Randstad N.V. (AMS:RAND)
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Earnings Call: Q2 2015

Jul 30, 2015

Robert-Jan van de Kraats
CFO, Randstad

Thank you so much. Ladies and gentlemen, good morning. First of all, we have changed the logistics here, improved efficiency. For the Q2 update, we no longer have a physical meeting, so you are all on the line, just a conference call. At my end, the team here includes Jacques, Linda, Chris, and Arun, and of course, some others supporting us. I am going to move to slide five right away, summarizing what we would call in Dutch [Foreign language] which is a pretty strong quarter based on solid execution and Europe contributing to the growth now. These nine boxes do indicate the most relevant issues that we saw in Q2. Solid revenue growth up to almost 7%. Topline accelerated in Europe, both in the Netherlands and France, very much supporting this clearly. North America showed stable growth at the level of 5%.

The gross margin improved, which is not atypical also in the quarter. This was also supported by permanent placement fees, which were up 13%. If one would include the RPO fees, which are reported under HRS, it would even be higher. It would arrive at 17% growth. The underlying EBITDA came out at EUR 215 million and the organic last four quarters ICR is 61%. The ICR effectively is the drop-through rate, and it indicates the percentage of new gross profit, of added gross profit that arrives at the EBITDA level, where we have a clear ambition that they should be around or preferably just north of 50%. The 61% is a good result in this context. Adjusted net income up 31%. DSO again improved.

Global MSP spend grew by 57%. We will also address this when looking at North America, but also in other regions like Europe, we do see growth. RPO revenue up 36%. If we look at the volume trends that we measure weekly in our business, we do see that the growth in July is at least in line with the Q2 results. The outlook for Q3 applies across the board. Expected full year 2015 effective tax rate, we expect to improve compared to the previous indication and now arrive at a level between 26% and 28%, which compares to a wider range of 27%-30%. Moving to slide six, which shows you the P&L. I am going to elaborate on a few of the bullets here. Organic growth rate at 6.7% versus 5.6% in Q1.

One has to take into account that last year, Q2 was 1% stronger than Q1. The comparables are slightly tougher. Gross profit at 7.2%. Again, perm clearly contributing, as I just mentioned. Operating expenses are up 4% organically, and gross profit measured per FTE, which is a productivity indicator, improving to 5.3%. EBITDA margin improved by 40 basis points. Last year's 4.1%-4.5%. Slide seven shows you the trend in our book, the Randstad growth development. I think that the graph speaks for itself. It is clearly improving or continuing. The growth expansion that we see in Europe is clearly supported by the Netherlands and France, where France is now indicating above market. In both countries, we have clearly bridged the gap that existed for a while.

We do see stable growth that continues in North America, but also Australia and Japan continue to perform well. The emerging markets continue to show solid growth. Relative to market on slide eight, strong performance. A key component of our ambition was communicated at the Capital Markets Day, and it was key to us that based on activity-based field steering, we should be able to close the gap and get ahead of the market. I think these indications for three of our main markets are speaking for itself loud and clear. Addressing the various geographies on slide nine. North America, solid growth rates. Remember that last year, Q1 was -1%, Q2 was +2%, and now it is stable at five percent, going from Q1 in this year to Q2 in this year.

Permanent fees up 16% compared to eight percent, which is also a clear improvement, GP flat at 10%. If we look at the growth in our combined U.S. staffing and in-house business, growth continued roughly at the same level, seven percent versus eight percent. Also the numbers into July confirm this trend. U.S. professionals improved both at the gross profit line and at the revenue level. Randstad Sourceright, net fee growth of 25%. Canada, a challenging market, revenue down but ahead of market, all of this arriving at a pretty strong EBITDA margin of 5.9%. In the French market, we now see above-market growth. Revenue up by 4% compared to zero percent. If you look at Q4 last year, it was -8%, a pretty strong improvement quarter after quarter. We now have growth after 13 quarters. That is three years of decline.

Of course, all of this gives some indication on the competitiveness of the French market. We clearly saw growth in our staffing and in-house business. In-house, very successful, 4%. Professionals improved by 2%, a little less than the first quarter, perm continued to grow. Gross profit up by 3%, we do see the focus on SME also starting to contribute. Our activity-based field steering indicates 30% more commercial activities. The EBITDA margin now at a solid 5.6%, this is the result of us balancing client profitability with market outperformance. In the Netherlands, growth acceleration clearly continued into Q2, 15%. Q1 was already at 10%. Perm growth also at a pretty solid level. Our staffing businesses grew 15%, in line with the market. Yacht now up 12%, a little less than the first quarter. The restructuring in Yacht has now been completed.

We have introduced our competencies, verticals, which is IT, engineering, and finance. We also have introduced a new front office system, but we are still working on recruitment of certain people to serve our goals. EBITDA margin for the Netherlands as a whole at 6.5% now. Germany, that is a different story. Subdued market. Revenue growth flat this time. That is an improvement compared to Q1. Volume still down. Permanent placement growth of 26%. If we look at the July numbers, it is something that does not make us pessimistic. It effectively sort of slowly continues as we have seen in the previous quarter. Gross profit at -1%, compared to -6% in the first quarter, it continues to be impacted by the changes in the collective labor agreement that have been implemented a while ago.

Especially the 13-week average calculation rule for sickness pay and holiday pay is having a negative impact. We have made some changes to the organization, which have resulted in a EUR 3.8 million restructuring charge. The EBITDA margin arrived at 4.6%. This market, as I just said at the beginning, is different. We can see our SME focus starting to contribute. It is early stages. We also have made changes to our professional businesses, now under the leadership of the group general manager in Germany, but the additional regulation impact still comes through in the results. Belgium. Stable growth at 6%. This quarter narrowing the gap to market clearly with a pretty good return at the EBITDA level, 5.4%. Iberia. Slide 14. Spain growth continues. Iberia as a whole is up 8%.

