Ipsen S.A. (EPA:IPN)
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May 4, 2026, 11:23 AM CET
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Earnings Call: H2 2025

Feb 12, 2026

Operator

`Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to Ipsen's conference call and webcast on full year 2025 results. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there will be a question and answer session. To ask a question during the session, you will need to press star one one on your telephone. You will then hear an automated message advising your hand is raised. To withdraw your question, please press star one and one again. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I will now like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, David Loew, Ipsen CEO. Please go ahead.

David Loew
CEO, Ipsen

Thank you, operator, and hello, everyone. I'm delighted to welcome you to our presentation this afternoon, which can also be found on Ipsen.com. I want to use the time we have together to focus on the progress Ipsen delivered in 2025 and on the future opportunities and platforms for growth. Please turn to slide two. Please take note of our forward-looking statements, which outline the routine risks and uncertainties contained within this presentation. Also, all of my comments on growth will be based on constant exchange rates. Please turn to slide three. I'm going to take you through the presentation of our latest business update, followed by our CFO, Aymeric Le Chatelier, who will take you through the financials, and finally, I will provide an R&D update.

At the end of the presentation, we will open the Q&A session. Let's begin by looking at today's highlights. Please turn to slide four. Turn to slide five. Today's headlines illustrates how we are continuing to deliver strong and sustainable growth. In 2025, total sales grew double digits by 10.9%, a performance driven mostly by the strong performance of our portfolio, excluding Somatuline, which grew by 14.2% over the year. Regarding margin, we delivered a core operating margin of 35.2% of total sales. Turning to regulatory highlights, this year was marked by the MA regulatory submission of tovorafenib for pediatric low-grade glioma in the first quarter, EU approval of CABOMETYX in neuroendocrine tumors in July, and importantly, by the announcement of the first data for our first-in-class differentiated long-acting molecule, IPN10200, in September.

Looking ahead, 2026 promises to be another exciting year for our pipeline, with key, five key milestones, which includes three pivotal readouts, in addition to the highly anticipated full data presentation of the phase II data for IPN10200 in first aesthetics indication, glabellar lines, at an upcoming medical meeting. Lastly, we are expecting another year of double-digit sales growth for 2026, supported by accelerated performance across the entire portfolio and the better outlook for Somatuline, given the production challenges faced by generic competition. Aymeric will provide more details in his section. Please turn to slide six. Our full year sales delivered a solid 10.9% growth and 7.5% in Q4, fueled by all three therapeutic areas, with an improvement of performance for neuroscience and rare disease this year compared to last year.

The portfolio, excluding Somatuline, grew at 14.2% this year and by 19.6% in Q4. Oncology performed well, with sales growth of 4.1%, but we're down in the last quarter due to a decline in Somatuline sales versus a very high baseline in 2024. Rare disease performed very well, with sales doubling this year. Neuroscience, with Dysport, continued to deliver high single-digit growth. I'll now turn to oncology for more detail. Please turn to slide seven. Starting with Somatuline, sales were up by 4.3% for the full year. Both Europe and the US continued to benefit from shortages of generic lanreotide, and we saw a strong performance in the rest of world.

As we have previously communicated, we are aware of recent updates on the potential challenges with regards to the manufacturing and availability of generic lanreotide in several markets, and this is factored in our guidance. CABOMETYX sales were up by 5.1%, with solid performance in Europe, driven by renal cell carcinoma growth and boosted by the neuroendocrine tumor launch, despite increased competition in rest of world. Decapeptyl sales were up by 2.7% as we experienced volume growth in Europe and China, despite continuous competition and some pricing pressure in some countries. Onivyde sales grew by 6.2%, with expansion of use in the U.S., driven by the first-line metastatic pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma indication. We expect sales to continue to grow modestly, but acknowledge that we are now unlikely to reach EUR 500 million in peak sales.

