Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. (TCBI)
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Earnings Call: Q2 2020

Jul 22, 2020

Speaker 1

Good day, and welcome to the Texas Capital Bancshares Q2 2020 Earnings Conference Call. All participants will be in a listen only mode during the presentation. Please note this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Shannon Wherry, Director of Communications. Please go ahead.

Speaker 2

Thank you for joining us for TCBI's Q2 2020 earnings conference call. I'm Shannon Wherry, Director of Communications. Before we begin, please be aware this call will include forward looking statements that are based on our current expectations of future results or events. Forward looking statements are subject to both known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from these statements. Our forward looking statements are as of the date of this call, and we do not assume any obligation to update or revise them.

Statements on this call should be considered together with cautionary statements and other information contained in today's earnings release, our most recent Annual Report on Form 10 ks and subsequent filings with the SEC. We will refer to slides during today's presentation, which can be found along with the press release in the Investor Relations section of our website at texascapitalbank.com. Our speakers for the call today are Larry Holm, Executive Chair, President and CEO and Julie Anderson, CFO. At the conclusion of our prepared remarks, our operator will facilitate a Q and A session. And now, I will turn the call over to Larry for opening remarks.

Speaker 3

Thanks, Shannon, and thanks everybody for joining us today. We've got quite a group on the call, maybe a record number. So we look forward to hearing what's on your mind as well. I'm going to make a few comments about some things and then I'll ask Julie to go over our actual results.

Speaker 4

So look,

Speaker 3

I'm not going to spend a lot of time today talking about the past as the necessary actions we began this quarter will put us back on a path to the type of earnings growth we want to once again be known for. Instead, I want to take a few minutes and review with you some of the things I've learned in 8 weeks as CEO of Texas Capital. This franchise was built on hiring experienced bankers who focused heavily on the middle market commercial and industrial business. We then took this banker centric model and built specialized groups like mortgage finance, builder finance, lender finance, premium finance, energy, real estate and private wealth management. Organic growth was rapid and we rose to the level we are at today in a relatively short period of time.

Underpinning that growth was peer leading credit performance and earnings levels throughout the years with consistent reinvestment in an increasingly compelling franchise. However, in the last couple of years, we faltered primarily in our energy and middle market sectors by making a handful of loans that frankly we shouldn't have made. In energy, we took a few outsized exposures that hit us hard in the downturns. In middle market C and I, we took our eye off the ball too often and gravitated to calling the private equity sponsors for some leverage loans. Instead of doing the hard work of building long lasting relationships directly with strong clients and prospects that we had done for a long time.

Several of these leverage loans from the sponsors experienced weakness prior to the crisis, and we have been paying for it for several quarters. And in an effort to ensure our bankers were equipped with the right tools and systems to compete in meeting our clients' needs, we continue to invest and that limited short term earnings. Now let's talk about where we can and where we will go from here. First and foremost, I want you to know we have a great franchise, staffed with outstanding people with a great opportunity in front of us. In addition to our best in class specialized units, we continue to have significant presence, capability and opportunity in our primary middle markets in Dallas, Houston, Austin, San Antonio and Fort Worth.

I believe we will see strong organic growth in these markets over the coming years. I have spent much of my time with our employees since I've been here learning what they are doing and what they can do. I've reviewed our client and prospect list and the products we have to meet our clients' needs and I've worked closely with our risk management and finance teams on capital and liquidity management. We have plans in place to get us back to an earnings level in the next 6 to 18 months that will give us the strategic options we once enjoyed while managing strong liquidity and capital levels. Those plans began with a significant cut to our run rate expense base, which will pay off beginning this quarter.

These plans also include managing the asset side of our balance sheet to get more yield from the excess liquidity we prudently hold at this time. A back to basic strategy and middle market to capture new clients and to increase our share of wallet and a lower provision expense as we have dealt with the large exposures within the energy and leverage loan portfolio. I strongly believe that we have a great team in place that is more than capable of successfully executing of growing our middle market franchise, while continuing to take advantage of our outstanding specialty groups. I believe we have the strongest leadership and bankers we have ever had necessary to execute our strategy. I personally would put this team up against anybody based on 30 years of experience in commercial banking and 15 years of being on the other side of the banker as a borrower.

