Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the OMV Petrom's earnings call. Today's presentation will last around 30 minutes and will be recorded. By now, you should have received the presentation by email. The slides and the speech are also available online on www.omvpetrom.com in the investors' section. This also includes the questionnaire statement regarding forward-looking statements. Now, let me hand over to Simona Cruțu, Manager of the Investor Relations and Stakeholder Engagement Department, who will moderate the event.
Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen, and thank you for joining us. We'll have a presentation followed by a Q&A session. Christina Verchere, Chief Executive Officer, will provide the key highlights about the macroeconomic and regulatory environment, as well as the performance of our business segment. Alina Popa, Chief Financial Officer, will give you more details on our financial performance and the brief outlook. Afterwards, they will be available to answer your questions. We recommend you to register for the Q&A session during the presentation by pressing star one one on your telephone keypad. You can also register during the Q&A session itself. I'm now handing over to Christina.
Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen, and a warm welcome to our conference call that will take you through our performance in the first quarter of 2025. Please let me first draw your attention to our legal disclaimer, which you can read in detail on slide two. On slide three, we present the key highlights for the first quarter. Operational performance was strong in the first quarter. However, the context of lower and volatile commodity prices and margins, and also the regulatory environment, impacted our financial performance, partially offset by integration benefits. At RON 1.3 billion, our first quarter Clean CCS Operating Result was 29% lower year-on-year. Our operating cash flow in the first quarter of 2025 declined by 11% year-on-year and reached RON 2.7 billion. The Clean CCS Return on Average Capital Employed reached 13.3 percentage points.
I will go into details with each business division later on in this presentation. However, I would like to point out that our hydrocarbon production recorded the lowest year-on-year decline for a first quarter in the past five years, and marking even a slight increase quarter on quarter. The high utilization of the Petrobrazi refinery and our continuous focus on costs contributed also to our results. Gas and power business was negatively affected by regulations. However, overall, still positive at an integrated company level. During the first quarter, we further progressed and focused on delivering on our three strategic pillars. In our strategic pillar, grow regional gas, our Neptun Deep project is progressing as planned. In March, we started drilling in the Pelican South field while progressing with the fabrication of equipment and construction of the natural gas metering station. We also continued gas marketing activities.
Additionally, in March, we closed the transaction with NewMed Energy, and we are advancing exploration activities in Bulgaria's Han Asparuh offshore block, aiming to start drilling an exploration well this year. We are also making significant progress in strategic pillar transition to low-zero carbon. In February, we started the construction of the sustainable fuels unit at our Petrobrazi refinery, a EUR 750 million investment which integrates sustainable fuel production along with two facilities for green hydrogen. Thus, we will become the first major producer of sustainable fuels in Southeast Europe, contributing to the energy transition. Recently, we announced the signing of design and execution contracts for four PV parks in our partnership with CE Oltenia. The four projects envisage a total installed capacity of approximately 550 MW, higher than the initially estimated capacity of 450 MW, built on contractors' updated solutions aiming to maximize power production.
The total investment for the four PV parks exceeds EUR 450 million, of which approximately 70% is to be financed through the Modernization Fund. OMV Petrom and CE Oltenia are equal partners in the project, each holding a 50% stake. Last week, the General Meeting of Shareholders approved the distribution of a base dividend of RON 0.0444 per share. The payment will be made starting the 3rd of June. In addition, around the middle of 2025, the Executive Board will decide if a special dividend distribution is to be proposed. On HSSE, the total recordable injury rate for the period April 2024 to March 2025 was 0.47. Moreover, we continued our efforts to reduce greenhouse gas intensity with projects in all three business divisions. Now, let us take a look at the evolution of commodity prices in the first quarter of 2025.
