Futura Medical plc (AIM:FUM)
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Earnings Call: H1 2024

Sep 10, 2024

Operator

Morning, and welcome to the Futura Medical PLC Interim Results Investor Presentation. Throughout the quarter presentation, investors will be in listen-only mode. Questions are encouraged and can be submitted at any time by the Q&A tab situated in the right corner of your screen. Simply type in your questions and press Send. The company may not be in a position to answer every question it receives during the meeting itself, however, the company can review all the questions submitted today and publish responses where it's appropriate to do so. Before we begin, I'd like to submit the following poll. I'd now like to hand you to James Barder, CEO. Good morning to you, sir.

James Barder
CEO, Futura Medical

Good morning, everyone, and welcome to Futura Medical's interim results presentation for the period ending 30 june, 2024 . I am James Barder, CEO of Futura, and I'm joined today by Angela Hildreth, Futura's Finance Director and COO, and also Ken James, Executive Director and Futura's head of R&D. Futura specializes in the development and commercialization of innovative sexual healthcare products across the board. Our lead product is Eroxon, a clinically proven breakthrough treatment for erectile dysfunction. Our key area of expertise is in topically delivered gel formulation. Next slide.

Ken James
Executive Director and Head of R&D, Futura Medical

Hi, everyone, this is Ken James. Having worked my career in consumer healthcare, I can say that it is rare to have a product such as Eroxon, which is truly unique as it is a breakthrough, safe, and effective treatment for erectile dysfunction. Why is it a breakthrough? Because of its excellent safety profile, it's available without a doctor's prescription or pharmacy consultation. This is in contrast to the oral medications known as PDE5 inhibitors, such as Viagra and Cialis, which are only available on prescription in most markets or behind the counter in the U.K. Secondly, we have a fast onset of action, with 63% of men getting an erection within 10 minutes. Again, a key point of difference between Eroxon and the oral medications, which generally take 30 to 60 minutes to work.

This means that Eroxon can be used for more spontaneous sex rather than having to wait. Thirdly, Eroxon is clinically proven in two pivotal clinical studies to be effective in mild, moderate, and severe ED in over 60% of users. And last, but certainly not least, in the dominant U.S. market, Eroxon is the first FDA-authorized ED treatment available over the counter, and we'll talk about this huge commercial opportunity later. Next slide. Let's look at the market potential for ED, which currently has a total prescription and OTC market size of $3.5 billion. As men grow older, it's a sad fact of life that things don't quite work as well, including blood flow around the body. Sometimes this can lead to heart disease and also with weight gain, type two diabetes.

But as an early symptom, poor blood flow, you experience ED, with 50% of men over 40 experiencing the problem. But also, ED is now occurring in younger men, with 14% of men between 18 and 31 experiencing the problem, often psychological as a result of performance anxiety. And this proportion in younger men seems to be growing. Also, largely as a result of the embarrassment factor, around 50% of men do not go to the doctor to seek treatment. So when you add it all up, there's huge potential for an easily accessed, safe, effective, and fast-acting treatment sold in supermarkets, pharmacies or online. I'll now hand you back to James Barder.

James Barder
CEO, Futura Medical

At the time of the 2023 year-end results in April, I said that following the significant progress we had made last year, that 2024 was all about execution, and I'm really delighted to say we have made excellent progress in this regard. Eroxon is now on sale both online and in retail pharmacies in over 10 countries, with further launches already underway in the second half of 2024. This includes key markets such as France, Spain, and Italy, as well as smaller markets such as Norway and Netherlands. Moreover, in the past month, we've made our first Latin American launch in Mexico, and of course, the recently announced commencement of the major U.S. launch, as well as others planned for 2024 and beyond.

