PolyNovo Limited (ASX:PNV)
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Earnings Call: H2 2024

Aug 23, 2024

Operator

Thank you for standing by, and welcome to the PolyNovo FY23 results call. I would now like to hand the conference over to Mr. David Williams, Chairman. Please go ahead.

David Williams
Chairman, PolyNovo

Thank you, everybody. Apologies for our lateness. We filled in the gap last AGM with a video, and we'll do it again this year. Got some pretty exciting videos to choose from to let you relax with till we get our house in order. Welcome to the FY24 results. You'll see on the screen I've got our CEO, Swami, and our CFO, Jaan. The format of this today will be much shorter than normal, but it will be that I'll make a couple of editorial comments, less than I normally do, and pass it over to Swami, who'll talk a little bit about strategy and how things have gone this year. We'll pass it over to Jaan, who'll do the heavy lifting on the numbers.

Come back to Swami for some final observations about the year ahead, and then I'll sort of wrap it up at the end. I think we'll ask, before we wrap it up, Jaan, to take any questions that we've got. Welcome those, as normal. You'll see just by way of editorial, that already we've got three analyst reports out since our results came. One from Mac Bank, one from Shane at Wilsons, and one from Evans and Partners, and no doubt there'll be a few more. The interesting thing, I suppose, and the difficulty for all of us, the three of us on the call, as Shane said in his report, that all we've done really today is confirm our pre-released results for FY24 performance.

In other words, it was a badly kept secret about where we're heading to, but we've confirmed what we did, and we're obviously very proud of those results. In fact, we had an audit committee meeting, obviously, this morning, and and our audit partner from EY, as he exited the room, said, "Look, this is one of our, you know, 0.01% of the companies. When you say you're gonna grow by 50%, you do." And, you know, we're very happy with, not only the company, but it's one of our easier companies to deal with for that, for that reason.

Wilsons go on to say that the only thing we did different, I suppose, in these FY24 results is that we did preempt a couple of investments that we proposed to make, which should build and allow us to build on this result for FY25. Swami might touch on a few of those as well. I think the interesting thing that Wilsons said, and we concur, is that it's going to be interesting to see how much we can push the growth for FY24 in terms of growth, but also in terms of pricing, which is sort of relevant.

We don't talk too much about the pricing in this result, but it's interesting that Shane Storey sort of reminded us of it, 'cause we had been trying to push our price up a little bit without trying to gouge anybody, but it's also in the context of Integra. I mean, Wilsons make a prediction that Integra is unlikely to return to the burns market until 2026 because of their recall problems, and we don't, as a company, wish anybody any harm, but there certainly is, at the moment, an opportunity for us to take market share, not that we would in any case from Integra, and that should, you know, give us quite a good fill-up, I think, for the rest of the year.

By way of observation, I look at Treasury, you know, who lost their market in China, and now it's open again, and they're selling like hotcakes. But it's still very difficult to get back to where you were, because when you lose a market, say, like Grange did in China, you know, they fill the gap. The Chinese have filled the gap with some Brazilian wine, some Chilean wine, some Argentinian wine, and Grange is up there on with the best of them in the world, but you've still got to get your market share back. It's not always easy. So we think we're in a pretty good shape. I'll talk a little bit more at the end about some of the softer things that I think are gonna come next year.

We are in a difficult position as we sit here today, 'cause on the one hand, we've pre-empted, I suppose, what our FY24 results would be, and on the other hand, as Swami will no doubt allude to, we've got quite a number of things in the pipeline, in countries, in products, in partnerships, and so forth, which we're not quite in a place to start shouting from the rooftops yet. But anyway, I'm gonna take too long. Swami, I'd like to hand over to you, and in doing so, congratulate you and your team on the fact that we've continued to grow, and we've done what we said we would do.

Swami Raote
CEO, PolyNovo

Thank you, David. Jaan, are you moving the charts forward?

David Williams
Chairman, PolyNovo

Barbara, if you could move on to the next slide.

Andrew Paine
Head of South Asia Healthcare, CLSA

Just a moment.

Swami Raote
CEO, PolyNovo

Good afternoon, everybody, and thank you for joining PolyNovo 2024 full year results call. It's been two years since I joined PolyNovo, and it wasn't an instinct that PolyNovo could be onto something big. Two years hence, I continue to be excited, privileged, and humbled all at once with the opportunity to truly redefine healing, not just in the developing world, but also in developed world. So I am surprised by how much we could redefine healing in the developed world and make a meaningful difference to the lives of patients that we are fortunate to serve. We are extending the depth and breadth of our global footprint, and I'll take you through this entire page to give you a flavor of where we are in different parts of our business, and what can you look forward to.

Today, we are present in 41 countries, which means we have access in 41 countries, we are doing evaluations in 41 countries, the clinicians are doing trials, and we have done professional education programs in 41 countries. We have regular commercial sale from 29 of those. So we are filling up the pipeline of new geographies that we would be entering into, but we are doing it deliberately, ensuring that clinicians get familiar with our product, with our protocol, with the outcomes, what they should be expecting, and they feel truly comfortable to go at scale. And that's the way in which we are taking our presence across the world. We have touched and healed about 50,000 patients globally, and that's a very good landmark that all of us are proud of.

Remember, we started ten years ago with the first patient out of South Adelaide, South Australia, and this 50,000 patients we have achieved in eight short years. We have close to 200 papers, 280 independent, you know, journals, abstracts, podium presentations. Today, it's the clinicians who are driving our momentum forward, so you know, I cannot, we cannot take the complete credit for our hypergrowth. It's the clinicians who are driving our growth forward, and it's their advocacy and insights which are driving PolyNovo forward. We have about 120 patients enrolled in BARDA trial, so that means we can now stop the trial. We have already reached out to FDA for a sprint conversation, and we are looking forward to the next steps in this trial. We have reached out to IQVIA. That's again, a BARDA initiative.

We have been supported by BARDA to do a complete assessment of health economics and outcomes research. IQVIA is supporting us in terms of taking a look at what does it mean to use NovoSorb BTM versus the current standard of care from a provider perspective. Not just the product and the cost differential between the standard of care and BTM, but what is an end-to-end impact for a hospital system? How much lower resources get utilized when they use BTM? That's a provider perspective, but they're also coming up with an impact for the payer perspective. For an insurance system, how much would they save if they were to use BTM versus the standard of care?

So this is going to be a year-long study, with the first paper coming out in September, which would be using the American Burn Association's registry data, looking at the entire impact and then providing the data to clinicians and health systems and regulators. The same study will get repeated in three phases, including the last phase, which would end at December 2025, and that would give a long-term outcome and a patient perspective. Because it's not just when the patient is injured and comes into the hospital system and stays in the hospital system and goes out, but it's also the long-term impact of how your wound appears, whether you need to do retouching, whether you need to do scar release, and what is the quality of life projection for that patient going forward. So we are very excited by this study.

We have the first paper coming out by September, and we will have subsequent two drafts over a period of time. So where are we today across the world? U.S., which is our first market, we are number one in the difficult burns channel, by volume as well as by value. So we are pretty proud of the achievement that we have been able to deliver in U.S., and we are extremely proud of our U.S. sales team. They have done a yeoman job in terms of being the first market that we entered post-FDA approval, and we are still not done. You know, while we have done a terrific job with burns channel, we are now driving and expanding our impact beyond burns into the soft tissue reconstruction market.

We are also market leader in the advanced dermal substitute in the other three developed geographies that we are present today. That's Australia and New Zealand, that was the market we entered in 2018, Germany, that was the market we entered in 2019, and U.K., which was a market we entered in 2020. So we are a leader by market share for the total advanced dermal substitutes category, and again, we are very proud of that result. U.S. grew by 49%. I won't get into the details of that. Rest of world grew by 73%, out of which I would like to call out the European... Europe, Middle East, Africa continent.

