Urban Outfitters, Inc. (URBN)
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Earnings Call: Q3 2015

Nov 17, 2014

Speaker 1

Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Urban Outfitters Third Quarter Fiscal 2015 Earnings Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen only mode. Later, we will conduct a question and answer session and instructions will follow at that time. Please do not queue for the Q and A portion of this call until announced. Anyone doing so prematurely will be deleted from the queue.

As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. I would now like to introduce Ona McCullough, Director of Investor Relations. Ms. McCullough, you may begin.

Speaker 2

Good afternoon, and welcome to the URBN 3rd quarter fiscal 2015 conference call. Earlier this afternoon, the company issued a press release outlining the financial and operating results for the 3 9 month period ending October 31, 2014. The following discussions may include forward looking statements. Please note that actual results may differ materially from those statements. Additional information concerning factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from projected results is contained in the company's filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

We will begin today's call with Frank Conforti, our Chief Financial Officer, who will provide financial highlights for the Q3. Richard Hayne, our Chief Executive Officer, will then comment on our broader strategic initiatives. Following that, we will be pleased to address your questions. As usual, the text of today's conference call, along with detailed management commentary, will be posted to our corporate website at www.urbanoutfittersinc.com. I'll now turn the call over to Frank.

Speaker 3

Thank you, Oona, and good afternoon, everyone. I will start my prepared commentary discussing our fiscal year 2015 Q3 results versus the prior comparable quarter. Then I will share our thoughts concerning the remainder of the year. Total company sales for the quarter increased by 5% to a 3rd quarter record of $814,000,000 This increase was driven by a $34,000,000 increase in non comparable store sales, opening 14 net new stores and a 26% jump in wholesale segment sales. Retail segment comp rate was minus 1% for the quarter.

Within our retail segment comp, the direct to consumer channel continued to outperform stores posting positive gains at all brands. The direct to consumer sales growth was driven by increases in average order value and site visitors, which includes web, mobile and mobile apps. Negative store comp store sales resulted from decreased transactions and units per transaction, which were partially offset by higher average unit selling prices. By brand, our retail segment comp rate increased by 15% and 2 percent at Free People and Anthropologie Group respectively and declined 7% at Urban Outfitters. Free People Wholesale delivered another strong quarter as sales surged 26% to $63,000,000 These results came from double digit sales growth at department stores and specialty stores domestically and strong international growth.

Gross profit for the quarter decreased by 3% as compared to the prior comparable quarter to $284,000,000 Gross profit rate declined by 2 95 basis points to 34.8%. The deleverage occurred primarily due to lower initial merchandise markup followed by higher markdowns at the stores and store occupancy expense deleverage due to negative store comp net sales, which were all primarily driven by the poor performance at the Urban Outfitters brand. Total SG and A expenses for the quarter increased by 11% to $207,000,000 Total SG and A as a percentage of sales deleveraged by 128 basis points to 25.4%. The SG and A deleverage was primarily due to increased marketing and technology expenses, which were used to drive higher direct to consumer traffic. SG and A at the Urban Outfitters brand in North America grew less than 2% during the quarter.

Operating income for the quarter decreased by 27% to $76,000,000 with operating profit margin deleveraging by 423 basis points to 9.4%. Net income was $47,000,000 or $0.35 per diluted share. Turning to the balance sheet. Inventory increased by 15% to $467,000,000 The growth in inventory was primarily related to the acquisition of inventory to stock new and non comp stores as well as the comp retail segment. Comparable retail segment inventory increased by 8% at cost, while decreasing 7% in units.

We ended the quarter with $358,000,000 in cash and marketable securities. During the quarter, the company repurchased and retired 184,000 common shares for approximately $7,000,000 We have 6,100,000 shares remaining on our May 27, 2014 Board of Directors authorization to repurchase 10,000,000 shares. As we look forward to the Q4 of fiscal year 2015, it may be helpful for you to consider the following. We are planning to open approximately 35 to 40 new stores for the year. For the Q4 by brand, we are planning approximately 4 new Urban Outfitters stores globally, including 1 new European store and 6 newer Anthropologie stores globally, including 1 new European store.

Due to the current store performance at the Urban Outfitters brand, we believe it is likely that 4th quarter gross profit margin will continue to deleverage on a year over year basis. This gross profit margin deleverage could be similar to the first half of fiscal year twenty fifteen. If this deleverage occurs, it would primarily be due to lower merchandise margins and store occupancy expense deleverage and could occur despite continued sales and profitability momentum at the Anthropologie and Free People brands. We are planning for SG and A to grow at a low double digit rate for the final quarter of the year. This increase would be driven by increases related to direct and selling support expenses to support our new store growth and continued investments in technology and marketing expenditures utilized to further customer acquisition and retention efforts.

Capital expenditures for fiscal year 2015 are planned at approximately $215,000,000 to $235,000,000 driven primarily by a new fulfillment center in Gap, Pennsylvania and the expansion of our home office and new stores. Our fiscal year 2015 annual effective tax rate is planned to be approximately 36.5%. As we look forward to fiscal year 2016, we are excited about many of our ongoing and new initiatives. We will continue to invest in technology, specifically around web, mobile and omni capabilities and the opening of our new fulfillment center in Gap, PA. Within the brands, we will continue to invest in product category growth such as Shoes at Free People, Home at Anthropologie and Beauty at Urban Outfitters.

