TE Connectivity plc (TEL)
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Earnings Call: Q2 2021

Apr 21, 2021

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by, and welcome to the TE Connectivity second quarter earnings call for fiscal year 2021. At this time, all lines are in a listen-only mode. Later, we will conduct a question-and-answer session. At that time, if you would like to ask a question, please press star, then the number one on your telephone keypad. If you would like to remove your question, please press the pound key. As a reminder, please ask one question and then jump back in the queue to ask a second in accordance with time. I would now like to turn the conference over to your host, Vice President of Investor Relations, Sujal Shah. Please go ahead.

Sujal Shah
VP of Investor Relations, TE Connectivity

Good morning, thank you for joining our conference call to discuss TE Connectivity's second quarter results. With me today are Chief Executive Officer, Terrence Curtin, and Chief Financial Officer, Heath Mitts. During this call, we will be providing certain forward-looking information. We ask you to review the forward-looking cautionary statements included in today's press release. In addition, we will use certain non-GAAP measures in our discussion this morning, and we ask you to review the sections of our press release and the accompanying slide presentation that address the use of these items. The press release and related tables, along with the slide presentation, can be found on the investor relations portion of our website at te.com.

Due to the large number of participants on the Q&A portion of today's call, we're asking everyone to limit themselves to one question to make sure we can give everyone an opportunity to ask questions during the allotted time. We are willing to take follow-up questions but ask that you rejoin the queue if you have a second question. Now, let me turn the call over to Terrence for opening comments.

Terrence Curtin
CEO, TE Connectivity

Thank you, Sujal, and thank you, everyone, for joining us today to go over our results for the second quarter, as well as our expectations for the third quarter of our fiscal 2021. Before I get into slides, let me give you some perspective on our second quarter. I think as you'll see in our results, we are continuing to demonstrate the strength of our diverse portfolio and the benefit of content growth across our businesses. We are delivering organic growth ahead of our markets, as well as strong operational performance and free cash flow generation. I would say this performance is in a world with an improving economic backdrop that is dealing with global supply chains that are trying to keep up with the broader macro recovery.

We are continuing to execute to our business model. You can see this in our second quarter results as well as the guidance that we provide for the third quarter. I'll talk about that. Let me also provide some key messages about today's call. First off, I am very pleased with our execution in the second quarter. We delivered sales growth of 17% and generated record quarterly adjusted earnings per share of $1.57. This EPS represents growth of 22% year-over-year. Our sales were ahead of our expectations. It was broad across each segment, driven by the continued recovery in most end markets we serve, our broad leadership positions, and the benefits of the secular trends that strategically position TE to capitalize on.

Our adjusted operating margins expanded 80 basis points year-over-year to 17%. This was driven by margin expansion in both our Transportation and Communications segments. I also believe that you're going to continue to see us demonstrate our strong cash generation, and truly evident of that is our year-to-date free cash flow, which was approximately $1 billion. As we look into our third quarter, we are expecting our strong performance to continue, with sales and adjusted earnings per share at similar levels to what we just delivered in the second quarter. With that as a little bit of a backdrop, I do want to take a moment to frame out the current market environment and our business relative to where we were just 90 days ago when we last spoke.

In the Transportation segment, consumer demand in autos continues to remain strong, and Auto production is remaining stable in the range of 19 million-20 million units per quarter globally, even with the semi shortages. We've also seen further strength in our Commercial Transportation end markets. The trends around content growth remain strong as we continue to benefit from increased electrification of vehicles and higher production of electric vehicles, which will enable us to continue to outperform Auto production going forward. In our Industrial segment, we see increased momentum in the recovery of Industrial Equipment markets due to factory automation and increasing manufacturing capital expenditure trends. Also in our Industrial segment, the Commercial Aerospace and Medical businesses are still being impacted by COVID, and this is similar to what we mentioned last quarter.

We do continue to see indicators of stability in our orders in both of these businesses. In our Communications segment, the market trends we mentioned last quarter are continuing. Consumer demand is getting stronger, and globally, we've seen an increase in appliance demand. We continue to see strong ongoing capital expenditure trends in the cloud applications, as well as acceleration of demand around the data center. When you think about these trends I just covered in our segments as a backdrop, the faster-than-expected recovery in the markets that I mentioned have resulted in some challenges as the industries we serve replenish their supply chain and look to further secure supply. While this dynamic has benefited our orders, which remain strong, it has caused broader supply chain pressure.

The pressure we're experiencing is factored into our expectations for the third quarter guidance, and Heath will provide more color on this in his section. The last thing I want to highlight is, let's all remember that we're still in a world that's dealing with COVID. We continue to see countries go into lockdown again, and this is impacting some of our customers and their supply chains. Certainly, while vaccines are getting rolled out in certain parts of the world, the pace of the deployment and availability of the vaccines varies greatly by country, some uncertainty remains. Our focus has been, and will continue to be, on keeping our employees safe while also helping our customers capitalize on the improving economic conditions.

With that as a backdrop, let me get into the slides, and I'd appreciate that you could turn to slide three to provide some additional details for our second quarter and our expectations for the third quarter. Second quarter sales of $3.7 billion were better than our expectations in each of our segments. They were up 17% on a reported basis and 11% organically year-over-year. We had 15% organic growth in our Transportation segment, with double-digit growth across all businesses. We also had very strong performance in our Communications segment, with organic growth of 29%, which was strong double-digit growth in both of the businesses in that segment. In our Industrial segment, sales were down 4% organically due to the ongoing weakness in the Commercial Aerospace market. From an orders perspective, second quarter orders were $4.6 billion, and this was up 36% year-over-year.

