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Earnings Call: Q2 2021

Jul 22, 2021

Speaker 1

Good day, and welcome to the Watsco Second Quarter 2021 Earnings Call. All participants will be in listen only mode. Please note, event is being recorded. I'd now like to turn the conference over to Mr. Nahmad.

Please go ahead.

Speaker 2

Good morning, everyone. Hope everyone is having a Safe and good day. Welcome to our 2nd quarter earnings call and what an incredible quarter it was for Watsco. This is Al Nahmad, Chairman and CEO. And with me is A.

J. Nahmad, who is our President And our 2 Executive Vice Presidents, Paul Johnston and Barry Logan. Now as we normally do, before we start, we I need to read our cautionary statement. The conference call has forward looking statements as defined by SEC laws and regulations that are made pursuant to the Safe Harbor provisions of these various laws, ultimate results may differ materially from the forward looking Now on to our report. I am pleased to share that Watsco has delivered an incredible second quarter, achieving new records in virtually every performance metric.

Earnings per share jumped 64% to a record $3.71 per share On a 66% increase in net income, this was by far our most successful quarter ever. Sales grew 36 percent or nearly $500,000,000 to a record $1,850,100,000 in sales for the quarter. Gross profits increased 50% with gross margins expanding 220 basis points. Operating income increased $88,000,000 or 68 percent to 2.7 $15,000,000 And operating margins this is a big one. Operating margins expanded 2 20 basis points to a record 11.7%.

Now these results are all the more positive when considered against last year's Q2, which had only a modest impact for the COVID related slowdown. Now we have 2 new companies in our family, TEC and Acme. They performed very well and we cannot be happier that they are not part of an important part of Watsco. They have a rich and successful history and we will help them any way we can. Looking ahead, We are engaged in a very fragmented $50,000,000,000 North American market.

Again, this is a $50,000,000,000 North American market. And we hope to find more great companies to join us. Greater scale in this industry provides more capital for us to fund our growth priorities. Also, Watsco's industry leading technologies continues to gain traction and we believe they are helping us gain market share. Here are a few important highlights to mention.

1st, growth rates among active users of our technologies Continues to outpace the growth rates of non users. Customers using our technology are simply growing faster. Next, attrition among customers using our technology is meaningfully lower compared to non users. The technology enables us to create stickier customer relationships. Also, more customers are using our digital selling platforms that Call OnCallAir and Credit for Comfort.

They help and modernize how HP solutions are presented to homeowners. As evidenced by the success of OnCallAir and Credit for Comfort, the number of digital sales presentations Made by our contractor customers to end consumers increased by 84% and helped close over $200,000,000 in sales during the quarter. These tools have also benefited the sale of higher efficiency systems, which we think is an important contributor to the climate change discussion. As solar systems are replaced, our technology can play an important role in helping Our progress is very encouraging, We believe it is still early in terms of reaching the full potential of our technology investments. Our focus remains in the long term.

Thank you for having me say that over and over again. We are long term players in the industry. Please feel free to schedule a Zoom call with us and we can further Our technology and its impact. Finally, but very important, our balance sheet remains in pristine condition with only a small amount of debt. We have plenty of capacity and even more ambitions to grow our company both organically and through acquisitions.

With that, A. J, Paul, Barry and I are happy to answer your

Speaker 1

At this time, we'll pause momentarily to assemble our roster. Our first question comes from Jeff Hammond from KeyBanc Capital Markets. Please go ahead.

Speaker 2

Good morning, Jeff.

Speaker 3

Hey, good morning, Al. Good morning, guys. So I just want to hit on the gross margins. They've been kind of exceptional here in the last couple of quarters. And I just want to understand what's driving it and how you feel about the sustainability.

It just seems like Kind of the last 5, 7 years, you've been in that 24 to 24.5 and now we're up close to 26.

Speaker 2

Barry?

Speaker 4

Good morning, Jeff. Again, gross margin always is a primary component of What do we pay for products and what do we sell products for? And it's all very decentralized and regional and local and customer specific. And so if there isn't one answer to your question, there's about 16,000 answers to your question as to how it plays out in the marketplace Clearly, high efficiency systems are being sold at a greater rate. Clearly, price increases As they flow through benefit some of the gross margin flow through, if you will.

Also culturally, we've done a lot with pricing Systems and pricing technology and pricing data, pricing software, to optimize price. That doesn't mean necessarily raise price, it means optimized price and markets. And also working closely with all of our OEMs, we have about 600 total manufacturers. They're facing inflation. They have to decide on their own pricing mechanism into the markets.

And As we work through that with them, some of those benefits occur. What does the future your next question was, what does the future hold? Well, Paul, maybe you want to comment on it, but there's still continued pricing actions going on in the market. And we would expect to continue to work with OEMs and customers and flow that dynamic through our business.

