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Earnings Call: Q1 2021

May 4, 2021

Operator

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. Thank you for standing by, and welcome to the Westlake Chemical Corporation First Quarter 2021 Earnings Conference Call. During the presentation, all participants will be in a listen-only mode. After the speakers' remarks, you will be invited to participate in a question and answer session. As a reminder, ladies and gentlemen, this conference is being recorded today, May 4th, 2021.

I would now like to turn the call over to today's host, Jeff Holy, Westlake's Vice President and Treasurer. Sir, you may begin.

Jeff Holy
VP, Treasurer, and Head of Investor Relations, Westlake Chemical

Thank you, Daphne. Good morning, everyone, and welcome to the Westlake Chemical Corporation first quarter 2021 conference call. I'm joined today by Albert Chao, our President and CEO, Steve Bender, our Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, and other members of our management team. The conference call agenda will begin with Albert, who will open with a few comments regarding Westlake's performance and a current perspective on the industry. Steve will then provide a more detailed look at our financial and operating results. Finally, Albert will add a few concluding comments, and we'll then open the call up to questions. During this call, we refer to ourselves as Westlake Chemical. Any reference to Westlake Partners is to our master limited partnership, Westlake Chemical Partners, LP, and similar references to OpCo refer to our subsidiary, Westlake Chemical OpCo LP, which owns certain Olefins facilities.

Today, management is going to discuss certain topics that will contain forward-looking information that is based on management's beliefs as well as assumptions made by and information currently available to management. These forward-looking statements suggest predictions or expectations and thus are subject to risks or uncertainties. Actual results could differ materially based on many factors, including the cyclical nature of the industries in which we compete, availability, cost, and volatility of raw materials, energy and utilities, governmental regulatory actions, changes in trade policy and political unrest, global economic conditions, including the impact of the coronavirus, industry operating rates, impacts of extreme weather events, the supply-demand balance for Westlake's products, competitive products and pricing pressures, access to capital markets, technological developments, and other risk factors as discussed in our SEC filings. This morning, Westlake issued a press release with details of our first quarter results.

This document is available in the press release section of our webpage at westlake.com. We have also posted a presentation on our website to review the first quarter. A replay of today's call will be available beginning today, two hours following the conclusion of this call. This replay may be accessed by dialing the following numbers. Domestic callers should dial 855-859-2056. International callers may access the replay at 404-537-3406. The access code for both numbers is 4677649. Please note that information reported on this call speaks only as of today, May 4, 2021, and therefore, you are advised that time-sensitive information may no longer be accurate as of the time of any replay.

I would finally advise you that today's conference call is being broadcast live through an internet webcast system that can be accessed on our webpage at westlake.com.

I would like to turn the call over to Albert Chao. Albert?

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

Thank you, Jeff. Good morning, everyone. We appreciate you joining us to discuss our first quarter 2021 results. In this morning's press release, we reported a strong start to the year despite the impacts of the severe winter storm, with net income for the first quarter of 2021 of $242 million, or $1.87 per share. Our operating income increased 154% in the first quarter of 2021 versus the first quarter of 2020, which was before the impacts of the pandemic. Before Steve goes through the financial results, let me provide some insight into the quarter. The first quarter of 2021 saw strong pricing for many of our products driven by robust global demand. The strength in demand for polyethylene and PVC resulting from the global economic rebound in 2020 was driven by an increase in worldwide packaging consumption and construction activities.

The 30% year-over-year increase in U.S. housing permits and associated housing starts shows the strength in residential construction activity that benefited our downstream building products business. In our vinyl segment, with tight inventory conditions, strong demand for vinyls, and production outages caused by the severe winter storm, we saw PVC resin prices steadily increased in the first quarter. The polyethylene industry also experienced tight inventory conditions due to the strong global packaging demand and domestic production outages caused by the severe winter storm. These conditions drove pricing and integrated margins in our olefin segment.

I want to take this opportunity to thank our employees for their efforts, quickly responding to the disruptions caused by the severe winter storm and fully resuming operations by the end of the first quarter.

I would now like to turn our call over to Steve to provide more detail on our financial and operating results for the first quarter.

