Siltronic AG (ETR:WAF)
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Apr 30, 2026, 5:36 PM CET
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Earnings Call: Q4 2024

Mar 6, 2025

Operator

Hello everyone, and welcome to the presentation of Siltronic's Full Year 2024 Results. Please note that this call is being recorded and streamed on Siltronic's website. The call will also be available as an on-demand version later today. Your participation in this call implies your consent with this. At this time, I would like to turn the conference over to Verena Stütze, Head of Investor Relations and Communications of Siltronic AG.

Verena Stütze
Head of Investor Relations and Communications, Siltronic AG

Thank you, Shelley. Welcome everybody to our full year 2024 results presentation. This call will also be webcast live on siltronic.com. A replay of the call will be available on our website shortly after the end of the call. Our CEO, Michael Heckmeier, and our CFO, Claudia Schmitt, will give you an overview of our financials, the current market developments, and our guidance. After the presentation, we will be happy to take your questions. Please note that management comments during this call will include forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. For a discussion of risk factors, I encourage you to review the safe harbor statement contained in today's press release and presentation. All documents relating to our full year 2024 reporting are available on our website. I now turn the call over to Michael for his remarks.

Michael Heckmeier
CEO, Siltronic AG

Thank you, Verena, and a warm welcome also from my side. As always, let's begin with the key messages of today's call. Despite the challenges in 2024, we achieved our annual guidance at the upper end. We have demonstrated our ability to navigate effectively through this period of subdued demand. On the market side, our semi-based market share remained stable year-over-year. A positive 300 mm development compensated our decreasing SD sales due to the planned exit of this business. On the cost and cash side, we have implemented a stringent program to manage this phase effectively. The ramp-up of a new FAB in Singapore is progressing well, and the important prime qualifications for the new FAB are expected by mid-2025. At the end of our presentation, I will walk you through our 2025 guidance. Let's start with a broad overview of our developments in the financial year.

Claudia will then give you a detailed breakdown. Year-over-year sales declined by 7%, which was at the upper end of the range. Our profitability remained resilient with an EBITDA margin of 26%. Although we have definitely passed the peak of our investment phase, the still elevated CapEx of EUR 523 million and the payment overhang from last year's CapEx have, as anticipated, resulted in a continued negative net cash flow. Consequently, net financial debt increased to EUR 734 million. We have demonstrated that despite this prolonged period of weak demand, we were able to achieve resilient EBITDA margins. This was accomplished by implementing a comprehensive package of measures focused on cost and cash management. We transitioned our production from maximum output to high productivity and efficiency as soon as demand weakened.

As a result, our labor costs were adjusted to the lower output through the use of working time accounts, a reduction of the number of temporary employees, implementing a qualified hiring freeze, and starting an indirect headcount program. Additionally, we intensified our efforts to optimize costs across other areas. On the cash side, we significantly reduced our CapEx payments in 2024 and plan a further reduction in 2025. We are also working on strict and effective working capital management. Another necessary step in this is our proposal to the annual general meeting on May 12th to reduce the dividend to EUR 0.20 per share. This corresponds to a payout ratio of approximately 10% of the consolidated net income attributable to Siltronic's shareholders. While we are effectively managing costs and cash, we are prepared for growth. At the heart of this are our customers, driving our commitment to excellence.

We are proud to do business with all big names in our industry. These relationships, along with our close partnerships with other major players in the semiconductor value chain and our R&D spending, drive our technological advancements and ensure we stay ahead of the curve as a technology leader. This commitment to innovation has confirmed our position as a successful development partner for the latest design rule developments. We are ideally positioned with our clear focus on leading-edge technologies. Our strategy has proven effective during this prolonged period of soft demand. For leading-edge wafers, we have maintained high loading levels in 2024 and expect the same for 2025. In short, our strategy ensures that we are prepared for growth, and this growth is further supported by our new leading-edge capacities in Singapore.

