Rubis (EPA:RUI)
France flag France · Delayed Price · Currency is EUR
34.06
-0.30 (-0.87%)
Apr 24, 2026, 5:38 PM CET
← View all transcripts

Earnings Call: H2 2022

Mar 16, 2023

Jacques Riou
Founder, Rubis

Ladies and gentlemen, good evening, thanks for joining us this evening for this session. A special word of thanks to those who are sitting with us. We are in an area that is surrounded by demonstrators, and only the bravest have made it to this venue. I'm pleased together with Clarisse, Bruno and Fred Royer to present the 2022 financials of the Rubis Group. After a few opening remarks, I'll hand over to Clarisse, who'll go into greater detail on the operational items of this year. Bruno for the financials relating to the operating performance. Our guest star, Frederic Royer, just landed from Dubai, our bitumen boss, previously had management functions in other important subsidiaries tell us about the wonders of his trade.

After some conclusions from Clarisse, we'll be happy to take your questions. Particularly pleased to present the results today because the year 2022 has led us to achieve three objectives that seem to me quite significant. Our first objective was to beat our historic all-time record of 2019 after two years of COVID. That meant that we weren't able to move things very much. Operationally, we exceeded the record performance of 2019 in terms of EBITDA and operating income as we'll see later. The second goal was to achieve a structure of the Rubis Group, which is henceforth the existing structure after integrating Photosol in the Group. Photosol, one of the leaders in France of the production of PV power.

We consider that this structure has laid the basis for continued expansion over the long term. It allows us to offer to our various clients the necessary energy solutions, whatever their market segment, whatever their geography and the regulations applying to the geographies in which they're present. Third objective, which is a recurring objective, but a first for us, is that after this M&A with Photosol in April 2022, after just over EUR 200 million in CapEx investment, with a dividend that will be proposed to the AGM of some EUR 200 million, the balance sheet of Rubis remains very strong with indebtedness that doesn't exceed times two and a corporate debt that's even lower. This has been a constant objective of ours.

On the liquidity front, liquidity is key for us every year, particularly when the banking systems tend to flow. We have EUR 400 million confirmed credit lines, means that we can view things with confidence, including possible M&A deals. Can I say a word about the fundamentals of the Group as they present themselves? They're the same fundamentals that have fueled the Group's growth for many years now. On the left, energy. Energy in the plural, on the left, you see the forms of energy that are based on very powerful fundamentals, very deep-seated, that are demographic changes, areas such as Africa, but also a large part of the Caribbean.

Not necessarily the islands, but Guiana, say, will also have growing urban development that is prompting demand, leading to heightened increased mobility, new infrastructure projects, the energy transition that's paramount and fascinating with as many risks and opportunities and all the economic changes. These energy needs, be they in terms of volume or changes to new forms of energy, are on the rise and in certain areas, I'm thinking of new energy in Europe and France, there are plans that you're well aware of and that are considerable in terms of development. We are building on basic needs, basic requirements that, of course, are naturally price sensitive, cooking, hot water, heating, all forms of mobility, and beyond that, the needs for agriculture of commerce and industry. In this universe, we're positioned with a number of strong points.

LPG, it's really a historic product of ours that is a transition solution in terms of energy, fully suited in mature areas such as Europe, also for rural and peri-urban areas where it's difficult to find substitutional products, and also fully suited to areas such as Africa, where we operate, which has a favorable impact on the environment. Because it is replacing coal, charcoal, and many governments are encouraging LPG for that excellent reason. To fight against deforestation, charcoal is a major cause for deforestation, to combat pulmonary disease, and the negative impact of heating a charcoal stove in homes, as the WHO can attest to. We've got the conventional fuels, mobility industry, Africa, agriculture. Wherever possible, we worked at replacing biofuels to conventional fuels.

It's an area that isn't within our power, the production, the various refiners, increasing industrially the availability of these products. It's a process underway. Thirdly, renewable power. PV for us, which is a tremendous segment, high growth in mature markets, Europe, France, which will, without a doubt, be an additional growth segment in emerging markets. Next, we'll come to that a bit later on, bitumen that rests on the huge infrastructure needs in many countries in which we operate. The production is with carbon content. JV with a U.S. fund, we have 50% of Rubis Terminal business, two parts with the same facilities, logistics segment, serving the logistics of petroleum, chemical, agri-food products.

When things are going well and economies are growing, we need more logistics. Storage is equally important because when things don't quite so well, supply chains are disrupted. We need a bit more storage space. It's what's been happening these past few years. That's why the business is growing five years, be it with or without COVID, the economy positive or lesser. More conceptually, our vision of value creation for the Rubis Group is to use the significant cash flow generated by Rubis Énergie and our traditional activities, significant capital, to fund the CapEx of those same activities, to fund constantly rising dividends, as we've been doing for some 20 years now, or it goes back even further regarding increased dividend payout, and also to fund growth drivers in renewables.

The bulk of the renewable investments that we plan in the coming years will be largely self-finance. Now, it's the application of these principles that can change or be adjusted depending on the major areas in which we operate. In Africa, we've got very strong points, aside from LPG on bitumen. East Africa, Kenya, where we invested about three years ago. We're of course working now with Photosol to produce combined offerings, traditional products and PV products. Caribbean, somewhat different. These are very pragmatic markets where fine logistics is key. In those areas, the new low carbon products, it's with HDF, Hydrogène de France, where we're developing projects with integrated hydrogen storage to develop carbon-free power 24/7.

Europe, since we invested in Photosol in asset value, we're essentially dealing with renewable assets in Europe as such, and the other key product remains LPG that I already mentioned. In Europe, we're expecting high growth rates, linked with what we're all familiar with regarding government policy in the area and the mechanisms in place to attract investment into these businesses. A quick focus on the highlights in 2022. Rubis Group has displayed considerable resistance to all shocks. Each and every year, we can experience very different situations with differing metrics. This year we had an inflation shock, an interest shock, a shock on the currency markets in many countries in which we operate. This linked to the first two points.

Lastly, a shock on the price of petroleum products because it's a doubling that we and our clients suffered during that period. Is with a price of over EUR 1,000 per cubic meter, probably an all-time high. This price metric is really hurts a business such as ours. EBIT, EUR 509 million, up 30%. That we can of course adjust that 'cause the margins were very high to convey a number of Forex losses in certain countries and transmitted to the market, not just the increase in the price of products, but Forex losses on the back of distortions on the currency markets. If we restate for that, we have 20% EBIT growth, which is still very high.

Net income adjusted Group share up 11% will return to the adjusted for what, a loss and impairment on Haiti. Come back to that, further solar acquisition costs, the strong balance sheet, as I indicated, to maximum on EBITDA and five on the corporate debt. Renewables, we're very pleased with the integration of Photosol in the Group. We found very high-level teams, very well integrated. We're working very well together, they can adapt remarkably. Moving to a listed company under IFRS. On the one hand, CSR projects that are activated, they continue to work on their growth with a pipeline increase. First corporate PPA signed with Leroy Merlin. An acquisition, a small deal, a very efficient team.

Mobexi giving access to a market segment from rooftops and canopies on car parks, because with this new legislation, it's set to grow on surface areas that will come closer to the smallest projects of Photosol in its usual form. I have a big effort that was continued in terms of CSR roadmap. We've extended objectives beyond scopes 1 and 2 to Scope 3, Category 3A. We signed additional loans with references on carbon footprints. That effort is ongoing. Third point that I wanted to mention that I've already broached, dividend, that we'll be proposing at EUR 1.92 to the AGM. That's just over 3% increase. I won't dwell on this chart because both Clarisse and Bruno will do it as well as I, if not better.

