Good day, and welcome to the Talos Energy Q3 of 2021 earnings call. All participants will be in listen-only mode. Should you need assistance, please signal a conference specialist by pressing the star key followed by zero. After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. Please note this event is being recorded. I'd now like to turn the conference over to Sergio Maiworm, Vice President of Finance, Investor Relations, and Treasurer. Please go ahead.
Thank you, operator. Good morning, everyone, and welcome to our Q3 of 2021 earnings conference call. Joining me today to discuss our results are Tim Duncan, President and Chief Executive Officer, Shane Young, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, and Bob Abendschein, Executive Vice President and Head of Operations. Before we get started, I'd like to take this opportunity to remind you that our remarks today will include forward-looking statements. Actual results may differ materially from those contemplated by these forward-looking statements. Factors that could cause these results to differ materially are set forth in yesterday's press release and in our Form 10-Q for the quarter ending September 30th, 2021, filed with the SEC yesterday.
Any forward-looking statements that we make on this call are based on assumptions as of today, and we undertake no obligation to update these statements as a result of new information or future events. During this call, we may present both GAAP and non-GAAP financial measures. A reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP measures was included in yesterday's earnings press release, which was filed with the SEC and which is also available on our website at talosenergy.com. Now I'd like to turn the call over to Tim.
Thank you, Sergio. I'm proud of our company's performance this quarter as we delivered solid operational results despite the challenges brought on by Hurricane Ida. The quarter results included strong unhedged EBITDA margins, positive free cash flow generation, and strong environmental health and safety performance. This is a testament to the resiliency and cost structure of our asset base, our ongoing ability to successfully invest in attractive opportunities around our infrastructure, and our operational capabilities as one of the largest independent E&Ps in the Gulf today.
On a strategic level, as we diversify what we can deliver as an energy company, we've made significant strides advancing our carbon capture and storage initiatives, including a major 1st-of-its-kind award for a dedicated offshore sequestration site located off the coast of Texas.
We look forward to sustaining these trends as we close out the final months of 2021, with expectations to deliver a full year of 2021 that will include record production, attractive margins, significant positive free cash flow, leverage reduction, and major progress in all of our strategic goals. I'll first address some details of the quarter, including the impact of Hurricane Ida. We generated average daily production of 56,500 barrels of oil equivalent per day for the quarter, reduced by approximately 10,000 to 11,000 barrels of oil equivalent a day as compared to our pre-hurricane expectations, which would have otherwise made this the 3rd consecutive record production volume quarter.
To put that into perspective, the attractive and resilient nature of our assets that includes a commodity mix of 69% oil and 78% total liquids, even with the material weather-related shut-in, our unhedged adjusted EBITDA margin was over 70%. If we hadn't had the shut in this quarter and the deferred production was to be considered here, the unhedged adjusted EBITDA margin would have been upwards of 76%. Hurricane Ida did not cause any major lasting impacts to our facilities across the Gulf, but rather drove production outages resulting from issues at our downstream providers' assets, such as pipelines, terminals, and refineries.
Although the vast majority of our production has been restored, we are still expecting selected outages of approximately 4,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day, which we expect to return by the end of the year and is reflected in our Q4 production guidance of 64,000 to 66,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day. We also anticipate having less capital expenditures in the Q4 compared to the Q3 , which should lead to significant positive free cash flow generation for the fourQ4 and full year 2021.
We expect to continue to pay down our revolving credit facility and continue to lower our overall leverage metrics below 2x net debt to EBITDA at year-end.
With respect to our ongoing drill bit activities as we wrap up our 2021 capital program, we experienced early success in our Pompano platform rig program in recent weeks with the execution of certain low-risk asset management projects that we believe will add between 1,500 and 2,000 barrels of oil equivalent a day of production by year-end, which will help set up 2022 production adds. Following these asset management projects, we will begin a drilling program on Pompano in 2022 that will take up the bulk of next year and include a combination of infield development and step-out exploitation opportunities around our 100% owned and operated Pompano facility in Mississippi Canyon.
