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Earnings Call: Q2 2020

Aug 6, 2020

Operator

Thank you for standing by. This is the conference operator. Welcome to the Tecnoglass Inc. Second Quarter Earnings Conference Call. As a reminder, all participants are in listen-only mode, and the conference is being recorded. After the presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. I would now like to turn the conference over to Rodny Nacier, Invstor Relations. Please go ahead.

Rodny Nacier
Investor Relations, Tecnoglass

Thank you for joining us for Tecnoglass' Second Quarter 2020 conference call. A copy of the slide presentation to accompany this call may be obtained on the Investors section of the Tecnoglass website. Our speakers for today's call are Chief Executive Officer, José Manuel Daes, Chief Operating Officer, Chris Daes, and Chief Financial Officer, Santiago Giraldo. I'd like to remind everyone that matters discussed in this call, except for historical information, are forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, including statements regarding future financial performance, future growth, and future acquisitions. These statements are based on Tecnoglass' current expectations or beliefs and are subject to uncertainty and changes in circumstances.

Actual results may vary in a material nature from those expressed or implied by the statements herein due to changes in economic, business, competitive, and/or regulatory factors, and other risks and uncertainties affecting the operation of Tecnoglass' business. These risks, uncertainties, and contingencies are indicated from time to time in Tecnoglass' filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The information discussed during the call is presented in light of such risks. Further, investors should keep in mind that Tecnoglass' financial results in any particular period may not be indicative of future results. Tecnoglass is under no obligation to and expressly disclaims any obligation to update or alter its forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events, changes in assumptions, or otherwise. I will now turn the call over to José Manuel, beginning on slide number four.

José Manuel Daes
CEO, Tecnoglass

Thank you, Rodny, and thank everyone for participating on today's call. I am exceptionally pleased with our talented team and their all unwavering commitment to excellence during this unprecedented period. This was demonstrated by our solid operating performance in the second quarter. Our structural advantages and automation initiatives helped us to produce record gross margin, operating margin, and adjusted EBITDA margin. We were especially thrilled to achieve these strong results without taking any headcount reductions related to the economic impact of the COVID-19 crisis. The quarter included two fewer weeks of invoicing related to the previously announced downtime at our production facilities. We took proactive steps to pause production and implement the safest of working conditions at the onset of the pandemic. This allowed us to quickly accelerate invoicing activity once we reopened the facilities in mid-April.

The timing aligned well with our customer delivery schedules, and the pace of invoicing improved significantly as we progressed through the quarter, with May and June having sequential incremental revenues. We expect to recover that deferred revenue in future quarters. In June, we hit a monthly record level of residential orders, an end market which now represents 19% of our trailing 12- months U.S. revenues. Momentum in residential remains strong with low mortgage rates and improving single-family residential activity providing a strong demand for new homeownership. On the commercial side, despite some project delays, our backlog continues to grow to record levels, representing an encouraging long-term pipeline of activity. We remain focused on further penetrating our key U.S. markets and capturing share in additional cities with attractive commercial and residential demand profiles. In the quarter, 97% of our revenue and 88% of backlog was in the U.S.

Latin America has been slower to recover, although this market now represents a significantly lower portion of our revenue compared to a year ago. That said, we continue to expect the U.S. to be the primary driver of our growth in the quarters and years ahead. Our strong balance sheet continues to support our growth ambitions. A strong working capital management, cost reduction initiatives, and benefits from our high return automation initiatives collectively helped us to generate the highest cash flow quarter in our history. In turn, we were able to further improve our net leverage ratio to 2.2x and finish the quarter with a very strong liquidity level of $136 million. As we move into the balance of 2020, we have ample financial resources to continue executing our growth strategy while further enhancing our position as a premier architectural glass leader in the U.S.

I will now turn the call over to Chris to provide additional details on our backlog.

