Ladies and gentlemen, welcome to our conference call for MQ's H1 'twenty one results. We will start with a business review presented by Rainer. Peter will provide the financial overview and a more detailed look into our OEM and MRO segment. After that, Rainer will share our view on the remainder of 2021. After that, we will open the call for questions.
Let me now hand over to Rainer for the review.
Yes. Thank you, Thomas, and also welcome from my side. Let me start with a brief overview, the review of the first half year twenty twenty one. The global passenger traffic in the second quarter Shows a positive trend overall, mainly driven by improvements in domestic travel. In June, the global RPKs were down 60% versus June 2019, this was a moderate increase compared to May, resulting from a stronger domestic traffic being down 22%, but international traffic was still down 80%.
For the year 2021, passenger traffic is expected to reach 52% of 2019 levels. Domestic traffic will be the main driver of recovery, while international traffic It's expected to stay roughly flat versus 2020. However, the recovery will depend on the ability To control coming COVID waves and in harmonization of travel restrictions and rules. In this recovery, the GTF engine remains one of the engine types with the highest utilization and ongoing deliveries to airlines around the globe. Since the GTF engine entered service in 2016, 1,000 GTF powered aircraft has been handed over to airline customers.
The customers are very satisfied with the engine, especially with its fuel efficiency. According to President Whitney, the GTF engine has reduced fuel consumption of up to 20% compared to the previous engine generation. This equals 500,000,000 gallons of kerosene, saving 5,000,000 tonnes of CO2 emissions since entry into service. In May 2021, MTU delivered its 500 assembled GTF engine. For the year 2021 alone, over 150 new engines As scheduled to leave the Munich plant.
For our MO segment, we reached another milestone in the expansion of our network. The construction of our new parts repair shop in Serbia has started in July. The shop will have a capacity of 400,000 repair hours per year and will be operational by end of 2022. MTU's Serbia will be an essential part of our ability to offer Highly competitive MRO services worldwide. MPU's position in the MRO market is also reflected and the latest order wins.
In the 1st 6 months of this year, new contracts worth US3 billion dollars U. S. Dollar was signed mainly for CF34, CFM56 and CF680 engines. In the same period last year, US1 $700,000,000 in new contracts were collected. This increase compared to last year gives us confidence that the recovery of the aftermarket Actually translates into increasing MO activity.
Good news also for the military segment. The German parliament has cleared the way for the next steps in the development of the future combat air system and its engine. The German budget of €4,500,000,000 covers the research and demonstrator phase between 20212027. And last but not least for our Munich site, we are accelerating actions to make operations climate neutral by year end. This target will be reached through a variety of sustainable operational measures and high quality carbon offset certificates.
Similar projects are being planned for our other German sites and will follow at our international sites. So let me now hand over to Peter for the financials.
Yes. Thank you, Rainer. And also a warm welcome from my side. Before having a look at the key financials of the first half of twenty twenty one, Let me remind you that the Q1 2020 was a normal quarter without any corona impacts. For 6 months, total group revenues decreased slightly to €2,000,000,000 but the average U.
S. Dollar exchange rate in H1 'twenty one Of 1.21 compared to 1.10 in H1 2020 was a considerable headwind for our sales. In U. S. Dollar terms, Revenues were up 7% instead of minus 2% on the reported level.
EBIT adjusted was down 15% to €190,000,000 resulting in an EBIT adjusted margin of 9.5%. In the Q2 2021, we saw the expected sequential improvement from 8.7% in Q1 to 10.2% in Q2. In the second half of twenty twenty one, further improvements are expected and will support our margin guidance for the full year. Net income adjusted was down 16% to €135,000,000 For calculating net income adjusted, we applied a reduced normalized tax rate with effect from January 1, 2021 onwards. The expected rate is now 26%, down from 29% before.
We reviewed our actual and expected profit generation within our global network and came to the conclusion that this reduced level reflects the expected tax rate for the next years going forward. Our free cash flow numbers significantly improved in the first half with €187,000,000 and the main driver for that Was improvements in the working capital position? So now let me turn the page and provide some details on our business segments And starting with our OEM division. Total OEM revenues decreased by 14% to €700,000,000 Military revenues increased by 2% to €187,000,000 Commercial Business Revenues Declined by 18% to €550,000,000 and within that organic OE sales in U. S.