Here you have the growth in terms of revenue, EBIT, EBITDA versus 2019. Our target to be adjusted for Forex. The rates are above 20% in terms net account, we're at -63%, adjusted to +11%, +9% up versus 2019. EUR 326 million. EPS adjusted +10%, +5% versus 2019 and 2020. Dividend we just mentioned, and you have the debt ratios that I've already discussed. Last line, CapEx, EUR 259 million, EUR 40 million in Photosol renewable power. Today we're at about 20% of investment share in renewable energy and in carbon reduction. I'm pleased to hand over to Clarisse for the next section.

Clarisse Gobin-Swiecznik
Managing Partner, Rubis

Hello, everyone. Thank you very much for being here. Over the next few minutes, I'd like to talk to you about the operating performance of our various businesses. Before I get started, I would like to remind you of our three main business lines, including energy distribution via Rubis Énergie. Support and services will be part of the distribution business starting 2023. The production of renewable electricity via our newly created subsidiary, Rubis Renouvelables, Rubis Renewables, which includes Rubis Photosol and our stake in HDF Energy, and also the storage of liquid products, which is being carried out by our JV, Rubis Terminal. Let us start with Rubis Énergie. Our LPG fuel and bitumen distribution activities have delivered a very solid performance in 2022, with strong growth in EBIT and cash flow generation that remains stable overall.

As mentioned in previous presentations, our investments in these activities are significant, and they focus on our major growth drivers, namely the bitumen activities and also the upgrade of our retail network, our service station network in East Africa. However, our investments remain under control owing to our cost discipline. It's been stable for a number of years now. 2022 has been a busy year for Rubis Énergie on the environmental front. In line with our previous announcements, we have deployed an internal carbon pricing methodology, which is intended to support our decision-making, which depends on our different geographic areas, whether for investments or equity investments. We have also finished working on identifying our Scope 3A emissions and defining a related target. This target focuses mostly on outsourced road and sea transport, which accounts for about 50% of our Scope 3A emissions.

We have set a target of minus 20% by 2030 relative to our 2019 baseline. Before we get down to brass tacks and discuss our different businesses geography by geography, I would like to look at our 2022 EBIT for Rubis Énergie. As you can see, growth comes mostly from our two drivers that I talked about before, our operations in Africa and in the Caribbean area. Let us start with Africa, which is a leading region in terms of EBIT generation for the Group with a 52% contribution to the retail and marketing business, and has seen a significant increase in its profitability over 2022, although there may be a Forex impact, particularly in Nigeria. Excluding Forex, EBIT grew by 20% over the year.

This is a good performance, which underlines the effectiveness of our investment plan in East Africa, and this has enabled us to improve our network and streamline our client portfolio, thereby boosting profitability. With regard to bitumen, Fred, who's here with us, can tell you more later. The business held up really well with significant growth in South Africa, where our operations started up at the end of 2021. Nigeria slowed down at the end of the year, particularly in the run-up to the election period, and has already picked up again now that the elections are over. In terms of development projects, we have started to convert to solar some of our sites in Madagascar and East Africa. Electricity output levels are still low, but it's a first step towards developing solar energy in these areas.

We're talking about 300 kW in capacity installed today. We've also worked really hard this year to secure partnerships. In the near future, this will mean cross-selling opportunities, so that include our legacy products, fossil fuels, and solar energy for our business customers. Those cross-selling opportunities will include a renewable component. Turning now to the Caribbean region, which accounts for about 34% of the retail and marketing EBIT. Volumes showed strong momentum at +13%, excluding the Haiti effect. The economy has recovered well in the region, and the aviation segment is growing strongly in line with the recovery in tourism. This means an excellent performance with EBIT up 62% for the period.

We're still investing in improving our retail, our service station networks, and this is bearing fruit because our so-called NFR, our non-fuel revenues from service stations, are growing at a steady pace, and this is the case in Africa as well. I forgot to mention that. A quick update on the situation in Haiti. The general situation remains extremely challenging, but we are maintaining operations despite deteriorating circumstances. Our priority remains the safety of our staff. The overall state of our business and of the country in general means that we have recognized a EUR 40 million goodwill impairment this year, and we are looking forward to calmer waters in 2023.

Regarding our outlook in the Caribbean, in recent months, in recent years actually, we've been working with HDF Energy to develop several projects, including a first project in Guiana, which is currently being built, and a second project in Barbados, in which we have a 51% stake. This technology combines solar energy, hydrogen, and fuel cells and will power 16,000 homes with no intermittence. This will also help to decarbonize the island's energy mix, which is currently 95% fossil fuel-based. We're also working on converting to solar several of our retail sites, particularly in Jamaica, which has already reached 300 kW in installed capacity. Let's move on to Europe, an area that accounts for 16% of our retail and marketing EBIT this year, and in which we mostly distribute LPG to the tune of 80%.

Demand has been quite soft this year, particularly at the end of 2022, with this winter starting off mild. However, in the LPG markets, we are making sure that we maintain our operational efficiency and our excellence, which allows us to gradually gain market share year on year. Our growth was stronger than expected in the LPG fuel segment, driven by higher prices at the pump and also because a number of car makers have marketed new LPG/petrol hybrid models. As for expanding our offer, we now have cross-selling opportunities that include solar energy for our business customers in the Channel Islands in particular. We have also rolled out several eco-friendly fuels, such as RD100 or EcoHeat100. The support and services business is still growing, driven mostly by our shipping activities.

There was a major bitumen delivery opportunity to the United States during the rainy season in West Africa, and that opportunity proved extremely profitable. We were also able to make several deliveries of refined products in the Caribbean area. These shipping activities, as well as the SARA refinery, present major decarbonization challenges for the group. That is why, in line with the Sea Cargo Charter that was signed at the end of 2021, we have launched a pilot project to introduce HVO, which stands for Hydrotreated Vegetable Oil, in the bunkering of vessels that serve our activities in the French Guiana zone. Moving on to Rubis Renouvelables, this is a brand-new branch, Rubis Renewables, which was consolidated starting April 2022. Talking about Rubis Renouvelables, and particularly its subsidiary, Rubis Photosol.

Like I said, we consolidated it in April 2022, so it's been in our accounts for nine months. The integration process is off to a good start. Power generation is on track and has grown by over 30% in 2022 compared to the year before. The entity has contributed EUR 80 million to the Group's EBITDA in 2022. This has been a busy year for renewables, with a strong development pipeline, as we will see on the next slide. To support these projects, we have shored up our teams, particularly in the development area. Our headcount is up. At the end of the year, Rubis Photosol acquired a solar rooftop specialist called Mobexi. They make rooftops and canopies for professional use.

This has opened up many development opportunities for the Group, both in terms of converting our sites to solar and also, cross-selling potential with their business customers. At the beginning of 2023, Rubis Photosol also announced the signing of its first corporate PPA, or power purchase agreement, with the do-it-yourself player, Leroy Merlin. This first foray into the corporate PPA segment is part of a long-term strategy to diversify outlets for power plants, and this is particularly important for Photosol's future development. For 2023, we plan to implement the Group's CSR roadmap in our subsidiary, Rubis Renouvelables. We have already started working on a full carbon audit of Photosol's activities. This slide gives you an overview of the Group's solar project pipeline.

