Good afternoon. We welcome you to The Navigator Company's headquarters' 2024 results presentation. During the presentation, all participants will be on a listen-only mode. There will be an opportunity to ask questions after the presentation. If you wish to ask a question during the Q&A session, you may do so by pressing the star followed by five on your telephone keypad. And now, hand the conference over to Ana Canha. Please go ahead.
Ladies and gentlemen, welcome to The Navigator Company conference call and webcast for the third quarter and nine months results. Joining us today are the following directors: António Redondo, Fernando Araújo, Nuno Santos, João Lé, Dorival Oliveira, and António Quirino Soares. As usual, we will start with a short presentation followed by a Q&A session. You can access the presentation through the links on the website, and you can also send in your questions via the webcast platform. António will begin by presenting the main highlights of the quarter. I will now hand over to António.
Thank you for joining us today. I am very pleased to be here once again and to share with you our third quarter and nine months results. As you'll see in today's presentation, Navigator has once again proved to be in a unique competitive position in Europe in terms of the efficiency with which it manages its mix of businesses and, within each business, its product and market niche. Navigator has consistently shown flexibility in adapting to different market dynamics, focusing on value creation, growth, and diversification, as once again was the case this year. I will start with slide four for a global overview of the year so far. We anticipated back in May that this year's typical seasonal slowdown in pulp and paper markets would be more pronounced than usual, which led to a decline in new orders during the third quarter.
Despite this slowdown, the third quarter results proved robust, thanks to the growing significance of new business segments, particularly tissue, which has shown strong growth and performance along with resilient prices in paper, packaging, and tissue. Navigator ended the first nine months with a total turnover of EUR 1,569 million, up 7% year-on-year. Nine months EBITDA reached EUR 431 million, with an EBITDA margin of 27.5%, enabled by leading price increases, volume growth in most businesses, and proactive management of needs: product, brand, customer, and geography, and continuously as well, focusing on cash cost management. In fact, there was again a significant cash cost reduction in this quarter, with the first nine months presenting an accumulated year-on-year reduction of between 4% and 12%, depending on business segments. Ongoing efforts to control costs have resulted in cash cost reductions of between 20% and 30% versus the peak level recorded in late 2022.
In spite of these efforts, we are still operating with a cash cost base above pre-pandemic levels. We continue to focus on our diversification plan. Following the successful acquisition of Accrol in the second quarter, we are now working on the integration process, which is running smoothly. We also continue to diversify our packaging business, expanding our customer base through existing and new applications, in particular in the flexible packaging segment. As mentioned previously, these new products and final product applications were launched during 2023 in an extensive test and introduction program with customers, and we are now generating more significant sales volumes. We are also happy to announce that Navigator has started production at its new industrial unit for molded fiber packaging in Aveiro.
This is not only the largest operation in Europe, but also the first in the world to produce this type of packaging in a vertically integrated unit using Eucalyptus fiber. Keeping conservative financial policies, the Net Debt/EBITDA ratio ratio stood at 1.60, further consolidating the financial strength displayed by the board. My colleagues will give more detail on the performance of the individual businesses. Fernando will start with financial highlights. Fernando, please go ahead.
Thank you, António. Turning to slide five, moving on to the financial highlights, net profits stood at EUR 241 million, up 20% year-on-year. CapEx totaled EUR 151 million, of which approximately 53% was classified as value-added sustainability ESG investing, making a very positive contribution to reduce future costs. Net debt increased by EUR 150 million since year-end 2023, representing only one-third of the main cash flows in the last nine months, namely the payment of EUR 150 million for Accrol acquisition, the distribution of EUR 150 million as dividends, and the strong level of CapEx of EUR 151 million. Later in this presentation, we'll demonstrate the company's balanced debt profile and liquidity. Turning to slide six with the quarter highlights. As mentioned this quarter, the pulp, paper, and packaging industries in Europe experienced a seasonal slowdown. Nevertheless, the first nine months and quarter results were strong. EBITDA stood at EUR 133 million, with an EBITDA margin of 26.3%.
Volume of paper sales was down 14% quarter on quarter and by 1% over the same quarter in 2023, despite the stronger than normal seasonal slowdown in Europe due to the growth in overseas business and packaging volumes. Pulp sales were up 35% quarter on quarter and down by 38% on quarter three 2023. Tissue sales were up by 12% quarter on quarter and up by 51% on Q3 2023, driven by dynamic demand and the new capacity of Navigator tissue grade in the past Accrol. Turning to slide seven, we can take a closer look at the main impacts on EBITDA in a year-on-year comparison. Lower market pricing and quarter three packaging and tissue more than offset by higher sales volumes and decreased cash costs, namely wood and chemicals, but also packaging and freight costs.
