Vontier Corporation (VNT)
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Earnings Call: Q2 2021

Aug 6, 2021

Operator

My name is Brittany, and I will be your conference facilitator this morning. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to Vontier Corporation's Second Quarter 2021 Earnings Results Conference Call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speaker's remarks, there will be a question-and-answer session. If you would like to ask a question during that time, simply press star and then the one on your telephone keypad.

If you would like to withdraw your question, press the pound key. I would now like to turn the call over to Ms. Lisa Curran, Vice President of Investor Relations. Ms. Curran, you may begin your conference.

Lisa Curran
VP of Investor Relations, Vontier

Thank you, Brittany. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us on the call. With me today are Mark Morelli, our President and Chief Executive Officer, and David Naemura, our Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. We will present certain non-GAAP financial measures on today's call. Information required by SEC Regulation G relating to these non-GAAP financial measures is available on the investors section of our website, www.vontier.com, under the heading Financials.

Please note that unless otherwise noted, the presented financial measures reflect year-over-year increases or decreases. During the call, we will make forward-looking statements within the meaning of the federal securities laws, including statements regarding events or developments that we expect or anticipate will or may occur in the future. These forward-looking statements are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties, and actual results might differ materially from any forward-looking statements that we make today.

Information regarding these factors that may cause actual results to differ materially from these forward-looking statements is available in our SEC filings and subsequent quarterly report on Form 10-Q. These forward-looking statements speak only as of the date that they are made, and we do not assume any obligation to update any forward-looking statements. With that, I'm pleased to turn the call over to Mark.

Mark D. Morelli
President and CEO, Vontier

Thanks, Lisa, and good morning, everyone. We're very pleased with our second quarter performance. Thanks to our team's strong execution and rigorous application of the Vontier Business System, we delivered another quarter exceeding our guidance on all metrics. We achieved 33% core revenue growth, 450 basis points of adjusted core operating margin expansion, and 69% adjusted earnings per share growth.

The results were largely driven by growth in non-EMV solutions, with better than expected growth in retail solutions and auto repair solutions. Core revenue growth, excluding EMV, was greater than 35%. Orders were strong, increasing nearly 40% year-over-year. Our backlog remains high, with nearly 50% growth year-over-year and 20% growth sequentially. Our top operational priority has been navigating supply chain challenges. I'd like to recognize the tireless efforts of our teams. I'd also like to thank our network of supplier partners.

Once again, this quarter, we've leveraged the Vontier Business System to successfully manage tight availability. We've also increased prices to more than offset inflation. We continue to focus on our most critical profitable growth initiatives. In addition to our accelerated core growth, we saw margin expansion across the platforms through better focus and prioritization, and we are gaining momentum.

We're also making progress on the innovation front with new targeted high-growth market offerings and Matco's launch of the Maximus 4.0 diagnostic software. We've consistently made meaningful progress towards all of our operational and strategic goals since separation only nine months ago. In particular, we recently announced the acquisition of DRB, whose focus on technology and software solution complements our existing point-of-sale and payment offerings.

This also gives us critical scale, establishing a $500 million retail solutions portfolio. The addition of DRB enhances our growth and recurring revenue profile, profitability, and free cash flow generation. This is an important first step in diversifying our portfolio towards long-term secular growth drivers in attractive markets.

While the acquisition is subject to customary closing conditions, including regulatory review, we anticipate closing this transaction in the third quarter, giving us approximately mid to high teen cents per share accretion to 2022. Over the years, the Vontier team has done a remarkable job of strategically expanding our portfolio. We've built a competitive advantage by offering a broader suite of products as we more deeply embed ourselves in our customers' workflows.

We focus these offerings on the highest value part of the workflows, leveraging the more intelligent electronic components of the system and connecting the convenience store with the forecourt. In the early 2000s, we strategically focused on point-of-sale systems, site control systems, and software systems. In 2017, we acquired a leading provider of hardware and software solutions focused on retail and site systems automation. Our systems are now more profitable and benefit from regular upgrade cycles.

The future of the convenience store is bright and transforming. While operators will need to maintain fueling infrastructure for decades, it's clear that our customers will increasingly be investing in non-fuel retail, including sustainable services like car washes. The DRB acquisition positions us well to continue to support our customers as they diversify their offerings, y ou can see why DRB fits our strategy. I'm happy to share today that we plan to host a deep dive into retail solutions, including DRB, this coming November.

Stay tuned for more details on this virtual event. Moving to the outlook, we're raising our full year 2021 adjusted diluted net EPS guidance to $2.77 per share-$2.82 per share. This includes improved assumptions for high single-digit core revenue growth and core adjusted operating margin expansion of greater than 125 basis points.

This increase to our core growth outlook reflects mid-teens growth at Matco, improved non-EMV demand at GVR in developed markets, and includes a more favorable view of the 2021 EMV headwind of $75 million-$100 million. Excluding the EMV impact, core revenue growth is expected to be low teens, despite the challenging comps in the second half. As a reminder, this year's guide reflects a tale of two halves, given the pandemic comparisons and EMV dynamics.

