Vivendi SE (EPA:VIV)
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Apr 28, 2026, 5:35 PM CET
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Earnings Call: H2 2023

Mar 7, 2024

Operator

Good evening, everyone, and welcome to the Vivendi Full Year 2023 Earnings Presentation. This conference call will be hosted by Mr. Arnaud de Puyfontaine, Chairman of the Management Board and CEO, and Mr. François Laroze, Member of the Management Board and CFO. As a reminder, this call is being recorded. During the call, you'll be in listen-only mode. However, later on in the call during the Q&A session, analysts will have the opportunity to ask a question without any follow-up questions. This can be done by pressing star 1 on your telephone keypad to register your question at any time. If at any point you require assistance, please press star 0 and you will be connected to an operator. I'm now going to hand the call over to your host, Mr. Arnaud de Puyfontaine. Please go ahead, sir.

Arnaud de Puyfontaine
CEO, Vivendi

Thank you, and hello everyone. Welcome, and thank you for joining us today. I'm delighted to be with you to present key highlights from last year. 2023 was a significant year for Vivendi with strong growth in results. Revenues increased by 9.5% due to the growth of Canal Plus Group and Havas, as well as the integration of Lagardère as of 1st of December 2023. The EBITDA of our controlled businesses was up 10.6% compared to 2022. François will elaborate further in a few minutes. This is very good performance in challenging environments, confirms the strength of our activities. Let me thank the Vivendi teams around the world for their commitment and talent. 2023 was a significant year for another reason. It was a year of major transformation for Vivendi.

First, we completed our transaction with the Lagardère Group, the world's third largest book publisher for the general public and educational markets, and a leading global travel retailer. After quite complex operation, we are very proud to have welcomed the group's talents and started our collaboration. Last week, the group published excellent annual results with another year of strong earnings growth driven by its two main activities, a toast to Arnaud Lagardère and his 30,000 colleagues. Second, our business pursued their own transformation resulting in strong dynamism. The CANAL+ Group has confirmed its active international development. More than 16 out of its 26 million subscribers are now outside France. The acquisition of stakes in Viu and Viaplay, and the mandatory offer for the MultiChoice Group shares not already owned should enable CANAL+ Group to further accelerate its growth, particularly in Asia and Africa in the coming years.

Havas is the second fastest-growing company in the communication sector. To meet its clients' needs and expectations, the group has considerably strengthened its position integrating 10 new agencies, launching ever more innovative solutions, and forging strategic partnerships, notably in AI and retail media. Prisma Media, the French leader in magazine and digital press, expanded into new segments, building up, in particular, a solid luxury and interior decoration division. With content-to-commerce initiatives and the successful integration of the assets acquired from M6 Digital Services, the group is activating new growth levers and continuing its consolidation. As for Gameloft, the performance is not up to what it should be, confirming the need to accelerate the transformation of the business to achieve double-digit margin levels. At the same time, as a group, we continued our transformation towards a more sustainable business model and delivered on our extra-financial performance.

You will find our main ESG developments on this slide. Let me highlight a few achievements. Our CO2 emissions, Scope one and two, have been reduced by 20% compared to 2022, versus a 10% decrease the previous year. We definitely stepped up our efforts to fight against climate change. On social, we increased the percentage of women within our management bodies. They now represent 40%. We are collectively particularly proud to have reached the target set by the Rixain Law six years ahead of schedule, and to have been recognized as one of the parity champions by the SKEMA Observatory on the Feminization of Companies. I also want to congratulate the teams for the creation of the Vivendi Foundation, which strengthens our philanthropic commitment. As you can see, 2023 was rich in achievements. Our overall performance demonstrates the success of our strategy.

