Good morning. My name is Jackie, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the Xylem Second Quarter 2013 Earnings Conference Call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speaker's remarks, there will be a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question during this time, simply press star then the number 1 on your telephone keypad. If you would like to withdraw your question, press the pound key. Thank you. I would now like to turn the call over to Phil DeSousa, Head of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
Thank you, Jackie. Good morning, everyone, and welcome to Xylem's Second Quarter 2013 Earnings Conference Call. With me today are Chief Executive Officer, Gretchen McClain, and Chief Financial Officer, Michael Speetzen. They'll provide their perspective on Xylem's second quarter results and discuss the full year outlook for 2013. Following their prepared remarks, they will address questions related to the information covered on the call. I'll ask that you please keep to one question and a follow-up and then return to the queue so that we will have enough time to address everyone on the call today. We anticipate that the call will last approximately one hour. As a reminder, this call and our webcast are accompanied by a slide presentation available in the investor section of our website at www.xyleminc.com.
All references today will be on an adjusted basis unless otherwise indicated, and non-GAAP financials are reconciled for you in the appendix section of the presentation. A replay of today's call will be available until Tuesday, August 13th at 6:00 P.M. Please note the replay number is 404-537-3406, and the confirmation code is 11620868. Additionally, the call will be available for playback via the investor section of our website under the heading Presentations. With that said, please turn to slide two. We will make some forward-looking statements on today's call, including references to future events or developments that we anticipate will or may occur in the future. These statements are subject to future risks and uncertainties, such as those outlined in Xylem's annual report on Form 10-K, and those described in subsequent reports as filed with the SEC. These remarks constitute forward-looking statements for purposes of the safe harbor provision.
Please note that the company undertakes no obligation to update such statements publicly to reflect subsequent events or circumstances, and actual results could differ materially from those anticipated. Now please turn to slide three, and I will turn the call over to our CEO, Gretchen McClain.
Thank you, Phil. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us today. Most of you have seen the news release with our disappointing second quarter results. Today, we'd like to walk you through the numbers and of course, respond to your questions and feedback at the conclusion of the call. As outlined in our earnings release, we experienced a 3% organic decline in revenue in the second quarter. This lower than expected revenue, along with investments of growth and productivity, resulted in lower operating profits and led to adjusted earnings per share that were below our expectations. During today's call, we'll summarize the dynamics impacting our top line, show how they affected our financial performance, and give you our outlook for the remainder of the year.
I'll also tell you about some of the things we accomplished in the second quarter and outline the strategic and tactical actions we are taking to enhance our performance for both the short and the long term. Let's start the quarterly summary with the key driver, our revenue performance. Before jumping into the details, let's take a look at what we assumed going into the quarter. You may recall at the beginning of 2013, we were bearish on the macroeconomic conditions across Europe, and we planned accordingly. Even with this precaution, conditions have proven to be more challenging than we had anticipated. A significant portion of our business is short cycle in nature, with 50% of our sales going through distribution.
These dynamics, coupled with customers requiring shorter lead times and distributors minimizing inventories, have led to more frequent and smaller transactions, thus limiting our short-term visibility and resulting in increased variability from month to month. Let me also remind you of our seasonality of our business, with the fourth quarter being the largest, followed by the second quarter, and June being an especially important month for us as Europe prepares for its summer holiday. We entered the second quarter with a solid backlog, early orders tracking to our expectations, and we were taking aggressive actions to close orders. While June is the strongest month of the quarter, it did not play out as we had expected. Our revenue shortfall was driven primarily by transport and treatment in our industrial and public utility markets.
While the revenue declines were fairly broad-based and not restricted to any one country, from a regional perspective, the most significant headwinds were in Europe. Unfortunately, our product pipeline continued to push out to the right due to the uncertainty around funding and budget constraints. We are not experiencing meaningful order cancellations, so timing of revenue conversion is increasingly uncertain. In this competitive market, we were unable to achieve our targeted price realization and faced strong foreign exchange headwinds. Before discussing our adjusted operating profit, I'd like to briefly highlight some of the bright spots, namely commercial, residential, and agriculture. These three growing markets represent approximately 22% of Xylem's revenue. We continue to see strong performance in the U.S. residential market, which posted a third consecutive quarter of organic growth. Second quarter results in the U.S. were in the high teens.
U.S. commercial posted 9% organic growth, providing some confidence that this market could be seeing some fundamental improvement. Agriculture was up 10% in the second quarter, driven by strength in the U.S. Another bright spot in the second quarter was orders. We received more than $1 billion in orders. That's up 4% in constant currency and 1% organically and our highest level of orders since becoming a standalone company. Sequentially, organic orders were up 5%. For the second quarter, our book-to-bill ratio was in line with seasonal trends at 1.05. We ended the quarter with a record backlog of $759 million, up $36 million or 5% from the previous quarter. Our shippable backlog is up 7% year-over-year, and we expect to deliver approximately $400 million in the third quarter and approximately $200 million in the fourth quarter. Now to income.
