Tandem Diabetes Care, Inc. (TNDM)
NASDAQ: TNDM · Real-Time Price · USD
18.63
-1.19 (-6.00%)
At close: Apr 28, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT
18.60
-0.03 (-0.16%)
After-hours: Apr 28, 2026, 7:56 PM EDT
← View all transcripts

Citi’s 2026 Unplugged MedTech and Life Sciences Access Day

Feb 26, 2026

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

move on to the next presentation. Thank you everybody who has come physically into the room, and that the snow didn't stop you from getting here. Thank you for that, and for everybody who is listening on the webcast. This session is all about Tandem, and, I'm absolutely thrilled to have Leigh and Susan here. Thank you so much for coming.

Susan Morrison
EVP and Chief Administrative Officer, Tandem Diabetes Care

Thank you for having us.

Leigh Vosseller
EVP, Treasurer, and CFO, Tandem Diabetes Care

Thanks for having us.

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

What's funny is I had an entire set of questions that I had written before your earnings call, then I wrote a second set of questions. Some overlap, but I need to start with the fourth quarter and to start thinking about what you were the most surprised by when the numbers started coming together. Maybe you just knew it all in advance, and it was perfect as planned. As the numbers were coming together and you were preparing for that call, what really stood out for you?

Leigh Vosseller
EVP, Treasurer, and CFO, Tandem Diabetes Care

Sure. I mean, there are a number of things which makes us excited going into 2026 as well, because this really underpins and gives us the momentum that we were looking for. I'll start, were we surprised? I don't know if surprised is the word, but what we were happy to see is everything was coming together.

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

Yeah.

Leigh Vosseller
EVP, Treasurer, and CFO, Tandem Diabetes Care

You may remember when we started in 2025, we talked a lot about a huge commercial transformation that we were undergoing.

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

Yeah.

Leigh Vosseller
EVP, Treasurer, and CFO, Tandem Diabetes Care

We were expanding our sales force. We were offering new tools to our teams. We were putting new systems into place, teaching them different ways to target and just approach the market, and that created some disruption, and we did expect disruption. It was disruptive for a bit longer than we expected, but in the fourth quarter, it really all started coming together.

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

Yeah.

Leigh Vosseller
EVP, Treasurer, and CFO, Tandem Diabetes Care

We saw the sales force continue to grow in productivity across the year, and then we added to that with the launch of FreeStyle Libre 3 with t:slim. We also launched Mobi with Android late in the quarter. That was something we've been selling Mobi without access to Android operating system customers, and so that's a big add for us. We also trained the whole sales force to start selling Type 2, b ecause that was a slow rollout across the year. A number of things coming together in a positive way. The decision that we made to shift t:slim X2 supplies into the pharmacy channel really is, I think, the last big thing that precipitated, you know, the baseline for what we're looking at for 2026. It was just great to see.

We set a number of record sales, shipments, I mean, margins, everything you could think about, and I think maybe I should add margins as being a very important element.

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

Yeah.

Leigh Vosseller
EVP, Treasurer, and CFO, Tandem Diabetes Care

We've been able to demonstrate revenue growth in the past, but one of the criticisms has been that you're not expanding your margins, and we did that in a really big way in the 4th quarter. We couldn't have been more excited to share that news, when we came out last week.

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

Okay. Was there a moment where you carried the one and you went, "Oh, wow!"

Leigh Vosseller
EVP, Treasurer, and CFO, Tandem Diabetes Care

Yeah. A little bit, yeah.

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

A little bit. Okay, that's good to know. I think most of my questions are on the U.S. pharmacy moment, so I'm gonna actually pivot and start early on OUS. I know, right? Shocking. We're just gonna go all out. It is called Unplugged. If you think about the OUS direct sales force, that's been in progress for quite some time. Can you walk through where you are in that transformation and how you're thinking about which geographies, where you're just, like, checking the box, and then which geographies you're like: "Yeah, that one needs more help?

Leigh Vosseller
EVP, Treasurer, and CFO, Tandem Diabetes Care

Yes, yes. What you're highlighting, it was a super busy year for us all together because everything I just named was about the U.S. and its performance. Outside the U.S., we were preparing ourselves to go direct in a number of markets, which means we had to hire direct sales forces. We had to put more leadership in the countries. We had to navigate the transition with our distributors, put all new systems into place, and we got all of that done last year, so we were ready and went live in Switzerland, Austria, and the U.K. here in the 1st quarter. That's just the beginning. We're getting started there. We're engaging with customers. We're getting great responses. It's going very well so far. We're also preparing for the next wave, and so we have more markets to be named.

We're not gonna share that today, but in the fourth quarter, in the first quarter of 2027, that we're thinking about, and it's great benefit for us as an organization. We get the benefit of, you know, eliminating the middleman so that we get all of the reimbursement directly. In any given market, the ASP uplift is at least 30%, which is tremendous for the business. This year, direct sales will still only be about 15% of our sales, but you can see this could be a great dynamic going forward, as we continue to launch in more markets direct. We're just super excited about that opportunity also to be close to the customer. We actually get those engagement with the customers, with the physicians.