It reflects both the improvement in the markets that I mentioned, along with inventory replenishment in the supply chain by our customers. Our earnings per share was a record at $1.57 in the quarter, and this was up 22% year-over-year, and was driven entirely by our operating performance, resulting in adjusted operating margins being up 80 basis points year-over-year. I am pleased that we were able to manage the broader supply chain pressures, which all companies are dealing with, and had margin expansion. From a free cash flow perspective, in the second quarter, free cash flow was $477 million, with approximately $340 million being returned to shareholders. As we look forward, we expect our strong performance to continue into the third quarter, with sales and adjusted earnings per share being similar to our second quarter levels.

For the third quarter, we expect sales to be approximately $3.7 billion. This is up significantly year-over-year on both a reported and an organic basis. We expect adjusted earnings per share to be $1.57, which is in line with the levels we just saw in the quarter we just closed. Let's turn to slide four, and I'll cover the order trends that we're seeing. As I already stated, in the quarter, our orders were very strong at approximately $4.6 billion, and we had a book-to-bill of 1.22. Orders in Transportation and in Communications were up 50% and 45%, respectively. This increase reflects both market recovery and supply chain replenishment in both of those segments. In these segments, customers are not only placing orders to meet current production needs, but also replenishing the supply chains that were depleted during fiscal 2020.

I would also highlight that with some of the shortages in semiconductors and certain passive components, we are seeing some areas where customers are placing orders to secure supply beyond their lead times. In our Industrial segment, it is a different picture than what we're seeing in Transportation and Communications. What is nice is that despite the year-over-year sales decline we had in the segment; we have seen orders growth of 7%. That's driven by the continued recovery in the Industrial Equipment market, partially offset by the weakness in Commercial Aerospace that I mentioned. Let me also, on orders, add some color on what we're seeing organically on a geographic basis. I'm going to do this on a sequential basis to show where order momentum is. In China, our orders were up 3% from a strong base from fiscal quarter one.

That growth was really driven by our Industrial and Communications segments. Orders on a sequential basis in Europe were up 14%, North America sequential orders were up 22%, that was broad-based growth across all our segments in those two regions. Let me get into our year-over-year segment results, they're on slides five through seven. I'm going to touch on each segment briefly before I turn it over to Heath. Transportation sales were up 15% organically year-over-year, with growth in each of the businesses. In Auto, our sales were up 14% organically, year-to-date, we are generating content outperformance over production in our expected 4%-6% range. We continue to benefit from our leading global position and increased production of electric vehicles.

As you've probably seen, the number of EV launches are increasing by our customers around the world. In Commercial Transportation, similar to our first quarter, we saw 25% organic growth driven by ongoing emission trends, content outperformance, and ongoing share gains. We are continuing to benefit from stricter emission standards and the increased operator adoption of Euro 5 and 6 in China, which reinforces our strong position in that country. We saw growth in all regions in our Commercial Transportation business, along with double-digit growth in all market verticals that we serve in this business. The other nice thing that we continue to see is we see increased wins on electric powertrain platforms and trucks, which give us confidence about the future content potential in this market in out years. In our Sensors business, we saw 13% organic growth with growth in all markets and double-digit growth in Auto applications.

We do continue to expand our design win pipeline in Auto sensing and expect growth as these platforms continue to increase in volume. From a margin perspective, adjusted operating margins for the segment, excuse me, expanded 80 basis points to 18.1%, driven by higher volumes versus the prior year and despite the supply chain pressures. If we now turn to the Industrial segment, as I said earlier, our sales did decline 4% organically year-over-year. During the quarter, the segment continued to be impacted by the decline in the Commercial Aerospace market, with our Aerospace Defense and Marine business declining 21% organically year-over-year. As I covered already, based upon the order patterns, we do believe this business is showing signs of stabilization at the current order levels.

When you think about our Industrial Equipment market, it was very strong and up 16% organically, with growth in all regions and increasing strength in factory automation applications, where we're benefiting from accelerating capital expenditures in areas like semiconductor equipment, as well as along the Auto manufacturing supply chain. We continue to see weakness in our Medical business in our Industrial segment, it was down 13% organically year-over-year. This is being driven by ongoing delays in interventional elective procedures caused by COVID. The dynamics we're experiencing in Medical are consistent with what our customers are seeing, and we expect this market to return to growth as these procedures start to increase later in the year.

Lastly, in the Industrial segment, our Energy business, we saw 4% organic growth, and this was driven by an increase in penetration of renewables, especially benefiting from solar applications around the world. From a margin perspective in Industrial Solutions, our margins declined year-over-year to 12.5%, that was really driven by the significant drop in Commercial Aerospace volumes. Let me cover the Communications segment. In this segment, we continue to benefit from both the market recovery and share gains while delivering very strong operational performance. Sales in the segment grew 29% organically year-over-year, with strong growth in both Data & Devices and in appliances. In Data & Devices, our sales grew 24% organically year-over-year due to the strong position we have built in high-speed solutions for cloud applications.

Favorable secular trends in cloud services are leading to increased capital expenditures by our customers, and our content and share gains are enabling us to grow on cloud-related sales at double the market rate. Just to give you an example, at one of the major cloud providers, we are now providing 6x the content on the next-generation server applications versus the prior generation. In our appliances business, we are also seeing strong growth trends. Sales grew 35% organically year-over-year, driven by our leading global market position, share gains, and ongoing market improvement across all regions. From a margin perspective, our Communications segment and team delivered very strong execution in the quarter and it delivered 21% adjusted operating margins, and these were up 120 basis points versus the prior year.

I am pleased with the way our team has worked through the supply chain pressures to deliver these strong operating margin expansion in this environment. Our Communications teams are capitalizing on growth trends in their end markets while delivering strong operational execution. You see this reflected in our results. With that, let me turn it over to Heath to get into more details on the financials and our expectations going forward.

Heath Mitts
CFO, TE Connectivity

Well, thank you, Terrence, and good morning, everyone. Please turn to slide eight, where I will provide more details on the Q2 financials. Adjusted operating income was $637 million, up approximately 23% year-over-year, with an adjusted operating margin of 17%. GAAP operating income was $612 million and included $17 million of restructuring and other charges and $8 million of acquisition-related charges. We continue to optimize our manufacturing footprint and improve the cost structure of the organization and continue to expect total restructuring charges in the ballpark of $200 million for fiscal 2021. Adjusted EPS was $1.57, and GAAP EPS was $1.51 for the quarter and included restructuring acquisition and other charges of $0.06. The adjusted effective tax rate in Q2 was approximately 17%.

