Web Travel Group Limited (ASX:WEB)
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Apr 28, 2026, 4:10 PM AEST
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Earnings Call: H2 2025

May 27, 2025

Operator

I would now like to hand the conference over to Mr. John Guscic, Managing Director. Please go ahead.

John Guscic
Managing Director, Web Travel Group

Thank you, Harmony, and welcome to the FY 2025 results presentation for the Web Travel Group. Joining me today is our CFO, Mr. Tony Ristevski. Wow, a lot can happen in 12 months. And obviously, it's our first full-year results in which we have de-merged the business, and we've separated out Webjet from the Web Travel Group. My major goal in today's presentation is not to accidentally refer to us as Webjet because that would be breaking the habit of 14 years. The de-mergers occurred as of September 30, 2024, and we will talk about everything as if the company had been split for the entire year. If we move to slide four under the group summary, you'll see that our underlying EBITDA for the group is at AUD 120.6 million, underlying NPAT AUD 79.2 million, cash on hand at AUD 363 million.

Strong cash position, corporate costs were in line with expectations. Tony will talk in a while about our capital management initiatives in which we have proactively looked to address the potential dilution from the convertible note. I will then go straight to slide six and talk about the WebBeds business. Bookings for the year up 20% at AUD 8.4 million, TTV at AUD 4.9 billion, up 22% in AUD, up 23% in constant currency. Euros, just to remind everyone, is our functional currency. We have seen strong bookings growth during the year, and average booking values have increased during the year to contribute to our AUD 4.9 billion in TTV. Revenue was clearly disappointing at only AUD 328.4 million. That was driven by a number of factors which I called out at the half year and was going to impact us for the full year.

I will talk about that in a few slides about what we have done to ameliorate some of those issues and what that looks like going forward, resulting in an EBITDA which is disappointing of AUD 138.8 million below FY 2024's AUD 160.8 million. The flat revenue is the key contributor because the operating expenses that we incurred during the year were planned, and the expected outcome was that we would grow revenue at a much faster rate, which we did not do. Let's move on to a little bit more detailed analysis of the results on slide seven. As you can see, TTV was up 22% for the full year. We did have a higher margin in the second half of 6.9% compared to 6.6% in the first half. That margin is reflective of accounting changes that have been implemented, as we discussed in the first half.

That trend will continue for the foreseeable future. In FY 2026's results, we anticipate first half margin to be lower than second half margin. EBITDA down 14%, as I said, as a reflection of the lower TTV margins and higher expenses. In the month post results, but in the month of April, we divested a non-core DMC business, and that was effective on the 30th of April 2025. As we have highlighted for a number of years, there are pillars of growth that drive our TTV. Growing our existing portfolio is system growth. That is, and in our case, we calculate the number by looking at every public domain hotel business, and we look at their growth rates as measured by occupancy, as measured by average booking value, and as measured by new stock that comes onto the market. If you are not growing at least 5%, you are losing station.

Five is the bare minimum. Then we measure within our growth portfolio what comes on as new customers and what comes on as new supply. For us, that accounts for about 5% of our growth. The rest, which has been historically, is this year and will be again in FY 2026 and beyond, it's the conversion initiatives that we have undertaken that drive the superior growth rates that we have had over the history of WebBeds as a business. Aggregate growth was 23%, and we've seen an improvement in our conversion rate in FY 2025 over FY 2024. As we've explained in various strategy initiatives previously and previous half and full-year results, the network effect continues to expand. As we add more content and customers in, our relevance to hotel supply increases, gives us better inventory, which enables us to sell and convert at a higher rate.

That will continue adding for an item as our business continues to scale. If we go to slide nine and focus on just some of the key callouts of how we think about our business, we have become, obviously, more relevant and more meaningful to our travel buyers and partners when we're turning over circa $5 billion. In our top 30 destinations, that continues to grow at 18%, which by definition means that our tail continues to grow quite significantly as we expand geographically. Same store sales are up 21%, and we're adding more hotels into our portfolio. We're seeing hotel portfolio booking growth of, sorry, individual hotels within our portfolio have a booking growth of 6%.

We're continuing to expand across all of our geographies, and we're continuing to be more relevant to the hotel partners we have, and we're adding new hotel supply partners as the business continues to grow. We move to slide 10, and I'll spend a little bit more time in the next few slides just talking about what's happened to our business, what we've done to address those challenges, and what we're going to be doing going forward. As I called out in the half year, there were half a dozen events that created in the reduction of our take rates or revenue margin. To look at the ones that are company-driven, which are on the left-hand side, there were incentive agreements put in place, and those incentive agreements are still there, and they've been appropriately structured to enable us to continue to deliver profitable future growth.

We will see that when we roll into FY 2026's results. We had a misunderstanding of the impact of the trading that occurred in the European summer. That has created a restructure within our own business in which the revenue management on our side and global pricing and all revenue initiatives report through to myself, and we are starting to see some of the benefits of that. We will talk about that when we get to the outlook statement. Obviously, as we spoke about again six months ago, the post de-merger restructuring is now complete. However, it was an intense effort in which most of the senior management was preoccupied and less focused over that six-month period on our underlying business. Those are the company factors. Now, let's talk about the factors that are going to continue because our business is not a homeostatic state.

It's a business that has many, many customers, many supply points of origin, and we cover great geographies, and all of that mix is in a continual state of evolution. If we look at our supply mix, we have started in FY 2025 to increase the number of direct contractors. We started that in the Americas in Q4 of the last financial year. We will continue and substantially increase our direct contractor numbers, and we will talk about that in a second as we look to rebalance our supply mix. Our supply mix has always been the vast majority of what we sell is directly contracted and chain hotels. Hotels that we have a direct relationship with have always been the majority of what we sell. It was the majority of what we sold in FY 2025 as well.

However, what we did see in FY 2025 as we grew rapidly in the course of 2024 and 2025 is that we were selling a disproportionately higher percentage of third-party inventory. Third-party inventory is important to our business model, and nothing is going to change in our multi-supply aggregation model itself. However, we are going to be focused on looking at higher margin directly contracted inventory being a key driver of our growth initiatives for FY 2026 and beyond. The geographic mix continues, and we will talk about that in a couple of slides where you will see that our booking volumes have doubled since pre-COVID. Our TTV has almost doubled, and we will talk about why that has not correlated. In essence, you have seen a dramatic shift in geographic mix. That has contributed to the take rate issues that we had in FY 2025.

Our customers grow, and some of our customers are growing at a much faster rate, and that changes the way we account for the revenue take in those specific instances. We will talk about all of these things in a little bit more detail in a second as we look to going forward. All of these things are front and center of the entire organization as we look to continue to be the fastest-growing travel business in the world and continue to be the fastest-growing profitable travel business in the world. We did not fulfill the second part of that equation in FY 2025. If you move to slide 11, you will see that we have and will continue to invest in directly contracted inventory.

For those that are new to the business, I'll give a very quick snapshot of what has been the unique business model that we have run since we launched this business in 2013 and which continues to be the leading factor of why we are an attractive business partner for both our supply and demand elements of the hotel distribution environment. That is, we provide a bespoke and unique collection of directly contracted hotels, predominantly independent hotel chain agreements with every major hotel chain, and a selection of important third-party providers to enable us to give the best offering to the entire ecosystem of travel buyers, whether it's in the retail, wholesale, or any of the tech and emerging channels.

What we've seen as we have grown very, very quickly over the last two years is our third-party supply has grown faster, and that has provided us with some downside risk to our take rate. We saw that occur in the first half. What we will do is look at where we anticipate having the highest growth for our business going forward. This is a two to three-year view that we've taken, and that is to increase the amount of direct contractors in those markets. The first two or the only two markets that we will have the highest proportion of increased contracting will be Asia-Pacific and Americas.