Steve Bender
EVP and CFO, Westlake Chemical

Thank you, Albert. Good morning, everyone. I will start with discussing our consolidated financial results and then go into a more detailed review of our Vinyls and Olefins segment results. Westlake continued to benefit from the strong global supply-demand dynamics and a robust return of global economic activity, driving demand for most of our products. For the first quarter of 2021, we reported net income of $242 million, or $1.87 per share, compared to net income of $145 million for the first quarter of 2020, which included a $62 million tax benefit from the CARES Act. These results are inclusive of the previously mentioned severe winter storm impact of approximately $100 million, or $0.61 per share in the first quarter.

The $97 million first quarter year-over-year increase in net income is the result of higher sales prices and integrated margins for polyethylene and PVC and higher earnings resulting from the strong demand in our downstream building products business. Partially offsetting these increases were lost sales and lower production volumes, elevated maintenance cost, higher feedstock and natural gas fuel cost, all related to the severe winter storm, as well as lower sales prices for caustic soda. While we worked quickly to get our facilities back online, our estimates for lost margin from sales and repair expense are approximately $120 million. We incurred approximately $100 million in the first quarter of 2021 results, or approximately $0.61 per share, with the remaining $20 million falling into the second quarter.

Of this estimated first quarter impact of $100 million, approximately 75% was related to our Vinyls segment, with the balance affecting our Olefins segment. First quarter 2021 net income increased by $129 million from fourth quarter 2020 net income of $113 million. The increase in net income was largely attributable to higher sales prices for polyethylene and PVC resin. Offsetting these benefits were lower caustic soda prices and higher feedstock and fuel cost. Our utilization of the FIFO method of accounting resulted in a favorable pretax impact of approximately $55 million, or $0.33 per share, compared to what earnings would have been reported under the LIFO method. This is only an estimate and has not been audited.

Let's move on to discuss the performance of our two segments, starting with our Vinyls segment. Throughout the first quarter, we experienced robust global demand for PVC, anchored by strong global construction activity. Our downstream building products business continued to benefit from solid residential construction and repair and remodeling demand. PVC strength was driven by broad-based end market demand, including residential construction, automotive, and medical equipment. While the severe winter storm impacted our production in the quarter, the strong demand for PVC and our downstream building products saw higher sales prices, and we benefited from strong integrated margins during the quarter. For the first quarter of 2021, Vinyls operating income of $200 million increased $127 million from the prior year period, primarily as a result of higher sales prices and margins for PVC resin and higher sales prices and margins in our downstream building products business.

This is partially offset by reduced sales volumes and lost production from the severe winter storm, lower sales price of caustic soda, and higher feedstock and fuel cost. For the first quarter of 2021, Vinyls operating income increased $34 million from fourth quarter of 2020, primarily as a result of higher sales for PVC resin and higher volumes in our downstream building products business. In our Olefins business, robust global demand for packaging and other consumer products expanded our integrated margins in polyethylene. Our first quarter 2021 operating income of $180 million increased $118 million from the first quarter of 2020, driven by strong pricing and improved demand offset by lower sales volumes resulting from the severe winter storm.

For the first quarter of 2021, Olefins operating income increased $158 million from fourth quarter of 2020, primarily due to higher sales prices and margins as well as increased sales volumes, partially offset by higher feedstock and fuel cost. Next, let's turn our attention to the balance sheet and statement of cash flows. We generated $265 million in cash flows from operations in the first quarter of 2021, resulting in total cash and cash equivalents of $1.4 billion. First quarter 2021 capital expenditures were $141 million. We maintain a long-dated debt maturity profile with a weighted average debt maturity of 14 years anchoring our investment-grade balance sheet. Now, to address some of your modeling questions. We expect our effective tax rate for the full year of 2021 to be approximately 23% and a cash tax rate of approximately 19%.

As we stated on our last call, we forecast our capital expenditures for the year to be between $700 million and $800 million. We are planning for a turnaround of our Petro II Ethylene unit to begin in September of this year. This turnaround and associated outage is expected to last approximately 60 days.

With that, I'll now turn the call back over to Albert to make some closing comments. Albert?

