Good morning. We welcome you to The Navigator Company Q1 2026 results presentation. During the presentation, all participants will be on a listen-only mode. There will be an opportunity to ask a question after the presentation. If you wish to ask a question during the Q&A session, you may do so by pressing the star followed by five on your telephone keypad. I will now hand the conference over to Ana Canha. Please go ahead.
Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen. Thank you for jo ining us for The Navigator Company first quarter results conference call and webcast. We are joined today by the following directors: António Redondo, José Fernando Morais Carreira de Araújo and João Paulo Cabete Gonçalves Lé. As usual, we will begin with a brief strategic overview, followed by a Q&A session. You can access the presentation using the links on o ur website, and we invite you to submit your questions through the webcast platform at any time. I will now hand over to António to walk us through the key highlights for the quarter.
Thank you for joining us again today. This quarter was defined by a particularly complex operating environment. We saw an increase of the global volatility, driven by increased geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, compounded by very severe weather events in Portugal that led to temporary operational disruptions. However, despite these headwinds, Navigator's performance underscores the strength of our strategic diversification. Our focus on cost discipline and productivity remains consistent. As we will see in today's presentation, our growth segments are providing vital balance to our portfolio. In a demanding market environment, Navigat or demonstrated superior resilience, delivering results that once again surpassed those already reported by European pulp producers and global competitors in the paper, tissue, and packaging segments. I will begin with slide five with an overview of the key highlights.
Before we dive into the detailed operational metrics for each segment, I want to provide a high-level overview of our performance and strategic trajectory during the first quarter of 2026. As referred, the start of this year was defined by significant external pressures. Increased geopolitical instability and extreme weather in Portugal created significant hurdles for our production and logistics, while rising energy and supply chain costs tested our operational agility. Despite these headwinds, Navigator delivered a resilient performance. We responded proactively with price increases across all business segments. Notably, the pricing initiatives we led in Europe since the end of last year have already succeeded in reversing a six-quarter downward trend in the PIX A4 index. The core message of today's presentation is that resilience provided by our diversification strategy is no longer a plan.
It's a sound reality. With a reduction of prices in EUR in both pulp and paper year on year and sales volumes affected by the impact of weather events, tissue and packaging businesses contributed with nearly 40% of our EBITDA. In tissue, we are successfully scaling up through premium positioning and partnerships, such as our license agreement with Procter & Gamble. We are prioritizing margins over volume, particularly in U.K., while investing in new capacity in Aveiro. In packaging, our gKRAFT brand is driving e xceptional growth. We saw tonnage up 36% year on year. Our PM3 rebuild is on track, transforming a mid-tier and uncoated woodfree asset into a first quartile competitive machine at the fraction of a greenfield CapEx. We are funding this growth from a position of strength.
This quarter, we reduced net debt by EUR 28 million, maintaining a conservative net debt to EBITDA ratio of 2.08 times. This balance sheet provides the cash and the capital to continue our transition into a more diverse, innovative and value-added company. Turning to slide six, please, we can clearly see the external impact on our results. The quarter was negatively impacted by the before mentioned temporary disruptions to so me of our industrial operations, resulting from the extreme weather conditions experienced in Portugal. These constraints affected the available volumes of pulp and paper and led to an increase in fossil fuel consumption, particularly natural gas, with a direct impact on costs both through higher consumption and elevated price levels and through the increased need to purchase higher priced CO2 allowances.
Additionally, limited domestic wood access due to weather-related constraints forced an increased reliance on imports, driving up our raw material expenses during the quarter. Furthermore, we incurred additional logistic costs due to both the exceptional reliance on sea transport, as rail transport could not be used for inbound logistics due to weather, as well as due to cost increases in outbound logistics. Our diversification strategy is clearly paying off. Recent international expansion and portfolio diversification have strengthened Navigator results in tissue and packaging, providing a more balanced and resilient earnings profile. Tissue and packaging, although they represent only 31% of our turnover, this quarter, they sum up, as mentioned, to nearly 40% of our EBITDA.