As a reminder, a similar program at our 100% owned Green Canyon 18 facility recently brought online significant production additions at highly attractive economics and margins earlier this year.
These low risk and quick turnaround projects are a key part of our strategy of creating additional value from largely fixed cost assets in our portfolio by redeveloping these assets with more modern seismic technology and imaging, as well as drilling and completion techniques. Additionally, in other areas of our portfolio, we're also planning a 2022 drilling program that we expect to include several subsea tiebacks and other drilling opportunities.
We expect that the 2022 wells will include a combination of low risk, shorter cycle exploitation projects, high impact exploration opportunities, as well as the appraisal of our Puma West discovery in the H2 of the year. I also want to remind everyone that we will have our regularly scheduled dry docking of the HP-1 floating production unit next year, which will result in approximately 45 to 60 days of total shut-in time in our Phoenix complex. This is a regulatory required dry docking that needs to occur every 2.5 to 3 years, and the last one was in 2019, so it's time now.
We expect the dry docking to take place in the summer months, which means the production deferral impact should occur in the second and Q3 of 2022.
We will aim to update the market with our formal 2022 operational and financial guidance in the coming months, but investors should expect a plan consistent with our focus on a balanced capital program across risk-reward categories, an appropriate reinvestment rate, and significant free cash flow generation, material total debt and leverage ratio reductions, and advancement of other key catalysts for the business. Turning to strategic initiatives. We are particularly focused on growing our carbon capture business as well as our oil and gas business, so I'll discuss them individually.
I'm very pleased with our rapid advancement in the carbon capture and storage segment of our business. In our last earnings call, I spoke about the pride we have here at Talos with respect to our culture of being nimble, commercial, and forward-thinking.
Over the years, we've found success as an early mover and an out-of-the-box thinker, and that has been the case in how we thought about participating in the low carbon initiatives and committed ourselves to pushing hard into being the 1st mover in the carbon capture and storage space. I was direct during our last call when I said I was very confident in what we could achieve with the right level of focus, urgency, and creativity. In the Q3 , we began to deliver on those expectations by being named the winning bidder and the operator of the Texas General Land Office's Jefferson County carbon sequestration site in a joint bid with our partner, Carbonvert.
This location is the 1st major offshore carbon sequestration site in the United States, comprising over 40,000 acres just off the coast of Beaumont and Port Arthur's Texas Industrial Corridor.
Upon completing the lease agreement, which we expect will happen before the end of this year, Talos will be the only public company with a tangible large-scale carbon capture and storage site along the United States Gulf Coast. This is a great accomplishment for our team and one we believe will ultimately generate significant value for our shareholders while also playing a direct role in reducing industrial emissions in our communities. We do not want to stop there. This is only the 1st of what we expect to be several sequestration sites we own and operate along the Gulf Coast.
We took our goal of being a meaningful leader of carbon capture and storage project development a step further by expanding our offering along the Gulf Coast and state waters of the Gulf of Mexico with a joint venture with Storegga Geotechnologies.
Storegga is a dedicated CCS company headquartered in the United Kingdom and is the architect of what will be 1 of the largest offshore carbon capture projects in the world, the Acorn Project in offshore Scotland. Since the announcement of the Texas GLO Award and the Storegga JV, we have laid out our broader carbon capture ambition in our public investment materials, which is to have multiple identified storage sites along the Gulf Coast in the coming 12 months and pulling together joint venture partners in the value chain, such as midstream providers and working with industrial sources to bring, quote, anchor tenants to our storage sites.
All these work streams are happening in parallel, and we'll provide additional information to the market as they become available. We are also building alliances with key service providers.
One example of those include what we recently announced with TechnipFMC, a leading global engineering and EPC company. TechnipFMC will contribute engineering services and FEED studies that will help us accelerate a line of sight toward project FIDs within our intended portfolio. With the focus and commitment that we're putting into this offering, we continue to expect that our carbon capture and storage business, which leverages the technical and operational skills we already possess in-house, will become a tangible material portion of our business in the future.
Moving back to the oil and gas side, we're also very focused on continuing to grow our oil and gas business through both organic drilling and pursuing transformational M&A.
