APL Apollo Tubes Limited (BOM:533758)
India flag India · Delayed Price · Currency is INR
1,914.90
+44.40 (2.37%)
At close: May 6, 2026
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Q4 25/26

May 4, 2026

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, good day and welcome to APL Apollo Tubes Q4 and FY 2026 earning conference call hosted by Emkay Global Financial Services Limited. This conference call may contain forward-looking statements about the company, which are based on the beliefs, opinion, and expectation of the company as on date of this call. These statements are not the guarantee of future performance and involve risk and uncertainties that are difficult to predict. As a reminder, all participant line will be in the listen only mode, and there will be an opportunity for you to ask question after the presentation conclude. Should you need assistance during the conference call, please signal an operator by pressing star then zero on your touchtone phone. I now hand the conference over to Mr. Akhilesh Kumar from Emkay Global Financial Services Limited. Thank you, and over to you, Mr. Kumar.

Akhilesh Kumar
Analyst, Emkay Global Financial Services Ltd

Good morning, everyone. I would like to welcome the management and thank them for this opportunity. We have with us today Rahul Gupta, Director; Deepak Goyal, Director Operations; Anubhav Gupta, Chief Strategy Officer; and Chetan Khandelwal, Chief Financial Officer. I shall now hand over the call to the management for their opening remarks. Over to you, sir.

Anubhav Gupta
Chief Strategy Officer, APL Apollo Tubes

Thanks, Akhilesh. Thanks for hosting us. We also have our Chairman and Managing Director, Mr. Sanjay Gupta, on this call. Good morning, everyone, and thanks for joining in. We hope you have reviewed the results and we'll now walk you through the key highlights for the quarter four FY 2026. It was such an exciting quarter with the rollercoaster ride. Things looked so good till 28th of February, and then the Middle East crisis started, which impacted our performance towards the end of the financial year. Despite that, we could pull off with very strong performance for the quarter four FY 2026.

If you look at the full year results as well, key highlights being, number one, 9% increase in our quarterly volume on a YoY basis. EBITDA per ton at upward of INR 5,500 per ton for the Q4. Our 37% ROC for the full year, closing FY 2026. Negative working capital cycle for the full year. Operating cash flow generation of INR 20 billion and free cash flow generation of INR 13 billion for the full year. We closed the year with net cash balance of INR 15 ,000,000,000+ in the books. In today's environment, the way things are changing, it's becoming very difficult to predict sales volume on a month-on-month basis.

Since the war started, there have been lot of upsides and downsides for the global economy and the Indian economy, which is impacting our business in a lot of ways. Number one being the shortage of raw material steel from the Indian mills, and also the global supply chain got disrupted. Our Dubai operations are operating at 40% utilization right now because of the ongoing crisis there. Then there is a fear of price correction in the raw material prices because steel prices have gone up so much in the last three months, four months. There is a destocking from our channel partners as well. Energy crisis in India did impact our volumes in the month of March.

Things have got stabilized, but then there is always a sword which can come up and, like, which can again impact if at all there is shortage of fuel, et cetera in the country. Of course, because of heat and elections, there was labor shortage also for the time being, which also impacted our operations directly and indirectly as a lot of construction sites went for the halt. Our focus right now is to protect our profitability and margins when we know that volume prediction becomes challenging in this environment.

The APL Apollo is a market leader and because of our very strong brand positioning, we are able to improve our margins significantly. This is what we demonstrated in our March numbers as well. Despite April month being slow in terms of volume, this beginning of May is also kind of similar to what trend we saw in April. In terms of profitability, in terms of EBITDA per ton, we are doing much better than what we had ever guided for. We will try to protect our full-year target numbers in terms of absolute EBITDA, which we had guided in our previous calls.

Hopefully things will become better as we move forward. Given the current atmosphere, our focus is on profitability rather than just pushing volumes. Our long-term plan of 8 million ton capacity by FY 2028 remains totally on track. Our CapEx commitments, new land acquisition, new product development, distribution announcement in East India, that everything remains on track. So that whenever things recover, we are quickly able to recover our lost volume and demonstrate good performance. That's all from our side. We'll like to take questions now.

Operator

Thank you so much. Ladies and gentlemen, we will now begin with the question and answer session. Anyone who wishes to ask a question may press star one on their touch-tone telephone. If you wish to remove yourself from the question queue, you may press star two. Participants are requested to use handsets while asking a question. Ladies and gentlemen, we will wait for a moment while the question queue assembles. Our first question comes from the line of Neha from Nuvama Wealth Management. Please go ahead.

Speaker 15

Hi. Good afternoon, team. I mean, good morning, team. Just a couple of questions from my end. Firstly, you said Dubai is operating around 40% utilization. Just wanted to take an update on galvanized tubes because last time we were facing some gas shortages. How is the operating level at this point of time in those color-coated as well as galvanized tubes?

Anubhav Gupta
Chief Strategy Officer, APL Apollo Tubes

Neha, I mean, the domestic operations, they were majorly hit for few weeks in month of March. Obviously things became a bit easy in terms of gas availability and our plant also moved to alternate fuels. Things have improved significantly. Yes, like I said, there is always a sword handy when the crisis can again hit the industry. I would say, like, because of that fear factor, we would be operating at 80%-85%. If we know that crisis is fully gone, of course there could be 15%-20% increase in the production from the current levels.

