Stanmore Resources Limited (ASX:SMR)
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Apr 28, 2026, 4:13 PM AEST
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Earnings Call: Q2 2024

Jul 29, 2024

Operator

Thank you for standing by, and welcome to the Stanmore Resources Limited June 2024 quarterly activities report. All participants are in a listen-only mode. There will be a presentation followed by a question and answer session. If you wish to ask a question, you will need to press the star key followed by the number one on your telephone keypad. I would now like to hand the conference over to Mr. Marcelo Matos, Executive Director and Chief Executive Officer. Please go ahead.

Marcelo Matos
Executive Director and CEO, Stanmore Resources Limited

Good morning, all, and thank you for joining us today as we discuss our operating results and key achievements for the June quarter. We are pleased to report robust results once again, which have contributed to total saleable production of 6.8 million tons for the first half, in line with the upper end of full year guidance on an annualized basis. This is notwithstanding that our group level guidance has not been restated following the announcement to cease operations at Mavis Downs under ground, with the team remaining comfortable that our core operations can meet this shortfall.

Our assets continue to demonstrate their cash-generating potential, with net cash improving by some $106 million, including the net one-off impacts from the receipt of the $136 million Wards Well proceeds, and a $170 million tax payment. We've been busy transaction-wise over the quarter, announcing the acquisition of the remaining 50% in the Eagle Downs Metallurgical Coal Joint Venture, and 100% of the Eagle Downs South Tenements. These assets are highly complementary to Stanmore's infrastructure position in the Bowen Basin, and we look forward to completing all the transaction in the coming weeks. Kicking off today's call with safety.

As you all know, we've been very busy with many projects, with man-hours increasing significantly across our sites, with the mobilization of a significant number of newcomers into our business, as well as contractors to support our very sizable capital investment program. Unfortunately, this has coincided with a step up in recordable injuries over this time period, which, while remaining a concern, have thankfully been mostly related to non-severe musculoskeletal and finger and hand-related injuries. Overall, this trend has translated to our serious accident frequency rate increasing from 0.35 in the March quarter to 0.48, thus still remaining below the latest industry average of 0.56. In response to the trend, we've run a hand injury prevention campaign in April, safety-focused engagement sessions with our senior leadership team across May, and most recently, a safety reset in June.

We are committed to ensuring that these increased actions and initiatives get to the bottom of any underlying causes that may be contributing to this uptick in injuries, including ongoing engagement and management of our major contractors. Moving on to a brief update for each of the operations. South Walker Creek had another fantastic quarter, producing a consistent production result of 1.6 million tons, well above the upper end of guidance on an annualized basis. Strip ratios increased versus the prior quarter, with a ramp-up of the expansion fleets well on the way, though we have had lower draglines stripping due to the scheduled seven-day shutdown of our Dragline 27 to support the ongoing conversion to AC.

These works have been successfully completed in the last week or so, and the dragline is on its way back into the pit to be back in full operation in the coming days. The MRA2C project is ahead of schedule and under budget, with significant civil works ongoing, with 3.7 million cubic meters of material moved in the first half, despite numerous wet weather interruptions. CHPP re-expansion remains on track for a November shutdown tie-in and commissioning, whilst, as previously stated, all three expansion fleets have been mobilized and are conducting box cut operations at Y South ahead of first coal in August. The significant capital investment program at South Walker Creek is in full throttle, and we look forward to finalizing these projects over the coming months, with full conclusion of MRA2C by the first quarter of 2025.

In total, since the acquisition of this flagship asset in May 2022, we have approved over $200 million in growth and improvement capital, which will make it an even more resilient and consistent operation. Meanwhile, at Poitrel, steady coal production and sales enabled inventories to remain healthy quarter-over-quarter. The bringing forward of run-of-mine coal from the first quarter 2024 into the fourth quarter 2023 opened the year with healthy run coal volumes. This facilitated the team to focus on stripping and pit setup activities, optimizing those push paths to position the stripping almost 20% above plan in the first half, despite all wet weather interruptions. Run coal production is expected to be strong in the second half, benefiting from this strong first half waste removal performance....

