Kotak Mahindra Bank Limited (BOM:500247)
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Q4 23/24

May 4, 2024

Operator

Please note that this conference is being recorded. I now hand the conference over to Mr. Ashok Vaswani, Managing Director and CEO of Kotak Mahindra Bank. Thank you, and over to you, sir.

Ashok Vaswani
Managing Director and CEO, Kotak Mahindra Bank

Thank you. Thank you so much. Absolutely delighted to be here today, with the entire team. I realize it is Saturday evening, so truly appreciate your time with us this evening. Along with me on this call, I have Shanti and then, of course, Devang, our group CFO, and all the other members of the management team. Today, actually, we have a pretty busy schedule, and I think I and I thought we'd cover three important matters. Number one, Devang will walk us through the financial numbers for the quarter and the year. I hope you'll agree that they are pretty impressive numbers. I've asked Shanti to cover the highlights of the bank. As a departure from the past, I'd like to shine the spotlight on one of our businesses, and for this quarter, we picked the capital markets business.

This is something I thought I'd do every quarter to give you a very good sense of the totality of the group. After the numbers, second agenda item, I do wanna talk to you about the RBI order and its implications. And then three, I thought I'd share with you my broad-level thinking on the strategy for the Kotak group going forward. As a management team, we've already spent a lot of time on this, and at least directionally, the way we are going, I'd like to share that with you today. Post that, of course, we'll open up for Q&A. And, for starters, let's go to Devang and let Devang take us through the numbers. Devang, please.

Devang Gheewalla
Group CFO, Kotak Mahindra Bank

Thank you, Ashok. Before I start the results, I would like to express my deep gratitude to Jaimin Bhatt for building this function on the foundation of trust and transparency. I intend to carry forward this legacy and look forward to interacting with each of you. Let me start with the consolidated numbers first, which we disclosed earlier today. We ended this full financial year with a profit of INR 18,213crore , which is 22% higher than what we did in FY 2023. Profit for the quarter at the consolidated level was INR 5,337crore , which is about 17% higher than the same quarter last year. Our consolidated customer asset is about INR 479,000 crore, which is roughly 22% higher than last year. Our capital adequacy at group level, 21.82%, which includes CET1 itself of about 20.72%. We have redeemed the preferential capital during the Q4, so our CET1 is pure equity.

ROE at consolidated level of 15.08% and ROA at 2.66% for the full year. Starting with the bank, which contributes about 75% of our consolidated profit. For the full year, the bank clocked PAT of INR 13,782 crore, up 26% over last year. This year, we added 93 lakh customers, of which 24 lakh customers added during the last quarter. At the bank standalone level too, we have a capital adequacy now of 20.55% with CET1 of 19.25%. For the quarter, bank clocked ROA of 2.97% with full-year ROA of 2.61%. Bank customer assets grew by 20% to INR 423,324 crore annually with a Q4 growth of 6%. During Q4, we completed acquisition of Sonata Microfinance, towards the end of March. Some info about Sonata: Sonata Microfinance is based out of Lucknow, and has a branch network of about 610 branches in about 155 districts centered around UP, MP, Bihar, and North India.

This actually complements, with our earlier acquisition, which was largely based out of south. You will see the results of Sonata getting into the next year's performance. Our CASA now at 45.5%. Total deposit for the year grew by 24% YoY with TD sweep product, which we launched relaunched in May, growing at 102% YoY. SA growth continues to be challenging. NIM for the bank for full year, 5.32%, almost same as last year, with 5.28% for the Q4 2024, up from 5.22% in Q3 on higher earning asset yields. Fees and services saw a robust growth of 25% in FY 2024 versus what we did a year ago. Operating cost increased by 21% compared to last year. We continue to spend about 10% of our total operating expenditure on information technology. PAT for Q4 2024, INR 4,133 crore, up 38% compared to previous quarter with NII of INR 6,909 crores.

This quarter, we saw a favorable order with respect to income tax. This enabled us to reverse some tax provision of about INR 200 crores besides interest on refunds. Q4 2024 result also includes reversal of AIF provision of INR 157 crore. As you would have recalled, we had done INR 190 crore provision in the quarter three, which now requires. This is based, of course, on the RBI circular issued in March 2024. Gross NPA at 31st March, 1.39%, and net NPA at 0.34%, same as last quarter, and actually reduced from 0.37% last year. Credit cost for the year, 45 basis points. During the Q4, bank wrote off fully provided retail unsecured loans, aggregating to INR 1,455 crores. However, bank will continue to pursue collection from this return of accounts, and such write-off has no impact on results for the bank as they were fully provided.

Our fund-based restructured advances under COVID and MSME resolution framework currently are at INR 383 crore. This is about 0.10% of our advances. Our S2 at March 31st, which is fund-based borrowers with exposure of over INR 5 crore, is about INR 199 crore. Let me now turn to the subsidiaries performance. Kotak Securities and Kotak Capital perform exceedingly well with tailwinds from capital markets. Kotak Securities recorded 42% growth in profit to INR 1,226 crores with increase in market volume. Kotak Capital made profit of INR 215 crore, up 44% compared to last year with increased activity in IPO and advisory space. As Ashok mentioned, we'll have my colleagues from both these companies driving further detail later on this call. Kotak Investments, the NBFC profits increased by about 58%, which is INR 514 crores, primarily due to growth in advances and increasing recoveries.

Kotak Prime, which is involved in the car finance business, had a growth over last year, and the profit is INR 888 crore. Last year's profit included certain reversal of provisions as well as income from bought-out portfolios. Both Kotak Prime and Kotak Investments are well capitalized, and the capital adequacy of both of these companies is in excess of 25%. BSS Microfinance, this is the microfinance company, business correspondent based out of Bangalore, has ended the year with a post-tax profit of INR 383 crore as against INR 297 crore last year. Kotak Life continues to focus on balanced approach in its product channel mix towards building sustainable growth and value. The company's overall premium grew by 15.6%, while the individual premium saw muted growth. The embedded value of Kotak Life at the end of the year was INR 15,242 crore, with a growth of 21.8%.

The value of new business, VNB as it is called, is INR 1,053 crore with a healthy margin of 28.5%. Kotak Life profitability got impacted on a higher commission payout and strain in new business in non-par products and ended the year at a PAT of INR 689 crores. The company continues to have higher solvency ratio of 2.56 times as against regulatory requirement of 1.5. Kotak Life's quality parameters continues to improve with conservation ratio moving to 88.09 and persistency ratio going up across most markets. Claim ratio is 99.23% for group business and individual business 98.29%. International subsidiaries also benefited from growth in capital market and increased inflow, contributing a profit of INR 189 crores compared to INR 76 crores previous year. Domestic mutual fund entities, both AMC and trustee company, saw increase in SIP inflow by 24%.

However, YoY profitability marginally declined because last year we had a higher investment profit booked during FY23. With this, I hand over to Shanti for further discussion on the bank's detailed performance.

Shanti Ekambaram
Whole Time Director, Kotak Mahindra Bank

Thank you, Devang. I'll just touch upon the business highlights. Overall, the bank saw robust growth in its advances and deposits in Q4. The bank's customer assets grew 20% YoY and 6% during the quarter. There was good growth across all the segments, with a consumer bank growing at 20% YoY and 5% QoQ, commercial bank at 20% YoY and 7% QoQ. SME and the corporate bank, including credit substitutes, grew at 19% YoY and 6% QoQ. The commercial bank book, as Devang said, includes the Sonata acquisition, which got consummated during the quarter. We'll talk about brief highlights on both assets and liabilities, starting with the assets. Our mortgage lending business, which is both home loan and LAP on the consumer side, continued to grow well with a YoY growth of 15%.