Speaker 5

Can't agree with you more, Barry. I think in the future, we've got the right amount of discipline. We've been able to hire people who are in positions now where they're actually managing and looking at pricing on a daily and moment by moment basis. And I think working with our vendors and with our OEMs, I think we can continue Improving gross profit, maybe at

Speaker 2

a more

Speaker 5

moderate rate than we've done in the past 18 months, but still we can improve.

Speaker 3

Okay. And then, just on price, our channel checks were picking up kind of high single digit price increases with kind of the multiple increases coming through. Full increase is coming through. Can you just talk about how much you're seeing on price or price mix? And if there's much variation between Pricing traction in equipment versus non equipment?

Thanks.

Speaker 4

Paul?

Speaker 5

Yes. The equipment manufacturers, Each one of them with the exception of 1 right now, I think have announced that they've got their 3rd price increase of the year going. And each one of them have announced a recent price increase September, August timeframe of anywhere from 4% to 8%, and they're real price increases. They genuinely need the price increases we all do, because there has been an increase in material costs. So on the OEM side, yes, we've seen price increases 3 times this year.

When you get to the non equipment piece of it, the parts and the supply side, it's been a pretty continuous stream of price increases that we've Been administering well in excess of roughly 200 price increases, Most of them multiple, obviously. So, yes, the industry definitely has seen an upward turn in pricing.

Speaker 6

This is A. J. I'll also add that, as it relates to our total gross profit margins, we are focused On selling and aspire to sell more parts and supplies, which inherently have a higher gross profit margin, so that also contributes.

Speaker 3

Are you guys able to quantify what price or price mix was in the quarter?

Speaker 4

No, we haven't.

Speaker 5

There's not a regular cadence to it. So for us, it's making sure that We're getting the price increases into the customers' hands has been a priority one. They've been coming at us so fast. As far as the measurement, yes, we'll do a reconciliation and find out exactly what that is at some point once The year progresses.

Speaker 4

Okay. Thanks, guys.

Speaker 1

The next question comes from Jeff Sprague from Vertical Research. Please

Speaker 7

go ahead.

Speaker 8

Hey, good morning, everyone. Thanks for taking the question. 2 for me. First, just on the multiple price increase. It is interesting, Barry mentioned more high efficiency systems.

It doesn't feel like you're Pumping any up against any elasticity here on pricing, understand the consumer generally doesn't know what this stuff costs until a unit breaks And they find out, but any sign at all that there's a tilt towards mixing back down a little bit?

Speaker 2

What was the question? Any sign of what?

Speaker 8

Well, I'm just wondering if you see any mix erosion in response to the It doesn't sound like you did in the quarter, but I just wonder if around the edges, we are starting to see any signs of like demand destruction.

Speaker 2

Well, let me say that we also are aware of the end consumer And we are now presenting more and more renewals of our financing program, so that whatever the cost increase is, it's less of a burden for homeowners because of the terms of the that we provide through one of our Platforms for financing, and particularly equipment. And somebody else wanted to say something. Go ahead.

Speaker 5

Yes. I don't think there's been much pushback from the consumer at all. You hit it right on the head. The consumer doesn't know What a price is, it's not a frequent purchase for the consumer. And so to date, we have not seen a lot of pushback.

A lot of it has just been based on availability, Being able to satisfy the customers' need for home comfort, indoor air quality, and humidity control.

Speaker 4

Just what I would add to that is, is there's 2 things. First, What we sell is a component of the consumer's cost. It isn't the consumer's cost. So how a contractor prices and ultimately Completes the job and sells the job and as Al mentioned, how we can help them finance the job. It's layered type of transaction and we haven't seen any deterioration.

In fact, growth rates for high efficiency or well beyond the overall equipment growth rate that you see in the press release at 29%. The second thing I'd say is part of the technology That we have is the presentation software to push and recommend and really help contractors Go beyond paper when they present these different options to homeowners. And so in the press release where you read about on call error, Nearly doubling in size in the quarter. That's that piece of software and high efficiency is ruling the day in that environment.

Speaker 2

And I want to get back to financing. Interest rates, everybody knows are low. So we're helping our distributors, which are our customers with financing and then we're helping their customers, the homeowners with financing. And we're taking advantage of lower interest rates to help the end consumer and to help the distributor.

Speaker 8

And you're doing that through 3rd party intermediaries or are you bringing risk on your balance sheet, more risk on your balance sheet?

Speaker 2

Well, we do Sometimes with extended terms of our own, but it's a combination of that and using 3rd party when it goes out several years.