We're setting our own, you know, reimbursement policies with the reimbursement agencies. All of that, we believe, will help us to grow the volumes, too, at a faster rate than we've been able to before. It's good for the business overall, and I'm glad you asked about it first because it keeps getting missed, I think, with all of the hype around the pay-as-you-go model, which is super exciting, but it is.

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

Don't worry, we'll get there.

Leigh Vosseller
EVP, Treasurer, and CFO, Tandem Diabetes Care

Yeah. It is a big part of our business that's growing and we're excited about the opportunities there.

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

I think in 2026, there's a $15 million headwind from OUS. Is that something that you get to the end of the year and you're like, "Okay, we got that done," or is it $10 million in 2027? I made up that number, and so on and so forth.

Leigh Vosseller
EVP, Treasurer, and CFO, Tandem Diabetes Care

Sure. Maybe, just reflecting on 2025, we saw about a $7 million headwind from this transition, and it was in 2 pieces, really. Across the year, what we were seeing is some of the distributors were just not replenishing their inventory levels as they were selling through to patients, and that equated to about $3 million. In the fourth quarter, we saw about $4 million, and that was mostly due to some inventory, buying back some inventory. Not all of that was completed in the fourth quarter, so we're gonna have a little that falls into the first quarter of 2026, which is about $5 million of the 15 you mentioned.

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

Yep.

Leigh Vosseller
EVP, Treasurer, and CFO, Tandem Diabetes Care

The other 10, same thing, I expect it mostly to come around late in the year. It could trickle across the Q2 and Q3. That should be the amount that is, that we expect to see for the launch, as we expect in the fourth quarter in early 2027.

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

That'll roll into maybe early 2027, and then done?

Leigh Vosseller
EVP, Treasurer, and CFO, Tandem Diabetes Care

It should be done. Until we announce our next wave of markets, but I'll say right now, these are the ones that we're focused on. We don't have anything yet to share about future transitions.

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

Okay. That's very helpful. Currently you're operating in 25 countries. There's got to be a certain number where you're like, "We really sell here, but not so much there." Is that the right way to think about it?

Leigh Vosseller
EVP, Treasurer, and CFO, Tandem Diabetes Care

I guess I would just say they're different sizes. Some markets are bigger than others. Every market that we're in, we have a big presence there, if you will, you know, in comparison to, you know, a Germany or a France, there are some much smaller markets. We are in the markets where the reimbursement is good, and there is an opportunity there. We wouldn't have spent the effort, the time, the dollars to go there if there wasn't real opportunity for us as a business.

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

Okay. I want to talk a little bit about the U.S. market. Before we get to the pay-as-you-go business model. There's a lot of products that you have coming out. I feel like in post-earnings, I've spent more time on the pharmacy channel, and I'm like: Pivot. Talk us through how you're thinking about those products coming along over the next couple of quarters, and how you think about sort of maybe, and these are my words, rolling contribution, as you look forward.

Susan Morrison
EVP and Chief Administrative Officer, Tandem Diabetes Care

I love the term rolling contribution, because these are really scaling efforts. As Leigh commented, too, in the fourth quarter, we saw the launch of FreeStyle Libre 3 on t:slim. We'll be bringing that technology outside the United States. We'll be bringing the Mobi platform outside the United States, and then in the US, we'll be launching Dexcom 15-day technology, for example. We have all of these different feature sets that we're expanding our addressable audience for. The other one I would highlight is Mobi Android capability. Very early access in the fourth quarter that we'll be expanding here in the first quarter. All of these are going to build throughout the year, but the first half of the year is really starting with: How do we expand these addressable markets, also with Type 2?

From here, we'll look to layer on new technologies, not just broadening what's available in certain markets.

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

Mm-hmm. You didn't mention Toby.

Susan Morrison
EVP and Chief Administrative Officer, Tandem Diabetes Care

Toby, 'cause that's the new one, right? That's the back half of the year.

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

I'm like, "Wait a minute.."

Susan Morrison
EVP and Chief Administrative Officer, Tandem Diabetes Care

I think that's not part of the scaling launch that we've already started. That will be new. For anyone not familiar with the tubeless feature for Mobi, which we affectionately call Toby, it really is a new cartridge that's used on this, the same Mobi pump that's available today. We'll be submitting in the second quarter to the FDA, and it really features some important aspects, the first one being extended wear technology. This is Tandem's first patch pump that we'll be offering that can be worn for up to 7 days. You're also able to change the infusion site separate from when you change your insulin. Especially people who have higher volume insulin needs, the opportunity to not have to change your site at that every single time, that's a huge burden relief for people.

