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Earnings Call: Q2 2021

Aug 3, 2021

Operator

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. Thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Westlake Chemical Corporation Second Quarter 2021 Earnings Conference Call. During this presentation, all participants will be in a listen-only mode. After the speaker's remarks, you will be invited to participate in a question and answer session. As a reminder, ladies and gentlemen, this conference is being recorded today, August 3rd, 2021. I would now like to turn the call over to today's host, Jeff Holy, Westlake's Vice President and Treasurer. Sir, you may begin.

Jeff Holy
VP and Treasurer, Westlake Chemical

Thank you, Julia. Good morning, everyone, and welcome to the Westlake Chemical Corporation second quarter 2021 conference call. I'm joined today by Albert Chao, our President and CEO, Steve Bender, our Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, and other members of our management team. The conference call agenda will begin with Albert, who will open with a few comments regarding Westlake's performance and the current perspective on the industry. Steve will provide a more detailed look at our financial and operating results. Finally, Albert will add a few concluding comments, and we will then open the call up to questions. During this call, we refer to ourselves as Westlake Chemical. Any reference to Westlake Partners is to the master limited partnership, Westlake Chemical Partners, LP, and similar references to OpCo refer to our subsidiary, Westlake Chemical OpCo LP, which owns certain olefins facilities.

Today, management is going to discuss certain topics that will contain forward-looking information that is based on management's beliefs as well as assumptions made by and information currently available to management. These forward-looking statements suggest predictions or expectations and thus are subject to risks or uncertainties. Actual results could differ materially based upon many factors, including the cyclical nature of the industries in which we compete, availability, cost, and volatility of raw materials, energy and utilities, governmental regulatory actions, changes in trade policy and political unrest, global economic conditions, including the impact of the coronavirus, industry production capacity and operating rates, impacts of extreme weather events. The conditions to the closing of Boral, LASCO, and Dimex acquisitions may not be satisfied, or the closing of either acquisition otherwise may not occur.

The supply-demand balance for Westlake's products, competitive products and pricing pressures, access to capital markets, technological developments, and other risk factors as discussed in our SEC filings. This morning, Westlake issued a press release with details of our second quarter results. This document is available in the press release section of our webpage at westlake.com. We have also posted a presentation on our website to review the second quarter results. A replay of today's call will be available beginning today, two hours following the conclusion of this call. This replay may be accessed by dialing the following numbers. Domestic callers should dial 855-859-2056. International callers may access the replay at 404-537-3406. The access code for both numbers is 4594733.

Please note that information reported on this call speaks only as of today, August 3rd, 2021, and therefore you're advised that time-sensitive information may no longer be accurate as of the time of any replay. I would finally advise you that this conference call is being broadcast live through an internet webcast system that can be accessed on our webpage at westlake.com. Now, I would like to turn the call over to Albert Chao. Albert?

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

Thank you, Jeff. Good morning, everyone. We appreciate you joining us to discuss our record second quarter 2021 results. In this morning's press release, we reported record net income excluding prior one-time tax benefits for the second quarter of 2021 of $522 million or $4.04 per share, as well as quarterly records for net sales, operating income, and EBITDA. Net income for the quarter increased $507 million from the second quarter of 2020, demonstrating the strength of our business amid the economic recovery and expansion from the impacts of the pandemic. Before we delve into our record results, I just wanted to make some brief comments on our recent acquisitions. Westlake's leading positions in PVC siding, trim and molding, compounds, pipe and fittings provide our residential and commercial customers with a comprehensive building product portfolio of PVC products and solutions.

We have recently announced two acquisitions in the building and construction materials space that will provide exciting new platforms of growth and development for Westlake. In June, we announced we will be acquiring Boral North America's building products business. This acquisition will place Westlake into leading positions in concrete and clay roofing, premium PVC siding, trim and shutters, decorative stone, and PVC windows, creating new strategic product platforms complementary to our existing building products business. These products improve the energy efficiency, durability, and value in residential housing, schools, hospitals, other buildings, while enhancing the everyday lives of countless individuals. Additionally, we announced in July that we will acquire LASCO Fittings, a leading manufacturer of injection molded PVC pipe fittings. The addition of LASCO will further expand our PVC fittings offering footprint into additional markets, serving the plumbing, pool and spa, industrial, irrigation and retail markets in North America.

This product mix is also complementary to our existing product portfolio of PVC pipe and larger diameter fittings. Yesterday, we announced plans to acquire Dimex LLC, one of the largest processors of recycled plastic material in the U.S. Dimex, a producer of a variety of consumer products made from processed post-industrial recycled PVC, polyethylene and thermoplastic elastomer, and sells these consumer products to national retailers for home and commercial uses. We anticipate closing these transactions in the second half of this year and look forward to welcoming Boral, LASCO and Dimex employees to the Westlake family. Now turning to our second quarter results. Our earnings for the second quarter of 2021 reflect the robust demand for most of our products and strong pricing environment.