We've seen improvements in yields towards the end of Q4, and the performance of the portfolio continues to be extremely robust, reflecting strong credit quality of the book. Our unsecured products, credit cards, personal business loans, showed good growth in Q4. Given the recent RBI directive, the focus on cards will be on servicing and nurturing our existing customers through focus on building customer engagement and loyalty programs. Our focus on personal loans and business loans will continue as is. Overall, risk metrics for the unsecured business continues to hold well. Early reads from news sourcing is quite encouraging, and we have seen improvements in the quality. We continue to maintain a close watch on emerging risks and leverage buildup in the system in addition to the collections and resolutions.

On the business banking side in the consumer bank, the secured working capital maintained momentum with a 22% growth YoY and 7% QoQ, largely powered by demand and utilization by micro enterprise. Let me now turn to commercial assets. Commercial vehicles disbursement in the quarter four grew 46% YoY, outpacing the industry growth and helping us improve market share. This is an important segment, and we will continue to grow our book and market share in this segment. Collection efficiencies remain stable. On the construction equipment side again, given the infrastructure spend, we grew our disbursements 47% YoY, where also we gained market share in the quarter. We expect to retain growth momentum in the upcoming year. The tractor industry was muted with a drop in growth for the year at 7.5%, while at quarter, we were flat for the year on the growth side.

This helped us also gain market share, and we continue to maintain our dominant position in the sector. The used tractor finance business has seen a strong growth in the current year, and we intend to continue to focus and deepen our presence in Bharat. Some collection stress was visible in geographies where monsoon was deficient or erratic, but our collection efficiencies in Q4 were better than in the previous year. Microfinance: our microfinance business has reported a healthy growth in advances of 31% YoY. With the acquisition of Sonata in March 2024, our presence has now increased to 16 states through a network of 1,400 BCs, and we have a customer base of almost 27 lakh women borrowers. Sonata is now 100% sub of the bank and will act as a business correspondent by the microfinance business.

Collection efficiency, again, like the tractor industry, in certain rain-deficient areas were erratic, but overall position is stable. We are focusing on integrating Sonata into the group and strengthening our operations and making investments in technology for greater controls. Let me now turn to the wholesale bank. This quarter, we saw strong credit uptake from almost all our segments across large corporates, multinationals, financial institutions, driven by higher NTB additions and deeper penetration. Our real estate book saw strong disbursals in the latter part of the quarter. We remain bullish on this sector given the strong sales and collections and are actively trying to increase our business penetration across commercial and residential sectors. The mid-market and SME, which is where we focused on, grew faster from the rest of the segments. In mid-markets, we onboarded twice the number of customers in this year compared to last year.

Majority of the mid-market business is focused on working capital and flow-based businesses. SME also, we witnessed increase in across-key metrics of assets, fees, acquisition of NTBs, and witnessed a record number of NTBs during the year. We continue to see profitable lending opportunities in the infrastructure space selectively. Our book is predominantly weighted towards higher-rated sponsors and borrowers in certain sectors like renewables, roads, hospitality, and other allied sectors. Intense competition on pricing continues across the large conglomerate as well as the large corporates. Fee growth was healthy in this quarter, driven mainly by our debt capital markets indication business, where we had very good traction on a few large deals in infrastructure real estate and NBFC space. Overall, portfolio metrics remain excellent with negligible credit score. Let me turn to liabilities. Total deposits showed a robust growth overall at 24% YoY and 9.9% QoQ.

On the consumer side, retail TV showed strong growth aided by ActivMoney, which, like Devang mentioned on a YoY growth, grew at over 100%. The bank energized its effort to integrate current and savings accounts into its consumer asset customers, presenting a complete suite of banking products to our asset customers. Our savings showed 5% average growth in the quarter on a YoY basis, and current grew at 3% on the retail side. Term deposits showed a strong average growth of 35% in the quarter on a YoY basis. Wholesale liabilities, which is current account largely, grew even though custody flows were muted. This was on account of focusing on higher share of customer flows and transaction banking in the corporate segment. Our trade assets grew very well in this quarter, 13% quarter-on-quarter, driven by domestic trade.

Our digital offerings through fyn and our offerings on tax remittances showed good adoption rates. With a complete launch of new and scalable CMS platform, we witnessed robust scale and better customer experience. We have seen significant increase in market share of our capital market and IPO transactions on the escrow side and our specialized processing teams and enhanced focus on regulatory compliance. Overall, our deposit franchise has seen good growth, and our asset franchise has been healthy and robust. On the private banking side, we have had a good traction on client acquisition, and our customer AUM has grown by around 50%. I will now hand it over to Ramesh for taking us to the capital market segment. As Ashok had said, our special focus this time is on the capital market. Ramesh, over to you.

Ramesh Srinivasan
Managing Director and CEO, Kotak Investment Banking

Thank you, Shanti. Fiscal 2024 has been a strong year for our investment banking business. We were number one in the ECM League tables in fiscal 2024, having led 18 IPOs and QIPs and also playing a significant origination role for the large secondary sell-downs by promoters and financial sponsors. Some of the notable deals that we did in the equity space were the IPO of Mankind Pharma, the QIP of Cholamandalam Finance, and the secondary sell-down, which were large, in Embassy, Mankind, Five Star, Aster DM, amongst many others. Our advisory business also had a record year with the highest-ever revenue. This is despite the fact that the overall M&A market is down in India on dealmaking by about 58% in fiscal 2024.

Some of the notable deals on the advisory and M&A side we did this year were the sale of Glenmark's API business to Nirma, Tata Consumer's acquisition of Capital Foods, and the $1 billion merger of Suven Pharma and Cohance, among others. We achieved a total revenue of about INR 432 crore, almost all of this in fees, translating to a growth of 33% over last year. Q4 was a record quarter for us at the investment bank with a revenue growth of close to 83% over last year. Given the strong performance, our profits for fiscal 2024 were higher by 44% over last year, with a profit before tax of INR 277 crore and a profit after tax of INR 215 crore. Our pipeline for fiscal 2025 at this moment continues to be robust.

I will now hand over to Shripal Shah, who's a Kotak veteran and who's just taken over as the MD and CEO of Kotak Securities.

Shripal Shah
MD and CEO, Kotak Securities

Thank you, Ramesh. I'm absolutely delighted to be here in this earnings call for the first time and interact with you all. I'll be talking about performance of Q4 and FY24 for Kotak Securities. For the Q4, FY24, our total income rose by 78% to INR 1,214 crore, up from INR 682 crore in the corresponding quarter in FY23, primarily driven by substantial growth in cash market volume in the industry. For the entire FY24, total income is up by 33% at INR 3,982 crore compared to INR 2,986 crore in previous years. In terms of profits, for the Q4 of FY24, our profit after tax stood at INR 378 crore, which has more than doubled from INR 182 crore in corresponding quarter in FY23. For the full year FY24, the PAT is up by 42% at INR 1,226 crore versus INR 865 crore for FY23.

I'm happy to say that this is the highest-ever profit reported by Kotak Securities in its history. In terms of market share, we maintained our cash market share for FY24 at 10%+, while our derivative market share increased sharply to 12.6% from 9.2% in FY23. In the quarter, we announced our newly launched Neo platform with a host of new features and new products on there. This includes the introduction of Neo Mutual Fund platform, simplifying user journeys and enhancing accessibility. We also introduced InstaTrade, which provides quick trading solutions by offering charts, option chain, positions, orders, and P&L all in one screen. Additionally, we launched our IPO module to improve the order placement journey and expedite application processing.

