Earnings Call: Q2 2016

Jul 22, 2016

Good day, everyone, and welcome to the VF Corporation Second Quarter 2016 Earnings Call. Today's conference is being recorded. At this time, I would like to turn the conference over to Lance Allega, VP of IR. Please go ahead, sir. Thank you. Good morning. Welcome to VF's Q2 2016 results. I'd like to remind everyone that participants on today's call will make forward looking statements. These statements are based on current expectations and are subject to certain uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially. These uncertainties are detailed in documents filed regularly with the SEC. Unless otherwise noted, amounts that our participants refer to on today's call will be predominantly in currency neutral terms, which we've defined in the press release that was issued at 6:55 am Eastern Time this morning. We use currency neutral amounts as lead numbers in our discussion because we feel it more accurately represents the true operational performance and underlying results of our businesses and brands. You may also hear us refer to reported amounts, which are in accordance with U. S. GAAP. These amounts include the impact from foreign currency exchange rates. Reconciliations of GAAP measures to currency neutral amounts can be found in the supplemental financial information included with the press release, which identify and quantify all excluded items. On June 30, we announced an agreement to sell our Contemporary Brands business, which includes the 7 For All Mankind's funded Nala Moss brands. Appropriately, we have classified the assets and liabilities of these businesses as held for sale and therefore have moved their results into discontinued operations. Therefore, unless otherwise noted, results presented on today's call are based on continuing operations. Removing this business from the mix impacts the P and L for both 2015 2016, and we have furnished a full year 2015 P and L, which designates the impacts. There's more detail in the press release we issued this morning. Joining us on today's call will be VES Chairman and CEO, Eric Weizmann President and COO, Steve Rendell President of our International Business, Karl Heinz Salzberger and our CFO, Scott Rowe. Following the prepared remarks, we'll open the call for questions and ask that you limit yourself to 2 questions per caller. Thanks. Eric? Thanks, Lance. Good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us for our Q2 2016 earnings call. All global companies operate in diverse and complicated environments. Yet over both the short and long term, VF has been very consistent in our ability to effectively manage our business under a variety of conditions. We're a company with many capabilities, many opportunities and great confidence in our ability to execute. This doesn't happen by luck or accident, but comes from experience, judgment and a track record of consistency. Our consistency is built on an unparalleled focus on our consumers, optimizing product and retail innovation and superior financial discipline, which together push our operational capabilities to even greater levels. This complements our obsession with a total performance based approach to shareholder return. The 2nd quarter, although our smallest by revenue and profit is exactly the quarter where consistency plays a critical role in supporting any year at VF and this year is no exception. I'm pleased to report that our Q2 results were a little better than our expectations and that our first half of twenty sixteen came in as promised. And the fact that this came in as promised gives us great confidence in our ability to deliver on our outlook for the full year. So let's dig down a little bit. Revenue for the Outdoor and Action Sports Coalition was up 2%, driven by a 6% increase in vans and 2% growth in The North Face. This was tempered by a 7% decline in Timberland, which was softer than we expected, but overall the coalition was in line with where we thought we'd be 90 days ago. Jeanswear posted its 7th consecutive quarter of mid single digit growth with revenue up 6% and balanced in both brands and in all regions, a truly impressive performance by our jeanswear team. Our ImageWare Coalition, which grew 3%, featured our fastest growing business and brand of the quarter with a mid teen increase in our licensed sports group driven by nearly 30% growth from our Majestic brand. Congratulations to the dedicated team in that business who clearly delivered for us in the quarter. To round it out, our sportswear business saw revenue decline 19%, a result driven by a very challenging U. S. Department store and outlet environment. And though we expect this environment to remain challenging, we expect this business to modestly improve in the balance of the year. In February, we said that we intended to take a focused and proactive look at the composition of our portfolio to ensure we're well positioned to maximize growth and return to shareholders. During the quarter, we announced that VF had signed an agreement to sell our contemporary brand business, which includes 7 For All Mankind, Splendid and LM Moss to Delta Galil Industries. This announcement demonstrates that our work as active portfolio managers is progressing. And while it's certainly hard to part with people we've come to know, respect and the like, we have every confidence that this talented and passionate group is on the best path for long term success. You're also aware that we're exploring strategic alternatives for our LSG business within the ImageWare Coalition. This process is ongoing and we'll update you when we have something more to report. Now back to some highlights. Our 2nd quarter direct to consumer business was up 7%, including mid teen international growth and a low single digit increase in the U. S. And this growth was balanced. In fact, on a global basis, 9 of our 10 largest brands saw revenue increases. Our e commerce business continued strong momentum as well with revenue up nearly 30%. In line with expectations, our wholesale business was flat globally as many partners continue working through inventory from last winter and the sluggish first half of twenty sixteen, trends we expect to continue into our Q3. Our international sales were up 7% overall with Europe up 3%, Asia up 6 percent and our non U. S. Americas region growing 20%. Gross margin on a reported basis improved slightly to 48.1% and reported earnings per share was $0.35 so $0.01 better than our original outlook, but in line to support our full year EPS expectation of 5% growth. Looking into the second half of twenty sixteen, with 60% of our revenue and 70% of our earnings still ahead of us, we have resolute confidence in our ability to deliver on our full year outlook. And to address head on, what some have called out as concerns, I'd tell you that, yes, we do in fact have wholesale orders in hand and D2C additions in both brick and click to support this expected growth. Yes, our wholesale order book is more 4th quarter weighted than in 2015. Yes, retailers do have a cautious outlook on winter and that too is baked in. And finally, yes, our outlook is 4th quarter heavy. Yet we are up against what is by far our weakest comparison of the year, which I'll remind you was down 1% in 2015, so math on our side as well. That said, you can expect to see VF continue to drive brand energy through