LANXESS Aktiengesellschaft (ETR:LXS)
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May 13, 2026, 4:40 PM CET
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Earnings Call: Q1 2020
May 6, 2020
Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. Welcome and thank you for joining the LANXESS conference call. I would now like to turn the conference over to Andre Dimon, Head of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
Yeah, thank you very much. Welcome to everybody to our Q1 2020 conference I am as well. Yes, 1st of all, I hope that, you and your families are fine and healthy in these days. As always, I have, with me, our CEO, Matthias Sacherts and our CFO, Michael Thompson, Please take notice of our Safe Harbor statement. And for that, I'm happy to hand over to Patias for a brief presentation.
And afterwards, as always the Q And A. Matias, go ahead please.
So warm welcome from my side as well. I would go through the presentation and start on page number 4. EBITDA for Q1 2020 at 2 45, 10% down versus previous year levels. More or less, we have been in line with what we communicated in March, roundabout $20,000,000 impact coming from Corona at the end of the day turned out that March was heavier impacted by Corona. So therefore, the further decline.
Margin helped relatively robust at 14.4%. The nice thing that you are seeing now is Consumer Protection no longer performance chemicals. This is consumer protection. It is a very strong solid pillar in our portfolio. With the strongest margin and even in tough times like these with an increase in sales and profitability.
Specialty Additives held up nicely versus previous year, but also here we will have an impact in the quarters going forward. So we rejoice about the stability this segment had, and I remark again that these two new segments have been created over the last few years. And they will become strong contributors also in the years to come. Temporary shutdowns in Q1 we had in China in all of our plants. Also Italy was impacted in year as well, but the plants are up and running.
Tina was shut down up and running again. The chemical industry has been detected by all governments as system relevant. So it's nice to see that governments around the global allies if the chemicals are no longer up and running, all other respective industries are impacted right from the beginning and therefore we find great, great support from all governments to manage everything in a productive way. I'm very happy today that we last year addressed all the size divestitures and one acquisition. In today's time when nobody can travel, no due diligence can be made, no site visits can happen, because of travel restrictions, it's nice to see that appeal, the Brazilian acquisition on bio sites, could be closed transaction wise in February.
We could close the chrome chemicals divestiture and the 2 organometallics divestiture in Korea and with PMC in United States, again, had we not done this last year, most likely they wouldn't happen this year. I turn now the attention to page number 5. Here you see that we have addressed financial measures and operational measures very swiftly. And ladies and gentlemen, I was CFO in this company, in the same company in the times of the financial crisis, 8, 9, when Lehman crashed. And what I've learned out of the financial crisis at that point in time When a crisis kicks in and I consider Corona having most likely a stronger impact on the global economy, than the financial crisis had.
When the financial crisis kicked in, basically 6 to 9 months afterwards, liquidity was the thing to have. It was all about liquidity liquidity liquidity. So what we've addressed next to operation measures in, basically the second half of March, we addressed liquidity. We also saw that the sentiment from the investor buy side changed, we got from a lot of deep value, false liquidity questions. And we understood why because Oliver, Michael, and me, we were all here when Lehman crashed.
So what we wanted to demonstrate to all of you to the capital markets we have ample liquidity. In order to give proof to the pudding, we drew our revolving credit facility so that you see that in the March reporting. So you see we have a open credit line that we can tap at any point in time. For the same reason, liquidity, we suspended the share buyback program but of course, we suspended it. We have not canceled it.
We've reviewed our CapEx projects and reduced it by EUR 50,000,000 notably in businesses that are impacted by steep declines, I. E. Automotive Industry. And we decided on cost containment measures of EUR 50,000,000, which are baked into our guidance. But we can move it up to EUR 100,000,000 if need be.
So for the EUR 50,000,000, we'll not address our capacity or structural profitability improvement that we have planned over the next 2 years. This is something that will not hurt our growth ambitions structurally. In April, we eventually concluded the sale of Corenta with the realization of the 780,000,000 And of course, we had a profit participation, which is 1,000,000 and which has also been paid for us being shareholder for the month of September to April. Wonderful dividends Now let's come to the operational measures. We have very early, unfortunately, introduced Corona measures, we started with this when basically China started to have shutdowns.
