Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:VISTA.A)
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Earnings Call: Q4 2021

Feb 23, 2022

Operator

Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Vista's fourth quarter 2021 earnings webcast conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there will be a question and answer session. To ask a question during the session, you will need to press star one on your telephone. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. If you require any further assistance, please press star zero. I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, Alejandro Cherñacov. Please go ahead.

Alejandro Cherñacov
Co-founder & Strategic Planning and Investor Relations Officer, Vista Energy

Thanks. Good morning, everyone. We are happy to welcome you to Vista's fourth quarter and full year 2021 results conference call. I am here with Miguel Galuccio, Vista's Chairman and CEO, Pablo Vera Pinto, Vista's CFO, and Juan Garoby, Vista's COO. Before we begin, I would like to draw your attention to our cautionary statement on slide two. Please be advised that our remarks today, including the answers to your questions, may include forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to be materially different from expectations contemplated by these remarks. Our financial figures are stated in U.S. dollars and in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards, IFRS. However, during this conference call, we may discuss certain non-IFRS measures such as Adjusted EBITDA.

Reconciliations of these measures to the closest IFRS measure can be found in our earnings release that we issued yesterday. Please check our website for further information. Our company, Vista, is a Sociedad Anónima Bursátil de Capital Variable organized under the laws of Mexico, registered in the Bolsa Mexicana de Valores and the New York Stock Exchange. The tickers of our common stock are Vista in the Bolsa Mexicana de Valores and VIST in the New York Stock Exchange. The ticker of the warrants is VTW408A. I will now turn the call over to Miguel.

Miguel Galuccio
Chairman and CEO, Vista Energy

Thanks, Ale. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining this earnings call. Today, I will share with you the fourth quarter and full year results of 2021. We have made excellent progress across all key fronts, delivering solid operating and financial performance, increasing P1 reserves and ready-to-drill well inventory, strengthening our balance sheet, and reinforcing our commitment to sustainability. 2021 marked a turning point for our company, initiating a clear path of a strong total shareholder return. I will kick it off by going through our Q4 results, and I will then move on to full year results. During Q4 2021, total production averaged 41.1 thousand BOE per day, a 34% increase year-over-year. Oil production was up 41% in the same period, boosted by our development in Bajada del Palo Oeste, where we tie-in 20 new wells during the year.

Total revenues in Q4 2021 were $196 million, a 146% increase year-over-year, mostly driven by the increase in oil production and stronger realized oil prices. Lifting costs per BOE was $7.5 for the quarter, excluding costs related to the 50% not operated working interest we held in Aguada Federal and Bandurria Norte. This implies an inter-annual reduction of 7%. Adjusted EBITDA was $170 million, more than doubling year-over-year and implying a solid adjusted EBITDA margin of 59%. Capital expenditure for the quarter was $97 million, reflecting the completion of our feed path in the year in Bajada del Palo Oeste. During Q4 2021, we generated positive free cash flow of $62.8 million, driven by robust cash flow from operations.

Adjusted net income was a solid $35.4 million, showing significant progress vis-à-vis Q4 2020, which showed a loss of $21.6 million. We will now deep dive into the main operation and financial metrics of the quarter. Total production during Q4 2021 was 41,100 BOE per day, up 34% inter-annually and 2% sequentially. Production growth was driven by our flagship development in Bajada del Palo Oeste, which continues to deliver productivity above our type curve. Given the high oil mix in Bajada del Palo Oeste wells, we see a higher growth in oil production, which increased 41% year-over-year to 32.4 bbl of oil per day.

In December, we tie in pad number 10, consisting of four wells, two landed in La Cocina and two in the Orgánico, with an average length of 2,850 m per well and 54 average stages per well. Note that this pad did not contribute meaningful production in the fourth quarter. Gas production increased 15% year-over-year. The sequential decrease reflect our strategy to boost gas production during the winter, in line with the higher demand and prices. Total revenues in Q4 2021 were $196 million, a strong inter-annual increase driven by the boost in oil production and realized oil prices. Realized oil prices for the quarter averaged $60.6 per barrel, up 51% year-over-year and 6% quarter-over-quarter.

Sales to export markets accounted for 33% of the oil volumes, with two sales cargos during the quarter and sales contracts executed when Brent was trading at around $78 per barrel on average. The domestic market accounted for 67% of our total sales in the quarter, with a crude oil price of $55.5 per barrel. We continue to execute our strategy of building a sales book early on to lock in revenues and fund investment activities. Our entire Q1 2022 oil sales, with approximately 34% of export volume, have already been locked at an average realized price of around $63 per barrel.