A key strength of Navigator is its ability to generate strong cash flows, underpinned by our vertical integrated model and leading cost position in pulp and uncoated woodfree paper, tissue, and flexible packaging in Europe. Finally, our strategic investments boosted by NextGenerationEU funding are now in their final stages and will be fully completed this year. In the first quarter, CapEx totaled EUR 42 million, with 53% dedicated to value-added sustainability and ESG investments. These projects will make a significant contribution to reducing our future cost base. It should be noted that our industrial performance across our pulp and paper mills improved over the course of the quarter, with January, and particularly early February, being clearly impacted by the extreme weather events in Portugal.
I will now hand over to Fernando to walk you through our financial highlights and debt profile. Fernando, please go ahead.
Thank you, António. Turning to slide seven, we can look at our debt maturity profile. Navigator has maintained a robust financial position by securing new long-term debt, ensuring we have no significant payments due within the next five years. Over the past two years, we have successfully increased our average debt maturity to more than five years with a well-staggered repayment schedule. We continue to lead in sustainable finance, with 94% of our total debt now indexed to sustainability indicators. This directly aligns our financial strategy with our environmental targets. In a volatile global rate environment, our balance sheet remains well-protected. 64% of our total debt is at a fixed rate, managed through a combination of direct issuance and strategic interest rates hedging instruments.
Despite the general rise in market rates compared to the previous financing cycle, our proactive treasury management has kept our average cost of financing highly competitive at approximately 2.8%. We closed the quarter with ample liquidity of approximately EUR 570 million, combined with a conservative net debt to EBITDA ratio of 2.08 times. This provide Navigator with the agility to fund our short-term CapEx requirements, namely the conversion of PM3 machine to packaging, and the new tissue mill in Aveiro, and navigate market volatility with total confidence. Turning to slide eight, let's look at the primary drivers of EBITDA on a quarter-on-quarter basis. EBITDA stood at EUR 65 million, a 14% decrease compared to the previous quarter, resulting in a margin of 15.2%.
It's important to note the structural dilutive effect of the non-integrated UK tissue business, formerly based in Accrol, a situation that the new tissue mill will address from 2028 onwards. The EBITDA decline was primarily driven by both price decrease expressed in EUR and the temporary production disruptions we discussed, which impact sales volumes and push up energy, wood, and CO2-related costs. On a positive note, quarter-on-quarter, pulp and paper price start to increase this quarter. This reflects the upward trend in main benchmark index, where Navigator continued to lead in uncoated woodfree sale. Regarding volumes and costs, sales volumes were constrained by production interruptions and lower inventory levels at the beginning of the year.
We successfully reduced overhead costs, driven mainly by lower fixed rates in spite of lower production, which helped partially offset the spike in energy and raw materials expenses. Turning to slide 10 to discuss the pricing environment in our core markets. Looking at the pulp market, we have moved past the significant pressure seen in 2025. The downward cycle that we began in China last April finally signed a turnaround in August, and that moment has accelerated significantly since the start of 2026. In Europe, the PIX BHKP index ended the first quarter at $1,286 per ton, representing a 16% increase. This was just below the $1,330 target, I'm pleased to note that those higher price levels successfully took full effect in April.
In China, prices closed the quarter at $600 per ton, reflecting a more moderated 7% increase. However, the market continues to show room for further appreciation, supported by recent industry price increase announcements, with announced list price moving from $610 per ton in March to $630 per ton following additional increase announced in April. Current market price in China have already moved up to $606 per ton. Turning to European office paper market, the PIX A4 copy index average EUR 925 per ton this quarter. While this is 30% lower than the same period last year, more importantly, it marks the definitive end of a downward cycle that persists for six consecutive quarters. Even after recent adjustments, uncoated woodfree market index remained historically strong, standing 8% above the 2016/2020 average.
Navigator took a proactive stance on pricing in Q1, with the rest of the industry following our lead. In Europe, we implemented hikes in January and in May, and announced already an additional one to be implemented next June. In overseas markets, we applied an increase of EUR 30 in January, an increase of EUR 30-EUR 50 per ton through March, alongside a 5%-8% price increase for the U.S. market in March, and another 5%-8% now in mid-May. In Europe, the initial move was instrumental in halting the downward trend of the European benchmark. In the downward cycle that ended in Q2 2025 and Q1 2026, Navigator premium products, which are the majority of our sales, did not decrease by the same amount.