We actually rolled out one of the best plans in the industry, a pricing plan called Trade Free Pro, which is offering very competitive pricing on margin trade facility products in terms of interest rates and delivery brokerages. With this announcement, Kotak Neo remains the preferred choice for our clients, accounting for nearly 86% of the firm's total executed orders and 86% of the new accounts opened in Q4. Our institutional equities business registered a stellar growth in revenues and maintained its leadership position in both cash and derivative segments. Kotak institutional equities continued to add new global and domestic clients to its franchise. It also showed very strong performance in distribution of IPOs, QIPs, open offers, and execution of block trades, and maintained its leadership position. With this overview, I will now pass it over to Ashok for further updates. Thank you.

Ashok Vaswani
Managing Director and CEO, Kotak Mahindra Bank

Thank you, Shripal.

I hope you got a good sense of, not only the quantitative aspects of our business but also some of the qualitative aspects of our business and, of course, a spotlight on the capital markets. Let me move head-on to the RBI order. On April 24th, we received an order from the RBI directing us to stop, one, onboarding of new customers through our online and mobile banking channels, and two, issuing fresh credit cards. Needless to add, we take every communication from our regulator very seriously, and have complied with the directions with immediate effect. For the sake of complete clarity, let me share that there is absolutely no impact on our existing customers across all channels. We've been seeking guidance from our regulators on building resiliency of our technology platforms and on enhancing the experience for our customers.

We are totally committed towards building first-class technology infrastructure and giving best-in-class customer experience. Consequently, for the immediate, we've stopped digital onboarding of new customers and fresh issuance of credit cards. This has primarily affected 811 and our credit card business. Two, we've developed a plan to mitigate the impact on these businesses. The plan focuses on protecting our existing customer base and deepening relationships with them. Three, we are accelerating the execution of our technology strategy to achieve resilience, appropriate capacity, and to meet regulatory data cybersecurity standards. As you well know, we've been on this journey for the last two, three years. We have made a number of very senior hires, significantly augmented the internal tech team, and invested heavily in improving our risk and resilience. Year-on-year, our tech spend has grown by 30% and is now at over 10% of our total OPEX.

However, our efforts have fallen short of the expectations of the regulator. This, in our view, is an account of, number one, that tech changes take time to play out, and number two, demand is growing at an ever-increasing pace. These have, therefore, required us to step up our efforts on both fronts. In terms of the financial implications, as you're aware, for both 811 and credit cards, we have the J-curve impact in year one. This is obviously offset by the incremental tech spend. So while there is a loss in customer acquisition momentum, the overall financial implications are limited. We are in ongoing dialogue with the RBI on seeking their guidance in meeting the expected outcomes. If I can now ask you to set aside the RBI order, we'll come back if you have any other questions on it.

But just take a big step back, and let's talk a little bit about where and how this management team wants to take the Kotak Group. It is not new news that the Indian economy is doing well and that the Indian economy is going, is predicted to continue to do well over the next five, 10, 12 kind of years. That's not new news. The Kotak platform is very, very well positioned. That, too, is not very new news. These are the strong tailwinds for us. It's also very, very clear that our number one priority is to get to business as usual as quickly as possible. But during this period, we also want to take a little bit of time and think strategically and think ahead. What are the things that we don't want to change at all?

What is it that we want to tweak as we kind of go forward? There are two things that I'm very clear we are not going to change. It is in our DNA to deliver healthy returns with a well-calibrated risk appetite. This is not going to change. However, the market is evolving. Things are changing very quickly. Therefore, from a Kotak perspective, as I look out into the Indian market, a couple of things strike me. Technology, as all of you know, is rapidly changing industry, changing the way we live, changing the way we communicate, the way we work, and stuff like that. But most importantly, technology is changing the customer, the customer's outlook, the customer's exposure, the customer's expectations are all changing.

For all the years that I've been in business, the one thing that I have learned is that keeping the customer at the center of everything that we do and aligning the entire business model behind the customer is the only way to win. This technology change that I've been talking about and the resultant impact on the customer is not only restricted to India. Frankly, it's a worldwide phenomenon. But it has had the maximum or a much greater impact in India because three things have kind of come together in India. The first thing that's happened is a tremendous amount of push by the public sector and how the government of India has built an unparalleled digital infrastructure. Two, the cost of telephony and data in India is about the cheapest compared to anywhere else in the world.

These two factors have, therefore, resulted in an adoption curve by the Indian consumer at an unprecedented level. With all of this, I, therefore, look at the Kotak Group, and our management team spent a lot of time over the last 90 days looking at how our strategy should evolve. We've agreed to look at the whole business in terms of four lenses. Number one, customer. That's what I referred to. We said that the exposure, outlook, affluence, and expectation is changing. We have to gear up for this. This is the starting point. The rest of the business model will align behind this. We do have a lot of products and services within the Kotak Group. To meet the needs holistically of the customer is something that we can do internally very well. Two, the colleague. Ultimately, we are a people business.

The colleague is someone who comes as a customer and also represents the delivery of our promise to the customer. We need to hire and retain the appropriate talent to transform our business in light of the changing customer experiences. We'll work towards being regarded as the employer of choice in financial services. Three, company. So customer, colleague, company. Company, three elements to it: bringing the power of all our businesses to meet the holistic needs of the customer. You may have seen we have already created the position of One Kotak to try and bring this to bear and bring the power of all our products to the advantage of the customer. Two, scale. Scale, not for size but for relevance. Remember, we are not going to shift our focus away from returns. This is not scale at the cost of returns. This is scale with returns.

Three, we realize that the only way you achieve scale and if you achieve scale without compromising returns, technology will play a very significant role going forward. The fourth C, and to keep it easy, we put it into a four C kind of framework. The fourth C is community. And here, it is all about reestablishing and reinforcing the Kotak brand and building very good relationships with all our regulators, of course, the RBI, but all the other regulators that regulate us. These are the four lenses by which we are going to plot the future path of the Kotak Group. You will hear the management team and I talk much more about these four Cs going forward. For the time being, like I said, the immediate priority is to get business to get to business as usual.

We believe that other than this impacted businesses, the rest of the businesses should continue on the growth path. And we want to use this period to evolve all the businesses along the four C lens to be ready and come out very strongly when we get back to that business as usual. With that, I'd like to open this up to Q&A.

Operator

Thank you very much. We will now begin the question and answer session. Anyone who wishes to ask a question may press star and one on their touch-tone telephone. If you wish to remove yourself from the question queue, you may press star and two. Participants are requested to please use handsets while asking a question. Ladies and gentlemen, we will wait for a moment while the question queue assembles. The first question comes from the live call, Chintan Joshi from Autonomous Research. Please go ahead.

Chintan Joshi
Indian Financials Analyst, Autonomous Research

Hi. Thank you for letting me ask the question. Can I ask three, please? The first one is on the RBI actions. You have indicated that there should not be a meaningful impact on growth. Could you explain to us why there should not be? If I recall all the various presentations of Kotak, they talk about digital in practically every presentation and conversation, as has been the case today. And if digital has been a strong onboarding driver, then there should be some impact. So help us understand why there should not be a material impact and what kind of impact should we expect. That's my first one.