In Spain, it is up 14%. We have a very strong focus on customer profitability, which includes credit terms, so payment terms, and credit risks. That really is a challenge. Sometimes we are disposing clients in this country in order to protect our customer profitability. Professionals continue to grow, despite very tough comparables. Perm was growing. All in all, this is a pretty strong performance in Spain. In Portugal, revenue was down. Again, also here, the result of focus on client profitability, payment terms, et cetera. We continue to see growth in the call center business. EBITDA margin improved as a result of all of this to 3.8%. The U.K. on slide 15. Flat revenue development. Gross profit, however, grew. It was stable at 5%. We continue to see strong performance in the construction business.

Our perm fees up 5%. The EBITDA margin improved to 2%. The other European countries, growth continues across the board. Italy. 16%. Switzerland. A difficult market. Clearly the result of the currency changes. Growth eased to 2%. We are making gradual adjustments to the organization. In Poland. A different story. Growth eased to 2%. Clearly the result of scarcity and a very tough comparison base. Scarcity of candidates, I mean. We continue to invest in growth. We have added FTEs again. Rest of Europe now arrives at 3.3% EBITDA margin. The rest of the world. Stable growth at 12%. Japan improved from 2% to 6%. I note that in Q1 last year, the comparison was pretty strong due to the VAT changes. We effectively continue to see good growth here. Perm also up 25%.

Australia and New Zealand grew by 16%, perm by 31%. We have divested a small care business, which has resulted in a book profit. Asia. We do see growth at 9%. India now 14%, China 20%. We continue to invest in growth across the region. We also are focused on returns. Latin America. A bit mixed region. Brazil, of course, a difficult one. We do see, for example, Argentina improving. 16% growth now. As I just mentioned, our focus has shifted to growth. Also profitability. As a result of that, we now have a return of 0.6% here. If you look at the financial results, the income statement as a summary here. It effectively summarizes the items I have just mentioned, integration cost and one-offs. That is both the German restructuring minus the book profit on the Australian disposal.

The net finance cost, clearly lower than the previous quarter, but very much normal here, EUR 4 million. The previous quarter, we had a non-cash loss of EUR 20 million due to translation effects. This time it is minimal, that effect. I'm moving to slide 20, the segmental performance. Staffing, clearly improving its EBITA margin by 50 basis points. Good growth based on strong execution and improving productivity. Of course, the French improvement is also coming through here. Inhouse, it continues to be very successful, a good story now. We continue to be focused on transfers of clients from the distribution network through the branches into our dedicated delivery through Inhouse, which is typically a win-win both for the client and for Randstad. Professionals, we do see improving business in the U.S., as I mentioned, but across the board, it's also somewhat suppressed by the restructuring in the Netherlands.

The cross-margin bridge from Q2 last year to Q2 this year, 18.4%, 18.7%. In between, we have the temp margin slightly lower due to mixed effects. A lot of industrial growth here, but also price pressure. The contributions from permanent placement, which grew, and it's now 10.9% of GP. Actually, if one would add the RPO fees, it would be around 13% of GP, which would be a record level in the Randstad history. HRS also clearly contributing based on the growth of MSP and RPO. The operating expenses we are comparing on a sequential basis here from Q1 to Q2. First of all, the foreign exchange effect of EUR 6 million. We have the typical seasonal pattern, I would say, in the marketing spends. We have also added based on growth that we see, for example, North America, Iberia, Italy.

That's why you see organic additions in the E.U. It should say Europe, by the way, in North America, and also in the rest of the world. Net debt. This is effectively the reported high point in our net debt level. This is a typical seasonal pattern in the second quarter of the year. We always pay holiday pay, holiday allowances in the Netherlands, in Belgium. The dividend goes out of the door. As a result of that, we typically report the high point here, and that's also the case today. Leverage rate showed 0.7 now, but I would say still a solid balance sheet, a very solid balance sheet. DSO stands at 51.2. Now an improvement again. Working capital arrives at this high point of the year at 4.2%. Normally, it's around 3%. Return on invested capital, 15.1%, well ahead of the WACC.

Slide 24, the free cash flow in the second quarter. I would say there's effectively nothing special to report here. The net additions in property, plant and equipment and software are mainly the results of our investments in Indeed, in software, some office equipment. Nothing specific here. The dividend paid is stated a little lower on the page, EUR 94 million. That is reflecting the record level of dividend that we paid in April based on our last year results. That brings us to the outlook. Organic revenue growth 6%-7%, June was up more than 6%, the positive volume trend has continued into July, which means that it appears to be at least in line with the quarter average.

I've got some data for you on the geographies. Sometimes our exit rates are a bit confusing due to the impact of estimations at the end of the quarter, which are always complex, and working days effect. Sometimes we take out a working day because it's not officially a working day, but still we have some people working on these days, and we love it. In order to give you the best possible indication, we provide you with the underlying exit rates for the month of June by geographic segments. In the Netherlands, June arrived at 13%. In France, June, 4%. Germany at 0, which is actually 0.1, so it's not a very favorable rounding here. In Belgium, it was 7%. In the U.K., minus 1. Iberia, 6. North America, 5. Rest of Europe at 8.