When we get to the next slide, you'll see what we've been able to achieve in those two markets, and yet we have barely scratched the surface of what we will achieve as we continue to penetrate those markets more deeply. As a business, we continue to invest in our people, and we expect the investment that we have made in Q4 of 2025 and have already started in Q1 of 2026 to have a meaningful impact to our results in FY 2027 and will be a key driver to getting us to 50% EBITDA margins for our business in FY 2027. If we move to slide 12, you'll see that pre-COVID, we did 4.2 million bookings for the calendar year, and financial year 2025, we doubled that to 8.4 million. It's not a like-for-like growth scenario. You'll see that Europe has grown.

You'll see that APAC has more than doubled. You'll see that Americas has grown fivefold, and you'll see that the Middle East has actually declined. That was always deliberate. The Middle East was a market in which the creditor risk was greater than what our appetite currently is, and therefore, we never anticipated that to be a high-growth market. As the market has evolved and the level of confidence that we have with industry participants increased, we'll start to see that growing more substantively. If you then go to the bottom part of the page, you'll see that the TTV hasn't grown at the same level. AUD 2.6 billion in calendar year 2019 translates to AUD 4.9 billion. I'll let everyone who's good at mathematics derive various average booking values and growth rates across the board.

You'll see that in general, we've sort of grown proportionately of our bookings with the average booking value for the individual regions, with the only region that's down on calendar year 2019 being the Middle East, but the others are up massively against calendar year 2019. If we look at the results for this year, you'll see that APAC is up 26%. No surprise. It's been a fast-growing business, but we had a substantial pre-COVID business there. Americas is up only 20% this year, but it's up fivefold because of the enormous growth that we had in 2022, 2023, 2024. I don't want to give away the surprise, but if you go to our outlook statement, you'll start seeing the phenomenal growth that they have reignited into that business there.

Europe, which is our highest take rate market and the second highest average booking value, has shown really solid gains and a great result, up 20%. The Middle East, on the back of some of the investment that we've made in point of sale that Tony will talk about in the CapEx slide, is up 23%. The Middle East has always had our highest average booking value, and that continues to be the case. We saw great growth at TTV level. We've seen a business that has rebounded incredibly well from the pre-COVID highs to the restructuring of the business to be incredibly more efficient at every level of the organization. We've got fewer employees now than we had in calendar year 2019, and we've got circa double the TTV, but we have circa double the activity as measured by bookings.

A lot of work that's been done over the course of the last three to four years continues to bear fruit and enable us to have a highly scalable business going forward. Let's focus on the next element of our journey. As we have spoken many times, we are just a small sliver of the overall feedback marketplace. The addressable marketplace is huge. This is in $96 billion, and we've got 3.3% share. We will continue to grow ad infinitum. There is no limit to what we can achieve. The target of $10 billion of TTV by FY 2030 remains on track. We talk about delivering circa 50% EBITDA margins. We're putting a specific timeline that that will occur in FY 2027, and we'll continue to grow our business over that journey to get to $10 billion by FY 2030.

We speak about, and we have for a number of years, growing our existing portfolio and new customer supply and building out markets and improving our conversion. What has changed between, I guess, the November presentation and today? It is something that I have had obviously ample time and the rest of the business has ample time to reflect on. I think it is best surmised by the following quote: "Mistakes are the portals of discovery," a quote from James Joyce, which resonates with me incredibly because our fundamental business model is not broken. Our fundamental business model continues to outperform, and it will continue to outperform. We needed to fine-tune certain elements where we had lost either the razor-sharp focus that we have had historically, or there were minor things within our overall ecosystem that were not working as designed.

We have had a chance to look at those strategic priorities and how they support the pillars of growth that we have covered off, those three elements at the top of slide 14. Clearly, there are external-facing elements, which are the top half of that strategic diagram. We have worked hard, and I will go through them on slide 15 without going into a whole lot of detail, certainly as I believe our competitors will probably be listening to this, but certainly well enough to give comfort. As seen by the results that we are starting to grow into for FY 2026, there is comfort that some of the challenges that we have faced in FY 2025 will no longer be as impactful for us in FY 2026. Renewed focus on growing the base and expanding the reach. We will see that when we talk about our results. Enhanced supply.

We've had a phenomenal 12 months in building out deeper relationships with the most important partners, in particular the hotel chains, and that obviously helps us grow our portfolio and help us win new customers. The technology-led transformation. We've spoken about our investment in point of sale. There are things that we're doing for the last three years in AI that I believe are unique in the industry and drive a competitive advantage for us, and we will continue to build those out more comprehensively and fulsomely around the entire organization. There is work that we've done on robotic process automation, ensuring that we are more efficient.

I speak always with a high degree of pride about the fact that we are 100% more efficient than we were pre-COVID, and we're doing a whole lot of work on ensuring that we have the right product to be able to support our customers' needs. That technology-led transformation continues. Frictionless customer service I sort of covered off a little bit earlier on, but we are highly valued by our partners for providing superior customer service, and we have become incredibly focused around delivering that in a low-cost, high-value-add environment. Partnership and strategic initiatives. We are always on the lookout for whatever we can do to either become a more valued partner with our hotel partners or whether we are more efficient in driving conversion outcomes for our customers. We clearly have the firepower.

Notwithstanding the AUD 150 million of cash we've spent buying our own stock, we still have the firepower to make M&A deals support the strategic objectives for the business. Underpinning all of this, and it's no different to any other organization, but if you're a world-class organization delivering leading growth, having great people empowered to do their jobs and to enable them in a more efficient fashion and more collaborative fashion to drive outcomes to achieve our AUD 10 billion TTV target. We have a number of initiatives that we are undertaking to support that particular area. That's the good, bad, and the phenomenal of FY 2025. If we hand across to Tony and cover off the financials.

Tony Ristevski
CFO, Web Travel Group

Thank you, Johnny. Good morning, everyone. I'll turn your attention now to slide 17. I'll cover off the financial summary. It's quite a busy slide, consistent to what we reported six months ago at the half. I'll probably take you through not so much the restatements and the accounting changes, which I did talk at length last time, but talk to what's changed in the second half instead. The P&L structure where Web Travel Group is at the top, which encapsulates the WebBeds business and corporate, and on the bottom will be the discontinued B2C business. On the left, which is our statutory result, the only net inclusion at the second half that wasn't there in the first half is an item called impairment expense. This relates to the disposal of the DMC business. DMC was a small component of the Jack Travel acquisition back in 2017.

We had some intangible assets attributable to that small division that was run independently of the B2B business but included as a subset. We've had to obviously impair that as we've disposed of that asset. I'll then turn your attention to the column on the right, underlying operations. This is how we look to understand the commercial performance of the business. It's the way we've presented our P&L now for the better part of seven years in a consistent format. John's gone through the revenue expenses item, which is attributable to the WebBeds business. The corporate item I'll go through in the coming slides, and that results in an EBITDA at underlying level of AUD 120.6 million. The next underlying item that we consider is relevant when considering our performance is depreciation amortization of AUD 22.6 million. This is obviously correlated to the CapEx spend.

As we spend, we amortize as it relates to our platform. If you recall at the first half, that was a pro forma item of AUD 9.8 million as determined for the first half. Second half, the expense is AUD 12.8 million. The best way to think about it, I do get questions around outlook and how to think about items below the EBITDA line. Look at the AUD 12.8 million, which is the half two DNA annualizer, and then add 10%. And that 10% going forward, if you're thinking about how to best model the DNA number going forward. You go to the next item there, which is EBIT of AUD 98 million. The next item there is net interest cost. If you recall in the first half, we had a positive AUD 600,000 for net interest. That's because we had a substantial amount of cash.

