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Earnings Call: Q4 2023

May 17, 2023

Operator

Hello, and welcome to Viasat's Q4 fiscal year 2023 earnings conference call. Your host for today's call is Mark Dankberg, Chairman and CEO. You may proceed, Mr. Dankberg.

Mark Dankberg
Chairman and CEO, Viasat

Okay, thanks. Good afternoon, everybody. Thanks for joining us for our call today. We released our shareholder letter shortly after market close this afternoon, and it's still available on our website. We'll be referring to it on this call. Joining me on the call today are Guru Gowrappan, our new President, Kevin Harkenrider, our COO, Shawn Duffy, our Chief Financial Officer, Robert Blair, our General Counsel, and Paul Froelich from Corporate Development, and Peter Lopez from Investor Relations as well. Before we start, Robert will provide our safe harbor guidance.

Robert Blair
General Counsel, Viasat

Thanks, Mark. As you know, this discussion will contain forward-looking statements. This is a reminder that factors could cause actual results to differ materially. Additional information concerning these factors is contained in our SEC filings, including our most recent reports on Form 10-K and Form 10-Q. Copies are available from the SEC or from our website. Back to you, Mark.

Mark Dankberg
Chairman and CEO, Viasat

Thanks, Robert. Okay. To start, I'll briefly try to recap some of the business and financial highlights, and also I'd like to introduce our new President, Guru Gowrappan, and then we'll open it up for questions. For us, the biggest highlight is that our ViaSat-3 Americas satellite has arrived at its orbital location, and it's beginning its final deployments. Once that's done, we can complete in-orbit testing, and we can start bringing up the network. We're aiming to be in service around mid-summer. That's going to greatly expand our coverage and provide bandwidth to grow all of our satellite services businesses. It's been an enormous undertaking by our whole team, and I want to thank everybody for their commitment and dedication.

We've got just a few more steps to go for this first one with the Europe, Middle East, Africa satellite launching later this calendar year, and then an Asia-Pacific satellite to get almost complete global coverage. The Asia-Pacific satellite's now in integration and test at Boeing. We believe the combination of virtually global coverage, the amount of useful bandwidth per capital dollar invested, and the ability to dynamically move that bandwidth to the places with the greatest demand are unique to the designs of these satellites and will prove to be especially valuable in the global mobile markets. We now anticipate closing the Inmarsat transaction this month. We've received approval in the UK and have only two more steps to go.

We believe the transaction will be accretive to adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow on a per-share basis and can help both companies provide better services to our customers at lower costs. Both Viasat and Inmarsat have continued to grow our global mobile businesses in the 18 months since we reached agreement. Inmarsat just reported their most recent results, and you can find them on their website. We also continue to expect that together, we can bring more important innovations and growth to their L-band business as well, especially in the rapidly evolving Internet of Things and direct-to-device markets. Early in our fourth quarter, we did close the sale of our Link 16 TDL business for $1.9 billion. That increased our liquidity and significantly reduced our leverage on a standalone basis, as well as perspectively on a combined basis with Inmarsat.

Post-close, we did quickly rightsize the company to the new run rate, which reduces annual run rate operating costs by about $40 million. We presented our financial performance in the letter in terms of continuing operations. That excludes the Link 16 TDL business in prior periods and also our total results of operations, including Link 16 TDL in the periods that we owned it. Continuing operations provides context for results on a go-forward basis. We achieved new records in awards and revenue from continuing operations for fiscal year 2023 at $2.8 billion and $2.6 billion, respectively. Adjusted EBITDA from continuing operations was $501 million, and with three-quarters of TDL results prior to the Q4 sale, total adjusted EBITDA was $583 million for the year.

Q4 results on a continuing basis were good and provide momentum going into fiscal 2024. Q4 revenue from continuing operations grew 10% year-over-year to $666 million. Adjusted EBITDA from continuing operations was $124 million, which was up 21% year-over-year. In government systems, the certification of key products, some cryptographic products cleared pent-up demand that had been accruing, and that drove significant year-over-year revenue growth in the quarter. We grew our commercial in-flight connectivity in service fleet to 2,230 aircraft. We added Etihad Airways as a new airline partner, and we expanded our Delta Air Lines' free Wi-Fi initiative. We continued market testing and analysis of new ViaSat-3 era fixed broadband plans, offering significantly higher speeds and more bandwidth per subscriber.