We need to invest in a couple of our markets and we are doing so and we're continuing to recruit some very strong bankers and having success at that. I know and our management knows that we have to prove these things over time and prove they are sustainable. We have confidence and I have confidence that we can get this done. Our recent results are not what our shareholders grew to expect from Texas Capital and are certainly not what we expect from ourselves. We are excited to prove we can do it.

I look forward to leading this team And now I'm going to turn the call over to Julie to review our specific results for the quarter. Julie?

Speaker 5

Thanks, Larry. I'll cover Slide 6 through 9 with some references to Slide 4. I'll start by emphasizing that our 2nd quarter revenue of $280,000,000 was a record. Revenue increased on a linked quarter and year over year basis. We're leveraging our mortgage finance business and we'll continue to do so as the market allows, driving meaningful revenue using our lowest risk loan category.

As we've explained for years, the optionality of the mortgage finance business gives us an advantage as it mitigates the negative impact the low rate environment has on our traditional loan book. As a result of the actions taken during the quarter, we are reducing our annualized non interest expense run rate by approximately $30,000,000 focused on salaries and amortization of capitalized software. We've also targeted some additional G and A expense saves for the second half of twenty twenty and 2021 that are not included in that $30,000,000 It's other expenses non FTE related and I would estimate that to be at least $10,000,000 in annual run rate. The base non interest expense we're starting with is the normalized first half of twenty 20 non interest expense. This kind of cost realignment is unprecedented for us, but the years of outsized investments has positioned us to be able proactively take action that won't hurt our franchise, but rather make it stronger.

Our 2nd quarter results also include an outsized provision for loan losses, which we expected. The good news is that it includes final charges on 2 large energy credits that we've discussed in past quarters. Actual disposition won't occur until the Q3, but they've been charged down to amounts that are contractually agreed to at this point. The remainder of that book is more granular and better hedged, and we believe it positions us for meaningfully lower provision levels for the second half of 2020, assuming economic factors don't deteriorate significantly compared to our assumptions. And now a few more details for the quarter.

Our average LHI excluding mortgage finance was up slightly on a linked quarter basis and was primarily driven by PPP loan fundings, which offset the continued reductions in energy and leverage. Despite the negative impact to our core LHI yields from declining LIBOR rates, we were able to offset that with the linked quarter decrease in funding costs and the increase in mortgage finance yield. As expected, we continue to see meaningful growth in deposits. While the catch up of the Fed move repricing was fully realized during the quarter, opportunities remain to achieve further reductions in interest bearing cost. Our focus will continue with building client relationships in our core markets as well as vertical.

Additional liquidity build is the biggest driver of the decrease in linked quarter NIM, which based on our balance sheet composition is not the most informative metric. Net of liquidity, our core NIM actually expanded linked quarter. But we're focused on maximizing earnings, so net interest income is clearly the more meaningful measure of improvement. Linked quarter net interest income was down less than $20,000,000 but was more than offset by the increase in gain on sale as we shifted our MCA strategy. As we've discussed in the past, we pivot based on market dynamics.

So if gain on sale spreads weaken, we have the option to move back to longer hold times. The negative impact of core loan yields was offset by improvement in funding costs and it's important to note that the 2nd quarter didn't have any meaningful PPP fees included, but we would expect to realize the impact of those over the next 2 to 4 quarters as loans are forgiven. Additional liquidity build in the quarter resulted from continued success in growing deposits. While excess deposits generated a modest negative carry in the quarter, we've already begun deploying some of the excess liquidity in securities, driving a positive spread as we position for core loan demand to pick up. We'll be delivering in how we manage the balance sheet in the coming quarters as we expect deposit growth to exceed loan demand in this environment.

Warehouse pricing held up well as a result of less volume pricing in place. Core LHI was affected by lower LIBOR levels with the impact partially counteracted by existing floors. As of the end of June, roughly 20% of our core LHI had floors in place and we expect that number to continue to increase over the coming quarters with new loans and renewals. During the Q2, we added over 700,000,000 of new floors, which represents a meaningful improvement. Deposit pricing still has some room to come down over the next couple of quarters, but obviously Q1 to Q2 was the most dramatic shift as all Fed moves are now priced into the index deposit.

