Eurocommercial Properties N.V. (AMS:ECMPA)
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May 26, 2026, 5:35 PM CET
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Earnings Call: H2 2025

Mar 6, 2026

Ilaria Vitaloni
Investor Relations Officer, Eurocommercial Properties

Good morning. My name is Ilaria Vitaloni, Investor Relations Officer, and I'm happy to be on this call with Evert Jan van Garderen, our CEO, and Roberto Fraticelli, our CFO, to present Eurocommercial's Real Results for the Year 2025. Evert Jan will talk about the acquisition of Avion Shopping in Sweden, announced on Wednesday, and about the operational results of the company, followed by Roberto, who will discuss in more detail the financial results. We will then open the call for any questions and comments you may have.

Evert Jan van Garderen
CEO, Eurocommercial Properties

Good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us today. I will start with the acquisition of Avion Shopping in Umeå, Sweden, and then move to our operation results for 2025. Let me start with Avion Shopping, a highly strategic acquisition for Eurocommercial. On Wednesday, we announced the acquisition of Avion Shopping in Umeå for a total investment of around EUR 110 million. We expected to complete this acquisition on 31st of March, 2026. The map shows where Umeå is. Fairly easy to reach from Stockholm by airplane, actually easier to reach than some of our other shopping centers in Sweden. Avion Shopping comprises approximately 45,000 sq m of gross lettable area, around 80 shops and restaurants, and seven newly built large format retail boxes.

Most importantly, the center benefits from a direct internal link to IKEA, which significantly enhances Avion's destination character and regional pool. It has a catchment of around 270,000 inhabitants. The city is around 130,000 inhabitants, with a growing population. Believe it or not, Avion Shopping even attracts customers from Finland who can reach Umeå by ferry. Umeå is one of the Swedish fastest-growing cities. It has a young and highly educated population driven by Umeå University, which has more than 40,000 students. This creates a structurally stable and recurring footfall base. The city has a dynamic and diversified economy, strong public sector employment, and continued population growth.

Demographic growth in Sweden has been concentrated in regional hubs like Umeå. Avion is positioned directly at the heart of this growth. Within 30 minutes, the center serves approximately 50% of the catchment population. That is a very strong accessibility profile, particularly for a regional shopping destination. Avion is a dominant regional shopping destination. It is anchored by IKEA with direct internal access, which is critical. IKEA is not just a tenant, it's a structural traffic driver from a local retail scheme into a true regional destination. The presence of IKEA drives high, stable, and recurring footfall, which in turn supports tenant sales productivity and leasing dynamics.

By the way, the nearest other IKEA store is almost 400 km away. Beyond IKEA, the tenant mix is attractive and diversified, combining fashion, sports, lifestyle, services, and food and beverage. The seven newly built retail boxes provide flexibility and adaptability to evolving retail formats, which we consider strategically important in today's retail landscape. The gallery was built in 2016 and is BREEAM Excellent certified. The retail boxes are brand new. The total asset is modern, well-configured, and fully aligned with our ESG strategy. In short, this is not a turnaround project. It is a high-quality, modern, dominant center with embedded growth potential.

Here you will find a map of the shopping center showing the gallery and the adjoining retail boxes and the IKEA store connected to the mall. There are 2,600 parking spaces, which we jointly own with Ingka Centers, the owner of the IKEA store of 30,000 sq m. You can see where the major brands are located. The pie chart shows a well-balanced tenant mix with the usual mostly Nordic brands and a good restaurants offer. You should not forget that this offer includes the very popular IKEA restaurant with its famous meatballs and fish dishes, which although not part of our property, improves the dwelling time of the visitors of the center.

From a capital allocation perspective, this acquisition is highly disciplined. In July 2025, we disposed of the EKO megastore, part of our shopping center Grand Samarkand in Sweden, a non-core single-tenant asset. That disposal released capital at an attractive point in the cycle. With Avion, we redeploy that capital with some additional fresh capital, of course, into a multi-anchor dominant regional center with significantly stronger long-term growth characteristics. This is asset rotation in action. We reduce single-tenant exposure and increase exposure to diversified destination-led retail. We improve portfolio quality. We enhance geographic balance, we create additional income with growth potential.

With the acquisition of Avion Shopping, the country ratings will change, increasing our exposure to Sweden to 23%, reducing our exposure to France to 20%, and with the ratings to Italy and Belgium relatively stable. This transaction represents a clear step forward in strengthening and upgrading our Swedish portfolio. With this acquisition, Sweden becomes our second largest market, reinforcing our long-standing conviction in the resilience and structural attractiveness of the Nordic retail market. We operate exclusively in established resilient European economies, Italy, Sweden, France, and Belgium. Across these markets, consumer recovery is underway when we look at the retail sales figures.

Importantly, since 2023, online penetration has stabilized at approximately 12%. In addition, Sweden remains one of the most transparent and institutionally stable real estate markets in Europe. There is GDP growth. There is an improving household purchasing power, recently boosted further with the tax incentives provided by the government. There are also dominant centers which continue to consolidate market share. Our portfolio consists of dominant retail destinations in resilient We operate two complementary formats. Five flagship regional centers, experiential and destination-led, attracting visitors from a wide geographic area, and 20 hypermarket anchor centers, essential, convenience-driven, and deeply embedded in local communities.

These 20 centers are the first-choice retail destinations in their catchments. They benefit from strong footfall, diversified tenant mixes, and high sales productivity. Avion Shopping fits perfectly in this last category. For us, it is plug and play. Let me now turn to our broader results review. 2025 was operationally strong. Like-for-like rental growth reached 3.4%. Rental uplift on renewals and relettings was 4.8% across 297 lease transactions. Retail sales increased by 3.4%. Spectacular key performance indicators are the reduced OCR for the portfolio down to 9.4% and the reduced vacancy down to 1%, showing a healthy property portfolio. Our collection rate stands at 99%.