Oil prices were supported in January by additional sanctions targeting trade in Russian oil. However, prices weakened over February and into March as markets became more concerned about global economic growth on the back of the emerging U.S. trade policy. Brent averaged $76 per barrel in the first quarter, a decrease of 9% year-on-year, but an increase of 1% quarter on quarter. OMV Petrom Indicator Refining Margin reached $8.23 per barrel in the first quarter, 35% lower year-on-year, mainly due to lower middle distillate and gasoline crack spreads. European spot gas prices increased by mid-February, supported by large extraction from storages due to high demand. Prices eased in the second half of the quarter as energy inflows increased and as demand tailed off seasonally. At an average of EUR 49 per megawatt hour, the CEGH price was up by more than 70% year-on-year and 10% up quarter on quarter.
Gas prices on the Romanian supplies market increased at a higher pace, partly due to some storage extraction restrictions on the local market. The day-ahead prices were around EUR 51 per megawatt hour, 28% higher quarter on quarter and 88% higher year-on-year. Baseline electricity prices in Romania were broadly flat quarter on quarter, but increased 82% year-on-year to an average of EUR 134 per megawatt hour. This increase reflects the challenges of the power system due to the temporary low hydro and wind power available, which required more energy from gas and coal sources. The average CO2 price increased by 24% year-on-year, EUR 73 per ton of CO2, from the very low levels recorded in the first quarter of 2024. Looking now at the Romanian macroeconomic environment, the latest available data shows that in 2024, GDP increased by only 0.9% year-on-year.
Last week, the IMF reduced projected GDP growth for 2025 for Romania from 3.3% to 1.6%. For 2026, Romanian GDP is now forecast to grow by 2.8%, reduced from the previous 3.7%. Though the expectations are softening, Romania remains above the EU average estimates of 1.2% in 2025 and 1.5% in 2026. The consumer price index for the month of March 2025 versus March 2024 was 4.9%. Recently, Romania was reconfirmed at investment grade, still with a downward revision of outlook from stable to negative. This was driven by the high budget deficit as well as a weaker growth outlook. Looking at the Romanian energy sector in the first quarter of 2025, demand, based on our internal estimates, slightly increased for all our products. Demand for retail fuels slightly increased by less than 1% year-on-year.
Commercial demand was down by 8% year-on-year due to weak industrial sector evolution, coupled with a seasonal increase of energy costs due to colder weather. Gas demand increased by 2% year-on-year, generated by higher consumption from households and small and medium enterprises due to very cold weather in February. Power demand was 1% higher year-on-year, while domestic production significantly decreased by 15% year-on-year, making Romania a net importer of power in the first quarter of 2025, compared to a net exporter in the similar period of the previous year. The contribution of hydro, wind, and gas to the overall generation mix significantly decreased year-on-year, while electricity from solar and coal power sources increased year-on-year. Turning to the fiscal and regulatory framework for our markets, in the context of Romania's high fiscal deficit, a tax on the net value of certain constructions was introduced as of the 1st of January 2025.
The 0.5% approved is lower than the 1% on gross asset value initially announced at the end of 2024. As a result, we have lowered our estimated impact on OMV Petrom for 2025 from mid to low double-digit million euro. The 0.5% tax on turnover introduced in 2024 for two years remains applicable also in 2025. We maintain our estimate on the impact from this tax to below RON 250 million in 2025. The gas and power sector in Romania remains highly regulated, with more than half of our gas and power sales portfolio subject to some form of regulation or taxation. The Ordinance 32, in effect since April 2024, was prolonged by Ordinance 6, 2025, until the end of June this year for electricity and until the end of March 2026 for gas.
It also brought some changes, which slightly reduced the regulatory pressure, as the contribution to the Energy Transition Fund decreased from 100% to 80%, and the trading profit margin increased from 10% to 20%. We reiterate our belief that free market principles are fundamental for investments and that interventions should be temporary in nature. Let me now move to the performance of our divisions, starting with exploration and production. Clean operating result in exploration and production increased by 14% year-on-year to RON 0.8 billion in the first quarter of 2025, driven by higher gas price, low depreciation, and favorable foreign exchange effect, partly offset by higher gas taxation, lower oil price, lower sales volumes, and higher production costs.