Realized gas prices increased 70% year-over-year to $2.7 per million BTU, boosted by the plant gas summer price of $2.7 per million BTU, applicable to approximately 70% of our total volumes. Additionally, industrial market prices increased from $1.6- $2.7 per million BTU year-over-year. Total lifting cost for the quarter was $27.9 million. As in the previous quarter, we managed to maintain lifting costs virtually flat sequentially, despite peso effect appreciation in real terms. Lifting cost per BOE was $7.5, down 7% year-over-year as incremental production from Bajada del Palo Oeste with low marginal cost continues to dilute our fixed cost base.

You should know these figures do not include impact of our 50% non-operated working interest in Aguada Federal and Bandurria Norte, which add $2.4 million or $0.5 per BOE to our total lifting cost. As we took over operatorship and became sole concession holders of Aguada Federal and Bandurria Norte on January 17th, we started to work on several projects to reduce lifting costs through the integration of this asset with our Bajada del Palo Oeste cluster. We forecast to reduce the lifting cost per BOE of this asset to single digits during 2022. Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 2021 stood at $116.5 million, an expansion of three times compared to Q4 2020, reflecting higher production rates and realized oil prices amid a stable lifting cost. Sequentially, adjusted EBITDA improved 13%.

You should note that Q4 2021 includes $4.5 million of operating income generated by the JV with Trafigura, which had no impact in the previous quarter. Our Adjusted EBITDA margins have remained strong in the quarter at 59%. Netback has improved 11% sequentially to $30.8 per BOE, mainly driven by higher revenues per BOE amid flat operating costs. Moving to slide eight, I will review our financial situation. Cash flow from operating activities in Q4 2021 was a robust $138.8 million, five times higher on a year-over-year comparison. Cash flow used in investing activities was $76 million, with a CapEx activity of $97.3 million. This solid result led to a positive free cash flow of $62.8 million for the quarter.

Cash flow used in financial activities was $13.5 million, mainly driven by interest payment of $3.8 million and debt repayment of $1.6 million. This led to a cash position at year-end of $315 million. We believe that Q4 results are good evidence of our strong operating and financial performance. This is driving profitability growth and free cash flow generation. I will now move to the full year results. First, I will highlight how our achievements in 2021 have solidified the foundations of our strategic plan. We continue to successfully underpin our growth plan by expanding reserves and our ready to drill well inventory.

P1 reserve increased by 42% to 181.6 million BOE, resulting in an implied reserve replacement ratio of 477%. This was mostly driven by organic growth in Bajada del Palo Oeste. We also acquired 50,000 core acres in Vaca Muerta, adding approximately 300 locations to our new well inventory. Half of these locations, considering Aguada Federal only, are an extension of our core development cluster. We increased total production 46% year-over-year to 38.8 thousand BOE per day, driven by the tie-in of 20 new wells in Bajada del Palo Oeste in line with guidance. We reduced lifting costs 18% year-over-year to $7.4 per BOE, also delivering on guidance. We also reduced D&C costs by 18% year-over-year to $10 million per well on a normalized basis.

We have also continued to strengthen our balance sheet. Solid performance during the year has led to a reduction of our net leverage ratio to 0.8 times Adjusted EBITDA, as well as a positive free cash flow of $105.9 million. We successfully raised $260 million in the Argentine debt capital market, achieving an extension in average debt duration to 2.5 years at year-end from 1.5 years at the end of 2020. Finally, we reinforce our commitment to sustainability. In 2021, we have published our inaugural sustainability report, stressing our pledge to sustainable business practices and transparent reporting. We reduced Scope one and two greenhouse gas emissions by 14% year-over-year to 236,000 tons of CO2 equivalent by upgrading our facilities to reduce our operational carbon footprint.

Last but not least, we established our ambition to become net zero in 2026 by combining a reduction of 35% in absolute greenhouse gas emissions in our operation with implementation of our own program of nature-based solutions. Moving to slide 10, I will comment on our proven reserve, which increased by 42% vis-à-vis 2020 for a total of 181.6 million BOEs estimated at year-end 2021, implying a total reserve replacement ratio of 477%. This constitutes an outstanding achievement by our operations team as we continue to prove the quality of our core Vaca Muerta acreage and our ability to organically generate profitable growth.

