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Earnings Call: Q2 2016

Jul 29, 2016

Operator

Good morning. My name is Steven, and I will be your conference facilitator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the UPS Investor Relations second quarter 2016 earnings conference call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise, and after the speaker's remarks, there will be a question and answer period. It is now my pleasure to turn the floor over to your host, Mr. Scott Childress, investor relations officer. Sir, the floor is yours.

Scott Childress
VP and Investor Relations Officer, UPS

Good morning. Welcome to the UPS second quarter 2016 earnings call. Joining me today are David Abney, our CEO, Richard Peretz, our CFO, along with the international president, Jim Barber, President of U.S. Operations, Myron Gray, and Chief Commercial Officer, Alan Gershenhorn. Before we begin, I want to review the safe harbor language. Some of the comments we'll make today are forward-looking statements that address our expectations for the future performance or results of operations of our company. These statements are subject to risk and uncertainties, which are described in detail in our 2015 Form 10-K. This report is available on the UPS investor relations website and from the Securities and Exchange Commission. The webcast of today's call, along with a reconciliation of non-GAAP financial measures, are available on the UPS investor relations website. Webcast users can submit live questions during today's call.

We will attempt to answer questions of a long-term, strategic nature. Callers are asked to submit only one question so that we may allow as many as possible to participate. Thanks for your cooperation. I will turn the call over to David.

David Abney
CEO, UPS

Thanks, Scott. Good morning, everyone. I'm pleased to report another quarter of strong financial results that demonstrate the power of UPS's diversified business model. Again, this quarter, the international segment led the way. This is the sixth consecutive quarter of double-digit operating profit growth. The U.S. domestic business is growing operating profit on higher B2C demand. Supply Chain and Freight continue to execute in a challenging macro environment. Turning to the economy, the consumer market in the U.S. remains healthy, and e-commerce forecasts have been elevated for 2016, and we are seeing that growth. On the other hand, our B2B volume is affected by the continuing weakness in industrial production. In fact, global GDP and industrial production growth forecasts have been downgraded slightly. Delayed inventory drawdowns and soft export demand likely will remain headwinds in the latter part of 2016.

Additionally, we are mindful of the current political commentary on trade. Increased trade not only bolsters business, but also produces jobs here in the U.S. and abroad. Historically, following ratification of trade deals, we have seen about a 20% increase in U.S. exports to the countries involved. UPS is a steadfast proponent of trade and supports agreements that minimize friction in the global supply chain. Trade legislation to accelerate economic expansion, like the Trans-Pacific Partnership, is vital to the health of the U.S. economy. We encourage our political leaders to support and pass pending trade legislation. Turning to our business, the strategic initiatives implemented over the last two years are ensuring we remain on track to achieve our long-term financial goals. We continue investing in four priority areas. We are adding network capacity, achieving greater efficiency through technology, deploying industry-specific solutions, and expanding in high-growth markets.

In Europe, we have completed about one-fourth of the projects associated with our $2 billion capital investment plan. During the second quarter, we announced new automated facilities in Belgium and France. In addition, we began an extensive program that will dramatically improve time and transit in our intra-Europe ground network, with some trade lanes improving by as much as two business days. The majority of the benefits of these investments are still ahead of us and will guarantee our position as a market leader in Europe for many years to come. We're also investing heavily in our U.S. operations, and in a few minutes, Richard will update you on our technology and capacity projects. A pillar of our strategy in the U.S. is deploying industry-leading e-commerce capabilities that help online retailers take advantage of consumer trends.

We recently released the fifth annual UPS Pulse of the Online Shopper study that highlights some of these changing trends. This year's survey revealed that most shoppers prefer home delivery while also expressing an interest in an alternative delivery location. To provide more delivery options, UPS is expanding our UPS Access Point Locker program in several major U.S. markets. These automated pickup locations augment our more than 8,000 existing U.S. retail locations and the more than 25,000 UPS Access Points worldwide. We're providing more convenient alternatives for urban online shoppers. New technology features were also introduced for the 24 million UPS My Choice users in the U.S. For example, members can now use the Follow My Delivery feature to track their package using real-time maps. These new capabilities are unique solutions to create value for our customers and further differentiate their online offering.

Our investments are broad-based and targeted for the needs of customers in multiple industries. This quarter, we announced a specialized set of global services for healthcare companies performing clinical trials, and in Europe, we expanded our field stocking locations for medical device distributors. UPS healthcare customers are gaining additional alternatives for shipping their sensitive materials globally with the assurance of our guaranteed services. UPS also launched a market-leading partnership with SAP and Fast Radius to support end-to-end 3D printing solutions. This capability is linked to more than 60 The UPS Store locations and the urgent delivery capabilities of the UPS network. This partnership is enabling UPS to expand into an adjacent market with great growth potential. We entered another adjacent industry in 2015 with the acquisition of asset-light truckload brokerage services of Coyote Logistics. The combination of Coyote's capabilities and the UPS integrated network is providing customers with unmatched flexibility.

