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Earnings Call: Q1 2022

May 9, 2022

Operator

Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Essential Utilities Inc. Q1 2022 earnings call. Today's call is being recorded. At this time, I would like to turn the call over to Brian Dingerdissen. Please go ahead, sir.

Brian Dingerdissen
Head of Investor Relations, Essential Utilities

Thank you, Kyle. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us. I am Brian Dingerdissen and Head of Investor Relations. If you did not receive a copy of the press release, you can find it by visiting the investor relations section of our website at essential.co. The slides we will be referencing in the webcast of this event can also be found there. Here is our forward-looking statement. As a reminder, some of the matters discussed during this call may include forward-looking statements that involve risk, uncertainties, and other factors that may cause the actual results to be materially different from any future results expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Please refer to our most recent 10-Q, 10-K, and other SEC filings for a description of such risks and uncertainties. During this call, reference may be made to certain non-GAAP financial measures.

A reconciliation of non-GAAP to GAAP financial measures is included at the end of the presentation. It's also posted on our investor relations website. Here is our agenda for today. We'll start with Chris Franklin, our Chairman and CEO, who will discuss the highlights from the first quarter and provide a company update. Next, Dan Schuller, our CFO, will discuss our financial results. Chris will then conclude the presentation with an update on our growth strategy and a summary of our guidance before opening the call for questions. With that, I will turn the call over to Chris Franklin.

Chris Franklin
Chairman and CEO, Essential Utilities

Hey, thank you, Brian, and good morning, everyone. I want to start off this morning just by letting you know that we held our annual meeting of shareholders last week. I'm pleased to report that all of the items on the ballot were voted according to management's recommendations. A good meeting overall. Let's talk about the first quarter. We had a strong first quarter with earnings per share of $0.76, up 5.6%. Dan's gonna talk to you a lot more detail about that in just a few moments. The first few months of the year, we invested approximately $183 million in infrastructure improvements, that's in our combined water and natural gas segments. That compares to $178 million in the same period of last year.

A little bit ahead of that schedule. We remain confident that our ability to execute the $1 billion investment is well in hand for the rest of 2022. Now, we continue to advance our municipal acquisition strategy with our previously announced closing of Lower Makefield, Pennsylvania. That transaction closed, which added about $53 million in rate base and 11,000 customers to our water footprint in Pennsylvania. We're diligently working on the closing and integration of our seven pending acquisitions, totaling $418 million in purchase price. I'm also pleased to report that we recently co-hosted a hydrogen summit in Pittsburgh. The purpose of the event was to bring together key stakeholders in a region that we know has long been at the forefront of energy innovation.

We continue to look at possibilities associated with hydrogen, and we'll continue our discussions and our research. Now, the hydrogen event, along with the changing geopolitical conditions in the world, continue to strengthen our belief that natural gas has a firm place in the short- and long-term energy mix in our country, as well as many other countries around the world. As we've seen in the macro environment over the last several months, the tone regarding natural gas and its future continues to evolve. I think the public is becoming more educated on natural gas and the importance of American energy independence. Now, like everyone else in the industry, we continue to monitor public and private valuations of natural gas utilities in the market.

We also remain committed to making investments in our natural gas utility to improve safety, reliability, and the environment, all while growing rate base and earnings per share. Lastly, as we continue to recover from COVID, we're pleased to hold a large-scale employee community volunteer effort associated with Earth Day across all 10 states in our footprint. As you know, we're very proud of our industry-leading ESG work and have shared some of that work with you in previous calls. Our ESG website has also received important recognition in the market. It was in that light that we held our first ever Essential Earth Day, which involved a variety of activities and opportunities for customer education, employee volunteerism, and corporate giving. We kicked off the events on March 22nd with World Water Day and concluded the series on April 22nd, which was Earth Day.

Over that course of a month, we hosted 35 events across our 10-state footprint and had nearly 500 employees volunteer almost 2,000 hours of their time. The activities ranged from forest restoration and park cleanups to assisting with water filtration. Essential also provided $580,000 in financial donations to support 28 nonprofit organizations with their environmental causes. When we work together with our customers in the communities we serve to assist and partner nonprofit organizations, we recognize we can make a significant difference in our communities. Dan, with that, let me turn the call over to you, and discussion about our financial results.

Dan Schuller
CFO, Essential Utilities

Thanks, Chris, and good morning, everyone. We had revenues of $699.3 million in the first quarter, up 19.8% from $583.6 million last year. Our regulated water segment contributed $239.2 million, and our regulated natural gas segment contributed $445.2 million. The largest contributors to the increase in revenues for the quarter were the recovery of higher purchase gas costs and additional revenues from rates and surcharges, increased gas volumes, and water and wastewater customer growth. O&M increased to $142.6 million in the first quarter, up from $125.1 million in the first quarter of last year.