Speaking of our new FAB in Singapore, I would like to share some insights on the customer qualification process and its timeline. As communicated, the first test wafers were produced in November 2023. Throughout 2024, we successfully completed multiple low-spec qualifications. We are now working on the key prime qualifications. The wafers for these qualifications are now being evaluated by our customers and are likely being processed as we speak. This takes several quarters, and once completed, we expect to receive the major prime qualifications probably by mid-2025. As you know, this will also trigger the planned depreciation of the new FAB. As a reminder regarding the new FAB, we will continue to ramp the FAB at a reduced pace also in 2025.

As the lead times for some critical equipment have shortened significantly, the decision for 2026 will be taken later this year based on market demand and visibility. Our target for this FAB remains unchanged. We expect the EBITDA margin to be above 50% on the medium term, making a significant contribution to our group margin. Let me now hand over to Claudia for details into our financial performance before I come back with an update on the market developments and the guidance. Claudia, please.

Claudia Schmitt
CFO, Siltronic AG

Thank you, Michael. A warm welcome also from my side. Let's jump directly into our fiscal year 2024 results. As Michael mentioned, 2024 developed largely as expected, still impacted by the persistently weak demand in the wafer industry. Our sales reached EUR 1.4 billion, reflecting a 7% decline year-over-year due to a slight decrease in price, mix, and wafer area. The US dollar exchange rate had almost no impact on the full year top line. However, Q4 with EUR 361 million came in a bit better than expected, mainly due to a stronger US dollar. Our full year EBITDA was EUR 364 million, down EUR 70 million compared to 2023. This decrease was driven by the reduced top line, which also led to a lower fixed cost dilution. As I mentioned in previous calls, we benefited from favorable FX gains in 2023, which we did not see in 2024.

On the positive side, the cost pressure in some categories, which were particularly affected by inflation increases, has eased somewhat. This is evident, for example, in energy and freight cost. Additionally, our further intensified cost reduction measures, Michael mentioned some examples before, have contributed to a resilient EBITDA margin of 26%. In Q4, the EBITDA margin slightly improved sequentially, mainly due to a better FX result. Our full year EBIT amounted to EUR 125 million, impacted by the aforementioned EBITDA decline and an increase in depreciation of EUR 36 million year-over-year. On a quarterly comparison, EBIT was almost unchanged. The net interest result 2024 declined to EUR 25 million due to a combination of lower interest income from financial investments and higher interest expenses for loans taken to support our investments.

The group's tax rate increased to 33% in 2024, mainly due to deferred tax effects, which mostly impacted the fourth quarter, but which, however, had no cash impact. With all these effects, the full year net income decreased to EUR 67 million. As you know, Siltronic is clearly impacted by changes in the US dollar exchange rate. Therefore, it's worth taking a closer look into this. On the left side of the slide, you can see that in 2024, Siltronic had a US dollar exposure of more than 80% on the top line, while the majority of our EBITDA costs are euro-based, making us quite sensitive to any exchange rate changes. To provide more detail, let me explain our current US dollar sensitivity.

Based on our 2024 exposure and the exchange rate of 1.08, a change of one US dollar cent would impact our sales on a full year basis by around EUR 11 million and our EBITDA by EUR 8 million before hedging. Our guidance for 2025 assumes unchanged exchange rate conditions compared to 2024. In case of a stronger US dollar, there could be a potential upside to our 2025 guidance. Let's shift our focus to the key developments on our balance sheet. By the end of 2024, total assets have reached a level of around EUR 5 billion, up from EUR 4.5 billion at the end of 2023. This growth was mainly driven by our continuous investments, particularly in our new FAB in Singapore, which increased fixed assets by almost EUR 400 million.

In September last year, we successfully placed a promissory note loan of EUR 370 million, which was paid out in October and enhanced our cash and securities to nearly EUR 670 million. The exceptionally high trade payables at the end of 2023 were significantly reduced to around EUR 280 million by the end of 2024. The level is still elevated and will be reduced further in 2025 with corresponding cash effects. Financial liabilities increased as we've drawn EUR 200 million of our syndicated loan, in addition to the aforementioned promissory note loan, bringing our financial debt on the balance sheet to nearly EUR 1.4 billion at the end of 2024. Driven by the expansion of our cash position on the one side and loans on the other, our equity ratio has decreased to 44% but remains at a robust level. CapEx in 2024 totaled EUR 523 million.