Provision for the quarter was $100,000,000 and included $28,000,000 related to current quarter charge offs, $16,000,000 for the 2 large energy deals we've discussed and $6,000,000 for a large leverage deal we've discussed in the past. All three deals should close during Q3. The remainder of the energy book is comprised of more granular deals that are well hedged after resolution of larger deals and multiple quarters of build we believe were adequately reserved. Similarly for the leverage book, the remainder is more granular and we experienced limited migration during the quarter and believe we're adequately reserved. The remainder of the provision was related to downgrade and the impact of economic factors.

It's really important to understand the context of resolution of the larger credits which occurred this quarter. That signals the end of the select number of larger problem credits in higher risk categories that have driven elevated credit expense in previous quarters. Certainly, we can have additional migration, but the remaining books, specifically energy and leverage, is more granular and loss severity would be significantly different than what we've experienced in the larger credit most recently discussed. Based on the approach we're taking with portfolio management in response to the crisis, we believe we're being proactive with risk grading, which will serve us well. There was an increase in total criticized of $338,000,000 with about $300,000,000 of the increase in special mention, predominantly driven by COVID impacted industry.

These industries have downgrade risk, but the loss risk would be quite different from leverage lending and energy because there is strong equity in the underlying asset values. We experienced a significant increase in non interest income driven primarily by improved gain on sale, which resulted from holding MCA loans for shorter durations than in prior periods, which reduces hedging costs. Based on the environment, we would expect that positive trend in gain on sale to continue for the next several quarters, but at lower levels than Q2. Q2 was the peak, so we would expect 3rd and 4th quarter gain numbers to be more modest, say $10,000,000 to $12,000,000 per quarter. The optionality of this business allows us to maximize profits, but can be unfavorable to NIM, which is the trade off we'll always take.

Non interest expense for the quarter included meaningful charges related to actions we took during the quarter that will result in an improved run rate as I previously described. Specifically, severance related expense and write off of software totaled 39,000,000 dollars Final merger related expenses were $10,000,000 We had almost $6,000,000 in technology to support our PPP initiative and lastly $9,000,000 in MSR impairments. During the quarter, we put hedges in place so further volatility with our MSR will be limited. Larry?

Speaker 3

Thanks, Julie. I appreciate that. Before we go to Q and A, let me just say a word or 2. Of course, you know Julie and have known her for a long time and she's been a great partner and a big help to me over the last 8 weeks or so and knows our company top to bottom. John Turpin, who you'd probably some of you have talked to and some of you had met, has been our Chief Risk Officer now for about 2 years and has also been a great partner with me as we work through some of these credit problems that we had and continue to look at all forms of risk throughout the company.

So anyway, JT is here as well. And so with that, operator, we'll go to Q and A.

Speaker 1

Thank you. We will now begin the question and answer session. Our first question will come from Ebrahim Hoonawala from Bank of America. Please go

Speaker 4

ahead. Good afternoon.

Speaker 5

Good afternoon. Thank you, Ebrahim.

Speaker 4

I guess if you could just start with so it sounds like given the amount of time you've spent on energy and leverage lending, you feel you're well reserved on both those books. When we look at the reserve ratio ex energy and leverage lending, it's about 82 basis points based on my calculations. I know, Julie, you mentioned that you expect lower loss severities, but talk to us why you feel 82 basis points is good enough in terms of reserves? And also tied to that, if you could address just a sense around capital adequacy, do you think you need to raise any sub debt, etcetera, or just how you feel around capital?

Speaker 6

Sure. Hi, Ebrahim. This is John Turpin. I'll take the first part of this, Julien to take the second part on the capital. I think the question as you're asking is just really holistically about the reserve adequacy.

And I would want to provide a little context, so a little longer answer, I think than typical, but I think it warrants it. So I guess first thing I would say is that as we look at what's transpired over the last 12 to 24 months and how proactive we've been at acknowledging problems and reducing our exposure in high risk segments, especially ones that have not performed well over the last year, energy and leverage lending, both of which we've managed down 30% year over year with our own internal efforts. So that would be the first point. So we're coming off of a significant derisking of those portfolios. And then I would transition into our COVID-nineteen secondtors and how that looks.