Employee-related costs and expenses related to the gas segment's customer assistance program, which are recovered through a revenue surcharge, were the largest drivers of this increase in O&M for the quarter. Net income increased year- over- year by 8.5% from $183.7 million to $199.4 million, and GAAP EPS was up from $0.72 to $0.76. Next, we'll walk through the waterfall slide, starting with revenue. In the first quarter of 2022, revenues increased $115.7 million or 19.8% on a GAAP basis. You'll notice that the primary driver was the recovery of higher purchase gas costs of $95.6 million due to a significant increase in natural gas commodity pricing over the last year.

Rates and surcharges increased gas volumes due to colder weather and customer growth and volume from our regulated water segment, providing an additional $23 million toward the revenue increase, which was offset by $2.8 million of other items. With that, let's review the first quarter weather on the next slide. As you know, there's a strong correlation between weather and gas consumption and associated revenue. This winter, for our regulated natural gas segment, the weather in the first quarter was slightly colder than normal, with 2,878 heating degree days. This compares favorably not only to the last two winters, but to the 20-year first quarter average in western Pennsylvania.

As a reminder, the chart on the right shows how residential natural gas consumption in Pennsylvania was distributed throughout 2021, noting that just over 80% of the gas was consumed during the heating season, meaning the first and fourth quarters of the year, with the largest portion of gas being sold in the first quarter. In terms of commodity prices, our customers benefited from gas purchases at lower prices in the second and third quarters of 2021 as we injected gas into storage for the 2021-2022 heating season. Going forward, we expect gas prices to remain elevated for a while due to the geopolitical situation, lower than normal storage levels, domestic supply and domestic demand, and a supply lag. Thus, we're currently putting more expensive gas into storage for the coming months.

However, pricing in the Appalachian Basin remains discounted to NYMEX by $0.50-$1. Almost half of the gas consumed by Peoples customers is withdrawn from our own storage, and the rest is purchased as needed. Next, let's move on to operations and maintenance expenses. Looking at operations and maintenance expenses for the first quarter, expenses increased 14% to $142.6 million, compared to $125.1 million for the same period in 2021. The largest driver of the increase was $8.4 million in additional employee related costs, including compensation and benefit, some defined contribution plan enhancements to match market conditions and maintain our workforce, recruiting costs, and more expense-related maintenance activities. Gas customer assistance costs increased $6.8 million, due mainly to increased commodity costs. These expenses are recovered through a revenue surcharge.

The $2.4 million increase in other expenses reflects, among other things, the favorable prior year impact of an insurance reserve adjustment. Inflationary cost increases contributed to the $1.5 million increase in production costs in our regulated water segment. Organic and acquisition-related water and wastewater customer growth also added $1.3 million, and these increases were offset by $2.9 million in lower bad debt. Now, if we remove the impact of the customer assistance program rider as well as one-time expenses, the year-over-year O&M increase would be around 3.5%. Next, we'll review the earnings per share waterfall. Beginning on the left side of the slide, GAAP EPS for the first quarter of 2021 was $0.72. Rates and surcharges contributed $0.026, and increased volume from our regulated natural gas segment added another $0.023.

Continuing on, other items, which include increased depreciation and interest offset by higher tax repair at Peoples, added $0.012, and growth from our regulated water segment contributed $0.008. These were offset by $0.03 of expenses, which were up due to a non-recurring charge related to insurance, as well as an office lease-related charge, increased fuel costs, and labor costs. The result is a GAAP EPS of $0.76 for the first quarter of 2022. The $0.76 also includes the impact of 6.7 million additional shares from the forward equity sale that we settled in August of 2021. These shares were not in the denominator when the $0.72 from the first quarter of 2020 was calculated.

Given the $0.76 in earnings per share for the first quarter, we wanted to take a moment to remind everyone of how we think about net income by quarter. These strong first- quarter results fall above the midpoint of the range noted here on the slide for Q1. As we've explained before and noted on the heating degree day slide, the seasonality of the natural gas segment earnings or the seasonality, I should say, it shifts earnings to the first and fourth quarters as a result of winter weather. While the first quarter was strong, we still have three quarters to go and some inflation headwinds. Thus, our stated guidance range of $1.75-$1.80 remains intact.

Additionally, I'd like to remind all of you that we recently settled the tangible equity units, or TEUs, that we issued three years ago as part of the Peoples transaction financing. Issuing these units tapped another pool of investor capital and thus helped our concurrent common share issuance. We were pleased with the outcome of these TEUs as we were able to issue the minimum number of common shares given our positive stock performance since the issuance date. Please keep in mind that the common equity resulting from this final conversion has always been considered in our formal guidance, and in each quarter since the issuance, the estimated as converted common shares have been included in the diluted shares outstanding. Thus, the shares outstanding you should be modeling post this conversion continue to be at the 262 million share level.

Consistent with our commitment to maintaining strong investment-grade credit ratings with S&P and Moody's, the company expects to launch an at-the-market equity issuance program in the near term. We will use the program to raise equity over time for municipal transactions and other corporate purposes, and expected issuances will continue to be included when we develop our earnings per share guidance. We expect the ATM program will provide us with an efficient and opportunistic way to raise equity as needed to support future investment opportunities. Moving on to rate activity and other regulatory matters. So far in 2021, we've completed rate cases or surcharge filings in our regulated water segment in Illinois, North Carolina, Ohio, and Pennsylvania, and we completed a rate case in our regulated natural gas segment in Kentucky. The combined total revenue increase is $13.4 million.