Although our investment level continued to be elevated, it has significantly decreased compared to the previous year. For 2025, we expect a further reduction, targeting a CapEx range of EUR 350 million-EUR 400 million. The focus will stay unchanged on ramping our new FAB in Singapore and our steady-state CapEx. Let's take a closer look at our debt situation. As illustrated in the bridge, Siltronic had net financial debt of EUR 356 million at the end of 2023. We generated a solid operating cash flow, yet it was clearly exceeded by the high CapEx-related payments, including a spillover from 2023. These payments have surpassed the additions to fixed assets by almost EUR 150 million. On top, we had a cash outflow of EUR 36 million for the dividend payment. In total, our net financial debt amounted to EUR 734 million at the end of 2024.

Looking ahead to this year, 2025, as you update your models, I expect that CapEx payments will once again exceed the balance sheet additions, but to a significantly lower extent. We regularly inform you about the composition of our financial debt, which you can find here on the left side. As of today, we have drawn EUR 1.38 billion of our total loans. EUR 180 million are still untouched. On the right side, you can see the corresponding maturity profile. As previously communicated, we will begin to repay our debt in 2025, starting with a smaller portion of EUR 65 million. Additionally, our balance sheet shows short-term prepayments amounting to EUR 57 million, which we expect to refund this year. With this, I hand back to Michael.

Michael Heckmeier
CEO, Siltronic AG

Thank you, Claudia. Let's turn our attention to the market outlook. The good news is that we are witnessing clear end market growth for the second consecutive year. In 2025, all end markets are expected to be positive, resulting in total end market growth of 7%. This growth comprises 7% content growth and 2% unit growth. The main growth driver is servers fueled by significant content growth from AI. Smartphones are also benefiting from edge AI, driving content and supporting replacements. The automotive sector is largely content-driven, with electric vehicles also showing unit growth. However, even though we are also clearly profiting from AI, the still elevated inventory levels need to be further reduced, so we likely won't see much of this growth reflected in our 2025 order books. Looking at the segments, memory inventories are steadily but slowly declining. Logic appears to be closer to normal levels.

Unfortunately, in the power segment, inventories are further building up based on Q4 data. Let's conclude with our guidance for the financial year 2025. We anticipate sales in the region of 2024. This is due to a negative impact on average selling prices and the expectation that the solid end market growth will mostly not be reflected in our order books. Our sales guidance also considers the discontinuation of production of small diameter wafers effective July 31 this year. Regarding prices, the small impact we observed in 2024 became more pronounced in the second half of 2024. Consequently, the starting point for 2025 is lower, and we will likely see a year-over-year impact. However, the prices and LTAs are honored by our customers.

From today's perspective, the H1/2025 will be below the second half of 2024 by a high single-digit % range, as we have some more volume postponements from H1 into later periods, partially also into H2/2025. Our EBITDA margin guidance is in the range of 22%-27%. The ramp cost for the new FAB will be partially offset by savings in energy cost, especially for Singapore and in other areas. Depreciation and amortization are expected to be between EUR 380 million-EUR 440 million, mainly due to the planned start of depreciation of the new Singapore FAB in mid-2025. Consequently, EBIT will be significantly lower than in the previous year and negative. As Claudia already mentioned, CapEx will be further reduced, and it's expected to be in the range of EUR 350 million-EUR 400 million.

As a result, the company expects a further improvement in net cash flow, which will, however, remain significantly negative. With this, we conclude our presentation. Claudia and I are happy to take your questions. Thank you very much for your attention. Shelley, please open the Q&A session.

Operator

Thank you. If you're dialed in via the telephone and would like to ask a question, please signal by pressing star one on your telephone keypad. If you're using a speakerphone, please make sure your mute function is turned off to allow your signal to reach our equipment. A voice prompt on the phone line will indicate when your line is open, so please state your name and company before posing your question. You can press star one to ask a question. If you are in the event via the web interface and would like to ask a question, simply type your question in the Ask a Question box and click Send.