The rest of the world, 9, which adds up to more than 6. We also continue to expect a significant foreign exchange impact on revenues, gross profit, OPEX, and then, of course, a little less at the EBITA level, which was, by the way, EUR 11 million in Q2. We remain on track to achieve our cost reductions and efficiencies that have been announced at the Capital Markets Day last year, with aims that EUR 60 million-EUR 70 million to be achieved in two steps in 2015, half of it, the other half in 2016, and we're well underway. We also not just expect, but we're sure it's going to have a similar number of working days for Q3 as last year. The Q3 gross margin is seasonally impacted as always.

That's a typical development in our book, for example, impacted by holiday workers in Belgium, that we always see coming through. The Q3 gross margin should be slightly below the Q2 level. By the way, in terms of the quality of the quarter, Q1 is the softest quarter. Q2, scaling improvement there. Q3 is ahead of Q2 normally. Q4 fights for either the second or third place with Q2. It very much depends on the impact of Christmas at the end of the year. Our cost base is expected to increase modestly sequentially. Operating expenses are going to be up on an organic basis. We have continued targeted investments in headcount, in line with what I shared with you when discussing the OPEX for Q2. The sequential foreign exchange impact is expected to be relatively limited.

For 2015, as I said at the very beginning, we think the expected tax rate can be adjusted to 26%-28%, coming from 27%-30%. On slide 26, we've copied the slide that we used to summarize our discussions at the Capital Markets Day, and it includes whatever you want to look at. This could be an ice bowl, it could be a bucket or a basket, but it's about the bowls in there. Top line growth was, at the time, set at the level of consensus. Today, we're a little higher than that. Our cost savings, as I just mentioned, are clearly coming through. Our activity-based field steering is doing a good job in terms of closing the gap with market and improving productivity. Our focus on professionals, permanent placements, and SME is helping and should continue to help the business mix.

As a result of that, we believe we are very much on track towards the ranges as stated here, assuming that the trends of today will continue. Finally, on page 27, again, the same slide as the opening slide with what we believe are the highlights of Q2. We will now move to Q&A, and I would like to ask you to limit yourselves to two questions in each round. Thank you. Operator, please go ahead.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad. If you change your mind and wish to withdraw your question, then press star two. Please ensure that your lines are unmuted locally. The first question today comes from David Tailleur from Rabobank. Please go ahead.

David Tailleur
Analyst, Rabobank

Good morning, gentlemen. First of all, on the EBITA margin in professionals, it was rather flat in the second quarter, and in the Q1, I think it was up by 110 basis points. Maybe you could clarify that. On France, your staffing trend seems to be quite stable on revenues, but PERM is more volatile looking from Q1 to Q2. Would you also give more color on that one, please? Thanks.

Robert-Jan van de Kraats
CFO, Randstad

The professionals, EBITA margin. I mentioned it, David, that we did see some impact coming through of the adjustments in the Netherlands that we are making. Of course, it increases the internal focus. That has not supported the return of our professionals business. We expect the impact to change towards the end of the year into a positive mode.

David Tailleur
Analyst, Rabobank

Okay. maybe a quick-

Robert-Jan van de Kraats
CFO, Randstad

Yeah.

David Tailleur
Analyst, Rabobank

Yeah, sorry, a quick follow-up on idle time. Has that also increased significantly then in Q2?

Robert-Jan van de Kraats
CFO, Randstad

No, that's not the main issue.

David Tailleur
Analyst, Rabobank

Okay. Thanks. Sorry. The other one things. Yeah.

Robert-Jan van de Kraats
CFO, Randstad

Compared to Q1, of course, you know that May is not the strongest month here. We had, in that sense, less working days, and that adds to idle time, but it's more a seasonal thing than a business-related thing.

David Tailleur
Analyst, Rabobank

Yeah.

Robert-Jan van de Kraats
CFO, Randstad

To France, on PERM, very happy with the growth trend as such. There's two things here. One is it's, of course, still from a relatively low base if you compare, and PERM is by nature volatile. June was a bit soft. There was also a very strong month within the quarter last year, so maybe comparison played a role here. July looks pretty good again. We do expect PERM to be adding to our French results.

David Tailleur
Analyst, Rabobank

Okay, great. Thanks to you guys.

Robert-Jan van de Kraats
CFO, Randstad

It's not just guys here, it's also Linda here.

Operator

The next question comes from Toby Reay from Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.

Toby Reay
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

I'll stick with two as well. Could you clarify that July is better than Q2? I think you said across the board regionally. Does that mean that all regions are in line with Q2 or better in July? The second one, could you talk a little bit about the MSP and the RPO business, could you give the absolute levels of revenue? What size of contract comes under MSP, are we looking at all new regional and global deals now being sort of MSP-type transactions, please?

Jacques van den Broek
CEO, Randstad

Okay, Toby, the July trends. I'll just want to stick to what I said before. We see the volume trend in July, which we measure by week, we see it to be at least in line with the Q2 growth rates. I added per country. It is across the board. It applies to every relevant geography that we do see this trend continuing and to be at least in line with Q2 growth.

Toby Reay
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Very clear. Thank you.

Jacques van den Broek
CEO, Randstad

I think that is pretty explicit.

Toby Reay
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Yeah.

Jacques van den Broek
CEO, Randstad

We move to the RPO question.

Toby Reay
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

RPO question for the MSP.

Jacques van den Broek
CEO, Randstad

Toby, raise it again, please.

Toby Reay
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

It's interesting to see that obviously the strong amounts of growth coming from MSP and RPO. Could you give us the absolute levels of revenue you're making from those businesses? Secondly, what size of contract comes under the MSP and are all the new large regional global deals MSP deals nowadays?

Jacques van den Broek
CEO, Randstad

Well, just to start with answering the last part of your question. No, not all the programs are global ones. There's a large part of the business in the U.S., which is local U.S. business. There is absolutely also a lot of MSP with our larger clients, truly global, as in everywhere, programs are still fairly limited. That's one answer to your question.