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

Thank you, Steve. As we look ahead, we see continuing strengths in global demand in polyethylene, PVC, and downstream building products, driven by the solid markets in residential construction, packaging, automotive, and healthcare. Our high level of integration extends through the value chain, from natural gas liquids and other feedstocks through to consumer building products. Our chemical operations sit on the lower end of the global cost curve, which enable us to drive long-term value throughout the business and investment cycles, while meeting the needs of our end-use customers with the downstream building products business, bringing additional value. In our Vinyl segment, we see continuing strengths in the PVC and downstream building products markets, driven by strong construction and other durable goods demand. In our Olefins business, end-use demand remains strong as the essential everyday products, such as consumer packaging and healthcare, are driving polyethylene demand.

With a continued emphasis on corporate stewardship, we remain vigilant with our focus in developing products and solutions for a more sustainable future, while protecting and investing in our people. As an example of a commitment to sustainability, we have introduced green caustic soda, a certified climate-friendly caustic soda utilizing renewable energy. This product is available under the brand name GreenVin, which has a reduced CO2 impact of more than 30% compared to conventional caustic soda. We look forward to further discussing these products with you as more developments are made and furthering our commitment to transparency through our future ESG reporting. These initiatives reflect our dedication to being an environmentally and socially responsible corporate citizen. Westlake remains focused on our core tenets, namely, to protect the health and safety of employees, deliver on our commitments to our customers, and strengthen the company in all aspects.

Anchored by these values, we are confident that Westlake is well positioned to serve the growing worldwide needs of our customers while maintaining financial discipline, which combined with the strong fundamentals of our business, enable us to deliver long-term value to our shareholders.

Thank you very much for listening to our first quarter earnings call. I will now turn the call back over to Jeff.

Jeff Holy
VP, Treasurer, and Head of Investor Relations, Westlake Chemical

Thank you, Albert. Before we begin taking questions, I would like to remind you that a replay of this teleconference will be available two hours after the call has ended. We'll provide that number again at the end of the call. Daphne, we'll now take questions.

Operator

Thank you. At this time, in order to ask a question, you will need to press star, then the number one on your telephone. To withdraw your question, press the pound key. Please stand by while we compile the Q&A roster. Your first question comes from the line of Arun Viswanathan , with RBC Capital Markets. You are live.

Jeff Holy
VP, Treasurer, and Head of Investor Relations, Westlake Chemical

Good morning, Arun. Are you there? Arun, are you on the line? Operator, I think we'll just need to go to the next question and put Arun back in the queue.

Operator

All right. Your next question comes from the line of Aleksey Yefremov with KeyBanc.

Aleksey Yefremov
Senior Chemicals Equity Research Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets

Thank you, and good morning, everyone. Your Olefins volumes were down 9.4% year-over-year in the first quarter. Do you think you could get to flat or up year-over-year volumes in the remainder of the year or maybe as soon as second quarter?

Steve Bender
EVP and CFO, Westlake Chemical

Certainly as a result, Aleksey, of the storms that we saw, we certainly declared force majeure on many of our products. With that impact on production and impact on sales, I do expect that we'll be able to resume more normal operations, having brought units back on before the end of the first quarter as we enter the second quarter and benefit from the very strong demands we're seeing in both our Olefins and Vinyls segment.

Aleksey Yefremov
Senior Chemicals Equity Research Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets

Thank you. As a follow-up on PVC, the prices have been rising pretty steadily in the last few months. How do you think about sustainability? Do you see prices overshooting and then coming back some in the next few months, or do you see a plateau?

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

We see that PVC price remain to be very strong. Actually, the export price is higher than our domestic sales price. We believe that, especially in the second and third quarter, which are the strong quarters for construction, demand is very strong. We believe that price momentum will still be there.

Aleksey Yefremov
Senior Chemicals Equity Research Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets

Thank you, Albert and Steve.

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

You're welcome.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of David Begleiter with Deutsche Bank.

David Begleiter
Director, Deutsche Bank

Thank you. Good morning.

Steve Bender
EVP and CFO, Westlake Chemical

Good morning, David.

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

Good morning.

David Begleiter
Director, Deutsche Bank

Albert, if you could talk about polyethylene pricing, what you may realize in April, and your thoughts on the May price increase that's currently out there?