When compared to the same period in 2023, as António mentioned, there was a significant reduction in cash cost of between 4% and 12% in all pulp and paper segments, printing and writing, tissue, and packaging. Total fixed costs ended up higher than in the same period last year due to the inclusion of Navigator Tissue Ejea and Navigator Tissue UK units and employee profit sharing, as well as to higher redundancy costs and the workforce rejuvenation program and non-recurring costs related to the Accrol acquisition. Quirino will now comment on pulp and paper prices. Quirino, please.
Thank you, Fernando. Moving to slide nine, we see the evolution of pulp and paper prices. The first nine months of 2024 closed with a benchmark index for hardwood pulp, the BHKP dollars, at $1,261. The second quarter, however, brought a sharp correction in prices this year, with a knock-on effect in Europe, although at the lowest price. This volatility in the pulp price contrasted with the resilience in benchmark prices for printing and writing paper. In fact, the benchmark index for office papers in Europe, the BHKP copy, stood at €1,011.9 per ton at the end of September and has held very steadily since the start of the year, with plus 2%, with a very slight correction of 0.2% in the third quarter. The Navigator's average price for printing and writing products has increased by 5% since the end of 2023.
Moving to slide ten, please. Now we have summarized the main developments in printing and writing papers and uncoated and coated papers. Global apparent demand for printing and writing papers grew by 2.6% year-to-date August, the last information available, across all segments, with coated papers growing by 2.4%, as well as coated papers growing by 2.4% globally, while mechanical papers experienced growth in demand of 3.8% in the world. In Europe, apparent demand for coated paper recorded strong growth of 11% over the first nine months of the year, with the folio sheets segment for the graphic industry as the top performer at plus 15% year-on-year, followed by office papers up by 11%, and reels for the paper converting industry up by 9%.
Demand in the United States has shown significant resilience and has gone down by nearly 1% until August, while China recorded growth of more than 5% January to August year-on-year. Operating rates in the industry adjusted downward in the third quarter in response to the usual seasonal pattern. Navigator also eased off the pace of production during the period, leading to an average operating rate in the first nine months of 87%, that compares with the European industry average of 82% in the year. As I've just mentioned, the benchmark indices for the office paper prices in Europe remained resilient, with a 2% increase since the beginning of the year, while Navigator's average price for printing and writing products has increased by 5% since the end of 2023. In challenging markets and periods, own brands and high-value segments provide extra protection for Navigator's results.
In fact, premium product sales increased its share of quarterly business this year, while retail brand share kept its record high level. Now, Nuno will give you some more context on the market.
Thank you, Quirino. Turning to slide 11, as Quirino just mentioned, the third quarter brought a strong price correction in China, with impact in Europe at a more moderate pace. On the demand side in Europe, pulp consumers performed well, especially in printing and writing and packaging paper industries. With uncoa ted up 11% year-on-year in the first nine months and tissue up 7% year-on-year until July, despite the usual seasonal slowdown observed in Europe. On the supply side, new capacities in Chile and Uruguay, which started in 2023, and the startup of new production capacity in 2024 in Latin America and China both led to a gradual increase in supply, especially over this period due to downward pressure on prices. Global demand in the first eight months fell by 1% for bleached chemical pulp, while demand for hardwood pulp grew by 0.0%, with Eucalyptus pulp growing by 3.7%.
All these figures year-on-year. It is worth noting that worldwide, Eucalyptus pulp represents almost half of all pulp in the market and more than 75% of hardwood pulp. In August, stocks at European ports stood at 1.5 million tons, in line with the historic average for the past five years. In China, pulp stocks stood at 1.7 million tons in September, just below the historical average for the past five years, which is 1.8 million tons. Looking now at tissue performance on slide eleven, demand for tissue paper remained strong, up 5.8% in Western Europe and 6.4% in Europe until July, boosted essentially by the recovery of the away-from-home segment and growing household spending power.
