Thank you. Before we get started, I'd like to acknowledge the traditional custodians of the land on which we are meeting today, the Gadigal people of the Eora Nation. I'd like to pay my respects to elders past, present, and emerging, and I'd like to acknowledge any and all Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people joining us today. Good afternoon, and thanks for dialing in or attending our half year results presentation. Look, we're delighted with the strong recovery trends across all divisions in the first half, including record results for Thredbo and our hotels division. Revenue was up AUD 225 million on the prior half, excluding German Bridging Aid subsidy income, which was recognized last year. Pleasingly, revenue is only down 8.3% on the comparative pre-COVID period in FY 2019. Normalized EBITDA was up AUD 100 million on the prior half.
The recovery in entertainment continued, with revenue up 31.7% on prior year. The hotels and resorts division achieved a record first half revenue on a like-for-like basis after we've adjusted for the temporary closure of Rydges Melbourne, which is undergoing a major upgrade. For Thredbo, the benefits of the new business model were realized with a record first half result and revenue up 28% on the pre-COVID first half 2019. Whilst it's early days, we're really pleased with some of the results we're seeing from our recent premiumization projects, including the cinemas and QT Gold Coast. In the half, we also successfully acquired properties aligned to our strategy of acquiring key city properties that can be utilized as operating assets. We're also pleased to divest a few of our non-core properties in the first half and have exceeded our AUD 250 million target.
Our balance sheet remains strong with around AUD 2 billion in property and net debt well below the pre-COVID levels at AUD 220 million. We're well-positioned for future growth and to capitalize on opportunities as they may arise. Our outlook for the second half is positive for recovery, we're expected to show a continuation of the recovery trends that were demonstrated in the first half. I'll touch on more on this at the end of the presentation. Turning now to the H1 overview. Group revenue was AUD 606.8 million, up AUD 168 million or 38.5% on prior year, as I said, only down 8.3% on the pre-COVID half year.
Normalized EBITDA was AUD 107.7 million, up 68% on the prior comparable half, excluding Bridging Aid III and only 17.9% below the pre-COVID first half 2019. The entertainment result was impacted by fewer releases, but the key blockbusters titles that did release performed very well. EBITDA for the entertainment group was up AUD 24.5 million on the prior year, excluding the Bridging Aid III. Hotels and results was a standout, with EBITDA of AUD 45.8 million, a record for the division after adjusting for Rydges Melbourne. Thredbo result was also a record, with the new business model delivering EBITDA of AUD 41.3 million, up AUD 31.3 million on the prior half.
The property segment revenue was down AUD 2.2 million- AUD 5.1 million due to the successful divestments in the prior year of the Canberra Civic Building and Double Bay. Unallocated costs were impacted by the payment and achievement of short-term incentives relating to the prior year and insurance premium increases. Underlying costs remain below the pre-COVID period. Individually significant items, total income of AUD 55.5 million and included the completion of the sale of Rydges North Sydney and also the settlement with View. Reported net profit was AUD 96.7 million, up AUD 63.4 million on the prior year and up AUD 29.2 million on the reported net profit in the first half of FY 2019. We're pretty pleased with the group results. Taking a look now at the property division.
As you're well aware, we've got a strong property portfolio and based on the most recent valuations at around AUD 2 billion after the sale of the divestment properties. As mentioned, we exceeded our goal of AUD 250 million, with total proceeds of AUD 282.4 million, including the sale of the Darwin Cinema Centre in December. These sales proceeds have exceeded most recent valuations by 28%. We've got a few other properties that have been identified as non-core assets, and we'll seek to divest these when the market conditions are right, and we can secure a good outcome. We've acquired a number of properties in the key city locations, including 54 Cook Street, Auckland, which is actually the flagship property of our LyLo new budget experience accommodation offer.
We purchased the Limes Hotel in Fortitude Valley, Brisbane, which will be converted to be the first LyLo in Australia later in the calendar year. We also purchased Alpine Lodge, Alpenhorn Lodge in Thredbo, which was essential for staff accommodation. We've increased our interest and ownership in Rydges Latimer Christchurch to 85%. Our major developments continue to make great progress. We're on track. As previously indicated, our first major property development is 525 George Street. This is a mixed-use 43-story development and a truly integrated hospitality and entertainment offer, which will be unique to Australia, if not internationally. The development comprises of prime George Street retail, a premium event cinema, a hotel around 300 rooms with conference space, residential apartments which are intended to be sold off-plan to assist in funding the project.