Obviously, across the second half through the demerger, we did appropriate AUD 135 million across to the B2C business, which we do not have anymore. Coupled with that, we have also spent, which I will talk about later in the cash flow slide, close enough to AUD 170 million on capital management initiatives. Those circa AUD 300 million of cash that were sitting there and potentially earning a lot more interest is no longer the case. What you will find is, from an outlook perspective, that interest expense line will grow, and it is anticipated to grow into the mid-teens %. The details are in section 3.4E of the annual report where it goes into details to each of the respective line items. Next is then the EBIT number, or the earnings before tax, of AUD 94.3 million. Tax, consistent with what I said at the first half, we expect an expected tax rate of around 16%.

It ended up coming in at 16 to land on an impact number of continuing operations of AUD 79.2 million, down on last year's AUD 101.1 million. The other key call-out here is, from an outlook perspective, we're modeling out tax. We've forecasted effective tax rate to be 17% for 2026 and thereafter in the near term. I'll then turn your attention to the next slide, which is capital management. Consistent to what we announced at the first half result in November, we kicked off the buyback program of AUD 150 million in December, and we completed that program in March of this year, resulting in a totality of around 31.2 million shares being acquired and canceled. That represents approximately 8% of our issued capital.

When you also add to that, and probably you may not recall, but back in September of 2023, we initiated a capital management initiative whereby we were buying equities around derivative instruments of AUD 150 million. We did not quite get there, but nevertheless, what we did acquire was an exposure to 8.4 million Webjet shares, which currently sits on our balance sheet as part of other current assets. In totality, that addresses the potential dilution with a buy-in by about 88%. We have a high conviction around the outlook for our business despite the short-term share price position at this stage. Nevertheless, we cannot always predict the world in which we live in and how equity markets will behave in the next 12 months. We recognize in 12 months' time that we have the finality when it comes to our bond.

There are going to be really two options there for the bond: either convert or redeem. We have looked through the lens of conversion and tried to deal with that proactively and are confident in delivering maximum shareholder value. On the flip side, should they choose to redeem, we have, subsequent to year-end, upsized our revolving credit facility from AUD 40 million- AUD 200 million. When you add the cash from operations we are generating in the next 12 months, that gives us ample liquidity to deal with any consequence regarding the bond's preferences or the bondholder's behavior at that point in time. It has completely de-risked our business, and we can focus on running our business for the next 12 months, and then we will deal with the outcome closer to the conversion or the bond expiration date. Moving forward to the corporate cost line.

Again, a bit of nuance here as it relates to the corporate cost. It came in at AUD 18.2 million. The second half was AUD 10.7 million worth of expense as opposed to the AUD 7.5 million in the first half. If you can recall six months ago, the AUD 7.5 million was really a function of the process that we used to allocate the cost across B2B and B2C, consistent with the demerger booklet. The half-to-run rate of AUD 10.7 million is the best way to think about it. If you annualize that, add back in STIs, which were not paid in the last 12 months, coupled with CPI, you get something close enough to AUD 24 million from an outlook perspective. Going down to the next line, non-operating expenses. Subsequent to the demerger, we did restructure our business, which incurred plus advisory costs close enough to AUD 10 million.

The other item there of substance in a non-cash item is capital management initiatives. Last year, when we kicked off the instrument, or be it the equity-linked instrument, the share price appreciated. So the value of that asset on our balance sheet did appreciate, which resulted in a $10 million book gain. Unfortunately, with the share price contraction year on year, that resulted in a write-down of that asset on our balance sheet of $24.3 million. The next item there is owners' list provision. This is really as a direct consequence of the DMC business. We've got people based in our London office who are moving across to the purchaser's office, so that renders that space surplus. Hence, we've booked an owners' list provision as part of the overall transaction. I'll move forward to the next slide, which is our balance sheet.

Look, the key call-outs here without going to every line is obviously the healthy cash position. I will also call out that we have spent over AUD 300 million as a consequence of the demerger and the buyback, which still leaves us with a healthy just shy of AUD 365 million. The other key call-out here is our debtors and the way we continue to manage those. We have been pretty vigilant from the team as it relates to debtor days in our credit policy. That was sort of circa mid to high 20s pre-COVID, and we have been moving that down to circa 20 days over the last sort of four years. The other side of that is trade payables. I foreshadowed this 12 months ago at the FY 2024 result that we are going to see a contraction in our creditor days, which was going to impact cash conversion.

Similarly, the same call-out was done six months ago in the half. We have come from pre-COVID days, circa 50 days, to now being in the mid-30 days. We see that normalizing going forward. I will talk about the consequences to cash in the next slide. The other key thing since COVID that I have been referring to when it comes to liquidity and the overall health of our balance sheet for the medium term is really the current ratio. The focus there is really having a position greater than one because obviously we have a lot of interim month swings when it comes to working capital, debtors, and creditors. What is important is a healthy cash position to be able to deal with that interim month and then also deal with any potential risk of volatility or unforeseen events in the near to short term.

Going on to the next slide, which is cash flow. The key benefit of our business is as earnings grow, cash grows. They're highly correlated and have been for many, many years. In the last 12 months, as I mentioned earlier, we've had a contraction in creditor days for the first time, and that's impacted cash conversion. We telegraphed that 12 months ago and six months ago, and that ended up being 73% from a cash conversion perspective as that normalizes in this financial year just gone. Going forward from 2026, cash conversion will get back up to 100% as creditor days normalize and debtor days have normalized. As you can see there, as I mentioned earlier, we spent close enough to AUD 170 million in the period on capital management initiatives as it relates to the confidence around our outlook.

The other thing there is obviously the demerger resulted in AUD 135 million being handed over to the B2C business. Going on to the next slide, which is cash. John talked about earlier regarding the investment in our business. We telegraphed six months ago that the point of sale was an important aspect to our delivery and supporting the incredible growth numbers, particularly as John will talk about the trading update. In the second half, we telegraphed six months ago that we'll spend circa AUD 12 million. We ended up being AUD 11.9 million. As we think about our business in the next 12 months, we expect CapEx for 2026 to be in line with the 2025 number and thereafter grow with inflation. The key call-out there is, as John had on the previous slide, we had an expectation of a 50% CAGR on TTV.

As you can see there, the CapEx growth is substantially less than that. That just highlights the scalable nature of our business. On that last slide, I'll hand over to John.

John Guscic
Managing Director, Web Travel Group

Thanks, Tony. Just picking up on that point, we have a great business, and I don't say that lightly. We've got a phenomenal track record of delivering growth. To hold ourselves accountable internally, we always measure ourselves against what did we acquire and what have we grown. As anyone who's followed our business over the years knows, we made two major acquisitions in 2017 and 2018. We bought the Jack Travel business and the DOTW business. They were businesses that were both largely larger than the individual business that was WebBeds at the time.

What we have been able to do is lever the $1.5 billion of TTV that we acquired pre-COVID and derived an incremental $3.4 billion of organic growth on top of that. Everything that we expect to achieve between our number now of $4.9 billion and $10 billion is organic growth. This is not coming with the stimulus of M&A activity to drive that. It is the fundamentals of a business model that continues to resonate in a global marketplace in which we have an incredible opportunity. You look at the numbers there, even though I have been instrumental in being involved in this business over the journey, a 10-year CAGR of 36% with the middle of COVID in there, a three-year CAGR of 49% of TTV growth are incredible numbers. We expect us to double the size of our business over the course of the next five financial years.

We're on track to be able to deliver that outcome. What's happened and why are we confident? I think of all the headline summaries, of all the headings in the deck, refocused, recalibrated, and back on track clearly resonate with me about what's happened over the course of the last six months in particular. We're not only maintaining our market-leading TTV growth rates. We're actually going to be in one more slide showing how we're increasing those market-leading TTV growth rates. It's a large addressable market. As we've spoken about, we are rebalancing our supply mix for FY 2026 and beyond. We think that's going to be really meaningful for us in FY 2027. In the medium term, we are reaffirming our expectation that our take rate will be maintained at the circa 6.5%. As I highlighted earlier, the first half will be lower than the second half.