We've been working and investing in a very capital-intensive phase for several years to develop and deploy the technology and business modelsTransform from a strong regional player into a leading global satellite services operator. Now we can see tangible evidence of the pieces coming together and the opportunity to generate real free cash flow returns from those investments. That includes not only our own business areas, but the very complimentary people, resources, and assets from Inmarsat. Given all those elements, now we need to execute and scale. To that end, I'd like to briefly introduce a new member of our leadership team, Guru Gowrappan, who joins us as President. We really wanna thank Rick Baldridge, our Vice Chairman, for all he's done for us in his operating roles.

With Guru here, Rick Baldridge will continue to support special projects and will remain on our board as Vice Chairman. Guru's previous position was at Verizon Media, CEO of the former media division that included Yahoo, AOL, Huffington Post, TechCrunch, and other media brands. He's a very accomplished leader with experience in integrating large technology operations, operating scaled internet platforms, and creating powerful global partnerships. Guru, would you like to introduce yourself?

Guru Gowrappan
President, Viasat

Sure.

Mark Dankberg
Chairman and CEO, Viasat

Please do.

Guru Gowrappan
President, Viasat

Thank you, Mark, and thanks to all of you joining us today, on my first earnings call for Viasat. I'm thrilled to have joined Viasat, a company, as you all know, with rich history of success and innovation. Our foundational technology advantage, which has delivered healthy growth over time, and we are poised for an incredible, exciting future as we continue as a team. Having dedicated my career to fostering global connectivity and interactivity across key tech consumer and B2B products, including telecommunications, I'm now embarking on my biggest mission yet. Moreover, as you know, I've joined Viasat at an inflection point with the launch of our ViaSat-3 Americas satellite, the first step in placing more than $2 billion of assets into service.

The 3 satellite constellation is expected to increase the scale of our network more than 8 times the combined bandwidth of ViaSat-1 and ViaSat-2, with the flexibility to move capacity to high-demand locations, all while expanding our coverage globally. It's also important to me that space sustainability is a priority here. We intend to grow our network where our customers are, delivering the services they want and need in a globally inclusive and environmentally sustainable manner, and all through technology innovation. Finally, the closing of Inmarsat acquisition will be great for all our stakeholders as it will accelerate our global expansion and our growth in mobility and government, areas that are well suited for our products and solutions. Inmarsat's legacy will also help us achieve our goals for global inclusive growth and space sustainability.

As our CapEx cycles wane, the deal is expected to double our free cash flow per share compared to standalone Viasat. I'm also personally very excited about the potential for growth in L-band IoT, that is Internet of Things, and direct-to-device, as it has the potential to enormously expand the number of individual customers and B2B relationships we can achieve collectively. As Mark said earlier, I do wanna congratulate the team, Rajeev, Tony, and the entire team at Inmarsat for a record quarter with growth across all of their businesses. Now, having been in the business of making impactful and rewarding connections for customers, I am humbled to be on this endeavor alongside this incredible team. Throughout my career, I've always focused on five key areas: employees and culture, technology, innovation and products, customers and partners, society, and shareholders.

I believe with hard work and relentless execution, coupled with humility and teamwork, that we can build a bright future for all our stakeholders. Our goal is to drive excellent financial performance while maximizing our impact on the world. Here at Viasat, I'm eager to collaborate with Mark, Rick, Shawn, Robert, and our entire team to do just that because the opportunities here are extraordinary. With that, I'll hand it back over to you, Mark.

Mark Dankberg
Chairman and CEO, Viasat

Good. Thanks, Guru. Thanks and welcome to Viasat. With that, we'll open it up to questions.

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, if you have a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad. If you wish to withdraw your question, simply press star one again. Your first question comes from the line of Ric Prentiss with Raymond James. Please go ahead.

Ric Prentiss
Managing Director of Communications Services, Raymond James

Thanks. Good afternoon, everybody.

Mark Dankberg
Chairman and CEO, Viasat

Hey, Rick.

Ric Prentiss
Managing Director of Communications Services, Raymond James

Hey. Good to see the finish line's getting close here for the Inmarsat deal. Can you update us as far as what's happening with the debt package? What are the terms? Are there any changes to that as you get closer to being able to close the transaction?

Shawn Duffy
CFO, Viasat

Hey, Rick. This is Shawn. You know, I think. Hey. There's still a lot of moving parts. I mean, things are, you know, looking really good as we get up to the, as you said, to the finish line here. I think, the way we look at it is, you know, we secured that package back when we signed the transaction and, you know, have, you know, all of the elements of that deal that reflect the market at the time. Are to, you know, execute on those economics. You know, I think that's the best way to shape it up.