You will notice that projects at the advanced stages have grown by more than 35% compared to 2021, which shows how active our teams are. It also means strong potential for future expansion of these installations. The major projects commissioned in 2022 are 50 MW and 17 MW respectively, and they're located in the Alpes-Maritimes, and the Pays de la Loire regions. Now, I would like to focus on the overall environment of the French market for renewable energies. I also wish to explain what this means for Rubis Photosol and Rubis Renouvelables. It's no secret that the European Union and therefore the French government intend to support the energy transition. However, the market is moving faster than them, and this means major bottlenecks for those administrations and for the entities capable of connecting the power plants to the grid.

The time required to secure building permits has recently jumped from 12-18 months, depending on the area. In addition, module costs and construction costs have surged by about 15% over the year. What have we done to respond to these externalities and to prepare for the future? We've taken a number of measures. First of all, Rubis Photosol made sure, as allowed by the latest government measures, to sell electricity at market price during the first 18 months of its CRE contracts. The first positive impacts were felt at the end of 2022. For Photosol, this means about 120 MW in install capacity. In order to optimize the process of applying for building permits and save time on the consultation phases, Rubis Photosol has strengthened the team in charge of that phase.

In order to secure module supply, a number of framework agreements have been set up with a number of suppliers, most of them Americans. Finally, Rubis Photosol has worked really hard to lay the groundwork for the future by developing joint offers with Rubis Énergie. We talked about that, whether in France or in the Caribbean, but also worked on deploying solar rooftops and canopies thanks to the Mobexi acquisition, and also worked on expanding internationally and in Europe. I'm not gonna spend too much time on that because we're just getting started. The team is proceeding apace, trying to move into a number of European countries when it comes to the solar market. Rubis Photosol is also looking at the technologies of the future, particularly when it comes to storage projects. Not just storage, hydrogen as well.

It is important to emphasize that these end projects, as ambitious as they are expected to self-finance. The French environment that I have just described is bound to impact the timeline of our goals, as mentioned earlier, but those are temporary setbacks, and we expect to catch up. What we announced in 2022, well, we have to push it back by one year. To conclude on the renewable output segment, I will quickly mention our investment in HDF. I already talked about the project in Barbados, and I also mentioned that our project in French Guiana is still under construction. Let's close this chapter with our storage activities, our Rubis Terminal JV. The business is doing well, with revenue growth at +6%. In line with 2021, 2022 saw the acceleration of biofuels and chemicals.

Overall, all non-fossil fuel products enjoyed double-digit growth in 2022. Rubis Terminal did remarkable work this year to change its product mix. Up until recently, storage accounted for 75% of fossil fuels, now that 70% has dropped down to 40%. Fossil fuels account for just 40% of our storage mix. Three main highlights this year, the sale of our Turkish terminal, which generated a capital gain of EUR 19 million for Rubis Terminal, also the refinancing of EUR 560 million in high-yield bonds, which were added to the bilateral debts of certain subsidiaries. These debts were replaced by infrastructure financing, including ESG criteria, for a total amount of EUR 813 million. We're developing new chemicals capacities in our region.

We have new expansion projects in Spain for one of our terminals. Also, there's a new zone in the southern part of Spain. Rubis Terminal has also published its first sustainability report and its first roadmap, which are available on their website if you'd like to check it out. Now I'd like to hand over to Bruno.

Bruno Krief
CFO, Rubis

Good evening to you all. I'm not gonna swamp you with figures 'cause we've already spent 30 minutes on those. We're gonna move straight to the financials that Jacques and Clarisse have extensively covered. Here's a cascade of EBITDA down to net income. You'll have noted strong respective growth of EBITDA and EBIT, 26% and 30% respectively. It's true that it's rather exceptional for Rubis without the acquisition, 'cause the acquisition of Photosol was only in nine months and is only just beginning to produce, doesn't impact strongly the growth of EBITDA and EBIT. We can say that on the one hand, we're in a position to pass through to the end user large part of the price increases, product increases. I mean, the products doubled on average from 2021 to 2022, refined products.

You have that EBITDA and EBIT impact. Above all, as we presented to you earlier, we experienced a rather unusual year regarding Forex fluctuation in emerging countries, Kenya, Madagascar, or in Nigeria. In fact, we got two types of markets, the markets that are free in terms of price setting and the regulated markets. For the regulated markets, we have no leeway 'cause the regulation is decided and crafted and formulated through a price formula put in place by governments, which has led countries such as Kenya or Madagascar. These two countries capped the sale price. It happened that same year, both those countries were in electoral process that doesn't help. We suffered the price cap just when prices were increasing substantially.

The government, in return, offers a subsidy to the distributors. We ended up with expected subsidy receipts from the government. In certain countries, in fact, in all countries, it was paid, but with a certain lag over time. Since we needed to convert the receipts in the local currency to pay the supply, we suffered currency translation losses in countries such as Kenya or Madagascar. In terms of the Forex losses, they went from EUR 11 million-EUR 80 million on the year. That was a pretty strange situation on the market. We're also present in unregulated markets, which allowed us to increase our margins. In countries such as Nigeria, in Africa, we're faced with a currency that is depreciating chronically versus the dollar.

The dollar that was widely sought after in all these economies. We're faced with a shortage of dollars that was exacerbated because the countries produce little, few dollars, few exports. With a doubling of the price of oil imported, increasing demand for dollars. In countries such as Nigeria, what we're able to do was to incorporate the sale price to the end user, the Forex risk, by upping the tariff, the price. We end up with an EBITDA in Nigeria up EUR 33 million, but the currency risk that was taken and was booked among the EUR 70 million in currency losses to the tune of some EUR 33 million.

That impact we translated, we reflected through the 30% EBIT growth that we correct to the tune of 21% if we take account of the Nigerian effect, where we had an additional EUR 30 million in margin and EUR 30 million in currency losses in the financial expenses. It's a rather unusual situation. The final word here is that the distributor in Nigeria isn't there to subsidize customers. He passes through full price volatility to the end customer. That's how it works, and that's what happened in Nigeria. In the other countries, well, we have no other choice than to negotiate with governments, agreements, memoranda.

Through the subsidy, 'cause the price is administered with a fixed margin, and it's the subsidy that covers the currency risk. We're in discussions with the other African states in order to receive the loss of profit linked to the currency loss that you see in the net financial expense for the year. Aside from that, when we move down the cascade of results, you have the share of associates, essentially, Rubis Terminal for some four-fifths, and whose CEO is present with us, is in attendance. It's very unusual to have you with us.

Rubis Terminal, as Clarisse indicated, delivered an excellent year with its accounts, the impact of the disposal of Turkey that generated a capital gain, offset by exceptional financial expenses linked to the refinancing of a bond instrument that was in place for more a banking instrument that was delivered successfully during the course of the year. When we've restated here from associates there, we've restated, we've amended to take account of those two events, exceptional costs, income and expenses, from EUR 5 million to EUR -58 million. The EUR 58 million, you have the EUR 40 million of the goodwill impairment in respect of Haiti, as Clarisse discussed.

Added to that, there's some EUR 20 million of costs linked to the acquisition of Photosol, a form of an in-management incentive plan and acquisition cost for the first, which is the bulk. It's part of the price, and it was amortized specifically over 12 months. The three-quarters of this expense was booked in 2022 and only one quarter for Q1 2021 because it's amortized over one year. Those are the exceptional expenses, financial expense. We've discussed those. Interest expense almost doubled. We had a portion linked to the Photosol scope, EUR 7 million in financial expenses linked to its solar park and PV that were funded through debt.