The strength in global demand in PVC and polyethylene, resulting from the growth in building and construction and the strength in consumer packaged goods, drove price increases and margin expansions across both of our business segments. The 23% year-over-year increase in U.S. housing permits demonstrated the strength in residential construction activity that is driving U.S. demand for PVC, benefiting both our vinyls and downstream building products businesses. The demographics of the U.S. population in peak household formation ages, paired with the lack of housing starts over the last 10 years and limited global PVC capacity additions, created secular and structural strengths in demand for PVC and building and construction materials. In our Olefins segment, Westlake experienced strong margins as the polyethylene industry experienced strong ongoing global consumer packaging product demand and tight inventory conditions due to lingering effects of the severe winter storm in February.

Westlake has made significant progress in our strategic growth plans this year, and with the tight supply-demand picture, we believe our businesses are very well positioned going forward. I would now like to turn our call over to Steve to provide more detail on our financial and operating results for the second quarter.

Steve Bender
EVP and CFO, Westlake Chemical

Thank you, Albert, and good morning, everyone. I will start with discussing our consolidated financial results, and then we'll go into a more detailed review of our Vinyl and Olefins segment results. In the second quarter, Westlake benefited from the continuing global economic expansion, resulting in healthy demand for a majority of our products. We reported net income of $522 million, which excluded the one-time tax benefit of $591 million in the fourth quarter of 2017, is a quarterly record for Westlake. In addition, we reported record income from operations of $720 million and record EBITDA of $932 million for the second quarter of 2021. The $507 million increase in year-over-year net income is a result of significantly higher sales prices and margins for PVC resin and polyethylene, as well as strong earnings in our building and construction materials business.

Second quarter 2021 net income increased by $280 million from first quarter 2021 net income of $242 million. The increase in net income was largely attributable to the higher sales prices and margins for PVC resin and polyethylene. As Albert noted earlier, our higher sales prices and margins were driven by global strong demand in construction and building materials, as well as consumer packaged goods. Our building and construction materials business also continued to experience strong results as North American housing demand remained robust. For the first six months of 2021, net income was $764 million or $5.91 per share, an increase of $604 million from the first six months of 2020. The increase in net income was attributable to higher global sales prices for our major products, driven by a rebound in demand for our product offerings.

First six months of 2021 did reflect approximately $120 million impact caused by Winter Storm Uri, but continued strong demand drove higher product margins for PVC resin and polyethylene as a result of higher prices. Our utilization of the FIFO method of accounting resulted in a less than $1 million difference compared to what earnings would have been if we reported on the LIFO method. This is only an estimate and has not been audited. Let's move on to discuss the performance of our two segments, starting with the Vinyl segment. The robust global demand for PVC was anchored by strong global construction activity. Our building and construction materials business continued to benefit from robust North American residential construction in repair and remodeling demand.

These factors drove higher PVC sales prices in the segment, and we benefited from strong integrated margins during the quarter. For the second quarter of 2021, Vinyls operating income was a record $435 million, increasing $415 million from the prior year period as average sales prices increased 54% and sales volumes increased 9%, driving higher margins for PVC resin. We also benefited in the second quarter by solid earnings driven by strong sales prices and volumes in our building and construction materials business. For the second quarter of 2021, Vinyls operating income increased $235 million from first quarter 2021 as a result of average sales prices being up over 18%, higher sales volumes from PVC resin, and strong earnings in our building and construction materials business, driven by higher prices.

In our Olefins business, robust global demand for consumer product packaging drove polyethylene prices higher in the second quarter and expanded margins. Industry consultants reported polyethylene price increases in the second quarter of $0.19 per pound and average sales prices for Olefins segment were up 26% in the quarter. Olefins second quarter 2021 operating income of $277 million increased to $252 million from the second quarter of 2020, driven by strong pricing and margins that were partially offset by lower sales volumes resulting from the lingering effects of Winter Storm Uri and our own planned maintenance activities. For the second quarter of 2021, Olefins operating income increased $97 million from first quarter 2021, primarily due to higher sales prices and margins. Next, let's turn our attention to the balance sheet and statement of cash flows.