The price gap of Navigator branded cut size over copy B went from the typical 10%, 12% or 19% in Q1 2025 to a staggering 31% in Q1 2026 without loss of market share. This reflects our brand resilience in the European market. As price trend upward, we are mindful of the impact of the growth pace of our value-added portfolio. On the lower value products, we lead the European market increase, with 5% gains quarter-over-quarter, but the impact on our net sales is limited to the low share of on total sales, 15%. In slide 11, we have summarized the main developments in uncoated woodfree. Apparent global demand for printing and writing papers saw a slight decrease of 1.2%. Uncoated woodfree remains the most resilient grade in the industry.
While coated papers and mechanical pulp products saw sharper declines of up to 4%, uncoated woodfree fell by only 0.5% globally. This consistently superior performance is a direct result of the segment versatility. In Europe, while demand was down 4% in the first quarter, the industry is maintaining healthy order books supported by a stronger flow of export orders. Supply side shifts are also providing support. The discontinuation of production by a leading manufacturer late last year removed 185,000 tons of annual capacity from the market. While no further close have been announced for 2026, many of our competitors continue to face intense margin pressure, which may lead to further future movements of consolidation. A key highlight for us this quarter is our operating rate.
While the European industry averaged 84%, Navigator achieved 90%. This reflects a robust recovery towards the end of the quarter as we move past the initial operational instabilities caused by weather events. Finally, regarding United States, the report 9% decline in apparent consumption through February seems to be largely a supply-side discussion. We believe real consumption remains stable, but the figures have been skewed by the anticipated shutdown of a major U.S. plant and the gradual destocking of high imports volumes from 2025. This creates a temporary statistical dip rather than a shift in long-term demand. João Paulo Cabete Gonçalves Lé will now provide further context on the global pulp dynamics. João?
Thank you, Fernando. Turning to Slide 12, as just mentioned, the pulp market spent much of 2025 under severe pressure. However, the turnaround that began late last year has gained significant traction in 2026. Looking deeper into why prices recovered this quarter, we see a combination of supply side discipline and specific logistical constraints. On the supply side, the market has tightened significantly due to both planned and unplanned downtimes. Notably, one leading Indonesian manufacturer removed approximately 150,000 tons from the market following the cancellation of harvesting licenses by the Indonesian government on the grounds of deforestation accusations. Furthermore, we've seen swing producers strategically pivot away from BHKP toward dissolving pulp, further reducing available supply. Regional factors also play the role.
In Asia, hardwood chip prices rose by roughly USD 20 per ton, driven by increased Chinese wood imports as a major local producer resumed operations. Meanwhile, in Iberia, the extreme weather conditions created broader constraints in several mills' output and trade flows. From an historical perspective, the current recovery follows the unsustainable lows of late 2025, which represented the lowest pulp price levels in recent years, excluding 2020. Current geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East, have added inflationary pressure to production costs, affecting energy, chemicals, and logistics, which in turn supports a higher price floor for pulp. Turning to demand, China and the U.S. remain growth drivers, with demand up 3% and 13% respectively through February. Europe remains more challenged, with demand down 9%. Despite these regional variations, eucalyptus pulp continues to gain market share.
Its competitive edge in over long fiber is driven by both cost advantage and the technological superiorities of hardwood fiber. We are navigated as the global pioneer of eucalyptus market pulp since 1956 remains the industry benchmark. While the sector has faced structural overcapacity from recent expansions in Latin America and China, the current shift towards high-quality eucalyptus fiber continues to strengthen our strategic position. European port stocks remain stable, in line with historical averages. In contrast, Chinese stocks are currently above historical norms, suggesting that inventory levels are not the primary driver of recent price support. Looking at tissue performance on Slide 13, the European tissue market remains resilient. In January, demand grew by 1.7% year-on-year, outperforming the 1.4% growth rate seen in the previous year. Q1 turnover decreased by 19% year-on-year, with sales volumes down 13%.