The acquisition price of Photosol, cash out of EUR 400 million, plus the debt within Photosol, some EUR 800 million in assets to be financed. Between April and December generated additional interest, then you have slight impact of rising interest rates. That's general from 2021 through 2022. Currency losses, we discussed those. The tax rate remains between 17%-19%. We've given you a tax rate closer to reality. If we take account of the goodwill impairment that is not tax-deductible, then we have the adjusted net income of all these adjustments made. We obtain our EUR 326 million net income, 11% up versus the adjusted net income of 2021. At EUR 293 million, up 16% over the previous year.

Much for the cascade of financial results. Shown here, a focus on the debt. Net debt development. At the beginning of the year of EUR 438 million. It's negative cash flow, obviously, 'cause it comes, it destroys debt in the, in the flows. It's a negative flow. Shown here, EUR 31 million, that's the change in working capital over the year. That's an increase. The CapEx, EUR 259 million, as we saw. Rubis Énergie for some EUR 215 million, and the balance EUR 44 million on Photosol. The dividend for the year that was paid out in 2022 for EUR 202 million. Acquisition of Photosol once again of EUR 340 million Photosol stock. Other items integrating Photosol, EUR 94 million.

For the corporate net debt, all the debt that is excluding the non-recourse debt that is housed in the PV renewable plants, this EUR 239 million gives us a net debt EBITDA ratio modest of 1.5 x, which of course leaves the Group additional debt to fund M&A transactions. Moving on, we take account of the EUR 357 million of debt or in all the solar plants to arrive at the EUR 1,286 million reported in the balance sheet, with a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 2 x. Figure that it remains modest recognizing that a large part of this debt, a quarter, is a debt that is housed in the PV plants.

Mentioned the strong balance sheet and also liquidity essential in the present period. This is made possible through the EUR 480 million available RCF that we have available, confirmed in the Group. Those are the few points, those are the few insight I wish to give you on the financials. Perhaps we can continue. Moving on with Frederic Royer, who's gonna introduce himself. He'll do that better than anyone. Focus on bitumen.

Fred Royer
CEO, Rubis Asphalt

Please.

Bruno Krief
CFO, Rubis

Just to return for a second to bitumen. 2015, seven years ago now, Rubis identified a new niche sector in its business from petroleum products, because we were in LPG, fuel, aviation, lubricants, and bitumens. Part of what is produced is in the distillation column and bitumen. This product was identified, its characteristics are broadly similar to LPG, our original business. It's a niche business this time. It's not B2C, it's a B2B niche business for professionals with constraints, characteristics, such that we can kind of replicate the setup and the pattern of logistics that we had in LPG. A complex product that is stored not as readily as liquid. This is bitumen. It needs to be heated. It's a bit like hardened chocolate.

It's transported in conditions in rather specific types of vessels, with a heating system, and the associated logistics is essential and is the competitive advantage of this business. We identified this product, this company when we found it in Nigeria. It represents 80% of volume at a total of 300,000 tons distributed every year. At the time we acquired this company for EUR 265 million, that's a P/E of 10 x. In 2015, I'm gonna hand over to Fred to describe what he's done since he came on board.

Fred Royer
CEO, Rubis Asphalt

Thank you, Bruno, for this kind introduction. Good evening, everyone. My name is Frederic Royer. I'd like to say a few words about my track record. I have 24 years' experience in the downstream oil industry. Like I said, I have 24 years' experience in the downstream oil industry, including 17 years with the Rubis Group. At Rubis, I had the opportunity to work in different geographic areas, including Europe, the Caribbean, Africa, and I'm now based in Dubai. From Dubai, I manage the Group's bitumen activities. During my career at Rubis, I have developed expertise in restructuring and integration of companies. In particular, I've been involved in the acquisition and consolidation of many Shell and Chevron assets, particularly in the Caribbean.

I have also managed the restructuring of our Southern African operations, which enabled us to become the LPG market leader in the region. I joined the bitumen division in 2018, and I focused on developing our sales, expanding our business into new African markets, as well as optimizing our logistics assets. I suggest we watch a short video about our activities.

Speaker 10

Our own worlds, hopes, and dreams. Our own potential for greatness. Our true power comes from connections. We help build bridges, we help build roads to reach each other a little easier. We connect, our dreams become achievable goals. One man becomes the whole of humanity, greatness ensues. Rubis Asphalt is an African bitumen specialist with over 30 years of experience in the distribution of bitumen and specialized bitumen products for the road construction sector. As part of Rubis, a French-listed company, Rubis Asphalt has the knowledge and technology needed to serve clients both locally and at an international level. Our products are sourced from highly reputable refineries, mostly located in Europe. We pay great attention not only to the quality of those products, but also to the quality of our clients' experience.

By providing tailored and flexible all-inclusive solutions every step of the way, we allow our clients to focus solely on building lasting first-class roads. Our fully controlled and integrated supply chain, end-to-end solutions, permanent inventory, quality products ranging from traditional to bespoke, comprehensive technical support and flexible logistics ensure customer satisfaction and seamless collaboration. Rubis Asphalt focuses on distribution within Africa and is also involved in international trade. Our fleet of five bitumen ships, with total capacity over 120,000 tonnes, is capable of delivering large volumes of bitumen across the world. Our infrastructure in Africa includes a vast network of eight storage terminals, a fleet of over 1,200 bitu containers, and 200 road tankers, which form a key element in our integrated supply chain. Our terminals are also equipped with emulsion and polymer-modified bitumen plants.

Our infrastructure, combined with the expertise and commitment of our 500 staff members, enables us to deliver 500,000 tonnes of high-quality bitumen and derivatives tailor-made to the needs of our respective clients annually. We reliably serve in excess of 200 road contractors and contribute to the realization of over 400 road or bridges projects across Africa per annum. At Rubis Asphalt, we don't just protect new worlds, we protect the one we live in. Subjects such as preservation of resources and biodiversity, improvement of the living environment, social cohesion, and ethics are vital to ensuring sustainable growth. In collaboration with the African community, we support and invest in education, reforesting, and fighting for access to water. We are actively working on optimizing the performance of our ships, developing low carbon fuels, and improving the efficiency of our operations.

We believe a better world is more than just a possibility. By connecting people and promoting excellence, we make it a certainty. Rubis Asphalt, the road to a better world.

Fred Royer
CEO, Rubis Asphalt

As you can see, bitumen comes from refining crude oil. It is a residue from the vacuum distillation column. Some oil crudes are more suitable for producing bitumen. These are the so-called heavy crudes. In Africa, there are very few refineries and even fewer refineries capable of producing bitumen, because African crude oil is light, a bit like Bonny Light in Nigeria. This is an opportunity, because from a structural point of view, these markets import most of their bitumen. As we said before, this is a residue from refining, but it's not something that you can burn. It's not a fuel, because the carbon is sequestered, and this is important for our development. At Rubis Asphalt, we source our bitumen mainly from the Mediterranean, countries including Spain, Greece, and Turkey, to ensure stable bitumen grades, as well as security of supply.

What are the main applications for bitumen? There are two main ones, mostly road construction and, w ell, road construction accounts for 90% or 95% of the applications. The other application is building waterproofing, especially roofing, and that's about 5%. In Africa, we focus solely on the road infrastructure market, where bitumen is an essential commodity. It is a material that can be adhesive, cohesive, waterproof, and strong. It generally makes up about 5% of the asphalt layer, what we call the wearing course, which consists of aggregates and sand. In short, bitumen is a binder. Like we said, it makes up for 5% of the asphalt layer, but it accounts for 30% of the cost of the road. Supply of bitumen is an important factor for road builders.