As you're aware, we currently have base rate cases underway for our regulated water segment subsidiaries in Ohio and Pennsylvania. In accordance with the statutory timeline, we expect our Pennsylvania-based rate case to be on the commission agenda this Thursday and new rates effective later this month. With that, I'll hand it back over to Chris to discuss the municipal acquisition program. Chris?

Chris Franklin
Chairman and CEO, Essential Utilities

Thanks, Dan. Appreciate it. As I mentioned earlier in the call, we closed on the Lower Makefield transaction, which is a significant acquisition that added $53 million in rate base and about 11,000 customer connections. Represents nearly 25% increase to our wastewater customer connection number in Pennsylvania. This milestone acquisition also increased Aqua Pennsylvania's total number of customers served to more than 500,000. Many of you are familiar with the seven signed asset purchase agreements pending, which will add about 224,000 customers or customer equivalents and a total of over $418 million in purchase price. Let's take a minute and talk about the DELCORA transaction. The Pennsylvania Commonwealth Court issued a decision in March regarding the enforceability of our asset purchase agreement with DELCORA.

In its remand, the Commonwealth Court found that Delaware County can dissolve the authority if it so chooses, but our purchase agreement must be upheld regardless of whether DELCORA remains standalone or if the county dissolves the authority. It was very good news for us. Following the court's decision, we sent a letter notifying the Public Utility Commission of the court's decision and requested that the PUC move forward. As I've said before, we remain confident that we will close the DELCORA transaction. I also wanted to take a moment and mention our Willistown acquisition in Pennsylvania as well. You may have seen that the ALJ recommended that the PUC reject our Willistown acquisition. I think this is an important policy indicator.

Essentially, the question that is now posed to the Pennsylvania Commission is, should duly elected municipal officials have the authority to sell or regionalize their water or wastewater utilities, even if they're not out of compliance or financially troubled? You know, you'll recall that Willistown is selling their wastewater authority to us, to put it in the hands of a professional operator, you know, basically Aqua, despite the fact that the authority is not technically out of compliance. Now, we're optimistic that the Pennsylvania Commission will hold to its long-standing policy that encourages regionalization and respects the authority of local elected officials. Hopefully, we'll see some movement in that in the coming couple of months here. Now, the next slide you've seen before, so you know our pipeline of opportunities for growth remains strong and healthy.

Our value proposition to municipal systems is also strong and includes our competitive capital solutions, industry expertise, and long-term rate stability. We'll continue to focus on growth in all eight of our water states and, you know, fair market value statutes are in place in each of our eight states as well, as a reminder. Currently, we're engaged in active discussions with municipalities and pursuing approximately 415,000 potential water and wastewater customers, as illustrated in the table that you see here. All right, I'll wrap up today's call just with a quick review of our guidance. We expect to earn between $1.75 and $1.80 per share this year. We remain confident that our three-year earnings per share growth will be 5%-7% through 2024.

Our capital plans are on track, and we anticipate investing approximately $1 billion annually to rehabilitate and strengthen water, wastewater, and natural gas systems through 2024. Rate base is expected to grow between 6%-7% for water and 8%-10% for gas. Customer growth is expected to grow between 2%-3% on average for water and remain stable in natural gas. Finally, we remain committed to our ESG targets, and we'll continue to share our progress throughout the year. With that, let me conclude our formal remarks and open it up for questions. Kyle?

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, if you would like to ask a question, please signal by pressing star one on your telephone keypad. If you're using a speakerphone, please make sure your mute function is turned off to allow your signal to reach our equipment. Again, press star one to ask a question. We take our first question from Insoo Kim with Goldman Sachs. Your line is open. Please go ahead.

Chris Franklin
Chairman and CEO, Essential Utilities

Insoo, how are you?

Insoo Kim
Equity Research Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Okay. Hey, Chris, how are you doing?

Dan Schuller
CFO, Essential Utilities

Morning, Insoo.

Insoo Kim
Equity Research Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Good morning, Dan. First question, just thinking through the next few years, I think you've reiterated the $3 billion of CapEx through 2024, you know, about $1 billion each. When we just think about the kind of the flattish level of CapEx over the three-year timeframe, you know, just doing math-wise, it implies, you know, lower rate-based growth, just given a higher base. How conservative are you on the organic side of things on the CapEx versus your thoughts on, I guess, the pace of mini acquisitions maybe playing into that as well?

Chris Franklin
Chairman and CEO, Essential Utilities

Yeah, it's a good question. I mean, we, as you know, we don't bake into that CapEx any future acquisitions that we don't have signed already. It you know we would expect it to be stronger given our pace of acquisitions and especially given the size of some of the things that we're working on at the moment. Of course, it doesn't include any of the follow-on capital for then any of those acquisitions we could do during that period. Really we're talking about base CapEx in our existing system. Dan, you have anything to add to that?

Dan Schuller
CFO, Essential Utilities

I think that covers it, Chris.