Footfall increased by 6.2% in flagship centers and 2.8% across the portfolio despite temporary disruption from ongoing re-merchandising in some of our shopping centers. Woluwe Shopping showed an outstanding increase in footfall of 10%. Last year, retail sales in our shopping centers increased by 3.4% compared to 2024, with all four markets producing positive growth. Belgium performed particularly well as a result of the re-merchandising at Woluwe, a process we internally refer to as the musical chairs. If we look at the various sectors, we see that most sectors performed well last year with some clear winners, which were health and beauty and hyper and supermarkets.

January 2026 showed that the positive trend continues with a 6.5% retail sales growth for our portfolio. This time, Italy produced a remarkable 9.5% growth. Like-for-like rental growth was 3.4%. The growth was driven by a material portion of organic growth and by indexation. The indexation in 2024 due to much lower inflation. The right-hand table shows the rental growth per country, with Italy's contribution being the highest. The company has always been known for its low occupancy cost ratios, and we are therefore pleased to report at 9.4% occupancy cost ratio for our portfolio as per the end of December 2025.

This is lower than the OCRs we reported during 2025 and is clearly the result of growing retail sales, whereas rents increase modestly. This percentage is still one of the lowest in the industry and implies that the rents are affordable and sustainable, as is also confirmed by the full rent collection figures that we have again reported. Healthy OCRs will in due course enable us to negotiate higher rents when renewals or relettings come up. Low vacancy is usually a good indicator of the quality of the properties. Over the last five years, we have reported vacancy rates in our property portfolio ranging between 1.2%- 1.8% and with an average of 1.5%.

We are proud to report that at December 2025, we were at 1%, the lowest number reported since December 2020. We are pleased to be able to report that on 297 renewals and relettings, an average rental uplift of 4.8% was achieved on top of indexation. These lease transactions represent 40% of the minimum guaranteed rent of the portfolio. We were able to attract new tenants with our 101 relettings, achieving a much higher uplift of 8.8% and confirm the continued strong demand from retailers to open new stores in our centers. The highest uplifts were achieved in Belgium and Italy.

Over the last 12 months, the Italian leasing team signed 92 new deals, resulting in an overall rental uplift of 7.9%. 48 of these transactions were new lettings, producing an overall increased rent of 13.1%, with the highest uplift achieved in I Gigli being 16.4%. In Belgium, at Woluwe Shopping, the leasing team successfully concluded 15 lease renewals and relettings, resulting in an overall rental uplift of 5.8%. These figures demonstrate that our prime portfolio continues to be well-positioned for leasing retail space to expanding tenant base under sustainable conditions and at affordable rent levels. This slide provides an interesting overview of the sectors where we signed deals.

The majority of the deals we concluded last year were in the sectors health and beauty, fashion, and food and beverage, i.e., restaurants. Our merchandising mix remains balanced. The main sectors are hypermarkets, which are our anchors, recurring daily traffic. Fashion provides strong destination appeal, whereas services and food and beverage enhance dwell time and customer experience. The diversification over a number of sectors obviously limits concentration risk. This slide provides the increase in gross lettable area of the various brands in our portfolio during 2025. Strong fashion brands like Zara took 51%, whereas in the health and beauty sector, brands like Rituals and Normal and Medi-Market took 32%.

We continue to attract powerful brands such as Inditex, Rituals and Primark, reinforcing the dominance of our centers. Three more Primark stores are planned, whereas Rituals is present in all our centers except for one. We welcomed the Inditex Group last year again with a number of stores, and the group is now represented with 35 stores in our portfolio. Re-merchandising has been and is a very important driver of internal growth. We completed re-merchandising projects in Woluwe Shopping and Carosello. For three centers in Italy and our French center, Val Thoiry, the re-merchandising projects are ongoing. Re-merchandising remains a key value driver. Look at the results.

At Woluwe and Carosello, the completed project delivered higher footfall, double-digit turnover growth, occupancy close to or at 100%, and a strong rental uplift. I Gigli in Florence is a prime example of proactive asset management. We are reducing the hypermarket footprint and introducing new international formats. A new full format Zara store has opened, a new Pull&Bear store has been added, and the opening of Lefties, the answer of the Inditex Group to the Primark formula, is scheduled for the fourth quarter of 2026. The project strengthens I Gigli's dominant position in Tuscany, enhances the customer journey it offers, and expands its catchment. You can see the highlights on this slide.

ESG is embedded in our strategy. What have we achieved in 2025? Scope 1 and 2 carbon emissions reduced by 40%. Scope 1, 2 and 3 carbon emissions reduced by 23%. Renewable energy reached 93% in landlord-controlled areas, whereas waste to landfill declined by 7%. More importantly, we have nearly removed all gas installations in our portfolio. All assets are BREEAM certified. 83% of our assets have an EPC label A, B, or C. Green financing reached almost EUR 1 billion. We continue to future-proof the property portfolio while enhancing sustainable financing. We make a significant effort to engage with our customers in our shopping centers, hence our good score on customer satisfaction.

Obviously, we are participating in a number of independent ESG assessments, resulting in scores and awards as posted on this slide. This is not just ESG reporting, it is a competitive edge. More and more retailers and consumers demand sustainable environments, Eurocommercial is delivering. Now is the moment to hand over to Roberto to discuss our financial results.