Over the past years, our obsession has always been to grow our business. That's why we have advanced step by step in our strategy of transformation and internationalization, which has enabled all our entities to develop. Vivendi succeeded in achieving robust, operating and financial performances across its various businesses. This strong operational momentum explains why, since April 2018, year of arrival of Yannick Bolloré as Chairman of the Supervisory Board, our share price dividends reinvested have increased by 113%, whereas the CAC 40 only increased by 74%. Today, however, we are faced with a dual reality. First, fierce competition and unparalleled reinvention challenges for each of our businesses. The priority today in our entity's first approach is to restore agility and entrepreneurial capacity to embrace the necessary revolution. Second, you know, it's, even better than us.

Since the beginning, and even more so since the distribution and listing of UMG Group in 2021, Vivendi has endured a significantly, significantly high conglomerate discount, topping 50% at one point. This discount is limiting our ability to carry out external growth transactions for our subsidiaries in an international context marked, in particular, by numerous investment opportunities. In this context, we have decided to propose to the Supervisory Board to explore the feasibility of a project to split the company into four entities, each of which would be listed on the stock market: Canal Plus, Havas, a company grouping the asset in publishing and distribution, and an investment company owning listed and unlisted, financial stakes. The work is progressing. Of course, this project will have to demonstrate its added value for all stakeholders.

The ambition is to release the potential of our entities by providing them with all the human resources and financial agilities they need. Our businesses, being pure players in their specific industries, would be even, even more competitive. 2024 is certain to be another year of reinvention. The macroeconomic and geopolitical context is surely uncertain, but our businesses have everything they need to succeed again this year. Our teams stay committed to delivering a strong operational performance. The first few months already confirmed the continued good business trends of our main entities. Thank you for your attention, and let me now hand things over to, François. Thanks, François. Over to you.

François Laroze
CFO, Vivendi

Thank you, Arnaud. Hi, everyone. We will walk you through the presentation of our figures for 2023. Sorry in advance for my strange voice today. Let's focus on the group in a nutshell, on the first page, with the revenue up to EUR 210.5 billion for the whole year. EBITDA of controlled business, EUR 715 million. Adjusted net income, 722, and headcount, which amounts to 733,000, at the end of the year 2023. As you know, we have consolidated Lagardère from the 1st of December 2023. We rely on pro forma figures. What would have been the revenues with Lagardère 12 months in our, in our accounts? It's EUR 17.9 billion of revenues, EBITDA of EUR 1.2 billion, and the net result group share of EUR 0.5 billion. If we have a look at our financial situation, it's still very solid, with EUR 17.1 billion of shareholder equity, shareholder equity.

The financial debt is EUR 2.8 billion, out of which EUR 0.8 billion comes from Vivendi Legacy Business and EUR 2 billion from Lagardère. The cash flow from operation is EUR 881 million, and we still have EUR 3.2 billion of available credit facilities. If we have a look at the revenue of the group, it's EUR 10.5 billion compared with EUR 9.6 billion, including EUR 0.7 billion of Lagardère December performance. Our main two business units are Canal Plus and Havas, which are delivering very sound organic growth: 2.9% for Canal Plus, 4.4% for Havas. So if we add to this 2.6% organic growth the scope impact with Lagardère mainly 7.6% and negative currency impact by -0.7%, we find a growth increase by 9.5%.

If we have a look at the fourth quarter, the trend is roughly the same, with 1.5% organic growth, to which we add the scope impact Lagardère mainly, again, 25.2 points, then the negative currency impact of -1.3%, which leads to a 24.5% increase of the revenue compared with last year, fourth quarter. For the EBITDA of the group, for the controlled business, it's EUR 715 million compared with EUR 646 million. It's a 12.1% organic increase. Canal Plus has done very well, from EUR 515 million to EUR 525 million, 1.3% organic. Havas also, from EUR 286 million to EUR 310 million, 8% increase. Prisma is slightly below the performance of last year, and Gameloft, as Arnaud just said, has a slightly lower performance than last year. Vivendi Village is doing better, from -EUR 6 million to +EUR 13 million. So the new initiatives business, Gameloft and GVA, from -EUR 46 million to -EUR 43 million.