Speaker 15

Understood. Anubhav, you also said about the demand weakness or probably destocking. Could you actually bifurcate that into whether it's a actual demand weakness on ground and has government spending actually picked up in any way? Is it the mere destocking which is taking place and, you know, we are short, you know, looking at a rebalance here in terms of demand? That's one, and any changes in the guidance, because of the current situation that you may want to give out.

Sanjay Gupta
Chairman and Managing Director, APL Apollo Tubes

Good morning, Neha. Sanjay this side. You know, this type of atmosphere, we can't say this is a destocking or this is a demand slowdown. I mean, this takes some time to analyze these things. Whatever we give the yearly guidance in terms of volume and the profitability, I think volume due to the, say, current scenario, but we are trying to keep our margin intact. Volume, we are not focusing on our volume. We are focusing on margin. Atmosphere steel shortage. We are focusing on the volume and margin. Current scenario, maybe quarter-on-quarter, month-on-month guidance. Yearly targets, we are intact.

Speaker 15

Understood, sir. That was really helpful. Thanks. Thanks a lot, team, and all the very best.

Sanjay Gupta
Chairman and Managing Director, APL Apollo Tubes

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes on the line of Angad Saluja from UBS Securities India. Please go ahead.

Angad Saluja
Analyst, UBS Securities India

Yeah.

Hi. Thank you for taking my question. Sir, just one question. I think obviously guidance is difficult to give in the current scenario, but if you look at realizations and obviously then EBITDA per ton, how are we looking at that, you know, given HRC prices have also gone up, but, you know, the risk from Patra also remains, you know, to sort of take away some volumes. How are we, you know, managing the margin bit in this scenario, even though, you know, volumes are slightly volatile right now?

Sanjay Gupta
Chairman and Managing Director, APL Apollo Tubes

Boss, the Patra segment, I'm also talking the last call also. [Non-English content] volume less than 30%. [Non-English content].

Dubai volume, but margins are better.

Angad Saluja
Analyst, UBS Securities India

Okay. Got it. What is driving this margin? Mainly is it better realizations that is driving it?

Sanjay Gupta
Chairman and Managing Director, APL Apollo Tubes

Mainly, boss, you can say market leadership, product innovation, and supported by the shortage of steel also.

Angad Saluja
Analyst, UBS Securities India

Got it. Got it. Got it. Sir, one last question. I think, CapEx absolute amount, how much are we expecting to spend in FY 2027?

Sanjay Gupta
Chairman and Managing Director, APL Apollo Tubes

CapEx. Total CapEx plan pending for 8 million ton is around INR 1,400 crore-INR 1,500 crore CapEx plan total. [Non-English content]

Angad Saluja
Analyst, UBS Securities India

Got it. Okay. Got it. Thank you.

Sanjay Gupta
Chairman and Managing Director, APL Apollo Tubes

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question come from the line of Vikas Singh from ICICI Securities. Please go ahead.

Vikas Singh
Analyst, ICICI Securities

Good morning, sir, and thank you for the opportunity, and congratulations on a decent set of number in a very challenging time. Just wanted to understand the sustainability of 5,500 tons margin going forward, considering that the patra and the primary gap is higher, and this quarter you would have benefited from the shortage of material in the galvanized segment. Plus, Dubai is also not picking up. Could you give us a little bit more insight into this?

Sanjay Gupta
Chairman and Managing Director, APL Apollo Tubes

First, yes, margin sensitivity pay, if you say from INR 5,000 per ton- INR 5,500 per ton, the, yeah, to long term basis system could agree. Maybe INR 6,000 + come up with try current situation may yes, sustain. [Non-English content] right now, [audio distortion]

Vikas Singh
Analyst, ICICI Securities

Sir, any portion of the inventory gains would have been involved in this because the prices rise so sharply.

Sanjay Gupta
Chairman and Managing Director, APL Apollo Tubes

Of course, inventory hanging up the inventory. Yeah, we have our books made at old rate maximum price increase 1 April. 1 April almost INR 4,500 price product. Book inventory, yeah, we have old rate. Inventory, if you see our balance sheet, we are almost 25 days inventory level. Scrap branches in stock pending orders OEM and export pending order. I can say key free inventory.

Vikas Singh
Analyst, ICICI Securities

Noted, sir. Sir, in the past, we have seen when the prices rise so quickly, we usually had a problem securing the raw material. Anything, that sort of problem you're facing right now? Or also considering that some of the capacities would have been curtailed, like ArcelorMittal.

Sanjay Gupta
Chairman and Managing Director, APL Apollo Tubes

Yeah. April raw material shortage. I think in the month of May, raw material portion ease. Raw material portion ease, push. To be frank, April portion name out of Mark name out of buyer. We just remain margin focus. Now, May raw material portion ease. We are also trying to push our volume. Let us see. Too early to say. Yearly commitment or guideline, no doubt.

Vikas Singh
Analyst, ICICI Securities

Noted, sir. Sir, last capital allocation policy question. Cash generation is far exceeding our capital requirement. What dividend?

Sanjay Gupta
Chairman and Managing Director, APL Apollo Tubes

Of course. [Non-English content] [cross-talk] once Q1 or Q2 liabilities, no doubt dividend buyback.

Vikas Singh
Analyst, ICICI Securities

We can expect good dividend going forward for this year.