We are initiating our third quarter adjusted diluted net EPS guidance of $0.71-$0.74, which includes assumptions of essentially flattish core revenue and core operating margin. With that, I'll turn it over to Dave to provide the financial results. Dave?

David H. Naemura
SVP and CFO, Vontier

Thanks, Mark. Adjusted net earnings for the second quarter were $104 million, an increase of 70% from $61 million in the prior year period. This translated to adjusted net earnings per share of $0.61 compared to $0.36 in the prior year period. The double-digit increase in earnings was primarily driven by strong broad-based volume growth, which led to 450 basis points of adjusted core operating margin expansion in the quarter.

Core revenue growth in the second quarter was 33% against a prior year Q2 that declined 21% in the height of the pandemic impact. This growth was driven by broad-based non-EMV growth of greater than 35% and augmented by the continued strength of the EMV rollout in North America. In GVR, core revenue and bookings grew more than 25% and more than 35%, respectively, while Matco had more than 50% core revenue and bookings growth.

High growth markets were also a significant contributor in the second quarter, growing core revenue more than 25% year-over-year, led by continued progress in India and Latin America. Importantly, we saw the strong Q1 end market demand continue in Q2. Adjusted operating profit for the second quarter was $151 million, growth of 66% compared to the prior year period, primarily driven by strong core revenue growth.

Through our team's execution of portfolio profitable growth initiatives and continued management of dynamic supply chain and inflationary environments, we drove approximately 70 basis points of gross margin expansion and 450 basis points of adjusted core operating margin expansion, more than offsetting almost $20 million of temporary cost reduction actions in the prior year Q2 that have returned to the business this year. In the second quarter, we generated adjusted free cash flow of $45 million, a conversion of 43%.

This uncharacteristically low conversion rate, which is expected to be the low point for the year, reflects two items which we communicated on our call last quarter. First, we paid an incremental federal tax payment of approximately $30 million in the quarter, which was a dynamic from our spin in Q4 of 2020. Second, we built approximately $30 million of net working capital while continuing to satisfy strong demand conditions and run at outstanding working capital levels.

We ended Q2 with working capital dollars at 6.2% of last 12-month sales, an increase from Q1 levels of 5.6%, but still a very low working capital level historically. Adjusting for the impact of the extra federal tax payment, our adjusted free cash flow conversion was approximately 70% in the quarter. Our year-to-date adjusted free cash flow conversion is 95%, consistent with our communicated guidance for 2021.

Additionally, our net leverage stands at 1.7 times adjusted EBITDA, down from 1.9 times in the first quarter and down from 2.6 times at the time of our spin in October of last year. This de-leveraging has been enabled by strong earnings growth and free cash flow conversion. Looking at the performance of our two platforms, Mobility Technologies had core revenue growth of 26%, primarily due to more than 25% core growth in GVR and GTT, partially offset by low single-digit decline at Teletrac Navman.

The strength in GVR continues to be multifaceted. We saw greater than 35% core growth in non-EMV sales, driven by retail solutions, aftermarket and environmental solutions, and more than 25% core growth in high growth markets. We continue to see strong demand from EMV in North America in the months immediately following the deadline. As expected, EMV dollars declined sequentially from Q1, but did grow on a year-over-year basis.

Core revenue growth in our diagnostics and repair technologies platform was 57%, driven primarily by continued strong demand at Matco and Hennessy. Matco experienced more than 50% core growth. This was driven by continued strong demand environment and a growing distribution base, reflecting our fourth consecutive quarter of strong net franchisee additions following the pause that we saw during the height of the pandemic. Looking at total company sales regionally, the growth was again truly broad-based.

As I mentioned, high growth markets grew core revenue more than 25% and our developed markets in total had core revenue growth greater than 30%, led by greater than 35% growth in North America and low double-digit growth in Western Europe. We continue to make progress on our profit improvement actions that will better position the company in the back half of this year and in 2022. We recognized a restructuring charge of $3 million in the second quarter.

This is part of the approximately $20 million charge that we continue to anticipate for the full year. This charge is excluded from our adjusted net operating profit. We continue to expect to have these actions substantially complete in the year, positioning our exit rate to achieve the full benefit of these actions in 2022. Before discussing our outlook and assumptions, I want to provide additional color on the EMV outlook.

As we have previously stated, it is a very fluid situation and we continue to execute extremely well, powered by VBS and as evidenced by our continued backlog strength, booking strength, and our agile ability to manage supply constraints. We currently expect the headwind associated with EMV to be in the range of $75 million-$100 million for the full year 2021, down from our prior estimate of $100 million-$150 million. We will continue to assess this situation and provide updates as appropriate.