If we add to this EBITDA of the controlled business, the one coming from our equity affiliates, UMG and Lagardère, the EBITDA for the group is EUR 934 million compared with EUR 868 million. It's a 7.5% increase. Just a rapid glance at the impact of UMG, because, as you see on the previous page, the income is down from EUR 124 million last year to EUR 94 million. It's mainly due to the way that Vivendi accounts for the UMG performance, excluding all the impact of the revaluation gain or losses on the investment in Spotify and Tencent Music. That's the reason why, even if the group UMG has released a strong net earnings from EUR 0.8 billion to EUR 1.2 billion, we have a slightly decreasing impact on our figures. In terms of cash flow, it's still very solid, EUR 881 million with Canal+ almost EUR 400 million, Havas EUR 300 million, and EUR 139 million for the months of December of Lagardère.

The net income of the group is EUR 405 million compared with a loss of EUR 1 billion last year, including some one-off impact of Telecom Italia. If we look at the adjusted net income, we amount to EUR 722 million. It's two times the one of last year, which was EUR 343 million. Let's now spend a few seconds on the financial debt evolution. We move from EUR 0.9 billion of net debt last year to EUR 0.8 billion at the end of the year 2023. Then we add to this level of debt the one coming from Lagardère, which is EUR 2 billion. That's the reason why our overall net debt amounts to EUR 2.8 billion. If we focus on the Vivendi legacy business, we see that we have strong cash flow, EUR 0.9 billion. We have the disposal of Editis and Gala for almost EUR 0.7 billion.

And then we have spent almost EUR 600 million in M&A, both in Canal Plus and Havas, which explains this performance quite stable from 0.9-0.8. Concerning the net debt situation, you see that the interests are up from -EUR 14 million to EUR 13 million. It mainly comes from the evolution of the interest rates. And also just point out that with this net debt of EUR 2.8 billion at the end of December 2023, we have a gross cash position of EUR 2.2 billion and gross debt mainly from bonds, which amounts to EUR 4 billion at the end of the previous year. Our portfolio of financial assets is quite stable for the ones which are managed directly by the Vivendi HQ, Prisa, Universal, MFE-MediaForEurope. You had all of them and no major evolution during the year 2023.

The main evolution comes from the one managed by the group CANAL+, MultiChoice, Viu, and Viaplay, on which we'll come back later. Let's remind that the total value of all our financial assets amounts to EUR 8 billion at the end of the year, and that we have received EUR 171 million of dividend during this year, 2023. Now, a rapid look at our main business units to confirm what Arnaud told you. CANAL+ has delivered 2.9% organic growth coming from all the business units, TV International, also Mainland France, which is very satisfactory to see the Mainland France going by 3.3%, and StudioCanal with a very strong performance of 12.7% with some big success at the box office that you see on the slide.

The subscriber base is also going up from 25.5 million-26.4 million, 16.3 coming in from Europe, 9.1 million from France, 8.1 million from Africa, the remaining two coming from the rest of the world, including Asia-Pacific. Concerning the main financial assets of CANAL+, let's have a focus on MultiChoice to remind you that they're present in 16 African countries, that they have 7.3 million subscribers, EUR 3.4 billion of revenues, and EUR 580 million of EBIT. Initial offer has been down at ZAR 105 early February, and this offer has been increased to ZAR 125 last week. Now, we should launch the mandatory takeover no later than the 8th of April of this year, and we'll come back on it. For Viu, we are increasing step by step our share in this very successful group in Asia.

We now have 30% stake in the Viu Group, and we should come to, move to 51% in the coming years if the performance of Viu are in line with the proposed business plan. Let's comment that up to now, they have absolutely followed their business plan, and we are totally in line for the previous year with the anticipated performance. For Viaplay, very recent information as well that we have invested EUR 120 million in the capital increase that has been launched in February. We are now the first shareholder of Viaplay with 29.33%. And we consider that having taken the good decision in terms of rights, TV rights, they should be in a position to come back rapidly to positive results. Lagardère, the figures have been released last week, so you know them.