Now, let's turn to rare disease. Let's go to slide 8. On rare disease, Bylvay continues to perform well, with annual sales of EUR 180 million, growing by 36.3%. Growth was driven by both PFIC and Alagille syndrome indications in the U.S. Additionally, we saw a strong double-digit growth in both Europe and in rest of world. Q4 sales growth was impacted by ongoing competitive challenges in the PFIC indication, and we expect to see the positive effects of the new pediatric field force we put recently in place in the coming months in the U.S.... Iqirvo continues to track very well, with annual sales of EUR 184 million, with growth coming from all regions. Let me go into a bit more detail on the next slide. Please turn to slide nine.

As you can see, we have demonstrated strong quarter-on-quarter growth since the launch just over a year and a half ago. In the US, we have seen a significant number of Ocaliva patients switching to Iqirvo on top of a growing PPAR market. We believe that the new data published at AASLD this year has further strengthened Iqirvo's profile as a drug with both long-term efficacy and safety, including improvements in pruritus, fatigue, and fibrosis. In Europe, we're continuing the launch across many countries. We're also very pleased with how well the launches are progressing, capturing new patients and contributing to expand the market. Moving to neuroscience, please turn to slide 10. Dysport delivered another year of solid performance, with sales growth of 9.7% for the full year.

In aesthetics, sales grew by 13.7%, driven by continued strong sales in most territories, including the U.S. and rest of the world, and by strong performance from our partner, Galderma, who continued to gain market share in key countries, and a solid growth in our Ipsen territories. On the therapeutic side, Dysport grew by 4.2%, driven by strong growth in the U.S. and Europe. Reported sales were, however, down in the rest of the world, impacted by adverse phasing of orders in Brazil. That concludes the review of sales. I'll now hand over to Aymeric, who will provide you more details on our full year financials. Please turn to slide 11.

Aymeric Le Chatelier
CFO, Ipsen

Thank you, David, and hello to everybody. I will now take you through more details of our 2025 financial performance and our guidance for 2026. Please turn to slide 12. We delivered another set of strong financial results this year across sales, profitability, and cash flow. First, our total sales, which exceeded EUR 3.6 billion, grew by 10.9% at constant exchange rate. Our core operating income grew by 16.7% to EUR 1.3 billion, in line with our free cash flow, increasing by 29% to reach EUR 1 billion. Given this strong performance and our solid balance sheet with no debt, we add EUR 3.2 billion of firepower available for external innovation. Let's take now a closer look at those financials in the next slide. Please turn to slide 13.

Starting with the P&L to core operating income, I would like to highlight that we implemented this year a slight reclassification of our distribution expenses. These costs have been moved from SG&A to cost of sales, and therefore now impact our gross margin. This change brings our reporting in line with common practices of most of our industry peers. You have all the detail in the appendix of that presentation. Now, if we look at the figures, the growth in total sales of 10.9% at constant exchange rate translated into 8.1% at current rates, given the adverse currency movements.

Gross margin increased by 2.1 points, driven by the higher level of other revenue by EUR 80 million, mainly due to commercial and regulatory milestone received from ex-US partner for Onivyde and some other products, and the growth in royalties received primarily from Dysport partner. SG&A costs increased by only 6.9%, with a ratio to sales at 31.6%, improving by 0.3 points, reflecting an increased investment to support the launches, especially Iqirvo and Bylvay, and the impact of our ongoing efficiency program. R&D costs increased by 9.8% to reach 20.5% of total sales, driven mainly by increased investment to support the development, mainly in neuroscience and early-stage oncology assets.

As a consequence, our core operating income increased by 16.7%, with a core operating margin standing at 35.2%, increasing by 2.6 points. Please turn to slide 14. Turning to IFRS consolidated net profit. This year, we recognized impairment losses for about EUR 350 million before tax, mainly driven by first, tesavarecitab, for which we no longer expect to achieve the EUR 500 million peak sales, given the recent competitive developments. Secondly, by fidrisertib, following the negative readout in December 2025 of the pivotal phase II trial. And thirdly, by the discontinuation of some of our early-stage assets. Despite this impairment, IFRS operating income and consolidated net profit increased by 26% and 28% respectively. Please turn to slide 15. Finally, on cash flow.