We generated $617 million in cash flows from operations in Q2 2021, resulting in total cash and cash equivalents of $1.8 billion. Second quarter 2021 capital expenditures were $129 million. We maintain a long-dated debt maturity profile with a weighted average debt maturity of 13 years while maintaining strong credit metrics anchoring our investment-grade balance sheet. Now, to address some of your modeling questions, we expect our effective tax rate for the full year of 2021 to be approximately 23% and a cash tax rate of approximately 20%. Our capital expenditures forecast for the year is expected to be between $750 million-$850 million. We are planning for a turnaround of our Petro II E thylene Unit to begin in September of this year. We expect this turnaround and associated outage to last approximately 60 days.

With that, I'll now turn the call back to Albert to make some closing comments. Albert?

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

Thank you, Steve. Westlake's customer-focused product portfolio is well positioned to continue to benefit from the strong demand environment we are experiencing. This quarter's results illustrate the earnings capacity of Westlake and highlights the value of our products and our high level of integration, which extends through the value chain from natural gas liquids and other feedstocks through to consumer building products. As supply chains and manufacturing fully recover to meet the globally strong demand for consumer and industrial products, Westlake is well positioned to continue to deliver strong results. We see PVC supply-demand fundamentals remaining favorable with a growth in demand more than offsetting the limited global supply additions. We also believe that rebounding manufacturing activity will drive caustic supply-demand fundamentals to improve. We see the global strength in construction, especially North America residential construction and repair/remodeling activity, continuing to drive demand for our building and construction materials.

In our Olefins business, demand remains robust as essential everyday products such as consumer packaging and healthcare drive polyethylene volumes. The strategic acquisitions of Boral North America and LASCO provide Westlake the springboard to significantly leverage our participation in the strong housing and repair/remodeling market by adding to our current product portfolio. Housing starts increased again in May and are projected to continue to rise. The secular strength in housing and repair/remodeling, supported by limited supply of single-family homes due to a decade of under-building on compelling demographics of home buyers in the U.S. The proposed $1 trillion infrastructure bill would also significantly benefit our building and construction materials business and drive construction demand for many years. Our ongoing growth initiatives are driving expansion of complementary products to our existing portfolio, which when coupled with strong market growth, will deliver value for our shareholders.

We will continue to look at opportunities that both further our strategy of adding complementary assets as well as increasing our vertical integration capabilities in all of our business segments to deliver good returns to our shareholders. We will do this through the lens of being a good corporate citizen by applying the tenets of ESG as part of a commitment to building a more sustainable future. As discussed last quarter, a part of our green initiatives includes the introduction of green caustic soda, known as GreenVin, which has a reduced CO2 impact of more than 30% compared to conventional caustic soda. The planned acquisition of Dimex adds to our green portfolio of products. We will continue to develop products that are in line with our sustainability goals while meeting the needs for greener products and deliver value to our shareholders.

We are dedicated to our core tenets, namely, to protect the health and safety of our employees, deliver on our value commitments to our customers, and be an environmentally and socially responsible corporate citizen while strengthening all aspects of our company. Anchored by these values, we are confident Westlake is well-positioned to serve the growing worldwide needs of our customers while maintaining financial discipline, which combined with the strong fundamentals of our business, enables us to deliver long-term value to our shareholders. Thank you very much for listening to our second quarter earnings call. Now I'll turn the call back over to Jeff.

Jeff Holy
VP and Treasurer, Westlake Chemical

Thank you, Albert. Before we begin to take questions, I would like to remind you that a replay of this teleconference will be available two hours after the call has ended. We'll provide that number again at the end of the call. Julia, we'll now take questions.

Operator

As a reminder, if you would like to ask a question, press star, then the number one on your telephone keypad. We'll pause for just a moment to compile the Q&A roster. Your first question comes from the line of David Begleiter.

Speaker 5

Thank you. Albert Chao and Steve Bender, have your July polyethylene contract settled yet? If they did, where do they settle?

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

Yes, we believe the July polyethylene contracts will be up $0.05 a pound.

Speaker 5

Very good. The consultants are calling for some erosion over the next four to five, six months here. Do you agree with that conclusion or do you think we'll see a little more stability and resiliency in polyethylene pricing?

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

As we said, the demand for polyethylene is still very strong and some of the industry players has announced further price increases in August. We believe with a global recovering economy, even though we know there's a Delta variant that's being quite contagious, but we believe the demand for our product is still very strong. The industry and customers inventories are not that high. We're not back to the pre-pandemic levels yet. We believe with strong demand, and there's some capacity coming up, but it's on year end of the year or next year, and globally. We believe that prices will be good. Now, would it go down a bit? Probably. The prices are very good today and the industry can weather some of the price volatilities.

Speaker 5

Thank you.

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

You're welcome.

Operator

Your next question comes from Hassan Ahmed from Alembic Global Advisors.

Hassan Ahmed
Analyst, Alembic Global Advisors

Morning, Albert and Steve.