Speaker 13

Hi, can you hear me?

Claudia Schmitt
CFO, Siltronic AG

Yes.

Speaker 13

Perfect. Okay. Morning. Hi. My first question would be basically on your guidance. You're now kind of guiding for a high single-digit decline in the first half of your revenue kind of progression. That means that there's definitely a lot of weight on the second half in order to reach your flat guidance. What gives you the confidence in this strong ramp in the second half? That would be interesting to see. On the second part would be end demand. You were showing us the different parts of your expectation. I would say some of them are quite bullish, especially, for example, something like automotive. What is your assumption for these going forward, and where do you see some potential downside to your estimates? Thank you.

Michael Heckmeier
CEO, Siltronic AG

Thank you very much for your question. With regards to guidance and H1/H2 phasing, we indeed did see some of our customers asking for volume postponements out of H1, and some of these have been allocated to H2. In total, this gives the picture that is also, let's say, the general sentiment in the industry that H2 should be better than H1. This is the situation around this H1/H2 phasing. End demand increase around automotive. What gives us confidence and where are the risks? On the one side, electromobility is increasing, and they show both unit and content growth. We see quite good dynamics in the server market. On the downside, we would rather articulate effects from the macro environment. How would the drivers like PCs and smartphones really grow unit-wise in the end?

I think that's a bit of the unknown in this picture. Overall, we feel the 7% growth assumption is a pretty balanced one on current knowledge, with some risks and some opportunities in it.

Speaker 13

Thank you.

Operator

If you'd like to ask the question, it would be star one on your telephone keypad. We ask that you please state your name and company name when you post your question.

Harry Blaiklock
Director, Tech Hardware and Equity Research Analyst, UBS

Hi, there. Harry Blaiklock from UBS. Thanks for taking my question. The first was just kind of on your comments around inventory levels, particularly in terms of Logic being at healthier levels. It seems a bit different from the picture given by some of your peers. I was just wondering whether you could give a bit more color on that and what kind of visibility do you have in terms of kind of customer inventories on that front?

Michael Heckmeier
CEO, Siltronic AG

Thank you very much for this question. I think, like everybody in the industry, we're doing two things. We're collecting publicly available information from institutes, market forecasters, etc., and combine it with, let's say, direct insights we have into some of our customers. That kind of gives a mixed and balanced picture around the situation. Your specific question on Logic was whether it's very normal already. We see it's close to normal. It's not 100% normalized yet, but it's not elevated to the extent that memory still is. Power, for sure, is the most elevated in the current situation. This is a bit the situation. Visibility comes both from our direct customer insight, but also aligning and triangulating it with publicly available and MI data.

Harry Blaiklock
Director, Tech Hardware and Equity Research Analyst, UBS

Got it. Thank you, Michael. I had a second question just around pricing in the spot market and how that's differing from LTA pricing for 12-inch wafers. It would be useful to know kind of what pricing is embedded into your guidance for this year as well.

Michael Heckmeier
CEO, Siltronic AG

Thank you very much. There is no change in our general situation that around two-thirds of our business is in LTAs. As I said during the speech already, in this LTA framework, customers honor the pricing. There is no change around the LTA space. The other third is a bit more tricky these days. We have the major share of our LTAs, for sure, in 300 mm. What I can say is the smaller the diameter in the wafer, the larger the price pressure is exhibited. We can also say that 200 mm is a bit a mixed bag there. There are certain subsegments that are more stable. Others also under, let's say, price discussion. Overall, this leads to the price statement we were saying that we saw some price effect already in 2024, which was more pronounced in the second half.

This will be the basis for further, let's say, price discussions and effects in 2025. Two-thirds is in the LTA framework, so that is not affected by this.

Harry Blaiklock
Director, Tech Hardware and Equity Research Analyst, UBS

Got it. Are you able to kind of give a rough indication as to what level of pricing is embedded in the guidance this year?

Michael Heckmeier
CEO, Siltronic AG

We currently, I mean, the year is still early. We do not give any number or whatever, but we do not see a very changing environment. Model pricing situation that has started in 2024 will continue in 2025.