Next month will mark the one-year anniversary of the acquisition. The synergies in procurement, asset utilization, and cross-selling remain on track to achieve our 2017 targets. In fact, cross-selling has already produced several great wins. Before I turn it over to Richard, I want to take a moment to recognize a milestone we will achieve in August. UPS marks our 40th year in Germany and our entrance into Europe. Over that time, our business has matured rapidly, and the European operations have become a cornerstone for our integrated networks. Today, we operate in every European country, generating more than $6 billion in annual revenue using our best-in-class Pan-European network. The expansion in Europe and the growth of our business around the world are made possible through the hard work and dedication of UPSers.

As our strong momentum carries into the second half of the year, I want to thank all of our employees around the globe for helping make and maintain UPS as the market leader. Richard will review the financial highlights.

Richard Peretz
CFO, UPS

Thanks, David. The second quarter operating results demonstrate the value of our flexible business model as we had another solid quarter. Additionally, we are seeing high growth in the e-commerce and healthcare sectors, while the LTL and forwarding markets remain challenged. Even with these dynamics, currency neutral revenue growth increased 4%, while fuel surcharges were a drag of around 120 basis points. Second quarter earnings per share were in line with expectations. Our performance reflected the gains from our investment strategies, despite the mixed macro environments. The international segment outperformed while U.S. domestic was on target, and finally, supply chain and freight was slightly below expectations. Now for some details by segment. U.S. domestic revenue increased 2.4% as lower fuel surcharges reduced total revenue growth by about 100 basis points. Average daily volume increased 2.5%, led by Next Day Air products, which were up about 6%.

The Next Day Air gains were produced by customers of all sizes. Demand was consumer-based, as more online retailers are providing faster delivery options to stay competitive. During the quarter, ground products increased 2.4% over last year, as B2C expansion outpaced B2B by more than five to one. Base rates accelerated slightly from last quarter. Lower fuel surcharges reduced yield growth by about 100 basis points. The higher base rates were able to compensate for some of the changes in product and customer mix. Operating profit increased about 3%, and operating margin expanded to 13.7%. Enhanced productivity and lower fuel cost resulted in operating cost per piece declining two-tenths of a percent. Once again, we are seeing good improvements in our daily operating statistics. Despite the fact that delivery stops were up over 3%, ORION lowered driver miles by three-tenths of a percent.

In addition, overall productivity gains continued as direct labor hours grew less than the volume. Our investment in ORION is bending the cost curve, and we remain on track to complete phase one implementation later in 2016. We are continuing our multi-year investment strategy in hub automation in the U.S. operations. So far in 2016, we have announced new projects in California, Colorado, Illinois, and Texas. These facilities are adding increased capacity and improved productivity. Now turning to the international segment, which had another remarkable quarter with operating profit expanding more than 11%. On a two-year stack basis, operating profit is up more than 30%. Export daily volume increased almost 4%, as improvements in all international regions offset slower U.S. exports. Europe led the way with significant gains in cross-border products and export growth to all regions of the world.

In fact, the Europe to U.S. lane grew at double-digit pace this quarter. Cycling now to the revenue management initiatives that we started in the last half of 2015, we are seeing good non-U.S. domestic daily shipment growth, which is up 4.5%, while at the same time, currency-neutral revenue per piece increased 1%. We saw higher base rates, however, they were offset by changes in product and trade lane mix. Currency-neutral revenue for the segment increased 1.5%. The lower fuel surcharge did impact revenue growth by about 170 basis points. The cost and productivity improvements held operating expenses down during the quarter. As a result, operating margin expanded to 19.9%. The international segment had a record second quarter with its highest second quarter delivery volume, operating profit, and one of the best margins ever. Now let's turn and look at supply chain and freight.

Total revenue increased more than 13% due to the addition of Coyote Logistics. The new truckload brokerage revenue offset tonnage shortfalls in international forwarding and the U.S. LTL business. Freight forwarding revenue and operating profits declined as we wrapped last year's rate actions. Cargo capacity continues to outpace demand, contributing to the weak market conditions I mentioned earlier. Expansion of the buy/sell rate and cost containment efforts led to the operating margin expansion. The unit remains focused on growing the more profitable middle market. In the distribution unit, we experienced strong revenue growth in the healthcare, aerospace, and automotive sectors this quarter. In fact, this quarter, healthcare became the top revenue sector within the contract logistics business. Distribution operating profit jumped more than 10% and the margin expanded. The UPS Freight business remains disciplined on pricing, with revenue per hundredweight up 3%.

The unit's execution of revenue quality initiatives is driving higher shipment yields. Total tonnage was lower by about 10%, due in part to the weak LTL market conditions. Now to update you on our cash position. For the six months ended June 30th, UPS generated $3.7 billion of free cash flow, a 13% increase over last year, and this was after spending $1 billion on CapEx. The company paid just over $1.3 billion in dividends, an increase of almost 7%. In addition, we purchased over 13 million shares for more than $1.3 billion. Combined, we are on schedule to meet our return to shareholders goals we set for the year.

