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Earnings Call: Q2 2016

Aug 10, 2016

Operator

Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen. Thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Westlake Chemical Corporation second quarter 2016 earnings conference call. During the presentation, all participants will be in a listen-only mode. After the speaker's remarks, you will be invited to participate in a question and answer session. As a reminder, ladies and gentlemen, this conference is being recorded today, July 28, 2016. I would now like to turn the call over to today's host, Ben Ederington, Westlake Vice President and Chief Administrative Officer. Sir, you may begin.

Ben Ederington
VP, General Counsel, Chief Administrative Officer, and Corporate Secretary, Westlake Chemical

Thank you. Good afternoon, everyone, and welcome to the Westlake Chemical Corporation second quarter 2016 conference call. I am joined today by Albert Chao, our President and CEO, Steve Bender, our Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, and other members of our management team. The conference call agenda will begin with Albert, who will open with a few comments regarding Westlake's performance in the second quarter of 2016, followed by a current perspective on the industry. Steve will then provide a more detailed look at our financial and operating results. Finally, Albert will add a few concluding comments, and we will open the call up to questions. During this call, we refer to ourselves as Westlake Chemical. Any reference to Westlake Partners is to the master limited partnership, Westlake Chemical Partners LP, and references to OpCo refer to our subsidiary, Westlake Chemical OpCo LP, who owns certain olefin facilities.

Today, management is going to discuss certain topics that will contain forward-looking information that is based on management's beliefs as well as assumptions made by and information currently available to management. These forward-looking statements suggest predictions or expectations and thus are subject to risks or uncertainties. Actual results could differ materially based upon many factors, including the cyclical nature of the chemical industry, availability, cost, and volatility of raw materials, energy, and utilities, governmental regulatory actions and political unrest, global economic conditions, industry operating rates, the supply-demand balance for Westlake's products, competitive products and pricing pressures, access to capital markets, technological developments, the pending acquisition of Axiall, and other risk factors discussed in our SEC filings. This afternoon, Westlake issued a press release with details of our second quarter 2016 results. This document is available in the press release section of our webpage at westlake.com.

A replay of today's call will be available beginning two hours after completion of this call until 11:59 P.M. Eastern time on August fourth, 2016. The replay may be accessed by dialing the following numbers. Domestic callers should dial 1-855-859-2056. International callers may access the replay at 404-537-3406. The access code for both numbers is 49754021. Please note that information reported on this call speaks only as of today, July 28, 2016, and therefore you are advised that time-sensitive information may no longer be accurate as of the time of any replay. I would finally advise that this conference call is being broadcast live through an internet webcast system that can be accessed on our webpage at westlake.com. Now I'd like to turn the call over to Albert Chao. Albert?

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

Thank you, Ben. Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen, and thank you for joining us on the earnings call to discuss our second quarter 2016 results. In this afternoon's press release, we reported quarterly net income of $111 million, or $0.85 per diluted share on net sales of $1.1 billion. Our quarterly results reflect good demand for our olefins and vinyls products following steady improvement in consumer spending and commercial and residential construction activity, which has been supported by low crude oil prices and a growing economy. Sales prices for our products also showed improvement over levels seen in the first quarter as supply was impacted by high levels of seasonal turnaround activity and unplanned events, but are lower compared to the second quarter of 2015 due to lower global crude oil prices.

Our second quarter olefins and vinyls segment earnings were impacted by the plant maintenance turnarounds and other unplanned outages, which Steve will comment in more detail. However, we are pleased with the recent milestones that we have achieved. In June, we entered into a definitive agreement to acquire Axiall Corporation, a leader in the chlor-alkali, PVC, and building products businesses. Additionally, we recently completed work that began in the quarter on expansion of our Lake Charles, Louisiana Petro 1 ethylene unit, which adds 250 million pounds of ethylene capacity, further strengthening our olefins integration, along with the successful restart of our Calvert City, Kentucky units following an unplanned outage. I would now like to turn our call over to Steve to provide more detail on the financial and operating results for the second quarter of 2016. Steve?

