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Earnings Call: Q3 2025

Nov 20, 2025

Nynne Jespersen Lee
Head of Investor Relations, Nilfisk

Good morning, and welcome to Nilfisk Conference Call for the third quarter of 2025. My name is Nynne Jespersen Lee. I'm Head of Investor Relations and Group Communications. With me today are Jon Sintorn, CEO, and Carl Bandhold, CFO. Before passing the word over to Jon, I would like you to turn your attention to slide two regarding forward-looking statements. Please note that this presentation, including remarks from management, may contain forward-looking statements that should not be relied upon as predictions of actual results. For more details, please read the content on this slide. With that, I would like to pass the word over to Jon.

Jon Sintorn
CEO, Nilfisk

Thank you, Nynne, and good morning, everyone. Let's immediately turn to our third quarter key highlights. A key milestone this quarter was positive organic growth in all three regions. Elevated tariffs from China to the US and softer demand impacted our gross margin. Through pricing adjustments, supply chain flexibility, and operational efficiency measures, we mitigated much of the impact and maintained a solid margin foundation. We continue to execute structural cost reductions, lowering overhead and administrative costs while maintaining momentum in product development R&D. These changes are already visible in our cost base. In October, we finalized the divestment of our US high-pressure washer business. This step enables us to further concentrate on our core activities and strategic priorities. We also completed a comprehensive review of our product portfolio to reduce complexity. This included phasing out selected development projects and inventory items. As part of this transformation, we announced the consolidation of our production from Brooklyn Park into Querétaro. These moves improve efficiency, reduce inventory costs, and strengthen the competitiveness of our big industrial machines line. These strategic actions have resulted in significant special items for the quarter, of which most were non-cash items, reflecting the execution of decisions that improve our competitiveness and profitability. As we continue to sharpen our focus and strengthen the company for long-term profitable growth, we are making deliberate choices about where to invest and where to step back. Now, let's move to some of the key numbers for the third quarter. In the third quarter, we reported revenue of EUR 238.7 million, corresponding to an organic growth of 2.1%.

EBITDA before special items came to EUR 30.1 million, a decrease of EUR 0.8 million compared to last year, corresponding to an EBITDA margin before special items of 12.6%, which is slightly down from the 12.8% prior year. The professional business saw organic growth of 3.5%. The service business saw strong organic growth of 5%, driven by strong service performance in EMEA and Americas. The specialty business saw negative growth of 7.7%, and the consumer business saw a negative organic growth of 13% as a result of continued decline in market demand for specifically high-pressure washers, but also some for vacuum cleaners across most European markets, if we compare to last year's third quarter. By region, we continue to grow in EMEA and APAC, and Americas return to growth. Turning now to a market outlook per region. We continue to see growth in the EMEA region for the seventh consecutive quarter. Organic growth in the core professional business in EMEA, meaning excluding consumer and private label, was 2.8%. This was driven by strong service business growth and solid performance in professional. M2H is an important part of our EMEA go-to-market strategy to serve contract cleaners, and we are reclassifying its status as our now primary associated company. Americas organic growth was 4.3%, and if we take out the recently divested U.S. high-pressure washer business, organic growth was 9.1%. However, it is with a fairly low compare to the same quarter of last year since it was a bit weak due to the SAP go live by the end of that quarter last year. In APAC, we continued to make good progress and delivered another quarter of organic growth, and this time of 7.9%. This was driven by professional and specialty business with large orders across various markets.

China's economy continues to face some challenges. In contrast, the rest of Asia, and particularly the Pacific region, shows good momentum and steady demand. In the first quarter, we presented our strategic roadmap for 2025, where we highlighted three areas of focus for this year. Those were improving our competitive position in North America, enhancing our operating model through decentralization, and executing on structural efficiency improvements. In the third quarter, we have made material progress across all three strategic priorities. North America delivered positive organic growth in the quarter and made significant progress on improving our competitive position. We restructured our operations footprint by initiating the last step of the consolidating of Brooklyn Park production into Querétaro. At the same time, we reinforced our strong commercial presence in the U.S., Looking ahead to the fourth quarter, we will continue to increase sales and commercial density, drive sales of new products, and maintain a strong focus on product and parts delivery performance. As for our operating model, we are starting to see positive effects from the increased accountability that has been placed with the regions as part of enhancing the operating model. One example is that we are starting to see effects in terms of lower backlog and better inventory management. In the fourth quarter, we will tailor value propositions even more effectively across customer verticals, continue reshaping our cost structure, and adapt financial performance management to ensure an even sharper focus and accountability. As part of executing structural efficiency improvements, we realized targeted cost savings from previously announced restructuring programs in the third quarter.