Looking at the rest of the year, our strong international performance and the return on investments we are making in our network give us confidence in our ability to achieve our full year earnings guidance of $5.70 to $5.90 per share. As I discussed in February, we expect 2016 operating profit by quarter to follow the same pattern as it did in 2015. We still expect the fourth quarter operating profit growth to be above our annual guidance, somewhere between 9% and 11%. The additional workday between Thanksgiving and Christmas, the continued strength in e-commerce, and our strategic investments position us well for another solid fourth quarter. Looking at the segments, in the U.S. domestic, we expect strong fourth quarter results. However, we will face tough comparisons in the third as a result of one less operating day and lower workers' compensation cost last year.

Therefore, we anticipate third quarter operating profit to be relatively flat year-over-year. For the international segment, we expect to continue into the second half of the year the progress we've made with operating profit growth in the 8% to 12% range. The supply chain and freight segment is where we anticipate the current market trends in international air freight and the U.S. trucking markets to remain soft. Lower fuel surcharges will weigh on reported revenue growth. Total annual revenue growth for the segment should be around 10%. Let's look at taxes. UPS's financial performance this year clearly demonstrates the value of our diverse business.

We are embracing the opportunities created by the evolution of the global e-commerce marketplace as it expands beyond a traditional retail base. We continue investing in strategic technologies, systems, and expanded capacity, and by our execution, we are strengthening our leadership position. At the halfway point of the year, our business is responding well to the changing macro environment, and we are confident about the remainder of 2016. Thanks for your attention today. I'll ask the operator to open the line. Operator?

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, as a reminder, please ask only one question so that we may accommodate more callers. Feel free to get back in the queue and we'll take a second question, time permitting. Our first question will come from the line of Ken Hoexter, Merrill Lynch. Please go ahead.

Ken Hoexter
Analyst, Merrill Lynch

Great. Just want to follow up. Richard, thanks for the overview on the international side there and the strength you're talking about continuing and maybe some of the advances you've made. You talked about advancing two days on some of the service deliveries. What is accelerating that pace, and how are you achieving that operating margin gains?

Jim Barber
President, UPS International, UPS

Ken, this is Jim. We've talked over the years about the network in Europe. David referenced it in his opening comments. I think the key to our success in Europe has been, and will continue to be, making sure the network and the service and product offerings are best in class. That means always maintaining the network, putting the speed in, and making sure that the customers feel the benefit of that. As you've seen over the years, they have said that. Obviously, the marketplace is changing in Europe. We know that as well. It forces us to continue to re-look and reevaluate everything we do. The margins, they've always been strong. I think I'll flip it to Richard to talk to you about the margins as well.

Richard Peretz
CFO, UPS

Thanks, Ken and Jim. I do want to point out that the margin of 19.9% is very strong, and it does include that multiyear hedge that we've talked about on the call the last few quarters. I want to remind you that even adjusting for that, we're still over a 17.5% margin, which is the highest of any player in the industry. Along that route, if you recall the currency, we've been using a multiyear hedge strategy. What happened is, in 2015, you saw a lot of volatility and the euro go to the dollar from 135 down to 111. 2017 will be a transition year where we expect to have somewhere around $300 million impact for the change in the currency.

We have moved to a different hedge strategy because of the volatility has increased so much on currency, where we're using more of a rolling average, that year-over-year, going forward, we'll not see these dips if you see a lot of volatility in currency. Overall, that 17.5% is really a result of all the efforts of Jim and his folks really putting together and making adjustments in the network and at the same time, the quality of revenue that we're bringing in.

Ken Hoexter
Analyst, Merrill Lynch

Great. Appreciate the insight. Thanks.

Operator

Our next question will come from the line of Chris Wetherbee of Citi. Please go ahead.

Chris Wetherbee
Analyst, Citi

Hey, great. Thanks. Wanted to ask about sort of the comments around the third quarter of the domestic side relative to the fourth quarter. I'm guessing there's probably some level of investment that needs to happen in advance of peak season. You guys really start to shore up and get ready for that surge again. Just thinking about it on a year-over-year basis, I guess I just want to try to make sure I understand the comment around the tougher comps from the third quarter of the domestic side. Are there specific cost items that we might expect this year that we didn't have last year? Just kind of want to make sure I understand sort of that cadence of domestic into Q4Q. Thank you.

Richard Peretz
CFO, UPS

Okay. This is Richard. Chris, I think the first thing to keep in mind here is that we continue to see margin expansion. Because of operating days, how holidays fall, things like that, it's not a linear movement of the expansion of the margin. Over the year to year, we've kind of guided that we continue to see improvement and expect to see improvement going forward as well. When you look at the third quarter specifically, there is one less workday, and that does have an impact as well as last year, we had some workers' comp credits that won't repeat this coming year. When you take all of that into account, you have to kind of look at, and we did at the beginning of the year, understanding how the quarters would look.

What we saw is that we need to make sure that you guys had some transparency to understand that workday shifts some of the profit around. If you look at this quarter, this quarter, we had a good improvement, and that improvement was really driven by the operational improvements even though we saw so much volatility in fuel this year in the second quarter. We actually saw a 25% increase in fuel from April to June, we were chasing the revenue. When you step back and look at what we expect for the fourth quarter, we're going to have a strong fourth quarter. We're putting our plans in place, and we look forward to completing 2016 very much like we told you we would at the beginning of the year.

Chris Wetherbee
Analyst, Citi

Okay, that's helpful color. I appreciate the time.