Steve Bender
SVP and CFO, Westlake Chemical

Thank you, Albert, and good afternoon, everyone. I will start with discussing our consolidated financial results, followed by a detailed review of our olefins and vinyls segment results. Let me begin with our consolidated results. In this afternoon's press release, Westlake reported net income for the second quarter of 2016 of $111 million, or $0.85 per diluted share on net sales of $1.1 billion, compared to the second quarter of 2015 net income of $205 million, or $1.54 per diluted share on net sales of $1.2 billion.

Net income for the second quarter of 2016 was impacted by pre-tax, unabsorbed fixed manufacturing cost and other costs associated with the planned maintenance turnaround and expansion of our Lake Charles Petro 1 ethylene unit, an unplanned outage at our Calvert City facility, and other unplanned outages totaling approximately $66 million, or $0.33 per diluted share, and approximately $11 million, or $0.05 per share in lost margins associated with these turnarounds and outages. Additionally, the second quarter net income was impacted by pre-tax cost related to the Axiall acquisition of approximately $8 million, or $0.04 per diluted share.

These second quarter results compare to net income for the second quarter of 2015, which included a pre-tax gain of $16 million, or $0.13 per diluted share, related to the bargain purchase gain from the acquisition of a controlling interest in Huasu, our Chinese PVC operation, which we acquired in June 2015, from a partial impairment of an equity method investment. To summarize, our net income for the second quarter of 2016 was lower as a result of several non-recurring pre-tax items. These items included the cost related to the planned turnaround and expansion project, unplanned outages, and the lost margin associated with these outages, and the transaction costs related to the pending Axiall acquisition.

Excluding these non-recurring items, our second quarter earnings would have been $1.27 per share, which compares to the $1.54 per share as reported in the second quarter of 2015, and the $0.94 per share reported in the first quarter of 2016. Continuing on with our second quarter results, our net sales for the second quarter of 2016 decreased by $99 million compared to the second quarter of 2015, mainly due to lower sales prices for all major products and lower sales volumes for polyethylene and lower ethylene and ethylene co-product sales related to the planned Petro 1 turnaround and expansion project. This was partially offset by higher sales volumes for PVC resin and styrene, and sales contributed by Huasu. Income from operations was $180 million for the second quarter of 2016, compared to $295 million for the second quarter of 2015.

The decrease in operating income was also impacted by lower sales, partially offset by lower average feedstock and energy cost, and higher product margins in our European operations as compared to the second quarter of 2015. Sales revenue in the second quarter of 2016 was $1.1 billion, increased by $111 million compared to the first quarter of 2016, while income from operations of $180 million decreased $22 million. The increase in net sales was largely due to higher sales prices for most of our major products, higher sales volumes for polyethylene, specialty PVC resin, building products, and styrene, and sales contributed by Huasu. The decrease in operating income was primarily due to lost sales and cost associated with the planned turnaround activity and unplanned outages in both of our segments and our ethylene expansion project, partially offset by higher integrated product margins.

For the six months ended June 30, 2016, we reported operating income of $382 million on net sales of $2.1 billion, compared to operating income of $525 million on net sales of $2.3 billion in the first half of 2015. The decrease in net sales for the first six-month period of 2016 was due to lower sales prices for all of our major products and lower sales volumes for ethylene and ethylene co-products related to our planned Petro 1 turnaround and expansion project. This was partially offset by higher sales volumes for PVC resin and styrene, and sales contributed by Huasu. The decrease in operating income was mainly attributable to the lost sales and cost associated with the planned and unplanned turnarounds and our ethylene expansion project.

In addition, income from operations for the first six months of 2016 was impacted by lower sales prices associated with lower crude oil prices and costs related to the pending Axiall acquisition, partially offset by lower average feedstock and energy costs, and higher product margins in our European operations as compared to the prior year period. Our utilization of the FIFO method of accounting resulted in a favorable impact of $26 million pre-tax, or $0.13 per share in the second quarter, compared to what earnings would've been if we reported on the LIFO method. Please bear in mind that this calculation is only an estimate and has not been audited. Let's move on to review the performance of our two segments, starting with the Olefins segment. In the second quarter of 2016, the Olefins segment reported income from operations of $141 million on net sales of $494 million.