We also addressed working capital and finalized the divestment of the US high-pressure washer business in October, allowing us to concentrate on core activities and strategic priorities. Coming into the fourth quarter, our focus remains on delivering additional cost savings and continuing to improve working capital discipline. In the third quarter, we announced the last step in the consolidating of our manufacturing operations in Brooklyn Park into Querétaro. This will significantly improve our cost competitiveness and operational efficiency. Currently, we are only producing four products in our Brooklyn Park site, and those are big industrial machines. The CS7500, the SC8000 scrubber, and the SW8000 sweeper will move to Querétaro, and the 7765 sweeper scrubber combi machine will be pruned. This consolidation will deliver approximately eight million EUR in annual savings, creating a leaner cost base and freeing up resources for growth. With that overview, I will now hand over to Carl, who will give you a financial update.

Carl Bandhold
CFO, Nilfisk

Thank you, Jon, and I will look forward to taking us through the financials of this exciting quarter, where we made a lot of good progress on reshaping the company and achieved some milestones and good financial performance. Not least, organic growth across the business, reduction in capacity costs, positive cash flow, and we will also talk a little bit more about our quite significant special items resulting from these changes. Let's start with the P&L. EBITDA for the quarter, as Jon mentioned, came in at EUR 30.1 million for a 12.6% EBITDA margin, very close to 12.8% where we were in Q3 last year. What we see here, of course, is that gross margins have come down a little bit, primarily driven by tariffs, but also under absorption in our factories due to slightly lower volumes. I am very glad, though, that we were able to offset most of this with reduction in our operating costs. Also important to highlight is, as Jon mentioned, M2H is a partner of ours serving the contract cleaner segment in France. It's a partnership we had for more than two decades, which has been extremely successful in serving this customer segment. We own 49% of the company. When we are working now in our new decentralized structure and developing go-to-market strategies for the three regions separately, we see that this is a key component of the way we want to go-to-market in EMEA, at least. Therefore, we are recognizing that this is a core part of our company, and we include M2H's profit contribution in our operating profits.

As you can see in the box here, the profit contribution from M2H last year was close to EUR 5 million, revenue close to EUR 90 million, and the profit of close to 18%. A highly profitable business. Over the time when we have worked together, M2H has also built a very strong balance sheet with over EUR 40 million in cash, which is not included in our balance sheet in our financials. A little nugget in the Nilfisk portfolio. Talking about the EMEA go-to-market strategy, let's look a little bit on growth. The third quarter of 2025 was another quarter of growth in the EMEA region. Across all our businesses in EMEA, we grew 0.1%. As Jon also mentioned, when you look at the core professional business, i.e., excluding consumer and private label, we grew close to three percent again. Another solid quarter there. On the consumer business, this is a business where 2024 was a super strong year for the market as a whole and for Nilfisk. Compared to that, we are coming down, where we see the market coming down specifically in high-pressure washers, but also slightly in VAX. We see that we maintain or even improve our market shares across markets in Europe. For instance, in September in Denmark, we had a 45% market share in VAX. I'm also very, very glad to see that Thomas and the team in APAC delivered the third consecutive quarter of organic growth. We see really solid performance there despite some volatility in some of those markets. As we have talked about before, a few really nice projects where we are installing autonomous machines in airports and other locations across the region.