Net additions were at 67.6 million BOE, mainly driven by the activity in Bajada del Palo Oeste, where we added 52 new well locations, resulting in a total of 134 booked locations. Total reserves in Bajada del Palo Oeste are now estimated at 155 million BOE or 85% of the total proved reserves. The reduction of lifting costs by 16% year-over-year as well as the increase in oil prices have also contributed with the reserve additions by extending the economic life of the wells. Proved developed reserves increased 21% to 64.7 million BOE, whereas proved undeveloped reserves increased 56% to 116.9 million BOE.

The certified present value at 10% discount rate attributable to Vista's interest in proved reserve is $1.5 billion using a price assumption of $55 per barrel for oil and $3.92 per million of standard cubic feet for gas according to SEC guidelines. We will now deep dive in our key operating achievements. During 2021, we made solid progress in Bajada del Palo Oeste. By tying in 20 new wells for the year, we have doubled the number of wells of production. This boosted the total shale production by three times and total oil production by 66% vis-à-vis 2020. Our 2021 development plan was delivered within budget with a total CapEx of $324 million, 2% below guidance.

As discussed before, we reduced drilling and completion costs by 18% year-over-year to an average of $10 million per well on normalized basis, a key contributor to our profitable growth plan. This achievement is the consequence of a clear roadmap with focus on continuous improvement across several fronts. From an execution standpoint, during 2021, we reduced drilling days per well by 27% compared to 2020 and increased completion efficiency to 8.2 stages per day. We have also captured savings in completion fluid through the application of the right technologies, as well as close collaboration with our service providers. In terms of procurement, we have achieved savings through the reduction of drilling and completion service rates, as well as in water and propane purchases. It is worth noting that these are permanent savings already built into our cost base.

In terms of productivity, our well continued to perform above our type curve of 1.5 million BOE of EUR. For the first 180 days, our average well considering our first 32 wells is 6% above type curve. For the first 360 days, considering our first 20 wells, our average well is 9% above type curve. Our productivity and cost results have driven our development cost down to a highly competitive $7.3 per BOE, a cornerstone of our high return short cycle growth plan. During 2021, we continued to strengthen our balance sheet. Cash from operating activities was a robust $401.4 million, up 328% compared to 2020.

Cash from investing activities doubled year-over-year to $295.5 million, mainly driven by the increase in drilling and completion activities in Bajada del Palo Oeste. This result in a positive free cash flow of $105.9 million, reflecting a clear turning point in our operation when compared to the -$62.3 million in 2020. Based on our highly efficient cost structure and with conservative realized prices in the $60 per barrel area, we are on track to deliver superior total shareholder return through profitable growth and free cash flow generation.

Our successful activity in the Argentine debt market was a key to prefinance 2020 maturities, extend debt duration, as shown earlier, and reduce the average cost of debt to 5.8% at year-end 2021 from 6.9% at year-end 2020. Finally, the expansion in Adjusted EBITDA, which as shown earlier increased by 3x interannually, led to a steady reduction in net leverage ratio from 3.5x at year-end 2020 to a healthy 0.8x at the end of 2021. I will now give you some additional color on our ESG progress. On the environmental front, we achieved significant milestones in relation to our emission reduction plan.

During 2021, we finalized a study to determine our greenhouse gas emissions for 2019 and 2020, which constitute the baseline against which we will measure progress. We also completed our abatement cost curve, a tool that is key to prioritize projects aimed at reducing our operational footprint and outline our roadmap to net zero. We are currently executing several projects from this portfolio. We captured quick wins in 2021, which led to a 14% reduction in absolute Scope one and two greenhouse gas emissions, even as the total production increased 46% year- over- year. This led to a 39% reduction in intensity to 24.1 kg of CO2 equivalent per BOE. We have outlined a plan to reduce emissions in our operations by 35% through 2026.

We also kicked off projects from our own portfolio of nature-based solutions to offset remaining CO2 emissions with implementations of forest and soil carbon sequestration. The combination of these two plans drive our ambition to become net zero in Scope one and two emissions in 2026. Moving to the social front, we have made good progress regarding our people and the communities in which we operate and live. The safety of our employees and contractors working in our operation continues to be our main priority. In 2021, total recordable incident rate was 0.29, improving on the 0.38 rate recorded in 2020, which was already well above Tier 1 international oil and gas standards.