We will also continue to enhance our marketing and imagery capabilities across all of our brands. We look forward to opening our first large format Anthropologie and our first Free People store in Europe. We are excited about the many opportunities for Free People to continue their strong international growth. We are planning to moderate our Urban brand store growth in North America and Europe. In order to increase the Urban Aptors brand profitability, we are taking steps to reduce their base SG and A spend and improve their product margins.

The fiscal year 2016 plans are not finalized yet and we will have more commentary on our plans on our next call in March. As a reminder, the foregoing does not constitute a forecast, but is simply a reflection of our current views. The company disclaims any obligation to update forward looking statements. Now it is my pleasure to pass the call over to our Chief Executive Officer, Dick Hain.

Speaker 4

Thank you, Frank, and good afternoon, everyone. Let me say at the outset that URBN's overall performance in this year's Q3 was subpar. Disappointing results at the company's namesake brand, Urban Outfitters, deflated what otherwise would have been a powerful company performance. And while we had many successes in the quarter, total performance namely a 9.4% operating profit is well below our historic norm and certainly less than what we know our brands are capable of producing. It is obvious that the environment surrounding apparel retailing over the past year has been challenging.

Many brands have struggled. A few have delivered fair results and very, very few have showed strength. We are pleased that 2 of our brands Anthropologie and Free People continue to be amongst the strongest performers in the market. So let me begin with an overview of the total company in the Q3. Frank has already given most of our total URBN stats, so I won't repeat them here.

But I would like to elaborate on our results by channel. I think it's important to note the significant divergence across our channels and speculate on what it means. In general, direct to consumer performed very well, while stores fared more poorly. The Free People wholesale channel continued to produce amazing sales gains. First, let me discuss the stores.

Total store comps in the quarter were negative. This was driven by lighter store traffic, which resulted in fewer transactions. AUR was positive, while the units per transaction were down. For some reason, which we can't explain, September was a particularly poor month, but happily October improved from the September level. Total comp store sales and transactions were down in both North America and Europe.

In North America, the West Coast stores performed better than those in the East. And in total, we were slightly more promotional in the stores this year than in last year's Q3. This increase was driven entirely by store promotions at the Urban brand. As Frank pointed out, negative comps caused total occupancy cost to deleverage and store expenses as a percent of sales to increase. Inventories at the end of the period were heavier than we would like at the Urban brand, but were well controlled at the other two brands.

In contrast to store performance, the direct to consumer businesses in Q3 delivered strong double digit sales increases and robust traffic gains. DTC transactions increased and produced excellent full price sell throughs across all brands and product categories. Compared to the same period last year, DTC required fewer promotions to drive these sales gains. The ongoing customer shift from desktop to mobile continued during the quarter with total mobile sessions increasing by 38% over Q3 last year. Even though mobile sessions tend to convert at a lower rate than desktop sessions, our overall DTC conversion rate rose slightly.

This is largely due to the growing popularity of our brand's mobile apps, which tend to convert at roughly twice the rate of other mobile sessions. Total Retail segment sales increased by 4% in the 3rd quarter, while the Free People wholesale segment continued its stellar growth with Q3 sales jumping 26% above last year's level. Wholesale produced strong gains both domestically and internationally with specialty, department and e commerce stores all showing significant increases. So what have we learned? Clearly, the consumers' growing affinity for direct to consumer shopping has somewhat tempered her need to shop in stores.

Physical shopping trips, particularly to undifferentiated malls are becoming less frequent. DTC is more efficient. It allows her to browse more products from many different sources faster, see outfits and styling more clearly and engage others as part of the social network. She is willing to pay for these advantages, but expects consistent quality and prompt service. And what does this mean for stores?

Obviously, it raises the bar for bricks and mortar stores. It's no longer sufficient to build a store, stock it with tables and racks of wares and open for business. The store experience must become a performance with the energy and precision of a Broadway play. We must permeate the stores with creativity and offer service when and to the degree the customer wants it. Of course, it means offering all the omni bells and whistles they want, like in store pickup, same day delivery and mobile point of sale.

And all of this must be done every hour of every day the store is open. I see this as an exciting opportunity to reinvent the store and the store experience to complement the online experience not compete with it. As a company, this is exactly what we are working on. And for those of you who attended our Investor Day in September, you were able to see and experience our ideas for a larger and more compelling Anthropologie store. Now returning to our Q3 results, let me give you some color by brand.

First is Anthropologie. The Anthropologie brand delivered solid retail segment comp growth, which along with non comp sales resulted in record 3rd quarter revenues. The quality of the sales was excellent as the brand set a new record for merchandise margins in the quarter. This is on top of record merchandise margins achieved in Q3 of the previous year as well. The Anthropologie brand continues to succeed in emotionally engaging its customers, while delivering strong financial results.