Insoo Kim
Equity Research Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Okay. Thanks for the color. Second question, you know, going back to the big strategy question. I think, Chris, in your prepared remarks, you know, mentioned the changing views perhaps more recently about the role of natural gas in the energy mix here and how you continue to monitor the public and private valuations. Just curious, your latest thoughts on that mix that you have at Essential Utilities with that gas exposure and any timeline for making more of a call, one could say, on that strategy.

Chris Franklin
Chairman and CEO, Essential Utilities

Yeah. I'll start with the mix. 70% , you know, when we look, we think about rate base, 70% water, 30% natural gas. Certainly rate base growth is growing in natural gas at a faster pace, just based on capital expenditures would say it's growing faster. Of course when you layer in acquisitions and we think we've got a strong pipeline, so we think actually we can outpace growth of gas with growth of water in the coming years. So that's our hope that we would continue to focus on water growth and it would outpace natural gas, ultimately diluting natural gas a bit. Now going forward, listen, we're really satisfied with our natural gas utility.

It's performing on every level, as I've said many times before, beyond what our expectations were when we bought the company. The team is functioning extremely well. Frankly, we think, in particular, the Pittsburgh region of the country, natural gas has a long future. We talked today in the call a little bit about hydrogen and its potential mix in that long-term formula there in the Pittsburgh region. Hopefully get a hydrogen hub there out of the federal government and engage in that research. We have a great infrastructure and a renewing infrastructure, bringing our environmental footprint down.

I guess that's a long way in sort of saying we're very pleased with our investment in natural gas, and we have no plans to do anything other than continue to invest in building that capability there.

Insoo Kim
Equity Research Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Got it. Thank you so much.

Chris Franklin
Chairman and CEO, Essential Utilities

You bet.

Dan Schuller
CFO, Essential Utilities

Thanks, Insoo.

Operator

We take our next question from Durgesh Chopra with Evercore ISI.

Chris Franklin
Chairman and CEO, Essential Utilities

Hey, Durgesh.

Dan Schuller
CFO, Essential Utilities

Good morning, Durgesh.

Durgesh Chopra
Managing Director, Evercore ISI

Hey, good morning, Chris and Dan. Thank you for the update. Hey, just can we quickly touch base on Chester?

Chris Franklin
Chairman and CEO, Essential Utilities

Yes.

Durgesh Chopra
Managing Director, Evercore ISI

What's the latest, there?

Chris Franklin
Chairman and CEO, Essential Utilities

Yeah. Chester City, as you know, had, you know, made a public statement supporting its sale to us, having run a request for proposal. Of course, it's tied up with the receiver there, as you know, and then the Chester Water Authority has filed an appeal to the Supreme Court. The Supreme Court more recently accepted that appeal, and so that will play through the courts over the coming year. Now, in the intervening time, as we've discussed many times, the political winds have shifted in Delaware County and the surrounding counties since the last set of board members were appointed at the Chester Water Authority. They all serve five-year terms. They're all up this year. It's something that's beginning this summer.

We'll probably see a short-term shift in the leadership of that water authority. Whether that changes people's minds on their stature and independence and everything remains to be seen. I think the way to think about this is short-term potential change given mix of board members. Long-term, we see what the courts have to say, the Supreme Court has to say in terms of the appeal. That's all we can say about at this point.

Durgesh Chopra
Managing Director, Evercore ISI

Got it. I mean, is there a timeline here, Chris, that us and investors should be following, or there's no set schedule at this point as the sort of the Supreme Court takes on the case and other moving pieces?

Chris Franklin
Chairman and CEO, Essential Utilities

Yeah, the Supreme Court really doesn't set a timeline, so we're at the disposal of the court. I really can't give you a timeline. I can tell you that the changeover of the board members will be this summer. Call it late summer.

Durgesh Chopra
Managing Director, Evercore ISI

Got it. Thank you. Dan, just on the ATM comment here. Just one, can you just confirm for us, and I think that's the case, that when we think about your long-term targeted EPS growth rate of 5%-7%, that incorporates or includes any equity issuances you may do, that -

Dan Schuller
CFO, Essential Utilities

That's correct, Durgesh.

Durgesh Chopra
Managing Director, Evercore ISI

Okay, perfect. Should we think about you utilizing this ATM as you announce more acquisitions, or it's gonna be more sort of programmatic in nature, you know, every quarter and things like that? I don't know if you can share any color on that front.

Dan Schuller
CFO, Essential Utilities

Yeah, it's a great question. I guess the way I'd put it is, you know, the timing of issuance depends on a few things, right? It depends on the municipal acquisition program and the timing of those transactions, and when we see those getting through the regulatory approval process and closing. You know, it also depends on our share price at the time. Is the share price at a price where we'd like to issue more stock or not? So, you know, a few different factors come into play there. As Chris noted, right, we've got about $418 million of signed acquisitions yet to close. That was on one of the slides he spoke about.

As we've talked, finance those with a combination of debt and equity, plus obviously we've got a robust capital investment program that we need to support. You know, we think of this as the best way to support our credit metrics while making acquisitions and doing our capital program.