We're reporting gross margin of 38.6% for the second quarter and operating margin of 10.2%. Relative to the prior year, these results primarily reflect lower volume and the negative impact of foreign exchange rates. We are partially offsetting margin dilution with contributions from new products, from the savings realized through restructuring actions taken in 2012, and further cost reductions resulting from our lean and global sourcing initiatives. As a result of these items and the tax benefit realized from our realignment action, our adjusted net income was $66 million or $0.36 per share for the second quarter. Our free cash flow performance was driven primarily by lower income for the quarter, typical seasonality, and timing of tax payments. Let's turn to slide four.
For the remainder of the year, we have reforecasted both the top and bottom-line assumptions to reflect current market conditions, our first half results, and foreign exchange headwinds. We now expect revenues to decline 3%-4% organically. That's down four percentage points from our previous guidance. We expect to deliver EPS in the range of $1.40-$1.50. Our top-line revision is centered on Europe, Latin America, and the Middle East growth rates being weaker than we had expected, along with a slower-than-anticipated U.S. industrial market recovery. We expect public utility project activity to remain challenged into 2014, driven by the weak CapEx spending, especially in wastewater. What are we doing about this? Across the company, we are taking out additional costs to drive efficiency and a lower cost base in the company while staying focused on growth.
We've initiated the majority of our previously announced restructuring and realignment actions. As a result, I am confident we can deliver the full-year cost savings we previously indicated, which will be in the range of $25 million-$27 million for the year. Accelerated cost-saving initiatives will drive an additional saving of approximately $0.06 per share over the balance of the year and are reflected in our revised guidance. These include aggressive cost management to drive further reductions in manufacturing costs by accelerating our lean initiatives and tighter sourcing controls and significant cuts in discretionary spending across the company. We've already made some immediate adjustments to our cost base while protecting our best process for growth. We are pacing investments in light of this current market environment. In addition, we are dialing back capital expenditures and resizing our acquisition spend while still advancing our strategy.
On the other side of this balanced equation are the efforts to drive top-line growth. We are launching a series of compelling new products over the balance of the year and staying focused on growth in emerging markets. As always, we are evaluating all opportunities and are taking steps to position this company to be more agile and more competitive. We are leading from the front, actively meeting with our teams around the world, closely tracking progress in our critical initiatives, and sending a strong message to everyone across Xylem that our performance must improve. I would like to quickly highlight some of the areas of progress against our strategic priorities for the year. Turn to slide five. We are sharply focused on delivering customer value and driving profitable growth through the launch of technologies that address higher-order solutions. Some of these are evidenced by the following key wins.
One is a large project in the UAE to deliver a Leopold-branded filtration system to pre-treat seawater as a critical component to the desalination process. In Spain, we won a $2 million project to install our newest UV disinfection system, WEDECO Duron. We have a million-dollar project with our partner, Visenti, in Singapore to help monitor the country's water infrastructure through leak detection technology. These projects are great examples of how we're leveraging our innovation, applications expertise, and offering new services to get after some of the world's most challenging water issues. We're excited by new product launches that are winning in the marketplace and being recognized with technology innovation awards. We continue to execute our inorganic growth strategy, having completed the acquisition of Pollmann Pumpen during the second quarter.
While this acquisition is small compared to those that we've completed in the past, it's strategically important and squarely in line with our geographic expansion strategy in dewatering. Pollmann complements our existing capacity in Germany and enables us to help better serve our customers across Europe. We have an active acquisition pipeline, and we are advancing our bolt-on strategy. Having spent $80 million on acquisitions year to date, we now expect to deploy up to $200 million in total this year. Lastly, we continue to focus on our business sustainability. As I've already discussed our cost-saving initiatives, let me provide you an update on our regional transformation in Europe. You may recall that we opened our European headquarters office in Schaffhausen, Switzerland, and completed the transition of our European Water Solutions Business to the newly formed European management structure in the first quarter.
During the second quarter, we moved forward with our second phase, and our Applied Water business is now operating under the new structure. Our sales companies across each country across Europe have been integrated into one Xylem team, which will result in greater efficiency and growth as we move forward. I'll wrap up later and take your questions, but for now, let me turn our call over to our CFO, Michael Speetzen, to walk you through the second quarter 2013 results in detail. Mike?
Thanks, Gretchen. Please go to slide six. Given our second quarter results, we feel it's important to walk you through our performance relative to our expectations. Organic revenue was unfavorable by two percentage points. Strong performance across all end markets in the U.S. was more than offset by weaker conditions in Europe and the emerging markets, lower price realization, and unfavorable foreign exchange impacts. Let me cover the market dynamics in more detail. First, we saw better than expected market conditions in our U.S. residential and commercial building service business, and our ag business continued to benefit from drought conditions in the Southwest. Europe was generally weaker than expected, but most significantly down in the public utility and industrial markets. We also encountered greater than anticipated pricing pressure, as continued market demands challenged our ability to gain more significant price increases.