We continue to generate strong free cash flows this year and maintain a solid balance sheet with a cash position of more than EUR 500 million at the end of December. Free cash flow increased by 29% to EUR 1 billion, driven by EBITDA growth, sound management of capital expenditures, and working capital. Net investments included the acquisition of ImCheck Therapeutics for about EUR 350 million and some regulatory and commercial milestones. As a consequence, with a net cash position of exactly EUR 560 million at the end of December, and based on a maximum of 2x net debt to EBITDA . We had an available firepower of EUR 3.2 billion for external innovation at the end of 2025. Let's now move to 2026 guidance. Please turn to slide 16.

For this year, we anticipate another year of double-digit sales growth with a high level of profitability. For total sales, we expect growth of more than 13% at constant exchange rates. This year, we also anticipate adverse impact of around 2% from currency, based on the January exchange rate. This guidance on sales is assuming an accelerated sales growth of the portfolio, excluding Somatuline. This will be driven by Iqirvo, Bylvay, Dysport, but also Cabometyx, as well as a continued growth from Somatuline. Given the recent challenges with regard to the manufacturing and availability of generic lanreotide, we assume limited generic supply in 2026, with a potential entrant only in the second half of this year. On profitability now, we anticipate a core operating margin greater than 35% of total sales.

We will continue to leverage our top-line growth with moderate increase in SG&A and R&D ratio to stay around 20% of sales. However, currency rate and a lower level of other revenue will have an adverse impact on our margin in 2026. Regarding our midterm outlook, we are highly confident to exceed our total sales average growth of at least 7% per year for the period 2023-2027, and our 2027 core operating margin greater than 32%, given the higher-than-expected Somatuline sales due to continued generic lanreotide challenges and the stronger performance of our broader portfolio across our three therapeutic areas. With that, I will now hand over to David. Please turn to slide 17.

David Loew
CEO, Ipsen

Thank you, Aymeric. I will now provide an update on our R&D efforts. Please turn to slide 18. We have another exciting year for our pipeline. We have seen strong expansion in oncology, with four active phase I programs evaluating promising new modalities in solid tumors, and the addition of IPN6340, formerly known as ICT01, which came through the acquisition of ImCheck. In rare disease, following the positive phase II trial, we have opened a phase III program evaluating elafibranor in primary sclerosing cholangitis, which I will share more on in a moment. In neuroscience, our broad programs continue to advance across both Dysport and our long-acting molecule, IPN-10200, with new phase III programs expected to open in H1.

Please turn to slide 19. In oncology, a growing focus of our pipeline is on precisely modulating the immune system through multiple synergistic routes. I would like to highlight a couple of new molecules entering phase I. Our antibody drug conjugates, IPN6300, targets a novel tumor antigen known to be expressed on multiple solid tumor types, and we are pleased to confirm first patients have been dosed in this trial. We also have our T-cell activator, IPN-01203, a potential first-in-class asset that selectively activates Vbeta-6 T-cells through TCR and IL-15R pathways. Please turn to slide 20. Moving to rare disease and primary sclerosing cholangitis, or PSC, an area with no approved treatment options and the majority of patients requiring a liver transplant.

Following the promising phase II data, we are excited to announce a phase III study, LSCOPE, which will be the only global study in PSC looking at the long-term clinical outcomes as primary objectives. LSCOPE will evaluate the efficacy and safety of elafibranor 120 milligrams versus placebo in patients with PSC based on time to first occurrence of clinical outcome events and multiple secondary endpoints. Please turn to slide 21. Turning to neuroscience, following the announcement of our phase II first proof of concept in glabellar lines in September of 2025, we are on track to open two global phase III trials for IPN10200 in glabellar lines.

Both trials will evaluate the efficacy and safety of IPN10200 at week four and 24, with key secondary endpoints, including patient satisfaction scores and onset of action. Please turn to slide 22. We remain diligent in our external innovation efforts and announced strong additions to the oncology pipeline as we close 2025.