Navigator's tissue sales were up by 53% year-on-year, driven by the additional capacity provided by Navigator Tissue Ejea, as from the second quarter of 2023, and by Navigator Tissue UK as from the first of May of 2024. Sales outside Portugal in tissue business accounted for 17% of turnover in the first nine months. Sales broke down into 97% finished products and only 3% reels, representing an improvement in the mix of 3 percentage points year-on-year. In terms of client segments, at-home or consumer retail business has grown, currently accounting for around 80% of sales, while away-from-home and wholesalers account for the remaining 20%. Commercial performance by real brands was again noteworthy, with Amoos ranked as the fastest-growing brand in terms of penetration in Spanish households last year, in 2023, in the household consumable segment by Kantar Brand Footprint, which surveys the brand's most popular consumers.
With penetration up by 57% in comparison with 2022, Amoos brand has increasingly found its way into Spanish homes. This award has consolidated the strategy of this new brand, which has been to invest in innovation and visibility, building up its position in the Iberian market and continuing to grow alongside its consumers. The company's new brands grew by 38% in relation to 2023, including figures from Navigator Tissue UK. You can see on the slide 12, bottom right, on the bottom right, pictures of our Amoos products on the right side, and also pictures of our branded products in the UK, which includes our Elegance and Magnum brands, and also Flash, our licensed product from Procter and Gamble. Dorival will now comment on the main development in tissue.
Thank you, Nuno. Now turning to slide 13, after a promising first half, the third quarter confirmed the trend of consistent demand. Navigator sales volume more than doubled year-on-year, as António Redondo mentioned. With 7% of our sales in Europe made in Iberia, Italy, and France, and the remaining 30% in overseas markets, where Turkey and North Africa are our leading markets. This performance has been supported by the investment in innovation and market trials into several new applications, above all in the segment of flexible packaging. These applications were launched during 2023 and are now generating more significant sales volumes. Indeed, looking at the breakdown of sales by segment, since 2023, we have successfully reduced the segment's dependence on bags, strategically increasing sales in the flexible packaging and box rigid packaging segments. This change has enabled us to diversify our portfolio and position ourselves more strongly on the market.
The flex segment has expanded significantly and currently tops sales at 47%, while the bag segment, the kraft bag, decreased its percentage in the total sales portfolio to 46%, although recording strong growth in the sales volume up by 50% year-on-year. Navigator has, therefore, continued to broaden its customer base, which already numbers close to 300 clients in a sales operation 100% based on its own brand, gKraft. Let's turn to slide 14 to follow on the molded pulp project. As António mentioned, this quarter, the new industrial unit in Aveiro for molded pulp packaging started production. The new mill has a production capacity of around 100 million pieces a year and is currently the largest in Europe. Production starts with three product lines for single-use applications in the food sector, which are fully recyclable and/or compostable. Tableware has plates, bowls, and cups.
Takeaway has takeaway packaging for the food retail and Horeca channel, and food packaging has laminated pouches for meat and ready meals, boxes for fruit and vegetables. These products offer production flexibility and scalability for exploiting the various opportunities opening up for replacing single-use plastics and aluminum. Alongside this, work has proceeded on developing new molded products in partnership with national clients and/or researching and developing new sustainable barrier-proof solutions, as well as trials of commercial products. This new avenue for growth falls within our responsible business strategy, whereby we are seeking to contribute to a more decarbonized society, highlighting the crucial role of well-managed planted forests in the transition from a linear fossil model with no future to a circular bioeconomy model, which is carbon neutral and eco-friendly. The first molded pulp piece by The Navigator Company hit the market this October.
I will now hand over to Fernando, who will comment on our financial position.
Thank you, Dorival. On slide 15, debt maturity profile. As I said at the beginning of the presentation, I will now summarize the profile of our debt. Over the first nine months of the year, Navigator repaid debt of nearly EUR 100 million and, at the same time, take on significant volume of a new long-term financing, namely three new long-term finance facilities maturing in five, six, and seven years with a value of EUR 300 million not fully disbursed yet. In addition to the long-term finance available from the European Investment Bank with a value of EUR 115 million, we also have available unused long-term commercial paper programs of nearly EUR 128 million.
As a result, Navigator continues to enjoy ample liquidity above EUR 530 million, an appropriate level of average debt maturity with rationally staggered repayments and approximately 60% of total debt tied to sustainability versus 40% last year, and with 93% of total debt issued on a fixed-rate basis, enabling us to maintain low financing costs. It should be noted that despite the new facilities contract incorporating higher market interest rates, our average cost of financing at the end of September remained low at approximately 2.3% versus short-term market rates of around 3%. I will now hand over to João.