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

Certainly. I think all the trade journals are reporting that $0.07 increase in April is effective, people are looking at potentially another $0.03 price increase in May. Time will tell. The demand for polyethylene is still very strong. Inventories among producers and customers are still very low. I think the export price are still higher in certain senses than the domestic large customers.

David Begleiter
Director, Deutsche Bank

Very good. Steve, can you talk about your CapEx this year? What are the growth projects you're looking at for this year, and maybe even for next year?

Steve Bender
EVP and CFO, Westlake Chemical

David, the CapEx this year, the guidance is $700 million-$800 million. A big portion of that is really kind of ongoing activities related to maintenance and some expansion opportunities. Nothing that we've announced publicly, but we'll continue to look at some of our Gulf Coast based vinyl opportunities and see if we can expand some of those facilities along the Gulf Coast. Of course, we have a major turnaround, as I mentioned in my prepared remarks, for one of the ethylene units starting in September. That'll also be a use of cash over the course of the year.

David Begleiter
Director, Deutsche Bank

Thank you.

Steve Bender
EVP and CFO, Westlake Chemical

You're welcome.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Bob Koort with Goldman Sachs.

Bob Koort
Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Thank you very much. Good morning.

Steve Bender
EVP and CFO, Westlake Chemical

Good morning.

Bob Koort
Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst, Goldman Sachs

I was looking at the balance sheet, obviously, you're in a real nice spot for both your main businesses. I would guess maybe valuations in the space are Well, I don't know. I guess I'm asking, how do you feel about inorganic opportunity in this environment where you've got quite a bit of firepower to use?

Steve Bender
EVP and CFO, Westlake Chemical

Bob , we certainly have always had a very active dialogue with firms that have opportunities in the space, whether they're divisions or individual plants or businesses. We always look at kind of long-term value propositions that come forth. Whether it's times where there's attractive pricing or more frothy pricing, we tend to take a more pragmatic, longer term view and look at a cycle average in terms of the value proposition. Certainly, our focus has been that way and continues to be that way. We'll continue to look for opportunities to grow the business, both organically through expansion, but also through acquisition and make a kind of a thoughtful look over a cycle of average valuation to make sure that it's got the return potential that we think that it should.

Bob Koort
Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Albert, you mentioned the green caustic soda. I'm curious, is that an effort to credentialize your own ESG ambitions, or is it something where you can charge a higher price for that product?

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

I would like to do both, of course.

Bob Koort
Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Very well. Thank you.

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

You're welcome. Thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Kevin McCarthy with Vertical Research.

Kevin McCarthy
Partner, Vertical Research Partners

Good morning. Would you comment on the trends you're seeing in the downstream building products business? Specifically, are you able to increase prices and margins in that business relative to the strength in PVC resin?

Steve Bender
EVP and CFO, Westlake Chemical

Kevin, it has been, as we noted, a strong demand in building materials. Certainly in the position that we hold a large position in exterior products such as siding, trim, pipe fittings, and PVC compounds. We've seen strength across that space. Certainly, as we see increases in resin, we attempt to pass those through downstream, so that we can continue to see growth in value. Over the course of this quarter, we have seen an increase in value proposition as we pass that through.

Kevin McCarthy
Partner, Vertical Research Partners

Okay. Secondly, Albert, you mentioned the strength of export prices as it relates to the PVC market. Can you talk a little bit about how you see international trade dynamics developing moving forward? We sometimes look at India as an important market, and sadly, India is, I think, dislocated right now due to the severity of the COVID situation. How do you see export pricing evolving and also export volumes as the U.S. industry rates continue to recover from Uri?

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

Certainly. U.S., I think is the largest exporter of PVC around the world, because of our strength in feedstock availability and competitive feedstock in ethane, in power to produce chlor-alkali, and a big sustained caustic market. As you may know, there's very little new capacity being added the last two years, and very little capacity being added announced around the world for new PVC capacity. The rest of world are relying on U.S. to provide export PVC to meet that demand. As you said, India is a big example. I think they are one of the largest importing country PVC in the world. The demand continues to grow, and many governments are stimulating construction provide affordable housing to its people. PVC is one of the best products in exterior and interior of houses.