There have now been over four independent consumer studies completed by our distribution partners, which have consistently confirmed the efficacy results we've previously seen in our phase three trials of greater than 60% efficacy. We are also beginning to see repurchase rate trends in the U.K., which we estimate between 15% and 20% currently. This is slightly lower than we had hoped, but we believe it is because the product positioning is yet to be fully optimized towards the key target audience, which we now believe is men up to 60 years old. I want to stress this is normal with any new product launch, especially with a new product category, with the real-world data post-launch being used to refine ongoing marketing and product positioning to optimize advertising spend as well as sales.

Angela will talk more in a minute about our results and financial position, but I'm delighted that we've announced this morning our first profit over GBP 1 million, actually GBP 2.3 million, if you exclude non-cash payments, and a significant rise in our revenue to GBP 7 million for the first six months of the year. This is a major achievement for a company that, until 2023, had never shown any material revenue, let alone a profit. Next slide.

Angela Hildreth
Finance Director and COO, Futura Medical

Okay, before we take a detailed look at the financials, I just wanna touch a little bit on what, you know, James has just said, because I do think it is worth reminding how much progress has been made in the last few years. In 2022, we were still a pre-revenue company, 100% focused on R&D. Last year, we generated our first meaningful revenues with the launch of Eroxon in the U.K. and Belgium, and during the first half of this year, we've continued with the rollout of Eroxon to key markets in Europe and the rest of the world. We're now reporting meaningful revenue growth and our first profit, and this is ahead of the U.S. launch, which is scheduled in October, and as previously stated, we expect the U.S. to be our biggest market.

In the first half of the year, we generated revenue of GBP 7 million. This represented a growth on the period last year of over 300%. The 7 million is made up of 3.2 million recognition of the milestone, received from our U.S. commercial partner last year, and 3.8 million of product sales relating predominantly to the EU, but including some rest of world sales as well. This gives an overall growth for direct product sales of over 130% compared to the same period last year. Current revenue consensus for the full year 2024 is 9.5 million, and we have confirmed this morning that we expect to exceed those expectations. Gross profit margin on direct sales was 44%.

This is a decrease on the margin generated in 2023 and is a result of temporarily higher cost of goods, as we have moved and expanded our manufacturing capability and capacity. We made the decision to invest in manufacturing and in particular, investment into fully automated filling and packaging lines. But unfortunately, this equipment takes time to manufacture and install, and we made the decision to run on a semi-automated basis until mid-2025, meaning we do incur additional costs, but we have ensured that we can continue to meet demand from our partners. In addition to the temporary lower margin, the investment made into manufacturing also had an impact on CapEx. This is the investment into the machinery for the filling and packaging lines, and into G&A, because we incur tech transfer and setup fees with our new manufacturers.

However, we firmly believe that this investment and expenditure was necessary to protect our supply chain. The profit we have generated in the period is GBP 1 million, and as James said earlier, if you exclude the non-cash share-based payments, this would be at GBP 2.3 million. Aside from the additional costs incurred with the manufacturing tech transfer, the core G&A costs remain broadly static to the period last year. Our cash position at the end of the period was GBP 3.9 million. This will, of course, be strengthened by continued revenue generation, including the next milestone expected from our U.S. commercial partner this year, and with the receipt of the GBP 300,000 2023 R&D tax credit in the next month or so.

We have every reason to remain confident that we will significantly exceed current market expectations for the full year, and guidance will be updated shortly as a result. I thought it would be useful just to remind everyone how our revenues are generated. You know, we have two slightly different operating models. We have a direct sales model. Within this model, we remain legal manufacturer and still have responsibility for regulatory and quality. We purchase finished products from our third-party manufacturers and effectively take our margin as a transfer price. Some agreements within this model also have some event and/or sales volume-based milestones. Thus, we generate revenues through those direct sales and the milestones as they trigger. The other model that we have is an IP license model. Under this model, the partner is responsible for manufacturing, quality, and regulatory.