They have almost more than doubled their revenues, and if I look at the unit growth, Europe as a total is having more units sold than U.S., which was our largest base. So again, excited by the results, excited by all the innovation that we keep seeing from these areas. India, which was a market we entered about twelve months ago, in the first annual result, it's already delivered to us 365 burn cases. So after U.S., which is our largest burn population, U.S. last year delivered about 1,100 plus burn cases. India is number two at 365, and they came primarily from private pay. None of it was insurance, or it might have been from a private insurance, but it was not government reimbursement.

We were very happy with the central government tender, which we won around March or April, and you will see the impact of the central government tender come through, flow throughout 2025, fiscal 2025, and we are working with multiple state governments again to have them activated so that we could truly reach out to patients who need the product in India. Because the volumes are big, we just need to make sure that we are able to provide the access to them. Lastly, we are going to use the U.S. data, and we've already started conversations with PMDA in Japan with our partner, and our first meeting is going to be mid-September. We are hopeful of entering Japan at calendar 2025, so again, very happy with where our clinicians have led us so far and extremely happy with our people.

At this point, I just want to acknowledge a few partners who have been very crucial. First, would be BARDA. BARDA has been working with us since March twenty twelve, so, you know, they've been our longest-serving partner when we were not even PolyNovo, we were called Novo Skin at that time. And they have been phenomenal in terms of pushing us, challenging us, guiding us, and batting for us with the agency. So again, extremely appreciative of them, appreciative of our people, appreciative of all the people, handful of people who joined us then, to close to over 250 people who are with us now. With that, you know, I would hand over to Jan to share the financials with you. Thank you.

Andrew Paine
Head of South Asia Healthcare, CLSA

Great. Thanks, Swami. Just move to the next slide. Thanks, everyone, for joining the webcast today. It's a real pleasure to present the results for another successful year for PolyNovo. Starting with the top line, total revenue for the year was AUD 104.8 million, up 57% on the prior year. NovoSorb product sales were AUD 92 million, up 54% on the prior year, which is an increase of AUD 32 million. A great result. Included in total revenue is BARDA revenue of AUD 11.2 million, which is up 97%, and this is due to an acceleration in the rate of patients enrolled, which now stands at 120, being an important milestone for the trial. Next slide, please. Just moving on to product sales, and as mentioned, they're up 54%.

An indicator of the strong sales momentum is the achievement of record monthly sales in the fourth quarter. Sales in April were AUD 9.2 million, followed by a record AUD 9.8 million in May. We experienced continued strong growth in the U.S., achieving record sales of AUD 68.7 million, up 49% on the prior year, along with significant account acquisition, adding 197 new accounts in the year, which is fantastic. In regards to the rest of the world, we recorded sales of AUD 23.4 million, as Swami mentioned, up 73% on the prior year. The strong results in a number of markets such as U.K., Ireland, Germany, and Australia. The rest of the world now represents 25% of total global sales, compared to 15% two years ago, which is a good outcome. Next slide, please.

Just moving on to the P&L. We are pleased to report for the first time a full year net profit after tax of AUD 5.3 million, versus a prior year loss of AUD 4.9 million, which is another important milestone for business. Driving home, the result was a strong second half on the back of also recording a profit the first half. The full year revenue growth was 57%, compared to an increase of in OpEx of 46%, which demonstrates the leverage evolving within the business. Another important milestone was achieving positive cash flow from operations of AUD 3.7 million, compared to the prior year cash outflow of AUD 6.6 million, so quite a swing. We ended the year with a strong balance sheet, with cash on hand of AUD 45.9 million.

We increased headcount by 36, with most hires in the U.S., particularly in sales, and leadership roles, including Chief Medical Officer, Chief People Officer, General Counsel, President of APAC, so moving forward, profit remains important, but investing in revenue growth is a priority, so in the year ahead, we'll continue to invest in geographic expansion, generating more clinical evidence to support indication expansion, R&D, new products, and increasing capacity and scalability, and I'll hand it back to Swami. Thank you.

If you can go to the next chart, please. I'll take a moment to talk about what do we exactly mean by platform technology, and how do we convert the concept of platform technology to products. We compete essentially in a world of biologics, whichever source they come from, human cadaveric source or porcine, bovine, cord skin, fish skin, et cetera. So that's a world of biologics that we compete with. The genius of a platform lies in its simplicity and its ability to express itself in multiple formats, in whichever way the clinicians would want us to express the products for them. So I'll just take you through a few elements of the products that we are able to support based on the clinician insights.

The simplest innovation is, number one, by Q1 of 2025, our core BTM product will be upgraded and will be available at room temperature readiness package, which means it does not need to be shipped through cold storage, and need not be refrigerated. It can go and sit on the shelf. So again, we are finding a way to make to strip the cost out of the product and make it easier and more accessible to more healthcare environments across the world, not all of which would have refrigeration. So that's a simpler innovation. On the bottom left-hand side, you will see the rolls of different shapes and sizes. That's coming, again, from a clinician insight that instead of tailoring and fitting products to different places, can you give us different sizes?

Our largest size has been twenty by forty, which is a very popular size for burns, but they would also want to do forty by forty, and you will see one forty by forty roll, which we are giving to clinicians for trunks, back. It becomes very easy for them to have this product for the body. There are some of the smaller rolls, which you will see for rolling around the limbs. Again, covering a patient like a Michelin Man, but that really helps the outcomes from a clinician's perspective. We are working with them to ensure that we're able to demonstrably prove those outcomes to clinicians. We are not just giving them the product, but we are also giving them a protocol which accompanies along with them. Many clinicians, burns are a bugbear of burns and trauma.

Infection is a bugbear of burns and trauma, so many clinicians put an antimicrobial dressing on top, and they've asked if we could incorporate antimicrobial elements into BTM or MTX, and we are in the process of coming up with an antimicrobial variant, which would go right next to the wound and protect the wound at source on top of the dressings, et cetera, so again, we're giving them what they want. Clinicians look at BTM and MTX as two different platforms. BTM provides temporization or coverage, stability, buys them time. MTX provides or does the job of volume fill for different parts of dermis, and dermis is not uniform two millimeter across the body.

So they are, you know, the dermis on the chest or the legs or the butt is very different from the dermis in different parts of the body. Similarly, the one on the face is very different from hand. So we are identifying what would be the best use cases for clinicians to do for different parts of the body. That's as far as complex wounds is concerned. So all the graftable products, which we give, which we will provide to them for burns and for complex trauma. We never thought we could replace allograft, and we never thought allograft itself can be a source of pain for clinicians. Allograft is the go-to product for plastic surgeons across the world, but for many of them, it comes in different variations. It's never perfect. It is stored with tissue bank.

You have to open it up. There's a whole lot of paperwork which needs to be done. The price varies from $2 to $16 in the U.S., and from GBP 2 per sq cm to close to GBP 10 per sq cm in the U.K. And more often than not, it's never available when you want it. So we are also working with clinicians and a few universities to come up with a synthetic allograft, but this won't be the foam structure. This will be a structure which will mimic the job which allograft does, for the patient in terms of temporization and stabilization. And as you lift the synthetic allograft off, it will leave bleeders, which is a little bit of a healthy wound bed.

So again, working with academia and clinicians to give them what they want, and the way they would want it, and in a simple way, so that it's not a biologic product, but it becomes a 510(k) product, which is easily available for them on demand. So that's as far as our graftable products are concerned. We've also built a pipeline of implantable products for simple hernia, complex hernia, and abdominal wall reconstruction, as well as other augmentation jobs or reconstruction jobs for breast. And we have two platforms called SENTREL and SENTRIX, which would go into hernia and plastic and reconstructive surgery space. We are excited about these products because they perform extremely well versus the market leader in the bench tests.

We are proceeding into the large animal studies, and we would be looking at what would be the next steps in terms of pushing this entire pipeline and giving it to the clinicians who are working with us, helping us define what would be the ideal characteristics of this platform. I won't get into all the details, but this is what truly drives all the people of PolyNovo, and we are grateful to the Victorian Government for giving us the grant. We are getting more instruments, and we are getting more space for our R&D so that they can continue to keep working uninterrupted, versus working with our production guys and breaking it, and then coming back to their R&D benches, so extremely excited about our pipeline. If we can move to the next page, please.