Our customers are mostly B2B customers. They include public works companies that specialize in infrastructure, mostly multinationals. Customer related risks are low. Market depth is significant because developing road infrastructure in sub-Saharan Africa is key to opening up a number of regions and freeing up the economy. In addition, population growth is creating a significant need for mobility solutions. For example, Nigeria's population is growing at a rate of 5 million inhabitants per year. We're talking 2%-3% growth every year. This means we need to create infrastructure to keep up with that kind of growth. You will notice on the slide in the bottom right-hand corner that the road network in Africa, sub-Saharan Africa is underdeveloped. We're talking about 140 m / km sq of road. This means there's huge growth potential.

We're not expecting that Africa will ever reach the density level of Asia or Southern Asia, but we are hoping to get closer to the kind of density that we find in North America. Within the next 15-20 years, we're hoping to get closer to 300 m/km sq . Amid this backdrop, what sets us apart from the competition is our mastery of the entire supply chain. This is allows us to deliver solutions to our customers wherever they need. Asphalt plants on their sites, we meet the deadlines, and we provide the quantities requested. We have an integrated value chain, which includes bitumen vessels. In particular, we have the two largest bitumen vessels in the world, and this means we can efficiently bridge the gap between European refineries and sub-Saharan Africa.

We also have import terminals where we keep a permanent inventory for our customers. Finally, we provide land logistics with multimodal transport to deliver the bitumen direct to our customers. This is a capital-intensive business, which means barriers to entry for new players. Moreover, because of our leadership position, this means economies of scale. We have a bespoke approach to our customers. We provide bitumens and derivatives that meet their specifications and their terms of reference. We are able to supply not only bitumen, but also emulsions. All of the bitumen derivatives, which include emulsions and PMBs. PMB stands for polymer modified bitumens. Products that match the characteristics of the project, secondary roads or heavy load roads where there's a lot of HGVs, heavy goods vehicles, or even freeways and highways or airport runways or mine runways.

Every road will require a very specific type of bitumen, so we adapt our output and our services based on customer needs. In addition, with our dedicated and local teams, we have between 500 and 600 employees in Africa, we're able to provide technical support throughout the roadworks process. We provide a turnkey solution, and we also provide after-sales service. Since the acquisition of ERES in 2015, we have strived to expand our sales and diversify our locations by opening new countries. As we said before, Nigeria is driving our business. Nevertheless, it is important to de-risk our exposure to Nigeria, both in terms of volume, in financial terms, and also in terms of currency, in terms of Forex exposure. We are riding on the back of a tremendous sales boom in the Togo sub-region, particularly in Benin, Niger, and Ghana.

Those countries have very ambitious policies in terms of infrastructure development. In the past five years, as you can see on the screen, we have also opened five subsidiaries. Cameroon in 2018, followed by Gabon, Liberia, and South Africa in 2021, and recently Angola in 2023. Those new markets represent 72,000 tonnes in 2022, and we plan to reach sales between 150,000-200,000 tonnes by 2024 in those new markets. To give you some idea, this represents about a 20% growth in our overall volumes distributed in Africa. Our strategy is simple. We are planning to be the go-to supplier on the entire Atlantic coast of Africa. We are recognized as the bitumen specialist in Africa and the market leader.

We have a market share of over 50% in all the countries where we operate. Those market share targets are usually achieved after twp or four years of operation. It depends on the country's configuration. It also depends on the competition. We're also in a position to adapt our logistics model based on the size of each market. Since 2016, our distributed volumes have almost doubled from 250,000 in 2016, which wasn't a very good year, to 450,000 tonnes of product sold to our customers in Africa by 2022. We have also developed key partnerships, including Sogea-Satom, which is a subsidiary of the VINCI Group. We supply them.

We supply products to them for all our pro-road projects in the Greater West African region and also Colas, which is a subsidiary of the Bouygues Group. We recently signed a supply agreement in South Africa. We're also looking at other potential logistics synergies between our two groups. As you can see, in terms of our business, volumes are different than for service stations or fuel. Growth is not stable. Things are very cyclical. It all depends on the policy in each country, and that is why it is important for us to branch out, to have a variety of different geographic areas so that we reduce our exposure to political turbulence in one country or another. We have also innovated and expanded our offer by proposing new products such as PMBs, like I said. That stands for polymer modified bitumens, as well as emulsions, particularly for mines.

Those technologies, which are generally used in more mature markets, enable us to support our customers in a broader and more sustainable way. They also enable us to generate higher margins with higher value-added products. Finally, we're investing to develop our logistics because our logistics is key, in particular our vessels, to improve efficiency and support our growth. Like I said, Africa has a very low bitumen supply, and usually they import bitumen from Europe, and you need vessels to transport the bitumen all the way from Europe to Africa. At the end of 2022, we took delivery of a new 15,000-tonne vessel, and that vessel is specially designed to supply Nigeria efficiently. You gotta understand that in Nigeria, the rivers have a very low draft, and this means a very specific vessel design.

Our supply to Nigeria will be more and more efficient. We're also securing the building of a new 17,000-tonne vessel to support our growth in southern Africa, and this includes Angola and South Africa. All of those developments translate into growth in net income of 26% per year since 2016. Between 2016 and 2022, reaching net income of EUR 65 million in 2022 with a return on capital employed of over 20%. As we look to the future, what can we expect from the bitumen business? Well, first, there's significant growth potential in South Africa and in Angola, where our operations are just starting up. At the moment, we're building a new storage facility for bitumen in Durban. There's no one else there yet.

We're the first, and so we're going to gain significant market share in South Africa where the landscape has changed. They used to have refineries and export bitumen. That was one of the few African countries that had refineries, and now those refineries have shut down, and now they need to import bitumen. We were among the first to seize that opportunity. We already have a terminal, a port terminal in Cape Town, and we're building another one in Durban. Our goal is to increase our sales by 100,000 tonnes by 2024 over the next few years. As we said before, this means 20% growth in terms of our volumes distributed in Africa. As you can see on the map, our scope of action is not limited to the countries where we have operations, where we have locations.

For example, we're able to deliver to neighboring countries by truck. In the dark blue areas, for example. Also, we will pursue our geographic expansion with new locations. On the slide, those are the areas in light blue. It's an important market, but we need to finesse it. I'm referring to the DRC, the Democratic Republic of the Congo. It's a big market, but a tricky one, so we're looking at setting up shop in the next few months. We're also keeping an eye on the Congo and Namibia by 2025. East Africa. There's real growth potential there because we already have Rubis activities in the fuel sector there. However, there's stepping.

There's something stopping us from growing East Africa because the original source of natural bitumen for East Africa is Iran, and because of the embargo on Iran, we can't really move into that market. Once the embargo is lifted, we'll be ready. We will continue to develop complementary products to bitumen and improve the existing offer. We talked about PMBs. Those products are used to improve road elasticity and therefore thermal stability, which is key in those regions which are subject to significant temperature variations. Lastly, we're going to leverage our logistics assets as much as possible or mastery of the logistics chain to take advantage of trading opportunities that arise, particularly during Africa's raining season when road construction efforts are slowed down. In particular, we have opportunities in the USA, where we have regular trading flows with American customers.