Similarly to South Walker Creek, these strong operational outcomes have translated to annualized saleable production above the upper end of guidance, together offsetting the lost volumes from the closure of the Mavis underground. Project-wise, the Ramp 10 project has entered into its final phase, with completion of the box cut waste planned for the September quarter. We're also happy to report that the southern flood protection levee was fully certified earlier this month. At Isaac Plains Complex, stripping and coal production recovered nicely in the second quarter, overcoming the wet weather and geotechnical challenges to bring run rate saleable production back in line with guidance.

Overburden removal at Pit 5 continued, thus with increased drill and blast complexities through a difficult buttress cover, and also mining of an overthrust area in Isaac Downs commenced, hence delaying coal mining and modestly increasing strip ratios. Despite these challenges, we still expect a robust second half and to finish the year well within our guidance range. As announced in late June, we've released the closure of our Mavis Underground project. This decision was not taken lightly, but as we have previously highlighted to the market, Mavis was a small scale, much higher cost operation compared to our main operating portfolio. Unfortunately, this has been exacerbated by a challenging ramp-up and production performance below previously expected levels, putting pressure on unit costs and on the economic viability of that small operation, especially in an environment of falling and lower coal prices.

Our focus will be on ensuring a seamless closure of the Mavis deep pit underground and demobilization of the mining services contractor, with a view to reach steady state, minimal expenditure status by the end of the current quarter. As mentioned earlier, the Eagle Downs transaction remains on track, with completion expected in the coming weeks. Total upfront consideration for these transactions together is approximately $32 million. We are looking forward to getting our hands on the asset to optimize the development pathway, including optioneering various opportunities to leverage our unique neighboring infrastructure position at Isaac and Poitrel and reduce development capital. I'll hand over to Shane briefly to provide an update on our corporate activities and cash flows.

Shane Young
CFO, Stanmore Resources Limited

Thanks, Marcelo. As highlighted in the release, we... the quarter very strongly from a cash flow perspective, with net cash of $192 million, compared with $86 million as of the March quarter. This is despite making a $170 million tax payment, as flagged in our prior quarterly call, as well as the cash receipt of $136 million from the proceeds of sale of Wards Well South. Furthermore, capital spend stepped up in the second quarter as planned, with works for the various South Walker Creek projects, MRA2C, the Dragline AC conversion, Y South Box Cut, and the CHPP expansion, ramping up in unison.

It should be noted that this has resulted in a higher weighting of CapEx in H1 compared to the expected capital spend plan for H2, impacting first half cash flows accordingly, while total 2024 capital spend is expected to land within the full year guidance range as planned. Meanwhile, we continued the scheduled repayments of our acquisition financing facility, reducing the principal balance to $210 million as at the end of Q2. All of this has combined to a balance sheet now showing $404 million of cash on hand as at 30 June. This is a strong cash position for the company, ahead of the Eagle Downs completion payments of $32 million and a final deferred BMC consideration payment to BHP of $150 million in Q3.

Further strengthening our available liquidity was the two-year extension of the $70 million working capital facility with our major shareholder, GEAR, also noted in our announcement. With regard to guidance, we have kept our previously disclosed figures unchanged, with strong production figures out of South Walker Creek and Poitrel, expected to offset the lower-than-guided volumes from the Isaac Plains Complex, following the Mavis Downs closure on a consolidated basis. We look forward to further reaffirming our public guidance position when releasing the upcoming half-year financial results in August. I'll now hand back to Marcelo to close out the report with a brief discussion around metallurgical coal markets before moving to Q&A.