Durgesh Chopra
Managing Director, Evercore ISI

Got it. Thank you for the update, today morning, guys. Thanks a lot.

Dan Schuller
CFO, Essential Utilities

Thanks, Durgesh. Take care.

Operator

We take our next question from Ryan Greenwald with Bank of America.

Chris Franklin
Chairman and CEO, Essential Utilities

Hey, Ryan.

Ryan Greenwald
Equity Analyst, Bank of America

Hey, guys. Good morning.

Dan Schuller
CFO, Essential Utilities

Hey, Ryan.

Ryan Greenwald
Equity Analyst, Bank of America

Appreciate the time. Just maybe piggybacking off that a little bit here. How are you guys kind of thinking about the magnitude of equity needs through the base plan? I mean, you alluded to your commitment to the gas business a bit there, but any change in how you're kind of thinking about potential monetization to offset equity needs, particularly kind of given the public market backdrop here?

Dan Schuller
CFO, Essential Utilities

Not at this point in time. You know, at this point in time, we see this, you know, our equity needs being financed externally. We see ourselves using this ATM to finance those. You know, in the plan, we have these $418 million of signed acquisitions that we talked about. Of course, you know, we're looking to add to that all the time throughout our states with our active business development program. You know, hopefully, we're using the equity to support transactions as they come in and, you know, we're getting more transactions to add and over time require investing more at one time versus rate base, right? Chris, anything to add to that?

Chris Franklin
Chairman and CEO, Essential Utilities

Listen, I think in terms of our base capital plan, our base CapEx plan and the equity needed is baked into the plan. That's why you're getting the projected three-year EPS. All that's baked in. If we do acquisitions, as Dan said, then we'll add the equity component necessary to finance those at a 50/50. And the good news about that with an ATM is you have, call it eight, nine, 10 months to get regulatory approvals and raise the capital through an ATM, raise the equity through the ATM. I that's how we see it as another useful tool, basically in paying for. As Dan said, it's flexible, but largely, I think about it as related to acquisitions.

Ryan Greenwald
Equity Analyst, Bank of America

Understood. Outside DELCORA and Chester here, any particularly sizable muni opportunities that are on your radar in the near term?

Chris Franklin
Chairman and CEO, Essential Utilities

Yes.

Ryan Greenwald
Equity Analyst, Bank of America

Any additional color you can add?

Dan Schuller
CFO, Essential Utilities

That's harder.

Chris Franklin
Chairman and CEO, Essential Utilities

Yeah, right. That's harder for us to do, right? I mean, yeah, we're working on some good-sized opportunities. We really are. As soon as we can begin to share some of the color around that, I'd love to do it, but hard to do that while we're in the midst.

Ryan Greenwald
Equity Analyst, Bank of America

Fair enough. I'll leave it there. Looking forward to seeing you guys next week.

Chris Franklin
Chairman and CEO, Essential Utilities

Sounds good.

Dan Schuller
CFO, Essential Utilities

Sounds good.

Chris Franklin
Chairman and CEO, Essential Utilities

See you there.

Dan Schuller
CFO, Essential Utilities

Safe travels.

Operator

We take our next question from Ryan Connors with Boenning & Scattergood.

Chris Franklin
Chairman and CEO, Essential Utilities

Hey, Ryan.

Ryan Connors
Managing Director and Senior Research Analyst, Boenning & Scattergood

Morning. Thanks for taking my call.

Dan Schuller
CFO, Essential Utilities

Hey, Ryan.

Ryan Connors
Managing Director and Senior Research Analyst, Boenning & Scattergood

Hi, Dan. First one was really for Dan, actually. You know, you talked about this rise in employee-related cost. It really did a pretty nice jump there, and you did give some of the color, comp, and benefits recruiting costs. You know, can you just discuss what that looks like? Is that just a function of the environment we're in, and we're gonna continue to see that ramp up given just the tight labor market, inflation, or are there things in there that were just hot in the quarter that'll kind of settle down going forward?

Dan Schuller
CFO, Essential Utilities

Yeah. There are actually a number of things in there that are one time kind of hot in the quarter, to use your terminology there. We did go ahead and put in a couple of 401(k) enhancements, as I mentioned, really to match market and make sure that we're retaining our workforce. There are a few other things in there that are, you know, not regular course, but we'd like them to be, like business development bonuses that get paid, things like that. They're not, you know, they're not a standard compensation expense. You know, the analysis we've done is we've sort of, I guess, the way I'd characterize that is, if you just look at that headline number for the increase in employee-related costs, it kind of oversimplifies the fact here.

If we pull out these one-time type expenses, we get to a more normal level. I don't wanna say. I shouldn't. I should be careful on my terminology. You know, certainly, as I said, if we look across the whole of the O&M waterfall there, if we remove the one-time expenses and we remove the customer assistance program increase, we would get to about a 3.5% year-over-year increase, higher than normal, higher than we'd think about our 2%-2.5%, 3% type of range. We are in this inflationary environment, and we are seeing some incremental costs related to employees. We did see, as I noted it earlier, some incremental expense-related maintenance activities as well.

Ryan Connors
Managing Director and Senior Research Analyst, Boenning & Scattergood

Got it. Okay. No, that's actually really great detailed color. Thanks for that, Dan. My other one was more strategic. I mean, Chris, you talked about the Willistown proposed decision, and you mentioned the, you know, I guess the battleground issue at play there being whether these "non-distressed" systems should be subject to, you know, sale. Importantly, you noted that as the decision also did that, you know, what's at stake is not only privatization, but regionalization, which sort of suggests that, you know, it's not an anti-private decision, it's an anti-economies-of-scale decision. So a couple of questions related to that. Is that the proper characterization of it, number one? Two, does that make, you know, are the other big regional systems around the state sort of your allies?

You know, are they writing briefs on that in terms of supporting that and saying, "Hey, we're a public sector system, but we wanna be able to acquire as well." Or is it really just at base level, kind of a cynical anti-privatization play at the end of the day? I mean, what's the read on that?

Chris Franklin
Chairman and CEO, Essential Utilities

Yeah. Listen, I'll give you my thought. I don't wanna characterize the judge's decision. It was actually a pretty detailed decision, over 200 pages, so there was a lot of thought that went into it. My take from it is that the judge was basically saying to the commissioners, "This is your decision on a policy level, not mine, and we kinda need to make it." I would like to think that the commissioners will think about it in the same way we do, and that is this long-term view across the country, not just in Pennsylvania, and that regionalization of water and wastewater systems is important to long-term viability, and therefore the policy remains consistent with where they've been for many years.

That's why I tend to think this is gonna be a fairly straightforward decision for the commissioners themselves. I think the ALJs need to hear from the commissioners that, in fact, you know, this is the case. It is an important policy decision. I don't wanna make any comments on whether it's cynical or anything else. I just think it's an important policy decision that the commissioners have before them.

Ryan Connors
Managing Director and Senior Research Analyst, Boenning & Scattergood

Lastly, just, you know, you've talked about FMV and all your states having it, and you've talked about that being a national trend. Really, I mean, as we can see from our discussion here, Pennsylvania really does seem to still be far and away the most active region. Can you discuss the reasons behind that? I mean, why have we seen other states, you know, implement the legislation but really not take off to the extent Pennsylvania has, even though it's been in place for a few years in some of those areas?

Chris Franklin
Chairman and CEO, Essential Utilities

Yeah, it's an interesting dynamic, Ryan, and probably a longer conversation, but I would just make a couple of maybe thoughts here that there's safety in numbers, right? Once a couple of municipals successfully transact and others look at it and say, "That actually worked out well for the municipal," for whatever reason they do it, right? There have been a number of reasons, could be from compliance issues to economic viability to simply economic development funds or tax pay downs, say, pensions. All kinds of reasons. As municipals see others doing it and doing it successfully, I think there's more and more interest. That's certainly what's happened in Pennsylvania.

I think what we're trying to do in some of the other states is get that started, get people comfortable so that they see it's something that, you know, you don't lose your election over. It works out financially. It works out operationally. That selling to a regulated utility gives the adequate protection to ratepayers. I just think that, you know, that is an education process that takes place over time.

Ryan Connors
Managing Director and Senior Research Analyst, Boenning & Scattergood

Yep. No, that's helpful color. Thanks for your time today, guys.

Chris Franklin
Chairman and CEO, Essential Utilities

Yeah. Thank you, Ryan.

Dan Schuller
CFO, Essential Utilities

Take care, Ryan.

Operator

We're moving forward to Ben Kallo with Baird. Your line is open.

Ben Kallo
Senior Research Analyst, Baird

Hey, guys.

Chris Franklin
Chairman and CEO, Essential Utilities

Good morning, Ben.

Ben Kallo
Senior Research Analyst, Baird

Hey, good morning. Hey, could you guys just walk through. I don't think you have gas exposure, but just because of volatility, could you walk through just how it works in the gas business? Then my second question, just on in terms of CapEx for the first quarter, I know you guys did better than last year, but just any kind of constraints you're seeing, whether supply chain, shipping, anything like that for the rest of the year that we should watch out for. Thank you, guys.

Dan Schuller
CFO, Essential Utilities

Maybe I'll start, and then Chris can chime in as well. Let's start with the CapEx program and supply chain. I mean, we have had certain things over the last year and a half that have taken longer to get, so we've adjusted our ordering patterns to accommodate for that. We've also ensured, like with our pipe producer, that we have supply in a certain number of truckloads coming in every week to our capital program in the states where we use that pipe supplier for ductile iron. So I'd say, you know, we have seen some supply constraints. We've seen price increases, as you'd expect with commodity costs up, things that are, you know, steel and concrete and wood and plastic HDPE.

We've seen those things, but we don't think that in any way puts our CapEx program in jeopardy. We've adjusted to that. We are on track at this point in the year. We see no reason we wouldn't complete our billion-dollar CapEx program this year across water and gas. Then coming to your first question, you're correct. We don't really have what we'll call exposure from a gas price perspective, a commodity perspective, meaning we don't make any more or less in terms of margin with higher or lower priced gas. The way it works for us is we start buying right about this time of year. We buy gas. We put it into storage between now and October. We put just under half of the gas needs into storage through that buying program.

Think of that as buying at today's cost, you know, next month's cost, July's cost as we build that up. The other half will come as we through the heating season, we both pull from storage and buy gas on a spot basis as needed. From a price perspective to our customers, basically, we aggregate those gas costs. We set a gas price in October based on the costs that we've already incurred and the costs we expect to incur, and then we true that up with a gas cost adjustment. We do that a couple of times, and then if there's a tail, it would flow into rates the following year.

Those gas prices eventually get fully recovered from our customers through either the base rate or the gas cost adjustment.

Ben Kallo
Senior Research Analyst, Baird

Great. Thank you.

Dan Schuller
CFO, Essential Utilities

Certainly.

Operator

Next question from Jonathan Reeder with Wells Fargo.

Chris Franklin
Chairman and CEO, Essential Utilities

Hey, Jonathan.

Dan Schuller
CFO, Essential Utilities

Hi, Jonathan.

Jonathan Reeder
Equities Research Analyst, Wells Fargo

Hey, good morning, Dan. Hey, Chris. Dan, I may have missed it, but how large of an ATM program do you anticipate establishing?

Dan Schuller
CFO, Essential Utilities

Yeah. We've not quite finalized it, but think of it around $500 million.

Jonathan Reeder
Equities Research Analyst, Wells Fargo

Okay. Great. Chris, on the PA rate case, if for some reason it isn't on the agenda for this Thursday, do you implement like interim rates or what's the implication for that?

Chris Franklin
Chairman and CEO, Essential Utilities

No, it'll be on the agenda because it's statutory. They need to install rates by the nineteenth of the month. This is the last meeting before that, so it'll be on the agenda. We don't have the ability to put rates under bond. Pennsylvania always acts before the statutory deadline.

Jonathan Reeder
Equities Research Analyst, Wells Fargo

Okay. Like, in theory, if they wouldn't, and I mean, it doesn't sound like you're expecting that, but then does the case go in as filed then? Like, your request just gets approved as filed. Would that be the fallback?

Chris Franklin
Chairman and CEO, Essential Utilities

You know, I don't know the answer to that because they've always met the statutory deadline. I don't know the answer to that, Jonathan. I'd be happy to check with our regulatory team and give you a firm answer. I fully expect it to be on the agenda.

Jonathan Reeder
Equities Research Analyst, Wells Fargo

Okay. Anything to, like, read that it wasn't on, like, the last agenda or just kind of taking their time? I guess the commission looks like they're gonna kinda probably reset the risk ROEs or, you know, affirm where they are, everything like that. I mean, anything that should have us more concerned that it's coming down to the wire versus at an earlier meeting?

Chris Franklin
Chairman and CEO, Essential Utilities

No, I don't think so. I mean, you know, they're down to three commissioners, as you know. I know there was a cancellation of one of the meetings, and so, you know, we're down to the meeting and plenty of time between the meeting this week and the time to install the rates. We haven't been particularly concerned. I wouldn't read any more into it than that.

Jonathan Reeder
Equities Research Analyst, Wells Fargo

Okay, great. Then last on, just following up on the Willistown stuff. Does Pennsylvania's fair market value law specify that it has to be a troubled system?

Chris Franklin
Chairman and CEO, Essential Utilities

No, it does not.

Jonathan Reeder
Equities Research Analyst, Wells Fargo

Okay.

Chris Franklin
Chairman and CEO, Essential Utilities

That's why I think this is a pretty important case.

Jonathan Reeder
Equities Research Analyst, Wells Fargo

Great. Okay. Thanks for the update, and yeah, looking forward to seeing you guys next week at AGA.

Chris Franklin
Chairman and CEO, Essential Utilities

You bet.

Dan Schuller
CFO, Essential Utilities

Sounds good.

Chris Franklin
Chairman and CEO, Essential Utilities

See you next week.

Dan Schuller
CFO, Essential Utilities

Thanks, Jonathan.

Operator

Next, we take from Gregg Orrill with UBS.

Chris Franklin
Chairman and CEO, Essential Utilities

Hey, Gregg.

Gregg Orrill
Executive Director and Equity Analyst, UBS

Yeah, thank you. Hi there. Hey, do you have a timeline on closing for the East Whiteland and Beaver Falls acquisitions?

Chris Franklin
Chairman and CEO, Essential Utilities

Beaver Falls early next year. Yeah. East Whiteland later this summer, maybe early fall. Beaver Falls probably just after the first of the year, first quarter next year.

Gregg Orrill
Executive Director and Equity Analyst, UBS

Great. Thanks.

Chris Franklin
Chairman and CEO, Essential Utilities

You bet.

Operator

Moving forward to Verity Mitchell with HSBC.

Chris Franklin
Chairman and CEO, Essential Utilities

Hi, Verity.

Verity Mitchell
Director of Utilities Research, HSBC

Hi. Morning, everybody.

Dan Schuller
CFO, Essential Utilities

Good morning, Verity.