Foreign exchange was a significant headwind, as we saw the U.S. dollar and Swedish krona appreciate against other currencies. The most significant impact was from the non-economic translation of financial statements into U.S. dollars. The impact to Xylem's revenue was $14 million, and the impact to earnings was $3 million. Acquisitions and our restructuring and realignment activities tracked to expectations. During the quarter, we realized restructuring savings of $4 million, reflecting our 2012 actions and the initial savings from actions initiated in 2013. Lastly, our adjusted tax rate of 22% was in line with our previous guidance and expectations. As you can see from the bottom of the chart, our EPS shortfall was primarily driven by the volume miss of $0.05. In addition, price and foreign exchange were each $0.01 unfavorable during the quarter. Please turn to slide seven.
Xylem revenues were $960 million, down 1% from the prior year, driven by a 3% organic decline and partially offset by acquisitions. Let me provide some perspective on our revenue performance by end market and by region. First, in our largest end market, industrial, organic revenue was down 5%, with Europe and the U.S. down mid-single digits. Public utilities declined 6% year-over-year, primarily driven by slowing activity in Europe and emerging markets. CapEx spending was weak in both regions, but had a greater relative impact in emerging markets, where we have a modest installed base and rely on projects to drive our revenue. Globally, residential and commercial building services were up 6% and 1% respectively, primarily driven by improved market conditions. Lastly, ag was up 10%, driven by favorable weather conditions. Let me spend a few minutes on our overall geographic performance.
U.S. was up 2% on an organic basis, as I mentioned, better than our expectations. Europe and emerging markets were both down year-over-year in the range of 4%-5%. In Russia and China, we continued to generate double-digit growth. The decline in other emerging markets was driven by timing of project shipments and a decline in market demand. Our profitability was significantly impacted by the volume decline. Cost reduction actions drove 330 basis points of margin improvement. This includes restructuring savings of $4 million from the actions executed in 2012 and 2013. As previously mentioned, price pressure has unfavorably impacted our performance. As a result, price only drove 30 basis points of operating margin improvement, short of our previous expectations and indicative of the environment we expect to see over the balance of the year.
These benefits more than offset 250 basis points of inflation and partially mitigated the foreign exchange and acquisition impacts. Foreign exchange movements negatively impacted year-over-year operating margins by 90 basis points. Acquisitions were neutral to income but dilutive to margins in the amount of 30 basis points. Gross margin was 38.6%, and operating margin was 10.2% for the quarter. Gross margins were down 100 basis points, primarily driven by the volume decline and foreign exchange impacts. Operating margins were down 380 basis points as a result of lost volume leverage and our continued investment in strategic initiatives. Please turn to slide eight. This slide shows our EPS walk for the second quarter. We are reporting $0.36 of EPS, down $0.13 from the prior year. Core operations were down $0.11, driven primarily by volume decline and partially offset by a $0.02 benefit from restructuring savings.
Ongoing European realignment actions provided a $0.01 benefit to EPS, foreign exchange was unfavorable by $0.03. Now let me provide more details on each of our reporting segments. Please turn to slide nine. Water Infrastructure reported revenue of $596 million, down 2% over prior year on a constant currency basis, and down 6% organically. Acquisitions contributed four points to top-line growth. Transport declined 6%, primarily driven by weakness in Europe and decreased mining and public utility CapEx spend in Latin America and Asia Pacific. Treatment revenues declined 12%, with the majority of the decline occurring within Europe and the Middle East. As was the case in the first quarter, developed markets continue to see market softness, particularly in wastewater capital spending, driven by municipal funding constraints.
We anticipate that these regions will continue to lag in performance, at least until confidence is restored and project orders are released. Lastly, test revenues were down 2% as growth in Europe was offset by sequestration-related softness in our YSI business, which sells to government agencies and the academic market. Operating margin came in at 10.6%. This segment is our highest gross margin segment. The significant volume decline impacted operating margins by 480 basis points, given our direct selling overhead cost structure. Cost reduction activities yielded 350 basis points of margin improvement, largely offsetting inflation and investments. Foreign exchange volatility and its impact on margins were significant this quarter, totaling 160 basis points, while acquisitions reduced margins by 40 basis points. Let me now turn to slide 10 and talk through our Applied Water segment. Revenue was up 1%, both on a constant currency and organic basis.
Building services was up 3%, driven by the commercial and residential performance I covered earlier. Industrial water was down 2%. Soft market conditions in the U.S. and Europe resulted in organic declines of 6% and 4%, respectively, in this short cycle business. Lastly, irrigation was up 10%, with the U.S. up over 20% as weather conditions continue to drive strong demand. Operating margin was 13.4% as price increases and cost reduction initiatives more than offset inflation. Year-over-year margin was impacted by the favorable reduction of a contract loss accrual in 2012. Let me now turn to slide 11 and review our financial position. Free cash flow was slightly positive in the second quarter. Our performance is below our expectations, but reflective of the profitability in the quarter. As you will recall from last quarter, we had $11 million of Sandy relief deferred tax payments.