Marcelo Matos
Executive Director and CEO, Stanmore Resources Limited

Thanks, Shane. The June quarter saw an uncharacteristically stable quarter for hard coking coal prices, trading at the lowest quarterly standard deviation since early 2020s. This was reflective of demand remaining relatively stable, despite ongoing challenging conditions in the steel environment, as China exports remain elevated. Nonetheless, PCI was not so stable, and pleasingly, saw the relativity to the premium level hard coking coal index retrace from around 60% at the end of March to almost 80% by the end of June, as we have been expecting, and more recently, closer to 85%, driven by further sanctions on Russian materials, bringing buyers back to Australian materials and tightening the availability of high-quality Australian FOB PCI volumes. This brings relativities back to and actually above long-term average levels, materially benefiting our portfolio mix, which is still around 60% PCI on an annualized basis.

Clearly, the ignition event immediately preceding the quarter end at a major hard coking coal underground asset in Queensland, has also driven recent uncertainty and volatility at the premium end of the market. This only exacerbates the view that the supply side view of metallurgical seaborne markets will be structurally constrained, and will be interesting to see how this plays out during the second half, post the India monsoon season and continued blast furnace commissioning. Overall, it's been another robust and consistent quarter and first half for Stanmore, and we are pleased to have recovered well from the challenges early in the year with wet weather. With the PCI market position favorably and our assets continue to perform strongly, we are looking forward to continuing to deliver robust outcomes for our shareholders during the second half.

I'll now hand over to the moderator, so we can take your questions, before concluding the call.

Operator

Thank you. If you wish to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. If you wish to cancel your request, please press star two. If you're on a speakerphone, please pick up the handset to ask your question. Your first question comes from Jim Su with Barrenjoey. Please go ahead.

Speaker 5

Hi, Marcelo and Shane. Congrats on a great quarter, especially on cash generation, and thanks for the opportunity to ask a question. I guess the question on everyone's mind right now is just on M&A. And clearly, the balance sheet's got a lot of strength. You know, your thoughts on the assets coming to the market right now for sale?

Marcelo Matos
Executive Director and CEO, Stanmore Resources Limited

Hi, Jim. Look, I think the market, of course, has been expecting this, this Anglo process to start. I think it's early days. Of course, we are not prepared to comment, or I mean, as usual, in details around the process itself. It's a large portfolio of metallurgical coal assets, you know, with a combination of underground and open cut assets. In Queensland, of course, we are always saying that, you know, Queensland is our backyard, and we're gonna be always open to look at opportunities that, you know, offer, you know, a value proposition for us in our backyard. So I think we need to see how this process is gonna unfold, Jim, but there's a lot of water to go under that bridge.

Speaker 5

Okay, understood. And just any thoughts on how you would maybe finance an acquisition? I think, you know, if I look back to when you bought your 80% of BMC, it was roughly, you know, 50% debt, 10% internally sourced, and 40% equity. You know, do you think that would be the right mix for an acquisition going ahead? And, you know, is your... You know, have you had conversations with your major shareholder? Are they also supportive of of M&A activity as well?

Shane Young
CFO, Stanmore Resources Limited

Yeah. Hi, Jim, it's Shane here. Look, I think it's probably too early to start to think about or speculate on things for this particular process. I mean, it's, Marcelo said, we don't usually comment at all on M&A activities, so I'll only speak just generally about the position that Stanmore find themselves in. I mean, we've got a very strong balance sheet at this stage. We've got, you know, big numbers of net cash, of, you know, $400 million of cash on the balance sheet. And that gives options. Gives us options to raise debt, gives us options to look at equity markets.

Of course, you know, whenever high-quality assets come on the market, there's always options for other joint ventures and other ideas as well. So, the most important thing that we're trying to do, whether it's any process that could be coming up from any vendors, is to just give ourselves the best possible opportunity to have a look at things and to grow and to finance things accordingly.

Speaker 5

Okay. Thanks, Shane. And maybe just a couple more questions, if I can. I think last time we talked in April, you mentioned that the non-core period for your acquisition financing facility expires in May. You know, any update you can provide on that refinancing?