Sanjay Gupta
Chairman and Managing Director, APL Apollo Tubes

I can say yes.

Vikas Singh
Analyst, ICICI Securities

Thank you, sir. That's all from my side. All the best for future.

Sanjay Gupta
Chairman and Managing Director, APL Apollo Tubes

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Bharat Shah from [BCS] Capital Ideas Limited. Please go ahead.

Speaker 14

[Non-English content], Sanjay Ji.

Sanjay Gupta
Chairman and Managing Director, APL Apollo Tubes

[Non-English content] Bharat . [Non-English content].

Speaker 14

[Non-English content]

Sanjay Gupta
Chairman and Managing Director, APL Apollo Tubes

[Non-English content]

Speaker 14

Sanjay Ji, first of all, most delighted at this quarter results. More than the quantum of the growth, it is the outstanding quality of the growth, which is really impressive, I must say. I think the focus on the profit pool, focus on maintaining the hygiene and strength of the sales, which has been there for last several quarters, is finally showing up in a remarkable way in our operating results. What really impressed me was end of December quarter, our net cash on the balance sheet was INR 550 crore. End of March 26, it is INR 1,510 crore. Which means INR 1,000 crore almost cash is being added in a single quarter. While profits have been net profit of INR 350 crore in the quarter.

Net cash added on the balance sheet is being almost INR 1,000 crore. I think this is truly remarkable.

Sanjay Gupta
Chairman and Managing Director, APL Apollo Tubes

Thank you, Bharat. Thank you.

Speaker 14

Yeah. Anubhav, would you like to throw light on that?

Anubhav Gupta
Chief Strategy Officer, APL Apollo Tubes

Sure, Bharat bhai. There are two factors, three factors. One is that during our Q3 call, we had said that we are taking some steps to further rationalize our inventory churn. Okay. Some of the SKUs we wanted to start manufacturing at a single plant rather than being spread out. Which leads to inventory hold-up, raw material inventory hold-up at multiple plants. That strategy actually worked pretty well, where we could almost reduce our absolute Inventory in terms of tonnage by 30,000 tons-40,000 tons. Okay. I mean, if you look at the inventory levels as at 31st December and 31st March in absolute value, there is a INR 250 crore reduction, despite the fact that steel prices went up.

You can imagine that in terms of absolute volume, the reduction is much more. That strategy of inventory rationalization actually worked. Yes, there were because there were some better payment terms from the creditors that also helped our cash flow generation. Then, yes, like you said, INR 350 crore of cash flow generation for the quarter four, which helped in kind of piling above the cash.

Speaker 14

Now, truly remarkable, I must say this. The whole team deserves congratulations because single quarter cash addition of INR 1,000 crore is a really, really remarkable number. Given also lot has happened in a quarter. I mean, these days lot happens every day. In a quarter, so many things have happened and the business has delivered. This is really remarkable. The target after the residual INR 500 crore liability once they are retired, maybe in the first quarter also in the current quarter, I think the target to reach negative working capital remains intact, right?

Anubhav Gupta
Chief Strategy Officer, APL Apollo Tubes

That's right.

Speaker 14

Okay. Finally, Sanjay Ji, when you said the year in entirety, the targets remain intact. Just to refresh my memory on that, are we saying about 20% volume growth, which if I'm not mistaken, we were

Sanjay Gupta
Chairman and Managing Director, APL Apollo Tubes

Bharat bhai, I tell you the last quote to 15%-20% growth.

Speaker 14

15%-20%.

Sanjay Gupta
Chairman and Managing Director, APL Apollo Tubes

15%-20% growth and 20%-25% EBITDA growth.

Speaker 14

Okay.

Sanjay Gupta
Chairman and Managing Director, APL Apollo Tubes

25%-30% PAT growth.

Speaker 14

Okay, fantastic. Okay, that is the guidance that we are talking which remain intact.

Sanjay Gupta
Chairman and Managing Director, APL Apollo Tubes

Yes. Yes. Yeah. Volume main I think 20% [Non-English content].

Speaker 14

Right.

Sanjay Gupta
Chairman and Managing Director, APL Apollo Tubes

We are mainly targeting 15%, but margin point of view pe we are very confident abhi bhi still ki we can achieve much better.

Speaker 14

No, absolutely. Absolutely. I think that focus on maintaining and enhancing actually the quality of the performance rather than-

Sanjay Gupta
Chairman and Managing Director, APL Apollo Tubes

Yes.

Speaker 14

Just the quantum of growth.

Sanjay Gupta
Chairman and Managing Director, APL Apollo Tubes

This is our, this is our main focus area.

Speaker 14

Yeah, it is really remarkable. 40% + ROC, which I think will go even higher in the-

Sanjay Gupta
Chairman and Managing Director, APL Apollo Tubes

Yes.

Speaker 14

fiscal 2027 net cash balance sheet, and yet having global size addition to the capacity and through the challenging time achieving all that, truly remarkable. Hearty congratulations, Sanjay Ji.

Sanjay Gupta
Chairman and Managing Director, APL Apollo Tubes

Thank you, Bharat bhai.

Speaker 14

Okay.

Operator

Thank you, sir. Our next question come from the line of Akshay from AK Investment. Please go ahead.