Speaker 8

Thank you. And my second question, and I appreciate all the detail on the first one. Just on the issue of availability, Just looking at your inventories, they're a little lower than I might have guessed given the pace of demand. Would you characterize things as still Kind of lean in the channel or are we kind of getting caught up here within demand?

Speaker 2

Well, first, let me say that the OEMs we deal with Have really worked hard to meet demand. They're doing the best they can. Their suppliers on the other hand or sometimes letting them down or sometimes they're overwhelmed. But we do believe that they're getting better at it. We believe we could have sold more in the Q2 had we had more, particularly equipment, But it's a matter of time, demand will catch up with equipment, I mean with supply.

And In the meantime, we're doing the best we can as the numbers show. But everybody's got some every OEM has one Two particular items or number of particular items that they're short on because they don't control the manufacturing of it.

Speaker 6

I'll just add that I have to say that our teams in the field have been working tirelessly to meet their customers' demand and They've moved a lot of product around and hustled and we're grateful and appreciate their hard work too. Welcome, sir. Thank you.

Speaker 1

The next question comes from Nigel Coe from

Speaker 5

Wolfe Research. Please go ahead.

Speaker 2

Good Good morning, Nigel.

Speaker 7

Good morning, Al. Good morning, everyone. It's been a long time since I've been on what's going on, so it's good to get a question. It's a great quarter, Very strong. Just want to pick up on Jeff's question on sort of the supply chain and product availability.

Obviously, it sounds pretty prevalent. All OEMs have got some form of product shortages. I'm just wondering how your sort of IT helping you mitigate these pressures. And I'm wondering if you've managed to gain some share as a result of that And maybe just talk about any share shifts you've seen, because of your ability to manage that better than perhaps some of your competitors.

Speaker 2

Who wants that question?

Speaker 5

I'll take a stab at it. We manage we've got One of the best technology platforms available to manage our inventory. And we have constant update meetings with each one of our OEMs as well as some of our key suppliers who don't make finished good inventory. And what we're working with them on is making sure that we have our complete visibility to What our needs are, what our forecasts are and what our order reliability from them has been. And I think what it's done is it's brought us a lot closer communication wise with the OEMs and made us, I wouldn't say a favored nation, but it would certainly make us easier to do business with than most of the channel.

So I think it has helped us. Have we lost market share? I think we've gained market share because of our inventory management systems.

Speaker 7

Great. Okay. That's why I was trying to drive up the share gain. And then just on the regional variations, I mean, we have some extreme heat on the West Coast, Pacific Northwest in June, just wondering if we saw outsized growth in those areas relative to the 2% to 9%.

Speaker 2

Perry?

Speaker 4

Nigel, good morning. Well, the West Coast for us, if you look at the branch count in our filings, is actually a relatively small marketplace We're not in the Pacific Northwest at all, it's 0. And those Western markets, again, from a contribution point of view, Did well in the quarter, but it didn't contribute to the overall results materially. So we do want to be actually much bigger out there. In relative terms, it's not very material.

Speaker 2

Okay. Thanks, guys.

Speaker 1

The The next question comes from Tommy Moll from Stephens. Please go ahead.

Speaker 2

Good morning, Tommy.

Speaker 9

Good morning and thanks for taking my questions.

Speaker 2

Sure.

Speaker 9

They've talked about gross margins and price cost a little bit. If we step back, as you think about On a multiyear basis potentially, or even just through an let's say, through an inflationary cycle. In your mind, is that a net benefit, net neutral, net headwind for you as a distributor? Smooth it all out.

Speaker 2

Well, we don't like to be in an inflationary environment like any other business. I don't think it's something that is good for the consumer or anyone else in the distribution chain. But sometimes Things happen and we do the best we can and I keep referring to the way we can assist The distributor and his customer is by providing especially opportunistic financing now given the lower rates To offset some of that, but generally speaking, wherever the inflation is, we'll adjust to it one way or the other. And I think we're gaining share by the things that we do. Anybody else want to add something to it, Barry or Paul or A.

J?

Speaker 4

Yes. I think the only thing I would add is, we do operate a business with 655 locations and

Speaker 2

It's different area.

Speaker 4

5,000,000, 6000 people. And to the extent there are an element of fixed cost, we do benefit in terms of profitability Inflationary environment, if those fixed costs are not growing or inflationary as well. So There's always some pressure on cost in this environment. And if Not always proportionate to the overall inflationary rate and it's an opportunity to have some profitability growth. But again, I wouldn't say It's a huge material amount.

It's just an opportunity for us.

Speaker 9

Great. That's helpful. If I could follow-up on technology, It's good to see continued momentum for adoption on a lot of the key platforms as you highlighted in the release and in your remarks. As you think about the path forward, is now a time when you lean in even more and increase that investment given In addition to the momentum with adoption, just the macro environment.