product innovation and closer connections with our consumers. We'll continue to leverage the power of our portfolio to deliver long term improvements in gross margin, drive SG and A productivity and improve overall profitability to maximize shareholder returns. It's what you come to expect from VF and what we expect from ourselves. Over to Steve. Thanks, Eric. Starting with the Outdoor and Action Sports Coalition, revenue was up 2% in the Q2 driven by a low double digit increase in D2C and a low single digit decrease in wholesale. This result was about what we expected 90 days ago and keep in mind the 2nd quarter is Outdoor and Action Sports smallest quarter of the year both from a revenue and earnings perspective. So in total, we checked the box. Now let's take a look at Versus largest brands. Globally, 2nd quarter revenue for The North Face was up 2% driven by more than 20% growth in B2C, which was offset by a high single digit decline in wholesale. In the Americas region, revenue was up at a low single digit rate with more than 20% growth in D2C, which included strong e commerce results. On the wholesale side, revenue was down at a high single digit rate due to bankruptcies and an order book that is planned later in the year, which will naturally shift the majority of growth to the Q4. During the Q2, warmer weather categories including sportswear product and accessories saw significant momentum and were up 40% 60% respectively. In men's fleece, sales doubled driven by strategic shift to broaden our assortment of technical styles. In women's, newer silhouettes like the Tamales Bay jacket are also seeing strong response. And we're very proud that Outside Magazine featured several North Face products in their summer buyers guide, including our Favero 70 pack, which won Outside Magazine's Gear of the Year Award. This demonstrates that our continued focus to broaden our springsummer assortment is working. We're also supporting our springsummer relevancy through consumer experiences, like our Endurance Challenge series of trail races, which drew over 13,000 attendees across events this past spring and community workouts that we sponsored twice a week in San Francisco, Boston, Chicago, New York and D. C. In April, The North Face relocated its Palo Alto, California store and significantly elevated the retail experience through highly curated merchandising and digital storytelling. Through innovative interior sky windows, information is displayed about North Face's global athlete team, weather forecasts, topographic maps and community information. During the opening weekend, North Face Virtual Reality was featured, which is an immersive 360 degree 3 d video and audio experience that virtually drops viewers into outdoor landscapes such as Moab, Yosemite and Nepal, an innovative example in a living lab that represents how we're starting to transform consumer experiences in our own retail stores and one of many that we plan to scale in the upcoming months. Now to KAH. Good morning, everyone. The North West European business had another strong quarter with revenues up at the low teen rate, driven by more than 25% growth in DTC and a mid single digit increase in our Wholesale business. And the growth was balanced and broad based too, with double digit increases in the UK, Germany, Benelux, Italy and Spain. A great product highlight was our footwear business, which grew more than 20%. This was supported by marketing campaigns and product styles to help build on the momentum the team has been working on. Our mountain athletics collection across Europe had a successful start to the year with over 60% sell through in wholesale and a 60% increase in DTC. In Asia, 2nd quarter revenue was down at the mid teen rate, which was about in line with our expectations. This result was driven by low double digit growth in DTC, including more than 35% growth in the e commerce business. This was offset by weak wholesale results due in part to timing of shipments. We expect the region to continue sequential improvement and return to growth in the 4th quarter. During the quarter, we launched our Water Adventure series, which features sustainable products, including waterproof jackets and bags. In April, we launched our outdoor training category, which features durable, breathable materials maximized for running and training outdoors. To drive visibility in China and Hong Kong, we continue to host free outside group workout sessions led by experienced trainers. Social engagement around this effort has already seen more than 16,000,000 social impressions. Globally, the first half of twenty sixteen finished well for The North Face and we are right on track to reach our full year expectations of mid single digit growth. Now on to Vans. Vans global revenue was up 6% in the Q2 with a mid teen increase in D2C and flat wholesale results. With nice sequential improvement from the Q1, regional, product and channel performances were in line with our plan. Looking at regions, in the Americas revenue was up at a high single digit rate with a low double digit increase in D2C including over 25% growth in e commerce and a mid single digit increase in wholesale. During the quarter, Vans showed the strength of its diverse classics offering, specifically the skate high and old school side stripe styles, driving strong momentum with meaningful increases in women's sell through. This success bodes well as we look at scaling a number of new silhouettes in the upcoming seasons. During the quarter, Vans launched another exciting collaboration with Nintendo celebrating their iconic video game heritage including an extensive collection of footwear, apparel and accessories featuring Nintendo's extensive cast of iconic characters. The social media reception to this collaboration has been phenomenal and is performing well against expectations, which is no easy feat given it's up against the massive Disney launch of last year's Q2. With Vans kicking off its 50th anniversary year on March 16, the spring was packed with events across the country. In May, we continued our programming at the House of Vans in New York, which included music, creative workshops and documentary screenings. In June, the Vans Warped Tour kicked off its 22nd year, bringing music, Vans culture and fans together for more than 40 stops around the country. And tomorrow the U. S. Open of Surfing kicks off in Huntington Beach with the world's elite in surfing, skateboard and BMX reach for the podium. As a complete immersion into Vans culture, this festival wide celebration of action sports, creative expression and youth culture is about as core as it gets. Vans revenue in Europe was down at the high single digit rate, the low double digit increase in DTC offset by a mid teen decline in wholesale. These results were on track with what we expected 90 days ago as the business continues to manage through elevated inventory. With a slight decline in Vans Europe expected in Q3, we continue to make progress and expect the business will return to growth in the Q4. In Europe, Old School and Skate High were also very successful, strengthened by high impact window executions at retail. Nintendo was also a success in Europe as we integrated the launch with in store activations, House of Events launch event and wholesale specific programs. Notably, on the 1st day of the Nintendo launch, e