That's an accounting change issue that's driving that outcome. It's nothing else that's underlying that other than accounting change of how we recognize revenue. But we're a highly scalable business. We will deliver 50% EBITDA margins in FY 2027. In FY 2026, we'll be up from our circa 43% or 42.5% EBITDA margins to between 44%-47%. The reason we're not higher is obviously our expenses will go up in FY 2026. That OpEx growth is expected to be high single digit. And the vast majority of that high single digit OpEx growth is bringing high-quality, impactful employees into our organization. They're going to contribute to the superior profitable growth targets that we have from FY 2027 and beyond.

We don't normally call out individual markets, but we're making an exception this year primarily because of geopolitical issues and the impact it appears to have with some other publicly available information about trading for various people in the travel ecosystem. Clearly, whatever is happening in the globe is not impacting us. We will look at it from two different perspectives. If you think of the United States as a destination and we sell domestic in the United States and people flying into the country, how are we traveling? We're up in aggregate 30% to the United States. The United States is our largest single country that we send travelers to. Marketplace is up 36%. Oh my God, even Canadians are going to the U.S.A. That's up 32%. The rest of the Americas is up a big number. APAC, pretty normal. Middle East, big number.

The only market that we're seeing some softness to the United States is Europe traveling to the United States. The aggregate of the United States as a destination is up 30% for the first eight weeks of trading as of Monday of this week. What's happening with the U.S. market? Consistent with the first one, domestic is American selling to America is up 36%. Americans going to Canada up 30%. The rest of them are up very, very strongly with the reverse happening where Americans going to Europe up a phenomenal 57% over this eight-week period. The United States over this eight-week journey as a source market is up 37%. How have we gone in the first eight weeks? If I get you to look to the right-hand side of the slide, as we've already covered, this is all as a source market.

Americas are up 36%. Asia-Pacific is up 22%. Europe is up 25%. Middle East is up 32%. All markets are well up on this time last year and obviously well up on whatever the market growth rate is. The indication that we have from our industry colleagues and published data by some of our competitors and some of the other players, whether they're airlines or hoteliers, is the market is slowing. The market is slowing. WebBeds is accelerating. The story does not change. We've always been a market share story. I was reflecting just a couple of months ago that one of the best things about having the demerger, and it was not a motivation, but we were completely decoupled from the share price movements of the other Australian travel stocks.

Clearly, that has not been the case in the last two months as other stocks have made announcements. It has had a negative impact on our business, which is surprising when 97% of our revenues all come from outside of Australia. In aggregate, what has our business achieved over the first eight months? I am calling it out three different ways so that there is complete transparency about the outperformance that we have delivered. It has been a little bit strange. I will just cover off the strangeness first. Firstly, bookings are not strange. That is a phenomenal 29% up. What is strange is when you translate it into either euros or Australian dollars, you get a significantly different number. Our 29% bookings in euros is up 28%, which is down 1%. It is the first time in living memory average booking values across the group are down.

There are two factors to that. There is the fact that Americas and the Middle East, where many of the currencies are pegged to the U.S. dollar, have got a modest depreciation against the euro from this time last year. We are seeing a little bit in those bookings numbers, a very modest 2%-3% decline in length of stay that's occurring. What normally would happen, and you saw it this year as a great example, bookings up 20%. Sorry, last year being FY 2020, bookings up 20%. TTV in constant currency up 2% or 3%. That's a factor of average booking values going up 3%, and that's been the historic norm. That isn't the norm in the first eight weeks, so I thought we'd be calling that out to explain the delta between 29 and 28.

Clearly, as everyone who resides in Australia knows, the Australian dollar has collapsed over the course of the last 12 months. The economic benefit of us being listed in Australia is that our TTV in Aussie dollars, the 28% that we were up in euros translates to 37% in Australian dollars. We have had an exceptional start to the year, and clearly, we're targeting record EBITDA in FY 2026. With that harmony, we are open for any questions.

Operator

Thank you. If you do wish to ask a question, you will need to press the star key followed by the number one on your telephone keypad. If you wish to cancel your request, please press star two.

Your first question comes from Ben Gilbert from Jarden. Please go ahead.

Ben Gilbert
Head of Australian Equity Research, Jarden

Good morning, Tony. Thanks for taking the question. Just in terms of the year-to-date trend, obviously, it's a cracking start to fiscal 2026. And I just noticed in your comments when you talked to, you think you can maintain those levels of conversion. I suppose, broadly speaking, not looking for guidance here, but just sort of that deal you talked on previously, it feels like the conversion contribution's probably kicked up a bit, and it feels like you're sort of suggesting it could be sustainable. So is this a run rate you'd be hoping or you think Spez will maintain through the year, particularly given you're cycling some of the issues in the PCP?

Tony Ristevski
CFO, Web Travel Group

Look, I'll start with the broader statement and then go into the specifics as best I possibly can. We'll start off with, per normal, we will provide a trading update at the AGM on the 26th of August. We'll give you the next stage. The bookings for the first two months have been very strong. For the near term, as we look out two to three months, they're strong bookings. We're not expecting to fall off a cliff if that's the question. Directionally, we are expecting to continue to derive vastly superior growth rates to the underlying market for at least FY 2026 and beyond.

Ben Gilbert
Head of Australian Equity Research, Jarden

Is the conversion contribution? Appreciate you've done a lot of work around this. Is that stronger?

Tony Ristevski
CFO, Web Travel Group

Because it seems like it's a pretty decent. Yes. Yes. Conversion. You saw an uptick in conversion from FY 2024- FY 2025, and you see an uptick in conversion from FY 2025- FY 2026. Yes, that's the key driver. Let's assume market, I'm making a hypothetical here because I don't know what the market growth rate is because that's a backward-looking statement for us as we reflect on everyone else's published data. We say the market growth rate was 5% last year. I'd guess the market growth rate would be close to 2% at the moment. We're banging out 29%. We haven't picked up a whole lot of new clients. We always pick up clients every single day, right? There's barely a month go by where we don't pick up something meaningful. That's low to mid-single digits. The rest is conversion, correct.

Ben Gilbert
Head of Australian Equity Research, Jarden

Just following from me, just trying to understand, obviously, you've got a lot of leverage that runs through the P&L with your EBITDA, but just the contract realignment, what you've sort of talked to with that guidance for EBITDA margins for next year. Because again, I appreciate you're obviously cycling some issues in the PCP that I thought would have given a bit of a kick at a margin on a like-for-like basis.

Tony Ristevski
CFO, Web Travel Group

We are still growing. Let's go through the and this is indicative, and this will come as no surprise to anyone. If we are growing at 29%, let's say we are growing at, we'll do it on a euro basis. We are growing at 28% at TTV level. Americas and the Middle East are growing the fastest at the moment. Historically, Asia has been our fastest growing, but it has not been this eight-week period, but it has been our fastest. All three of those are in aggregate lower than our underlying 6.5% margin because Europe is a higher margin base than that. You have the counterbalance of fast-growing lower margin areas offset by the restructuring of our supply agreements to ensure that we sell more directly contracted higher margin products.

Those two counterbalance why we are confident in the medium-term outlook of 6.5% for the margin. As we push forward into 2027 and the growth rate continues, we expect the supply increase in hotel contractors improving our quality of direct contract supply to improve that balance even further in FY 2027, which gives us confidence around the margin in FY 2027 as well.

Ben Gilbert
Head of Australian Equity Research, Jarden

Okay. And then obviously get the leverage through your cost line because you've got the market increase.

Tony Ristevski
CFO, Web Travel Group

That's what. Yeah. Yeah, yeah. I look at it and think about our business very, very broadly. Vastly superior growth rates top line, modest growth rates on the expense line, take rate being consistent gives you a highly leveraged outcome down the track.