When we entered 2021, we highlighted that the quarterly trend of our year-over-year growth in the year would be impacted by the strength of the V-shaped recovery that we demonstrated last year and the roll-off of EMV as we passed the adoption deadline. The tail of two halves, as we refer to it. The net impact of these two compounding dynamics is that we expect second half adjusted earnings per share to decline high single digits % compared to the prior year period.

In contrast to the 54% of adjusted EPS growth we just completed in the first half of 2021. Having said that, we expect second half revenue and earnings to be higher than our first half performance, a seasonality that we would directionally expect to see in our business. The growth dynamics are highly impacted by the comparison factors that I mentioned. Taking a closer look at our 2021 outlook assumptions.

Starting with the third quarter, we expect core revenue growth to be flat to slightly negative and adjusted core operating margin to contract by approximately 25 basis points. This dynamic is primarily reflecting the difficult comps related to the strength of Matco, EMV, and Mexico fiscal regulation in the prior year period, consistent with the tail of two halves, and translates into adjusted earnings per share of $0.71-$0.74 in the quarter.

For the full year 2021, we are increasing our core revenue guide to high single-digit growth compared to our prior outlook of low to mid-single-digit growth, which equally reflects the better than expected demand in non-EMV solutions and our favorable revision to the EMV outlook.

Additionally, we are increasing our core operating margin expansion target to greater than 125 basis points in 2021, reflecting continued execution on our profitable growth initiatives and cost management, and partially offset by persistent but manageable inflationary pressures, supply chain constraints, and mix. All told, this translates to $2.70- $2.82 of adjusted EPS growth of approximately 12%-14% year-over-year, and an 8% raise at the midpoint of our prior guide.

We continue to expect adjusted free cash flow conversion will be approximately 95%, reflecting continued working capital management at all-time low levels and the low capital intensity of our business model. Overall, the second quarter capped off a robust first half of 2021 and supports another meaningful raise to our full year 2021 expectations for core growth, margin expansion, and earnings growth. With that, I'll turn it back to Mark.

Mark D. Morelli
President and CEO, Vontier

Thanks, Dave. To wrap up, this quarter we made significant progress on our critical priorities to drive profitable growth and on advancing strategically and financially beneficial M&A. Profitable growth initiatives are delivering ahead of plan. Our DRB acquisition diversifies our portfolio, aligns with our retail solution strategy, presents a compelling runway of expansion opportunities, and offsets the EMV headwind now upon us. We know our work continues.

We are building momentum and remain committed to disciplined deployment of capital, driving accelerated growth and creating value as we continue our transformation. Recognizing it's Friday at the tail end of earnings, I'll turn the call over to Lisa so we can get to your questions.

Lisa Curran
VP of Investor Relations, Vontier

Thanks, Mark. That concludes our formal comments. Brittany, we are now ready for questions.

Operator

Once again, if you would like to ask a question, that is star one on your touchtone phone. You may remove yourself from the queue at any time by pressing the pound key. We do ask that you please limit yourself to one question and one follow-up. We will take our first question from Andrew Obin with Bank of America.

Andrew Obin
Managing Director and Equity Research, Bank of America

Yes, good morning.

Mark D. Morelli
President and CEO, Vontier

Hey, good morning, Andrew.

Andrew Obin
Managing Director and Equity Research, Bank of America

Just the question we've been getting, sort of EMV headwinds this year go from $100 million-$150 million to $75 million-$100 million. Effectively, does this mean that 2022 will face $25 million-$50 million greater headwind? I appreciate that you're not providing 2022 guidance. Should we think about better demand this year? Is it pull forward of the same total opportunity, or is the total EMV opportunity larger than you thought? Thank you.

David H. Naemura
SVP and CFO, Vontier

Hi, Andrew. It's Dave. Just a couple of points. Generally speaking, we do see the size of the pie increasing as we continue to take share, and we're seeing favorable mix in how people adopt EMV. We're seeing more dispenser sales and less just kit retrofits. Having said that, with our updated guide for the year of $75 million-$100 million, I think we said we see the 2022 impact similar to that.

The overall pie increasing a little bit, but we've also said historically that we needed to get past the adoption deadline to see how the many, many small customers would adopt EMV. I think what you see is us beginning to get some clarity or at least opinion at this point on how that will happen, which is probably a little more rapid than we had previously anticipated. Thanks for the question.

Andrew Obin
Managing Director and Equity Research, Bank of America

Got you. Really appreciate it. Just a question for Matco. Can you just help us with 50% order growth in Matco, but the guidance seems to imply mid to high teens growth in the second half. You guys did highlight the fact that you have comps, but still, this is a business where orders do turn into sales, I guess, pretty quickly. Just if you could help us square that. Thank you.

Mark D. Morelli
President and CEO, Vontier

Sure. Yeah, I'll take that question, Andrew. Look, there's no question the underlying market conditions there are strong and technicians continue to buy, which is, of course, very encouraging. A couple of things that really give us encouragement here, by the way, we think there continues to be some strength, is that we continue to do really well on net franchisee adds.

