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Earnings Call: Q3 2021

Nov 10, 2021

Operator

Good afternoon. My name is Josh, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the ZipRecruiter, Inc. Third Quarter 2021 earnings call. I would like to hand the call over to Tim Yarbrough, Chief Business Officer. Please go ahead.

Tim Yarbrough
Chief Business Officer, ZipRecruiter

Thank you, operator, and good afternoon. Thank you for joining us in our earnings conference call, during which we will discuss ZipRecruiter's performance for the quarter ended September 30th, 2021, and guidance for the fourth quarter and full year for 2021. Joining me on the call today are Ian Siegel, Co-founder and CEO, and David Travers, CFO. Before we begin, please be reminded that forward-looking statements made today are subject to risks and uncertainties relating to future events and/or the future financial performance of ZipRecruiter. Actual results could differ materially from those anticipated in these forward-looking statements.

A discussion of some of the risk factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from any forward-looking statements can be found in ZipRecruiter's public registration statement on Form S-1, filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission on April 30th, 2021, and in our quarterly report on Form 10-Q for the three and nine months ended September 30th, 2021. Both of these are available on our investor website and the SEC's website.

The forward-looking statements in this conference call are based on the current expectations as of today, and ZipRecruiter assumes no obligation to update or revise them, whether as a result of new developments or otherwise. In addition, during today's call, we will discuss non-GAAP financial measures. These non-GAAP financial measures should be considered in addition to, not as a substitute for or an isolation from GAAP results.

Reconciliations of the non-GAAP metrics to the nearest GAAP metric are included in ZipRecruiter's shareholder letter and in our Form 10-Q. Now I will turn the call over to Ian.

Ian Siegel
Co-founder and CEO, ZipRecruiter

Thank you, Tim, and good afternoon to everyone joining us today. At $212.7 million in revenue, the third quarter was another record for ZipRecruiter. We're happy to deliver both top line and bottom line results above the guidance provided in our last call. In a few minutes, David will walk you through these numbers and our increased expectations for the rest of the year. We find ourselves in a unique economic environment. In the Great Recession of 2008, for example, the labor force contracted by around 1 million workers, and retail sales fell by about $40 billion. It took over three years for retail sales to recover. The COVID pandemic has been a different type of recession.

More than a year in, the labor force is still smaller by 3 million workers, yet retail sales are now $90 billion higher than they were before the crisis, having recovered after only 4 months. As a result, employer demand for workers is immense. There are about 50% more job openings now than there were before the pandemic. However, millions of job seekers still have not come back to work. Further, we've seen record high numbers of workers voluntarily quitting their jobs each month. Finding new workers is critical for businesses to fill orders on time, expand production, and grow. Businesses know that success depends on their ability to win the war for talent. ZipRecruiter is laser-focused on using smart software to help these employers of all sizes find great match candidates for their growing list of roles.

We believe we are uniquely positioned for long-term success during these extraordinary times and beyond. Over the course of the quarter, we made significant progress against the three pillars of our marketplace strategy, increasing the number of employers, increasing the number of job seekers, and making our matching technology smarter over time. I'll highlight just a few achievements here, but encourage you to read more in our shareholder letter available on our investor relations website. First, one of the major frustrations job seekers face is a lack of control in the job search process. Our technology has long been delivering curated jobs to job seekers. In Q3 of 2021, we enhanced a new experience, allowing job seekers to see why they're receiving specific job recommendations.

This additional context leads to an increase in job seeker engagement, which in turn delivers more data with which we can better train our matching algorithms. These contextual recommendations help bring transparency and put control back in the hands of the job seekers, providing them a richer, more interactive experience. We also expanded our national TV advertising campaign to job seekers, adding two additional spots.

These spots focus on the difficulties inherent in the job search and how ZipRecruiter helps make the process less stressful. After over a decade of investment in marketing to employers, we're eager to build the same level of brand awareness with job seekers. We're proud of how our creative captures the value we provide to job seekers. Please take a look for yourselves on our YouTube page. Last week, we announced an integration with Worthi by Citi.

Worthi's website allows job seekers to understand and acquire the skills needed to transition into a new industry. Through an integration with ZipRecruiter, it's even easier for job seekers to find opportunities matching their skills and to be found. Our own employees continue to thrive despite the ongoing challenges posed by the pandemic. This past quarter, we launched a new employee resource group named Queers Uniting Individuals of ZipRecruiter, or QUIZ. We now have six ERGs available for our employees. These ERGs are delivering more than just a culture of acceptance and sharing internally. Our Women in Leadership ERG organized a talent drive that successfully sourced dozens of diverse female candidates for jobs in our company.

