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Earnings Call: Q1 2024

Oct 30, 2023

Françoise Dixon
Head of Investor Relations, Mach7 Technologies

Good morning, everyone, and welcome to the Mach7 Q1 FY 2024 business update. My name is Françoise Dixon, and I'm the Head of Investor Relations for Mach7. Today, our Chief Executive Officer, Mike Lampron, will provide an overview of our Q1 results. We will then open up for questions, which will be answered by Mike and our Chief Financial Officer, Dyan O'Herne. If you have a question, please submit it via the Q&A text box at the bottom of the screen. Alternatively, you can email me at ir@mach7t.com. I'll now hand over to Mike for the Q1 update.

Mike Lampron
CEO, Mach7 Technologies

Thank you, Françoise, and welcome to everyone attending this morning's call. Q1 was a great start to what I think will be a pivotal year for Mach7. As I've said in the past, I think sales orders are our biggest leading indicator for our success in showing both the stickiness of our install base with renewals and the fact that our products are resonating in the marketplace with new deals. Sales orders is all the more important to us. This quarter, we're happy to report AUD 33.5 million in sales orders. This has translated into further growth of our contracted annual recurring revenue, reaching AUD 25.5 million, or up 24% since the close of Q4.

Following our CARR is our annual recurring revenue, reaching AUD 25.5 million, or I'm sorry, which has increased 8% at the close of Q4 to AUD 18.4 million on a current run rate. We had AUD 23.8 million in cash at the end of Q1, showing positive cash growth from AUD 23.4 million at the end of June. So let's talk a little bit about sales orders first. As I said, AUD 33.5 million in sales orders. The bulk of these orders were subscription-oriented, highlighting the ongoing transition from our buyers to a subscription revenue model versus a capital licenses that we've had historically. In the past few years, we've mentioned that we have around a 60/40 split of subscription to capital licenses. This year does look like we'll see further step change in that mix.

It's difficult for us to say exactly where the mix will land so early into the fiscal year, but, you know, 70/30 or even 80/20 would seem reasonable at this stage. In Q1, 85% of our total sales order value, or AUD 28.6 million , was represented with subscription licensing fees or support and maintenance fees, which was the case with the Hospital Authority of Hong Kong agreement. We had about AUD500,000 in capital licenses, around AUD 4.4 million- AUD 4.5 million in professional service fees. But I wanted to take a moment today, just to provide a word on revenue recognition and how these sales orders translate to revenue and then cash. We don't spend a lot of time talking about that on these calls.

As a standard, we sign five-year term licenses, and the customer will choose what business model works for them during the end of the sales cycle. So if they choose a capital license, then when we deliver the software, which is shortly after contract signing, we'll recognize 100% of that software fee as revenue. Each customer will have unique payment milestones, so it's hard to give a rule of thumb on the translation to cash. But once a customer goes live, we'll then bill and begin to recognize the revenue for annual support and maintenance components that accompany every capital software license. With a subscription license, we will not recognize any revenue upfront. When the customer goes live, we'll generally bill and recognize that on a quarterly basis. Support and maintenance is included in the subscription fee.

So when we sign a subscription deal, a general rule of thumb would be 12 months or so before we begin to recognize the revenue. And then in regards to professional services, we recognize that revenue on a percent complete basis. This will be recognized independently of whatever business model the client chooses, whether it's capital or subscription. Having that high quality and predictable revenue of a subscription license will be beneficial to us in the long-term growth. However, we will always have some components of capital licenses, especially for those customers in the APAC region, who are primarily capital intensive agreements. You'll note that we had nearly AUD 12.5 million in new sales and AUD 15.8 million in renewals, along with AUD 5.3 million in add-ons and expansions. So a moment on that.

A renewal is when one of these five-year agreements has come to an end, and a new agreement is put in place. An add-on is when a customer buys something additional from us. As an example, if they're a VNA customer and they buy eUnity or vice versa. An expansion is when someone expands the license volume from us for a product they are already using. These are all important factors in how we grow our book of business and our, and our future book of business. So I wanted to take just a moment to make sure everybody was really clear on that. So now let's move on to the contracted annual recurring revenue. And this is a really important metric to understand and understand how we're doing as a business.