Shane Young
CFO, Stanmore Resources Limited

Yeah, thanks, Jim. Yeah, it did, the non-core period ended in beginning of May. So, you know, it's early into that process now that we're now in a position where we can refinance without penalties. You know, we are considering our options in that regard, and setting ourselves up with a strong balance sheet also helps in that in assessing different options there as well. So, it's something that we're considering, and obviously, once we have something a little bit more concrete, we'll be sure to update the market at that time.

Speaker 5

Okay, understood. Thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from Brett McKay, with Petra Capital. Please go ahead.

Brett McKay
Head of Mining Research, Petra Capital

Morning, gents. Another solid result. Just maybe remind us on the timing of updates that you expect to present to the market around Lancewood and Eagle Downs. You know, appreciate that Eagle Downs hasn't fully settled yet, but just in terms of medium term, you know, what we might expect to hear and when from you guys.

Marcelo Matos
Executive Director and CEO, Stanmore Resources Limited

Hey, Brett. I'll start with Eagle Downs. We are expecting to complete the transaction in the coming very few weeks. So I think we are very close. Most of the CPs have been satisfied. There's a couple of contracts that need to be assigned or novated, and we think that it's just a question of days and not even weeks. So it should be happening soon. Obviously, we need to get our hands on the asset, and a lot of the effort will be around capital and development capital and how we, you know, how we can improve startup capital by, you know, leveraging from our existing infrastructure as we've discussed before. I think Eagle Downs different than some of the other development options. It's shovel ready, okay?

That, you know, it's the only project in the portfolio that we're gonna have, let's say, a large amount of control on what happens with the timetable, okay, and on the development of the project overall. Most of the other projects, they still depend on a quite lengthy and onerous approval pathway, okay, regulatory approvals, and that includes Lancewood. Brett, I think, we are looking at an environment where things are not getting any easier. So, a lot of the work in Lancewood has been on working on an open cut option, and whether, you know, it is an economic open cut option ahead of a longer term underground development. That was always the approach.

It's not an easy pit, because it's a reasonably high strip ratio open cut, because we're gonna have to have a sizable box cut, okay, to start the pit, which might be a terrace pit in a very constrained space, and in an area where we don't have existing infrastructure. As you know, we have that transaction with Peabody, where we may have access to infrastructure, but a lot of the work is on now understanding the economics and how that stacks up ahead of a longer term development, underground. And as I said, Brett, I think we still have another three years at least ahead of us, simply by having to do an EIS and the granting of the EA.

So, so I think we hope to update the market soon. Studies are ongoing, okay? And... But I think until we have a more meaningful, you know, story to tell about Lancewood, I think it's still a bit, still a bit early. The focus, to be frank, given Eagle Downs is gonna be where we have more control of the outcome and where we can actually act a lot earlier. I think we wanna, you know, run the project to ground by the first half next year, and to be able to then make some decisions about how we're gonna progress with the project, given it has all the approvals in place for development.

Brett McKay
Head of Mining Research, Petra Capital

Okay, that makes sense. That's all I've got today. Thanks, guys.

Operator

Once again, if you wish to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. Your next question is a follow-up from Jim Su with Barrenjoey. Please go ahead.

Speaker 5

Hi, just another question. Understand that your current mining contractor at South Walker Creek is HSE, and your contract, I think, expires in August of 2025. Have you started tendering process for the new contract? When do you expect to award it? That's the first question.

Marcelo Matos
Executive Director and CEO, Stanmore Resources Limited

Yes, Jim, maybe just as an update, the HSE, I mean, the Swire Group, who owns HSE, they have concluded a transaction with the NRW Holdings, okay, acquiring that part of the HSE business, which is the South Walker contract, okay? So NRW Holdings is actually now transitioning into South Walker, okay? That it's all happening as we speak. So far, so good, very smooth transition. And they will be the incumbent contractor until August next year, where the current contract expires. We are, you know, at full throttle in a tender process, okay?

For the renewal of that job, which could be actually a bigger contract, considering that we have now the increased expansion fleets as well, as part of the expansion project. So it's happening as we speak. And we hope that in the next few weeks, we should be able to make some decisions and provide the market with further updates.