Speaker 2

That's the favorite question of the President of the company.

Speaker 7

Yes, I was going to

Speaker 6

say, I'm not sure we are we don't consider ourselves constrained in technology investments. This is a technology company that just happens Heating and Air Conditioning. And we say technology, that's really a big broad umbrella term we're using To define our culture really, which is continuous improvement, continuous learning, continuous ways to find ways to help our customers grow their businesses, which at the end of the day, that's our mission. Our customers are small and medium sized entrepreneur led businesses, and we can bring tools and technology to them to To help them grow, we could make ourselves better to help them grow. So that is our ethos.

So we call that technology for short, That's really what we're in the business of doing and we'll continue to invest, yes.

Speaker 9

Thank you. I'll turn it back.

Speaker 1

The next question comes from David Manthey from Baird. Please go ahead.

Speaker 2

Hi, David.

Speaker 10

Hi, good morning, Al. My question is back to gross margin. If I look at the 10 year averages, Q1 was close to 100 basis points Above that, this quarter was about 200 basis points. And I understand the mix and some pricing dynamics And I don't know if there's rebates or whatever in there. Could you talk about do you see some portion of that gross margin Overage is being transitory versus structurally sound going forward?

Speaker 2

You mean in terms of gross profit margin increases Or flattening or declining and that sort of thing?

Speaker 10

Well, the yes, the gross margin percentage, if you've been sort of moving along in a range And you popped 200 basis points above that range this quarter. I'm just

Speaker 2

Yes. Now I

Speaker 8

think I understand. Yes. Now I

Speaker 2

think I understand. But We're very focused on our gross margin percent. And We mentioned some technology we bought in with pricing FX and we mentioned other Ways that we're trying to achieve that. That's not going to stop. I don't know where the end will be, but That's what we're going to continue to seek to improve in a number of ways.

So that's an ongoing goal of ours and We've had successes with it, as you say, in the first half of this year. And we're going to continue to focus So that in the second half, don't forget, we're trying to change the supplies business in terms of the margins of the parts And supplies that they are generally higher than equipment. So we're emphasizing through our branches sales of those goods. So that's something that could continue to increase the mix of our products, more parts and supplies In the mix of the overall sales picture. Somebody want to add something to that?

Speaker 6

Yes. Yes. As well as high efficiency equipment too.

Speaker 2

Yes, so we're having to wrap on that because high efficiency equipment, we believe contributes to the climate change issue that's on there. You have to start with the premise that in homeowners, the electrical bill, half of it is due to heating and cooling. Half of homeowners' electrical bill is due to heating and cooling uses. And if you have a higher efficiency cooling and heating system, You're going to use less electricity, which in turn you're going to require less power production and which in turn Minimizes the release of CO2 gases. So it's very well connected and we have a very clear eye What we can do, which is to encourage the adoption and make it easier and help With financing it, high efficiency equipment, because not only does it help us as a corporation, but it also helps the climate change issue, which we're trying to figure out in many different ways how to help that particular issue.

Speaker 10

Okay. And on the parts and supplies, I'm thinking more from a growth perspective. The last couple of calls, you've Sort of hinted at some initiatives you may be working on there. Are you willing to share anything at this time regarding how You're able to accelerate the growth in parts and supplies from here forward?

Speaker 2

You mean you want us to tell the competition how we're doing this?

Speaker 10

I'm sure they have an idea.

Speaker 2

Well, maybe it's better to give you data. How productive have you been in the effort? I think we can share growth rates in parts and supplies. Barry?

Speaker 4

Yes, David, it shouldn't be lost on anyone that looking at the quarter, for example, Let's look at the half for maybe even better. Growth rate of residential products is up 24% in the half, 1st half of the year, parts and supplies up 19% and accelerated in the 2nd quarter to closer to 25% parts and supplies. Typically, there's some inversion. Historically, there's some inversion in those two numbers because as equipment grows, parts and supplies Generally won't grow at the same rate because people are replacing systems. So this is a change The last 6 months and it is a sales force, it is a culture, it is an incentive system, it is many things simply to bring energy and data And technology and e commerce systems and it's again, it's 15 things.

It's not 1 or 2 things. Yes,

Speaker 2

I forgot. E Commerce is a major contributor because it's so efficient. Go ahead. I'm sorry for the interruption.

Speaker 4

That's fine. So clearly, there's change and the benefits are there for year to date and it started this all started last year in terms of raw And it's something over time that should benefit gross margin because gross margin is in fact considerably higher in that part of the business.

Speaker 2

What's our e commerce platform sales for the first half, Barry?