Akshay Kaila
Analyst, AK Investment

Hi, sir. Thank you for taking my question. First of all, congratulations for the great set of number. Sir, my question is currently for the application-wise, our segment, housing is contributing the maximum as 64%, the second number is the commercial buildings, the third number is infrastructure, 13%. Over the next two years, three years, do we expect that infrastructures and commercial buildings will be share will be higher, due to the government CapEx and all these things?

Anubhav Gupta
Chief Strategy Officer, APL Apollo Tubes

Definitely there should be some improvement in infrastructure and commercial. Commercial has been doing pretty well for last two years, three years, so that mix continues to improve. Infrastructure from the government side has been on slowdown for two years. That's why the residential sales mix improved in the overall pie. Yes, we do expect government to start spending heavily. If it does so there could be 2%-3% improvement in mix from infra side. Otherwise, housing will keep on taking the lead.

Akshay Kaila
Analyst, AK Investment

Okay, sir. All right. Rest of the questions are heavily answered. Thank you so much, and all the best.

Anubhav Gupta
Chief Strategy Officer, APL Apollo Tubes

Thanks.

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, anyone who wishes to ask a question may please start on one. Our next question comes from the line of Darshan Mehta from Dolat Capital. Please go ahead.

Darshan Mehta
Analyst, Dolat Capital

Yeah. Thanks, thanks for giving me the opportunity. My first question was, can you provide us a share of SG Premium to overall volumes in Q4?

Anubhav Gupta
Chief Strategy Officer, APL Apollo Tubes

So it's between-

Darshan Mehta
Analyst, Dolat Capital

Okay.

Anubhav Gupta
Chief Strategy Officer, APL Apollo Tubes

It's between 8%-9 %.

Darshan Mehta
Analyst, Dolat Capital

8%- 9% of total volumes, right?

Anubhav Gupta
Chief Strategy Officer, APL Apollo Tubes

The total volume, yes.

Darshan Mehta
Analyst, Dolat Capital

Okay. Okay. Not general products, total volumes. Yeah. Also our other expenses, I think, have grown 13% QoQ. Just wanted to know, is there any specific reason for this, or is this in line with normal operating activity?

Anubhav Gupta
Chief Strategy Officer, APL Apollo Tubes

There are two things, three things here. One is, the freight cost. The outward freight cost was a bit higher in the quarter four, okay, on QoQ basis because there was a shutdown of our operations in a few plants, right, because of gas shortage. We had to feed the market from the other plants. That's why, the outward freight was a bit higher. Secondly, we did some branding expenses in the quarter four, that was higher on QoQ basis. These are the two main factors.

Darshan Mehta
Analyst, Dolat Capital

Okay, okay. Just wanted to understand. Let's say if the war had not broken, but still, let's say we would have seen the same increase in steel prices, the sporadic rise that we have seen in steel prices between Q3 to now. In that scenario, could we have made EBITDA ton in excess of INR 5,500? Why I'm coming on this question is, if you would have lost some volumes, that means that operating leverage would not have really kicked in in your numbers, but still you were able to make INR 5,500.

Just wanted to understand, is this purely because of lower HRC price that you would have seen in your inventory that has actually kicked in EBITDA ton or is there anything else? Hello?

Anubhav Gupta
Chief Strategy Officer, APL Apollo Tubes

Darshan, I mean, during our quarter three call, we had guided for around near about 1 million ton of sales volume in quarter four with INR 5,300-INR 5,500 EBITDA, okay, for the full quarter. Till 28 February, we were pretty much on track to achieve these numbers. When the crisis started, this whole disruption started to hurt the operations in Middle East, in India because of gas shortage and then in steel shortage and steel price hike. Yes, I mean, if war had not started, we would have met our guidance, which we had given in the quarter three.

Darshan Mehta
Analyst, Dolat Capital

Understood. irrespective of the rise in steel price that we are seeing. I'm not talking about Q4. Let's say when in Q1, assuming steel prices are where they are currently, and do we think that in terms of-

Anubhav Gupta
Chief Strategy Officer, APL Apollo Tubes

Darshan, sorry.

Darshan Mehta
Analyst, Dolat Capital

Hmm.

Anubhav Gupta
Chief Strategy Officer, APL Apollo Tubes

It is tough to say, you know, that steel prices increased, pretty much after war also. There was some increase during January, February.

Darshan Mehta
Analyst, Dolat Capital

Hmm.

Anubhav Gupta
Chief Strategy Officer, APL Apollo Tubes

January and February, but after war, the acceleration in steel prices, was pretty high.

Darshan Mehta
Analyst, Dolat Capital

Understood.

Anubhav Gupta
Chief Strategy Officer, APL Apollo Tubes

Okay.

Darshan Mehta
Analyst, Dolat Capital

Understood. Understood. Fine.

Anubhav Gupta
Chief Strategy Officer, APL Apollo Tubes

Thanks.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Amit Murarka from Axis Capital. Please go ahead.

Amit Murarka
Analyst, Axis Capital

Yeah. Hi, good morning. Just wanted to understand, like, your market share movements. I believe these kind of disruptions that we are seeing, let say the issue around fuel availability, around metal availability, is it fair to say that this is structurally positive for you wherein you gain market share from the unorganized players?