commerce had its best sales day ever. In Asia, Vans revenue was up mid teens, driven by more than 30% DTC growth and a mid single digit increase in our wholesale business. E commerce definitely played a significant role in these results by nearly doubling its business. And similar to the Americas and Europe, Nintendo was a hit with more than 50% sell through in the 1st 4 weeks and e commerce sell through of more than 70%, driven by impressive brand activations at key stores, including our retail app in Korea. So very pleased with these results. With the first half behind us and the momentum building for Vans globally, there are no changes to our full year outlook for high single digit growth. Now on to Timberland. Timberland global revenue was down 7% with a low single digit increase in D2C offset by a low double digit decline in wholesale sales. While these results were for the most part in line with our expectations for the brand's smallest quarter, as we enter the second half of the year, we have seen higher than anticipated inventory levels, particularly in our Americas business and anticipate a more challenging sales environment. Accordingly, we're electing to take a more conservative view for the balance of 2016 as this product works through the channel. Similar to the context for Vans Europe, we are confident that this is a short term inventory imbalance versus a brand issue and we're tempering sell in for a quarter or 2 to allow inventory to normalize. Timberland continues to outperform its competition including market share gains and the brand health metrics that we track including awareness, conversion and sell through remain strong. In fact, sell through rates are healthy, which gives us great confidence that this will be a short term normalizing sometimes in the Q4. Taking a look at the Americas, revenue was down at a high teen rate with wholesale business down 20% and D2C down at a mid single digit rate. Keep in mind that 3 quarters of Timberland's D2C business in the Americas is outlet based, which as you know is a channel that has seen reduced traffic. Notable in the mix, however, was a 25% increase in e commerce, so solid online growth. Product wise, men's boots continue to be relevant with strong sell through in wholesale. Our distinctive Timberland Boot Company collection driven by a new microsite launch saw a nice pickup in the quarter, a solid validation of the brand's reach given the collections premium price points. On the women's side of the business, we continue to be very encouraged by the progress Timberlin is making. Families like the Amherst and Newport Bay drove D2C women's casual comps up nearly 30% in full price and 50% in e commerce. Contributing to this momentum, we launched our biggest spring effort ever through a partnership with Marie Claire, a program that ran across digital, print and in store, driving digital engagement up over 80% versus last year. And finally, with oil rig counts reaching an all time low in May, the entire workwear category, including our Industrial Pro business remains under significant pressure. Revenue in Europe was up at the high single digit rate for the quarter, driven by low teen DTC growth. A huge contributor to this came from our e commerce channel, where demand transitioned to Versus global digital platform, enabling faster, closer consumer engagement and more effective handling of the site. The wholesale channel increased as well by a mid single digit rate. Looking at product, after very successful SensuFlex campaign, we drove traffic through summer heritage collections in men's and women's boat shoes. With our new advertising campaign in digital and traditional media, we doubled our consumer reach and executed a seamless campaign in more than 600 store windows. In apparel, we continued our improvement of the product in terms of fit, fabric and style and did see very nice progress with our Spring 16 collections, driving low double digit growth in the quarter. So strong progress there. Similar and Asian revenue was down high single digits, primarily from weakness in traffic and spending in Hong Kong and Japan, its largest market in the region. E commerce was a large driver for the quarter with more than 50% growth, including apparel, is up more than 60% in China. In June, we opened a new workshop retail store in Shanghai and we have seen strong early results. We're taking a prudent approach to the second half and we now expect low single digit global revenue growth for Timberland in 2016. Now to Jean Square. In the Q2, our global Jean Square business was up 6% with strong growth across both Wrangler and Leigh. This marks the 7th consecutive quarter of mid single digit growth for the Jean Square Coalition. So once again, hats off to the global team. In the Americas region, Jean Square revenues were up at a mid single digit rate, driven by a mid single digit increase for Wrangler and a low double digit increase for Lee. Wrangler's mass business remains strong with a high single digit increase that marks the 9th consecutive quarter of growth for that business. The story there remains the same, a strong collaborative retail partnership with the mutual goal of bringing innovation and value to consumers. Our innovation story is stronger than ever. Wrangler Advanced Comfort, Outdoor Performance Shorts and Riders by Lee Denim Shorts and Capris each saw meaningful increases in the channel. In contrast, in a trend we've spoken about over the past few quarters, our Western specialty business was down as the oil and gas exploration communities continue to be hard hit. Lee saw excellent consumer response to the new innovative extreme comfort men's casual pant that has led to market share expansion and wholesale growth through new shelf space as well as expanded distribution. And in a nod to the ultimate blend of elegance and performance, American ballet star Misty Copeland is pictured wearing Lee Dream Jean in the August issue of Cosmopolitan Magazine. We saw very strong retail sales of Lee's seasonal products, including shorts and capris, especially once the weather turned warmer in May. In Europe, revenue for the Geneswear Coalition was up at the high single digit rate, driven by a mid teen increase for Lee and a mid single digit increase for Wrangler. Lee saw great success in the quarter, driven by positive results across all categories. A couple of highlights include continuing double digit trends in our top 10 accounts, our at once business and a strong start for our new Scarlett for women and Ryder for men products. Wrangler saw strength in both the wholesale and e commerce businesses. During the quarter, we launched an out of home marketing campaign across Poland, Germany and Italy that boosted reach and sell through for our fall 16 products. In Asia, jeanswear revenue was up at low single digit rate with a mid single digit increase in Lee moderated by a slight decline in the Wrangler business. Lee's online sales more than doubled, helped significantly by the Jade Fusion 2.0 launch. Jade Fusion also led to outstanding digital metrics and achieved a record high social engagement of almost 2,000,000 followers in key Chinese markets. For the full year, globally, there's no change to the expectation of mid single digit revenue growth in Jean Square. Now to ImageWare. 