During the quarter, the brand also made progress on many of their strategic growth initiatives. They successfully launched the Anthro Gift Registry with over 3,000 customers registering in a little over a month with a total registry value in excess of $5,000,000 As expected, weddings drove the majority of registries, but almost 20% of those signing up were for non wedding events. They also mailed a Home Journal, which introduced the customer to an expanded Anthropologie Home assortment. Response to the journal was overwhelmingly positive and many items sold out within days. The results definitely strengthen our confidence in the strategy of category expansion that David unveiled during our recent Investor Day.

The brand successfully opened 6 new stores during the quarter, 5 in North America and 1 in the U. K. In addition, Anthropologie opened its 1st concession in Paris in the Galleries Lafayette department store. This marks the brand's first foray into Continental Europe. Early results have been encouraging and leave us excited about the potential for additional concessions in France and other countries.

And finally, they began the integration of Terrain into the Anthropologie Group. As a way of introducing the Anthro customer to the Terrain brand, the upcoming Anthropologie holiday gift catalog will feature a full page of the Terrain products. I want to thank David and his team for delivering another strong quarter and making wonderful progress on Anthropologie's strategic growth initiatives. I also want to congratulate the Anthro team on winning the Reagan's 2014 Grand Prize for Best Content Marketing Strategy. As the publisher said, Overall, we haven't seen many content marketing strategies that hit all the right notes, are planned so meticulously and are executed with such class and style.

Those are very nice words indeed coming from a recognized marketing expert. Now Anthropologie was not alone with successes in the quarter. The Free People brand produced yet another outstanding quarterly performance with both sales and operating profit reaching new highs. This feat is more impressive given the extremely difficult comparisons established over the prior 2 years. All channels excelled in the quarter.

The Retail segment produced a comp increase of 15% and Wholesale grew by 26%. During the quarter, the brand celebrated the opening of its 100 and Free People store and total revenue growth at the brand exceeded 25% for the 10th consecutive quarter. Free People has done an outstanding job in executing its strategy of expanding product categories. Footwear continued to gain momentum across all channels and is performing well above plan. And the intimates category drove especially strong revenue growth during the quarter.

However, of all the Free People initiatives, international expansion is delivering the fastest growth. During the quarter, revenues from Asia increased by more than 100%, driven by strong sales in Japan, Hong Kong and now China. In October, Free People Wholesale in partnership with the Hong Kong based IT Group launched their first Free People shop in shop inside Mainline China. Plans are to open 4 more shop in shops with the IT Group next year, 2 in Mainland China and 2 in Hong Kong. In Europe, Free People's 3rd quarter revenues grew by more than 200%, driven by successes in the U.

K. And Germany. As is true in Asia, the European customer is just beginning to become familiar with the lifestyle it represents. We believe as brand awareness and product demand multiply as they did in the Q3, Free People will become a premier global lifestyle brand enabling it to expand all these channels of distribution around the world. I extend my congratulations to Meg and her team for delivering another terrific quarter.

Additionally, I would like to congratulate the Free People store design and merchandising team that recently won the coveted VMSD Excellence in Visual Merchandising Award for 2014. Now finally, let me discuss results at the Urban Outfitters brand. As I mentioned earlier, the Urban brand contributed far less to our overall profitability than we have come to expect given its historic performance levels. Some of this shortfall I attribute to market conditions, some to the fashion cycle, but some is definitely a result of poor execution. Let me explain.

Urban's total retail segment comp sales decreased by 7% in the quarter. On a total retail basis, average selling price was up. Units per transactions were down slightly, but total transactions were down. Looking deeper, once again, we see that it was a tale of 2 channels. The Urban customer shopping electronically responded very nicely to Urban's fashion offerings and price points.

The brand's online marketing was far superior relative to last year. Traffic was up as was the average order value. Urban's mobile app called Urban ON grew its number of users by more than 150% in the Q3 over the corresponding quarter last year. Most importantly, full price sales including full price apparel were strongly positive. This isn't business that Urban bought through markdowns and promotions.

As a matter of fact, markdowns in the DTC channel were actually lower in the Q3 and we saw no price resistance to higher price merchandise. The story in the stores couldn't have been more different. Traffic was down and transactions were down. The sales penetration of accessories, intimates and home products grew, while apparel shrank. This change in mix is partly responsible for an overall drop in merchandise margins.

That combined with lower IMUs, higher markdowns and occupancy deleverage caused by negative comp store sales caused significant deterioration in gross margins in the quarter. A number of these store issues were self inflicted. Obviously, the Urban team controls IMU and they are making adjustments going forward to bring it back to historic levels. The team did a poor job of designing the architecture of the store buy and creating different assortments for different type stores. In the Women's Apparel area, there were too many redundant styles and the buy was not properly distorted.

The result was that many of our stores were needlessly over assorted and PC, which made the shopping experience more difficult and less appealing. The merchant and planning teams are working diligently to resolve these problems. Clearly, the teams still have work to do and it may take more quarters to fix, but they also have made significant progress. The fashion offering and the imagery and marketing are much better than last year. For this reason, even though I'm disappointed in many aspects of the team's execution, I'm actually much more confident in the brand's position today than last year at this time.