The second quarter results reflected the impact of lost sales, lower production, and unabsorbed fixed manufacturing costs and other costs related to the planned turnaround and expansion of the Lake Charles Petro 1 ethylene unit, and several other unplanned outages in the second quarter of 2016. The lower results for the second quarter of 2016 as compared to the second quarter of 2015, also reflect a decline in Olefins integrated product margins due to lower sales prices, partially offset by lower feedstock and energy costs. Second quarter 2016 results saw a decrease of $9 million in operating income compared to the first quarter of 2016, while sales increased $64 million. The decline in operating income was partially offset by higher integrated margins and higher sales volumes for polyethylene and styrene in the second quarter of 2016 as compared to the first quarter of 2016.

For the six months ended June 30, 2016, the Olefins segment reported income from operations of $290 million as compared to income from operations of $412 million for the six-month period ending June 30, 2015. Olefins integrated product margins in the first half of 2016 decreased following the decline in sales prices, partially offset by lower feedstock and energy costs as compared to the prior year period. Now, moving on to the Vinyls segment. The Vinyls segment reported income from operations of $52 million in the second quarter of 2016 on net sales of $592 million. Our Vinyls segment second quarter results were impacted by lost sales, lower production, and unabsorbed fixed manufacturing costs, and other costs associated with the unplanned outage at the Calvert City facility, and costs incurred related to several planned maintenance turnarounds completed in the second quarter of 2016.

Compared to the second quarter of 2015, operating income decreased by $36 million and additionally was impacted by lower sales prices for all of our major products, partially offset by higher product margins in our European operations. The Vinyls segment income from operations decreased $10 million from the $62 million reported in the first quarter of 2016. This decrease was partially offset by higher integrated margins. Operating income for the Vinyls segment for the first six months ended June 30, 2016, was $114 million as compared to operating income of $135 million for the six months ended June 30, 2015.

In addition to the operational impacts on results that I previously described, this decrease was also a result of lower sales prices for our major products, partially offset by higher product margins in our European operations and higher cost of sales volumes, primarily attributable to higher production at our Geismar, Louisiana, chlor-alkali plant. Now let's turn our attention to the balance sheet and cash flow. For the first six months of 2016, cash generated from operating activities was $370 million, and we spent $287 million on capital expenditures. At the end of the second quarter, we had cash and marketable securities of approximately $1.1 billion, and long-term debt was approximately $758 million. Now, allow me to provide some 2016 guidance for modeling purposes.

Our estimate for 2016 capital expenditures is expected to be lower than our prior guidance of $500 million-$550 million as we review our capital project spending in light of the pending Axiall acquisition, and we will provide updated guidance on our next conference call. The 2016 capital spending includes spending for the expansion of our Petro 1 ethylene unit in Lake Charles, which we recently completed and is in the process of restarting. It also includes early engineering work and the purchase of long lead items related to the expansion of our Calvert City ethylene unit that we announced in January, and which is currently planned for the first half of 2017. We estimate that our third quarter 2016 income from operations will be impacted by lost production and associated cost from the Petro 1 planned maintenance turnaround and expansion project.

The unplanned outages of our Calvert City ethylene unit and other normal planned maintenance turnaround activity of approximately $55 million pre-tax, which will be evenly split between our Vinyls and Olefins segments. We also expect to see transaction expenses in the third quarter related to the pending Axiall acquisition, and I will provide guidance prior to the end of the third quarter. We estimate that our 2016 effective tax rate for the year will be approximately 36%. With that, I'll turn the call back over to Albert to make some closing comments. Albert?

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

Thank you, Steve. We saw improving fundamentals in the second quarter as we benefited from higher integrated product prices and margins and strong demand for our end products. Although we were impacted by the planned and unplanned outages at our Lake Charles and Calvert City sites. We are excited about our recently announced acquisition of Axiall Corporation, which we believe creates a more diversified and competitive company. This acquisition will make the leader in the chlor-vinyl markets as we become the number three chlor-alkali producer and the number two PVC producer in North America, and the number three PVC producer globally. This acquisition provides greater scale and synergies with the combined Westlake and Axiall businesses. There are opportunities to apply our strategy of vertical integration while improving operations by sharing best practices and synergies across both companies.

We expect this transaction will close by the fourth quarter and will meaningfully add to the earnings potential of our company. We look forward to welcoming the Axiall employees into the Westlake family. Thank you very much for listening to our earnings call this afternoon. I will turn the call back over to Ben. Ben?