Hey, Toby. On MSP RPO, we're only giving you sort of an annualized number, the ballpark is roughly EUR 300 million-EUR 400 million of revenue combined for MSP RPO.

Toby Reay
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Okay. Thank you, guys.

Jacques van den Broek
CEO, Randstad

Thank you.

Operator

The next question is from Chris Gallagher from JPMorgan. Please go ahead.

Chris Gallagher
Analyst, JPMorgan

Just a quick question on the difference in the organic growth from Netherlands and the actual growth, which was 400 basis points. The second question, in North America, SourceRight was +25%. I'm just trying to understand how you're growing so much there. Are there some large contracts you've won?

Speaker 16

SourceRight in the U.S., we're getting huge growth in two areas. First of all, RPO, which is up north of 20%, and that is a combination of new accounts. I think we've had a record new account level this year, but also expansion of existing customers. Those are contributing. The same is true in MSP. We've won a lot of new programs. Our customers are now in second and third generation MSP programs and are often looking to upgrade. We've had some very significant wins there, but also the volumes within our existing clients continue to grow. The good thing about the SourceRight performance is it's across the board, and I think gives you an indication of also what's going on in the market. The MSP is a good bellwether for the revenue trends in the market overall.

Jacques van den Broek
CEO, Randstad

Just trying to get some of the numbers right. The latest indication of the Dutch market was at 11%, and our June underlying exit rate that I gave you earlier was 13%. These are the numbers that we have here. Hope that clarifies.

Chris Gallagher
Analyst, JPMorgan

Yeah. Sorry, I was talking about for your last quarter, the organic growth was 14%, the actual was 10%, the Netherlands.

Jacques van den Broek
CEO, Randstad

We don't recognize those numbers, that's one. The other one is that you need to take into account that if you look at growth per working day in the Netherlands, certainly May was a very funny month, whereas, for example, the 5th of May was officially like a holiday, but we found out a lot of people were working here. That sort of portrayed a little bit too rosy picture of the growth per working day in the Dutch market. That's why we give you the underlying trend, which is much more closer to reality, actually.

Chris Gallagher
Analyst, JPMorgan

Okay. Thank you.

Operator

The next question is from Nicholas de la Grense from Bank of America Merrill Lynch. Please go ahead.

Nicholas de la Grense
Research Analyst, Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Good morning, guys. Two from me as well, please. Firstly, in terms of restructuring, you took another small charge in Germany in the quarter. I was just wondering if you felt that there were further cost actions that could be taken elsewhere in the group following the restructuring program of last year. The second one, just on pricing trends. Obviously, the temp performance was a slight drag on gross margin, and you mentioned that pricing pressure was an element of that as well as mix. I was just wondering, has anything changed in terms of the pricing dynamics since the last quarter? If so, which regions stand out? Thank you.

Jacques van den Broek
CEO, Randstad

Well, pricing. There's nothing materially changed. It's a pretty stable development in many markets. Everybody gets very excited in the business about large contracts and there's some pricing pressure which, as you can see, we offset either through delivery models or through overall cost. The cost in Germany is our professionals business, where Robert-Jan indicated we put our Randstad Professionals business and our group freelance contracting business under one management. We need less cost. This is mostly branches and management that we're taking out here. There's also a market reason. As you might know, there's quite some legal change or call it clarification on the position of freelancers in Germany. This has gone on for two years. It's also healthy to position yourself, if you call it in a sort of a vertical where you offer both temps, f irm and, by the way, freelancers in the German market. That's also a reason to put it under one management.

If you look ahead, we'll be making some adjustments going forward, but I don't anticipate, let's say, very big amounts. We have charged EUR 51 million over the last four quarters in terms of restructuring. Now EUR 3.8 million. We'll probably see some more going forward, but I don't think anything extremely significant. The way we look at it is like an investment. We evaluate any restructuring in terms of does it give us a return, and we aim at having a return within 12 months. Mostly we are successful, not always completely, but this way we drive efficiency from restructuring.

Nicholas de la Grense
Research Analyst, Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Okay. Thank you. Just one quick follow-up on that. You said that the payback on the EUR 60 million-EUR 70 million restructuring was going to be half this year, half next. I was just wondering, is that still the case and will that be more kind of second half weighted this year given the cost trends that we've seen so far. I suppose what I'm trying to say is, I'm surprised that costs have grown as much as they did organically, given the restructuring program.

Robert-Jan van de Kraats
CFO, Randstad

Well, there's nothing effectively specific other than the seasonal pattern in marketing costs and the additional investments we've made in FTEs across the board. It should very much be in line. If you look at the GP over FTE, in the meantime, our productivity has improved. That's exactly the way we're steering the company. Finally, the way to evaluate this is that our incremental conversion, so the drop-through should be north of 50%, and it arrives at 61. Let's say we're not surprised.

Nicholas de la Grense
Research Analyst, Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Okay. Thank you.

Robert-Jan van de Kraats
CFO, Randstad

Thank you.

Operator

The next question is from Paul Sullivan from Barclays. Please go ahead.

Paul Sullivan
Analyst, Barclays

Morning, everybody. Just really following up on that. Can you break out the cost reductions from the programs that you took out in the second quarter specifically? You talk about this over 50% ICR. As recovery picks up and you start to see signs of cost creep, how long do you think that's sustainable as Europe starts to accelerate?