As you may remember, about 30% of our territory in North America and Canada are not yet penetrated with our franchise distribution, and is a little bit unique to us in the market, and we're doing just great adding the net franchisee adds. The other thing that's driving the sales is we're having really good vitality, w e're offering new products to the market. It keeps customers coming back and keeping them really interested in our product lines.

I mentioned one on the phone here today. We also had our Q2 Matco Expo in Q2 in person. We think there's good demand there, and we also think there's legs to it.

Operator

We'll take our next question from Steve Tusa with JP Morgan.

Steve Tusa
Managing Director, JP Morgan

Hi, good morning.

Mark D. Morelli
President and CEO, Vontier

Good morning, Steve.

Steve Tusa
Managing Director, JP Morgan

Can you just talk about maybe some of the moving parts in free cash going forward and just some of those puts and takes?

David H. Naemura
SVP and CFO, Vontier

Sure. Steve, it's Dave . Coming back to the second quarter a little bit, we knew we had the extra tax payment in the year. We'll have five tax payments in 2021 versus only having three in 2020, w e saw that $30 million incremental payment coming. Our conversion was a little lower than we were thinking otherwise, even with that tax payment, given some build in working capital. We were at 5.6% of LTM sales in Q1, which was just, I think we had mentioned, unsustainably low levels of working capital.

We built back about $30 million. We saw part of that come in. It was probably a little bigger than we thought, but the real mover for the rest of the year will just be working capital and our ability to hold these levels. I think we're materially going to be around kind of that mid-sixes range here, and that's ultimately what will drive free cash flow conversion for the second half. First half, as I was saying in the prepared remarks, 95% conversion. That's what we're anticipating for the year.

We would anticipate the second half being around that level as well, which contemplates us doing a good job continuing to maintain these historically very low levels of working capital.

Steve Tusa
Managing Director, JP Morgan

Yeah, makes total sense. Can you talk about what's going on in the telematics business, just trend-wise?

Mark D. Morelli
President and CEO, Vontier

Yeah, certainly. This is Mark. We continue to make progress in the telematics business. One of the areas that we've been focused on that we make good progress on is on the reduction in churn. We're also measuring ARR, which of course is annual recurring revenue, and we're on a five-month growing trend of ARR, which is a pretty big departure in the past as we continue to build out our TN360 offering.

At the same time, we're reframing the business to focus more on profitable growth because we think that the ability to scale this business and reframe it in that light and pick up some margin opportunity is pretty important for us. We've added a new President, h is name is Alain Samaha. He's an industry veteran that has years of driving software business expansion and organic growth as well as M&A.

We're really happy to have him on board. He's just now getting settled, but we're going to keep you posted on this, what we believe is a very attractive space, and we believe the turnaround continues.

Steve Tusa
Managing Director, JP Morgan

Great. Thanks a lot. Appreciate it.

David H. Naemura
SVP and CFO, Vontier

Thanks.

Operator

We will take our next question from Nigel Coe with Wolfe Research.

Brian Lau
VP of Equity Research, Wolfe Research

Good morning, everybody. This is Brian Lau on for Nigel. Maybe first just wanted to talk about the backlog a little bit. It's up 20% quarter-over-quarter and flattish year-over-year sales guide in 3Q would imply maybe high single digits growth quarter-over-quarter. I think the last couple of quarters, the backlog has been more weighted towards the Matco build.

I'm just curious, are you baking in some conservatism for maybe some unforeseen supply chain headwinds? Or can you just reconcile the backlog versus kind of quarter-over-quarter implied revenue growth?

David H. Naemura
SVP and CFO, Vontier

Thanks. Backlog is definitely high right now. I would say that we entered the year high, and we've continued in the first half to see bookings outpace revenue. We are at a very high level right now, and we anticipate that that will moderate as the year goes through and will bring backlog down to the levels at which approximately we entered this year. Again, still high levels, but we see that reduction back to where we entered the year over the course of the year.

There's definitely some supply chain constraint that we're building in, but I don't think it's conservatism. I would call it balanced. I think we're pretty realistic that we continue to manage it in the second half as we have in the first. Clearly the demand profile is strong at Matco and particularly with EMV and other parts of GVR kind of across the board. It's pretty broad-based, the order build and the backlog build, and we have plans to reduce that as the year progresses.

Brian Lau
VP of Equity Research, Wolfe Research

Great. Just briefly touching on the franchisee add at Matco. Could you just give us an update on where that number is year to date on a percentage basis? Also, how are their ramps tracking kind of for all the franchisees you've added during the pandemic, having to onboard virtually? Are their KPIs trending how you would have seen it historically?

David H. Naemura
SVP and CFO, Vontier

I'll take the first part, hand it to Mark. We're at about 38 through the first half of the year, net franchisee additions, t hat's important for a few reasons. One, we had positive franchisee additions in the first quarter. That's usually a quarter where you see a little more attrition than adds, t hat's really great.