In addition, working capital was unfavorable for the quarter. As a percentage of revenue, working capital increased 120 basis points, driven by longer collection periods and higher inventory as we continue to deal with customers' expectations for short lead times and an increasingly competitive environment. Our available cash on hand was $360 million. Our net debt to net capital ratio remains at a healthy 29%. Our commercial paper and revolving credit facilities remain in place and continue to be unutilized. Please turn to slide number 12, and I'll cover our guidance revision in detail. As you can see on the upper left of the chart, for the full year 2013, we expect to generate revenues of approximately $3.7 billion, down $135 million before the unfavorable impact of foreign exchange translation.
To help illustrate this revision, we have summarized our end market expectations, which we highlighted when we set guidance earlier this year, our performance over the first half of the year, and our current outlook. As you can see, we've revised our outlook downward for both our two largest end markets, industrial and public utility. Industrial is now expected to be down mid-single digits for 2013. Through the first half of the year, industrial was down high single digits. While we saw sequential improvement during the first half, the performance was below expectations. In the U.S. and Europe, we believe the lack of corporate confidence to move forward with projects will significantly impact our performance in the second half of the year. While we still expect some modest sequential improvement, we're reflecting a slower recovery than originally anticipated.
With approximately 13% of our industrial end market exposure tied to global mining, we expect to face significant headwinds in the second half of 2013. For public utilities, we now expect full year revenue to be down mid-single digits. In the U.S., we've seen slightly better than expected results through the first six months and expect the positive trends to continue through the back half, resulting in a slightly positive organic growth for the full year. However, more than offsetting this favorable trend is the challenging market we face in Europe. Based on first half activity, including significant challenges in the treatment market and weakening customer confidence, we expect that Europe will be down high single digits. We have also lowered our expectations for the public utility end market in the Middle East region, reflecting project timing delays and uncertainty around when large projects will be released.
While we saw the commercial market down low single digits during the first half of 2013, we see the potential for improvement in the U.S. over the balance of the year. This expectation is based on market data, customer feedback, and our improved performance during the second quarter. We've seen favorable performance in our residential and agriculture markets, primarily driven by conditions in the U.S., which I covered earlier on the call. We have slightly increased our expectations in these markets, reflecting our first half performance, and expect continued favorable conditions over the balance of the year. Finally, foreign exchange translation is expected to be a headwind of $70 million to revenue and $0.09 to EPS relative to our previous guidance and is based on currency rates at the end of the second quarter.
With that said, you can see how the market dynamics I just described are driving what amounts to be a $0.30 reduction to our full year EPS projection. In summary, we now expect full year revenue of approximately $3.7 billion and EPS in the range of $1.40 to $1.50. Please turn to slide 13, and I'll provide some color specific to our second half planning assumptions. We are anticipating second half revenue of approximately $1.9 billion, driven by sequential improvements in the U.S. and emerging markets. We're monitoring Europe and have assumed the conditions will remain relatively consistent with what we've seen during the first half of the year, which represents a weaker outlook than originally anticipated. We're forecasting third quarter revenue to be down sequentially in the mid-single digits, consistent with our typical seasonality given the European vacation season. This reflects a low single-digit year-over-year decline.
We expect an increase in second half operating profit of over 25%, driven by the sequential uplift in volume, the incremental savings attributable to the 2013 restructuring actions underway, and the impact of recovery actions being taken to reduce costs. Based on rates at the end of June, we anticipate that foreign exchange will be a sequential headwind. Despite volume decline, we expect a modest sequential operating margin rate improvement in the third quarter, driven by the incremental restructuring and accelerated cost savings totaling $10 million. Please turn to slide 14. Let me highlight a few of the items I've not yet covered.
Our operating tax rate is expected to be 21% for the year, consistent with what we have previously guided, and is indicative of the progress against the realignment initiatives we initiated this year. We expect our share count to be approximately 186.4 million, and we now expect restructuring and realignment costs to be in the range of $60 million-$80 million, reflecting a $10 million increase in realignment costs. Consistent with our prior guidance, we expect 2013 restructuring costs in the range of $40 million-$50 million, which will generate 2013 net savings of $13 million-$15 million. With that, let me turn the call back over to Gretchen.
This is not easy news to deliver, and we're not pleased to deliver it. We know we must take tough decisions and accelerate our actions given the market conditions we face. Remember, we're seeing a number of positive signs across the business. Our order rates are improving. We have a good backlog. We are launching compelling new products. The commercial efforts we are making are all starting to yield positive results. Building the Xylem business is a journey. We're taking the necessary steps to position this great company to achieve higher performance in both the short and the long term. Operator, we're ready for questions now.
At this time, I would like to remind everyone, if you would like to ask a question, please press star, then the number one on your telephone keypad. Your first question comes from the line of Matt Summerville with KeyBank.
Morning. Couple questions. You mentioned heading into the second half of the year, you had about $960 million in backlog, 400 ships in 3Q, 200 in 4Q. In a more normal year, what would that dispersion look like? What I'm trying to get a sense of is how much more you still have to go out and get in a tough year like this relative to a normal year. Does that make sense?