Roberto Fraticelli
CFO, Eurocommercial Properties

Thank you. Thank you very much, Evert Jan. Thank you, everybody. You're quite numerous today. Good. We'll see it. We'll go first to the core messages that we want to give, and that's the financial highlights. As you see, the property investments raised with 3.8%, which is, you know, above the EUR 4 million. That's very good because that means that the investment, as we will see shortly, that we have done in the merchandising and in improvement of our centers actually delivered the good results. You see that also in increase in valuations.

We also have a debt net which is very stable, and that led to a net loan to value ratio of 39.8%. That's a very good improvement because it's 1.5% less compared to last year. A consequence, of course, then the EPRA NTA also went up to EUR 42.81. You will see a slide on this which will go much more into detail. The same is for the direct investment results. It went up to EUR 131.8 million. We'll have a slide on that with a nice bridge as you all like. Led to an increase in dividend to EUR 1.83, which is great.

I think one of the things we wanted to highlight was that actually in 2025, we basically had no increase in interest expenses. We thought that was a very nice message for you to see. As said, if we look at the valuations, you see the increase to over the EUR 4 billion. You see the valuation changes compared to last year. What's very important to highlight is that the net initial yield and the top-up yield are actually the same as last year. That means the increase in value actually came from the increase in rental income and the RVs.

That's very positive. If we go to the key metrics, you see the net debt has been stable over 2025 to EUR 1.6 billion. Interest rate hedging level is at 87%. You know that we like it when it's around the 80%, the direct investment result per share went up, as you saw, with EUR 0.05. Key financial metrics, they improved. Average cost of debt stayed the same. Interest coverage improved. Net debt to EBITDA improved. EPRA LTV improved. The average loan maturity, we'll have a special attention to that, went to almost five years. That's a big improvement compared to last year.

The average interest rate maturity went down, it's going to go up because, of course, we are very busy with our hedging policy. Let's see what we did this year in 2025. We were quite busy. It was almost EUR 1 billion of refinancing that we did long term. What we basically did, we transferred all the debt into long term. We basically paid out all the short-term debt, which gave us then a lot of space for the acquisition, as we see. What we did was we started with Sweden. We did a EUR 755 million loan in Valbo. We attacked with Nordea.

Another EUR 220 million was done in June. We went over to Italy. We started with Il Giardinetto, EUR 205 million. I Gigli and Carosello in December, EUR 270 million for I Gigli and EUR 200 million for Carosello. We finished with Sweden where we extended the loan for an amount of SEK 600 million . Altogether, it's the almost EUR 1 billion that you see. The effect on that is on the long-term borrowings. You see, the shift has happened in the expiration dates of the loans. Basically, the main refinancing there in 2029. We have a small refinancing in 2027. That's with ING. We love them a lot, so we think there will be no problem.

I think what these two slides actually show, the one before and this one, is the strong relationship that we have with our banks. I would really love to thank them for that because, you know, they are numerous. They are very, very cooperative, and they enabled us to do all these extensions which we had planned. Thank you to all of them. If we go and see what we do with the money, huh? That's always a very important question that you have. As you can see, we had EUR 190 million from cash flow operating activities. The disposal that Evert Jan mentioned, EUR 14 million. We had the net increase in loan of EUR 8 million.

Where did this all go? It went to dividends, EUR 71 million paid. It went to capital expenditures, which as Evert Jan said, you know, we used to increase the value and the importance of our shopping centers. Little bit went to other. Then it all went EUR 31 million to cash. That's also part of the reserves that we are using to acquire Avion, as you heard. If we go then to the net loan to value ratio and the hedging ratio, they are where we like them to be, hovering around the 40%. We mentioned that we expect the contribution, the net increase value related to Avion to be more or less 1.5%.

The hedging ratio, as you can see also for the coming years, is expected to be around the 80%. Very, very stable picture. Let's go to the bridges that you like a lot. There you see the increase in EPRA NCA for the year. We started from EUR 41.79. Of course, we add back the direct result and the indirect results. We take away the adjustment for the deferred tax and derivatives. We look at the dividend distribution and the euros that you got as dividend. Of course, there is a component for those of you who choose to take shares.

We also have a nice foreign exchange movement that's related to the increase in the Swedish krona, with the exchange rate with the euro. That led at the end to EUR 42.81. If we then go to the direct investment result, you see you started from EUR 127.9 million. We added the rental income. We were a bit cautious, more cautious on the debt. You see repair, maintenance, property expenses, and service charges. There is an increase there. That's due also, of course, to the re-merchandising projects that we are doing, and also for a little bit to a one-off positive variance that we had in France last year.

The company expenses went down EUR 1.3 million, which we thought you might appreciate. The corporate income tax is negative for EUR 1.7, that's also related to a one-off positive that we had in Sweden in 2024, that leads to the EUR 131.8 million that we have today. Positive. What's the story? I mean, Positive increase in earnings per share, positive increase in dividend. I think the core message that we want to give with this slide is that we are extremely thankful to all our employees because they've done a fantastic job. They really put a lot of effort in this. Thank you for that. We go to the guidance.

The guidance, we said, you know, it will range between EUR 2.45 and EUR 2.50. We know it's cautious, we also look at the current situation today with on several scenarios. We do think it's a good guidance for now. Last but not least, the financial calendar. That's where we hope to see you again. We have the publication of the annual report on the 17th of April, then first quarter results, Annual General Meeting, H1, and then the third quarter results. On that note, let's hand back to the operator.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, we are now ready to answer your questions. If you wish to ask a question, please press pound key five on your telephone keypad. If you wish to withdraw your question, please press pound key six on your telephone keypad. The first question comes from Steven Boumans, ABN AMRO. Steven, go ahead.