Just remind that the revenue went up by 14%, mainly driven by the travel retail, but the publishing is still doing well. The recurring EBIT, they call Resop, is up also, by 14% from 438 to 520. Let's point out that the travel retail is now representing EUR 245 million, out of this EUR 520 million overall EBITs. Havas, very good performance all over the year. The fourth quarter is still very strong, 4.7%. The whole year is 4.4%. As Arnaud said, we are just below Publicis Groupe's, but strongly ahead of all the other competitors. The EBITs moved from EUR 286 million to EUR 310 million. It's an 8% increase, between 2022 and 2023. This growth is well spread all over the world. Our main two regions, North America and Europe, are up by 1.9% and 1.7%.

Then the extraordinary performance of Latin America with 14.1%, both in Mexico and Brazil and in other geographies. Asia-Pacific is up by 9.9%. Havas has been extremely active in the M&A field with 10 operations all over the year 2023, nine majority acquisitions and one minority one. All of these acquisitions have been done abroad in all the countries you see here, from Germany, Canada, U.K., Australia, and have strengthened our expertise in creativity, performance marketing, and strategic communication. For Prisma Media, the revenue is down by EUR 11 million from EUR 320 million to EUR 309 million, mainly due to the disposal of Gala in November, and the EBITDA is roughly stable. And if we restate from Gala and some one-off impact, it's slightly above the one of the previous year. Gameloft, the revenue is down from EUR 321 million to EUR 311 million.

Last year has been strongly and positively impacted by the launch, a success of Disney Dreamlight Valley. The franchise we launched last year, Disney Speedstorm, has not been such a success. And so we are relaunching the game, which is now a free-to-play game. And we intend, first of all, to increase our revenue and to adapt our cost base to this evolution of the mobile market. For the new initiative, it's stronger as well. Revenues went up from EUR 122 million to EUR 152 million. It's coming from the two business units, GVA Canal Box and Dailymotion. And the EBITDA is on its route to the breakeven from -EUR 39 million to -EUR 22 million.

As a conclusion, I would say that we are quite satisfied with this strong operation in 2023, that we will release our Q1 2024 revenues during our shareholders' meetings during the in the 29th of April 2024, in which we will propose an ordinary dividend of EUR 0.25 per share, stable compared with last year. It's a 2.6% yield. This dividend should be paid early May 2024. Thank you for your attention. With Arnaud, we are at your disposal to answer any of your questions.

Operator

Thank you very much, sir. Ladies and gentlemen, if you'd like to ask an audio question, please press star one on your telephone keypad. It says star one, which is going to be a chance to signal. Our very first question this evening is going to be coming from Julien Roch calling from Barclays. Please go ahead, sir.

Julien Roch
Managing Director, Barclays Capital

Oui, bonsoir Arnaud, bonsoir François.

My first question is on the split. In the December press release, you said you would not do a split if there was too much tax leakage. So have you found a structure where you expect minimum tax leakage? That's my first question. The second one is, CANAL+ financial disclosure is very simple. We only have three revenues and one EBIT. So we don't know the split in France between free and pay, the split of international where Eastern Europe and Africa have completely different gross profiles. We don't have program costs. We don't have marketing costs. So CANAL+ is hard to value, and you're about to make it a pure-play stock. So will you improve disclosure and organize an investor day to have a successful stock listing pre the split? That's my second question.

And, if we have time for a third one and update on the disposal of ticketing. Thank you.

Arnaud de Puyfontaine
CEO, Vivendi

Okay. Thank you, Julien. First of all, on the split, and we will come back, maybe if there are other questions, to tell you that we are still working hard to finalize the study of the split to make our final decision. Among the different subjects we are reviewing, obviously, there is a tax ones in which we focus on two main impacts, which is, first of all, the impact for Vivendi if this split should be finalized. So we are working hard to ensure ourselves that the impact should be very small at Vivendi level. And we will confirm that in the coming weeks. And we also are working on the impact for the shareholders. And it will depend on the final level of the results and the reserves.