Thank you, Fernando. If you please turn to slide 16. Aware of the need to manage natural resources responsibly, Navigator has made remarkable strides in its contribution to the management of Portugal's forests that I would like to highlight today, namely by setting up the Forestry Producers Club. Since November 2023, this club has grown to past 320 members, representing a combined turnover of more than EUR 435 million and accounting for more than 2,230 direct jobs. This club is a pioneering and unique program for strengthening relations with its partners and making an important contribution to a significant increase in Portugal's forestry yields and wood output by disseminating sustainable and active management practices in the country's woodlands.
By increasing the area of land in Portugal on which best forestry practices are applied and all certification requirements are complied with, the project will bring benefits that extend well beyond the stronger ecosystem sector. It will also contribute to lower fire risks, less CO2 emissions, increased biodiversity with more conservation and to a more dynamic economy in inland regions of Portugal. As part of these cooperative efforts, Navigator has this quarter established new partnerships with Crédito Agrícola, Galp, and Insur in order to promote and strengthen an economic environment more favorable to Portuguese businesses in the agroforestry sector. We seek to reinforce our strategy and our ability to conduct our operations successfully and sustainably by building partnerships with different stakeholders and cooperating with organizations that share our values, creating a positive impact on society, the climate, and nature. I will now hand over to António.
Thank you, João. Let's please turn to slide seventeen with a wrap-up of the Q3 nine-month results. First nine months recorded a strong performance. By focusing on efficiency and cost management, we achieved a significant reduction in cash costs across all pulp and paper segments, printing and writing, tissue, and packaging, by 4%-12% year-on-year and by 20%-30% from the peak levels of late 2022, although they remain higher than the pre-pandemic levels, as it was already referred. The resilience in prices for printing, packaging, and tissue paper, along with the growing share of new business segments like tissue and packaging, has enabled us to achieve strong results.
We maintain our focus on the core business as well as in business transformation and innovation, and our value-added CapEx reached EUR 150 million in the first nine months, 50% ESG investments aiming at environmental and decarbonization projects that also have a positive contribution to reduce future costs, but also expansion Capex with our packaging business. We pressed ahead with our diversification plan. This quarter, we successfully proceeded with the integration of Navigator Tissue UK. Our packaging segment continues to invest in new developments on paper products. Sales volume more than doubled, boosted by 2023 flexible packaging launches, investments that are now generating more significant sales. We started this quarter an innovative unit for integrated production of molded pulp packaging designed to replace single-use plastic packaging in the food service and food packaging industries.
Our sound financial position allows us to consider opportunities for de-bottlenecking in our core businesses, investing in efficiency and innovation, and pursuing environmental and decarbonization goals, as already mentioned. The strong CapEx of EUR 151 million underscores our commitment to value-added investments in the sustainability of our operations, while maintaining the consistency of our conservative financial policies and maintaining our sustainability and investment commitment. Let's move on to slide 19 with a few words on the outlook. The fourth quarter got off to an unstable start, marked by escalating geopolitical tensions and disappointing macroeconomic developments, namely in Europe. The polarization and uncertainty surrounding the U.S. elections have very serious implications for global stability and significantly reduced short-term visibility. However, macroeconomic forecasts remain conservatively optimistic.
In the sector, namely for pulp prices in China, we are expecting to recover after the bulk of the downside, in combination with the post-summer season of higher demand. This could lead to a degree of recovery starting in Q4 and through early next year. A Latin American player has announced a 4% reduction in production. Additionally, eight production lines in the region will undergo maintenance stoppages in Q4, leading to an estimated capacity reduction of approximately 670,000 tons. Additionally, a player has announced plans to switch hardwood production from paper-grade to dissolving pulp in Q1 2025, which will remove a further 300,000 tons of paper pulp from the market. In the paper segment, we are heading into the strongest seasonal period of the year, which starts in September-October and lasts until March-April.
This seasonal improvement is already being noticed, with the ordering flow going from 65% of European capacity in Q3 to 80% in recent weeks. In addition, in the coming months, the announcement of two mill closures in Europe with a combined capacity of 350,000 tons will be realized, representing 6%-7% of total installed capacity that will be out of market. These anticipated changes on the supply-demand balance, combined with a level of cash costs still higher than before the pandemic, will continue to sustain price levels in Europe and international markets in which we operate. In the tissue segment, demand continues at interesting levels, with a growth of 5%-6% estimated for Europe in 2024. In this segment, Navigator continues to leverage synergies driven by business growth, particularly with the acquisition of Navigator Tissue Ejea last year and with the new acquisition, Navigator Tissue UK, last quarter.