It's around 10% of our book. And what I would want everyone to understand is the detailed portfolio reviews that we've conducted in these sectors at a loan level. On a loan level, sometimes in some names, we've touched and spoken to at least two times to understand their specific situation, how their revenues look, what their expense loads look like, the liquidity in their strategic positioning. So as we look at it, we have a very good understanding about where those clients sit. And then if you look at the overall reserve adequacy, excluding mortgage warehouse at 1.6%, It's right in the middle of the mid cap peer group.

So I feel pretty good from that perspective. And then I take a look at Julie made some remarks in her opening comments around the economy and what we're expecting. And we think we're certainly adequately reserved based on the severity duration and what we expect economic recovery to look like. I guess I'll pause before Julie comments on capital. Hopefully that addressed your question.

Speaker 4

Yes, it does. Thanks,

Speaker 5

John. Ebrahim, we feel comfortable with where capital is, and we especially feel comfortable with capital, where capital is knowing what kind of earnings growth rate we have come in, the PPNR that we're going to be able to generate over the next 6 to 12 months. So we feel comfortable with that. We're constantly evaluating it, and certainly we might take the opportunity to add some sub debt. It would probably mean maybe repricing some of what we've got and adding some.

I mean, that's definitely something that we would consider, but there's no particular timeline set for that.

Speaker 4

Got it. And just on that, so you've given you spelled out what you expect expenses will be in the back half. In terms of NII, do you expect any of the deposit growth to that came in into 2Q to leave the bank in the Q3? And do you expect NII, which you emphasized in your remarks, Julie, should that grow from here or do you expect NII to decline?

Speaker 5

There could be a slight decline in revenue in the Q3. I think Q2 is probably the peak. There might be a little bit. I think warehouse and MCA will again have a strong Q3. So it could be flat to down a little bit.

Deposits, I don't think we would expect any meaningful deposit runoff in the 3rd quarter.

Speaker 4

Got it. And just one question, I guess, for Larry, it means obviously, I mean, you've been Chairman for a long time, now as CEO. You have a statement in the slide talking about some of the things that you did in the 2nd quarter accelerate and narrow the strategic focus of the bank. Just talk to us in terms of what that narrowing means? What are you not doing now that you were doing a year ago ex I guess energy and leverage lending that we should be mindful of?

And also if you can give us an update on the CEO search? Thanks.

Speaker 7

Sure.

Speaker 8

So look,

Speaker 3

it's this is not magic what we're doing here as a bank. We're calling on clients and prospects. We're providing good quality loan and deposit products for them to use. We have been hiring good bankers right along. We've never really stopped.

But what we've been doing for the last year and a half that we haven't done in the past is provide our bankers the tools and some of them some of the bankers we've hired come from pretty sophisticated banks and they are very impressed with what they see. These tools will allow our bankers to outperform in my opinion, and not just across the middle market, but across the specialty areas too in terms of increasing our client base and increasing our share of wallet with the additional products that we've added. If you look at our pipeline meetings kind of in the May June timeframe, very strong and people are excited. They're glad to have the new products, the new sales management tools. John Cervati and Vince Ackerson run all of our revenue businesses and John and Vince made a presentation to our Board yesterday, which was enthusiastically received regarding where we're trying to go with this.

Look, there's still plenty of opportunity in Texas. I'm convinced of that, Even in spite of this big uncertainty around the economy because of the COVID, it's still the best market to be in, in my opinion. And then our specialty units, I'm telling you, they are really strong and some of them very countercyclical to some of our areas turned down. And so I don't know, I could talk quite a while on that, but I'll stop and answer your other question. So look, the CEO search is underway.

Our Board continues to work with our outside firm, making sure that we are looking for the right people that we have a shot at all the right people and they're putting them out there. We're not in a hurry. But on the other hand, it's a priority for us and we want to get it we want to get it right is the main thing. And so very pleased with where that is and more to come. Can't give you a specific date or time other than what I told you earlier, and that is that I've committed to the Board that I'm here for whatever time it takes, certainly the next six to 18 months, if that's what it takes and longer if we need to.