Ashok Vaswani
Managing Director and CEO, Kotak Mahindra Bank

You said you had three, right? You want to go over the three, or do you want me to answer

Chintan Joshi
Indian Financials Analyst, Autonomous Research

Just one question? Yeah. No, I can ask all of them.

The second one is on the fourth point you mentioned about scale. If I think about Kotak, underwriting has been extremely strong over a very long period, almost industry-leading. But that's come with a sense of conservatism where Kotak has not been ambitious enough to take market share whereas some other private sector banks have. Can you comment on, are you committed growing faster than the major private sector players? And I'm focusing on the private sector, not the system. And then the final question is a detailed one. Could you give us a sense of how cost of funds and yields on loans have evolved in this quarter and how the competitive dynamics have evolved in this quarter?

Ashok Vaswani
Managing Director and CEO, Kotak Mahindra Bank

Okay. Thank you. So what I'll try and do is I'll try and answer the one on the impact of the RBI and the underwriting one.

Devang, if you don't mind, if you could pick up the one on cost of funds.

Devang Gheewalla
Group CFO, Kotak Mahindra Bank

Yes.

Ashok Vaswani
Managing Director and CEO, Kotak Mahindra Bank

Okay. So look, on the impact of the RBI order, I think let me kind of spell it out for you, right? Number one, what the order says is that all onboarding on mobile and digital channels, new customer onboarding, is what the RBI has said that you should stop. And two, they've said that the credit cards should be stopped. Okay? Now, depending, of course, on how long it takes to get back to business as usual, that will have a major impact. But if you say that on an annual kind of basis, the area which really gets impacted or the two areas which really get 811 and credit cards. Yes, we do a lot of other business digitally, but it's not so much like in the corporate bank.

We do a lot of stuff digitally when the customer wants to do cash management or when the customer wants to do transactional banking. But that is an existing customer. The onboarding of the customer in either the private bank or the corporate bank or the commercial bank, a lot of it is not entirely digital. It actually involves a fair amount of assisted journeys or where people are kind of involved. So also, we can continue with digital journeys to existing customers. So an existing customer taking on a personal loan or 811 customer taking on a new.

Fixed deposit.

Fixed deposit. That's not affected. So the only thing that is affected is new customers in credit cards or new 811. now, in both these businesses, as we've always been disclosing, and credit cards, this is a worldwide phenomenon, in year one, there's a J-curve. In year one, the cost of acquisition exceeds the revenue that you make. And therefore, in year one, in both these businesses, acquisition actually is a drag, right? So in year one, you will actually have a financial benefit. Now, the offset to this is going to be incremental technology spend. Obviously, like I said, our number one priority is to get back to business as usual. We're going to step up our efforts to get that. And therefore, I'm saying that if you take the offset of the two, the impact is actually minimalseven

Now, what exactly that number will be is hard to tell. Back of the envelope, it's only been seven days since we got the order. But back of the envelope math would tell you somewhere between INR 300 crore-INR 450 crore kind of number, right? Now, it's very back of the envelope. It has lots of assumptions baked in as to the timing. But that's the way we are kind of thinking about it. Can I move to the underwriting side? On the underwriting side, look, I think right now, if you think about it, India's economy has been doing really, really well, really well. Okay? If you look at what's happening in the industry and look at loss rates and stuff like that, post the COVID provisions, it's really been a Goldilocks period for the last two, three years, at least since COVID.

Now, all of us know all of us know that credits go through cycles. At this point in the cycle, to go out and get aggressive on credit, I don't think is a smart thing to do. We have always been prudent. We will continue to be prudent. We have continued to gain market share. We will continue to gain market share, but we will do it smartly. We are not going to go for a wholesale change in risk appetite, not so early out, right? We will continue to grow the business. We will grow the business. We will seek to grow the business faster than competitors, right? We feel very good about we feel particularly good about our corporate business and the promise that it holds. We'll continue to kind of grow that.

But right now, I'm not sure we feel comfortable about making a wholesale change in our risk appetite. Devang, you want to take the question on cost of funds?

Devang Gheewalla
Group CFO, Kotak Mahindra Bank

Yes.

Chintan Joshi
Indian Financials Analyst, Autonomous Research

Before you go there, can I just come back on a couple of items? So in terms of impact on growth, understand corporate won't get impacted. Mainly, it's retail in the unsecured space. Should this be like a would you put a ballpark number around the drag? Is it going to be like a 2% drag or a 5% drag on growth? Is there any quantifiable way we can think about it? And yeah, thank you.

Ashok Vaswani
Managing Director and CEO, Kotak Mahindra Bank

I made it easy for you. I gave you a number.

Shanti Ekambaram
Whole Time Director, Kotak Mahindra Bank

I just want to ask about Ashok said. You asked about digital transactions. We always have said 95%+ savings comes through our mobile and net channels. They're all existing customers. Term deposits, a whole load of products are all existing customers. I think credit cards will get impacted. That impact is calculated in the number that Ashok has talked about despite a J-curve. Some small amount in personal loans, but that we will make up through a sister as well as our physical journey that we have because we can continue to sell around our branches and to our existing customers.

Devang Gheewalla
Group CFO, Kotak Mahindra Bank

Okay. Coming to your question on cost of funds, the way we look at cost of funds, I think it has essentially three components. It has basically the deposit mix, the duration of the deposit, and I think the alternate source of funding. So if I take each of them, the deposit mix clearly with the challenges in the low-cost deposit of CASA is moving towards term deposit. To address that, obviously, we introduced the innovative product, as you know, in May, which is the ActivMoney. This is a quasi-TD product where the cost of deposit is marginally higher than the SA but lower than the TD. In terms of the deposit duration, most of the deposits have repriced over last year. On the alternate source of funding to fuel our growth, we are obviously actively pursuing refinance as well as infrastructure bond financing.

All put together, yes, the cost of funds will move up. However, it will not be at the same pace and will be far more gradual than the rise that we saw during the current year. Thank you.

Shanti Ekambaram
Whole Time Director, Kotak Mahindra Bank

In fact, view on interest rates is reasonably stable. We've seen deposit rates stabilized over the last few months. We'll have to see how it goes from a demand-supply as well as external rate movement perspective. Yeah.

Devang Gheewalla
Group CFO, Kotak Mahindra Bank

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, in order that the management is able to address questions from all participants in the queue, we request you to please restrict your questions to two per participant. The next question is from the line of Kunal Shah from Citigroup. Please go ahead.

Kunal Shah
Director of India Banks and Financials, Citigroup

Yeah. So sorry, just to clarify this, INR 300 crore-INR 500 crore of impact which you highlighted, that is on what? It was on hello?

Devang Gheewalla
Group CFO, Kotak Mahindra Bank

Kunal PBT.

Kunal Shah
Director of India Banks and Financials, Citigroup

Okay. PBT impact of INR 300-INR 500-odd crores. Okay.

Devang Gheewalla
Group CFO, Kotak Mahindra Bank

That's correct.

Kunal Shah
Director of India Banks and Financials, Citigroup

Okay.

Devang Gheewalla
Group CFO, Kotak Mahindra Bank

This is, of course, assuming annual.

Annual basis.

Shanti Ekambaram
Whole Time Director, Kotak Mahindra Bank

This is annual.

Devang Gheewalla
Group CFO, Kotak Mahindra Bank

Of course, we'll try to resolve and BAU much earlier.