Ben Ederington
VP, General Counsel, Chief Administrative Officer, and Corporate Secretary, Westlake Chemical

Thank you, Albert. Before we begin taking questions, I would like to remind you that a replay of this conference call will be available starting two hours after we conclude the call. We will provide that number again at the end of the call. Crystal, we will take questions.

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, if you have a question at this time, please press the star and then the number one key on your touch-tone telephone. If your question has been answered or you wish to remove yourself from the queue, please press the pound key. Our first question comes from Aleksey Yefremov from Nomura Securities. Your line is now open.

Aleksey Yefremov
Analyst, Nomura Securities

Good afternoon. Thank you.

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

Good afternoon.

Aleksey Yefremov
Analyst, Nomura Securities

What was your caustic soda price realization in the second quarter? What was the increase in $ per ton? Do you expect to realize further increases in the third quarter?

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

Yes. As you know, at least IHS reported since April of this year, each month there has been price increases announced by the industry totaling over $130 a short ton. Westlake, we have been increasing realize our price increases as the terms of our contracts allow. We've been enjoying an increase in the prices as our terms allow.

Aleksey Yefremov
Analyst, Nomura Securities

If I may follow up, Albert, do you expect any sort of lagged increases to benefit you in the third quarter from those resets and contracts from the second quarter?

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

Yes, we expect that the price increases as announced will flow into the third quarter.

Aleksey Yefremov
Analyst, Nomura Securities

Thank you.

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

You're welcome.

Aleksey Yefremov
Analyst, Nomura Securities

A second question on European chlor-alkali. European natural gas prices have declined, and you have chlor-alkali assets in the region. Do you see any change in the cost position for your assets there? Do you see any decline in electricity prices, or do you expect it to occur in the near future?

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

We see a reasonable demand for chlor-alkali in Europe, we see potential price increase as well. Time will tell whether those price increases will succeed or not.

Aleksey Yefremov
Analyst, Nomura Securities

Anything on the cost side? Are your costs moving lower in Europe by any appreciable amount?

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

Yes. We use electricity that we don't produce. We buy electricity from the European market, they are reflective of natural gas prices. It will take a while to have those power costs reflect natural gas price changes.

Aleksey Yefremov
Analyst, Nomura Securities

Thank you very much.

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

You're welcome.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from David Begleiter from Deutsche Bank. Your line is now open.

David Begleiter
Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Thank you. Albert, what's your expectation for polyethylene prices in the back half of the year? Do you expect any erosion to occur?

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

As you know that we've been joining price increases in polyethylene this year. Since February and March, there has been $0.09 price increases. IHS and CDI are projecting that July prices to stay flat. They are projecting prices to decline in the second half or fourth quarter of this year. Time will tell whether it will happen or not. I think the industry inventory are quite good for producers and somewhat on low side for consumer side. We will see whether there will be price declines in the second half of the year or not.

David Begleiter
Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Albert, just on the feedstock side, ethane, with exports increasing in the back half, do you expect ethane prices to stay in the teens, or do you think they could go higher again later in the year?

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

Well, the projection by IHS are saying the ethane prices will move up near the end of the year with more ethane exports as well as new expanded ethylene capacity increases. Again, time will tell whether additional production from oil gas production will add more volume to supply of ethane.

David Begleiter
Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Thank you very much.

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

You're welcome.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Don Carson from Susquehanna. Your line is now open.

Don Carson
Analyst, Susquehanna

Yes. A question going back to caustic soda. You talked about higher caustic volumes in the first six months, was Q2 down from Q1 because of the Calvert City outage, or is that more of an issue that you were selling out of inventory and you'll be somewhat constrained by the outage in Q3?

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

Yeah. I was talking about caustic prices earlier.

Because of our Calvert City plant outage our volume has come down.

Don Carson
Analyst, Susquehanna

Okay. Will that be ongoing in the current quarter?

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

Well, I think yes. Our Calvert City operation, as we started over a week ago, but we will have some impact in the third quarter because of the downtime experienced earlier this month.

Don Carson
Analyst, Susquehanna

Okay. You talked earlier about the contract price increases. What is the exact lag between when we see, say, the IHS index go up and when you realize those price increases in your actual transaction prices?

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

Well, it depends. Spot price certainly reflect much faster. Contract price. There are price protections. Not always the IHS announced dollar amount is realized. A portion of those has been realized.