Anubhav Gupta
Chief Strategy Officer, APL Apollo Tubes

Amit, which we did, definitely, okay. Like, we have demonstrated this similar trends during COVID times, okay? The industry leaders, the strong players, they always benefit from the like disruption which impact the overall industry. Yes, I mean, it that the resilience of our business model that we can maneuver our strategy based on the conditions which keep on coming and going. Yes, I mean, at the same time we wish that things become back to normal so that whatever guidance we have given for the full year, we are smoothly able to achieve that.

Amit Murarka
Analyst, Axis Capital

I wanted to understand more the market behavior honestly here. Like we have seen in other industries also generally high inflation sometimes also lead to downtrading and actually some gains to the unorganized players. In that context, I wanted to understand, like, is this current situation that way positive for you on a structural basis, or would you see fear some downtrading to happen because of the high inflation?

Anubhav Gupta
Chief Strategy Officer, APL Apollo Tubes

See, I mean, Amit, see this disruption is not gonna stay for more than like six months, okay? I mean, any expert you talk about, people keep on saying that, it's been two months.

Amit Murarka
Analyst, Axis Capital

No, it was, it was earlier two weeks, honestly, but it's been stretching quite a bit. We don't know.

Anubhav Gupta
Chief Strategy Officer, APL Apollo Tubes

That's what.

Amit Murarka
Analyst, Axis Capital

Yeah, we don't know.

Anubhav Gupta
Chief Strategy Officer, APL Apollo Tubes

Yeah, that's what. Yes. If it is for, say, four months put together, two months have been passed and another two months, then whatever benefit we could get, we have already achieved that, right? In terms of market share gains, in terms of pricing power, in terms of margin improvement. Okay, but yes, if it goes beyond like four months, right? Obviously the weaker players, right, they may not be able to run their plants because of gas shortage. Obviously larger players have access to resources. We have seen that in other industries, similarly in building materials.

Yes, I mean, whenever disruption takes place, stronger companies, larger companies, organized players, they will definitely benefit at the cost of weaker players. Yes, I mean, to answer your question, I mean, if things get wrong, like more than what anyone is expecting, then obviously the benefits will keep on accruing more and more for stronger players.

Amit Murarka
Analyst, Axis Capital

Got it. Got it. That's all from me. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Rajesh Ravi from HDFC Securities. Please go ahead.

Rajesh Ravi
Analyst, HDFC Securities

Hi, good morning. Am I audible?

Operator

Yes, sure.

Rajesh Ravi
Analyst, HDFC Securities

Yeah, congratulations to the team for a good set of numbers. My first question pertains to, you know, the inventory which has come down significantly materially low, and I think this was as per guidance. Just wanted to understand the sustainability of the current levels, or is it like, this was also an impact of some destocking or there will be a turmoil?

Anubhav Gupta
Chief Strategy Officer, APL Apollo Tubes

Rajesh, Sanjiv's mission is to bring it further down, okay? That's what he has given mandate to the relevant team to keep on bringing the inventory levels down and down and down. Yes, I mean, whatever we have achieved as at March 2026, it is highly sustainable.

Rajesh Ravi
Analyst, HDFC Securities

Great. That's really nice to hear. On the EBITDA front, Sanjiv, sir mentioned around 20%-22% EBITDA growth and in which you are factoring close to 15% for the volume growth and margin expanding of on that close to INR 5,500. Is this understanding correct? For FY 2027?

Anubhav Gupta
Chief Strategy Officer, APL Apollo Tubes

For FY 2027, EBITDA guidance.

Sanjay Gupta
Chairman and Managing Director, APL Apollo Tubes

FY 2027 our volume growth is very clear, we are targeting 15%-20%.

Rajesh Ravi
Analyst, HDFC Securities

Correct.

Sanjay Gupta
Chairman and Managing Director, APL Apollo Tubes

EBITDA growth is 20%-25%.

Rajesh Ravi
Analyst, HDFC Securities

Correct.

Sanjay Gupta
Chairman and Managing Director, APL Apollo Tubes

PAT growth is 25%-30%.

Rajesh Ravi
Analyst, HDFC Securities

Yes. Yes. Great. Just wanted to understand the structure of-

Sanjay Gupta
Chairman and Managing Director, APL Apollo Tubes

Rajesh, in this scenario you can cut the lower side 15%, 20%, 35%. If the things better, you can take the higher side.

Rajesh Ravi
Analyst, HDFC Securities

Great. Just wanted to understand this INR 5,500 odd which works out to be at least on the EBITDA margin. You know.

Sanjay Gupta
Chairman and Managing Director, APL Apollo Tubes

Yeah.

Rajesh Ravi
Analyst, HDFC Securities

What would drive this? Is it the better product mix or, what?

Sanjay Gupta
Chairman and Managing Director, APL Apollo Tubes

Better product. Better product mix. Cost of mark of this quarter because of the low volumes. This is a better product mix.

Rajesh Ravi
Analyst, HDFC Securities

Better product mix is what will drive up your margins. Okay.

Sanjay Gupta
Chairman and Managing Director, APL Apollo Tubes

Yeah.

Rajesh Ravi
Analyst, HDFC Securities

Sir on the April you mentioned that the volume growth had been muted or volume had been muted. What does this mean? This is low single-digit growth you are indicating or flattish. How should we read into the April and May volume coming through?

Sanjay Gupta
Chairman and Managing Director, APL Apollo Tubes

Of-

Rajesh Ravi
Analyst, HDFC Securities

In general, what is the construction level impact?