Kunal Shah
Director of India Banks and Financials, Citigroup

Okay. Okay. Sure. Got this number. So broadly, this takes into account maybe the overall moderation on the unsecured side. That's there. But in terms of our guidance, which has always been taking unsecured towards mid-teens at 15-odd%, now how do we see that in the near future? And secondly, in terms of the branch expansion, maybe we still have been highlighting that we want to go more digitally rather than the physical branches. With this kind of restrictions, is there a change in a way we would be approaching the network expansion plan?

Devang Gheewalla
Group CFO, Kotak Mahindra Bank

Yeah. Hi. To take your question on the unsecured loans, I think our trajectory remains same. We continue to aspire for mid-teens as we have committed. And as you know, unsecured loan consists not only of credit cards. It also includes personal loans, retail microfinance with this acquisition of Sonata and the growth of microfinance, obviously, and business loan. All of that are included. So our aspiration and target towards achieving mid-teens continues. On the branch side, I will request Virat to look.

Virat Diwanji
Group President and Head Consumer Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank

Look, in terms of network expansion, yes, for last two years, last year, we did close to around 150 branches. Even this year, we are scheduled to do more than around 150 branches. From that perspective, I think we believe network will expand. We will gradually expand the network as we go forward. We also will look at it and evaluate as we go forward. But as far as the moderated expansion of the branch network is concerned, we will continue to expand as we go forward.

Shanti Ekambaram
Whole Time Director, Kotak Mahindra Bank

Our aim, just to add to what Ashok said, the number one priority is to see how we can focus on the risk resilience and capacity and get back to BAU. But we still believe that our branch strategy will be calibrated. We will continue to roll out branches and focus on the gaps and the needs of the customers. The digital will also continue to be a key factor drive as we come back.

Ashok Vaswani
Managing Director and CEO, Kotak Mahindra Bank

Okay. So maybe in this PBT impact, there is not much to come through in terms of the OPEX except for maybe accelerating the technology investments which we would look forward to to resolve this, but nothing on the network expansion side.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, please stay with us while we reconnect with the management. The line for the management seems to have disconnected. Ladies and gentlemen, we thank you for your patience. We have reconnected with the management. Kunal, we request you to please ask your question again.

Kunal Shah
Director of India Banks and Financials, Citigroup

Yeah. So I was just saying maybe when we look at it in terms of this INR 300 crore-INR 500 crore kind of PBT impact which we had given, there is not much built-in with respect to the OPEX except for the technology investments which would be accelerated or front-loaded to resolve the issue. Not much on the overall OPEX side is what we believe we will have to incur.

Devang Gheewalla
Group CFO, Kotak Mahindra Bank

Now, Kunal, I think let me explain. The INR 300 crore-INR 400 crore when we say, it is a combination of additional IT spend which we'll have to do. Second thing, also, the financial impact of the two businesses which 811 and credit card. And as Ashok mentioned, 811, in the year of acquisition, normally, the cost of acquisition is higher than the revenue. So the J-curve is there. So actually, we can end up having some savings. On credit card, yes, there will be some impact. So it's a culmination of all these three put together is the number which we said is INR 300 crore-INR 400 crore. The IT spend also, let me explain, it may be reprioritization of some of the spend which we have estimated. So it may not necessarily be an incremental, but we have estimated certain amount.

I think as we go along during the project, we'll have more final details coming out of this.

Ashok Vaswani
Managing Director and CEO, Kotak Mahindra Bank

Also, Kunal, look, as a management team, we are very, very committed to mitigating this. And really, if you think about it, our focus is going to shift, at least during this period, from acquisition to deepening of customer relations, right? And if we get that right, when we come out of this and get into business as usual, the kicker that it can give could be quite significant. So we've done this rough back of the envelope math. But obviously, our effort is to try and mitigate as much of it as possible.

Kunal Shah
Director of India Banks and Financials, Citigroup

Sure. Any comments on timelines? When do you expect and how are we approaching this entire thing? Maybe will there be a submission of the entire plan to RBI? How much time would it actually take? Obviously, maybe from external auditor and RBI perspective, there would not be very clear-cut timeline. But at least from our end, when do we expect all this submission from our side?

Ashok Vaswani
Managing Director and CEO, Kotak Mahindra Bank

Yeah. So, Kunal, look, we are going aggressively on our technology plan. To Devang's point, we want to bring forward and focus on capacity, risk, and resilience and move as aggressively as we can, right? Simultaneously, obviously, we'll go through the process, appoint an external auditor, have the auditor involved with us, and hopefully, in short order, get the external auditor comfortable that we have got enough safeguards on risk, resilience, and capacity. And once we get the auditor comfortable such that the auditor can verify that to the Reserve Bank of India, then we go to the RBI and say, "Look, we would like to get back to business as usual." How long this is going to take and what is going to be those points where the RBI is going to say we are comfortable, that, Kunal, is hard to justify.

Are we in ongoing contact with the RBI? Are we trying to lay down the plan? Everything that we can do to accelerate the plan, of course, we are all over it. Like I said, this management team's number one priority is to get back to business as usual as soon as possible.

Kunal Shah
Director of India Banks and Financials, Citigroup

Okay. Thanks. Thanks, and all the best. Yeah.

Ashok Vaswani
Managing Director and CEO, Kotak Mahindra Bank

Thank you, Kunal.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Saurabh Kumar from JPMorgan Chase & Co. . Please go ahead.

Saurabh Kumar
Marketing and Execution, Digital Transformation and Decision Architect, JPMorgan Chase & Co.

Hi, sir. Two questions. One is on this ActivMoney product. So I think Devang mentioned that the cost of funds is likely higher.

Operator

Sorry to interrupt, but the line for you is not.

Ashok Vaswani
Managing Director and CEO, Kotak Mahindra Bank

Sorry, Saurabh, there's a lot. We can't hear you properly. There's a lot of echo on your line.

Shanti Ekambaram
Whole Time Director, Kotak Mahindra Bank

Yeah. We're not clear.

Saurabh Kumar
Marketing and Execution, Digital Transformation and Decision Architect, JPMorgan Chase & Co.

Hopefully, this is better. I just wanted to get on this ActivMoney product. Devang mentioned it's actually higher.

Operator

Sorry. Sorry.

Saurabh Kumar
Marketing and Execution, Digital Transformation and Decision Architect, JPMorgan Chase & Co.

Can you quantify how much?

Operator

It's not very clear. You're breaking up in between.

Saurabh Kumar
Marketing and Execution, Digital Transformation and Decision Architect, JPMorgan Chase & Co.

Okay. I'll come back.

Operator

Yes. Thank you. The next question is from the line of Rikin Shah from IIFL. Please go ahead.

Rikin Shah
SVP, IIFL FINANCE

Thank you for the opportunity. I have three questions. First one is on the liability strategy. So while we have been pushing digital over expansion of physical network, if you look at most of the key liability ratios, whether it's CASA, retail deposit, or even cost of deposits, they have deteriorated a lot more vis-à-vis the peers in this rate cycle. So is there a continuation of the strategy, or is there going to be a change in thought about how do you want to approach the liability side, building the liability franchise? That's question number one. Question number two is on the balance sheet strengthening. Again, if we look at the balance sheet construct, over the last couple of years, we have ramped up the share of unsecured loans in our book, and the loan mix is pretty homogeneous vis-à-vis the peers.

But if I look at the total stock of provisions that we are now carrying, it is almost 45%-50% less than what the other peers are carrying. So would you think about adding some contingency buffer provisions for the future rainy days? That's the second. And the third and the final question is, again, on the tech side. So while you did quantify that INR 300 crore-INR 500 crore is the impact, does that kind of take into account any benefit that you would see by deploying the resources in some other businesses? Because last year, you spent almost INR 1,700 crore in the tech, and this INR 300-INR 400 crore quantification seems a bit on the lower end, taking into account incremental spends that you would need to do on the IT side as well. Those were my questions. Thank you.