As we look to what drives adoption, to your point, it's technology as well as affordability, ease of use, greater clinical outcomes. A number of the items that we have with Toby allow us to address those pieces.

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

You're looking for that launch in the second half of the year?

Susan Morrison
EVP and Chief Administrative Officer, Tandem Diabetes Care

We are. We're scaling up manufacturing, we're preparing for commercial launch in the back half of the year.

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

If I'm a new patient sitting in front of my endocrinologist today, are they talking to me about Toby? Are they aware of it, or is it starting blank?

Susan Morrison
EVP and Chief Administrative Officer, Tandem Diabetes Care

It's unfortunately, at this point, we're not able to talk about it, because you can't promote an unapproved product.

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

The physicians are unaware?

Susan Morrison
EVP and Chief Administrative Officer, Tandem Diabetes Care

Physicians are unaware, and that's where this is a novel idea. Physicians aren't familiar with being able to all of a sudden change the wearability device so dramatically.

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

Right.

Susan Morrison
EVP and Chief Administrative Officer, Tandem Diabetes Care

We're excited for the opportunity to begin talking about this, but at this point, we have to just wait a little bit longer until we get to that clearance.

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

If you get approval, I'm making this up, October, then becomes a physician education, and again, this isn't in your model or in your guidance. It's really building towards 2027.

Susan Morrison
EVP and Chief Administrative Officer, Tandem Diabetes Care

That's correct. Correct.

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

Do you think of patients? I mean, okay, I'm not going in tomorrow to see my endocrinologist. I'm going in in November after the approval. Do you think they will say: "Hang on, I don't have availability of it yet"? How do you think? I'm really trying to get to the idea of, are you creating a backlog or wait lists, for lack of a better term, for these patients, or is this something that just is gonna evolve over 2027 at some stage?

Susan Morrison
EVP and Chief Administrative Officer, Tandem Diabetes Care

I think that's what's exciting about it, is a patient who buys a Mobi pump today can use it in a tubeless form as soon as that new supply is available. It's the same pump. As soon as awareness builds, people are able to buy Mobi, and as soon as the tubeless feature becomes available, they can just wear it as a patch.

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

In the United States, of the new patients that came along in the quarter, were they all Mobi? I mean, or are they largely Mobi, still some t:slim holdouts? I mean, I'm trying to think about, with all of these products which are coming out, how to, how to think about adoption.

Susan Morrison
EVP and Chief Administrative Officer, Tandem Diabetes Care

Yeah, it's still a healthy mix, which is what we anticipated when we launched Mobi. It's interesting, there's certain people, for example, who have higher volume insulin needs. The 300 units associated with t:slim X2 is a driver for their adoption to the t:slim X2 product, particularly with people living with Type 2. For Mobi, we're just launching the Android capability, so that's been half of the market that we really haven't been able to access. We look at this as a portfolio approach, because there's not a one-size-fits-all solution for people who want how they want to wear and how they want to operate their device. That's really the appeal for Tandem, is we have Control-IQ, the best algorithm that's available, immediate and sustained outcomes. The question is: How do you want to wear and operate your device?

We've got a solution for that.

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

Okay. When you think about manufacturing and building towards manufacturing, do you continue that portfolio of products?

Susan Morrison
EVP and Chief Administrative Officer, Tandem Diabetes Care

Yes.

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

Do you phase one out at some stage?

Leigh Vosseller
EVP, Treasurer, and CFO, Tandem Diabetes Care

We will always be evaluating, and it's really about market demand. If there's enough market demand to support maintaining the manufacturing, maintaining the R&D, and the sustaining activities, we would keep it on the market. It's something we'll continue to evaluate. If everyone started drifting to one product, it would say that maybe we don't need the whole portfolio anymore. Right now, everything that we're seeing suggests the portfolio is the right approach.

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

Sigi stopped being a standalone product, and it sounds like now it's the Sigi technology side of something.

Leigh Vosseller
EVP, Treasurer, and CFO, Tandem Diabetes Care

Exactly.

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

Okay, for those not familiar with the wonders of Sigi, can you walk through all of that, please?

Leigh Vosseller
EVP, Treasurer, and CFO, Tandem Diabetes Care

Sure. Sigi is a technology that we acquired from AMF Medical about two years ago. One of the big features of it is that it's miniaturized. When we look at discretion for people adopting technology, miniaturization is a very important driver. To your point, how do you make sure from a manufacturing standpoint that you're driving economies of scale? We identified by furthering the Mobi line from a manufacturing perspective, but also from a brand equity perspective. People are starting to become aware of and really loving the Mobi offering. What we found is, by taking that Sigi technology and incorporating it within the Mobi product, we're able to get a lot of those feature benefits that originally were contained within Sigi and launch it within a patch pump building off of the Mobi brand today.

That's where it's really been a shift, where we didn't see a world where we would have 3 different pump offerings. We see where it's a screen on pump, and that's the t:slim platform. Then, there's a screen, a mobile control of it. That's where really we see the Mobi platform evolving to, and we see it first launching with the tubeless feature, obviously, on Mobi, and then we'll continue to optimize that form factor.

