Cromwell Property Group (ASX:CMW)
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Apr 28, 2026, 4:10 PM AEST
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Earnings Call: H1 2025

Feb 26, 2025

Operator

I would now like to hand the conference over to Mr. Jonathan Callaghan, Chief Executive Officer. Thank you, please go ahead.

Jonathan Callaghan
CEO and Managing Director, Cromwell Property Group

Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us today for Cromwell Property Group's half-year financial results to 31 December 2024. I begin today's presentation by acknowledging the traditional custodians of the land from where this call is being hosted, the Gadigal people of the Eora Nation. We pay our respects to their elders past and present. The highlight of the year was completion of the sale of Cromwell's European platform on 24 December. The sale included our co-investment stakes in Cromwell European REIT and the Cromwell Italy Urban Logistics Fund, and was a significant step in the group's strategy to simplify the business and return capital to our home market. Following the completion of this sale, proceeds were used to reduce the net debt.

As a result, gearing now sits almost 10% down at 29.1%, with group net debt now down to AUD 646 million, 66% down since the group started its simplification strategy in 2021. The journey to simplify Cromwell's business has taken some time, commencing in 2021. We have exited AUD 1.6 billion of non-core investment since then, enabling us to stabilize the business and refocus efforts locally. We now manage AUD 4.5 billion of assets across Australia and New Zealand. This includes eight core office properties, ahead of AUD 2.1 billion in our investment portfolio, and AUD 2.2 billion of third-party assets managed by Cromwell's funds management business. We are very pleased that Cromwell is now positioned to deploy capital to fund value and earnings growth for our security holders. I'll pass now to Michelle Dance, Cromwell CFO, to cover the financial performance and capital management for the half year.

Michelle Dance
CFO, Cromwell Property Group

Thank you, Jonathan. Good morning to you all. The group reports underlying profit of AUD 55.1 million for the half year, equivalent to AUD 0.21 per security. This was a 34.4% decrease from the prior corresponding period, which included income from non-core assets that form part of our business simplification and de-leveraging strategy. The Australian investment portfolio delivered an ongoing strong result in line with the prior corresponding period, with earnings of AUD 78 million. This is due to Cromwell's strong asset management, including leasing activities, which Rob will discuss later on the call. On a statutory basis, Cromwell Property Group reports a loss of AUD 28.6 million for the six months to 31 December 2024. This was mainly driven by revaluation of the investment portfolio, down AUD 99 million on a like-for-like basis. Also adding to this were fair value losses from interest rate and currency derivatives of AUD 31.6 million.

Losses were offset somewhat by foreign exchange gains of AUD 54.9 million and a AUD 23.2 million gain on the sale of the European platform. Net tangible assets per security moved from AUD 0.61 to AUD 0.57 due to a AUD 0.04 per security decline in investment portfolio valuations over the period. Distributions of AUD 0.01 per security were paid over the six-month period, which represents a payout ratio of 106.4% to AFFO for the six months to 31 December. Adjusted funds from operations for the period was AUD 36.9 million, or AUD 1.41 per security. Within funds and asset management, both Australia and Europe generated around AUD 4 million of income each. Overall, the total segment was down 33% over the half year compared to HY24, largely due to a 50% decline in earnings from Europe.

Corporate costs were flat, and financing costs were 27% less over the half year compared to HY24, due to interest saved after repaying the debt associated with Cromwell Polish Retail Fund, which was sold and completed in May 2024. Debt across the group is significantly low, which we are very pleased about as we move into the next phase of Cromwell's growth journey. As you can see on slide 12, group net debt is down more than 60% since we started the group simplification strategy, down to AUD 645 million. This puts gearing now at 29.1%, which is below Cromwell's target range of 30%-40%. Weighted average cost of debt is 4.8%, and our weighted debt maturity is 2.3 years. The group now has ample headroom to covenants following completion of the sale of the European platform and subsequent debt repayment on the 10th of January this year.

As you can see on the chart on the left side of slide 13, there is significant undrawn debt available to the group. This provides the group flexibility to take advantage of growth opportunities as they present themselves. While the group may use some of this capacity for considered capital management and growth initiatives, we are guided by the group's target gearing range of 30% to 40% and intend on prudent capital deployment to stay within these bounds. The chart on the right of this slide shows that in the very near term, following the recent debt repayment, we are close to fully hedged. These derivatives taper off throughout the years into our target range. Our current weighted average cost of debt will drift up marginally as derivatives entered into some time ago at very low coupon rates begin to expire.