In terms of diversity, we continue with implementation of our gender program, which comprehensively addresses multiple fronts such as hiring, mentoring and advancement, training and awareness, and new policies focused on diversity, equity, and inclusion. As an example of our progress and ambitious target, during 2021, 60% of our new hires were women. We made good progress in strengthening our local supply chains. In 2021, the total value of local purchases was $78 million, reflecting a 56% increase year-over-year. The share of the local supplier increased to 21% of total purchases. We continue to invest in social infrastructure in Catriel. During 2021, we completed the first phase of an 8 km bicycle lane, assigned company premises for children's sport activities, and sponsored a local female table tennis player.

In terms of governance, we made a good progress in reporting, not only by ensuring our inaugural report last April. We are working closely with our board, which is engaged in ESG activities through the Corporate Practices Committee. We are showing leadership in the region, having disclosed our net zero ambition in our Investor Day in December. We look forward to publishing our next report in May 2022. In 2021, we established an internal carbon price of $50 per ton of CO₂ equivalent to reflect the cost of emissions in strategic planning and capital allocation exercises. We're also strengthening governance by issuing policies related to human rights, conflict of interest and anti-corruption, and training staff to continue improving awareness. On January 17, we acquired a 50% working interest in Aguada Federal and Bandurria Norte concession from Wintershall Dea.

This means we are now operators and sole concession holders of both blocks. Vista made a payment of $90 million in January, while an additional $50 million are due in eight quarterly installments. The transaction effectively canceled the carry consideration of $77 million assumed when we acquired the initial 50%. The implied valuation of the deal is approximately $2,700 per acreage, which is significantly below historic M&A multiples in Vaca Muerta. Through the combined deals with ConocoPhillips in September and Wintershall Dea in January, we have added more than 50,000 core Vaca Muerta acreage and 300 new well locations to our inventory. Being the operators of the block, we expect to quickly replicate the successful operating model of Bajada del Palo Oeste, capturing synergies to reduce lifting costs and D&C costs.

Also, being owners of 100%, we will gain additional flexibility in our development plan. We have already taken control of the blocks. We are now integrating the asset with Vista operations, gaining full advantage of the synergies we can capture using existing crews, oilfield services, and procurement. These projects are forecasted to reduce the block lifting cost to a single digit during 2022. We are building a pipeline to connect Aguada Federal to pad five, located in the northwest of Bajada del Palo Oeste. This pipeline is expected to become operational in the second half of the year, allowing oil evacuation of the three producing well in Aguada Federal through our Bajada del Palo cluster. This will lower transportation and trimming costs and eliminate the carbon footprint of the truck currently used for transportation.

We are also planning to complete four already drilled but uncompleted wells in Aguada Federal in Q4 2022. In 2021, we delivered a strong performance across all key financial metrics. Realized crude oil prices improved 48% year-over-year from $37.2 per barrel in 2020 to $54.9 per barrel in 2021. We exported 3.1 million bbl of oil, which represent 28% of oil sales volumes in 2021. Over the same period, total revenues increased by 138% from $274 million- $652 million. Higher revenues, combined with a reduction of lifting costs described earlier, led to a boost in adjusted EBITDA, which quadrupled to $380 million for 2021, exceeding our guidance of $370 million.

Return on average capital employed was 70% in 2021, a significant turnaround considering that the -5% recorded in 2020 and reflecting solid execution of our profitable growth plan. Adjusted net income is showing the same trend, with $79 million in 2021 vis-à-vis a loss of $150 million recorded in 2020. These results leave us well on track to deliver on the five-year plan we laid out in our last Investor Day. I will now present our updated guidance for 2022, which reflects a more contracted view across key metrics and incorporate activity in Aguada Federal. We expect to tie in 24 new wells during the year. Most of the drilling activity is planned in Bajada del Palo Oeste, where we will tie in 16 wells. The first four-well pad is planned to be tied in during April.

To fulfill pilot commitment in unconventional concessions, we are currently tying in two wells in Bajada del Palo Oeste, and we plan to drill, complete, and tie in two wells in Águila Mora. Finally, we plan to complete and tie in the four wells that were already drilled in Aguada Federal. This work program is forecasted to deliver a solid production growth of approximately 20% year-over-year, leading to an average between 46,000 and 47,000 BOE per day for 2022. We forecast the exit rate to be around 50,000 BOE per day. We expect lifting costs to remain flat at $7.5 per BOE, including Aguada Federal and Bandurria Norte.