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

A lot to talk about. You have a variety of different CGMs. We talked about Libre 3, we talked about Dexcom 15- Day, and then you threw out there on the call a dual glucose-ketone CGM integration.

Leigh Vosseller
EVP, Treasurer, and CFO, Tandem Diabetes Care

Yes. That's an exciting technology. Abbott has been working on this, and they've been a great partner of ours. As there's advancements within CGM or ketone sensing, we wanna say: How can we incorporate that within our insulin delivery technology? Either using the information to draw awareness to the patient, or eventually being able to incorporate something like that within an algorithm. Lots of opportunities I think that can build over time, but we're excited about this first step with the partnership.

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

Okay, I'm keeping track of all this stuff. I have a, you know, a little spreadsheet, columns and rows, and stuff like that. How do you envision? This is a question both for Tandem's offerings, as well as everybody has new offerings that are coming out. How do you envision physicians making choices?

Leigh Vosseller
EVP, Treasurer, and CFO, Tandem Diabetes Care

I think that first starts with the outcomes, because for us, with Control-IQ, goes back to the immediate and sustained outcomes we deliver. The next step is really then, how much does a patient wanna interact with their device? That's where we're moving toward a fully closed loop system that provides patients the optionality to either engage with their system or not. Then, it goes to the wearability, operability, and allowing people to make the choice that works best with them and with their insurance coverage. Our portfolio approach is really designed around appealing to each of those factors.

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

One of the really cool things, having covered this space for a long time, is I remember it was just Type 1 patients, just insulin-dependent, and you got a pump.

Leigh Vosseller
EVP, Treasurer, and CFO, Tandem Diabetes Care

Yep.

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

You were happy with it. Now it's, you know, all insulin-dependent patients, and you have a variety of different choices. What I'm getting at is, why doesn't every insulin-dependent diabetic, Type 1 or 2, wear this technology and use it?

Leigh Vosseller
EVP, Treasurer, and CFO, Tandem Diabetes Care

Yep. I think it really comes down to 3 reasons. One is, does it relieve the burden enough? That could be a mental burden. Does the algorithm relieve it? Does it allow you to think about your diabetes less? Can you wear it in a way that you're comfortable operating it, and also just from a discretion perspective? The other piece is, are you getting the outcomes? People have to say, "It has to be worth it." You have to make the outcomes good enough, and more so than what I'm able to achieve independent of that. The other piece is just affordability, and we hear that again and again, that that's been a large barrier for adoption.

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

Yeah. Do you find that the physicians that you deal with, there's a Tandem physician, and they're just gonna prescribe Tandem all day long? I also cover contact lenses, and frequently we'll be like: "Okay, I'm an ophthalmologist, and I only prescribe these two, even though I have a choice of four." They sort of get comfortable with either their salesperson or the portfolio. Is that the right way to think about the evolution of decision trees for diabetes management also?

Leigh Vosseller
EVP, Treasurer, and CFO, Tandem Diabetes Care

I think physicians want their patients to adopt the technology, because it's going to give them better outcomes. The question is: Is what's most important to this patient in order to stick with the technology? How do they optimize that? That's where I think Tandem, with our algorithms, with our outcomes, we've been able to really drive. There's multiple decision points, and that you don't have to sacrifice a decision about wearability in order to get the best outcomes with our portfolio.

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

Okay, your answer is you don't see a Tandem doctor?

Leigh Vosseller
EVP, Treasurer, and CFO, Tandem Diabetes Care

You're gonna have some. You're gonna have some loyalists. It' s the way, or people who may be very much more comfortable with one technology or another. We've also found that even with the expansion of our sales force, for example, there were some places where we weren't calling on as frequently. They maybe didn't know about our full portfolio of offerings and how to make sure they're supporting their patients with it. I think a piece of this is on Tandem and the effectiveness of our sales force, and we've been really pleased with the strides they've been making in being able to just reach out to new healthcare providers and making sure they're aware of what Tandem has to offer.

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

Okay, I have more questions on different topics, but I do wanna spend some time now talking about the pharmacy channel. I feel like we've sat, you know, across from each other many, many times to talk about what does it take to get a tube pump into the pharmacy? One of the questions I get, like, why is now the time that it's possible to get the tube pump into the pharmacy?

Leigh Vosseller
EVP, Treasurer, and CFO, Tandem Diabetes Care

Yeah, I would say that, the thinking has evolved over the years, and so there was only one player in the channel with a fully disposable product, which fit more of this, I'm gonna call it the standard definition of what would be in pharmacy. Then I think what started to happen is as other durable pumps, we were talking about pharmacy, considering it, the players on the insurance side looked at it and said, "You know, we need more competition in this category."