Don Carson
Analyst, Susquehanna

Mm-hmm. Turning to the Axiall acquisition, you'll be somewhat short ethylene as you absorb those assets. Would you plan on running some of the ethylene derivatives like VCM, where margins are relatively low right now, or would you wait until you were more back integrated into additional sources of ethylene to run those assets flat out?

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

Well, those things we haven't closed yet. We don't know the details how to run the business. I would expect that if there's a margin from purchase to ethylene to run those assets, they will run them and sell the products. If there are no margins, they will not run it.

Don Carson
Analyst, Susquehanna

Right. Okay. Thank you.

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

You're welcome.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Bob Koort with Goldman Sachs. Your line is now open.

Ryan Berney
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Good afternoon. This is Ryan Berney on for Bob.

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

Good afternoon.

Steve Bender
SVP and CFO, Westlake Chemical

Hi, Ryan.

Ryan Berney
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Hey, Steve and Albert. I was hoping you could give us a sense for, you decided to reduce maybe your CapEx guide a little bit this year, given the Axiall deal, which makes sense. Given kind of the position you see yourself now with the balance sheet, if an acquisition became available for you to close some of that ethylene gap, is that something that you feel like you could do with this Axiall deal on the table?

Steve Bender
SVP and CFO, Westlake Chemical

Yeah, we'll continue to look at opportunities. My comment on capital was certainly just to continue to use the cash flow that we see from the business, in a very cost-effective manner. Should there be an opportunity for us, be it in that business, as you mentioned, or other opportunities, we'll continue to take a look at those. If they're value additive, there's always a way to make that materialize and finance that.

Ryan Berney
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Great. Thanks. Then, can you provide any update on how you're thinking about the drop-down pace into the OpCo and whether or not you think you'll see an adjustment there?

Steve Bender
SVP and CFO, Westlake Chemical

Well, with the opportunity to expand the Petro 1 unit this year and the planned expansion in 2017 in Calvert City, there isn't a near-term need to have a drop-down. That organic growth provides us the earnings growth that the partnership needs into 2016, 2017, and well into 2018. We don't see a need for drops to continue the track that we're on for that low double-digit growth rate for several years.

Ryan Berney
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Thank you very much.

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

You're welcome.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Frank Mitsch from Wells Fargo Securities. Your line is now open.

Frank Mitsch
Analyst, Wells Fargo Securities

Hey. Yes. Good morning. Good afternoon, gentlemen.

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

Good afternoon.

Steve Bender
SVP and CFO, Westlake Chemical

Good afternoon, Frank.

Frank Mitsch
Analyst, Wells Fargo Securities

I wanted to talk about the planned and unplanned outage impact. I believe you said it was $65 million for Q2. Steve, I thought I heard you say $55 million. Was that just a Q3 number that you're expecting for planned and unplanned outages impact?

Steve Bender
SVP and CFO, Westlake Chemical

Yeah, Frank, the number for the second quarter was $66 million. For the third quarter, that's right, that was just third quarter impact. The carry-on impact into Q3 for the both planned and unplanned outage.

Frank Mitsch
Analyst, Wells Fargo Securities

All right. At this point, do you have any planned turnarounds for Q4?

Steve Bender
SVP and CFO, Westlake Chemical

Nothing other than the normal small, minor, some of the derivative units. Those are very small.

Frank Mitsch
Analyst, Wells Fargo Securities

All right. Terrific. It's been six weeks since you announced the deal. I'm wondering how much contact you've been able to have with Axiall, and if your thinking is any different regarding the $100 million synergy target that you laid out at the time that you announced the transaction.

Steve Bender
SVP and CFO, Westlake Chemical

Well, Frank, the $100 million is the number that we believe that we can achieve, and certainly we're not going to stop if we think there's an opportunity to derive more value. Once we close the transaction and have a good opportunity to get into the business in more detail, we'll look to see if there's more opportunity. We won't stop at that $100 million number, of course.

Frank Mitsch
Analyst, Wells Fargo Securities

At this point, you haven't had as much opportunity to get in and see what you're actually going to be buying, correct?

Steve Bender
SVP and CFO, Westlake Chemical

Well, we need to obviously get to the point where we own the asset and really get into the running of the businesses. Even at this stage, while we have good dialogue with the company, the answer is we can't have the level of dialogue that's necessary until we close the transaction and look across all elements of the business.