Hydrocarbon production in the first quarter continued the strong performance, with a year-on-year decrease of 3.7%, supported by the contribution from work over jobs and drilling, managing to partly compensate the natural decline. Moreover, production was slightly higher quarter on quarter, with an increase of 1.3% in gas, partly offset by a decrease of 0.8% in oil. Production cost per barrel of oil equivalent increased year-on-year by 7% to $17, reflecting lower volumes available for sale and increased costs, including the newly introduced construction tax, with an impact of $0.34 per barrel of oil equivalent. For the full year 2025, we largely maintain the guidance provided in April. We now estimate Brent oil price to be around $70 per barrel, compared to our previous expectation of $75 per barrel. We expect to produce around 104,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day, considering no divestments.
For the time being, we still see the production cost at around $16 per barrel of oil equivalent, which is challenging given the expectation of a persisting inflationary pressure on our costs and the new construction tax. CapEx in E&P is estimated to be around RON 5.8 billion. Alina will provide more details on this later. In refining and marketing, the Clean CCS Operating Result decreased by 18% year-on-year to RON 0.4 billion in the first quarter of 2025, mainly due to lower refining margins. This was partly offset by increased refining utilization rate and higher sales channel margins. Retail sales were flat year-on-year; however, total refined product sales volume decreased by 7% year-on-year, reflecting lower exports. For the full year 2025, we estimate the Indicator Refining Margin to range between $7 and $8 per barrel.
The refinery utilization rate is estimated to be between 90% and 95% due to a 20-day planned shutdown in the second quarter. We estimate demand for retail fuels products in Romania to be slightly above 2024. For total refined product sales, we see a slightly lower year-on-year performance, with slightly higher retail fuel sales following demand. In gas and power, we recorded lower results in both gas and power business lines, leading to a loss of RON 86 million, being further impacted by regulatory framework and market developments. In the gas business, we had good operational performance with higher sales volumes year-on-year; however, a lower contribution was achieved year-on-year, reflecting declining margins on both equity and third-party acquisition gas, partly compensated by higher margins from the gas extracted from storage.
The power business continued to be significantly affected by the changes in the legislation introduced starting April 2024 and reflected higher power overtaxation and higher gas costs in the quarter. We achieved good results on the balancing and ancillary services market, as well as from volumes bought from third parties. The Brazi Power Plant generated 1.2 TWh in the first quarter, covering 9% of Romania's generation mix. For the full year 2025, our total gas sales volumes are envisioned to decrease, mainly on lower supply and trading opportunities. The net electrical output is expected to be stable year-on-year. Please let me now hand over to Alina for more details on the financial results of the first quarter of 2025.
Thank you, Christina, and good afternoon also from my side.
I will continue the presentation with slide 11, starting with some highlights on the income statement and also presenting key developments in our cash flow statement. Group clean operating result decreased by 29% year-on-year to RON 1.3 billion, with higher result in E&P and lower result in the downstream divisions. The clean consolidation line was RON 154 million in the first quarter of 2025, mainly as a result of the gas volumes extracted from storage. For the first quarter of 2025, we recorded inventory holding losses of RON 5 million, compared to RON 23 million of gains in the first quarter of 2024. We also recorded net special charges of RON 15 million. For comparison, in the first quarter of 2024, we recorded net special charges of RON 193 million, mainly driven by the net temporary effects from power forward contracts.
In the first quarter of 2025, the net income attributable to stockholders decreased by 24% year-on-year to RON 1.1 billion. The 0.5% tax on revenue introduced in 2024 amounted to around RON 51 million, mostly booked in the refining and marketing segment. As for the newly introduced 0.5% tax on constructions, we booked in the first quarter around RON 20 million, mostly in the exploration and production division. With regard to our cash flow statement, in the first quarter of 2025, the cash generated from operating activities before net working capital movements was 23% lower year-on-year at RON 2.2 billion. Working capital changes led to a cash inflow of RON 445 million in the first quarter of 2025, compared to RON 124 million in the first quarter of 2024. The higher cash inflows reflect mainly higher liabilities related to acquisitions of petroleum products, gas, and electricity.