Ben Gilbert
Head of Australian Equity Research, Jarden

Fantastic. Appreciate it. Cheers.

Tony Ristevski
CFO, Web Travel Group

No problem. Thanks, Ben.

Operator

Thank you. Your next question comes from Sam Se ow from Citi. Please go ahead.

Sam Seow
VP and Equity Analyst, Citi

Good morning, guys. Thanks for taking the question. Maybe just following on that conversion question. I mean, clearly, it's accelerated. I just want to understand, can you boil it down to some key initiatives that are really driving that acceleration? Is there any seasonality in that conversion, like first half or second half? And then maybe just the economic. I mean, is there an interplay between higher conversion and higher override? Yeah, any color on that conversion would be great.

John Guscic
Managing Director, Web Travel Group

I'll go through a few components with the exception of the first part. We're not going to give you the specifics of what we're doing to convert because that's the secret sauce. Let's go through the seasonality. The only seasonality I call out is Europe being up 25% was impacted by Easter in April. That was March the previous year. There was a little bit of seasonality there. There's no other seasonality in the other numbers per se. That's the first bit. Yeah, there are some of our customers that are growing that have overrides, but I don't want to overstate the impact. The impact is material as one-off, but as it stabilizes, it does not change dramatically the take rate compared to the growth rate. There is no overreliance on incentivized override customers to achieve this growth.

Sam Seow
VP and Equity Analyst, Citi

Got it. That is really helpful. Maybe on the supply mix and some of the investment in that space, I guess some of the terminology and the OpEx step-up sounds like we have had a bit of a change in your thinking around that space versus not too long ago. Just wondering if you could go through why, I guess, hotel contractors were less of a focus in recent years, and then maybe if there is a target for direct contract in the supply mix, medium, long term.

John Guscic
Managing Director, Web Travel Group

Yeah. It is a fair question. There was never a de-emphasis in hotel contractors per se. If I go back to and pick any time period, whether it was 2014, 2019, 2024, we always had circa 60% of our TTV, ± 5%, right? Circa 60% of our TTV directly contracted. We always had circa 70 third parties aggregated on our site, and the circa 70 third parties contributed about 40% of our TTV growth. As we have grown into new customers and new geographies with different hotel sales, that fell on our third party to a higher extent than it did on our directly contracted inventory. Nothing's changed in this element other than we want to re-accelerate the percentage of directly contracted hotel sales. We then go, "Okay, so what's happening to our business?" Here's our top 1,000 producing hotels. They're all directly contracted. No surprise. Here's our next 1,000.

Here's a hotel number, 2,200 that didn't exist three years ago. Now it's doing substantial volume. We'll go out and contract it. Some of them might even be in places where we didn't even have a contractor. From that perspective, we're just getting a little bit more geographic coverage. I make specific reference to Asia-Pacific for that. A little bit more depth, I make specific reference to the Americas. In both cases, we haven't de-emphasized it. It's just that we've had runaway success with third party as we've built out new sales to new customers, predominantly in new geographies where we just didn't have that coverage. That's been what we're now redressing.

Clearly, over the course of the year, it was a chastening experience reporting six months ago about where our business was and some of the unintended consequences of the growth that we had. It has given us a chance to recalibrate the emphasis that we have within the organization and use the data that is available to us to ensure that we are more on top of this, and not only for today, but less likely to make the same mistakes going forward.

Sam Seow
VP and Equity Analyst, Citi

That is helpful. I guess, is that 60% the new, I mean, the target going forward, or do you think you can go higher than that?

John Guscic
Managing Director, Web Travel Group

It is not the new target. It is the old target being revisited. It was always the target. We were always circa 60%.

Sam Seow
VP and Equity Analyst, Citi

Okay. Thank you, guys. Appreciate it.

John Guscic
Managing Director, Web Travel Group

Thanks, Sam.

Operator

Thank you. Your next question comes from Sophia Mulligan from Macquarie. Please go ahead.

Sophia Mulligan
Associate VP, Macquarie

Hey, guys. Thanks for taking this question and congratulations on the result. First question. Sophia, you need to speak up. I can't hear you. Hey, sorry. Can you hear me better now? Yes. First question, just quickly on OpEx. I know you provided expectations for OpEx next year. We're thinking in out-of-year terms to get to that 50% target. Does that mean OpEx growth is going to move more to a mid-single-digit level?

John Guscic
Managing Director, Web Travel Group

Yes.

Sophia Mulligan
Associate VP, Macquarie

Just quickly on the TTV target, I mean, you've had a great start to the year this year. Historically, we've thought about the TTV growth on that billion-a-year runway, that straight-line runway. Do you think that this year could potentially beat that with the strong start you've had?

John Guscic
Managing Director, Web Travel Group

It could. The billion-a-year run rate is directionally. We did 900 last year. We might do more than a billion this year. We will see. We have had a great run rate. I will reiterate the same points I have made earlier. We know what we need to do to improve the underlying value that we provide to our supply and demand partners, and we will continue to focus on those. That will increase our conversion rate. If we are able to maintain that, it is not we are always hopeful of the upside. We are not afraid of it.

Sophia Mulligan
Associate VP, Macquarie

Great. Cool. Thanks, guys. Congratulations on the result.

John Guscic
Managing Director, Web Travel Group

Thank you, Sophia.

Operator

Thank you. Your next question comes from James Lee from Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.

James Lee
Senior Technology Manager, Goldman Sachs

Hi, guys. Just a quick question on the EBITDA margin guidance, that 44%-47%, and how we should think about that into 2027. I think you have clearly articulated some of the further investment you have put into direct contracting. How should we think about into FY 2027? You've got a 50% guidance. How should we think about, I guess, the envelope of offsetting those costs into 2026? Because as I say, there's been an additional investment, but we've kept the EBITDA margin guidance unchanged in the long term. What are the benefits we're seeing, and how do we have confidence on offsetting that additional investment?

John Guscic
Managing Director, Web Travel Group

I think Sophia asked the question, "What does OpEx look like?" I think mechanically, the numbers should align. We've got high single digits this year. We've got EBITDA targets of 44-47, mid-single digit next year. That gives you an implied growth rate in FY 2027. That'll get you a 50% EBITDA number. We will continue, notwithstanding everything I've just said, we'll continue to invest in direct contracting to FY 2027 as well. It's not one and done.

Our business is getting much, much bigger. We'll be circa a number of around six at that point, heading for potentially seven. In that environment, we need bodies to be on the street negotiating best rates so that we can put it into our platform.

James Lee
Senior Technology Manager, Goldman Sachs

I guess maybe to ask it a different way. Previously, we've talked about 48%, and now it's at the midpoint, call it 45.5%, but there's no delta to 2027. That has clearly changed for 2026. From 2027, the offsetting, what's the benefit that we previously weren't expecting if that 6.5% revenue margin kind of stays flat?

Tony Ristevski
CFO, Web Travel Group

Look, James, it's Tony here. It's really just a step change in our business. I think in the past, we've been asked this question because mechanically, if you do the billion-dollar growth, 6.5%, surely that will spit out a number that's greater than 50% margin in time.

What we have always said there is we will always reinvest the additional sort of upside of scalability back into the business, back into our people, both sales and contracting. Yes, mechanically, by 2030, you could get to a margin in the high 50% in EBITDA if you mechanically do it on an XR, $1 billion a year and 6.5% take rate with mid-digit OpEx growth. That is not the reality. The reality is that each year we will reface into the reality of where we are growing and what we need to invest in. For the 2026 year, we are going to invest in those resources in the geographies that John mentioned. It is a bit of a step change, prematurely bringing some of that spend forward.