This performance reflects a deliberate strategic shift towards margin management and the ongoing industrial transformation of our U.K. operations. Our U.K. business currently operates on a converting-only model. Unlike our fully integrated Iberian operations, the U.K. lacks the margin contributions from primary paper production, which structurally dilutes consolidated segment results. We are currently streamlining U.K. assets, optimizing locations, and exiting unprofitable client brand contracts. This project is on schedule for completion by late 2026, early 2027, aimed at restoring operational efficiency and segment margins. Furthermore, we confirmed our strategic tissue expansion this quarter with investment of EUR 115 million in the new 70,000 ton tissue machine at the Aveiro complex, scheduled for a March 2028 startup. This project will provide internal raw supply for our U.K. operation, structurally improving margins through vertical integration.
Our diversification strategy has successfully rebalanced our geographical exposure. Sales volume outside Portugal reached 81% in Q1, a significant increase from 54% in 2022. Spain is our largest market at 33%, followed by U.K. at 31% and France at 15%. Finished products now account for 99% of sales. The at-home retail segment represents 85% of our mix. We continue to strengthen our positioning through R&D and partnerships. In Q1, we reached the final development stages for a series of high-impact innovations in the toilet paper category with launches scheduled for the coming quarters. These include proprietary odor mitigation and long-lasting aromatization technologies, notably 100% microplastic free, alongside the introduction of hypoallergenic properties for several key product lines. These advancements reinforce our position as a leader in tissue innovation.
By delivering high perceived value and sustainability-led differentiation, we are effectively insulating our premium offering in an increasingly competitive global market. The extension of the Procter & Gamble licensing agreement is reflected in the strengthening of Navigator's position in the Iberian tissue market through the rollout of the Don Limpio range in Spain, alongside the preparation for re-entry into France with the Monsieur Propre brand in the coming quarters. Now, turning to slide 14 on the main developments in packaging. Our packaging business delivered EUR 25 million in turnover this quarter, representing 23% year-on-year growth. This was driven by a robust 36% increase in tonnage, reflecting our successful penetration into the high-demand, low-grammage segments. Pack-packaging now accounts for 60% of the group's total sales. Performance was led by flexible packaging, specifically low grammage applications for food and personal care.
These priority segments benefit from the unique technical and cost advantages of our Eucalyptus globulus fiber, a key differentiator that allows us to compete on both quality and cost. Our growth is driven by our proprietary gKRAFT brand across its three segments: BAG, FLEX and BOX. Geographically, 73% of our sales are in Europe, while 27% are strategically allocated to high-potential overseas markets in the Americas and the MENA region. The rebuild of our PM3 at the Setúbal integrated industrial site is progressing as planned. This EUR 30 million investment will introduce state-of-the-art technology, strengthening flexibility, improving energy efficiency, and supporting the production of higher quality, low grammage packaging papers. Once operational at the end of Q3 2026, PM3 will produce approximately 90,000-100,000 tons of low grammage flexible packaging paper.
Crucially, we are achieving this at a capital cost that's 5 to 7 times lower than a greenfield project of a similar capacity. Furthermore, we maintain industrial flexibility to switch between uncoated woodfree and flexible packaging on the same machine, allowing us to pivot based on the market demand and margins obtained. This conversion transforms PM3 from a mid-tier uncoated woodfree asset into a first quartile competitive flexible packaging machine. As a result, Navigator will become the fourth largest producer of low grammage flexible packaging in Europe, perfectly positioned to capture a market projected to grow 2.5%-3% annually through 2035. I will now hand over to António for a wrap-up of the quarter results.
Thank you, João. Let's please turn to slide 16. We cannot ignore the geopolitical instability and extreme weather events that pressured our early quarter results. These factors created logistical bottlenecks and inflated energy and raw material costs. We have been proactive to offset these inflationary pressures, we have successfully implemented price increases across all business segments, ensuring our margins remain protected. Navigator took a proactive stance on pricing in Q1 with the rest of the industry following our lead. In Europe, we implemented hikes in January, another 1 in May, and announced an additional 3rd increase for June. In overseas markets, we applied an increase of $30 in January, an increase of $30-$50 per ton through March, alongside a 5%-8% price increase for the U.S. in March, and another 5%-8% now in mid-May as well in U.S.