They started to be more open to hearing about a durable pump, you know, the possibility of reimbursing for that through the pharmacy channel, so they can manage a category all in one place. This came about also when Mobi first launched. We were using Mobi as our first chance to step in and start that education, and I think this all came together around the same time. With us, you may remember 2 years ago, we were saying, t:slim in the DME channel. It works well. We have a big franchise there.

We don't wanna mess that up. Pharmacy, we wanna test out the ability to put a durable pump there. Let's do that with Mobi. It'll be straddling the line between DME and pharmacy, then with Sigi, we can be ready with all of our learnings to go directly into pharmacy. We came into 2025 with that thought in mind, launched Mobi into the channel. The nature of the contracts we had structured initially were all DME-like, if you will, so reimbursement for the pump up front, and then reimbursement for the supplies along the way. All at a little bit of a premium level to what we see in DME already. As we progressed across the year, we were seeing and basically proving out all of our beliefs about the pharmacy channel.

Yes, we could see lower out-of-pocket for the patient. You can influence that with co-pay assistance. Yes, it is easier for the physician. It's a more streamlined ordering process. It's more electronic, more automated, so it's efficiencies within their practice. If they are on the fence of which product to recommend, and if that's gonna make the decision, we wanna be there with them. For the payers, they get a benefit, too. They get better visibility to data about their members or their subscribers. They actually can see what products they're using, what drugs they're actually prescribing or selling for those patients as well, and they can manage their population health in a better way than they could with what they have in DME. They just don't have the visibility there.

Of course, from the manufacturer side, all of us are able to enjoy the benefits of a higher reimbursement stream there. It's just the nature of that channel, how they reimburse, how they pay. You win in all four ways, and when we were seeing this, we decided, why don't we start taking t:slim supplies in the channel? Because now we feel like we have enough information, that we don't have to worry about damaging a business that's working just fine. We can take advantage of those benefits as well. Through that, as we were evaluating, how do we continue to get more coverage? That's when we decided that basically, it made sense that if you go full pay-as-you-go model, that was what allow us to get to optimal access across the board. Here we are. We made the decision.

It was also important for us to know as a business, that we could weather the transition period. Because obviously, in a real true pay-as-you-go model, you're getting no reimbursement for the pump, where we've been enjoying $4,000 a pump, both revenue and cash, all along. We're at a stable place in our business. We were positive free cash flow in the back half of the year, and we felt like it was the right time that we could actually move forward with this type of model, and so we kicked it off, and here we are, ready to go in a big way, not just dabble in it or step in lightly. We're ready to go and accelerate as fast as we can.

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

The first foray was it with the t:slim consumables?

Leigh Vosseller
EVP, Treasurer, and CFO, Tandem Diabetes Care

Yes.

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

Can you share, or maybe you already have, and I missed it, the percentage higher ASP that you are getting in channel pharmacy versus channel DME?

Leigh Vosseller
EVP, Treasurer, and CFO, Tandem Diabetes Care

Sure. When you look at it over the four-year life of the patient, the reimbursement is expected to be two times what we see in DME. The difference is, the way it's structured is, since you're not getting reimbursement on the pump, there is more placed on the supplies over time. When you compare DME to pharmacy supplies, it's more than four times what we see in DME, it's a substantial benefit for the business. What it does is it helps build on a more predictable, recurring, consistent revenue stream, so that you don't have to look at our business and the number of pumps we sell in any given quarter dictate how good our revenue will be or how good our margins will look.

This way, it really flips the model where pumps have generated the highest gross margin, and supplies were always a bit of a drag on the margin. It will turn that around, and now the supplies will have a healthy margin that will help us expand our gross margins more rapidly than we were able to without making this shift.

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

Over four years, two times higher ASP per supplies, you don't get the pump revenue. Over four years, it's benefit. It's better for you to be getting this?

Leigh Vosseller
EVP, Treasurer, and CFO, Tandem Diabetes Care

Absolutely.

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

Did you just say 4 times?

Leigh Vosseller
EVP, Treasurer, and CFO, Tandem Diabetes Care

4 times when you look at a supply, a month of supplies for a DME patient today versus a month of supplies in pharmacy. That's the 4 times. When you look at it on a life where the pump was included before in DME, that's where you get the 2 times overall.

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

Okay. This year, you're taking a $35 million headwind. Same question I asked, or was it $45 million?

Leigh Vosseller
EVP, Treasurer, and CFO, Tandem Diabetes Care

It's, 70-80.

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

In the U.S.?

Leigh Vosseller
EVP, Treasurer, and CFO, Tandem Diabetes Care

Yes.

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

I'm sorry. I'm getting my companies mixed up.

Leigh Vosseller
EVP, Treasurer, and CFO, Tandem Diabetes Care

You're totally fine.

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

Too many!

Leigh Vosseller
EVP, Treasurer, and CFO, Tandem Diabetes Care

It's okay. Yes, but it's large.