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

Good morning, Hassan.

Hassan Ahmed
Analyst, Alembic Global Advisors

A question around the chlorine update, and a two-part question. One is basically, Olin, obviously being one of the largest producers out in North America, has been talking about walking away from lower integration business, right? With that in mind, and I said earlier that they're looking into sort of getting into sort of rethinking certain contracts, moving certain long-term contracts and the like. The two questions I have around that are you sort of reconsidering your contracts as well? I understand a large chunk of your chlorine is integrated, but you do sell into the merchant market as well. That's one side of it. The second side of it is that it seems that there is upward mobility in the pricing of chlorine, and it seems that that may happen over the next couple of years.

How do you see the PVC cost curve changing with that in mind? How do you consider Westlake's positioning in this evolving world?

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

Certainly. Yes. As you know, that Westlake is well integrated downstream to our PVC business. We look through the value chain as where to maximize our optimized return to our company and to our shareholders. We have contracts. We certainly honor our contracts. When contracts come in due, we certainly would work with our customers, many of them are very long-term customers, and to get value where the market dictates. We have a lot more avenues to integrate our chlorine versus some of competitors with limited avenues. As you know, the PVC margin today is very good. Certainly, we try to maximize the PVC value chain. Absolutely, I think all the companies, everybody's doing the best for the company and also looking out interest for their long-term customers. We'll balance those two needs.

Hassan Ahmed
Analyst, Alembic Global Advisors

Understood. Moving towards the ethylene polyethylene side of things. One of the largest sort of producers of polyethylene in North America recently went on record talking about how the consultant's view is that between now and 2025, there is an expectation of around 31 million tons of polyethylene capacity to come online. This company's view is that 6 million-15 million tons of those 31 million tons may either get delayed beyond 2025 or canceled. I'd love to hear the Westlake view about that.

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

Certainly, there's a lot of capacity being announced, especially in Asia, especially in China. As well as some few ethylene plants that's being announced but hasn't gotten into final stages of building, starting, breaking grounds yet. We are aware of all these projects. We believe that time will tell whether all these announced projects will go ahead. As we know that China, even though they're the largest consumer market for polyethylene, they're still a net importer of polyethylene. I think U.S. is still a large exporter of polyethylene. What China does has a big bearing on the future supply-demand dynamics for polyethylene globally.

Hassan Ahmed
Analyst, Alembic Global Advisors

Very helpful, Albert. Thank you so much.

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

You're very welcome.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of John McNulty from BMO Capital Markets.

Speaker 7

Hi, Albert Chao and Steve. It's [Abey] for John. Quick question on Dimex. One of the comments made in your press release was that Dimex is one of the largest processors of recycled plastics in the country. Can you provide some detail on the overall market for recycled plastics? How do you see it growing, and then how the margins are for the existing platform?

Steve Bender
EVP and CFO, Westlake Chemical

Dimex is, as we said in the release, one of the largest players in this recycled materials business. We see this business as a growing opportunity. You can see that they recycle and reuse and manufacture products coming from PVC, polyethylene, and TPE. We continue to see this as a growing important market, and certainly the opportunity is there. You saw in the release that we said their business is over $100 million in size, and we certainly see very good margins in that business going forward. That's the basis behind, I think, a very good investment, and we expect to see good returns in the investment in Dimex.

Speaker 7

Got it. Within your building products business, are you still seeing issues around supply chains and logistics constraints? If you could you add some color as to how much of the potential of that platform is currently subdued because of those issues?

Steve Bender
EVP and CFO, Westlake Chemical

You're cutting out. Can I get you to repeat that question? You were cutting out during parts of the question.

Speaker 7

This is a question around the building products platform. Are you still seeing issues around supply chains and logistics constraints in the country? If you are, how much of the earnings potential of the platform is currently being subdued because of this?

Steve Bender
EVP and CFO, Westlake Chemical

Well, I would say certainly, there have been some challenges really given the logistics and supply chains. Some of these are additives and plasticizers and such. We have multiple suppliers that allow us to be able to jockey through those kinds of challenges. Certainly, we've seen some opportunities continue to grow the business and the ability to continue to meet this growing market demand. Those challenges, while they are sometimes there, we've been able to adjust and adapt with our multi-sourcing approach in meeting the needs of our customers by sourcing with alternative suppliers, if need be, for some of those additives and plasticizers.

Speaker 7

Okay, and just one final topic question. Where did PVC prices close for July?

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

Yeah. I think PVC was flat.

Steve Bender
EVP and CFO, Westlake Chemical

Flat for the month.

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

Flat for July.

Steve Bender
EVP and CFO, Westlake Chemical

Are you asking for July? Flat for July.