So hope that answers your question, Ebrahim.

Speaker 4

Got it. Thanks for taking my questions.

Speaker 1

And the next question will come from Brad Milsaps with PSC. Please go ahead.

Speaker 9

Thanks for taking my questions. Just you addressed this a little bit, Larry, but just kind of curious, it sounds like you are more optimistic on loan growth. It sounds like, Julie, you're certainly optimistic on PPNR growth, kind of given some of the expense saves you have coming. If we are maybe nearing peak sort of mortgage earnings, can you talk a little bit about what you guys are thinking in terms of loan growth picking up as you move into 2021, maybe to offset some of the slack that might be created by mortgage?

Speaker 3

So I'm going to let Julie answer that specifically, but I want to be careful that we don't just focus on loan growth because what we're really focused on is profitability and increasing our earnings through getting a bigger share of the wallet. Loans clearly are the driver. I get that. I've been around this business long enough to know that. And I feel strongly that there are plenty of opportunities out there.

One of the things that I've done is asked our Chief Credit Officer and our Chief our people who are running the revenue side to make sure we're perfectly aligned on credit and to make sure that the loans that we do book are the right kind of loans. And so that we don't go through this debacle again, I've had enough of this and I've been around my around this business long enough and through enough cycles that it's painful and our people have worked really hard to get us through it. And we don't want to get back there again. But I just want to make sure that you're also focused on profitability because that's what we're focused on. Julie, you want to give a better answer?

Speaker 5

Yes. No, that's perfect. The only thing that I would add is that we have invested in some very impressive frontline talent in the last 6 to 9 months, some C and I specialty areas and core C and I and we will continue to invest in some frontline bankers. And so we will grow as they bring market share. But again, the growth that we're focused on is going to be the whole relationship.

So it's not just going to be loans, it's going to be they're going to be closely aligned with our treasury people and they're going to be bringing deposits and treasury also.

Speaker 9

Thanks, Sheila. And just as a follow-up, can you talk about you alluded to in some of your remarks on mortgage warehouse, but can you talk about the sustainability of the improvement you saw in the yield on that portfolio? And then I appreciate the guidance kind of near term kind of $10,000,000 to $12,000,000 in that gain on loan sale line. But just kind of curious how to sort of think about the number of loans that you'll typically move through quarter. Know it can vary depending on the environment as you noted, but just kind of wanted to get a better sense of how to think about that into next year.

Speaker 5

Yes. So I'll kind of focus on the rest of the year and then we'll give 2021 guidance a little bit later. But for the mortgage finance yield, I would say that we would expect those to be flat. They could go they could ease down a little bit, but flat to down a little bit. And then on MCA, those volumes, again, it will just be based on what the market is giving us.

And right now with the volumes that are in the market, the GSEs are not taking everything. So the aggregators like ourselves are getting are being offered a lot of business. So as long as those volumes stay like they are, we'll continue to have very short turn times and you'll see the average balances stay pretty consistent. They may tick up a little bit, but they'll stay consistent with what we've been seeing and you'll see that game line stay pretty strong. If the volumes, I mean, we don't really expect the volumes in this environment to start to diminish much, not through the Q3 and then we'll see what seasonality does in the Q4.

Speaker 9

Okay, great. Thank you, guys.

Speaker 3

Thanks, Fred.

Speaker 1

The next question will come from Michael Rose with Raymond James. Please go ahead.

Speaker 10

Hey, thanks for taking my questions. I think at the outset you mentioned you were going to invest in a couple of your markets. Can you just give us some color on some of the investments that you might plan to make? And if that if some of those investments would offset some the severance costs and some of the run ratable costs that you've layered in and provide for us? Thanks.

Speaker 3

Sure. So I'll take a shot at that and then Julie can add if she wants to. So what I was specifically referring to are high performing bankers, like we've always done and looking for some teams, if that's what we can do in each of our markets, to tell you the truth. But certainly, you can guess which ones they are. They are our home market in Dallas and certainly Houston, but San Antonio, Austin, Fort Worth also getting looked at constantly.