Sure. Our backlog, when you look at it from a year-over-year perspective, we're up 7% year-over-year. We're going in with a good backlog, solid backlog. We still have work to do because we do have a short cycle business. I would say we feel good about the rate in terms of what we need to achieve, as well as the market conditions that we've looked at and adjusted based upon the first half of the year.
Matt, the other thing I'd add to that is when we look at that backlog shippable in the second half, we look at it as a percent of the revenue. If you look back at 2012 as an example, it represented about 30%. When you look at the backlog we're entering our second half, it's up at about 33%. It's a little bit higher. That's not surprising given the fact that we've seen a decline in the project business. That's a dynamic that we adjust for as we look at that. I'd say the dispersion between the two quarters is pretty typical with what we've seen barring the projects.
Based on what you're stepping up and doing from a cost standpoint now, and what you've previously disclosed, how much in incremental savings should we be thinking about for 2014, assuming you complete everything you've discussed?
Matt, we're working on that today. We're laying out those actions today. Most of the things that we're talking about are, it's $0.06 to the EPS. It's $15 million that's baked into our revised guidance. It's discretionary pullback, taking some costs that we need to out of the business. As we get a better projection of the 2014, we obviously will share that with you.
Thank you.
Your next question comes from the line of Deane Dray with Citi Research.
Hey, thanks. Good morning. I got a first question is for Mike. Take us through the free cash flow, because if I've done my math right, you've done a 2% free cash flow conversion so far year-to-date. How do you get to a 90% conversion in the second half if you're looking at longer collection periods, higher inventory and obviously higher working capital?
No, it's a good question, Deane. We've taken a hard look at this, and I think from a cash standpoint, the one thing you got to keep in perspective is the cash cost structure is a little bit different than the P&L structure. For example, we pay out bonuses at the beginning of the year, then you're earning yourself back as you go through the year. Adjusting for those types of items, that's why we revised our working capital projection down, which has had about a 5-point impact on our free cash flow conversion. When we look at the profitability and the contribution to cash, we get pretty comfortable as we look into the back half at the guidance levels we have. We've factored in the longer collection cycles, as well as the inventory levels that we've got on hand.
The thing you have to keep in mind is through at least that first half period, we're dealing with a little bit higher cash tax rate, given some of the deferrals we had from last year. Obviously to Gretchen's point, we're looking at investments in the second half, which, in terms of the free cash flow conversion, the one area that'll be impacted is our capital expenditures. We see that as being dialed way back from the guidance that we had originally given, where we talked about it being at about 3.5% of revenue. I'd look at that number as being closer to 3% or lower in the back half.
Okay. Maybe talk about how the quarter progressed, because you did say that June came in weaker, and that was expected to be seasonally strongest. The spirit of the question is, when you see the margin shortfall as severe as it did this quarter, I'd like to get a better sense of how proactively did you take out costs this quarter, and are you trying to manage to a decremental margin? Because it sounds though you're making some cost takeouts here, adding only about $10 million to the restructuring. I thought that maybe I would see more and maybe see more cost takeout within the quarter. Maybe just take us through how the quarter progressed and what cost actions you were taking during the quarter.
Yeah. Deane, let me address that. As we went through the quarter, as I mentioned, June is a big month for us and it's solid. We didn't see that fallout. We were working our restructuring actions, the $60 million-$70 million, that we had in our plan. If you remember, we had set our plan assuming we were going to be a flat growth rate, and we would size our cost base accordingly. We were focused on those areas, still advancing some of our investments around productivity, which was tied to repositioning ourselves in Europe, and also some new product launches. That didn't come through. This was our high growth margin business, and we saw a big drop to the bottom. Now, going forward, we are going to be resizing the business and taking steps. I've talked about what's embedded in the revised guidance.
There's more work we need to do, and we are looking at all opportunities to see how we can bring our cost base down. Our end markets are challenged right now. The underlying fundamentals of our market are going to have an overshadow of the economy, and we've got to make sure we've got cushion in our business to be able to still allow us to invest in the growth initiatives that we need, because this is a strong market in the long term. Right now, we need to be able to get our cost base further down. There will be more action. As I mentioned, we put in the $15 million in the revised guidance, actions we will be taking for the rest of the year. While we're seven months into the year, we've got five months yet.
Most of those will be savings that will probably play out into 2014 and beyond.
Deane, I think on the decremental question, roughly, we're managing to about a 50% decremental and there's a couple of dynamics that play in while we are taking the cost actions, which help us in the second half. One, we're dealing with a revenue decline in our highest margin business, where we have a higher cost structure that we're contending with. You've got very little erosion in gross margin, but you can see the impact at the op line, and that's really around that cost structure. The second dynamic we're contending with is much lower price realization. As you know, that drops at 100%. We're obviously not just accepting that and we're pushing the teams, but in light of the current environment, that certainly places additional pressure on that decremental margin.
At this point, it wants to be close to 60%, and we're fighting to get it down closer to about 50%.