Speaker 7

Okay, awesome. Thank you so much.

Steve Bender
EVP and CFO, Westlake Chemical

You're welcome.

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

You're welcome.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Steve Byrne from Bank of America.

Steve Byrne
Analyst, Bank of America

Yes, thank you. I hope you can hear me. The echo on our end is terrible. I recently complained to Jeff Holy about the cost of some PVC fittings that were in the $10 a pound range, not the $1 a pound range on your slide 13. All I got from Jeff was a smile. Perhaps you can comment on how much of that $10 a pound is your margin versus a Home Depot or maybe more broadly, how would you characterize the margin in your building products business versus the rest of the vinyls?

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

Yeah. Building product business is doing quite well, and we are passing our resin price increases, the cost increases along. Sometimes there's a time lag. By and large, we're able to pass through some price increases. Depending on the products, sometimes we extend the margin as well. We see a very strong demand for all our downstream building products for the rest of the year and some of it into next year.

Steve Byrne
Analyst, Bank of America

As you build out this platform, are you at the point where you have some negotiating leverage with the home centers and the specialty construction distributors, where you can offer them a broader portion of the shelf space and thus have some negotiating leverage, or are you not there yet?

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

No, you are absolutely right. Part of our synergy is we are much more important to distributors and retailers for our products. We have more products to offer. Today, in the building products area, having supply is more important to customers. We are almost literally hand to mouth in terms of deliveries. I think the other gentleman talked about logistics. Sometimes it's hard to find truck drivers, and some cause delivery delays. By and large, we are becoming more important to our customers, and we like it. We like to be more important to them, and we've been working with them for many years. They like us to become larger and more relevant to their business. I think it's a win-win for both parties.

Steve Byrne
Analyst, Bank of America

Thank you.

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

You're welcome.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Kevin McCarthy from Vertical Research Partners.

Kevin McCarthy
Analyst, Vertical Research Partners

Good morning.

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

Good morning.

Kevin McCarthy
Analyst, Vertical Research Partners

With regard to your building products business, can you speak to your medium to long-term strategy? That is, how do you think this business will be different in three to five years relative to 2021? Also, can you speak to your capability to integrate three pending acquisitions? What does your future pipeline look like? Is three enough for now, or does it remain quite active?

Steve Bender
EVP and CFO, Westlake Chemical

Kevin, as we think about the building construction materials business, you can see that we continue to see a very good outlook, both in the residential construction and certainly in some of the commercial construction opportunities. We look forward to really participating with our distributors for the products to expand that portfolio offering that Boral and LASCO certainly bring. As you think about the three transactions that we've recently announced, the answer is, of course, we are very comfortable that we can integrate these businesses into the broader Westlake, and we look forward to welcoming all those employees into the family of Westlake. Certainly, there'll be a lot of activity in terms of that involvement, you can see that there is the chemical side of the business that we'll continue to look for opportunities to invest in.

We have been investing organically, as you know well, over the last couple of years, with expansions in PVC and investments in the LACC ethylene joint venture. We'll continue to look for opportunities to invest on the chemical side as well. I'm very confident that the leadership team and the fellow employees will be able to well integrate these three transactions. The opportunity to grow the business is something that we've done over time, and I'm comfortable that we can continue to look for opportunities going forward.

Kevin McCarthy
Analyst, Vertical Research Partners

Mm-hmm. How would you describe the future pipeline?

Steve Bender
EVP and CFO, Westlake Chemical

I think the opportunity set is out there. I think the answer always is looking for the right value set that we see. Clearly, our focus is generating a bottom-line return, risk-adjusted. Certainly, we're very comfortable that we can find the synergies in these transactions to achieve that return and bring these values to our shareholders. When you think of the pipeline of opportunities out there are a number of interesting opportunities, but it's always a function of is the value proposition to our shareholders what we believe it should be. That's really where we get very focused on making sure the value for any opportunity is going to drive long-term sustainable value for all of our stakeholders.

Kevin McCarthy
Analyst, Vertical Research Partners

Understood. Thank you very much.

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

Kevin, I just want to add also that we are looking for more recycled plastic. As you know, there's a lot of plastic waste out there in the world. With the introduction of Dimex, we plan to add more recycled plastic materials into our consumer products. Also, with our GreenVin, we'll plan to introduce more lower carbon products into our building products material as well. I think talking about the next five years, I think the whole industry, the world is marching towards lower carbon emission products and lighter weight energy efficiency. That's the plan we plan to move towards too.

Kevin McCarthy
Analyst, Vertical Research Partners

That makes sense. Thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Mike Sison from Wells Fargo.

Mike Sison
Analyst, Wells Fargo

Hey, nice quarter.

