Earnings Call: Q2 2019

Oct 19, 2018

Greetings, and welcome to the VF Corporation Second Quarter 2019 Earnings Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen only mode. A question and answer session will follow the formal presentation. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to your host, Mr. Joe Alkire, Vice President of Investor Relations for VF Corporation. Thank you. You may begin. Good morning, and welcome to VF Corporation's Q2 fiscal 2019 earnings call. Participants on today's call will make forward looking statements. These statements are based on current expectations and are subject to uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially. These uncertainties are detailed in documents filed regularly with the SEC. Unless otherwise noted, amounts referred to on today's call will be on an adjusted basis, which we defined in the press release that was issued this morning. We use adjusted amounts as lead numbers in our discussion because we believe they more accurately represent the true operational performance and underlying results of our business. You may also hear us refer to reported amounts, which are in accordance with U. S. GAAP. Reconciliations of GAAP measures to adjusted amounts can be found in the supplemental financial tables included in the press release, which identify and quantify all excluded items and provide management's view of why this information is useful to investors. During the Q1 of fiscal 2019, the company completed the sale of its Nautica brand business. During the Q1 of fiscal 2018, the company completed the sale of its Licensed Sports Group or LSG business. In conjunction with the LSG divestiture, VF executed its plan to exit the licensing business and completed the sale of the assets of the JanSport brand collegiate business in the Q4 of 2017. Accordingly, the company has included the operating results of these businesses in discontinued operations to their respective dates of sale. Unless otherwise noted, results presented on today's call are based on continuing operations. Joining me on today's call will be VF's Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer, Steve Rendle and Chief Financial Officer, Scott Rowe. Following our prepared remarks, we'll open the call for questions. Steve? Thank you, Joe, and good morning, everyone. VF's 2nd quarter results were strong, fueled by the continued acceleration in our core brands and platforms. Our focus and investment in support of our 2021 strategy is driving accelerated growth and value creation across key pillars of our portfolio. Over the past few months, geopolitical and macroeconomic events have caused increased volatility in the marketplace. I'd like to take a moment and address how a few of these events are shaping how we think about our business and our consumers. First, as it relates to the current trade climate between the U. S. And China, we are closely monitoring the situation and are actively involved in scenario planning. For context, about 11% of VF's total cost of goods sold come directly to the U. S. From China. By leveraging our global supply chain, we have positioned ourselves to address any additional changes in the overall trade environment with China, and we have the ability to reposition our global sourcing footprint in the near to midterm to mitigate the potential negative impact of additional tariffs should they materialize. 2nd, with regards to the recent trade agreement between the U. S, Mexico and Canada, we are pleased with the outcome. For VF, we have retained the most significant benefits we have enjoyed through NAFTA and the impact to our business is expected to be minimal. And finally, this week, one of our U. S. Customers filed for bankruptcy. As a reminder, the 2021 financial targets we laid out at our Investor Day in Boston contemplated ongoing industry consolidation and customer bankruptcies in the U. S. Market. So while the customer bankruptcies pressure our results in the short term, there is no impact to the long term growth outlook for any of our brands. Regarding the consumer, above average GDP growth, low unemployment and multi year highs in consumer sentiment are driving strong results in the U. S. Market. In China, consumer spending in footwear and apparel remains solid, thus far unfazed by geopolitical rhetoric. And while the performance of our European business has been slightly more volatile the past few months due in part to unusual weather patterns across the continent, we have not seen a meaningful change in the trajectory of our business. Let's review a few highlights from our Q2. Revenue increased 6% on an organic basis or 7% excluding the impact of FX as our growth engines continue to fuel our results. Our big three brands grew at a combined rate of 11% with our Vans brand delivering another exceptional quarter up 26%. Vans revenue growth was strong across all regions, channels and product categories. And importantly, growth also remains well diversified. Last month, Vans hosted an Investor Day at the brand's headquarters in Southern California, where brand leaders outlined a path to $5,000,000,000 of revenue by 2023, representing a 5 year CAGR between 10% 12%. Vans performance will continue to be a key driver of our commitment to deliver top quartile TSR. Momentum in The North Face brand continues to accelerate with 5% growth or 7% excluding the impact of FX. D2C was strong across all regions and our digital business delivered over 35% growth. Strong performance in accessories, seasonal and lifestyle products drove the brand's results. This fall, The North Face unveiled the Retro Noopsie jacket and vest collection, a water resistant 700 fill down enhanced replica of the original 1996 version. The launch was supported as a key pillar of our new explorers campaign and was highlighted in our first ever urban brand experience, which sold out in minutes. The North Face's reenergized product engine is beginning to drive consumer demand as the brand explores innovative ways to connect and engage with consumers. Based on our increased confidence and visibility into the second half, we now expect revenue growth for The North Face to be between 7% 8%. As a reminder, our updated outlook for The North Face includes a one point headwind from FX versus our initial outlook of 6% to 8% growth for the brand in April. Now looking at total BF on an organic basis. International increased 4% or 7% excluding the impact of FX. China increased 12% or 15% constant currency. Direct to consumer increased 