FY 2027, we'll revert back to the normal expectations of around 50%, which would imply OpEx growth somewhere in the mid-single digits or thereabouts, as John mentioned.

James Lee
Senior Technology Manager, Goldman Sachs

Awesome. Thanks, guys.

John Guscic
Managing Director, Web Travel Group

Thanks, James.

Operator

Thank you. Your next question comes from Ben Wilson from Wilson's Advisory. Please go ahead.

Ben Wilson
Senior Analyst, Wilson's Advisory

Thank you. Morning, gentlemen, and congratulations on the resilient result and, yeah, very strong trading update. Just firstly, in terms of the update in terms of U.S. inbound and outbound sales in the first half to date, very strong. Just wondering if you've seen, or just confirming, I guess, those are TTV growth numbers. Just wondering if you've seen any change in the average booking window in that period. Just wondering if there's any kind of potential downside to TTV going forward as you see bookings translate into TTV.

John Guscic
Managing Director, Web Travel Group

It doesn't matter which way you cut it. Even if booking windows are extending or compressing, it doesn't change the results. We're not seeing anything dramatic occur. We're seeing a modest shortening of the booking window, but that's a trend for the last two to three years. That doesn't change our results. It just changes bookings minus cancellations being a slightly different calculation internally than what it was historically, but doesn't change what actually gets on the book. Any change to that booking window doesn't really impact our results, only if it becomes shorter and you're not creating as much earlier. We're not seeing that. We're seeing, as I mentioned earlier, strong creations going forward. The booking window, we're talking infinitesimally small numbers being compressed. It's not something that's keeping me awake at night.

Ben Wilson
Senior Analyst, Wilson's Advisory

Got it. That's helpful. Thanks, John. Just then further on the, I guess, the increase in contracting staff, do you get the sense that your sort of large competitors are doing the same, or do you think you're investing more in this area? I guess just confidence that that investment will see sort of direct results in terms of better contribution from higher margin directly contracted hotels going forward.

John Guscic
Managing Director, Web Travel Group

I can make note. I've never made any comments about what our competitors are doing, so I genuinely don't know. I'll just re-emphasize the point. We're on a great run rate without these direct contracts going forward. Direct contractors making a meaningful contribution to these results. There's a little bit in these U.S. numbers from what we invested in the first quarter, but just to remind the audience that when we invest in a contractor, it's normally an 18-month payoff.

It takes time for them to get the best contracts in those markets and for us to be considered a helpful trading partner. It does take time for that payoff, which is why we're suggesting FY 2027 will be important and beyond. I'm not diminishing the contractors we have on board. They've done a phenomenal job. The majority of the TTV that you saw in FY 2025 came from our existing contracts. That will continue into FY 2026. Hopefully, we get it back closer to 60% as opposed to the mid-50% that we're at at the moment.

Ben Wilson
Senior Analyst, Wilson's Advisory

Yeah. Thanks, John. Just lastly, in terms of EU demand, thanks for some helpful detail provided on the responses you've had to the issues in the first half. Obviously, different seasonality in the second half versus first half in Europe, but just wondering if you've seen sort of demand recover or normalize in the second half to the extent you can.

John Guscic
Managing Director, Web Travel Group

Europe was pretty consistent over the full year. We were up a little bit above trend, and I think that's Easter. If it wasn't for Easter, I think Europe would be maybe 20 instead of 25 or some number like that. There's maybe a percent or two of tailwind from Easter being in April this year versus March the year before. Europe was up 20% last year. That's what we would expect.

Ben Wilson
Senior Analyst, Wilson's Advisory

Great. Thanks very much.

John Guscic
Managing Director, Web Travel Group

Thanks, Ben.

Operator

Thank you. Your next question comes from Tim Plumbe from UBS. Please go ahead.

Tim Plumbe
Head of Emerging Companies Research, UBS

Hi, guys. Congratulations on a resilient result. Most of my questions have been asked, so I'm just going to ask a slightly different one. John, you've been in this industry for a really long time now. If conditions do slow somewhat—sorry, that was a compliment, by the way—if conditions do slow somewhat, can you talk a little bit about how the bedbank industry typically performs relative to other players in the industry in terms of offsets that you get from hotels offering better rates and how you can kind of stimulate sales off the bucket-bump ?

John Guscic
Managing Director, Web Travel Group

It'll take me a little while to get back to the speakerphone, Tim, because my walking cane fell over, and I'm just—oh, I've made it. Look, if it was 10 years ago, I'd answer it the following. Definitely, it's a strong tailwind for the bedbank industry.

As soon as rates are softened, the market gravitates to all forms of distribution. I reckon it's on the margin today. I think there might be a little bit of a tailwind, but it's marginal. The global hotel distribution dynamic is an enormous business. The bedbank industry is $100 billion out of that enormous business. It is fundamental to the distribution of hoteliers. For many of our independent hotels in which we have a direct contract, we are virtually, if not their major, or probably their major, or maybe one of our competitors is their major distribution and marketing channel to the world. That does not change whether the market's going up, down, or sideways. Hoteliers need to fill rooms. We provide them with the technology that gives global distribution to enable them to fulfill the occupancy requirements of the hotel.

What happens in a period of slowing demand, which we are obviously entering into? Historically, and I'll give you the age-old version, people will come to you with special offers. There may be more special offers that come. The beauty of being a bedbank is, especially a technology-driven bedbank like ourselves, we can get a special offer and have it live within minutes of receiving them. We are more agile to the needs of hoteliers as they look at their demand patterns, and we fit into them. That all works fine. I do not expect a massive tailwind from that, a modest one at best.

I'm talking if the market slows by 2%, it might be a 2% tailwind our way because the other channels that are slowing down or the other channels that are maybe not growing, they might look to us to help fill that because they know that bedbanks provide ad infinitum demand against finite supply. We provide them a complementary outlet for all of that excess inventory.

Tim Plumbe
Head of Emerging Companies Research, UBS

Got it. Just the second part, I just wanted to get two clarifications if possible, please. Were you saying that if we back out the Easter impacting year to date, you're saying that 2028 is more circa 2026? Is that how we should be thinking about the underlying BAU TTV growth?

John Guscic
Managing Director, Web Travel Group

You could do that, Tim. Okay.

Tim Plumbe
Head of Emerging Companies Research, UBS

The second one, just in terms of when you get the contracting up and running and full momentum there, and then you get a bit of a normalization in terms of some of these lower revenue to TTV margin businesses, are you saying FY 2027 could potentially see upside to that 6.5%, or are you saying that it gives you comfort that you can maintain that 6.5% in FY 2027?

John Guscic
Managing Director, Web Travel Group

It gives me comfort about FY 2027, and it's too early to tell if there's any upside to it. We need to get the people on board. We need to see what they can deliver. We need to make sure that the pockets of demand that we're contracting are still strong, and we've got a competitive offering. If that's the case, potentially. No, for the messaging, what I want to be really clear is we're not suggesting it's going to revert back to a number north of seven, but we will be very conscious of the contradictory elements of our business. Fast-growing businesses that are traditionally lower margin being offset by more directly contracted supply gives us comfort around the 6.5% number.

Tim Plumbe
Head of Emerging Companies Research, UBS

Got it. Thanks, guys.

John Guscic
Managing Director, Web Travel Group

Thank you.

Thank you.

Your next question comes from Aryan Norozi from Barangeli. Please go ahead.

Aryan Norozi
Founding Principal of Emerging Companies Research, Barrenjoey

Hi, guys. Hi, to you all. Just in terms of the direct versus third-party contract mix, so you mentioned that you're typically at 60%. At the moment, you're a bit lower, around that 55% mix. Just trying to get an idea around the magnitude of improvement. Is it fair to say direct contracts are 5-6 percentage points higher margin than third-party in terms of the revenue margin between the two, please?