For the third quarter, we expect our tax rate to be up slightly sequentially and continue to expect an adjusted effective tax rate around 19% for fiscal 2021. Importantly, we expect our cash tax rate to stay well below our reported ETR for the full year. Now turning to slide nine. Sales of $3.7 billion were up 17% versus the prior year and 6% sequentially, demonstrating the strength of our portfolio. Currency exchange rates positively impacted sales by $150 million versus the prior year. Adjusted EPS of $1.57 was up 22% year-over-year and 7% sequentially, reflecting our strong operational performance. Adjusted operating margins were 17% and expanded 80 basis points versus the prior year.

While we would have expected higher fall-through on this level of sales growth, we saw impacts of higher freight charges and other supply chain pressures in the quarter. These will continue into the third quarter. As you are aware, these supply chain issues are having a broader impact on our customers and suppliers as well. As Terrence mentioned, the supply chain is catching up to the increased level of demand we are seeing in many of our markets. Given these dynamics, I am pleased with the results we delivered in the quarter and of our momentum going forward, as shown in our third quarter guidance. In the quarter, cash from operating activities was $580 million.

We had very strong free cash flow for the quarter of $477 million, and a year-to-date free cash flow that was approximately $1 billion, which is a record for the first half of a fiscal year. We returned approximately $340 million to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases in the quarter. Our strong free cash flow performance demonstrates the strength of our cash generation model, and we continue to expect free cash flow conversion to approximate 100% for the full year. We remain committed to our disciplined use of cash, and over time, we expect 2/3 of our free cash flow to be returned to shareholders and one-third to be used for acquisitions.

Before we go to questions, I want to reiterate that we remain excited about how we have positioned our portfolio with leadership positions in the markets we serve, along with organic growth and margin expansion opportunities ahead of us. To summarize, the outlook for many of the markets we serve is consistent with what we are seeing 90 days ago, along with some acceleration of growth in the Commercial Transportation, Industrial Equipment, and Communications markets. We are continuing to see the benefits of secular trends across our portfolio and are capitalizing on these opportunities. The economic recovery has been faster than expected, and we are seeing the corresponding near-term pressures in the broader supply chain as a result. These impacts will be resolved, and nothing has changed with respect to our growth and margin expansion expectations.

We are executing well the things we can control, and our outlook for Q3 continues to reflect the strength of our portfolio. We expect to continue to generate strong free cash flow, maintain a disciplined and balanced capital strategy, and drive to our business model performance. We remain focused on value creation for our stakeholders going forward. Now, let's open it up for questions.

Sujal Shah
VP of Investor Relations, TE Connectivity

Okay. Thank you, Heath. Michelle, could you please give the instructions for the Q&A session?

Operator

Okay. One second, please. Thank you. At this time, I would like to remind everyone, in order to ask a question, to please press star, then the number one on your telephone keypad. In order to have time for all questions, each participant is limited to one question. If you would like to ask a follow-up, please press star one to return to the queue. Your first question will come from Craig Hettenbach from Morgan Stanley. Your line is open.

Craig Hettenbach
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Thank you. Question for Terrence. There are a number of references to replenishment on the call. Can you just talk about the strength you're seeing in the business, when customers you think will get caught up on inventory, and importantly, the type of sell-through you're seeing?

Terrence Curtin
CEO, TE Connectivity

Sure. Thanks, Craig, and let me. You see that in our orders. I think one of the things is we're all dealing with the recovery across those markets that are seeing that improved recovery at a faster rate than we all expected. Inventory levels are low. When we see the orders breadth that we see, we do see people trying not only to get the products in for what they want to make, but also to get the supply chains up that ensure that there aren't some of the stresses that we hear about in other components. When you look at that, I think we're all in the middle of that real time. These are stresses that you get when you have a recovery that's in motion.

I do think we need a couple of quarters for that to play out because it is pretty broad-based. Stocks were taken very low. Even when you think about our channel partners, our channel partners are holding turn levels that are lower than normal. They're trying to catch up. It is very broad across those markets that you see the strength in. It will take a couple of quarters to get truly everything probably replenished.

Sujal Shah
VP of Investor Relations, TE Connectivity

Okay. Thank you, Craig. Could we have the next question, please?

Operator

Yes, your next question comes from Wamsi Mohan from Bank of America. Your line is open.

Wamsi Mohan
Analyst, Bank of America

Yes. Thank you. Terrence, you alluded to a few things within the Communications segment performance. Can you remind us how much of that is cloud now, and are you expecting this growth to sustain here, and how sustainable are these margins?

Terrence Curtin
CEO, TE Connectivity

Yeah, thanks, Wamsi. In Communications, I think one of the things that we have to keep in front when you look at the results that segment have are more impressive because they didn't have the dip that our Transportation segment had when the Western world shut down Auto production. The growth that you see first off is in D&D. It is primarily driven by cloud applications, and I think it's both the acceleration of cloud CapEx in addition to where we position ourselves from a market share perspective, and we continue to do a nice job, and that team continue to build more momentum from a share perspective, and that's really driving that growth. The other thing that you have in that segment is our appliance business has a great global position, and we're also benefiting from as certainly appliances have accelerated globally around the world.

You're seeing the benefit of that business, and you're also seeing how global these two businesses are. Certainly, I talked about it in orders, but these businesses are very globally balanced, and you're seeing the growth. Feel good about the positioning we've done on the top line. I would also say with the volumes that we're at, we would expect that this segment would be a higher margin than what we've told you historically. We've always said this is probably middle teen. At these types of levels, you'd probably be in the mid-to-high teens over time. It just shows that the work that we've done to improve the portfolio here, the trends that we've put it around, as well as the operational execution the team's done. Thanks, Wamsi, for the question.

