Young
COO, Smart Sand

Are you referring to kind of our industrial products business?

Samantha Hoh
Managing Director, Equity Research, Evercore ISI

Well, that or maybe just other sorts of, you know, materials that needs to be imported in. I think there's been talk of like other types of like bulk-based material that, you know, could be transported via rail. I was kinda curious if there's any-

John Young
COO, Smart Sand

Yeah. Well, I think at the moment, you know, our focus is gonna be on, you know, efficient transport of sand, and then obviously this site will become a place to stage our last mile equipment. You know, given that it's a large rail yard and all those types of things, if there's other commodities or anything that makes sense to come in there, we'll look at that in the future. Right now, we're primarily focused on sand, you know, supporting the sand requirements of E&Ps in that area, E&Ps and pressure pumpers in that area. You know, if something comes up, we'll be opportunistic, but this is being set up as a sand transload terminal, very similar to our operation out in North Dakota.

Samantha Hoh
Managing Director, Equity Research, Evercore ISI

Okay, great. With regards to the build-out of the industrial products business, is there a need for CapEx, or are you gonna? I'm assuming that you don't need like a whole separate mine, but maybe just like extra equipment to grind up the product, things like that. Like, can you give us a sense of what your CapEx need could be for next year to build out that business?

Lee Beckelman
CFO, Smart Sand

Yeah. Samantha, there will be some need for CapEx, but we're kinda going through our budgeting process and looking at that as we speak. We'll give more guidance overall on our total CapEx on our March call, including what we would be investing in ISP. For the most part, though, we are at least initially focusing on our initial asset base at Utica and Oakdale, and there'll be incremental investments, but I wouldn't say they're gonna be significant overall relative to our overall budget. We'll give more clarity on that as we go through and kinda develop our plan as we move into next year on some of the incremental investment we plan to make on industrial sales as part of our budget.

Samantha Hoh
Managing Director, Equity Research, Evercore ISI

Okay, excellent. Maybe just one last one. You know, can you talk about maybe how conversations about contracts are going with some of your customers? Just, I mean, it seems to be like that end of the year where there's, you know, people like looking at their demand for next year and thinking about how they want to contract out going forward. You guys have always kinda given year-end summaries of how many contracts you have and things like that. I was wondering if you could just kinda update just sort of like those type of customer conversations.

John Young
COO, Smart Sand

Yeah. Certainly, you know, particularly with some of the hiccups that some of our customers are seeing these days, you know, there is renewed interest in getting, you know, contracts out there. You know, I think from our perspective, we're being conservative on what we wanna contract versus what we wanna put out into the spot space. You know, one of the things that we've gotten very comfortable with over the last, you know, 18 months or so is operating in the spot world effectively.

You know, at the end of the day, you know, as we're seeing kind of the writing on the wall that these price points are improving, we're seeing improvement, we expect improvement to continue, you know, we've gotta be careful about wanting to contract at, you know, kinda lower pricing versus what may be available in the future. Certainly, there's a lot more interesting contracts from our customers today. We're evaluating those on a case-by-case basis, but we're gonna do things that make sense for the business long term.

Samantha Hoh
Managing Director, Equity Research, Evercore ISI

Okay, great. Thanks, guys.

John Young
COO, Smart Sand

Thanks.

Operator

Once again, if you have a question, please press star one now. We have an additional question from the line. That's Stephen Gengaro with Stifel. Your line is open.

Stephen Gengaro
Managing Director, Stifel

Thanks. Two quick ones, gentlemen. First, on the potential on the industrial front, and you mentioned, I believe you mentioned sort of utilization of existing mines. Are there specific products that are conducive to your mines and/or customers that are relatively easy to access from those locations? Like, should we be thinking about any specific customer, any specific product mix or end markets you're targeting, or is it too early to comment?

Chuck Young
Founder and CEO, Smart Sand

We've had Rick on board for just about a month, so we're letting him put all that stuff together. You know, preliminary indications is that we'll be making some products out of both our mines. Additionally, we'll explore other opportunities as they come along.

Stephen Gengaro
Managing Director, Stifel

Okay, thanks. The other quick one I wanted to ask you about, any thoughts on the PropX acquisition by Liberty and any kinda impact you think that has on the last mile business in general?

Chuck Young
Founder and CEO, Smart Sand

I would just say in general, it points to the fact that, you know, moving sand to the wellhead is a very difficult job, and people need to be investing in that space. I think, you know, for us, it just points out that from our last mile side, we need to continue to get that business going up and running because it's a needed service, and there's lots of opportunity there in that space.

Stephen Gengaro
Managing Director, Stifel

Okay, great. Thank you.

Operator

I am showing no further questions at this time. I will now hand the conference over to Chuck Young, CEO, for closing remarks. Sir?

Chuck Young
Founder and CEO, Smart Sand

Thank you for joining us for our Q3 call. We look forward to speaking with you in March.

Operator

This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for joining. You may now disconnect. This is

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