We are delighted that the lead program, IPN6340, from our acquisition of ImCheck Therapeutics, was awarded U.S. FDA Breakthrough Therapy designation in January, recognizing investigational therapies with evidence of a substantial clinical improvement. A global licensing with Simcere Zaiming outside of Greater China brings another antibody drug conjugate into our pipeline, which is expected to enter phase I soon. Finally, reinforcing the strength of our ongoing partnership, we added further two research programs with Exelixis, evaluating MAPK-related inhibition. Please turn to slide 23. As you can see, we have several milestones to look forward to over the coming years.

Firstly, we await the E.U. regulatory decision for tovorafenib in the first half. In the second half, we see many phase III unblindings for Bylvay in biliary atresia, Iqirvo for PBC patients with an ALP of between 1 and 1.67, and Dysport in migraine, and also further phase II data for IPN10200 in forehead lines and lateral canthal lines. Then, as we look to next year, we have more proof of concept readouts for our long-acting neuromodulator, IPN10200, in the therapeutics indication, as well as phase III unblindings for tesavarecitab and togevirsen.

With that, please turn to slide 24. We continue on our strong momentum and remain firmly on track to achieve our ambitions. I'd like to leave you with two key messages. First, we delivered strong 2025 results, with double-digit sales and profit growth, fueled by the performance of our existing portfolio and launches. This consistent growth reflects our focus on execution and our ability to deliver across both commercial and medical fronts. We will further strengthen our R&D investments and grow our internal pipeline while investing to support our current and future commercial launches.

Secondly, the outlook to 2026 is strong, with double-digit sales growth guidance, multiple regulatory and clinical milestones to come, and significant firepower to pursue external innovation. We look forward to another year of accelerated growth as we continue on our transformation. Turn to slide 25. This concludes our presentation, and we will now take your questions. Operator, over to you.

Operator

Thank you. As a reminder, to ask a question, please press star one one on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. To withdraw your question, please press star one and one again. We will now take our first question from the line of Charles Pitman- King from Barclays. Please go ahead.

Charles Pitman-King
VP and Equity Research Analyst, Barclays

Hi, guys, Charles Pittman King from Barclays. Two questions from me, please. Firstly, just on your guidance, I think it's quite noteworthy that, you know, your guidance for FY 2026 is significantly ahead of that midterm growth outlook. So firstly, just is it fair to say your guidance philosophy is less conservative this year? And given the double-digit growth in FY 2025 and guided for 2026, just wondering kind of why you're not looking to readdress and raise that midterm target into 2027. Then just secondly, on the kind of aesthetics and neurotox business, can you just confirm, in the press release, you talk about product mix dynamics seen in the U.S. Given this is a single product, I'm just wondering kind of what these are, if you could provide a little more clarity.

And then just beyond that, I know you're unlikely to comment, but just if you're able to give us any further thoughts on the potential partnership discussions you're having with Ipsen IPN10200 within the aesthetics indication, that would be great. Thank you.

David Loew
CEO, Ipsen

Okay, thank you, Charles. I will let Aymeric answer on your guidance question.

Aymeric Le Chatelier
CFO, Ipsen

Yes, so, thanks for the questions, and, maybe I will, I will clarify. I think that, our guidance is today our, our best estimates regarding first, Somatuline on, on one side, for which, we are still expecting potentially some generics to be able to be on the market in the second half of the year. So I will say, we are pretty balanced, and I think we have also, a great ambition to continue a very strong growth of the portfolio, ex Somatuline, where we expect to be able to accelerate the growth, and we deliver 14% growth this year. Regarding the midterm target, as you remember, the, the midterm target was to exceed 7% annual growth and to exceed 32% margin by 2027.

So I think the message today is very clear that we are highly confident we're gonna do better than this number, but this is still gonna be exceeding, and I don't think we want to provide two guidance for two consequential year. So we are clearly highly confident to 2027 and will provide a guidance for 2027 when it's gonna be time in a, in a year time.