Dollar decreased in the 20% range. On a quarterly basis, Q2 OE sales remained almost stable compared to Q2 2020. Organic spare parts sales in U. S. Dollars were down by a high single digit number.
Q2 2021 Spare parts revenues were up in the 50% range compared to Q2 of last year, which was heavily affected obviously by corona. EBIT adjusted came out at €113,000,000 resulting in a margin of 16%. So let's move to the commercial MRO segment. Reported MRO revenues in euros increased by 6% to €1,300,000,000 In U. S.
Dollar terms, MRO revenues were up 14%. The mix between core MRO and GTF work remains roughly stable Good in the range of 60%, 40% in Q1 and also in Q2. EBIT adjusted decreased by 20% to €77,000,000 resulting in a margin of 5.7%. The lower EBIT adjusted margin results from a higher share of GTF work compared to 2020 as already mentioned in previous calls. At this point, I would like to hand back to Rainer for some words on our guidance 2021.
Thank you, Peter. Based on the results of the first half year and the current outlook on air traffic and MRO activities, We can specify our guidance for 2021. We now expect total group revenues to reach between EUR 4,300,000,000 €4,500,000,000 You remember our previous expectation was in the range of €4,200,000,000 to €4,600,000,000 Our outlook on the military and commercial OE sales is slightly improving. Military revenues are now expected to be Up mid to high single digit and commercial OE sales will be up low to mid single digit. Previously, we had expected them to increase only slightly.
Expectations for commercial spare parts remain unchanged. They are expected to grow low to mid single digits. We have slightly lowered our revenue expectation for the commercial MRO business to growth of 15% to 20%. Previously, it was 15% to 25%. This results from lower volume expectations from the GTF as well as partially smaller work scopes for other engine types.
Based on the above business mix, EBIT adjusted margin should be 10% to 10.5%. Net income will grow in line with EBIT. And based on the strong free cash flow in the first half year, we have increased our expectations for the cash conversion rate to mid to high double percentage. The expectations presented Must be seen in the context of necessary containment of new COVID waves and harmonization of travel restrictions and rules. In any case, we will closely monitor the developments and update our outlook if necessary during the second half of the year.
So this ends the presentation and we can move to the Q and A session.
Thank you. We will now begin the question and answer session. And we are taking our first question. And the first question comes from Robert Stallard from Vertical Research. Please ask your question.
Your line is now open.
Thanks so
much and good morning.
Good morning.
I have two questions. I think the first one is probably for Peter. I was wondering if you could comment on what the sequential aftermarket revenue growth was in the Q2 versus the Q1? And how do you expect that to progress for the second half of the year? And then maybe for Rainer, looking to the second half of the year as well.
Airbus is ramping up the A320, of course. And I was wondering what sort of implications this has for your staffing in the second half of the year also what your views are on the ability of your supply chain to keep up with the ramp. Thank you.
I mean the sequential growth in Q2 versus Q1 was in the 20% range for the Staphos in the Commercial division, and we expect Sequential growth Q3 versus Q2, Q4 versus Q3 again, but probably in a lower number in the range of maybe 10% to 15% or so.
And regarding the ramp up of the A320 family, We expect in the second half a slight increase to a rate of 40%, 43% to 44%, 45%, something like that. And then in the following years, Step by step to come to the previous rates we have seen before the crisis, so something around rate 60, rate 63, Something like that our supply chain is prepared for that, so we do not see any hurdles on that, Any problems on that? As I said, we have seen these rates already in the past, and it should not be a problem to get us back to that rate To come back to
the rates.
And staffing, can you comment on your plans for headcount in the second half?
I think we have already, let's say, started with that. But as I said, it's for this year, it's a small increase. And for the next year, we have already let's Prepared ourselves and also the supply chain to make this happen, so no issues on that.
Okay. That's great. Thank you.
Thank you. And the next question comes from the line of Andrew Golan from Berenberg. Please ask your question. Your line is now open.
Yes. Hi, good morning everybody.
Good morning.