John Guscic
Managing Director, Web Travel Group

Sorry, I found it difficult to hear the question, Aryan. The 6.5%. Yeah. Just trying to get an idea around the revenue margin difference between direct contracts and third-party contracts. Is it fair to say direct contracts have 5-6 percentage points.

Aryan Norozi
Founding Principal of Emerging Companies Research, Barrenjoey

Higher revenue margin than third-party?

John Guscic
Managing Director, Web Travel Group

No. No. No. It would not be fair to say that. It is much more compressed than that. That would suggest that we are operating, that would suggest by default that we are operating third-party at circa 2% or 3%. No. Yeah.

Aryan Norozi
Founding Principal of Emerging Companies Research, Barrenjoey

Okay. Perfect. In terms of revenue margin, the comment in the release notice said maintained or you are confident in 6.5% at least. Previously, it was circa 6.5%. I think I was in the release today. Just the rationale behind that, do you think there's more upside risk to that number?

John Guscic
Managing Director, Web Travel Group

Maybe. I think I covered that off in the last question from Tim, that we're targeting 6.5% for the medium term, and let's see what FY 2027 delivers.

Aryan Norozi
Founding Principal of Emerging Companies Research, Barrenjoey

Yeah. Gotcha. Then this AAAC 9 impact, what was the impact in FY 2025 that got you to 6%? Is it basically a difference between 6.5% and 6.7% that you did? How do we think about that sort of annual impact moving forward?

Tony Ristevski
CFO, Web Travel Group

Sorry, Aryan. Can you repeat that?

Aryan Norozi
Founding Principal of Emerging Companies Research, Barrenjoey

Yeah. Just the AAAC 9 impact on your revenue margins. What was the benefit? This was just the first half 2025, so I couldn't see it for second half 2025. What was the benefit to your revenue margins in the second half of 2025? How do we think about that?

Tony Ristevski
CFO, Web Travel Group

It's nominal, Aryan. What you've got to recognize is, and I'm happy to take this offline, is that the error rates that we record retrospectively relate to the summer period. There is a bit of a tailwind in second-half margins as a consequence. As John alluded to, the first half, which is Europe for us, will be slightly more muted. The exact percentage we haven't called out, but you can see from the trading for half two, it did improve, which is a consequence of that and a few other factors as well.

Aryan Norozi
Founding Principal of Emerging Companies Research, Barrenjoey

Gotcha. Thanks, guys.

Wei-Weng Chen
Director of Equity Research, RBC Capital Markets

Thank you. Your next question comes from Wei- Weng Chen from RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead.

Hi, guys. Congrats on the results. Refreshing to get an upgrade in the travel sector. I guess my first question is just on the EBITDA margins of 50% in 2027, and then you've got your target of 50% in 2030. I think John said—sorry, it was Tony said—you guys are looking to sort of manage to margins in the interim years. Does that mean we should be thinking about an acceleration of growth in 2028-2029 as you reinvest margins back into the business?

John Guscic
Managing Director, Web Travel Group

At a take rate, Wei Wang, or?

Wei-Weng Chen
Director of Equity Research, RBC Capital Markets

EBITDA margins rather.

John Guscic
Managing Director, Web Travel Group

Look, it's too far out to say anything definitive one way or the other. Look, when we set the targets three years ago of $10 billion and a 50% EBITDA margin, we knew we weren't going to be trading at 8% as a take rate. We never, in our wildest, in our worst nightmare, thought we'd go from 8%- 6.5% in a six-month window.

Let's be clear about that. That's the reality of what we've dealt with. It doesn't change our optimism about getting the 30%. It doesn't change our optimism of 50% EBITDA margins. If we've got 50% EBITDA margin in 2027, it would have to be a series of either massively slowing growth for us and we don't achieve the $10 billion, or the OpEx is growing at a faster rate and we're not able to offset that with the take rate to not at least maintain those 50%. Any modeling that you do once you get to 50%, something that hasn't happened in the last 12 years with our business would have to happen, which is that we would moderate our growth rate to circa market growth rates and not control our expenses to maintain that 50%.

If we get to 50 in FY 2027, notwithstanding something exceptional occurring, you would be confident that that 50 would be maintained at least to at least 50 to FY 2030.

Wei-Weng Chen
Director of Equity Research, RBC Capital Markets

Yeah. That makes sense. The next question is just on the 6.5% margin sort of for next year. I guess let's just take it as 6.5% and talk about no upside from here. You have identified, I guess, building blocks that will be positive for margins. You have directly contracted inventory, re-engineered supply contracts, etc. To do that and kind of end up at 6.5% means that you are only just matching headwinds on your take rate. Can you maybe speak about the headwinds and then the quantum of their impacts that you are looking to offset to get back to the 6.5%?

John Guscic
Managing Director, Web Travel Group

Sure. I touched on it earlier. Three of the regions are growing at less than 6.5% by definition because Europe is growing at above 6.5%. That is the headwind. You keep growing, but it is no longer the major headwind that it was 12 months ago because it is much closer to the underlying number. If you have four geographies and three of them are below 6.5% and one is above 6.5%, and the three below are growing faster, that is a natural decline. As I said, we have mitigation plans with regards to what we sell to them to ensure that we continue to improve that number, that headwind. The other factor which we touched on is the supply mix of what we sell. I think I have covered that enough.

More direct contracts as opposed to third-party geography mix, trying to sell higher margin products within that geography mix, customer mix, which we have not spoken about a lot. Some of our customers are growing at a faster rate than others. That potentially can be either a headwind or a tailwind. Both of those factors all need to be calibrated in the conversation around what take rates are. It is not as simple as there is one factor that drives the overall take rate. What we are saying, as opposed to what happened in the first half, we have within our entire organization, and we look at this now on a daily basis. What are we selling to who? What is the growth rate of those customers? What inventory are we providing? What is the margin? What is not working? Why is it not working? What do we do?

How do we pull those levers to at least ensure that we get the growth rate at that 6.5%? I spoke about it, and clearly, I'm not going to go into any more detail than this oblique reference to it. When I spoke on the pillars of growth, there is a line in there, AI-driven competitive edge.

Wei-Weng Chen
Director of Equity Research, RBC Capital Markets

Enough said. Very good. Thanks. Just last one, if I can. Where are you getting these hotel contractors from? Are these very specialized hires, or are they kind of easy enough to find? Your now listed larger competitor has 100,000 directly contracted hotels. What's your comparable number to that, and where do you think you can get to with these investments?

John Guscic
Managing Director, Web Travel Group

Are you looking for a job, Wei Wei?

Wei-Weng Chen
Director of Equity Research, RBC Capital Markets

We can talk about that one offline.

John Guscic
Managing Director, Web Travel Group

I'll tell you what. We're fishing in a pond full of appropriate people. All of our—sorry, let me be clear. I'll be very explicit because it's public domain information. I'm not saying anything negative about anybody. Bookings has a cost takeout program at the moment. Expedia's got a cost takeout program at the moment, both of which are in the public domain. In a market that's slowing, people tend not to invest in slowing markets. We're investing in a slowing market. We are finding high-quality people, and we have already found high-quality people. To put that into perspective, some of the staff that we've recruited in the last 100 days in North America have been outstanding candidates that we've been able to pick up from some well-known institutions who are in the travel space with deep industry knowledge.

Wei-Weng Chen
Director of Equity Research, RBC Capital Markets

Yeah. Cool. Just that number on your comparable number to hotel contractors.

John Guscic
Managing Director, Web Travel Group

We're 30,000. We're just a touch over 30,000 directly contracted hotels. 32,000, I've just been told.

Wei-Weng Chen
Director of Equity Research, RBC Capital Markets

Is there a goal for that number where you want to see that?

