Turning Point Brands, Inc. (TPB)
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Earnings Call: Q2 2020

Jul 28, 2020

Operator

Good day, welcome to the Turning Point Brands second quarter earnings conference call. All participants are in a listen-only mode. Should you need assistance, please signal a conference specialist by pressing the star key followed by zero. After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. To ask a question, you may press star then one on your telephone keypad. To withdraw your question, please press star then two. Please note that this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Louie Reformina, Vice President of Business Development. Please go ahead, sir.

Louie Reformina
VP of Business Development, Turning Point Brands

Thank you. Good morning, everyone. This is Louie Reformina, Vice President of Business Development. Joining me are Turning Point Brands President and CEO, Larry Wexler; Graham Purdy, Chief Operating Officer; and Bobby Lavan, Chief Financial Officer. This morning, we issued a news release covering our second quarter 2020 results. This release is located in the IR section of our website, www.turningpointbrands.com, where a replay of today's conference call will also be available. In this call, we will discuss our consolidated and segment operating results and provide a perspective on our progress against our strategic plan. As is customary, I direct your attention to the discussion of forward-looking and cautionary statement in today's press release, and those factors in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

The disclosure outlines various factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from projections or forward-looking statements that may be cited in today's discussion. These forward-looking statements and projections are not guarantees of future performance, and you should not place undue reliance upon them except as provided by federal securities laws, and we undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements. In the call today, we will reference certain non-GAAP financial measures. These measures and reconciliations to GAAP can be found in today's earnings release, along with reasons why management believes that they provide useful information. I will now turn the call over to Larry Wexler, our CEO.

Larry Wexler
President and CEO, Turning Point Brands

Thank you, Louie, good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining the call. Our second quarter exceeded our expectations, delivering $105 million in revenue. Our internal initiatives drove meaningful improvements within each of our segments, building momentum for longer-term growth. In addition, the payback from the loading that we had anticipated did not materialize during the quarter and was instead mostly absorbed by improved positioning and increased consumption of our products. Within smokeless, most of our growth continues to be driven by MST same-store sales, with distribution wins from the past few years contributing to the momentum. Secular consumer trade-down trends across the smokeless category that predated COVID are accelerating in this environment. With our offering of a premium product at a fair price, our value proposition is clearly connecting with the consumer. We discussed in the first quarter the impact of COVID on delaying normal price increases.

We took a price increase on tubs, of which we are the market leader, in May, and we took a price increase on cans in July, along with the industry. We also saw a nice growth with our loose-leaf chew business. We entered the quarter with a targeted salesforce initiative and benefited from market conditions impacted by COVID. For the first time in its history, Stoker's was the number one brand in the loose-leaf category during the quarter. I'm very proud of this accomplishment. While some of these gains in chewing tobacco during the quarter were temporary, thus far, during the current quarter, we are seeing strong signs of retention, and the brand is now much better positioned for the future. In smoking, we were able to deliver growth despite dealing with a COVID-related supply chain disruption with our third-party MYO cigar wrap manufacturer in the Dominican Republic.

This headwind was more than offset by growth in our paper business, which benefited from increased consumption of our products and market share gains from a number of initiatives introduced earlier in the year. Recently introduced products such as paper cones, hemp papers, unbleached papers, and hemp wraps accounted for a vast majority of the segment's growth. NewGen was another bright spot, delivering an extraordinary quarter. We streamlined our vape distribution business going into the year and consolidated our platforms under one management team. We started to see the improvements from more efficient organization earlier in the year, and that carried into the second quarter as we continued to gain market share. In addition to these structural improvements, we benefited from heightened levels of purchasing in our B2C e-commerce platforms during stay-at-home provisions. Although this subsequently moderated as retail outlets opened back up.