Steven Boumans
Equity Analyst, ABN AMRO

Hi, good morning. Congrats with the acquisition, and thanks for taking my question. I have two parts of questions, one on the acquisition and one on possibilities for further M&A. To start with the first, some questions on the acquisition. One, what is the annualized EPS accretion that you derive from the deal? Two, what is the current occupancy? Three, can you discuss the competitive landscape in Umeå, if I pronounce it correctly? Last, do you consider selling the big boxes, given you disposed some big boxes elsewhere before?

Evert Jan van Garderen
CEO, Eurocommercial Properties

Thank you, Steven. Let's say on the acquisition, obviously we are not the owner yet. We hope to close the deal end of March. In terms of the analyzed accretiveness, I mean, there is certainly an accretiveness there. We also published a yield we would try to achieve. For 2026, there's only a partial contribution. In that respect, I cannot give you a figure, but obviously it's accretive. In terms of the occupancy, there is some vacancy in the shopping center, but that's around to just close to 5%, which we think is an opportunity.

So that's actually also why we have to, you know, focus on, in particularly, with our teams, and we have already quite some good ideas what we can do to enhance the return on this investment. Obviously, that's something we will report further on later in the year once we are the owner, and of course, once we also can really, you know, talk to potential tenants, et cetera, et cetera. This just been announced, so it's still early stage. Indeed, there are boxes in Sweden which we have sold, sorry, one box in Samarkand. We have the possibility to sell boxes, actually four in a shopping center in Kristianstad.

That process has started, but we have not yet finished it. There is sufficient demand. We'll see how we proceed with that later in the year. Of course, technically, you could take a similar view here with Avion Shopping Centre , where we also have boxes which are separate from the mall, the gallery. In that respect, slightly different from other situations, because these boxes are actually, as you saw on one of the maps, they're connected to the gallery. Not that you can walk through the gallery and then achieve or get into the boxes.

You need to go outside. In technically, we could also have a look there to maybe dispose these. For now, I think these boxes, really add to the strength of the center. That's probably more a remote idea. Roberto, do you have anything to add to this?

Roberto Fraticelli
CFO, Eurocommercial Properties

No, no. I think he also spoke competitiveness.

Evert Jan van Garderen
CEO, Eurocommercial Properties

The competitiveness. Yeah, yeah. Let's say this is the only shopping center in Umeå. There is a city center which also has some nice retail, but that's high street. There are basically, you know, you could say two zones where there's also retail. One is a box zone where there's an ICA hypermarket. Further out, there is another zone where you have, you know, a OBI. The do it yourself stores and some car dealers. That there's also some retail there. There is a quite poor zone in another part of the city. This is really the only shopping center.

You will not be surprised to hear that obviously Umeå in wintertime is , it can be quite cold there, so people prefer to shop in a covered and nice environment and mall. That's one of the big attractions, of course. Does that cover your questions, Steven?

Steven Boumans
Equity Analyst, ABN AMRO

Absolutely. Very clear. Thank you for that. If I may, one other set of questions on potential for more M&A.

Evert Jan van Garderen
CEO, Eurocommercial Properties

Yeah

Steven Boumans
Equity Analyst, ABN AMRO

Can we expect more deals like this in 2026? Maybe to provide more color, are you today in any other due diligence processes, and how does that number compare to, let's say, a year ago? Maybe also, what's the maximum LTV that you're comfortable with, and would you also consider similar deals to do that, in shares, so with an equity raise? Maybe some color on those questions, please.

Evert Jan van Garderen
CEO, Eurocommercial Properties

Yeah. No, no. Thank you, Steven. Well, would we be in due diligence then? I would probably not be allowed to say anything about that. No, I think this is clearly for us, a very important step because we have been quite active in terms of monitoring the markets. We looked at basically all the transactions which you have seen in our four markets. You know, we looked at that, and this was actually this transaction was not on the market at all. It's an off-market deal. We're very pleased that we could, you know, enter into a transaction with a very, you know, important and major group like Ingka, who obviously is a well-known property owner themselves around the world.

That was very nice that we could do this deal and it really fits to our plans. We will not stop here, Steven. Obviously, we'll go on with seeing what is available in the market. We have some possibility, as we just discussed earlier, on the boxes to sell, and maybe we can do some more rotation. Yeah, which market that will be, a question mark, because I think in general, you could say that all our markets are opening up, particularly also Belgium. We have seen a number of transactions in Italy, and Sweden. I think there we see also much more activity.

That’s the plan. In terms of where we will then be raising equity or, doing it, just with our existing resources, obviously depends on the size of transactions. For now, I think we're very happy and trying to first get Avion Shopping on board end of March and then start with all the works and the plans we have.

Roberto Fraticelli
CFO, Eurocommercial Properties

Yeah. Steven, of course, next week there'll be meeting. We'll come back with 73 proposals of merger and 84,000 acquisitions and sales. That's going to be very interesting. Yeah.

Steven Boumans
Equity Analyst, ABN AMRO

Maybe only on the LTV, to which level are you willing to go?

Evert Jan van Garderen
CEO, Eurocommercial Properties

Yeah. Well, let's say the, the acquisition, if we then, arrive at early April and close the deal, obviously it is an estimate because it depends a bit on an exchange rate for Swedish krona, et cetera, and where we are exactly with our collection in rent and so on. We expect this to be 1.5%-1.6% uplift in LTV ratio, ceteris paribus. That's of course, still very acceptable because we then stay below 42%. We of course, still have 40% as a sort of a long-term target, but are not, getting nervous if that's a little bit higher.