Christian Daes
COO, Tecnoglass

Thank you, José Manuel. Moving to our backlog on slide number five. Based on our sequential quarter improvement and conversations with many customers, we believe that the worst of the economic crisis should be behind us. A valuable element of our business is that we have a multi-year view of projects in our pipeline on the commercial portion of our revenues, combined with a rapidly growing residential operation. We ended the quarter with an attractive position commercial backlog across the U.S., which grew an impressive 4.8% year-over-year to a record of $550 million. The U.S. represents 88% of our backlog compared to 84% in the second quarter of 2019. We continue to build upon our U.S. growth strategy through best-in-class products and expanding customer relationships, which supports our confidence in our U.S. market positioning.

Fortunately, most projects are still progressing according to plan now that construction is permitted in all markets. We are working as close as ever with customers to get real-time updates on project timing to help us best manage production schedules and working capital terms. We are getting our critical products to job sites as quickly and efficiently as possible. Bidding and quoting activity in the U.S. has stayed in line with pre-COVID-19 levels, which marks an encouraging trend for the recovery. In residential, which as a reminder, is not fully captured by our backlog, we have been very pleased with our continued penetration into more single-family projects since we entered that end market in 2017. In recent months, we have taken our initial steps beyond South Florida and into other markets in Central Florida and the Panhandle.

We have an exciting opportunity to replicate our U.S. playbook in residential to win new customer relationships and expand our geographic footprint over time. Recent U.S. housing data suggests a quick recovery is taking place, which adds additional catalyst to our rapidly growing reputation in residential. Before I hand the call over to Santiago, I want to make sure that all of our team members know how proud we are of their contribution. While the downtime of our facility impacted our regular cadence of invoice for the quarter, we were extremely pleased to demonstrate our commitment to protecting the well-being of our employees, customers, and partners. The workplace protection that we implemented included reconfiguration of processes to incorporate social distancing and other best practices while maximizing productivity. With most of our vertically integrated operations co-located within the same campus, we were able to adapt quickly and efficiently.

While market uncertainties understandably persist today, we believe we have addressed many factors under our control to continue safely growing with our customers and delivering additional value creation to all our stakeholders as the national and local economies recover. I will now turn the call over to Santiago to discuss our financial results and outlook.

Santiago Giraldo
CFO, Tecnoglass

Thank you, Christian. Beginning with our capital resources on slide number seven. A key priority for us during the quarter was to reinforce our balance sheet strength for continued success. We made great progress on that front. We generated record cash flow from operations of approximately $24.3 million. This was in excess of Adjusted EBITDA, reflecting aggressive cash management such as tight cost controls, working capital improvements, and automation benefits. With the recent completion of a significant phase of growth investments, CapEx was largely limited to maintenance spend. These collective actions helped improve our total liquidity to $136 million as of June 30th, representing an over 40% increase compared to $95 million at the end of March. We further deleveraged our business to end the second quarter at a comfortable level of 2.2x net debt to adjusted EBITDA, with no significant maturities until 2022.

From a capital allocation perspective, we remain prudent in our approach with a near-term focus on balance sheet strength and returning a portion of capital to shareholders through our dividend. Looking at the drivers of revenue on slide number eight. The month of April represented the majority of lower revenues for the quarter, primarily due to the two non-invoicing weeks during the first half of the month. As we have discussed on today's call, we experienced a significant demand recovery that drove sequential monthly revenue improvement as the quarter progressed. This sequential revenue improvement was mainly in the U.S., which represented 97% of revenues for the quarter, with revenues from Latin America being slow to recover as construction sites continued to prepare for safe operations. U.S. revenues for the quarter were $79.1 million, compared to $99.3 million in the prior year quarter.

It's important to remember that a majority of the revenue not invoiced during the quarter represents active projects in backlog, which we expect to deliver in future quarters. Adjusting for those two non-invoicing weeks, our U.S. revenue was down in the high single-digit percent range, which we believe was more reflective of our market environment. Additionally, in the prior year, the second quarter of 2019 represented our highest revenue quarter on record, which provided for a difficult year-over-year comparison. In June and July, our U.S. revenue was down a more modest mid-single digits, helped in part by residential. So we feel good about the direction of our U.S. business into the third quarter. In Colombia and other Latin American countries, the steep decline in revenue was a function of significant business disruptions.