Revenues are generated through royalty payments and milestone payments. Again, could be event and/or sales volume driven. It's important to note that in both models, the commercial partner is responsible for the costs associated with advertising and promoting the product, and also the investment required into building Eroxon as a brand. But what this does mean is that as our sales increase, our low operating costs can be leveraged, as they also won't significantly increase. I think one thing that is worth mentioning in respect to both of these models is the challenge when it comes to visibility of forecasting both revenues and the phasing of those revenues. Revenues generated by direct sales and royalties are based on net sales to the retailers, and during any launch phase, we'll always have an element of stocking or channel fill.

That added to the milestone payments when they trigger can make revenue seem a little lumpy at times, but also in addition to launching a product in any new category, any new product with limited data can make in-market sales difficult to predict, especially when we are not directly responsible for the sales and rely on our third-party commercial partners. James?

James Barder
CEO, Futura Medical

Thanks, Angela. As I said earlier, our primary focus in 2024 has been around supporting our distribution partner launches in as many countries where we already have regulatory approval. I would also add that our priority has been very much on commercialization within the larger consumer healthcare markets for the time being. Again, we are making excellent progress with the latest launches in Mexico and the imminent launch in the U.S. The one exception, if you look on this map, is Asia. We have received huge interest for the marketing rights in this region, and we are making good progress with potential Asian partners, especially for China. Nevertheless, the regulatory environment in this area is quite complex, as we have recently seen with our experiences in Korea.

Commercial negotiations are going on in parallel with discussions with the relevant authorities to understand the regulatory position before we finalize any distribution agreements. When we can say more, I will obviously update the market. Next slide. Our ABC strategy remains unchanged, and we continue to deliver across these three strategic pillars of addressing the growing needs within the OTC sexual health market, broadening our product pipeline portfolio, and committing to building sustained profitability while maintaining financial discipline. So putting this into context, on the addressing side, worldwide demand for Eroxon with further launches, especially the U.S. In particular, this is an iterative process of learning from consumer feedback to adapt future launches and marketing to optimize sales. Again, as Angela has already said, we've made significant investments to strengthen and expand our supply chain to meet demand.

We're now having two contract manufacturers, one in the US and one in the EU. Broadening our portfolio pipeline, Ken and his team have done a remarkable job to date, and the board see the opportunity to leverage this proven R&D expertise by broadening the offering beyond Eroxon within the OTC sexual health category. This is very much a work in progress, and we look forward to updating shareholders over the coming months. No pressure there, Ken. I'm extremely proud to say this is the first time we've been able to declare a profit, but we are committed to build, to continue to build on the achievements of the past few years. In particular, this means to continue to expand our intellectual property portfolio wherever possible, and we're making good progress with our various patent and trademark applications, as well as protecting the IP we already have.

I suppose we should take it as a backhanded compliment, but such is the interest and demand for Eroxon, we have, in the past year, taken down over a thousand sites, selling illicit Eroxon or equivalent. We will continue to aggressively protect our IP wherever we can. Finally, we continue to work hard and support our distribution partners to drive both growth of Eroxon and profits. This leads me on to the launch of the biggest OTC market in the world, the U.S. Next slide. We are excited to have, in our view, the best distribution partner in the form of the world-leading consumer healthcare company, Haleon. As Ken touched on earlier, the treatment of erectile dysfunction is a huge underserved opportunity, and in the U.S., there are approximately 23 million men with erectile dysfunction, of which 80% are not on treatment.

In value terms, this Ipsos estimates this to be a potential market opportunity of in excess of $350 million per annum. Eroxon is already available for pre-online ordering now and will be launched across U.S. major retailers in October. Combined with Haleon's unquestionable expertise in consumer healthcare and strong distribution capability, this is a tremendously exciting time for both Eroxon and obviously us at Futura. This launch also triggers, as Angela touched on earlier, a further milestone payment from Haleon, not dissimilar to the payment received in July of 2023.