David Loew
CEO, Ipsen

On the-

Aymeric Le Chatelier
CFO, Ipsen

product mix, maybe-

David Loew
CEO, Ipsen

Yeah.

Aymeric Le Chatelier
CFO, Ipsen

I can just answer the product mix and let you answer. So I think the product mix is more related to the product and sample of Dysport in aesthetic. As you know, we're providing our partner with both product and sample, and the economics are slightly different. That explain what we qualify as a product mix in our communication.

David Loew
CEO, Ipsen

Then on your third question, on, you know, on our long-acting neurotoxin. As you know, in January of 2026, the Arbitral Tribunal of the International Chamber of Commerce issued a final decision in favor of Ipsen, dismissing the claims brought by Galderma in connection with Ipsen's termination of the R&D agreement. And so, the tribunal confirmed also Ipsen's full rights to its clinical-stage toxin programs in the aesthetics field, including therefore, the IPN10200 that you were alluding to. So basically, we continue to assess all options, and we can't give you more information at this point, but we're gonna come back as soon as, you know, we have made progress on this. Next question, please.

Charles Pitman-King
VP and Equity Research Analyst, Barclays

Thank you very much.

Operator

Thank you. We will now take the next question from the line of Xian Deng from UBS. Please go ahead.

Xian Deng
European Pharma Equity Research Analyst, UBS

Hi, thank you very much. It's Xiang from UBS. Two questions, please. So, both on Iqirvo. So just wondering, the first question is just wondering, you know, Iqirvo previously, you know, you guided for EUR 500 million peak sales, and, but of course, now the drug is doing really, really well. So I was just wondering, you know, would you say now your peak guidance there is very conservative? And, you know, if you could maybe give us some colors on what assumptions did you have when you set the guidance, and what has changed since then? So that's the first question. And the second one is also on Iqirvo. Actually, just wondering about the patent or exclusivity situation. So, my understanding is that the compound patent has already expired in the U.S.

Right now is protected by also exclusivity on PBC. So just wondering, given now you are also running, and you already started the phase III in PSC, so just wondering, how should we think about the exclusivity slash, you know, patent protection on this one, please? Can I just quickly clarify? The, when you—did you, did I hear that right? You mentioned also matching, you are expecting potential generics to come back in second half this year, so is that conservative as well? Have I heard that right? Thank you.

David Loew
CEO, Ipsen

Okay. Thank you, Xian. So on Iqirvo, the EUR 500 million peak sales guidance. So yeah, we are very pleased with the performance, I have to say. We are gonna observe how this goes, and especially also we have the inspire trial, which is gonna read out in the middle of this year. And then subsequently, once we have seen that, you know, we're gonna look at potentially looking at changing the guidance, if required. For now, we say it's above EUR 500 million, but I have to say, we're extremely pleased with what we are seeing and with the performance that we have in the US and ex-US. On your-- on the exclusivity question, we have orphan drug protection until 2031. There are additional patents which exist as well.

Just to help you also on PSC, on that question, because PSC, and I think you're alluding to this, might report, you know, shortly before that date of the 31 that you have given. You need to keep in mind that first, we have gotten orphan drug designation for PSC, so there is a separate protection for PSC. It's a different dose. It's 120 milligrams, not 80, so that's already very different. There will be a different tablet as well. It's a different packaging, et cetera. So, we think this is gonna confer quite good protection, and this is why we have given a go to that trial, besides being excited about the data, obviously.

And then on your third question regarding Somatuline, you know, H2, it's hard always to exactly know what's happening with these, generic companies. What I can say is, and we have said that in the past, and, and I think it becomes very obvious, it's a very difficult product to produce because the gel is very, viscous. It shouldn't be too viscous, it shouldn't be too, liquid. So it's, it's hard to produce. You have also seen that there have been, FDA 483s and OAIs on some of our competitors. So I think for the moment, it is reasonable to say that we're anticipating, generics, you know, entering, in H2. Thank you. Next question.

Operator

Thank you. We will now take the next question from the line of Simon Baker from Rothschild & Co Redburn. Please go ahead.