We submitted the stage 2 DA in May last year. We anticipate approval by the end of this financial year. We've got detailed interior design work underway. We also submitted a stage 1 DA last year for the commercial office tower component of the 458-472 George Street property. We anticipate approval of the stage 1 application later in the 2023 calendar year. Once we receive the stage 1 approval, we'll provide a further update on timing. Our goals for this project are very clear. We aim to realize the value of the under-developed available Gross Floor Area of around 38,000 square meters across the Gowings State Theatre and 458-472 George Street properties, while at the same time growing the value of our core business with an extension of the QT hotel.
As part of our strategic goal to maximize assets, we continued with our premiumization strategy. The QT Gold Coast upgrade is almost complete. We've just got a little area of the conferencing to complete by the end of this month. We also introduced a new accommodation concept called QT QT Cabins, which was previously an underutilized area. Early trading numbers have been very good. We've seen average room rates there growth of about 60%. Rydges Melbourne, we're really excited about. I hope we will open the doors in May this year. The upgrade includes a new type of room-type apartment rooms, and we've extended the conference area by over 1,000 square meters. It's gonna be a great hotel and a great location. We're really looking forward to introducing customers to that.
LyLo Auckland opened in December to rave reviews for a new accommodation concept and was profitable in its first month of trading. We're feeling pretty pleased about how that LyLo concept is rolling out. Our key cinema locations included Chermside and Innaloo, and we also opened the Queensgate site in Wellington, which traded as the number two site in New Zealand in its first month of trading. With the results we're seeing from the premiumization upgrades, we are really confident in the future growth investments. Later this year, we will be converting the Limes Hotel in Brisbane. In Thredbo, we're investing in more snowmaking on the Super Trail in time for the winter season. We've got three mountain biking trails also gonna be developed in time for the next summer season.
In planning, we've got major upgrades for QT Canberra and Rydges Queenstown and more cinema upgrades across Australia and New Zealand. We're also hoping that the proposed Alpine Coaster, which is a year-round attraction, will be approved and able to open in time for the next winter season. We've got preparation work for the Snowgums Chairlift, which we're targeting completion subject to approvals in the 2025 winter season. Planning is also underway for the Thredbo Golf Course development, and we expect to submit a DA application for that project at the end of the calendar year. We had previously highlighted that we expected capital investment of around AUD 120 million-AUD 150 million, excluding acquisitions.
We now expect this to be around AUD 150 million-AUD 180 million, excluding acquisitions, and that's pleasingly down to the fact that some of our key projects have completed ahead of schedule. Turning to hotels. We are super proud and very impressed with the record result for the hotels division. After adjusting for the temporary closure of Rydges Melbourne, we achieved like-for-like revenue growth of 17.7% on the first half of the pre-COVID-19 and EBITDA growth of 20.4% on that same period. All of our brands contributed to this result, outperforming the market and maintaining strong guest sentiment. Demand from key segments improved, including leisure, corporate, government, conference, and events, with the international market growing, but international group business remains subdued and below pre-COVID levels.
We were very pleased with the recovery trend in the conference and events segment, with inquiry and conversion rates up on the first half or the pre-COVID period of 2019. We continue to grow the hotel portfolio with five hotels joining the group, and I'll show you those a little later. Our business transformation initiatives also paid dividends with like-for-like EBITDA margin up 0.6 percentage points on pre-COVID, despite material cost headwinds, particularly insurance, as well as general inflationary cost pressures. Norm's here. Congratulations, Norm and team, an outstanding result, and everyone at EVT is truly proud of it. In terms of our key hotel brands, each of our brands achieved record room rate results and better than fair market share. Occupancy is now approaching pre-COVID levels with occupancy in the high 70s, with around 80% pre-COVID.
Rydges' RevPAR was up 18.1% despite the temporary closure of Rydges Melbourne. QT RevPAR was up 20.7% despite the impact of the refurbishment of QT Gold Coast. Attura delivered a great result, up 44.7% on pre-COVID levels. As you can see, all brands are performing very well. The next couple of slides demonstrate the recovery in hotels in the first half. The yellow line represents pre-COVID FY 2019 occupancy. As you can see, occupancy levels are getting pretty close to the pre-COVID period, particularly in peak October and November trading months. Demand for corporate travel and C&A are returning to pre-COVID levels. International inbound numbers remain below pre-COVID. With China relaxing restrictions, we expect this could normalize towards the end of the calendar year.