The U.S. Gulf of Mexico is still our primary focus for M&A, but we are seeing impactful opportunities in other areas of the Atlantic margin, such as West Africa and South America, as well as in the North Sea. We believe our skill sets can travel to these offshore provinces, and we can create shareholder value in these areas as well. We believe our commitment to sustainability, including our carbon capture business, makes us an attractive counterparty. Transactions are not always easy to bring across the finish line, but we are absolutely focused on value enhancing and accretive M&A opportunities.
Lastly, I will also mention that stakeholders should expect our 2nd annual ESG and sustainability report to be published in November.
We're excited about the progress in all aspects of our ESG efforts, from emissions reductions, community impacts, and governance changes at the board level, and we look forward to highlighting those efforts in our upcoming report. With that, I'll turn it over to Shane to address some of the financial details of the quarter.
Thank you, Tim. Good morning, everybody. We appreciate you taking the time to join our Q3 earnings conference call today. This morning, I'll address 4 topics. 1st, our financial results in the Q3 . Next, the reaffirmation of Q4 production and full year 2021 guidance. 3rd, I will give further thoughts on how we'll approach 2022. Finally, I'll briefly address our improving credit profile and ongoing fall redetermination process. It has been a busy year so far with much to be proud of, and we're looking forward to finishing strong. Let me start with results from the quarter. As Tim mentioned, expected production was negatively impacted by between 10 to 11 thousand BOE per day of deferred volumes in the quarter due to Hurricane Ida and averaged 56.5 thousand BOE per day.
This compares to 66.3 thousand BOE per day in the Q2 . Production was just under 70% oil and just under 80% liquids. Despite the deferred production, revenues were approximately $291 million on realized pricing of $68.22 per barrel and $4.55 per Mcf. On the recurring cash cost front, LOE and G&A were less than $13.50 per BOE and approximately $3 per BOE respectively, despite the deferred production volumes. EBITDA was $131.4 million for the quarter. Adjusted for realized losses, EBITDA would have been over $203 million in the Q3 , with near record margins of approximately $39 per BOE.
Capital expenditures for the quarter were approximately $86 million, and we continue to expect to stay within the range of our 2021 full year capital guidance. Lastly, Talos generated approximately $13 million of free cash flow before working capital changes in the Q3 , despite a healthy capital program as well as substantial production downtime and $71 million of realized hedge losses. Following Hurricane Ida, we have restored the majority of our production, save approximately 4,000 BOE per day, related to a combination of 3rd-party facilities and ongoing issues downstream of our facilities. We expect to have the remainder back online before year-end. Despite the impact of Hurricane Ida, we continue to expect to be inside the range of all of our cost guidance estimates for the year.
We now expect fourth quarter production to average between 64,000 and 66,000 BOE per day, and full year 2021 production to be at the low end of our production guidance range, which we originally issued back in March. Given that, coupled with the current commodity price environment, we should generate meaningful free cash flow for both the Q4 and the full year 2021. Looking forward, we continue to develop our 2022 outlook and capital program. While it is still too early to provide detailed operational and financial guidance, we will continue to stick to our publicly stated principles in developing that plan, assuming the current commodity price environment.
That is, having an appropriate capital reinvestment rate of roughly 60% to 65% of EBITDA and a diversified capital program that supports the base production and delivers significant free cash flow.
The year will include the impact of our required dry dock of the HP-1 around mid-year 2022. We expect to allocate capital across all three risk buckets in 2022, near field development, exploitation and exploration opportunities, albeit weighted towards the lower risk categories. I also expect we'll see accelerating capital allocation to our carbon capture objectives in 2022. Though still a modest percentage of the total capital spend, but incorporated into the overall reinvestment rate calculation. On the service cost front, we continue to see modest pressures in the cost of services, but believe the impact will be manageable in terms of both margins and capital program economics.
The business showed resiliency during the quarter, despite the impact of Hurricane Ida on both operations and our ability to generate free cash flow. We have plenty of liquidity and strong, rapidly improving credit ratios.