The most positive sign in my opinion is that the Urban customer is back. She's definitely online and she's buying, but she's also coming back into the stores, perhaps a little less regularly than in prior years. But unlike last year, our hip young adult customer is shopping in the stores once again. The teams now need to execute and align the stores, so they are telling the same compelling stories as direct and telling them with clarity, conviction and creativity. I want to thank Ted and Meg and their teams for the many, many extra hours they have worked to get this turnaround underway.

Repositioning a brand is never easy and rarely without pain. I believe the Urban brand is making the necessary changes that will allow it to more fully engage its traditional customer and return to solid profitability. Now before I turn the call over for your questions, I would like to announce the retirement of a senior member of our executive team and a good friend of mine, Glenn Bozzi. Glenn, who currently serves as the company's General Counsel and Secretary, plans to retire effective June 15, 2015. Mr.

Badzi, who is 62 years old, has overseen leasing and general corporate matters since joining the company in 1997. He is credited with making many contributions to the success and growth of the company during his 17 year tenure and has been an invaluable adviser to me. I thank you, Glenn, and I wish you and Linda the very best in your retirement years. In addition, I want to recognize and thank our 22,000 associates worldwide, including all of our teams in Europe and our shared service teams. I thank our wholesale partners, domestic and abroad and our many vendors and suppliers.

Lastly, I extend my thanks to our many shareholders for their continued support. I am grateful for the opportunity to lead the URBN community. Thank you. And I will now turn the call over for your questions.

Speaker 1

Thank Your line is open.

Speaker 5

Good afternoon, everybody. And Glenn, congratulations on the retirement. Dick, I was wondering if you can talk about the ongoing dynamics that you talked about between brick and mortar and DTC. Does it philosophically make you rethink the store count potential for either UO or Anthropologie both domestically and abroad? Thank you.

Speaker 4

Thanks, Adrian. Well, you know that we have said 200 to 250 both urban and anthropology stores in North America and we sure are starting to bump up against that upper limit. And so I don't think I'm going to have to rethink too much. Naturally, we would have started to slow the number of stores that we are opening per year. You know since you were here in September that we do have a plan especially for the Anthropologie brand of increasing the size of each store.

And we still are very bullish on that plan. But as far as decreasing the store count since we're already about 200, I don't think it makes a heck of a lot of sense.

Speaker 1

Thank you. Our next question is from Kimberly Greenberg of Morgan Stanley. Your line is open. Great.

Speaker 6

Thanks so much. Dick, the comments you made about the Urban Outfitters e commerce business left me with the impression that your e commerce business at Urban is positive. I know it's all getting mixed between the channels at this point, but is that a sort of fair takeaway? And what maybe you can help us understand the timeline that you think is possible or achievable in terms of translating the story that the Urban team is able to tell online to in store and when we might see that show up in the store financials? Thanks.

Speaker 4

Sure, Kimberly. Thank you very much. It is indeed correct that the direct to consumer business at the Urban brand in the 3rd quarter was positive. And I would go even further and say that the apparel division, the women's apparel division was positive and actually very strong in full price merchandise. So we're very pleased with that.

We are obviously trying to get our arms around the difference between the store and the online experiences. And I think that the biggest thing that we have come up with and think has to be fixed is just the clarity with which the in store assortments are planned, the conviction with which the buyers and merchants place their buys, meaning how they distort the buys. And then to a lesser degree, the creativity that is employed in the stores themselves. Of course, there could be some other issues like the amount of service that's in the stores might not be appropriate. I think you know from covering this for so long that Urban has always felt that the Urban customer wanted to sort of be left alone when they come into the store and that may no longer be appropriate.

So we are addressing a bunch of these things and are going to make some changes in the way we do things and would hope to start to see some of these results next year. And we're very bullish on trying to get things turned into the 3rd Q4 of next year.

Speaker 1

Thank you. Our next question is from Lorraine Hutchinson of Bank of America. Your line is open.

Speaker 5

Thank you. Good afternoon.

Speaker 4

Good afternoon.

Speaker 5

Did all brands pick up in October? And can you give us a little bit of color on what drove that improvement?

Speaker 4

Yes. They all picked up in the month of October. As I said in my prepared remarks, September seemed to be an anomaly. August was reasonably strong and then September all brands had a problem and then we saw a pickup in October. So we don't know what caused it.

I'm at a loss. If you have any suggestions, I'd love to hear it. But no, we don't have any idea what caused it. Thank

Speaker 1

you. Our next question is from Lindsay Trucker Maine of Goldman Sachs. Your line is open.

Speaker 5

Thanks. Hi, everyone. I was hoping you could go into a little bit more detail on the SG and A focus at UO. What areas do you expect you can start to rationalize cost? And is that does that reflect a perhaps new view of the long term kind of merchandise margin for the concept whether it's from less apparel mix or whether it's from a lower IMU as you're putting more make back into the garments?

Maybe just some color on where you're rationalizing costs and why?

Speaker 4

Sure, Lindsay. I'm going to ask Frank to talk about that.

Speaker 3

Yes, Lindsay, this is Frank. And where we've done a great job and where Ted and team have done a great job and I think we'll continue to as we head into next year is looking at the overall spend related to the stores. And that's more specific to what's going on in the field than the product itself. This is more specifically towards controlling your direct store controllable expenses related to store payroll as well as other store related expenses. As it relates to if there's a new view on merchandise margins for the brand, that's not the case.