So we are reviewing that in order for us to be able to come back to the market and explain the impact on this too, both on Vivendi SE and on the shareholders. Concerning Canal+, I know you understand all your comments. We keep on giving the same type of information. And obviously, the day when we consider this is no more a study but a real project, Canal+, we organize in order to prepare an investor day to introduce all its strategy, including the business plan for the coming year and the way they will be organized. So it's too early to tell you about more detailed figures. But obviously, Canal+ will do that the day the study becomes an actual project. Ticketing? Ticketing, sorry. Update on the ticketing. So we are still working with some possible buyers.

And we should be in a position to finalize an offer with one of these buyers in the coming days, weeks. And then if we consider that we have to refer to the social organization in France, we are targeting a closing of the operation at the end of the first half during the course of June.

Julien Roch
Managing Director, Barclays Capital

Very clear. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you very much, sir. We'll now move to Adrien de Saint-Hilaire of Bank of America. Please go ahead.

Adrien de Saint Hilaire
Director, Bank of America

Thank you very much for taking your question. So, I've got first one, which is maybe a bit long, but I was just wondering if there are any other options that the board, either the management board or the supervisory board, have considered to unlock the 45% conglomerate discount that you have mentioned, Arnaud, or asked a different way.

Like, what are the odds that this plan that was presented in December and updated in January is actually not the final plan? Second question or topic, I'm not sure I understand the rationale of having two listed vehicles between Lagardère and a holding company, which would be Lagardère plus Prisma. So if you could perhaps update us on this. And lastly, I think you mentioned in the release that the last vehicle would be focused around rotating its portfolio. When would you expect that rotation to take place? Would it be before the listing of that vehicle? Would it be after? I'd be curious about this. Thank you.

Arnaud de Puyfontaine
CEO, Vivendi

Oui, bonsoir, Adrien. Thank you for your question. Well, we have worked on different options. And there are options you can control and options that you don't control.

When thinking about all the process and the work we've been through over the past second semester 2023, we came to the conclusion and then our proposition to the supervisory board that the best options to be able to get a stiff decrease on the conglomerate discount was what we have suggested. That is to say, as of today, an organization of the company based on four different divisions. And by the way, when I see the share price performance since the announcement and the evolution since the 30th of January, it seems to be that we have the support of the market. We still have to confirm this project. As mentioned, François, we are in a kind of a work in progress momentum. There are many aspects to be clarified: tax, finance, equity story, social organization, and so on and so forth.

As we mentioned in December, we thought that the project would be a 12-18-month timeframe. And this is along those lines that we are making progress. So more to be shared and disclosed in due time. There is nothing today that is derailing, should I say. And we are working just to make sure that we are going to recommend as a management board the best possible solution for all the Vivendi stakeholders. Then your question about the Lagardère stake that we have, the controlling stake and Prisma, we'll give all the details and the explanation in due time as soon as we have finished our work. And maybe on the investment company and rotation of the assets. Investment, yes, rotation of the assets. We are extremely agile.

So today, we do not forecast any rotation in the coming months, as long as we have no special project. But as we are agile, this rotation could happen after the split or before if we have a special opportunity. So we consider today the split as no major, in fact. We are always agile, and we will look at all the opportunities in the coming months.

Operator

Thank you, sir. Our next question will be coming from Lisa Yang of Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.

Lisa Yang
Managing Director, Head of European Media, and Internet Equity Research, Goldman Sachs

Good afternoon. I have three questions as well. Just on the split, I know you're still working on to finalize the details on the tax, but how confident are you that, you know, this could be tax neutral, like, based on your initial findings? Understand it's not final.