Our leverage metric has improved from a 2.6x peak in the Q1 of the year to 2x now at the end of the Q3 . I expect these trends to continue through year-end. During the quarter, we added another lender to our facility with a commitment of $75 million to the RBL. With this commitment, our liquidity stood at over $375 million at quarter's end. We have also repaid approximately $65 million of our RBL balance since the end of the Q1 , a trend we expect to continue between now and year-end. In terms of the fall redetermination, we expect to complete the process over the next 4 to 6 weeks and do not anticipate any surprises.
In summary, liquidity is solid and increasing, total debt is very manageable and declining, and our credit ratio should continue to improve significantly. All of this will take us back towards the attractive pre-pandemic balance sheet strength we enjoyed and position us to continue to focus on growing the business, being a preferred strategic counterparty, and maximizing the value of our business to our shareholders. With that, I will hand the call back over to Tim.
Thank you, Shane. Again, considering the large storm whose impact was well documented, I thought our team rebounded and executed very well, posting a very strong quarter despite the challenges. We also intend to finish the year strong in what will ultimately be a record year from a production and free cash flow generation perspective. We continue to make significant progress with our carbon capture business on several fronts, and I hope to be able to announce some of those milestones to the market soon. With that, operator, we'll open up the line for Q&A.
Thank you. We'll now begin the question and answer session. To ask a question, you may press star, then 1 on your touchtone phone. If you're using a speakerphone, please pick up your handset before pressing the keys. To withdraw your question, please press star, then 2. At this time, we'll pause momentarily to assemble our roster. Again, if you have a question, please press star, then 1. There are no questions in the queue. This concludes our question and answer session. I'd like to turn the conference back over to Tim Duncan, President and CEO, for any closing remarks.
Thank you, operator. Not only do we really feel good about how the team performed in the quarter overcoming the impacts of the hurricane, we were very bullish on how we're going to end the year. We're bullish on how we're transforming the business and where we go from here. It does look like. Do you want to take a late question? It looks like, operator, we do have a late question, so maybe we hit that.
Okay. Our 1st question is from Subash Chandra from The Benchmark Company. Please go ahead.
Hey, Tim. I didn't want to let you off so easy. The question I guess is, you know, on the M&A environment. You've been talking about it for quite some time. Prices have gone down, they've gone up. You know, how would you characterize the current climate versus what you sort of would have expected at this point?
Yeah. Hey, Subash. How are you? Look, thanks for jumping on. You know, I think when prices move throughout the course of a year, you know, I think if you're a seller, you can think about how, you know, the timing of when you need to sell your assets. Again, that seller can be a private seller, that seller can be one of the majors that we all know and appreciate. I do think it changes mandates, it changes goals and how people think about their assets. I...
You know, look, I mean, we're, I'd like to tell you, and we are, we're always a buyer, and we're always looking, and we want to make sure we do deals that make sense, and they're accretive, and we're focused on, you know, kind of free cash flow build ultimately with the assets we owned over time. On the other side of that trade, you need a seller who looks at their own goals, and they ask themselves sometimes, "At $80, do I need to move this asset right now?" Again, I do think, and you know this, as you think about our business longer term, I do think some of the biggest owners of assets in the world are going to still think about their portfolios over the next couple years, and they're going to think about, you know, their own emissions targets.
I do think you'll see assets loosen up, and we want to be around and be a good counterparty for those assets. Look, we also want to be a counterparty for private owners of assets in thinking about their exits. I mean, I'm bullish on where our M&A efforts can go, but you've got to be patient in an environment like this where you see the commodity being as constructive as it is and sellers kind of thinking about their portfolios.
Yeah. You know, we've seen. I would have thought the deal flow would slow. You know, the announcements both onshore, international, they just keep coming.
Yeah.
Yeah. You know, so just kind of curious on that front. Also, you know, is your intent to over the next year, you know, clean up the. Is an RBL or a revolver? I forget. Is it to clean up bank debt, get it minimized, you know, place you in a good spot for making cash transactions, or you know do you think that that's not so necessary with a lot of the deals out there taking equity?