Angela Hildreth
Finance Director and COO, Futura Medical

So just basically summarizing the investment case. We know that the market for men with ED is large, it's growing, and it's currently underserved. And we also know that Eroxon is highly differentiated from other ED treatments because of its OTC availability and its speed of onset. We believe that our go-to-market strategy, de-risk by partnering with leading healthcare companies who can commit to significant marketing spend and expertise. And we are now at an inflection point with growing revenues and profits declared. Our cash balance and low OpEx base provides us with sufficient funding to execute on our growth strategy. We will continue to utilize our experienced and innovative R&D team to look at how we broaden the Eroxon range. And as James touched upon earlier, with the EU patent granted and other applications pending, we believe we have protection out to 2040 . James, would you like to wrap up?

James Barder
CEO, Futura Medical

Yes. At the beginning of the presentation, I talked about 2024 always being a year of execution for us, and we are definitely delivering on this promise. Eroxon is a breakthrough treatment in a new category, and with any new launch, there will always be need to be adjustments to product positioning and marketing following market feedback and analysis, and sales will not be always as forecasted for different regions, which, again, Angela touched on a little earlier, but we've had a tremendous first six months, with over a 300% increase in sales and our first profit, and we're confident this is set to continue with the launch by Haleon in the biggest consumer healthcare market in the world. It just remains for me to say we look forward to the future with growing excitement, and thank you all for listening today.

Operator

Thank you very much for your presentation. What I'll do is, I'll just bring your cameras back up at this point. Ladies and gentlemen, please do continue to submit your questions just by using the Q&A tab, which is situated in the top right corner of your screen. Just while the company take a few moments to view the questions that have been submitted today, I'd like to remind you that a recording of this presentation, along with a copy of the slides and the published Q&A, can be accessed via your investor dashboard. As you can see, we have received a number of questions, both pre-submitted and throughout today's live presentation, and Sam, at this point, if I could hand over to you to chair the Q&A, that'd be great, and I'll pick up from you at the end.

Thank you. As I'm sure you can appreciate, we've had lots of questions come through, so while we may not answer every question word for word, we will try and capture the key themes that have come through to us. So the first question is, how excited are you about the U.S. launch? It's clearly a pivotal moment in the company's trajectory.

James Barder
CEO, Futura Medical

Yes, it is. I mean, look, the U.S. is the biggest consumer healthcare market in the world, biggest ED market, potentially, in the world. And we've got one of the world's leading companies in the form of Haleon, as our commercial partner there. So, this is very exciting times for us. You know, we've learned a lot from some of the earlier launches, and those learnings have been taken on board. So, yeah, it's a very exciting time for us, and we're looking forward with great anticipation to it.

Do you have any concerns about the U.S. launch?

Well, I mean, look, I think anything, when you're building a new brand in a new category, and especially something like this, where you know, there are some embarrassment issues associated with it, it's all about positioning and getting it correct. But I think we've been able to provide Haleon with a lot of learnings from the early launches, which is really helpful. And they're very professional. They know what they're doing. So you know, nothing's absolutely guaranteed, but I think we are going to this with a huge amount of options.

Excellent. And now that you've made a maiden profit, do you have a set capital allocation policy?

Angela Hildreth
Finance Director and COO, Futura Medical

Obviously, we're really proud to have reported our maiden profit today. I think this is something that the board will continue to discuss, keep under review as we progress through the rest of the launches.

James Barder
CEO, Futura Medical

I suppose it's nice to be asked about that, rather than whether we have a lot of money. So I suppose that's progress for you, I guess.

You referenced China in the presentation as a big market. What are the market dynamics within China?

Well, how long have you got? I mean, the market is more complex. As we just said earlier on, the regulatory position is complex. You know, we've had some experiences before with China. We'll touch on a little bit with some of the complexities, to be correct. So we're working steadily through this. We've had well over 50 approaches to the marketing rights in Asia, and in particular, China. It is a big market. We're working on it. You know, it won't be rushed. We won't commit to a timeline on it because if we give a timeline, then we've had problems before where people try to exploit that. But we're making good progress, and I think when we can say more, we will say more.

Excellent. Thank you. And the question is, how have sales developed in the first half of the year in the U.K. and Belgium, particularly given these are the first markets where the product was launched?