It's groups like these and investments in our people that have resulted in two new awards from Comparably: Best Company for Happiness and Best Company for Work-Life Balance. I'm excited about how ZipRecruiter is performing during such a unique time for our country. We remain wholly focused on our mission to actively connect people to their next great opportunity. Now I'll turn it over to our Chief Financial Officer, David Travers, to talk through the third quarter results as well as fourth quarter guidance and our increased revenue and Adjusted EBITDA expectations for the full 2021 year. David?

David Travers
CFO, ZipRecruiter

Thank you, Ian, and good afternoon, everyone. Building on the momentum of Q2, our third quarter revenue of $212.7 million represented another record quarter, significantly exceeding our guidance. This represents 107% growth year-over-year and 16% growth over the second quarter of 2021. Following up on our record-shattering 48% sequential growth in quarterly paid employers in the second quarter, quarterly paid employers were flat in Q3. Revenue per paid employer increased by 16% sequentially during the quarter, reflecting our ability to expand our relationships with paid employers as they participate in our marketplace over time. GAAP net income was $22.1 million in the third quarter of 2021, compared to net income of $23.1 million in the prior year.

Adjusted EBITDA was $42.5 million with a 20% margin, compared to $26.7 million in adjusted EBITDA or a 26% margin in the prior year. The increase in revenue was offset by employee-driven expenses as well as an increase in our sales and marketing activities. We believe year-over-year trends are more instructive than sequential comparisons since Q2 2021 included $31.9 million in non-recurring direct listing costs, as well as $41.7 million in stock-based compensation expense for a large number of historical RSUs that vested in the quarter, all timed with our direct listing. After closing out another record quarter, we're pleased to increase our guidance for the fourth quarter and the full year of 2021.

We expect $206 million of revenue in Q4 of 2021 at the midpoint, which translates to 80% year-over-year growth. Our Q4 2021 guidance translates to a midpoint of $727 million for the full year, up from the $658 million shared last quarter. This increased 2021 revenue guidance equates to 74% growth over 2020 at the midpoint. While the hiring environment remained strong throughout the third quarter, our fourth quarter guidance foreshadows a gradual return to a more traditional macroeconomic pattern. Additionally, Q4 has historically been seasonally slower as businesses slow down hiring activity leading up to and through the holidays. While the economic recovery overshadowed typical seasonality last year, this is a seasonal trend we have consistently seen prior to the pandemic.

We expect Adjusted EBITDA in the fourth quarter of $35 million at the midpoint and $96 million at the midpoint for the full year. This is a $62 million increase from full year guidance provided last quarter and equates to an Adjusted EBITDA margin of 13%. As hiring activity slows, we expect to reduce our sales and marketing activities in Q4 as compared to Q3. However, our revised guidance does imply an overall increase in operating expenses when compared to previous guidance, driven by a larger investment in sales and marketing expenses in the early part of the quarter before the holiday slowdown.

As exciting as these financial results and our raised guidance are, we're even more motivated by the millions of job seekers who we've helped find work by using ZipRecruiter and the employers who, as a result, have found a great new hire.

During this singular moment in economic history, we believe our work is more important than ever. With that, we can now open the line for questions. Operator?

Operator

At this time, if you would like to ask a question, please press star followed by the number one on your telephone keypad. Your first question comes from Ralph Schackart with William Blair. Please go ahead.

Ralph Schackart
Equity Research Analyst, William Blair

Good afternoon, and thanks for taking the question. First, just on monetization, it was exceptionally strong in the third quarter, even though you're onboarding, you know, record levels of paid employers. I think historically when you've onboarded new employers that come in at sort of lower tiers, and it's taken a while to sort of increase that revenue per paid employer. I guess my first question is, you know, how are you able to sort of achieve these high levels of revenue paid per employer when you have these record levels of employers added?

David Travers
CFO, ZipRecruiter

Sure. Thanks, Ralph. Good question. Yes, you're exactly right about that historical pattern. I would say a couple things allowed us to have the exceptionally strong average revenue. One is, obviously, in the current environment, employer willingness to pay has proven to be robust. Secondly, that the cohorts that were also very large in the first couple quarters of the year. Those oversized cohorts are also going through the natural process of getting comfortable with paying us more as they get to know us better and realizing the value from ZipRecruiter. We got great strength from those cohorts who are performing exceptionally well.

Ian Siegel
Co-founder and CEO, ZipRecruiter

I'd add to that. We have older, or I should say the last two quarters worth of cohorts maturing, as is the normal pattern. Also on our site, it's very much like an auction-based marketplace where you can pay more to get more, and there's a variety of upsells that employers can opt into. In this intensely competitive environment, certainly there was a lot of self-selection and willingness to pay among employers who are willing to spend up because they were getting results and they wanted more results.