We had a strong second quarter as well. If we look back over the last four rolling quarters, we're at 94 additions for the last 12 months, which is very strong. We usually target kind of 50+ in a 12-month period. We see that as a very strong result. I'll pass it to Mark for the other half.

Mark D. Morelli
President and CEO, Vontier

Yeah. Part of your question there was how do we work on building that out? We've actually had to change that quite a bit, y ou can imagine going to this virtual environment. We used to sit across the kitchen table and sign up franchisees. The issue is clearly that it's had to deploy to a more virtual format. Given that it's more virtual, we've had to be able to make traction there more digitally. We think it's a very effective model, and we're deploying that on the growth, and it's really working out for us.

Brian Lau
VP of Equity Research, Wolfe Research

Great. Thanks.

Operator

We will take our next question from Andy Kaplowitz with Citigroup.

Andy Kaplowitz
Managing Director, Citigroup

Hey, good morning, guys.

David H. Naemura
SVP and CFO, Vontier

Hey, good morning, Andy.

Andy Kaplowitz
Managing Director, Citigroup

Mark, you mentioned that your profitable growth initiatives are ahead of plan. Maybe you could give us a little more detail around what you mean by that. I know you already mentioned improving businesses such as Teletrac Navman, what is actually ahead of plan across the portfolio? You obviously delivered low 30% incrementals this past quarter, even as temporary costs came back.

When you think about your longer term incrementals, which I think you said is closer to 30%, do you think at this point Vontier has the potential to deliver consistently better than that?

Mark D. Morelli
President and CEO, Vontier

Yeah. Let me take the first part, and then I'll turn it over to Dave for the second part. Thank you for that question, by the way. We have a very down-selected, what we say is our kind of critical few growth, profitable growth initiatives. A lot of that you're seeing kind of read through. One of those really pays off. Actually, a couple of those really pay off on the non-EMV growth, which I think if you also compare historically is clearly got some momentum behind it.

Really specifically to your question, it's on retail solutions and how we build that out, high growth markets as well as in the diagnostic and repair, both at Matco and Hennessy. Hennessy is reframing their business, has seen some strong growth, and as you know, is below sort of fleet revenue and margins, w e're seeing really good traction there. We also have a critical initiative around gaining share with EMV, and I think we're doing pretty well on that one as well.

David H. Naemura
SVP and CFO, Vontier

Andy, on the incrementals in the second quarter, we had low incrementals because of the one-time cost takeouts, obviously in the prior year. If you were to kind of normalize for that, you would have seen incrementals kind of in that closer to 40%, right around 40%, where we've historically run. I think we've talked about this business kind of being in that mid to high 30s incrementals rate, and we can push a little higher than that when we get a lot of progress on these profitable growth initiatives.

I think that's sustainable for the longer term, particularly as we continue to be accretive and do dealsOr sorry, acquisitive and do deals and continue to add to the financial metrics of the company, I think we'll see sustainability or improvement there in the future.

Andy Kaplowitz
Managing Director, Citigroup

That's helpful, guys. Mark, can you give us a little more detail on how fast DRB is growing and the margin potential of the business? I know you said EPS accretion in the mid-to-high teens for 2022, but to get to ROIC of 10% by year five, I think DRB would have to grow decently faster in the shorter term and/or have high incrementals. Maybe you can give us more color regarding how the business is growing in 2021, what kind of incremental margin could this business generate over the next few years?

Mark D. Morelli
President and CEO, Vontier

Yeah. Thanks for that question. We believe there is a high single-digit plus growth rate that's in place, and we think that really that's built out around a couple things. First of all, their primary business is putting in a point-of-sale system, leveraging off a controls infrastructure that's there, and then they layer onto that, embedding into the customer workflows, that includes digital data analytics around workflows for customer retentive type initiatives.

What they really talk about there is sweating their customers' assets, where they drive more productivity through that, through recurring business models. They have a layer where they arrange for payments, which is also a high growth, very sticky, and very margin accretive business.

Andy Kaplowitz
Managing Director, Citigroup

Thanks, guys.

Operator

We will take our next question from David Raso with Evercore ISI.

David Raso
Senior Managing Director and Partner, Evercore ISI

Hi, thank you for the time. I was curious, the incremental EMV opportunity, you're speaking of a larger pie. How is the profitability of that business versus some of the early part of the EMV trajectory?

David H. Naemura
SVP and CFO, Vontier

Yeah. Thanks, Dave. Hey, it's similar, if in some cases maybe even not better. As we move through EMV adoption, obviously some of the largest customers that have adopted earlier have some better volume-based agreements. As we move through this, on average, the customer profitability remains solid. As the pie increases and we work through kind of the latter parts of adoption here, I'd say the profitability is the same, if not a little bit better than what we experienced in the earlier stages.