We experienced delayed activity with many customers that have been slow to adapt to the extensive preparations required at job sites to adhere to varying COVID-19 guidelines. Revenues in Latin America remain in the early stages of recovery. Looking at the drivers of adjusted EBITDA on slide number nine. We focused our efforts on operational excellence to achieve record margins in gross profit, operating income, and Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter. We improved Adjusted EBITDA as a percent of sales by an impressive 580 basis points to 28.4%, compared to 22.6% in the prior year quarter. In dollars, adjusted EBITDA was $23.3 million, compared to $25.8 million, with lower revenues mostly offset by a 470 basis point improvement in gross margin to 38.8% and a $4 million reduction in SG&A.

The improvement in gross margin primarily reflected lower raw material costs attributable to lower aluminum prices, lower direct labor, and material waste from our automation initiatives as strong dollar unfavorable mix of revenue during the quarter. We expect continued year-over-year margin improvement for the rest of the year, given some sustainable benefits related to our automation investments and weak local currency for the rest of the year. The reduction in SG&A was primarily driven by less variable costs related to shipping, travel, and commissions, given lower revenues in the quarter. We continue to monitor areas where we can limit costs, but we are encouraged by improvements in our markets over the past couple of months. We believe that our lean, highly efficient, and vertically integrated operations leave us in a great place to maintain our industry-leading margins as we look to capitalize on the recovery.

Looking at the activity in our markets on slide number 11. Consistent with our revenue trend and recent improvement in the Architecture Billings Index, we believe that the worst of the pandemic-related economic impacts are behind us. U.S. activity is normalizing as many economies continue to reopen and customers pick up the pace on projects. The COVID-19 outbreak in Florida has not had an adverse impact on our major projects in that market. On the residential side, we are seeing promising trends that indicate that the rebound taking place has a long runway. Increasing housing starts and a strong order growth reported by many large public home builders continue to provide evidence that the new residential demand is strong. As José mentioned earlier, in June, we reached a monthly record for residential orders. We typically see our residential orders translating to invoicing over 60 day-90 day periods.

Residential now represents 19% of our U.S. revenue and is likely to remain the fastest-growing portion of our business. Moving to our outlook on slide number 13. We are encouraged by our pace of activity into the month of July. We are working closely with our customers to service existing projects, and we are gaining share as opportunities arise to outperform in all markets. Based on our current momentum and invoicing schedule, we expect sequential monthly revenue to grow as we move through the third quarter. We expect the U.S. to represent the significant majority of our revenues through the year, with growth led by single-family residential sales. Our exceptional growth margin performance in the second quarter included returns on automation initiatives, which are contributing to results as planned. During the quarter, we also benefited from favorable timing of input costs and manufacturing versus installation revenue.

As our markets stabilize, we expect growth margins to trend back towards a normalized level in the low to mid-30s range. This normalized margin is unchanged from our previously communicated range that had already factored in the benefits of automation initiatives. In summary, we are positioned to successfully navigate the current environment with our structural advantages, strong liquidity position, and industry-leading margins. As we execute our strategy during this unprecedented period, we will maintain our focus on safely serving customers, aggressively managing costs, strengthening our balance sheet, and generating returns for our shareholders. With that, we will be happy to answer your questions. Operator, please open the line for questions.

Operator

Thank you. We will now begin the question and answer session. To join the question queue you may press star then one on your telephone keypad. You'll hear a tone acknowledging your request. If you're using a speaker phone please pick-up your handset before pressing any keys. To withdraw your question please press star then two. Our first question comes from Michael Shlisky of Colliers Securities. Please go ahead.

Michael Shlisky
Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst, Colliers Securities

Good morning, everybody.

Santiago Giraldo
CFO, Tecnoglass

Good morning, Mike.

Michael Shlisky
Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst, Colliers Securities

It looks like.

Santiago Giraldo
CFO, Tecnoglass

Good morning.

Michael Shlisky
Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst, Colliers Securities

It looks like a lot of your EBITDA margin in the quarter, a lot of the growth was through the implementation of automation. Do you have any way to quantify how much that might have been in the quarter? And I appreciate your gross margin comments, Santiago. Can you comment on how sustainable are these EBITDA margin levels going forward?