You mentioned a few steps as well: consultation with employee representative bodies, regulatory approvals, and discussion with the creditors. Like, what's the timeline, the timing on each of these events? That's the first question. The second one is on the investment company. What basically is the criteria for exceeding an asset? And, what will be basically the main areas of reinvestments, or would you consider distributing the proceeds back to shareholders? And thirdly, on MultiChoice, I'm just wondering, like, if you can maybe explain the rationale of launching a mandatory offer, given the 20% ownership restriction. Currently, are you confident this ownership restriction could be lifted? And if so, what could be basically the synergies, you know, between MultiChoice and Canal+? Thank you.

Arnaud de Puyfontaine
CEO, Vivendi

Okay. Hi, Lisa. Thank you.

On the split, yes, we to be fully confident on the no tax impact on Vivendi. We just have to know the final value of the different assets. And therefore, we have to finalize the business plans, which is not yet done. Nevertheless, based on our current information, we consider that there should not be a major tax impact on Vivendi SE comparing the value in our books and the estimated listing level for the different business units. For the investments, we have not defined yet the strategy. And you know, the main assets we got as financial assets all are very specific situations, including UMG, including Telecom Italia, FLE. All these are very specific.

And so we will be, as I said earlier, we'll be very agile, and we'll decide depending on the opportunities, either for disposal or for new acquisition. Maybe, Arnaud, on the MultiChoice? Well, MultiChoice is a great opportunity for Canal+. And what has been announced is a step forward to be able to build a future together, combining Canal+ French-speaking subsidiary and operation with MultiChoice operation. And it's very complementary and offering a great potential equity story. The situation as of today, it has been an offer that has been supported by both the board and the management team. Teams are currently working on the structure on this MTO, which should be submitted by the 8th of April. As regards all the details and the equity story, they're going to be disclosed in due time.

And as regards to the situation and regulatory situation, and you're referring to the 20%, teams are working together also to be able to comply with the regulation, obviously. So, again, more to be disclosed in due time. We have made a big step by the announcement early this week. And we are very enthusiastic about the potential which would be triggered by this operation.

Lisa Yang
Managing Director, Head of European Media, and Internet Equity Research, Goldman Sachs

Understood. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you very much, Anne. Next question today will be coming from Christophe Cherblanc calling from Société Générale. Please go ahead, sir.

Christophe Cherblanc
Head of Media Research, Société Générale

Yes. Good evening. Thanks for taking my question. First one is on generative AI. And Havas, we had Publicis and WPP giving numbers on the estimated cost to come up with AI capabilities. So what will be the amount for Havas and what will be the impact on the 2024 margin?

That's the first question. The second one is on the football cost. So the Ligue 1 auction seems to be lasting longer than expected. So there are many moving parts with Champions League going up. We don't know about sub-licensing. Ligue 1, you might or might not take part. So what is the goal there? Is it to just have a net football cost, including Ligue 1, to be flat or potentially to make a saving? And the very last one, the third one is for François. Maybe I missed it, but it seems the tax rate in 2023 was pretty low, on an adjusted basis. So what was it? And what should we expect for 2024? Thank you.

Arnaud de Puyfontaine
CEO, Vivendi

Bonjour, Christophe. I'm going to start by the first question, and I will hand over to François. And if he had things to add.

Generative AI. Well, we are coming with a vision, which is GenAI is an opportunity for the group. The way we are, and we are implementing AI in different parts of the business. We are working on a strategic plan that should be clarified anytime soon. And obviously, in the context of the project of reorganization of the company, Havas is a big part of this reorganization. So you can expect things to be clarified. But what is showing is that when you see the performance of Havas and the culture of the company and the way of doing things, we are more based on capacity to move step by step in building alliances.

So, for instance, trying to prove the pudding with the eating, we've got this strategic alliance with Adobe, and which provides us with the possibility to apply a kind of a controlled AI expertise within all our operation, which is also benefiting to Vivendi. When you're thinking about content to commerce and what we have done, this strategic alliance that we have announced with Mirakl, this great company where we are developing for our clients a very pragmatic and fit-for-purpose strategy to be able to grow our expertise in that field. And I will add our deal on data management and the direct-to-consumer innovation with the Auchan Group. So it's a few kind of examples that we have implemented.