So we prepared crisis corona team and basically prepared already our plants and around the globe that this might spread and therefore plans were implemented And I think for this reason, we make sure that infection in our company so far has been fortunately at a very, very low number. In Germany, we predominantly, but also in some other countries, we adjusted the shift model from 8 hours to 12 hours. This gives you 2 opportunities. 1, if you have 12 hours, of course, automatically, you rotate shifts less free less often and thus less contact happens. And on top of that, you have security, flexibility.
You have 1 to 2 shifts that you can send home and they stay there should you have an inflection point in one shift because then you have the risk that you have 2 little operational workers. We have now model in place where we have definitely excess unaffected people, thus we can operate even if somebody is infected. So all in all, the infection that we have currently globally is at 31, 27 are already back and went through quarantine and are back to work. So right now, the infections in our company fortunately are at an extremely low level. I'm fascinated by the procurement and logistics team.
We had no break anywhere in our value chain. So that ensured that we could produce if you have no raws, if you have no logistics, of course, you are stuck and your production goes down. In such a situation, of course, you have to also change the way you manage the company next to a Corona team that's with Corona responsibility teams in each country and each business. And of course, with respective reporting, I mean, this I think everybody has. But next to this, we've started again to the board's daily liquidity status.
Each business had to do in the last 4 weeks, a scenario modeling we've done that at port level for the entire group. So we have extreme cases, bit cases, up cases, whatever. And as a matter of fact, normally, we meet in the board and the management board every 2 weeks. And we have now nearly daily board meetings in order to organize the measures, put them in place, discuss them with the next line globally and orchestrate everything that you have to do in order to be very speedy and fast. And I think this you need to do in order to steer your ship safely and in a good way through Corona prices.
In a crisis situation we want to give more deeper insights to the cattle markets because we understand that this is something where you need not less information, but potentially more information. So we add a slide here on page 6 so that you better understand our cost containment measures and respective CapEx measures The first thing that we decided relatively early in the management board before we went out with the communications on what we want to reduce in the world and the businesses. The first thing that I discussed in the management board was that we immediately go for a voluntary reduction of our bonus. So this was happening mid March. I had 2 sessions on this with my board.
Members and the second one, everybody agreed on a personal contractual way to reduce the bonus by 50%. When this happens on the next day, we a conference call with a global leadership team, I. E. Business, unit heads and the staff functions. And I propose to them that they also cut their variable pay by 25%.
No objection to the when I presented this yesterday to the Supervisory Board, what we had agreed in the management's global leadership team the supervisory board also agreed to cut their pay by 20%. After we had taken this decision mid March, we then went out to the next line of management and basically sets now we will take costs out where it makes sense. So we delay various projects, consultancy are therefore going down. We make, of course, obvious because you have travel bans. We make we will make significant reduction in travel.
But more importantly, we focus cut cut cost cuttings and business units that are especially impacted and this relates notably to the automotive industry. This relates to the aviation industry. This relates also to the oil and gas industry. Definitely, there is a general cost containment for the entire organization. So not only for the business units, but star functions and country organizations need to review their budgets too, so they get haircuts, nobody objected.
And in countries where it's feasible, we now start to prepare for short labor currently we have round about 350 people in Germany in short labor. It will go up most likely going forward because we still see that automotive industry is heavily impacted. But at this point in time compared to other companies at least what I see here in Germany, we are at the lower end of short labor. Let's address CapEx. Click commitment to safety.
So as far as maintenance CapEx is concerned, we don't touch it. We are addressing, of course, our shutdowns as well, our maintenance shutdowns, we are technically possible. This will not be possible everywhere. So for instance, the HPN and Wirtgen shutdown will most likely happen. And we've reviewed our growth CapEx projects and suspended them in some areas where we had CapEx for the automotive industry, we will most likely cancel them.
So total CapEx spend should be going down by EUR 50,000,000 so that the CapEx envelope for the company is EUR 450,000,000 At this point in time, we don't have redundancies. So there will be literally low to no one time costs. Having said this, we might later, depending how long this crisis takes and how strongly it impacts global economy, We might later adjust for capacities in a second step. That will then, of course, have respective OTCs. But at this point in time, we don't want to structurally change our profitability profile.
If you take the facilities out, you ought to cost adjust for future growth. With this item, my attention to page number 7, and you see here, there is plenty of liquidity that this company has. In investor legend, once said, said In crisis times, you have opportunity times. LANXis is prepared for a lot of opportunities. When I was in the financial crisis, I saw after round about 9 months that a lot of distressed chemical assets came on the market.