Speaker 4

Our run rate is about $1,800,000,000 for the last 12 months. So it'd be close to $1,000,000,000 I think for a 6 month period.

Speaker 2

That's about a third of our business now, of our revenues.

Speaker 10

Okay. Yes, thank you for the details. I appreciate it.

Speaker 1

The next question comes from Steve Volkmann from Jefferies. Please go ahead.

Speaker 11

I have a couple of long term questions because I heard that's how you manage the company. I'm curious, How big do you think you've mentioned financing several times. How big do you think financing could ultimately be for you? I don't know as a Percentage of stuff you sell or however you like to measure it.

Speaker 2

Well, that's a very good question because we haven't got an answer to that yet. For example, should we be in the financing business? Should we partner with somebody to be in the financing business? These are big issues that we haven't resolved yet. But I don't see any reason why not to one way or the other figure out how to extend and increase The support we provide our distributors and their customers, the homeowners, financial assistance.

I particularly like the interest rate Feel that we can take advantage of something like that. And even when the rates go back up, there will always be ways to tweak that to help Our customers, so we like the financing thing. We haven't figured it all out. If you've got a good company we can buy that Accelerate it. We'd be happy to talk to them.

It is a pillar of our growth financing, But it's probably not going to run very fast in terms of developments other than more of the same Until we figure out the big picture, buy somebody or become part of somebody or that sort of thing.

Speaker 6

You're looking for a headline number though. The products that we sell and our competitors sell at the wholesale level Get resold at the retail level for $80,000,000,000 or $90,000,000,000 and some portion of that is and will be financed.

Speaker 11

Okay. All right. TBD. Sounds like a big opportunity. The second unrelated question, kind of more on the M and A front.

And I'm just Trying to think back, I know you guys have seen lots of different end market environments. Is this the type of environment where you see more Of the independents that are willing to sell their businesses because it feels like everything is so good, it can only kind of go in one direction From here or is this the type of environment where these guys are doing so well that they don't want to sell and it's tougher to get deals

Speaker 2

Well, I think maybe you should go out and tell them this is a time to go. We are engaged with distributors and that's part Of our culture always to be engaged with great companies. I don't think we have an answer to that. I think They may be concerned about the capital gains tax, for example, going up. But in the end, What they want to do, family businesses especially, is connect with a company that's going to preserve their own names and culture.

And that's what we specialize in. These two companies we recently bought, for example, a TEC, their culture is so strong. All we do we act in a support level. We're not we're going to feed them whatever they want, capital, equity for their key executives, Technology, that's our style. And there'll be people that want to get engaged with that Because of that reason, in terms of their the atmosphere about taxes going up and all that.

Do you see any trend in that, Barry, one way or the other?

Speaker 4

Yes. I mean, I would say it always helps quantitatively the confidence doing something when things are going well, it helps our confidence. It helps the sellers' mindset of optimizing valuation, not feeling like they're doing something You know, ahead of time or what have you and the taxes matter too, but what really matters is none of that. What really matters is it's an emotional process. These are families that have owned businesses for 70, 80 years, 3rd and 4th generation.

And I wish it was just a financial process, but it's entirely at times an emotional process. So that's the part where I feel like We've been successful is dealing with that emotion going forward for another generation or 2. That's why TEC and why for yourselves Year before, after 90 years, 80 years of owning their business, only talk to us and we completed it and It's moving forward. So I think you're right. It helps the discussion to do well.

It doesn't necessarily help the completion process that's still an emotional one for these guys.

Speaker 6

Yes, it's really their family joining our family, right? That's an emotional decision more than anything else.

Speaker 11

So one big happy family. Thank you. I'll pass it on.

Speaker 6

That's right.

Speaker 1

The next question comes from Steve Tusa from JPMorgan. Please go ahead. Hello, Stephen.

Speaker 12

I like the use of the term blowout in the press release.

Speaker 2

Are we getting better in those press releases?

Speaker 12

Yes. I think you need to be more clear on how you feel about the results.

Speaker 2

Well, I did ask Barry to put in more color.

Speaker 12

That was a good one. I'm sure we're allowed to say that with all the compliance around here, but obviously very strong result. I didn't I might have not caught this in the beginning, but can you guys just say how much price you booked in the quarter year over year? Barry?

Speaker 4

Yes. We didn't we were asked and answered that we were not going to tell you exactly how much price was booked in the quarter. There obviously is positive Price with again 29% same store sales growth. You can Imagine most of that is entirely unit growth. Price is a component, Steve, but we it's not something we've reported.

Speaker 12

Got it. And then when you think about the gross profit improvement, which is obviously very strong, Was there a big difference in the year over year on that? I think it was up like 40% or something on a same store basis. Was there any difference between the parts and the equipment?