Santiago Giraldo
CFO, Tecnoglass

Yes. Thanks, Michael. There's a few moving pieces here. Obviously, the mix of our revenues plays a part. As we had indicated before, we felt that being able to achieve at least 150 basis points of higher year-over-year margin was certainly attainable. Based on what we're seeing with the automation, I think we can estimate that at least 200 basis points versus the gross margin that we ended up with at 2019 is probably a reasonable run rate to go with. There are, of course, other moving pieces, as I was explaining, depending on how the mix of the revenues come in place. But assuming stable mix, I think 200 basis points could make sense year-over-year going forward.

Michael Shlisky
Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst, Colliers Securities

Thanks for that. I also want to ask about your expansion into Central Florida and the Panhandle. I guess I was kind of curious, what's the next area you might go into after that and the timing of that? I'm kind of curious, whether if you're seeing some rapid growth in some of the housing market here, would it make sense to accelerate your plan to expand your residential footprint given the fact that there could be an opportunity to gain some share as that market comes back here?

José Manuel Daes
CEO, Tecnoglass

We are expanding as our logistical team can afford to do it. The housing market, the residential, has a totally different outlook than the commercial. It's many small orders and in many different places, and the delivery and the logistics to take it there to the place and on time is totally different. So, we are expanding geographically as much as we can and as fast as we can. We are now up to Pensacola, and we're planning to move all the way to Houston between here to the end of the year and next year. Also moving along the East Coast line, we are now up to Jacksonville, in very small places, and we plan to move all the way to the Carolinas. We are designing products for those areas, and we are getting all the logistical together to be able to do it properly.

If you get into a market and you start failing, it's better not to do it than to do that.

Michael Shlisky
Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst, Colliers Securities

Sure. That makes sense. Thanks for that color. Maybe one last one from me. Santiago, can you give any sense of the progress or the kind of status that you have on either refinancing or renegotiating your debt that's due in 2022? Any thoughts there on savings of interest costs or other parts of that process at this point?

Santiago Giraldo
CFO, Tecnoglass

Absolutely, Mike. We've been working on that since the beginning of the year, exploring our different options. Clearly, there was a period of time where there was so much volatility that nothing really could be expected for certain. The good thing is that we're now seeing that those options that we were evaluating are opening up again. You know, depending on market conditions, we certainly think that what we do going forward will carry interest savings for the company. So, we're well ahead. We're working with different parties to be able to do that. We haven't decided what the structure will be, but in any event, each one of the different alternatives that we have in place. Will be at a lower cost than we currently have. From an interest perspective and an EPS perspective, that will be a tailwind probably next year and going forward.

Michael Shlisky
Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst, Colliers Securities

Okay. Thanks so much for that answer, and all the answers, I appreciate it. I'll hop back in queue.

Santiago Giraldo
CFO, Tecnoglass

Thanks, Michael.

Operator

Our next question comes from Joshua Wilson of Raymond James. Please go ahead.

Joshua Wilson
Associate Analyst, Raymond James

Thank you. Good morning, and congrats on the quarter.

José Manuel Daes
CEO, Tecnoglass

Thank you.

Santiago Giraldo
CFO, Tecnoglass

Good morning, Josh.

José Manuel Daes
CEO, Tecnoglass

Morning.

Joshua Wilson
Associate Analyst, Raymond James

Could you talk about the improvement you're seeing in quoting and bidding as it relates to the different geographic regions in the U.S.?

José Manuel Daes
CEO, Tecnoglass

Yes. We saw a lot of stop quoting and especially all around the country, even in South America, because of COVID-19 in the months of March, April, May. June was a lot better. July was great because everybody that was delaying their quoting and their job came back. We're now back to, I believe, around 90% of what we were. There are some areas where I don't see any improvement, like in hotels. Hotels are being delayed and I don't know for how long. Large condominiums in South Florida are also delayed. The rest, I mean, the small condominiums, rentals, even office buildings and mixed-use buildings are all in place. In New York and Boston area, we're doing really good. We're closing a lot of new projects. So, I believe the U.S. is a very resilient country. We're gonna make it soon.