Operator

Our next question will come from the line of David Vernon, Bernstein. Please go ahead.

David Vernon
Analyst, Bernstein

Hey, good morning, guys. Maybe just following up on domestic, Richard, I guess the step below sort of long-term guidance growth in that domestic segment, obviously going down this quarter to 3% and then an expectation for flat in 3Q. Maybe as you think over the course of the next sort of one, two, three years and that rate of margin change, how should we be expecting sort of that to happen to get to that longer term 15%? What do you think is going to be different about sort of next year and the year after that would let you get back to that kind of 8% growth that you guys have put out for a long-term target in domestic?

Richard Peretz
CFO, UPS

Great. First, if we step back, if you recall, when we guided this year and what we've seen through the year is we have seen some softness in the macro measures. Everything has kind of come down each quarter of this year, we take that into account, obviously, with how we think about this year. The good part about this year is even with that softness, we're putting initiatives and investments in that are bringing returns, and that's why we're able to leave our guidance right where we expect it to be at the first part of the year. That being said, we are in a multiyear process of investments both in the ORION that David talked about in his talk, as well as the hub automation and how that will continue.

All of those things are about putting together the multiyear process of where we're going to improve the margin that we laid out really at the end of 2014. We're putting those investments in. Those investments are paying the return we expected, we just expect as we get more of that integrated into our network, we'll continue to see the benefits of that. We feel very comfortable where we're at. We know we're on a roadmap for the next few years, we're following that roadmap. All right. Thank you very much for the extra color on that. Thanks.

David Abney
CEO, UPS

Okay, this is David, we're going to take an online question. This one is from Nate Bachman. As a large e-commerce shipper takes over more of his own delivery within the denser cities, does that change the density equation at all in the need to retrofit all of the regional sort facilities? How is that project progressing? What have you learned thus far in terms of benefits heading into another peak? Nate got his bang for his buck in that question. I will start and address the first part of it, then I'm going to turn it over to Myron to talk a little bit about the retrofit and peak. It's not unusual for any of our large shippers to make decisions whether they're going to outsource or insource different parts of their business.

Our focus is our diverse customer base just makes it so difficult for any one company to be able to match our density, no matter their size. With our integrated network that creates efficiencies, we're constantly increasing our value proposition. We always believed that even our large customers would have more density with us than going in another direction. We feel very confident in our strategy from that regard. Why don't you talk about the retrofit and peak preparation, Myron?

Myron Gray
President, U.S. Operations, UPS

Nate, the process itself is going well. We continue to realize 20%-25% productivity improvements as we go along. Keep in mind, this is a multi-year, multi-phase implementation. You've heard about some of the cities that we introduced earlier in Richard's comments. Our goal is to automate the top tier 1 hubs. There's approximately 30 of them in the U.S. that process as much as 60% of our volume. Three of those automated hubs are in our air operation. The remainder will be in the ground. All new hubs moving forward will be built using an automated design. The second phase of it will be to go to the tier 2 hubs and automate them as well.

We feel very good about the progress that's being made. We're on plan. The goal is to get it completed no later than 2020.

Operator

Our next question will come from the line of Mr. Tom Wadewitz of UBS. Please go ahead.

Tom Wadewitz
Analyst, UBS

Good morning. I wanted to ask a bit in specific about ORION. I know, Richard, you offered some comments on kind of maybe high level multi-year productivity and so forth. Is 2017, or are you starting to see this year where there's the reduction in the rollout cost and really getting some of the cost savings coming in in a bigger way? Are you starting to see that, or is that something which would be maybe a bigger support for domestic margin performance in 2017? Then you've mentioned a phase 2. I don't know if you want to comment on that. I know that's a couple questions, but maybe just some perspective, a little more detail on ORION. Thank you.

Richard Peretz
CFO, UPS

Sure, Tom. What I'll do is I'll start off, and then I'll hand it off to Myron to talk specifically about the benefits he's seeing. When you think about the investment and when we've been on the road talking about ORION, we have talked about that later this year, we'll complete, call it, the phase 1 of ORION, and then we are investing the $ in, call it phase 2 and 3 and 4. On top of that, it's not just the investment in ORION, it's also the investment in hub automation and what that does to the network. We are using those investment $ and the, call it, the additional expense that we were using to train up for ORION in other ways so that we get the end result.

That's kind of what we talked about at the end of 2014, and we continue to talk about each year. We are investing in our network, and it's pulling through when you see the reduction in miles and things like that. The next phase is additional capabilities that will save money, and then additional features by having the hub mod, and there's some other things that we're working on as well that's just a little too early to go into. With that, I'm going to send it to Myron to talk just a little bit about what he's seen operationally with the results of ORION.

Myron Gray
President, U.S. Operations, UPS

Tom, let me start with, we expect to be 100% fully deployed by the end of 2016 with ORION. We'll continue to see the benefits that we've alluded to earlier, more than eight miles per driver in savings. For example, this quarter, we saw our delivery stops grow more than 3% on 2.5% average daily volume gains. However, we were able to reduce our miles driven by 0.3%, which helped keep our cost per piece down by 0.2%. As the volume continues to grow, our wages are growing at a lesser pace than the volume. We're continuing to see benefits, and that's phase 1. Phase 2 will actually begin in the back half of this year, well into 2017, and we hope to have this phase 2 completed by 2017, where we hope to see additional benefits from ORION.