Frank Mitsch
Analyst, Wells Fargo Securities

Terrific. Thank you.

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

You're welcome.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Jim Sheehan from SunTrust. Your line is now open.

Jim Sheehan
Analyst, SunTrust

Good afternoon.

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

Good afternoon.

Jim Sheehan
Analyst, SunTrust

Guys, could you update us on the status of your discussions with the IRS about MLP status?

Steve Bender
SVP and CFO, Westlake Chemical

Yeah, Jim Sheehan, it's Steve Bender. The IRS has said that they thought this was Curtis Wilson, who is the Associate General Counsel of the IRS, made a comment about two months ago, and he said he thought he'd have some comments out by Labor Day. There's been no other commentary by himself of a date other than that. Our expectation still is this summer. There are a number of other items they're dealing with other than just this proposal that are in front, which I think are keeping them busy. It's still my expectation that we'll see something before the end of the summer.

Jim Sheehan
Analyst, SunTrust

Thanks. For the third quarter, do you expect to have any variance in the FIFO impact?

Steve Bender
SVP and CFO, Westlake Chemical

Well, it's hard to know where prices will go between now and the end of the third quarter. As I say, we always try to give that FIFO, LIFO. We're a FIFO company, so we always try to give that sense. You can see where product prices are, and so we've tried to give some guidance where we were in the second quarter.

Jim Sheehan
Analyst, SunTrust

Thank you.

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

You're welcome.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question is from Edlain Rodriguez from UBS. Your line is now open.

Edlain Rodriguez
Analyst, UBS

Thank you. Good afternoon, guys.

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

Good afternoon.

Steve Bender
SVP and CFO, Westlake Chemical

Good afternoon.

Edlain Rodriguez
Analyst, UBS

Just one quick one on caustic soda. Did you have to ship more to the export market than normal, or was everything similar?

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

Yeah. Westlake typically do not participate in the export market. Our Calvert City plant is up in the Midwest, but unfortunately, we experienced some downtime in the second quarter as well.

Edlain Rodriguez
Analyst, UBS

Okay. It's all domestic. Just one last quick one for you, Albert. Going into 2017, are you worrying at all about all the new capacity coming online? What's your view there? What's the potential impact on pricing there?

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

You're talking about the polyethylene?

Edlain Rodriguez
Analyst, UBS

Polyethylene. Yes.

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

Yes. Certainly, there are more planned or scheduled plants coming up, but we don't know. We have heard some stories that those scheduled plant startup could be delayed, so we don't know where they will be. Certainly, it'll add more capacity to the market if they do come on at the right time. We expect that most of those products will be exported. Depending on the global economy as well, is how fast those capacity will be absorbed by the global market.

Edlain Rodriguez
Analyst, UBS

Okay. That makes sense. Thank you very much.

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

You're welcome.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Hassan Ahmed from Alembic Global. Your line is now open.

Hassan Ahmed
Analyst, Alembic Global

Good afternoon, Albert and Steve.

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

Good afternoon.

Steve Bender
SVP and CFO, Westlake Chemical

Good afternoon.

Hassan Ahmed
Analyst, Alembic Global

Just wanted to follow up on one of the earlier questions. Someone asked you if you would potentially consider acquiring assets to fill the net short position in ethylene that will obviously evolve post the Axiall acquisition. My question is that I don't know whether you guys have gotten a chance to study at all or in length the agreement between Axiall and Lotte. The question really is that let's assume for a second that via an acquisition, you were to address most of that net short position. In that scenario, is there enough flexibility in that agreement to maybe potentially walk away from it?

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

As far as we understand, and I think the agreement has been filed publicly, that Axiall will be taking approximately 50% of the output of that plant's ethylene, and that amount is approximately 50% of Axiall's internal demand for ethylene. They'll be buying additional ethylene from the marketplace. I think there's a contract that they have to purchase. As far as I know, they can't walk away from the purchase at least for the term of the contract.

Hassan Ahmed
Analyst, Alembic Global

Fair enough. Okay. Fair enough. Moving on to the outage impact. I know you guys sort of broke out $0.33 a share as sort of the impact from planned and unplanned outages. Would really appreciate if you could kind of just give us some sort of an estimate as to what part of that $0.33 was planned, what part of it was unplanned.