Finally, we keep an eye on M&A opportunities, and we will not hesitate to position ourselves as a player, as markets consolidate, whether in Africa or elsewhere. Let's wrap up. Bitumen is perfectly aligned with Rubis DNA. It's a niche product in growing markets with high barriers to entry and structural import needs. Whatever we use to power the cars of the future, the world will need modern and efficient roads, and we are particularly well positioned thanks to our mastery of the entire supply chain and our operational excellence. The strength of our model is borne out by our robust market share, over 50% in all our locations. We are growing strongly in new markets. Our financial performance has been steadily improving since the acquisition with over 20% return on capital employed.

Africa still holds significant growth potential, and we play a leading role there. Many thanks for your attention. I will be happy to answer any questions you may have later on. Before we do that, I'd like to hand over to Clarisse, who will wrap up this presentation. Thank you.

Clarisse Gobin-Swiecznik
Managing Partner, Rubis

I'm gonna close this presentation with a few words. As you will have noticed, it's once again a year that we view as extremely active for the Group, and the results have been delivered. Excellent operational performance that needs to be underscored. We're also pleased to be able to propose an ever-growing dividend. It's a way for us of rewarding your trust and your support. Turning to the future and the outlook going forward for the Group, regarding our energy distribution activities, we're going to continue to work to strengthen our existing strategic positions, new offerings, divesting in our markets, and investing where it makes the most sense. Distribution, primarily Africa, Caribbean. We remain convinced that the energy we distribute can't be the same everywhere we operate and must meet our customers' needs.

That's also why we acquired Photosol. To turn to renewables in Europe. In renewable power generation, growth will be driven by the energy transition across our geographies. We see major solar expansion opportunities in several European geographies with Photosol. The carbon reduction of the energy mix is a major challenge for us, but also in geographically isolated areas such as the Caribbean islands. We're contributing and convinced that we're gonna be able to contribute to that, notably with HDF Energy, our storage business. We're gonna continue to support our clients in their energy transition as we've done for some years now by adapting our storage capacity and continuing to write the Group story. In the M&A front, we remain attentive to acquisition opportunities that may arise across our businesses. Before closing this presentation and opening it up for Q&A, for 2023, we expect increased results versus 2022.

Continue to grow our dividend, has been the case for many years now, in fact, since the Group was founded. This concludes this session. Thanks very much for your attention and Q&A session is now open.

Emmanuel Matot
Analyst, Oddo BHF

Merci. Thank you. I hope you can hear me. Yes. Could you just return briefly to your M&A policy just to accelerate in solar power? Is there not a need by kind of going to the market, or will developments happen with the current balance sheet, in fact? How far are you prepared to go in terms of leverage? Perhaps if you could assist us on that one, Bruno. Also the law on accelerating renewable energy in France. Is it positive? Is negative? What's your take? Because we seem to hear a lot of things on this front. Are you really supported by the authorities here? Final question was on your CapEx in 2023. Could you tell us what your budget is as compared to the EUR 259 million CapEx budget last year? Thanks.

Bruno Krief
CFO, Rubis

Thanks for that question. Acquisitions in the renewable in PV. We believe that with Photosol, we have what it takes. We have the critical mass, we have the enabler to grow on the basis of the structure of Photosol, 120 people, number three independent in France after the major leaders, Engie, EDF, those who are present. We have the ideal tool to grow from Photosol. Expansion, we view it more in organic terms by building on new teams, say by expanding if we do it in foreign countries, not necessarily through acquisition, but through sales development partnerships.

We can also view expansion horizontally by pushing beyond solar, the traditional, solar PV farm storage, what's known as repowering when we come to the end of the life cycle of a plant, reinvesting with more efficient tools and with profitability rates that are higher than at entry. Second part of your question, the Group's financial capacity. Well, today at Photosol, we have CapEx program of EUR 700 million between 2022 through 2026. These EUR 700 million will be almost self financed through bank facilities without drawing on new shareholder money.

The PV market in France, we're familiar with the regulatory setup, the guarantee of the business through long-term contracts and to have quality counterparties thinking of the CRE that gives us a possibility of financial leverage of 90%, even 100%. Hence, Rubis' wherewithal self-reliance to fund. We're not gonna have a second Photosol ticket. It doesn't make sense. We have the team, we got the expertise, the platform. That's the message I'd like to convey. Second, your second question that's crucially important, which is the acceleration or the deceleration law. It's the people behind you are gonna speak to that. They're the experts, and they've worked live in parliament to get this bill on the statute book.

David Guinard
CEO, Photosol

David Guinard, CEO of Photosol, I participated a great deal on these discussions on the acceleration law that occupied a great deal of our time the second half of 2022. I'm sure that most of the industry players have expressed their views in the media during the parliamentary process after the work in the House and the Senate. The result, the outcome is probably a bit disappointing in terms of what we were expecting regarding energy or environmental transition issues as they're looming. This acceleration law is very important 'cause it's the first time in 15 years of Photosol's existence, 16, 17 years of existence of the PV market. For the first time, a law has clearly stated the need of accelerating the process in France. One framework defining the PV.

For those of you here, I gave a brief, that Photosol was really something of a trailblazer back in 2008, 2009, and 2010, and this regulatory framework that's gonna open up the land, that was one of the sticking points, that it's gonna open it up to PV expansion is key. Second driver, equally, fundamental is the work of consultation that was mentioned in the present, that is framed by articles on acceleration definition by the mayor and the communities of these acceleration areas that will offset the major difficulty that we're faced with in France, which is the duration of admin authorization. So there'll be a shorter development cycle. These are two crucial items in the acceleration process. We could have hoped for more ambition, but we're a bit disappointed.

Jacques Riou
Founder, Rubis

The French market, and David can confirm this, is quite exceptional in many respects because you see the mechanic. We have a buyer that's AA or AA A that we find nowhere else, which means that we can find very long-term funding at very low rates. We got a very low cost of capital, as Bruno said, David Guinard can fund 90% or even 100% depending on the deals of investments achieved. The other side of the coin is that there's a lot of administrative red tape, but it is one market where we like to be, is the French market. I wouldn't say the same for all products, but I'm happy to say that.

As you know, ambitious in terms of multiplying installed capacity is considerable and extensively exceed the wildest dreams of an operator, not to mention prospects in other European geographies. When we move further away, there are all sorts of setups with markets that offer shorter contract durations or higher equity levels. When you move to emerging markets, it's a totally different ballgame because you have a lot of difficulty finding counterparties to acquire the electricity who can sign up reliably for a long-term contract. It's a different take. It's a bit more corporate, a bit more conventional. For these electricity markets, depending on these convention, can be addressed with different tools and teams, and that's what will make the attraction of Photosol.

The team's done an outstanding job because, as we said, they're both suited to a listed structure, which is no mean feat for a binary on/off company. That was done this summer, they've already launched sales initiatives to address new countries. I'll take a few questions coming to us online. Picking up on Photosol, we have a question from Candriam asking if farm-down possibilities on the cards to reduce the project risk and partially fund the project implementation.

Bruno Krief
CFO, Rubis

Maybe we let our specialist answer that one.

Jacques Riou
Founder, Rubis

On the farm-down. Well, we're fortunate to have the two founders and managers of Photosol, Rubis Photosol. Since you're inviting me.