Sanjay Gupta
Chairman and Managing Director, APL Apollo Tubes

very frankly, 2.5 lakh ton.

Rajesh Ravi
Analyst, HDFC Securities

Mm-hmm.

Sanjay Gupta
Chairman and Managing Director, APL Apollo Tubes

May, early two days, three days [Non-English content].

Rajesh Ravi
Analyst, HDFC Securities

Yes.

Sanjay Gupta
Chairman and Managing Director, APL Apollo Tubes

7.92 lakh ton. 2.5 lakh ton, 2.75 lakh ton or 3 lakh ton 2.5 lakh ton plus 3.25 lakh ton. It's 75% of them. [audio distortion]

Rajesh Ravi
Analyst, HDFC Securities

Okay. Understood. Understood. Okay. Next two months you're looking at May and June, better traction to happen.

Sanjay Gupta
Chairman and Managing Director, APL Apollo Tubes

Yeah. [Non-English content]. We are now a little bit aggressive in the market. Maybe we can do 3 lakh ton and June we are back on track with 3.5 lakh ton.

Rajesh Ravi
Analyst, HDFC Securities

Super. This margin performance of March quarter, you believe that this could be repeated in?

Sanjay Gupta
Chairman and Managing Director, APL Apollo Tubes

Yeah, this is sustainable. [Non-English content]

Rajesh Ravi
Analyst, HDFC Securities

Great. Lastly, you said, I just wanted to, you know, that you mentioned that the surplus cash beyond, whatever, you know, short-term liabilities you want to, reduce.

Sanjay Gupta
Chairman and Managing Director, APL Apollo Tubes

Yeah.

Rajesh Ravi
Analyst, HDFC Securities

Whatever surplus is there, you will use that to either increase dividend or do a buyback.

Sanjay Gupta
Chairman and Managing Director, APL Apollo Tubes

Yes.

Rajesh Ravi
Analyst, HDFC Securities

Great. That's all from my side. All the best. Thank you.

Sanjay Gupta
Chairman and Managing Director, APL Apollo Tubes

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, anyone who wishes to ask a question may press star and one on the touchtone telephone. Our next question comes from the line of Onkar Ghugardare from Shree Investments. Please go ahead.

Onkar Ghugardare
Analyst, Shree Investments

Good morning, sir. My question is regarding whatever the commentary you have given, it looks like there are more headwinds than the tailwinds currently. Given whatever the situation on ground is, that's the correct understanding?

Anubhav Gupta
Chief Strategy Officer, APL Apollo Tubes

Yes, of course. I mean, whatever happening, globally and, in the domestic markets, yes, you have assessed it pretty right.

Onkar Ghugardare
Analyst, Shree Investments

I mean, I've, I have to say then this is only and only because of the war-like situation, right? Before the war broke out, you were quite bullish. I mean, in fact, you raised the guidance as well in the quarter three. Whatever is. Yeah.

Anubhav Gupta
Chief Strategy Officer, APL Apollo Tubes

Yeah. We are not reducing our guidance as of now, right? For the absolute EBITDA.

Onkar Ghugardare
Analyst, Shree Investments

Correct. Correct.

Anubhav Gupta
Chief Strategy Officer, APL Apollo Tubes

Okay. Yes, I mean, like, we were discussing on the previous call, every disruption brings some opportunities for the better companies, and we try to grab that in our favor.

Onkar Ghugardare
Analyst, Shree Investments

Yeah, like, Another question regarding this was like, now you have a good amount of cash. With the financial strength you have on the balance sheet, like how can you capture more and more market share from the competitors given the current situation? Because they must be also suffered quite a lot. If the biggest player is suffering, I mean, giving a flattish kind of growth or low single digit kind of growth, so their situation would be even worse. So how can you use the financial strength to gain even more market share from competitors?

Anubhav Gupta
Chief Strategy Officer, APL Apollo Tubes

This is what if you look at our market share in FY 2026 versus FY 2025, our market share has improved to 60%, 65% from 55%. Okay. This can continue to improve if disruption continues to hurt our competition more than, than the larger player like Apollo.

Onkar Ghugardare
Analyst, Shree Investments

I mean, what kind of steps you are taking to gain that kind of market share, given the strength you have financially?

Anubhav Gupta
Chief Strategy Officer, APL Apollo Tubes

One is the capacity building. Okay. The CapEx is fully funded from internal cash flows. We were not present in East India much, right? Putting up two plants in East India will help us compete intensively with the local smaller players there. That results we will start seeing in next one to two years as our both plants become operational. Second, we are building capacities for lighter structures in South India, where again, we believe that we have that we can gain more market share, okay, if we increase our capacities there. Our new Bangalore plant, which we call it Mandur 2, that we are going to build up over the next two years.

That again is on the back of strong balance sheet where my large CapEx will be funded from operating cash flows. Balance sheet can only help fund CapEx right, without spending without leveraging. This is what we are building, capacity building. Second, branding also with better margins. We will spend a bit extra on branding this year, which will again help us gain market share.

Onkar Ghugardare
Analyst, Shree Investments

This capacity building, exactly as you are saying, is like more of a mid to long term kind of a thing, right? Immediately in the short term, like what you are doing in this war-like situation to gain from the competitors, given the strength you have financially.