Again, that's just one of many technology projects that we'll continue to roll out that should help us continue to bend the cost curve. We're real pleased with what we're seeing.

Tom Wadewitz
Analyst, UBS

Great. Thank you.

Operator

Our next question will come from the line of Mr. Scott Group of Wolfe Research. Please go ahead.

Scott Group
Analyst, Wolfe Research

Hey, thanks. Morning, guys. Actually, just want to follow up on the ORION question. Understand that there's savings this year, but there's probably some implementation costs. Can you quantify what the implementation costs are this year and if ORION's been a net positive or tailwind to earnings this year? And how do you think about next year given the savings from phase 1, but maybe the costs from phase 2? Any color there would be helpful.

Richard Peretz
CFO, UPS

Sure. Again, this is Richard, and yeah, we are seeing the savings, and if you just step back for a moment and look, year-over-year, we continue to see the margin expansion. The margin expansion is a direct result of all the things Myron just talked about. We'll continue to see those improvements, and it is a net positive, but we also are spending some of the savings in order to invest in the next phase and the next capability. Those are all important pieces, and that's why my comment a few minutes ago about the margin will improve year-over-year. It won't always be linear by quarter. That's an important part because we are investing for new capabilities and to continue to bend the cost curve because of the investments we're making and the plans we have for the next few years.

David Abney
CEO, UPS

This is David. Just want to stress that ORION is one of these things that it's the gift that keeps on giving. What we have seen with ORION is we're seeing benefits that are greater than what we originally believed, and that continues to reinforce itself every year. We have a lot more we're going to accomplish through ORION with the later versions and taking it to various countries. We're very positive about ORION and about the returns that we're getting. The investments that we're making are certainly worth it. All right, next question will be fine.

Operator

Next question will come from the line of Brandon Oglenski of Barclays Capital. Please go ahead.

Brandon Oglenski
Analyst, Barclays Capital

Good morning, everyone, and thanks for taking my question. As we look out, can you talk about where the pricing is falling in the U.S. domestic market and why, with this tremendous growth in B2C, that we're not seeing a little bit more traction on yields, which I think could also talk to this part or this discussion on domestic margins? Obviously, we've talked a lot about cost, but what are we doing on the revenue side, and is there ability to take more price?

Alan Gershenhorn
EVP and Chief Commercial Officer, UPS

Brandon, this is Alan. Thanks for the question. For the quarter, we achieved our 2%-3% range in our base pricing, and the core pricing actually remains firm. We actually saw a bit of an acceleration from the first quarter. Keep in mind that some of the other phenomena we're seeing out there is the offset of about 100 basis points through the lower fuel surcharges. We're continuing to see changes in the customers and product mix and specifically the package characteristics as we bring more lightweight into the business. The other thing I would say is that, we saw even with some of those package characteristics and customer product mix challenges, we did see margin improvement overall in the U.S. domestic business. We think the base rates improvements remain steady, and they will continue to remain that way.

Core pricing right now is firm. Thanks for the question.

Operator

Next question will come from the line of Scott Schneeberger of Oppenheimer. Please go ahead.

Scott Schneeberger
Analyst, Oppenheimer

Thanks. Good morning, everyone. Just curious here at the midpoint of the year, obviously reiterating the guidance range. I'm curious, looking out over the second half, what do you view as the swing factors that would put you toward the high end or the low end of the range? Thanks.

Richard Peretz
CFO, UPS

Sure, Scott. This is Richard. I think when you start and you look at where we're at year-to-date, first of all, on earnings per share, we're at about 8.5% growth in earnings per share on a target of five to nine. We're pleased with where we are for the first half of the year. We're actually right in line with where we expected to be. When we look at guidance, there's really two factors we're looking at. The first is the external and what's happening on the external measures because our volume does have some correlation, especially when you get to B2B, to what's happening with both domestic GDP, things like industrial production and things like that. They all have softened somewhat from first quarter to second quarter.

We put all that together and we say, do we have economic assumptions are realistic? How are we benefiting from the initiatives that we've implemented? We think we balance all that, and that's what we're seeing in 2016. We're seeing a nice balance where we're making up for some softness externally with what we're doing internally, that's allowed us to grow our earnings per share for six quarters in a row, and we'll continue to work those plans for guidance going forward.

David Abney
CEO, UPS

Just to add to Richard's answer, it's our investments and strategies that have allowed us to offset some of this economic shifts that we've seen in the last year and a half. We feel very comfortable about our strategic initiatives. We're extremely focused on them, it's allowing us to overcome some of those headwinds. We'll take the next question. We're doing online questions. This is from Helane Becker, is are you seeing any signs of weakness in the U.K. related to anything, including Brexit? Jim?