Consequently, the operating cash flow in the first quarter of 2025 amounted to RON 2.7 billion, compared to RON 3 billion in the previous year. Our net payments for investing activities amounted to RON 1.6 billion, an increase of 44% year-on-year. This mainly reflects a cash outflow for organic CapEx amounted to RON 1.4 billion and a net cash outflow for investment in government bonds of RON 0.2 billion. The net cash position, including leases, decreased to RON 8.1 billion at the end of the first quarter of 2025 versus RON 14.4 billion at the end of March 2024. Our base dividends for the financial year 2024, amounting to RON 2.8 billion, will be paid starting June 3rd, 2025. Moving now to slide 12, total CapEx for the first three months of 2025 was RON 1.4 billion, 44% higher year-on-year.
75% of this amount was spent in exploration and production, mainly for the Neptun Deep project. In addition, we finalized the drilling of six new wells and side tracks and performed 115 workover jobs. In refining and marketing, investments increased by 86% to almost RON 300 million, mainly as a result of projects related to the transition to low and zero carbon activities, such as SAF/HVO u nit and e-mobility, as well as preparation works for the 20-day refinery shutdown in May. In gas and power, we invested RON 50 million, mainly for the finalization of the acquisition of 100% shares in OMV Gas Marketing and Trading Hungary and for investments in Brazi Power Plant. For full year 2025, assuming a predictable and competitive regulatory and fiscal environment, we maintain the guidance provided in February. We plan organic CapEx of around RON 8 billion, more than 25% higher year-on-year.
Additionally, potential inorganic CapEx is estimated at up to RON 0.6 billion, mainly in connection to the M&A transactions in gas and power segment announced in 2024. Let me move to outlook on slide 13. We have presented already our expectations for the relevant indicators for 2025. As a result, this year, in the context of higher planned investments, we expect the free cash flow before dividends to be negative, decreasing further our net cash position as planned. We are closely monitoring events on the global agenda and permanently assess their impact on our business. For now, the assumptions and targets communicated at the beginning of the year for the period 2026-2027 still hold. Depending on how the context evolves in the coming months, we will provide an update guidance as appropriate.
We are confident that our strong financial position and integrated business model will help us navigate in this volatile environment. With this, we conclude our presentation, and thank you for your attention. We are now available for your questions.
Thank you, Alina. Let me remind you that if you want to ask a question, you need to press star one one on your telephone keypad. Once again, to ask a question, please press star one one. We will now pause for a moment to assemble the queue.
Now we are going to take our first question. It comes to the line of Ioana Andrei from Alpha Bank Romania. Your line is open. Please ask the question.
Good afternoon, and thank you for the presentation and for taking my questions. I have a couple of questions. First, regarding gas regulation, can you disclose the volumes required to be sold at the regulated prices for the full year and the first quarter of 2026? Second, regarding the oil prices and obviously the current difficult context, if you could please share with us your view regarding the potential evolution of prices, what are your main scenarios, and what would trigger an impairment given the lowered current guidance of $70 per barrel versus around $80 per barrel last year? Third, you mentioned for this year two outages in the second quarter, one for the refinery and one for Brazi Power Plant. Can you share with us an estimated negative impact in the second quarter?
Last, maybe a clarification regarding the windfall tax on the power side. This taxation will end in the second quarter, right? From my understanding, it should end in the second quarter. Is there any reason to suggest otherwise? Thank you. That's all from my side.
Thank you. I didn't get to the last question.
Okay. No, I'm okay. Ioana, hi. Thank you for your questions. Maybe with regards to gas regulations. Some volumes on the regulated market. Alina will cover that. I'll cover oil prices. Alina will trigger impairments. And then the outages as well. Just your last question, if I'm correct, was that yes, you're correct that the windfall tax is due to end at the end of the second quarter. That is our understanding as well. It will be much welcome when it comes. Maybe Alina, maybe you take the first question.
Hello, Ioana, from my side as well. I'll start with the first question on the regulated volumes. With regards to the regulated volumes to households and district heating companies, we have had for Q1 2025, 3.3 TWh . For Q2 2025, 2.5 TWh . For full year, we estimate somewhere around 10 TWh . We cannot provide any figure for Q1 2026.