Robert-Jan van de Kraats
CFO, Randstad

I think we provide a relatively high level of disclosure. We typically test that frequently, I really think we should stick to the numbers that we have provided. In terms of the incremental conversion, some further indication that we can provide is that normally if a company starts to grow, that's sort of the standard rule. First year, we should realize a lot more by just adding some bonus commissions and marketing expenses. Typically for a specific opco, the ICR should sort of be in the direction of 80%. That applies to most companies, but not all. For example, in the professional space, typically commissions and bonuses are slightly higher, and that means the incremental conversion goes towards the 50%. A lot of our businesses, we look at sort of with the standard rule of trying to get to 80%.

This typically lasts for one year. Of course, it depends on the speed of growth. Typically, as a standard rule, you could say it's a year. After that year, we're starting to add more people. The incremental conversion ratio typically goes to a level just north of 50%. I think in most countries, that's what we start to see coming through. We have seen growth in the U.S. for a long time, and I think it's pretty impressive if you look at the incremental conversion ratios, which still continue to be around 50%, and that includes the professionals business today. The Japanese business has been growing for quite a while, and we still see it at around that level. Some others are contributing a bit higher level. At the same time, and that's my final comment here.

Life is not linear, life is not mathematics. For example, in our French business, we see a very successful run of our in-house business, which means that we're taking out the client from the branch, moving it inside to in-house, and that means we have to add some people because we want to keep the people in the branch in order to address the SME. Effectively, our leverage goes down slightly because of this strategic choice, because we want to enjoy the opportunity to get to new clients from the branch as well. The leverage goes down a little. The first indications I gave you, I think are very clearly reflected in the outcome now of 61% over the last four quarters. I hope this helps, Paul.

Paul Sullivan
Analyst, Barclays

Yeah, it does. You're not going to provide us with the gross cost savings you took out in the quarter?

Robert-Jan van de Kraats
CFO, Randstad

No.

Paul Sullivan
Analyst, Barclays

No. Okay. Can I just one follow-up. Can you provide any color on verticals in France? Particularly construction. How's that doing?

Robert-Jan van de Kraats
CFO, Randstad

Everything is doing well except construction. That's a good question.

Paul Sullivan
Analyst, Barclays

Okay.

Robert-Jan van de Kraats
CFO, Randstad

Construction in France is first of all, it's a cycle, of course. Second of all, it's still driven a lot by public investments, they're not taking place at the moment.

Paul Sullivan
Analyst, Barclays

Okay. That's great. Thank you very much.

Operator

The next question comes from Marc Zwartsenburg from ING. Please go ahead.

Marc Zwartsenburg
Head of Equity Research, ING

Yeah, good morning, guys and Linda. I want to drill down into your gross margin outlook. You're guiding for a slightly lower gross margin quarter-on-quarter. Last year, we saw a bit of an uplift. I think there was also some CCA in there. Could you perhaps give me a bit more color why the trend is not at least flattish to slightly up because mixed improvements are feeding through, et cetera? On the back of that, I would like to also know the gross margin development in the Netherlands year-on-year.

Jacques van den Broek
CEO, Randstad

Well, Marc, we'll give you a response on your first question, okay? Your assumption was right. Last year, some CCA impact in Q3, which improved the gross margin improvement in that quarter. Underlying, but of course, this is part of business, CCA, and we had to make estimations on how much we needed to cover our costs or to cover any discounts we would give. All of that resulted in more positive outcomes last year, as a result of which we did have an additional release.

Marc Zwartsenburg
Head of Equity Research, ING

Could you quantify that one? Sorry. Could you quantify the number?

Jacques van den Broek
CEO, Randstad

Yeah. Marc, effectively, I think can be explained by explaining this difference. Normally it would be sequentially slightly lower gross margin last year as well.

Marc Zwartsenburg
Head of Equity Research, ING

Okay.

Jacques van den Broek
CEO, Randstad

That is sort of the Now it's up. Yeah.

Arun Morgan
Investor Relations Officer, Randstad

Sorry, I didn't catch that, Arun.

Jacques van den Broek
CEO, Randstad

Arun said now it's up. This is the problem. Sometimes you have a benefit, you have accruals, and then you have to explain it that year and the year thereafter again. Marc, I would urge you to look at the gross margin movement, Q3 on Q2 on a group level last year, and you can see it was up. There was an unusual breaking of a seasonal pattern.

Marc Zwartsenburg
Head of Equity Research, ING

Yeah, I noticed that. I wanted to get a bit more detail on how big that was. Consensus was not penciling it in for this year's quarter.

Jacques van den Broek
CEO, Randstad

That's it. Marc, there's just one thing I'm going to say. It's very much the customer profitability that's driving our decisions here. I think the number that has been reported on Q2 clearly indicates that we are capable of matching the right delivery against whatever the client wants as a service, but also what the client wants as a price.

Marc Zwartsenburg
Head of Equity Research, ING

Okay. Can I add another question? Do you have any client feedback, whether they see any signs of weakening of order books related to China or any other weakness that they're seeing in Q3, or is everything just as it was in Q2, no signs of weakening at all?

Jacques van den Broek
CEO, Randstad

We're looking around the table as you ask your question now. This again, is a bit like, this is the slight difference between financial markets and life. The slowdown in China and the financial markets is two weeks old. Not recently talked to clients, but on a serious note, we don't really see that.

Marc Zwartsenburg
Head of Equity Research, ING

Don't see that. Okay, clear. Thank you very much.

Operator

The next question comes from Tom Sykes from Deutsche Bank. Please go ahead.

Tom Sykes
Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Morning, everybody. I just wondered if you've got any comments on how high a percentage of gross profit you'd be prepared to take permanent recruitment and the combined level with RPO. Just on your slides right at the beginning, I notice you've chosen the ASA data and not the BLS data for market growth in the U.S. Is that something you think is accurate, or do you think that it's an amalgam of the two?