We're not trying to get right back to the expense problem we had before. We had too much expense. In this case, we're looking at it from a revenue point of view, and I don't think expense is really the issue here. The risk that we did did not really hamper our revenue producing side. And so the front line and but we continue to look if we're going to say we're going to grow earnings and we need some additional resources to do it with.

So that's what I was talking about, Michael. I don't know if that answered your question specifically, but.

Speaker 5

And Michael, I would just add those numbers that I gave you for those cost saves and the annualized run rate reductions, I mean, that factors into we've already factored into that, that we're going to add some, we're going to be adding some revenue producers. Thanks,

Speaker 3

Julie, for clarifying.

Speaker 7

Okay. And can you provide us

Speaker 10

some color as to what those planned investments might be in terms of dollars?

Speaker 5

No, I mean, it's already netted into this. It's netted into the numbers that I gave you. So the cost saves that I gave you assume that we're going to do some add backs.

Speaker 6

Okay. We were talking about we're

Speaker 5

talking about over the next, I don't know, 6 to 12 months, we'll hire 10 to 15 bankers.

Speaker 10

Okay, that's helpful. And then can we just get an update on Bask Bank, just given what's going on with airlines? And is that still a viable strategy for you guys at this point?

Speaker 5

It is absolutely a viable strategy. It's a viable platform that as we've talked for when we introduced it, that digital platform is something that we planned all along to leverage for additional offerings going forward. So we absolutely plan to maintain that platform as well as that brand. In this environment, I mean, they're still opening accounts. They're still opening accounts and it's growing.

We're not throwing marketing dollars and spend at that. But certainly, as they open accounts, we'll take those. But we're not going to make any kind of investment in trying to grow that right now. But we are looking at ways, Matt Qualley, who runs that for us, we certainly are looking at ways that we can leverage that digital platform in other ways, whether it's later, other offerings a couple of years from now when hopefully rates start to move up again. So we'll still the capabilities and the brand we will maintain, but it's not something where we're going to make any outsized investments in anytime in the near future.

Speaker 10

Okay. Thanks for taking my questions.

Speaker 5

Absolutely.

Speaker 1

The next question will come from Jennifer Demba with SunTrust. Please go ahead.

Speaker 5

Thank you. Good evening. Your more pandemic sensitive industries, can you kind of frame up which ones you think are higher risk over the near term versus lower risk at this point and what the criticized levels are in those areas?

Speaker 6

Sure. We've outlined it on the Slide 4 of the earnings deck, what we're really primary classifying as what we'd consider the most severely impacted here. So I think we would feel pretty good about what those portfolios look like. We've spoken to most, if not all of those clients 1 to 2 times. We understand their position.

So I think as far as the granularity of criticized, classifieds by those sectors, that's not something that we've provided. But certainly, when you look at CRE, there's additional detail on the line of business split outs as well well as energy as well. I can certainly give you more color on what we're seeing in terms of client needs and how they've reached out to us. But we haven't gotten into that level of specificity.

Speaker 5

Jennifer, on the CRE detail, we do have the criticized levels. And I guess I would go back to a comment that I had and I know you and I have talked quite a bit about that on the CRE and those COVID impacted areas, those are not the ones that we have most of our CRE concentrations in. They're the smaller amounts. And we feel so great about that book, the LTVs that we have, the borrowers we have. So, yes, this.

Speaker 1

And the next question will come from Brady Gailey with KBW. Please go ahead.

Speaker 8

Hey, thank you. Good afternoon, guys. Hey, Brady. Hey, Brady. So one of your peers, Hancock Whitney, announced a bulk sale late last week of a bunch of their energy assets, which was pretty costly for them.

But it sounds like most of your larger problematic energy loans are near resolution, which is great to hear. But you're still left with some smaller energy and levered lending and other loans that are still in the problem bucket. Would Texas Capital consider a bulk sale going forward? Or is that at all on your radar?

Speaker 3

So I'm going to just make a comment about that and then I'll let the experts here give you their take on it. But look, we've been looking at that portfolio for quite some time and looking at what options we have to get it behind us. We've taken a lot of actions already in terms of charge offs, provisions, running off business and all of that to get us down to the level that we're at. It's we still have some problems in there, but they're manageable and we know what that's going to look like going forward. Would we ever consider it?