David Raso
Senior Managing Director and Partner, Evercore ISI

2022, that decline being similar to 2021's a pleasant surprise. I'm just trying to understand in the way it plays out quarterly. Next year's 2022 sales, are they almost, I don't want to say re-accelerating, but the math can almost get there? From what you expect in the second half of 2021, do EMV sales are steady through 2022 or even pick up a little bit sequentially?

David H. Naemura
SVP and CFO, Vontier

Yeah, David, I think we're not in a position here at this stage in the game to give you the shape of EMV within the year next year. I think, as we've gotten past the deadline, I think we have a good feel for the behavior of the smaller customers. I think we're able to call next year as best we can at this stage. We look forward to in the second part of the year coming back and giving folks an update, but I think we wouldn't dimensionalize it further than that at this stage.

David Raso
Senior Managing Director and Partner, Evercore ISI

Lastly, on DRB for next year, just looking at the credit agreements last night and kind of what the margins came in at. This was obviously more of a growth acquisition than a margin improvement. Just to be clear, it does seem like you're assuming similar margins next year for DRB equal to what kind of came in, right? This is not about margin expansion next year on DRB, this is just top line, because that's how you can get to that accretion number. You don't need margin improvement.

David H. Naemura
SVP and CFO, Vontier

Yeah. I think you're right in the near term, Dave. We see this as a good growth opportunity. This is a growth play. Over time, as kind of had been mentioned before as well, we do see good margin expansion opportunity here. This is a growth play, not a synergy play, but there are some benefits from that. With the good growth that this business should put off, we should get some margin opportunity as well.

They got some exciting new products and capabilities that'll help with that as well. All those things conspire over time to help us in that five-year window deliver a pretty nice result, we think.

David Raso
Senior Managing Director and Partner, Evercore ISI

Thank you for the time.

David H. Naemura
SVP and CFO, Vontier

Thanks, David.

Operator

We will take our next question from Julian Mitchell with Barclays.

Julian Mitchell
Equity Research Analyst of US Industrials, Barclays

Hi, good morning. Just a question on capital deployment and acquisitions post DRB. Give us some thoughts as to what kind of leverage level you think you'll be at pro forma with that, and how comfortable you are doing acquisitions in the 12 months following the close of DRB.

David H. Naemura
SVP and CFO, Vontier

Hey, Julian. Hey, it's Dave. Post DRB, assuming it closes as we anticipate here in the 3rd, we should be around 3 times net leverage, well within kind of the metrics that we'd talked about. Without further M&A, we would continue to de-lever and be below three times again by year-end. Having said that, we would have capacity to do additional M&A within the existing balance sheet here.

We've always said that we could go above three times clearly within our stated objectives with line of sight to come back below three times in a reasonable amount of time. We've also talked about doing different types and sizes of deals, and we continue to cultivate, and there remains to be a decent pipeline out there. We're not out of the market by any stretch. There's a number of attractive properties of different types and sizes that we continue to work through.

For the right deal, we would get it done. Having said that, we're thrilled to have deployed this amount of capital on this asset, and we think it's a great start and very consistent with how we've always talked about starting something that's accretive, diversifies the business, but is in a space that's kind of known to us in a near adjacency.

Mark D. Morelli
President and CEO, Vontier

Yeah, let me just jump in on that one too. I think what this really shows, this is really in our sweet spot of what we've been telling you about. It's near end, it fits our strategy, it's got great financials. I think that if anything, we're continuing to build out our pipeline here. I think it's indicative that we have things in our pipeline, and I think there's other good things in our pipeline that we continue to cultivate and we continue to work on it.

Keep in mind, it is strategy led, and I think that we're just building off some momentum here that we've kind of had in the business all along and have to kind of reinvigorate. We're very pleased on the progress we're making here.

Julian Mitchell
Equity Research Analyst of US Industrials, Barclays

Thanks very much. Secondly, just on the sort of base business, diagnostics and repair technologies, overall, I think you had 40% growth or so in the first half, year-on-year. Maybe just clarify for me sort of that piece overall, what's dialed in for the second half there year-on-year and how you're thinking about that pace of sort of growth normalizing, maybe second half revenue versus 2019, and how you're trying to think about those types of dynamics when you're forecasting it.

David H. Naemura
SVP and CFO, Vontier

Yeah. This is where we really saw a good part of the V-shaped recovery last year, Julian, particularly at Matco, where they really snapped back after a tough second quarter, returning to growth in the third quarter and really high single-digit growth in the fourth quarter. This is a set of businesses where we haven't historically seen, obviously, high single-digit growth, let alone what we saw in the first half of this year. Having said that, the end market is very strong. We look at the number of distributors on the road, and it's greater than ever.

Not only are we adding franchisees, but the number of distributors that are out there working is very high, and the credit metrics with our end consumer is very good as well. We round-trip that very difficult compare, but we still anticipate some decent growth in the fourth quarter, even against those tough compares. I think over time, we've always said that these businesses were kind of low to lower mid-single digit type growth businesses, and I think we'll normalize back to that.