Yes, couple for me please. So firstly, what was the organic decline in the core MRO Activity, please. And Peter, I think you mentioned the mix of core and GTS in the script. So how do you see that Sort of balancing out over the next couple of years. Second question is on free cash flow, Which is strong.
Obviously, there was a positive adjustment in their program investments. I think it was 26,000,000 Could you just explain what that relates to, please? And secondly, maybe if you could discuss as you do Regularly, the organic growth rates in spare parts by engine program in Q2 and how that trended from Q1, please?
So a lot of questions, Andrew. So let me start with the MRO. So as I said, In H1 'twenty one versus H1 'twenty, total MRO organic growth was 16%. In between that, you have the organic MRO being down for high single digits of 7%, 8% or so And compensated obviously by good growth in PW1100 or GTF MRO work. Regarding your spare parts sale, I mean, as I said, H1 was down Something like high single digit.
So the V2500 was down, say, mid to high 40s. The CF6 PW2000 combined, only slightly down, so low to mid single digit. And obviously, the GTF and others were significantly up And something like 30% ratio driven by obviously the first value of the spare parts, not only warranty for the GDF platform on the spare parts side.
The adjustment on the free cash flow In the Q2, we signed an agreement, a combined agreement with GE. And this agreement is a long term Expect expansion of our maintenance license, but also includes an agreement of shop visit volume for Specific engine, the CF34 engine. And therefore, it's like an entry fee, like a payment one time payment, and that's the reason for the adjustment.
Okay, great. That's very clear. Thank you.
Thank you. And the next question comes from the line of George Tsao from Bernstein. Please ask your question. Your line is now open.
Hi, good morning, everyone. Good morning. On the implied H2 guide, I guess, we're looking at about mid teens incremental margins compared to about 25% this quarter and 30% to 40% in recent prior quarter. So I guess what's driving these lower incrementals at a time when you're expecting a solid recovery And the high margin spares. And second question is, you talked about the supply chain being prepared for the Airbus ramp up.
But I guess what ramp up have you firmly committed to so far? Thanks.
So I mean regarding the margin development, obviously after H1, We have an EBIT margin of 9.5 percent, so we guide for 10% to 10.5%. So that implies that we are stronger than 10% in the second half of year The main drivers are twofold. So on the one hand side, we expect obviously significantly stronger military business in the second half year. I mean, We are roughly at €190,000,000 in H1 and expect for the full year. So I mean, if you do the math, something north of €500,000,000 so The second half will be more than €300,000,000 in military revenue, so contributing obviously good EBIT, Having a good EBIT contribution.
The second thing is that we obviously expect also sequential improvement in the spare businesses. And I mean, more or less a flat OE business. So maybe at the end of the year, a slight increase then driven by Slightly higher rates on the PW1100, but the main reason is sequential improvement in The commercial spare parts business. So these 2 are the main drivers for a higher margin expectation in the second half of the year.
Regarding the ramp up and commitment to Airbus, I think I'm not 100% sure, but I think the actual commitment also It's regarding the 2021 numbers. Therefore, we have a fixed purchase order. But as I said before, once they will increase the production rates until a rate of whatever 60, 63, We are, in principle, committed. The only thing is we need a firm purchase order for that, but that's typically done In the last quarter of the year, so we expect that to be agreed then in, let's say, October, November latest this year. So But I think for 2022, we are very much aligned between what we expect to produce and what they expect.
So it's I think there should be not any problems arising from that.
Thanks.
Thank you. And the next question comes from the line of Chris Hallum from Goldman Sachs. Please ask your question. Your line is now open.
Good morning, everybody. So on spare parts, you mentioned the growing contribution from GTF revenue shop visits. Is there a way of scaling that for us? So sort of how much of that should that represent of total spares revenue for the year as a whole? Because I suppose the percentage growth rates are quite Year over year given the low starting point.
And then second, on cash conversion, it was over 100% in the first half. So could you just elaborate on some of the cash flow dynamics, Which caused that to drop back significantly in H2?