Ashok Vaswani
Managing Director and CEO, Kotak Mahindra Bank

Yeah. Thank you. Virat, if you don't mind, you can take the liability strategy one. Devang, if you can pick up the balance sheet construct, and I'll pick up the tech one.

Virat Diwanji
Group President and Head Consumer Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank

Yes. So coming to the liability thing, if you remember, our first network strategy was all physical. Then we moved to physical where we were using physical first and digital. And from there on, we have moved to digital where we started using digital first and physical second. Now, in all this, even our branch expansion strategy has been based on what kind of customers we need to focus on. As we know, 95%-96% of the savings account customers transact outside the branch, either on mobile or on net banking. And hence, the expansion has been focused on the area where, essentially, there is a business community. Hence, we have used the techniques to figure out the pockets where we are under-penetrated, and we will use this opportunity of our branch expansion strategy to get where the availability of liabilities is easy.

From that perspective, we will follow back. We have already set certain segments that we will focus on, and that's what you call the salaried segment, which is one of the key segments that we are chasing. Now, these are the ones who give us stable deposits. So all in all, we will cover all corners to make sure that the liability growth is robust. In this higher-interest rate scenario, we know the CASA could be in challenge, but I think focusing completely on ActivMoney not only gets us the deposits, I mean, in that sense, but it also helps us to get new customers who eventually leave some money in their CASA accounts. So that also means while the number in ActivMoney is significantly higher, it also helps us to get some kind of liabilities from the customers.

So I think this is something that we are moving forward on. I think about 3-4 months back, we even started doing the reverse whereby asset-led acquisition means earlier, we were in the model where we were acquiring liability customers and then selling assets. Now, we are gradually trying to shift where even when we sell assets, we want to get the wallet share of those customers on the liability side. So there are quite a few things which we are working on to make sure that the liability growth is robust.

Devang Gheewalla
Group CFO, Kotak Mahindra Bank

Coming back to your question on unsecured loan and provisions, I think, as I said, we continue to aspire for what we had said about achieving unsecured loan in big things.

However, having said that, I think we believe that unsecured loan, we need to look at the risk-reward relation and not necessarily only the provisioning part. And if we look at today, the credit cost of unsecured loan vis-à-vis the yield on that, we are well within the acceptable parameters in terms of risk-reward relationship. As far as the provisioning is concerned, we have been conservative. Any unsecured loan which is over 180 days is 100% provided. After that, our net NPA ratio is comparable at 0.34%. Even if I look at the total provision, what we are carrying is about INR 5,900 crore, including all COVID restructured standard provisions, which is significantly higher than my gross NPA. So we believe that we are adequately protected. And from a risk-reward position, we believe the unsecured business continues to make sense for us. Thank you.

Rikin Shah
SVP, IIFL FINANCE

Devang, just to follow up on this one, while I would agree that the provisioning would be adequate for the current level, my question was more from strengthening the balance sheet for future perspective. So our total stock of provisions as percentage of loan is 1.6%, whereas for the peers, it is anywhere from 2.5%-3.7%. And they have been adding to the buffer provisions, whereas we are barely carrying any. So it was more from that perspective, please.

Devang Gheewalla
Group CFO, Kotak Mahindra Bank

I understand. I would not like to comment on my peers' part. We believe, based on our risk analysis of our portfolio, we are adequately provided. Thank you.

Ashok Vaswani
Managing Director and CEO, Kotak Mahindra Bank

See, the other thing you've got to look at it as a product mix on the asset side of the balance sheet, right? So given our mix compared to the mix of competitors, that's what will determine how well we are covered. To Devang's point, we feel and given all our history, you can go back, I don't know how many years, we have been always quite conservative on risk appetite. We continue to be conservative. That's one thing that I don't want to change, like I mentioned. So under all those kinds of circumstances and given the mix, we feel very comfortable on that score. Let me pick up a little bit on the tech side. On the tech side, look, that number that I quoted, somewhere between 300-450, all of that number is not tech.

Tech is going to be an integral part of the business, no doubt. Tech, we've been stepping up our expenditure. Round numbers, we've been spending about 10% of our OPEX in tech. So as the base of expenses go up, tech expenses go up. So last year, it was INR 1,300 crore, round numbers. This year, INR 1,700 crore. We're going to expect to see similar amounts of growth in tech, right? This year, some piece, some piece. And honestly, I'm not able to quantify and tell you exactly how much the INR 300 crore-INR 450 crore is because we are still finalizing what is the scope of work to be done. Look, it's only been eight days since we got the RBI order. So trying to finalize what elements of that tech we're going to accelerate to bring forward is work in progress.

Tech is going to be a very important ingredient for our business. At about 10% of OPEX is what our tech expenditure will be.

Rikin Shah
SVP, IIFL FINANCE

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, we request you to please restrict your questions to one question per participant. You may rejoin the queue if you have follow-up questions. The next question comes from the line of Hardik Shah from Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. . Please go ahead.

Rahul Jain
Managing Director, Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

Yeah. Hi. Good evening. It's Rahul Jain from Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. . Hello to everyone. Actually, if you permit, I would like to ask two questions. One is Ashok, you laid out your thought process about how you would like to take the bank forward from the lens of 4Cs, if I heard it right. But just to also think about the quantitative figures, what milestones do you set out for yourself or like us to think about both in terms of profitability and growth? Particularly on growth, given that the bank is just about 1.5%-2% market share, has got huge opportunities ahead of itself and has been investing top dollar in digital, as you articulated. The brick and mortar, we feel that could have been done a lot more.

Just want to understand first on what milestones should we perhaps judge your tenure from here on across the growth, profitability, and asset quality? I have one more question after that.

Ashok Vaswani
Managing Director and CEO, Kotak Mahindra Bank

Sure, Rahul. You're a tough taskmaster, yeah. I've just been in my job for 100 days. But anyway, apart from that, look, we've hit a speed bump, okay? And like I said, our first task is to get to business as usual. Once we get to business as usual, there's really no reason why we shouldn't continue to grow at least as much as we've been kind of consistently growing over a period of time. Now, I've also told you, and I'm very, very committed to that, that scale is important to us, right? And how we're going to scale those businesses and not have fractional market shares but grow significant to something more relevant in terms of market shares is going to be critical. But the first priority is to get to business as usual.

Once we get to business as usual, we will get more aggressive on the kind of growth target.

Rahul Jain
Managing Director, Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

Got it. And just related question to that is, what kind of profit pools are you more excited about? If I were to simplify this into consumer retail and commercial retail, consumer retail is people like individuals who would borrow for consumption needs like home loans, unsecured versus the commercial retail, whereas the bank has been historically very successful. So which segments of growth you would want to go after, given you also made a remark that you're not very comfortable about pressing accelerator given the current environment we are in? So what specific segment are you talking about here?

Ashok Vaswani
Managing Director and CEO, Kotak Mahindra Bank

Yeah. So, Rahul, what I said was that I don't want a dramatic change in my risk appetite, okay? Am I excited about the consumer bank overall? I'm very excited about the consumer bank. Am I excited about our private bank? I'm very excited about our private bank business. The capital markets business, I mean, let me just took you through it, right? That's doing really, really well. Institutional equity is doing really, really well. Kotak Securities, really, really well. Corporate bank, really nicely poised to kind of grow. Trade Finance, we've got a great kind of market share. All of these businesses where we've got already well-established platforms and we've got well-established processes, those are the areas where we will push the accelerator and grow quite aggressively. We'll kind of focus on those areas and really grow.