Harry Blaiklock
Director, Tech Hardware and Equity Research Analyst, UBS

Okay. Thanks, Michael.

Gustav Froberg
Director and Equity Research Analyst, Berenberg

Good morning, Gustav from Berenberg. Thank you for taking my questions as well. I just have two. The first one is a question on demand from China. Are you seeing the replacement of demand for your wafers, wafers from your Japanese peers, etc., with some local wafer manufacturers? In particular, my question is centered around 300 mm wafers. That is my first question. The second, just on maintenance and growth CapEx for 2025, could you help us break down that guidance that you have given, please, into those two components? Thank you.

Michael Heckmeier
CEO, Siltronic AG

Thank you, Gustav. With regards to your first question, do we see demand replacement from China? Market situation, 300 mm in China is around stable. We do not see significant changes or, let's say, market share developments there. Our general China statement is also unchanged that the smaller the diameter, the more advanced, of course, the local China manufacturers are. Still huge and significant gaps in 300 mm, particularly in the high-end and leading-edge corners. There is no new statement from our side if you compare what we said like six months ago. On the CapEx side, we are currently not in a position to give a detailed breakdown between the further growth and the maintenance CapEx, but both elements are included in our guidance for 2025.

Gustav Froberg
Director and Equity Research Analyst, Berenberg

Okay, super. Thank you very much.

Florian Treisch
Senior Equity Research Analyst, Kepler Cheuvreux

Hi, good morning, Florian speaking from Kepler Cheuvreux. I have a quick follow-up on the comments around 2025 top-line dynamics and H1 over H2. Can you maybe shed a bit more light on what is your view on the inventory correction? Should it really last for the full year? I mean, to be fair, after the whole industry is misjudging the situation, it sounds pretty brave to be confident on H2 growth acceleration, right? What do you can really kind of add on quantifiable targets to it? I mean, hopeful thinking is one, but do you have any kind of hard numbers to support that the clients will actually call off these H2 volumes? Thank you.

Michael Heckmeier
CEO, Siltronic AG

Yeah, thank you, Florian. I think I can reiterate, if you look at the different statements from our peers in general, that the sentiment is better for H2 than for H1. I think that's a more general statement. For our company in particular, I mean, we know those quarterly and H1/H2 phasing effects are typically dominated by individual customer volume shifts. Here we know, of course, that some of the volumes that have been taken out of H1 are allocated to H2. That gives us certain visibility at, let's say, some larger customers and related volumes that these are really happening in H2. Combining all this together leads to our guidance that we see H1 below H2 2024, and then the total year in the area of last year. With that, you can do some maths what we would expect as H2 grows.

I think it's a pretty consistent overall picture.

Florian Treisch
Senior Equity Research Analyst, Kepler Cheuvreux

Okay, thank you.

Amelia Banks
Equity Research Analyst, BofA Securities

Hi, it's Amelia Banks from BofA Securities asking a question on behalf of Didier Scemama. Just one question regarding your China exposure. I can see that your greater China exposure decreased in 2024. I know you mentioned previously that China represents double-digit % of sales. I was just wondering if you could provide a bit more color on that and whether that still remains. Thank you.

Michael Heckmeier
CEO, Siltronic AG

Yeah, we only communicate the so-called greater China numbers, right? They are slightly moving, but not significantly compared to last year. I still think our statement is unchanged. What I also said to China is holding also for your question. Let's have in mind in China, we have both local customers, but also our China revenues would comprise a business we're doing with multinational players having plants in China. Combining all this, we do not see significant new or additional dynamics in our China view and in our China business.

Amelia Banks
Equity Research Analyst, BofA Securities

Thank you.

Rob Sanders
Head of Tech Hardware Research, Deutsche Bank AG

Yeah, it's Rob from Deutsche Bank, Rob Sanders. My first question would just be about the 150 mm, the smaller diameter phase-out. Can you just say what contribution of sales that was last year? Presumably, it'll be basically zero this year, just so I understand the year-to-year headwind. If there's any cost upside or a bit positive contribution from that exit, I'm interested. The second question would just be around the covenants. Clearly, you mentioned that you don't have a huge amount of debt that's maturing in 2025 and 2026, but your leverage, including prepayments, is going up towards four times net debt to EBITDA. What sort of covenants should we be thinking about that could lead you to be forced to do an equity raise? Thank you.