Ralph Schackart
Equity Research Analyst, William Blair

Okay, that makes sense. Maybe a follow-up to that is, I think David talked about it on the call and the letter called it out as well about a return to more sort of, I guess, more normalized macroeconomic trends. Is that something you're seeing in the quarter or is that just maybe conservatism, anticipating, you know, an eventual, sort of return to that type of environment?

David Travers
CFO, ZipRecruiter

Yeah, very good question. So we did, although we did experience more robust results than we expected last quarter, we do see signs of that even at the end of last quarter that we still believe we're on this glide path back to normal. So that is not just speculation, but the shape of that has been uneven as the overperformance in the quarter versus our expectations indicates. You know, we certainly feel we're still in this period of uncertainty where we've never been in these waters before, so to speak. We're certainly slightly on the margin more cautious about how we approach that. We do certainly, it's not just speculation.

We do see signs we're headed back toward a more normalized environment, and embedded in our guidance is the assumption that, you know, next year we will be back in some sort of new normal that looks more like the pre-COVID period.

Ralph Schackart
Equity Research Analyst, William Blair

Okay. Thanks, Ian. Thanks, David.

Operator

Your next question comes from Doug Anmuth with JP Morgan. Please go ahead.

Doug Anmuth
Managing Director and Internet Analyst, JPMorgan

Hi, this is Doug Anmuth. Thanks for taking the questions. First of all, going back to your quarterly paid employers remaining at an all-time high levels, I'm curious if this was something that you were expecting early in Q3, and if you can provide more color on what were some key drivers of that metric staying at this level and how we should think about that going forward. Related to that, you mentioned in your letter about 30% increase in sales and marketing headcount over the last two quarters. Could you talk about which parts of your sales and marketing organization received this investment then, any color on the types of returns that you're expecting from them?

Ian Siegel
Co-founder and CEO, ZipRecruiter

Well, we have developed over time a sophisticated and tunable sales and marketing operation that we can adjust based on what we're experiencing in the market. The strength of the return on our investment led us to continue increasing that investment, and that's part of the reason why we overperformed on quarterly paid employers. It's also, I believe, persistent optimization in the strategies we use to bring employers in. Let's not forget that it wasn't just new customers coming in that created that number. It was also the reactivation of previous customers who were satisfied with the result they got the first time and were coming back to use again. We saw health effectively across the platform in every class and category of both new customer and returning customer on the platform.

David Travers
CFO, ZipRecruiter

Yeah. To add on that, the quarterly paid employers, exactly right. We were very pleased with the results given how much they'd grown the quarter before to stay flat this quarter. To your question about going forward, obviously, we don't provide guidance on quarterly paid employers. However, looking back for historical analogs, we did not experience normal seasonality in Q4 of 2020, but in prior years, including 2019 and 2018 and others before then, we did experience Q4 seasonality, where especially in the latter half of the quarter, there's a contraction, you know, somewhere in the high single-digit percentage quarter-over-quarter contraction in quarterly paid employers overall in Q4 versus Q3. We do expect that we will see more normal seasonality given historical patterns this quarter.

If we're correct, despite our uncertainty around the macroeconomic environment, that we're also on a glide path back to normal, we could even see that be slightly higher than normal because of seasonality plus the glide path back to normal. You know, slightly higher than high single digit, quarter-over-quarter percentage contraction of quarterly paid employers. On the other side of the ledger, what happens then is that contraction in quarterly paid employers, if that were to happen and as happened in previous Q4s, the contraction comes from a lack of brand new paid employers, which to our previous comments, are the ones that pay us the least. So on a weighted average basis, sort of mathematically and mechanically, the average revenue per paid employer will come up.

We feel that is, you know, a trend that it's coming up over time very consistently as we've discussed many times before, but that will bump it up a little bit even more to largely offset the impact of the contraction in quarterly paid employers, if that's what happens like it's happened in other Q4s.

Doug Anmuth
Managing Director and Internet Analyst, JPMorgan

All right. Thank you both.

Operator

As a reminder, if you would like to ask a question at this time, please press star followed by the number one on your telephone keypad. Your next question comes from Trevor Young with Barclays. Please go ahead.

Trevor Young
Director and Internet Equity Research Analyst, Barclays

Great. Thanks. Just back to the sales headcount ramp. How long does it typically take those hires to be like full productivity? Is it like 6-9 months, or are they, you know, already kind of hitting their stride now? Just trying to understand like the implications of the hiring now versus, you know, 4Q and 1Q growth. Then also any update on backfilling the COO role. Thanks.