We will, you know, cautiously follow, of course, the debt levels and, and again, in June, we'll see more about valuations. We feel comfortable with this acquisition the way it's funded.

Roberto Fraticelli
CFO, Eurocommercial Properties

And also.

Steven Boumans
Equity Analyst, ABN AMRO

Thank you so much.

Roberto Fraticelli
CFO, Eurocommercial Properties

Steven, if we look at the net, the EPRA yields, we see that they haven't moved in our case, but the market, of course, is more in a positive tone. There could be some nice evaluation coming up in this year, for example. Yeah.

Evert Jan van Garderen
CEO, Eurocommercial Properties

Okay.

Steven Boumans
Equity Analyst, ABN AMRO

Thanks. That's clear.

Evert Jan van Garderen
CEO, Eurocommercial Properties

Steven, yeah?

Steven Boumans
Equity Analyst, ABN AMRO

Yeah.

Evert Jan van Garderen
CEO, Eurocommercial Properties

Thank you.

Operator

The next question comes from Stephane Alfonso from Jefferies. Stephane, go ahead.

Stephane Afonso
Equity Research Analyst, Jefferies

Yes, good morning, thank you for the presentation and for taking my questions. First, I understand that you refinanced nearly 60% of your debt this year with no impact on your cost of debt. Should we assume that your cost of debt will remain broadly stable this year and going forward? In other words, is the 3.2% your marginal cost of debt?

Roberto Fraticelli
CFO, Eurocommercial Properties

Well, that's a very good question, Stephane. Let's say the reality is, of course, we did these transactions, the last ones are the EUR 525 million. We did them in December, and we drew down the facilities in January. We will see, of course, the effect of these drawdowns in 2026. What you will see is, of course, a change from short-term line into long-term line. There will be an increase, let's say, in the— 'cause we will hedge them with interest rate swaps. You will see a slight increase in the interest expenses. What's very nice to say is that the margins are really in line with the margins that we had before.

On that side, we are looking at a stable picture. Looking ahead for the year, we are also taking a good look at the curve. There is a lot of flexibility in this financing, so we have a lot of time when we can fix the interest rate for the amounts and the length that we like. We're monitoring the interest rate curve. So far, it looks okay. Now, it's been a little bit of a hike, as you've seen in the past week due to certain circumstances in Iran. We're monitoring. We do expect a little bit increase, but not that, not too much. We'll see. Yeah.

Stephane Afonso
Equity Research Analyst, Jefferies

Okay, thanks. One question on indexation. Given that we are already in March, you should have a pretty good visibility on indexation. What level should we expect for this year?

Evert Jan van Garderen
CEO, Eurocommercial Properties

I think, Stephane, we all know that the indexation, it will be lower again than last year. If we look at France, it's basically 0. For Italy, we have.

Roberto Fraticelli
CFO, Eurocommercial Properties

1.1.

Evert Jan van Garderen
CEO, Eurocommercial Properties

1.1 indexation. It was 0.9 for Sweden. Belgium, let’s say that's a monthly indexation, and we have in our budget a sort of assumption 1.5%-2%. The indexation for 2026, I think that's probably the case for all our peers, will be quite modest. These are the numbers which we have to apply and we are applying, or we have already used the percentages in the billing for the first quarter, and Italy will use that for the second quarter, that percentage.

Stephane Afonso
Equity Research Analyst, Jefferies

Okay, that's clear. Just maybe one clarification on the acquisition yield of the Avion. I think it's 8%. Are we talking about gross yield, net yield?

Evert Jan van Garderen
CEO, Eurocommercial Properties

Let's say this is obviously a yield which— I mean, the text hopefully was clear. After we have done some further work on the tenancy mix and so on, it's in principle, unlevered yield. Yeah.

Roberto Fraticelli
CFO, Eurocommercial Properties

It is unlevered. Yeah.

Evert Jan van Garderen
CEO, Eurocommercial Properties

It's a net.

Stephane Afonso
Equity Research Analyst, Jefferies

Net. Okay. Okay. Just to be clear.

Evert Jan van Garderen
CEO, Eurocommercial Properties

Yeah.

Stephane Afonso
Equity Research Analyst, Jefferies

Does the guidance includes the acquisition?

Evert Jan van Garderen
CEO, Eurocommercial Properties

Well, let's say in the guidance that we published yesterday evening, the day before we did the acquisition announcement, we have included some. Obviously, we did a bit of scenario analysis, effect of the acquisition in our guidance. I repeat, also given what happened over the last, let's say, 10 days, well, maybe even less, seven days, obviously, that put us in a bit, let's say, conservative, cautious mode. What we, let's say, for example, I mean, energy prices all rises up and so on, that will not so much affect us in the business because, you know, we no longer have or hardly have any gas anymore in our centers.

Our service charges, where energy is a component, most of the energy we produce ourselves or we do. For example, Sweden, we have a number of also in Avion, geothermal way of getting energy. It is probably more what will it do to consumers and so on. Therefore, we have been cautious.

Stephane Afonso
Equity Research Analyst, Jefferies

I understand the cautiousness, but the beauty of the business model is that you have a strong inertia in your —thanks to the lease duration. My question is just simple: Is the acquisition is embedded in the guidance?

Evert Jan van Garderen
CEO, Eurocommercial Properties

Yeah. I Let's say, but it is, of course, it's only kicking in, hopefully, when we close in April. Of course, in order to achieve the 8%, we need to do some works as well. We have to finance it. I mean, we finance it with short-term lines, which are cheaper than long-term. You know, we've just taken a cautious stance, and maybe we can improve the guidance already later in the year. Yeah, I mean, I think that's probably where we are today, which is still a guidance up against, you know, the actuals we reported, so. We understand some comments that maybe said it's a bit shy. I saw the word shy. Okay, let's be shy then. Yeah.