I mean, now what we see is now something like a high double digit Mid to high double digit number in absolute terms regarding step ups from the GTF. So that is And that will be growing obviously in the second half year. Regarding cash flow dynamics, yes, I mean, we are at 1 1000000, obviously, in the first half year. And there will be some Improvement obviously in the second half year, but that means that we are going to see 2 headwinds, I would say. So the cash flow won't be double the H1 number.
Obviously, if you read our guidance, so I mean, we're going to have significantly higher CapEx in the second half year. For example, we sold in the in MLS, we sold engines, so we are in a negative CapEx position. And we think that in the second half, we're going to see some opportunities to buy green time engines or engines which we will tear down and Extract used material and used this used material in our MO division, so that the purchase of engines will absorb cash. Also, as you might have read that we started our the construction of our Serbian facility. So we're going to have so the main portion of CapEx that will be in the second half of 2021.
And we think that also working capital will move up towards the end of the year when so MRO activities It should improve, so the shops will get fuller with engines in the shop. And so these are, would say the main reasons for headwind in the second half year. But overall, I think we can we are Quite happy with the performance in the first half year. We really were also able to collect receivables from MRO customers. So that was a good success.
Follow-up on that CapEx point. Does that sort of mean that 2021 CapEx might be elevated relative to 2022? Have you got sort of Some one offs in 2021 CapEx?
Yes. I mean 2021, I mean, if you look at our Serbian facility, For example, then I mean roughly half of that I mean this is something like a €100,000,000 investment in Serbia and €50,000,000 will be in 50 will be in H2 2021 and roughly 50 will be I mean that depends obviously on the exact Milestones from the construction, but 50 in H2 and 50 in H1 2022, so Roughly end. The shop will be up and running at the end of 2022. So that is not a one off, I would say, so that is in 2021 2022.
Okay. Thank you.
Thanks.
Thank you. And our next question comes From the line of Ben Heelan from Bank of America. Please ask your question. Your line is now open.
Yes, good morning guys. Could you talk a little bit about the decline in guidance or the decrease in guidance for MRO? I know you said lower GTFs Lower, I think, work scope on some engines. Could you just talk a little bit about what's driving the lower GPF and the lower work scope? And then second question would be how do you see visibility in your MRO business as you're moving into the second half of the year?
Thank you.
First to the GTF volume. I mean, it's always a little bit difficult in the beginning of the year to give an exact guidance what we expect. So therefore, we Guided for that range of 15% to 25%. What we see actually the GTF is one of the engine highly used in the market. So the airlines prefer to use actually the To use actually the modern and more fuel saving aircraft and engines.
So therefore, we see the GTF Flying very intensively and consequence, we see some less shop visits as we might have expected. At the same time, we have some warranty works to do with it on the GTF. And also we see that the engine is performing a little bit better than originally expected. So not every shop visit we expected has now To happen, that is one of the reason for that. And on the other shop visits for the, let's say, the regular MRO engines we serve, We see that work scope is a little bit lower than it was expected, and it's mainly then less spare parts, So material, and I think that's also not an unusual situation in times like that.
The airlines like to minimize the maintenance costs, and they Try to do as less as possible work scope in these overhauls. That's what we saw in previous, let's say, crisis as well. But it's not a substantial. I mean, it's let's say, instead of 25% at the upper range. It's now 20%.
I mean, it's not a dramatic
Okay. And then on visibility?
I think we have a high visibility for the second half. We expect the I would say, Not a tremendous, but a heavy increase in the second half. A lot of requests for shop visits have been which already in the last couple of weeks months. So we think especially in our for example, in our Noofer facility, It will be heavily utilized in the second half of this year. That's also the reason why we stopped the short term work in all the German facilities in Summertime, so it's also done now.
Okay, great. Thank you.
Thank you. And the next question comes from the line of Chloe Lemarie from Exane BNP Paribas. Please ask your question. Your line is now open.
Yes. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for taking my question. I have 2, if I could. The first one would be on the EBIT bridge In Q2 and in particular in OEM, if you could help us understand the driver for the performance. So were OE sales Actually a positive year on year on better fixed cost absorption.
Did you see significant cost saving benefit? Or does it all come down to having better spares volume versus Q2 last year? And the second question is on Q3 trends. So I understand that on the guidance, you're seeing slightly lower work scope for spares. But Do you anticipate actually a sequential improvement going forward in that respect?