Business diversification through tissue and packaging operational flexibility through tissue and packaging, operational flexibility between paper and pulp and within different types of paper, the dynamic management of the different mixes within each segment, production adjustment, and an efficient commercial strategy, combined with rigorous programs to control costs, as well as the company's strong financial position, have enabled us to deliver consistently strong and stable results in changing market contexts. We are confident that all these factors, in parallel with the continuous development of both our tissue and packaging businesses, will continue to point to the resilience of Navigator's model. Thank you.
Thank you, António. This ends our presentation. We are now open for the Q&A session.
Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, we will now begin the Q&A session. If you'd like to ask a question, please press star five on your telephone keypad. If you change your mind, please press star five again. Please ensure that your device is muted locally before proceeding with your question. Our first question comes from the line of Bruno Bessa from CaixaBank BPI. Please go ahead.
Yes, good afternoon, everyone. Thank you for taking my questions. I have two, if I may. The first one on paper prices. You mentioned an improved outlook in terms of demand and backlog for the fourth quarter, and also some capacity closures that took place this year and still expected to take place until the end of the year. Is it reasonable to assume that you might be announcing a new price increase for paper until the end of the year? So this will be my first question. The second question, the London Pulp Week is around the corner. Just trying to understand what are your expectations about that event and the feeling that you have from your clients and other interveners in the industry about this event. I'm specifically referring to the mood ahead of that event. Thank you very much.
To Kirin to speak deeply about paper prices and to Bruno to speak about the London Pulp Week. You know us, we are bold but responsible. I think it's going to be hard to anticipate that in spite of a good recovery on demand that we are seeing and forecasting for the remaining of the quarter, with pulp prices achieving the bottom in China but eventually not yet achieving the bottom in Europe that might happen by the end of this year, it will be probably too bold but a bit irresponsible to announce a price increase. Today, we have no plans yet to do it, but obviously, we are vigilant, and if the situation changes, we'll adapt accordingly. Around the London Pulp Week, we are coming with a positive expectation in the sense that we see already some demand recovery in China.
We do believe that prices in China have bottomed. We see customers in Europe with a dynamic situation, with a good demand so far, and we are positive for next year. But you know that in this business, sentiment drives a lot of decisions, and very often, sentiment changes from week to the other. Anyhow, we are leaving to London with a positive stance on the near-term evolution. Quirino, Nuno.
Thank you, António. Thank you for the questions. We have indeed increased prices in April, in Europe, in April and July, so 25% compared to the end of the year. We are just now starting very normally the strongest period in the year, so Q4 and Q1 are the best six months in a row in terms of demand in the northern hemisphere. So we are seeing our order intake improving, but only taking, as mentioned, around 80% of industry capacity. So we need to see where demand evolves. We need to see also the impact of the closures, which will take full impact until the end of this year. And actually, one of them is actually in the first quarter of next year. But we should not forget that while we increased 5% our prices, the average in the sector was around 2%.
So as António mentioned, we need to remain vigilant to see where it goes.
Okay. On the London Pulp Week question, so I fully agree with António's view. I think the worst is behind us because there was a big tension, let's say, by the end of Q2 and during the Q3 that led to the price correction that we all know. I think currently, let's say, the price is at its bottom and no big tensions expected between buyers and sellers. We are looking forward to a better year, let's say, to a recovery from the Pulp Week on what's going to be.
Okay. Thank you very much.
This question comes from the line of Enrique Parrondo from JB Capital Markets. Please go ahead.
Yes. Good afternoon. Thank you for the presentation and for taking my questions. I have three, if I may. First one related to short-term outlook. Wondering if you could share your views based on pulp and paper trends that you recently shared on how this should translate into your sales volumes for the fourth quarter. Second one is on paper imports from Asia. Looking at recent data published by the RISI, it looks like imports have increased in recent months. So it would be interesting to have your view on possible risks from this, especially considering that the entry into force of the EUDR looks like it'll be delayed at least 12 months, and final one, as a follow-up for my colleague on paper prices.
In fact, other companies in the sector, I guess, that have pointed out that they have seen already some price erosion in the third quarter for uncoated fine papers and that this could extend. So, as you commented, you're not seeing any, at this stage, any room for price increases. But could it be the opposite, in fact, that we could see some price declines already in Q4 or into the beginning of early next year on the back of the pulp price declines? Thank you very much.