John Guscic
Managing Director, Web Travel Group

Look, even of that 32, there's a TTV goal, not an absolute number on contracts. Because there are some contracts that we will discontinue because it's not worthwhile for both us and our supply partner, and there's others that will replace us that are much more worthwhile. As long as they're valuable contracts, I don't care if we're still at 32,000 in a year. If I get back to 60% of my sales through directly contracted, it can be 32,000. The number is important. It's the value that's being produced by those contracts. It's much more important. My 32,000 are very hardworking contracts compared to others in the industry.

Wei-Weng Chen
Director of Equity Research, RBC Capital Markets

Excellent. All right. Thanks so much.

John Guscic
Managing Director, Web Travel Group

We'll talk about that later on. Send me your resume, Wei- Weng?

Wei-Weng Chen
Director of Equity Research, RBC Capital Markets

Yeah. No worries. Will do. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Your next question comes from John O'Shea from Ord Minnett. Please go ahead.

John O'Shea
Travel and Tourism Industry Analyst, Ord Minnett

Morning, John and team. Can you hear me okay? We can hear you, John. Thank you. Look, a bit like yourself, John. I've been around the industry a while, so I was a bit slow to put my question in because I was on the walking frame walking across to the phone. My questions have largely been answered, but I was just curious to understand it. I think this has been asked a million times, but maybe I won't ask it, but I'll ask it anyway.

I'm just trying to understand how you've delivered an improved revenue margin across for the whole year, sort of a 6.7% number, but yet you're guiding to a 6.5% number. I know you've answered that question already, but I'm old and I kind of need some kind of reassurance or some further clarity, if that makes sense, John.

John Guscic
Managing Director, Web Travel Group

You're right. I'm not sure. I'm aged according to Tim Plumbe, and as a consequence, the neural pathways go down one particular branch, and it's the same one I've delivered so far. That's okay. That's fine. We'll just move on then.

John O'Shea
Travel and Tourism Industry Analyst, Ord Minnett

Yeah. Just move on. Just move on then. It's fine. The questions have already been answered, but otherwise, you're good. Thanks, John.

John Guscic
Managing Director, Web Travel Group

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Your next question comes from Abraham Akra from Shore & Partners. Please go ahead. Pardon me, Abraham, your line is now live. Sorry.

Abraham Akra
Senior Analyst, Shore & Partners

Hi, Tony. Hi, John. Sorry. I'm not old, but I'm a bit retarded. It was on mute. Three very simple questions. Firstly, is there any scenario for TTV growth where OpEx growth could be more than the guide?

John Guscic
Managing Director, Web Travel Group

No, it's not envisaged, and we're not tracking to that, so no.

Abraham Akra
Senior Analyst, Shore & Partners

No? Perfect. Secondly, you've outlined investment in your contracting arm in the Americas and Asia, I guess building up internal investments. Is there any avenue for M&A to secure more contracts under management like you've done historically?

John Guscic
Managing Director, Web Travel Group

No. No. We have no plans. We have M&A firepower, as I've made reference to, and I'll repeat what I've said over the last couple of years. We would never make another Jack or DOTW-type acquisition because we're winning that share anyway. We're outcompeting everybody. In that context, I don't need to make an acquisition to grow.

I have a global business. I have scale. I do not have the best scale. Clearly, there is a larger competitor that has greater scale and greater efficiency than we do. That is our aspiration, and we want to get there, and I believe we can get there through organic growth. Now, having said that, we will not do what we have done in the past, and we have demonstrated that we have been, at a TTV level, great custodians of that money because we have been able to triple the size of those businesses off the back of our own endeavors. I have confidence in what we can deliver.

As I think about us over the course of the next five years, I've got a great business model today that just needs to be more finely tuned than it has been, and we spoke about that a lot in the presentation, so I won't go back over old ground. We have a business model that gets us to $10 billion. We have a business model that in FY 2027 gets us to 50% EBITDA margin. Unless something dramatic changes, that should be the bare minimum going forward. Tick. However, we deliberately named ourselves Web Travel Group as opposed to WebBeds, even though it's confusing to me and others, because we believe there are other things in the travel space that are attractive to us, and we will continue to look at those potential opportunities.

Now, again, without getting into the specifics of what we want, anything that is travel tech enabled at scale that makes life easier for hoteliers, or there is some customer-facing technology that enables their lives to operate more efficiently or more effectively, then we are interested in those businesses. I'm not interested in mopping up another small bedbank unless it comes with something unique that I can't get by myself. At the moment, you think about it, we've got great relations with hotel partners globally. Unless they're giving us a bespoke relationship that somehow we're excluded from, or I can't invest into organically, I would look at that. Or a customer base with some, I don't know, defendable attributes as opposed to what I'm doing at the moment, which is winning it in hand-to-hand combat where my conversion rate is better than their conversion rate.

I've always liked my ability in a one-on-one mano a mano kind of grappling contest.

Abraham Akra
Senior Analyst, Shore & Partners

Nice one. I guess lastly from me, have you noticed any churn from your directly contracted hotels? Just curious.

John Guscic
Managing Director, Web Travel Group

Churn? Churn, yeah. Yeah, churn. Not really. Not really. There's a churn factor every year. There's some that we discontinue, there's some that discontinue with us, but it's always in the high 90% of repeat. No discernible churn.

Abraham Akra
Senior Analyst, Shore & Partners

No worries. Thanks, John.

John Guscic
Managing Director, Web Travel Group

Thanks, Abe.

Operator

Thank you. Your next question comes from Bob Chen from JP Morgan. Please go ahead.

Bob Chen
Executive Director and Senior Equity Analyst, JPMorgan

Hey, guys. Just a quick one. You mentioned it earlier, John, just around how you can sort of leverage AI better across your sort of platform. Would be cool to understand how you guys are thinking about leveraging AI in the bedbanking industry.

John Guscic
Managing Director, Web Travel Group

Yeah. I remember, because you're our last question, Bob, I'm going to give you the extended highlights for those who are patient enough to listen to the end. I remember sitting on the balcony of my holiday house in the middle of COVID and contemplating our industry and what the recovery would look like. Beyond survival, we had got past survival at that stage. We were talking 2021, 2022. I think it was 2022, actually. I thought, apart from availability, what is the key determinant that enables someone to have a superior outcome? Availability is the reason that Expedia is the dominant player in this industry. They have last-minute room availability on the back of that phenomenal machine that produces all of those market-facing contracts that they have.

I'm thinking about availability and matching availability with the unique supply that we have and delivering that more effectively to our customers. We made an investment, initially external, where we invested in a third party to come and provide us with specific answers to questions that we raised around how AI could facilitate that combination. I've told this story before publicly, so they ended up helping to solve, provide the IP behind the Pfizer vaccine at the time. The question that we asked them, and I won't go into the detail of what it was specifically, the question we asked them is, "This is infinitely more complicated than what you're trying to achieve than what we achieved with Pfizer." Over time, we worked with them. They provided us with a framework, and then we took that framework in-house.

For the last 18 months to two years, we have been working internally in solving that specific question. That question all relates to conversion. I'm not going to go through what the question is, but the question all goes into conversion, and it's why the conversion number has been vastly superior to the underlying market growth number for us over the course of the last two years.

Bob Chen
Executive Director and Senior Equity Analyst, JPMorgan

Thanks, John.

John Guscic
Managing Director, Web Travel Group

Thanks, Bob. Harmony, I believe that's it. Thank you very much to everybody who's attended the call. I'd like to, as I do as custom, thank everyone in Web Travel Group for the commitment and resilience that they have shown over the course of the last 12 months.

As we have noted for many months internally, with a much higher degree of confidence and optimism, we go into FY 2026 with a view that we're in a better position as a business and will continue to grow. I'd like to thank everyone in our organization for their phenomenal resilience in FY 2025 and their unbounded and unbridled enthusiasm for FY 2026. Thank you, everybody.

Operator

Thank you. That does conclude our conference for today. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.

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