Of course, we would if somebody came and showed us a good reason to do it. In that particular case, I don't know anything about Hancock's business or how they had it valued on their books. So it's really probably inappropriate to comment. But one thing I do know is that Oaktree is one of the largest distressed securities buyers in the world, and I doubt they're going to buy anything that doesn't have significant upside for them. So I don't I think we have our business valued where it needs to be today.

And so it would probably not appeal to me just intuitively, but again, Julie or JT, you want to comment on that?

Speaker 6

Yes. I mean, I guess what I would say is that over the last year, that the energy portfolio is down about 500,000,000 dollars if you think about it that way. And so we've managed our way through that portfolio and by ourselves, obviously, through provisioning charge offs and through just not renewing facilities when they mature. So we feel like we've right sized that. It will continue to go down as the markets allow, which is kind of stalled out right now in terms of how much further you'll see that go down in the near term.

But also taking a look at each one of those clients on a quarterly basis and stressing their cash flows and taking a look at their hedging positions. We feel like what we have left in the books that is atypical from those that have caused us problems in the most recent 4 to 6 quarters. We feel adequately reserved for a wrap.

Speaker 5

Hey, Brady, you might also note that the NPAs are down meaningfully in energy with those charges that we took and actually the remaining balance of those I referred to is still in there. So when you net that out, NPAs and energy are about $64,000,000 So that's a meaningful drop.

Speaker 8

All right. That's helpful. And then another question for either Larry or Julie. I mean, I've heard you guys talk about a plan that you have for the company. It's going to take another 6 to 18 months to get there where you're basically targeting higher earnings levels.

Is there anything is there any goal or target that you have in mind as far as what you want the company to earn like from an ROA or ROE target point of view?

Speaker 5

So, we're not giving 2021 guidance right now, but I would tell you that in this environment, we're focused on PPNR, we're focused on managing credit. And so ROE targets, we've given those in the past. I don't know that we're going to be given any ROE targets anytime soon. We're focused on, again, growing PPNR and managing credit. And as we get closer to the end of the year, we'll start to give some more specific guidance on 2020.

But yes, no ROE targets that we're throwing out there right now, certainly.

Speaker 8

Okay. And then finally for me, there's just been so much noise at Texas Capital recently with the merger was on and then the merger busted and now you have a new CEO. Has there been any meaningful loss of talent at Texas Capital? I mean, I feel like I've seen some press releases from some of your competitors that have talked about hiring some people away from Texas Capital. But can you just comment on any loss of talent that you've seen over the last, call it, 2 or 3 quarters?

Speaker 3

So rather than talk about loss of talent, let's just talk about the talent that we have because everybody seems to want to talk about loss of talent, particularly our competitors, and I get that I'd do the same if I were them. But nobody wants to talk about talent we've hired in the last 2 years, which is extraordinarily good and the ones that I see coming in today are also very strong. They get it in terms of going after the full wallet. They like the tools that we're giving them. They like the products we have.

And again, like I said, our specialty groups are second to none. They're awesome. Our middle market bankers are second to none. I'll put them up against anybody. So while I don't mean to throw shade on our competitors, they are our competitors.

I don't blame them. I'd say they hired our top talent too. And but in terms of where we are now, the team we have on the field, that is just not a concern that I have.

Speaker 1

And the next question will come from Gary Tenner with D. A. Davidson. Please go ahead. Thanks.

Good afternoon.

Speaker 5

Hi, Gary.

Speaker 7

Hi. Just wanted to get some more color on the thoughts about balance sheet remix. I think there were some comments about investing some excess liquidity that you've historically held. Can you talk about maybe any targets of how you would like the balance sheet mix to look from earning asset perspective? And if there would be any thoughts actually contracting the balance sheet and reducing some of the borrowing that you have out there?

Speaker 5

We are planning to we've already started moving some of the excess liquidity into securities. We're definitely comfortable with some securities build over the next 6 months or so. Liquidity levels, we're still going to maintain, I'm not going to we're not giving any targets for that. We're still in this environment, we still want to maintain a larger than normal liquidity balance. So we're not planning any balance sheet reductions at all.

I mean warehouse as warehouse, if we go into the some of the seasonally weaker quarters, there could be some runoff there. But yes, there's no plan to reduce the balance sheet as of now.