Yeah. There's 2 pieces of that, and Shane can jump in here too. 1st, it's an RBL. It's a senior secured loan, you know, backed by the reserves. But we think just from a part of that is, you know, kind of how do we think about cash? Look, I think our leverage stat going into the pandemic was around 1.2, Shane, 1.3-
Yeah.
Somewhere in that neighborhood. I'd like to see that go back down to those levels, and we've done a lot this year to get something that moved all the way up to maybe 2.5, 2.6 back under 2, and we want to keep pushing that down by year-end. Frankly, I'd like to get that down to pre-pandemic levels, just as a general matter. How would we do that in the near term? Well, you pay down that RBL. When you do that, it's going to free up liquidity, and then that cash is fungible, and we can use it as part of our sources and uses in a transaction, Subash. It really depends on what's the transaction? What's the appropriate form of sources and uses? Where do you need cash? Where does it make sense if it's accretive to potentially use equity?
That's just really deal by deal. It depends on the assets. It depends on the seller. You know, I do think, you know, on onshore, there's a bigger list of buyers, if you will.
Mm-hmm.
than you have offshore. Look, one of the benefits of our basin, I think there are potentially at times more assets for sale than there are buyers of those assets. The buyer universe is different than it is onshore, so I think that changes the pace of the deal flow, but that's just a little more commentary there. For us, you know, kind of how we think about sources and uses is really deal dependent. I think the more liquidity we have and the more we continue to pay down the RBL, the more flexibility it gives us on how do we think about, you know, kind of utilizing it for the purposes of transactions. Shane, you know, anything on that?
No. I mean, look, the only thing I'd say is, you know, look, after successfully finishing up the extension that we did back in the spring, you know, we had the ability to add a new bank kind of interim, a little bit off cycle, and we think there's additional interest out there. We sort of like where the general community is with regard to us, as we sit today. I think that utilization number has been trending down over the course of the year. I think it'll continue to trend down and provide a lot more liquidity and strategic capital for transactional opportunities if that's what's required to get the deal done.
Yeah. Then CCS, I guess, you know, the topic for 2022 probably. You know, you'll have more information, as you said. When you look at, you know, the competitive posture, it seems now that you've got a lot of folks jumping in the game, you know. It's not just other upstream producers, it's coal companies and, you know, who knows who else as we go along.
What would you say to sort of your competitive posture? You know, what's compelling about your competitive posture versus the, you know, what seems like one a month type, CCS competitors?
Yeah. Look, that's a good question, and there's no doubt it's a really competitive space, and we understand that. I do think, you know, look, you've studied it and you know it, there's 3 parts of the value chain. Obviously, it all starts with an industrial emitter who has to decide that, you know, kind of capturing their carbon is a priority for them. Whatever makes that priority is an open question. Is it an incentive? Is it a pledge that they made? Is it just kind of better, you know, as they think it's just about, you know, kind of their own external view, it's a better way to manage their business.
They've got to make that commitment. You've got to move the carbon, and then you've got to inject and monitor and store it.
The midstream piece is important, but the monitoring and storing and injection piece is important because in my view, that's where you have the project development tools as well. I think what we bring to the table is I do think we are viewed as, and then we absolutely agree, kind of you know, key thought leaders and experts around conventional geology, both in shallow water and around the Gulf Coast. I mean, that's where we've built companies in the past personally. It's certainly Talos's legacy.
You have to, you can't just go grab, you know, 3,000 acres, 4,000 acres, Subhas. You got to grab 40,000 acres, 50,000 acres, big chunks of land that have huge conventional geological columns with good rock properties. They have to be well understood.
You have to have shown you can execute in that geology and in that geography, in that regulatory environment and in that space. You got to make sure you do it in a way that it doesn't create potential liabilities. You know, the industrial partner and that tenant you sign up needs to know that you're going to put that stuff away and monitor it, and you're not going to see it back. There's a lot more that goes into it than just, I think, grabbing land. You've got to have confidence someone's going to be able to execute that.
Once you pull the storage together, you really got to, you know, pull the whole project together. That's marrying, you know, midstream into this and managing FEED studies and managing getting to FID.