Thank you.
On oil prices, obviously, you can see that we have lowered our outlook for the full year by $5. Anticipating, obviously, a lower price in the second set and fourth quarter overall. I mean, this is our thoughts for 2025. Anything for 2026 and beyond, we would come forward later at the end of the year and beginning of next year with regards to that. Overall, I mean, I think my one comment is that having been in the oil and gas industry for many years, ups and downs is something that we are used to.
We know that we need to respond to them. We are responding to them. As I mentioned, we have a lot of cost focus going on in the company because we do have declining commodity prices while we have increasing costs because of the inflation for the past few years. We have many initiatives underway to look to address that to continue to make the company resilient at lower prices. Obviously, we have strong financial strength going forward. Alina, on triggers for impairments.
Yes. When it comes to impairment, I mean, generally, first thing we do, of course, we work very hard on the cost side. We have a lot of programs going on to address this in all business segments. Of course, E&P is even a front runner from this perspective.
First, we work on the cost side because this has a very important effect. Now, when we look a bit on the break-even price for operating cash flow break-even for our E&P traditional portfolio, it's somewhere at $30 per barrel. That's the break-even operating cash flow. At this stage, we don't see an impairment based on what we see today. We will continue to monitor very closely what's happening every quarter. Of course, if there is any update with regards to that, we will come back with any additional information. If you want to have a reference of what is the basis for our midterm planning assumptions and impairment test right now, we disclose in Note 202 of our financial statements exact oil price assumptions. This goes in real terms somewhere from $73 to below $70 by 2030.
We were not at 80 anyway in our planning so far. We will continue monitoring this. If there is anything, of course, we will come back. I'll continue with the.
Shutdown. Yes.
When it comes to the shutdowns, indeed, we have Petrobrazi shutdown that is planned in May for 20 days. From today's perspective, we see not a significant impact. We talk about the CapEx is somewhere below EUR 15 million and similarly, a net below EUR 15 million, mostly from margin loss for these 20 days of shutdown, which is a normal intervention every two years, decoking and catalyst replacement generally. When it comes to Brazi Power Plant shutdown, also we talk about the CapEx below EUR 10 million.
Thank you very much.
Ioana, I think I answered your fourth clarification at the start. Hopefully, that covers all of your points.
Thank you. Now we're going to take our next question. Just a moment. The question comes live from Oleg Galbur from ODDO BHF. Your line is open? Please ask a question.
Yes. Good afternoon. I hope you can hear me well.
Yeah, we can hear you very well, Oleg.
Yes. Thank you for taking my question. I have several. I will start with the follow-up on the upstream segment. I assume that due to a strong vertical integration, Petrom is less exposed to the oil price volatility. Still, could you maybe share with us under which oil price scenario you would consider slowing down drilling activities and how much flexibility you have in cutting upstream CapEx without triggering a much sharper decline of production?
Then on the OpEx per BOE, with the euro now strengthening against the dollar and the euro/RON exchange rate being rather stable, do you expect a reversal of the upward trend seen in the OpEx per BOE in the previous quarters, or should we expect something else? Maybe you can comment on this. Lastly, on the cost-cutting program, which you mentioned earlier, OMV was today talking about its efficiency improvement program, which is expected to contribute some EUR 500 million to the operating cash flows by 2027. I would assume that Petrom is part of this program. I was hoping that you might be able also to provide some numbers to quantify the expected impact on the operating cash flow on Petrom's side. That would be it for now. Thank you.
Okay. Thank you for your questions, Oleg. I will take part of your first question with regards to just the overall robustness of the drilling program as well as sort of CapEx flexibility. Alina, if you have anything to add to that, of course, please do. Maybe if Alina, you can take exposure to Forex exchange and the overall cost programs that we are doing. I mean, overall, two points I would make, Oleg, is that our drilling program and our workover programs are some of our strongest investment projects that we have. In part, that is driven really by the ability to get production fast and tie it in fast into a very established existing infrastructure that we have. They do really stay robust both on the oil side as well as on the gas side. I do not think you would necessarily see a desire to cut there.