We expect demand continue to grow. With little capacity added around the world. I think for the long term, the business, the vinyl and construction business should be quite good going forward.

Kevin McCarthy
Partner, Vertical Research Partners

Thank you.

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

You're welcome.

Operator

Up next is Angel Castillo with Morgan Stanley.

Angel Castillo
VP of Equity Research, Morgan Stanley

Hi, good morning.

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

Good morning.

Angel Castillo
VP of Equity Research, Morgan Stanley

Thanks for taking my question. Just wanted to expand a little bit more on, Albert, I think you talked about tight inventory conditions in both PE and PVC. I was wondering if you could talk about where do you see this versus history, and how long do you think that'll take to normalize through the year?

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

Sure. Well, as Steve, in our discussion earlier, is that I think the huge ramp up in prices, not only because of demand, but also because of severe Winter Storm this year and last year with hurricanes, and also with various outages. The market is very tight. In manufacturing, a lot of plants are running as much as they can to meet the customer demand globally. The U.S. industry has curtailed export to help to meet domestic demand. If you look at the consultants' journals, they are projecting after multiple double-digit increases of prices last year and this year. I think since June of last year, almost every month, there's a price increase, and there must be a slowdown in the price increase or decrease. It could happen.

I think spot ethylene was as high as over $0.60 odd a pound in the U.S., and as we speak, it has come down to 40s. That will help reduce some of the pressures for polymer manufacturers. I think the fundamental demand, as I said earlier, the second and third quarter historically are the two strongest quarter of the year for volume and for pricing. We foresee this year will be similar from this sense.

Angel Castillo
VP of Equity Research, Morgan Stanley

That's very helpful. Thank you. Steve, I was hoping you could, I guess, give us a little bit more color on the corporate line that looked to be a little bit larger this quarter. Curious if you could break that up for us.

Steve Bender
EVP and CFO, Westlake Chemical

I'm sorry. You broke up as you were asking your question. Can you repeat that again?

Angel Castillo
VP of Equity Research, Morgan Stanley

Yeah. Sorry about that. On the corporate line, I was hoping you could give us a little bit more detail. I think it was $30 million this quarter. It looked a little bit larger than previous quarters. Curious what drove that.

Steve Bender
EVP and CFO, Westlake Chemical

Yeah, a lot of that is really just intercompany eliminations that you see that go on as a result of exchanging ethylene between the two segments.

Angel Castillo
VP of Equity Research, Morgan Stanley

That's helpful. Thank you.

Steve Bender
EVP and CFO, Westlake Chemical

Okay.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Mike Sison with Wells Fargo.

Mike Sison
Managing Director, Wells Fargo

Hey, good morning, guys.

Steve Bender
EVP and CFO, Westlake Chemical

Morning.

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

Good morning.

Mike Sison
Managing Director, Wells Fargo

Your EBITDA margins in Q1 for Olefins, 40%, pretty impressive. When I look back to history, 2014 to 2017 were similar or at those high levels. Just curious if you think this is a level that can be sustained, obviously not every quarter, but on average for the year and maybe beyond 2021. Could this be a good string of good profitability for that segment for the next couple of years?

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

Yeah. Actually, you know that we are a net buyer of, I think we buy over 1 billion pounds of ethylene a year. Actually lower ethylene prices is better for us. A lot of the product prices is separate from the feedstock, and hence we report our earnings was impacted by high feedstock and fuel prices last quarter. 2018 was the historical high of EBITDA for Westlake, and at that time, oil prices were still, I think about in the $60/bbl . Today we're talking about a similar Brent and WTI in the $60 range. I think that's a reasonable price globally for crude oil.

If demand keep on improving with the vaccination process improving around the world and with all the stimulus that not only the U.S., other countries are pumping into the system, I think demand for our products will be quite good, and hence our margin should be pretty good. We don't expect the margin for ethylene or polyethylene to stay that high, like in the 2017 or 2016 range.

Mike Sison
Managing Director, Wells Fargo

Understood. For Vinyls, though, when you take a look at the consultants' outlooks, they do expect ECU margins to stay pretty high through this year and next year. Obviously, you're going to see a record year in 2021, how do you think that holds up beyond 2021 when you look at the consultants' forecast for 2022 and beyond?