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

Large. Okay, this year it's $70 million-$80 million?

Leigh Vosseller
EVP, Treasurer, and CFO, Tandem Diabetes Care

Yes.

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

Same question I asked for OUS. Next year?

Leigh Vosseller
EVP, Treasurer, and CFO, Tandem Diabetes Care

That's the beauty of this model. In 2026, we are assuming about 20% of the pumps we ship will go through pharmacy. I should probably highlight, it tempers the revenue growth this year. The metric we want people to be focused on is total pumps that we're shipping. I want to just start there for a second. Pump shipments are expected to grow 10%-11% year-over-year. You start with that as your baseline, and then we assume 20% of those will go through the pharmacy channel. On day one, we're losing $4,000. It's gonna take time to make up that differential with the recurring supply stream. If you just look at a single pay-as-you-go patient, it takes many months.

It can be over a year before that single patient can break even or pay for itself. When you look at it in perspective of we have over 300,000 people in our existing install base, with the opportunity to shift some of those to the pharmacy channel. For every patient who gets a free pump, a PayGo pump, if we ship two patients from our existing install base, so think about all the people who are ordering supplies already, have already a pump in hand, we break even in a matter of five or six months on both re-revenue and gross profit.

What happens, to your point, the long way to get to your answer to your question about 2027 is t his year, it tempers the revenue growth, but what it does is it pays off. It multiplies when you get into 2027. Every patient you get on the pay-as-you-go model, as fast as you can, will accelerate the growth in the future. It's the headwinds we expect are most pronounced here in the early phase, in this first year. After this, we'll expect to see a really great revenue growth just from price alone. As Susan said, one of the barriers is cost. It will allow more people to enjoy the benefits of pump therapy.

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

When you think about it, this rolling revenue stream phrase really is working because you actually are getting your hit in 2027 to total revenue. You're building your additional higher ASP consumables over the next four years to keep within that timeframe. Is there a way to think about if it's $70 million-$80 million this year, what a headwind might be next year?

Leigh Vosseller
EVP, Treasurer, and CFO, Tandem Diabetes Care

Well, the beauty of this is we're gonna be focused on shifting our existing patients, and the PayGo patients we ship to this year, they will start helping to pay for themselves and others as well. We really expect that we'll start to be past the headwind phase, if you will.

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

Yeah.

Leigh Vosseller
EVP, Treasurer, and CFO, Tandem Diabetes Care

There will still be, every time we give away a pump, it's a headwind, but we have enough other opportunities. It, it's a self-funding model, in a way.

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

Okay, 20% this year. Is it 20% next year?

Leigh Vosseller
EVP, Treasurer, and CFO, Tandem Diabetes Care

What we've shared is. In fact, that's it. I'm gonna go here for a second.

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

Go there. Thank you.

Leigh Vosseller
EVP, Treasurer, and CFO, Tandem Diabetes Care

Very important question is, let's talk about some of the metrics we shared this year.

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

Okay.

Leigh Vosseller
EVP, Treasurer, and CFO, Tandem Diabetes Care

The metric that we wanna be focused on for the long term is what % of our U.S. sales are going through pharmacy?

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

Yep.

Leigh Vosseller
EVP, Treasurer, and CFO, Tandem Diabetes Care

We said less than 5% in 2025. In 2026, that will grow to about 15%. As we transition through this model, in 2-3 years, pharmacy sales should be 70% or more. That helps maybe think a little bit about the transition and the timing of it. The metrics we gave this year were to help people get grounded, because, understandably, someone could get lost very quickly, and if people don't understand how we get there, then we will, we'll lose everyone's interest fast. Importantly, this year, we shared that think of 20% of pumps are going through pharmacy out of the 10% or 11% growth, that also the supplies.

The customer base of our install base, on average, this year, about 10% will be ordering supplies in pharmacy, and both of those metrics are averages for the year. You think about it as starting off low and exiting at a higher rate than that. It's gonna be something, it won't necessarily be linear, but we're gonna be working to grow it month over month over month, as we go across the next few years.

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

Okay. What drives your confidence that 10%-11% pump shipment growth in the U.S. is sustainable?

Leigh Vosseller
EVP, Treasurer, and CFO, Tandem Diabetes Care

Yes. It's a very exciting year. I mean, how long did we already spend talking about all the new product launches? That's one big piece that we've always relied on in the business to grow shipments and sales. Now we're adding pharmacy, which is another layer, which means we won't see these spikes in growth around product cycles or new product launches. We can grow it in other ways by removing that cost barrier. Those are the new products, the expanded market with Type 2, as well as pharmacy, will help grow that. One thing I'll highlight is a lot of our revenue shipment growth, our shipment growth in recent years has been based on renewals.