Just one last question from me. If I heard it correctly, it sounded, Gretchen, like you still had some M&A lined up for the second half. Are you locked into these acquisitions? Are they the right ones to be doing at this time? I know there's a sense that you want to be playing offense here for the long run. How are you weighing that against some of the shorter-term challenges of getting the P&L in order?
Dean, it's a great question. Clearly, as I mentioned, we're dialing back a little from what we'd originally said. There are some key bolt-on strategies that we'd like to continue to progress, our number one priority is to make sure that we get the business in order, we get our performance higher, and making sure that we address taking the cost out that we need to position this company and moving it forward. There are some acquisitions that strategically are nicely positioned to help us ultimately grow. Again, that balanced equation is essential. Take the cost out, position us for cushion, then be able to invest in those strategic initiatives.
Great. Thank you.
Your next question comes from the line of Brian Konigsberg with Vertical Research.
Hi, good morning.
Morning.
Morning.
I just want to touch on the incrementals again, but more sequentially, meaning the second half of the year versus the first half of the year. You're looking at a $42 million increase at the midpoint on revenue between H1 and H2 and a $46 million increase in operating profit. It sounds like maybe $25, $26 million or so that is from incremental restructuring, but it still suggests a fairly significant incremental from the core business. I think there's some other items, but I was hoping if you could help bridge that gap for us.
Sure. Yeah, there's a little bit of noise in there. Let me give you a few of the pieces that I think will help provide that. If you look at our core volume, organically, we're up about $67 million versus the first half. Foreign exchange is about a $34 million headwind in the second half, and then we've got an additional $10 million of acquisitions. You have to remember, the acquisitions are not contributing at a high drop rate at this point in time, and foreign exchange obviously has its set of impacts. When you look at the core volume increase, less the savings from restructuring, we're looking at about a 50% incremental drop rate, which given where we're at and the business specifically around Water Infrastructure, where we see that sequential improvement, we'd expect to see that drop rate.
The drop rate gets enhanced by the incremental $12 million worth of restructuring benefit that we pick up in the back half. In my prepared comments, I talked about our restructuring in the second quarter was at $4 million. Three of that came from the actions we initiated in 2012. One of that came from the actions we started earlier this year. We pick up incrementally in the back half, another $12 million of restructuring benefit.
The core business dropping at 50%, have you ever had that type of experience before? Why does that change now?
Well, there's a couple things. I think when you look at the Water Infrastructure business, one, we're going to be levering off that cost base. Two, when you look at the mix that we're anticipating in the second half, specifically on the industrial market as it relates to dewatering, even though we're down on a year-over-year basis, the trends we've seen in terms of some of the fracking that's driving increased volume to support the rig count increase, that activity comes at a very high drop rate, and it's helping us from a mix perspective.
Okay. Just moving on to the comments about municipal trends. I think, Gretchen, you said you anticipate the spending to remain weak into 2014. The orders in the quarter actually maybe showed a little bit of an improvement. Maybe can you just elaborate on that comment? Is this just a small aberration in orders that you see in the quarter and you anticipate that to drop off again? Maybe give us some color on that market, it'd be helpful.
Yes. If I step back and I just look at some of the market dynamics that are going on. First of all, in the U.S., you have wastewater spending, which is down substantially, and that doesn't look like it's changing anytime soon. We all understand the need of water and the demand that is pending up, and we're seeing that in terms of the bid activity. There's a lot of work in terms of bidding. The confidence level to actually make that bidding into an order is just not happening. It's not converting. We anticipate going forward in 2014, right now, nothing that indicates a significant change there. If there's public-private partnership, that may move that more aggressively.
When I look at the general dynamics in the market, not only in the U.S., but even globally, the confidence level and the funding streams haven't changed. When you think about 2014, you need to start getting those orders now versus next year because they typically are 12-18-month type of orders.
Brian, I guess what I'd add to that is when you look at the 1% order increase that we had in the quarter, a significant portion of that was driven by Applied Water. The Water Infrastructure business was up about 0.6%. When you look at that business on a year-to-date basis, because it was down close to 10% in the first quarter, orders are down about 5%. Back to Gretchen's point, the order funnel really hasn't filled at the level that would support significant growth in 2014.
Thank you very much. I'll get back to you.
Yep.
Your next question comes from the line of Chip Moore with Canaccord.
Thanks. Can you talk a little bit about signs of bottoming you're seeing to support the outlook in the back half? It sounds like you're not factoring further deterioration in Europe. Mining's obviously been quite challenged. Can you just sort of walk us through what you're seeing in some of those markets?
Yeah. Mining, as you mentioned, is challenged globally. We've clearly seen the mining industry being challenged, and that hit us as we talked about in terms of the emerging markets. Let me talk about it a little bit from the regional perspective. In the U.S., we're seeing positive signs, but the industrial market still has not had the confidence level to give us the confidence it's going to pick up in the second half of the year. In Europe, we're still seeing Europe down. We saw substantially a decline in Southern Europe more than we anticipated. While we thought it was down substantially, we didn't think it could go down much further, and we've seen that continue. In the Nordics, still positive growth there, but not enough to offset what we're seeing in Europe.