In addition, one of our B2B competitors was temporarily offline during the quarter. Longer term, however, the story of this segment continues to be how we are positioning this business for a post-PMTA world. We made significant progress during the quarter towards submitting our applications ahead of the PMTA deadline on September 9. While we expect significant disruption in the second half of the year as our consumers navigate through the market uncertainties around the PMTA process, we look forward to realizing the potential benefits from a consolidated marketplace. Our proprietary product mix, which has been on an upward trajectory, should receive a significant supplemental boost in the coming years in a post-PMTA environment. During the quarter, we also completed a $46 million acquisition of certain assets from Durfort Holdings related to our MYO cigar wraps business, our largest sub-segment within smoking.

Durfort was our long-term partner and helped us start the business. We effectively acquired a larger portion of profits in a business that is seeing secular tailwinds from cannabis legalization and decriminalization. The transaction eliminates the royalty expenses we were paying for on our products. Which will improve its margin profile starting in the third quarter as we sell through inventory from before the transaction. In addition, we acquired the distribution rights to blunt wraps starting early in the fourth quarter, which we view as a nice complementary product to our existing portfolio. This product gives us access to customers in what we call the back street, where blunt wrap mostly lives, and where our Zig-Zag products currently have low penetration. As previously communicated, we expect the transaction to add $5 million of annual revenue and $7 million of EBITDA. Earlier this month, we also completed the SDI merger.

In addition to removing the overhang of a controlling shareholder and a holding company structure, the merger significantly improves liquidity of our stock and allowed new shareholders to invest in TPB through the related secondary offering. We welcome all our new shareholders and thank existing shareholders who participated in the offering for their continued support. With regard to COVID, we remain adapted to the changing environment and are navigating through the challenges presented to us. As results prove, we are rising to the challenge of meeting customer demand and made a relatively seamless transition operating in the new normal. We were able to keep our field sales force operational using best safety practices, including early adoption of masks, self-produced hand sanitizers, and extensive use of teleselling to maintain customer engagement.

We did experience higher operational costs related to maintaining a safer work environment and higher fulfillment costs as a result of COVID. We were able to offset this with tighter cost controls elsewhere in the business. To add some additional color and perspective on our quarter and the path forward, let me turn the call over to Graham Purdy, Chief Operating Officer.

Graham Purdy
COO, Turning Point Brands

Thank you, Larry. Let me now give you a quick snapshot of the performance from our core tobacco business. Our results were strong in the quarter, driven by robust customer demand. Smokeless saw double-digit growth in the quarter, with both cans and tubs delivering equally to our growth during the quarter. A vast majority of the growth was driven, again, by same-store sales gains as Stoker's Moist Snuff delivered another record share, up 1.2 share points compared to a year ago to 5.2%. Our share in stores receiving the product is now at 8.9%, up 130 basis points from the previous year. Stoker's Moist Snuff is now in stores which represent 58.4% of industry volumes. This leaves a long runway of distribution growth, both from potential chain and independent wins and the ramp-up of stores from chains we have recently won.

Chewing tobacco sales saw mid-single-digit increase as ongoing category decline was more than offset by Stoker's Chew continuing to expand its share. Stoker's Chew registered a 25.7 share in the quarter, which is up 5.6 share points from the previous year and 3.6 share points sequentially. While we did benefit from the number three player in the category being temporarily shut down, there was also a clear benefit from a targeted sales force initiative to expand distribution of our value products. This was evident after the competitor came back online, as our sales remained above levels seen earlier in the year. Smoking saw high single-digit growth in the quarter, led by strong double-digit growth in U.S. rolling papers.

In the U.S., Zig-Zag papers remain the leading premium paper brand, increasing its share year-over-year for the fourth consecutive quarter, with 2.8 share points of growth to 33.1 according to MSAi. Zig-Zag's share of the paper cone category has climbed to 32.5%, gaining 12.5 share points from the prior year to position Zig-Zag as the number two cones brand. Zig-Zag paper cones are now in approximately 42,000 retail outlets after adding roughly 10,000 stores during the quarter. Our hemp wrap product, which was just launched earlier this year, has been welcomed with strong market reception and captured 22.7% of the category in the second quarter. It is now in approximately 23,000 retail outlets after adding 14,000 outlets during the quarter. Our MYO cigar wraps business saw an anticipated double-digit decline during the quarter as a result of the disruption with our manufacturer.