That's been a very large revenue stream for us. Renewals are still expected to grow, low double digits in 2026. When you take that as an underpinning, your new starts don't have to grow as much. We will be returning to new start growth, and it's all of those factors coming together that will get us there. It's more than just you have to, you have to believe it can happen. I think Q4 was a real demonstration that it can happen. We really started to execute with our sales force productivity and just the beginnings of these new products that we launched, that we can make a change in how we grow.

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

When the patient is shipped the pump, you're shipping it? Who ships it to them?

Leigh Vosseller
EVP, Treasurer, and CFO, Tandem Diabetes Care

We have a partner that will deliver the pump. We still use our same network of distributors to fulfill all the pharmacy orders when it comes to the supplies. In our model, it's very helpful because what we've seen sometimes is, people have to get new distribution networks, so it's more, overhead, if you will, just managing all of that. How do you keep all your partners happy when some are in the business that you're.

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

Right

Leigh Vosseller
EVP, Treasurer, and CFO, Tandem Diabetes Care

You're going away from?

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

Right.

Leigh Vosseller
EVP, Treasurer, and CFO, Tandem Diabetes Care

We're using the same network of distributors. Most of the large distributors we've worked with in the past have all developed their own pharmacy capability because they wanna stay in the game, and so they're gonna be our same partners, yesterday in DME, tomorrow in pharmacy.

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

If you're giving the patient a pump for free, essentially, how do you make sure they use it? Can you take it back?

Leigh Vosseller
EVP, Treasurer, and CFO, Tandem Diabetes Care

All great questions. Great questions. It's been a hot topic of, "Oh my gosh, are you gonna start losing customers because now they can freely move anywhere they want, anytime they want?

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

Right.

Leigh Vosseller
EVP, Treasurer, and CFO, Tandem Diabetes Care

We of course, don't have the pharmacy experience yet, but we have a lot of experience in DME with retention. A few interesting data points. Number 1, customers who buy a pump from Tandem, in the 4-year warranty period, they can leave. They can't go to another durable pump, because the insurance won't reimburse it. They could have gone to an offering that was in pharmacy already. There is nothing to stop them from going and trying out other products. We have heard at a very small level of people that have trialed other products, but this is the important point: they almost always come back to us. There's the value of people who get on our product using the algorithm. It's the best algorithm, and when they try anything else, it doesn't compare.

We have a very sticky base. Also people, we have 70% of our people at least, within an 18-month timeframe, buy a second pump from us. We have good retention in terms of people who also, when they're out of warranty, could go anywhere else they wanna go, but they still choose to come back to us. We have many customers who just use their pump happily out of warranty. We expect our retention to be similar in pharmacy because of these different examples of what we experience today. And it's because of the power of our products and the algorithm in particular.

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

Is there a how are you going to monitor that? I'm anticipating the earnings call where you're like, "Well, okay, it went down a little bit, but we have these new patients.

Leigh Vosseller
EVP, Treasurer, and CFO, Tandem Diabetes Care

Yes.

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

Not saying that you're gonna do that. How are you monitoring it so it's you on track?

Leigh Vosseller
EVP, Treasurer, and CFO, Tandem Diabetes Care

Yes. Obviously, we will know how many kits that we're selling in pharmacy.

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

Okay.

Leigh Vosseller
EVP, Treasurer, and CFO, Tandem Diabetes Care

They're kitted differently, and so we know exactly what was a pharmacy sale versus what was a DME sale, even if our distributors are managing it.

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

Yep.

Leigh Vosseller
EVP, Treasurer, and CFO, Tandem Diabetes Care

That's piece one. We also have Tandem Source, which is the platform where people upload their data, so we can see that people are actually consistently on the product. We use Tandem Source for so many reasons, but one is to understand retention.

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

Is there a world where insurers will have a preferred pump or preferred provider or whatever the phraseology may be, and how do you think about that?

Leigh Vosseller
EVP, Treasurer, and CFO, Tandem Diabetes Care

Yeah, I mean, that's the nature of pharmacy, is that there are the formulary has preferred and non-preferred status. There's different tiers within the formulary.

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

Yep.

Leigh Vosseller
EVP, Treasurer, and CFO, Tandem Diabetes Care

All those exist. It just comes down to, as we learn more about preference for our products and what tier and what formulary that we are on, what's the right mix of co-pay insurance to use and rebate structure?

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

Yeah.

Leigh Vosseller
EVP, Treasurer, and CFO, Tandem Diabetes Care

The way you get the best access, the most preferred, is through your rebating system. We have a mixture of some preferred access, some non-preferred, and we'll be seeing the utilization across those as we launch into this, because the contracts actually go live in March. We haven't actually officially kicked off the pay-as-you-go. It will be in March, and so we'll start to see what works, what doesn't. Basically, every year you get another shot at it because the payers and PBMs reevaluate their formularies pretty much annually.

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

Okay. What really stood out to me on the fourth quarter was your profitability. Walk us through what drove that. I think I already know the answer, but let's do it anyway. Then how you think about that, not just for 2026, but building from that?