At this point in time, we had thought of liquidity and we had rubber. And therefore, we could not act. If such a shit situation happens in this crisis, we will be ready. We are prepared then we will be ready. If there are no distressed assets, I mean, share buybacks of our own shares is always a good acquisition.
But the one thing I can tell you, if this crisis lasts 1, if this crisis lasts 2 years, you better have liquidity And we will sell through. That's for sure, with a EUR 3,000,000,000 of liquidity compared to our size or compared to our market cap of SEK 3,900,000,000. It seems that we are one of the strongest companies with the highest liquidity. I pay my pay my attention now to Slide 8, 2020 outlook. So our view is that COVID-nineteen will impact the Worldwide Economy Art many industries, but, but therefore also private consumption.
We expect that not only different to March, early March guidance, We expect that not only Q2 will be impacted, we also assume that Q3 will be impacted. As a matter of fact, I prepare my company for a part recession this year. And I say to my people, let's even be prepared for 2 hard recessionary years, in for the entire worldwide GDP. If you take a stronger preparation and it comes better. You rejoice.
And therefore, this is the approach that we'll take here at LANXESS. Disruptions of value chains cannot be excluded, also disruptions in the logistical value chains and this, of course, we have to monitor. Now I come to the guidance. We have discussed that in the management boards for quite some time. Do we give a guidance or do we stop giving a guidance?
Well, we went through an entire day last Wednesday with our global business, you will one by one. We went with them through order book, April May. Of course, June is still unclear We went through them through different scenarios on their business expectation for the entire year. And we decided despite all volatility out there, we decided we have more data points than you guys have. You sit behind your Bloomberg Reuters screens and you cannot look into our customers.
You cannot look into our end industries. And therefore, I clearly state it is extremely difficult in this current environment to give a guidance But we have far more data points that you have. We have an April book. We have a May book. We can look into this and based on the orders on hand, we decided that we want to give a guidance for Q2.
This is incremental because we new. We know that you need more information rather than less information. And we have also provided the guidance for the entire year. I say it again, we don't have a crystal ball, but we've decided we want to give you more information on what we know today. So let's come to Q2.
$200,000,000 to $250,000,000 is our Q2 guidance. In the management board and in the business reviews we had last week, We consider that the midpoint of the quarterly guidance is currently the right view My feedback, clear feedback to you is these are volatile times. I know that some cell sites, analysts always say their record guides in a conservative way. This is not the case. I would rather recommend you be on the low end of this guidance.
I think this is in the current volatile time for the sales side investors, you speak to your investors. And I would recommend to you be in the lower parts of this range. Implementation measures are implemented here. And we have implemented so far for the entire year EUR 50,000,000. If it comes harder, we will move up.
If we move SEK 200,000,000, of course, we somewhat adjust our growth profile going forward, which at this point in time, we don't want to do. Let's come to the I have to tell you that I adjust the guidance. But our strive and this is for most important Our strive is not to have egos. Our strive is to manage companies in a professional way, to be as accurate and rational. And that's life.
Corona impacts the economy hard and therefore, we adjust our guidance to the 800 to 900,000,000. The last point I would like to state to you as far as outlook is concerned, we are of course seeing right now that next to the volume decline, raws are going down, especially in the oil chain. If you look into the derivatives that we partly use in the from oil like benzene, toluene or cyclohexane, they're all going down. And therefore, you also should assume here I'm speaking notably to the analysts, on the phone. You should also assume that this has an impact on top line because prices will be adjusted.
And in our case, this might be between 1000000, 1000000, 1000000, 1000000. At the end of the day, this will not have an impact on the profitability as we can see because raw materials Since we have sold rubber, really don't matter that much, but for your models, we try to provide clarity. So you should also assume that sales will be adjusted whilst the EBITDA guidance is the one that we have communicated. Well, final wording from my side, I think we had a very strong team culture here before. And what I the positive thing that I take out of, out of all of this, it moves strong teams even stronger together.
You might see that in your company as well. I'm fascinated by the teamwork. It's an unbelievably powerful team and it has moved us in the last 6, 8 weeks together. I'm really impressed by every contribution by the board team. It's operating in an unbelievable speedy, professional and team work way.
But I see that also in the levels of the organization. It has moved the LANXS team together. And this as I always said, I was proud of the slogan. That's for me true energizing chemistry. And with this ladies and gentlemen, let's address your energizing questions.
Ladies and gentlemen, you. And the first question we received is from Tom Wrigglesworth, Citi. Your line is now open. Please go ahead.