I mean, it's sooner than later, everything is gonna go back to normal.

Joshua Wilson
Associate Analyst, Raymond James

On that topic, as it relates to some of the more infamously impacted categories, what are you hearing from your customers in terms of their outlook for office and multifamily?

José Manuel Daes
CEO, Tecnoglass

Well, in multifamily here in South Florida, we depend a lot on the people from outside of Florida. We're seeing a lot of New York and Boston and even Canada people coming and buying. So, that's why a few of the buildings are being built. We are still not seeing any influx from Latin America, which is one of the largest markets, Brazil, Colombia, Venezuela, and then Russia. We have to wait for that. As soon as that reopens, I believe we're gonna have a multitude of buildings going up because the owners are ready, the developers are ready, the GCs are ready. It's just a matter of getting the people coming here.

Joshua Wilson
Associate Analyst, Raymond James

Got it. Then, Santiago, can you give us a sense of what you think CapEx will be for the year?

Santiago Giraldo
CFO, Tecnoglass

Very minimal, Josh. As we had indicated before, the growth CapEx and the automation initiatives have been fully completed. They're fully operational now. For the rest of the year, it would be mainly maintenance CapEx, perhaps a couple of million dollars, but not much more than that. That's in line basically with what we had expected for the year. The good thing is that we had already completed our investments, so we're not really having to delay anything. With the completion of this phase, we're pretty much set as far as our install capacity goes for the next few years. My expectation is that the rest of the way will just stick to mainly maintenance CapEx.

Joshua Wilson
Associate Analyst, Raymond James

Got it. Good luck with the next quarter.

Santiago Giraldo
CFO, Tecnoglass

Thanks, Josh.

Operator

Our next question comes from Tim Wojs of Baird. Please go ahead.

Tim Wojs
Senior Research Analyst, Baird

Hey guys. Good morning. Nice job on the profitability. My first question, Santiago, is just really like a clarification. The 200 basis points of kind of gross margin going forward, is that kind of a go-forward comment, just given the strength year-to-date? Or is that kind of what you would expect for the full year?

Santiago Giraldo
CFO, Tecnoglass

No, I think that for the next couple of quarters, we can get a couple of hundred basis points over what we ended up 2019 with. If we ended up with 31.5 basis points, I think low to mid-30s is the new norm, basically. I think getting to the mid-30s is achievable, but as I was saying earlier, there is a few moving pieces here. Obviously, we can't control raw aluminum prices. In the last Q, they were as low as $1,400 per ton. They're back to $1,700. Going forward, we expect to have a little bit more of installation revenues versus manufacturing revenues. There's a few moving pieces, but there is also some structural things that are gonna be in place

I think that gets us to the 150 to 200 level, which would equate to 34.5%, as opposed to 32% or so that we ended up 2019 with.

Tim Wojs
Senior Research Analyst, Baird

Okay. That's fair. Then, on the back half, do you think on a year-over-year basis, your mix of installation versus manufacturing will be more normalized, or do you think it'll still skew towards manufacturing?

Santiago Giraldo
CFO, Tecnoglass

I think it will be more normalized during the first couple of quarters of this year. GM&P was completing a few large projects. Based on our backlog schedule, they're due to ramp up Q3 and Q4. We should have less of a tailwind related to mix, for the next couple of quarters. That's why you wouldn't expect to be able to reach 38%- 38.5% gross margins, partly because of that.

Tim Wojs
Senior Research Analyst, Baird

Okay

Santiago Giraldo
CFO, Tecnoglass

we're kind of normalizing for mix and trying to understand the other moving pieces, like I was saying, such as raw aluminum prices and others. But in any event, like I was saying, because of the automation and the tailwinds on labor cost and whatnot, we should be able to get to the mid-30s.