I think this strong end market will continue, and that's what we're anticipating for the year and, frankly, growing off of last year's very strong second half.

Julian Mitchell
Equity Research Analyst of US Industrials, Barclays

Great. Thank you.

David H. Naemura
SVP and CFO, Vontier

Thank you.

Operator

We will take our next question from John Walsh with Credit Suisse, please.

John Walsh
Director, Credit Suisse

Hi, good morning.

David H. Naemura
SVP and CFO, Vontier

Hey. Good morning, John.

Mark D. Morelli
President and CEO, Vontier

Hey.

John Walsh
Director, Credit Suisse

Hey. Wonder if we can come at the Mobility Tech question a little bit differently as we look forward. You talked about the strong non-EMV orders. Just wanted to understand a little bit better about how that order conversion to sales looks for that part of the business. As we look to next year, appreciate the update on the EMV headwind. Are there any countries, obviously this year we've had Mexico create a comp issue. Is there anything outside of EMV we should think about as we're modeling next year?

David H. Naemura
SVP and CFO, Vontier

A couple points there, John. I think this is a very broad brush, but when we think non-EMV within GVR, within Mobility Technologies, let's just talk about kind of GVR. I think we'll see a little faster conversion of backlog. That has to do with probably the place where we have the most activity given the advent of EMV is here in North America. I think outside North America, we'll be able to turn backlog a little bit faster than we otherwise would.

As far as compare items, it's just that last year, at least in 2021, 2020 had a pretty odd shape to it, and it varied by region. We saw North America come back very fast, both with EMV and Matco, and that creates kind of a lot of this tale of 2/2 dynamic that we've talked about. We then saw in the fourth quarter some emerging market or high growth market activity come back quickly, particularly in India. You've got Mexico that kind of flowed through Q3, Q4, and again Q1 of 2021 as we ship that out.

You had very strong recovery in India in the fourth quarter of last year, where we had, I think, about 80% core growth. We saw some pent-up demand flow through. Of course, the overall EMV dynamic is going to have its own shape. I think those within the mobility tech arena are the big compare items we need to think about.

John Walsh
Director, Credit Suisse

Great. If you put them all together, should we expect Mobility to be up next year?

David H. Naemura
SVP and CFO, Vontier

Well, look, I want to hold off on getting too far into next year and until we've dimensionalized the nature of EMV. More to come on 2022 as we get into towards the end of the year here.

John Walsh
Director, Credit Suisse

Great. Worth a shot. Then maybe you talk about price in excess of inflation. When you think about the pricing actions you're taking, is this strategic pricing you think you'll be able to hold? Is it more of surcharge related to some type of commodity inflation or component inflation that you might have to give back? How should we think about the price capture when hopefully we get some deflation from the levels we're at today? Thank you.

Mark D. Morelli
President and CEO, Vontier

Yeah. Thanks for that question. I think it's very much strategic pricing. I think we've gone out with, and by the way, we started in Q4 of last year because we saw strategic pricing activities even before we sort of saw this sort of big inflationary thing really gained some headwind to it, or excuse me, tailwind to it. There's not actions that we're taking out there that are just sort of spot related. I think this is absolutely thought through, strategic, and there's been a couple of waves as we've seen sort of more inflationary pressure increase.

I think what's here is pretty responsible, very strategic, and I think quite appropriate. I would imagine there's a fair amount of stickiness to it.

John Walsh
Director, Credit Suisse

Great. Thanks for taking the questions.

Mark D. Morelli
President and CEO, Vontier

Thank you.

Operator

We'll take our next question from Rob Mason with Baird.

Rob Mason
VP and Senior Research Analyst, Baird

Yes, good morning. Just to follow up on that last question around price. Maybe I missed it, but did you quantify what price contributed in the second quarter and what that curve looks like as we go through the second half?

Mark D. Morelli
President and CEO, Vontier

Yeah. Comment on the pricing for full year, and then we'll give you the quarterly number here in a second. We're currently forecasting greater than 2% price for all of 2021, and this is up about 50 basis points based on our last guide of 1.5%. Then the quarterly pricing here, we'll get to you in a second.

David H. Naemura
SVP and CFO, Vontier

Yeah, it wasn't too dissimilar there in that 10%-2.5%.

Rob Mason
VP and Senior Research Analyst, Baird

Okay. Just a follow-up question around DRB, Mark. As you went about doing your work, due diligence work there, I wanted to see if you could speak to how you define the moats around that business and perhaps the competitive landscape and how they're positioned within that industry.

Mark D. Morelli
President and CEO, Vontier

Sure. They are very strong. They're the market leader of about a $900 million TAM, about 20% share. The number two player is a distant number two. What really does build a moat, specifically to get to your question, is that they get in there with a point-of-sale system, which is very sticky to have. If you look at their brand, they're the Kleenex brand in what they do in the industry.