In our approach, what we want is to find a way, which is step by step, enabling to increase our expertise and to provide the best-of-breed second-to-none expertise and strategic advice and advice and implementation for our clients. This is what we are doing with GenAI. We'll be able to be more specific, step by step. But do you want to add something, François?

François Laroze
CFO, Vivendi

No, just to tell you that, we won't announce any amount as Publicis or WPP did. We consider it's not quite an easy one to put into figures. What you know is that what we intend is to maintain and to keep on increasing our net margin next year, including this cost for GenAI that we will have as all the companies will have. But on the other side, we consider we are making savings as well.

So we consider it won't have any impact on our margin rate for the coming years.

Arnaud de Puyfontaine
CEO, Vivendi

On your second question, we are there to develop our business and to make money. Canal Plus is a group that people are happy to work with and to develop a long-term strategic vision. This is what we have done in sports with Formula One Management, for instance, what we have done with the Premier League in the UK that we have announced with PGA in golf and so on and so forth. I'm not going to make the liste de Prévert of all the examples that Canal Plus is a good partner, and we're building successful results in every aspect with our business partner. I should have mentioned rugby, for instance, which is also a great example.

There is an exception to that rule, which is the current situation with the French League on football rights. You know the story. Today, there is a kind of an end of auction. It's now a à gré à gré negotiation. We're not part of that. We do consider that we have been badly treated by this ex-partner. Again, we are following the situation, but we are not part of the process as it is today. What is done by the great team at Canal under the leadership of Maxime Saada is in any initiatives or anything that could be done in any specific timing, whether to build long-term relationship and to make money.

And that is going to drive our decision on all those questions as regard to deal with rights, sports rights owners, always also, you know, bigger US studio as we have done in the past. Maybe on the third question, François?

François Laroze
CFO, Vivendi

Yes, concerning the tax, we have a 19% tax rate in the course of 2023. It has been positively impacted by non-recurring impacts. Next year, we expect to come back to a more recurrent rate around 25%.

Christophe Cherblanc
Head of Media Research, Société Générale

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you, Mr. Cherblanc. We're going to move to Conor O'Shea of Kepler Cheuvreux. Please go ahead.

Conor O'Shea
Head of Media Sector Research, Kepler Cheuvreux

Yes. Thank you. Thank you for taking my questions. A couple of questions on Havas. First of all, just wondering how you adjust for organic growth in hyperinflation countries.

Because if you look at the contribution from LATAM, albeit a smaller region, given the growth level, it's really quite significant. So just wondering how you adjust for that, particularly in countries like Argentina. Secondly, if we could maybe have a guidance, maybe I missed it, on Havas, sort of a range, organic growth, the margins, which you might expect for 2024. And then, last question, just in terms of the timing, understanding that this is still under consideration. But in relation to the publishing unit, does the fact that you've extended the option period for Lagardère shareholders until June 2025, does that have any bearing on the timing of your own spin-off, given the potential to have two, you know, listed publishing units with essentially the same assets?

François Laroze
CFO, Vivendi

Thank you, Conor.

Concerning the inflation, let's, as I said earlier, the main part of the increase comes from Argentina, Mexico and Brazil, which have not that high inflation rates. And you're right. There has been a very high inflation in Argentina. But we fill that with the hyperinflation methods. And therefore, the organic growth is not impacted by this level of inflation in Argentina. Concerning the guidance, we do not give a precise guidance, but we still have the ambition to keep on increasing our margin rates and to be able to grow, maybe not at the pace we did last year, but we still intend to be in positive organic growth, let's say, above 2%, depending on the performance of the different business units.

Conor O'Shea
Head of Media Sector Research, Kepler Cheuvreux

Okay.

François Laroze
CFO, Vivendi

On your third question, Conor, no, the extension of the period was based on the possibility to get a full year of results and performance to provide the shareholder to make a decision with all due information. This will not have an impact on the timing that will be implemented as regard to the Vivendi split. Thank you.