As we have demonstrated today, our diversification is now a proven driver of our financial results. In a very challenging quarter for both volumes and prices of pulp and uncoated woodfree paper, 40% of our EBITDA was generated from tissue and packaging. This diversification is a bedrock for our stability. In packaging, we are achieving high margin growth by repurposing uncoated woodfree assets with minimal CapEx. Our gKRAFT and FLEX brands are leading the way in international expansion and innovative eucalyptus-based solutions. In tissue, we are scaling operations and capturing synergies. We are now consolidating our U.K. operations to drive greater efficiency. Our focus remains on operational excellence. The PM3 rebuild is on schedule. Our new tissue capacity in Aveiro is strategically positioned to serve directly part of our U.K. jumbo rolls needs.
These are high value-added investments designed to structurally reduce our future cost base. Furthermore, we remain committed to financial discipline with a comfortable debt profile. It is worth emphasizing we are a fundamentally different company today. We maintain Europe's leading uncoated woodfree business, and we have built a tissue business that leads the market in innovation as well as innovative eucalyptus-based packaging business that is scaling rapidly. We are leaner, more diversified, and strategically positioned to turn global challenges into a competitive advantage. Let's move on to slide 17 with a few comments on outlook. While geopolitical volatility continues to weigh on global business sentiment, the group remains well-positioned to navigate these headwinds. Despite broader economic uncertainty, our core segments demonstrate significant resilience.
Average pulp prices in 2026 are expected to be higher than in 2025, but with different trends throughout the year. In Europe, prices are expected to continue rising until Q3, in China until end of Q2, after which there might be a moderate correction in the following quarters. In other words, no significant decline is anticipated compared to 2025, and the outlook remains positive. This appears to be driven more by supply discipline and a lower influx of new capacity in 2026 than by a strong recovery in demand yet, given that global demand for our goods remains under relatively pressure so far. On the supply side, the market will not face significant capacity increases this year.
Major projects in Indonesia and Brazil are not expected to impact market supply until 2027 and 2028 respectively, providing a favorable supply-demand balance for all the current fiscal year. In printing and writing paper, we have successfully implemented a multi-stage price strategy in response to robust order books and escalating production costs. In Europe, a second price increase of 4%-6% is currently being implemented during the month of May, with a third hike scheduled for June. In international markets, increase of 3%-5% in Latin America and 5%-8% in U.S. take effect this quarter. In the remaining international markets, prices likely to move up in the second quarter by some 3% quarter-on-quarter after the 5% increase in Q1. In these markets, we are fully booked until end of June, booking already volumes for July.
With the operational constraints of Q1 largely resolved, we anticipate Q2 average prices to be higher than the previous quarter. Despite this positive pricing momentum, the global environment remains complex, characterized by a structural decline in consumption and stagnation across key regions. We are seeing a significant rebalancing of the market driven by capacity closures in Europe and North America. In the U.S. specifically, supply is tightening rapidly. Following an initial 350,000 tons reduction by a major player, a second mill closure announced for early 2026 will remove another 320,000 tons of annual capacity starting in the second half of this year. Scheduled downtime at the primary U.S. mill in Q4 will pull an additional 80,000 tons from the market.
We aggregate these cuts, we estimate a structural shortfall of not less than 1.2 million tons in U.S. per year, representing 25% of total consumption. While no further cuts have been announced for the remainder of 2026, high margin pressure persists across the industry, maintaining a very tight operating environment. In the tissue segment, demand remains resilient with an estimated annual growth of 1.1%. It continues to extract significant value from the integration of Navigator Tissue Aveiro and Navigator Tissue U.K. To protect margins, we have announced a price increase of 5%-7% across all markets, effective from this month onwards. Our packaging business continues to perform strongly with growth quarter-on-quarter on both volumes and prices.
Kraft packaging papers are very technical businesses with important qualification processes with customers and often with brand owners, lasting an average from 6-12 months to qualify a new product or supplier. These thorough testing processes tend to produce a lasting adoption once product benefits are demonstrated to customers. GKRAFT presents an innovation to the global Kraft packaging markets, with Eucalyptus globulus as a main fiber, and in some products being 100% eucalyptus furnish. This presents numerous advantage to global customers on performance, and therefore operational cost, and unique sustainability advantages, but can extend somewhat the qualification process. As mentioned before, PM3 conversion project at Setúbal site is progressing as planned. Once completed, this investment will position Navigator as the fourth largest producer of low-grammage flexible packaging in Europe.