Speaker 2

Difference in margins?

Speaker 12

Difference in gross profit performance. I mean, was there Yes, I mean, fine, gross margin improvement, however you want to talk about it.

Speaker 2

The more the mix goes to parts and supplies, the higher the corporate gross profit margin will be.

Speaker 12

Right. But I guess like for like, just if you think about the performance of the year over year performance simply, let's put it this way. What was the year over year gross profit performance for the parts business? Was it meaningfully better than the Up 40% you saw for the total company.

Speaker 2

It's not going to fall. All right. You deal with that one, Barry?

Speaker 4

Yes, Steve. No, there's really not much of a distinction in the performance. If I look at product groups and markets and product categories, things like that, it's pretty consistent Across the company, there's no one bias or one pocket or one Bubble, if that's kind of what you're asking, that's there. It's pretty much across the board.

Speaker 12

Yes. I'm just trying to discern like what the like there's some timing dynamics Around your suppliers and you guys when it comes to pricing, I would assume. And so I'm trying to discern how much of that is kind of on part side versus the equipment side.

Speaker 4

Well, inventory turns, which would matter in that algebra that you're talking about is pretty consistent across products.

Speaker 13

Okay.

Speaker 4

So again, there's no distinction related to making that That kind of concept. Again, margins pretty much behave the same across products and markets.

Speaker 12

Got it. And then one final one, I guess Paul mentioned, I think it was Paul or maybe it was Al, the Price increase is kind of coming through in the fall and you said that was kind of real price that they're going after. I guess that means that we shouldn't like discount it too heavily like as we usually do or at least as we may normally have in the past. Those are some big numbers. I mean, is kind of 5% of annual price for kind of the players in the industry, including you guys, like Is that too big of a number to assume for price this year price capture?

Speaker 5

Wow. Like I said earlier, Steve, this is Paul. Really haven't calculated that, but the price increases that we're seeing going through right now And they're real. And by real, I mean, We're seeing the price increases actually stick because the cost has actually gone up To produce the product and you've got an availability issue on the side that would certainly indicate that there's a supply component to it.

Speaker 12

Right. And are you guys leveraging your kind of your buying power across the industry At all to kind of have an advantage over the competition when it comes to buying what you're buying?

Speaker 2

Let's put it this way. We are the largest And sure, we're going to try to get the best price. Everyone with what is it, 1,000 vendors now, Paul? Right.

Speaker 12

We're

Speaker 2

going to try to leverage our size. Do we succeed? I guess sometimes we do. But also the subsidiaries themselves, the business units, they start figuring out Whether they should buy the same stuff that their sister companies are buying. And when they decide that, that also increases the amount of business we can Give a particular manufacturer, that helps.

Again, we don't legislate what the business units have to buy because they know their market is better than us. We like the collaboration among them so that they can come up. But to answer your questions, let's just Buy from 1 vendor or 2 vendors instead of 3 or 4 and that helps the manufacturer give us better pricing.

Speaker 12

Right. Makes sense.

Speaker 2

Those are things you get with scale.

Speaker 12

Makes a ton of sense. Cool. Thanks a lot guys. Appreciate it.

Speaker 1

Our next question comes from Ryan Merkel from William Blair and Company. Please go ahead. Hi.

Speaker 13

Hey, good morning everyone.

Speaker 2

Good So

Speaker 14

I guess stepping back a

Speaker 13

little bit, I'm just trying to understand why the HVAC market is so strong. When I talk to people in the channel, everyone is surprised by the strength. Now obviously, high home prices, low interest rates, right, weather, that's all helpful. But do you think work from home and people running air conditioning more is boosting demand? Sure, sure.

Speaker 2

Paul, do you have the best sense for that?

Speaker 5

Yes. I think in certain markets, it does, especially in the North and West perhaps, where we're becoming a better force in the North. But I think In the South, I think it's just people buying existing homes. When they buy an existing home, they don't plan it, but they end up We're seeing a lot around refrigerant and SEER changes that's impacting it. We're seeing a lot more technology getting into Heat pump growth, which is greening up, taking some carbon out of the environment that is creating some demand among consumers.

Obviously, the price increases as prices have increased, I think that's driven some demand from the consumers when they talk to their contractor dealer. And I think the availability issue, I think, creates further demand. So there's probably to use a barrierism, there's probably 14 or 15 different things that I think it creates the demand that we have beyond just people sitting at home and running their air conditioning more.

Speaker 8

Yes.

Speaker 4

And I think just to add to that, I think one of the realities is that OEMs do not sell air conditioning. We do not sell air conditioning. A contractor advising the homeowner is the one making the sale. And A. J.