If you think about what we do offshore, that's a lot of what we do offshore. Engineering, design work, pulling things together on multiple timelines, getting to a final investment decision. That starts to sound a lot more like kind of an offshore project. I think our experience both in project management, project development, which are the key components I think you have to have here, and then just really executing on the drilling and injection and monitor wells.
I mean, there's a lot of actual deepwater technology you can think about in bottom hole gauges and things of that nature, and then seismic and all the things you need to do, in conventional rock is what we're used to doing. I think that's a differentiator. You know, look, there's no doubt it's competitive.
by the way, to solve the problem, you need to have a lot of these stores, and I think we've talked about that. If you can put away 100 million metric tons a year, maybe you can solve 10% of the country's emissions problem. by the way, we're only doing about 15 to 20. You know, there's a lot to do. We just want to build out a visible position and try to become a market leader, and we want to throw some urgency at it. We're continuing to work really hard with the dedicated team.
Thanks, guys.
All right. Thanks. Looks like the question board is lighting up suddenly.
Yep. Again, if you have a question, please press star then 1. Our next question comes from Steven Dechert from KeyBanc Capital Markets. Please go ahead.
Hey, guys, just one quick one for me. Just want to get at your thoughts on how you're thinking about your hedging program for next year. Do you think you'll add on some more? You kind of feel comfortable with the amount of volumes you have hedged already? Thanks.
Yeah, Steven, Shane here. Yeah, I'll jump in. Look, I think, you know, we've been opportunistically systematic about the way we've added hedges over time. We've got some minimums that we like to adhere to. As well in our bank agreement, there's some minimums as well. Look, we will continue to layer on. I don't think you'll see sort of any behavior sort of outside of the norm in any given quarter, but I do think you'll see us consistently add on. We'll be opportunistic. I mean, it was, what, at the beginning of 2020, January of 2020 when there was the attack over in Saudi on some facilities.
The price spiked for a couple of days, and we ended up layering in a substantial additional slug at that point. I think you'll see us be consistent with it and continue to add over time.
Okay, great. Thanks.
The next question comes from Michael Scialla from Stifel. Please go ahead.
Hey, good morning, everybody. I hopped on your call late, so I apologize if you've already discussed any of these topics. You can certainly skip them. I was curious on what you think the capital requirements for your CCS business might be as you look into next year.
Yeah. Look, I don't think it'll be substantial next year at all. Look, we're trying to put together some sites. You can think about some bonus payments, you know, on the site we're wrapping up on offshore Jefferson County. I think we want to advance some of what you're trying to do. If you think about the timeline here, Michael, you've got a site. As you firm up that site and kind of originate that, now you're trying to move towards FID. What's that mean? Well, you're going to put together some partnerships, so there's some business developed there.
You're trying to take your site and get it ready and close to FID, and part of that's moving on some of the Class VI permit requirements. You might drill a start well and go grab a whole core.
There's some cost on that. You're going to share that cost with whoever your partners are in the project. You know, I think if we can put together additional sites next year, there's some lease payments around that, potentially have a strat test on the sites we close, then you're moving the ball closer to FID and getting that project sanctioned. Those costs are all manageable. When you get into real bigger construction and/or multiple injection wells, you know, that's post FID, and that's where the costs come, you know, a little higher. That's also when financing's probably secured and you've got kind of anchor tenants and you've got something that you can put some credit behind. There's a process here. We launched it this year. We want to see some tangible growth in it next year.
It'll all probably be pre-FID, and so that's where you're in the more manageable side of the cost structure. It'll be. You know, I think Shane, if you missed his comments. I think we're looking at reinvestment rates somewhere around 60% to 65%, and we see CCS being inside that guidance and inside kind of how we think about building out our capital program. Look, if the industry really moves and we're able to do more than we think we can do, then, you know, we can come back to the market. I think we're pretty confident in how to kind make CCS, if you will, kind of a slice of the pie as we think about reinvesting in our business.
Sounds good. Does the amendment in the Build Back Better Act change your thoughts on the business at all in terms of who you're talking to or what the toll might be that you would charge for storing CO2?