I would just like to close by saying, a year ago, clinicians used to refer to us as next generation standard of care, and I did share that last year. Today, we are already the volume value leaders in all the developed markets in the world. And not just volume and value leaders, clinicians are discovering that we are utilizing lesser resources, inflicting lesser pain on patients as they use us. So it's not just the cost effectiveness, it's the reduction in complexity, it's the ability to treat more patients, and it's the ability for patients to heal and have a far better quality of life than they could have had with the standard of care. So we are a new standard of care today. I spoke a bit about platform technology.

I spoke about the products which are available from a graftable product range for wounds which are on the surface, and I also spoke about products which can get into the body. So we are excited about this. We are working with different partners in terms of how can we bring it to life, including with regulatory agencies and clinicians who are helping us progress this pipeline. Along with these products, we are also constructing an educational platform for clinicians. That's the science of complex wound management. It's very easy for us and our polymer chemists to build products, but it's not the products which cure patients. It has to have a protocol which goes along with it. It has to have evidence of what to expect when, and how to make sure that patients get meaningfully differentiated outcomes.

So that entire package we are putting together so that we can keep replicating those outcomes for multiple clinicians as we start moving across the world, and that's what I mean by platform technology. It's the products and the professional education platform which will go along with the products. Lastly, I'll just talk about the simplicity of our business model. I would really want to drive growth as hard as we can go, but what I'm extremely careful about is, beyond the IP and the technology, which is our asset, our clinicians are our asset as well, and so are our people. How do we ensure that we use our clinicians responsibly, make sure that we come up with the right products, right protocols, and then find a way to scale them across the world, and same with our people?

How do we make sure that they have the bandwidth to execute in a quality way as we start rolling things around? And for our shareholders, how do we utilize capital in a responsible way? As I said, extremely excited two years into the job. I don't think. My first premise, as I said, was we would be able to make a huge impact in the emerging world, but I see us having a huge impact in the developed world as well. We have touched about 50,000 patients, but honestly, the opportunity is millions. And that's what me, my team, along with our clinicians, are looking forward to. With that, I would hand it back to David for his final closing comments, and then we could get into Q&A.

David Williams
Chairman, PolyNovo

Yeah. Thank you. So, you're getting ready, Jan. I'll make a few comments while you're getting up to that. Have we got many questions online? Just so I know.

Andrew Paine
Head of South Asia Healthcare, CLSA

Yeah, yeah, we have quite a few online, but we're going to have the analyst calling in and asking a couple of questions each first up, and then we'll flip to written questions on the platform.

David Williams
Chairman, PolyNovo

Great. All right. Well, let me just make a few editorial comments, then we'll throw the questions, and then we'll close and let everybody get out for lunch. A couple of things in no particular order. I mean, I think, Swami said it, but, you know, thank you very much for the support from the Victorian Government. We're sort of riding on the shoulders of some giants here, and, you know, we should all be very proud about what Australia's achieving through not only companies like ourselves, which are now, you know, close to AUD 2 billion or to- at AUD 2 billion, but companies like Clarity, and Telix, and Pro Medicus, and ResMed, and Clinuvel, you know, multi-billion dollar companies.

And I think our reputation as being, you know, very, very good in this state, and this country, in pharmaceuticals and devices, and that is well deserved, and we're happy to sort of have colleagues standing alongside us, who are, you know, beating the world up in every market, and especially in the U.S. So, that's one thing I would say, that, you know, thanks to the Victorian Government, they gave us AUD 2 million to, you know, just to go towards building out our R&D facility. I think the point about that, which Swami touched on, is that we've got a very, very capital light balance sheet. I mean, there's not much on this balance sheet.

I've said it before, if you wanted to build a Coca-Cola plant or a blood fractionation plant, you know, give me AUD 300 million, give me AUD 500 million, and we've got an ability to build a plant, which we're doing at the moment, and even with all the bells and whistles, might be AUD 30-40 million max, that will support AUD 500 million in sales. So we don't, there's not much we need to think about there, and what a pleasure that is, to be making a good margin with a very low capital base.

It does give us the luxury as well, by the way, which we talked about briefly this morning at our board meeting, which is that, even though we've got ample capacity here to keep growing by 400% or 500% with our manufacturing plant, especially when this new one is finished, you know, we have the luxury of being able to say, "You know, if we wanted to build another plant somewhere else in the world or somewhere else in Australia just to diversify risk, then we could do it, and we could do it very cheaply." Notwithstanding, we've got a product that any government, I believe, would pay for. I mean, we're coming from doing it ourselves, but I think now we've got proof of concept, in a way, a couple of billion AUD worth of proof of concept.

I think any country in the world would or major city would, you know, pay us to put a factory up, in order to give us that sort of strength. I think the other thing I'd just like to pass on is, 'cause somebody will ask it, but, you know, "How are you gonna go next year? What are your sort of forecasts for?" As everybody knows, we're not in the game of making forecasts, and I don't think it makes sense. Everybody should see that. I think that, you know, we don't know whether we're gonna grow this year by 20% or 60%. So, it's, you know, we're going very well. Is there any reason why it should drop off? Not really.

But the numbers that Jan just talked about there was, you know, April, May numbers, for example, sales of the product, AUD 9.2 million, AUD 9.8 million, add in some BARDA, both of those months were revenues, total revenues over AUD 11 million, one over AUD 10 million and one over AUD 11 million. So we've been in the habit, as you all know, of announcing whenever we do a record month with a new one, you know, a digit of one, eight million turnover, nine million turnover, 10 million turnover. I'm not saying we'll stop that, but probably we will. And now that you can see that even in April, May, we went over AUD 10 million revenue, I think, you know, when it gets to 11, I'm not sure this is a matter for the board, of course, but I'm not sure we need to advertise.

But I think just for your sake, if you're trying to figure out what our turnover might be this year, there's a half reasonable starting point. So, we're not gonna say anything about it. Well, the other thing I'd say, which people have asked me about, is profits and dividends and, we're certainly in no hurry to pay a dividend, notwithstanding we've got cash in the bank and we've got a low capital market requirement. You know, I think, there's still lots to be done in terms of new product development. There's still lots to be done in terms of potential acquisitions.

Nothing we're gonna do today, but there's lots of possibilities for us, and I think of some of our competitors and some of our opportunities. Those companies are suffering because of us, but because of a whole lot of other things. So there will be opportunities come up, and for that reason, you know, I'm not really much interested in paying dividends at the moment. And as you can see, if you're interested in dividends and you bought shares a year ago at 120, well, you know, you can get your own dividend by selling a few shares if you like. Ditto, I'm not really concerned about profit.

It's a great thing, everybody's happy that we've been able to go to profit so quickly, and you can draw your own graphs on where our revenue is going and where our costs are at in terms of our margin, therefore, what might happen to our profits. But the focus for us still is to expand the global footprint, to go deeper into the markets that we're in, including the U.S., but everywhere for that matter, and to develop new markets that perhaps, you know, we're not in at the moment, where there might be a significant opportunity that's not currently available to us. You know, it might be a distribution team servicing podiatry in the U.S., for example. It might be doing something more definitive in charitable and war zone applications.

So there's still lots to be done there, but that's what I'm really interested in is and that's what we're all interested in, I think, is just growing that business, because AUD 100 million is not enough, AUD 200 million is not enough. As Swami said, we could be servicing millions of patients. And I think when you look at somebody like Telix, I haven't got their numbers in front of me, but their sales last year had sort of gone from nothing to $190 million. This year, they're straight away up to $360 million. So it is possible to you know have quantum leaps in this as you open up new markets. So that's all I would want to say about you know forecasts.

You won't get them out of us, you won't get them out of us now, you won't get it out of us for the half year, and you probably won't see any change in our attitude to dividends. It's gonna be growth and growth, not at all costs, but we need to. You know, time is of the essence. You know, what did I see this year that surprised me? Not much.

I mean, it sounds a bit boring to be able to say, "Look, we're just putting one step in front of the other." I think the things that are surprising us are still the level of engagement and the increasing level of engagement by surgeons around the world, who are identifying new ways that they not only wanna use the product themselves, but want to encourage us to sort of take the business. So those things are, you know, amazing. We're all surprised on a monthly basis, nearly, about some surgeon somewhere in the world who's got a new use for this, and so that's been a big surprise.