Thank you very much for the presentation, Matias. A couple of questions, if I may. Obviously, I can understand the cost cut and the remuneration changes. But I'm kind of, I'm quite surprised that you're cutting CapEx given the core given the resilience and strengths of your balance sheet. And I think you kind of alluded to it love to hear your thoughts on, you know, countercyclical investments, organically and your ability to really use that balance sheet to drive future growth and how you're thinking about, those CapEx cuts?
2nd question, sort of a technical one is you talk about this, well, you've announced this profit participation, 1,000,000. How much cash do we expect that will come through as? And just from a reporting perspective, where will that number actually come in the accounts? And a third one, if I may, obviously, strong performance in specialty additives, but could you give us a little bit of a flavor of how the lubag business is doing versus, essentially the brominated products within that? Thank you.
Yes, Tom, I would take number 1 and number 3 and Mike will take number 2. So CapEx, I mean, if you assume that we would be in a environment and that some industries will be impacted hearts. And this basically impacts from our point of view, the aviation industry very hard. So we had to loop at also as you know, aviation loop adds that are going into the turbines, a very nice business, high, high margin. We presented that in the Capital Markets Day last year, aviation industry is down nearly 100%.
So if nobody flies, you need less aviation lupads. And we had, for instance, also CapEx plans in this field and, we've taken these product products or projects out. The same relates to the automotive industry. The automotive industry will be heavily down this year. And it will take quite some time.
That's at least our assumption that automotive industry comes back. If you have in United States, 30,000,000 people unemployed. And now unemployment rate of more than 20%. I've never seen that in my entire life, at least when I was officer, and unemployed people normally don't buy cars. Germans are fanatic about cars, but we have now 10,000,000 people in short labor.
If you are in short labor, you don't buy cars. And that's what we are seeing basically now also in April. And therefore, we cut CapEx projects in HPM, that we originally planned for the automotive industry. I mean, look at Great Britain, you had a reduction of car sales of in the 90s or 98%. So this impacts the automotive industry currently heavily.
So therefore, in all of these industries, we adjust our CapEx plans. Now as far as facility additives is concerned, additives are going everywhere. And all the industries we've listed this in the segment reporting that we have in the slide deck for Additives additives go everywhere. Automotive Industry, Aviation Industry, Oil And Gas Industry, Electronics Industry, also electronics are impacted, not as heavily because televisions are still bought because everybody sits at home and wants to watch tele. And therefore, Teddies are still needed, but other electronic devices are being adjusted if these are big, big, bigger pay investments.
And with this, I hand over the profit participation question to Michael. Go on, Michael.
Thank you, Matias. Hey, Tom. Hey, everybody as well from my side. Hope everything and everybody is fine with family in these crazy times. Coming to your question, with regards where do we see the effect from the current transaction?
So in the, P and L, you will find the, the results, the total number in the financial results. And the corresponding tax effect, in the tax result, obviously. It holds true as well for the additional 150,000,000 what we told you guys for the 780,000,000 that the overall, tax number should be in the range of give and take 20 percent. With regards to the cash flow statement, in the cash flow statement, you will find the inflow in the investing cash flow and the tax effect in the operating cash flow And that is already a hint that in the second quarter, because in the second quarter, there will be a larger number being paid for taxes you will recognize in the 2nd quarter and therefore see a tremendous change in the tax line in the 2nd quarter.
That's super helpful, both. Thank you very much.
And the next question is from Patrick Rafais, UBS. Your line is now open. Please go ahead.
Thank you, and good afternoon, everyone. Three questions, please. And the first one And thanks for providing a guidance, not only for the year, but those for the second quarter, haven't seen that much in this the supporting season. The $200,000,000 to $250,000,000, even at the lower end, the does that include any special items either positive or negative? I'm just wondering because it seems that it's a pretty modest decline from the first quarter, just given the scale of the downturn we're seeing.
Then the second question is around the working capital for the full year. And I appreciate you did a lot of work on that last year. Q1 was also better than last year, but how should we think about this, about the potential working capital release on a full year basis? And then the last question is on the lithium brine project, which which was pretty much on plan when we last spoke on occasion of the 4th quarter results. And where do we stand here?
So one of the projects that potentially on hold now for the time being? Thank you.