Tim Wojs
Senior Research Analyst, Baird

Okay. That's clear. Thank you. Just on the residential business, is there any way to frame what those June orders look like and kind of a view now, what the second half in residential could be and how that business could actually perform on a full year basis in 2020? I mean, can we be flat to up there this year now?

José Manuel Daes
CEO, Tecnoglass

Well, the residential is not so predictable because it's a day-by-day operation. I mean, we have maybe two months in orders already because that's the time when we get the order, and we deliver around six to eight weeks at the most. After that, it depends on how the market performs and how we perform. I mean, July was a great month. August is starting really good, but we have to wait and see. Now, if you ask me what I believe, I believe we're going to keep growing. We're gaining market share from the not-so-good producers. There is a lot of them in the market. We have the best window, I believe, for the residential market, with the higher pressures, better finishes, range of finishes in the paint and the glass. We're gaining market day by day, and we're gaining new dealers and new distributors.

If you ask me, I believe we're going to keep growing. There is no reason not to.

Tim Wojs
Senior Research Analyst, Baird

Okay. That's great. I'm going to squeeze one more in. Are you guys seeing any sort of pressure on lead times or labor productivity? My guess is you're not, but I just want to make sure.

José Manuel Daes
CEO, Tecnoglass

No, we're not. We're doing really good in all. I mean, the surgery that the COO, Christian Daes, did on the company with the automation and the efficiencies and the expenses costs. I mean, he cut a lot of things that were not useful, and he put the resources in the right places, has worked marvelous for the margin, for the EBITDA, and for the efficiency of the company.

Tim Wojs
Senior Research Analyst, Baird

Great. Well, good luck on the second half, guys. Thanks for the call.

Operator

Our next question comes from Will Jellison of D.A. Davidson. Please go ahead.

William Jellison
Research Associate, D.A. Davidson

Hey, good morning.

Santiago Giraldo
CFO, Tecnoglass

Good morning.

William Jellison
Research Associate, D.A. Davidson

It looks like you guys had a pretty favorable benefit from reductions in selling, general and administrative expense. I'm wondering, is that something that was related to COVID stay-at-home work orders, and if that can be expected to continue for the rest of the year?

Santiago Giraldo
CFO, Tecnoglass

Basically you have a portion of that are related to variable costs, mainly shipping and handling and commissions. So, with the cadence of revenues trending up, you would expect that to inch up as well. Although there are some COVID-related expenses related to traveling, for instance, that are not there and will not be there until things kind of get to some type of normality. That being said, as José was mentioning, there was a lot of restructuring that was done at the company. Some of this is actually just related to restructuring and seeking efficiencies and whatnot. But the majority of this would be, or I would say probably 60%- 70% of this would be related to variable costs. We would expect under more normalized revenue quarters and full monthly invoicing for nominal SG&A to return to a more normalized level.

William Jellison
Research Associate, D.A. Davidson

Okay, great. That's helpful. Thank you. My last question, I'd like to pivot. Do you have any updates on the new float glass facility that you had put on hold last quarter?

José Manuel Daes
CEO, Tecnoglass

Yes, we do. Due to COVID-19, we put the project on hold. We got together with Saint-Gobain, and there was no time to start an investment of that nature. We are now reassessing the necessity to do it. We believe we should do it. Last month, for example, was the first month that the float glass that we do have actually in Bogota with them was sold out. That means that the demand is there again, and with the increase in sales that we plan to make in the next two years, that means that the float plant will go ahead. We are relooking at the numbers now, and I believe by the end of the year, we will have an answer of when we'll start. I believe we should be by January next year or March. We will decide that between now and the end of the year.

William Jellison
Research Associate, D.A. Davidson

Okay, perfect. That answers my question. Thank you very much.

Santiago Giraldo
CFO, Tecnoglass

Thanks, Will.

Operator

This concludes the question and answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to José Manuel for any closing remarks.

José Manuel Daes
CEO, Tecnoglass

Thank you everyone for participating in today's call. We will keep having great news for you. I believe our company is poised to give better results, keep cutting extra costs, and making better margins. Thank you.

Operator

This concludes today's conference call. You may disconnect your lines. Thank you for participating, and have a pleasant day.