I think the second thing, which is attached to that, is the increasing footprint that we've got, probably a lot faster than if you'd asked us a year ago, we would have wanted to do ourselves. We would have wanted to have a much more controlled, you know, release and so forth. But here we are sitting here, you know, 41 countries, and we're getting dragged into some of that, just to be very clear about it. You know, we're distributing in Abu Dhabi. That wasn't where we wanted to go, but, you know, we had a surgeon who had previously worked in Boston, who was back in Abu Dhabi, and a woman, and believe it or not, broke into tears on the phone when we didn't want to supply her because we didn't have a supply route into there.

That first order was $1 million, so you look at that, and we're getting dragged into countries by surgeons, we're getting dragged into countries by war zones and charities. And that's well, it's a refreshing thing, it's a fantastic thing. The opportunity is massive, but we've got to be careful that we're holding onto the tail of a tiger. So you know, and it's very easy to say, "Yeah, I'm going to give you a million bucks," but we you know, we want to know that it's going to be used in the appropriate way, that we're not going to get into regulatory problems ourselves, et cetera, et cetera. So I think not much has surprised us except for that, and that's they're unbelievable opportunities.

And if you don't believe it, all you need to do is go and have a look at the number of publications that are getting distributed now. I forget what we're up to, but let's say it's two hundred and seventy refereed journal articles. Because the surgeons are and this is just the tip of the iceberg, I mean, surgeons are using it. Not all of them go away and write a paper, and we know there's many papers in the pipeline, but these things are doing the advertising for us, if you like. Somebody says they want to use it on spina bifida, somebody says they want to use it on cornea reconstruction. These are things that if our whole shareholder base sat down with a whiteboard, we'd never think of in a year.

So that's really a fantastic thing for us, I think, to see, not just that the surgeons are deriving it, but rather the number of patients they're getting satisfied with that, and or lives saved or made more beautiful or, you know, some other sort of variation on that. I think, as I said before, we're a little bit at a crossroads here where we've got a number of things happening that I'm really excited about that sort of fall into these categories. Too early to tell you today, but I hope in a short period of time, as the AGM, that we might have one or two of these things to really push.

Just one other thing I'd say is, we've mentioned it today, which is that the BARDA clinical trial, a hundred and twenty patients, now, in a sense, it's completed. So now we've got to deal with the FDA, but that's. We're in a funny situation because there's more to tell on that story, and certainly a more comprehensive story. So we have a release that we'll make to the ASX shortly, but in the next few days, but we need to get that release signed off by BARDA first. So here we are, in a no man's land, where we've finished, and we've told you today we're finished, so it's public, it's in the ASX document, but there will be an update on some of that. That's, you know, potentially very exciting for us.

And not because surgeons aren't already using it for the purposes that we're doing the trial, but because there will be still a rump of surgeons that want clinical data. There will be countries, some countries who will go, "Look, we don't have the regulatory firepower, so we're waiting for the FDA to approve it." So I'm not saying there will be a massive spike that comes off that, but it'll certainly make us more credible and open up some doors, both with surgeons in the U.S. and with countries and surgeons around the world. So I'm getting to a stage, unfortunately, where I could be rambling a bit. So I'll stop myself there. And, Jaan, if you could field the questions.

Andrew Paine
Head of South Asia Healthcare, CLSA

Sure.

David Williams
Chairman, PolyNovo

If we can't get to you, we'll certainly attempt to answer them by email, and Jan will aggregate questions that look like they're replicating each other.

Andrew Paine
Head of South Asia Healthcare, CLSA

That's right. So I think we're going to go to the phone-in analyst. So operator, if you could patch them through, please.

Operator

Thank you. If you wish to ask a question via the phone, you will need to press the star key followed by the number one on your telephone keypad. Your first question comes from Leanne Harrison from BofA. Please go ahead.

Lyanne Harrison
Lead Healthcare Analyst, Bank of America

Hi, David, Swami, and Jaan. Let me start with the slide you had on slide eight, which was the platform technology. You know, some interesting products in there, but I just want to get a better sense of those synthetic allograft and antimicrobial products. You know, that 15- to 36-month timeframe is actually quite a long range. Can you give us a sense of, you know, where you are on product development on those products? When do you expect to file for 510(k) approval, and when do you expect to launch for those two products?

David Williams
Chairman, PolyNovo

Thank you, Leanne. There is a reason why we gave you that particular range, because what we want to do is, we really want to make sure that the products serve multiple needs of clinicians, not just in the U.S., but also in the U.K. or in emerging markets. And we have the core products ready, but we would prefer to test it with multiple surgeons, make sure that we have got the target product profile right before we go in for 510(k). More often than not, we would prefer to do 510(k). That's the simplest pathway to market for us, but we want to get it right. And as I said before, it's not just the product, but what's the protocol which goes along with it, and to some degree of evidence so that it can be scaled pretty quickly.

So we are taking a deliberate approach of going a little slow so that we can speed up later. And having multiple views into our pipeline thinking and the experience, having surgeons construct not just the product, but the protocol and the educational platform, so it becomes a full package as we start rolling out. That's the reason why I'm giving you a range, but not a date. And if I were to go back and take a look at MTX, you know, we've rolled it out some time ago. We have tested it with clinicians. It's close to $700,000 for us in the U.S.

But again, we are kind of making sure that the package is comprehensive, and as much as we have one form of MTX into the market, we are looking at what surgeons are telling us and bringing out an entire range which would help them satisfy those clinical jobs to be done. So I'm sorry I'm not giving you the perfect answer, but the range is the right answer.

Lyanne Harrison
Lead Healthcare Analyst, Bank of America

verify you say, is it currently being tested with multiple surgeons? Is that right?

Swami Raote
CEO, PolyNovo

That's right. That's right. We have entered into partnership with two universities with attached R&D centers and animal houses. So we are literally. It's easy for us to construct a product, but test it with clinicians, test it on animal models, you know, occasionally test it to see if it works on small wounds, get that entire package ready before we roll it out. So that's where we are at.

Lyanne Harrison
Lead Healthcare Analyst, Bank of America

What's the feedback been to date on some of that testing? Has there been any feedback on the product itself that might lead to product going back into development?

Swami Raote
CEO, PolyNovo

It's more around the experience of the product. You know, for example, let me just give you an example of synthetic allograft. We never thought that there would be a need for synthetic allograft, but then we looked around and started assessing the market for allografts, and it's probably more than $125 or $130 million that we could calculate ourselves. It's probably bigger than that. But then, how are clinicians looking at allograft? What are the clinical jobs that they're expecting from allograft? Some clinicians use BTM directly, some use allograft first to declare wounds. What is the experience that they're looking for as they peel off the allograft? And can we give all the elements of the clinical experience into the product while taking majority of the pain points away from them?

That's where we would prefer to do multiple test and runs with them, make sure that the test and runs work with not just one environment, but multiple environments, and then it's very easy for us to start rolling out the product. But we prefer to get the package right beyond the product and the outcomes and how to secure those outcomes for clinicians in a consistent way. The one theme which would be common is we need to be meaningfully different from whatever is the current product and protocol, and give those differentiated outcomes. If we cannot, we would not want to compete in those fields.

Lyanne Harrison
Lead Healthcare Analyst, Bank of America

Okay, thank you very much. And if I could just have another question on outlook for 2025. I know, David, you mentioned you're not gonna provide guidance. You know, the growth rates, obviously, you know, very strong growth rate for financial 2024, but, you know, and still I'm not sure what that would be in 2025. But how do we think about that growth? You know, so you ended up the year with about AUD 10 million in revenues per month.

You know, if we kind of assume that sort of cadence for 2025, you know, we get to about AUD 120 million or thereabouts, but, you know, expect some uplift there. But if we think about like, let's just focus on the United States, you know, how many more accounts can you add to that? How big are those accounts, and what are you seeing, particularly in the United States, in terms of the depth and penetration you're getting in those accounts?