Do you see Workscorp essentially troughing in Q2 or is it remaining pretty low for the rest of the year? Thank you.
I mean regarding EBIT bridge as the main drivers definitely were I mean if you compare Q2 versus Q1, so the margin increase in the OEM division that we have sequentially. In Q2, the military business was stronger Compared to Q1, and we have a sequential improvement in spare parts as pointed out, so in the 20% range Q2 versus Q1. And obviously, we have also a better I mean, if you compare it to last year, at least a better cost absorption. I mean, On the cost side, nothing really happened from Q2 to Q1. I mean, we did our We will reduce the working hours and the number of workers and so on.
So our cost position is better compared to last year at least. Yes. And now obviously when volumes are rising, we have also a better cost absorption in general. But I mean not Q2 versus Q1, so that effect is minor. So Q2 versus Q1, really the main drivers are sequentially better military business and sequentially better spare parts Business.
I mean, Q3 trends, difficult to say. I mean, we have as Rainer pointed out, our visibility in MRO is quite good. We have also the induction pipeline is longer compared to several months ago. So there are a lot of engines waiting in front But what you're finally going to do on the engine, you know when you open the engine and do a wax cup review, so there is still some I think the number of shop visits is quite clear what will happen in the second half, but the work scope, so the material content per shop visit, That is not exactly defined. So now we have a range for the full year of 15% to 20% growth.
And I think that reflects More or less the uncertainty on the works scope level, yes?
And you have to say again, it's not significantly smaller, the works scope. It's a little bit smaller, but not significantly.
All right. Thank you very much.
Thank you. And the next question comes from the line of Andrew Humphrey from Morgan Stanley. Please ask your question. Your line is now open.
Hi, good morning and thanks. Just a couple more follow ups on The mix and the change in guidance on MRO, if I may. I think you've been pretty clear about the dynamics on PW1100 Both with regard to the workscopes and with regard to them being flown intensively and maybe not coming in for as many shop visits. Clearly, there's a there had been a level of spares revenue associated with those that anticipated MRO work that had also factored into your guidance. And yet spares guidance has been nudged up.
So I wanted to ask about what is the offset to that? Are you seeing higher spares consumption than maybe you'd anticipated in the earlier part of the year on P2500 Or PW2000 or some of the other platforms. So that is question 1. And question 2, I think you highlighted in response to, I think, Chris' question, some potential opportunities to buy engines with Green Time on In the second half of this year, could that indicate that we're kind of moving from a phase where planes have been grounded, The official retirements have been very low, but there are a lot of planes on the ground that probably won't fly again. Could we be moving into a phase where we see airlines having a much better idea on what their midterm capacity requirements are?
And maybe we do see a bit of a tick up in return in the second
Regarding Green Time Engines, we do that opportunistically. So that depends very on very individual plans From individual airlines, how to use their asset? Do they bring the aircraft back into service? Or do they maybe Sell the aircraft or the respective engine. And so if an airline is in a financial difficult situation, we might be in a Positioned to buy Green Time engines or engines at a very attractive price.
And I mean we what we then do is, I mean, we use these Green Time engine as a spare engine, let's say, for especially Smaller or midsize airlines which do not have their own spare pool or directly Teardown this engine, extract the used material and use that used material for in Hannover for other customers. So What I said is, I mean, in H2, we're going to have maybe a market situation where we are we'll be in a position to buy them. But we don't buy them at any price. So if we get the opportunity to do so, we will do that. And if not, then we don't do it.
So we Don't try that. We wouldn't buy engines at a very high price, obviously, yes.
So it sounds like there are a couple situations you've got your eye on rather than expectations? Yes. Sure. There will be kind of any structural changes on it. Exactly.
Exactly. Okay. Understood.
On the first question, I think I'm not sure we get it right, but you asked about the if you have reduced volume on GTF MRO, Would that translate into less reduced volume on spare parts? No. The guidance for the spare parts remains Unchanged, there is no change. And as I said before, we are not talking about tremendous changes. It's some A little bit less work scoping, a little bit less GTF overhauls, but not in a Big number.