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

Thank you.

Mike Sison
Analyst, Wells Fargo

Do you think you could grow Vinyls EBITDA in 2022 ex acquisitions?

Steve Bender
EVP and CFO, Westlake Chemical

Mike, when you think of the opportunity set to do that, remember, we added significant capacity in PVC in late 2019. As we think about the full run rate into next year. This year, we've begun to ramp that up with sales of those incremental pounds as we started in late 2019. 2020 was a challenge, as we all know, with COVID. As we think about the run rate from 2021 into 2022, we continue to see good volume growth opportunities. We've talked about those in Geismar and those in Germany, where we've expanded our vinyl footprint. We continue to look for the completion of several smaller debottlenecks as well in the U.S. in the vinyl space. We continue to see solid demand, and that allows us to put those incremental pounds into the marketplace.

Mike Sison
Analyst, Wells Fargo

Got it. Do you think PVC margins could continue to improve in the second half and into 2022?

Steve Bender
EVP and CFO, Westlake Chemical

We've seen significant strong demand in this marketplace. I know the consultants show some seasonal weakening because of the seasonal demand that you see during the construction season. As you have noted over the last couple of years, we've actually had a construction season that extended well into the latter quarters of the year and well into the traditional slow season for construction activities. As long as we see the strong demand that we currently see continuing, and we do, the issue is more of a weather driven issue than it is anything else. The market remains relatively snug from a materials perspective and inventory level. Demand remains pretty strong, and it's really a function of does weather cooperate with us, and can we continue to have a construction season well into the winter season as we have over the last two years?

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

Yeah. IHS, the industry consultant, are forecasting the average price for next year, 2022 PVC, higher than the average for 2021 by about $0.03 a pound.

Mike Sison
Analyst, Wells Fargo

Thank you.

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

You're welcome.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Frank Mitsch, Fermium Research.

Frank Mitsch
Analyst, Fermium Research

Good morning and congrats on the record results.

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

Thank you. Good morning.

Frank Mitsch
Analyst, Fermium Research

As I look at the second quarter to the third quarter, could you size the negative impact of turnaround and unplanned outages by segment in the second quarter, and talk about what you anticipate the expected negative impacts are here in 3Q from turnaround and unplanned outages? Obviously, you have the Petro II turnaround. I am just trying to get a sense of the order of magnitude from 2Q to 3Q from it.

Steve Bender
EVP and CFO, Westlake Chemical

Yeah. Frank, it's Steve. We don't have any other major turnaround other than the Petro turnaround occurring in the third quarter. It's really just that outage that we expect for 60 days occurring starting in September. The other units, we don't have any, what I would call significant turnaround activity in Q3 other than starting that turnaround in September for the Petro unit.

Frank Mitsch
Analyst, Fermium Research

Okay. When is the expected closing of Boral, LASCO and Dimex?

Steve Bender
EVP and CFO, Westlake Chemical

We expect those to close in the second half of this year. It's somewhat a function of getting HSR, Hart-Scott-Rodino approval. It's hard to know when the government will clear those. Our best view is in the second half of this year. We certainly look forward to closing them as promptly as possible so that we can move forward with integrating these businesses into our own.

Frank Mitsch
Analyst, Fermium Research

Terrific. Thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of John Roberts for UBS.

Speaker 12

[audio distortion] . Congratulations on the Dimex acquisition.

Steve Bender
EVP and CFO, Westlake Chemical

Thank you.

Speaker 12

Following this and the other acquisitions, can you remind us what your target leverage is and what your capital allocation priorities are going forward?

Steve Bender
EVP and CFO, Westlake Chemical

Sure. It's been quite clear for a very long time that Westlake's target for leverage is really those that are established by the agencies, S&P, Moody's and Fitch. We've seen over the years they change their targets. Rather than being fixated on a particular number, we focus on what the expectations are of the rating agencies to remain strongly investment grade. Today, we're BBB flat, stable outlook or equivalent with each one of those three, and believe our metrics are even stronger than those ratings. Our focus is really to stay strongly rated by all three agencies. As I just mentioned, our credit metrics are even stronger than the current rating assigned by all three agencies. From a capital allocation perspective, we focus on using that free cash flow to maintain the plants and have them run reliably, consistently.

Looking at taking that free cash flow and beyond that maintenance activity, and if we can find projects that we believe have compelling returns, risk adjusted above the cost of capital to deploy that way. We'll also reward investors through distributions in the form of dividends as well as share buyback. We certainly look for the opportunities to deploy that capital across that spectrum.

Speaker 12

Thank you for that. Albert, you touched on it a bit before. Can you comment on your customer polyethylene inventories and when you expect customer inventory levels to get back to more normalized levels? Thank you.