Going to Americas, where we have been a little bit more challenged recently. A nice quarter with organic growth. Again, realizing that the comps from last year was not so high as we had SAP go live in September. Still a nice performance and fun to see that we grew in the market. That said, I think it's important to note that the market in Americas particularly has been quite volatile throughout this year, with a lot of uncertainty for our customers as well as for us, with tariffs as well as a 42-day government shutdown. We can see quite a lot of volatility between months in how our customers have behaved. Looking ahead, we expect this to calm down a little bit now that the government is open again and the tariffs have stabilized. Talking about tariffs, let's move on to gross margin. We had a fair gross margin of 41.2% in the third quarter, where price increases and mix offset tariffs and under absorption in the factories. Looking ahead, now tariffs have stabilized. Of course, going forward, we expect them to be at a higher level than what they were before March of this year, but more in line with what they were now in Q3. Also to note, as Jon mentioned, we have taken quite significant steps during 2025 to improve our production footprint. We concluded the consolidation of our two factories in Hungary in the end of Q2. Now we are executing the consolidation of our two production sites in North America into Querétaro during Q4 and Q1 of next year. As Jon highlighted, the second will contribute by about $8 million in cost savings, and the two together a little bit over $10 million on an annual basis in reduced production overhead. Talking about overhead then, let's look at other parts of our overhead. We did manage to achieve quite a significant reduction in overhead in the quarter compared to the third quarter last year of about $3.5 million. This was primarily driven by headcount reductions in support functions or admin costs, somewhat offset by slightly higher total costs for product development and slightly lower capitalization ratio of our total R&D expenses, which is a result of the product portfolio and project portfolio review that Jon mentioned earlier, which means that we are refocusing our R&D project portfolio.

In the changeover, we see that capitalization is a little bit lower, but we expect this to come back going forward. Elaborating a little bit here, the move in the US also means that we are moving some of our R&D resources to locations where we have been more productive in R&D projects. When we look at the R&D portfolio going forward, we will focus more on facelifts and cost downs rather than big moonshot projects. We expect this to change going forward and to continue to improve our competitiveness. Yes, we saw positive cost reductions in the quarter. If we look at the trend on overhead cost, we talked earlier in the year about reducing our overhead cost by 6-8% by the end of the year, and we are making very good progress on achieving this. If you compare to Q3 last year, we are down a few percentage points. If you compare to Q1 of this year, the third quarter reported number was down by 12%. Some of this, about three percentage points, is FX. Even adjusting for that, quite a significant improvement on cost sequentially. We feel confident that we will be able to reach our goal of reducing overhead by 6-8% before year-end. At the same time, you can also see that we are making good progress on reshaping our resource allocation, where we are using fewer of our resources on administrative tasks and more on sales and product development, which will improve our competitiveness and hopefully return us to consistent growth going forward. Another positive development in the third quarter is on cash flow, where we had close to EUR 17 million in positive operating cash flow and slightly more than EUR 10 million in free cash flow in the quarter. While I'm glad to note positive development in the third quarter, of course, we still have not had strong cash flow year to date as we have built up quite high inventory levels and we have invested significantly in our restructuring programs. We do still see quite a significant opportunity to reduce inventory and strengthen cash flow in the coming quarters. Reducing inventory is an integral part of how we manage our supply chain, and releasing that inventory will require us to change how we operate significantly, which we are making progress on, but it's a lot of hard work.

Talking about changes in how we operate, we made a number of changes in the quarter that we have touched on. We also made a number of decisions, and all of this has resulted in some significant impacts on our accounting, especially in so-called special items. Looking at this from the perspective of what are the changes we have made, which I think is the important takeaway here, and how is that changing the business? Firstly, as Jon mentioned, we were able to close the deal on divesting our US high-pressure washer at the end of October. As we have mentioned before, this is not a business that is really part of the core of what Nilfisk offers our customers. It is not sold to the same customers. It's not using the same technology that we use in any of our other high-pressure washer businesses. Following the tornado that hit the facility last year, this is also a business that had a negative profit contribution by about EUR 1.5 million on a full year basis. Also, obviously, an impaired business, so we were not able to get that much value when we sold it, but at least it was cash flow positive. It meant an impairment of about EUR 11 million that we took in the third quarter. Also, as touched on before, we are consolidating our North American footprint by moving the last production from Brooklyn Park to Querétaro, Mexico. The objective here clearly is to reduce our production overhead, improve efficiency in the factory, and improve our long-term competitiveness. This resulted in special items of EUR 6.4 million, out of which just EUR 1.4 million was cash.