Ric Prentiss
Managing Director of Communications Services, Raymond James

Okay. Can you just remind us of what the terms were in that package that was obviously at a different moment in time? It'd be great. Just remind us what the terms were.

Shawn Duffy
CFO, Viasat

Yeah, you know, we didn't. Those aren't public, Rick, but, you know, I think, obviously they're more favorable than we are today.

Ric Prentiss
Managing Director of Communications Services, Raymond James

Sure. Probably why I can't remember it. The following that line, Guru, first welcome, I should have said that first. Help us understand, you mentioned a couple times about how, you know, you've done a lot of integration with technology items. As you look at this integration of Viasat and Inmarsat, help us understand what your top priorities are gonna be there, what's the timeline like, and could there be any segment reporting changes?

Mark Dankberg
Chairman and CEO, Viasat

Okay. on what our top priorities are, one is, you know, as we said, really intending to grow in the global mobile markets. You know, we're really open from a broadband basis. There are markets in which we both participate, and those are government, commercial in-flight, business jets, and maritime markets are the main ones. You know, what we really are aiming to do is to get the best of both companies in there. You know, I think that's one of our main priorities, is if you look at the kinda go-to-market differences between the companies, Viasat has tended to be primarily direct sales. That requires more technical support. It delivers lower margins. Gives us a little more control of the customer experience.

On the other hand, Inmarsat's margins are very good. They tend to be primarily wholesale. They have an existing global network. There are attributes of each company's business models and service delivery techniques that we think we wanna combine. That's one of our, you know, most important ones. You know, we, just to be clear, we place great value on the distribution relationships that Inmarsat has. We expect to continue them. We may be able to augment some of the ways in which we deliver services to our distribution partners. In other cases, you know, like connectivity, we provide a greater range of services than some of their distribution partners do.

That issue of kind of capture the best of both is high on our list. Another one that we really wanna emphasize is integrating the two networks. One of the real attractions of the combination of Viasat and Inmarsat is that we both operate Ka-band networks. That, there's some really important synergy operate opportunities by being able to make, over time, the platforms that we support work across each of the networks. You know, obviously with the Inmarsat network will be instantly global even before we get the Viasat, the next two Viasat-3 satellites.

With the ViaSat-3 satellites, our depth in coverage will be much greater, and I think that will allow us to extend some of the services that we've done so successfully in the U.S. on it to work on a global basis. I'd say those are probably the top two priorities. Then the next one is to really apply some of the technologies that we've been developing here at ViaSat into the L-band markets. Ultimately, what we see is a lot of opportunity in the L-band markets if we can do some of the same things that we've done in the Ka-band markets using some of those same technologies, which are to increase the speeds, increase the amount of bandwidth that we can offer, and drive down airtime prices. We're really excited about the opportunities there. I'd say those are kind of our top three priorities.

Guru Gowrappan
President, Viasat

Mark, if I can add, and Rick, thanks for the comment earlier. What I would say on top of it, when you think about integration, we have a very good plan in place. You know, as and when the deal gets closed. Lot of focus is, if you look at performance of individual companies, as Mark said, there are things that are working well, and we wanna make sure we don't miss a beat on those things, including, you saw the latest results from Inmarsat for the last quarter. We wanna make sure we maintain that, and then these incremental things, as Mark talked to, we at least have a good thinking and plan in place to start executing on.

Ric Prentiss
Managing Director of Communications Services, Raymond James

We'll wrap up on that third opportunity, L-band. Is there opportunity for S-band as well in this directed device category? How long does this business take to take off, the directed device, and what do you need to have in place besides just the spectrum?

Mark Dankberg
Chairman and CEO, Viasat

Yeah, you know, the opportunity I think for direct devices is really gonna be driven by the When we talk directed device, a lot of times what people are referring to are devices that are primarily intended to operate on terrestrial networks, but that can also work directly on satellite networks. The big opportunities are especially there for those frequencies that are easy to integrate into those terrestrial devices. That includes both L-band and S-band. You know, There are different approaches to it. One of the things that we think is a big advantage of being able to do that with dedicated licensed MSS spectrum is that spectrum won't interfere with the terrestrial frequencies that those terrestrial devices operate on.