We have the right projects in place to adapt the acquired block to Vista lifting cost standard and also offset the slight inflation we are seeing in some oil field services, driven by the appreciation of the peso in real terms during the second half of 2021. We expect Adjusted EBITDA to reach between $550 million and $575 million, an inter-annual growth of approximately 48%. This forecast is based on an average realized oil price of $60 per barrel. We are planning to export 5.5 million bbl of oil, which represent 40% of our crude oil sales, an increase of 77% in exporting volume year-over-year. As a reference, if the Brent averages $90 for the remainder of the year, in line with the spot prices, it adds approximately $50 million of Adjusted EBITDA.

CapEx guidance is in the range of $375 million-$400 million, reflecting additional activity in Aguada Federal. This CapEx is partially front-loaded during the year as we build infrastructure for our new production, impacting free cash flow in the first two quarters. For the full year, we continue to expect positive cash flow. Finally, we expect to reduce gross financial debt from $611 million at December 2021 to $575 million forecasted as of December 2022. To wrap up, during 2021, we have seen solid operating performance, delivering on activity, production, lifting costs, and Adjusted EBITDA guidance. We expanded proven reserves by 42%, driven by the strong performance of Bajada del Palo Oeste. We also added 300 new well locations to our inventory through M&A activity in Vaca Muerta.

We successfully refinanced debt maturities, extending average debt duration and lower average cost of debt. Our balance sheet was further strengthened with a reduction in net leverage ratio to 0.8 times. We delivered a strong financial performance, recording a 70% return on average capital employed and an adjusted net income of $79 million. We reinforce commitment to sustainability with solid progress in reducing emissions. We reduced absolute greenhouse gas emissions by 14% year-over-year and laid out a comprehensive plan to become net zero in 2026. We have laid out an ambitious set of targets for 2022 as shown in our guidance. We expect to continue delivering solid improvement across key operating and financial metrics. In short, 2021 was a turning point for our company, initiating a clear path of a strong total shareholder return.

In this respect, we plan to submit for shareholder approval a $20 million share buyback program in our next general shareholder meeting, expected to take place in April 2022. I will now take a moment to thank our investors for their continued support and interest in our company. I would also like to thank all the staff at Vista for their hard work during 2021, which was a key factor in delivering the results shown today. With that, operators, please open the line for Q&A.

Operator

As a reminder, to ask a question, you will need to press star one on your telephone. To withdraw your question, press the pound key. Please stand by while we compile the Q&A roster. Our first question comes from the line of Bruno Montanari from Morgan Stanley. Your line is now open.

Bruno Montanari
Executive Director, Morgan Stanley

Good morning, everyone, and thanks for taking my question. I have three quick ones. Miguel, I think looking at the guidance, it looks very achievable, and we know that the company has been able to deliver and over-deliver on the guidance. Just wondering what would lead to upside in production and margins for 2022? Wondering if there is any room to accelerate drilling. The second question is about the capital structure. How could we think perhaps about either a fast prepayment of debt or an increase in shareholder remuneration? How do you find the balance to be when looking at the capital structure? Last, what are you seeing recently in the industry in terms of cost and CapEx inflation?

If there is any specific bottleneck because of that for your activities in Argentina? Thank you very much.

Miguel Galuccio
Chairman and CEO, Vista Energy

Hi, Bruno, and thank you for your question and thank you for your comments. Starting with the first one, as a source of acceleration, yes, definitely we have, as you know, a deep portfolio of opportunities and locations that we can use. I will say for this year, sources of acceleration that we are not planning yet to use, but we have it and we have it in mind and we have had the discussion internally, one, Aguada Federal, where so far we are just planning to complete the four wells that we have there.

It's we believe that is a low-hanging fruit and also an area that is enabled to our main center of operation, that is Bajada del Palo Oeste, that of course we believe is going to give us flexibility and potential to grow from the development plan point of view. The other is the possibility of adding a fifth pad in Bajada del Palo Oeste, and I will say not early than the second half of the year. Again, that is not in the plan. These are potential way of accelerating related to your question. In term of debt, we are not planning to prepay. We are planning to reduce debt when the maturity is due.

First, we have announced we will reduce from $611 million our debt position that was at year-end 2021 to $575 million at year-end 2022. As we announced in December, we are also planning to take the debt further down to $400 million, and that's, I mean, we will see how we move on that. As you know, we have restrictions, cross-border restrictions, and the idea is first to reduce our cross-border debt. I think we will give that priority to that. Then be flexible in how we distribute back to shareholders through different means. Of course, one is that we are announcing today is the buyback program. Related to pressures in the industry, yes, definitely there are pressures in the industry.