Rob Percy, Cromwell's Chief Investment Officer, will now step through performance within the investment portfolio and funds management businesses.

Rob Percy
CIO, Cromwell Property Group

Thanks, Michelle. Good morning, everyone. As mentioned by Michelle, the investment portfolio income remains strong, underpinned by strong asset occupancy of 95.8%, up 1.7% since June 2024. While the portfolio's valuations are down $99 million of 4.5% to $2.1 billion over the six months to 31 December 2024, the pace of market cap rate expansion appears to be slowing. Our investment portfolio weighted average cap rate has expanded in the period by 40 basis points to 7%. The slowing of the valuations, combined with the strong period for leasing, gives us a level of confidence that the market is nearing a positive inflection point. New and existing tenants have been active in key core leasing markets where our investment portfolio assets are located. During the six months, over 16,000 square meters of new or renegotiated leases were agreed in our portfolio.

Slide 16 shows our strong tenant mix, with almost 70% of portfolio income attributed to government, Qantas, and Metro Trains, all very low-risk income. The portfolio weighted average lease expiry across the portfolio is now 5.1 years. Slide 17 outlines Cromwell's active asset management ethos, which supports leasing through tenant engagement, strategic asset upgrades, and various other initiatives to drive occupancy and maximize rental income. The bar chart on the right illustrates that the investment portfolio's weighted average lease expiry stands at 5.1 years, reflecting a strategic focus on mitigating near-term lease expiry. This has been achieved through mutually beneficial negotiations that secured longer lease terms for several large tenants who had near-term expiries. Through this leasing activity, we have significantly de-risked the portfolio, which will drive value over the longer term. We have included a case study on the development of CoLab at Kent on slide 18.

This is an example of an initiative to drive asset values by developing unused or difficult space to provide a third space or common area to be made available for tenant use. In this instance, the space includes new and modern kitchen and breakouts for café-style seating. There is an auditorium that can sit 100 people to be used as a conference or learning space. The room can be divided to have two spaces half the size and capacity. A folding space is also available for smaller groups or meetings. Our funds management business is now managing AUD 2.2 billion of third-party funds under management across Australia and New Zealand. This number remained largely flat over the period, with valuation increases in Cromwell Phoenix Securities Funds offsetting asset devaluations in Cromwell Direct Property Fund. Details can be found on slide 20 of the presentation pack.

In the Cromwell Direct Property Fund, valuations are down by 5% to AUD 470 million, and the weighted average cap rate is 7.3%. The weighted average lease expiry remains stable at 3.6 years, and occupancy is strong at 94.6%. More than 7,000 sq m of space was leased over the six months. I'll now hand back to Jonathan to talk more about the path forward for Cromwell.

Jonathan Callaghan
CEO and Managing Director, Cromwell Property Group

Thanks, Rob. If you've got the presentation pack in front of you, we're now at slide 22. We will be a capital-light investment manager serving retail, wholesale, and institutional investors through the investment in and management of traditional real estate classes. We will drive growth through three key channels, which we outline on slide 23. We will drive organic growth within the investment management business, focusing on markets we know well in asset classes we are well acquainted with. This is a slower, low-risk growth path, which requires targeted and specialized asset selection, often single assets at a time, to build new funds and investment mandates. This attracts capital from all markets: retail, wholesale, and institutional investors. Our second growth channel is growth through our existing products, which will build on the funds Cromwell currently manages.

We may join with like-minded partners to grow through single-asset or multiple-asset funds that align to an existing product strategy, using scale to drive returns. Platform acquisitions are our third path to growth. In the current market, opportunities are likely to present themselves for us to acquire and merge investment management platforms or take on the management of funds as separate vehicles. This provides a faster growth trajectory and provides the opportunity to add to the breadth and skills within the group. We've had great past success operating in traditional office sectors over the years. We have an incredibly strong property team who drive core returns from our investment portfolio through active asset management. We will continue to focus on this space for our clients. The office sector has faced notable headwinds recently in the form of demand uncertainty caused by evolving work habits and the oversupply of new stock.