13% with more than 30% growth in digital. And our Work segment increased 5% driven by balanced growth across nearly all brands. So now halfway through the year, we are executing well on our plan and making a significant progress against our 2021 strategy. As a result of our strong performance in the quarter and our increased confidence in the full year, we are raising our revenue and earnings growth outlook for fiscal 2019. And Scott will cover the details later in the call. I'd like to take a moment and update you on our recent portfolio actions. In August, we announced a significant milestone in VF's storied history. Our intention to separate VF into 2 companies via a spin off of our jeans business. Since the announcement almost 2 months ago, our management team, Board of Directors and external advisors have been working diligently toward a target separation date at the end of April 2019. We are pleased with our progress and remain on track with our timeline. We will have more specific details to share with you over the coming months. In September, we announced the new location for VF's global headquarters in Denver's Lower Downtown District. We're excited to co locate select BF corporate leaders with our outdoor brands in the Rocky Mountains. We look forward to moving into our new building in fall of 2019. Earlier this month, we entered into a definitive agreement to sell the Reef brand to the Rockport Group. The transaction is expected to close at the end of October. I'd like to personally thank the Reef employees for their hard work and dedication to VF throughout the years. The Rockport Group is the appropriate partner to shepherd the Reef brand through its next phase of growth and success. And finally, the integration processes for Icebreaker, Ultra and Williamson Dickie remain on track. While still early, we are even more optimistic about the long term growth opportunity for these high quality assets. This is an extraordinarily exciting time at VF. The actions we're taking continue to advance our journey toward becoming a purpose led, performance driven organization focused on and committed to delivering superior returns to shareholders. We are delivering on our commitments and remain sharply focused on the foundation we are setting to position VF for sustainable long term growth and value creation. And with that, I will turn it over to Scott. Thanks, Steve, and good morning, everyone. Our results for the Q2 were strong and our confidence is high as we enter the fall holiday season. We are executing well against our strategic growth plan. Momentum continues to build across our core growth engines and platforms, and our portfolio is well positioned to deliver sustainable long term growth and top quartile value creation. Now let's review our 2nd quarter performance in more detail. Total revenue increased 15% or 6% organically with balanced growth across our core brands and platforms. Excluding the impact of acquisitions, D2C increased 13%, led by more than 30% growth in digital and double digit brick and mortar growth, and that's despite fewer stores compared to a year ago. Wholesale increased 3% organically, led by continued strength in international and our digital wholesale partners. On a regional basis, excluding the impact of acquisitions, growth was balanced with both U. S. And international up 7% constant currency. Europe remained solid, delivering mid single digit growth, while Asia Pacific increased 7%, including 15% growth in China, excluding the impact of FX. Our non U. S. Americas business also performed well in the quarter with 12% growth organically on a constant currency basis. Our big three brands collectively increased 11%, led by 26% growth in Vans and 7% growth at The North Face, excluding the impact of FX. Revenue growth in our big three brands was balanced globally, with 20 percent growth in D2C and high single digit growth in wholesale. Results for Timberland were muted for the quarter. However, we have visibility to improve performance in the second half of this year, and we remain confident in our long term aspirations for the brand. Our work portfolio delivered another strong quarter with revenue up 5%. Excluding the impact of a customer bankruptcy, Bulwark and Wrangler Rigs each grew double digits and our Timberland Pro and Redcap businesses increased at a high single digit rate. And on a pro form a basis, Dickies had another strong quarter with revenue growth of 11%. As expected, our jeans business had a difficult quarter compounded by the impact of a customer bankruptcy contributing to a decline of 7%. It's important to note this quarter's results have no impact on our long term growth and TSR algorithm for this business. As Steve mentioned, the 2021 financial Thus, while we reduced our current year outlook, there is nothing that we see today that fundamentally changes our view of Wrangler or Lee over the long term. Moving down the P and L, gross margin was 50.2%, in line with last year despite a 70 basis point negative impact from acquisitions. On an organic basis, gross margin increased 70 basis points, driven primarily by mix as our largest and most profitable brands and platforms continue to be our fastest growing. SG and A as a percentage of revenue declined 50 basis points to 32.6%, including continued investments in our strategic priorities. The acceleration of revenue growth, coupled with our ongoing discipline and focus on cost management, is beginning to drive meaningful leverage and will be a catalyst for earnings growth over the next several years. EPS increased 19% or 13% organically to $1.43 per share. Given our strong results for the Q2 and our increased confidence and visibility into the second half, we are raising our full year fiscal 2019 outlook as follows. Revenue is now expected to be at least $13,700,000,000 reflecting growth of at least 11%. Our updated outlook includes a more than $100,000,000 impact from expected divestitures of the Reef, Van Moer businesses and as well as the impact of customer bankruptcy. Our updated outlook now includes 7% to 8% growth at The North Face and 18% to 19% growth at Vans. Following this through by segment and channel, outdoor is now anticipated to increase 7% to 8% and active is now expected to increase 14% to 15%. From a channel perspective, we now expect D2C to increase 12% to 14% for the full year with more than 30% growth in digital. We now expect Lee to decrease between 3% 4% and our jeans segment to decline approximately 1% to 2% in light of the