2nd quarter ImageWare revenue was up 3% with our LSG business up mid teens, offset by a mid single digit decline in the Workwear business, which similar to Timberland and Wrangler continue to by weakness in the energy related sector. In LSG, Major League Baseball Jersey demand was strong aided by continued success of the Cool Base replica Jersey as well as the addition of 3 new teams in the Japanese Professional League. In the NBA, the Cavaliers championship delivered strong results for the licensed portfolio. On the workhorse side, while we continue to see consistent strength in Redcap's automotive shop gear line, it should be no surprise that with oil rig counts at historic lows, both REDCap and Bulwark sales were down in the quarter. Given that, we'll begin to lap this decline in the second half and we do expect this business to return to modest growth in the Q4. For the full year, globally, there is no change to the expectation that ImageWare revenue will be up at a low single digit rate. Our sportswear business was down 19% in the quarter due to traffic declines in both wholesale and D2C. Revenue at Nautica was down 20% due to the same challenges we've seen in the past few quarters, including heavy discounting and promotional environments in the U. S. Department store channel, our strategic decision to license the women's sleepwear and men's underwear business and traffic declines at outlet where we've closed 7 stores this year. Kipling's North America business was down 16% also due to challenging category and channel performance. Kipling's global business was up 3% driven by strength in both wholesale and D2C in Europe and Asia Pacific. Accordingly, we're now expecting a low double digit decline in revenues for the full year for our sportswear coalition. And with that, I'll turn it over to Scott. Thanks, Steve. On our last call, I spoke about Versus diverse business model and our consistent operational discipline. This discipline provides us with exceptional flexibility to deliver our financial commitments. As you know, this quarter produced some additional noise into the mix of our year, including the announcement of an agreement to divest our contemporary brands coalition, greater visibility into bankruptcies, short term challenges for Timberland and ongoing weakness in our sportswear business. Yet, even amid all this noise, we have multiple levers at our disposal that enable us to deliver another year of earnings growth and shareholder value. So let's review our results. In the 2nd quarter, currency neutral revenue increased 1% to $2,400,000,000 By coalition, outdoor and action sports was up 2%, which is in line with expectations. Jeanswear continued its run with a 6% increase and ImageWare grew 3%. Partially offsetting this growth was a 19% decline in Sportswear, which continues to face very challenging conditions. By channel, direct to consumer revenue was up 7% with low double digit growth in our outdoor action sports business being tempered by a mid teen decrease in our sportswear coalition. Currency neutral wholesale revenue was flat in the quarter. By region, the Americas was up 1%, Europe up 3%, Asia up 6%. Internationally, that is outside of the U. S, our business was up 7% in the quarter. Gross margin was up slightly versus last year at 48.1% as benefits from pricing, lower product costs and mix were offset by FX and inventory management efforts. In line with expectations, SG and A as a percentage of revenues increased 50 basis points as we continue to invest in key growth priorities including D2C and product innovation. Our 2nd quarter operating margin was down 40 basis points to 8.6%, which included 40 basis points of negative impact from currency. Clicking down into profitability by coalition on a reported basis, we see that Outdoor and Action Sports operating income was down 9% and operating margin was 8.7%, a decrease of 100 basis points compared to last year's Q2. A continued investment in D2C, product design, innovation and demand creation pressured first half earnings in light of the tougher first half revenue comparisons coupled with negative impact from FX in 2016. We expect this to normalize in the second half when profitability returns to historic levels. Operating income in jeanswear was up 4% in the quarter with operating margin up 10 basis points to 17.3% including the negative impact of FX. The strength in jeanswear continues globally and we are very pleased with this, our 7th consecutive quarter of mid single digit revenue growth. ImageWare profit was up 3% and operating margin up 10 basis points to 14.3 percent due to strength in LSG offset by weakness on the workwear side of the business. And finally in sportswear, operating income was down significantly and the story there remains the same, challenging department store and D2C conditions with traffic and category weakness. So carrying all this to the bottom line, our reported earnings per share was $0.35 in the 2nd quarter, slightly ahead of where we thought we'd be 90 days ago and overall where we thought we'd be halfway through this year. And keep in mind, this result includes a $0.06 headwind due to changes in net tax discrete compared to last year. Regarding our balance sheet, inventories were up 6% of which half remains that same cold weather carryover product we've spoken about on our last two calls. Our inventory is in line with our second half growth projections. During the quarter, we bought back 1,900,000 shares of VF stock for $120,000,000 bringing our year to date total to $834,000,000 so tracking well against the $1,000,000,000 target we set in February. Turning now to outlook, which like the rest of our results today are based on continuing operations, we now expect full year revenues to increase 3% to 4%, down from the previous mid single digit expectation. If you take a step back to gain perspective, this change is really about 2 main factors. First, we now expect the Outdoor Action Sports Coalition to grow at a mid single digit rate for the full year, down from the previous high single digit outlook. This is due to bankruptcy in the sporting goods and action sports channel and a revised outlook for Timberland based on primarily on challenges in the Americas business. However, these elements, while short lived in nature, do put enough pressure on the year for us to take Timberland's global outlook to a low single digit growth versus the previous high single digit increase. The second factor is a lower outlook for our sportswear business. For reasons previously discussed, we have updated our full year expectations to a low double digit decline versus the previous expectation of slight decline. Gross margin is expected to improve by 50 basis points reaching 48.7%. Now keep in mind the contemporary business carried a higher than VF average gross margin. So when adjusted for this in continuing operations, 20 fifteen's gross margin is 10 basis points lower at 48.2%. Operating margin is expected to reach 14.5%, which includes about 60 basis points of FX, so right around 15% for the full year excluding currency. Note that while the exclusion of contemporary brands hurt gross margin, it helps operating margin. With respect to tax rate, our outlook for the full year is now about 21% versus the previous about 23%. Due to a beneficial shift in mix, new policies related to the treatment of equity comp and longer term improvements we're making in our global tax