Okay. Thank you, Enrique. I will also make some introductory comments and again pass to both Quirino and Nuno to give further detail. Regarding your first question and our short-term outlook for pulp and paper, let's start with the paper. As it was expressed, we are starting now what is typically overall, not only in Europe, globally, the season with the highest demand, so we always see an uptick in Q4 and Q1, and we are expecting that. I also mentioned during the call, we already see that in order intake to Europe. Obviously, in a situation where there is a secular decline of coprofessional workingnsumption.
So I will not give you precise guidance because I can't and because we don't know, but I think we could expect to see volume-wise a recovery in paper vis-à-vis Q3 this year and Q3 last year, and probably going to levels similar to what we had in Q2 this year and Q4 last year. So ballpark figures, it will be somewhere in the middle. Pulp is more difficult to give you insight because, as you know, we have a stable business of pulp, and then it goes up and down in relation with what is the integration in packaging, tissue, and uncoated woodfree. So if we are expecting a higher volume of packaging, a higher volume of tissue, and a higher volume of uncoated woodfree, what we'll have to sell as pulp is our baseline of pulp, and we don't plan to be much more than that.
We actually, our level of stocks are usually very low, and they are very low, probably lower than typical they have been at this time of the year, and the levels of stocks in the industry, as you also know and was shared in the call, is also low, so positive evolution we expect on paper packaging in tissue, and the balance will be market sales of pulp. Regarding imports from Asia, indeed, we see actually a surprising increase of imports from Asia into Europe. We were not expecting such level of imports, but at the same time, we saw a significant reduction from other regions of the world: Americas, North and Latin America, Asia, sorry, Middle East, and of course, Russia that was a big exporter and now is basically zero, so the overall increase is probably lower than the increase that we are seeing from Asia.
You mentioned that it's very interesting, EUDR. When we speak with our customers, and for sure, the EU can put a lot of monitoring to this, our customers do not seem to trust much to put their bet in Asian importers exactly because they know that EUDR is not now, but it's around the corner. So I think this is going to do what is intended to do, which is to protect European producers. Regarding prices, we don't see an increase, but also we didn't saw any erosion in our core markets. You can always have increases or slight increases or slight erosions because of the mix. If you sell more reels and less sheets, prices typically go a bit down, but that does not mean that margins go down. It might be even better, but prices go down.
If you sell a bit more in overseas and less in Europe, average prices might go down, but probably our logistics costs will decrease as well. So margins will not go down. So we don't see an erosion in Q3, and we don't see an erosion in Q4. Actually, the 2% that Quirino mentioned, what they have shown is that we are operating now in the uncoated woodfree market in Europe, but it's not very different in the States as well, and a very stable price environment. Let's not forget that although we have been decreasing our costs, we, and I believe our competitors as well, we are operating still above pre-pandemic levels. So the space for price erosion is very limited. But I will ask both Nuno and Quirino to add further details.
Just a few comments, completely aligned with what you said, António. Imports indeed increased, as you mentioned, probably above what we expected a few months ago, but in fact, it followed the market increase. So what really counts is the weight or the share of the imports on the market consumption, which is pretty stable compared to last year, actually. But of course, Asians gained a little bit more share. It's not really significant in terms of share. Going forward, we know that there are some capacities starting up in China. We don't expect this to be too much in Europe. It's not really a condition. It's not really, we believe, their core market, which on top of that, as also was mentioned, the EUDR places a lot of clouds over customers.
Actually, before it was postponed, we saw a lot of anecdotes of customers being actually incentivized by the Asian suppliers to buy ahead of the possible implementation of the EUDR towards the end of this year of 2024. So this has been postponed. We don't see an uptick in the recent months. So I think this is a sort of a current run rate, which probably will last for the next few months, and then after the EUDR, we will see.
Just a couple of comments to just confirm. I think what António and Quirino just described is the view of all of us here. So I confirm. On the EUDR, I just want to also restate, as you know, it's meant to protect, and it's a policy or a measure against deforestation. And of course, the companies that are fulfilling and have a more sustainable and responsible, let's say, production processes and operations, we're the main benefit, and I think all of us know who these companies and producers are. So this is it. I think the only thing that I could also add is that also similarly, on the tissue side, the imports from Asia are more or less in line with what Quirino described for paper and uncoated wood free.