Jacques van den Broek
CEO, Randstad

I'll take the first one. Linda will do the second one. We don't have a deliberate goal in mind on where we can take the perm percentage. We do have a deliberate strategy to increase perm, and there's two elements which are really driving that, certainly compared to the last cycle. One is the deliberate choice we make to grow perm in staffing. That's something we really never had, certainly not eight years ago. That's helping enormously in the percentage. The second one, of course, is RPO, which again, in 2007, was pretty nascent and now is really matured and maturing. It's mature in the U.S., it's maturing in Europe, and certainly Asia-Pac is a large RPO market. I don't know where it's going to get to. It also depends heavily on where staffing and the rest of our business is growing.

You can see there's definitely, and also quite quick, an upward trend in this, where staffing is growing and GP and perm as a percentage. All's well on that front. No deliberate goal in mind. Probably underlying your question, Tom, you might sort of address the sensitivity of this business or the volatility of this business going through the cycle. Please note that what Jacques said, the fact that we now have permanent staffing, that is a little less volatile because it is very often served by hybrid structures where we are more capable of making adjustments in a downturn than we would be in other parts of permanent placement business. The characteristics of staffing are a bit more favorable here.

Finally, I forgot to mention that, we also have quite a few new markets where we are concentrating on perm growth that we never had, such as China. I think going forward, Brazil will participate there. Also in, relatively mature markets, but immature in terms of perms such as Spain, where you've seen our Randstad Professionals business from scratch growing into the business it is today, which also gives Randstad Group sort of new perm.

Tom Sykes
Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Right. You do not worry about increased cyclicality of your business?

Jacques van den Broek
CEO, Randstad

That's why I assumed this was underlying your question. That's exactly why.

Tom Sykes
Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Well, I mean, that's obviously it, yeah.

Jacques van den Broek
CEO, Randstad

We think we can make more adjustments in the staffing perm space, and that's where we see a lot of growth at the moment.

Tom Sykes
Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Okay.

Jacques van den Broek
CEO, Randstad

You're right there. If this becomes a very big part, then we're a bit more sensitive.

Robert-Jan van de Kraats
CFO, Randstad

I don't think it's going that fast.

Jacques van den Broek
CEO, Randstad

Okay, fine.

Let me put my philosophical hat on. You can also say that when at the end of a cycle, people get hired more. Normally our staffing GP would go down, then perm would be offsetting. There's an up and an downside to it.

Yeah. Okay.

Speaker 16

Yeah, Tom, we don't typically look too closely at the BLS data. I would say when evaluating our performance against the market, we usually look at a combination of the ASA and the SIA data. We find that BLS is quite jumpy, has strong revisions, and is overly sensitive to light industrial only. We do not, however, recognize the big dip that's been communicated in the ASA data. I do believe we're outperforming markets and picking up share. We do think that, maybe the ASA data, this is a combination of the monthly data that's provided. There may be, I think, a revision up. We don't recognize that dip. I would never refer to the BLS data. The other thing in the ASA, things like conversions and perm obviously don't play a role.

Jacques van den Broek
CEO, Randstad

Yeah.

Speaker 16

Sometimes there can be a little bit of a trade-off there.

Jacques van den Broek
CEO, Randstad

It's not a great profit number either, is it?

Speaker 16

Yeah. There's a real tightening of supply in the U.S. We are seeing clients hire our temporary employee, pay a conversion rate, and place an order for new temporary employees. This is definitely all about supply at the moment.

Jacques van den Broek
CEO, Randstad

Yeah.

Speaker 16

The market continues strong. I think that's not fully digested in that ASA data.

Jacques van den Broek
CEO, Randstad

Fair enough. Thank you very much.

Operator

The next question comes from Yves Franco from KBC. Please go ahead.

Yves Franco
Analyst, KBC

Good morning, gentlemen, and Linda, of course. I'm wondering about the Dutch professional segment because restructuring has been going on for some time, and now a big hit was taken. Is this some closure of the restructuring that has occurred in the quarter? Can we see an uplift again after that to the 19 figure we saw in the first quarter? Secondly, on your margin developments in France and Iberia. These are quite strong, especially in France, where you said that pricing would be somewhat more relaxed from your side guys, giving away some subsidies. In Iberia, I think your operating leverage is becoming somewhat limited there. Can you maybe explain what drove the strong increase in professionals there that drove the margins? Thanks a lot.

Jacques van den Broek
CEO, Randstad

Let me take the first question on professionals in the Netherlands.

Yves Franco
Analyst, KBC

Yeah.

Jacques van den Broek
CEO, Randstad

As we look back in the history, we see Q4 2014 as a quarter of construction. Q1 is rebuilding and Q2 of implementation. You always get some issues and blockades, which you find out during the way. I think we were very successful in restructuring Yacht into the new Yacht. The growth in terms of sequential Q1 to Q2 has mainly to do also with the working days. Working days were extremely unfavorable in Q2, especially for Yacht business. That's not very helpful. I think overall, with the 12% growth, we can be very satisfied.

Yves Franco
Analyst, KBC

Okay. Thanks.

Jacques van den Broek
CEO, Randstad

On Iberia. You ask about incremental conversion rate. What we are doing certainly in Spain is we are also in the current market, which is quite positive. We are building this Randstad Professionals business. We are very aggressively hiring people. We went from effectively nowhere like 3 years ago to now a top 3 position. That comes at a cost. Again, this is probably if you talk about capital allocation, where we did not get any questions yet on that topic. When we talk about capital allocation, we also talk about investments in organic growth. Certainly in Spain, to a lesser extent in Italy, these are immature markets as we showed you at a meeting we dedicated to that part of Europe. We think there is a lot of opportunity there to create a better business going forward in Spain.