structure. At the bottom line, reported earnings per share is expected to increase 5% to $3.20 up 11% currency neutral compared to EPS from continuing operations of $3.04 in 2015. So even after adjusting for contemporary, we've maintained the same growth rate we targeted in February. For the second half of the year, we expect revenue growth to be up about 5% with a low single digit increase in the 3rd quarter followed by a high single digit increase in the 4th quarter. Respect to earnings cadence, we expect second half reported EPS to increase at a low teen percentage rate with a high single digit increase in the 3rd quarter and a mid to high teen increase in the 4th quarter, our easiest comparison of the year. So to recap the changes to our 2016 outlook, revenue should grow 3% to 4%, down a bit due to bankruptcies, Timberland and sportswear impacts. Gross margin expansion remains the same and we took out $0.03 from the bottom line based on what contemporary brands would have directly contributed this year. Flexibility, operational excellence, strong cash flow and balance sheet and strategic financial management From any angle, our model allows us to transcend short term challenges and consistently deliver total shareholder return. And more importantly, it enables us to continue investing in our business and aggressively manage inventories for the long term without sacrificing shareholder returns along the way. We believe this combination uniquely positions us to accelerate growth and profitability when the overall environment returns to greater strength. And with that, we'll turn it back over to the operator and open up the call for questions. Thank you, sir. Our first question comes from Michael Binetti with UBS. Hey, good morning guys. Thanks for all the details. Very helpful. I just want to ask one quick Vans question, then I had a bigger picture question. On Vans, that was better than we saw in the Q2 given some of the trends you guys have been talking about pretty consistently that it was going to be a back half story. But the guidance for the year was always partly based on things that were not in your direct control. There's some inventory from competitors out there and in the U. S. With some of the data sources we see, we see other brands making big pushes on market share. Can you just talk to us about the second half and how you guys think about the competitive landscape for Vans and how much you bake that into the thinking for the improvement there? Yes, Michael, this is Steve. I'll start with the Americas and cage. Maybe we'll want to add some things from an Asia standpoint. We've called the year at high single digits and we're pretty much tracking right on plan, seeing great strength in our D2C, most notably e commerce and then just good solid performance in wholesale. 2nd half really don't see the changing dramatically. The strength of the brand continues. We talked about the power of our classics collection with side stripes really performing extremely well and we've got new innovations with Classic Lights, our ISO program and then our Pro Classics where we brought some real performance attributes into the skate platform. We think we'll just continue to drive us towards the guidance that we put forward at the beginning of the year of up high single digits. And Michael, adding some color on the international side, starting with Asia. Asia is really doing well, as you heard me saying. It's doing well in DTC and wholesale, so which gives us great confidence. No really big change. It's doing well in most Asian markets actually. Europe is a different picture. We reported that widely last time. Q1 was our worst quarter. Q2 is negative but better, and we gradually plan to improve this going back to positive numbers in Q4. What gives us strong confidence also in Europe is our DTC numbers, which are positive. That shows that the brand has resonates well with consumers. And then Michael, I'd add real quick. We aren't seeing any changes in our wholesale orders due to competitors. And clearly, there's some competitors out there doing much better than they have historically. But from a van standpoint and our connection to our consumer, we stay right on track. Okay. That's helpful. Thanks a lot. You guys I guess stepping back, you guys have always done a great job summarizing the big corporate goals for us and for the investors and for all the employees of the firm to focus on. It's been a while since we got the big goal of the long term algorithm of 8% organic revenue growth and 13% EPS growth. We've seen 2 headlines from you guys on dispositions this year. The end markets are in a different place than where they were when we first got the algorithm in 2013. So would you mind just helping us comment on how you think about those goals today and whether absent an acquisition, how much more aggressive you could be with transforming the portfolio towards the highest performing businesses? Sure, Michael. Eric, I'll take that question. Our organic growth rate goals remain intact. Clearly, this year, we're off to a slower start given all the implications of last winter and the inventory hangover that we faced in the first half of this year. But when you step back and look at our organic growth rate, internationally, we were up 7%. That tells us that against that 8% organic growth rate goal outside of the U. S, we're pretty much on track. The most confident inspiring part of this for me is that in our direct to consumer business globally, we were up 7%. So being up 7% in our stores tells us that consumers are buying from us at the kind of growth rate that we have built into our long term vision. Unfortunately, that's only about 27% of our business. Our wholesale business is not experiencing that, but that's not to say that our wholesale business, the consumer takeout from our wholesalers isn't strong. What it says is that they have a lot of inventory and they're buying very cautiously. Our wholesale business is a reflection of what we're shipping to them this quarter for sale next quarter and not a reflection of consumer engagement. So we still think we have the brand portfolio and the we're doing the right things with our brands to engage consumers at a near 8% growth rate even this year, which is clearly a pretty challenging year around the world. Obviously, the shape of the app is going to change. We it's much easier and easier to manage the timing of selling something than it is buying the right thing. We're actively managing our portfolio, working equally hard on both divestitures and on acquisitions. The timing of one is more predictable than the other, but we're committed to both. Thanks a lot, guys. Thanks. Our next question comes from Matthew Boss with JPMorgan. Please go ahead, sir. Thanks. So switching gears over to Timberland. By classification, where exactly are you seeing the inventory imbalance, whether it's footwear or apparel? And what gives you the confidence that this is a near term issue and not something larger? Yes. So this is Steve. I'll start this question. So the inventory imbalance we talked about is primarily Americas issue and we see it primarily in our boots category. It really started to see this at the beginning of early Q2, both in our wholesale and pro business. And it's truly a short term inventory balance because what we see is just a little bit of inventory