Patrick. The $200,000,000 to $250,000,000 are versus previous year in the 2 80. So, therefore, 2nd quarter normally has always been our strongest quarter. So if you look at the at the bench last year, of course, if you go to the low end, a then a severe drop or significant drop. And therefore, if you go to the midpoint, as well as the lower end of the guidance.
And therefore, it is a steeper drop than in the first quarter. There are no special profits that we bake into this. But I clearly say to you, industries are shut down. We have partly the entire supplier industry in in Germany for the automotive industry, which has shut down. I cannot see the order book of June.
And therefore, I'm trying to recommend to you be cautious, but I see the order book of April and May. And therefore, in these times, my recommendation, you speak to your analysts or to your investors. I am not you to be cautious. We are not here taking in special profits. This is what we are seeing.
On working capital Michael would take this question, lithium. The project was running well according to plan, but nobody can travel. The Canadians of standard lithium cannot go Elder Radio, the German engineers cannot are not even allowed to enter the United States. As a matter of fact, I would not recommend them flying anyway. We have a travel ban around the globe to everywhere.
We can go to our sites, but we don't ask people to travel anywhere. So the project is basically on hold. And we have to see when we start traveling again. And when borders are being opened again, at this point in time, countries are pretty sticky to basically complete the border stoppage, Michael, come on, in capital. Hi, Patrick.
With regards to working capital, it's difficult, this year because you might not see and we might not see our typical seasonality because we don't see the typical seasonality when it comes to earnings and business or we don't expect them for the next quarters to come. As we just told you, 2nd quarter is expected to be, even below the first quarter, which is not a usual pattern. But if you take a look, what happened in the first quarter, at least you should get some relief if there are concerns that we are taking well care of our working capital. The level of inventory didn't move nearly at all at least not from a volume perspective, which is difficult because usually we have an increase in volume in the first half of the year, stabilization in the third quarter and then a decline in the 4th quarter. When you take a look at the payables, the payables are as well rather flat in the first quarter, which is as well not a usual pattern.
Usually the number is decreasing versus year end accounts. But what happened here, and that is what Materials was mentioning. We saw, especially starting in March, a huge decline in our raw material prices. And this decline, you first recognize our payables. And that is why the numbers didn't enlarge or didn't change that much over year end.
On the other hand, in the receivables, we see a huge enlargement because we saw in December 2019 relatively low revenues and the March was a relatively good quarter, especially compared to December numbers. And that is why the, receivables were enlarged. Over the next months to come, giving the fact that the raw material prices massively come down, you should as well expect the top line will come down and therefore receivables will come down and therefore you should see a cash in from the pricing.
Thank you very
And the next question is from Andreas Heine, MainFirst. Your line is now open. Please go ahead.
Yes, only a few small ones, please. Other companies have given some indication on April sales and the rough number we hear several times is in the magnitude of 20% sales decline. Is that something you would also see in your business? 2nd, on Consumer Production, which indeed had quite a nice outcome, outcome in Q1 sequentially, do you expect this business to improve or will that be for whatever reason also? It's I would not expect this.
And, the last is in looking on the engineering plastic, of course, it was hit quite a bit in Q1. But is that where most of the heat comes in the second quarter, or is it more broad based? Thank you.
Can you repeat the business unit in your second question? I didn't get the name.
Yeah, let's then segment whether that is sequentially might see an improvement.
Yes. So on April, I mean, I think we've provided you color on Q2. We will not go now on April. As a matter of fact, we see from the business review things in order in April, but I will not start giving monthly sales. I think this goes a little bit too much.
As far as consumer protection is concerned, I mean, this is a business that is growing, this is a business that has 24% margin, or more or, I mean, let's say about above 20%. I've always stressed that there are 2 pearls in it now. And I stressed last year that Saltigo will emerge after it has already went up in 2019, it will emerge further. And therefore, I'm looking at consumer protection as a very strong pillar, a new pillar in this company. That will most likely in 2020 grow from its profitability.
And so this will be one of our most resilient businesses going forward. On Engineering Plastics, well, except Consumer Protection, all three segments will be impacted for the rest of the year. Of course, engineering materials or especially here the Portia Mites business as it has the biggest exposure to the automotive industry of course, here we will see the volume, but also price decline. It will still be an okay business. But the decline in an absolute basis for 20 20 would consider will be stronger than the decline we have seen last year because simply nobody buys cars these days.
And I'm not sure that the appetite for the consumer will rebound strongly globally. We will see in China reduction in absolute car production, we will see that in around the globe. And therefore, in HPM, we will definitely see a stronger decline compared to 2019. Most welcome. Stay healthy.