With respect to CCS?
Yes.
Yeah. You know, look, I don't think so. I mean, I think it's certainly we're trying to talk to any place where we're really focused on, hey, look, this area, wherever that area could be along the Gulf Coast, has the those ingredients that I talked about in a previous answer to a question. It's got the right geology, meaning it's conventional, good perm, good porosity, good rock properties. It covers the right area, meaning it's got to have a good amount of areal coverage, and it has the least amount of liabilities. If we check those three boxes, then we're trying to figure out every emitter in the area, whether it's someone who's got more of a pure CO2 stream or whether through various combustion, what it does, it's got multiple ways it needs to go gather CO2.
You know, we're trying to talk to everyone. I think the question really becomes, is the person on the other side of the table more receptive or less receptive at $50 a metric ton versus $85 a metric ton? Everybody's a little more receptive at 85. It doesn't change our approach. Our approach is to really understand the market where we're putting together these projects. That's our job, to really understand the market, be available to the market. I mean, you're going from an operating oil and gas business on one side to providing a service on the other side. You know, it doesn't change our approach.
It might change the reception, and it might make, you know, some of the industrial emitters think about, "Hey, how do I really, you know, is there enough of an incentive scheme for me to really think about making the investment to capture my carbon?" They may be more inclined to do that at $85. I would tell you, I think as a policy perspective, I think you need $85 really to make this market take off.
I think if we're going to be serious about this, and I think, Paul, I do think this is an area where there's some bipartisan support in a world where there's not a lot, and that's why we're so interested in this space, that you really need to push the incentive structure, to get more people excited about the idea around CCS as opposed to just a segment of the market. It doesn't change our approach. It may help with the execution.
Yep, makes sense. Just last one for me. Wanted to ask on the subsalt Miocene play, how you're thinking about that next year. I know you've got potentially an appraisal coming up, BP at your Puma West. Anything you might do on the operated side with that play next year?
Yeah. There's a couple things that we're trying to line up and, you know, we've entered into a rig contract with Seadrill for the H2 of the year. We've got a couple ideas that just have been in our portfolio that, you know, some came out of that ILX transaction, if you remember that. Some we picked up in previous lease sales. We're excited about kind how do we pick and choose in that portfolio to execute one or two projects outside of, you know, Puma West. Part of that is, you know, timing of the rig delivery. Part of it is, you know, where do we think we can pull in some partners.
You know, we're honing in on, which is always why you want the time to kindly wrap those up before you guide out the year. I would just tell you, it's a, you know, it's really one of the more exciting parts of our portfolio, and we really want to try to execute on a couple of those a year. Last year, we were coming off the pandemic. The Tornado Waterflood Project was an absolute right well to go drill. It's been impactful for us. It's been great. I think next year, we're kindly looking at new projects, and we're excited to come back to the market, talk about a couple subsalt Miocene plays, talk about the Puma West appraisal, which is, in our view, going to be a really exciting effort as well. You know, we're trying to match...
If you think about next year, you know, I talked a little bit about the platform rig that moved from Green Canyon Eighteen to Pompano. We're off to a quick start there. That's development step out exploitation. Sprinkle in a couple kind of what I would call infrastructure-led subsalt Miocene stuff, and then a Puma West appraisal. You know, I like how that capital program potentially sets up.
Sounds good. Thank you, Tim.
Bye-bye. Thanks, man.
This concludes our question and answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Tim Duncan, President and CEO, for any closing remarks.
Well, I think it's the same as I said before all the guys jumped on for questions. Again, the team did a great job trying to manage through. It's always tough when you have a hurricane roll through. They rebounded quickly. I think the fact that we're trying to keep everything inside the guidance we had for the year is a testament to what we did in the H1 of the year, and I think it's a preview of how good we feel about the fourth quarter. You know, we look forward to jumping back on and talking about 2022 when it's appropriate to do so. We're really, you know, happy with the quarter and happy with how we're wrapping up 2021. With that, I want to thank everybody for joining.
We look forward to talking to you again soon.
The conference is now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.