Anubhav Gupta
Chief Strategy Officer, APL Apollo Tubes

mainly working on SKU management and branding. These are the two things we are doing.

Onkar Ghugardare
Analyst, Shree Investments

Okay. I mean, like more dealerships or something like that, you are doing anything with the dealers you are doing?

Anubhav Gupta
Chief Strategy Officer, APL Apollo Tubes

Dealership and existing territories are fully leveraged. I mean, there is no scope to add new dealers in the existing territories. New markets where we are going, there we are developing new network.

Onkar Ghugardare
Analyst, Shree Investments

Okay. All right. Thank you, sir.

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, anyone who wishes to ask a question, press star then one. Our next question comes from the line of Renjith Sivaram from Mahindra Manulife Mutual Fund. Please go ahead.

Renjith Sivaram
Analyst, Mahindra Manulife Mutual Fund

Hi, sir. Just wanted to understand, like, was there any impact from this LPG shortage or anything in your overall operation?

Anubhav Gupta
Chief Strategy Officer, APL Apollo Tubes

Can you be a bit louder, please?

Renjith Sivaram
Analyst, Mahindra Manulife Mutual Fund

Yeah. Am I audible now? Hello?

Anubhav Gupta
Chief Strategy Officer, APL Apollo Tubes

Yeah, go ahead.

Renjith Sivaram
Analyst, Mahindra Manulife Mutual Fund

Was there any impact from this LPG shortage in our business and do you have any backup plan for that?

Anubhav Gupta
Chief Strategy Officer, APL Apollo Tubes

Definitely month of March, two of our product categories in India, the rust proof pipes and coated products, they faced temporary shutdowns at few locations. Our plants moved to alternate fuel. There was disruption of 10 days-15 days. Yes. There was definitely some disruption because of that.

Renjith Sivaram
Analyst, Mahindra Manulife Mutual Fund

Okay. Going ahead, what is your backup plan that you have now kind of mitigated this thing?

Anubhav Gupta
Chief Strategy Officer, APL Apollo Tubes

Right. Alternate fuels have helped the capacity ramp up at those locations. It's just that, I mean, that fear of energy crisis coming back is always there. Okay. Things have become much better than what they were for those two weeks in month of March. Still, because of fear factor, we would say that we are operating at 90% level, not 100% levels.

Renjith Sivaram
Analyst, Mahindra Manulife Mutual Fund

Okay. the 15%-20% growth guidance which you are giving is factoring in this, right?

Anubhav Gupta
Chief Strategy Officer, APL Apollo Tubes

Of course, yes. I mean, unless things become really worse from here. If there is like shortage of fuel to run vehicles, cars, automobiles, then it will be like extraordinary situation which will make us reconsider our business plans.

Renjith Sivaram
Analyst, Mahindra Manulife Mutual Fund

Like, in the near demand industries where you supply these, so they will be also facing similarly such issues in terms of shortage and do you see the demand will be enough to support this kind of a growth? It is the market share gains?

Anubhav Gupta
Chief Strategy Officer, APL Apollo Tubes

It will be combination of both, right. Our material goes at the construction sites, right? Construction sites got halted for multiple reasons, labor shortage. All raw material prices at construction sites went up. Steel, tiles, plumbing pipes, paints, right? Many construction materials. Contractors, they try to delay the purchases. Okay. Once things settle down, contractors will renegotiate pricing with their customers, right? Things will start coming back on track. This pent-up demand will come back and we are hoping that we will be able to take share from that. And that's why we are giving that 15%-20% volume guidance. Yes, of course, if things become further worse from here, okay, then we'll see. Then we'll evaluate again.

Right now, talking to, like whatever is happening, around us, it looks like things should settle down quickly and we will be able to achieve our volume guidance.

Renjith Sivaram
Analyst, Mahindra Manulife Mutual Fund

Okay, sir. Thanks, and all the best.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Devarshi Jani from an individual investor. Please go ahead.

Devarshi Jani
Shareholder, Private Investor

Hello.

Operator

Please go ahead.

Anubhav Gupta
Chief Strategy Officer, APL Apollo Tubes

Yes, sir.

Devarshi Jani
Shareholder, Private Investor

Okay. Thank you for opportunity. I'll just one thing about the value-added, a related question. You have reported the value-added sales mix of 25% in Q4. It's down only, down slightly from 57% in Q3. Despite this, EBITDA per ton rose to a record high. It's like INR 5,525. Can you bridge with this gap? Was it driven by the inventory gap or better spread in your general category which saw a jump to INR 3,405 EBITDA per ton, or a specific cost efficiency at Raipur plant, sir?

Anubhav Gupta
Chief Strategy Officer, APL Apollo Tubes

There were two reasons. Number one is the APL Apollo brand premium, okay, which led to better pricing in general category. If you remember that we had increased the pricing for Apollo General segment in January of 2025, okay, by almost INR 1,500 per ton.

Devarshi Jani
Shareholder, Private Investor

Yes.

Anubhav Gupta
Chief Strategy Officer, APL Apollo Tubes

That increase, that price hike is straightaway coming to our EBITDA for the general product. That's why from INR 2,000 per ton EBITDA level, we are at INR 3,500 per ton plus level in general. This is the main driver of the profitability. The second, yes, of course, cost rationalization steps we keep on taking 24/7. Some measures keep on delivering results.