Sujal Shah
VP of Investor Relations, TE Connectivity

Thank you, Wamsi. Can we have the next question, please?

Operator

Your next question comes from Amit Daryanani from Evercore. Your line is open.

Amit Daryanani
Analyst, Evercore

Yes. Good morning, everyone. Thanks for taking my question. Terrence, I was wondering if you maybe reconcile the deviation between the strength we're seeing on both the book-to-bill and the order numbers that you put out versus the June quarter guide. If I think about the book-to-bill of 1.22, I would've thought June quarter guide would be north of $4 billion in revenue. I'd just love to understand what's the delta between the book-to-bill versus your guide. Relates to that, the order strength you're talking about, is there any deviation between channel versus OEM there?

Terrence Curtin
CEO, TE Connectivity

Yeah, I'm going to take your last piece first, if that's okay. When you look at it, the trends where you're seeing the acceleration and also with some of the supply chain stresses, you do see orders in the channel were probably a couple hundred million higher than what we billed. Our channel sales grew similar to what the total company grew. You do see the channel partners trying. Their inventories are low. They're trying to catch up. I would say it's different than what we're seeing direct. It is about how do we make sure the supply chain levels to support this faster recovery get into place. When you look at our book-to-bill at 1.22, as you all know, this is not a business that's typically a backlog business.

What we're seeing, because things were so depleted, you have customers that's sitting out there not only getting orders for production, but also trying to replenish. There's pain points in the world. There's certain product sets that we have some constraints on. There's pain points on some of our input materials, and Heath talked about some of the pressures on inflation side. I think what you have is the orders are a lot higher than our guidance, and our guidance is really the things that we see we're going to schedule out and deliver. It will normalize over time, that they'll be more in check. Right now you have a supply chain replenishment going on after COVID in 2020 took a lot of supply chains to a full stop.

Sujal Shah
VP of Investor Relations, TE Connectivity

Okay. Thank you, Amit. Can we have the next question, please?

Operator

Yes, your next question comes from Joseph Spak from RBC Capital Markets. Your line is open.

Joseph Spak
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Thank you very much. If we look at the actual incremental in the quarter and compare that to sort of that low 30s, that delta is about $50 million. Is that order of magnitude what you sort of experienced from logistical headwinds? I know you mentioned that you could continue, so maybe you could talk about some of the puts and takes on the margin as we head into your fiscal third quarter.

Heath Mitts
CFO, TE Connectivity

Sure. Joseph, this is Heath. I'll take the question. You're right on with your assumption. We would've expected these volume levels to be north of 30% flow through, as we've talked about. The delta on a year-over-year basis to where we came in probably puts you into that type of number in terms of the flow through and then the impact that it had on margins. As we work our way through the year, there's certain things that will continue that we will continue to expect to feel the pressure on, whether that's freight charges, freight inflation, or inflation on input materials otherwise. The team is hammering through those, and we have different levers that we can pull to pass some of those things along, as well as where we deal with the timing issues on some of that.

I would expect our margins to modestly improve as we work our way forward here into the third and fourth quarter based on some of the actions that are underway and our ability to combat some of the inflationary pressures out there.

Sujal Shah
VP of Investor Relations, TE Connectivity

Okay. Thank you, Joe. Can we have the next question, please?

Operator

Yes. Your next question comes from Chris Snyder from UBS. Your line is open.

Chris Snyder
Analyst, UBS

Thank you. My question is on EV wins and the pipeline of demand coming to market. Just given the increased focus on high voltage, are you seeing better share relative to ICE? For these new awards, should we expect initial unit production will carry a CPV above 120 until scale is reached?

Terrence Curtin
CEO, TE Connectivity

Yeah, no, thanks. A couple of things. Let's remember that our share is very, a leading position in what we do already. I wouldn't say share is higher. I would say, it's in line with our leading share across Automotive and Transportation. What is nice, and you talked about it, is where do you see the momentum around EV? Just if we went back a few years, it was 5 million electric vehicles if you take pure electric and hybrid. This year, we think it's going to be closer to 10 million vehicles. You see Europe continuing with the emission programs there. Certainly, Asia has always been strong in there, and these are both regions that we have very strong presence. When we think about content, what's nice is EV, you continue to see the adoption. You see the new models coming out.

The models are much more attractive, and the consumer acceptance of those is strong. It falls in line with our overall content growth and the CPV. We do expect to be that 2x on those high voltage for what happens with the powertrain. It is one of the things that, with an improving recovery, the secular trends of where we position TE, whether it's the electric vehicle in the car, and as I talked about in my script, was we also are seeing innovation along the heavy truck fleet. That is becoming more platform-driven . They are going to have more model launches probably out in 2025, 2026, and that's going to be a content driver, and we have wins on those. Those secular trends, in the backdrop of an improving economy, just creates more growth opportunity for us.

Sujal Shah
VP of Investor Relations, TE Connectivity

Okay. Thank you, Chris. Can we have the next question, please?

Operator

Next question comes from Samik Chatterjee from JP Morgan. Your line is open.

Samik Chatterjee
Analyst, JPMorgan

Oh, great. Thank you for taking my question. I wanted to ask on Automotive as well. You had strong results in Automotive despite the uncertainty we are seeing there with the semiconductor shortages. Just wanted to ask, what are you hearing from your Automotive OEMs in terms of how they want to manage the supply chain? Are they still sticking to a consumption model or are they ordering ahead? When to start expect some of these shortages, in terms of impact on production to start to moderate?