This is primarily related to write-downs on fixed assets in the factory, but also non-profitable contracts, i.e., the lease on the facility in Brooklyn Park. In that same direction, we also have reviewed our product and project portfolio to make sure that we focus our efforts on the products that we see as core to our assortment going forward. This will enable us to focus our product development on keep maintaining and updating the key products, which is something that we have under-invested in in the last few years. Consolidating the product portfolio will enable us to keep our portfolio current, and it will also enable us to work on component commonality across our product platforms to reduce our costs. This product portfolio pruning will result in some quite significant impairments, EUR 23.3 million, which is mostly intangible asset resulting from capitalized R&D expenses in the past relating to these products, but also some inventory of products that we do not expect to sell. Those were really the bigger items. We also have some other things and special items. We have used some consultants in conjunction with working through these restructuring programs and our updated business plan and strategy that we expect to elaborate on in our annual report. We have some updates on a couple of legal cases that we have communicated before. That was quite a lot, but a lot of special items who I think are well worth to discuss. If we then start to look ahead and our outlook for the rest of 2025, we are narrowing our guidance on growth.

We're going from expecting an organic growth of 1-3% to guiding that we expect growth to be around one percent. As we get closer to the year, we can see that getting to two percent or three percent organic growth does not seem very likely, which is why we set it to around one percent. On EBITDA margin before special items, we maintain our guidance of 13-14%, which is supported by the progress on reducing our costs and expected stability on tariffs and such things. Supporting this outlook are a number of important assumptions. Firstly, continued stable market conditions in EMEA. Also, that the APAC region maintains moderate growth for another quarter. As I touched on briefly before, the uncertainty for our customers in the U.S. is reduced now that the government is open again and that tariffs have stabilized. Those are our expectations for the rest of the year and the assumptions behind that. Thanks, everyone. I return the question or the mic to Jon.

Jon Sintorn
CEO, Nilfisk

Thank you, Carl. With that, our presentations have been concluded, and we hand over to the operator for Q&A and questions.

Operator

We will now begin the question and answer session. Anyone who wishes to ask a question may press star and one on their telephone. You will hear a tone to confirm that you have entered in the queue. If you wish to remove yourself from the question queue, you may press star and two. Questioner on the phone are requested to disable the loudspeaker mode while asking a question. Anyone who has a question may press star and one at this time. The first question comes from the line of Christian Turn from SEB. Please go ahead, sir.

Christian Turn
Analyst, SEB

Yes, thank you. A couple of questions from my side on your guidance assumptions. Just to clarify, the one percent organic growth you are guiding, is that including or excluding the high-pressure washer business?

Jon Sintorn
CEO, Nilfisk

It is excluding high-pressure washers in the US.

Christian Turn
Analyst, SEB

It is excluding. Okay. What is the organic growth rate for the group in the first nine months excluding? I assume the minus 0.2% you are reporting, that's including the US high-pressure washer business, correct?

Jon Sintorn
CEO, Nilfisk

Yes, that is correct, Christian.

Christian Turn
Analyst, SEB

Okay. Do you have that number excluding?

Carl Bandhold
CFO, Nilfisk

Not on top of mind, I'm afraid.

Christian Turn
Analyst, SEB

Obviously, the reason for asking is to try to calculate what you are sort of implicitly guiding for Q4, because if I just take the minus 0.2%, I get to an implicit guidance of 4.7%. Obviously, that's wrong if the one percent is excluding, because then the -0.2 is not the right number to use. If you have that number afterwards, that would be useful. Thank you for that, Christian. The other question I had was just on your margin guidance of 13-14%. Obviously, you get tailwind of half a percentage point from the M2H reallocation, but still 13.2% for the first nine months and keeping the other end, the 14%. Just curious what scenario you see which could take the full year margin to 14%.

Carl Bandhold
CFO, Nilfisk

No, as you say, we are above 13%, and generally, Q4 is a strong quarter for us. I think there is an opportunity that we will have quite a high margin in Q4. That is within the realm of possibility. We have also seen our gross margin improve sequentially over the last couple of months. I think we still see that we will sort of be within that range.

Christian Turn
Analyst, SEB

Okay. Understood. Great. That was my questions. Thank you.

Carl Bandhold
CFO, Nilfisk

Thank you, Christian.

Operator

The next question comes from the line of Casper Blom from Danske Bank. Please go ahead.

Casper Blom
Senior Analyst, Danske Bank

Thank you very much. A question on divisional level. Your professional business looks as if it's getting particularly hit by tariffs here in this quarter. Can you give any kind of guidance as to whether you expect that to recover in Q4? That's the first one, please.

Carl Bandhold
CFO, Nilfisk

We will see a gradual recovery in the course of fourth quarter and then moving into the first quarter on the back of operational activities that we have done to mitigate, but also on the back of some price increasing that we have initiated early this quarter.