Stephane Afonso
Equity Research Analyst, Jefferies

Okay. Okay. Maybe one last question? Could you elaborate a bit more on your acquisition strategy going forward? When I look at the Swedish deal, it appears that you had to push further north to secure an acquisition. Should we read that as a sign that assets available at similar pricing and quality are to find at the moment? Or if not, in your view, roughly how many assets that are currently in active sales process in Europe could potentially fit your investment criteria?

Evert Jan van Garderen
CEO, Eurocommercial Properties

I mean, let's say Umeå is not that, you know, Umeå is not on the map or it's so north. This is a very organized center, as I said in my speech, it's, for us, it's also plug and play. Ingka has a number of shopping centers in Sweden, this is a strong one. It happens to be a bit further north, you know, it's still, technically, you could say, in the middle of Sweden. There's not sort of, you know, that you say, "Oh, you bought something and there was a discount because of the location." I mean, we believe in the location. You know, it has its merits.

It has also a proven track record. I mean, it's been there for 10 years. Now with the boxes added to it will even grow further. I mean, we have the highest footfall here in our Swedish portfolio well over four million. I think that's certainly not, you know, something to ignore. In terms of, you know, the other centers, I think in Sweden, they could be any city. There are more cities of this size where, you know, there are still nice shopping centers. I would not read anything into the location of Umeå in this case.

Roberto Fraticelli
CFO, Eurocommercial Properties

Actually, Stephane, I mean, the amount of centers which could come on the market is, that could be of interest to us is larger 'cause you've seen the yields going down in several countries. That means that people were once not even thinking of putting their asset on the market. They now see that the prices have increased, there's a nicer market to start looking at options. The transactions that we do, they're usually off market. There's plenty of opportunities. We know the assets that we want. Sometimes you need to be patient and wait for the right moment to be able to strike.

Stephane Afonso
Equity Research Analyst, Jefferies

Okay. Thank you very much.

Operator

The next question comes from Valerie Jacob from Bernstein. Valerie, go ahead.

Valerie Jacob
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Bernstein

Hello. Good morning.

Evert Jan van Garderen
CEO, Eurocommercial Properties

Hi, Valerie.

Valerie Jacob
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Bernstein

Evert Jan, good morning, Roberto. I just have a follow-up question, you know, on the Avion acquisition. I mean, you say, you know, in the press release, and you've said that, you know, in order to get to 8%, you're going to have to, you know, do some work and spend some money. If I look at, you know, recent acquisitions, by your peers in your market, in France or in Italy, it seems that there was, you know, some acquisition that were already yielding 8% or above as a sort of net initial yield.

I'm just curious to understand, you know, why you think that this acquisition, which seems to have a lower yield, is better suited to, you know, your portfolio than other potential acquisition at above 8%, in some other countries. Is it a choice because you prefer Sweden as a market, or is there another reason? If you could elaborate on that. Thank you.

Evert Jan van Garderen
CEO, Eurocommercial Properties

Yeah. Yeah. Thank you, Valerie. Thank you for your question. No, a very good question. In one word, it's quality. You know, with the transactions we've seen in our other markets, I think you're still looking at slightly different type of assets, with also another risk profile. In some cases also with things. We always say, if there is a possibility to acquire maybe at a higher yield, then there's probably something you need to fix. Otherwise, there is not this high yield. The question we ask ourselves is, are we the party to be able to fix it?

In a number of cases, we said, you know, that's not for us, and maybe others can do that, but not for us. I think the fundamentals here are for us very good. We like Sweden. I mean, the macro at the moment is also quite good compared to maybe some of our other countries we're active in. Overall, that brought us to the decision to proceed. Again, this property was not on the market, it's really and we are quite proud that we could do this deal with Ingka Centres because basically they asked themselves a question, "Who can be a good neighbor for us in Umeå?"

Eurocommercial with our reputation and expertise, they said, "You know, let's go ahead." Because obviously we are neighbors, and the IKEA store is owned by Ingka Centres. It's therefore a long-term partnership, which we are very excited about.

Roberto Fraticelli
CFO, Eurocommercial Properties

It's a nice asset at 10 years. The amount of CapEx that we proceed is not even related to the amount of CapEx that you know for the other transactions.

Valerie Jacob
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Bernstein

Okay. Thank you. Just maybe, a clarification on your guidance because, I mean, you've just said that the acquisition is included in the guidance. The guidance is, you know, at midpoint, sort of 1% growth. If we exclude the acquisition, then that will mean that without the acquisition, your cash flow will have gone down, this year. I mean, is it the right way to see it, or am I missing something?

Evert Jan van Garderen
CEO, Eurocommercial Properties

No, let's say it's not going down, we just discussed indexation, which obviously is hardly existing in 2026. We're not alone there. That's for all our peers, I think the case. We do have also to take into account that our interest expenses will take up a bit because of the long term financing instead of short term. We've just built in a buffer, I would say, in order to get to this guidance and let's say, every, you know, once the Avion Shopping is on board and we can really, you know, we need some time maybe to work on the tenancy mix and so on.

It's really that conservative approach which we have taken, and maybe, you know, in three months time or six months time, we can, we can improve it and say, you know, we can really enjoy the maximum from this acquisition. For now, this is where we came up with and feel comfortable with. Look what happened in the world. I mean, it's. Well, we're sailing a little bit in the mist, I must say.

Valerie Jacob
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Bernstein

Okay. Thank you, Evert Jan. Thank you.