SME is another area where I think we can get significant amounts of growth. We're going to, over a period of time obviously, this whole RBI order has consumed a lot of management bandwidth. But over a period of time, come back and say, "For these segments, what is our proposition, and how are we going to go after these propositions in a very big way?

Rahul Jain
Managing Director, Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

Got it. The second question was on human capital. We've, of course, been seeing and hearing about a lot of changes that have taken place at the senior level, at the mid-management level. So for the kind of growth opportunity you're talking about, how well-placed you are, how far you are from adequately staffing the bank, and of course, you had one high-profile departure also, would that have any impact on the bank's performance, or you've got the bench already set up to capture the opportunities?

Ashok Vaswani
Managing Director and CEO, Kotak Mahindra Bank

Yeah. So, Rahul, look, of course, the press plays up the kind of departures, but nobody takes into account that we can have a very strong bench strength, right? Today, you've heard Devang. Devang has been groomed by Jaimin, taken over. He's the Group CFO. Shripal, he's kind of taken over Kotak Securities as the CEO, and kind of Jaideep has moved into a new role, right? And look, Manian is a friend of the firm. Manian was with Kotak for 29 years. Manian has played a very critical role in building out of Kotak. Yes, Manian had certain aspirations. He wants to go and do things in other parts of financial services. That's absolutely fine, right? And we sincerely wish Manian the very best.

I obviously haven't worked so closely with him, but in the four months that I worked with him, I really enjoyed working with him, and I sincerely wish him the best. My colleagues around the table, of course, know him much, much, much better. They, too, sincerely wish him the very best. These things will evolve over a period of time. There will be people who will retire. There will be people who will choose to do different things. The good news is that, for the most part, we have the bench strength, right? Even with Manian walking away, we've got Aishwarya, Paritosh, Manish, Ramesh, all of them kind of just stepping up into those roles. Once you get to meet them, you'll see the bench and the depth on the bench. I feel very comfortable with that.

There will be certain areas where we'll have to end up new talent. Things change. People change. But I think that's a natural course for business. Frankly, honestly, with the kind of team that I'm sitting with today, am I losing sleep over this? The answer is no.

Rahul Jain
Managing Director, Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

Got it. Very helpful. Just one last question on unsecured loans. So we have, of course, seen slippages increase through the course of this year. And this quarter also, it is sort of further inched up. Now, of course, it's not very dramatic, but still, I wanted to ask you, how far are we from the normalization in the unsecured credit risk? Is there some more way to go? I mean, the slippages will further inch up from here, or we are kind of near where the normalized run rate should be?

Virat Diwanji
Group President and Head Consumer Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank

See, you said unsecured, basically, the losses there have increased, and are we normalizing, and so on, okay? But I'd like to emphasize is that we are very comfortable in terms of our positioning vis-à-vis unsecured, okay? It's not that our credit losses are beyond our risk appetite, or they are beyond what we've seen in the past, or there is something to worry about, okay? So overall, we are comfortable. The position, as we see it in terms of delinquencies, early delinquencies, book delinquencies, all of that is looking perfectly fine, okay? But we are very watchful because, as Ashok had said initially, we've been through an extremely benign credit period. So one has to be extremely watchful of this portfolio, but currently, we are very, very comfortable.

Rahul Jain
Managing Director, Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

Got it. Is there any impact of Sonata acquisition across numbers, meaningful impact on the numbers from Sonata acquisition across the line items? If you can quantify that on me.

Ashok Vaswani
Managing Director and CEO, Kotak Mahindra Bank

Sure. So I think Sonata acquisition was done in the last week of March. So no meaningful impact in the numbers. But as I said, as we go forward, it will happen.

Rahul Jain
Managing Director, Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

Got it. Thank you so much, and thanks for being so generous with the time. Thank you so much.

Shanti Ekambaram
Whole Time Director, Kotak Mahindra Bank

Thank you, Rahul.

Rahul Jain
Managing Director, Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

Thank you, Shanti.

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, at this point, we request you to please restrict your questions to one question per participant. The next question is from the line of Roshan Chutkey from ICICI Prudential Mutual Fund. Please go ahead.

Roshan Chutkey
Fund Manager of Equity Investments, ICICI Prudential Mutual Fund

Yeah. Thanks for taking my question. So I essentially want to understand the IT spending bit a little more. How much of it is fixed, and how much of it is variable? That is my one question around this. And then if I look at this INR 1,300 becoming INR 1,700, right, assuming BAU 20% growth to the IT spending, we are talking about something like INR 400 crore of growth in the natural course of the year, right? But on top of it, because the other two 811 and the credit card business, are going to have positive savings out there, are we going to spend more like INR 400 crore-INR 500 crore on top of this INR 400 crore of growth that we are talking about as a BAU?

Ashok Vaswani
Managing Director and CEO, Kotak Mahindra Bank

So let me try and answer this question, okay? It's very hard. At the top of my head, to tell you how much is variable, how much is fixed, and stuff like that, right? Because there are certain products where we have there are certain products where we have outside vendors. So, for example, credit cards. We run credit cards on VisionPlus. VisionPLUS is an international kind of platform. The kind of deal we have with VisionPLUS is per account, we pay them a certain amount of fee. That's one example in cards, right? Obviously, when the product processor is in-house, like let's say Finacle, on which we run the whole liabilities business or the corporate business or some aspects of the commercial business or 811, there, it is more in the nature of a fixed cost, right?

And then, of course, an added complication is how much you spend, how much of it gets capitalized versus how much gets expensed. So really getting into that kind of level of detail, I don't think it's going to be really helpful for anyone. The point is total tech spend, total tech spend is roughly 10% of OPEX, right? And that percentage is, for the most part, round numbers, staying there. It could be 9.6%, 9.8%, 10.5%, 10.6%, that kind of thing. Two years ago, that was roughly INR 1,300 crore. Last year, it was INR 1,700 crore. So as the OPEX base grows, the tech spend will grow. Tech spend is not going to go away. Tech spend is not going to go down.

Tech is going to be a competitive advantage, and it will continue, and we will continue to invest such that we get to the risk resilience and capacity. Now, within tech spend, for the time being, the tweak will be more towards risk resilience and capacity as opposed to coming up with new products or new features or a new mobile banking app and stuff like that, right? So within tech spend, it will be more on risk resilience and capacity as opposed to new features and things like that. Sorry, I lost my train of thought on your what was your question on 811?

Roshan Chutkey
Fund Manager of Equity Investments, ICICI Prudential Mutual Fund

Let me repeat this. What I was trying to allude to is you're talking about an impact of INR 350-INR 400 crore on PBT, right? Now, there are clearly positive cost 811 and the credit cards, which means IT spending is going to go up by more than INR 400 crore, right? That's logical. But.

Ashok Vaswani
Managing Director and CEO, Kotak Mahindra Bank

No, no, no, no, no, no. No, no, no. No, no, no. Please. Look, I said the total estimate is somewhere between INR 300 crore-INR 450 crore. On the positive side of the column, you're right. Acquisition 811 and credit cards, on an annualized basis, will be a positive. You're right that the negative will be some offset of technology spend. But in a business like credit cards, even existing customers, right, spend what happens to the spend, what happens to the revolve, what happens to keeping the teams in place in all other areas, there are other expenditures as well. The balancing figure is not entirely technology spend. There will be some incremental technology spend, but that will not account for the total amount of INR 400 crore. It will be far less than that.