Swami Raote
CEO, PolyNovo

Neil, I can take that question. There is a reason why David or me, we do not focus as much on outcomes, while we keep an eye on them. A majority of the lift that you're seeing right now is because the competitor is out of the market, literally over the last couple of months. I mean, PriMatrix was the first product which went out of market, and then Integra Dermal Regeneration Template also went out of market for some time. It's coming back, and we are not focused on that. How is our U.S. business tracking? We are in all the major centers, and Jan can correct me later on, but we are in almost 513 hospitals, and we are primarily focused on level one, level two, level three trauma centers.

Now, there might be a mix of a Kaiser or a Cedars-Sinai or a Mayo, which will get added to that. But our focus has been on making sure that we are able to deliver first to our core constituency, which is the burn surgeons, and then moving from burn surgeons to trauma surgeons. So if I were to just give you an idea into a burn procedural volume was close to 50% a couple of years ago, it's now dropping down to 20% in U.S. But the revenue, as you know, can go up dramatically, with burns. And that's the lumpy part of the business.

Our unit growth is much higher than the revenue growth in U.S., and what we are focusing on is how do we go to difficult burns and beyond burns to difficult trauma, which not everyone else can cure. And again, an example which I can think about is limb salvage. If a surgeon has to chop off toes or, you know, a below-knee amputation, how do we give them the comfort that with BTM, they will definitely save that amputation? And those are the places where we are building our evidence or deep avulsions, wherein the dermis has been lost all the way to fascia or at times even to bone. How does MTX help in those areas? So we are trying to go after the most difficult clinical problems which surgeons are faced with, build an evidence base for that.

Once we solve that, they can take us into multiple other places that we would not even have thought about. So we are focused on the process, product, protocol, getting the clinician confidence up, getting really high-quality clinical advocates. Once we get that, they are the ones who are going to champion us across their geography and at times, even beyond their geography.

Again, I'm sorry, I'm not going to give you a direct answer, but we are all focused on growth, and if we choose the right spots to work with, the growth will be an outcome. We have, you know, we have a history that we have demonstrated with, and we're pretty confident that the growth will keep coming. My perspective is U.S. is another five to ten years of growth story for us, and, you know, we have to find a way of balancing growth in U.S. and growth OUS. Thank you for the question.

Lyanne Harrison
Lead Healthcare Analyst, Bank of America

Okay, and no problems. And just one comment there on United States growth. There was a recent local coverage determination, I think it was in May of this year, where CMS found that there was insufficient evidence that NovoSorb BTM was effective for diabetic foot ulcers, but Medicare still covers it despite that limited evidence. Has that changed the surgeon use or surgeon's approach to using NovoSorb products for DFUs?

Swami Raote
CEO, PolyNovo

We are focused for NovoSorb on limb salvage, not necessarily in an outpatient or physician's office setting, because that's not where we can have the healthiest wound bed, or that's a protocol which our science does not support. For NovoSorb to work, the chronic wound needs to get converted into acute wound, and the vascular bed has to be really of high quality. Once that happens, the vascularity is confirmed, NovoSorb will work, which means more of an inpatient setting. That's where we are focused on. When we get our PMA approval for BTM, we would get the right CMS support in terms of the CPT codes, and we will be working with transitional pass-through codes for outpatient setting, so we are going to be patient in terms of going outpatient, and as I said, burns is what gave us our early reputation.

Limb salvage is what we are focused on, and that could eventually take us into the diabetic foot ulcer market. But what we are focused on is pretty large enough, and we believe we have substantial advantage there versus any other product. So we have many surgeons who are converting from biologics to BTM for those limb salvage, limb preservation cases, and that's, that's the entire focus of our team right now, the clinical team, as well as our sales team.

Lyanne Harrison
Lead Healthcare Analyst, Bank of America

Thank you very much. Very helpful. I'll leave it there.

Swami Raote
CEO, PolyNovo

Thank you, Leanne.

Operator

Thank you. Your next question comes from Shane Storey from Wilsons Advisory. Please go ahead.

Lyanne Harrison
Lead Healthcare Analyst, Bank of America

Good afternoon, everyone. Swami, I'm gonna sort of return to one of Leanne's questions, just as a follow-up, just around, not so much about accounts, but like, if we think about the volume growth that PolyNovo saw this year in the U.S., say, in absolute square centimeters, for instance, would I be thinking? Would I be right if I thought that maybe a third of that growth came from new accounts, maybe two-thirds from existing accounts? I've just put a number out there for you to correct me. I'm only after a rough split. I just think many people on the call would find that useful for modeling 2025 and 2026. Thank you.

Swami Raote
CEO, PolyNovo

I'll probably get Jan to give a little bit of flavor on the accounts which are growing and the new accounts or the new surgeons that we are touching, and I'll probably come back and answer your question about the volume growth.

Andrew Paine
Head of South Asia Healthcare, CLSA

Sure. Thanks, Shane. Probably 20% of customers that we've acquired during the year, we've got you know, trivial to sales growth, the balance being the remainder of the customer base, so we started the year out with 299 customers and added 197. When you add a customer, it doesn't mean you're gonna get a stocking order straight off the bat, and the customers vary as well, so we're already in a lot of the large trauma centers, the burn centers, and they'll order often. Some hospitals won't necessarily order as often, but looking at you know, all our major customers and the penetration over the last year, it's been quite significant across the vast majority of the accounts.

Some accounts have gone backwards, but for different reasons, that'll only be a very small handful, but the penetration is obvious, and it is happening. So you know, it does help, but it just depends on the type of customer. Eventually, you know, you'll get to a tipping point in terms of how many customers you will have and how much revenue you get from, you know, your major customers. But, you know, we're certainly seeing that penetration, and the customer account acquisition is good, it's strong. There's still more to pick up, and the U.S. market is huge, so hopefully that answers your question, Shane.

Lyanne Harrison
Lead Healthcare Analyst, Bank of America

Yeah. No, that is helpful. My second question just goes back to what, Swami, you were saying just a minute ago about the idea of limb salvage, possibly being a conduit to the DFU market. And on that, am I right in thinking that as the DFU market stands today, there might be a little bit of pushback, you know, against the synthetic, given that collagen sort of dressings have been so dominant for so long? And then, I mean, A, is that right? And then, B, how do you see what results in limb salvage coming out, say, into the literature as human material is being used in that setting, please?

Swami Raote
CEO, PolyNovo

Yeah. Shane, the one thing which we are focused on is we are going where our science allows us to go. And for our product to work, there needs to be certain environment, there needs to be certain surgical skills, and an ability to create a good, healthy wound bed... and staple it appropriately and support it appropriately. If all those things are done, the product will work like a charm. But if any of those elements are missing, then the product won't deliver the outcome that it was supposed to deliver, and that has been our constant theme. How do we stay focused on what is the outcome which is needed? And do we have the right environment and the right skills from a protocol and surgical skills or nursing skills perspective?

And that's the reason why we pulled back from the diabetic foot ulcer market and the way our product was being used, because it would have delivered average outcomes, and in a sea of biologics, we would not have been able to compete. We want to make sure that our product delivers outcomes with certainty and with meaningful differentiation versus the standard of care. So that's been our guiding theme, that's what we are focused on. And with limb salvage, we have worked with many clinicians who have spent 20, 30 years with the biologics, and they have started working with our product, and it just works like a charm every single time, no matter how difficult or complex the particular wound would be.

Limb salvage surgeons look at the clinical problems to be solved a lot more differently from the bone surgeons, and that's where we see significant uptake from MTX as well. It's the clinical job of filling the wound and then covering the wound and making sure that, you know, there is appropriate offloading for it to build that healthy granulation bed. And they have been amazed to see some of the results. If we can deliver outstanding results in the most difficult problems which clinicians face with, we believe that it would eventually come down and deliver results across the entire spectrum. We just have to be patient and focused. We are focused on those difficult problems, and then the surgeons will take us rapidly across the entire spectrum.