On the price side, we have already moved prices upwards by 5%-10% as of April, with an additional increase scheduled for June. The agility and proficiency of our teams and our integrated value chain management remain our primary competitive advantages, supported by a robust financial position. Navigator is not only navigated current challenges, but is actively transforming its portfolio to ensure long-term value creation. In a particularly challenging quarter for the sector, Navigator once again delivered performance well ahead of both European pulp producers and international paper tissue and packaging players that have already reported results. We look forward to executing our strategy with confidence throughout the remainder of 2026, driven by ongoing diversification and continuous innovation in our core business. Thank you.
Thank you, António. This ends our presentation. We are now open for the Q&A session.
Ladies and gentlemen, we will now begin the Q&A session. The first question comes from Cole Hathorn from Jefferies. Now your line is open.
Good afternoon. Thanks for taking my question. I'd just like to follow up on the uncoated free sheet market and just hear your thoughts around what is needed in the European industry, because it feels like we haven't seen material capacity reductions on the uncoated free sheet side. We're seeing some M&A from, potentially from UPM and Sappi more on the coated mechanical grades. But I'm just wondering, what would you like to see firstly on the uncoated free sheet side? Is it M&A? Is it capacity closures? And does higher gas prices and higher pulp prices increase the probability of closures from some of the non-pulp integrated producers? Thank you.
Okay. Thank you, Cole , for your question. Well, is a rather difficult question to answer, but we'll try to give you some elements of our reasoning. Historically, we cannot say that the European market didn't react to the environment and didn't close capacity. Quoting from memory, in 2016, the European uncoated woodfree market had a capacity of over 7 million tons. This year, we believe is around 5 million tons. We had a reduction of at least 2 million tons on the last decade, and the operating rates are materially not very different. It means that the market has been somewhat adjusted or been able to adjust to the dynamics of demand. If you ask us what is our preference, our preference will be either M&A or shutdowns, but we cannot influence any of them directly.
We don't intend to shut down capacity because, as we speak, all our uncoated woodfree mills generate a positive and sound cash flow. At the same time, we are always looking to opportunities to participate in M&A, and we did so namely in tissue. We have failed so far to do the same exercise in uncoated woodfree, because we don't find in Europe so far, it might happen in the future, but so far we don't find any asset in Europe that increases our competitiveness. An asset that we can turn around and generate a significant higher return than the present owners, and that can make sales in our portfolio. We own, as you know, five uncoated woodfree paper machines.
Three of them are not only the largest, but by far the most competitive uncoated woodfree machines in Europe and actually in some other parts of the world, not only in Europe. We have two paper machines, one more dedicated to specialty uncoated woodfree papers, might be heavier grammages or creamy papers for book publishing. Another one that we are reconverting for flexible packaging without losing the capability to swing in between flexible packaging and some uncoated woodfree grades in function of market demand and margins. We don't see in Europe, as far as we can see today, we don't see in Europe any imminent candidates for further shutdown and further reconversion to other grades. We believe that a good part of that has been done in the past.
We don't see it in the very immediate future. However, as you pointed out, we don't rule out if we have an upcycle of pulp prices together, and pulp is an important driver, but is by no means the only driver. An upcycle on pulp prices, which actually we are witnessing since the middle of last year, plus a very significant and severe cost increase on energy, plus a significant cost increase on chemicals, plus a significant cost increase in logistics. We don't rule out the possibility if the trend continues that less competitive players will shut down their capacities or will reconvert to other type of grades . Reconversion is difficult because the, we believe that after our reconversion of PM3, the large packaging sectors are balanced.
I, I don't think it's going to be easy to have any reconversion. I mean, balanced, I'm being probably conservative. I think they are balanced in flexible packaging. They are probably over-supplied in other packaging grades, but you dominate packaging much better than ourselves.
Ladies and gentlemen, please be reminded that in order to ask a question, you must press star five on your telephone keypad. The next question comes from António Seladas from AS Independent Research. Now your line is open.