Jim Barber
President, UPS International, UPS

David, thanks for that one, and Helane as well. I think I get this question every day, quite frankly, over the last couple of months. I think to give a little bit of backdrop on it, I go back to, and just remind you of something here. Back in 2008, when we bought Lynx, it was our choice in the U.K. to strengthen that market, to feed the network we talk about a lot and obviously to also feed that country and the consumers. It took us a couple of years to get it done. We were done in 2010. Although we don't talk much about country-level performance, I think this question will get us pretty close to it.

I could just tell you that from the years 2010 through 2015, that U.K. operation for us is best in class in many ways that we measure our business. That acquisition and integration that took us about three years has paid dividends for many years now. Brexit, we don't see changing that for that market, quite frankly. Our job is to continue that priority, number 1, to take care of that economy and the consumers, our employees, and the shareholders, and link it into that European network. That's priority 1. The issue obviously becomes what the free trade agreement set up to be. Don't forget a couple of things, I think, from my perspective. One is, there's a number of free trade agreements in that union as well. You've got the Norway model, you've got the Swiss model, and you've got the EU model.

How it unfolds, we will see, there are various models that could unfold. We've analyzed scenarios as far left as a WTO setup all the way back to something close to what they have today. In the end, I think our priority is to advise and advocate and support consumers as the free trade agreements are finalized in the coming years, then continue to, whatever happens, support that market and the network. I think we could easily say there'll be somewhat more complexity, I think our job is to simplify the complex in a network for consumers and continue the great service. That's what we plan to do as that unfolds.

Operator

Our next question will come from the line of Ben Hartford of Baird. Please go ahead.

Ben Hartford
Analyst, Baird

Hey, good morning. Just wondering what your point of view is today on the acquisition environment as you start to lap the Coyote acquisition. Obviously, taking into account what you've said historically about acquisition criteria. Are there specific segments or verticals that you're more interested in? I guess I'm leading you into UPS Freight in particular, given some of the softness that we see in that LTL market. Do you think that that business is of sufficient scale today or are there potential acquisition opportunities in that segment specifically? Thanks.

David Abney
CEO, UPS

Okay. Ben, thanks for the question. This is David. I'll answer the first part, then you talked a little bit about Coyote, I'll ask Alan to briefly hit that, then the LTL environment, Myron will take that. From an acquisition standpoint, we have an active process, we're really looking in what I'll call just three general buckets that we're always taking a look at. First is new opportunities. New opportunities that would help us to add more value to our customers. Then any time that we can expand capability within our network. If it's something that we don't feel as strong about as we'd like to, that would be that second criteria. Third, the trade lanes are shifting throughout the world, geographic presence is always important.

Over the last few years, the emerging markets has been a place that we've put a lot of attention on. Adjacent markets, which is what we did with the Coyote acquisition, is keen on our mind. At the end of the day, whether it's organic growth or it's inorganic growth, our focus is on growing this business and at the same time having profitable returns. From a Coyote standpoint, Alan?

Alan Gershenhorn
EVP and Chief Commercial Officer, UPS

Yeah, just a quick update on Coyote. Certainly their customers and our customers and new customers are responding very well to the new Coyote and UPS combined value prop. For the quarter, we continue to see strong year-over-year growth in loads, and our gross margins also expanded for the quarter. As I think we all know, the truckload market remains soft, but certainly this asset-light model has provided some great flexibility in the up and down cycles. Then just lastly, I'll just say that as far as the synergies related to the acquisition, we're seeing some good work happening there in procurement, asset utilization, cross-selling, and then organizational synergies that are benefiting both Coyote and also our U.S. domestic and supply chain freight segments, and we're on track. Now I guess I'll turn it over to Myron to talk a little bit about the LTL.

Myron Gray
President, U.S. Operations, UPS

Ben, as you are well aware, the LTL market for the last 16 consecutive months has experienced softness. Our customer base is telling us that they have high inventory levels. In addition to that, with high inventory levels, the opportunity for restocking is soft as well. All those things considered, we believe that we have the appropriate scale at UPS Freight. We will, however, continue to monitor the market and make the appropriate adjustments and make the right business decision moving forward in terms of whether or not to expand our scale. Thank you.

Operator

Question will come from the line of Allison Landry of Credit Suisse. Please go ahead.

Allison Landry
Analyst, Credit Suisse

Good morning. Could you speak a little more to your earlier comments about U.S. consumer interest in alternative delivery methods? I wanted to understand how well penetrated it is even in the urban areas, and specifically how much you think it would need to increase from here in order to move the needle on density. Thank you.

Alan Gershenhorn
EVP and Chief Commercial Officer, UPS

Yeah. Thanks for the question, Allison. This is Alan. There's a number of things, first of all, that we're doing to improve density, and it's really part of the whole e-commerce value proposition and ecosystem that we've put in place. The UPS Access Points, UPS My Choice, the synchronized delivery solutions, and certainly SurePost Redirect, which is now at about the 30% of those packages are being redirected back into the ground network. On Access Points, right now, we'll probably finish the year at about 27,000 Access Points globally, and we continue to expand there. Yeah. When you think about bending the cost curve, I guess the one-tenth contributes to about $200 million in bottom line cost when we increase the density by one-tenth.