Our manufacturer is now back online, but we still expect some disruption in our third quarter results given reduced manufacturing capacity from social distancing measures. In Canada, our partnership with ReCreation Marketing is starting to ramp up, with ReCreation already placing Zig-Zag into 280 of the 820 dispensaries in Canada after its first quarter of marketing our products. Moving to NewGen, where we had an exceptional quarter. On a high level, our vape distribution business saw improved execution along with some temporary benefits during the quarter. Our B2B platform, Vapor Beast, grew double digits in the quarter as it gained market share from building its customer base to record levels throughout the first half of the year. We also benefited from a competitor being temporarily offline. Our B2C platform, IVG, experienced 2.5 x the growth rate of Vapor Beast as consumers shifted to purchasing online.

We've seen IVG sales levels begin to normalize as the economy has opened up, trends remain well above what we saw earlier in the year pre-COVID. In our Nu-X business, our new products continue to build momentum, with Solace posting its best quarter since its acquisition and our Nu-X CBD and nutraceutical products expanding distribution in the market. We encourage you to visit nu-x.com and solacevapor.com to see some of our recent introductions. The longer-term story on New Gen is the push of our proprietary products, which now stands at 20% of the segment compared to 15% in the prior year. As Larry mentioned, we expect this to increase meaningfully in a post-PMTA world. Closing out my commentary, we are pleased with the improvements we have made as an organization and to our internal processes throughout this year, are excited to see tangible benefits in our initiatives.

With that, I'll turn it to Bobby for a review of our second quarter financial performance. Bobby?

Bobby Lavan
CFO, Turning Point Brands

Thank you, Graham. Turning to the segment reviews. Smokeless net sales increased 17.7% to $30.8 million in the quarter. Net sales for the MST portfolio grew 28% and represented 58% of smokeless revenues in the quarter, up from 53% a year earlier. Total smokeless volume increased 13.9%, with price mix advancing 3.8%. Note that our price mix thus far this year has been weighed down by comping against an under-accrual of allowances in the first half of 2019. Year-over-year industry volumes for MST decreased by approximately 1%, with chewing tobacco eroding by approximately 3%. Stoker's shipments to retail continued to outpace the smokeless industry in the quarter, growing its MSAi share in both chewing tobacco and MST. Turning to smoking products.

Segment net sales in the quarter increased 8% to $27.4 million, with strong double-digit growth in U.S. rolling papers and growth in our Canadian papers business due to comparing against last year's inventory depletions and the ramp-up of our marketing partnership with ReCreation Marketing. This was partially offset by MYO cigar wrap disruption, which impacted the quarter by about $4 million and by a $400 thousand decline in our non-focused cigars and MYO pipe business. Total smoking volume increased 7.5%, while price mix increased 0.6%. Of note, Canada will face tougher year-over-year comps in the third quarter, which had a period of inventory rebuild post the packaging regulation changes in the prior year. Third quarter 2019 Canadian paper revenues were $4.6 million, compared to our quarterly expectations of $2 million-$2.5 million .

According to MSAi, second quarter industry volumes for U.S. cigarette papers and MYO cigar wraps increased double digits. Moving to our New Gen segment, where we experienced an especially strong quarter. Net sales increased 11.8% to $46.7 million as a result of strong market share gains in our vape distribution business, in addition to positive contributions from Solace and other Nu-X products. In the quarter, our B2B vaping business benefited approximately $5 million from a competitor being down due to COVID. With volatility coming forward due to the PMTA process and temporary COVID-related benefits easing, you should not extrapolate these results into the third quarter and fourth quarter for New Gen. For the quarter, New Gen gross profit increased 17.7% million to $15.8 million, aided by increase in mix of proprietary products and faster growth from our higher gross margin B2C business.