Robin Ucelli
Co-founder, Photosol

Good evening. Robin, co-founder of Photosol, partnering with David and Rubis. Maybe just a technical clarification. The farm down involves selling assets, minority sale to purely financial investors. That's what they practice. A very low cost of capital seeking very long-term returns. The attraction of a farm down can if it's your point, but it really involves de-risking when we halt assets where we have. We're committed for 20 years with a counterparty. In the French case, as Jacques said, we're benefiting from a pretty outstanding environment, very different from other geographies because our main buyer up until, in fact, our sole buyer up to recently was EDF, the French utility. Recently, Leroy Merlin with the signing of a PPA of 38 MW, Photosol retained its assets and didn't do farm down up till now.

Over the coming years, given our pipeline, as Bruno and Jacques said, we can fund our plants with a leverage of 80%, 90%, 100%. We don't need to sell assets and farm down to find liquidity in France. Farm down isn't a way of de-risking because the counterparty's excellence, at least that's our viewpoint. In other geographies, because it was said we plan to develop other geographies, it'd really be done on a country-by-country basis.

Jacques Riou
Founder, Rubis

More questions coming to us online. What's the WCR trajectory post 2023 after the decrease in price of raw materials out of 2022?

Bruno Krief
CFO, Rubis

Well, the answer lies in the question because if there's a withdrawal a decrease in the raw material price, it will reduce inventory and receivables that will generate cash. We may have experienced the peak in WCR over the past tow years, 2021, 2022, and we'll begin 2023 in better conditions in that respect.

Speaker 9

The next question, the EUR 700 million CapEx. Is that equity or is it total physical investment?

Bruno Krief
CFO, Rubis

It's a physical investment, 100% construction of the plants. Buying, building the assets, finance that will require funding either equity or debt, but we have the advantage of using maximum debt. Okay. Second question on your relations with HDF.

Speaker 9

You've invested a certain entry price that was far higher. What are your relation? Is it the ticket that you put in to be in the downstream business, or is it something else? What do you think of that investment?

Clarisse Gobin-Swiecznik
Managing Partner, Rubis

I'll answer because I'm member of the HDF Energy Board. We invested EUR 80 million in HDF Energy about 18 months ago, essentially to be able to invest in hydrogen power plants in areas where we're present. Today we can say that there are projects in all areas in which we operate, but with more substantial pipeline in the Caribbean. That's allowed us to have a strategic partnership protocol with HDF, which means that we have a 100% decision to invest as a priority and as a majority partner in the geographies where we're located. Are we happy or not? It's too soon to say when you see that Photosol, that's an integrated player in the French landscape that often wins the CRE tenders, takes about four to five years to develop a conventional solar power plant in France.

The lead times for HDF are very long. There's one plant under construction, another plant in advanced development, many other plans, but the maturity of which doesn't allow us to talk about. It's a bit short for us, a bit too soon for us to form a view on the matter. I don't know if that's answered your question, frankly.

Jacques Riou
Founder, Rubis

Yeah. It's a total startup of this type of activity. It doesn't exist. The plant that's under construction in French Guiana is an industrial model that combines PV planners, a hydrolyzer, fuel cells, can develop 24/7 power. It's a pretty unique facility that's gonna emerge, and it requires, as Clarisse said, building this pipeline over a number of years, four or five years to develop that and this sort of accumulation of projects. You see it was in fact the case that Photosol and for all, operators from this you see the curve take off. That's the principle of the operation.

As Clarisse was saying, we have a written agreement. Just completely above board, it's a formal agreement under which they have a commitment to our regions, so Europe, the Caribbean, Africa. These are areas where that's a whole lot of potential, they will be priority majority investors. These are regions where we decide not to go, depending on the characteristics and depending on our mood.

Bruno Krief
CFO, Rubis

The answer is no. The answer is no. There is no way Rubis is going to increase its stake in HDF. We hold 18%. That puts us in the second position. The idea is for us to invest into SPVs that generate power, but not in the parent company. I don't know if there's a leverage when it comes to developing the power plants.

Speaker 9

Hello. Could you please clarify on the bitumen front, you said that you pay close attention to potential M&A opportunities. Are you in the middle of discussions as we speak? Could we have some indication of the size of your potential acquisitions?

Fred Royer
CEO, Rubis Asphalt

Well, no, we're not in discussion exactly. Everything we did so far was ex nihilo. It was about blazing the trail in Africa. We specialize in that, actually. There are many, many opportunities that can be seized in Africa because it's a growing market. Africa is a market where road infrastructure is gaining ground, and the money comes from financiers, donors. We believe that our organic growth and our growth from zero will make quite a contribution to our general growth in the next few years. When it comes to mergers and acquisitions, well, probably in other regions.

We're looking at various potential acquisitions. It's still early days. It's too soon to tell you about it. In Europe, for example, we can tell you that the landscape is shifting. A number of refineries that produce bitumen are probably going to close. We're looking at Europe, particularly in northwestern Europe, with a close attention to that neck of the woods.

Speaker 9

More on bitumen, I have a question. EUR 60 million in net income. EUR 65 million, actually. Apologies. That's a lot as a share for the Group. What about operating income, operating profit? Are we dealing with the same kind of ratio? EUR 80 million EBITDA, or B in French.

Fred Royer
CEO, Rubis Asphalt

Yeah, absolutely. Our EBITDA is very healthy. At least in part, and I think that Bruno noticed that, in part, our EBITDA is distorted by Nigeria because our profit margins are significant. Now we have to absorb the financial cost of buying dollars on so-called parallel markets. Because of the underlying Forex loss, the EUR 80 million in EBITDA, we're talking EUR 30 million for bitumen. Yes, exactly. If I understand properly, that principle, the Forex losses, you need to think about that only after the Forex impact. This is why we prefer to talk about our net profit as opposed to EBITDA, because I do feel that EBITDA is a bit inflated. The EUR 80 million in EBITDA, that's right. Once it's been adjusted for the Forex loss.

Speaker 9

Okay. Also on the economic front, bitumen is a residue. It's a petroleum product residue, we should see a reduction in consumption of such petroleum products, gasoline in particular. What's the impact on the price at which you buy bitumen? Is that price defined by the buyer, that is by you? Does it depend on a bitumen price fluctuations? Do you think there's going to be a shift in the long term?

Bruno Krief
CFO, Rubis

You're absolutely right. It's correlated with the price of crude. The underlying factor is heavy fuel for bitumen. Okay? That's your main marker. We buy bitumen based on so-called Platts contracts, something like 5% crude rule. The shifts are difficult to predict. What we're seeing today, one of our top challenges, we expect a number of refineries to close in the future. Either close or convert to something else. That's the rationale.

Our objective is to secure the molecule, the actual bitumen, so that we can continue to operate as a going concern in Africa and elsewhere. There are lots of opportunities that we're looking at. There are refineries that have decided to specialize in bitumen. The more complex refineries have a choice. They need to decide on the final mix. There are some refineries that specialize in bitumen, and they're now producing much more bitumen than they used to. Okay. Buying out the refinery, maybe that's something you should talk to Jacques about. Some people have tried, and many have failed. You need to be really careful when buying a bitumen refinery. Honestly, it's not good for your health. That's not the kind of sport you need to play if you wanna stay healthy.

There are more specific downstream activities whereby you use these sub-products, these. The by-products refinery. It's much more a specialist business. Bitumen, it's a bit like any other energy product. There's a strategic aspect to it. It's fascinating. Over the long term, your profit margin is high, assuming you manage to pass on the rise in international prices onto your end customers. Because we're working longer distances, between the bitumen-producing areas and the consuming areas, those regions that need bitumen in order to build new infrastructure, you need vessels to go from A to B. We are one of very few operators that have excellent tools and facilities. Those vessels that I'm referring to, we are using them for our own supply needs.