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

Yes. As I mentioned, we got inventory back to pre-Uri, that's pre-Winter Storm February of this year. We haven't got inventory back to pre-pandemic time yet. We believe that both customers and produced inventories are between low and medium, depending on the grade, and probably will be by the end of the year when things get back more normal.

Speaker 12

Thank you.

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

You're welcome.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Aleksey Yefremov from KeyBanc Capital Markets.

Aleksey Yefremov
Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets

Thank you. Do you have a view on how much capital costs for new polyethylene and the PVC plants might be up this year? Could capital cost inflation result in the delays of new project approvals this year?

Steve Bender
EVP and CFO, Westlake Chemical

Certainly we've seen capital costs for equipment continue to rise with some of the inflation. Certainly that is going to be a consideration. Certainly, those who are investing in new plant and equipment certainly watch that constantly and look at a variety of sources to source major pieces of equipment. It varies quite a bit in terms of whether we're talking bulk materials such as pipes or whether we're talking rotating equipment. Certainly we have seen costs creep into both of those, whether it's the bulk materials or whether it's higher value rotating equipment. They certainly have elevated in cost.

Aleksey Yefremov
Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets

You've talked about favorable supply demand outlook for PVC. Why do you think PVC export prices have fallen in recent weeks? Do you see that as temporary or as part of near term?

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

Yeah. There has been some weakness in China with PVC and but recently, last few weeks, we see prices start moving up on a global basis.

Aleksey Yefremov
Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets

Thank you.

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

You're welcome.

Operator

Your next question comes from Michael Leithead from Barclays.

Michael Leithead
Analyst, Barclays

Great. Thanks. Good morning, guys. First question on natural gas. Prices have gone up pretty materially the past few months. Can you just give us a rough sensitivity of how to think about rising natural gas prices on your cost structure?

Steve Bender
EVP and CFO, Westlake Chemical

Sure. When you think about the sensitivity on natural gas, $1/ MMBtu can cause an EBITDA impact of $100 million. That's mostly in the vinyl side of the business. About 90% of that impact is on the vinyl side of the business. You've seen as prices have moved, that given the strong demand, that we've been able to move a lot of those price momentums through downstream into our customer base.

Michael Leithead
Analyst, Barclays

Got it. That's helpful. Second, maybe just a smaller question, but the corporate and other line, I think this quarter, EBIT was positive $8 million or so. What drove that?

Steve Bender
EVP and CFO, Westlake Chemical

Yeah. There are some small transactions that occur, whether it is some of the small hedging gains that we take as we hedge on activities and such. There is certainly some interest expense. You notice that our cash balances have grown. It's a combination of items such as that.

Michael Leithead
Analyst, Barclays

Got it. Thank you.

Steve Bender
EVP and CFO, Westlake Chemical

You're welcome.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Angel Castillo from Morgan Stanley.

Angel Castillo
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Hi. Thanks for taking my question. Just Albert, to expand a little bit more on the Dimex acquisition and interest for potential future bolt-ons, curious if there's any particular area within the ESG sphere that is of particular interest as you look at whether it's technologies or potential expansion down the line?

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

Yeah. We are looking already at both reducing greenhouse gas emissions from our plants, recycling water, reducing solid waste, and through the Dimex, we're trying to able to source and recycle the post-industrial, hopefully going to post-consumer recycled material and produce products. I think we're different from just recyclers who just recycle and sell the compound resin. We are making finished consumer products, and really going to the circular economy, and we plan to grow that business in a measured way going forward. This is just the beginning.

Angel Castillo
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Is it fair to assume that that's maybe going to be the bigger focus near-term as you integrate and complete the acquisitions within building products?

Steve Bender
EVP and CFO, Westlake Chemical

Well, that's right. Certainly as we think about the opportunity to take some of this material, this post-industrial product further downstream, and certainly when you think about the integration, there is product integration today in our vinyls products, and certainly this opportunity with Dimex provides opportunities to have further integration directly or indirectly. We also see, as you've seen us talk about our building materials business, really having some also sales channel integration, which is very important, as Albert noted, to have more products to our customers to be able to offer a much wider product offering is also very important to our customers as well as to Westlake.

Angel Castillo
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Got it. That's very helpful. If I could, just on olefins. You noted the price that proposed for July. There's some price increases out there for August. I was just wondering if you could contextualize that with maybe what you're seeing from a customer level. It seems like some of the spot availability may be improving across certain grades. Are you seeing any increased pushback from customers to future price increases? Any kind of demand destruction or is it, I guess, whether it's feedstock or different inventory levels allowing you to continue to push price beyond July?