Where we're seeing Europe as well is in the public utilities and the industrial markets, we anticipate will be weaker as we go into the second half of the year. Emerging markets, China and Russia were doing extremely well, double-digit growth in both of those regions. With the global economy pulling back and confidence level still being questioned around the growth in China, that has had impact in the mining industry in our emerging markets globally, specifically the Middle East and Australia, when I look at the Asia Pacific region.
Okay. I guess as you look out, if you couple sort of visibility staying challenged in 2014, it sounds like with dialing back the M&A a little bit, maybe you can talk about some of those longer-term assumptions, how we should think about those. Thanks.
Yeah. I think I would say a couple of things is, what we think is the market's pulling back some. We're still feeling confident about the product launches that we are launching this year and into next year. I feel good about some signs of the market picking up. We're seeing residential, commercial picking up. What we want to do in terms of, given the overhang that we've got in some of our markets being industrial and public utility, still stay strong with our customers, work with them as they're challenged in terms of their funding with services and aftermarket, but we're going to have to adjust ourselves to pull our cost base down. We're still committed in terms of our long-term in our business.
We're taking the right short-term actions to position the cost base, still being able to position ourselves with the growth initiatives to hold onto our long-term objective.
Your next question comes from the line of David Rose with Wedbush Securities.
Good morning. I may have missed it, but would you please quantify the impact you think the decline in the dewatering business had on margins and revenues as well?
Yes. Dewatering globally has been significantly impacted in the industrial market and very specifically, in the U.S., we've seen some decline there, about $4 million in the U.S., in Europe, $7 million, and in Latin America, about another $1 million. It's down over $10 million in terms of dewatering.
Okay.
Let me just talk a little bit about our dewatering strategy. That is not just our Godwin business, but it is our Flygt business that supports some of the mining industry. It's a combination of the two.
Okay. I'm sorry, I wasn't clear. What's the operating impact on the business?
Well, David, it's a hydro-operated business. The majority of where we've seen the pullback is around the rental market, and as you know, that's a high margin business, and that's played into, frankly, where we're dialing back from a capital expenditure standpoint as we size that fleet accordingly. We don't typically get into the specific breakouts, but there is, obviously within the Water Infrastructure business, dewatering being a relatively large component of that, an impact from that pullback in the rental revenue.
Okay. Lastly, I think when we last spoke, your sense was that your assumptions basically would hold, this is back in June, provided that you didn't see deterioration in Europe. Most indications is Europe is not deteriorating. Is there some element in your business that you see different than your competitors, where you're more vulnerable than your competitors?
Yeah. David, it's a great question. It's obviously something we sit back and we looked at the data and analyzed it. I still feel very confident about the issue that we're facing is the market dynamics, and it's the underlying market overhang that we're seeing, specifically in the public utility, very specifically around CapEx, also the pullback very specifically in the mining and the industrial market, just the confidence of not being able to go spend. When I look at our win-loss data, we look at data in the industry trade. Our share, we think we're holding our share. We feel very good about where we're going. Now, of course, what's important to that is to make sure we continue to launch new products and we stay close to our customers. I do not believe this is a share issue. It's a market dynamic.
David, I guess I'd point out a couple of things. If you look at our peers, specifically around the wastewater side of our pumping business, where we're down about 6% in the public utilities, I think you'll see pretty similar characteristics in those results. On the commercial and resi side, where we're up 9% and 18% respectively, that's very strong relative to the peer group, although it's a small part of our business. Those two components make up just under 20% of our revenue.
Okay, lastly, general commentary was MRO is up. Is that the same for you or not?
Our repair and overhaul or our service revenue was up in the quarter. When you exclude the effect of our PIMS acquisition, we were up just over 1%. That's pretty consistent with what we've seen coming out of the operational side of the public utilities and even the industrial market where folks are still continuing to spend on repairing and maintaining the existing equipment.
Okay, great. Thank you very much.
Yeah.
Thanks.
Your next question comes from the line of Ryan Connors with Janney Montgomery.
Thanks. Good morning.
Morning.
I had a question on, I wanted to continue on this topic of kind of competitive dynamics, and specifically, Mike, you mentioned price and the fact that I think you mentioned you're pushing the team to try to maintain that and so forth. Can you just give us a little more color around that side of things, how the market weakness that you're seeing is impacting your strategic pricing initiative and then just broadly price across the market? Relatedly, I'll throw my follow on here. Relatedly, do you believe industry capacity overall is where it needs to be or are we at risk here of somewhat of an overcapacity situation and impact on price there if in fact the end market weakness persists? Thank you.
Yeah. Ryan, let me talk about pricing. The pricing dynamics that we're really seeing is in the industrial and public utility markets. That's the markets that we've seen down, and also across the board. It is a competitive market. The market is slow, and so everyone is going after competitively to win the bids that are out there. Now, we have got a good process in place, and we've been driving price, and have seen up and through last year, a positive price value gap. We want to continue to drive that, but we also do not want to lose share in our core positions. That's what we've done, is we've pulled back to make sure that we can get the position that we need. I'd say beyond just a price perspective, though, our commercial excellence initiatives that we've been driving, drive more than just price.