David Williams
Chairman, PolyNovo

The other thing, Shane

Thanks, Shane. Just to interrupt, I told this story at the board meeting this morning about an operation in Auckland, where we have a surgeon there who's really effectively, de facto, one of our key opinion leaders. He's the biggest user of the product in the world because everything's concentrated through him in New Zealand. But he's wandering along the corridor, and there's one of his colleagues about to take a leg off below the knee because the patient had a venous leg ulcer that hadn't been able to be cured. And so Richard said: "What are you doing? Why would you take it off? Why don't you just put PolyNovo on?" And the surgeon goes: "Well, what's PolyNovo?" So he goes along the corridor, gets some PolyNovo, puts it on.

Half an hour later, bandages it up, and the guy goes, "Is that all there is to it?" So, the reason I'm telling you that story is because when you say limb salvage might lead to DFUs, there's many case reviews the other way, where a DFU or a venous leg ulcer or something will say, "You know, don't take it off. Use our product instead." So that's just a job for us to make sure that within hospitals, we spread the word, and that's going back to your first question in terms of, you know, customers and so forth.

The difficulty is disaggregating what's happening in hospitals, like in Auckland, for example, where Richard's a huge user, but there's plenty of other surgeons that still need to be introduced to it. So we'll see, we'll see sales going up in Auckland, but there's not one new customer. Auckland's still the customer, but there might be 10 new doctors, you know?

Lyanne Harrison
Lead Healthcare Analyst, Bank of America

Thanks, team. I'll get off and let my colleagues have a swing. Thanks.

Operator

Thank you. Your next question comes from Rachel Harwood, from Macquarie. Please go ahead.

Lyanne Harrison
Lead Healthcare Analyst, Bank of America

Hi, David, Jan, and Swami. Thanks so much for taking my questions. Just firstly, just on growth margins, I guess, how are you thinking about next year, just given more diversification of sales outside of the U.S.?

Swami Raote
CEO, PolyNovo

Yeah, Rachel, I think with gross margin, we've had another good year, in 94% gross margin for the group. As we move into next year, we've still got the, I guess, the incremental price rise just to cover inflation and whatnot, that will still continue, and like any other business. In terms of other markets, you know, the U.S. is always gonna be the dominant market for some time and does attract the highest pricing per square centimeter. It will take some time for India to put a dent in that. They certainly will have more volumes in the long run. But for, you know, FY 2025, we still expect our margins to be where they currently are.

Lyanne Harrison
Lead Healthcare Analyst, Bank of America

That's great, and you mentioned India. Just a quick one on there, I mean, you won your first tender in India. Could you maybe just talk quickly how these tenders work and maybe your expectations for India into next year?

Swami Raote
CEO, PolyNovo

Sure. India is a very difficult market for someone who does not understand India, including me. It's complex in the sense that you get awarded a tender, and then you have to do multiple bureaucratic procedures to get the stuff on the website. Then you have to work with multiple hospitals and, you know, work with distributors, attach one distributor to each hospital. So we won the tender sometime in March or April, I don't remember when, and then we had to work and fill multiple forms across. I don't know, Jan has the number of hospitals which can get served with NovoSorb BTM. But we are focused more on the big burn centers where all the burn cases go, and those are the places that we are focused on. Those are the places where we are making all those connections.

But just to give you a flavor of India, in the last one year, we did 365 burn cases versus 1,100 in the U.S. So it's already number two burn market for us. Public hospitals and central government hospitals are where majority of those burn cases go. So if we can get the reimbursement, which we have got at a central level, those volumes I expect to shoot up throughout this year, fiscal year 2025 for PolyNovo. And then we are also working with multiple state government tenders, which will all take their time and the bureaucracy. I will just go back to our BARDA clinical trial. We applied for the ethical review board for India in June 2023. We got the approval in February 2024.

We started our first patient somewhere around April, and then literally within two months, we had 20 patients come out from India, and that's how we were able to complete our 120 quota. So it's going to be a hard startup, but it will fill up the volumes, and it would be a volume driver market for us. The second thing which I see in India is when I look at the composition of those 20 patients and how we compare versus standard of care. My initial thinking was India is going to be a torture test market for us because infection is a given.

Hospital-acquired infections is a given, burns or no burns, and BTM is proving to be robust in many of those cases, curing patients versus the biologic standard of care. So again, that subgroup analysis will be very interesting for us going forward. So that would be the importance of India. It would be more of a volume driver, and it would give confidence to many surgeons, including the diaspora surgeons who practice across the world. If it works in India, it will work in any environment. I am pretty confident about that.

Andrew Paine
Head of South Asia Healthcare, CLSA

Swami, just a

Lyanne Harrison
Lead Healthcare Analyst, Bank of America

That's great. Thanks so much for my question.

Andrew Paine
Head of South Asia Healthcare, CLSA

I was just gonna help you out there. There was a question on GEM-

Lyanne Harrison
Lead Healthcare Analyst, Bank of America

Oh, yeah

Andrew Paine
Head of South Asia Healthcare, CLSA

So the access there is to just over six hundred hospitals, federal hospitals through the GEM portal, just to answer your question.

Swami Raote
CEO, PolyNovo

Yeah. We would be focusing on the top 25 hospitals, which have really good quality burn surgeons, and then we would start distributing ourselves across. So we are, again, as a company, focused on delivering the outcomes and then eventually allowing the clinicians to distribute themselves and those outcomes to many other settings.

Lyanne Harrison
Lead Healthcare Analyst, Bank of America

That's great. Thanks for answering my questions.

Swami Raote
CEO, PolyNovo

Thank you, Rachel.

Operator

Thank you. The next question comes from Scott Power, from Morgans Financial. Please go ahead.

Scott Power
Senior Research Analyst, Morgans Financial

Good afternoon, gentlemen. Congratulations on that result. But just a quick question, just on that PMA, assuming the trials, you say, has now been completed, what's your expectation on the timing of the approval?

Swami Raote
CEO, PolyNovo

Thank you, Scott, and again, I'm giving you my version of expectation. A lot would depend upon how BARDA would, you know, support us, and how the agency would support us in terms of making the timelines better or worse. Because FDA, as an agency, is also under duress with staffing issues. But we have already applied for a sprint conversation, and we are going to have that conversation with FDA in terms of when do they expect submission from us, and what is the follow-up period for those patients. Our internal estimate is by November, we could submit, and it typically takes FDA about one year to go through the entire process, including FDA inspection. So I would say the rough timeline would be November of next year

It could go up, it could go down. We are making all possible efforts to present a really compelling case, and luckily, we have data which is superb. Now it's up to FDA to take a judgmental call to ensure that they're protecting the safety of the U.S. patients. We are confident, but we need to convince them, so, you know, I would leave it at that.

Scott Power
Senior Research Analyst, Morgans Financial

Right. Thanks, Swami.

Swami Raote
CEO, PolyNovo

Thanks.

Operator

Thank you. Your next question comes from Andrew Payne, from CLSA. Please go ahead.

Andrew Paine
Head of South Asia Healthcare, CLSA

Yeah, afternoon, guys. Thanks for taking my question. Just looking at the CapEx for the new facility to support, you know, five times increasing current capacity. Just wondering where you are now in terms of, you know, utilization of your capacity and, you know, when that comes online and, you know, just making sure that, you know, you're gonna be able to continue to ramp up as you are, and not hit any capacity constraints.

Swami Raote
CEO, PolyNovo

Andrew, I'll just take the earlier part of the question in terms of where we are. We have built up volumes, and all the major markets have pretty good inventory, and that's six months plus. U.S. would probably have eight months plus universe inventory. So we are telling our customers that we are there for you if you need it. We have still strong capacity left. We are now going to start scaling up and building the factory behind. So that's the reason why we have built up a little bit of inventory upfront, and then I'll ask Jan to talk about the actual financials of capital release.

Andrew Paine
Head of South Asia Healthcare, CLSA

Sure. Thanks, Swami. The total project is gonna cost around about AUD 26 million. So we're about to soon start construction next month, and I think the majority of the CapEx spend will be, you know, in FY 2025. So you're looking at about AUD 16-17 million for the build and the rest on equipment. And then we'll have a tail in the first half of next year, leading up to Christmas, when the plant becomes operational in December 2025.