This has caused it to be out of favor in most investment strategies. However, we believe that following substantial repricing and gradually improving fundamentals, we will see investor demand improve for well-located assets with affordable rents that meet the amenity requirements of tenants. The retail sector has long been a key market in Australia, and we believe there continues to be opportunity in neighborhood convenience. Often anchored by supermarket chains, these assets serve as a captive neighborhood market and benefit from non-discretionary spend by consumers. We also see opportunity in large-format retail real estate tenanted by hardware or furniture retailers, particularly in areas of strong population growth. In the industrial space, we will focus on smaller lot and value-add assets, where location is key and the assets may be unloved and mismanaged. Ownership in this sector remains fragmented, reflected in non-standardized stock with value-add potential.

These assets also cater to a diverse tenant base, providing leasing opportunities for institutional ownership. In the near term, we reiterate our commitment to Cromwell's growth in an orderly and value-accretive manner. Stable growth in returns through prudent capital management and deployment is the key to Cromwell's future. The distributions expected to be paid for the March 2025 quarter is AUD 0.75 per security. Thank you for dialing in today and to hear the group update. I'll now hand back to the call operator to open the Q&A portion of this call.

Operator

Thank you very much. If you do wish to ask a question, please press the star key, then one, on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. If you wish to cancel your request, please press the star key, then two. If you are on a speakerphone, please pick up the handset to ask your question. Thank you. Your first question is from Solomon Zhang from J.P. Morgan. Go ahead. Thank you.

Solomon Zhang
Stock Analyst, J.P. Morgan

Morning, Jonathan, Michelle, and Rob. Thanks for your time. First question from me, I guess, is just on the guidance and outlook. The business is significantly more simplified, but you still haven't provided OEPS guidance. Is there a reason for that? And I guess, what are the key moving parts in your view? Is it mainly the corporate cost line? Or I guess you're thinking there, please.

Jonathan Callaghan
CEO and Managing Director, Cromwell Property Group

Yeah, hi Solomon. Thanks for that. I think there are a few reasons. One is it's a continuation of the habit that the board's evolved over the last three years. The second is we're probably in a little bit of a flux moment for capital deployment. So we think there will be some moving bits in that piece, which makes sort of providing guidance a little bit problematic. But it is something that the board is watching and will review at each meeting. I think probably if we do change the habit, it will be at the end of the financial year, which seems like as good a time as any to sort of sit down and reflect on practices.

Solomon Zhang
Stock Analyst, J.P. Morgan

Yep, that makes sense. And just looking at the corporate cost line, it's flat half and half, but I guess post the EU sale. Can you just talk about how that will unfold, given I understand there's some costs relating to, I guess, support of some of those EU funds, special purpose vehicles, and the like? Yeah, the comments there, please.

Jonathan Callaghan
CEO and Managing Director, Cromwell Property Group

Yeah. I mean, we do expect that cost line to come down for the full year, and you'll see some change in the full year number.

Solomon Zhang
Stock Analyst, J.P. Morgan

Yeah. And maybe just turning to office leasing, can you just comment on, I guess, you're facing effective rent spreads on the circa 16,000 sq m of leasing you've done in the past?

Rob Percy
CIO, Cromwell Property Group

Yeah, I can take it. So effectively, the main ones that we've done, Solomon, have been at Kent Street and Collins Street, and there's another one in HQ. So the total reversion was about 2.6% down off the back of effectively extending leases and dropping the rents a little bit. Incentives on those rents were about market for all of them, other than one, the federal government in Collins Street, which was a bit elevated.

Solomon Zhang
Stock Analyst, J.P. Morgan

Yep. And given the leases are probably struck what, seven years ago, the effective rent spreads would be, I guess, negative, a bit worse in the face. Okay.

Rob Percy
CIO, Cromwell Property Group

That's correct.

Solomon Zhang
Stock Analyst, J.P. Morgan

Yeah. And I guess government tenants are a decent proportion of your book. Any comments on just how your physical occupancy is tracking at the moment? Just knowing that New South Wales, obviously, the state government has put in some mandates, but just your thoughts on how that's evolving, thanks.

Rob Percy
CIO, Cromwell Property Group

Yeah, it does vary by location. So New South Wales is a bit better than, say, Queensland up at 400 George Street, which is then, again, a bit better than down in Canberra in the ACT, particularly at Soward Way. So it does vary. So it's hard to say exactly, but what we are finding is that there's maybe about three days a week, but that varies by state.

Solomon Zhang
Stock Analyst, J.P. Morgan

Yep, fair enough. All right. I might leave it there. Thank you.

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