Steve Bender
EVP and CFO, Westlake Chemical

Well, Mike, when you think about the outlook, I think the outlook is reflective of what we've seen most recently in terms of demand growth in construction activities worldwide and the pull on chlorine, therefore, going into PVC. You're seeing signs of a more even start in manufacturing. Of course, we're all watchful at countries like India and others that are still struggling to get on their feet from a manufacturing perspective. As we think about the outlook for our Vinyls overall segment, we remain constructive in terms of the demand for worldwide residential and repair and remodeling activities pulling on PVC.

Also, I'm cognizant that we really are beginning to see some improvement in caustic really from that manufacturing pull, if you will. We do have a constructive outlook for the rest of 2021.

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

I'd just like to add also that caustic soda prices have been quite weak, and as because of the global recession from the pandemic. As the global economy recovers, industrial production recovers, we expect caustic demand will increase, and pricing should improve as well.

Mike Sison
Managing Director, Wells Fargo

Great. Thank you.

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

You're welcome.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Hassan Ahmed with Alembic Global.

Hassan Ahmed
Senior Equity Analyst, Alembic Global Advisors

Morning, Albert and Steve.

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

Morning, Hassan.

Steve Bender
EVP and CFO, Westlake Chemical

Morning.

Hassan Ahmed
Senior Equity Analyst, Alembic Global Advisors

First question around polyethylene as it relates to the back half of this year. As you mentioned sort of in one of your answers to a question earlier that you have industry consultants looking for some moderation or maybe even sort of weakening in pricing in the back half of this year. It just seems that there are a bunch of crosscurrents, and I'd love to hear how you're thinking about those crosscurrents, because you have a pretty heavy turnaround season in Q2 and Q3. You have an inventory rebuild that's required because of Uri, right? You have orders that need to be backfilled because of a variety of force majeures, right? Above and beyond all of that, it seems demand continues to remain very strong.

My question is, pricing will do what pricing will do, but what are your perceptions about Q3 and Q4 effective utilization rates for polyethylene?

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

That's a good question. You're absolutely right. Usually, again, even for polyethylene, the second and third quarter usually are the stronger quarter of the year. Also those time also is the time for turnarounds. As we talk about, we have our ethylene plant turning around in September as well this year. You have that, and then you have the global, whether Europe and the rest of the world recover from the pandemic or they go into a third or fourth wave. All these have impacts on global supply demand. As we speak, as I said earlier, inventory is very low among producers who are trying to build back inventory. Among consumers, inventory is very low also.

You have that dynamic, and then you have the high export price, and you have even the freight shipping costs that some of the people talk about whether people can export products to the U.S. and for the future. The freight container shipping cost is very high now. It was very high, went down, and came back again. All these different crosscurrent that you said will be affecting prices. In the end, it's really supply-demand and export price. If export price start coming down, then you have more chance of slowing down in prices in the U.S. People talk about from the June of last year until now, there's almost $0.40 to $0.50 a pound price increase, and you would think that at some time point, there will be a reduction of those prices somewhat.

I think everybody expect that even after the price reduction, it's still much higher than the average of 2020 or even 2019. The margin are expected to be much improved compared with last few years.

Hassan Ahmed
Senior Equity Analyst, Alembic Global Advisors

Very helpful, Albert. As a follow-up on chlorovinyls. Again, a bit of a unique product, I guess, these days where there's pretty much hardly any supply on the horizon, right? Like you said, it seems we're in the early innings of an upcycle, demand's looking pretty good. No one seems to be talking about with this as a backdrop, the sort of discussed sort of infrastructure bill, almost $2 trillion. In an undersupplied market where demand is good, supply-demand is already tight. Whatever form this infrastructure bill takes, how do you see that impacting global utilization rates, call it beyond 2021?

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

Yeah, that's a very good question. I think so long the U.S. global economic conditions improve, and I think people expect that beyond 2021, 2022, 2023, the global GDP growth will go back to the normal trend line. With lack of new capacity being added, I think it should bode well for the existing producers. You don't know. With the global warming, unfortunately last year we had hurricane, and then we had a freeze. What the natural disasters will impact production, we don't know. Hopefully not very much. The forecast for this year, at least the Gulf Coast hurricane index is expected to be higher than normal, than average. Hopefully, less damage than last year's.