We continue to look at category expansion within for the brand and exactly where that shakes out for merchandise margins will depend on how each category ends up performing when all is said and done. And that will be an iterative process and that will be the same for all of the brands. But as of right now, no, we don't see any difference in where the merchandise margins for the brand can recover to.

Speaker 4

I think it might be appropriate, Lindsay, for me to just talk about the drop in the IMU at Urban and where it came from. About a third of it was a mix issue with higher penetration in the home product and lower in women's apparel. Some of it was centered around the planning and buying group buying more product from the market and that was a planned buy and the market is lower than what we do internally. And the third was in the women's apparel area because there was not the kind of distortion there was the year before, we had more smaller buys and therefore paid more for those buys and decreasing IMU. So those three things were the main reasons that IMU went down at the Urban brand.

And we think each of those three can be reversed and we are hard at work doing just that.

Speaker 1

Thank you. Our next question is from Paul Leves of Wells Fargo. Your line is open.

Speaker 7

Hey, thanks. It's Tracy filling in for Paul. Two questions. First, I was wondering if you've within the Urban Outfitters price increases you put into place, so I guess really mix changes, if you're seeing more price resistance in some categories versus others? And then just a follow-up on a previous question.

You mentioned slowing growth at the Urban division next year. And I was wondering if you thought you actually might need to close any stores. Thank you.

Speaker 4

I'm going to ask Ted, Tracy to take the first part of your question and then I'll try the second.

Speaker 8

Tracy, yes, this is Ted. And in regard to any resistance related to price, both in retail and direct across the business, we've seen really no resistance and that we've had categories performing strongly in the women's area, in the men's area, in the home area and in our accessories offer with each of those categories delivering growth in AUR as we came through the year and even more specifically as we just came through this quarter. Despite the challenges that we've had at retail in the women's business, we do have categories that have had nice AUR growth in women's at retail that have as well delivered good comp performance in the quarter. Our biggest challenge in retail in the women's area coming through the quarter really was in the bottoms piece of the business. Our tops business delivered nice comp improvement and along with that AUR growth.

The same can be said for the dress and outerwear piece of the business.

Speaker 4

And as to closing stores, Tracy, I think in my 44 years, I think we may have closed 3 or 4 stores with the exception of those stores that we relocated. So it's not a very common thing. And while I wouldn't say never and I wouldn't say that it would be impossible for next year, we're certainly not planning any and I wouldn't expect many if any.

Speaker 1

Thank you. Our next question is from Moni Shapiro of The Retail Tracker. Your line is open.

Speaker 7

Hey, guys. Congratulations on the brands that are doing well and on the DTC business, which looks amazing. Just a couple of just Ted, if you could just clarify, you said the bonds business is tough. Is that because we're not in particularly strong denim cycle and so your denim business is weak? Can you just clarify that?

And if you guys could also talk more broadly about Urban Outfitters. Are you seeing a difference in store performance between a mall store versus a downtown location versus a lifestyle location?

Speaker 8

Surely, Barney. Related to the bottoms business, interestingly, not a denim cycle, but that is the strongest piece of our bottoms mix. Actually on the direct side of thing, denim has been contributing decently as we come through the quarter. We really had a very weak pants offer. And although we had an offer in skirts, we really haven't found anything in regard to that offer that the customer connects with, whether that's retail or direct.

So it's equated to a really significant shortfall in retail in bottoms and that shortfall has been somewhat offset by denim holding up on the direct side. In regard to location type of location and performance, as we have come through this year and more specifically through Q3, the business that we're up against year had stronger performance in the mall piece of our real estate mix and that has been the weaker segment in regard to performance as we came through the year and as well during the Q3.

Speaker 4

Yes, Marni, the only difference that we saw as I said in my commentary was the West Coast stores tended to be better than the East Coast stores. And other than that it was pretty much across the board.

Speaker 1

Thank you. Our next question is from Janet Kloppenburg of JJK Research. Your line is open.

Speaker 7

Hi, everybody.

Speaker 3

Hi, Janet.

Speaker 7

And congratulations to Glenn on his retirement. Just a couple of quick questions on urban. I was wondering if, Dick, you've done any analysis of the demographic of the mall customer. Perhaps you're getting an older customer online, that customer you wanted to bring back to the brand, maybe the younger customers is or the older customers not frequenting you at the mall, love you to talk a little bit about that. And also Frank, it sounds like you're pulling back on SG and A spend for UO, which is understandable, yet the overall spend remains up at a low double digit level.

So are you devoting more to the Free People and Anthropologie brands? And can we expect that to continue next year? Thank you.

Speaker 4

Hey, Janet. This is Dick. I think that in the stores where we have some information, we really don't see that big a difference between the age groups of the customers in the store and the customers online. I can't tell you that's true of all 180 some 190 stores, but of the ones we know there's not a big difference. And I don't think that there's really I think that there's been a change versus last year.