So that does not change our view on the spare parts guidance.
On spare, sorry, it was more a question of If GTF work scope is a little bit lighter, what's better within the mix of kind of unchanged guidance on spares? Is that part of that is going better than you expected at the start of the year?
No, I mean, we have I mean, that's a view on the portfolio. I mean, we have the PW2000, 1,000,000, for example, performing better in the military spot, but also in the commercial spot. So In the U. S, are obviously preparing for the summer and autumn season and doing shop visits on the PW2000 for the 757. CF6 is also a little bit better, yes.
So it's with its big footprint especially coming from the freighter market still. So if you look at the portfolio then it's more or less stable. So we have a Slightly lower number on the PW1100 but compensated by other engine programs. So but as Rainer said, these are really small, small movements. And So overall, we come to the same final to the same range, let's say, of outcome for the 2021.
Great. I think I've got it. Thanks. Thanks.
Thank you. And our next question comes from the line Stof Miller from Deutsche Bank. Please ask your question. Your line is now open.
Yes. Good morning for taking my questions. Good morning. I have 3 quick ones. The first one is on the guidance change in military, The fact that you're increasing a little bit the sales, what is the reason for this?
Because I would think military sales are quite predictable. So if you change this in the course of the year, it means that there may have been something new happening, more utilization of planes or I don't know. I mean, that's the question. The second is on the free cash flow. You said on the prepared remarks that working capital was better.
I understand you talked about the receivables. Is it also the consequence of inventory turns being better? Or I mean, you remember in the past, you were talking about Flying hours agreements, but I'm not sure you're getting more of them at the moment. So it's a question about the component of that working Capital improvement in H1. And the last question is on the MRO, the EUR 3,000,000,000 contract €3,000,000,000 contract intake.
It's actually I mean in 2019, you did €4,500,000,000 So it's still a difference, but it's Still, I mean, it's a nice performance, I would think, in this H1. Can you comment on pricing, on mix? I mean, What is different versus 2019 in terms of the contract negotiations at the moment?
So maybe I start with the military question regarding the military business. The main driver for that is the approval now of the German government of that FCAS program, Future Combat Air System, where you when you make your budget and your first forecast, you Do not know exactly when it will be approved and what is then the impact on the prepayment on the revenues for the 1st couple of months. And that's now clear. It has been approved in, I think, in June. And therefore, we have now a clarity that the first Revenues will be done also in 2021, and that's the reason for the slight increase of the guidance related to the business.
In the MRO contract wins, yes, you are right, 2019 was a better one. But you have to remind that We are still not the crisis is not behind us. I mean, we are still in that. And for this in this situation, I think EUR 3,000,000,000 Contract wins is a good result. And 2019 was also a record year regarding new contract wins in MRO.
Pricing and terms and conditions, I would say it's quite similar to what we have seen in the campaigns in the past.
The working capital. Working capital, I mean, it's I would say it's twofold. On the one hand side, in the OEM division, we will continue to see Falling inventories that has to do with the supply chain. So it takes quite a long time to adjust the supply chain Coming from the rate 63 in Q1 2020 to a rate, let's say, 40 to 45, so we're going to be regarding inventories there At the end of 2021, so you can expect in the OEM division further falling inventories, Probably compensated by rising inventories in the MRO division. So when we see and that is the expectation, A rising volume of MRO when you have more a higher number of Engines in the shops, so that is obviously inventories and also a higher level of spare parts on stock because you have to Prepare for these shop visits, so that is in the MRO inventories will rather arise in the second half of the year.
And so overall, what will be the impact in 2021 is that we're going to see falling receivables, so a collection of receivables, were there at the end of 2020 and probably not there in 2021 at the end. So that's overall working capital should be a small tailwind in
Okay. That's very clear. Yes, thanks also for the answer on the MRO contract. I was meaning it was An impressive performance actually, not because €1,700,000,000 last year €3,000,000,000 this year, it's actually a nice improvement. And that's the reason I was asking about pricing.
May I just ask another question on repairs? Are you seeing a lot of repairs the moment, more repairs, more demand from repairs on shop visits or is it stable?