Mentioned earlier about our customer engagement to Help that process to engage them in a digital process to do that, I think is having some effectiveness. But I've said many times with contractors, if we see their credit at an all time high, it means they're doing well. It means their confidence level is high. It means their design and desire to sell more stuff and sell higher efficiency stuff is The real thing and so that's what's been the nicest thing to see really for 2 years. It's not just a 1 quarter thing.

The last 2 years we've seen That's a leading indicator, if you will, in our credit. And today, it's the best we've seen it.

Speaker 13

Okay. That's helpful. And then just quickly my follow-up, I'm not sure if this was asked yet, but you didn't leverage SG and A this quarter. Maybe just explain why that was just given the blowout top line if you put it. And then second half, do you think you'll leverage SG and A?

Speaker 2

Well, how detailed Barry, do you

Speaker 9

want to get with this?

Speaker 2

No, I think the fact that we have a lot of people working overtime, Because we're shorthanded in certain places. Whatever it is, it's that sort of thing, it's constructive. We met the challenge not only of not having sufficient product, but in some cases not having sufficient labor. I mean, we just did what we had to do. Is that going to continue quarters from now that same circumstances?

I hope not.

Speaker 4

Yes. If I add to that and part of it is, we have a commission sales force. We have branch managers who can make a bonus if they do well. We have leadership throughout the company that is a good chunk of performance based compensation, All of which, needless to say, year to date is being earned. And as part of the cost structure this year, That obviously is important and earned.

And comparative to last year, Ryan, you can see the difference in performance. So There is a good chunk of performance based compensation in the numbers this year and accounts for some of that and again well deserved and well earned.

Speaker 13

Okay, got it. I'll pass it on. Thanks.

Speaker 1

Our next question comes from Josh Pokrzywinski from Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.

Speaker 2

Hi, Josh.

Speaker 14

Hey, good morning, guys. So I think it was Paul Or might have been Barry, talking about kind of this anomaly where you're not seeing the trade off between equipment and non equipment, they're both kind Strong and tandem. So whatever is happening, stuff is breaking at maybe a faster rate over the last year or so than what Folks would have expected. Maybe think about how that rolls out in your own results. Would your expectation then be volume has more kind of room to normalize than mix or Consumer confidence is so high that mix is also high and maybe that also has room to step down.

Like which one of those do

Speaker 8

you feel like It's sort

Speaker 14

of the bigger surprise and maybe has a long term average to get back to that's a little lower.

Speaker 2

Who wants that one? Barry, Paul, A. J? And good luck with it.

Speaker 4

Well, 1st on mix and high efficiency and so on. 70% of our business is equipment And it's been 11 straight years, 44 quarters where mix has improved. And I don't think there's a reason to think that changes. And I think it's still far from any long term average That goes back more than 10 years ago. And again, our technology Platform that we're witnessing, our sales platform is at another level even than just what the market is doing.

So I'll take those fundamentals to mean that the ability to sell increasing efficiency is something that can continue. And we're investing a great deal with our customers to help it continue. And obviously, there are some regulatory things in the horizon that will Mandate that it continues. So I think that's how I would feel about it. Parts and supplies, again, It is nuanced.

There are probably 600 vendors over 100 different product lines in that conversation. And my earlier comment where we see, culturally a lot of growth, a lot of energy, a lot of salesmanship, A lot of data and technology pushing those products. And I think that's for us to enjoy, Not necessarily analyzed against the marketplace. I don't think I don't know if replacement parts are growing in the market. I know our business is and like part of that is internal more so than what the market is doing.

Speaker 6

Yes, I mean, an easy way to think of that one. An easy way to think

Speaker 2

of that one is

Speaker 6

that our customers sometimes have to go to our competitors to buy products, HVACR products. We can and should have those products available at a competitive price for our customers, and That's the kind of focus and effort that we can bring.

Speaker 4

Just to add some color real quick. A market like Miami where we might have 6 or 7 major equipment distribution competitors. For parts and supplies, we may have 15 or 20 in Miami. And so that's the ground game where I think we're making some progress and growing our business.

Speaker 14

Got it. Okay.

Speaker 5

And then And we're working okay. We're coming up with better measurement systems, Josh, as far as being able to identify if we're actually making a better penetration, Looking at attachment rates on equipment, looking at normal business cycles, looking at warranty rates And warranty population against what the industry has out there. So we're doing an awful lot of analytic work On this to be able to measure and determine how we can continue to grow in that area.

Speaker 14

Okay, understood. Sorry, I had a lot of false starts there. I wanted to get make sure everyone had a chance. On kind of the competitive environment and availability, it seems like you guys between maybe a better kind of internal Sourcing and supply chain practice and just being more the 800 pound gorilla from an industry perspective, probably aren't Having as many stock out issues or availability issues as some smaller folks, do you guys think that's giving you sort of a wider aperture on Pricing right now, if you guys can step in when maybe someone else can or a customer that's more of a mercenary type customer rather than Watsco dedicated wants product, is that sort of giving you a little bit more boost on the pricing side?