I think we aren't getting as many young kids on either channel. But that's by design and we set out to do that. And I think we've actually been very successful at that. And if that were to be what's driving the difference in the stores, I'm actually okay with it because we don't want the young team that we started catering to several years ago.

Speaker 3

And Janeth, this is Frank. No, we're not diverting funds from Urban to the other brands as it relates to the SG and A. So there's no reallocation there. As noted in the quarter, both Anthropologie and Free People had several initiatives go live. At Anthropologie, we launched very successfully launched the gift registry program as well as for the first time in over 5 years released a home catalog which drove SG and A for the quarter.

As it relates to next year, we did provide some commentary around our thoughts for SG and A next year. We're in the process of finalizing our plans for next year right now. And so we'll have some more commentary as we come through for the Q4 next year.

Speaker 1

Thank you. Our next question is from Dana Telsey of Telsey Advisory Group. Your line is open.

Speaker 5

Good afternoon, everyone.

Speaker 3

Hi, Dana.

Speaker 5

Hi. Vic, as you think about the Urban division, how much of it do you think is the Urban division versus the change of the competitive environment with price led by fast fashion and speed to market with trend? The timeline of the back half of next year for improvement, what should we be watching for as we get there? Thank you.

Speaker 4

Yes, Dana. I know that there's been a lot of discussion around fast fashion and I think we've talked about this in the past. If you are talking about fast fashion as a supply chain discipline, then I think the answer is yes, it makes a difference and we are in the process of adapting to that change. We have significantly decreased the weeks between the number of weeks between when we start to put our fashion to bed and deliver it. So I believe very much in fast fashion.

But when you start talking about fast fashion as a price point, that's where you lose me. We think that our customer is much more driven by style, fashion and brand equity than they are by price point. And I think this is a split that is not as well recognized in the investment community as it should be.

Speaker 1

Thank you. Our next question is from John Morris of BMO Capital Markets. Your line is open.

Speaker 9

Thanks. Yes, I guess question for Ted and then possibly also Dick. Talking a little bit about looking ahead into the Q4 into holiday here in terms of product and the opportunity versus last year, both for Urban, Ted and then also Anthro, Dick or if David's there whoever wants to take that. And then just also a quick question about the home category growth as a percent of the mix. Where is that currently for urban and Anthro?

And where would that head to over the next year? Thanks.

Speaker 4

Okay, John. I'm going to take it very quickly on the last point. We don't release the penetration by category or division. And then I'll let Ted take what he sees on the Q4. And David, if you'd like to, you can give a little color on your Q4 expectations.

Speaker 8

Related to Q4 and the Urban brand, the campaign that we've put together for marketing the business, we're optimistic in regard to the traction that we plan on delivering off that program through the direct side. And I as well express my confidence that I hope that that is felt in the store community as the customer gets into more of a store shopping mode going through Black Friday into the holiday shopping season. We've seen good traction as we've turned the corner into the month of November. From October, some of the healthier business we saw in the month of October has held up nicely for us as we've turned the but I wouldn't necessarily say we were at our best last year.

Speaker 1

Thank you. Our next question is from Anna Andreeva of Oppenheimer. Your line is open.

Speaker 5

Great. Thanks so much and good afternoon everyone.

Speaker 4

Hello.

Speaker 5

A question for Frank, just on the gross margin guidance for the Q4. Just to make sure, are you guys embedding gross margin expansion at Anthropologie and Free People as momentum there continues and the entire decline is being driven by challenges at Urban? So that's my first question. And on the quarter to date trend, I guess, Ted just mentioned some improvement in Q1. What are you seeing quarter to date at the other businesses?

Thanks.

Speaker 3

So Anna, this is Frank. And yes, as we look forward to the gross profit margin for the Q4, we do believe that it could decline similar to what we saw in the first half of the year. That does take into consideration rest of the Q4 is the Urban brand will still be facing the IMU challenges that they've had through the 1st three quarters of the year as well as potentially high markdowns related to their store performance and possibly some property deleverage there. So yes, that does take into consideration all three of our brands. As I guess I don't know if Dick wanted to comment on November's performance quarter to date.

Well, I just

Speaker 4

I think it's fair to say just to follow-up on what Ted said that last year was not our best moment at the Urban brand and we're up against much easier comparisons through November and then December and then intensifying actually in January. So in that respect, I think that we would anticipate doing better against the prior year. Internally, we're looking at it against 2 years ago, because we don't want the distortion.

Speaker 1

Thank you. Our next question is from Barbara Weikauf, CLSA Americas. Your line is open.

Speaker 5

Hi, everybody. Thanks for the elaboration on the share the results of the free or the Urban Outfitters apps. Could you share the results on apps and Anthro and Free People?

Speaker 4

Well, Barbara, I did talk about the apps on Anthropologie with their registry and I'd be more than happy to share those with you again offline. And I'll ask Dave to talk about the Free People app.

Speaker 10

Yes. Hi. This is Dave with Free People. We've been very pleased with our Free People FP. Me app.

We've been continuing to see the penetration of customers onto the app away from the web. This is an experience that we're supportive of. It's depending on where the customer chooses to shop with us, we want to support it. In the Q3, we launched 5 app revisions or new versions of the app. So it's a channel that we're continuing to support technically and it continues to be a content creator for our overall e commerce and brand experience as customers continue to upload photos of themselves in our photography or their photography in our clothing.