Overall, we expect to see some occupancy growth in the second half, but not to the level of pre-COVID. As discussed, we're achieving record rate growth to well above the pre-COVID levels as indicated on this chart. All brands contributed to record growth and rate. What we're most pleased about is rates going up and also is customer sentiment. 'Cause if you charge more, customers want more, and you gotta make sure that you deliver. We're very pleased with the customer response to the strategy. We aim to at least hold rate in the second half, subject to market conditions. I wanted to give you some insight into how individual markets are performing, starting with the key Australian markets. As you can see, all markets are outperforming pre-COVID levels with the exception of Sydney and Melbourne, for which RevPAR remains slightly below the pre-COVID period.
We think that reflects the strength of the key regional markets and the leisure segments through the COVID period. We've seen strong trends in corporate travel, which should support recovery in both of these markets throughout the remainder of the year. In New Zealand, it's a bit of a mixed bag. This is expected given the extended period of COVID-19 restrictions on international travel into the country. Christchurch is performing almost in line with pre-COVID, driven by the T20 Cricket World Cup and the Te Pae Convention Centre, which has just opened. Auckland remains well below with an extended period of international travel restrictions, and now, as you're aware, the recent weather conditions. Wellington's trading ahead, largely due to the strength of the domestic market, and Rotorua and Queenstown are well below pre-COVID levels.
However, I have to point out our Queenstown hotels delivered record rates in the peak trading Christmas-New Year period. Overall, it's clear that the New Zealand markets, you know, they're gonna rely on international recovery, and there's a little bit of lag in that time to recover, but we remain very optimistic about the market. Our hotel expansion strategy has evolved over the past few years to provide more opportunities for growth. We now have a solution that meets the entire hotel market from premium to budget options. You can either leverage one of our own brands or maintain an independent brand and leverage our capabilities. Our own brands include QT Hotels, recognized as the leader in premium boutique experiences, and we now have 10 hotels. Rydges, our flagship brand, has grown to 44 hotels. Atura, our affordable design-led brand, with 5 hotels.
We recognized a gap in the market. We now have LyLo, a new innovative lifestyle accommodation experience. As you know, we completed the acquisition of Jucy Snooze in 2021, with 2 locations in Queenstown and Christchurch, which will both also be converted to LyLos later in this year. Our flagship LyLo Auckland property opened in December and is performing ahead of budget since opening. We're confident the LyLo brand proposition and future growth potential for this brand in the coming years and really look forward to opening one in the Australian market later this year. In 2021, we launched the Independent Collection by EVT, recognizing that the owners were looking for more flexibility and different types of management agreements. With our ambition to better leverage our capabilities, there was a growth opportunity that was presented. We now have 15 hotels in the Independent Collection group.
We're pleased with how the strategy is evolving, and we see plenty more growth within it. Just to highlight some of the hotels joining the portfolio, Rydges King Square Perth, which was formerly a Peppers Resort, Rydges Darling Square Sydney, formerly a Radisson, Rydges Rotorua, formerly a Holiday Inn, and Hotel Alba Adelaide were added. We have had The Tank Stream Hotel leave the portfolio, but this is not material. Obviously the 2 Lylos are acquisitions. Turning to Thredbo. I feel like I've said record a lot, but it's pretty good to say we achieved a record result at Thredbo with our new business model, resulting in a 74% increase in yield compared to pre-COVID. The new business model is about smarter pricing and just better utilization of capacity. It results in a premium customer experience with shorter queues.
More time for customers to enjoy the mountain, summer and winter. Thredbo has now been recognized for the sixth year in a row at the World Ski Awards as Australia's best ski resort, which is a fantastic achievement by the team. This year's summer's been a little more challenging. It's pretty unusual to have snow in November, December, and February, and electrical storms in the afternoon. What we're seeing is when we do have the right weather conditions, demand remains strong, and we're pretty pleased with the yield results. I should highlight that the prior half included revenue of AUD 7 million and profit of AUD 6.2 million on our property sales in Thredbo. Excluding this, EBITDA was up 991.5%. You don't get to say that very often.
On the prior half and up 41% on the same half in the pre-COVID year. A pretty great result. Now turning to entertainment. The entertainment group also demonstrated strong recovery trends in the half, with revenue up AUD 59.3 million and EBITDA up AUD 21.7 million on the prior year. Revenues remains below pre-COVID levels as the studios continue to delay the release of key blockbuster titles, simply due to post-COVID production delays being the main reason. The delay in the film release was partially mitigated, though, by our premiumization strategy. When we have blockbuster films, we're seeing excellent results with record average admission price and record spend per head. Customers are spending more each visit, as you can see by the charts. We've also seen all customer demographics return to cinemas with our customer age profiles consistent with pre-COVID patterns.