Terrence Curtin
CEO, TE Connectivity

Well, I think when every OEM, number one, is happy with where the consumer's showing up. If we were here six months from now while we were ramping, one of the things we would've talked about is, "Is the consumer showing up?" I think that's just great for the industry, and our OEMs are trying to work through the supply chain pressures, at a bigger extent than even we're dealing with. What was nice, certainly, semiconductors are the big news out there. That is very well documented. That impacted production, a little bit less than 1 million units in quarter two. I think it's going to be a similar number in quarter three. Global Auto production, staying in that 19-20 million unit range. What's nice is probably this year Auto production will be back to 2019 levels.

That's a little bit quicker than we would've said six months ago. The OEMs are very much working hard to get the cars out to the consumers. We're all working very much together knowing that right now as it's ramping back up to a very high level, and we're all trying to make sure how do we keep the OEMs going. The discussions today are very much around how do we work together to make sure our OEM customers get to capitalize on this opportunity. There is a lot of volatility right now due to the supply chain, and I think we're going to have to continue to work through that through the rest of our fiscal year.

Sujal Shah
VP of Investor Relations, TE Connectivity

All right. Thank you, Samik. Can we have the next question, please?

Operator

Yes. Your next question comes from Mark Delaney from Goldman Sachs. Your line is open.

Mark Delaney
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Yes. Good morning, and thanks very much for taking the question. Heath, you reiterated the view that free cash flow conversion for this year could be approximately 100% of net income. Can you talk about whether or not there's anything unusual benefiting free cash flow conversion this year? I recognize there's going to be some puts and takes in any given year going forward, but is that the right type of approximate level to be expecting on free cash flow conversion going forward? Thank you.

Heath Mitts
CFO, TE Connectivity

Mark, thanks for the question. I think one of the things that as I look at the free cash flow and the components and the leverage we get to pull there. As we've worked our way through the last few years, one of the things you have seen is CapEx as a percentage of sales moderate a bit more closer to that 5% number versus higher when we were running a couple three years ago. That capacity that we have put in place is certainly we are benefiting from that now. Particularly as we move forward, I think that number of 5%, maybe a tad under that this year, is helpful in terms of how that converts cash flow.

The other thing that we obviously benefit from is the way we manage our tax structure and our ability to pay our cash tax rate being much lower than well below our ETR. There's a few of those types of things.

Working capital this year has been a good story for us, and our ability to maintain receivable days and payable days, improving year-over-year despite this volatile environment has been good. Nothing unusual in our FY 2021 numbers or outlook from a cash flow perspective. We continue to monitor it, and we're not starving the businesses for investments. The organic revenue growth gets first priority, as you can imagine. We feel good about how we've positioned that. Going forward, now if there's a year coming forward that we have a more significant step up in terms of an investment or restructuring or something, we'll highlight that. I think we're in a good position right now.

Sujal Shah
VP of Investor Relations, TE Connectivity

All right. Thank you, Mark. Can we have the next question, please?

Operator

Your next question comes from Joe Giordano from Cowen. Your line is open.

Joe Giordano
Analyst, Cowen

Hey, Mark.

Terrence Curtin
CEO, TE Connectivity

Hey, Joe.

Joe Giordano
Analyst, Cowen

Hey, talking about a little bit of that here. Just if I look back in A uto last year in 2Q, I think you had something like 40 basis points of benefit from supply chain replenishment then. If I look at the results from this quarter, and I assume that you grew kind of like in your 600 basis points above, is that how I should think about this? That supply chain this quarter was like 900 basis points, and it should still be a pretty favorable number for the next few quarters?

Terrence Curtin
CEO, TE Connectivity

I think it's very difficult to just look at content in one quarter, Joe. You're right. With last year in this quarter, we did have a supply chain benefit because we saw people sort of getting into, as COVID, we were all out trying to secure supply. You need to look at it over a longer term. I think that's the more appropriate way to look at it. As we said on last quarter, and when we look at the mix of vehicles this year, it should be in the mid-70s without supply chain effects this year. That's something that is, if you look at what's driven that versus the lower to mid-60s a few years ago, half of that is due to our positioning around electric vehicles and certainly data as autonomy infrastructure gets put in the car.

The other half is just electronification as our core product set continues to be sourced in as the car gets more features on it. I still think, this year, without supply chain, we are in that same figure we told you last quarter. I think when you get into where supply chains are trying to move, it is difficult to get it into one number in a quarter.

Sujal Shah
VP of Investor Relations, TE Connectivity

Okay. Thank you, Joe. Can we have the next question, please?

Operator

Next question comes from Scott Davis from Melius Research. Your line is open.

Scott Davis
Analyst, Melius Research

Hey, good morning, guys.

Terrence Curtin
CEO, TE Connectivity

Hey, Scott.

Scott Davis
Analyst, Melius Research

How are the contracts handled when you have kind of these excess orders or the double ordering? Can you get additional price and help offset some of the cost issues and such?

Terrence Curtin
CEO, TE Connectivity

Sure. On pricing, Scott, when you think about in distribution, which is about 20% of our business, we did price increases, and we do them every six months. We did some in January. We have other ones rolling out in July for some of the inflation pressures. What we do have with some of our larger customers, metal riders that have adjusters for metal. As he talked about, we do expect modest margin expansion as we go into the third quarter. Some of it is as those things kick in as we continue to try to manage through it. It is very different by the markets we play in. There will be price increases aligned with how we have the mechanisms set up with our customers.

Sujal Shah
VP of Investor Relations, TE Connectivity

Okay. Thank you, Scott. Can we have the next question, please?

Operator

Your next question comes from Christopher Glynn from Oppenheimer. Your line is open.

Christopher Glynn
Analyst, Oppenheimer

Okay, thanks. Good morning, everybody. A higher- level question on Industrial Automation cycle, how you see that shaping up. The comparisons and the macro are helping you, but during COVID, a lot of people learned to do more with personnel disruptions, and robotics has been a pretty emerging category. I'm wondering if you're seeing the makings of an automation super cycle in terms of investment over the next handful of years.