Our CAR was AUD 25.5 million at the end of the quarter, an increase of 24% over June 30. Our CARR consists of the 18.4 of that annual run rate, of ARR run rate for customers, is another way of looking at it, that have achieved first productive use for the software. Plus, another AUD 7.1 million of subscription and support and license fees that are not yet recognized as revenue, because first productive use is still pending, as I discussed in the revenue conversation. We had a backlog of AUD 4 3.6 at the end of June. I like to see a healthy gap between CARR and ARR, so seeing that AUD 7.1 million gap to me is good.

It shows that we continue to grow, and it shows that our sales team is outpacing our deployment team, which gives us a nice, healthy backlog for the services team to work with. As you see the number grow, you'll see a general expectation of where ARR will be for the following year, giving you a guide to how we are progressing on our ability for ARR to cover OpEx. So moving on from CAR over to cash. Cash receipts for the customers in Q1 amounted to AUD8.3 million, compared to AUD2.6 million in Q1 FY 2023. We were cash flow positive in Q1 by about AUD 400,000, compared to about a AUD 4.2 million decrease in cash in PCP.

You can go through the 4C for details on expenses on that. We have pointed out in the past, but it's worth noting again, that Q1 is typically very expensive for us. It includes short-term incentive plans that we paid out, numerous G&A expenses like insurance renewals, things like that. Q1 is followed by Q2, which has our second-largest quarter from an expense perspective. That includes our marketing expenses for RSNA, which is the single largest marketing expense we have in the company. So that's an expensive quarter as well. But then things even out over the second half of the year, and that's been pretty traditional in our company. So moving on to some board changes. Mach7 has been undergoing a process of board renewals for FY 2024.

Our chairman, David Chambers, announced his retirement after five years, and our Non-Executive Director, Philippe Houssiau, also will be stepping down. We are fortunate to have recently announced that Rob Bazzani, who's been on the board for the past three years, will be stepping up as Chair, and Rebecca Thompson will be coming on board as a Non-Executive Director. These changes to us provide the company with a new and diverse perspective, and provide us with a good mix of skills, as well as keeping some company experience on the board. There'll be more about these changes in the upcoming AGM on the November 16th . So in closing, just to give you the following as a sort of an outlook for Mach7. Look, from my perspective, we've never looked stronger.

We're well positioned with our products to take advantage of what we believe is to be a highly fragmented market. We see an ongoing shift to the ambulatory market, which we're prepared to address. We have a strong sales pipeline, which is really reflective of a great team that I have a lot of confidence in. We've had a really strong start up to the year with Q1. We're cash flow positive heading into Q2, and we expect to return to OpEx-positive operating cash flow in FY 2024. Guidance that we provided in August for sales order growth of 20%, PCP and revenue growth of 15%-25% is reaffirmed. The company expects the growth in operating expenses to be less than revenue growth.

And look, we're providing a range here because of some of the uncertainty around subscription versus capital license mix. So that's why you see the 15%-25% range, and that's why we're saying, you know, we have to keep a close eye on our OpEx, and that's going to shift as our revenue profile shifts. So we want to make sure that that stays in line. We have a rapidly closing target from ARR to cover our OpEx. We said that we'd be able to do that in three years' time. As we make this transition to subscription licensing, we will become a bit more predictable business. We'll show an increase in margin as we progress.

We still believe that we have a very scalable business, and we look forward to being able to provide good results to our shareholders throughout the rest of FY 2024. So with that, Françoise, why don't I hand it back over to you and see what we have for questions?

Françoise Dixon
Head of Investor Relations, Mach7 Technologies

Okay, we've got a few questions for you, Mike. The first one comes from Peter Cooper: Will Mach7 complete the 12-month milestone for the new VA contract and thus qualify for future contracts?

Mike Lampron
CEO, Mach7 Technologies

Well, two things there, just to clarify. First of all, yes, we are on track for the VA to go live in June of 2024. That is when the government contends for that product to go live. Still on track there. That being said, just for clarity, there are no contractual hurdles that have to be met before phase II could begin. So phase II of that contract could begin prior to first productive use of phase I. It might not be likely, but it could as well. I know we've had conversations, so I just want to point that out for clarity.