We're seeing the benefits of the business transformation initiatives, with margin improving by more than 3 percentage points on like months versus pre-COVID. Pleasingly, we've also been able to maintain market share despite closing 15 underperforming cinemas as part of our fewer best premiumization strategy. We're very pleased to have successfully secured an agreement to operate the new IMAX Sydney, which will be at the Ribbon in Darling Harbour and is due to open in the second half of the calendar year. This is the fourth IMAX in our group. A 693 meter squared screen and 4K laser projection. We're also really looking forward to bringing our F&B experience, and the team are rolling out a new pod-type premium seating concept. It'll be a great tourist destination as well as cinema for locals.
I mentioned the changes of film lineup, I just wanted to highlight the impact on the first half. This slide shows the original blockbuster lineup as I presented back to you in August. Since then, Spider-Man moved to the next financial year, Black Adam moved to October. August and September became very quiet. Puss in Boots moved from August to Boxing Day. The Flash moved out of H1 and will now release mid-June, benefit the next financial year. You can see the challenges we're having with the blockbuster release date changes, but when the films are there, customers are returning and spending more each visit. I think as at today, Avatar is at $91 million in the Australian box office. It's a pretty good result.
Looking forward to the second half, the current blockbuster lineup from March onwards looks relatively strong, as particularly compared with the first half of this financial year. As always, May and June are jam-packed with blockbusters, including Guardians of the Galaxy, Fast X, The Little Mermaid, and The Flash. Turning now to New Zealand, we saw similar trends to those in Australia with really strong growth in average admission price and spend per head compared to pre-COVID, as shown on the charts. We're also seeing similar margin improvement when the films perform well. The challenge is to continually find ways to offset increases in the minimum wage. On the first of April, the New Zealand minimum wage will increase again by 7%. This represents around 41% increase within a five-year period.
Market share in the New Zealand market has been very strong, up 1.9 percentage points. Excluding government wage subsidies in the prior comparable half year, EBITDA improved by AUD 3.6 million. Whilst New Zealand was marginally loss-making in the first half, we expect it to achieve a positive result in the second half based on the outstanding performance of Avatar, which is now the highest grossing film of all time in New Zealand and their second half lineup. Turning now to Germany. The German result is very pleasing, with revenue up 13.2% and EBITDA up 25% on the prior year, excluding the German government's Bridging Aid support recognized in the prior year. We've achieved growth in all key metrics, including average admission price and spend per head.
Although the AAP growth has been a little more modest, that's basically down to a much lower mix of premium seating options across our German circuit. We have actually just introduced to 11 screens in Germany premium seating concepts, we're seeing really good returns from those. We have seen, and we will continue to see, a material impact from energy cost increases in Germany. On a like-for-like screen basis, energy costs were EUR 2.5 million higher than the prior comparable half year. The German government have announced a subsidy scheme which, subject to eligibility, we hope to mitigate some of this impact in 2023. The challenge in Germany is similar to New Zealand in terms of finding ways to offset the minimum wage increase, which has also increased around 36% since 2018.
As with New Zealand, Avatar has performed incredibly well in Germany and is now the highest grossing film of all time in that market. We're also very pleased to see the return of the local German titles. School of Magical Animals 2 was actually a top three film in the first half, which was a local German film. Many of you attended our Investor Day in November and will be quite familiar with our strategy. We have three strategic goals which really guide our group: grow revenue above market, maximize assets, and business transformation. You can see from the half year results that we've been able to grow revenue above market, driving higher yields through smarter pricing, better utilization of capacity, whilst measuring and acting on customer feedback to grow customer sentiment.
The launch of EVT last year has helped us to tell our story better in terms of what we do and how we do it, and we'll continue to tell that story better. We continue to maximize our assets through the divestment of non-core properties, recycling that capital and investing in priority locations, while driving growth through premiumization upgrades across each division and acquiring key strategic assets for growth. Business transformation initiatives have supported an improvement in margin while also delivering material improvements in our culture, community, and environment initiatives. I have said it many times, and I might stop saying it at the end of this year, but it's very true. COVID enabled us to truly transform, and we've got a stronger platform for growth. In closing, I just wanted to touch on the outlook for the second half.