Yves Franco
Analyst, KBC

Yeah.

Jacques van den Broek
CEO, Randstad

This again, we talk a lot about ICR. It is absolutely a very relevant one. We also play with it, and sometimes we make deliberate choices to lower it, as Robert-Jan, for example, alluded to in the French situation. Spanish situation is also that.

Yves Franco
Analyst, KBC

How much operating leverage-- Sorry, Jacques. How much operating leverage are you still seeing in the Spain business? This has been growing for some time already. In the slide, it also mentioned strong operating leverage, and I would.

Jacques van den Broek
CEO, Randstad

In my model of 1st year, high incremental conversion, then moving to north of 50%. Spain has been growing for a while now, pretty aggressively. We started to grow with a very clean cost base.

Yves Franco
Analyst, KBC

Yeah.

Jacques van den Broek
CEO, Randstad

Not a lot of overcapacity. The incremental conversion ratio in Spain in our books is a little below 50%. That also serves the point Jaak made. We are, in the meantime, adding aggressively number of people to strategic investments here.

Yves Franco
Analyst, KBC

Permanent jobs.

Jacques van den Broek
CEO, Randstad

In Portugal. Portugal always had a high ICR. They had a high ICR out of a relatively low margin. What we're doing in Portugal is, given the fact that we have 30% of the market, we want to rebalance our portfolio more towards white collar and SME. That's an investment. At the same time, we're shedding some contracts. That results in a relatively low ICR, again, changing the business towards a better future.

Yves Franco
Analyst, KBC

Okay.

Jacques van den Broek
CEO, Randstad

The French pricing, Yves.

Yves Franco
Analyst, KBC

Yeah.

Jacques van den Broek
CEO, Randstad

I think the conclusion would be incorrect to say that we are bridging the gap with markets based on pricing. What we see is that growth is driven b y a lot of commercial activities, activity-based steering. On top of that, our strong positioning in the industrial segment. Thirdly, as related to that, the Randstad Inhouse Services setup, which is very successful, and if we have a client and it starts to grow in the industrial segment, we grow with it, and that's helpful. This year, there was a slight addition to subsidies, which we have used very consciously in the SME segment or with clients in order to increase the size of our business. They have been very effective in increasing the customer profitability. I think that's sort of the overall scope.

Just to illustrate, we are currently growing in SME in France, that also adds and is a good sign, I think, of what we're doing in the market.

Yves Franco
Analyst, KBC

Okay. Thanks a lot.

Jacques van den Broek
CEO, Randstad

Thank you.

Operator

The next question comes from Konrad Zomer from ABN AMRO. Please go ahead.

Konrad Zomer
Analyst, ABN AMRO

Hi, good morning, everybody. Just a question on the U.S. professionals business. The 2% growth, I think, is a very good number. I was wondering if that's the start of a new trend. Do you think that you've turned a corner there? Can you tell us anything about the profitability of the U.S. professionals business, whether or not it's below the average for the U.S. business overall? Any more detail will be very helpful.

Speaker 16

Yeah. I hope it's a start of new trend. What we've seen is the biggest part of our U.S. business is in IT. Our IT business was working hard, I'd say, over the last six quarters to get their performance into strongly positive territory. They've succeeded. The IT business is doing well. That appears to be continuing. The finance and accounting business, same thing. We supply repair work. It is picking up steam. We're very pleased with that. Our engineering business is suffering a little bit of the oil and gas flu. That's relatively small for us. Yeah, it's a strong market. The market has never been the problem. The improvements that are made appear sustained. That's positive. The professionals business is more profitable than our overall U.S. business.

As the professional business grows, that has a positive impact on our overall business.

Robert-Jan van de Kraats
CFO, Randstad

It's somewhat more profitable, I think, we should stick to that.

Speaker 16

It is somewhat more profitable. Yeah.

Konrad Zomer
Analyst, ABN AMRO

Did you also see, like your margins in the U.S. improved 90 basis points? Was the improvement in the EBITDA margin of the professionals business similar to the improvement overall?

Robert-Jan van de Kraats
CFO, Randstad

It was also improving, Konrad.

Speaker 16

Yeah. Because the improvement is broad-based. The temp margins are improving. Pay bill spreads are good. SUI is good. Conversions are up from that.

Robert-Jan van de Kraats
CFO, Randstad

The new pricing sparks also based on availability of candidates.

Speaker 16

Yeah.

Konrad Zomer
Analyst, ABN AMRO

Okay. Thank you.

Robert-Jan van de Kraats
CFO, Randstad

That helps.

Operator

The next question comes from Hans Pluijgers from Kepler Cheuvreux. Please go ahead.

Hans Pluijgers
Analyst, Kepler Cheuvreux

Yes, good morning, lady and gentlemen. One question on France, on the pricing environment. How do you see that going forward? What do we see already, let's say, pricing pressure picking up, and how do you see, let's say, the margin development going forward? Do you believe we are close to peak margins? You still see some underlying improvement, but assuming current trends in sales will continue, do you still see upside in the EBITDA margin? Secondly, going back on the cost savings. Also again, assuming current trends in sales will continue, how do you see the net impact from the cost savings and underlying investments and normal inflation? Do you believe that costs will continue to go up? Could you give some feeling on that, how you see that developing? If you, let's say, look into 2016, end of 2016, how do you see that cost level then?

Jacques van den Broek
CEO, Randstad

Let me do France, and then RJ will follow up. Of course, our results or profitability, EBITDA as a percentage is good in France. We're happy with that. We're concentrating on growth in France. That's why, as Robert-Jan already alluded to, we are investing in headcounts. When we open a new in-house branch, we've opened roughly 20 new branches in the first half here. That means we need to staff the branch or we need to staff the in-house branch. We sometimes do that with the people who came from the branch or we replace them. We're investing there. We're concentrating on growth. We do think that the French market has momentum. We don't see a significant change from Q2 into Q3. Far so good. Although, as always, August is there and then everybody is on holiday.