Given the financial situation, obviously, of the firm, you would want to think a lot about that because it does impact your decline rates if you stop that activity. Other factors have come into play. Obviously, the other factor that we have, it is some of the most flexible CapEx with regards to that, but it's also some of the most attractive CapEx. I think when you start to look at CapEx, do you go there first? Not necessarily, in my mind, because it's just of its attractiveness overall and the robustness of its economics. As Alina said, our longer-term forecast is actually not sitting up at 80 and 85, more at the 70 and lower than that. That's why it's also taken into account in our economics. I don't know if Alina, you wanted to add anything to that. Okay.
I will continue. Oleg, hello. From my side, I'll continue with the second and third questions, which are connected somehow because, yes, of course, the exchange rate has an impact on our production cost per barrel, especially. We could see some potential effects from that. However, that's really not in our control. What we are focusing is really on the cost programs. Yes, we have massive cost programs everywhere in EMP and in R&M, in corporate functions and so on. These cost programs are focusing on really reducing.
Yes, please proceed.
Oleg, can everybody hear us now?
Yes.
Is Oleg still there? Can anybody hear us?
We have Oleg line in.
Oh, can you hear me?
Do you hear us?
Yes, please, please. We can hear you.
Okay. Maybe we just need to check where we got cut off. Apologies for the technological hitch. Oleg, if you're still there, what was the last thing you heard from Alina?
I will start with the last, repeating the last question. Referring to the cost programs, I mentioned that we have significant cost programs everywhere in all business segments. Overall, if we were to give a number, although we are really working on it day by day and we hope to improve further, we are talking about approximately EUR 150 million if we compare 2027 with 2024. That would be the number we are working on. As I said, we hope it might go even further than that.
Oleg, excuse me. If you have further questions, you're welcome to ask.
Yes, but can you hear me, please?
Yes, now, yes. We could not hear you previously, Oleg.
Because I disconnected. I thought that this was on my end, the problem. Yeah. I would have one more.
Yes, please.
One more question on the GMP on the gas and power segment. Could you help us understand to which extent the power business result in the first quarter was impacted by the ongoing regulation? In other words, what impact could we expect from the cancellation of this regulation as of the end of June? Also maybe you can say a few words about the power market environment in April now that we saw significantly lower gas prices. Is it helping to which extent? Whatever you can say, it would be very helpful.
Okay. Let me try to give a bit of some insights. Q1, as you could see, we had a negative result in gas and power. That is primarily driven by power in the context of having regulated fixed power prices while gas prices increased significantly. This is driven indeed by the regulation. In addition to that, having quite a significant taxation level, this contribution to Energy Transition Fund for power. This was quite challenging. We expect this to continue in Q2, but to a lower extent. Q2 will be very challenging. We see after end of Q2 when this regulation will disappear and will be back to the free gas market, we see our power plant and overall gas and power segment coming to positive territories.
Now, always when we look at gas and power, we should think about the integrated business model that we have because the power plant is run on an optimization model. We always do the calculation and see what is better, to put the gas in the power plant or to sell it as such. Overall, because of exemption from overtaxation, we had an overall positive impact from running the power plant. Otherwise, we would not have run it because we are out of this margin mechanism. We are not obliged to sell quantities on the market. We sell them because at overall company level, we were positive.
Understood. Anything on the April, on the power market environment in April, is it different from—
Yes. It might be a bit specific to us. You should consider that we had in April this shutdown of the Brazi, which was for 19 days. Almost 20 days, we had full shutdown. For another eight days, we had half of the capacity being shut down. So that is to be taken into consideration. Otherwise, it's nothing specific to April.
Understood. Thank you very much.
You're very welcome.
Thank you. Now we're going to take our next question. The next question comes to the line of Daniela Mandru from Swiss Capital. Ioana, is it open? Please ask your question.
Hi, hello. Thank you for the presentation and for taking my questions. I have only one more question regarding the refined product sales. I've seen your explanation that they decreased by 7% year on year in this quarter because of lower exports. I think this is the first time in many quarters that I'm seeing this decrease. I believe something happened there. More important, what will going to happen in the future with these sales? Thank you.