We think that that'll allow us to address geographic locations, many geographic locations that are within the coverage areas of terrestrial networks, but just get poor service for a variety of reasons. You know, poor placements of cell towers, shadowing, all of those kinds of things. That, that's to me, one of the big attractions of using licensed MSS spectrum. You know, one of the things that's going to be a challenge in the rate of growth is that these are new capabilities for those devices. The market can't scale any faster than the market for serving those devices can't scale faster than those devices get to market.

On the other hand, one of the really attractive things about us and Inmarsat, and both having existing L-band MSS businesses, is that we can evolve that without having a big ramp-up period. That's one of our objectives, is we think that the same techniques that will make our services available and attractive to these terrestrial devices will also expand the market for the existing dedicated MSS devices, and we can provide much better services. That's what our objective is. You know, we see that not as a, it's not gonna be an instant thing, but we think it's a really attractive growth market for us.

Ric Prentiss
Managing Director of Communications Services, Raymond James

Great. Appreciate it. It was very well.

Mark Dankberg
Chairman and CEO, Viasat

Thanks, Ric .

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Simon Flannery with Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.

Simon Flannery
Managing Director and Senior Equity Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Great. Thank you very much. Good evening, and Guru, good to connect with you again. Could we talk about IFC for a minute? First, any color on the backlog? Sounds like you've been continuing to win there. What's the outlook in terms of adding additional aircraft and growing volume on those aircrafts? What are you seeing in terms of the competitive landscape, the openness of the airlines to consider some of these LEO constellations? Is that something that they are exploring or they really prefer the GEO solution for now?

Mark Dankberg
Chairman and CEO, Viasat

Okay. One, our in-flight business has been really, really good. You know, we've, I think we've got a backlog of over 1,300 planes. Even though we've been installing at a high rate, we've been winning at an even higher rate, which is great. Great for us. I think that the... I mean, I think the reason we've been successful are the things that we've been highlighting to the airlines, which is, kind of the simplest way to put it is like, you know, 3, 4 years ago, you know.

If you wanted to impress an airline, you know, with your capabilities on in-flight connectivity, you'd fly an airplane around and show them a speed of 100 megabits or 200 megabits, they go, "Hey, that looks fast, isn't that good?" I think what the airlines have really come to appreciate is what's really hard is serving the peak demands at the busiest airports, especially those airports that have not only airline traffic, but are on port cities and have maritime traffic. There are other traffic as well.

It's that geographic concentration of demand that I think is really gonna be the most challenging issue. From our perspective, you know, what we're hearing from the airlines is they want a good solution that offers their passengers, I mean, not only the connectivity, but, you know, the connectivity is pretty closely intertwined with their entertainment options, both live and stored entertainment. But yeah, of course, they're open to LEO, GEO, LEO, whatever. You know, whatever will allow them to deliver the services that their passengers want, you know, affordably, I think that's what they're gonna be open to. We're gonna make sure that we're competitive there. That's what's driving us. I think this Inmarsat transaction is gonna really help us do that.

Guru Gowrappan
President, Viasat

What.

Mark Dankberg
Chairman and CEO, Viasat

Go ahead.

Guru Gowrappan
President, Viasat

Simon, sorry, great to reconnect. The other point I would just say what Mark's saying. In the end, great products win. I think what we have is a much superior experience and product. That's why the backlog and how we've been winning the customers as well. That speaks to our core product and technology.

Simon Flannery
Managing Director and Senior Equity Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Great. Then on the consumer broadband, you've been constrained on capacity for several years now. What do you think the TAM is? Is it 5% of U.S. households? We've obviously seen Starlink make some strides there. How does your product stack up against that as we-

Mark Dankberg
Chairman and CEO, Viasat

Yeah, and-.

Simon Flannery
Managing Director and Senior Equity Analyst, Morgan Stanley

look to, commercialize ViaSat-3?

Mark Dankberg
Chairman and CEO, Viasat

Sure. Yeah, I think, you know, if you define the addressable market for satellite broadband broadly to be those homes where we, the satellite industry, can deliver a service that is, you know, I'd say better, you know, than what they can get from a terrestrial option. That's how you define it. Don't think of it as generally, you know, the hurdle for doing that has continued to rise. If you can deliver 25, 50, 100 megabits per second, and you can deliver sufficient bandwidth to allow people to meet their streaming needs, that's gonna be competitive in probably what today is roughly 10-15 million homes.

What we're anticipating is that, say, by, you know, 5 years to the end of the decade, that may go down to 5 million-7 million homes if the infrastructure build-out that's currently contemplated is, you know, comes to fruition. That's kind of both where we are and where we think the market's heading. We think that, you know, our objectives are really to capture a reasonable, I'd say a reasonably modest portion of that growth for Viasat broadband. Yeah, that market is a reasonably conservative, moderate version, share of that market.