I guess the last thing I'll say is that we continue to be bullish about Access Points, and we're expanding the current model. As you probably saw, we invested in our locker expansion after some tests we ran last year, and we're laying in 300 lockers into the United States. Your point about urban America and urban anywhere in the world, lots of consumers out there have challenges receiving packages at home in urban areas, and the Access Points and the lockers is a great solution for them, and it also benefits UPS.

Operator

Our next question will come from the line of David Ross of Stifel. Please go ahead.

David Ross
Analyst, Stifel

Yes. Good morning, gentlemen. You talked a lot about the U.S. and also about Europe. Can you talk a little bit more about Asia and the rest of the world, and what you're seeing going on there from a trade perspective?

Jim Barber
President, UPS International, UPS

David, this is Jim. Certainly, the Asia market, it also continues to change. Obviously, the biggest market out there from a China perspective. We currently, quite frankly, are seeing very, very nice and actually momentum picking up in our middle market growth based upon the solutions we're providing to the Chinese consumer as their model shifts at the same time. Certainly, the network that we have in place has served us well for many years. This quarter, overall, I think the block hours were down about 0.5%. You saw in the early opening comments of the call this morning and the releases that the export volume continues to grow at UPS. That includes our Asia Pacific region as well as our Latin America region at the same time. We continue on. One of our big focuses out there is our intra-Asia network.

It's a great opportunity for us. We laid that in in 2010. We think it has lots more upside. We'll continue to do that and really align that as well to the emerging market strategy that David just referenced a minute ago, that we continue to invest in, and I'm confident we'll be referencing on the calls to come. Appreciate the question.

Operator

Our next question will come from the line of Jack Atkins of Stephens. Please go ahead.

Jack Atkins
Analyst, Stephens

Hey, good morning. Thanks for the time. I was wondering if you could expand for a moment on your comments around B2B trends. You referenced in the press release that B2C grew five times that of B2B, could you maybe comment exactly sort of what the growth rate was for B2B in the quarter, sort of what portion of your U.S. domestic package business B2B makes up now, and sort of what customer verticals are you seeing particular strength and weakness on the B2B side? Thank you.

Alan Gershenhorn
EVP and Chief Commercial Officer, UPS

Yeah. This is Alan. I'll take that question. On the commercial B2B side, we did see a slight increase. The good news is we've seen a slight increase the last few quarters there. It's mainly being driven actually by the retail sector and returns. We are seeing some growth in some other areas. Wholesale, healthcare, and professional services are some of the other areas, and also consumer and home goods. As you know, industrial production, as I think David indicated, was pretty soft. The B2B is really being driven now by retail and some of those other sectors that I've spoken about. I think our investments really in some of these sectors, including healthcare, are helping us to gain share in that particular area, so kind of outrun the economic challenges. Lastly, our B2C business is about 45% of our business today.

Operator

Okay, the next question will come from online, the question, and this was from the buy side, is, do you see any long-term opportunities to expand streamlined delivery routes with the ride-sharing programs? Alan?

Alan Gershenhorn
EVP and Chief Commercial Officer, UPS

Thanks, David. Yeah. I think, again, everyone knows on the call that we made a strategic enterprise fund investment a few quarters back in a company named Deliv, which is a retail-to-consumer, same-day, B2C delivery company that actually uses the excess capacity out there in the market with people that have vehicles that want to participate in that program, similar to what's happening on the ride sharing part of the economy there. They're a leader in this new space, and we're excited to learn more from that. The other thing I would say is that Coyote is really a technology platform that's doing the same thing. It's matching up excess capacity in the marketplace from thousands upon thousands of carriers that have back haul excess capacity, and we're providing a similar service with Coyote.

We're excited about that in the heavier truckload type business as well as for the prospects potentially on the pickup and delivery side.

David Abney
CEO, UPS

Thank you.

Operator

Our next question will come from the line of Kelly Dougherty of Macquarie. Please go ahead.

Kelly Dougherty
Analyst, Macquarie

Good morning, guys. Thanks for taking the question. Just wanted to think about the U.S. domestic volume growth. Obviously, things like Prime are driving demand for more premium products, but would love to get some insight on how other retailers are pursuing e-commerce, if they're offering free shipping on some or all spending levels. Do you expect that'll show up more in your deferred offerings, though that certainly didn't seem to be the case this quarter? Just trying to get a sense of what you think the volume and maybe the revenue mix will be as e-commerce grows.

Alan Gershenhorn
EVP and Chief Commercial Officer, UPS

This is Alan. A couple of points on your question. First, the holiday offerings here in July were pretty widespread amongst a whole number of retailers, and I think we'll see more and more of that certainly in this summer timeframe, but also in other parts of the year to drive growth in the e-commerce sector for these retailers, which is critically important for them. Certainly, the e-commerce growth drives significant growth in our ground business and in our SurePost business. On the overnight and deferred side, mainly in the Saver and the 2nd Day Air business. The key here is that we've got this great portfolio, so when the customer absolutely has to have it, they're usually willing to pay for that. We have the full gamut of services to get those goods to them when they want it.

We have the more economical alternatives, along with some of the other value adds like UPS Access Point, UPS My Choice, and Omni Channel that really drive those retailers and those consumers to UPS. Thanks for the question.