Now, we don't see that pressure in the industry today from prices of services to be a bottleneck. We have long-term contracts and long-term relationship with our main contractors. Really, we don't see a bottleneck there. Infrastructure is not a bottleneck today, but I think it's something that we need to keep on being very proactive in Argentina, particularly Oldelval, to make sure that we continue upgrading that pipeline and that facilities since the rate of growing in Vaca Muerta have improved during the last two years to be good one. We should keep an eye on that. What was the other question? No, that was it, Bruno.

Bruno Montanari
Executive Director, Morgan Stanley

Those rates, yeah.

Miguel Galuccio
Chairman and CEO, Vista Energy

Yeah.

Bruno Montanari
Executive Director, Morgan Stanley

Thank you, Miguel.

Miguel Galuccio
Chairman and CEO, Vista Energy

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Andrés Cardona from Citigroup. Your line is now open.

Andrés Cardona
VP of Equity Research, Citi

Good morning, everyone, and thanks for the presentation. Miguel, congratulations on the results on both sides, on the financial and the reserves front. I have two questions. Maybe the first, a follow-up from Bruno's question, about how to accelerate the 2022 guidance. You mentioned some alternatives, but my question is, what do you need to trigger those optionalities? And if the facilities that you currently have in place are enough or are becoming a bottleneck? And the second question may have to do with the talks that the IMF and the Argentine government are taking place. It seems they are getting closer to reach an agreement.

The question is if you may expect a change at the capital control front, or do you think it will remain in place for longer? Thanks and congratulations again.

Miguel Galuccio
Chairman and CEO, Vista Energy

Thank you, Andrés, for your question. The first one related to acceleration in term of context, I will say, what we need in order to put that in operation, we have it. I mean, we have access to rig. We have our internal infrastructure is ready. We have facilities and we spare capacity to allocate further growth during this year. I think what is going to determine if we really accelerate the plan or not is going to be the context. As you see, we are basically coming in Q1 better than we planned, context-wide, meaning pricing, exportation and the rest. I think that is going to be key. I mean, how we see the context playing, I would say export and pricing. Yeah.

In terms of the IMF agreement, I believe it was required and understanding is on the way to be perfected. I mean, good news for Argentina in that front. If that is going to ease FX controls, FX controls to me are related to lack of foreign currency. We need to see how the economy rolls after the IMF agreement and which other economic measures the government takes, and that's how we change that access to currency. I mean, we are not betting that that is going to drastically change very soon. I hope I answered your question, Andrés. Thank you.

Andrés Cardona
VP of Equity Research, Citi

Thank you. You did.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Regis Cardoso from Credit Suisse. Your line is now open.

Regis Cardoso
VP of Equity Research, Credit Suisse

Hi, Miguel, Alejandro. Thanks for taking the questions. One of the questions going back to the return shareholder topic. I just wanted to think of, you know, dividends, buybacks, other, you know, ways you could get returns back to shareholders in light of not just your investment plans, but also in light of the capital restrictions, right? The access to dollars. Is there anything, for instance, the hydrocarbon law that was proposed a while back that would allow you to keep part of the export revenues? So is there any trigger, something like I need to be exporting, you know, X amount, and then I need to have at least X percent of revenues? I mean, what would be necessary for you actually be able to distribute cash to shareholder?

Is that just an issue if it's dividends or if you do buybacks, you know, the same logic applies? Then if I may, a second question about the lifting costs went up a little bit this quarter to $8 per barrel, probably, you know, partly explained by the new asset additions. I just wanted to get a sense of how do you see these the lifting costs going forward on a consolidated basis. Thank you.

Miguel Galuccio
Chairman and CEO, Vista Energy

Thank you, Regis, for your question. Yes, as you mentioned, I mean, we have restrictions in Argentina, and also we have part of our cash in U.S. dollars, as you know. We have decided that the more effective way of getting back to investors at the moment and in the current conditions is with a buyback program that we will launch now in April. We have partial access to U.S. dollar currency to repay debt, so also, we believe and we are doing, and we will continue doing that is good to gradually continue reducing debt or deleveraging. That is how we believe we could make the best use of our proceeds today under the current conditions.