previously mentioned bankruptcy. There is no change to our Wrangler outlook of a 1% increase this year. And finally, we are confirming our mid single digit organic growth outlook for work and our international outlook of 12% to 13% growth. We still expect gross margin to be 51%. And now, we expect operating margin to increase 80 basis points to about 13.5% due to slightly stronger SG and A leverage. Our outlook for adjusted earnings per share has increased to $3.65 reflecting 16% growth, and this includes the impact of selling Reef, Van Moer and bankruptcies. Cash flow from operations is now expected to approximate $1,800,000,000 with our CapEx forecast unchanged at about $275,000,000 dollars We remain committed to returning cash to shareholders and our dividend and share repurchase program are key components of our diversified value creation model. Based on our performance and the confidence we have in the cash generation of both RemainCo and NewCo, our Board of Directors approved an 11% increase in our quarterly dividend to $0.51 per share. This marks the 46th consecutive year that we've increased our annual dividend. So to wrap it up, we are pleased with the performance through the first half of this year. We have again raised our full year outlook, and we look forward to building on our momentum in the second half. We are sharply focused on executing against our strategic growth plan and positioning our portfolio for sustainable long term growth and top quartile value creation. And with that, I'll turn the call back to the operator and open the call for your questions. Thank you. At this time, we'll be conducting a question and answer session. Our first question comes from the line of Alexandra Walvis with Goldman Sachs. Please proceed with your question. Good morning, guys, and thanks for the question. I had a question on the work business, specifically Williamson Dickie. You've now had that asset for a year, and you've posted solid growth and some improvements in profitability there. I was wondering, how the strategy there had progressed versus the original plan and how we should expect that to change as we go into year 2 and beyond? Yes, this is Steve. I'll start answering your question. So yes, we are a year into our Williamson Dickie acquisition and integration. We are on track with the integration objectives and the synergies that we saw as part of our diligence. There's a lot that we've learned about this great brand. We knew it we knew that it was a strong consumer focused brand as we went through our diligence process. But what we're finding is that it's anchored so well in the work category specifically here in the U. S. But as we worked with management and begun to understand the consumer response to this brand, we're seeing a much stronger work lifestyle component anchored in Asia and Europe that we see being able to bring back across the globe. So very much on track, remain extremely confident about the impact that this brand can have within our integrated market approach for workwear, but even further elevating itself as a strong consumer lifestyle brand anchored in the work category. Let me just add on, just put make a broader acquisition comment, but I think it's in the prepared remarks, we said we expect $0.14 contribution from acquisitions, about $0.10 of which will be from the Williamson Dickie acquisition. And so that's a little bit better than what we had originally said. We're seeing that the synergies now that we've gotten in are indeed playing out and maybe a little quicker than we originally anticipated. So all good on the financial side as well. Great. That's very clear. And then our second question was on the jeans business. You explained that much of the weakness in the business this quarter was driven by a bankruptcy. I was wondering if there was anything that you could share with us on perhaps point of sale trends at your retail partners? How is how would the brand have been or the brands have been performing ex the impact of the bankruptcy? Is there anything that you can share with us, for example, on how those brands are resonating with consumers? Yes. Let me start just with the numbers side of your question. This is Scott. So a little bit of perspective. First of all, our jeans business grew 2% in the Q1. And when you consider the rigs Wrangler Rigs business, which we report in the Work segment, it really grew 3% if you think about what will be NewCo going forward. If you exclude the impact of the bankruptcy, which you mentioned in your question, that means through the first half, we're down a little more than 1%, maybe 1.5%. We expect in the second half, again, ex the impact of bankruptcy to be up by about the same amount. So you're talking flat for the year. And really bridging back to Steve's opening comments, as we thought forward in our Boston plan and as we've thought through the NewCo and the spin and the modeling that we've done, we've expected some bad things to happen in this market in terms of bankruptcies, consolidations. So what you should take away is, well, yes, this quarter, there's noise in this quarter, but when you zoom out a click and look at the big picture, we're in fundamentally the same place that we thought we were and we really this has no impact on how we view these businesses going forward. And I would just add to that. If you kind of dial back to our time in Boston together and our leader Tom walked everybody through the work that we are currently underway on to really bring these brands together from a global perspective to move them beyond being incredibly strong channel players in particular segments, but elevating them to be true lifestyle brands. And the work that's being done is probably most further down the path is at Wrangler and that's where the underlying business continues to be strong. We see strength in our Western business in the new modern component, the outdoor segment that's new and growing very nicely, the Wrangler rig section that's committed to the outdoor or the work consumer extremely well. But some really good validation points for us is the double digit growth that we see in our own.com and then in the North America digital wholesale up over 30% for the quarter. So these brands are resonating very well with the consumer. We're navigating a changing market dynamic. And I think what I'd ask is just the confidence that doing the we're doing the work to position these brands for very good long term success. Thank you. Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Jim Duffy with Stifel. Please proceed with your question. Thank you. Good morning, guys. Good morning. Prepared remarks did well to address a lot of the common questions. Thanks for that. Good to hear. Big picture question on The North Face and then a question on the numbers. For The North Face, the European revenues have been very strong even against double digit constant currency growth a year ago, presumably a reflection of some of Arnie's groundwork. Can you talk about positioning of the brand in Europe, some of the factors and very committed to making sure that that foundation is and very committed to making sure that that foundation is strong and that we're bringing the right level of new product innovation and marketing to pull through in those key wholesale partners as well as our own store. Where we've seen really nice growth and we've talked about this previously is more of that mountain lifestyle component, the more contemporary logoed sportswear pieces that are taking their influence from that the mountain sports category, the influence that that's having on urban exploration component of the line. And what we've seen in Europe is a brand that's moved beyond just an outerwear and equipment resource, but truly a brand that can deliver lifestyle apparel, while being very anchored in that outdoor mountain sports category. And that's exactly what you see taking place in Asia and more importantly, what we just saw this quarter here in the United States marketplace where we saw strong sell through of day packs, really good, lifestyle sportswear logo wear trending extremely well, strong retail sell throughs, setting the brand up for a really strong fall season where now you come into the wheelhouse of that technical outerwear. Great. Thanks for that. And then Scott, a lot of moving parts in the business that's likely to continue. With that, some extraordinary items. Can you just give us a perspective on the criteria you use for defining something as extraordinary just so we can have that in our mind on a go forward basis? Sure, Jim. I think pretty straightforward really, right? Non recurring isolated things related to either a specific initiative like the relocation of our offices to Denver or sale of assets transactions that we're going through and the separation then of Gene. So as you can imagine, there is a lot of fees, costs, etcetera, that are incremental to the business that come in when you have these type activities that are non recurring in nature. So our goal, I think, fairly straightforward is to try to give a picture of what is the ongoing underlying profitability of the business excluding these non recurring items. So I think in the prepared materials, you had a pretty good both in the press release, there's a table and also in we've given you some more detail around that. I think it's pretty straightforward and you'll see in the SEC filings, we'll give you a little bit more on that. I think it'll be pretty straightforward. Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Bob Drbul with Guggenheim Securities. Please proceed with your question. Hi, guys. Good morning. Hey, Bob. Good morning. I was wondering if you could spend a little time on the Timberland, just in terms of the second half visibility that you spoke to, what you're seeing in the business? And I guess just what gives you the confidence in terms of the turn of the business in the second half of the year for you? Yes, Bob, this is Steve. We remain very confident in our Timberland brand. And I think what's giving us that confidence is the work that we're doing to diversify the offer beyond just the classic collection of the core boots. We're seeing momentum in our women's business, continued success in apparel and most importantly, success in our non classics footwear, both men's and women's. The pro category continues to do extremely well and that sets a really strong technical halo for that boots business. So really confident as we look across the product categories, the work we've done in Asia over the last 12 months, the marketing that we're doing with our Ti Boulang marketing campaign has shown really strong results and great really good selling in our China marketplace. And I guess the last point would be the work that we're doing to build the strong product foundation, the integrated marketplace, merchandising strategy that will allow us to have that diversified approach here in the U. S. Market where we've got the most work to do. A lot of confidence about as we look at that mid single digit growth profile on a long term basis. Great. And I guess just the second question follow-up would be on European business, when you look at there's definitely some disparity between The North Face vans and Timberland, I guess. And just on the vans piece of it, can you just talk to what you're seeing in the European market there? Is there a weather impact on vans? Or I'm just trying to understand that 8% number a little bit better. Just is your question really why it's lower than it was in the previous quarter? Yes. I mean, just I mean, I guess generally just when you look at Europe across the multiple brands that one is a little bit lower than the other two big ones. Yes. So I'm not sure I'll try to address your question. So the thing to remember about Vans in Europe is, first of all, 9% is in line with the long term growth rate of that brand and a great result. Remember what's going on there. The group, and we talked a lot about this in the Investor Day, is really about making sure that we don't get over torqued in any one particular part of our business. And what we're seeing there is some rationing, frankly, of some of the product as we ensure that not one style or one category gets too much out of balance. But remember, we're still growing double digits in this brand, right in line with the long range growth plan. And I think the takeaway you should have is this is solid, sustainable growth that we can build on over the long term. As you think about Europe generally, Steve said it in the prepared remarks, there's some noise. It was the weather has been a bit strange there. There's some timing of shipments. But if you look through all that, our Europe business has remained consistent and strong. We don't really see any change in condition. It's not exactly been easy over the last couple of years. And we read the same things you do, but we haven't seen a material change in the condition of our business in Europe so far. Bob, I would just reinforce. What you see is just a really strong disciplined approach to how the brand is coming to life across its wholesale partners in support of our D2C. And it's an important part of that 18% to 19% growth that we've given outlook for the balance or for this full year. Great. Thank you very much. Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Erinn Murphy with Piper Jaffray. Please proceed with your question. Great. Thanks. Good morning. Steve, I guess a question for you on tariffs. You hit a lot of helpful context upfront. But when you think about the scenario planning, I think it's probably fair to assume the entire industry is doing the same just in case there are another batch of tariffs. Are you seeing any price increases in some of China's neighboring countries thus far if people are moving out of China? And then how are factories in China treating their vendors? Are they trying to make any concessions to keep business on the ground there? Sure. Great question. To date, Aaron, we have not seen any price increases as our supply chain team looks to manage our global sourcing footprint. It doesn't mean to say that there couldn't be. I think as we work so well with our group of vendors across each of our businesses, we're able to really level set production by country based on where the most favorable tariff situation is for each of those inbound sets of goods. We've not seen anything per se going on in China that would give us any concern that we're not going to be treated well or we're going to be treated better. Again, I just think it comes to the strength of our relationships. And we've been working to reduce our exposure to China for many, many years. And where you see us now at 11% for our U. S. Imports, we can lever that down if need be or we can maintain it. It's really paying very close attention to everything that each one of us reads in the news every day and the work that we're doing in Washington with our partners there. Okay. That's helpful. Thank you. And then just on the demand side of China, you talk about the market still being relatively strong. It did decelerate though just from the Q1. I think it was organic growth was 31% moved down to 15%. I recognize jeans is a lot softer there, but just curious you're seeing any other kind of brand call outs in terms of the deceleration Q1 to Q2? And then any thoughts on how you're approaching Singles Day in that market? Thank you. So I'll take the first part. Really, Aaron, no change. There's some timing quarter to quarter, but we don't see any change in trajectory in the China business overall. Right. And then Singles Day, obviously a very important day of selling there. Our teams are very attentive. I think we've learned a lot over the last few years to be very thoughtful around what products are sorted there, making sure that we're Okay Okay. And then so Scott, just to clarify though on the decel and you said there's some timing. Is the way to think about the kind of underlying run rate of China as we get into the back half is just kind of the average of the first half? Is that how we should think about it? Yes. Exactly right. Thank you, guys. Thanks, Aaron. Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Michael Binetti with Credit Suisse. Please proceed with your question. Hey, guys. Thanks for taking our questions here. Let me ask you on the gross margin for a minute. I think there's more noise here than meets the eye. And I just wanted to ask, how much do the softer international revenue growth rate on a reported basis and then plus the bankruptcies and Dickies, how much of those hurt the gross margin in this quarter and then you look out to 3Q, how those change? I guess said differently, the core algorithm I think you gave for the 5 year was 40 to 50 basis points. First half in total was up 35. Guidance implies about 30 for the back half. That's below the algorithm, but on an organic basis, you're up 70 this quarter, so above the algorithm and you have the Dickies impact rolling off next quarter. I'm just trying to think why that wouldn't accelerate more. Wow, okay. So let me try, Michael. So let me attack it a little bit differently and see if I answer your question. Sure. Thank you. So if you look at Q2, the mix is about 60 basis points, a little better than what we've said over time. And rate has been a bit favorable, and that's true through the first half, right? But remember what we said, cost is a little favorable in the first half, turns a little unfavorable in the second half. And for the year, it's not a material impact. So you'll see a little of that first half, second half dynamic on the cost side. Mix moderates a bit in the second half as well, and some of the reasons for that we've talked about. You think about the vans, we are full year 18% -ish 18% to 19% growth implies that in the second half, the growth moderates. Again, that we know that both from a D2C standpoint and just the absolute margins of Vans, that has an impact on the mix. So, and then lastly, acquisitions in the first half, we start lapping WD. So for example, in the second quarter, acquisitions was negative 70 bps. As you now get into the second half, acquisitions are essentially a push actually modestly accretive as you start getting into that lap as Ultra and Icebreaker have margins that are at or above BF average. So again, big picture, you have your mix moderating a bit in the second half for the reasons that we talked about that's implied in the guidance. You have your rate going from a little bit of a tailwind to a little bit of a headwind in the second half. But remember, the big picture there, pricing overall is moderating that. You have a little bit of timing quarter to quarter. And then acquisitions for the full year, about 20 bps, essentially all in the first half of the year because as we start lapping in the second half, you don't see that impact. I don't know if I got you there, Michael, but hopefully Yes. You almost sound like you're ready for me there. Yes, it's almost like we practice this stuff, right? Well done. Can I just ask one other? I don't know if Mr. Baxter is hanging around, but I just can't think that jeans demand in Europe really dropped 18% in the quarter out of nowhere. Is there I don't know if there's anything strategic going on now that you're looking ahead to that being a separate company or maybe you could help us put some context around what went on with jeans in Europe in the quarter? Right. So Scott is not here, but I know he would love to be, for sure. So what's going on in Europe, certainly Scott mentioned a little bit of the weather impact, and it's not like we've ever talked about warm weather, but our denim business in Europe is primarily more predominantly long bottoms and as we've come through this warm cycle. So we come in with good seasonal assortments this year. It was probably even a stronger need to be well set up with those stronger spring summer assortments than where we've historically seen a lot of strength. But I would say there's no change to our long term fundamental view for this business. And I think it's important to remember that Europe is less than 15% of our total jeanswear business. We do see consolidation of some key accounts. We closed some doors as we focus on quality within our retail environments. But really no change to our long term fundamental view for jeans wear or for our ability to compete well in Europe. Okay. Thanks a lot, guys. Thanks, Michael. Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Matthew Boss with JPMorgan. Please proceed with your question. Great. And congrats on a nice quarter. Thanks, Matt. So if we drill down on the expense front, I guess what's driven the earlier than expected inflection to SG and A leverage in the front half? Any change to your back half leverage outlook and just multiyear plan? Yes. I mean, the honest or the quickest answer to that is the revenue has been a little better in the first half, right? And that coupled with discipline and on the expense side has driven a little more leverage. And that leverage you see is falling through to the full year. And one of the reasons why we've taken our guidance up for the full year over the last two quarters. But it's also important to remember that we've said that while we're committed to delivering our earnings, we're also looking opportunistically at where we can invest to further our strategic priorities and also set ourselves up for consistent growth in the future. So we have continued to invest. You shouldn't take from this that we're getting leverage because we're walking away from investment in our strategic priorities. That's not true. But as we see acceleration top line and that drives leverage, sure, some of that's going to come through from a profitability standpoint. I mean, we're looking at mid teens profit based on this implied guidance, and that's right in line with what we said in Boston. And we're committed to that, and we will continue to deliver it. What you have seen, though, Matt, is an inflection point, right? Remember, I'm going to take you back to Boston. We talked about as the top line was accelerating through the first part of our plan, we said we're going to start investing in those key growth drivers. We're now hitting that point where we're seeing both the virtuous cycle of our revenue increasing. And while we're not reducing our expenses, they are not growing at the pace of the revenue increase and that means leverage. And that leverage is driving the kind of margin expansion operating margin expansion that we expected in our long range plan. Great. And then just a follow-up on Vans. So I guess with the exception of tougher compares in the back half guide, I guess are you seeing any organic signs of slowing at all in your wholesale order books? Or should we think of this more so embedded moderation in your DTC business in the back half that potentially could prove conservative if things ended up a little bit better? Right. So as expected, I think we talked about that we would start to see some moderation in the growth rates, though I'm not sure that you could really refer to plus 26% as a moderate growth rate. The brand continues to move along the same path that we talked about in the offices recently. The retail trends remain really strong. We think we've been pretty consistent that we're in uncharted territory here and it's really hard to call. Common sense would tell you that it might moderate, but I tell you at this point we just haven't seen evidence of that and that's what's given us confidence to raise our outlook to plus 18%, 19% for the year. Great. Best of luck, guys. Thank you. Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Laurent Vasilescu with Macquarie Group. Please proceed with your question. Good morning and thanks for taking my question. It looks like you raised annual revenue guidance by about $100,000,000 With that, it incorporates a number of factors. Can we assume REIT is $150,000,000 business? How big is Vanmoor? And then what's the incremental FX headwind since 90 days ago? And then lastly, sorry, what's the actual dollar impact from the recent customer bankruptcy? You killed me, Laurent. So, let's see, where do I start? So we talked about 70 basis points to 80 basis points of FX in the last call. We said that's about 100 basis points. You can do the math and figure that's, I don't know, another $30,000,000 or so of currency headwind that is, I guess, overcome with this raise in guidance. We said about 1 point collectively for the dispositions and the bankruptcy. I'm not going to get into real granular on the bankruptcy, but we shaped this a year ago. We said it was less than $100,000,000 You can assume it's continued to decline. So it's I'll just leave it at that, it's well less than $100,000,000 And then the other side of that, you said, what's Reef? It's about $150,000,000 annually. But of course, we have roughly half of that or so, a little more, I guess, in our year this year so far. So hopefully, that gets you kind of there close to there. But I guess maybe what's underneath that question just to reiterate the point is we raised our guidance top and bottom line and absorbed a lot of impacts, right, with the disposition of Reef and Moore, the currency headwinds. And despite all that, we still raised significantly top and bottom line. So hopefully, that was evident. Very helpful. Thank you, Scott. And then inventories, they were up 22% or 17% on an organic basis. What's the inventory growth coming from by brand or by region? And how should we think about that number relative to the 3rd quarter's top line growth? Yes. Just to clarify though, you're still lapping acquisitions. So the organic is 5%, which is pretty much in line with what we see. That's supporting the forward guidance that we see. So or stated differently, there's nothing in our inventory that gives us any pause. It's really now that we're lapping WD, you'll start to see those even the absolute nominal inventory growth will be much smaller because, frankly, Ultra