sitting in our channels coming out of last Q4. And similar to our Vans Europe business, it's not a product or brand issue. We feel really good about our brand metrics as I mentioned in my comments. And we see just over the next quarter or 2 getting that inventory to normalize. And why we're so confident about that is we've seen really good rates of sale through the second through the first half that continue into the second half. And that e commerce growth rate of +25 continues to give us confidence around our ability to connect with the consumer and represent our brand in a really positive way. So we see returning to growth in the second half, low single digit, mid single digit despite we're coming up against a Q3 in 2015 where we grew over 40%. So we that's I would tell you kind of frame up why we're positive is the brand continues strong, the sell through rates are good. We just carried a little bit more inventory in the channels out of the second half twenty fifteen in the first half. It's normalizing now and we'll be clear as we come into Q3, Q4. Yes, Matthew, I may be giving some international color starting with Europe. You heard me saying Europe is really strong. We're doing well in all channels in wholesale, in DTC. We have a new digital platform. We do well in most European countries, but we also do well in many categories of products. So it's really good story there. Asia is a little bit different picture. We had planned a softer 1st semester and planned a stronger 2nd semester. Remember, Q2 is our weakest quarter as well. So number are a little bit misleading. But it's specifically related to Hong Kong and Japan, but we expect Timberland going back to growth in Q3 and Q4. Great. And then just a follow-up on the larger picture model. As we think about margin profile on a multiyear basis, has there been any change, it sounds like not for this year, but any change to the 50 basis points a year annual gross margin, sounds like driven primarily by mix that's unchanged from the past? And then as we think about SG and A as a percentage of sales beyond this year, any reason to not think about that as more flattish going forward? Yes. So Matthew, the first question is really no change at all in our outlook for continued margin expansion and that's really driven by mix. Even this year, 50 basis points is what we've talked about for the full year and that's really driven by that mix. So we see no reason why that won't continue. As it relates to SG and A, we really haven't talked longer term beyond this year. As you can see, we are investing in SG and A this year. And again, that's really we think the strength of our model to be able to deliver EPS growth and at the same time invest in D2C innovation product, those key strategic drivers that are going to set us up for growth in the future. Great. Best of luck. Thank you. Our next question comes from Laurent Vasilescu with Macquarie. Good morning and thank you very much for taking my question. I was hoping to follow-up on your top line guidance for the year. Does it incorporate an expectation for normal winter or colder than normal winter? Also, I think there were some comments in the prepared remarks that retailers are cautious regarding this winter. Is that a function of too much inventory or just weakness in the consumer? Yes. So I'll start that and maybe the guys will jump in. In general, while we're considering this a normal winter, from our standpoint, it's worth noting that our wholesale partners have taken a very conservative view of the year, right? And maybe some of these imbalances that historically would have just been tolerated, we now see much more aggressive action from a retail standpoint, thus some of the issues that we've seen from our wholesale shipment side. And I think just to follow that, the caution in our wholesale retail community, we called that at the beginning of the year, we spoke a lot about how that's baked into our guidance. And what gives us real confidence about the power of our brands is the performance of our D2C, growing high single digits this quarter and the strength of our e commerce platform growing significantly. And as we expand our e commerce platform to all of our largest brands, it's now moving internationally Just again, it's a continued strength of how our brands are coming to life for our brands. Great. And then I wanted to follow-up on the outdoor and action sports double digit increase in direct to consumer versus sports where mid teen decline. Can you provide a bit more color on how store comps performed in these 2 coalitions for the quarter and your expectations for comps for the balance of the year? Yes. So our outdoor and action sports D2C performance, as I mentioned is e commerce, we're seeing just great strength there. And our store comps, which we don't talk directly about our brands specifically, We saw those in the flat to up just slightly, which is pretty consistent with what you hear across the board. Contrast that with sportswear, over 3 quarters, while the majority of our sportswear retail footprint is outlet. And the outlet channel has a broad comment has seen a pretty significant impact in traffic due to the high promotional activity going on across the majority of retail here in the United States. So our sportswear team has been specifically impacted just due to the heavy weighting of that outlet mix. Thank you. Best of luck. Our next question comes from Lindsay Trukerman with Goldman Sachs. Thanks. Thanks for taking my question. I wanted to ask about the excess inventory. The inventory growth year over year, you've called out about half of that is cold weather carryover product. Is that product that you're going to be redirecting to your outlet stores or your website? Or how are you going to work through that excess that's still on your balance sheet? No, Lindsey, that is good inventory that will go. We have orders against it, that's first quality good inventory. As we said back, we've been watching this now or talking about this for a couple of quarters. We had 2 options. We could have disposed of it and re bought it. We saw the demand coming in the back half of the year. We chose to hold that inventory and we see demand against it. So it's good quality inventory. Okay, great. And maybe you guys could give some perspective on whether you saw any shift in consumer behavior in the UK or Europe post some of the negative events in those markets, whether it's on Brexit or some of the attacks? I guess you heard me saying, Lindsay, we grew Europe 3%. Most of the brands are doing okay. It's not a niche environment, you're right. There's a lot going on. Specifically to Brexit, we have to see what is going to happen. Negotiation have started. So it's a long term view. And then but all in all, actually, we are doing pretty well. Our DTC numbers are strong in Europe. So that shows that our brands resonate well with consumers. Great. And just last one, could you talk about how your business to off price has trended? From a U. S. Standpoint, we're pretty much normal percent of totals as we look at this year, nothing dramatically different whatsoever. Okay. Thanks very much. Our next question comes from Omar Saad with Evercore ISI. Yes. Thanks. Good morning. Good morning, Omar. I wanted to see if you guys could maybe dive in a little bit deeper on the e commerce business, digital