During other periods, at other times throughout the year, we use our tankers to, okay, when the trading window opens, to supply the Americas. We're talking 40,000 tonne vessels.

Fred Royer
CEO, Rubis Asphalt

The new vessels that are currently being built range between $30 million-$35 million apiece.

Bruno Krief
CFO, Rubis

I have another question online regarding the bitumen business. What about natural bitumen? Aren't they an option? Natural bitumens, isn't that an option? They do exist, those natural bitumens. Unfortunately, it's more, it's more theory than practice. As far as I know, there are no natural bitumens that can be used directly the same way that traditional bitumens can. There are natural bitumen deposits in some countries, including Nigeria and of course, tar sands in Canada. Of course, you need a whole refining process. You can't use it as such.

You have to refine the natural bitumen before you can use it. Okay, more questions online. If you look at the Forex loss posted in 2022, do you intend to set up a currency hedging policy? If that was possible, we would have done it. I told you about the different currencies, shillings, naira, the Madagascar currency. There are no futures markets for those currencies at the moment. At the end of the day, the best way to hedge our bets is to transfer price volatility, pass on price volatility onto our end customers. More about Forex. The EUR 80 million in Forex loss in 2023, are you planning to recover it as part of your discussions with the government? Out of the EUR 80 million, there's only EUR 50 million left.

Out of the EUR 50 million, there was EUR 10 million, so maybe EUR 10 million a year. Basically we're down to EUR 40 million. When it comes to the remaining EUR 40 million, we have started discussions with a number of governments to recover at least part of our financial loss.

Jacques Riou
Founder, Rubis

You gotta understand that this is a game that's been going on for about 100 years between petroleum operators and governments. We all need each other. There are times when governments are in distress when prices rise too high and too quickly. Of course, they're tempted to regulate. They do it in Africa, but they do it elsewhere as well, as you all know, right here in Paris and in many other countries. As you all know.

Well, actually everybody knows that they need each other, okay? Governments need reliable long-term partners and operators, so they're willing to negotiate, and you always find a common ground. It takes a little while, as Bruno was saying early on. You may have a free freely priced markets or regulated markets. It takes a little longer, of course, we have to negotiate. You don't always get everything that you want. It's a long-term partnership that we have with those governments. I believe we have Guillaume Muros from Société Générale has a question he wants to ask on the phone. Hello? Hello?

Guillaume Muros
Equity Analyst, Société Générale

Thank you for taking my question. I have three questions. Firstly, could you please talk to me about your working capital requirement, which was positive in Q2 and at the end of 2022? Actually in H2. Second question regarding renewables. The Photosol acquisition, you set up a medium-term objective by 2025, you want a contribution of about 25%. Renewables should contribute 25% to the Group's EBIT. What about the timeline? Are you maintaining that goal? Third question. Your corporate net debt. Do you have a target leverage? Thank you.

Bruno Krief
CFO, Rubis

Very well. I'll take the last question. The net debt over. The corporate net debt over EBITDA ratio. 1.5x at the end of last year, and we said that our borrowing capacity is about EUR 300 million-EUR 400 million. What does that mean? It means we can get close to 2x or 2.1x. That's where we stand. Okay. We can shift from 1.5x to 2x or 2.2x .

We're talking 0.6 x. That's about 50% of an EBITDA round. We're talking EUR 300 million, EUR 400 million. When it comes to working capital requirement and changes thereof, you know that in H2 there's a drop in that WCR. 2022 is not usual as a year because there's a collision between, first of all, the combination of factors. That's the end of the three-year period for posting these C2Es in the balance sheets of companies such as ours, which distribute energy and which, therefore, have an obligation to manage their position in terms of energy efficiency certificates. At the end of the period, something happened.

The accounting processing of that, the certificates, exiting the inventory had a contribution of about EUR 200 million to the loss, to the drop in the WCR. That's a technical explanation that explains the drop in WCR in the second half of the year. When it comes to renewables, the question had to do with the medium-term goal.

Clarisse Gobin-Swiecznik
Managing Partner, Rubis

We never made a commitment when by 2027. Medium-term, to us, that means 2030 and beyond. We're not going to renege on the 25% contribution to the Group's EBITDA, but by 2030, not 2025. I still have a couple more questions online.

Speaker 9

Considering the increase in interest rates, are you planning to shift borrowing instruments in your capital structure? What is the split between fixed rate and variable rate?

Bruno Krief
CFO, Rubis

Now, in terms of the Photosol acquisitions, we're talking EUR 360 million in Photosol debt. I'm talking leverage here. This is very long-term debt, 20 years. That debt is hedged from the get-go. In other words, we have hedged our bets. We have hedging instruments for the entire duration of that loan, and the loans are capped. We're not expecting any negative impact from the increase in interest rates when it comes to ongoing loans. As far as the future is concerned, of course, there's going to be an exposure to surging interest rates. Of course, it's part of the project's economics. It'll be factored in at some point into the price per megawatt. That's something we will be working on.

We will work on this as far as future projects are concerned with the corporate PPAs or other RFPs. When it comes to the entire corporate debt that is housed within Rubis Énergie, of course, the material level is different. It's now 20 years, like for Photosol. On average, it ranges between six and seven years. Today, the average time during which it stays in our balance sheet is about four years. That debt is hedged from the beginning. As soon as we set up the loan and whenever we draw down on the revolving credit facility, the RCF, we're talking between 70%, 90% exposure to the rate. That's my answer. Mr. Hall?

Another question on the capital, the ramp-up of CapEx. Is it compatible with the dividend amount, the different geographies that might be affected by possible acquisitions? Answer.

Jacques Riou
Founder, Rubis

Yes. It's been a constant policy at Rubis to protect not only the dividend, but also the dividend increase. We devise our expansion plans based on that initial principles.

Bruno Krief
CFO, Rubis

I didn't quite hear the second part of the question. Business seg, what's geographies for M&A? What we illustrated, what Jacques illustrated, said Bruno in the first part of the presentation, is that the Group is built in the following way. You have mature businesses, mature in growth in Rubis Énergie part, which generate free cashflow available, distributable of EUR 200 million, EUR 250 million annually.

It's those EUR 250 million of available free cashflow that serve to pay the dividend, and we saw that on the basis of EUR 1.92 per unit in respect to 2022 will represent about EUR 200 million. We have the cashflow of Rubis Énergie after CapEx, organic of Rubis Énergie of the order of EUR 120 million and, development CapEx of EUR 60 million-EUR 80 million a year in a positive, surplus positive balance in excess of EUR 200 million. That pocket is truly there to secure the payment of a dividend to the shareholders, the Rubis shareholders. As to renewables, we showed that it was self-financed because it's ends by, through, recourse to loans, essentially. I don't know if that's clear.

On the mechanics of securing the dividend per share through the surplus cash flow of Rubis Énergie without in any way constraining the Group's investment. We even discussed together the farm-down mechanism. That's an option we'll have one day to free up cash within Photosol to contribute to accelerating investments, for example.

Jacques Riou
Founder, Rubis

Seems to me that we've answered the last few question. Thanks very much for your attention and the time you've devoted to us. Look forward to seeing you again in the next few months to continue following the expansion of our operations with our result to continue to accelerate the Group's growth. Thank you.

Powered by