Operator

Our next question will come from the line of Rob Salmon of Deutsche Bank. Please go ahead.

Rob Salmon
Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Hey. Thanks for taking the time. I guess this is piggybacking on Kelly's question. Can you walk us through some of the factors that were impacting U.S. domestic package deferred volume and yield trends? Which have diverged a little bit from the rest of the U.S. domestic portfolio, with volumes down a little bit, but yields up year-over-year. If you could specifically address if we're seeing the impact of any large customers changing their delivery methodologies that are impacting deferred trends.

Alan Gershenhorn
EVP and Chief Commercial Officer, UPS

This is Alan. I'll take that. First, our premium Next Day Air products grew at nearly 6%, and the Ground was up more than two. Certainly our customers are responding to the continual expansion of our Next Day Air, our Next Day Early service to more postal codes. In fact, all of our Next Day Air services experienced growth. On the other hand, Saver, Ground, and SurePost, and certainly Deferred are focused more on the e-commerce and retail customers. On the deferred side, you really need to look at it on a two-year stack basis. We almost grew 15% following strong double-digit growth in 2015. Thanks for the question.

Operator

The last question in queue at this time will come from the line of Ravi Shanker of Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.

Ravi Shanker
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Thanks for squeezing me in here, I'm going to try and squeeze in two follow-ups if I can. The first one is on 2017. Between the FX hedges rolling off and the Ground growth costs, do you think EBIT can be higher in 2017 versus 2016? The second question is on Amazon. Do you feel like your delivery share with them has held constant, or is it up or down in the last 12 months? Thanks.

Richard Peretz
CFO, UPS

Ravi, this is Richard, I'll start with the first question on the guidance for 2017. I think the important thing is we have said that as we move forward, we have continued initiatives that will continue to improve the operating margin. That being said, obviously different segments, things will happen, growth rates might have to be adjusted. It's a little bit early to talk about exactly what's going to happen, that's really because there's a lot of things going on in volatility of currency too. The year is, here we are end of July. We have time still and if you tell me where in November the dollar/euro is or the sterling/dollar That will be a lot about the story of how much variation. That's why we say the plus or minus numbers. The important thing is that we have a plan.

It will improve by segment. Our first priority is to reinvest in this business because of the strength of the company. We continue to deliver the highest ROIC and the highest margins in the business, and our plan is to continue to do that. We will continue to do that while at the same time, having dividends of over 3% or around 3%. As we get closer to 2017, I'll guide you appropriately. We are in the middle of putting all those plans together. Your second question around the percentage of our share of any one customer is something that we obviously continue to win customers based on our strategy to win customers. We don't comment any one customer, but you can see our volume growth for the U.S. was up about 2.5%. You adjust for fuel, we saw revenue growth about 3.4%.

It was a strong quarter. We laid out for you how we think the fourth quarter is going to look, and that's another strong quarter, and we're going to end up delivering on the guidance numbers that we gave you at the beginning of the year. I think that's the most important thing.

Scott Childress
VP and Investor Relations Officer, UPS

Thank you.

David Abney
CEO, UPS

Okay, we have one last question, and this is an online question from Tyler Brown. It's about return logistics, reverse logistics, and kind of two-part. Could you talk about what kind of growth rates you're seeing in return volumes? Talk a little bit about our capabilities on this front, and do we need to do something to add to our capabilities? Alan, if you'd take that.

Alan Gershenhorn
EVP and Chief Commercial Officer, UPS

Thanks for the question, Tyler. As I said earlier, returns growth has been strong. It's in the mid-teens, and as you all know, returns is very good business for us because customers tend to drop those packages off. We have high-density pickups at those drop-off locations and then high-density deliveries back to the retailers. UPS has some of the most technology-advanced transportation return services with things like returns on the web, RS1, RS3, print label return. When it comes to label generation, shipping, tracking, visibility, enabling speedy refunds for the consumers for customer experience, we've got some of the best returns solutions in the business. Combine that with The UPS Stores, the UPS Access Points, the lockers, the other alliance partners, UPS drop boxes. There are millions of packages being returned or being delivered to those drop-off locations, casting that wide net.

Again, I just tie that back to the whole e-commerce ecosystem that we have that really benefits retailers and consumers and makes UPS the e-commerce transportation company of choice. Thanks for the question.

Operator

I would now like to turn the program back over to Mr. Childress. Please go ahead, sir.

Scott Childress
VP and Investor Relations Officer, UPS

Thanks, Steven. I want to thank everyone for submitting an online question today and for your interest in UPS. If you submitted a question that did not get answered, please reach out to the investor relations team or myself after the call. I'll turn the call to David for his closing comments. David?

David Abney
CEO, UPS

Okay, UPS performed well in the second quarter. We expanded our margins in our international and in our domestic small package business. Very importantly, we're investing today to ensure our future performance. We're at the halfway point of the year. To UPSers, this is halftime, and we've had a good first half. We were on plan, it's very important and we're all committed to our plans and confident in our 2016 guidance. On behalf of the 435,000 UPSers around the world, thank you for your time today. For all of you, thank you for investing in UPS. Thank you very much.

Operator

That does conclude our call. Have a wonderful day. You may now disconnect.