Hi, good afternoon. Thank you for taking my question. First one is regarding volumes. If you could provide some color in terms of volumes in paper and tissue that we expect to sell over the coming quarters, namely when compared with last year. Second question is related with your U.K. operation that you are trying to become, well, you are professionalizing the operation. My question is, when do you expect the process to finish? Thank you very much.
Thank you, António, for your question. I'm going to try to rephrase it to make sure that we understood correctly. The first part of the question, you would like to get some guidance on how do we expect volume evolution on Q2 for both N-code 2, 3 and pulp. Is that correct?
Exactly.
The second question, I'm not sure if you are referring to our tissue process in U.K. or if you're referring to conversion of PM 2, 3 machines to packaging. Can you please clarify?
Sorry, it's regarding your U.K. operation and the process that is now on, where you're trying to become more efficient, your U.K. operation. Sorry.
Okay, U.K. operation. Very good. As you easily understand, we cannot provide and will not provide specific guidance on volumes for N-code 2, 3 and pulp, but I think we can share some elements. Past the majority of the issues we had in Q1, namely in the first half of Q1 with weather-related events, we believe that we'll, on the uncoated side , we will have more volume available to sell in during Q2. Having said that, we have some maintenance shutdowns during Q2, particularly in the Setúbal mill, and Setúbal is quite large. This will have of course an impact and we are starting Q2, or we started Q2 with a very low level of stocks. Okay? This, the issue is not demand.
We have a very sound order book. As we mentioned in overseas, we are already booking July, but overall we have a very sound order book. Around about 45 days, which is historically high. A good order book for us in this sector is around 20 to 25 days. We have more or less than double, so we don't have an issue with order book. We don't see an issue with demand for our products, in spite, we have a very high premium price, as it was referred, we are selling without any significant impact on the market share. We are selling our office premium 31% above our, the copy B index in the marketplace. Quarter 3 is what we can say.
We expect normally a higher sales volume, no issue with demand, a shutdown this quarter in a large mill and at the same time low stocks to compensate if anything goes wrong. On pulp side, also we have shutdowns this quarter. We have two shutdowns this quarter. One actually is in the end of Q2, beginning of Q3, planned maintenance shutdowns, the availability of pulp will very much depend on the performance of uncoated woodfree packaging and tissue. If our performance on tissue packaging and uncoated woodfree is what we expect, we will have most likely less volumes of pulp to sell. Regarding U.K., this is a major turnaround process. We are moving from five mills and three warehouses, so eight locations, to two locations at the same time that we are serving customers.
This is done without putting any significant new capacity. We have some slight new capacity on wipes, but not on tissue. We are migrating existing tissue converting lines to one existing site and one new site. The two sites are strategically positioned to serve the north part of England and the south part of England efficiently from the logistic cost point of view. The process is complicated, is long. It is a process that also involves consultation with employees because, of course, we are going to reduce our workforce. Part of the synergies are related to that and of course, with efficiency to have everything together in two sites rather than 5. Our original plan is to have it largely completed by the end of this year, Q1 2027.
We expect that this will help us to generate, o f course now we are having the costs of this turnaround, which are significant, as you may imagine, in U.K. So we are paying that cost. We expect in 2027, again, to go back to our historical or above historical converting margins. From 2028 onwards, we expect to serve the U.K. tissue operation with the new tissue mill in Aveiro. The new tissue mill in Aveiro will start somewhere in between March and April 2028 if everything runs according to schedule. It means that, by end of Q2, early Q3, after testing and the startup curve phase, we expect by Q3 to start supplying U.K. operation with tissue rolls from Aveiro.
Okay. Thank you very much.
The next question comes from Cole Hathorn from Jefferies.
Thanks for taking my follow-up. I'd just like to ask on order books and logistics globally. You know, on the packaging side, we've seen probably some stronger orders as people have built up some safety stocks. There's been a bit of restocking on some of your peers in the packaging side, and I'm just wondering, what have you seen in the uncoated free sheet side from a European perspective? Have you seen less competition from some of the Asian players? You know, have you been able to take a little bit more market share? Have some of your buyers been stocking up ahead of price increases and, you know, to build up safety stocks? Just understanding order books and stocking.