Operator

The next question comes from.

Evert Jan van Garderen
CEO, Eurocommercial Properties

Thank you.

Operator

The next question comes from Alex Kolsteren from Van Lanschot Kempen. Alex, go ahead.

Alex Kolsteren
Equity Research Associate, Van Lanschot Kempen

Hi, team. Thank you for the presentation. The question on your guidance, I think I'll leave aside has been discussed plenty. On the re-merchandising projects that's going on, what's the rent loss in 2026?

Evert Jan van Garderen
CEO, Eurocommercial Properties

Roberto, maybe.

Roberto Fraticelli
CFO, Eurocommercial Properties

Let's say, it's a very good question. The reality is, it really depends on how you calculate it, because, of course, you have the loss, let's say, that you have realized on the previous rent. You also have the loss that you realized, let's say, if you consider the new rent. Let's say more or less, we will be around EUR 1.5 million. That's a bit of an estimation. The thing is that, of course, when you do the calculations, you do not know exactly when the units are going to be relet. There's a lot of uncertainty related also to the works that the tenants perform. That's a bit more or less the amount that we can think of.

Alex Kolsteren
Equity Research Associate, Van Lanschot Kempen

Okay, thank you.

Roberto Fraticelli
CFO, Eurocommercial Properties

Does that give you a fair idea or?

Alex Kolsteren
Equity Research Associate, Van Lanschot Kempen

Yeah. Yeah, that's perfect. Thank you very much. Yeah. The fact that you bought in Sweden last year was a bit of a lesser performing market versus Italy or Belgium. Is this sort of a vote of confidence from your side also that the operations should improve further in that country?

Evert Jan van Garderen
CEO, Eurocommercial Properties

Sorry, You were fading slightly away. Alex, could you repeat your question?

Alex Kolsteren
Equity Research Associate, Van Lanschot Kempen

Yeah, yeah. That's no problem. Yeah. The fact that you bought in Sweden then over the last year or so, it's been more a bit of a weaker performing market if you compare it to Italy or Belgium. The fact that you buy here, should I see that as a vote of confidence from your side that you expect operations to improve there?

Evert Jan van Garderen
CEO, Eurocommercial Properties

Yeah, yeah. No, sure, Alex. We're quite optimistic about Sweden at the moment. If you look back, certainly in the first quarter, second quarter, Sweden was, you know, was okay, but not so spectacular. We have seen now that, you know, the sales and then also footfall, et cetera, is all developing quite positively. I think particularly the macro environment helped a lot. As I said in my speech, you know, the government is at the moment actually doing a lot to be nice to the population because there are elections coming up in Sweden. There are some tax breaks which have been already granted to individuals, whether that's savings tax or income tax.

As from the 1st of April, the VAT on groceries, which is 12% at the moment, will go down to 6%. There's a lot of stimulus for consumption, which obviously is something we like. Last but not least, interest rates in Sweden have come down even more rapidly. Actually, the official rate at 1.75% at the moment of the Riksbank is helping, of course, the spending, because still many Swedish families, they have mortgage loans at a floating rate. That helps them in their wallet. There's even, I don't know, but maybe even talk about the Riksbank making another move downwards. Let's see how that develops.

Next to that, obviously, in terms of the country as a whole, they're exporting country. They have quite a strong defensive sector as well, which currently is quite a lot of focus on. No, we like Sweden where it is today. Also more local elements in this case. We're talking here about a city with a growing population. You know, the low competition we have. The density is low in the area in Umeå. No, it all ticks many boxes, Alex.

Alex Kolsteren
Equity Research Associate, Van Lanschot Kempen

All right. Good to hear. Yeah, just one final one to confirm. The 8% yield that you wrote down, that's a net yield, and is it in line with EPRA practices?

Evert Jan van Garderen
CEO, Eurocommercial Properties

Yes. Yeah. Let's say it's. Well, it is basically, and so it's unleveraged and it's a net yield which we will achieve if we do a few more steps. Let's say the initial yield of this investment is obviously not far away from this 8%. We need to do some more work on the tenancy mix, which we think we can achieve, but that will take some time. Yeah.

Alex Kolsteren
Equity Research Associate, Van Lanschot Kempen

All right. All clear. Thank you very much.

Evert Jan van Garderen
CEO, Eurocommercial Properties

Thank you.

Operator

The next question comes from Benjamin Legrand from Kepler Cheuvreux. Benjamin, go ahead.

Benjamin Legrand
Equity Research Analyst, Kepler Cheuvreux

Hi. Can you hear me?

Evert Jan van Garderen
CEO, Eurocommercial Properties

Yep, we can hear you, Benjamin.

Benjamin Legrand
Equity Research Analyst, Kepler Cheuvreux

Perfect. I just have a question again regarding the acquisition and actually bouncing back on the yield you are mentioning. The current portfolio is yielding at a much lower EPRA net initial yield, around 5.7%. I was just wondering what was the difference with this property. Obviously, it's more north, but you seem to be very confident about the location and it's been built very, very recently. I was expecting, I mean, I'm just wondering why there's such a difference. Also the second question related to this is, do you expect some positive and immediate revaluation coming from it in H1 2026? Thank you.

Evert Jan van Garderen
CEO, Eurocommercial Properties

Thank you, Benjamin. Let's say we reported for Sweden EPRA net initial yield of 5.7% and a top-up yield of 5.9%. Let's say that that's lower than what we have reported here. Again, you know, there are some things to be done in this shopping center. I don't think that this transaction will as such lead to any changes really in the valuation of our other centers. Maybe in due course, actually, as Roberto said, our impression is that value, values also in Sweden are actually maybe thinking about some compression.