Swami Raote
CEO, PolyNovo

But just to reinforce, Scott, we have enough capacity today.

Andrew Paine
Head of South Asia Healthcare, CLSA

Yeah.

Swami Raote
CEO, PolyNovo

And if there is a demand surge, we can serve it through our current two units. That should not be a problem for us.

Andrew Paine
Head of South Asia Healthcare, CLSA

That's great. Thanks, and just some early thoughts on MTX and, and/or your Suprathel product. I think I said that right. You know, how's that looking? You know, does that increase operating leverage meaningfully once the ramp up comes through? You know, assuming the clinicians and the sales staff kind of look after multiple types of wounds.

Swami Raote
CEO, PolyNovo

Yeah. I'll first talk about MTX, which is our internal platform product. We did a limited release, worked with clinicians to build the evidence and the data, and now we have started expanding the release. And literally, in the month of May, we opened up to all the clinicians. So if I were to look at the revenue so far, it's about $700,000, and we are gradually getting all our initial champions to advocate how the product should be used for their surgeon colleagues. And we are using those early insights to build out the MTX platform, and you will see multiple versions of MTX come to life, including thicker versions of MTX, including an indication or a label indication, which talks about tunneling and undermining wounds, which we did not have.

And a flowable version of MTX, which we hope to launch soon, so that we can truly do jobs, and help them, you know, fill up the wounds, no matter what the size, or resurface the wounds in whichever way. With regard to Suprathel, that's a second-degree burn product, or for donor site. We are learning from Suprathel. Suprathel, by the way, belongs to PMI, who has been our distributor in Germany, and they did a terrific job for us in Germany, and we're just returning the favor for them in UK and Australia. We are working with them to see if we could take this partnership forward and, you know, really, build a product which does better than Suprathel or which does better than Biobrane, which is the current standard of care for those indications.

We are looking at multiple places where our polymer platform can go to, including partnerships like Suprathel. But Suprathel would be a volume driver and, you know, the number of patients who would need Suprathel would be much larger than BTM.

Andrew Paine
Head of South Asia Healthcare, CLSA

Okay, that's great. Look, I'll leave that there. Thanks.

Swami Raote
CEO, PolyNovo

Thank you, Andrew.

Operator

Thank you. You now have a follow-up question from Shane Storey from Wilsons Advisory. Please go ahead.

Lyanne Harrison
Lead Healthcare Analyst, Bank of America

Sorry for the follow-up, but I just heard you, Swami, talk about the thicker version of MTX. That is something that we have heard anecdotally in our surgeon calls, the idea of that. Maybe if you could maybe talk about, like, the particular sort of clinical settings where you think that offers a difference. Thanks.

Swami Raote
CEO, PolyNovo

Yeah. Since our Chief Medical Officer took over, he has simplified it and put more of a clinician's language into our developmental efforts. And to make it really simple, MTX as a platform does a volume fill job for a surgeon, and BTM as a platform does a coverage or a temporization job. If I were to think about a thicker MTX, you know, if you think about a young, healthy adult, chest or limbs or buttock would need a thicker dermis, and that's where, you know, while two millimeter will work, they have asked for four millimeter, and we think it works better than the two millimeter. And there would be some wounds, including avulsions, which could be much deeper.

So we are working with surgeons to give them a range of thick products and a flowable platform so that if there are deeper crevices that MTX needs to go to, we can provide that to them. And we're working with the surgeons on indications, application, as well as care to be taken, to ensure that there are no interstices left between two products or... You know, because if there is a gap, then the granulation will stop, which is the core promise of BTM. But there is a range.

Lyanne Harrison
Lead Healthcare Analyst, Bank of America

Thank-

Swami Raote
CEO, PolyNovo

of MTX which will come out and which we are really excited about.

Lyanne Harrison
Lead Healthcare Analyst, Bank of America

Thanks very much, Swami.

Swami Raote
CEO, PolyNovo

Thank you, Shane.

Operator

Thank you. There are no further phone questions at this time. I'll now hand the conference back to your speakers to address your webcast questions.

Andrew Paine
Head of South Asia Healthcare, CLSA

Great, thank you. We'll fire off with the webcast questions. We covered India, so there's been a few on that. Moving on to capacity, kind of covered that as well. What capacity is the production plant running at at the moment? It's running at about 60%. We're running two shifts out of our existing facilities and can go to three shifts. We do have plenty of capacity to get us through well past the build of the new facility. Scroll through here. Next question. Are you currently looking at any clinician-driven ideas seriously for any trials in the future?

Swami Raote
CEO, PolyNovo

Majority of our ideas are driven by clinicians, and we are tying up with multiple educational centers or teaching hospitals and a university attached to it, and an R&D center attached to it. I'll just give two examples. One would be Concord at Sydney that we are working with. Other one would be MedStar at Washington that we are working with. We are looking for similar such tie-ups, wherein they become an extended arm of our R&D, and we are able to bring many of those products to the markets faster. And as I shared, MTX Fill is an outcome of that, or MTX Thick as a line is an outcome of all those conversation. Synthetic allograft is an outcome of those conversations, as well as BTM or MTX antimicrobial.

The hernia range, again, we are working with many clinicians who have given us ideas in terms of what would help them deliver better outcomes and a faster processing versus the current market leaders and the current standard of care. So clinicians are the lifeblood of our R&D, and, you know, between the two of us and our clinicians in the medical office, we are trying to drive a complete, comprehensive package, so that when we roll out, it's not just the product, but protocol, education, which helps surgeons drive strong outcomes. Thank you.

Andrew Paine
Head of South Asia Healthcare, CLSA

Right. Thanks, Swami. Next question was regarding the new manufacturing facility. In terms of the capital raising, is the cost coming in close to what was assumed at the time? And the answer to that is yes, about on what we expected it to be. Let's move on. Do we lose our BARDA revenue next year, given the trial is full? And there's another question related. It says, "On the FDA website, the BARDA is actually fully enrolled in a hundred and fifty patients.

Swami Raote
CEO, PolyNovo

Yeah, I can answer that. The original BARDA trial design was 120 to 150 patients because FDA was not sure about the number of patients needed to help them reach the safety conclusion. So that was an adaptive design, which is still there on the FDA website. But after the first 30 patients, and looking at the data, they felt convinced, and between us as a team, and the CRO, and the surgeons, we took a conscious decision to change the design from adaptive design to a group sequential design, which meant that we took a penalty. But at every 30, 90, and 120, if we got better result than what the FDA expected, we would have been able to close the trial. And we are getting far better outcomes than what any of us would have anticipated at the beginning.

That's the reason for our hopefulness that we should be able to reach the PMA approval earlier. Just to remind, the original timeline was April twenty-seventh, but we are hopeful that we should be able to bring it to close, if everything works well, by November next year, but fingers crossed.

Andrew Paine
Head of South Asia Healthcare, CLSA

Thanks, Swami. Next question. Can you outline what sort of price increases you are targeting for FY 2025?

Swami Raote
CEO, PolyNovo

Thank you for the question. We are looking at what could be sensible price increases, and we are looking at how different contracts roll up versus and are separate between U.S. and OUS. In U.S., we have already started taking a price increase versus what was the original price, and we feel pretty comfortable about our price. Right now, we are not focused on taking price increases up. We know that there is a significant price upside. We are more focused on helping clinicians understand that the outcomes from an end-to-end perspective are far better, and the total resource utilization for a hospital. It's a far more cost-effective use of using BTM versus any other biologic.

We are doing that in the U.S. environment, we are also doing that in the U.K. environment, and we believe it's the price would be one factor, but the value would be another significant factor why clinicians would start changing, and we are more focused on value. We will keep taking sensible price increases across the world.

Andrew Paine
Head of South Asia Healthcare, CLSA

All right. Thanks, Swami. The next question: What sort of acquisitions, if interested in making acquisitions, would we be interested in?