and Icebreaker just aren't that large in the scheme of total VF. Our next question comes from the line of Camilo Lyon with Canaccord Genuity. Please proceed with your question. Thanks. Good morning, guys. How are you? Good. I wanted to just dig in a little deeper on North Face. I think in the slides, it talks about a shift in timing of some of the deliveries, both in the Americas and in the APAC region. Could you just talk about how you're seeing the health of the channel unfold? And how they you already talked about the increased product innovation, how that's being received well in different parts of the world. Can you just drill down and articulate how that's unfolding here in the U. S. Market and how you expect that to play out for the season? And then I've got a follow-up. Yes. Camilo, I'll start just to clarify that timing. So retail calendars of some of our biggest customers have shifted. That coupled with the general trend of demand and shipments generally moving to the right. We've seen some shift from between 2 quarters moving a little bit later. So we'll see relatively higher growth next quarter in The North Face as that shift impacted the current quarter. So all we're saying is, when you normalize for that, we see even greater strength looking forward. And as you know, this is a pre booked business largely on the wholesale side. We have really, at this point, really good visibility to the order book. And that coupled with the actions over the last couple of years that we've been talking about around cleaning the inventory marketplace, etcetera. So, we're coming into this season in a historically relatively clean environment. That coupled with our visibility to the early performance and the order book that we see gives us the confidence to raise for the year. Right. Then, Camilo, things going on in Asia, I would probably pull you up a click and just look holistically across the globe for The North Face. I mean, that's been a very methodical process to reposition this brand to its rightful place anchoring first in mountain sports, which gives the brand permission to come to life in urban exploration. The things that you see in the marketplace right now, the campaign around the icons, starting with the Mountain jacket last month, the Newsy jacket this month and really celebrating the storied history of this powerful brand, taking a very kind of new fresh approach in its demand creation, starting first with the walls are meant for climbing, very inclusive and really celebrating the diversity of the outdoor marketplace and anchoring that invitation to explore through the lens of The North Face point of view. So really strong focus on product. As we've talked about, the demand creation now coming in line to support the seasons initiatives. And what's really positive is the marketplace across here in the U. S, Europe and Asia is clean, allowing us the opportunity to get these new assortments, these new seasonally relevant assortments into retail and using that new energy of the product to elevate the brand and really return this brand to its rightful leadership position. Got it. Thanks for that. And then my follow-up had to do with the 50 basis points of incremental strategic investments in the quarter. You've done this in the past. It's worked out well. I was hoping to get some color on where did this incremental $20 or so million go into? What brands did it go to? What form? Was it digital? Was it innovation? And maybe if you could go back to the last time you did this, I think it was last year, where when did you see the effect of that, the benefits of that materialize? And I would assume that this is these are investments that will lead to the continued growth in over the next 12 to 18 months. Is that the right way to think about these investments and how they play out? Yes. I would think of it more as a flywheel. We laid out and declared, I think, pretty specifically what those areas we were going to invest in and we're continuing to invest in. And when I say opportunistically, things like demand creation, if we there are times when we want to lean in a little heavier based on what we see as an opportunity. But those areas of investment really aren't changed. Digital, holistically, analytics, insights, our D2C broadly in terms of capabilities in brick and mortar as well as in the digital and how those work together. I mean, these are the areas where we're focusing our investment. So I wouldn't say what we're doing now is just a specific finite amount of time for the payback. We're looking at this as developing consistent, defendable points of difference over a period of time, and we will sustain that investment at a certain level. What my comments again on opportunistic typically are more around specific initiatives where we see an opportunity to really lean in and accelerate. Was that specific to 1 or a small handful of brands? I didn't make that distinction, but I think it's consistently with the way that we've talked. I mean, typically, you're going to see a disproportionate amount of investment in our largest franchises as well as China, which we've declared as one of our strategic priorities. But Camilo, I'd add, the platform investments, the true enablers that sit in the back a our loyalty program, the work that Vans and North Face are doing, certainly they're the tip of the spear, but this work is done from a broader based foundation for the entire portfolio to benefit from. And just tying that back, it's a great point that Steve makes, and that's one of the reasons we see leverage, right? So as we can invest, it would be hard for any one of these brands individually to be able to afford these kind of investments. But by doing it on a VF level as a platform, then we can get leverage of those investments across the broader portfolio. Got it. Sounds great. Good luck, guys. Thanks, Camilo. Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Jonathan Komp with Robert W. Baird. Please proceed with your question. Yes. Hi. Thank you. Scott, I wanted to first just clarify, if I could, on the acquisition benefit this year, I think you said $0.14 to earnings, if I could clarify that. And maybe just ask what's behind that thinking in the second half? I think you already delivered $0.12 in the 1st 2 quarters. So any additional perspective there? What's your point? I'm not sure what you mean by that. Now remember, we're not but the first half is non comp. So of course, you're going to have the majority of that incremental benefit in the first half. So yes, you're right, it says a couple of pennies for the balance of the year is our expectation, but that is largely that largely well, it's all, Ultra and Icebreaker, which are less profitable relative to total BF, right? And since we don't fully know seasonality of this business of these businesses all that well, the $0.08 in Q2, was there anything unique in that figure? No. Okay. Remember, there's 2 things going on, right? You're delivering just the non comp earnings and then underneath that, you've got the synergies that are being delivered over the next predominantly over the next couple of years. So there's really 2 things going on which are driving those earnings. So another way of saying why did we take up our acquisition contribution from 1 quarter ago, we're seeing some of those synergies a little earlier than we anticipated. Got it. That's helpful. I wanted to ask a broader question then on going back to North Face and really stemming from the newer disclosures around the outdoor versus active segments. And if I look more on a trailing 12 month basis, I know the outdoor segment margin is quite a bit below active. And I think in the low teens in terms of the margin rate for the outdoor. Just wanted to ask, I assume North Face and Timberland have contributed to kind of a lower margin than we may have expected previously. And I wanted to get some thoughts on the outlook there and your ability to become more profitable, especially at The North Face going forward? Yes. So there is no doubt we can and will be more profitable in this segment, first of all. I just put a little historical context here. If you go back a couple of years, as we've really focused on quality of sales, cleaning up the marketplace, reducing the discounting off price, we've walked some volume. We have not seen the kind of leverage we typically seen, and we've also been investing in the future of these businesses. So if you think about where they are now compared to historic capability and what we see as the future capability, we see a lot of room to run here over time. The other thing I would say is The North Face within that is relatively more advanced, right? And it is more profitable and more and contributing more. Think about Timberland, as we said consistently, couple of years behind in terms of its evolution. So if you as you look forward, I would think of this category continuing to grow both from top line and leverage as well as margin expansion. And you should think about The North Face being slightly ahead of Timberland in terms of its profitability evolution. Understood. That's helpful. Thank you. Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of John Kernan with Cowen and Company. Please proceed with your question. Good morning, guys. Thanks for taking my question. Absolutely. A lot of questions are already answered. Just wanted to go back to Vans and what your outlook is for specific franchises within Vans as we kind of go through the back half of the year. Old School has obviously had fairly incredible growth. I know it's only 25% of sales, but when you look at the franchises within Vans, where do you expect the most growth to come from that's embedded in the outlook for the back half? Thank you. Yes. So, maybe I'll start with that. You're right, old school is about actually less than 25% of the total franchise. And if you go back to the probably the best way to answer that would be to refer you back to the Investor Day materials where I think we unpack that reasonably well, talking about the different franchises. But I'll give you the short answer to that is we see broad based growth and we always within this brand see certain franchises that are trending a little higher than others. But over time, that's kind of the point, right? It's not just one thing. There's a product lifecycle management, which shows as one is relatively stronger within where you're moderating in other areas. And over time, we've seen this engine continue to consistently deliver. For example, apparel, which is only about 20% of the entire Vans, is growing at a rate faster than the total brand growth, right? So you should think of this as being very broad based and not really driven by just one franchise. And I think specifically in the footwear area, as you come into this time of year, this is where you'll see that MTE collection that we spoke about, more of the water resistant, more winterized versions of not just classics, but you also see the Ultra series continue to grow in its importance and scale. And then I think the brand did a really good job talking about their whole focus on newness and being able to cycle new ideas through their D2C platform to find those next big levers of growth. Everything that they laid out really is just they'll be very methodical and maintain the rigor to keep that discipline in place. That's excellent. Thanks. And then my final question just to keep it within the Active segment, just on the outlook for operating margin within that segment as we go through the back half of the year, it's obviously up very significantly in the first half of this year on the top line growth. How should we think about that profitability in that segment as we head into the back half of the year? Yes, really, the impact there is mostly Vans, which is the largest property within that. And as we said, our guidance implies moderation in the second half. So you should assume that profit will moderate the second half in that category as well. Still growing, but not quite as fast as the first half. That's great. Thanks, guys. Best of luck. Thank you. Thank you. Thank you. Thank you, ladies and gentlemen. We have come to the end of our time allowed for questions. I'd like to turn the floor back to Mr. Rendell for any further comments. Great. Thank you. I hope you can take away from the call here. We're really pleased with our performance through the first half of this Continued strength of our active businesses in the building momentum across outdoor and work segments is giving us confidence that we will deliver on our improved outlook for the balance of this year. I'd leave you with that we are sharply focused on executing against our strategic growth plan and positioning our portfolio of powerful brands for sustainable long term growth and strong value creation. So you for giving us time today. We look forward to talking to you in a couple of months. Thank you. This concludes today's teleconference. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation.