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Guggenheim Securities Emerging Outlook: Biotech Summit 2026

Feb 12, 2026

Michael Schmidt
Senior Biotech Analyst, Guggenheim

Well, yeah, fine. All right, so welcome to this fireside chat with X4 Pharmaceuticals. I'm Michael Schmidt, Senior Biotech Analyst with Guggenheim, and it's my great pleasure to welcome Adam Craig, Executive Chair of X4 Pharmaceuticals. Adam, thanks for joining us today.

Adam Craig
Executive Chair, X4 Pharmaceuticals

Thank you, Michael. Thanks for having us.

Michael Schmidt
Senior Biotech Analyst, Guggenheim

So, maybe just starting off with a high-level question. So you, you and the, the management team have been in place now for about, six months or so at X4 Pharmaceuticals. Maybe just remind us of your broader vision for the company and what you're trying to accomplish.

Adam Craig
Executive Chair, X4 Pharmaceuticals

What we're trying to accomplish is being a leading company in the development of new therapies for patients with rare blood, blood disorders. What we're focused on at the moment is the development of our compound, mavorixafor, for chronic neutropenia, for patients who have low white counts and are very exposed to getting infections. Over the last six months, we've spent a lot of time focusing the team on that goal. We've reduced costs, we've reduced headcount, and we've really become a company that's focused on completing our phase III trial successfully so we can bring that new indication to patients.

Michael Schmidt
Senior Biotech Analyst, Guggenheim

Okay. Yeah, maybe then a few questions about mavorixafor. So the—this therapy targets CXCR4, which has been shown to have bone marrow-mobilizing effects. And so, yeah, maybe remind us, what is the value proposition of mavorixafor relative to other CXCR4 inhibitors or antagonists that... And also G-CSF, which is used in this category?

Adam Craig
Executive Chair, X4 Pharmaceuticals

Yes. With regard to other CXCR4 compounds, plerixafor is an IV compound that has demonstrated limited benefit in WHIM, which has our first indication. We don't really have a main competitor in the CXCR4 space. In the commercial environment and on our clinical trial, obviously, G-CSF is used extensively in these patients. About 40% of all patients with chronic neutropenia have G-CSF therapy, but it's a therapy that has limitations. It's subcutaneous, whereas mavorixafor is an oral therapy. It causes bone pain. There's a risk of long-term transformation to leukemia with long-term use. I know from my personal experience as a pediatric oncologist, a lot of patients do not like having G-CSF, and that's why our market research shows only about 40% of overall, of all patients take G-CSFs, and it's not constant.

Many patients will talk it intermittently, particularly if they need to go out and to socialize, or they're going to a restaurant. They'll take it to give themselves some protection against infections when they're outside their homes.

Michael Schmidt
Senior Biotech Analyst, Guggenheim

Okay. So mavorixafor is already FDA approved actually for a very rare condition called WHIM syndrome. You've discussed in the past that the company's sort of not actively promoting the therapy there, but yeah, maybe talk a bit about the data, and to what degree does it validate the therapy, and to what degree does it read through, perhaps to the chronic neutropenia opportunity?

Adam Craig
Executive Chair, X4 Pharmaceuticals

Yeah, so just to sort of finish that off, WHIM, WHIM is an ultra-rare indication, and when we took over the company in August of last year, we were - the company was spending more than it was bringing in revenue. So we've deprioritized the commercialization of WHIM. We will always provide the drug to patients, and it is available to patients that require it, but we're not actively commercializing it. But as you say, the WHIM data is very helpful with regards to understanding chronic neutropenia. WHIM is a form of severe neutropenia, that is, patients with ANCs less than 500. They also have hypogammaglobulinemia, and they're very prone to infections.

So the WHIM data shows that with treatment mavorixafor, the ANC can improve, and infections can improve in a small sample size, as you'd expect for an ultra-rare indication. So it's very validating for me for the main hypothesis that in the broader chronic neutropenia population, that mavorixafor will have a benefit.