Hassan Ahmed
Senior Equity Analyst, Alembic Global Advisors

Very helpful, Albert. Thank you so much.

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

You're welcome. Thank you.

Operator

Up next is Mike Leithead with Barclays.

Mike Leithead
Director of Equity Research, Barclays

Great. Thanks. Good morning, guys.

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

Good morning, Mike.

Steve Bender
EVP and CFO, Westlake Chemical

Good morning.

Mike Leithead
Director of Equity Research, Barclays

First question, Albert, I think in your comments in the earnings release, one focus area you mentioned was furthering your chain integration. Other than being short a bit of ethylene, it seems like Westlake is already fairly integrated. Curious how you're thinking about furthering that integration, whether it's either adding more ethylene or furthering the downstream pull into building products. If you could just talk about how you're thinking about your current asset footprint and where there might be gaps you're looking to fill over time.

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

Certainly, yes. You're absolutely right that as mentioned earlier, we are one of the largest buyers of ethylene in the U.S., over 1 billion pounds. As our demand for PVC grows, our ethylene demand will further increase. Integration on that area will be helpful. Downstream, we have a pretty sizable downstream building products based primarily, not all of it, primarily on PVC. We explained as the demand for building product is really strong, and we are finally above the 50-year average for new home construction in the U.S. for the first few months of this year. We expect that trend to continue. The building products demand will increase, and hence we are looking, as Steve mentioned, we are adding capacities. We haven't announced any big capacity expansions, but small capacity increases to meet the growing needs of our customers.

Mike Leithead
Director of Equity Research, Barclays

Great. That's helpful. Maybe for my second question, just to follow on to, I think, Kevin's recent question about the export market. For PE and for PVC, how should we think about Westlake's domestic versus export mix today, just given some of the market disruptions?

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

Certainly. In PVC, because of our integration with downstream, we tend to export less than the U.S. domestic. Historically, over the last few, maybe last 10 years after the housing meltdown in 2008, U.S. has been exporting PVC around 30%, 35% a year. That rate has come down a lot last quarter because of lack of supply. Polyethylene industry, with all the expansions we had the last five, six years, I think exporting close to 40% of its production. Westlake, because our emphasis on low-density polyethylene, our export proportion is much lower than industry's. Again, because of the lack of supply in the last few quarters, our export portions come down a lot.

Mike Leithead
Director of Equity Research, Barclays

Great. Thank you, guys.

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

You're welcome.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Matthew Blair with Tudor, Pickering, and Holt.

Matthew Blair
Managing Director, Tudor, Pickering, Holt

Hey, good morning, Albert and Steve.

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

Good morning.

Steve Bender
EVP and CFO, Westlake Chemical

Good morning.

Matthew Blair
Managing Director, Tudor, Pickering, Holt

I was hoping you could share more details on this green caustic soda initiative. How exactly are you reducing the CO2? What share of your caustic production could be green? Do these CO2 benefits flow into other products like PVC? Should we think about this as higher upfront costs, or would this be higher OpEx on your end?

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

Yeah. We are buying renewable power. As you know, power in Europe takes combinations of fossil fuel, including coal and natural gas and everything else. By renewable power, the CO2 content is much lower, and hence, the 30% reduction in CO2 on the caustic product produced, and takes quite a while to get certification for that process in Europe. We hope to introduce more green-friendly, environmental-friendly products as we go throughout the year. We are trying to provide lower CO2 products to our customers and to reduce our own manufacturing emissions of CO2 in everywhere we can.

Matthew Blair
Managing Director, Tudor, Pickering, Holt

Terrific. What kind of ECU op rates are you at currently? I guess if you're below max op rates, does the $70 per ton caustic price increase in April incentivize you to run harder?

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

We are running our plants. Because of the freeze, it impacted a lot. We are running our plants to meet the demand of our customers. Unfortunately, because of the freeze, we're still under allocation. Hopefully, we're able to lift the allocation very soon in the near future. Many of our industry competitors are also having freeze and other problems. I think most companies are running as hard as they can to meet their customers' needs.