As you mentioned, I mean, I think there's a win-win for the industry and for the country in having a program that somehow ease that restriction based on the investment and based on the capacity that today we have to generate proceeds cross-border through exportation. Definitely we'll be pushing. We are vocal about that because it's a no-brainer, and it's a win-win for country and industry. I don't think we need a law, but I hope at some point of time there's a kind of a scheme or program that will allow us and the country to take advantage of that opportunity that we have. I cannot further comment on that because there's nothing concrete yet today.

In terms of lifting costs, and yes, as you mentioned, I mean, with the acquisition of Aguada Federal, we add acreage, we add low opportunity, and also we brought an area that have high lifting costs. The current run rate today of OpEx of expenditure there is around $20 million. We have a target to reduce that at the end of 2022 to approximately $7 million. What it means, we want to take that lifting cost that today is quite high, that to take it to a single-digit number by the end of the year. Where we are planning to do what we are today, first third initiative is to eliminate the trucking. We will build a pipeline that connect Aguada Federal to Bajada del Palo Oeste.

It's 8-10 km pipeline, so it's not a big deal. We will use the treatment plant of Bajada del Palo cluster, and also we use existing contract for O&M, chemical, security, safety, services, everything that we have in place. As you know, lifting costs, one of the part is a fixed cost. As we add more location, as we add more production, we manage to dilute that, and we will take advantage of that. Yeah, we are working on that. The impact on our lifting cost today is marginal. Nevertheless, as you know, we will tackle, we will reduce it. If we achieve our plan, our lifting cost at the end of the year, it will be close to, probably, $6.5 per barrel.

We are on the case.

Regis Cardoso
VP of Equity Research, Credit Suisse

Very clear. Thanks, Miguel, for the answers.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Walter Chiarvesio from Santander. Your line is now open.

Walter Chiarvesio
Head of Equity Research, Santander

Hello, good morning. Congratulations for the results, and thank you for taking my question. Actually it was quite already answered, but to follow up with the well drills in the other blocks out of BPO. I understand this doesn't mean that is the kickoff of more massive development in these new blocks, especially in Aguada Federal. Is that correct? Is my first question. I mean, this is more testing wells or pilot wells rather than drilling more, and the focus will keep being BPO in the short term. What is the productivity that you expect in these new blocks compared to Bajada del Palo Oeste? That's from my side.

Miguel Galuccio
Chairman and CEO, Vista Energy

Thank you, Walter, for your follow-up question. Yes, what you said is correct. I mean, we are not planning yet full development of Aguada Federal. We are completing four wells that were drilled and not complete. We basically are not even going to drill those wells. We are going to complete those wells. That means fracking those wells and put it on production, lay the pipeline to tie in those wells directly to the facilities that we have in Bajada del Palo. This is what we are planning at the moment. If those wells are good wells, in terms of geology, there's nothing that made us think that that area is different to what we have. I mean, it will be for sure good quality.

Of course, those wells depend how they've been drilled, how well they've been landed, how they're completed, and so on. We will be really responsible for the completion. We didn't land the wells, we didn't place the wells. Anyway, we are positive about the result. Of course, after we see the performance of the well, yes, there's potential to do more in Aguada Federal. It's the location is prime and is neighbor of Bajada del Palo Oeste. It's a natural place to grow. The rest is two wells in Bajada del Palo Oeste that we are cleaning up right now. We are not planning to drill more during this year there. Then we have two wells in Águila Mora, okay?

That is farther north, that also is just these two wells. Again, back to your question, we could add fifth pad to Bajada del Palo Oeste. Yes, Aguada Federal, in case those four wells that we complete are very good, it also gives us an upside to grow more if we need.

Walter Chiarvesio
Head of Equity Research, Santander

Perfect. Thank you very much.

Miguel Galuccio
Chairman and CEO, Vista Energy

You're very welcome, Walter.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Oriana Covault from Balanz. Your line is now open.

Oriana Covault
Equity and Credit Research Analyst, Balanz Capital

Hi, this is Oriana Covault from Balanz. Thanks for taking my questions and congratulations for a good quarter. I had a couple of follow-ups. First and foremost, just to ratify, the CapEx guidance for 2022 is already included in the acquisition of the remaining 50%, the $375 million-$400 million that you're putting in your presentation. That's on one end. Second question that I had is that it's our understanding that refineries might be running at higher levels this year, and that this could impact export levels. We were wondering what is your take on this? If it's reasonable to say that we would be expecting lower export levels this year, but kicking off to 2023.