Simon Flannery
Managing Director and Senior Equity Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Great. All right. Thanks.

Mark Dankberg
Chairman and CEO, Viasat

Thanks, Simon.

Operator

As a reminder, if you have a question, it is star one on your telephone keypad. Your next question comes from the line of Mike Crawford with B. Riley. Please go ahead.

Mike Crawford
Senior Managing Director and Head of the Discovery Group, B. Riley Securities

Thank you. Just to return to the first question about the debt. I thought there was some public disclosure that you had that agreement was in place through the end of May. Is that you would potentially need to renegotiate in something if it, if the close extended past two weeks from now?

Shawn Duffy
CFO, Viasat

Yeah. You know, Mike, this is Shawn. I think the way I look at it is, you know, as I said, it's still lots of moving parts, but, you know, I think we've had some really good milestones and we're trying to, you know, close within our expected timeframes. Again, agree, there's lots of moving parts.

Mike Crawford
Senior Managing Director and Head of the Discovery Group, B. Riley Securities

There was not a end of May component?

Shawn Duffy
CFO, Viasat

The financing did have a timeframe to it. Absolutely. It stretched a bit originally beyond the original SPA date. I think it's right around that time period is a good time.

Mike Crawford
Senior Managing Director and Head of the Discovery Group, B. Riley Securities

Okay. Thank you. Changing topics. In the FCC's NPRM for single network future with supplemental coverage from space and your comments, Viasat's argument for a technology neutral approach that enables GSO systems in addition to non-geostationary systems to participate in, you know, direct to handset connectivity. The rules aren't proposed there that way. Do you care to handicap the likelihood that the FCC is gonna include GSO when by the time we get a final report and order here?

Mark Dankberg
Chairman and CEO, Viasat

Okay. That's a little bit complicated. One thing is, there's no restriction on the devices that can be used with geosynchronous networks, right? If the geosynchronous networks are capable of closing those links with the service level, the availability, and the price points that customers want, they're gonna be completely fine. There's already work underway, both in the U.S. and globally to both demonstrate that and to bring those services to market. It's a little bit of a complicated regulatory environment.

What we think, and we think this is, and we've kind of said this for both broadband markets as well as the narrowband direct-to-device markets, is that we think that the solution's going to end up being a combination of geosynchronous and non-geosynchronous satellites. You know, one of the biggest issues in this direct-to-device market is going to be the geographic concentration of demand. Because especially in the direct-to-device market, the amount of demand there will be, you know, over oceans or in unpopulated areas is not nearly as great as it will be in the population centers, especially in an environment where you can use dedicated licensed spectrum and conserve those populated areas that have all those kind of thin black spots. I think it's a dynamic area, but we don't see any reason that it's gonna be exclusive to any particular orbit.

Mike Crawford
Senior Managing Director and Head of the Discovery Group, B. Riley Securities

Okay. Thank you, Mark. Just one separate last question from me is, previously you were building a test beyond line of sight satellite that used Link 16, and I think that went with the Link 16 sale. Does Viasat retain the capability and or desire to consider being a merchant satellite manufacturer?

Mark Dankberg
Chairman and CEO, Viasat

Two things. One is the contracts that we had for Link 16 in space did go with the TDL sale. We still, you know, we still have working relationships around Link 16 with L3Harris. But there's also other tactical Link programs other than Link 16 in and around L-band that are interesting to terrestrial radio customers. We are continuing to work on that. And that's one of the attractions of the cellular band direct-to-device market is that it does open some really unique defense opportunities that are outside of the Link 16, that are outside the Link 16 area. We are still working those.

Mike Crawford
Senior Managing Director and Head of the Discovery Group, B. Riley Securities

Just to ancillary to that, does the TrellisWare TSM waveform fit into all this?

Mark Dankberg
Chairman and CEO, Viasat

It certainly could. That's possible.

Mike Crawford
Senior Managing Director and Head of the Discovery Group, B. Riley Securities

Okay. Thank you.

Mark Dankberg
Chairman and CEO, Viasat

Thanks, Mike.

Operator

There are no further questions at this time. I will turn the call back to Mark Dankberg.

Mark Dankberg
Chairman and CEO, Viasat

Okay. Well, thanks very much, everybody, for joining us this time, and we'll look forward to speaking with you again next quarter.

Operator

This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for joining. You may now disconnect your lines.

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