Terrence Curtin
CEO, TE Connectivity

What I would tell you is, if you went back, certainly last year, that space got hit. The year before that, it wasn't a positive cycle. There were elements around Auto production going down that were impacting it. What we see, and we see it pretty consistently globally, you're going to have semiconductor manufacturing equipment that's accelerating. You're seeing the investments around the Auto supply chain. You're seeing a lot of those around the electric vehicle at the battery side of it. Certainly, warehousing is no surprise either. What we have seen pretty consistently globally is an acceleration that last quarter we told you we saw some emerging signs of hope. We really saw an acceleration this quarter in it.

I do think just with the backdrop we're in, I do think you're going to have a positive cycle here around automation investment as people see an economic recovery that continues. Let's face it, the two markets where we haven't seen it are in M edical, which are both impacted by COVID, where we play in Medical. I do think you could have a stronger leg here of an Industrial capital equipment cycle, and stronger coming out of COVID.

Sujal Shah
VP of Investor Relations, TE Connectivity

All right. Thank you, Chris. Can we have the next question, please?

Operator

Your next question comes from David Kelley from Jefferies. Your line is open.

David Kelley
Analyst, Jefferies

Hi, thanks, and good morning, Terrence, Heath, and Sujal.

Terrence Curtin
CEO, TE Connectivity

Hi, David.

David Kelley
Analyst, Jefferies

Hi. A quick follow-up question on the prior distribution channel exposure. Just hoping you could maybe give us the percent of the order trends there. If you don't mind, could you remind us of your distribution mix within Communications?

Terrence Curtin
CEO, TE Connectivity

Sure

David Kelley
Analyst, Jefferies

And Industrial as well?

Terrence Curtin
CEO, TE Connectivity

Sure. When you take our distribution mix, it is about 20% of the total company, but what you do have, that mix is higher in our Industrial segment as well as our CS segment. In those cases, you're up 40% +. In Automotive, there's not a lot of distribution. That's a direct just-in-time. You don't have that. You do have higher weightings in Communications and Industrial. Our revenue growth was in line with the total company revenue growth, sort of mid-teens. We did see our book-to-bill in that area was higher than total company. It was more like a 1.50 book-to-bill, and their inventory levels are low. It's not surprising with as the world accelerated, people are trying to secure inventory. They're also trying to rebuild their inventory levels to more appropriate terms. The book-to-bill was very strong there.

I just think it's another positive sign of an improving economy and certainly as we look forward.

Sujal Shah
VP of Investor Relations, TE Connectivity

All right. Thank you, David. Can we have the next question, please?

Operator

The next question comes from Jim Suva from Citigroup. Your line is open.

Jim Suva
Analyst, Citigroup

Thank you. Terrence, in your prepared comments, you made a comment about the orders being stronger than your lead times. When there's chip shortages and the lead times are stretching out, you normally see that a lot. Can you just help us kind of bridge why would customers be ordering a lot more beyond your lead times? Is it just inventory replenishment, or do you think that they're fearful of more supply chain issues? If your lead times are normal, it seems like they could just put in normal orders versus stretched lead times. Thank you.

Terrence Curtin
CEO, TE Connectivity

Yeah, Jim, a couple of things. Let's realize in Automotive, it's a just-in-time system. There really isn't lead times. In that part of our business, it is just in time. In the rest of our business, our lead times are four to six weeks on typical. We do have some pain points, and I would probably say in some areas we're a little bit further out than that, but not anywhere close to some of the semis. I think you do have replenishment going on. People did take volumes down low, and the economy's doing better. In addition, people see Semi's and some other passives having shortages.

It isn't surprising that people are saying, "Hey, I want to make sure I get my orders on to make sure I don't get surprised in other components and tier two products." I think that's why you see what's happening with distribution. I think it's also in some of those markets that are very hot that you see that happening. Honestly, our lead times aren't moving out significantly except in very finite product sets where we have some pain points.

Jim Suva
Analyst, Citigroup

Thank you.

Sujal Shah
VP of Investor Relations, TE Connectivity

All right. Thank you, Jim.

Terrence Curtin
CEO, TE Connectivity

Thanks, Jim.

Sujal Shah
VP of Investor Relations, TE Connectivity

Thank you. Can we have the next question, please?

Operator

Your next question comes from Luke Junk from Baird. Your line is open.

Luke Junk
Analyst, Baird

Good morning.

Terrence Curtin
CEO, TE Connectivity

Hey, good morning.

Luke Junk
Analyst, Baird

Terrence, I was hoping you could discuss some of the key opportunities in your Energy business as it relates to the proliferation of electric vehicles, increasingly an area that we're getting questions on. If you could just speak to the role that TE has to play in terms of grid hardening, which of course is in focus following the Texas storms this winter, renewables, you mentioned solar in your comments, and then some more.

Terrence Curtin
CEO, TE Connectivity

On our Energy business and our Industrial segment, it is important where we play in that is really along the grid. It is very much around the electrical infrastructure, and it is very global. The key factors that really drive growth there is hardening, as you said, but also where we pivoted our portfolio, and our team has done a nice job, has been how do we get our share when you deal with wind applications, where you have very high voltage connections that need to come back and hook into the grid, as well as the solar applications, which are not in panel connections, but really taking the Energy that comes off the solar grid into the core grid.

What's nice is the growth that we've seen in our Energy business that has been pretty consistent over the past year is really due to our repositioning around renewables. Historically, this would have been a very slow-growth business. You have seen it. You saw the 4% this quarter. That exposure to those renewables is really driving the growth there, and certainly, how EVs drive into Energy usage would also benefit that. We are benefiting from all the carbon neutral initiatives on the planet, and certainly how do we make sure we get our fair share with our pretty broad product set to make sure those connections into the grid occur, is what we get excited about.

Sujal Shah
VP of Investor Relations, TE Connectivity

Okay, thanks, Luke. Can we have the next question, please?

Operator

Next question comes from Nik Todorov from Longbow Research. Your line is open.