Matthew Blair
Managing Director, Tudor, Pickering, Holt

Great. Thank you.

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

You're welcome.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Arun Viswanathan with RBC Capital Markets.

Arun Viswanathan
Senior Equity Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Hi. Sorry about that earlier. Thanks for taking my question. I hope you're all well.

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

Oh, yeah, sure.

Arun Viswanathan
Senior Equity Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Congrats on the strong start here. I guess a couple things. First off, the chlorine side seems very tight. We're hearing issues about availability of chlorine, especially through the summer. I know there's a water treatment season coming up. Are you at all concerned about servicing demand on chlorine? Secondarily, on caustic, we are seeing some price uplift now. How long do you expect that to continue, I guess, and what's your outlook for both sides of the ECU molecule? Thanks.

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

Yeah. Thank you. Yes. You're right that the whole Vinyls chain demand is strong. Because also the freeze, and as I said earlier, many plants in the U.S. have been impacted, and most of the chlor-alkali plants in the industry are along the Gulf Coast. We had an impact on that. Because of the strong demand for PVC, hence the chlorine is very tight. Several price announcements being made. On the caustic side, as the economy recovers, caustic is also improving. Not only the U.S., international caustic prices in Asia and Europe are improving as well because of the strong demand and recovery of the industrial production around the world. We have raised our prices, announced price increases, and we're getting a large share of the price increase we announced.

Arun Viswanathan
Senior Equity Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Great. Thanks for that. I guess, also on PVC, ethylene, I guess, did see a little bit of a spike because of the storm. Prices may be receding here, but obviously, demand is very strong. Do you expect PVC price increases that you gained earlier to roll back here? Do you think there's potential that you can continue to hold on to a lot of that?

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

Yeah. As we have discussed earlier, we have a series of price increases since June of last year as the economy recovered from the pandemic. Demand is strong. Inventory is very low under allocation, and export price is higher than domestic price. Those dynamics still exist today, and there's a further announcement of price increases for May. We are still in the early part of May. Demand is very strong, and the pricing, it'll be what it is going forward. Supply, demand, and export demand as well.

Arun Viswanathan
Senior Equity Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Okay. Thanks. I'll turn it over.

Operator

As a reminder, to ask a question, press star one on your telephone. Up next is John Roberts with UBS.

John Roberts
EVP of U.S. Equity Research, UBS

Did you resell any electricity or ethane or anything else to help offset the storm impact?

Jeff Holy
VP, Treasurer, and Head of Investor Relations, Westlake Chemical

John, yes, we did, but the relative impact during that period was relatively small.

John Roberts
EVP of U.S. Equity Research, UBS

Okay. Albert, you mentioned the turnaround coming up in September. You've had a lot of downtime over the past 12 months. Were you able to accelerate any maintenance or anything into those unplanned downtimes that maybe on average over the next couple of years will have a low average maintenance expense and turnaround impact?

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

Yeah, we did what we could. As you know, the turnaround, you have to have all the parts, the labor, and the jigs, and everything else ready for a major turnaround. We did what we could during the time period. I think our turnaround schedule still goes through. Hopefully, as you said, we can reduce a few days here and there, but not material.

John Roberts
EVP of U.S. Equity Research, UBS

Okay. Thank you.

Steve Bender
EVP and CFO, Westlake Chemical

Yeah, John, just to add to my comments. We operate in Louisiana, which is a regulated market, and so there are some limitations in terms of our ability to have some upside on any resale into the market.

Operator

At this time, the Q&A session has now ended. Are there any closing remarks?

Steve Bender
EVP and CFO, Westlake Chemical

Thank you again for participating in today's call. We hope you'll join us again for our next conference call to discuss our second quarter 2021 results.

Operator

Thank you for participating in today's Westlake Chemical Corporation first quarter earnings conference call. As a reminder, this call will be available for replay beginning two hours after the call has ended and may be accessed until 11:59 P.M. Eastern Time on Tuesday, May 11th, 2021. The replay can be accessed by calling the following numbers. Domestic callers should dial 855-859-2056. International callers may access the replay at 404-537-3406. The access code for both numbers is 467649.