Françoise Dixon
Head of Investor Relations, Mach7 Technologies

Great. Thanks, Mike. Your second question comes from Iain Wilkie. You're already 70% of your way in sales order growth through one quarter versus the bottom of your guidance. Obviously, the year started out very well, but how should we think about the rest of the year for sales orders? Is there more upside here?

Mike Lampron
CEO, Mach7 Technologies

Yeah, listen, there's always upside, right? And there should always be upside to guidance from my perspective. We know we have renewals coming through. We know we have new orders that will be coming through. So, you know, we know that we're on track for the AUD 48 million. I will say there are things that are difficult for us to predict, so we don't forecast them, and that includes larger-sized contracts that, you know, you just can't predict because it would throw off the statistics. So we don't include that in the forecast. So, you know, there's certainly deals that could come through this fiscal year, that would pop and bring that sales order number up, without a doubt.

But, you know, I would just reiterate that right now, you know, we're very comfortable with the AUD 48 million that we've guided to, and just know that there certainly is an upside from there, for sure.

Françoise Dixon
Head of Investor Relations, Mach7 Technologies

Our next question comes from Alex McLean. How much of the AUD 7.1 million gap in CARR and ARR do you expect to convert into ARR by the end of FY 2024?

Mike Lampron
CEO, Mach7 Technologies

Yeah, look, the way to look at this is that, it usually takes us around 12 months to convert, all right, as a general rule of thumb. So a lot of that new AUD 7.1 million came in through the VA, or it came in through VIA, which are two of the larger subscription contracts that we signed in Q1. And it's not likely to start to recognize revenue for those deals in the year that you sign them. So I would say that, you know, we would certainly not expect to convert the full seven. You know, I would say that, we'd want to get to the point where we have around AUD 20 million or so of annual recurring revenue by the end of the fiscal year.

Françoise Dixon
Head of Investor Relations, Mach7 Technologies

Our next question comes from Arvin Tanner and relates to the aging of trade receivables. He says, "In 2022, three-six months was AUD 144 thousand. In 2023, it was AUD 2.4 million. Over six months is AUD 461 thousand. Provision, though, is only AUD 74,000 going forward. So are you expecting to receive the majority of the overdue debts?" I'll let you answer that one.

Mike Lampron
CEO, Mach7 Technologies

Yeah, so look, the, we already did receive that. So when we, we received that, that AUD 2.5 million payment or thereabouts, that was for that, overdue receivable, which is why we had every confidence it was going to come in in FY 2023, although it didn't. We did receive that receivable shortly after the end of the fiscal, which is included in our Q1 numbers. So, currently, that, that gap has been closed, and from an outstanding AR perspective, you know, we're in really good shape with that right now. We don't have a lot of outstanding AR, and we don't have provisions really for bad debt.

I believe, and Dyan can correct me if I'm wrong, but we did last year have some write-off for bad debt, and we actually ended up having to reverse it because we actually ended up getting paid for that. So really, we have very little to no bad debt on the books right now.

Françoise Dixon
Head of Investor Relations, Mach7 Technologies

Agree with that, Mike. The second part of this question, so bad debt written off in 2022 was AUD 460,000 . It raises a couple of questions. What was the bad debt write-off due to in 2022? Pandemic bad debt, perhaps. Secondly, that AUD 2.4 million owing, aged 3-6 months, are hospitals slow payers?

Mike Lampron
CEO, Mach7 Technologies

Yeah, sometimes. Sometimes hospitals are slow payers. The bad debt was associated to a an outstanding contract with a partner through Client Outlook. So that was something that we sort of acquired through that acquisition. It's been dealt with. And like I said, you know, we did collect that money from an outstanding hospital system. And the tail end of that in regards to, are they slow payers? Sometimes they are slow payers, yes. And it seems like sometimes the larger the payer, the harder it is to get on a schedule and get things squared away. So, yeah, occasionally it's the case.

Françoise Dixon
Head of Investor Relations, Mach7 Technologies

Our next question comes from Indy, Indi Rajakaruna. The guidance of OpEx growth to be less than revenue growth, is it based on what projected sales mix?