Yes, there was a decrease in sales. We've had quite a—I mean, we've always actually been an exporter, but actually more recently, we actually were exporting actually to Ukraine. Others have been entering that market at the same time more recently, whereas we had come in, I think, quite quickly into the market after the situation in Ukraine had been established. Partly, I think, just pure proximity gave us the competitive advantage into that market.
I think I would add that overall, we see a softening of demand, generally speaking. This we see also on the retail. We are not on a lower than previous year. We are still on an increasing, but lower than we have seen in the past. This we see in the commercial business as well overall because the economy is slowing down versus what we used to see in the past. There is an effect coming from that, I would say, as well.
Okay. As an outlook for the full year, I think your budget assumed that a slight increase year on year for the full year for these sales. I think now it should be changed, the outlook on this segment.
If we look into the outlook that we published this morning, we say the refined product sales are forecasted to be slightly lower year on year, previously stable. We moved from previously stable to slightly lower. Always our budget is done a few months ago. It is announced before AGM and so on. There is a timing difference, and there is quite high volatility that we see.
Yes. Okay. I know you already discussed about OpEx, but it is pretty high for now. Should we expect to remain around 17 for the full year?
Our expectation, we keep around $16 per barrel for full year. This is on the basis of cost programs we are ongoing. Yeah, maybe we have some additional production as well. We will see. We are working hard to keep it at around $6 per barrel right now, Dana.
Okay. Thank you. Now regarding the impact of these shutdowns in the second quarter, you mentioned CapEx of EUR 15 million for Petrobrazi and of EUR 10 million for Brazi. I think—
Dana, excuse me. EUR 15 million. Petrobrazi, EUR 15 million. One-five.
One-five. EUR 15 million.
One-five. Yeah. EUR 15 million.
Not 50 million. Okay.
No, no, no, no.
Brazi would be shut down for how much?
Brazi was already. It ended at the end of April for 20 days, almost 20 days full capacity and 8 days for half capacity.
Regarding the now that the oil price is down, what are your expectations for the gas price, let's say, at the international level, the CEGH price, something like this?
On the gas price, we have a lot of restrictions. We do not give much transparency around that. What we can see, we continue to see and to expect a lot of volatility going on on the gas prices. Depends a lot on supply sources. That is where it is. We see some changes. For example, in Q1 2025, we saw basically BRM had a premium around EUR 3 per megawatt-hour versus [TTF], which was quite different than we have seen and experienced in 2024. Quite a lot of volatility. It depends significantly on supply sources, but we cannot provide any exact figures when it comes to gas price. Thank you, Dana.
Thank you. Thank you. This is all from my part. Thank you.
Thank you very much.
May I remind you that if you want to ask a question, you need to press star one one on your telephone keypad. We'll now take the next question.
Thank you. Now we're taking the question from Laura Simion from BRD GSG. Your line is open. Please ask a question.
Good afternoon. Thank you for taking my question. I have just one additional question regarding the special dividend. If you could detail on what would drive positive or negative decisions for this year, what are you expecting to see in the next few months to make a decision? Thank you.
Thank you, Laura. For taking a decision if we give special dividends, we will consider three elements. The first one is related to the changes to the fiscal and regulatory regime in Romania. I mean, we see and we expect. We see the situation of the state budget. We are looking at it. We see potential changes post-election. We need to understand very clear what are these changes and to what extent they affect us. That is the first element. The second is definitely the progress of our investments, significant investment plans. We will assess, we will see where we are with all the projects ongoing. The third dimension, of course, is around evolution of the market environment and our financial performance in the first part of the year.
Clearly, we are a very strong company. We are on a net cash basis. Being competitive on the dividends, it is important to us. We will assess all three dimensions, deciding if we give special dividend somewhere mid of the year. Thank you, Laura.
I will pause to see if there are any further questions.
There are no further questions for today. That concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating. Ladies and gentlemen, you may now all disconnect. Have a nice day.