Swami Raote
CEO, PolyNovo

I would just go back to our strategy page and talk about the fact that we were conceived as a burns product, and we really want to make sure that we give a comprehensive, full suite experience to our burns surgeons, because they are the ones who have been our early advocates into the field of plastic surgery and other indications in complex wound space. So we would be looking at everything, we are looking at everything, but I would also ask David to chime in here, in terms of acquisitions.

Andrew Paine
Head of South Asia Healthcare, CLSA

I think they fall into really only a couple of silos. One would be that if somebody came along with a decent sales force in a particular area, geography, or application, that we might look at that if our product could easily fit into their skill base of their salespeople, and easily fit into their core program. So that's one area. The second and that's where we could add significant value to whatever company we're doing. The second one, I suppose, is technology. You know, would we would look at something that significantly enhance the performance of our own product?

David Williams
Chairman, PolyNovo

or added to it in a, in a different way. I'll give you a bad example, because we're not looking at taking it over, but the Institute for Molecular Biology at the University of Queensland has been working with Royal Brisbane on an algae, seaweed compound that looks about the same size as our own product, but it's a slimy green thing based on the fact that the seaweeds bring a lot of oxygen to the reef. So they've turned that into a wound product, and the idea is put our product in, put the green slime on top of it. I'm not describing it very well, and it speeds up the healing process because of the algae brings oxygen.

Now, that's the sort of thing that if it was a slam dunk, we might go, "Oh, yeah, we could do that." So anything that goes to technology that would improve our product. I think the third silo is, you know, and it's much less likely, 'cause we've got so much to do, would be, are there any products that we think would fit within our direct range? So Suprathel might be one.

We're not necessarily looking at doing it, but where we've got our own direct sales force, and we say, "Well, what would fit with them?" Now, you know, that it's possible, but less likely that we would apply and buy something in that area, because frankly, you know, as a board, we're so focused on growing what we've got, and there's so much low-hanging fruit that, you know, I personally wouldn't want to distract our sales force from, you know, what and our team worldwide from what they do best.

Andrew Paine
Head of South Asia Healthcare, CLSA

Right. Thanks, David. How do we think about total addressable market for existing products and our current market penetration?

Swami Raote
CEO, PolyNovo

I would just say infinite, but, yeah, we haven't even touched the surface. So I would take a look at the current biologics in the acute care space. That's close to $900 billion if I were to just take two brands, that would be Integra and AlloDerm. Between the two of them, they have close to $900 billion. That's just the acute care space. And then in the chronic care space, again, if I look at U.S., that's close to $900 between Organogenesis and MiMedx, and a few other brands, Vericel, Grafix, et cetera. That would be our current base, and then there is a huge, empty, vast space, which is untapped, which is, you know, countries which do not have the products but need the same products.

That's the reason why I say infinite, but, you know, the current target would be close to $2-$2.5 billion of advanced skin substitutes. If we start substituting that, the market size would come down, and then we get into emerging markets and places where the market does not exist. We have to develop that. That's where it will go up again.

Andrew Paine
Head of South Asia Healthcare, CLSA

Mm.

Swami Raote
CEO, PolyNovo

But the need is infinite, the availability is limited, and those underserved markets, as well as shifting the standard of care in developed markets, that balance we are trying to seek.

David Williams
Chairman, PolyNovo

Yeah, but I think the other thing I'd add, Swami, is that, look, if people are interested in this, it's not in this presentation that's been put up today, but in most of the more recent presentations, there's a diagram and a graph and Venn diagrams that sort of build out the TAM by application as much as anything else, hernia, breast, et cetera. So there's pretty good stuff in there, but it's still very conservative because if you just listen to us, you know, surgeons are discovering new ways all the time, and there will be something that's developed, which has a big TAM that we don't currently have on our radar.

Andrew Paine
Head of South Asia Healthcare, CLSA

Thanks, David. Just a question on margins: How should shareholders understand operational leverage moving forward? Should we expect margins to expand due to growing scale or remain relatively stable moving forward? I'm happy to take that question. So we do expect the operational leverage has come through strongly this year. That's why we've made a profit. You know, the reality is, the profit could be much, much larger, but we do have to invest in growing the business, you know. As I said during my presentation, growing the top line does remain a priority. Profit is important, but there's a balance to it because we also need to invest in R&D and bring out new products, invest in more clinical evidence, and so forth.

So we'll be taking a balanced approach, but, you know, do expect to see operating leverage improve in FY 2025 and beyond. But we will be reinvesting, keep growing the business, in a capital efficient manner, as we title presentations from time to time.

Swami Raote
CEO, PolyNovo

I would just like-

David Williams
Chairman, PolyNovo

Yeah. Sorry. Without trying to pour any oil on this, you know, I think, when you look at our margins, they can't actually be that much bigger. But I think I'd suggest temper people's enthusiasm a bit for a couple of reasons. Number one, you know, when we're selling into the burns market, you know, we can get away with a much higher price, and we sell much less pieces than if we're selling, you know, 50,000 pieces into DFUs, for example. So, I think there's, you know, as we, as we top out in burns, and we're hardly topped out anywhere for that matter, but we're getting quite important in the U.S. But as we top out in burns, I expect the margin will come off as, as we go into lower value, smaller pieces, so forth.

The second thing that people should remember is that as we go into other countries, the price isn't gonna be there. So the margin will still be massive, you know, even if we sell the price at half the price into India, for example, you know, we're probably still making an 80% margin. So, but I think if anything, one should expect the margin to come off, not to go up. But that doesn't mean profits will come off, you know?

Swami Raote
CEO, PolyNovo

Yeah, and just to reinforce what David said before, we are more focused on growth and reaching as many more patient lives, and that's where I see a flywheel impact coming in for us. Our revenue is growing at 50%, but our units are growing at 85%, and that's what we are focused on, and the opportunity is tremendous. So growth would be a priority, yeah, and a responsible growth would be a priority. Whatever falls into the bottom line would fall into the bottom line. That's not where our focus is.

David Williams
Chairman, PolyNovo

Yeah.

Andrew Paine
Head of South Asia Healthcare, CLSA

Now that's it for the online questions.

David Williams
Chairman, PolyNovo

Wow! Okay, now that's an hour and a half. It's a record. As I said, this will be a pretty short one. Well, I was wrong on that, but you know, we're planning on a much more bigger and deeper AGM. I think everybody on this call knows that we run slightly different AGMs to everybody else, and that's a function of the fact that we normally get over three hundred people online and a hundred and fifty in the room, and as you know, more recently we've had you know, a sprinkling of surgeons and staff and so forth at the AGM to give shareholders a much deeper understanding about where we're going and how the business runs.

I'm making it sound like we're doing it for you, but we're also doing it for us, 'cause sometimes I wanna understand what... better myself. So this is a good excuse to get the head of India or the head of US or surgeons along, and maybe even a customer or two, a patient or two, I should say. But if anybody out... This is an open invitation, by the way, so it's, well, as I said, we're not running a normal format, but if anybody online wants to drop me a note and say, "Listen, why don't you think about this?" We'll certainly put it into our thought process. So, that's number one for that coming up, and so I look forward to...

I'm really looking forward to that, 'cause I think, as I said before, we've got a number of interesting things happening, and, hopefully we'll be able to not only share some of those in words, but, with some surgeon or patient or something else. The final thing, just to close off, is, you know, thank you very much to all of our staff. We've had a big uplift, as you all see in this release and each year, in terms of the number of staff. So, you know, that comes with the normal teething problems, but we've had very few, and as we grow and our reputation builds, we're attracting better and better people.

Not that the ones we've got are not the best, by the way, but there's many of them, no doubt, on the line today, and I'd say to them, "Look, get back to work, please." And, but thank you all for your help, and shareholders in particular, thank you for your attendance. And all the analysts are online as well. There's one that wasn't asking a question, which is Evans and Partners, but, you know, they're doing such a good job for us, and

You know, whether that be Morgans or Wilsons or Mac Bank or Bank of America I haven't forgotten you now. There's some great work being done out there, and we're really happy with the support we're getting in terms of not just the analytical reports, but the introduction to new shareholders, and so forth. So, thank you all, and we'll look forward to seeing you at the AGM.

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