There's again the reset in September, but so far so good.

Robert-Jan van de Kraats
CFO, Randstad

The cost development, if you look at 2015, the cost reductions, which was roughly half of the program, most of that arrived in Q1. It was related to the Dutch restructuring. At the same time, of course, we had to process wage inflation. Next to currency impact, wage inflation, and we've continued to add FTE. I would say that is the picture of 2015. If you look at 2016, I expect it to come in more gradual because it's not a big

Jacques van den Broek
CEO, Randstad

hit like the one that we had in the Netherlands in Q1. On top of that, we'll continue to see wage inflation again, extension of FTE. The real way also to measure this is to clearly look at the drop-through rate, the ICR, and the productivity measured over FTEs. Of course, if we have a one-on-one, I'm very much willing to show you where you can see it, but it's clearly coming through, and we expect to see the same next year.

Hans Pluijgers
Analyst, Kepler Cheuvreux

Okay, thank you.

Operator

The next question comes from Matthew Lloyd from HSBC. Please go ahead.

Matthew Lloyd
Analyst, HSBC

Good morning, gentlemen. A slightly longer-term question. Since about 2011, the share of the labor force in the Netherlands that's been temporary has been growing, but the share through agencies has been flat. You seem to have been losing share as an industry up until perhaps last year and the beginning of this year. Do you think you can regain that lost market share as an industry, and what do you think caused it?

Jacques van den Broek
CEO, Randstad

There's a few elements there. One is the rise of the freelancer. Certainly, if you measure it in money, then most freelancers are at the upper end of the labor market. You should think bill rate, well, EUR 80 or something. If one freelancer comes in the market, that sort of offsets three regular temps. That's a bit of a thingy. What we do see now, the relatively rapid growth of the Dutch market, is absolutely, to a certain extent, the catch-up effect. I think we can expect the whole penetration rate of temps in the Netherlands to go up. Also in the U.S., we're at record numbers in terms of penetration. We do see that in an upward cycle, a prolonged upward cycle, penetration rates goes up again.

Matthew Lloyd
Analyst, HSBC

Okay, thank you very much.

Robert-Jan van de Kraats
CFO, Randstad

I would add a few things on that, on the Netherlands. I think your observation is correct. There is a big bag actual flexibility coming in. It's not only staffing anymore, it's everything. That's a good point, I think, because we are also in all those business lines. It is not only through an agency, it's much more than that. Next to that, I think that the new developments in the law and legislation will give a relatively better position to flexibility and also through the agency staffing. That will give us, in line as what Jacques is saying, I think, a better perspective on the long term.

Matthew Lloyd
Analyst, HSBC

Okay, thank you.

Operator

The last question is a follow-up from Hans Pluijgers from Kepler Cheuvreux. Please go ahead.

Hans Pluijgers
Analyst, Kepler Cheuvreux

Yes. Hans again. Maybe a little bit early, looking at the new legislation in the Netherlands, you already indicated that the exit rate for Netherlands was 13%, and you principally see that July per country is at least in line with Q2. Could you give some feeling, do you have seen any impact, let's say, from the legislation that maybe temps are being shed somewhat? Do you see that maybe also by segment? Could you give some feeling maybe if there are some difference? Could you give some indication what you're seeing there?

Jacques van den Broek
CEO, Randstad

No. I think it's what you mentioned in the beginning of your question. It's far too early to say. It's the 1st of July when the law was implemented. I think we can see probably at the end of the year some effects and some probably negative, probably positive. You've seen in the news, but that's already a long time ago, actually a few months ago already, that there are some clients which were probably doing something which was related to the legislation. In my opinion, that was not a correct observation. Flexibility is everywhere in every sector, and clients are really flexible right now, and that's why they probably, just in terms of their cost savings, are also cutting costs across the board. I think it's nothing to do directly with the legislation. As I said, it's the 1st of July.

Let's get back to your question in Q4.

Hans Pluijgers
Analyst, Kepler Cheuvreux

Maybe follow on that.

Robert-Jan van de Kraats
CFO, Randstad

Just one add-on from Jacques. Too early to tell. The funny thing, by the way, as a result of the law is that the situation around fixed labor is less secure, as in what can I expect if I hire someone, whereas the situation with flex is very clear. We'll see what the result will be.

Hans Pluijgers
Analyst, Kepler Cheuvreux

Maybe one follow-up on that, because you said maybe at the end of the year, we'll see maybe some positive, maybe some negative impacts. What do you see potential as negative impacts and what potential as positive impacts from this new legislation?

Jacques van den Broek
CEO, Randstad

Well, the negative effect normally is that there's less temps for us. The positive effect is that there's more temps. What do you want to know?

Hans Pluijgers
Analyst, Kepler Cheuvreux

Okay, let's say, how the effects could work from this new legislation.

Jacques van den Broek
CEO, Randstad

That's all the theoretical stuff. Let's look at the results. We're currently seeing a good market in the Netherlands. Let's hope that stays driven by economic factors, not so much the legal framework. We'll update you probably at the Capital Markets Day, we might know more.

Hans Pluijgers
Analyst, Kepler Cheuvreux

Okay, thanks.

Operator

We have no further questions on the line.

Jacques van den Broek
CEO, Randstad

All right. Well, thank you so much for joining us on this call. We look forward to connect again at the end of October on our Q3 results. On behalf of Linda and the guys over here, we wish you a nice summer. Bye.