Last, in your ESG strategy, if you could further elaborate on this nature-based solution portfolio and what are you doing? That, those details would be great for us. Thank you.

Miguel Galuccio
Chairman and CEO, Vista Energy

Thank you, Oriana, for your question. The first one, very straightforward, your affirmation on CapEx is correct, so includes just the activity on Aguada Federal. The CapEx doesn't include the buy-in of the area. Okay. Related to export level, I think if I understand your question correctly, but that may be the option of the refineries or the willing of the refinery to load the refinery a bit more to create some sub-product related to whatever for the local market. Look, I mean, yes, it could happen. I think most of the refineries are run by operators that are fully integrated.

Really, if the refinery decide to take local prices or to push local prices against export prices of the volume that we can export to create by-products to subsidize the local market. Well, if they do that, I mean, an integrator like YPF or others, I mean, business-wise, they are shooting themselves in the foot, and I don't think that is good business practice. It could happen. If it happens, they are not managing the business well. Related to your question on sustainability. Just to put in context a bit. The sustainability program.

We find the baseline in 2020 with our actual baseline was 420 tons around 39 kg of CO2 per BOE of intensity. This year we managed to take this 420 to 360 and the intensity from 39 to 24.1. As we mentioned, 14 and 39% reduction. Further down to 2026, we want to take it to 265 in absolute number thousand tons of CO2 and our intensity to nine. That will be intensity-wise, a reduction of 75%. The rest we announced that is going to be offset through NBS. That NBS initiative company it has been put in place team are in place.

Actually we are working in the portfolio of what we are going to address this year. I cannot disclose much yet because I think it's not time to disclose. Just for you to have a view, we will tackle from that portfolio around four projects this year. Projects have been somehow identified and we are working on that. As we have more concrete news, I mean, we will update you. This is everything, like I said, I can say at the moment. We have created structure and we have a team in place. Basically we are going through the main priority within our portfolio, and we will have actual project up and running this year.

Oriana Covault
Equity and Credit Research Analyst, Balanz Capital

Perfect. Thank you very much.

Miguel Galuccio
Chairman and CEO, Vista Energy

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Konstantinos Papalias from Puente. Your line is now open.

Konstantinos Papalias
Energy Strategist, Puente

Thank you. Thank you very much. Good morning, and congratulations on your results. My question for you today concerns evacuation capacity for oil. How much spare capacity does Oldelval have, as you mentioned? And how does it affect your expansion plans on Bajada del Palo Oeste and on Aguada Federal? Do you think we could expect Vista to use its cash to buy stakes in trunk lines so as to integrate operations now that exports start growing and become a significant portion of your revenues? Thank you very much.

Miguel Galuccio
Chairman and CEO, Vista Energy

I'm sorry.

Konstantinos Papalias
Energy Strategist, Puente

Did you receive my question?

Miguel Galuccio
Chairman and CEO, Vista Energy

Yeah, yeah, we received it.

Konstantinos Papalias
Energy Strategist, Puente

Okay, perfect.

Miguel Galuccio
Chairman and CEO, Vista Energy

We started to answer, and we were on mute. Related to your question on trunk pipeline and Oldelval. Yeah, definitely, Oldelval. Today, first of all, we have not a capacity issue. Oldelval trunk pipeline currently has a capacity of 225,000 bbl per day. They are planning an increase to 265,000 in the first stage, adding some pumping station. Then, also we understand there is another plan to further upgrade the facility to 375,000 with pipeline loops and so on. One will be executed more in the short term. The other one will take a bit more time.

My comment on that is that we don't have today a capacity evacuation problem, but we need to act because everybody's growing. We are not planning at the moment to take any stake in Oldelval, and I don't think even we have the opportunity to do so. To answer your question, we don't have today nothing on the table to be part of the management of Oldelval.

Konstantinos Papalias
Energy Strategist, Puente

That was very clear. Thank you. Thank you very much.

Miguel Galuccio
Chairman and CEO, Vista Energy

You're welcome, Konstantinos.

Operator

Thank you. At this time, I'm showing no further questions. I would like to turn the call back over to Miguel Galuccio for closing remarks.

Miguel Galuccio
Chairman and CEO, Vista Energy

Well, gentlemen, thank you very much again for your question, your interest and follow up and reports on Vista. Have a good day, and looking forward to see you next quarter.

Operator

This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.

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