Nik Todorov
Analyst, Longbow Research

Yeah, thanks. Good morning, everyone. Terrence, we've seen some reports that some Auto OEMs are doing much better than others in the current environment because they have shifted away from just-in-time over the years. As we deal with broader supply chain issues, and I know that's more on the semi side, but how do you see customer inventory policy on the Auto side changing? Do you see any structural shift away from just-in-time?

Terrence Curtin
CEO, TE Connectivity

What I would tell you is, with what we're dealing with currently, we're trying to meet demand. We have not seen significant shifts. Do the OEMs reflect after this? It'll be interesting. I think that'll be a discussion we have with our customers. Right now, our customers are really focused on making sure they get product out the door, and in some cases, just realize we don't have some of the production lead time that a semiconductor company would have when they think about their fabs. What we do is different. Certainly, there's stress and strain in the system. Some of the tier 1s that are also in that equation play a pretty big role, not just the OEMs. They took inventory levels down very low, and that's what we're all trying to catch up on.

Sujal Shah
VP of Investor Relations, TE Connectivity

Okay. Thank you, Nik. Could we have the next question, please?

Operator

Your next question comes from William Stein from Truist Securities. Your line is open.

William Stein
Analyst, Truist Securities

Terrence, I think it was you who used the word inflation to describe something that's happening to at least part of your costs. Maybe it was Heath, but whomever it takes is fine. I'd like you to maybe tell us about whether that's something that you're seeing in input costs, material costs, for example, or labor, or if it's just supply chain-related costs. I think you also noted that you'd expect this to be clawed back over time. Is that through essentially a, let's say, deflation in those costs, or is it something you think you're going to be able to pass on to customers? Thank you.

Heath Mitts
CFO, TE Connectivity

William, this is Heath. I'll take the question. Certainly, where we're feeling the biggest inflation right now is on the freight side. The freight inflation has been significant, and as we battle through there, and there's a variety of reasons for that, including higher air freight and so forth in terms of that. That's not unique to TE. Certainly, I think that's been as well publicized across the overall supply chain. We are, as we move towards the second half of our year, we are seeing a little bit higher input costs, particularly with the resins, and some of that's pretty directly attributable to the weather issues that were in Texas here earlier this past quarter. Then copper prices, as we've continued to monitor those, we've seen those creep up. Now, in some cases, we have hedges in place in terms of how we hedge our metals cost.

You see that kind of layer in a little bit slower in and out of the P&L as we hedge about 50% of our exposure out about 18 months for metals. As we get through there, labor cost is not a major issue on the inflation side, but labor availability in certain places that are still being more impacted by COVID continues to drive some inefficiencies. There's no doubt. Whether that's in Mexico or in Central Europe and otherwise, we still are battling through COVID where we have significant operations, and that's more around availability than inflation. In terms of the clawback, I think Terrence outlined it a couple of questions ago. In some cases, we have contractual ability to do that in terms of passing through riders as we've seen inflation come in more aggressively.

In some cases, it's a broader pricing discussion with a customer. Within channel, certainly we utilize our ability to take prices up tight with inflation for that piece of the business. Depending upon the business, there's surcharges and different types of mechanisms that are put in place. I'd say the timing issue is a portion of it. There's no way I'm going to sit here and say we're going to claw back 100% of what we're pounding through right now. We also have productivity engines in place to help offset some of these things. More to come.

Sujal Shah
VP of Investor Relations, TE Connectivity

Okay. Thank you, Will. Can we have the next question, please?

Operator

Next question comes from Matt Sheerin from Stifel. Your line is open.

Matt Sheerin
Analyst, Stifel

Yeah, thanks. Good morning, everyone. My question around the Industrial Solutions area, particularly on how we should be thinking about operating margin going forward. You were down year-over-year for reasons you talked about, particularly weakness in the Aerospace area. Sounds like that's bottoming. Sounds like you're continuing to see growth in the broader Industrial market. What should we be thinking about a margin expansion from here? I know you've been targeting high teens. Is it a function of volumes here, or there's still some restructuring benefits that we should be expecting? Thanks.

Heath Mitts
CFO, TE Connectivity

Matt, this is Heath. I'll take the question, and thank you. First of all, nothing has changed in terms of our outlook, as we've been on a multi-year journey to get the footprint right in the Industrial segment, and that involves reduction of and consolidation of a lot of rooftops. Nothing has changed there in terms of our multi-year plan to get to mid to high teens operating margin. Certainly within the quarter, we were impacted by the mix of businesses where the growth or lack of growth is coming from. Commercial Aerospace is a very profitable piece of the segment. As that's down year-over-year, that has a pinch point in terms of margins. However, there's other things that factor into this as well, in terms of how we think about the restructuring that's going on.

In some cases, when we do have costs ahead of some of the savings as we're moving factories into new locations. In addition, the segment was not immune from some of the supply chain challenges. A variety of things. I am confident as we move into the second half of our year, that we will see improvement there, though.

Sujal Shah
VP of Investor Relations, TE Connectivity

Okay. Thank you, Matt. Can we have the next question, please?

Operator

The next question is from Steven Fox from Fox Advisors. Your line is open.

Steven Fox
Analyst, Fox Advisors

Hi. Thanks. Good morning. I might have misinterpreted this, but it sounded like you mentioned market share gains more than normal. I was just curious if there's any common thread across why you're gaining share, or if there's anything you would point to within the different segments that are driving share gains. Thanks.

Terrence Curtin
CEO, TE Connectivity

No, what I would say, Steve, I think one of the things that's important is we did want to highlight those areas where we do feel there's share gain, not just market improvement. There are areas that I think we've differentiated during COVID where that created some opportunities. I think you see that in both units in the CS segment, certainly in regard to our Industrial Transportation business and how we've continued to gain share there. There's some of the bigger highlights, but we did want to make sure in those areas, not only market recovery, we also had took advantage of market share in some key markets that are also contributing to our results.

Sujal Shah
VP of Investor Relations, TE Connectivity

Okay. Thank you, Steve. Can we have the next question, please?