Second quarter 2020 included $3.6 million of tariff expense compared to $2 million a year ago. Moving to the consolidated business. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $22.8 million as compared to $18.3 million in the prior year. We achieved strong incremental margins during the quarter, reflecting the benefits from the SG&A cost reductions made going into the year. In this morning's release, we also increased our 2020 guidance. We are encouraged by our results thus far this year, but are also balancing our optimism for the business with the uncertainty in the current environment and ongoing support for the consumer. With this framework, along with taking into account the temporary benefits during the second quarter and expected near-term volatility within our New Gen segment, we revise our guidance as follows. Projected 2020 total net sales of $370 million-$382 million.

Adjusted EBITDA is now projected to be $78 million-$83 million. The company now expects $16 million-$18 million of total FDA PMTA expenses. This compares to $12 million spent to date. Net sales for this third quarter of 2020 are expected to be $90 million-$95 million, and earnings from the Durfort transaction should start flowing through in mid-July as we burn off pre-deal inventory. Post the Durfort transaction, we still hold ample dry powder and continue to maintain an attractive pipeline of investment opportunities. We ended the quarter with $110 million of available liquidity, which puts us in a favorable position to manage our business through this environment and evaluate these opportunities. With that, I'll turn the call back to Larry for closing comments.

Larry Wexler
President and CEO, Turning Point Brands

Thank you, Bobby. We had a great start in the first half of the year. We are proud of our execution as an organization, and I want to personally thank our employees for the remarkable work during such challenging times. We are raising our expectations internally and are looking forward to continued progress in the coming quarters. Thank you for participating in the call today. With that, I'd like to open up the call to questions.

Operator

Thank you. We will now begin the question- and- answer session. To ask a question, you may press star then one on your touch- tone phone. If you are using a speakerphone, please pick up your handset before pressing the keys. To withdraw your question, please press star then two. At this time, we'll pause momentarily to assemble our roster. Our first question will come from Vivien Azer with Cowen. Please go ahead.

Vivien Azer
Analyst, Cowen

Hi. Thank you. Good morning.

Bobby Lavan
CFO, Turning Point Brands

Morning.

Graham Purdy
COO, Turning Point Brands

Good morning.

Larry Wexler
President and CEO, Turning Point Brands

Good morning, Vivien.

Vivien Azer
Analyst, Cowen

Good morning, everybody. I was hoping to start with Stoker's. Clearly, very strong share momentum broadly and within your own store network. That's certainly constructive. You called out a pretty even split between tubs and cans, Larry. I was wondering if you could expand on that. Coming off the Altria earnings call, they suggested also that tobacco consumers broadly were buying in higher volume, and that perhaps that was also contributing to higher per capita consumption. That was more of a cigarette comment, so I'd love to hear if you think you're seeing similar dynamics in the oral tobacco segment. Thanks.

Larry Wexler
President and CEO, Turning Point Brands

I agree that is more than a cigarette comment. I think with people being home more and having fewer trips to the store, we are seeing greater consumption and people buying in bigger packages. I think that the tubs are doing very well as a result of that, and the cans are benefiting from the increased distribution year- over- year. I think that the comment by Altria does apply to moist and it probably applies to other categories as well.

Vivien Azer
Analyst, Cowen

That's really helpful. Thank you. Just sticking with the moist category, encouraging that you guys were able to take pricing with the industry in June. I am curious, though, given the volatile consumer backdrop, whether you saw any kind of reaction from either wholesalers or retailers, maybe even more so from the consumer, than you would have expected historically because of COVID? Thanks.

Larry Wexler
President and CEO, Turning Point Brands

No. In fact, both the price increase on tubs in May and the cans just recently, we have gotten almost no negative feedback on it. I think that the consumers are settling in to this new reality. It'll be interesting as we go forward what happens with government support. I suspect the government will continue supporting the consumers, and that would be a benefit to everybody.