Michael Heckmeier
CEO, Siltronic AG

Thank you, Rob. I take your questions around the small diameters and then hand over to Claudia for the financial part. The 150 mm business is mid-single digit for us. Funny enough, it is true both in 2024 and 2025. In the first year, we were more at the upper end of that mid-single digit, and in the second year, more on the lower end of that one. We close it by end of July. You can do, I think, some easy calculation. What does it mean in terms of top-line? The progress of this is very smooth, both internally with all the related cost and HR measures, but also externally, we concluded our phasing out with all customers and look for a very smooth conclusion by end of July. For the financial piece, I hand over to Claudia.

Claudia Schmitt
CFO, Siltronic AG

Hi, Rob. Good morning. I take your questions regarding the covenants. We haven't disclosed any details around that, and we won't do a disclosure of any contract details here. I don't, of course, know your model, which shows obviously a net leverage of four. Our models definitely don't show such a net leverage. I can say that with our guidance, we expect to stay within the financial covenants that we have.

Rob Sanders
Head of Tech Hardware Research, Deutsche Bank AG

Got it. Just to follow up on the smaller diameter stuff, you said it's phasing out in July. What is the reduction in COGS or costs from the phase-out in the P&L? Do we see it suddenly reducing, or is it not that material?

Claudia Schmitt
CFO, Siltronic AG

Rob, that's just a minor effect. We only had a mid-single digit share in 2024, declining in 2025, given that we will shut down this production line. You won't see a huge effect in our COGS also.

Rob Sanders
Head of Tech Hardware Research, Deutsche Bank AG

Okay, thank you.

Constantin Harald Hesse
SVP and Equity Research Analyst, Jefferies

Thank you. Constantin from Jefferies, hi Michael, hi Claudia. Can you hear me okay?

Michael Heckmeier
CEO, Siltronic AG

Yeah, very well, Constantin.

Constantin Harald Hesse
SVP and Equity Research Analyst, Jefferies

Perfect. Michael, I'll start with you. I've got one for you, one for Claudia. Michael, the first one to you. I'm a little bit concerned. I'm just wondering if there's anything more fundamental going on, right? I was looking at the development of the semi market over the last four or five years and the wafer shipments over the last four or five years. It seems really weird that inventories continue to be so high. I'm just wondering if there are competitors that are showing stronger numbers, even with regards to China potentially having a higher participation, because wafer shipments have now been down 14% in 2023, another 3% in 2024, despite the semi market being down 10% in 2023 and up, as we said, 6% in terms of volumes in 2024, and then you expect another 7% growth this year.

I'm wondering, why aren't we seeing a faster de-stocking happening here, given the low level of utilization that you, SUMCO, Shin-Etsu Chemical are all operating in? Just wondering if there's something more fundamental going on here. That's the first question.

Michael Heckmeier
CEO, Siltronic AG

Yeah, thank you, Constantin. This was a long and almost comprehensive question. I tried to give you a few key statements around this. I think fundamentally, the overstocking during the COVID years in 2020, 2021 was unprecedented in the industry. There was always overstocking, but the extent, and I experienced colleagues telling me that the extent of that was quite unique in the whole semiconductor industry. I think that is one thing that was really fundamentally different. It was the pandemic, which was something like shaking up and scrambling up and down the whole global supply chains, I think we never experienced before. The second difference we see compared to earlier cycles is very different segment dynamics. In previous cycles, typically at a certain point in time, everything was oversupplied or became short almost at the same point in time.

Now we see, as I alluded already a bit, quite different market dynamics in memory, logic, and power. Power is still creeping up and again up, which of course is a concern for the segment, while memory is going in the right direction, but very slowly and steadily, and logic is almost being okay already. I think those different segment dynamics is indeed, they are quite pronounced these days. Is there other fundamental change? I mean, for us, always the market share is a very clear indication. Of course, there are different reports from peers. As you know, some of them are doing also different businesses in addition to silicon wafers. You always have to be a bit careful with absolute growth rates when somebody is also doing a bit sick or done or whatever.