Operator

The next question comes from Rod Lache from Wolfe Research. Your line is open.

Shreyas Patil
Analyst, Wolfe Research

Hey, this is Shreyas Patil on for Rod. You mentioned the content opportunity that you're seeing in battery electric vehicles versus ICE. It's about a 2x opportunity. I think in the past, you've talked about $60 of content on an ICE vehicle increasing to $120 on BEVs. With certain programs, it seems like the actual content on those vehicles is much higher. I'm trying to get a sense of, amongst the programs that you're winning, how do you think about the content on those vehicles? How should we be thinking about that, and what's the opportunity there going forward?

Terrence Curtin
CEO, TE Connectivity

When the vehicles are winning, one of the things that you have along as the architecture continues to get scaled and aligned, there is a broader breadth of content per vehicle on electric vehicles for us than you have on a traditional ICE, and we get excited about that. There are some electric vehicles, it's the traditional 2x, and there's some that are much higher, where our customers have asked us to do more. There is a broader breadth than you have on a traditional ICE, whereas a traditional ICE, it really comes down to feature set. What's nice is the number of EVs that you see are accelerating.

At TE, what we get really excited about is as this continues to need to scale to make sure these vehicles are affordable for all consumers, not just on the higher end, that's where we continue to provide scale. We've always said that as we think through price, as it scales, some of these very high CPV elements we talked about will come down a little bit because they have to for the affordability of the cars. That's assumed in all our content assumptions. Feel very good about the adoption, that it is as global as it is. I think it really stood the test of COVID. Also is when you look at how the architecture in the car needs to continue to scale, that's what we get excited about because Automotive is still a scale business.

I think we've proved that with our leading position in what we've done in the ICE. What's nice is our ICE products carry over because they're mainly in the electrical architecture that carries over into the EV. There isn't real cannibalization because the powertrain is not as big from an electrical side from an ICE. It just goes way up when you get to a BEV or a hybrid.

Sujal Shah
VP of Investor Relations, TE Connectivity

Okay. Thank you. Can we have the next question, please?

Operator

Next question comes from David Williams from Loop Capital. Your line is open.

David Williams
Analyst, Loop Capital

Hey, good morning. Thanks for letting me ask a question. I wanted to ask maybe on the mix shift from the Automotive OEMs. Obviously, they've pivoted to the higher end, maybe even more luxury vehicles. As we see that shift mix maybe move back towards the mid-range, lower range vehicles as the semi shortage eases, how do you think that impacts maybe revenue and a margin impact there?

Terrence Curtin
CEO, TE Connectivity

When you look at that, certainly the OEMs are getting to make the vehicles they want to make and they make money on. I think that's one of the things that are nice about this improving economy. I would also say many of the OEMs have changed their platform pretty dramatically about what vehicles and platforms they make. Certainly, when you have increased options that are put on cars, we would get a little bit of benefit in content in our traditional product.

That's what ebbs and flows over time. I would also make sure we take a global perspective of it. I know that very much in the U.S. there's a view of, "Hey, pick up charts, and that has more content." When you think about TE, you need to really think globally. Some of those trends aren't as real elsewhere in the world as they may be in the North American market.

Sujal Shah
VP of Investor Relations, TE Connectivity

Okay. Thank you, David. Can we have the next question, please?

Operator

Your next question comes from Wamsi Mohan, Bank of America. Sorry, your line is open.

Wamsi Mohan
Analyst, Bank of America

Yes, thanks for taking my follow-up. Terrence, I was wondering if you could comment, I know it's still early days, but if you could comment on any puts and takes associated with the infrastructure plan, particularly given the amount of investment in EV infrastructure, how that might be a tailwind for TE versus any potential tax headwinds from the proposed tax hike. Thank you.

Terrence Curtin
CEO, TE Connectivity

Well, on both sides of those equations, obviously, there's a lot of things out there. Sizing that today is very difficult, knowing that there's a lot of things being thrown around. Let's just keep that as an overlay. I think if you think about any infrastructure, how could that benefit TE, I think is important. Certainly, I answered a question earlier about Energy infrastructure. Certainly, there's investments that have to happen there that would benefit our Energy business. If you get infrastructure put in for battery electric capacity in North America versus relying on other parts of the world, certainly our factory automation team would do it.

Any other infrastructure, I think the other benefit should be is, and we've been very clear on it, we only view acceleration of electric vehicles in Asia and Europe are going to happen quicker than the U.S. because there has not been as much government support around getting those vehicles adopted. That could also benefit our Auto business. There are just some of the bigger elements, and then you would get in your traditional infrastructure where you would have our very strong position in Commercial Transportation, depending upon what happens with roads, and if that creates a machinery cycle. We would participate very well on increases around certainly the heavy equipment side due to our Industrial Transportation. There are some of the positives that could occur. Certainly, we got to see how the bills and the plan shake out.

I'll let Heath handle tax, and I'll hand off to him for that piece of it.

Heath Mitts
CFO, TE Connectivity

Thanks, Terrence. Yeah, and Wamsi, you probably recall on the tax side, again, there's a lot of things that are still to be determined. As you recall, when the last tax reform lowered the corporate rate, it didn't have a big impact on us given our structure and where we're domiciled and where our profit pools lie. Early look at any of this proposal kind of indicate we probably wouldn't have that much of an impact on us in the other direction either. More to come as things get solidified there, but I think it's important to look at not just the impact there, but where we pay cash taxes. Not a huge concern at this point, but stay tuned.

Sujal Shah
VP of Investor Relations, TE Connectivity

Okay. We have no further questions. I want to thank everyone for joining us on the call this morning. If you have further questions, please contact investor relations at TE. Thank you and have a great day.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, your conference will be made available for replay beginning at 11:30 AM Eastern Time today, April 21st, 2021, on the investor relations portion of TE Connectivity's website. This will conclude your conference for today. You may now disconnect.