initiatives. I know it's been growing nicely, but I think you guys are maybe a little bit lower penetration than the broader kind of soft goods marketplace, what you're doing there? And if you also have any thoughts around working with any new partners on the digital side, perhaps getting access to Amazon and the Prime customer base, if that's something that you're thinking about? Right. So here within the U. S. Business, I'll walk you through that. Our e commerce businesses obviously has been and continues to be a big emphasis of ours. We put a lot of energy into building our VF platform that now all of our big brands as well as additional brands are coming on to and we're expanding that into our European marketplace where our large global brands are able to really maximize the power of that content and then transact regionally in a very specific way. We have a digital lab that sits out in our San Francisco campus that is very connected to a lot of the fast moving digital trends that we're constantly mining and bringing into that VF platform. And as we look at wholesale partners that we can work with, there's a whole host of really strong pure plays in each of our businesses. There's the larger multinational partners that we have great business with. And then clearly Amazon is a good partner for many of our brands and one that we would continue to work with strategically as it fits into each one of our brand strategies. Yes, Omar, Scott here. Just cleaning up to maybe at the heart of your question, we're less than 5%, our e com overall. We see a lot of opportunity there. It's high margin, our most profitable format. We've talked about in our long range plans, kind of mid-20s growth rate, which is what we're seeing this year, and we see a lot of runway on our ecom. Omar, this is Eric. One of the ways we're getting at that is through we've been talking about this some over the last 18 months. We've built a new digital and e commerce technology engine that we're rolling out across the world kind of one brand in one country at a time. I think in the last 14 months, we've done 24 installations, and we still have room to go. And every time we put a brand up on this website or I'm sorry, on this technology tool in a market, our e commerce business gets better. To give you some context for how far we are, The North Face in Europe went live on Wednesday. So we still have a lot of work to do and a lot of opportunity. You're right, we are underdeveloped and we see that as a huge opportunity for us. And we know we have the right tool now. We're just rolling it out across the world and, improving our ability to work with it. Excellent. That's helpful. And then if I could just ask if there's anything new on the M and A front, Eric, that you want to add? Thank you for asking, but no. Sorry, not trying to be cute, but we would never discuss any processes that we're part of or not during the call. Thank you. Thanks. Our next question comes from Camilo Lyon with Canaccord Genuity. Good morning, guys. Thanks for taking the question. So I guess the other side of the e commerce question is the wholesale question. Obviously, there's been some challenges in department stores and I guess the way now is structural challenges are the cyclical ones. The traffic trends that you've seen in the channel and the growth in your e commerce partners in your own businesses, does that fundamentally alter how you view your growth prospects in the wholesale channel over the longer term? How do you think about that? No. It looks like we've been around long enough, the world constantly is shifting between different channels and structures. To put some context on it, because the VF has changed now our composition with the exit from the I guess potential exit from the contemporary brands business. And department stores now represent about 3% of our revenue. Mid tier represents about 4% of our revenue. We're much more weighted towards specialty and sporting goods. And but having said that, in all channels, in our department with our department store partners, we're working very hard to make sure we get more than our fair share of their big revenue numbers. There's still a lot of apparel and footwear sold, And we're trying to be a great partner and get more than our fair share. And we do that across, of course, with all of our customers. And it does go from year to year, there's different centers of concentration. But I know there's concern about our exposure, and that's why I tried to give some context to the size of the business. That's great. Can you Eric, would you care to share a little bit more detail on the coalitions in those exposures? I can't do that even if I wanted to off the top of my head. I just don't have that information. I'm sorry. They're all each has a different model and we're a global company with lots of brands. Scott wants to weigh in. He's going to say we really haven't disclosed that level of detail. We just we give you the overall percentages. Okay, Fair enough. And then just my other question is on The North Face. Of late in the past year or so, year or 2, there have been some other engines into the category at some higher price points. I'm curious to get your take on where do you see the opportunities to grow The North Face brand, whether it's on a price point perspective, if you have an ability to raise part of your premium offering within The North Face or if you see other opportunities to expand where you're currently the base of consumers that you're currently speaking to? The North Face continues to be the number one outdoor brand on a global basis by a long shot. You heard us talk at the beginning of the year that the team has recently gone through resetting the business around 4 specific consumer usage occasions or 4 new business units. Mountain sports, which is that most technical expression of the brand. The mountain culture, which is more the lifestyle aspect that would come out of that core mountain and into the city. We've got our mountain athletics or training category, which is a fast growing, very significant opportunity for both apparel and footwear. And then we have a new category that's coming out of our Asia business called urban exploration marrying up with what's already a good city expression of the brand here and in Europe, but bringing a really interesting Asian flare coming out of Japan and China that our team in Asia has been leading that will allow the brand to come at that city market in a slightly different perspective. We have the ability to sell higher price points and you absolutely will see us do that through these 4 new business units. But what you also see is real thoughtful line segmentation covering those key price points in those key categories for those channel partners that we do business with across the globe. Great. Is that something that we can expect to see this season? Or is that more of a fall 'seventeen expression, urban? You'll start to see it come to life in fall 2016, but it will really come to life in 2017. If you happen to be in San Francisco anytime soon, our Palo Alto store, which I mentioned in my comments as well as our Post Street store has just been remerchandised around these 4 brand territories and it's really it's a beautiful experiential expression of the brand. Great. Good luck guys. All the best in the back half. Thanks. Our next question comes