Michael Schmidt
Senior Biotech Analyst, Guggenheim

Yeah. And, I know you've, you know... Again, it's not promoted, but there are some sales in WHIM in the US-

Adam Craig
Executive Chair, X4 Pharmaceuticals

Yeah, yeah.

Michael Schmidt
Senior Biotech Analyst, Guggenheim

There are European, I think, approval decisions coming up at some point too. Do you see upside to the near-term commercial opportunity in WHIM for mavorixafor?

Adam Craig
Executive Chair, X4 Pharmaceuticals

I think the more physicians know about mavorixafor, the more clinical, you know, the more they understand the clinical trial and potential commercialization and broader indication. Yes, there will be benefit from WHIM. At this point, for the WHIM indication at this point, though, it's just not feasible for us to spend more money on commercializing something than we are getting for revenue coming in.

Michael Schmidt
Senior Biotech Analyst, Guggenheim

Right.

Adam Craig
Executive Chair, X4 Pharmaceuticals

It's just not good business sense. But as I say, we have picked up a number of patients since we stopped commercializing, so there's. We're still getting new patients, but the numbers are very, very small.

Michael Schmidt
Senior Biotech Analyst, Guggenheim

Makes sense. Okay. And so you're obviously evaluating the therapy in chronic neutropenia, as you mentioned, in a Phase III study, the 4WARD study.

Adam Craig
Executive Chair, X4 Pharmaceuticals

Mm-hmm.

Michael Schmidt
Senior Biotech Analyst, Guggenheim

Just maybe remind us of the size of the opportunity in this indication.

Adam Craig
Executive Chair, X4 Pharmaceuticals

We estimate... We've done a number of market research studies. The most recent was from ClearView Partners in Boston, and we worked with them, and they identified that there are about 15,000 patients with symptomatic, severe or moderate, chronic neutropenia, and that is patients with ANCs less than 1,000 or less than 500. The estimate is to start with some of those on G-CSF, and some of them are not. The estimate from ClearView Partners is our base case, is about, we will treat about a third of those patients, about 5,000 patients. Initially, we will penetrate the market, they think, more successfully as a monotherapy, and over time, as we develop relationships and share data, we'll have more and more patients who have mavorixafor with G-CSF.

We're working on a base case of 5,000 out of 15,000 patients, and of course, there are opportunities beyond that if we generate more data.

Michael Schmidt
Senior Biotech Analyst, Guggenheim

Maybe talk a bit more about the major or the main unmet medical need in this patient population. Is it, you know, patients that don't respond well to G-CSF? Is it patients that are on it but not happy with tolerability, or is it other subsets of patients?

Adam Craig
Executive Chair, X4 Pharmaceuticals

There are certainly patients who have been on G-CSF for a long time. If you look at their history, they're on higher and higher doses. I was in London last week at Great Ormond Street Hospital, where one of the physicians was describing patients having super doses of G-CSF because over time, they're just not responding to it. That's true. There are patients who just don't want to be on G-CSF because it causes bone pain, because it's uncomfortable, because there's a risk of long-term malignancy. And the life of these patients, the patients we're treating, are patients who have infections. On our clinical trial, 70% of patients entering the clinical trial have three or more infections a year, and we're not talking about infections like mouth ulcerations.

We're talking about infections that require attendance at the emergency room, may require hospital admission, may require antibiotics. So the unmet medical need is really quite significant. If we can improve on the infection rate by increasing the ANC of these patients, we will change their quality of life.

Michael Schmidt
Senior Biotech Analyst, Guggenheim

Yeah. Then, yeah, perhaps talk about the phase I and phase II data that you have already generated with mavorixafor in chronic neutropenia, and to what degree does that and did that inform the design of the Phase III study?

Adam Craig
Executive Chair, X4 Pharmaceuticals

It was very informative. It's a small dataset. I think it's important to make that clear, but the phase II, phase I, phase II data in chronic neutropenia, for me, shows two things. The first thing it shows is that mavorixafor can be given to patients with low ANCs, and the ANC count can increase above 1,000, above 1,500, where there will be some protection from infection. The other part of the dataset was using the drug in combination with G-CSF, and in that population, we showed that the drug can be used safely in combination with G-CSF. Obviously, that will be confirmed by the phase III, and we also demonstrated that you can lower the dose of G-CSF but still maintain a decent ANC.

So a small dataset, if I'd run the trial, probably have done a bigger, bigger trial, but it's really just proved to me that the principle of using mavorixafor alone and using it in G-CSF is, you know, the data is good, and it supports the conduct of the 4WARD trial.

Michael Schmidt
Senior Biotech Analyst, Guggenheim

Okay. And, I mean, Plerixafor, which is a similar mechanism drug, is used to, you know, mobilize stem cells-

Adam Craig
Executive Chair, X4 Pharmaceuticals

Yes

Michael Schmidt
Senior Biotech Analyst, Guggenheim

from the bone marrow.

Adam Craig
Executive Chair, X4 Pharmaceuticals

Yeah.

Michael Schmidt
Senior Biotech Analyst, Guggenheim

I guess my question is, how selective is mavorixafor towards, you know, increasing neutrophil counts specifically, and is it, you know, is there a risk of other cells are being mobilized out of the bone marrow?

Adam Craig
Executive Chair, X4 Pharmaceuticals

Not that I'm aware of. We continue to monitor. I look at the safety data once a month, both from the market and on the clinical trial, blinded data. I've not seen any new signals, haven't seen any long-term signals, but it's always possible. Plerixafor is IV, and our market research shows it's used in about 2%-3% of the chronic neutropenia market. It's not really a main competitor. First of all, 'cause there's not substantial data in the area, and the other thing, it's given IV as opposed to G-CSF, which is sub-Q, or our drug, which is oral.

Michael Schmidt
Senior Biotech Analyst, Guggenheim

Yeah, makes sense. And then, yeah, maybe just walk us through the design of the 4WARD Phase III study. Sort of remind us again of the eligibility criteria-

Adam Craig
Executive Chair, X4 Pharmaceuticals

It's a-

Michael Schmidt
Senior Biotech Analyst, Guggenheim

and what the powering assumptions are.

Adam Craig
Executive Chair, X4 Pharmaceuticals

It's a trial that includes all groups of chronic neutropenia. It's 176 patients randomized 1:1 between two treatment arms, mavorixafor versus placebo, and on each arm, patients can receive G-CSF. It's mavorixafor or placebo, plus or minus G-CSF on each arm. To be eligible for that trial, you need two infections a year in the past year, and what we're measuring is a change in the ANC, an increase in the ANC as one primary endpoint, and the co-primary is a reduction in infection, and we do think they will go together. If you increase the ANC, you should reduce infection rate. 176 patients split between the two arms, and our aim is to complete enrollment by the end of the third quarter of this year.

We did inherit, when we came in August, a trial that wasn't functioning properly. We've worked very hard to increase the enrollment rate, which we're doing, and very hard to find patients and identify them and get them on the trial. Operationally, that has been... The operational conduct of the trial has been our focus.

Michael Schmidt
Senior Biotech Analyst, Guggenheim

How are those patients managed today? What types of physicians? Are they hematologists, or is it more in primary care?

Adam Craig
Executive Chair, X4 Pharmaceuticals

No, they, they may be identified. This is the difference between WHIM. If you look at where WHIM patients are, they're all over the place: dermatologists, hematologists, immunologists. Chronic neutropenia patients tend to be confined, eventually end up with hematologists. Very, very similar prescriber base to what we had when we were running CTI with VONJO and MF. About 80% of the patients will be within community practice, and they tend to be hematologists. When a patient has a low count identified, they're typically referred to a hematologist for a bone marrow examination, and they'll be managed in that setting. Most of the patients are managed in that setting.

Michael Schmidt
Senior Biotech Analyst, Guggenheim

Yeah. And in the 4WARD study, you said, you know, roughly 40%-50% of patients will be presumably on G-CSF.

Adam Craig
Executive Chair, X4 Pharmaceuticals

About 40% we're seeing.

Michael Schmidt
Senior Biotech Analyst, Guggenheim

Yeah.

Adam Craig
Executive Chair, X4 Pharmaceuticals

Yeah.

Michael Schmidt
Senior Biotech Analyst, Guggenheim

Do you allow for down titration of G-CSF in the study?

Adam Craig
Executive Chair, X4 Pharmaceuticals

No, we don't, and that's when we joined, that was the one limitation of the trial that we studied. I'm glad you brought it up. So, in consultation with the FDA, it was decided that the G-CSF dose would be fixed. The problem with that is, it means we wouldn't have data in the marketplace to say how G-CSF could be used with mavorixafor. So what we're in the process of discussing and working with the clinical development team is looking at doing a small Phase II study, where we can titrate the dose of G-CSF against mavorixafor while maintaining ANC.

My objective is, by the time we get the approval for mavorixafor and chronic neutropenia, which should be in 2028, we will have a publication in place that will provide some treatment guidelines on how to use G-CSF with mavorixafor. The 4WARD trial is well designed, but that's the one bit of data we will not get from the trial, so we need to run a smaller study.

Michael Schmidt
Senior Biotech Analyst, Guggenheim

But in 4WARD, so the patients that are on stable G-CSF, they still have to have low ANC counts?

Adam Craig
Executive Chair, X4 Pharmaceuticals

Yeah. We have patients from all different doses of G-CSF, from high to mega doses, super, super doses, as some people call them. There are patients who've been in G-CSF for a short period of time, and there's patients who've been on it for a year, particularly the congenital neutropenia patients. Some of them have been on it since childhood, and they have very, very high dose, doses of G-CSF, but they're still they still have severe and moderate neutropenia.

Michael Schmidt
Senior Biotech Analyst, Guggenheim

Do you expect differences in patients' ability to increase ANC, dependent on whether they're on G-CSF, obviously not responding or naive?

Adam Craig
Executive Chair, X4 Pharmaceuticals

Yeah, I've spoken to the team about that at the time. The answer is no. We're really dealing with a refractory population for the G-CSF. If you are on G-CSF, and you're still getting two infections a year, you're not, it's not being controlled, it's not working. In fact, I think I've already said, 70% of patients coming on trial have three or more infections. So we are examining, we are exploring here a population that is symptomatic and is quite sick, despite the use of G-CSF.

Michael Schmidt
Senior Biotech Analyst, Guggenheim

Okay. And then the other thing, my understanding is plerixafor, or CXCR4 antagonist, they were really fast, right? I mean, I think you can mobilize these cells within days or a day. And so, how much is known about the long-term effects of that, you know, ANC increase? How stable are these increase over time?

Adam Craig
Executive Chair, X4 Pharmaceuticals

We have data. It is maturing. Obviously, the initial data set here was generated in an ultra-rare indication of WHIM, but we have patients three, four years out now who are doing very well on mavorixafor. But it's important for us to continue being following up patients, and the 4WARD trial does have a long-term follow-up component to it. So if we get approval, for many years, we need to continue. The answer to your question is, I haven't seen anything yet, but it's important that we conduct ourselves properly and have pharmacovigilance, looking for any long-term effects. Nothing at the moment, but so we continue to look.

Michael Schmidt
Senior Biotech Analyst, Guggenheim

Yeah. From a, I think this is a one-year study, right? 52 weeks, I think.

Adam Craig
Executive Chair, X4 Pharmaceuticals

Yeah.

Michael Schmidt
Senior Biotech Analyst, Guggenheim

Yeah. From a safety tolerability, you know, angle, anything you're watching specifically? I think the drug's been very well tolerated, but anything-

Adam Craig
Executive Chair, X4 Pharmaceuticals

Yeah, I-

Michael Schmidt
Senior Biotech Analyst, Guggenheim

-of concern?

Adam Craig
Executive Chair, X4 Pharmaceuticals

Well, first of all, the independent data monitoring committee met last quarter and didn't make any changes to the study, so that's gone well. I review the blinded data with the clinical team. I did it last week, every quarter. Sorry, every month. I've not seen any changes in the safety signal. It is blinded, so I'm seeing both treatment arms. But no, nothing new. We know there is some GI toxicity that needs to be treated symptomatically, but to date, there's nothing new to report.

Michael Schmidt
Senior Biotech Analyst, Guggenheim

Okay. And then I know you've alluded to some changes that you're implementing to the study conduct. You know, just maybe elaborate a little bit more on, you know, what are some of the things that you've done to really, you know, ensure the study has the highest possible chance of success?

Adam Craig
Executive Chair, X4 Pharmaceuticals

Yeah, the main, the main thing is, this is rare disease, so you have to find the patients. So we have, we moved the MSLs away from commercializing the drug to patient recruitment. And together with the clin ops team, our CRO, our job is to identify patients and get them referred to the treatment center. So if there's a site in L.A., there'll be one hospital in L.A. that's conducting the trial, but there are other hospitals that have these patients. So we're using AI to look at databases. We're spending a lot of time in the field. I'm in Europe again next week, mainland Europe, working with some PIs, developing relationships. It's really about identifying patients, getting them into screening, and then seeing if they can go on the clinical trial.

But it requires a lot of grunt work, a lot of field work, and that's the change that we've tried to bring to the company. We've made it about relationships, and we've made it about getting into the field and talking to physicians and identifying patients. That's the focus, and it's working.

Michael Schmidt
Senior Biotech Analyst, Guggenheim

It sounds like you're tracking towards 3Q enrollment company.

Adam Craig
Executive Chair, X4 Pharmaceuticals

Yeah, we are. I'm not gonna give an update today because we're still seeing the benefit of our changes. But towards the end of the year, I'll provide an update to the street.

Michael Schmidt
Senior Biotech Analyst, Guggenheim

Okay. And then, so presumably then, data would be available one year later, right?

Adam Craig
Executive Chair, X4 Pharmaceuticals

Yes.

Michael Schmidt
Senior Biotech Analyst, Guggenheim

I know it's a little bit early still, but how do you think about pricing and access in the market, especially relative to biosimilar G-CSF, which is very, very wide?

Adam Craig
Executive Chair, X4 Pharmaceuticals

Yes. Well, I think the benefit here is reduced infection, which, you know, as you know, within the American healthcare system, admission to hospital for infection is very expensive. I think there is an opportunity for premium pricing here. We've not done formal pricing research, but based on my experience, I think there is an opportunity to have premium pricing in a rare disease. I don't think the pricing of the drug will be sustained where it is, which is in the $500,000 range. I think it will be lower than that, but I do think, given the benefits and given how rare the disease is, we could have very healthy pricing here.

Michael Schmidt
Senior Biotech Analyst, Guggenheim

Okay. Are there any other, you know, potentially competitive programs in the industry that are in development for this?

Adam Craig
Executive Chair, X4 Pharmaceuticals

Not that we're aware of. If there are, I'd love to know from anyone in the audience, but we're not aware of any competitors at the moment.

Michael Schmidt
Senior Biotech Analyst, Guggenheim

Okay. Do you see any other potential label or, you know, opportunities beyond chronic neutropenia that could be interesting for-

Adam Craig
Executive Chair, X4 Pharmaceuticals

Yes. Yeah, we've had a lot of interest. There are other forms, there's secondary neutropenias. There are other indications where we could potentially expand the use of the drug. Most patients with chronic neutropenia are actually have mild neutropenia, counts of 1,000 and above. So I think there's opportunity to do that. At the moment, though, we're focused on getting the beachhead with the chronic neutropenia, severe and moderate indication, and then we can expand, and the team have many ideas, as do many of my board, on how we should do that, but it's not the focus at the moment.

Michael Schmidt
Senior Biotech Analyst, Guggenheim

Gotcha. And, I mean, when I think about, you know, G-CSF, it's obviously approved in a range of indications.

Adam Craig
Executive Chair, X4 Pharmaceuticals

Mm.

Michael Schmidt
Senior Biotech Analyst, Guggenheim

Are there any other things that are obvious opportunities for mavorixafor that are, you know, related to G-CSF use?

Adam Craig
Executive Chair, X4 Pharmaceuticals

Yes, there are, but yeah, that will come out in time.

Michael Schmidt
Senior Biotech Analyst, Guggenheim

Yeah.

Adam Craig
Executive Chair, X4 Pharmaceuticals

We'll talk about them. Yes, there are... It's funny, when you join a new company, people bombard you with new ideas, and what we've got to do is keep the team focused on achieving the primary goal, and then we can-

Michael Schmidt
Senior Biotech Analyst, Guggenheim

Makes sense

Adam Craig
Executive Chair, X4 Pharmaceuticals

... work on the-

Michael Schmidt
Senior Biotech Analyst, Guggenheim

Yeah

Adam Craig
Executive Chair, X4 Pharmaceuticals

... other ideas.

Michael Schmidt
Senior Biotech Analyst, Guggenheim

And then any, as we look ahead, so, you know, ahead of the 4WARD phase III data, presumably towards the end of 2027, any other milestones or events investors should be watching out for?

Adam Craig
Executive Chair, X4 Pharmaceuticals

Well, later this year, I think we need to present to the street what we think the market opportunity is. A lot of investors have been asking for that, so we are looking at having some presentation where we can present our work. I've already mentioned that we think there's room for G-CSF titration study, and so, and then, obviously, an enrollment update. So I think this is the news flow for this year. I'm still working on the first one, making sure we've got a very clear and accurate presentation of the market opportunity. We've had investor meetings, thanks to you this morning, and it's a common question.

Michael Schmidt
Senior Biotech Analyst, Guggenheim

Mm.

Adam Craig
Executive Chair, X4 Pharmaceuticals

You know, "Can you present the market opportunity, and can we see some of your data?" And we'll do that.

Michael Schmidt
Senior Biotech Analyst, Guggenheim

Are there any analog markets or, you know, some precedent that come to mind comparing this to?

Adam Craig
Executive Chair, X4 Pharmaceuticals

Not off the top of my head. Did you have anything in mind?

Michael Schmidt
Senior Biotech Analyst, Guggenheim

I didn't. I'm just thinking-

Adam Craig
Executive Chair, X4 Pharmaceuticals

Yeah

Michael Schmidt
Senior Biotech Analyst, Guggenheim

... just from a patient number perspective, obviously.

Adam Craig
Executive Chair, X4 Pharmaceuticals

No, I think there's because there's not a lot of work going on.

Michael Schmidt
Senior Biotech Analyst, Guggenheim

Right

Adam Craig
Executive Chair, X4 Pharmaceuticals

... with other companies on this, and I think it's up to X4 to present to the street what we've done, and so people can understand and make their own assessment, and that's something we need to do this year.

Michael Schmidt
Senior Biotech Analyst, Guggenheim

Great. Well, thank you, Craig. That's all I had. So thank you for the Q&A session, and really appreciate you being here today.

Adam Craig
Executive Chair, X4 Pharmaceuticals

It's always a pleasure. Thank you, Michael.

Michael Schmidt
Senior Biotech Analyst, Guggenheim

Thanks. Appreciate it.

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