Please go ahead.
Yes. Thanks, and, hello, this is Saket, Mr. Pontzen, and the whole IR team. Three questions from my side. First one is on your guidance for Q2.
You say, $225,000,000 EBITDA. Can you provide us parameters, I. E. Volume assumption or sales assumption, which is attached to the low end or to the high end of that guidance range? Especially at the lower end, what you are guiding for would be interesting for me.
Secondly, again, on the guidance now, I refer to Page 8 of your presentation. You're right, in one of on the slide that's, the, do you expect the burden of the pandemic to accelerate in Q2 and Q3. Q3 is a bit different to what we have heard from other companies. So do you want to convey that the impact from COVID-nineteen will be in Q3 similar to Q2. Other companies say that they expect a sequential improvement in Q3.
And thirdly, it's on the raw materials fluctuations. You mentioned basically it's a pass through, so lower sales, but no impact on earnings. Would you agree that this volatility in oil price and therefore in chemical prices makes difficult to find the right price point as also customers read the newspaper and thus that could delay any business. Thank you.
Yes, let's address them 1 by 1. So as I stressed before to Andreas Heine, we give you we give you data points. I will not start now going into the next line of assumptions. So we have we are the only company that's provided a data point to you on Q2 but now we don't start providing more data points. Of course, what I've indicated in this conference call, you should model in businesses that we have that have automotive exposure, you should model strong volume declines because production was shut down by most of the suppliers to the automotive industry in April.
So automatically, they order less. And of course, they, here and there, you have to also adjust prices. So having said this, this is qualitative and I hope this clarifies. Now on Q3, Again, I have no crystal ball, but you have to take certain assumptions. And the assumptions that we take into our And I think I've indicated very clearly in March that Q2 will be impacted strongly and it happens.
Or it will happen. Now in Q2, our assumption for Q3 is the consumer will adjust his purchasing approach around the world. And you would see that also that in Q3, the back the world will not come back to normal levels. My assumption is that August, the holiday season will be used by many industries. To again reduce their production, the automotive industry that normally doesn't produce in August, most likely in order to make sure that inventories will not move up will be humble.
And like in the financial crisis, we prolong the holiday season so that the production is being delayed. So our assumption is clearly that due to the unemployment that is currently rising around the world, modestly only in Germany because we do short labor, but in other countries, we see that unemployment goes down substantially. And the unemployment is going up in Q2, automatically, if you look into macroeconomics theory, automatically after unemployment happens, consumers start to spend less. And therefore, we have decided to take here a humble approach on worldwide economy. And thus, we assume that Q3 will not be back to happy times.
And also Q4 will not be back to happy times. And that's the assumption we take in how we steer the company. If it comes better, we are all happy. On raws, well, the impact on oil has happened. And, through the oil derivatives chain with some few exceptions.
This is going through. And therefore, we have many pass through contracts and for that very reason, we don't currently consider that this has a negative impact for us, but I wanted to give help to you for modeling sales. And that's, therefore, my indication. I don't think that this will I mean, from what I know today, I don't think that this will dramatically change the purchasing behavior because the collapse in oil prices and in the derivatives has already happened. Most welcome.
Stay healthy.
Next question is from Peter Schringer with Citibank. Your line is now open. Please go ahead.
Appreciate you very much that you provide the guidance for the full year. This is not a given in your peer group and excellent introductory speech as well. Unfortunately Martin has asked one of my questions. So I have 3 left on the guidance as well. You lowered the guidance by 1,000,000,000, the range, but the expected COVID-nineteen burden remained the same.
So is it the negative consumption effect that you mentioned several times? Then the second question, will you propose the same dividend I. E. $0.95 as before. And the 3rd, there was a high depreciation number in the first quarter.
And this is more than 25 percent of the EUR 450,000,000 that you are guiding for the full year. So is there a decline then in the coming quarters? Thanks.
Well, has Bingham. On guidance, thank you for your comments. But of course, I say this with the caveat to it. That I've made earlier, I know that times are very volatile and I know that's extremely difficult, but I have explained the reasons for giving the guidance. We mentioned the 1,000,000 to 1,000,000 Corona impacts, in March, I'm not aware that we have reiterated this.