Leigh Vosseller
EVP, Treasurer, and CFO, Tandem Diabetes Care

Sure, sure. We did. We had a tremendous fourth quarter. Our gross margin was 58%, that's the highest we've ever shown the world. We were excited to get to report that. Again, one of the biggest sticking points for our business is you don't show margin expansion. Really, price was the primary driver. We do have Mobi growing in volume as a part of the business. That's what we've talked about for years, Mobi having a lower cost profile than t:slim. And it is getting there. We're getting to the scale on the pump where we're already seeing that benefit.

The cartridges, we're still building up the install base. I mean, it takes a lot to, you know, to become a big enough percent of our install base to make a meaningful difference but i n 2026 and even in 2027, we'll show more of that with the Mobi contribution. Pricing was one of the biggest drivers. If you recall, that's when we launched t:slim Supplies into the pharmacy channel. Even with less than 5% of our base ordering supplies in the pharmacy, we doubled pharmacy sales from Q3 to Q4, and that was one of the big margin drivers.

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

Excellent. I have 8 whole minutes left. I have a very long list. I'm sure you've been talking to a lot of investors, as I have since last Thursday night. What do you think people need some clarity on, and what do you think people are like, "Yeah, they get it?

Leigh Vosseller
EVP, Treasurer, and CFO, Tandem Diabetes Care

I'll start with the, "Yeah, we get it." I mean, people are penciling the math out for 2027 and 2028 and basically saying, like: "I don't even care about 2026 anymore. I can't wait for that to come.

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

Mm.

Leigh Vosseller
EVP, Treasurer, and CFO, Tandem Diabetes Care

Where, you know, we wondered if there would be a concern of, I don't like to see low revenue growth, I think people are accepting of the fact that it could be low, and if we go fast and hard, it could be lower, but it pays big rewards in the future. I think people are really, embracing that, you know, and can see that as a business. This is really good for us for revenue and margin in the long term. One point that I think we've talked a lot about retention with people, this understanding of, well, will people move around, and will you lose your customers? I think another important point about patients is, it's not easy to just switch pumps all the time.

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

Right.

Leigh Vosseller
EVP, Treasurer, and CFO, Tandem Diabetes Care

First of all, you have to get a prescription, and your physician at some point is gonna say: "What are you doing? Why do you need so many pumps?" Secondly, they have to get trained, it's part of their life. It's a life-saving device, people aren't just gonna willy-nilly go out and move from product to product. We feel very confident with what we offer. I think the other thing that's been coming up a great deal is we've talked about the for modeling purposes, again, we're giving a lot of extra data points this year. We gave price comparisons, and we said, "For supplies, start with $350 a month." It's a good place to start from a modeling perspective.

That, I think that raised a lot of questions from folks like, "Oh, are you doing some special pricing strategy? Are you trying to undercut? Are you playing a different game than everyone else?" The answer is a firm no. We see what pharmacy pays today. We wanna take advantage of every dollar that we can get from it, just like everyone else. We feel like on the merit of our products, we can sell competitively if we're all doing it at the same pricing. For us, we just don't have the data and the experience yet.

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

Sure.

Leigh Vosseller
EVP, Treasurer, and CFO, Tandem Diabetes Care

Back to what I said earlier, we have a mix of preferred access with non-preferred. We know there's gonna be some level of co-pay assistance. We just wanted to give people a starting point. Just as you're thinking about the business, don't get ahead of us. Let us gather some trends and see that mix of utilization. For now, just think about it as $350 a month.

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

Yeah.

Leigh Vosseller
EVP, Treasurer, and CFO, Tandem Diabetes Care

After the course of a couple of some months or a couple of quarters, we'll get a better idea of where that's shaking out, and then we can give more firm targets based on real experience and not just our estimations.

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

Excellent. When we're together this time next year, what do you think we're talking about?

Leigh Vosseller
EVP, Treasurer, and CFO, Tandem Diabetes Care

Oh, my gosh, the success we've had in pharmacy and all the customers we brought to the table.

Susan Morrison
EVP and Chief Administrative Officer, Tandem Diabetes Care

How much customers are loving the tubeless feature for Mobi, as well as our full rollout of our portfolio features, the fact that FreeStyle Libre 3 will be launched internationally, the t:slim, which is so exciting, the fact that Mobi Android will be broadly available. We'll have this full suite of products that people can really grab onto. I can't wait at that point, hopefully, that we're talking about a pivotal study that's happening for fully closed loop.

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

There you go. Well, Leigh and Susan, thank you so much for coming, and it's great seeing you.

Susan Morrison
EVP and Chief Administrative Officer, Tandem Diabetes Care

You as well.

Joanne Wuensch
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

Thank you.

Susan Morrison
EVP and Chief Administrative Officer, Tandem Diabetes Care

Thanks for having us.

Leigh Vosseller
EVP, Treasurer, and CFO, Tandem Diabetes Care

Thanks for having us.

Powered by