The second question is linked to that, and that's on your commercial decisions to push price. I completely understand. We've got higher gas, we've got higher chemicals, we've got logistics, we have cost inflation, and you need to raise prices. Navigator's also got, you know, best in class position on the cost curve. Is this not an opportunity now to potentially hold back on pushing price and force some capacity to exit the market? Or is that not a commercial decision that you're making at this point, you'd rather just push the price? I just want to understand how you think about it. Thank you.
Thank you, Cole , for your follow-up questions. A bit on order book and stocking. As I mentioned, the round about 45 days we have on order book is actually for papers, both uncoated and packaging together. I don't have with me here the precise split, but I don't think it's very different to one and the other. It's probably slightly more in uncoated than in packaging, but the difference is not material. I'm sure that some customers have been stocking a bit ahead of price increases, both in Europe and overseas. I'm sure. I don't know. I cannot quantify the impact, this is typically an effect that happens.
Having said that, if you look to the financial performance of the European distributors of paper, you easily reach the conclusion that they don't, they don't have the means to overstock paper. On top of that financial situation, we forever in our case, we have been always extremely tough on credit. We only sell with credit coverage. We don't sell at risk. It's why we have always meaningless bad debts in our books. So from one side they are limited by the credit that the current insurers give them, or the other credit instruments they can provide us. From the other side, they don't have the financial means, unfortunately, to stock a lot of paper ahead.
I think the order books that we are seeing are really demanding demand for our products. Obviously, I think we are all benefiting, Navigator as well, with the fact that the U.S. market is now a significant net importer of paper. The companies that have the quality and the technological capacity and the converting equipment to serve the U.S. market, there are not many in Europe. There are a handful of European companies that have both the quality, the technology capability and the converting equipment to serve the U.S. market, are also exporting a bit more to U.S.A. than in the past. Of course, this also helps to enlarge order books.
Regarding your comment on imports, this is quite interesting. I think Europe has a big threat of imports, particularly from Asia. I'm going to quote from memory. If we go back to pre-pandemic, 2018, 2019, the Asian imports were probably around 30% of the total imports into Europe. Today, Asian imports are over 70%. Asians are taking a significant step change into the European uncoated woodfree market, mainly and namely in office papers. I think it's going to be very difficult for them to compete in folio sizes for the printing industry and rolls. Those are very technical, very specific sizes, long-lasting relations with printers, very short delivery times.
They are not standardized products, so I don't think they will have a chance over there with the present business model. In A4 cut-size they are a real threat, and I think Europe needs to wake up for that reality and provide a level playing field if with those imports. That by level playing field, I can comment two things. I can comment EUDR, the European Deforestation Regulation that is already postponed twice, should be implemented by no later than 2026, end of 2026. We have a significant cost to behave like we are behaving vis-a-vis our forest, the sourcing of wood, and we know that the Asian suppliers are not doing that. The proof is exactly what my colleague has commented duri ng the call.
What has happened in Indonesia with the local government taking out licenses from Indonesian pulp and paper producers on the grounds of proven deforestation. If Europe needs any more proof of deforestation, they just need to rely on the Indonesian government and their decisions. EUDR is one area, and the other one is CBAM. CBAM has unfortunately, not a uniform view on the industry across Europe. We Navigator are very favorable to CBAM. However, a CBAM mechanism that allows a grace period without losing free allowances for CO2, and with a decrease of allowances smoother than what Europe is anticipating. If not, Europe is going to be very green, but it's going to lose all in dustry.
I think you point rightly there is a real threat on Asian imports going forward, and Europe needs to wake up to that. On your second question, it is a choice, is a choice that we decide, and we try to measure each and every time. In the past we did it. In the past we have been capping price increases to benefit from our competitive cost position. To be honest, we didn't see any effects in the short to medium term. It probably takes too many years to be able by doing this strategy to force others to exit the market.
I think we are, we have also today a very significant lead in terms of market share, and we have the responsibility also by leading the market with our market share. We have the responsibility to behave responsibly vis-a-vis prices and vis-a-vis our customers, but also our suppliers that are charging us our higher prices. I don't think if we change the strategy back again where we were some years ago, this will accelerate any time soon, any reconversion. This is our view after analyzing the data and thinking what is the best course of action for us.
Thank you.
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