If we reiterated this, this is complete wrong. The entire entire decline in profitability is corona related because the underlying demand is corona related everywhere. And therefore, now it's it makes no sense to distinguish between Corona impacts, Corona intakes global economy everywhere. Dividends, we've decided on dividends in March. We've now not decided yet on the AGM But at this point in time, clearly, we stick to our dividend decision.
And depreciation will be answered by Michael.
Hi, Peter. With regard to D And A, the number for the quarter was team. If you multiply it by 4, you get to 4 60, which is a little bit higher than the given guide. We always have, currency effects in there. And there can always be a shift of a couple of 1,000,000 here and there.
Giving the leasing contract. So all in all, the number is around $450,000,000 for the year and there might be a deviation of a couple of 1,000,000 every quarter.
Okay. Thanks. Thank you and stay healthy and keep distance.
The next question is from Matthew Yates, Bank of America. Your line is now open. Please go ahead.
Hey, good afternoon, everyone. I just had one question around your Intermediates division. And when you look back at how that business performed in 2009 crisis, if I'm not mistaken, I think volumes fell more than 10% back then and profits may be followed by about 30%. So the Q1 volume decline of 1% that you've had Is that expected to get much worse through Q2 as some of your customers scale back their production runs And then just when you compare that business now to a decade ago, is there anything significant around the cost structure or the mix that would make the profit profile different in a downturn like this.
Matthew, very, very valid question. So we assume that the volume decline also in AII will go up And therefore, AII for the first time in the last 10 years will have a reduction in absolute profitability margin wise, they would be still doing okay. As far as cash conversion profile is concerned, it will be also still one of our strongest cash contributor in this year. Online versus online, the situation or the profile of this business has changed. I mean, we have on the one hand side here, changed the configuration of the mix in this business.
1, 2, we have expanded the very profitable business products over the last 10 years. And therefore, many of the business product lines that I've reviewed also last week, they are relatively robust. So As far as 2009 business profile is concerned compared to 2020 business profile, I would say the business has substantially improved. And therefore, I don't see that, while it's AII was relatively doing well in 2009 versus other business product lines like rubber, it has now become one of the strongest business units in our profile. And I would like to make also, if I look at LANXis today, look we had a tough year 2019.
2020 would be even tougher. I would not like to talk to you about a downturn. This is a steep recession that we currently face. But in 2009, the company posted a profitability Q1 of $66,000,000. We now post the profitability of 2 45,000,000.
Linksys has changed dramatically to the better. And for that reason, I look at this crisis with optimism. There will be opportunities. You have to wait for them. In a very disciplined way, but then you go for them.
And I say that in all clarity because I know what kind of business platform we have. We have strong businesses. Some will even grow in this crisis. And the others will manage the crisis and the opportunities will come. We are prepared for that.
Thanks very much and best of luck, Tayfun.
Thanks, Matthew. Stay healthy.
The next question is from Georgina Iwamoto, Goldman Sachs. Your line is now open. Please go ahead.
Oh, hi. Good afternoon, Matthias. Good afternoon, Michael. Thanks for taking my questions. And you both sound good, so that's great to hear.
And so I've got two questions. The first one is just on the guidance. I think everybody's thanked you and need to for providing it stable from the second quarter and for the full year. But I was just hoping that you could give us a little bit of under standing about why you think you have better visibility on the full year versus your peers? And maybe another way of thinking about it is what makes you comfortable that it's not going to be below the lower end of the range that you've given for the full year?
And then my second question is if you could give your kind of views on the recent news flow around, stimulus in Europe for the automotive industry, a lot of the capital markets are getting quite excited about that. Thanks.
Hello, Georgina. Nice to hear your voice. So I don't know what the debates were in the other companies. And some companies definitely have more commodities in their profile, in their business profile and potentially therefore have more volatility. And therefore, I cannot judge what other companies are doing.
But I come back to what I said before first, We have in our company, established over the last several years bottom up feedback and forecasting processes, we do them basically organized before conference calls. So it's a process that is implemented here so that we inform the market according to our best knowledge. And I referenced earlier, we made a, entire business review meeting with our businesses last week. So I could collect my data points. And we concentrated here on Q2 trading discussion and also on our best understanding where we will go until end of next year.
But here, I said that in all clarity, we take a risk forecasting in these times are extremely difficult. We took the decision as we have more data points we communicate 0.1,0.2. In some of our businesses, we have contracts, underlying contracts. I'll give you one example, AII, it's a big ship. We have underlying contracts with take or pay clauses.