So it's a valuable piece

Speaker 9

of the business. And Barbara, it's David here from Anthro. We've had a successful launch. We had a soft launch early on. We've had 40,000 downloads in very short order.

And like the other statistics shared earlier, we're following the rest of the brands and that conversion rates are higher and average order values are also higher on our app. And we look forward to seeing that grow.

Speaker 1

Thank you. Our next question is from Betty Chen of Mizuho Securities. Your line is open.

Speaker 7

Thank you. Good afternoon, everyone.

Speaker 10

Good afternoon.

Speaker 7

Hi, Dick. I was wondering if you or Frank can talk a little bit about the inventory composition. And the dollar seems to be a little bit higher. We assume that's due to the increased make into the merchandise, but wanted to clarify that. And then in terms of the units being down 7%, is how is that spread across the brand?

And are we comfortable that we have the adequate inventory level at Anthem Free People to support the business? Thanks.

Speaker 3

Yes, Betty. This is Frank in Forti. And yes, we believe that both Free People and Anthropologie have adequate inventory to support the business. We believe inventory was well controlled coming into the quarter. We do believe that the inventory or the inventory cost was that was up plus 8% for the quarter was largely driven by the Urban Outfitters brand.

And if you remember as we came through the end of the second quarter and into the third quarter, we had some very strong reads in the direct to consumer side of the business from a product perspective. We chased into some of that inventory and brought that inventory and funded that inventory into the stores. And the stores had not or did not perform as well as we would have liked into the Q3. So we are facing a little bit of an overhang there on the Urban Stores. With that said, please keep in mind that units are negative at the Urban Outfitters brand and inventory at retail is only very low single digit positive.

So despite the fact that the cost is up, units are down and retail is only up low single digits.

Speaker 1

Thank you. Our next question is from Oliver Chen of Cowen and Company. Your line is open.

Speaker 3

Hi, thanks. Dick regarding the strategy and what you're thinking of the Urban Outfitters brand, how do you contrast the store experience potential edits there versus product? And also as you look at product and you look at redundant styles and the assortment, is there a story there in terms of your composition of good, better, best and how you feel about that? Thank you.

Speaker 4

Yes. Oliver, I don't think that there is a story that we want to tell. I think what happened was that we just put too many styles into work and the styles were overlapping needlessly. And I believe that it caused the stores to get over assorted. And because there wasn't the depth to buy in some of the styles, there was then the PC aspect.

PC is I guess a term of art. So I think that it wasn't anything that was planned to happen. It just happened. And it's something that we have to correct.

Speaker 1

Thank you. Our next question is from Ike Boruchow of Sterling. Your line is open.

Speaker 10

Hi, everyone. Thanks for taking my question. I guess a question maybe for Frank. When you look at the Holiday on the Anthropologie side of the business, the comp is a little slower this quarter than what it was in the first half. Are you planning the Anthropologie brand to kind of bounce back to its run rate from the first half?

Brand to kind of bounce back to its run rate from the first half? Are you expecting it to kind of settle into what we've seen over the prior the last few months?

Speaker 4

Yes. I'm going to ask David McCrae to talk about that.

Speaker 9

Hi there. Yes, if you were to look at first glance at Q3 would indicate a slowing, but if you actually look at it as a stacked multiyear view, our Q3 comp rates were about consistent with what we were in Q2. And as you heard, we were very pleased with our product margins, but we believe we left some money on the table in terms of ways and how we transitioned into Q3. Going into Q4, we do believe we're well set for holiday. Our product deliveries have been full.

Our stores we believe are transitioning quite quickly. Anecdotally, the feedback from the stores has been positive around the new receipts and we believe we've got a very compelling assortment, particularly improving in the winter weight products and sweaters, cold weather as well as how our home looks. That being said, we're being very cautious about the season and we'll be prepared and have calls to action ready to drive store visits from our customer where necessary. So we have inventory to do very solid positive comp growth in the degree that to the degree that our creative and our product designs pleaser.

Speaker 1

Thank you. Our next question is from Richard Jaffe of Stifel. Your line is open.

Speaker 5

Thanks very much guys. And if we

Speaker 3

could just follow-up on some of the things that are working at Urban. I know there's been some efforts obviously at the higher price points, at the more sophisticated fashion some of the outside brands. And wondering if you could give us some good news or things to look for in the Q4?

Speaker 4

Ed, do you want to take that? Give me some news.

Speaker 8

Sure, Richard. As we go into the quarter, our initial messaging has been around the dress assortment, which dresses as we came through the spring season, May, June, July are really our big flex months for dresses and we were a bit disappointed about how that played out. We like what we're seeing off of the performance of the dress assortment at the present time for the kickoff of the season. The tops business, whereas we've had pretty strong cut and sew business coming through the year that was as well strong in 3rd quarter. That's both at retail and direct.

We've since gotten a bit of complementary business kicking in on the woven side of things. So tops as well are coming around in regard to performance through the month of October into November. I go back to the comments that I made earlier. I can't give you a lot of positive commentary on the subject of bottoms. We just aren't seeing the kind of response that we would like to see to the few things that we had in the mix that we felt had some volume attached to them.