Speaker 4

Okay. And then,

Speaker 7

I think it was mentioned a couple of times during your comments, Larry, kind of a 6 to 18 month kind of perspective in terms of A, getting earnings where you want them to be to have some options and also as it relates to the CEO search. I just wonder given the fact that obviously the Board has agreed to sell the bank once. I mean is that that timeframe seems to possibly sit in a timeframe that would be maybe a bit of a return to normalcy and some simplification cleaning up of the kind of franchise overall. So should we read into this as that's on the table in that period of time, again, just through this interim phase of cleaning things up?

Speaker 3

If I understand your question, Gary, and my colleagues will correct me if I don't. So are you asking if we're going to do another rip and change up? Is that not what?

Speaker 5

I think you're asking are you asking about another

Speaker 3

merger?

Speaker 7

Yes, I apologize. I didn't ask that question in a very elegant way. But yes, basically, the commentary around 6 to 18 months and what you're doing right now to simplify, clean up credit, focusing on PPNR, it sounded to me as though it's really stop gap may not be the right word to use, but kind of a bridge to get to where that option could be back on the table in a more normal environment?

Speaker 3

I don't think it's a bridge. I think it's just going back to doing what we've done for years, and we've had this blip in the last year or so that we've had to get through and we had. And now we'll see the earnings start to come back. That's certainly my goal. And we'll continue to grow our middle market business and our specialty groups.

And the reason I just said 6 to 18 months, it starts this quarter, so that's the 1st part of the 6 months. The 18 months includes 2021. We just it will grow through that period of time to get us back to earnings where we can grow from there and continue to do the same things we've always done.

Speaker 5

Yes, we're not looking for a partner.

Speaker 3

No. Yes, that's the question. Absolutely

Speaker 6

not. I have

Speaker 3

no interest in going through another merger right now. We don't need to. We have a good future. And so I don't call this a stopgap at all. I think it's just continuing to run our business right and pulling up the things that we stumbled on.

Speaker 10

On.

Speaker 1

The next question will come from Brock Vandervliet with UBS.

Speaker 11

Just to actually follow-up on Gary's question. If you could just elaborate here on so from the in terms of earning assets, Julie, do you anticipate like a reallocation from these interest bearing deposits held at other banks to much greater investment securities? Is that kind of the takeaway we should be making here?

Speaker 5

There will be some transition of yes, into investments. I mean, I would say that by the end of the year, we could be at, I don't know, $1,500,000,000 in securities. And we'll continue to build securities. With the excess liquidity, we're comfortable continuing to build some securities into 2021 as well.

Speaker 11

Okay. And just to clarify, of all the steps you're taking, shrinking the balance sheet is not one of them. That is clear? No. Okay.

Speaker 5

Yes, that's correct.

Speaker 11

On the funding side, one area where you do seem to have plenty of room is in time deposits. I know you've got some disclosure on the runoff cadence there. If you could kind of go through that and what that might settle out at, that would be helpful.

Speaker 5

Sure. So we do have some brokered CDs that have some laddered maturities and we would expect that we would probably reinvest those, that we would re up those at lower at low at the lower cost. So you would see us as those mature, reinvest those in brokered CDs at the lower cost.

Speaker 11

And those are south of 100 bps at this point?

Speaker 5

Yes, like 30, 35.

Speaker 11

Okay. All right. So savings there.

Speaker 7

All

Speaker 11

right. Great. Thank you.

Speaker 8

Thanks, Brock.

Speaker 1

This will conclude today's question and answer session. I would now like to turn the conference back over to President and CEO, Larry Helm for any closing remarks.

Speaker 3

So look, thank you for your time today. I hope we've helped you understand our view of our bank and where we're going. We're excited about it. We're confident in the future. And to the extent you have any other questions, feel free to call me or Julie or JT, and we'll be happy to talk further with you.

So that concludes our call today, operator. Thank you.

Speaker 1

Thank you for your participation in TCBI's Q2 2020 earnings conference call. Please direct requests for follow-up questions to Julie Anderson at julie. Andersontexascapitalbank.com.

Speaker 7

You may now disconnect.

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