Speaker 5

Okay. Understood. Thank you. And then maybe just a question on the market as well. I mean, as you mentioned on the call, a big change in PCI dynamics, right? With PCI discount now down to 12%. Your thoughts on what has driven that reduced spread, and how do you see PCI, and I think, you know, met coal prices playing over the next year, rest of the year?

Marcelo Matos
Executive Director and CEO, Stanmore Resources Limited

Look, there's been tightness on the high quality FOB volumes. Jim, I think as you probably heard about the second round of sanctions to Russian materials, including in Korea, for example. We were expecting that including the Korean market, there will be a gradual replacement for some Russian volumes by Australian coals, as some of those contracts are phasing out and renewed. So this has put a bit of pressure on PCI prices. I think you may have seen in the Platts assessments that some of those recent spot deals at higher prices, I think they were South Walker Creek prices, so...

I mean, we are glad we've been able to, you know, to participate in, you know, in, in, assisting with, with PCI prices, reflecting a more, you know, a more, you know, realistic view of where the PCI market is, especially for high quality, you know, long-haul PCIs. Obviously, the trend on the premium end of hard coking coal has been a bit different. We are not necessarily confident that that's gonna remain the same for, you know, in the back end of the year, where we've now seen these reductions in the premium end of the food chain, which is the premium hard coking coal.

I think there's been a lot of cargo volume, especially ahead of a change in control in Canada, which just taken place now. Other transactions where normally you see vendors putting, you know, a lot of cargos in the market ahead of some of these transaction completions. Maybe things will be a bit tighter towards the back end of the year, especially as, you know, the recent oxidation event in Queensland, you know, flushes out in the market and shows its full impact. But, you know, PCI, especially high quality PCI, in Australia, is tight. We are not seeing a lot of cargos offered to the spot market recently.

Brett McKay
Head of Mining Research, Petra Capital

All right. Thank you.

Operator

The next question is a follow-up from Brett McKay with Petra Capital. Please go ahead.

Brett McKay
Head of Mining Research, Petra Capital

Yeah, sorry, just wanted to clarify, are you guys seeing any delays coming out of DBCT or you know increase in shipping queues that may be impacting any of your volumes getting away at the moment?

Marcelo Matos
Executive Director and CEO, Stanmore Resources Limited

Yeah. July hasn't been a good month in DBCT, Brett. I think shipping queues went up to close to 40, you know, 40 days. So it's been a not a good month. Our volumes are a lot lower than what we expected or initially them to be. It's already improving. We're already seeing the signs of improvement. So July was expected to be a difficult month, but it ended up being worse, network-wise in the Goonyella chain. Also contributed by some of the issues that we experienced at DBCT. I think they are normalizing. I think August, we are hoping that August will be mostly caught up to where we wanted to be in the two months combined, yeah.

Brett McKay
Head of Mining Research, Petra Capital

Mm. Is there any sort of systemic issue there that we're not aware of? I mean, obviously, we know the key, the key drivers, but was there anything in the month of July specifically that, you know, might roll on?

Marcelo Matos
Executive Director and CEO, Stanmore Resources Limited

Well, maintenance, that was already there. And there was some system issues in the DBCT technology issue that the terminal has, you know, let's say, suspended the operations for, you know, in a few events. So I think there was a combination of a few factors, but I don't think any of them are necessarily expected to continue. I think we are already seeing actually improvement. It's already improved, you know, in the past week or so.

Brett McKay
Head of Mining Research, Petra Capital

All right. Cool. Thanks, Marcelo.

Operator

Thank you. There are no further questions at this time. I'll now hand back to Mr. Matos for closing remarks.

Marcelo Matos
Executive Director and CEO, Stanmore Resources Limited

Thank you for all your questions and joining today's call. As always, I'd like to thank our employees and contractors, and the ongoing support of our investors. I look forward to connecting with, the market again in a few weeks for our half-year financial results release. Thanks, everyone. Have a good day.

Operator

That does conclude our conference for today. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.

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