Simon Baker
Head of Global Biopharma Research, Rothschild & Co Redburn

Thank you for taking my questions. Three, if I may, please. Just going back to Somatuline. You've indicated that at best, there will be some generics later in this year. But I'm looking at this from a slightly different perspective. Where does this leave you in terms of long-term contracting with your customers? Because it's all fine and dandy to have a generic available at a significant discount, but if the manufacturer can't deliver and can't manufacture it, it's rather academic for the customer and creates a lot of inconvenience. So does this really open up the possibility for tying in your customers into long-term contracting, where you alone in the market can guarantee quality and supply? Any thoughts on that would be very helpful.

And then just a couple of quick ones. You gave us the patient incidence of PSC in the States. I just wonder if you could give us a little bit more detail on and point us on how big you think this opportunity is. Some have suggested this is a billion-dollar opportunity, and as you say, there are no existing treatments. So any thoughts there would be helpful. And then finally, on Iqirvo, if you could just give us an update on the sort of commercial dynamic share of voice in that category, because your competitor there is rather preoccupied with launching another product in another category. I just wanted to see if there's been any change to marketing intensity by competitors in that space. Thanks so much.

David Loew
CEO, Ipsen

Thank you, Simon. On Somatuline, you know, we of course do contracting with several of the customers, especially in the US. Of course, that's a current practice, I would say. And this has, in the past, already helped, you know, to mitigate somewhat the penetration of the generics. So I would say we have done this already before, and you have seen the effect of it. So it all comes down, I would say, can they actually deliver or not, and in what kind of quantities? On your second question, to give you a feeling on PSC, PSC is about the same market opportunity as PBC. And why do I say this?... In PBC, it's a second line indication that we and Gilead are having currently.

And so we're talking roughly, you know, 30,000 patients in the above one point six seven, at about 20,000 in the below one point six seven. And then in PSC, you have 40,000 patients, prevalent patients, huh? And so that means that today, all these prevalent patients, they have no solution in PSC, and we're actually gonna be first line, contrary to PBC, where we are second line. So basically, that explains why the market opportunity is about equal as the whole PBC pool. So for us, quite an exciting opportunity, I would say. And then on your third question, the dynamic share of voice. So for the moment, we don't see a change on Gilead's presence. They are heavily present, I would say, so as we are, right?

I think we perform very well, and we are very pleased with the performance that we are seeing. Thank you.

Simon Baker
Head of Global Biopharma Research, Rothschild & Co Redburn

Thanks so much.

Operator

Thank you. We will now take the next question from the line of Richard Vosser from JP Morgan. Please go ahead.

Richard Vosser
Managing Director and Senior Analyst, JPMorgan

Thanks for taking my questions. A few, please. Just returning to Somatuline. I wonder if you could just talk about price and volume thoughts in 2026. Clearly, lack of generics means potentially you could raise price. So if you could talk about that and how that might impact also on 2027. And for 2027 on Somatuline, you talked about, you know, exceeding the margins. Just any thoughts of the extent of generic competition of Somatuline you might be thinking in 2027 would also be helpful. Second question, just on Iqirvo as well, just thinking about the growth, which has been stellar. What bolus do you think you've got from Ocaliva and how that might feed into growth expectations for the second half of 2026?

Finally, on business development, M&A, you know, you've highlighted the EUR 3.2 billion firepower, and I think previously you've highlighted, you know, thinking about strengthening the oncology business. But maybe you could give us an idea of latest thoughts around business development and what you're looking for, and how that might impact R&D spend going forward. Thanks very much.

David Loew
CEO, Ipsen

Yeah. Thank you, Richard. So on Somatuline price volume, I'll let Frederick answer.

Aymeric Le Chatelier
CFO, Ipsen

Yeah. Richard, on Somatuline, I'm gonna, I'm not gonna be able to provide you all the detail of our assumption, but clearly, the lack of competition will allow us to regain volume both in Europe and in the US. I think that's the trend on top of a very dynamic market that we see for NET, where it's still a market that is growing in the 4%-5% per year, with a strong position for lanreotide. On the price side, I think there are opportunity, probably more in the US, and David was talking about on the prior questions regarding the contracting. As you know, there are significant rebates which have been negotiating in the US.