Devarshi Jani
Shareholder, Private Investor

Okay, my next question related to ESG and decarbonization. Now that you have achieved the SBTi validation, what is the incremental CapEx required annually to meet 25% emission reduction targeted 2030? Will it impact manufacturing cost per ton significantly?

Anubhav Gupta
Chief Strategy Officer, APL Apollo Tubes

No. In fact, whatever, I mean, whatever steps we take, for better ESG compliance, it actually results in lower costs. For example, you invest into renewable energy, right? That brings down your overall cost per ton, power cost per ton, right?

Devarshi Jani
Shareholder, Private Investor

Mm-hmm.

Anubhav Gupta
Chief Strategy Officer, APL Apollo Tubes

In fact, we are experiencing opposite, that you invest into ESG compliance, it actually end up yielding better results for you in terms of cost optimization.

Devarshi Jani
Shareholder, Private Investor

Okay. Thank you so much, sir, for answering, sir. Rest of the question already answered. Thank you all. Thank you for opportunity and best of luck for next quarter, sir.

Anubhav Gupta
Chief Strategy Officer, APL Apollo Tubes

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Rajesh Ravi from HDFC Securities. Please go ahead.

Rajesh Ravi
Analyst, HDFC Securities

Sir, just a follow-up question. Given the current steel prices and, you know, how would be the realization number looking sequentially even versus Q4 with the current prices?

Anubhav Gupta
Chief Strategy Officer, APL Apollo Tubes

Rajesh. Yeah. Rajesh, can you please repeat?

Rajesh Ravi
Analyst, HDFC Securities

Yeah, yeah, sure. I'm saying, based on the current steel prices which are significantly higher and have been rising even in April. You know, in this scenario, I'm sure not everything would have been captured in Q4 numbers in realization. What sort of price increase on an average, you know, is your current sense versus Q4 average?

Anubhav Gupta
Chief Strategy Officer, APL Apollo Tubes

Prices like if you look at the HRC prices, in the market, they are up by around from March to May, or I would say from April to May, they are up by around INR 3,000 per ton.

Rajesh Ravi
Analyst, HDFC Securities

Mm-hmm.

Anubhav Gupta
Chief Strategy Officer, APL Apollo Tubes

Yeah. That much price hike we took Rajesh.

Rajesh Ravi
Analyst, HDFC Securities

Okay. That is what would be reflected even in your realization and cost number.

Anubhav Gupta
Chief Strategy Officer, APL Apollo Tubes

Cost, yes.

Rajesh Ravi
Analyst, HDFC Securities

Okay. Okay. You know, just last, responding to Rishab from this inventory gain. I believe somewhere during the call you mentioned you have 10 days- 15 days of finished goods inventory, you know, obviously, which is quite clean.

Anubhav Gupta
Chief Strategy Officer, APL Apollo Tubes

Finishing inventory, Rajesh. Raw material. Raw material inventory is 15 days.

Rajesh Ravi
Analyst, HDFC Securities

Raw material, okay. HRC rather. You know, the HRC prices which is going up, would you have to mark up your inventories and would have that led to some inventory gain in Q4?

Anubhav Gupta
Chief Strategy Officer, APL Apollo Tubes

Rajesh, what happens is that since our overall inventory churn is less than 30 days, and in India steel prices are revised once a month, okay? By the time next cycle comes up, we are already out of our previous cycle.

Rajesh Ravi
Analyst, HDFC Securities

Okay.

Anubhav Gupta
Chief Strategy Officer, APL Apollo Tubes

Correct? That's why the mark to market is not significant. It's like very, very minuscule.

Rajesh Ravi
Analyst, HDFC Securities

Right.

Anubhav Gupta
Chief Strategy Officer, APL Apollo Tubes

Net inventory days, are higher than 30 days, then there will be mark to market, in my balance sheet.

Rajesh Ravi
Analyst, HDFC Securities

Understood. Understood. Basically, none of your numbers would have any pileup of inventory. In case if steel prices were to again come back, you won't have any issues over this.

Anubhav Gupta
Chief Strategy Officer, APL Apollo Tubes

That's right. It only happens when there is significant drop in steel prices. Sometimes like what we have seen, like, there will be like a time when steel price are revised twice in a month, okay, which happens once in a decade, okay? There could be like, you know, some gains or losses, okay, which would be significant. Otherwise, 11 out of 12 months, steel prices are revised once in a month. That doesn't hurt us.

Rajesh Ravi
Analyst, HDFC Securities

Agreed. Agreed.

Anubhav Gupta
Chief Strategy Officer, APL Apollo Tubes

Yeah.

Rajesh Ravi
Analyst, HDFC Securities

Great. That's all from my end. Thank you and all the best.

Anubhav Gupta
Chief Strategy Officer, APL Apollo Tubes

Thanks.

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, that was the last question for today. I'll now hand the conference over to the management for the closing remarks. Thank you, and over to you, team.

Anubhav Gupta
Chief Strategy Officer, APL Apollo Tubes

Thank you everyone for joining us, and thanks, Emkay team for hosting us. Look forward to see you in the next quarter. Have a good day.

Operator

Thank you so much, sir. Ladies and gentlemen, on behalf of Emkay Global Financial Services Limited, that concludes this conference. Thank you for joining us, you may now disconnect your lines.

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