Mike Lampron
CEO, Mach7 Technologies

Yeah, look, this is why we're monitoring things, right? And we're trying to keep our OpEx as flat as we can at the moment in preparation for understanding what that looks like. I think the important thing to understand is that we don't get into the business model with our customers until the tail end of a sales cycle. And at the tail end of the sales cycle, we provide them with, generally speaking, if they ask for two different quotes, a capital license and a subscription license, and then they choose which business model they want to move forward with. So we generally don't have visibility until the tail end of the sales cycle on that.

So for now, the best we can do is for the first half of the year, we watch our OpEx as much as we can. You know, it's highly driven by headcount, right? 75% of our total OpEx is people. So we don't have a lot of variable costs that we can't control. We can control people costs, we can control T&E. So those are the things that we will control while we get a handle on exactly what that revenue mix is going to look like and where things are going to end up for the fiscal.

Françoise Dixon
Head of Investor Relations, Mach7 Technologies

We have a second question from Arvin Tanner. Is the step up in staff costing anything to do with making sure the execution of the VA contract in the timeframe is successful?

Mike Lampron
CEO, Mach7 Technologies

Not so much, frankly, the step up on the personnel costs, if we go back to our acquisition with Client Outlook, we lost around 30% of the total people associated to that business over a period of time there during the early stages of that acquisition and integration. Those resources were not nearly as expensive as the replacement resources that we had to bring on. Those replacement resources came at a bad time, when we were sort of going through the great resignation, and everybody was working from home, and people were very demanding, and employers were not in the best position to negotiate at the time.

So some of that cost, it's not even necessarily an increase in headcount so much as it is replacement headcount being much more expensive than the original headcount.

Françoise Dixon
Head of Investor Relations, Mach7 Technologies

Our next question comes from Paul Paycoff. Why are we seeing big swings in the share price?

Mike Lampron
CEO, Mach7 Technologies

I wish I knew. I can't really answer to share price questions. The market can sometimes be a mystery to me. I can't really comment on that with any authority.

Françoise Dixon
Head of Investor Relations, Mach7 Technologies

Our next question comes from Annie Wilkie. On that sales mix, and just to clarify, particularly in the hiring review, an existing capital sales order customer, how likely, if renewed, would it be that they stay on the capital model rather than they, rather than shift to recurring?

Mike Lampron
CEO, Mach7 Technologies

Yeah. So historically, I would've said almost always. We've only seen a couple of customers transition from capital to subscription. However, I'm not certain it's gonna stay like that this year because we're seeing fundamental shifts in people's buying patterns, and that we somewhat count on the fact that people are going to renew the same way they originally contracted with us, but that's not a guarantee for sure, and we'll see as the year progresses if that changes. Historically, though, we've been pretty certain that they would renew with their original contracting methodology, but it's a little bit up in the air right now.

Françoise Dixon
Head of Investor Relations, Mach7 Technologies

Oh, sorry.

Mike Lampron
CEO, Mach7 Technologies

To be clear, one last comment on that is, look, we don't push our clients into one methodology or another, right? We want to be flexible for our clients. We want to provide them with a business model that makes sense for them. So we're not driving that in a way. We're allowing our customers that flexibility, and we're trying to be good business partners with them. So that's sort of where we are with that.

Françoise Dixon
Head of Investor Relations, Mach7 Technologies

We have another question from Stella Wang. Sounds like there are some bigger than usual contracts in the pipeline you did not include in the guidance. Are they from North America or Asia?

Mike Lampron
CEO, Mach7 Technologies

There's always big deals in the pipeline. Unpredictable perhaps. Usually, the bigger the deal, the more unpredictable it is on timing. We have very large deals in North America, and we also have deals that are very large in the APAC region, both regions titled.

Françoise Dixon
Head of Investor Relations, Mach7 Technologies

Okay. We have no further questions, at this time, so I'll hand it back to you, Mike. We'll closing remarks .

Mike Lampron
CEO, Mach7 Technologies

Yeah, great. Thank you, Françoise. Hey, thank you, everyone, for attending. I appreciate it. Thanks for listening to the Q1. If you have any further questions, please feel free to reach out to Françoise, and I'm sure she can help you get the answers that you need. I look forward to being back on the call with everybody. We have RSNA coming up here in November, the biggest trade show of the year for us, so working hard for that, and look forward to connecting with our shareholders at the end of Q2. So thanks, everyone, for attending.

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