From that perspective, we don't see fundamentals being changing beside what happened with the supply chains a couple of years ago. That's maybe how I would summarize this. Now I know what.

Constantin Harald Hesse
SVP and Equity Research Analyst, Jefferies

If we think about market share then in the end, because the recent presentations do not really have that data anymore, and you used to have the market share data in your presentations. Looking at the market share, you are still around the 13%-14% level then.

Michael Heckmeier
CEO, Siltronic AG

Yeah, really stable is the statement, and that's correct. Yeah.

Constantin Harald Hesse
SVP and Equity Research Analyst, Jefferies

Okay. Maybe it's a mix between, I guess, you and Claudia. Looking at 2026, I'm wondering because we have some long-term agreements. I think we talked about it in the last call that some long-term agreements are expected to expire at the end of 2025. Obviously, we'll have to probably negotiate on prices here. 2026 seems to be quite at risk at the moment if we do not see a demand improvement on the volume side. If we look at, I'm just trying to understand, right, what kind of negotiation dynamics could happen in these long-term agreements? Is there going to be significant pricing pressure that we could be talking about here, or is there still a discussion where you can say, "Look, I've just invested EUR 2 billion into this new fab.

We still need some form of agreement so that I'm able to generate X level of margin? I'm just trying to understand what kind of bargaining power you still have to hold on to some pricing in the negotiation of new long-term agreements, because I'm just trying to get a feeling for how I should think about cash in 2026 if we see no improvement again. What kind of a prepayment refund are we expecting in 2026?

Michael Heckmeier
CEO, Siltronic AG

Yeah, thank you, Constantin. With regards to pricing and LTAs, etc., maybe I want to separate two things. The one thing is what we know today, and that is, of course, two-thirds of the business is in LTAs, and those prices are holding, respected, and honored by customers. Now, the speculation of 2026 is, of course, a very different one and a very difficult one at the same time. I think the honest answer to your question is we really do not know in great detail, and it will depend on the demand dynamics. After now 2023, 2024, 2025, I think the community is eager and almost convinced that 2026 will be and should be a better year. That is a bit the assumption everybody is working with.

Such a dynamic then, of course, we would have a different, or let's say the wafer industry would have different pricing power than in a situation of continued soft demand. Given the fact that we talk about three years in a row now, 2023, 2024, and 2025, I think there is some consent almost that at a certain point in time, the end market growth of 6% last year now slightly kicking up to 7% this year eventually then should make its way through supply chains and inventories. I think that's what I want to say. Thank you.

Claudia Schmitt
CFO, Siltronic AG

Just one remark from my side regarding prepayments. We do not do any statements regarding 2026, but I want to reiterate that our prepayments that we have right now on the balance sheet are reaching out until 2030. There is an allocation over several years that you can assume in your models too.

Constantin Harald Hesse
SVP and Equity Research Analyst, Jefferies

Okay, that makes sense. Michael, just maybe just a quick one. Do you think that there are still any? Because look, at the moment, it's just like with power, inventory is going up. If we don't see a proper recovery in end markets, it doesn't look like we're going to be seeing an incredible year in 2026 again, at least from the moment. What I want to understand is, is there any bargaining power left for Siltronic, for SUMCO, for the fact that you have invested so much money into this new capacity when it comes to the negotiation of new long-term agreements at the end of 2025 with regards to pricing? Could we be running into a substantial risk situation where the chip manufacturers simply pressure you guys?

Michael Heckmeier
CEO, Siltronic AG

Yeah, Constantin, I'm not sure whether I can tell a lot about really bargaining power in 2026. What we see, and you reference also to our investment in Singapore, we are ramping up a factory that on the one side is the latest, greatest, and really focusing on the upper end and leading-edge segment of 300 mm. Here already, we said we see good loading in 2024, which will continue in 2025. From that perspective, we feel that the investment is going into the right spot, that our strategy is working, and that there will be, let's say, significant customer interest in those particular products. Whether that holds true across all diameters and across all segments, and particularly in power, I understand your concerns. From the inventory developments, we cannot take that off the table completely today.