Verity Mitchell
Director of Utilities Research, HSBC

I just wanted to follow up a bit on Willistown. I know it's been discussed a couple of times. I just want to know, is this a new discussion that the ALJ have come up with? And are you worried that it is a regulatory precedent that will be noted by other ALJs? And also just a feeling on the timing, that would be really helpful. Thank you. Following up.

Chris Franklin
Chairman and CEO, Essential Utilities

Yeah. Well, worried. I'm not sure I would say I'm worried about it because the ALJs are, you know, I would say with some level of regularity, are overruled by the commissioners themselves on all sorts of issues. I'm not particularly concerned. I do think that it tees up a really important policy discussion that once resolved, Verity, should be a non-issue for other ALJs, right? Once the commission clears this, gives an opinion that hopefully they in fact support this regionalization despite you know not being you know technically troubled, then I think that'll clear it up for the future. My hope is that that's where it lands. On timing, the second piece was on timing.

Verity Mitchell
Director of Utilities Research, HSBC

Yeah.

Chris Franklin
Chairman and CEO, Essential Utilities

I would think that this gets acted on in one of the summer meetings by the commission. There's been no timing announced, but I would think that this would get some activity this summer.

Verity Mitchell
Director of Utilities Research, HSBC

Great. Thanks. We look out for it. Thank you.

Dan Schuller
CFO, Essential Utilities

Take care, Verity.

Chris Franklin
Chairman and CEO, Essential Utilities

You bet.

Verity Mitchell
Director of Utilities Research, HSBC

Thanks.

Operator

Once again, ladies and gentlemen, please press star one to ask a question. We take our next question from Travis Miller with Morningstar.

Chris Franklin
Chairman and CEO, Essential Utilities

Hey, Travis.

Travis Miller
Energy and Utilities Senior Equity Analyst, Morningstar

Good morning, everyone.

Dan Schuller
CFO, Essential Utilities

Good morning, Travis.

Travis Miller
Energy and Utilities Senior Equity Analyst, Morningstar

Thank you. Two high-level questions on inflation. You know, I think you've talked in the past about how inflation could actually be a positive in terms of the acquisition strategy if municipalities are facing higher costs. Wonder if that's still the case, if you're seeing that play out with your development team. The second question was just the inflation, okay, go ahead, and I'll come back to the second question.

Chris Franklin
Chairman and CEO, Essential Utilities

No, no. Go ahead. Okay. Yeah, I think that that's a real possibility, although I don't think we've seen that necessarily materialize at this point. I mean, given the fact that we can buy things like pipe and equipment using economies of scale, I mean, we're just buying at prices that most smaller municipals can't purchase at. Gives us a little bit more room in comparison. I think about it as additional upward pressure on their rates, which they hate to raise rates. That compared to whatever compliance or other financial pressures or compliance issues they have only creates additional upward pressure and therefore, you know, potential consideration for solutions we might bring.

Travis Miller
Energy and Utilities Senior Equity Analyst, Morningstar

Okay, great. Second is how does inflation kind of flow through gas versus water bills? Obviously, a gas bill is very direct flow through there. How do you think about inflation in terms of especially energy costs going through water bills and how is that trending?

Dan Schuller
CFO, Essential Utilities

Yeah, no, it's a good question. Now, we think about inflation flowing through a gas bill. The inflation you see coming through the bill really is the commodity cost inflation for the natural gas itself. Other inflation, you know, maintenance costs, labor costs, fuel costs, things like that, those have to be picked up in a rate case, typically. That's how they would come back through. Similarly, on the water side, inflation really comes through in you know, materializes in our cost structure and then would have to be recovered through a rate case. In terms of energy, you asked specifically about energy. For electricity, you know, we have more exposure in some of the places where we use co-ops for our energy production and supply.

We have less exposure where we have long-term contracts in place, long-term power purchase agreements.

Chris Franklin
Chairman and CEO, Essential Utilities

I guess I would only add, Dan, the only other impact on the capital plan if inflation were to continue to run, you know, theoretically, Travis, we would spend still the call it $1 billion a year, but get less done for the money, right? So, you know, fewer miles, for example, of main could be installed. Now, as we look at that today, even though we've had significant increase in our cost of call it ductile iron for pipe, labor, since we have contracts, labor's been fairly steady, which is the largest portion of that capital plan. Our capital plan really hasn't been impacted dramatically at this point. But that is the what would be the potential impact, would be less work done for the same spend.

Dan Schuller
CFO, Essential Utilities

Correct. Yep.

Travis Miller
Energy and Utilities Senior Equity Analyst, Morningstar

Okay. Got it. No, that's helpful. Thank you very much.

Chris Franklin
Chairman and CEO, Essential Utilities

Got it.

Dan Schuller
CFO, Essential Utilities

Bye, Travis.

Operator

It appears there are no further questions at this time. I'd like to turn the call back to Chris Franklin for any additional closing remarks.

Chris Franklin
Chairman and CEO, Essential Utilities

Thanks for joining us, everyone. As always, Dan, myself, Brian, always available for follow-up if you have other questions. Have a great day. Thanks.

Operator

This concludes today's call. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.

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