Yeah, I mean, they're, they're going well. You know, I think the key things for us is some of the learnings we're getting out of it. We said earlier on that we're estimating repeat purchases of 15%-20%. It's not an easy thing to track because such wide accessibility of Eroxon is not always easy to monitor where people are getting product from. The retailers are happy, our commercial partner is happy. A large amount of the sales are incremental, which retail really like, because we're expanding the market, we're growing the market. And remember also that in the U.K., this is an unusual market compared to pretty much everywhere else, where Eroxon is gonna be OTC.

U.K., we're moving into a market where Viagra is already established as an OTC brand, and Cialis is now there. So I think overall, we're pretty happy the way it's going. And yes, we can always improve it, and we're taking the learnings and moving forward in that on that basis.

Excellent. Can you remind us how the Haleon deal is structured?

Angela Hildreth
Finance Director and COO, Futura Medical

Yeah, I mean, I touched a little bit on this during the presentation, so the Haleon deal falls under the IP license model, where, you know, it's structured in a way where we receive royalties on what is deemed as net sales, so that's sales that's made to retailers, and we have also previously disclosed, in addition to the upfront milestone, there are potentially another $5-$45 million of further milestones to come through the agreement. I don't really think I can add any more to that, and I know it frustrates a lot of our shareholders that we talk about commercial sensitivities, but, you know, especially with Haleon, they are a public company, and there are limited things that we can say.

Excellent. Thank you. Another question on financials. I believe there's been GBP 3 million spent on plant and equipment.

Yeah.

Can you give some more detail on what items this just covers?

Yeah, I can. So, we have brought two new manufacturers on, one in Europe and one in the US. And, the product itself is fairly easy to manufacture, but it comes in small tubes, which are quite complex in terms of the way that they are filled. The key to getting the cost of goods low is to obviously manufacture as quick as possible. So having a filling line that can, you know, fill a lot of tubes quite quickly is less labor-intensive and less time-intensive than a line that would be slower. So we made the investment into that, and also the investment into a packaging line, which basically automates the tubes going into the packaging.

Again, it just increases the speed of manufacturing, which, longer term, will help us to retain a low cost of goods.

Excellent. Thank you. And clearly, the U.S. is a major milestone for the group in the second half. What other launches do you expect in the remainder of this year?

James Barder
CEO, Futura Medical

I mean, we've. I've said beforehand, we cannot give a running commentary ahead of launch, and that is really driven by commercial sensitivities and different launch partners. You know, we only make any comments when they are happy for us to make any comments. There are a number of other launches planned, but I can't really say much more than that at this stage. You know, there's launches planned for 2024 and also 2025. You know, but when we can say more, we will do, but the most important thing is to respect commercial sensitivities of our different commercial partners, and only say things when they're happy for us to do so.

Excellent. Thank you. That is the end of questions, so thank you, Alessandro, and back to you.

Operator

Perfect. Thank you very much for answering those questions from investors. Of course, the company can review all the questions submitted today, and we'll publish those responses on the Investor Meet Company platform. But just before redirecting investors, provide you with their feedback, which I know is particularly important to the company, James. Could I just ask you for a few closing comments?

James Barder
CEO, Futura Medical

Yes. I mean, thank you all for joining. I think for the company, this is a pivotal moment in our journey, which I appreciate at times is very long. Our first profit, significant revenue, updated guidance today, which Angela has touched on. I think it's very exciting times, and we look forward, especially to the U.S. launch, with great excitement. So again, thank you all for joining and, we look forward to speaking again in due course.

Operator

Thank you once again for updating investors today. Could I please ask investors not to close this session, as you'll now be automatically redirected to provide your feedback and so the management team can better understand your views and expectations. This may only take a few moments to complete, but shall be greatly valued by the company. On behalf of the management team of Futura Medical PLC, we'd like to thank you for attending today's presentation, and good morning to you all.

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