Vivien Azer
Analyst, Cowen

Right. Yeah, no, I think that government support is going to be important, to be sure. Just turning to the PMTA process. You've spent $12 million to date, expect it to be $16 million-$18 million on the full year. Is there anything that's surprising you as you've gone through this? Obviously, the entire process just being delayed by the courts certainly, I think, would necessarily drive that expense up some. Just curious what you're learning through this process and whether there's any kind of impediments that you haven't necessarily envisioned that are resulting in a higher cost estimate. Thanks.

Bobby Lavan
CFO, Turning Point Brands

Yeah, I think we're just tightening the range. The prices didn't go up because of the delay. They went up because we wanted to add a little bit more depth to one of our core products on the open system that we feel pretty excited about. Everything's on track to get done. I would say three months ago, there was a lot more confidence from smaller guys on their ability to file. We've seen that drop off precipitously over the past few months as they were closing out. The FDA also made a lot clearer some of the gates that they were going to put up, so you couldn't just submit a piece of paper, that you actually had to submit certain documentation that otherwise you'd automatically get rejected. The cause was just a tightening. It was us cleaning up one outstanding item that we're pretty excited about.

Everything's on track.

Vivien Azer
Analyst, Cowen

Great, thanks. I'll squeeze in one more. Just as we think about the gross margin progression, excuse me, in the back half of the year, you called out some of the inventory accounting from the wrap deal. How should we think about that for the third quarter, please? Thanks.

Bobby Lavan
CFO, Turning Point Brands

Yeah. From a wraps perspective, you've got about $3.5 million that's going to be moved out of COGS in the second half. Full year, $7 million. That's just straight to the bottom line. Additionally, the margin was a little bit higher in the second quarter than we expected, primarily because wraps before the Durfort transaction was lower than segment margins. You should be able to extrapolate that into margin progression for the rest of the year.

Vivien Azer
Analyst, Cowen

Perfect. That's it for me. Thank you so much.

Operator

Our next question will come from Eric Des Lauriers with Craig-Hallum Capital. Please go ahead.

Eric Des Lauriers
Analyst, Craig-Hallum Capital

All right. Thank you. Thanks for taking my questions, guys. Congrats on such an impressive quarter.

Bobby Lavan
CFO, Turning Point Brands

Thank you.

Eric Des Lauriers
Analyst, Craig-Hallum Capital

I was wondering if I could just dig in a little bit more on the smoking side of things. I know you mentioned some progress on your e-commerce and dispensary growth initiatives. Could you just give us a bit more color, what you guys are focusing on now, and how those initiatives are trending?

Bobby Lavan
CFO, Turning Point Brands

E-commerce was negligible in 2019 for us on the Zig-Zag side. Now it's single-digit percentages of the business. We're pretty excited about that. Additionally, what we've been beating our chests on for the past year is progression in cones. We really saw that in the quarter. Now cones are in 40,000 plus stores. We're really excited about cones because the cones box comes with six cones versus a French Orange pack comes with 32 leaflets, same price to the consumer, but ultimately it drives five times more visits. We're seeing that in the numbers at this point. We're really excited about cones.

We're really excited about e-commerce, and the second half is going to be about those, but it's also going to be about the wraps business, both in that we're taking the throttles off on the Zig-Zag wraps business, but we're also adding in blunt wraps, which is a new channel for us in the business.

Eric Des Lauriers
Analyst, Craig-Hallum Capital

Okay, that's helpful. Thank you for that. Switching gears to NewGen for a bit. Great to see Solace had a record quarter. Great to see gross margins expanding as a result of the increasing mix of proprietary products. I appreciate that your guidance assumes no upside from PMTA, but can you help us understand what it does assume for NewGen in the back half? I understand it's a bit of a crystal ball question, but any color on how you're thinking about NewGen and PMTA in the back half would be greatly appreciated.