No, let's say it's not that there is something wrong with the center. To the contrary, it has very good fundamentals. There's also a little bit of vacancy, which I talked about, which is there. Obviously, if we improve the occupancy, then we can create further value.

Roberto Fraticelli
CFO, Eurocommercial Properties

Yeah. There's also, of course, there are numbers, Benjamin. There's also the feeling, when you add a little bit of spice and salt, it makes it nicer. We think that's also what. Those are the ingredients that we think we can put in. If you look at the different yields, then because we saw the potential. You correctly said, you know, if the average in Sweden is 5.7%, should we expect we own to hover around those things with those values. We do believe that in the medium run, after we've done our things, that should make a good expectation.

Benjamin Legrand
Equity Research Analyst, Kepler Cheuvreux

Okay. Thank you very much.

Operator

The next question comes from Lynn Hautekeete from KBC. Lynn, go ahead.

Evert Jan van Garderen
CEO, Eurocommercial Properties

Hi, Lynn.

Lynn Hautekeete
Equity Research Analyst, KBC

Hi. Good morning, everyone. I have a question remaining on the acquisition in Sweden. Just wondering how long it took you to finalize this deal, and also , if there is any possibility of an extension on this asset further down the line to create more value.

Evert Jan van Garderen
CEO, Eurocommercial Properties

The possibility of extending, there is a bit of, let's say, if you look at the map, obviously the boxes have just been built and actually the last one is being finalized, and then also the tenant will fit out there. There's still a little bit of land left where there can also be maybe another restaurant offer or so on. There can be put some more real estate on it. Overall, I think it's pretty, you know, it's pretty well served. The building itself also allows us to, you know, be creative and improve maybe the tenancy mix further.

Let's say it's not that we can build a lot of more boxes on the site, Lynn. I think overall, what it offers in terms of space, you know, it's good stuff. Of course, within the gallery, which is also 10 years old, but you could say still, you know, very modern, let alone the brand-new buildings. It gives us a good opportunity to do some further value creation. In terms of the timing, have we talked a lot? Yes, we have, of course, been talking a lot over quite some time to get to where we are today.

As I said before, Ingka Centres is a very reputable organization, you know, with real estate all around the world. Of course, the IKEA is a huge group. They know exactly what they're doing and so on. As I said before, we're very proud that we could enter into a transaction with them. That obviously needs also trust. You have to obviously take it step by step. For them, it's part of their strategy, but they also have to take into account the interest of IKEA as a retail group. There are many IKEA colleagues involved. That means that the process needs time.

No, we're, you know, we're very happy with the end result and, again, that both parties could do it in this good spirit with a lot of trust. Because I said before, we are in partnership, we're neighbors, and that's for the long term.

Lynn Hautekeete
Equity Research Analyst, KBC

Okay. Clear. Thank you. Last question is actually on your rent collection. I noticed it improved versus the third quarter. Third quarter was 97%, actually. Now it went to 99%. The driver behind that is France. Just wondering what happened there, if you can give some color? Thank you.

Roberto Fraticelli
CFO, Eurocommercial Properties

Rent collection in France, let's say, was hovering between the 96%-97%. That's a bit where we are. Of course, as you know, Lynn, the contracts in France are quite rigid, so there's not a lot that you can do. We think the rent collection is actually progressing quite well. I mean, it is in line with the rent collection that we also showed in the past. What we do just to be extra sure, let's say we took some extra bad debts just in case. From the information that we have from our French colleagues, let's say the rent collection should be to proceed a little bit as normal.

We have some of the old tenants, which are difficult cases, but we've known them all along. Those are—this is a bit the situation.

Evert Jan van Garderen
CEO, Eurocommercial Properties

Yeah. Lynn, there is always also an effect, typically for France, that when there is a tenant who is in financial trouble, or even insolvent, then what we can do in France, you can still send your invoice, bill them, and you don't lose the VAT, which in other countries where you send an invoice, you already have to pay the VAT. If the tenant is not paying, then to recover the VAT, it takes quite some time. Therefore, the collection because what is it really? You know, you compare what you have invoiced against what you have collected. If you are free to with invoicing, even if a tenant is financially in trouble, then you create your own gap. You see what I mean?

Lynn Hautekeete
Equity Research Analyst, KBC

I see what you mean. That makes a lot of sense on the VAT.

Evert Jan van Garderen
CEO, Eurocommercial Properties

Okay.

Lynn Hautekeete
Equity Research Analyst, KBC

Thanks. No further questions.

Evert Jan van Garderen
CEO, Eurocommercial Properties

Okay. Thank you.

Roberto Fraticelli
CFO, Eurocommercial Properties

Thank you.

Evert Jan van Garderen
CEO, Eurocommercial Properties

Thank you, Lynn.

Operator

Just a reminder, you can press pound key five on your telephone keypad at any time to ask a question. With that, I will now turn the call back to Evert Jan van Garderen for any closing remarks.

Evert Jan van Garderen
CEO, Eurocommercial Properties

Okay. Well, thank you so much, everybody asking questions, but certainly also everybody listening to the call. Hopefully, it gave some further color on Eurocommercial, its results, and where we are today. I would like to thank everybody, including also all the colleagues who have prepared this presentation and all the material behind it. Hopefully, we see some of you who were in the call, particularly analysts in the near future, but also investors when we're on the road to talk further about the results. For now, I wish everybody a nice afternoon. We're just behind 12 o'clock and a wonderful weekend. Thank you so much.

Roberto Fraticelli
CFO, Eurocommercial Properties

Thank you.

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