Look, it's clear that our financial year 2023 is trending positively. We've got headwinds, and we'll continue to manage them, including the energy costs, wages, and inflationary pressures. As mentioned earlier, we expect our capital expenditure in this financial year to be within the range of AUD 150 million-AUD 180 million, with excluding acquisitions, with some key projects pleasingly completing ahead of schedule where we want them to be. Our balance sheet's very strong and will support continued investment in our priority assets and growth opportunities. In terms of the entertainment group's performance, it's subject to, as it always has been, the performance of the overall film lineup. As we've said on paper, the second half film lineup looks stronger than the first half.
Our property segment income will continue to track below the prior year following the success of our non-core property divestment strategy. We believe demand for hotels continues to grow. The rates should be maintained, while a full recovery in occupancy levels will depend on the recovery of the international market. In Thredbo, as mentioned, summer's been a bit impacted by weather and is tracking slightly below prior year. We expect the winter 2023 performance, which was a record winter, to form relatively in line, subject as always to snow conditions. Based on the pleasing recovery results, the board's declared a fully franked dividend of AUD 0.14 per share, following the special dividend of AUD 0.12 per share paid in November.
Overall, we expect the second half to show a continuation of the recovery trends demonstrated in the first half, and we're pretty pleased with how the business is progressing. That's all from me. I'm now open to questions.
Thank you. If you wish to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. If you wish to cancel your request, please press star two. If you're on a speakerphone, please pick up the handset to ask your question. Your first question comes from Wilson Wong from Jarden. Please go ahead.
Hi, Jane. Just my first question is around the level of operating leverage in the business, in light of the group's EBITDA margin being below where the market had expected. First off, granted, the revenue was a lot stronger.
Sorry, I didn't capture that.
I think about EBITDA margin, Jane, how that would compare to market expectations. Wilson's comment was it was maybe slightly below what he was expecting.
Oh. Wasn't below what we were expecting. I guess when we're seeing like-for-like revenue, we're seeing margin improvement. The challenge that you've had probably with the entertainment group is that it's only been 2 months in the first half where we've had like-for-like revenue, being July and December. That might be skewing your margins a little bit because we just don't have revenue back up in that division to those levels. The other divisions are definitely delivering margin improvement.
Okay, thanks for that. Just in terms of the average room rates, just going forward, just given, I mean, we are in an elevated sort of level of demand sort of period, where do you sort of see it sort of going over the medium term? Do you expect it to stay at the current elevated levels? I guess if not, what do you see as the normalized average room rates?
I think everyone would like a crystal ball to answer that question. At this point, we still see demand recovering, you know, our best guess looking ahead at the market, and of course it's subject to change, is that we think that rates will be relatively consistent with where they are now. You know, what's gonna change that in the future? Probably more recovery from the inbound, group business into Australia, which we haven't yet seen yet. That may change market dynamics. At this point in time, our best guess is what we're seeing at the moment, and that's rates around what we're seeing right now.
Sure. Just elaborating on that, international inbound market, when it does come back, how much of a further recovery in occupancy levels and room rates, would you reasonably expect?
Even then, I mean, I can't give you an overall number because there are some properties where we would take that business and other properties post-COVID where we might not because we've actually developed other segments of the market. Coming out of COVID, we've really reset what the right occupancy is for each hotel, which is driving a different strategy from pre-COVID. you know, there will be some of our hotels that benefit from that, but there'll be some other locations that may have taken it before that may not take it now, because we're happy with the segments that we've attracted.
Okay, thanks for that. Those are all my questions.
Your next question comes from John O'Shea from Ord Minnett. Please go ahead.
Hi, Jane. Can you hear me okay?
Yes. Can hear you. Hi, John.
Thanks for asking. Thanks for taking my questions. Look, I guess for me, when I look at your outlook. My question is, when you put it all together and you expect, I noticed the comments where you said second half improvement. Are you referring there to the first half?
Yes.
I guess that's the first question.
Yes. Referring to the first half.
Yeah. That means that when you put it all together, am I reading it correctly in saying that a normalized NPAT in the second half, you would say would be stronger than the first half?
Remember you've got to adjust for Thredbo. The Thredbo winter.
Yep. Yep, yep.
Yeah.
Of course. Of course.
Yes. Adjusting for Thredbo and subject to the films releasing that we've seen on paper today, and I think we've got to put a bit of caution about date changes. We see no reason why-
Yeah.
it wouldn't be better than the first half.
Yep. Just wanted to clarify that. Yeah. Thank you. The second question from me is you mentioned about corporate, the corporate travel sector. Just wondered if you can give some further color on that in light of the economic environment we're seeing and perhaps looking further ahead in terms of where that might go to. At the same time, the increase in supply of rooms in hotels, particularly in Melbourne, in that context, and I guess Sydney to a lesser extent.