Thank you. Let me just add something to go in this direction of EUDR. The sustainability practices of European producers that are heavily scrutinized by independent bodies and by customers. The carbon footprint of our operations serving Europe from Europe, within Europe, so with a significant lower carbon footprint than bringing goods from abroad. The overall geopolitical instability that we are seeing and that unlikely will be reduced in the near future is probably moving some of our customers, might be customers of pulp, customers of paper, customers of tissue, from a supply policy of just in time to a supply policy of just in case. And I think they will nurture the European suppliers they have by the overall effect that I've tried to describe. Thank you.
Thank you very much.
This question comes from the line of Luis de Toledo from ODDO BHF. Please go ahead.
Yeah, good afternoon. I'd like to make two questions. The first one referring to the energy policy, self-consumption. You referred to your flexibility, your integration. I was wondering if your new capacities affect that flexibility going forward, and how should we expect this activity for next year? Are you expecting to maintain your current operation regime? And the second question would be regarding incentives. I don't know if there's been any development, any material development over the last quarter. Thanks.
Luis, I'm so sorry. I think I understood the first question is about energy policy and the flexibility that we have expressed if this will imply any changes next year. Did I get it right?
Yes, correct.
But I'm so sorry. I didn't understand at all your second question. Are you so kind to repeat?
Yes. The second question would be referring to incentives. In the past, you've mentioned your expected incentive rate of around 40%, although you have not received much funds. Obviously, some of them will come at the completion of the investments. I don't know if there's been any new development with regards to the incentives that you might receive from your sustainable investments.
Okay. I will make two introductory comments, and I'll ask Nuno to comment on energy and Fernando to comment on incentives. On energy, no, we don't expect any change on our policy, but let's not forget that our policy implies that while we have feeding tariffs guaranteed, we typically sell the energy into the marketplace, into the grid, and we buy energy from the grid. When those feeding tariffs are exhausted, we typically change to self-consumption of energy from those units. And indeed, next year, we will have that case. We'll have some installations that will move from feeding into the grid to self-consumption because we exhaust the feeding tariffs. Regarding incentives, the incentives that were referred at roundabout 40% are within the EU Next Generation Funds. They will be paid, some of them ahead, some of them in completion of the projects.
The projects will be completed. The majority of the projects will be completed until the end of next year. So we are in line with all the projects. We don't have any project that is behind or significantly behind. So we expect by the time we conclude those projects to have the full reimbursement of the values that we have announced. And we have announced roundabout EUR 100 million for a bit more than EUR 250 million of CapEx within EU Next Generation Funds. So I'll ask Nuno and Fernando to comment further. I think this is exactly right. So in terms of our two comments on the energy side, first of all, next year, we would expect to have less 10%-15% less sales of energy because it's a better optimal operating model.
And the second thing that may be worth mentioning is that more and more, we're getting very close to 100% of all our energy sold out of our renewable generation. So you know that we have natural gas cogeneration, but more and more, it's selling less volumes to the market. And very quickly, we will be 100% electricity-based generation produced out of biomass renewable generation. So these are the two things that we should remember.
Before passing to Fernando and to make a comment and ask Nuno, I'm going to go from the top of my head, from memory. I ask Nuno to correct me, but within this, and this links actually to the EU Next Generation Funds because we are increasing by the end of this year, early next year, we are increasing significantly our solar production for self-consumption, so we move from 12 to around 40 megawatts peak. We have started the installation of a new biomass boiler in our tissue mill in Vila Velha de Ródão. It just reinforces what Nuno said, that we are moving ahead with our decarbonization and at the same time, reducing the cost of our operation.
Regarding incentives, as you have mentioned, we have to receive more or less EUR 100 million. We have already received EUR 43 million, and this includes the advance payments that normally are around 23%. In addition to that, we should based on the proportion of the investment. This means what we are asking now, it's more or less where we are. We are going forward of 40% or more or less, and the next month, we'll ask one more installment again, but it's related with the progress on the field.
Okay, thanks Ladies and Gentlemen , please be reminded that if you wish to ask a question, you may press star five on your telephone keypad, and our next question comes from the line of António Seladas from AS Independent Research. Please go ahead.
Hi, good morning. Thank you for taking my questions and for the presentation. I have three. The first one is related with the pulp prices that, according to my figures, went down sharply from the second to the third quarter. Can you confirm it? The second question is related with wood prices. So I don't know if you can describe how the environment is now and compare with the environment just before the rally on wood prices. And the last one is related with your investment in the UK. I think that we, or at least I'm waiting for some more news in terms of integration. So more production of tissue instead of just converting. So I don't know if you want to say something about it. Thank you very much.