If we go to the Consumer Protection business, MPP will grow this year. We have disinfection product and disinfection products currently are going to the roof. We have given as, as present. I don't know what the English word for that is, spender. Donation.
That's the word. We have given a donation for 1,000,000 disinfect liters to various states, to schools, to hospitals so that they can use rely on Wilcon So the disinfection business that has been presented to you in the Capital Markets Day last year will grow volume wise, potentially pricing wise as ITIGO with underlying contracts. Zitigo will grow this year despite a humble agro markets. I mean, we worked on Zitigo and accepted over the last 2 to 3 years we worked to change the profile of Saltigo and it's coming. And so Saltigo will grow this year.
Our water purification business, I said this is more and more regulated into 100% industrial water recycling. Our current view, LPT will be stable. And therefore, you will have one segment where we have from contracts clarity that this business should be doing well. Engineering Materials and also Additives due to the end markets that they are selling into, of course, will have an impact. Also, AI, as indicated, will have an impact, but we can somewhat model the impact if we look at the underlying contracts, but we take a risk.
Forecasting is not without risk these days, we decided to give you more data points. Now on Automotive Industry, your second question, Well, 2nd quarter, you had the production shutdowns. So Therefore, second quarter will be rough. They will ramp up production again, but here, I come back to what I said before, consumers around the globe, are currently in a situation. We see that in Germany that they withdraw from purchasing behavior.
And therefore, Q2 is impacted because the automotive industry has had the shutdown. Q3 then the quarters afterwards from our assumptions also be impacted because then the consumer will basically due to unemployment and being concerned. We'll start also not buying. And that's how we look at the automotive industry.
Take care.
The next question is from Knud Hinkel, Pareto Securities. Your line is now open. Please go ahead.
Good afternoon. Thank you for taking my question. I've got 3 actually. My first one would be on the share buyback. Maybe you can share your thoughts on the suspension.
Is this because your share price isn't depressed anymore? Because of the other opportunities you mentioned, is it because of liquidity related consideration or all of the above? That would be my first question. 2nd question is on the disposals you closed in Q1. How much should we expect, as a result from discontinued operations for the full year, I think it was minus 1,000,000 in the last year.
And the third question is on Saltigo. You mentioned that the business is in a good way. I know you've been awarded a number of contracts from the industry. Do you see beside these the type is also a recovery, a broader recovery of the agricultural suite for the time being. Thanks.
Thank you for your questions. I hope you can still hear the answer because I assume that your telephone is ringing. Yes. Correct. So on the share buyback, it has nothing to do with where the share price is.
I think our share price is at depressed levels that my personal view That's the reason why I bought myself shares in March. I would not have bought shares at current trading levels in March, if I had not believed that there's an opportunity, and this was of course after we released our numbers, so it was disclosed in director's dealing. M and A, no, it's not we don't move up liquidity for M and A currently. You cannot really do M and A if you cannot do make due diligence. Therefore, the M and A markets is literally, I think, is literally currently down as well.
We canceled the share buyback program for 2 reasons. First one, is liquidity, but second one, if you start going into short labor in your sites, if you are prepared to discuss with unions tougher measures like, salary cuts, etcetera. Having the share buyback program running in parallel is simply difficult and creates resistance And we are a company that has always shown that when we need to take costs out, we take them out and find support also with the unions and the workers council. So these two reasons were basically the reasons for cancelling the share buyback, not sorry, not cancelling. Postponing it.
This continued well, discontinued, we still have the mine in South Africa The mine was negative in EBITDA last year. It will be negative in EBITDA this year until we have sold it. The Saltigo, I'm not conveying that agro markets returns. We see the agro markets a little better than last year, but not rebounding strongly. And now it's simply the we've changed the business profile of so HIGO, we have entered into other contracts.
We've got new contracts also in the fungicides markets, which are highly attractive. And therefore, we've changed the the diversification 1, but we've also new contracts and we will get further new contracts so that we are considering Saltigo to be on the very positive sites 2020, but also 2021. Thanks a lot. You're most welcome and stay healthy and answer your telephones. Thanks.
There are no further questions at this time. I hand back to our presenters for closing comments.
Well, ladies and gentlemen, thank you for participating. We will not see us unfortunately face to face, but on virtual video conferencing which are popular these days. We are looking forward to this. And we thank you for your support. Keep distance and stay healthy.
Bye bye from Linksys.
Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes the LANXESS conference call. Thank you for joining and have a pleasant day. Goodbye.