With regards to our strategic focus and key investments, we feel pretty well set.

Constantin Harald Hesse
SVP and Equity Research Analyst, Jefferies

Fantastic. Thanks so much.

Martin Jungfleisch
Equity Research Analyst, BNP

Hi, good morning. This is Martin from BNP in Frankfurt. Just two follow-ups, please. The question is on the financing needs. On the back of the envelope, I think you will probably burn around EUR 250 million-EUR 300 million in cash this year. Probably the same will be the case next year if there is no change in conditions. With around EUR 700 million in cash, would you at this point exclude a capital increase, at least for this year? I think you have given these kind of comments last year, just trying to see if you could confirm this. The second question is really on CapEx. I mean, you flagged that actual payments will exceed invest level this year.

I'm just trying to see if you can quantify that portion of CapEx that is supposed to be paid and recognized, and if this also includes the capitalization of the REM cost for CapEx. Thank you.

Claudia Schmitt
CFO, Siltronic AG

Hi, Martin. Good morning. Yeah, I can confirm that at the moment we can exclude a capital increase. That's not on our agenda for this year. Regarding the CapEx-related payments, the CapEx cash flows, last year we had an additional EUR 150 million on top on our CapEx. This year we will also have a spillover from last year, but as I said, not to the extent of last year's spillover. At a lower rate, but of course, we can't give here too much detail.

Martin Jungfleisch
Equity Research Analyst, BNP

Okay.

Claudia Schmitt
CFO, Siltronic AG

Just to remind you, we have EUR 280 million on the balance sheet. We still have an elevated CapEx level. We will take some of that also into next year, 2026. There will be a reduction of our trade tables, but not to the extent of last year.

Martin Jungfleisch
Equity Research Analyst, BNP

Right. That makes sense. Maybe if I can squeeze some more in on the tax payments, I mean, given that it will be negative this year, are there still certain cash taxes that you have to pay? If you could quantify these.

Claudia Schmitt
CFO, Siltronic AG

2025, you mean, or?

Martin Jungfleisch
Equity Research Analyst, BNP

Yes, yes, yes.

Claudia Schmitt
CFO, Siltronic AG

Yeah, we did not disclose any, I have not disclosed any tax details for 2025. You should be aware that tax is calculated and paid on a legal entity base. Depending on our site mix, and we have some companies in our group which are quite profitable, there might be an effective tax expense this year, although the group EBIT is probably negative.

Martin Jungfleisch
Equity Research Analyst, BNP

Okay. Cool. Thank you.

Jürgen Wagner
Analyst, Stifel

Yeah, Jürgen Wagner from Stiefel. Good morning. Just one follow-up on wafer volume push-outs. How is the level of push-outs trending at the moment when compared to Q4 last year? Thank you.

Michael Heckmeier
CEO, Siltronic AG

Yeah, thank you, Jürgen. I think it's very difficult to say it's increasing or decreasing. What we experience here is a kind of continuous situation that from time to time, individual customers approach us, and we have those discussions around volume push-outs. The thing is, it's ongoing. It's, as we indicated already, hitting H1 in particular, and some of those volumes are allocated to H2. That is the underlying background for H1, H2 phasing. Also, some are still asking for further push-outs. That is also true. It's ongoing discussions. We see also in some, let's say, segments, applications, this is decreasing indeed. Everything around leading edge is highly asked, and our loading is pretty strong there.

Jürgen Wagner
Analyst, Stifel

Okay. Okay. Thank you.

Operator

There are no additional questions on the audio side, so I'll return it now back to Verena for any closing remarks.

Verena Stütze
Head of Investor Relations and Communications, Siltronic AG

Thank you, Shelly. This concludes our Q&A session. Thank you for joining us today. We will release our preliminary Q1 2025 figures on the 30th of April. On this slide, you can see also our next IR events. Thank you, and let's talk again soon.

Operator

This concludes today's call. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.

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