Okay. From a corporate market perspective, we're still seeing that recovery. As you know, our circuit attracts kind of small medium enterprise, and that was the first market to return, and that's why Rydges has probably performed so well relative to the market. We're not seeing any change in behavior in terms of corporate travel. We're actually seeing more recovery from those segments at the moment. We're definitely seeing that through conference and events. Companies are wanting to get teams back together. Often they're smaller groups, but there's more bookings. Higher frequency-
Yeah.
smaller gatherings is what we're seeing in that segment. Our rate of inquiry says that we've still got a bit more recovery to go. We're not seeing any pullback in those segments yet.
Um-
In terms of-
Yep.
increased supply into Melbourne, location's king. Like, where Rydges is positioned, where QT is positioned is not really where the increased supply is coming into. It's further on the outskirts of Melbourne.
Yes.
We feel pretty comfortable, even with the increase in supply, about the market we're reopening Rydges Melbourne into and QT Melbourne flying.
Yep. Thanks. Thanks very much for taking my questions.
Your next question comes from Sam Teeger from Citi. Please go ahead.
Hi, Jane. Thanks for the presentation, and well done on a good result. Kind of keen to flesh out how you're thinking about the film slate in a bit more detail. Appreciate your comments that the second half will be stronger than first half, but how are you thinking about the second half versus the PCP?
Well, that's a really interesting one. Thanks, Sam. I should say hello. Look, at the prior comparative period had some pretty strong films in the second half, and versus 2019 was Avengers: Endgame, which was in the FY 19 year. We are comparing it to the first half 'cause we think we've got some pretty tough competition if you do the pure lineup play versus the prior year. As you know, it just takes one of those films to outperform and pick an audience, and it changes that situation. Really, at this point in time, with the date changes and the lineup, our best way of providing any guidance is comparing to the first half, and we know that we've got more films on paper now than we had in the first half.
Got it. Should I take that to mean, yeah, you'd be up on the first half, but maybe down on the PCP, given the strong films in the PCP?
Yeah. I mean, that's hard to answer for that sheer reason of those films just may... One of those films or two of those films just may fly, but at this point, yeah, we're just looking at it vers first half, second half.
All right, cool. The spend per head growth you've achieved is really impressive. Just wondering, do you expect this to normalize at some point, or will this be the new norm? To what extent would a movie like Avatar be driving the spend per head significantly?
There's no doubt that blockbusters help our spend per head growth. Looking at the lineup, we've got plenty of blockbusters, so it's not the type of film which is raising any concerns. You know, it's unlikely we're gonna be increasing by 50% every year. We've put a lot of change in strategy into pricing, merchandising, layouts. There's a lot that's gone into the makeup of the increase in spend. We would probably get back to more moderate growth once the lineup resettles. We, you know, We do believe that we can maintain what we've, what we've, how much we've grown.
Okay. Lastly, just maybe CapEx. Can you understand of the AUD 150 million-AUD 180 million, what would relate to Rydges Melbourne, and what are the other kind of major projects in that? Going forward beyond this year, should we be thinking AUD 150 million-AUD 180 million is the new normal?
Look, I can't relate to, directly to projects because obviously we've got performance contracts in place, we still wanna get these projects done in the second half. We believe around AUD 150 million moving ahead is about the right. Yeah, circa AUD 150 million is where we're heading. You know, if we see opportunities at the right cost base to bring forward some of our projects, we'll do that. Based on our current view of the market and pricing and projects and availability, probably circa AUD 150 million.
All right. For actually last question, I know you talked a bit about hotel rates and your outlook, and I imagine you have some visibility when you look at your forward bookings. If you think about your offerings, you cover three-star, four-star and five-star properties. If there is gonna be softening at some point, what segment of the market do you think, you know, we'll see it in first?
That's a very good question. It's one that we actually debate. You know, if that's gonna happen. Once again, you know, with our circuit in particular, brand and location are everything. You know, you can, you can choose to follow or you can choose to hold your ground because you've got a strategic advantage with location and brand. We believe we've got that with the upper end of our portfolio, particularly with QTs. If you get down to the LyLo segment, I mean, in the Auckland market alone, it's actually been the five-star and the budget segments which have recovered first. Well, we're recovering better in that market. We think we don't have any good competition at the level that we're offering the LyLo products. We feel pretty good about that.