Roshan Chutkey
Fund Manager of Equity Investments, ICICI Prudential Mutual Fund

Understood. Understood. I'll take it softly. Thanks.

Ashok Vaswani
Managing Director and CEO, Kotak Mahindra Bank

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Abhishek Murarka from HSBC. Please go ahead.

Abhishek Murarka
Director, HSBC

Yeah. Hi. Good evening, and thanks for taking my question. So I just wanted to talk about customer acquisition that you were 811. and when I look at your numbers from last year, FY 2023, you acquired, I think, 8.5 million customers. FY 2024, you acquired around 8.8. And about 70%-75% of these would have 811. now that you can't, that 60 lakh customer base that you were getting, and now you're not going to be able to get it, how are you looking to continue to acquire as many of those as possible? That's point one. Point two, to attract them, will you have to increase your term deposit rates more than competition? Or when those transactions are going to branches for onboarding, will you have to staff your branches with more people, and will this push up OPEX?

So yeah, that's what I wanted to understand around the customer acquisition that you will be foregoing by not having this 811 product for some time.

Ashok Vaswani
Managing Director and CEO, Kotak Mahindra Bank

Shanti, do you mind taking the 811 and maybe cover the PD rates issues as well?

Shanti Ekambaram
Whole Time Director, Kotak Mahindra Bank

Yeah. That's right. So as far as 811 is concerned, as you said, we were acquiring a lot of customers. Now, what we will do is that the digital onboarding is not possible, but wherever we still have a stock of what you call OTP accounts to convert into full KYC accounts, which we will continue to do, we will have to stop our acquisition till such time we come by. But what we will do is we have about 2.5 crore of existing 811 customers. Because we were acquiring so aggressively, our cross-sell ratio still remains small because of the denominator impact. So we're going to focus on three things: increase the deepening of the base.

Second, prepare our journeys when we come back so that on the product, we've launched a new app, as you may have seen, and there's still a lot to be done on that, and get ready for when we come back. The impact will not be on this year because we'll actually have a saving on the acquisition cost, but the impact on some of it could come in the following year of customer acquisition as we look at it, yeah? So we've done the math, and it is a part of what Ashok talked about in terms of the number that he talked about of the impact. But we will do a number of things to protect, to transform, to do while we wait for the green signal to come back. The branch acquisition channel will continue.

The digitally assisted channel that the branch users will continue, which is more through tabs and biometric, etc. The 811 will continue its strategy of waiting and completing the KYC accounts. As far as term deposits is concerned, I don't think any of this is going to trigger the term deposit ratio. Right now, as you saw in the last from February 15th onwards, the system has been reasonably liquid, and the deposit rates have been reasonably stable. I think everybody is waiting to see how the Fed moves and how inflation moves. We see deposit rates reasonably stable. I think domestically, the demand supply is what is going to really drive at it. Right now, we see more stability, but we'll have to wait and see.

Abhishek Murarka
Director, HSBC

Shanti, just a quick follow-up. Would you have to increase the capacity of branches because more of these transactions will now have to be executed at the branch rather than on the app or on the mobile app?

Shanti Ekambaram
Whole Time Director, Kotak Mahindra Bank

Existing customers, there is no restriction for execution of transactions on the mobile. Whether it is our branch customers, whether it's an 811 customer, they can continue to do their payments, book their term deposits, buy a personal loan, everything through the mobile and net channels. Even today, they don't have to go to branches for any of their services.

Abhishek Murarka
Director, HSBC

No, sure. But this is for the new customer. So new customer onboarding will have to be done at the branches. So will you have to increase capacity for that?

Shanti Ekambaram
Whole Time Director, Kotak Mahindra Bank

No. We have a field sales force for 811 who will take care of the new customer. Our number of customer acquisition will slow down because we were doing it through digital direct DIY journey, right, which is not committed. So the number of customers we will acquire in 811 will go down, right, which will be handled whatever we need to do by the field sales force that 811 currently has.

Ashok Vaswani
Managing Director and CEO, Kotak Mahindra Bank

Yeah. So Abhishek, put it a different way. 811 acquisitions, to Shanti's point, will come down. The focus is going to be on deepening the relationship. And if we are able to do the deepening of the relationship and be able to do it with a beautiful customer journey, can you imagine how powerful that becomes when we get back to business as usual, right? That will be a massive kick-up for the entire franchise. And therefore, we are spending a lot of time on saying, "Okay, let's get that kind of journey right.

Abhishek Murarka
Director, HSBC

Sure, sure. And so this does not lead to any kind of slowdown in deposit growth in the medium term, right, or in the near term, right?

Ashok Vaswani
Managing Director and CEO, Kotak Mahindra Bank

Not at all.

Shanti Ekambaram
Whole Time Director, Kotak Mahindra Bank

Marginal, yeah.

Abhishek Murarka
Director, HSBC

Got it. Got it. Thank you so much for that clarification and all the best.

Ashok Vaswani
Managing Director and CEO, Kotak Mahindra Bank

Thanks, Abhishek.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Saurabh Kumar from JPMorgan Chase & Co. . Please go ahead.

Saurabh Kumar
Marketing and Execution, Digital Transformation and Decision Architect, JPMorgan Chase & Co.

Hi, sir. Just wanted to confirm one number. Basically, your total customer asset growth for next year should broadly be similar 20-odd%, and your incremental deposit accretion for next year would actually not be that high versus this year, right? These are the three things I was wanting to confirm. Thank you.

Shanti Ekambaram
Whole Time Director, Kotak Mahindra Bank

We're not giving any forward guidance.

Devang Gheewalla
Group CFO, Kotak Mahindra Bank

So I think you need to understand the number of customers and the growth in the value. I think what we are all saying is the 811, while the number of accounts is significantly high, in terms of the value, it doesn't contribute significantly or materially on the value side. So yes, while there will be a reduction in the customer acquisition count at 811, I think to meet the funding requirement of the balance sheet, we will have enough avenues to get the alternate source of deposits from the alternate customers and borrowing channels.

Saurabh Kumar
Marketing and Execution, Digital Transformation and Decision Architect, JPMorgan Chase & Co.

Okay. But I was talking more from customer assets, total customer assets. You've grown 20%. That's 400 basis points over system this year. Would you be still confident of achieving that? Yes. Yes.

Devang Gheewalla
Group CFO, Kotak Mahindra Bank

As we have maintained that, we always aspire to be 1.5-2 times the nominal of the GDP growth, which we continue to grow that. Okay. Okay. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, we will take that as our last question for today. I would now like to hand the conference over to Mr. Ashok Vaswani for his closing comments. Over to you, sir.

Ashok Vaswani
Managing Director and CEO, Kotak Mahindra Bank

So first of all, thank you so much. It's a long evening. It's already well past seven o'clock, so truly, truly appreciate your time with us. As a management team, like I said, we are totally committed to getting back to business as usual, take whatever it needs to do. We will isolate the other businesses and keep them on the growth trajectory that they've been. As far as the businesses which have been deeply affected, which have been affected 811 and credit cards, we're developing mitigation plans. And we're going to use this period to really think about how, when we come back to business as usual, we come back soaring ahead. I look forward to, obviously, keeping you all posted on developments. And thank you very much for joining us this evening.

Operator

Thank you. On behalf of Kotak Mahindra Bank.

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