Conor O'Shea
Head of Media Sector Research, Kepler Cheuvreux

Okay. Very clear. Thank you.

Operator

T hank you, sir. Next questions will be coming from Silvia Cuneo calling from Deutsche Bank. Please go ahead.

Silvia Cuneo
Research Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Thanks. Good evening, everyone. A couple of questions from my side. The first one also on the portfolio split. In particular, on the timeline, you highlighted the 12-18 months from December 2023. I was wondering if you are considering to split the portfolio into the different assets at different times.

For example, once you're ready with Canal, could you go ahead with that and then proceed with the other three? Or are you planning to do them all together? Then the second question is on the outlook. I know you talked already a little bit about Havas, but since in the release you commented about the first few months of 2024 confirming continued good trends. Do you want to call out some of businesses in particular, and what you expect maybe for Canal growth that hasn't been discussed as much? Thank you.

Arnaud de Puyfontaine
CEO, Vivendi

So on the split, we aim today, if we finalize the study, to do all the operation roughly at the same time. But it's not something which is 100% sure. We could do that in different way.

But I think the simpler will be to do all the different IPOs or different listings on the same moment. And on your second question, we don't provide any guidance. What we can say is that we have had a good start of the year, and it's all across the group. Thank you.

Silvia Cuneo
Research Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Thanks.

Operator

Thank you, Maria. We'll now move to Adam Berlin of UBS. Please go ahead, sir.

Adam Berlin
Executive Director European Media Equity Research, UBS

Hi. Good evening. I've got three questions on CANAL+, please. The first one is, what should we be thinking about CANAL+ EBIT next year when the Ligue 1 rights assuming the Ligue 1 rights expire, how much of that EUR 300 million or so of benefit should flow into the CANAL+ EBITDA for 2024? That's the first question.

Second question is, you didn't have much organic growth in Canal Plus International in 2023 despite showing some good subscriber growth. Is that because of currency effects in Africa, or is there some other reason why the revenues are not growing in line with the number of subscribers? And the third question is, in the cash flow statement in the release, there's EUR 120 million outflow from content investments. That's down from EUR 198 million last year but still quite a sizable number. Is that going to continue to decline in 2024? And what explicitly is that StudioCanal investments in movies or something like that? Can you just tell us what, what that relates to? Thank you.

Arnaud de Puyfontaine
CEO, Vivendi

Thank you for your questions. Concerning Canal Plus, obviously, we will make savings on Ligue 1 during the second half because the last contract ends at the end of June.

but there won't be a direct impact of this saving on the EBIT as knowing that in the same times, we invested in the Ligue des Champions Leagues rights. So we are computing all this to see the final balance. But we still intend to keep on growing the EBITDA of Canal Plus but not taking as a full saving the impact of the League One. Concerning the 2023 subscriber base, the pace of growth has been not as high as before in international, mainly in Africa. And I would say it's a phasing effect due to some timing. Last year, we had the World Cup at the end of the year. And this year, we have the CAN, Coupe d'Afrique des Nations that was early 2024.

I would say that the quite slow growth during the end of the year 2023 has been followed by a very strong growth early 2024 with the impact of the Cannes. So I would say it's just phasing impact. The last questions concerning Canal Plus content, which was stable between 2022 and 2023 and should remain roughly stable in the coming years.

Operator

Thank you very much, sir. Ladies and gentlemen, that will conclude today's Q&A session. I'd like to call back over to Mr. de Puyfontaine for any additional or closing remarks. Thank you.

Arnaud de Puyfontaine
CEO, Vivendi

Well, thank you very much for this conference. On behalf of François and I and all our team, wish you a good evening. We shall be reconvening end of July for our first half results. Before then, have a great evening. Thank you very much indeed. Thank you.

Thank you. Bye-bye.

Operator

That will conclude today's conference. Thank you for your attendance. You may now disconnect. Have a good day and goodbye.

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