Bobby Lavan
CFO, Turning Point Brands

Yeah. Let's talk about the numbers for a second. $47 million in the quarter, round numbers of sales in NewG en. Vape is a bulk of that, and those vape numbers need to come down somewhere between $5 million-$10 million, just because we had a $5 million one-time benefit in May when we had a competitor literally just go down for 10 days. We milked it. We made a lot of money on it. We're happy that we did that. Ultimately, that's not sustainable. You move that out. Additionally, we're expecting some de-stocking to happen in September, October. As we've been very loud about, we think that the first quarter is a lot more representative of the vape business, offset by the non-vape business continues to accelerate up. That's how you should really look at it.

I think that the second quarter, there's at least $5 million in there that we would call one time.

Eric Des Lauriers
Analyst, Craig-Hallum Capital

Okay. That's very helpful. I really appreciate that. Congrats again, guys. I'll hop back in the queue.

Bobby Lavan
CFO, Turning Point Brands

Thanks, Eric.

Operator

Our next question will come from Susan Anderson with B. Riley. Please go ahead.

Susan Anderson
Analyst, B. Riley

Hi. Good morning. Nice job on the quarter, you guys.

Bobby Lavan
CFO, Turning Point Brands

Thank you, Susan.

Susan Anderson
Analyst, B. Riley

I guess just to follow up on the gross margin, I guess for NewG en, how are you guys thinking about that over the next several years? What level do you think the business could go to or start to level off at?

Bobby Lavan
CFO, Turning Point Brands

Yeah. It's definitely higher from here. We've been very clear about that. We haven't given true long-term guidance, what we have said is we won't stop until that business has a proprietary branded margin, which we historically said 50%, but now you're looking at Zig-Zag Smoking segment was 57, going to take a step up because of wraps. You got MST, which was 54%, going to continue taking a step up. Smokeless 54%, going to continue taking a step up as we get incremental margins. We're really focused on getting the NewG en segment to 50% margins. We think that that's going to take some time. We're obviously, if we can find something that's a little bit margin, but we can slot into our supply chain, we will. As long as that margin keeps creeping up, we're pretty happy.

Susan Anderson
Analyst, B. Riley

Great. That's helpful. I was curious if you had any thoughts or numbers you could put around what % of the market will fall out as a result of the PMTA process, or how much of the market do you think will be up for grabs after that, if there's any quantitative numbers you could give. Thanks.

Bobby Lavan
CFO, Turning Point Brands

Yeah. Here's how we think. We don't think the market is going to fall out. We think the market will stay flat to slightly down. We think that somewhere around 50% of the SKUs will come out of the market. That's how much is for grabs, and we're already seeing it with Solace, where there are certain liquids that aren't going through, and so people are saying, "Okay, well, I'm going to continue vaping." There's a lot of studies that are actually coming out right now that are extremely positive on the cessation elements of vaping. I can't say that, but that's what these studies say. We're seeing it. We're seeing people go, "Okay, I always liked this liquid.

I always liked this flavor." they're saying, "But who's still going to be around?" the vape shops are going, "Who's still going to be around?" Solace has been one of those. we're picking up share already, and we're pretty excited about what happens as the market clears out a lot of that inventory over the next few quarters, and we are one of the few guys left standing.

Susan Anderson
Analyst, B. Riley

Great. That's very positive. I guess lastly, just looking out at SG&A going forward, how should we think about the level of SG&A, I guess maybe as it compares to this quarter too, for the next couple quarters?

Bobby Lavan
CFO, Turning Point Brands

Yeah. We have shipping and SG&A. If you back out shipping from SG&A, I would expect it to be about flat.

Susan Anderson
Analyst, B. Riley

Okay, great. That's very helpful. Thanks so much, you guys. Good luck.

Operator

Again, if you have a question, please press star, then one. This concludes our question- and- answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Larry Wexler for any closing remarks. Please go ahead, sir.

Larry Wexler
President and CEO, Turning Point Brands

Well, thank you, everybody, for joining the call. We look forward to talking to you again next quarter, where we hope to have more good results to report. Thank you very much.

Operator

The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.