No, it's very similar. I mean the level of As you do on an engine is rather depending on the engine platform. So for newer engines, let's say for the PW1100, you don't have a lot of Repair, so you rather exchange parts. So you I mean, you get the engine in the shop, you disassemble it and Change parts and then you test it, assemble it, test it and send it back to the customer. And on older engines, Especially when the customer, let's say, wants to have an engine to operate only for 2 more years, you rather build in, let's say, used material if available Or you do repairs.
So but so that was also the reason or the case Before the crisis, that has not changed significantly, I would say.
Okay. Thank you very much. Thank you.
Thank you. And the next question comes from the line of Sean Steuart from JPMorgan. Please ask your question. Your line is now open.
Hi, good morning, Rainer. Good morning, Peter and Thomas. I just had one question on tax, please. Could you just tell us what was driving the reduction in the normalized rate to 26% in H1? And did you say earlier on the call that you Expect that 26% normalized rate to persist in the coming years, please?
Exactly. I mean that is the expected I mean you have all this deviation from the If you have, let's say, deferred tax assets up or down or so, so but so if you don't have, Let's say, special items on the tax line, then that is the expected tax rate. I mean, we did a review on the global, let's say, EBIT generation. And as you know, We have some earnings coming from the U. S.
Region where you have a lower tax rate in the, So let's say, 20% region, we have in Germany, a rather high tax environment like 32%, 33%. We have also EBIT generation out of our Polish facility where you have a 19% tax rate and where we have, for example, the up Share of the V2500 is allocated in Poland. We have added the lease co, the leasing company from PW1100 being allocated in the U. S. And so if you look on the EBIT generation in the worldwide network, Then for the 26% is going forward for the next, let's say, 2, 3, 4 years is the expected tax rate going forward.
So that will if nothing big happens, that will persist for the next year, sir.
And just As a point of comparison, that's I mean historically it's been around 29.
29, exactly. So it was 2, 3 years at 29. And Before that, it'd be worth at 30 or 31 even. So it comes it goes down slightly.
Yes. Okay. Thank you very much. Thanks.
Thank you. And the next question comes from the line of Milane Kurna from Barclays. Please ask your question. Your line is now open.
Yes. Hello. Thank you for taking my question. Hello, Rainer, Peter and Thomas. So my first question Is on the trend for the commercial new engine sales.
Could you comment on the sequential trend you saw in Q2 compared to Q1? Then my second question is on the sequential impact that had on your profit in Q2 versus Q1. And then my last question is on the outlook for the rest of the year in terms of the profit impact given that you have upgraded your commercial OE full year outlook. Thank you.
No, I mean, Q2 versus Q1 was relatively stable. So when we had the downward adjustment of rate, obviously, as you know, so since Q222Q3 2020, we are at a Relatively stable output level on the PW1100 and that is also true up to now on the GEnx Engines for the Boeing 787, which are the main contributors to our OE sales. And sequentially, yes, maybe we're going to see a slight increase in Q4, so reflecting the higher output number on the Airbus side, that has obviously a small More negative impact there on but that is all baked into our guidance. So we still expect for the full year the 10.5%, obviously, EBIT margin and sequentially in H2 for the OEM division also a better margin.
Thank you, Peter, for all these comments. And also just to come back on the Gen X. I mean compared to the current rates at Boeing, what level are you producing right now on the Gen X?
I mean, we are supporting something like a rate 5 or 6 at Boeing. And let's see, I mean, what could obviously happen is that There are going to be some delivery problems at Boeing to the customer due to the technical problems they have. That would mean I mean that is that could mean a slightly higher working capital level, but not meaningful. If engines are not shipped to the customer or aircraft with the engines are not shipped to the customer in due time, So you don't get the money in 2021. But that is one off a lot of moving items in the working capital line, so nothing significant.
Okay. Thank you.
Thanks.
Thank you. This was our last question. May I hand over for closing remarks?
Thank you, Annette, and thanks to all for joining this call and for all your questions. If you have further interest, Contact the IR team. We are there. And yes, despite that, have a good remaining day and Already a good weekend. Bye bye.
Thank you. We want to thank Mr. Rainer Winkler and Mr. Peter Kamatisch And all the participants for this conference. Goodbye.