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

Yeah, we don't think there's any demand destructions there. Very little alternative materials that being used. Demand is very strong, and it's kind of supply. As plants come back, there were quite a few plant problems. As supply comes back, inventory builds. I think the price, as said, will be stabilized. We don't expect to grow each month forever. We expect price to stabilize, but we still believe the margin will be quite good going forward.

Angel Castillo
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Very helpful. Thank you.

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

You're welcome.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Arun Viswanathan from RBC Capital.

Arun Viswanathan
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Great. Thanks for taking my question. Just I'll make this quick. I just want to understand the 2022 drivers. You will have the acquisition chain from Boral, maybe that's $200 million or so. Vinyls, I imagine, should be up, just given assuming that there's not massive supply disruptions or force majeure like you experienced in 2021 the first half, and maybe some margin we see as well. It's really only Olefins where there's some moderation in margin. Is that the right way to think about 2022? Thanks.

Steve Bender
EVP and CFO, Westlake Chemical

Yeah, as you said, when you think about the Vinyls business, if you look at some of the consultants out there, they're still showing average prices for the course of the year in 2022 to be higher than the average price of 2021. You're right, we've had a series of weather-related outages over the course of late 2020 that affected 2021, then, of course, the freeze in early 2021. So with the run that we see in demand in Vinyls and the consultants reflecting higher average prices for Vinyl, we certainly see strength. As I mentioned earlier to a question, we certainly have good volumes that will continue to be additive to our sales volumes over the course of 2022 from 2021. On the Vinyls side of the business, certainly we've seen continued tight inventory situations across the chain.

Certainly, while there are concerns about demand pulling back, we've certainly continued to see currently a very strong demand picture. Prices certainly, as we've seen before, continue to reflect that strong demand picture. As we look into 2022, it's a little bit cloudier to be able to give you a price forecast. I can say that we continue to see a very strong picture from a demand perspective, and the demand from the consumer packaged market continues to seem unchecked.

Arun Viswanathan
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Great, thanks. If I could just ask a quick question on Dimex and the recycled market. When you acquired Vinnolit, there was some excitement around getting into medical and some other applications that maybe you're under-penetrated in. Is that part of the situation here as well? Do you see an opportunity to increase your share in some of these attractively growing markets through Dimex? Thanks.

Steve Bender
EVP and CFO, Westlake Chemical

Yeah, we certainly do. I think the opportunity to really take some of the post-industrial materials and put it into a different sales channel that we're not in today and will be post-close is an exciting opportunity for us. It allows us really to have more product relevant to our downstream customers, our distributors. Many of these distributors are similar distributors who we're selling already building product materials to as well. When we think about the opportunity that Dimex brings, we're excited about the ability to take this recycled material, but also add to the portfolio of products in the overall downstream building products businesses.

Arun Viswanathan
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Thanks.

Operator

Your last question comes from the line of P.J. Juvekar from Citi.

Speaker 17

Hi, good morning. It's Eric Petrie for P.J. How many tons of recycling capacity does Dimex have, and how are you looking at scaling that footprint and the associated CapEx to do so?

Steve Bender
EVP and CFO, Westlake Chemical

Yeah, there's certainly, I think, an opportunity to think about replicating these production capacities in other areas as we think about scaling the business. We'll get more into the capacity size and the opportunity set as we get closer to closing this transaction. Certainly, as we think about the footprint it has currently in Ohio, there could be opportunities to expand that footprint into other areas. We'll take a look and see the products that make sense and the capital necessary to do that. As you can imagine, that'll be a combination of looking at the product set to put that recycled material into more consumer downstream products. Of course, making sure that we have the ability to do that cost-effectively for our customer downstream.

Speaker 17

Thanks. As a follow-up question, do you expect to see a benefit in volumes for chlorinated organics from the refrigerant following the passage of the US AIM Act with quota reductions for HFC?

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

Well, we'll know more about it going forward. Certainly, with global warming, there's more demand for refrigerants, and we are in a rare material site for the refrigerant business. As that business grows, we should benefit from that as well.

Operator

You have no further questions at this time.

Jeff Holy
VP and Treasurer, Westlake Chemical

Thank you, Julia. Thank you again for participating in today's call. We hope you'll join us again for our next conference call to discuss our third quarter 2021 results.

Operator

Thank you for participating in today's Westlake Chemical Corporation second quarter earnings conference call. As a reminder, this call will be available for replay two hours after the call has ended and may be accessed until 11:59 PM Eastern Time on Tuesday, August 10th, 2021. The replay can be accessed by calling the following numbers: Domestic callers dial 855-859-2056. International callers may access the replay at 445-373-406. The access code for both the numbers is 4594733. Thank you. Have a great evening.