Thank you, António, for your three questions. Let me just rephrase to make sure that we fully understood them. The second one, I'm pretty sure I didn't follow. The first one is about pulp prices. In your view, pulp prices went down sharply from Q2 to Q3, and you'd like us to see if we were seeing exactly the same movement?
Exactly. Second question is wood prices, so wood prices that increased a lot last year and two years ago and how the environment now, and the last question is related to.
Okay. Go ahead.
And the last question is related to your investment in tissue in the UK. We're aware, or I'm waiting for more news in terms of integration, namely producing mills that produce the tissue instead of just the converting, so I don't know if you want to talk about it.
Okay. Again, I will make quick comments on the three questions, and I'll ask João and Nuno to comment in more detail. Let me start with the last one. If you are waiting for those news, I can assure you that we are working hard to deliver news. And whenever we have news to deliver, be sure we will deliver them. But you probably know that at the same time, we have today a significant number of projects undergoing in the company. Our teams are fully dedicated to conclude those projects. Some of them that we have already alluded, they have a timeline to finish that we cannot move, target that we cannot move. So we are working to give you some news, but it's yet soon to give any specific news. Regarding pulp prices, we see exactly what we saw.
Pulp prices went down sharply, particularly in China, less sharply, but still went down in Europe, and of course, our situation reflects what the market has seen. Regarding wood prices, this is probably more complicated to explain. Overall, in the world, we still see a significant inflation in wood costs. We believe this is the case in Latin America. We believe this is the case in Asia, where there is a clear scarcity of wood long term, at least. This is the case in Europe. Namely, and those are figures that you can easily find out publicly, the wood costs in Poland, in actually all East European countries, but Poland, Slovakia probably on top, as well as the increase of wood costs in Scandinavia is quite significant, quite significant. In Portugal, I think we are looking more to a stability of wood prices.
Let's not forget that prices from 2016 to 2023 increased in Portugal. The prices that we pay at mill gate increased in Portugal over 40%. By memory, 42%-43%. So in 2024, we see stability, and we are planning for stability in 2025. But the pressure on cost inflation is there, so we work hard to try to keep the prices stable. But there is pressure, namely in wood, as I said, in Scandinavia, Eastern Europe, Latin America, and Asia for a significant inflation in wood costs. So I'll ask Nuno to comment one and three, and João to comment two. The other third question on the potential investment or adding new capacity for producing tissue paper, I can especially confirm the part of what António mentioned. We are working hard. That part I can confirm, not so much about the now.
On the pulp prices, just a bit in Europe, in fact, Q2 and Q3, the average price on those two quarters are the same. So $1,365, they are basically more or less the same prices. Yes, in Q4, the expected average price will be around $1,100. So showing the decline that you mentioned that we are seeing. Actually, in China, if we compare this to China, we've seen a sharp decline from Q2 to Q3 and then Q4. Roughly, they came from $720 to $650 and maybe around $570, $560 now. Okay? Those are the pulp prices that we're seeing. João.
Okay. In terms of wood prices, I think António said the most of it. We don't expect any major changes in terms of prices from the different origins. And in fact, this year, we are facing an average price that is lower than the one that we had in 2023. So this is due mostly from the wood mix and the different origins that we have and not as much recurring from the price evolution. So in a word, despite all those production costs that were mentioned by António and this aggravation of those costs, we don't foresee any major changes in this quarter, this Q4. And for the next year, we hope we also can deal with a different mix that would even the prices more or less for in comparison with the ones that we have this year.
António, your question about the development of a new project, I think raises an interesting question that I'm going to share figures that typically we don't share, but I think helps you to understand how deeply involved this company is in engineering. This is an engineering house. Without counting yet with our U.K. business, so counting only with our Iberian mills, we are undergoing today 278 CapEx projects. 278 CapEx projects. That might be substitution of obsoletes, modernization, efficiency, a completely new project like the new recovery boiler or the new bleaching plant in Setúbal. In total, there are at the same time 278 projects. On top of these 278 projects, maintenance CapEx, we have 1,789 projects. You can appreciate the amount of effort our engineering and production teams are doing by delivering this amount of projects. We need to define priorities, of course.
Okay. Understood. Perfectly. Thank you very much.
There are no further questions from the conference call at this time, so I'll hand the conference back to you.
Thank you, Dean end of ses . Thank you all for your time. As always, we are available for any additional clarification through our usual contacts. Have a great day.