Speaker 5

I'll take a cut at that. I don't believe that, Josh. Yes, we are big. We're very effective as far as Being able to provide our OEMs with the data that they require to put their order plans together, their build plans together to be able to supply it, but I don't think we've been Benefited in any way, in any special way compared to the other distributors that those OEMs sell to. I just that's just not there.

Speaker 14

No, I mean to your customers. So to the extent that someone else just doesn't have Kind of the process rigor that regardless of whether or not you're purchasing things cheaper that you can price to a customer maybe a little bit better because

Speaker 6

I would say, I think that's part of that dynamic is why we believe we're taking share. I don't think we're using it opportunistically to take advantage of customers and get an extra few dollars along the way. That's not how we approach our customer base. We talked about being a long term company. Our relationships with our customers are also This is not a consumer transactional business.

This is a B2B relationship And how can we help our customers grow the long term business?

Speaker 5

I totally agree with the answer on that. Yes.

Speaker 1

The next question is a follow-up from Steve Tusa from JPMorgan.

Speaker 2

Hi, Steve.

Speaker 12

Hey, guys. I'm not sure anybody asked. So I'll just try and see if you guys can give some color. I mean, What do you see for kind of second half growth? And you've seen anything in kind of July here that you'd want to Comment on just trying to kind of get the best crystal ball view at this stage?

Speaker 2

Barry?

Speaker 4

Yes, Steve, I'll speak about I think the last half of the year rather than the first 16 business days of July. And how this morning went, right? No, I mean, you can expect Moderation in residential equipment just because that's common sense. It's not going to grow 29% from here on, right? So there will be moderation and how it plays out over the season versus Next year, there will be some moderation, there has to be.

At the same time, there's absolute strength in commercial, Absolute strength in our international markets, which were in more of a funk a year ago. We've talked about price and margin outlook for the next several months. And we've talked about our acquisition additions that we've made to add to growth rates going forward. And then you can imagine already looking into next year and beyond with our OEM community Having the same conversation about growth in share going forward. So it is several moving pieces And that's how I would approach the answer there.

Speaker 2

But you want to look at it is what we've done Year over year, we've been at this for a few years and you can see what the record is. We always manage in most cases, we always manage to grow, Sometimes at a higher rate of growth than others. But some of it's internally because we do things better internally and some of it is because the industry is doing

Speaker 12

So I mean, can same store sales be, you said moderating, obviously. Can same store sales be Up 5% to 10% in the second half for resi equipment?

Speaker 2

Who said they were moderating? We're not.

Speaker 12

Well, so then you're going to be up 30% in the second half

Speaker 2

No, I just was curious who said we were moderate.

Speaker 12

Barry just said you guys will see moderate. He said that was

Speaker 6

Barry's point was that things can't grow at 30% forever.

Speaker 2

Right, right.

Speaker 6

So we have that conversation with our leaders and the challenge to them that they put on themselves is, well, how are we going to grow while things slow, which inevitably at some point, since they can't grow up for 30% forever. So they are creating programs and they're doing what they need to do now to continue to grow regardless of industry conditions.

Speaker 12

Got it. I guess I'll ask one more way to ask that. Do you think the Industry will be down at any time in the second half?

Speaker 2

No, I don't think so. Paul, you have a better handle

Speaker 5

Yes, it probably will. We'll probably see you soon. Yes, you should. No, I don't know.

Speaker 2

Who knows? Answers, who knows? Exactly.

Speaker 5

You asked for my guess and my guess would be, you'll probably see maybe some There's a difference between what the what there's a shipment demand and there's a movement demand.

Speaker 12

Yes. And I

Speaker 5

think movement right now is going to remain strong, maybe shipments will slow down a little bit. And that may not be because of orders, it may be because of other supply issues that some of the OEMs are having.

Speaker 12

Right. So AHRI Could be down at certain points, but the Hardie and your sell through is continues to grow, but at a slower rate than the 30%, which is The comments, Hans comment.

Speaker 2

Yes. Correct.

Speaker 4

Is that

Speaker 12

a good way

Speaker 2

to summarize it? Yes. Sure.

Speaker 5

Yes.

Speaker 13

Okay. Awesome. Thanks, guys.

Speaker 1

There are no more questions in the queue. This concludes our question and answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Albert Nahmad for any closing remarks.

Speaker 2

Well, thanks very much for your continued interest in our company. I hope we don't disappoint you ever going forward.

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