David Travers
CFO, ZipRecruiter

Yeah. Take the second one first. We were very pleased to announce a couple weeks ago that Qasim Saifee, who was our Chief Marketing Officer, has been elevated to Chief Operating Officer. You can read a little bit more about Qasim in our shareholder letter this quarter, and we look forward to you getting to meet with him and hear from him. But he's been with us for quite some time and is really a spectacular leader on our team and has been. Back to your sales ramp question. It really depends a little bit between the type of salesperson. It's a handful of months for SMB-oriented inside salespeople, broadly speaking, and it's a handful of quarters for enterprise salespeople.

We're growing and have been growing both teams, and are very pleased with the high bar we've been using to grow those teams, even though we've been growing quickly. Obviously, it's very helpful when you're growing your team to have a secret weapon, which is we eat our own dog food. We use ZipRecruiter, and it's working. We expect we will continue to see a high return on investment from that headcount. We're constantly looking for opportunities to continue to invest there.

Trevor Young
Director and Internet Equity Research Analyst, Barclays

Great. Thank you.

Operator

Your last question comes from Aaron Kessler with Raymond James. Please go ahead.

Aaron Kessler
Managing Director and Internet Analyst, Raymond James

Great. Thanks. A couple questions. Maybe if you can, discuss a little bit maybe your competitive market share, kind of how you think you're doing this year relative to some of the key players that you see. Second, just maybe the impact of the unemployment insurance running off kind of at the end of August, kind of what impact is that having on the kind of company's ability to hire right now as well? Thank you.

Ian Siegel
Co-founder and CEO, ZipRecruiter

Yeah. Well, let's take the market share question first. I mean, as evidenced by the results we posted in Q3, I think we feel really good about how we're performing relative to the competition right now. I would just like to reiterate something that we said during the original roadshow back when we first went public, which is if you look at the total recruiting category, it's over $200 billion in TAM. If you take the three largest players in it who represent the bulk of what happens online, what you find is that online is still a diminutive percentage of that total $200 billion.

We don't really look at our competition as the other online players as much as we look at the opportunity of moving and taking a larger share of sort of the offline recruiting world and getting paid for the tools that we deliver to those who provide those services in the offline world. Then going to the second question, which was the impact of unemployment benefits running out, there was also the mortgage forgiveness programs. There was the waiting for the vaccination to be widely available and distributed for schools to reopen. We have watched every one of these developments closely and monitored to see whether or not they'd lead to an uptick in job seeker activity.

I think what we're starting to accept is that there has been a fundamental change in what the job seekers are looking for from work, and that's evidenced not just by the reluctance of the unemployed to resume searching for work, but also the Great Resignation, where people who were currently employed, who now feel safe, are now leaving their jobs at record levels. You're seeing an employer reaction to that that is predictable with a record increase in wages, a record number of jobs that offer benefits, flexible schedules, and/or even remote work. It seems like the job market is still in a state of flux as it reacts in response to what happened during COVID, and it's yet to settle down and play itself out.

As of yet, job seekers remain searching in a very different pattern and looking for very different types of work than they were in a pre-COVID period.

Aaron Kessler
Managing Director and Internet Analyst, Raymond James

Great. Thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from Mark Mahaney with Evercore ISI. Please go ahead.

Mark Mahaney
Senior Managing Director and Head of Internet Research, Evercore ISI

I just want to follow up on that last question. I want to stay macro. I'm overstating the case, but it does seem like it's an employee's market, a job seeker's market. You know, hopefully, you know, higher wages, more benefits. For your business model, like, is there a Goldilocks marketing environment? You've been running this business for multiple years now in a couple of different market environments. Is there one market environment that's better for yours when it's a job seeker's or if it's an employer's market or somewhere in the middle? Just comment about, you know, that macro environment that you painted, is that on the margin neutral, positive, negative for ZipRecruiter?

Ian Siegel
Co-founder and CEO, ZipRecruiter

When the business started more than 10 years ago, unemployment was close to 10%, and today unemployment is closer to 4%. In both of those different realities, the business did one thing, which is grow. I think a big part of the reason why that happens is because we're so focused on improving the process, really from both sides of the marketplace's perspective, both for employers and for job seekers, that, it doesn't matter what the market conditions are. What is truly always gonna be a ubiquitous need is employers finding talent and job seekers finding work. As long as our product keeps getting better and the time to hire keeps coming down, we just have a lot of confidence that by building the best solution on the market, we're gonna be okay.

Mark Mahaney
Senior Managing Director and Head of Internet Research, Evercore ISI

Okay, Ian. Thanks a lot. Makes sense.

Operator

There are no further questions. This does conclude today's conference call. Thank you for your participation, and you may now disconnect.

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