Casper Blom
Senior Analyst, Danske Bank

Okay. Will you see full benefit of that price increases here in the quarter? If you've initiated it in the quarter, I guess not. Expectedly some carry-on into 2026 also then?

Jon Sintorn
CEO, Nilfisk

That's correct. Obviously, we monitor this very closely with effects in the markets, obviously the stickiness of the pricing, but also how the volumes develop. It was initiated early this quarter, so it will not have the full effect until early next year.

Casper Blom
Senior Analyst, Danske Bank

Understood. On the service business, the EBITDA margin here looks as if it's up compared to Q2 and Q1. Has there been anything sort of unusual going on there?

Carl Bandhold
CFO, Nilfisk

No, I think there is some variability in the margin there, depending a little bit on the mix between service labor and parts sales, basically. That, I think, explains that there is some fluctuation quarter to quarter in service profitability.

Casper Blom
Senior Analyst, Danske Bank

Okay. Just a final question. Will you be providing adjusted divisional EBITDA numbers given the change of accounting on associates?

Jon Sintorn
CEO, Nilfisk

Excellent question. I haven't thought about that. We need to think about how we do that. Okay.

Casper Blom
Senior Analyst, Danske Bank

Thank you.

Jon Sintorn
CEO, Nilfisk

Thank you, Casper.

Operator

As a reminder, if you wish to register for a question, please press star and one on your telephone. The next question comes from the line of Klaus Elmer from Nordea. Please go ahead, sir.

Klaus Elmer
Analyst, Nordea

Thank you. Yeah, also a few questions on my side. The first one is the special items and the cleanup you've done with the balance sheet. Should we expect more cleanup in the coming quarters, or was that it? That would be the first one.

Carl Bandhold
CFO, Nilfisk

I don't expect anything like this in the coming quarters, no. We have done a good review of both our business plan and our balance sheet, and I think we have taken the big items now.

Klaus Elmer
Analyst, Nordea

You say big items. If more adjustments were to be made, in what area would that be?

Carl Bandhold
CFO, Nilfisk

I don't expect any more adjustments, but I expect that we will continue to have some special items related to severance payment for additional cost reductions.

Klaus Elmer
Analyst, Nordea

Right. The M2H reclassification, what is the ownership of that asset?

Carl Bandhold
CFO, Nilfisk

Nilfisk owns 49% of the company, and the remaining 51% is owned by the founder.

Klaus Elmer
Analyst, Nordea

How are you then able to include it in your EBITDA?

Carl Bandhold
CFO, Nilfisk

We classify it as an operating or as a primary subsidiary.

Klaus Elmer
Analyst, Nordea

Is that—I am no accounting expert—is that you need to have split control of the company to put into your operational performance?

Carl Bandhold
CFO, Nilfisk

We need control of the company to be able to include the whole P&L in our P&L. We are only including the operating profit as part of our operating profit, and that we can do for associates.

Klaus Elmer
Analyst, Nordea

Okay. All right. Just coming back to the U.S., excluding the whole tariff thing, the shutdown of the government should maybe postpone some orders of revenue from Q3 to Q4. Have you seen any, or do you expect any impact from that, or is it more gradual going also into 2026?

Carl Bandhold
CFO, Nilfisk

Coming from a fairly strong October, we have seen that the order intake in November has been weak, weaker than anticipated, on the back of uncertainty. We anticipate that the reopening of the government and tariff stabilization will somewhat improve the market activity level. Yes, we have seen effects.

Klaus Elmer
Analyst, Nordea

Okay. You say strong October, weak November. If you sum those up, is that then in line with expectations, or is it above or below internal expectations?

Carl Bandhold
CFO, Nilfisk

I guess so far, on average, in line with expectations. As we stated, we anticipate that market activity levels pick up somewhat on the back of the reopening of the government.

Klaus Elmer
Analyst, Nordea

Sure. Okay. Thank you so much. That was all for me.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, that was the last question. I would now like to turn the conference back over to Jon Sintorn for any closing remarks.

Jon Sintorn
CEO, Nilfisk

Thank you all for participating in today's call and for your continued interest and caring about Nilfisk. We will return with our full year 2025 report in February and look forward to speaking to many of you over the coming weeks. Thank you very much, and goodbye for now.

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