We have also passed a price increase at the beginning of the year. Ex-US, I will say the situation is more complicated. In many countries, it's quite difficult to change the pricing, and there may be some markets where we have tenders, and we are still assessing that opportunity. The second part of your question was regarding the margin in 2027. So as I said, I'm not gonna provide a guidance for 2027. As you know, we are very confident to exceed the outlook. Now, the shape of 2027 will depend at what pace the generic are gonna be able to make it, how many generic are gonna be able to make it, if any, in the second half of this year and in 2027, and that could have an impact on the level of profitability.

We are very confident that in any case, we will be exceeding to some extent the 32% target that we gave.

David Loew
CEO, Ipsen

Then on your third question regarding Iqirvo growth and the bolus of Ocaliva. So, what you have seen in terms of sales acceleration from September to December is, really the delta in terms of the acceleration came from the Ocaliva switches. We think the Ocaliva switches are mostly done, so, we are on a higher level, and that higher level should carry forward, of course, into 2026, because we are seeing still, new patients, which are new to second line, coming, onto Iqirvo. So we're very pleased with that, and, this is why we are very confident on Iqirvo, and we, we observe a very strong dynamic. On mergers and acquisitions, so as you pointed out, we have, a bit more than EUR 3.2 billion of firepower.

We intend to use this if we see the right opportunities. As I stated before, at JP Morgan, we are looking at oncology late stage opportunities that we wanna bring on board. And then, of course, in our guidance, as you remember, we already include the preclinical and early clinical in that guidance and in the margin. So you will also see us use part of this firepower for some of the earlier deals. Thank you, operator. Next question.

Operator

We will now take the next question from the line of Victor Floc'h from BNP Paribas. Please go ahead.

Victor Floc'h
Equity Research Analyst, BNP Paribas

Thanks so much for taking my question, Victor from BNP Paribas. A couple of questions on IPN10200. So, I mean, I think it's fair to say that the optimal target profile for that one differs quite a lot between aesthetics and therapeutic use, and notably when it comes to duration of action. So now that you have the full phase two data in hand, I was just wondering whether you can discuss whether IPN10200 delivered an optimal profile, keeping its commercial potential intact in both opportunities. And then I understand that you don't really want to discuss your option, but I mean, just to understand, what would be like the tipping point when it comes to either go with a partner or either go with yourself?

Is it just about like economics and, and whether that you want to, to protect at least the kind of economics you have on this part with that one? And finally, on M&A, I was just wondering whether you can discuss whether you would be open to potentially stretch your firepower and your balance sheet beyond 2x EBITDA, if the right opportunity arrives. Thanks so much.

David Loew
CEO, Ipsen

Perhaps, Victor, on your first question, can you just clarify why you are saying that the optimal target profile would be different? I, that's not something that we would subscribe to.

Victor Floc'h
Equity Research Analyst, BNP Paribas

Okay. No, I mean, I think it's—I mean, what we understand in the past is that for aesthetic use, I mean, physicians were pretty happy with the six months duration of dosing. Even though at the same time, for therapeutic use, I think we all looking for the longer duration as possible. So maybe you don't agree with that, but so, yeah, I was just wondering whether you could discuss the target profile you've seen with the IPN10200.

David Loew
CEO, Ipsen

Yeah. First, I would like to bring this back to data, right? When you look at none or mild in aesthetics at six months, most of the bond As have actually shown, and you can go and look at the labels of these different, drugs. Most of them are between 20%-30%. And so here, what we have said is we have seen a majority of patients achieving, none or mild, and so that data is gonna be presented. So in that sense, you know, why many companies are saying, "Well, some patients are satisfied or they see still some effect," and et cetera, I would just bring this back to, you know, the endpoints of none or mild, because that's usually, what is being measured in the clinical trials.