Then, there'll be variances within the Rydges network based on location. You know, it's tougher when that comes in on the outer skirt, you know, outskirts of Sydney. That may be a little bit tougher, but key city locations, we've got great locations.
Okay. Thank you, Jane.
Your next question comes from Brian Han from Morningstar. Please go ahead.
Hi, Jane. The company has done a lot of work on its cost base during the depths of COVID. Now that conditions are normalizing, do you have a sense as to how much of that cost out will come back, and how much of that will be inflation-driven as opposed to headcount-driven?
Good question. Like, we believe that I mean, we're back. At the level that we're operating this half, we're calling ourselves back. That is our post-COVID operating level. Look, we're very aware that we have got some inflationary pressures and wage pressures, and I highlighted a couple in the minimum wage. I've also highlighted that, and that's been happening over the past five years, and we've managed to find ways to offset that. Look, there will be some wage pressure, we think, looming ahead, we believe that there'll also be ways to partially offset that: pricing, more efficiency, et cetera, and we'll look to find different ways to do that.
Great. Jane, while I have you there, just another question. Congrats on the cinema result, but looking at the industry on a more longer-term basis post-COVID
Do you think the sheer amount of content on streaming will have some impact on moviegoing?
Look-
The fact that it seems some movie makers seem to be creating more like TV-centric episodes for the streaming market.
Look, we're a blockbuster business. We always have been. There is no lack of blockbusters in the lineup in terms of what's being greenlit and what's coming out. Streaming's not new. It's been around for a while now, and it's been right through COVID. If people wanted to truly change their behavior, they've had plenty of time to adjust. If you just look at Avatar. Like, if there's a great blockbuster, people wanna come out and see it on the big screen. Looking ahead, we believe that we actually feel more confident in the cinema business having had that COVID experience with streaming and just seeing how studios operate. They retain their best films for cinema. In fact, we've got streaming films that were dated for streaming now being dated for a cinema release in advance of streaming.
I think that consumers are consuming more content than ever before. But, you know, on average, we're after 4 visits a year, and there will be at least 4 blockbusters for you to come and see.
Great. You're right about Avatar. It was really good, even though...
Yeah.
I had to wait 13 years for it. Thank you for that.
Yeah. Good.
There are no further phone questions at this time. I'll now hand back to Jane Hastings.
Oh, sorry. April, is your...
Hi.
Hi. Thank you. Just a question on hotels. The first quarter was a small beat compared to FY 2019. The second quarter was a little bit behind. Could you give a little bit more color on some trends that you saw in the second quarter?
I think you've got to adjust for everything when you adjust for Rydges Melbourne shows quite a good beat on both quarters. I think there was not a stronger first quarter than a second quarter. I think adjusted and underlying, there's not any issues that we see.
Okay, great. Thank you. Just on the cinema, the record revenue per admit, which is a fantastic result, are you still seeing this in January and February like?
Yes.
-maintain?
Yeah. We're holding the advantages that we've taken, because it's not. Remember, it's not just price driven. There's been a lot of changes underneath that, and we've also got more cinemas to apply those changes too. We're feeling pretty good about where we're sitting right now.
Great. Thank you. On Thredbo, I think the disclosure changed a little bit, not breaking down the summer and the winter split. I think so.
That's because we've only got a few weeks of summer.
Yeah.
For no other reason. We'll give you a full breakdown at the full year.
Okay, great.
Yes.
That's good to know.
Yeah.
Thank you. Just on the tax rate, it seemed like it was a little bit higher than what we're expecting. I think it was more than 30%. Is there anything, any reasons for this?
There's not really, April. We're kind of expecting, you know, in a normal year it will be what you expect.
Yeah.
Just potentially a little bit above 30% because the German tax rate is sort of 31.5%.
Mm-hmm.
There is some deferred tax balances where we true them up each reporting period, and particularly with regards to the losses that are in Germany. As I think you know, there's some booked and some unbooked. That true-up that impacts our tax rate, particularly on the lower level. Yeah.
Hi, it's Nick from Barrenjoey. Just building on John's astute question around second half profitability. Are you saying that we take the first half profit less the Thredbo result, and that's what will be comparable in the second half versus the first half? You're saying because there's a very strong pipeline of films, bearing in mind that those actually screen, that the overall number should be comparable second half versus first half?
What we're saying is we think the other businesses are tracking well, and we don't see any change in those trends. Thredbo clearly is going to be subject to weather in the winter week, and we've taken the majority of earnings in. We're saying that the second half lineup of films at this point look like we've got more films than the first half, so it should do better.
Overall, so 40 and then 40 again? Is that the, I guess that's the, what we're trying to get to the bottom of in terms of what that guidance pertains to.
Yeah, we're not giving guidance 'cause it's impossible, right?
All right.
The film lineup, I mean, That's why we showed you what we showed you in August, and then what we ended up with at the end of the year was substantially different. It really is stay tuned on...
Sure.
the cinema lineup, because it's still changing.
Yep. I think maybe just to draw the significance of having a really stacked July, then a really stacked December in terms of content, it looks like towards the back end of this half year it's similarly busy. Can you talk about the way the earnings for that segment respond to being, you know, as opposed to having the content spread, but having those really busy peak utilization times, what that means for earnings?
Well, it actually is no different to how it's always been. We've always had the December, January, and then maybe something in March and then really it's a May, June. Actually the trend in terms of what we're seeing with the lineup would be similar to every other year.
Is it better because you end up with a higher utilization of the circuit at that point in time if there's a lot of content, like December's super profitable, or is it more just the content?
It's more just the content.
Cool.
It's always about how good the film is.
Okay. Thank you.
Thank you. Ben Jones, JP Morgan. Just wondering on the Thredbo result, how much of that was driven by volume, and how much of that is a pricing effect?
So we've basically, we've reduced the amount of capacity, and we've changed our pricing model. Basically, we have more day pass. We've got a focus on more day pass visitors, and that day pass is still, less, valued less than its nearest competitor. Then what we've done is just reset the season pass model to... If you're a skier that is skiing more than 10 days a year, it's relevant to you. That was probably down around about five days, six days prior, so we've increased that. Slightly lower volume of sales, but we've adjusted our pricing across the two key groups.
We've also then cleaned out events that were operating in peak periods so that we can have a premium experience, and we've moved the events to the off-peak periods.
Excellent. Thank you. I noticed in the balance sheet, you had a large portion of the debt that came current. Do you have any comments on plans for refinancing?
Yeah. Our current facility, is out to the third of July this year. We're obviously in negotiation with, refinancing that at the moment. We've got three really good relationships with our banks. This current facility we did just during the start of COVID. It was a very trying time. Obviously, we're in a good spot now with the refinance.
Mm-hmm.
Hi. Ed Woodgate from CCZ. Just wondering if you could comment on some of the cap rates from the divestitures and acquisitions you made during the half. I know some of them were agreed previously, so maybe they're not reflective of current market rates. Maybe you could also talk about what you're seeing just in the cap rates generally in the market as well.
Well, we're not talking about the divestment properties. I mean, we've said 28% above recent valuations as a kind of guide to that. you know, we do believe that there's been a touch of COVID conservatism in the valuations through that period. Until we actually revalue the properties, and there's a large lot coming up in this June period this year, that will give us a better look.
Okay. Just in relation to the question about, The age-old question about streaming on impact on cinemas and I guess there's a lot of people who are long the stock who don't really believe it's gonna be a big impact. Is there any data that you can speak to, maybe, like, in relation to the age distribution of the customers who are attending today versus, say, four or five years ago?
It's the same.
Exactly the same. The youth are still coming.
Yes. Youth are still coming. I mean, youth are still coming to the movies. The actual only segment that we've had less visitation slightly have been seniors. There's been no senior films released. It's all a product of what the film slate is. If you look at Avatar, every demographic has come. If you look at Ant-Man this weekend, all the typical demographic is coming. We track that quite frequently to see if there's any change in any customer segments, and we're not seeing it.
Sure. Then just in relation to your forward bookings, if you are able to go into detail there's been some speculation, rightly or wrongly, amongst some people that, as inflation picks up and as international airfares decrease, that maybe the domestic leisure travel will go down. Have you seen any indication that compared to the PCP, there's any issues there?
I mean, like, we're aware of all of these metrics and the noise and everything else.
Yeah, yeah.
What we're seeing in our data across all of our businesses at the moment is no change. Until we see that change, it's difficult to predict the future.
Okay. All right. Well, congrats on the result. Looks like a much better business today than it was five years ago, so...
Oh, thank you. Thanks, Dave.
One more question from me. April from Barrenjoey. What are you seeing in terms of the German film lineup, so the German-specific films?
Well, it's actually quite interesting. We were looking at that the other night. We're returning to a more normal pattern, so it's kind of 20%-30% of box office in Germany. Looking ahead, we're starting to see that volume of product coming through, so it's normalizing. Again, subject to how good that film is.