It's about talking to our customers about our value proposition around really thinking about our key accounts and making sure that we're driving our growth with those accounts. I feel good about our strategy, and we are continuing to strive for profitable growth. That is key to us, but we will make sure that we don't lose share in the marketplace.
Ryan, I made a comment in my prepared remarks in terms of. We saw about 30 basis points of favorable margin impact in the second quarter, which was down pretty significantly from what we had in the first. We think that's indicative of where we'll be for the balance of the year. We were anticipating, when we originally gave guidance, that we'd be around 1% pricing. We now see the effect of revenue as about 40 basis points of positive pricing, and that flows through to margin with about 30 basis points. Pretty similar to what you saw in the second quarter, holding for the balance of the year.
Okay. On the issue of capacity, do you believe that from an industry perspective, the situation is significant enough in terms of end market weakness that needs to be a curtailment of capacity industry-wide? If so, is that happening or is that not the right way to frame it?
Well, I'd say from this perspective, the capacity issue, when you look at where our equipment, our technology is positioned in the marketplace, as long as the factories are up and running and so forth, our equipment is being utilized. I would say, in the mines, they're not opening the mines. That industry has pulled back, but still we've got a good position in the marketplace. As I mentioned earlier, though, some of the dynamics in the marketplace in terms of inventory in the market, it's not there. It's pulled back. If there's a growth cycle, that may be an opportunity for us in terms of quick turnaround. Right now, I don't think capacity is a big driver for us.
Ryan, I think we look at it in short and long-term views. I think in the short term, we all know the distribution channel has pretty well destocked to a level that when growth is restored, we think that'll obviously serve as an opportunity. I think so as we look over the longer term, we don't see that as being a capacity issue.
Great. Well, thanks for the help.
Your next question comes from the line of Grant Saligman with D.A. Davidson.
Hi, good morning.
Good morning.
You talked about pressure from sequestration on the test category, which I know provides some nice margins for you guys. About what % of that business is impacted by those sorts of issues?
Yeah. If you take our analytics business, it's really the YSI business here in the U.S. They typically do work with the USGS and, of course, with some universities, and that typically gets their funding coming from the government. It's probably 40% of that business, roughly. The one thing I would say is while sequestration is having an impact, there's not been significant reductions in terms of budget, but the pullback of funding and the confidence to go ahead with certain projects is clearly stalled in the market. We're watching that closely. We feel pretty confident about our position and our relationships with those end customers, our hope is that we'll get released over time.
I think it's also important to point out is, as we did in our remarks, that Europe was up about 5%, which is strong performance in light of the current environment.
Yeah, I'd even say, even in the U.S., in our wastewater analytics business, we saw positive signs as well.
Sure. On the commercial side of things, looks like you saw some gains there. I know it's smaller, but any sense how much of that is market growth this quarter versus sort of market share gains or any repositioning you've done with that business?
I would say it's a little bit of both. We have spent some time investing in new product launches, the team has done a great job in getting out, being able to show the value proposition. As a lot of company or businesses are upgrading their commercial buildings, our new products are nicely positioned to do retrofits and so forth. I think it's a combination of growing with the market as well as taking some share.
Okay. Thank you.
Your next question comes from the line of Michael Gaugler with Brean Capital.
Hey, everyone.
Hi.
Hello.
You had mentioned in earlier prepared remarks, Europe municipals and industrials as weak end markets. As you look to future acquisitions, are you looking to exclude these areas and end markets?
Let me address it. In general, that's a tough question to answer. I prefer an acquisition that's going to give us a nice position to the emerging markets, which are the growing markets. Depending upon the technology and how that complements our position and being able to serve our customers more effectively, you've got to look at the technology and potentially the channel to the market as we go forward. It's more of a strategic direction.
Okay. My apologies if you've covered this previously. In your Infrastructure segment, how's your after-sale service business performing, and what percentage of the sales mix is it now?
Yeah. Right now, in the second quarter, our aftermarket for Water Infrastructure was up about 8%, but that includes the effects of the PIMS acquisition. We're up about 2% organically. That constitutes just under about 20% of our revenue coming out of that segment.
Okay. That's all I had. Thank you.
Thank you very much.
Okay. Thank you.
There appear to be no further questions at this time. I'd now like to turn the floor back over to Gretchen McClain for any closing remarks.
Well, let me just summarize with, as we reported today, we are not happy with our performance. We know we have work to do. Our markets are challenged. We do have some very positive signs that are taking place on the business, and we're going to continue to push forward with our new products. We're going to make sure that we're staying close with our customers and make sure that we're driving the top line. At the same time, we're going to make sure that we're positioning this company with cushion for some challenging markets that we know are still there. We are focused on our long-term objectives and making sure that we're putting the actions in place that we can assure the long term still plays out.
This is a strong market, the macro conditions are still there, and we have the right technologies and the right talent to be able to lead the market. Thank you.