So in that sense, with that statement, I think the profile that we wanna see in aesthetics and therapeutics is actually the same. You wanna see a very rapid onset of action, you wanna see a good one-month efficacy, and you wanna see a prolonged duration. This is important not just in aesthetics, but also in therapeutics, obviously. For example, in spasticity, migraine, or cervical dystonia, where it can also help alleviate the healthcare system, you know, utilization, because patients need to get less often to the doctor. So I don't know if that answers your question.

Victor Floc'h
Equity Research Analyst, BNP Paribas

Definitely. Thank you.

David Loew
CEO, Ipsen

Yeah. Thank you. Then on your second, as I said, we are looking at all options. We're not gonna comment on this right now. And then on your third questions on, you know, the use of our firepower, I'll let Aymeric comment on the stretching the firepower.

Aymeric Le Chatelier
CFO, Ipsen

Yeah. So Victor, just to clarify, we are today operating clearly on the maximum debt of 2x EBITDA, which is fully aligned with our investment grade rating. This give us a EUR 3.2 billion firepower on top of our very strong free cash flow, EUR 1 billion this year, with a very ambitious guidance that we have. This EUR 1 billion should even increase in 2026. So we don't see any reasons for using more than the 2x EBITDA. Having said that, the board has always said that they will consider, if there were to be a unique opportunity and ability to slightly stretch that, but this is not today our priorities.

Victor Floc'h
Equity Research Analyst, BNP Paribas

Okay. Thank you, operator.

Operator

Thank you. We will now take the next question from the line of Lucy Codrington from Jefferies. Please go ahead.

Lucy Codrington
Equity Research Analyst, Jefferies

Hi. Thank you for taking my questions. There are only a few left. Just, I was wondering if you could go into a bit more detail in terms of your expectations for Dysport this year, both in terms of aesthetics and therapeutics. And with that, any potential impact that you might expect as the Relfydess launches continue, and then any update on what the aesthetics environment is like in the U.S. and other markets at the moment. Secondly, on Somatuline. When you talked about the guide, you said growth, so are we? I know you're. It's somewhat dependent on the entry of generics, but should we be expecting growth on the numbers reported in 2025, or still some decline? And then secondly, finally, any milestones that we should be factoring in for this year? Thank you.

David Loew
CEO, Ipsen

Thank you, Lucy. On Dysport, we are expecting good high single-digit growth in both markets, aesthetics and therapeutics. We do not anticipate any impact from Relfydess because it's a different market. You know, there is a market segment which is open for liquids. I would say the majority of the market is on reconstituted because many of the physicians actually like to dilute to their liking. We have seen this with the Alluzience launch as well. So we don't really foresee any cannibalization. It's quite the contrary. I think both are gonna drive growth. Then on aesthetics in the US, the market has slowed down a little bit, but our partner [Galderma] is performing very, very well, gaining market share, so we are very pleased with that performance.

On Somatuline, yes, we do anticipate growth versus 2025 because of what Aymeric just said before, is you have, of course, the volume gain of the generics not being there, but you also have some potential pricing upside. So there is this kind of double effect, if you want, versus the baseline of 25. And then I wasn't quite sure I understood your milestone question.

Aymeric Le Chatelier
CFO, Ipsen

I think I get the question on milestone. I think this is related to our other revenue-

David Loew
CEO, Ipsen

Oh, okay.

Aymeric Le Chatelier
CFO, Ipsen

Which, as I said during the presentation, have increased significantly in 2025. Our other revenue are made of both royalties that we receive from partners and some milestones. Some of the milestones are non-recurring. That's why we were indicating that our margin in 2026 is gonna be slightly impacted by a slightly lower level of milestones, and other level of other revenue, while we still continue to have a strong dynamic on the royalty side, which is directly linked to the high single-digit expected growth for Dysport with our partner.

David Loew
CEO, Ipsen

Thank you, Lucy. I think we have no more questions, so this wraps up our 2025 conference. Thank you for your attendance. Back to you, operator.

Operator

Thank you. This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.

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