Steve Bender
SVP and CFO, Westlake Chemical

Hassan, we gave some indication of the impact of the Calvert outage earlier in the quarter, where we indicated $40 million of that would be split between the second quarter and the third quarter. That was obviously an unplanned outage, of course. We said that the greater portion of that was in the second quarter. I think you can get some good sense of how much that was relative to the $66 million or the $0.33 that I earlier reflected.

Hassan Ahmed
Analyst, Alembic Global

Got it. $40 basically was Calvert City split between Q2 and Q3 with the bulk of it in Q2.

Steve Bender
SVP and CFO, Westlake Chemical

With a majority of it in Q2 and the minority of it in Q3.

Hassan Ahmed
Analyst, Alembic Global

Fantastic. Very helpful.

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

Okay.

Hassan Ahmed
Analyst, Alembic Global

Thank you.

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

You're welcome.

Operator

Thank you. Again, ladies and gentlemen, to ask a question, please press star and then one. Our next question comes from Arun Viswanathan from RBC Capital Markets. Your line is now open.

Dan DeCicco
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Hi. This is Dan DeCicco on for Arun. Appreciate you guys taking my question.

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

You're welcome.

Dan DeCicco
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

A competitor mentioned consultant forecasts of ethylene capacity additions over the next five years could be overstated. They're expecting some project delays, postponements, and stuff like that, which could keep operating rates maybe higher than people are expecting. Just curious on your thoughts on this.

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

Most of the new plants that are being added are accompanied with derivative plants. Those new plants, they would sell the ethylene into derivative products which will be sold on a global basis.

Dan DeCicco
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Great. Just as a follow-up, following the Axiall transaction, to make up some of that short ethylene, would there be more interest in maybe brownfield expansion or going out and purchasing an existing asset such as Eastman's Longview cracker or something like that?

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

The Axiall Corporation, they are one of the largest purchaser of ethylene in the merchant market. The new Lotte joint venture will not come on the market until, I presume, their schedule is 2019. The interim Axiall and Westlake will be buying ethylene from the market. Certainly, as Steve said, we will look at opportunities that comes up as to acquisitions. I would presume we'll be doing merchant purchases as well as look for opportunities.

Dan DeCicco
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Okay, great. Thank you.

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

You're welcome.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from David Wang from Morningstar. Your line is now open.

David Wang
Analyst, Morningstar

Hi. Thank you for taking my question.

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

You're welcome.

David Wang
Analyst, Morningstar

Just a follow on your operating cost. Can you talk to us about what your cost to produce ethylene was this quarter and how you see that trending in the coming years?

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

Well, according to IHS, with the relative low ethane prices, I think the cash cost for ethane crackers to produce ethylene is between $0.10 a pound-$0.11 a pound.

David Wang
Analyst, Morningstar

Okay, great. I know this was brought up a little bit earlier, what are your thoughts on the potential delays for the greenfield crackers that are planned to come online? Do you see the current environment as conducive to them to continue to come online? Do you think that some of them will eventually be delayed or some of them even canceled?

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

Well, I think those projects that's already broken ground and ongoing, they will, I presume, get built. We have heard some projects, the public have announced that the project been delayed for various reasons. We know that the Gulf Coast skilled labors are still quite short, it'll impact the construction schedule. By how much, we don't know, time will tell.

David Wang
Analyst, Morningstar

All right. Thank you.

Albert Chao
President and CEO, Westlake Chemical

You're welcome.

Operator

Thank you. I'm showing no further questions at this time. The question and answer session has now ended. Are there any closing remarks?

Ben Ederington
VP, General Counsel, Chief Administrative Officer, and Corporate Secretary, Westlake Chemical

Thank you for participating in today's call. We hope you will join us for our next conference call to discuss our third quarter 2016 results. Good evening.

Operator

Thank you for participating in today's Westlake Chemical Corporation second quarter 2016 earnings conference call. As a reminder, this call will be available for replay beginning two hours after the call has ended and may be accessed until 11:59 P.M. Eastern Time on Thursday, August 4, 2016. The replay can be accessed by calling the following numbers. Domestic callers should dial 1-855-859-2056. International callers may access the replay at 404-537-3406. The access code for both numbers is 49754021. Thank you.