from Kate McShane with Citi. Hi, Kate. Hi, thanks. Good morning. I had a question about cotton. Just we've noticed over the last week or so that cotton costs have gone up and I know it's only a week move or a couple of week move. But can you just remind us the timing of when you lock in your commodity costs? Is this something that you're watching? And do you think it's sustainable? And how we should think about it on gross margins going forward? Yes, Kate, Scott here. So, well, first of all, as it relates to 'sixteen, at this point, we're committed, right? So any movements that you see now are going to be in the future. We're generally 2 to 3 quarters out by the time it rolls into our results, what you see now would be a 2017 impact. Right. Okay. Do you have any view on cotton for the next 6 months? Is this something that is potentially sustainable, this increased cost? Or is it are you watching it? Well, of course, we're watching it all the time, but we don't we're not in the prognostication business as it relates to cotton. What we do is we we haven't been very good at that over time. I don't know who anybody that is. Okay. And then my second question was just about the reallocation of resources now that the contemporary business has been sold and is going to close. Just how should we think about any kind of acceleration of potential investments or reallocation of resources as we get maybe into Q4 from this asset disposal? Are you talking about capital or expense was your question? Both, if possible. I'm glad I opened it up to both. That's probably a good question to ask, better question to ask after we have gotten closure on the strategic review we're doing at LSG, because that's a big business and they affect our economic model. Scott mentioned that contemporary has a little bit our gross margin will be a little bit weaker without it, but our operating margin will be a little bit higher. LSG would have another effect on it. We are obviously looking at the shape of the P and L, what it might be after this review is complete, and we might be able to answer that better later. Having said that, our the economic the P and L model will look different, and we're trying to put ourselves in a position to accelerate the organic growth rate in our core brands. And the 2 businesses that we're talking about selling will do that by math because they have not grown at the kind of rate that we that the other rest of the business grows at consistently. From a capital standpoint, we're going to keep that powder dry till we see how much capital we have, but our priorities remain the same. First is acquisitions, and down the road, we're looking at dividends and share buyback, but our priority is acquisitions. Okay. Thank you. Thanks, Kate. See you, Kate. Our next question comes from Dana Telsey with Telsey Advisory Group. Good morning, everyone. As you think about pricing in back half of the year with new product categories and given the fact that it is more 4th quarter heavy. What should we be looking to for each of the brands? Is there some new product? Is there some new marketing initiative that we should be looking to for Q4 and potentially into next year as top line drivers? Thank you. Yes, Dana, as it relates to price, we do have price. It will be a little back half loaded and we've talked about the FX impacts over the last couple of years. We do have price which more than offsets that FX in the back half. Got it. And then anything new on the product offering, whether it's in Timberland or Vans or North Face that we should be watching for with marketing to drive that business? Well, our Vans business as it celebrates its 50th anniversary, has been doing some really creative things, certainly with the Nintendo collaboration. You will see some new ideas coming into the marketplace end of this month and early next month that I will leave for you to discover. It's not something we really want to talk about here on the call. But in the case of The North Face, we'll be really anchoring ourselves in these new brand territories that talked about, driving our Summit Series collection, which continues to evolve after its relaunch last year on a global basis and also driving mountain athletics and footwear. And in the case of Timberland, we will continue to drive our boots. The boot trend is still alive and well and we've got some great offerings along with our SensorFlex platform and that has been in place now for 3 years and continues to gain momentum and grab share, not only here, but mostly we see it in our international markets. Our next question comes from Jim Duffy with Stifel. I'm particularly interested in commentary around channel inventories. You mentioned imbalances with Timberland and Vans Europe. Are there other notable pockets of imbalance? And then in contrast, what are the categories where you have healthier channel inventory positions and if the stage seems better set to perform in the second half? Yes, Jim, this is Steve. The imbalance that from a Timberland standpoint is, as I mentioned boots and it's across the dealer distribution that the brands work with. And it really is inventory that's been carried out of Q4 last year. And as they work through it with the strong sell through as we see in the first half, we'll return to growth in the second half. Otherwise, we don't see inventory issues other than what we've called out at the beginning of the year, cautioned in the specialty outdoor reflecting in the North Face order book. But the rest of our business is sitting in a really strong place with our new innovative products. We'll have great opportunities to be placed and that'll be put in front of consumers. Very good. And then Eric, I'm sorry to do this, but with respect to acquisitions, I recognize it's a situation of preparedness meeting opportunity. We know you're prepared. So has it been just a matter of pricing that's holding things back or are you not seeing properties available that fit the strategy? I would say that there's 2 it's a complicated answer because we're very, very active. I'm sure, yes. But the 2 biggest categories would be some of the properties that we're not that we're most interested in aren't available now and some that we're interested in are not available at a price that we think is prudent to pay. Fair enough. That does seem prudent. Thank you. And that concludes today's question and answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Eric Weissman for any additional or closing remarks. Sure. Thank you all for your interest in our company. It's been an interesting year for us. In the first half, as I said earlier, consumer engagement and purchasing of our brands in our stores and online is right in line with our long term organic growth goals, and that gives us great confidence that our brands are strong and our teams are executing well. Unfortunately, our wholesale business growth is off, and that's following a very weak winter last year and all the implications of that on inventory in the channel, but that will get solved with time. With that, I'll just say that we're very confident about our outlook for the second half. We have good visibility and strong execution skills, and we look forward to giving you guys another update in 90 days. Thanks so much. And that concludes today's presentation. Thank you for your participation, and you may now disconnect.