Then what they do, which is really excellent, is they layer onto that and they build out onto that the digital offerings that I spoke about, whether they be related to analytics, customer retention, how they make the assets more productive, recurring revenue, as well as arranging payments. It's a great business model.

Operator

We will take our next question from Andrew Buscaglia with Berenberg. Your line is now open.

Andrew Buscaglia
Senior Industrials Equity Research Analyst, Berenberg

Morning, guys.

Mark D. Morelli
President and CEO, Vontier

Morning.

David H. Naemura
SVP and CFO, Vontier

Morning.

Andrew Buscaglia
Senior Industrials Equity Research Analyst, Berenberg

To achieve your 10% return on invested capital with DRB, are you going to have to assume M&A?

David H. Naemura
SVP and CFO, Vontier

No, that would be just from the purchased asset as opposed to incremental M&A within that asset.

Andrew Buscaglia
Senior Industrials Equity Research Analyst, Berenberg

Okay.

David H. Naemura
SVP and CFO, Vontier

To be clear, it's also calculated without using the piece that we're carving off for the value of the tax asset that we get. The total purchase price is $965 less $130 for the tax piece. We've got the residual of $835, which is what we consider the investment to measure ROIC.

Andrew Buscaglia
Senior Industrials Equity Research Analyst, Berenberg

Okay. Obviously this business fits quite well with your existing POS business. Can you talk about some of those synergies, some of the bigger ones? Maybe how does this business compare to that number two player, and will you be competing on deals with them?

Mark D. Morelli
President and CEO, Vontier

Yeah, sure. The leverage we get from our existing business is that, one, you see the convenience store building out in terms of services like I spoke about in the prepared remarks, and one of those is in car washes. We sell to some of the same customers you can imagine in the convenience store space on car washes. You get some sales synergy there. There's also perhaps some cost synergies.

The thing that really excites us is not just the synergy piece, which I think is there, but fairly light, but there's also a capability that springboards us into the tunnel car wash, which is growing even faster. It's the kind of infrastructure play that we really like in the sense that it's out there, it's distributed, it's in your local neighborhood and the kind of transactions that we're used to in terms of a convenience store.

This play is very familiar to us and it's something that we can work with them and exercise on growth. We like that a lot. The second part of your question, can you remind me what that was, please?

Andrew Buscaglia
Senior Industrials Equity Research Analyst, Berenberg

Oh, just how it compares to, sorry. Yeah, how it compares to your competitor?

Mark D. Morelli
President and CEO, Vontier

Yeah.

Andrew Buscaglia
Senior Industrials Equity Research Analyst, Berenberg

And then.

Mark D. Morelli
President and CEO, Vontier

Yeah.

Andrew Buscaglia
Senior Industrials Equity Research Analyst, Berenberg

Whether you can be competing on deals with them, too.

Mark D. Morelli
President and CEO, Vontier

Yeah. First of all, as a competitor, you're going to certainly compete in the marketplace. What makes us unique is that since we are controls and specifically hardware agnostic, which means we put our controls and capability and software regardless of the hardware that's in a car wash. When you look at the hardware, think of the brushes, think of the automation. There's folks that go out there and do that. Our number two competitor in the market actually is owned by somebody that owns hardware and software.

We think this makes this quite unique for us so that we can sell out there more broadly speaking to the general market. Of course, a lot of this is based on the scale that you've got, the capability you've got. We've got an outstanding product offering, and we have a new cloud-based offering that they're currently launching called Patheon, which we think is also unique to the market. There's a lot of good things happening at DRB.

Andrew Buscaglia
Senior Industrials Equity Research Analyst, Berenberg

When you say those tunnel washes, you're just talking about the automated car washes, and the driver there is just more technology upgrades in sort of an archaic industry.

Mark D. Morelli
President and CEO, Vontier

It is, yes. The tunnel specifically is a tunnel car wash that is a standalone footprint that you might recognize you would drive to, which is, like I said, standalone, not part of any other format like a convenience store. That format is actually growing more in the U.S. faster, and we have a very strong leading position there. There's also consolidation in the car wash industry, which is kind of similar to what we see in the convenience store, where some of the larger, more strategic players are buying up some of the smaller, more fragmented ones.

This actually plays to DRB's favor because they're even more strongly positioned with the stronger players in the market.

Andrew Buscaglia
Senior Industrials Equity Research Analyst, Berenberg

Got it. All right. Thank you.

Operator

We have no further questions at this time. I will turn the program back over to Mark Morelli with any additional or closing remarks.

Mark D. Morelli
President and CEO, Vontier

Thank you, Brittany, appreciate it. I just want to thank the Vontier team for our strong momentum and for embracing our core value driven to win. Certainly appreciate your participation today, and have a good weekend. Bye now.

Operator

This does conclude today's program. Thank you for your participation. You may disconnect at any time.