So that is a piece of the mix that is remaining to cause us some concern. That being said, as we've come through the year and in particular the kickoff of the fall season, we like what we're seeing out of our accessory business pretty much on a category by category basis. I'd like to see us get our IMU in better shape and accessories and that we have been delivering more branded and market product there. But acceptance from the customer has been quite good.

Speaker 4

If I could just add a couple of things to that. The intimates area has been quite good as well and as home. So I think what you're seeing is in the stores, it's really a deficit that has been created by apparel and specifically mostly bottoms. And in the direct business, there's very little. As a matter of fact, there are no categories that aren't performing.

So I think there is good news there and we intend to use that as a base going forward.

Speaker 5

Hi. This is Meg. I'd also like to add that the marketing efforts for direct are significantly improved over last year and we're very proud of the holiday shops we've created whether they're single category or cross merchandising. The creative team did a great job with concepting new ways to teach get to the customer and you will see that this year for all the messaging that will happen for the month of November December.

Speaker 1

Thank you. Our next question is from Mark Altschwager of Robert W. Baird. Your line is open.

Speaker 3

Good afternoon and thanks for taking the question. Just one more follow-up on UO. Dick, just what tools do you have in the toolbox to aid in distorting the buys in the right way? It sounds like you're pleased with the direction of the fashion. So I'm just trying to get better sense of how the processes are changing to drive a better result in the stores.

Thank you.

Speaker 4

Well, the toolbox are humans and Ted will talk about it.

Speaker 8

Sure. I'd like to jump right into that because it is a piece of the equation in the urban business that over the time I've been involved with the business. More times than not I feel our crew has done a pretty darn good job there. The piece of the equation that came into play in regard to the planning of the assortments for this Q3 where it was a significant rise visavislast year in AUR, not necessarily to where we would like to be or have previously been. And the quantification of the buy in regard to on the retail side, it's not such an issue on the direct side.

We would like to have more ownership in direct where we're doing business as opposed to dealing with expense and pick pack and ship, but not as much of a issue in regard to covering your sales opportunity. In the retail side, however, we to the points that have been talked about previously, did end up and I think the women's piece of the business in an over assorted situation and under quantified even under quantified on the things that we had confidence could drive volume. So we really have been in chase mode on the business ever since the receipts started coming in to kick off fall in the middle of July. We're at a point now where we're really taking a look on a by classification basis, really the base within each individual class and how we have it financed. That is something that we have very good visibility and a lot of buy crew.

Speaker 1

The next question is from Simeon Siegel of Nomura. Your line is open.

Speaker 3

Thanks. Good afternoon, guys. Frank, given the continuing strength online, can you quantify the call out for the higher 3Q marketing and tech expenses to drive the online traffic? And then I guess where do you see normalized online EBIT margins settling in or their impact to the consolidated margins? Thanks.

Yes, Simeon. I don't want to break out the specific dollars I guess or rate increase related to the web marketing and the technology investments. But if we're going to mention them as main drivers of the SG and A, you can be sure that those are the main drivers as to where our SG and A is being invested in.

Speaker 1

Our final question is from Omar Saad of Evercore ISI. Your line is open.

Speaker 11

Hi, thanks. Dick, I was hoping to get your thoughts on the brand position, Urban Outfitters brand position, especially given in light of the history of the brand. It feels like we're going through, at least in the U. S, but I think globally too, this kind of re urbanization and re embracing of the urban city environment. And the brand is so synonymous with cool, young and urban.

How do you think about marketing and brand building around the heritage of the brand and that the centrality of the urban experience? Or is it really product what matters most and the rest will follow?

Speaker 4

Okay, Omar. Certainly product is a big portion of what we do. I think everybody knows that. But what you're talking about is precisely what we've been at work at over the last 12 months. If we go back dial back about 1.25 year, we had an awful lot of product in the stores that may have been reasonably appropriate for a middle aged teenager or even a young teenager in the suburbs at the mall in terms of printed T shirts and things like that, but not particularly appropriate for the man or woman living in Brooklyn or living in Abbot Kinney or any place else that is reasonably cool in the U.

S. Or around the world. So we set out to do what we have done for the last 40 years and that is get that customer and represent that customer and forget about the teenager and let them go someplace else. And as I said before, I think we've done an awfully good job with the product and with the marketing and the imagery, particularly those latter 2 as it applies to online of returning to the brand position that we believe in. And I think that we're doing the same for stores.

It may take a little bit longer, but I'm very, very convinced that the product that we have is going in the right direction. The product has not been even as Ted talked about. We've had a lot more problems in the bottoms area than we have in the tops. But we will get there and I'm convinced of that and we will return to that customer that we know and love for the last 4 years. And so I'm very as I said in my prepared remarks, I'm very optimistic and very bullish about where the brand is now positioned.

And I think it's just a matter now of executing and fine tuning that execution. So thank you very much. And I thank everyone for being on the call.

Speaker 1

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for your participation in today's conference. This concludes the program. You may now disconnect. Have a wonderful day.

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